Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-28-24 | Blue Jackets v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Jackets/Rangers (METROPOLITAN TOY) The stars and the planets have aligned for a very offensive affair here in our opinion. Columbus is 19-28-9-1, including only 9-13-5-1 on the road, while the Rangers are 39-17-1-2, including 20-7-0-0 at home. The Jackets are off the 4-2 win here two nights ago, but note that the Rangers have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. New York has now seen the total go "under" in five straight, but that's significant to note as well as the Rangers have in fact seen the total "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Expect a much faster-paced and ultimately higher-scoring affair here in the re-match; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-27-24 | Heat v. Blazers +6.5 | Top | 106-96 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
10* Blazers (NON-CONFERENCE GOM) On one side we have the Miami Heat, who are 32-25 overall, including 17-12 on the road, and who are arguably playing their best basketball of the season, off four straight road wins, all as an underdog, including just last night with a 121-110 win over the Kings in Sacramento just last night. On the other end of the court we have the Portland Trailblazers, who are just 15-41 overall. They've struggled at home and on the road, but after eight straight SU losses and seven straight ATS setbacks, we feel this is a great spot for Portland to, at the very least, sneak away with a comfortable cover finally. We're primarily situational handicappers, and this one falls right into our wheelhouse. These teams haven't played since 2022 and the Blazers beat the Heat on the road in that game. But after the four straight road victories, including the impressive one just last night, and with a game at the defending champs up next, going to Denver to end this six-game road swing, we say that not only is this a natural "letdown" spot, but also clearly a "look-ahead" spot. Would anyone fault the Heat for looking ahead to that one after this stretch of great play. Clearly Miami will be resting players in anticipation of that one. When you add those two factors together, letdown + look-ahead, you get "TRAP GAME." Doesn't set up any better as being a "TRAP" game here in our opinion as situational cappers. We're also contrarians, and with 60% of the early public money on the visitors, that also appeals to our contrarian side. The Blazers are just 9-19 at home. They're off the 93-80 loss at home to lowly Charlotte as 3.5-point favorites. Pretty much the lowest of the low right now for Portland. But Portland has in fact responded well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 against the spread in its last five after a SU and ATS home loss as a favorite in which its been held to 85 or fewer points in. We base our picks on many different things. Some times it involves injuries. Other times we base our picks on really strong trends. Other times its based on situations. This particular pick is a fantastic "SITUATIONAL" play and while we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are suggesting here, so the official call will be indeed to grab as many points as you can with the Blazers! AAA Sports |
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02-26-24 | Heat v. Kings OVER 224.5 | Top | 121-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
10* Heat/Kings OVER (NON-CONF TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of an offensive affair in this contest on Monday in Sacramento. Miami is 31-25 overall, including 16-12 on the road, while Sacramento is 32-23 overall, including 16-9 at home. Miami is 4-1 SU in its last five and it's seen the total go "over" in five straight. But that's significant to note here, as Sacramento has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. The Kings have won three in a row, including a 123-107 win at the Clippers just last night. Now on the second game of the B2B scenario, we expect the defense to take a step-back, not the offense for these efficient scorers. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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02-25-24 | Kings +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 123-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
10* Kings (PACIFIC DIV. GOM) With nearly 70% of the early public money on the home side favorite, we're for sure going full on contrarian with this one. Sacramento is 32-23 overall, including 16-14 on the road, while LA is 37-18 overall, including 20-6 at home. The Kings have won two straight. They couldn't cover the large 10-point spread at home to the Spurs, as they took the foot off the gas and got caught looking ahead to this one. The Kings now kick off four straight vs. incredibly tough competition, as they face Miami, Denver and Minnesota after this. They play with revenge as well after a 119-99 loss here in December, and note that the Kings are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent. The Clippers haven't been at their best of late, as they've been alternating wins/losses over their last seven games. They're off a 101-95 victory at Memphis, but with a high-profile game vs. the Lakers up next, they could be caught "looking ahead" here as well. While the outright is possible, our official call is to grab as many points as you can here with Sacramento! AAA Sports |
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02-25-24 | Hurricanes v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Canes/Sabres (EAST-CONF NON-DIV TOY) As primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. Both sides have been playing to some lower-scoring contests of late, but everything now finally points to more of a wide-open "shootout" here on Sunday night in our opinion. Carolina is coming off a 2-1 home loss to Dallas. It's scored just two goals in its last two games. Note though that the Hurricanes have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 off a home loss as a favorite. They beat the Sabres 6-2 back on December 2nd, and while we're expecting another high-scoring game this time around, we believe it'll be much more competitive. The Sabres have won two straight. Both were on the road vs. "lesser" competition. Looking to avenge the earlier loss and to add to the winning run, everything points to the home side keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish. This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-25-24 | Youngstown State v. Green Bay UNDER 144.5 | Top | 71-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Youngstown State/Wisconsin Green Bay (HORIZON LEAGUE TOM) Youngstown State is 20-9, but just 7-7 on the road. Wisconsin Green Bay is 17-11 overall, including 10-3 at home. The Penguins are off an 84-80 OT win over Milwaukee Wisconsin. They've seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight now. They play with revenge after an 84-83 loss to the Phoenix as 11-point favorites at home back on February 10th, and note that Youngstown State has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Phoenix though have lost two straight since that upset, both as favorites. They've failed to reach the 60-point plateau in either. We have a hard time seeing them mustering much of an offensive attack this afternoon either; for all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-24-24 | Wild v. Seattle Kraken -131 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -131 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* Kraken (ASSASSIN) Here is a fantastic situational wager on Seattle. Minnesota is off a 4-2 win as a +160 dog in Edmonton just last night. It enjoys three whole nights off after this final road contest, before an important home game vs. Carolina. Can anyone say "letdown/look-ahead spot?! Seattle plays with revenge after a 3-0 defeat here to Minnesota back in December, and note that the Kraken are 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. All things considered, we feel this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is indeed on Seattle! AAA Sports |
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02-24-24 | Minnesota United v. Austin +103 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 40 m | Show |
10* Austin FC (MLS GOM) Ultimately we feel that Austin FC should/could in fact be a much larger favorite in this spot. The home side will be looking to get out to a quick start this season after last year's disappointment, winning once in its last 11 games and finishing 12th in the Western Conference. Minnesota only finished two points ahead of Austin, and it was terrible on the road. It also struggled in the off-season, winning just once in four games. Seven of Austin's ten wins last year came at home and at this price, we feel we're getting fantastic line value; lay the price with confidence with Austin in regulation! AAA Sports |
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02-24-24 | Magic v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
10* Pistons (EAST-CONF GOW) This one just sets up really for Detroit in a lot of ways. Outright win? Possibly, but in a contest that we do see being extremely competitive until the final horn sounds, are recommendation for this contest will be to grab as many points as you can. Orlando is 31-25, but just 13-17 on the road. Detroit is 8-47 overall, and only 4-23 SU at home. But the Pistons are 13-14 ATS. Regardless, after B2B victories, including a 116-109 win at Cleveland as a 5.5-point dog last time out, we're expecting Orlando to have a letdown here, while also getting caught "looking ahead" to its much more high-profile game at Atlanta tomorrow night. The Pistons play with the added incentive of "revenge" as well after falling 111-99 to Orlando earlier. The Pistons have lost four straight SU, and three straight ATS, but note that Detroit is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Grab the points, the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports |
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02-24-24 | Boston College v. NC State UNDER 149.5 | Top | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
10* BC/NC State UNDER (ACC TOM) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one is just a great "situational" play. We're primarily situational handicappers, and we're also contrarian at heart. This particular play definitely falls right into our "wheel house." Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring battle here between these two hungry sides. BC is 15-11 overall, but just 4-5 on the road, while NC State is 16-10 overall, including 11-4 at home. BC is off an 84-76 loss at FSU and it's now seen the total go "over" in three straight. Note thought that the Eagles have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. They lost 84-78 in OT at home to the Wolfpack, and note as well that BC has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. NC State is off an 87-73 home loss to Syracuse as a seven-point fav, and note that the Wolfpack have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite. With each side doubling down defensively like we suspect, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-24-24 | Burnley v. Crystal Palace +100 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
10* Crystal Palace (EPL GOW) Crystal Palace needs a win here after going winless in its last three league outings. Last time out it played to a 1-1 draw with Everton. But here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as the visitors are winless in their last eight games and enter off a pathetic 5-0 home loss to Arsenal last weekend. CP is in 15th, while Burnley is in 15th. Palace matches up well in this as it scored the 2-0 away win in the reverse fixture in November. We're expecting a similar outcome here; lay the price, the play is indeed on Crystal Palace! AAA Sports |
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02-23-24 | Bucks +4 v. Wolves | Top | 112-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
10* Bucks (ASSASSIN) The Bucks are 35-21, including 12-14 on the road, while Minnesota is 39-16, including 19-5 at home. The Bucks come into the second half ready to get back on track after a tumultuous first. Regardless, they play with revenge here after a 129-105 loss at home to Minnesota back in early February, and note that the Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Wolves went into the break on the heels of four straight wins, but we say the break came at the wrong time for the home side. Rest = rust in its case. But it's going to be beneficial for the beleaguered Bucks, who we feel have a legit shot at winning this one outright; that said, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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02-23-24 | Wild v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 110 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wild/Oilers (WEST-CONF NON-DIV TOM) This is a great "situational" play. This one sets up well to be a lower-scoring defensive battle in our opinion. Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring battles of late, but the overall situation that each team finds itself coming into this one, combined with some strong supporting O/U ATS stats, does all point to this evening's contest being a much more defensive battle. Minnesota is just 26-24 after a 6-3 loss at Winnipeg last time out. Previous to that it beat Vancouver 10-7. But with a contest at Seattle tomorrow night, we see the visiting side playing a more defensive "trap" style of contest this evening, so as to be able to reserve some gas for tomorrow night's difficult affair. The Wild play with revenge as well after a high-scoring 4-3 loss at Edmonton in December. After their 6-5 OT home loss to the Oilers, the Bruins have seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but that's also significant for us to take note of, as Boston has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-23-24 | St. Peter's v. Mt. St. Mary's -2.5 | Top | 70-65 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
10* Mount St. Mary's (MAAC GOM) We love the way this one sets up for the home side. This spread should be a lot larger for the revenge-minded home side. The Mountaineers are 11-15, while Saint Peter's is 13-11. The Peacocks are off a 59-53 road win at Iona as seven-point dogs, but note that Saint Peter's is in fact just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS conference road win as an underdog. the Mountaineers return home off two straight road losses, but they play with revenge after a 70-64 loss at Saint Peter's back in early January, and that's definitely significant for us to take note of here as well as the Mountaineers are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent; lay the short points with confidence, the play is Mount St. Mary's! AAA Sports |
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02-22-24 | Wizards v. Nuggets -15 | Top | 110-130 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (NON-CONF GOW) With the second half now underway, we're expecting the rested defending champs to send a message to the rest of the league that they're still the "big dog" in town. Washington is just 9-45 overall, including 6-22 on the road. Amazingly the Wizards though are 18-8-2 ATS away from friendly confines, as they've consistently been undervalued over the first half. But we're not buying it here. Denver is 21-5 SU at home. The Nuggets went into the break on the heels of three straight SU/ATS losses, but note that Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Look for the home side to make an example out of the Wizards, who we expect will throw in the white towel early as they prepare for their game at Oklahoma City tomorrow night; lay the points, the play is DENVER. AAA Sports |
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02-22-24 | Bruins v. Flames UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bruins/Flames (ASSASSIN) This is a great situational play. The Bruins have played three straight extra-period games, and gone 2-1 in the process. All three games went "over" the number, but note that Boston has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. One of those wins came just last night in a tough 6-5 OT win at Edmonton. Now playing the second game of the B2B here, we're absolutely expecting fatigue to be an issue. Boston actually plays with revenge as well after a 4-1 loss at home to Calgary at the start of the month. The Flames snapped a three-game slide with a 6-3 win over Winnipeg here last time out, but we're for sure expecting a more methodical pace here with Boston in town; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-22-24 | Sam Houston State v. New Mexico State +1.5 | Top | 79-58 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* New Mexico State (CONF-USA GOM) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one sets up well from a situational stand point. These teams are fairly evenly matched, but New MExico State has a clear "home court" advantage here, while also playing with the "revenge factor." Those two big factors working in favor of the home side will prove to be the difference in our opinion. Sam Houston State is 15-11, but only 4-9 on the road, while New Mexico State is just 11-15 overall, but 11-1 at home. The Aggeis play with revenge after a 79-67 SU/ATS road loss at Sam Houston State back in late January, and note that New Mexico State is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent; for all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on New Mexico State! AAA Sports |
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02-21-24 | Bruins v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -116 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bruins/Oilers (NON-CONF TOM) These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a lower-scoring affair this time around in our opinion. Boston is 33-12-9-2, including 15-5-5-1 on the road, while Edmonton is 33-18-1-0 overall, including 17-6-1-0 at home. The Bruins just snapped a four-game slide with a 4-3 shootout win over Dallas, but with a game tomorrow night in Calgary, we expect the visiting side to play a more conservative defensive affair this evening. Edmonton has won two in a row. It's seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but that's definitely significant for us to take note of here as the Oilers have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. With each team doubling-down on the defensive end like we suspect tonight, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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02-21-24 | Illinois v. Penn State +7.5 | Top | 89-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
10* Penn State (BIG TEN GOW) We base our picks on many different things and this particular one just sets up really well for the hungry home side in our opinion. Illinois is 19-6 overall, while Penn State is just 12-14. But the Illini have looked really pedestrian on the road as they're just 4-4 straight up away from friendly confines. The Nittany Lions on the other hand Lenny are 9-4 in front of the home town crowd. Illinois is poor on the road, and Penn State is quite good at home. Also note that this is a big game for the Nittany Lions aside from needing to stop a three-game slide, most recently a 68-49 setback at Nebraska, as the men's basketball team will return to Rec hall in University Park Pennsylvania for the first time since December 2015. So they're out of the Bryce Jordan Center and back in the 6,502-seat bandbox and we believe it will for sure provide an extra boost for the home side here in this one. One of the reasons why the Nittany Lions are getting so many points here at home is that Coach Mike Rhoades announced on Monday that leading scorer Kanye Clary is off the team due to a coach's decision, but note that the Nittany Lions have responded well in this spot for bettors, as they're 8-2 against the spread in their last ten after a SU/ATS conference loss in which they were held to 50 or fewer points in. So here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against as this Illinois defense has conceded 83, 73, 96, 75, 88 and 80 points in six Big ten Road games this year. While we do think an outrigtht win is possible, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Penn State! AAA Sports |
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02-21-24 | St Bonaventure v. La Salle UNDER 145.5 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saint Bonaventure/La Salle (A-10 TOY) This is a great "situational" play, which is backed by some strong supporting O/U ATS trends, and all of these factors collide here and make this play strong enough to become our one and only A-10 TOY. Saint Bonaventure is 16-9 overall, but just 4-4 on the road, while La Salle is 12-14 overall, including 8-6 at home. The Bonnies have won two straight, most recently holding on for an 81-80 OT thriller at home over Davidson. St. Bonaventure has now seen the total fly "over" the number in five straight, but that's signficant for us to take note of here, as the Bonnies have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. La Salle just snapped a five-game losing streak with an 82-81 win over UMass as a six-point dog, but note that the Explorers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS conference victory as an underdog. The overall situation that each team finds itself coming into this one, combined with the above listed trends, does indeed make the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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02-20-24 | Butler v. Villanova -6 | Top | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
10* Villanova (ASSASSIN) As primarily a situational cappers, this one falls right into our wheel house. The Wildcats have a lot working in their favor here, and there's actually more money on Butler in fact, or there was in the early going, so that also appeals to our contrarian side. But these teams are moving in opposite directions now over the last three weeks, and the Wildcats also play with revenge here after an 88-81 OT loss at Butler as 1.5-point dogs in late January. These teams have very similar overall win/loss records, but when you look a little closer at their numbers, we find that the Wildcats also enjoy more advantages in this position. Butler is 16-10 overall, while Villanova is just 14-11. The Bulldogs though are only 3-5 straight up and 4-4 against the spread on the road. The Wildcats are 8-4 straight up at home and 7-5 against the spread, so Villanova does enjoy the home court advantage here as well. So that's two really strong factors there, the revenge factor, coupled with the documented home court advantage here where Butler has definitely struggled on the road. And then you have to look at "current form;" Butler's lost two straight, both against good teams mind you and they were both dogs in each, falling 78-72 to Marquette and 79-57 to Creighton, but Villanova has won two straight, beating Seton Hall here 80-54 before then downing the Hoyas 70-54 in Georgetown. The Wildcats looked good last time out on both ends of the floor, they were led by 14 points from TJ Bamba, but it was the defense that stole the show, going on to hold its fourth straight opponent to less than 60 points. Conversely, in their most recent loss the Bulldogs missed 14 of their final 15 shots from 3-point range. Clearly they're a well coached team under Thad Matta, but now they're going to face another red hot defense that's capable of stopping the three-point ball as well (and which plays with revenge and the home court advantage!) We expect Villanova to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports |
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02-19-24 | Southern v. Texas Southern | Top | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
10* TEXAS SOUTHERN (SWAC GOY) Here is a great "situational" play. Clearly, with a spread like this the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched, and for the most part they really are, but there are significant situational factors working in favor of the home side that swings the pendulum to its side. Southern is 16-9, but only 6-9 on the road. Texas Southern is only 9-14 overall, but 4-3 at home. Off B2B losses and three straight ATS losses, the Tigers will be risking life and limb to get back into the win column tonight, and note that Texas Southern is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. The Tigers also play with revenge after a 58-51 loss at Southern in January. The Jaguars have won seven straight SU, but now everything finally points to a letdown here in this difficult road venue in our opinion; lay the short points, the play is on Texas Southern! AAA Sports |
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02-19-24 | Florida A&M v. Alcorn State OVER 138 | Top | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER FAMU/Alcorn State (SWAC TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now finally anticipating much more of a wide-open "shootout" here between these conference rivals on Monday night. FAMU is just 4-19, including only 2-12 on the road, while Alcorn State is only a slightly better 8-17 overall, including 3-3 at home. This is a game that each side will believe that it can actually win, and because of that, we're definitely expecting a faster-paced, wide-open affair. FAMU has lost five straight, but note that the Rattlers have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after five or more straight losses in a row. They play with revenge as well after a 76-67 home loss to Alcorn State as 2.5-point dogs back in January, and note that the Rattlers have seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. The Braves are coming off three straight SU/ATS victories, with all three games going "under" the number. That's also significant for us to take note of though, as Alcorn State has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This total is low in our opinion, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-19-24 | Red Wings v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
10* OVER Wings/Kraken (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a wide-open offensive battle here on Monday in our opinion. The Wings are 28-20-6-0 overall, including 13-12-1-0 on the road, while the Kraken are 23-21-6-4, including 11-9-3-1 at home. Detroit snapped a two-game slide with a 5-0 win at Calgary last time out. It's seen the total go "under" in two straight. The Wings lost to Seattle 5-4 in OT at the start of the season, but note that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Seattle has snapped a three-game slide by winning two straight, most recent a 4-1 upset at Boston. That was three nights ago. Note that Seattle has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four after playing with three or more nights of rest. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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02-18-24 | Utah +3 v. UCLA | Top | 70-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
10* Utah (PAC 12 GOY) Just a great situational play here, and while we do think the outright win is a very real possibilty, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Utah is 15-9, including only 1-6 on the road, while UCLA is 14-11 overall, including 8-4 at home. Off three straight SU/ATS losses in a row though, we're expecting the visiting side to risk life and limb here. Utah annihilated UCLA 90-44 at home back in January, as this is just a bad matchup for the home side. And with nearly 70% of the early public money on the home side, we're definitely going full on "contrarian" for this matchup. Note as well that the Utes are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. UCLA is off six straight SU wins and five straight ATS victories, but note that the Bruins are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after five or more ATS victories in a row. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Utah! AAA Sports |
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02-18-24 | Rangers v. Islanders +1.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
8* Islanders puckline (DESTRUCTION) Neither team has a home ice advantage here, as this game is being played in MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. The Isles are 22-18-13, while the Rangers are 35-16-3. New York has won six straight, but the Isles won't be rolling over here. The Isles come in desperate to snap a two-game slide are a 2-1 shootout loss to Seattle last time out. This is the first game of the year between the clubs and we're expecting a competitive battle till the end; lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance! AAA Sports |
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02-18-24 | Murray State v. Drake UNDER 140.5 | Top | 72-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Murray State/Drake (MISSOURI VALLEY TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games lately, but all signs point to much more of a defensive battle here finally in our opinion. Murray State is 11-15, including 4-6 on the road, while Drake is 21-5, including 13-0 at home. The Racers won't be rolling over here despite being a big dog, as they come in off B2B convincing victories, most recently an 82-72 win over Missouri State (note though that Murray State has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) Drake has won three straight, with two of the three games flying "over" the number, but note that the Bulldogs have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after three or more SU victories in a row. We think Murray State will do everything it can to slow down the pace of this one; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-17-24 | Hurricanes v. Golden Knights -105 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10* Knights (ASSASSIN) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one is based upon what we believe to be fantastic "line value" for the home side in this spot, and on "common sense." We had a free play on the Hurricanes on the puckline in their 5-1 win in Arizona last night, but now fatigue will clearly be a factor for the visitors on the second game of the B2B scenario. With a long home stretch after this, we say the visitors get caught "looking ahead." And it's Vegas that plays with revenge after a 6-3 loss at Carolina in December. Considering all of these factors, we do indeed feel this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Las Vegas! AAA Sports |
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02-17-24 | Florida International +14.5 v. Louisiana Tech | Top | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
10* FIU (CONF-USA GOY) With nearly 70% of the early public money on Lousiana Tech, we're going the other way on this one and going full-on contrarian. That's note the only reason we think that FIU can keep this one within striking distance until the final buzzer. FIU is 8-17 overall, including just 1-9 on the road, while Louisiana Tech is 17-8 overall, including 12-1 at home. The Panthers play with revenge after a humbling 93-53 home loss to Louisiana Tech at the start of the months, and note that FIU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. The Bulldogs just snapped a two-game slide with a tough 63-58 win over Jacksonville State as 11-point favorites, and we're predicting them having a very difficult time again here today in covering such a large spread. For all the reasons listed above, the play is FIU! AAA Sports |
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02-17-24 | Chelsea v. Manchester City UNDER 3.25 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chelseas/Man City. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring "under" on Saturday afternoon in our opinion. Chelsea is in tenth, and Man City is second. Last weekend the Blues won 3-1, but we expect they'll be in for a "war of attrition" this weekend. The home side got past FC Copenhagen 3-1 in Champions League this week, and while confident, we don't anticipate a wide-open affair, as City will be cautious here in this spot vs. the Blues. With each side waiting for the other to make the first mistake, all signs point to this one staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-16-24 | Villanova v. Georgetown +10.5 | Top | 70-54 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
10* Georgetown (BIG EAST GOM) This one sets up great from a situational stand point for the home side in our opinion. Villanova is 13-11 overall, but just 2-6 on the road. Georgetown is only 8-16 overall, but it's a slightly better 7-8 in front of the home town crowd. The Hoyas have lost nine straight. In each game they've been a sizeable dog. That's the case again here, but now we feel this spread is TOO large. Villanova has been trading wins and losses over its last four games and off a big 80-54 home win over Seton Hall as a six-point favorite, we think the Wildcats will once again have their hands full away from friendly confines. Yes, Villanova is the better team here, but this is a bad spot for it facing this now desperate Hoyas side. And with a home game vs. Butler up next, not only is this a potential letdown spot for the visitors, but also a "look ahead." As stated off the top, a great situational play here on the Hoyas with the points! AAA Sports |
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02-15-24 | Portland +6.5 v. San Diego | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* Portland (WEST COAST GOY) Here's a great situational play, and while we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to the visitors taking this one "right down to the wire." Portland is 9-17, including 2-9 on the road, while San Diego is 15-11, including 10-5 at home. The Torreros have won three straight. They've covered in six straight. The general betting public is clearly very quick to back the home side here, but we'll go full on contrarian and go the other way. And with Santa Clara coming to town next, not only is this a potential letdown spot, but perhaps also a "look ahead" position as well. And when you add those two factors together you get "trap game!" Portland plays with revenge as well after an 85-81 home loss to San Diego on January 23rd. In what we anticpate will be a similar competitive battle, we're grabbing the points; the play is Portland! AAA Sports |
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02-15-24 | Warriors -130 v. Jazz | Top | 140-137 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
10* Warriors (ASSASSIN) This is a great situational play. We're situational cappers at heart. We're also contrarian by nature, and with nearly 70% of the early public money on the home side, we're going full on contrarian with this one. The Warriors had won five straight unitl last night's 130-125 loss to the Clippers. They have a lot of ground to make up and can't take the foot off the gas here in this favorable position. They beat the Jazz here 129-107 just three nights ago. This is just a bad matchup for Utah, which enters off three straight losses now after last night's 138-122 loss here to the Lakers. Look for the more talented team to pull away down the stretch for the win and cover in this one; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Golden State! AAA Sports |
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02-15-24 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs -136 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
10* Leafs (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing well, but this one favors the home side in our opinion. Philly has won four straight, but with a neutral site game vs. the Devils up next, we say the visitors definitely get caught "looking ahead" here. Toronto plays Philadelphia for the first time tonight, and we expect it to come in focused on the task at hand. The Leafs are off a 4-1 win here over St. Louis, and we predict a similar outcome in this one as well; lay the price with confidence, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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02-14-24 | Wild -117 v. Coyotes | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
10* Wild (ASSASSIN) The Wild are playing well right now, having won three straight. We say that momentum gets carried over here. They also play with revenge after a 6-0 loss at home to Arizona just last month, and note that the Wild are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Arizona has lost six straight and is going to lose another here to this red hot Wild side. All things considered, we feel this to be the very definition of "great line value;" lay the price, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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02-14-24 | Spurs +11 v. Mavs | Top | 93-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
10* Spurs (REVENGE ASSASSIN) We think the Spurs will hang around late and make this one interesting. San Antonio just snapped a lengthy slide with a 122-99 win at Toronto and we think it'll keep that confidence and momentum rolling here. They play with revenge after a 144-119 loss here on December 23rd, and note that the Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. Dallas has won five straight, but with the All-Star break right after this, we say the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half and gets caught "looking ahead," grab the points, the play is San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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02-14-24 | Presbyterian +10.5 v. North Carolina-Asheville | Top | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
10* Presbyterian (BIG SOUTH GOY) We base our picks on many different things. Many different methodologies are employed daily. This particular one is an unreal "situational" play in our opinion. Presbyterian is 12-14, including just 4-7 on the road, while UNC Asheville is 17-9, including 10-1 at home. The Blue Hose though have quietly been playing their best basketball of the season, and we expect that momentum to get carried over here another game, having won three of their last four and covered in four straight! They play with revenge as well after falling 84-80 at home to UNC Asheville back on January 6th, and note that the Hose are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a conference home loss vs. an opponent. No outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Presbyterian! AAA Sports |
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02-13-24 | Air Force +3.5 v. San Jose State | Top | 66-73 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
10* Air Force (TOP CONTRARIAN) While we clearly feel the outright win is possible, in the end our official call here will be to grab as many points as you can between these evenly matched sides. This is one of, if not the biggest contrarian play on the board with nearly 80% of the early public money on the home side. That raises red flags for us here, as we do definitely feel that SJSU is overvalued in this spot. Air Force has been competitive on the road this year as evidenced by its 5-4 ATS road record. In comparison, the Trojans are 4-6 ATS at home. SJSU won this game 70-67 as a 1.5-point dog on the road last month, and now the visitors have a chance for some sweet redemption. As stated off the top, the outright is clearly possible, but in the end let's grab the points with the revenge-minded visitors; the play is indeed on Air Force! AAA Sports |
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02-13-24 | Heat +8.5 v. Bucks | Top | 123-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Heat (ASSASSIN) Milwaukee is 35-19, including 23-6 at home, while Miami is 28-25 overall, including 13-12 on the road. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the home side, we're going full on contrarian here for sure and going the other way. The Bucks are off B2B quality victories, including a 112-95 win here just last night vs. the defending champs, and all signs point to a predictable letdown here in the second game of the B2B scenario in our opinion. Note as well that Milwaukee is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS home victory in which it held its opponent to 95 or fewer points in as well. The Heat play with revenge as well after a 131-124 SU/ATS home loss back in November, and note that Miami is a solid 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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02-13-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Islanders -150 | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
8* Islanders (DESTRUCTION) Here's a great "situational" play. No need to overthink this one. In fact, we feel that New York could/should in fact be a much larger fav in this spot. Seattle is off a 3-1 loss at New Jersey just last night. Clearly fatigue will be a factor for the visitors. New York Plays with revenge after a 4-3 shootout loss in Seattle at the start of the season. The Isles have had two whole nights off to absorb a lacklustre 5-2 loss here to Calgary, but they won't be overlooking this Pacific division opponent this evening; lay the price, the play is indeed on New York! AAA Sports |
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02-12-24 | Knicks v. Rockets OVER 220.5 | Top | 103-105 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER Knicks/Rockets (NON-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring contests, but everything finally points to more of a wide-open shootout here in our opinion between these non-conference opponents on Monday night. The Knicks are 33-20, including 14-12 on the road, while Houston is 23-29, including 18-9 at home. The Knicks will be eager to get back on track after back-to-back home losses. Both games went "over" the number. But it's Houston that plays with revenge after a 109-94 loss in the Big Apple in mid-January, and note that the Rockets have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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02-12-24 | Coyotes v. Flyers OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Coyotes/Flyers (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a wide-open "shootout" here between these non-conference opponents on Monday night in our opinon. Arizona is 23-23-4-0, including just 8-13-4-0 on the road, while Philadelphia is 28-19-4-2 overall, but only 13-12-1-1 at home. The Coyotes have lost five straight. They're off a tough 5-4 OT loss at Nashville last time out, but we can expect that offensive momentum to be carried over here. Philly has won three straight, and it's also seen the total go "under" in three straight. That's significant to note however, as Philly has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team opening things up from the "get go," all signs point to this total flying well "over" the posted number before the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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02-12-24 | Lehigh v. Bucknell UNDER 140 | Top | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lehigh/Bucknell. This is a fantastic "situational" play in our estimation. Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we feel that this particular battle here tonight will be a much tigher, and ultimatley lower-scoring affair here on Monday. These are two teams in need of a victory and we expect this great sense of competition to translate into a scrappy defensive-contest on the floor. Lehigh is 8-15 overall, including just 3-10 on the road, while Bucknell is a slightly better 10-15 overall, but only 4-7 at home. The Mountain Hawks are off a 94-90 OT win over Lafayette and we believe they'll still be fatigued here, so that definitely plays a big factor here. Bucknell actually upset Lehigh 86-80 on the road back in January, and note that the Mountain Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for the rematch to be a lower-scoring "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 270 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER 49ers/Chiefs (TOM) Two great offenses. Two great defenses. Honestly, it would not be difficult for us to write a convincing argument for this to be a high-scoring game, but for a number of different reasons we are expecting Super Bowl 58 to be a very defensive affair. San Francisco averages 28.9 PPG, which ranks third, while allowing 17.5, which ranks third as well. Kansas City only averages 21.8 PPG though, which is 15th overall. The big news for the Chiefs in the postseason and throughout the regular season as well though has been their tough defensive play, as they enter the big game conceding 17.3, ranked second in the league. Despite having Patrick Mahomes under center, the last thing that KC wants to do here is to turn this into a "track meet" with the hungry 49ers. Instead they'll look to suffocate this offense and control the clock. Mahomes won't feel nearly as much pressure as his counterpart and should expertly be able to "control" the pace of this one. In our opinion Super Bowl 58 will be decided in the trenches and by field position and in a contest like that, the "under" becomes the savvy call as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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02-11-24 | Celtics v. Heat +6 | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
10* Heat (ASSASSIN) The Heat are on fire right now and we think they have a legit shot at winning this game outright afte rwinning four of their last five. They play with revenge as well after a humbling 143-110 loss here at home to Boston a couple weeks ago as 8.5-point dogs, and note that the Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Boston has won three straight, but with a home and home set with the Nets upcoming, we think they also get caught looking ahead here; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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02-11-24 | UAB v. Tulsa +3.5 | Top | 70-63 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (SUPERBOWL BANKROLL BUILDER) While we do think an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can here. UAB is 15-8, but only 4-4 on the road. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the Blazers, we're definitely going full on contrarian here. UAB is probably the better overall team here vs. 12-10 Tulsa, but note that the Golden Hurricane are 11-3 at home. Tulsa comes in under the radar here after back-to-back losses, but super hungry to get untracked and we think this is the perfect opponent to do that against, as the Blazers have struggled at times on the road already this season. UAB is off a tough 76-73 OT win over FAU as a 5.5-point dog, and note that the Blazers are in fact just 1-4 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS conference win as a dog. Grab the points, the play is indeed on Tulsa! AAA Sports |
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02-10-24 | Oilers v. Kings +110 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* Kings (REVENGE ASSASSIN) LA plays for the first time since the break. It plays with revenge after a 3-2 shootout loss here to the Oilers in December, and note that the Kings are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Edmonton is off the 5-3 win just last night at Anaheim, and we believe the visitors will be predictably fatigued; great overall line value here on LA! AAA Sports |
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02-10-24 | USC +2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 68-99 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
10* USC (BAIL-OUT) While clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can in this one. With nearly 65% of the early public money on the home side, we're pulling a full on contrarian here. USC is 9-14 overall, including just 1-7 on the road, while Stanford is 11-11 overall, and 8-4 at home. The Trojans are off an 83-77 OT loss at Cal, but beat Stanford 93-79 the last time these teams faced off. The Cardinal have lost two straight, including an 82-74 setback here to UCLA as 4.5-point favorites last time out. The home side is the one overvalued here, as we expect the hungry Trojans to pull off the minor upset here on the road in what we feel is a very favorable matchup for them; grab the points, the play is USC! AAA Sports |
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02-10-24 | Spurs +5.5 v. Nets | Top | 103-123 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
10* Spurs (TOP CONTRARIAN) Outright win?! Anything is possible, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as possible. The Spurs are terrible obviously. They're off a 127-111 loss at Orlando. That's three straight ATS setbacks, but note that San Antonio is in fact 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Brooklyn is off three straight SU/ATS losses as well, most recently falling 118-95 to the Cavaliers. This is a game that the Spurs can legit win outright, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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02-10-24 | NC State +8 v. Wake Forest | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
10* NC State (ACC GOM) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opionion. Wake Forest is 15-7, but 12-0 at home. It's now overvalued here though in our opinion. NC State is 15-8, but only 3-3 on the road. NC State beat Wake 83-76 at home in mid January and we're expecting another "nail-biter" here; grab the points, the play is NC State! AAA Sports |
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02-10-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Tottenham Hotspur -120 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 43 h 12 m | Show |
10* EPL GOY on Tottenham. Tottenham is tough to beat at home. Espcially in EPL action. The Hotspurs have won four straight in front of the home town crowd in league play and we're expecting that streak to continue here. Tottenham played to a disappointing 2-2 draw with Everton last weekend, while Brighton won 4-1 over M23 derby foe Crystal Palace. Tottenham is now in fifth, just two points behind the Lions, so that puts added importance onto this week's contest. Yes they haven't kept a clean home sheet since October, but they've produced four straight outright wins at home, and nothing is going to change here vs. the Seagulls. Brighton ranks eighth and while Europe is still a possibility, we say it's in well over its head here; lay the price for Tottenham to deliver at home in regulation! AAA Sports |
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02-09-24 | Penguins v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER Pens/Wild (NON-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a wide-open shootout in our opinion here in Minnesota on Friday night. Pittsburgh has seen the total go "under" in three straight after its most recent 3-0 win, but note that the Pens have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Minnesota snapped a two-game slide with a 2-1 win at Chicago last time out and it's also seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is also significant for us to take note of, as Minnesota has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-09-24 | San Diego State +2.5 v. Nevada | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10* SDSU (TOP CONTRARIAN) With nearly 70% of the early public money on Nevada, this one is simple for us here on Friday night, as this opportunity falls directly into our "wheelhouse." Both teams are 18-5 and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these hungry and talented sides has its hands on the ball last, we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. SDSU beat Nevada 71-59 at home in mid-January and this is simply a terrible matchup for the Wolfpack. Consider "sprinkling" a little on the ML, but the official call is to indeed grab as many points as you can with SDSU! AAA Sports |
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02-09-24 | Hawks v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 127-121 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
10* 76ers (SHOCKER) The 76ers continue to try and adjust to life without star center Joel Embiid, but this particular matchup now definitely favors Philly in our opinion. The Hawks are just 10-15 on the road, while the 76ers are 17-9 at home. Atlatna is off two straight losses and with a home game vs. lowly Houston tomorrow, we believe the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Philly plays with revenge after a 139-132 OT loss as a favorite on the road back in January to the Hawks, and note that the 76ers are in fact a wallet-expanding 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. While we think the outright victory is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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02-08-24 | Nuggets v. Lakers +3.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) With nearly 75% of the early public money on the visitors, we'll go full on contrarian here and go the other way with the hungry home side. Denver is 35-16, but a much more pedestrian 14-12 on the road. The Lakers are 28-25 overall, but 18-8 at home. LA returns home from a 4-2 road trip, including winning three straight to close out. With two days rest and playing with revenge after a 119-107 road loss in Denver at the start of the year, we love the way this one sets up for the revenge-minded home side. Denver is off two straight home wins over lowly Portland, but its last road excursion resulted in a 105-100 loss at OKC. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is indeed on LA! AAA Sports |
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02-08-24 | Avalanche v. Hurricanes -129 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
10* Hurricanes (REVENGE ASSASSIN) Both teams need a win here after starting the second half winless. Colorado is 0-2, while Carolina is 0-1. Colorado hasn't been great on the road this year, it fell 2-1 in OT at New York, before then falling 5-3 at New Jersey the following night. With games at Florida and Washington on the horizon, the visitors get caught looking ahead as well. Carolina lost 3-2 at home to a red hot Vancouver team. It plays with revenge here though after a 6-4 loss at Colorado at the start of the season. Look for home ice advantage to prove to be the difference-maker in this one and lay the reasonable price with confidence on the revenge-minded Hurricanes! AAA Sports |
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02-08-24 | Drexel +3.5 v. NC-Wilmington | Top | 56-75 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Drexel (CAA DOG OF MONTH) Drexel is 15-8, but just 5-7 on the road, while UNC Wilmington is 16-6 overall, including a perfect 7-0 at home. The Seahawks managed a win last time out in a 77-74 victory over Campbell, but didn't even come close to covering the large 14-point spread. And now here they are having to cover another number which we feel is definitely too large as well. Drexel is 1-2 SU in its last three and 0-3 ATS, but note that the Dragons are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these evenly-matched sides has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points with Drexel! AAA Sports |
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02-07-24 | Wild v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* OVER Wild/Hawks (CENTRAL DIVISION TOY) The second half of the NHL season is now underway and here's a great situational play in our opinion, as we think the stage is set for these hungry sides to open things up and play to a high-scoring shootout once it's all said and done. Both teams went into the break on losing streaks. The Wild lost 3-2 to Nashville and 3-2 to the Ducks. Clearly at 21-23, the Wild have a lot of work to do in the second half. The Blackhawks are already out of contention at 14-34 and they also enter the second half on a losing streak as they went into the break on four straight losses (including getting shutout in back-to-back games in Edmonton and Calgary.) But with the extra time off to prepare and find their legs, we think this faster paced affair will go OVER the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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02-07-24 | Cavs v. Wizards +11.5 | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
10* Wizards (REVENGE TOP) Outright win?! We're not calling for that, but all signs do indeed point to contest being much more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion. The Cavaliers are 32-16, including 14-8 on the road, while Washington is 9-40, including just 3-21 at home. the Cavaliers have won six straight, but with a game at Brooklyn tomorrow night, we expect the visitors to take the foot off the gas in the second half. And the revenge-minded Wiz, who fell 114-90 at Cleveland in January, will look to take advantage. Note that Washington is 7-3 (70%) ATS in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. A great situational play here on Washington! AAA Sports |
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02-07-24 | Wisconsin v. Michigan +5.5 | Top | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
10* Michigan (BIG TEN GOM) Neither team has been playing great of late, but we think there are enough factors working in favor of the Wolverines here to pull off the cover at home here on Wednesday night. The Badgers are the better team for sure in this battle overall, but Wisconsin is playing poorly right now. It's 16-6 overall, but it's just 3-4 on the road. It's coming off back-to-back losses and now will have its hands full with this 7-15 Michigan side that's 4-7 at home after a 69-59 home loss to Rutgers last time out. That's five straight straight-up and against the spread losses for the Wolverines, but that's significant to note because Michigan has in fact responded really well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 against the spread in its last nine after five or more straight up and against the spread losses in a row. The Wolverines have a good offense still and we think that'll be a difference maker in this one as Michigan enters averaging 77 points per game. Wisconsin is decent defensively, allowing just 67.8 points per game, but as outlined at the start, this Badgers team isn't nearly as good on the road as at home. And that's going to be the case here we think as well facing this hungry and motivated home side. One other thing which swings the pendulum in Michigan's favor here is that the Wolverines for sure benefit from having their dynamic sophomore point guard Dug McDaniel available for this game. McDaniel is serving a six-game road suspension for academic problems and he's the Wolverines' leading scorer at 16.8 PPG. This one has all the makings of a "nail biter;" grab the points, the play is indeed on the Wolverines! AAA Sports |
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02-06-24 | Oilers v. Golden Knights +127 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 127 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* Las Vegas (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Yes, the Oilers went into the break as the hottest team in the NHL, and yes, Edmonton has enjoyed plenty of success here against the Knights in the past, but we still feel we're getting great value on Las Vegas in this matchup, which clearly won't be just "rolling over" here. Rest has a way of leading to rust. We say that the break will for sure break the momentum that Edmonton has before the All Star game. That's not to say that we think the Oilers are going to completely fall off the map and go on an epic losing streak now or anything, but for sure they have a target on their back to open the second half and we think the Knights are the correct call getting "plus money" at home here. All in all, fantastic line value on Las Vegas! AAA Sports |
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02-06-24 | Magic v. Heat OVER 212.5 | Top | 95-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER Magic/Heat (Southeast TOY) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to a "shootout" here between these two hungry division rivals in our opinion. Orlando is 27-23, including only 12-16 on the road, while Miami is 26-24, including a pedestrian 13-12 at home. We like betting on motivated teams when betting on "overs," and that's for sure the case here. The Magic are off three straight road wins after a 111-99 victory at Detroit last time out, but note that Orlando has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after a SU/ATS road victory in which it held its opponent to 99 or fewer points in. The Heat play with revenge after a humbling 105-87 loss at Orlando in January, and note that Miami has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace of this one like we expect, all signs do indeed point to the "over" as the savvy call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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02-06-24 | Rutgers v. Maryland OVER 128.5 | Top | 56-53 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Rutgers/Maryland (BIG TEN TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring affairs of late, but all signs finally point to much more of a wide-open "shootout" here on Tuesday in our opinion. Rutgers is 11-10, while Maryland is 13-9. The Scarlet Knights just snapped a three-game slide with a huge 69-59 win at Michigan as 4.5-point dogs, and note that Rutgers has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS conference road win as an underdog. Maryland has seen the total go "under" four straight now after its most recent 63-54 road loss at Michigan State, but note that the Terps have seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS conference road loss in which they were held to 55 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we expect, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-05-24 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Prairie View A&M UNDER 157.5 | Top | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
10* UNDER Arkansas-Pine Bluff/Prairie View A&M. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair here between these Conference rivals in our opinion on Monday night. Both teams really need a victory here, and we're expecting that sense of competition to translate into a very defensive affair. Akransas-Pine Bluff is 10-11 overall, including just 4-8 on the road, while Prairie View A&M is 8-13, including 4-2 at home. The Panthers have lost three of their last four, including an 80-69 loss here to Texas Southern last time out. While Prairie View A&M has now seen the total go "over" in four straight, note that the Panthers have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Golden Lions have won two straight. Both games went "over" the number. But with the home side doubling down on the defensive end like we expect, everything points to a much more methodical pace to this one than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-04-24 | Stanford v. Arizona -17 | Top | 71-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* Arizona (ATS BLOOD-BATH) We're expecting Arizona to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion, keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish. Stanford is 11-9, including 3-3 on the road, while Arizona is 16-5, including 11-0 at home. This is a third straight game for the Cardinal. They're off a 71-62 win at Arizona State, but with upcoming home games vs. UCLA and USC, this one sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the overmatched visiting side. Basically we're expecting the visitors to send up the white flag early, as they get prepared for back-to-back important home games. Arizona somehow lost to Stanford as well 100-82 as a 12.5-point favorite on December 31st, so the home side plays with the added incentive of revenge as well. Look for the Wildcats to shake off that New Year's hangover and at the same time, win and cover here tonight; lay the points, the play is indeed on Arizona! AAA Sports |
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02-04-24 | Clippers v. Heat +4.5 | Top | 103-95 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
10* Heat (ASSASSIN) The Clippers are a lot better this year than we thought they'd be at this point of the season. They're 32-15 overall, but just 13-11 on the road. They're 4-1 SU/ATS on their current road trip, but with a final road contest tomorrow in Atlanta, we're expecting the visitors to finally get caught "looking ahead." Miami comes in with momentum, off back-to-back wins and it plays with revenge as well after a 121-104 loss at LA on New Years day, and note that the Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent; grab the points, the play is indeed on Miami! AAA Sports |
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02-04-24 | Youngstown State v. IUPU Ft Wayne +5.5 | Top | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
10* Purdue Fort Wayne (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM) While we do feel an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Youngstown State is a fantastic 17-6 overall, but a much more pedestrian 6-5 away from friendly confines. PFW is 14-8 overall, but 8-3 at home. The Penguins enter complacent after four straight wins and seven straight covers. PFW though is looking to break a string of poor play, losing four of its last five, including a 68-65 loss here to Milwaukee as a 3.5-point favorite last time out. Note though that the Mastadons have responded well in this spot for bettors by going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points with Purdue Fort Wayne! AAA Sports |
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02-03-24 | Lakers +4.5 v. Knicks | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) While we do feel an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with the visiting side. LA is 26-25 now after its upset 114-105 road win as a 15-point dog last time out. LBJ and AD both sat that one out, but are expected to play here. LA plays with revenge as well after a 114-105 home loss to the Knicks back in December, and note that the Lakers are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. After nine straight SU wins, the Knicks now have a big target on their backs. While we do feel an outright upset is a possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab the points here with LA! AAA Sports |
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02-03-24 | Mississippi State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 67-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
10* Mississippi State (SEC GOY) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright victory, everything does indeed point to a much tighter contest here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion, so will therefore be recommending to grab as many points as you can. Mississippi State is 14-6, while Alabama is 15-6. Alabama had to rally for its last win over Georgia, eventually pulling away for the 85-76 victory, but we feel that the Tide are now overvalued in this particular matchup. The Bulldogs on the other hand are hungry for an outright road win to help booster their NCAA chances. They're also hungry to atone for an 86-82 loss to Ole Miss, uncharacteristically turning the ball over 15 times, which was unfortunate, as it canceled out an overall sharp 53.6 percent collective field goal shooting effort. The visitors also play with revenge after falling 82-74 at home to Alabama back in January. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Mississippi State! AAA Sports |
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02-03-24 | Navy +11.5 v. Colgate | Top | 64-88 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
10* Navy (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOM) The bottom line here is that we love the way this one sets up for the visiting side. Navy is 8-12, including only 1-9 on the road. The Midshipmen come in "under the radar," but they won't be rolling over. Colgate is 14-8, including 7-2 at home, but after five straight SU/ATS victories in a row, we're expecting a small letdown here from the home side (and note that the Raiders are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more SU/ATS wins in a row.) With back-to-back road games upcoming, expect the home side to take the foot off the gas in the second half and then look for the hungry visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is indeed on Navy! AAA Sports |
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02-02-24 | Pelicans v. Spurs OVER 234.5 | Top | 114-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* OVER Pels/Spurs (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a wide-open offensive affair in this one in our opinion. The Pels are 27-21 overall, including 13-11 on the road, while the Spurs are 10-38 overall, including 5-19 at home. New Orleans is off the 110-99 win at Houston, snapping a three-game slide, but note that the Pels have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS road win in which they held their opponent to 99 or fewer points in. New Orleans beat the Spurs 146-110 in mid-December here in San Antonio and while we do think the home side will put up a much more competitive battle, we are in fact expecting a similar final combined score here once it's all said and done. With each side pushing the pace like we anticipate, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number! AAA Sports |
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02-02-24 | Siena +11.5 v. Rider | Top | 50-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
10* Sienna (MAAC GOY) While we're not calling for an outright win or anything, we do definitely feel that all the factors are in place for Sienna to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting. The Saints, 3-17 overall, including 1-8 on the road, obviously come in "under the radar" here. Sienna is off four straight SU losses and three straight ATS losses, but note that the Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Sienna won this game 67-65 as a 3.5-point dog at home on December 1st, and we're fully expecting another competitive battle here on the road. Rider is 4-3 at home, but the Broncs are just 7-13 overall. After back-to-back road wins/covers, we're expecting the home side to come in a bit complacent here and get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent. The numbers and the overall situation point to a very tight battle here between these conference opponents; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Saints! AAA Sports |
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02-02-24 | Columbia v. Harvard UNDER 151 | Top | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Columbia/Harvard (IVY LEAGUE TOM) Both sides have been involved in some higher-scoring "shootouts" out of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive battle here between these conference rivals in our estimation on Friday night. Columbia is 10-7 overall, including 2-5 on the road, while Harvard is 10-7 overall, including 6-3 at home. That's a stark contrast between winning and losing at home for each side. The Lions won't be rolling over here after snapping a three-game slide with an 84-81 win over Penn as 1.5-point dogs (note though that Columbia has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten off a SU/ATS conference home win as an underdog.) Harvard has lost three of its last four and it's seen the total go "over" in all three losses. That includes a 78-65 setback to Yale here last time out. With each team doubling down defensively like we're expecting, the "under" does indeed become the savvy call as far as the total is concerned in this one in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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02-01-24 | Pacers +3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 105-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
10* Pacers (EAST-CONF GOM) Here's a great situational play on Indiana. The Pacers are 27-22 overall. They're off a 129-124 road loss at Boston, covering with the eight-point spread. We're expecting another spirited effort on the road here as well in the Big Apple. Indiana beat New York 140-126 at home back on December 30th. But it's the Knicks that come in overvalued here by the oddsmakers in our estimation after eight straight SU wins and six straight ATS victories. With the Lakers coming to town next, we believe the home side also gets caught "looking ahead." Grab the points, the play is indeed on Indiana! AAA Sports |
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02-01-24 | Tulane v. SMU UNDER 157.5 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER Tulane/SMU (AAC TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating much more of a defensive affair here on Thursday night finally between these hungry conference rivals. Tulane is 12-8 overall, but only 2-3 on the road, while SMU is 13-6 overall, including 9-2 at home. The Green Wave won't be lacking for motivation here after back-to-back losses, most recently a 75-71 home setback to Charlotte as 3.5-point favs, but note that Tulane has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. SMU fans can empathize, as their team also enters off back-to-back losses, including a 77-72 loss at Wichita State as 5.5-point favorites last time out. But that's also important for us to take note of hee, as the Mustangs have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 off a SU/ATS conference road loss as favorites. With each team doubling down defensively like we expect, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the savvy call here as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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01-31-24 | Nuggets v. Thunder OVER 228 | Top | 100-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Denver/OKC (NORTHWEST DIV. TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to more of an offensive affair here in our opinion between these division rivals. OKC had won five in a row, but it's now coming off two straight losses. It's seen the total go "under" the number in three straight now after its most recent 107-101 loss to Minnesota, but that's significant to take note of here as the Thunder have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Denver plays with revenge after a 119-93 home loss in late December to the Thunder, and note that the Nuggets have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss in which they where held to 95 or fewer points in. Considering all of the above-listed factors, this O/U line is indeed a tad low; so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-31-24 | Senators v. Red Wings -115 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* Red Wings (BEST OF BEST) The final day of the first half of the 2023/24 NHL regular season with the All Star break after this and games not resuming until February 10th. Either way, we think that it's the Ottawa Senators who are in fact getting WAY too much respect from the oddsmakers in this one. Ottawa is 19-25-2-0 overall, including a terrible 6-13 on the road. It's just 9-10 on the puckline on the road, which means that most times it's not only losing when its away from friendly confines, it's losing in BLOWOUT fashion. Detroit on the other hand is 26-18-5-0 overall, including 14-8-4-0 at home. It's also 15-11 on the puckline at home, which again just shows that Detroit normally wins by a sizeable margin in front of the home town crowd. The Wings are off back-to-back quality wins, taking down Philadelphia here 3-0 before then smashing the Golden Knights 5-2. And finally, Detroit plays with the added incentive of REVENGE as it lost 5-1 here at home to Ottawa back in early December (and note that the Wings are in fact 3-1 in their last four in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. In our opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value," the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-31-24 | Alabama v. Georgia +6 | Top | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* Georgia (SEC GOW) Alabama is coming off two straight wins, including beating LSU 109-88 most recently. But both games were at home and the Tide are just 2-2 in true road games this season. Alabama has won eight of its last nine and it's back in the AP Top 25 poll for the first time since late November, but we think the Tide will have their hands full here against 14-6 Georgia, which is looking to bounce back after a 102-98 overtime loss to Floria on Saturday. But despite the setback the Bulldogs have been hot overall, winning 12 of their past 15. Last year the Bulldogs were humbled in this game falling 108-59, so they won't be forgetting that loss obviously. Georgia has been money in the bank at home this year, as so far it's 11-1 in front of the home town crowd. Everything is in place for an outright upset here, so you may want to consider "sprinkling a little" on the money line. That said, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Georgia! AAA Sports |
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01-30-24 | Wyoming v. Air Force UNDER 137.5 | Top | 83-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wyoming/Air Force (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a defensive affair here finally in our opinion between these conference rivals. After their most recent 84-70 loss at Fresno State, the Falcons have now seen the total eclipse the posted number in five straight, but that's significant for us to take note of here, as Air Force has in fact seen the total "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five of more straight "overs" in a row. Wyoming is off a high-scoring 79-76 OT win over Colorado State and it's now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight. But that's also important for us to take note of, as the Cowboys have seen the total "under" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. These two teams are in need of a victory here and we're expecting that sense of competition to lead to a very defensive, and ultimately lower-scoring affair; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-30-24 | Blue Jackets v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 104 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jackets/Blues (TOW) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair this time around in our opinion. Columbus has seen the total go "over" in three straight after its most recent 4-2 loss at Seatle, but note that the Jackets have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. the Blues have won five straight and theyv'e seen the total go "over" in four straight. St. Louis has played to three straight 4-3 OT victories, but everything now is pointing to this particular contest being a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring "under" once the final horn sounds! AAA Sports |
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01-30-24 | Lakers v. Hawks UNDER 247 | Top | 122-138 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
10* Lakers/Hawks UNDER (EXPRESS) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends finally point to much more of a defensive affair this time around. LA is just 7-16 on the road after last night's humbling 135-119 loss at Houston as a 1-point favorite. Note though that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four off a road loss as a favorite. Atlanta snapped a three-game slide with a 126-125 win over Toronto. Note though that the Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. With the Lakers coming in on the second game of the B2B, and taking into account the rest of the above-listed factors, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call in this contest as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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01-29-24 | Houston v. Texas +5 | Top | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* Texas (BIG 12 GOW) We love how this one sets up for Texas from a "situational" stand point. Houston is 18-2, but just 2-2 on the road. Texas is 14-6, including 10-2 at home. Houston is coming off four straight wins, including a 74-52 victory over K-State last time out. Note though that the Cougars are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS home win in which they held their opponent to 55 or fewer points in. Texas beat Oklahoma 75-60 as a 4.5-point dog, then fell 84-72 at BYU as a 7.5-point dog in its most recent action. Now back at home though, the Longhorns do in fact match up well with their opponent here. Houston has a big target on its back and Texas won't be rolling over here. While I do think an outright is very possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Longhorns! AAA Sports |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 5 m | Show |
10* 49ers (BLOCKBUSTER) It's been an unreal year for the Lions this season. We think that for the most part they've overachieved now to this point. But for the 49ers, they were fully expected to be here before the season started. As great as Jared Goff and Detroit has been at times this year, this is just a bad matchup for the Lions. This San Francisco defense is tailor-made for this type of offense. And the Lions have struggled to contain strong run games this year, which also plays directly into the home side's hands. We're not only expecting San Francisco to win this game, we're looking for it to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is indeed on San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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01-28-24 | Temple +7 v. East Carolina | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
10* Temple (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Temple is 8-12 and ECU is 10-10. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the home side here, we're definitely going "contrarian" with this one. Temple though, off five straight SU/ATS losses, is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after five or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. ECU snapped a three-game slide with a win at Witchita State last time out, but with USF coming to town next, this sets up as a "look ahead" position as well for the home side. These teams numbers/metrics are very similar and in a contest that we foresee coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab up the points; the play is indeed on Temple! AAA Sports |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs v. Ravens UNDER 44.5 | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 96 h 37 m | Show |
10* Chiefs/Ravens UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) Although this game definitely features two of the best QB's on Earth right now, we're expecting this contest to be won in the trenches and by field position. Whichever team establishes the run and looks after the football is going to come out on top. Each offense will be doing its best to limit the time the other unit is on the field, and that means establishing the run game throughout. The Chiefs beat the Fish 26-7 in the Wildcard at home, before holding on for the 27-24 win at Buffalo last weekend. We're anticipating more of a defensive lower-scoring battle like the Chiefs participated in the Wildcard. Baltimore held the Texans to just ten points, and the Chiefs' sub-par offense could be in trouble on the road here as well. In our opinion, this number is indeed high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-27-24 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 243.5 | Top | 120-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kings/Mavericks (ASSASSIN) We feel this number is way too high for a number of different reasons. The Mavericks are coming off a 148-143 win at Atlanta where star Luke Doncic scored a career-high 72 points. Now on the second game of the B2B here, everything points to a predictable letdown after that historic victory in our opinion. The Kings are off a 134-133 road win at the Warriors, but note that Sacramento has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four off a SU/ATS road win. This number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-27-24 | UNLV v. San Jose State UNDER 147 | Top | 77-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER UNLV/SJSU (MW TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but everything points to much more of a defensive affair this time around in our opinion. UNLV is 9-9 this season, including 2-2 on the road, while SJSU is 8-11 overall, including 5-4 at home. The Spartans though have now seen the total go "over" the number in ten straight after their most recent 95-75 loss to New Mexico and note that SJSU has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to ten or more straight "overs" in a row. UNLV is coming off B2B high-scoring losses as well, most recently a 98-58 setback to Air Force as a 10.5-point favorite. Note though that the Rebels have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 59 or fewer points in. Look for this competitive battle to be a defensive one; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-27-24 | Golden Knights v. Red Wings -129 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* Red Wings (EXPRESS) Overall this is just a great situational play. The Knights won 5-2 at the Rangers just last night and we're now predicting a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. That's two straight wins as an underdog on the road for the Kinghts, and with the all-star game on the horizon and their next home contest not till February 6th after this, not only does this set up as "letdown" spot, but but also a "look-ahead." The Red Wings are off the 3-0 win over Philadelphia and everything points to the Wings taking full advantage of this situation in our opinion. All things considered, we believe this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-26-24 | Cavs v. Bucks UNDER 238 | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cavs/Bucks (ASSASSIN) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to more of a defensive affair here. In fact, this is the second game of a back-to-back hee between the clubs in Milwaukee, with the Bucks winning their third straight by a score of 126-116. Note though that Cleveland has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. That loss snapped an eight-game win streak for the Cavs, who have seen the total fly "over" the number in two straight now. The rematch here though on Friday night has all the makings of a much more defensive battle this time around in our opinion; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-26-24 | Golden Knights v. Rangers -140 | 5-2 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
8* Rangers (SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT) This is a great situational play. Vegas has won four of its last five. It's had three days off after a 3-2 win at Long Island, but with a game at the Wings tomorrow, we say the visitors come out a bit flat-footed here. The revenge-minded Rangers, who have lost three of their last four and who have had a few days off, are the correct call in our opinion. Vegas won 5-1 at home two weeks ago, putting added motivation for the home side to respond; all things considered, we feel this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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01-26-24 | Ohio +3 v. Kent State | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* Ohio (MAC GOY) With nearly 85% of the early public money on the home side in this one, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way with this big play. Ohio is getting zero respect here from the oddsmakers because of its 0-5 SU/ATS road record. Kent is 10-9 overall, while Ohio is 9-10. The Golden Flashes are 5-4 SU at home, but just 2-5 ATS. These lop-sided trends are about to correct themselves here between these very evenly matched sides. Kent is off the 90-84 OT win at BGSU and is primed for a letdown here back at home. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Ohio! AAA Sports |
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01-25-24 | Predators v. Wild -113 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* Wild (ASSASSIN) Home ice advantage will prove to be key for the Wild tonight. Nashville is 12-9-1-0 on the road, while Minnesota is 12-9-3-0 at home. The Predators have lost three of their last four and with a tough upcoming game at Edmonton up next, this one sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the visiting side as well. the Wild have won three straight and we're expecting them to make the most of the favorable part of their schedule; all things considered, this is fantastic "line value" here on Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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01-25-24 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 224 | Top | 143-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER Celtics/Heat (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but the situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with some strong O/U ATS stats/numbers points to this number now being a TOO low. Boston is 14-9 on the road this year after B2B wins to open up this road trip. The C's have now seen the total go "under" in five straight games, but note that Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten (70%) after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Miami will be desperate to snap a four-game slide after last night's 105-96 loss at home to Memphis. Note though that the Heat have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. Look for defense to take a back seat here and expect this total to indeed fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-25-24 | UTEP v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 136.5 | Top | 54-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER UTEP/Louisiana Tech (CONF USA TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a defensive affair in this one in our opinion. UTEP is 11-8 overall, but 0-5 SU/ATS in true road games. Louisiana Tech is 13-6 overall, and a perfect 9-0 SU at home. The Miners come in off B2B home wins, with both victories flying "over" the number, but in their last road game, a 72-68 loss at FIU, the total stayed "under" the number. We suspect UTEP will once again struggle to find offensive consistency away from friendly confines. Louisiana Tech has won three straight SU/ATS, but note that the Bulldogs have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. The overall situation that each team finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends all do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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01-24-24 | Cavs v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 116-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
10* Bucks (ASSASSIN) The Bucks are 30-13 overall and have a 19-4 record at home, but they still decided to make a coaching change. Look for this to have an immediate effect on the players here on Wednesday night as they keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Cleveland is 26-15, including 11-7 on the road, but after eight straight SU/ATS victories in a row, everything points to a letdown here finally in our opinion, which is the opener of two straight here between the clubs. Milwaukee plays with revenge after a humbling 135-95 loss at Cleveland on January 17th, and note that the Bucks are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in vs. an opponent. Lay the points with confidence, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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01-24-24 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -127 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -127 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
10* Bruins (BLOOD-BATH) Any time that you can get Boston at home at this price, despite the situation and despite the opponent etc, you definitely have to give it a serious second look. And that's the case for us here on Wednesday with Carolina coming to Boston on Wednesday. The Hurricanes are 25-15-2-3 overall, but just 12-10-0-1 on the road, while the Bruins are 29-8-8-1 overall, including 16-3-3-0 at home. Boston is 13-9 on the puckline at home as well, which means that Boston has not only won at home, but also it does so in blowout fashion most of the time (and then also compare that to Carolina being just 9-14 on the puckline away from friendly confines. Boston's red hot and it's won five in a row (over some really good teams: they won 4-3 in overtime at St. Louis, then they beat the Devils here 3-0, then hammered Colorado 5-2, then they destroyed Montreal 9-4, and then most recently they dominated the Jets by a score of 4-1.) With a two-game road trip starting in Ottawa tomorrow night, tonight's contest takes on added importance for Boston as well. Carolina has lost two of its last three, most recently falling 5-2 at home to Minnesota. With a home game vs. the Devils tomorrow night we think the visitors will also get caught looking ahead as well. All things considered, we view this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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01-24-24 | Auburn v. Alabama -3.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* Alabama (SEC GOW) Auburn is 16-2 and Alabama is 12-6. The Tigers are 5-0 in conference play and the Tide are 4-1. Alabama will be the hungrier team here though, as it was tied with Auburn atop the SEC standings before making the trip to Knoxville on Saturday to challenge then-No. 6 Tennessee (Alabama fell a game behind Auburn in the league race after the 91-71 loss.) "They were tougher and more physical than we were," remarked Alabama coach Nate Oats after. "We weren't ready for it. They played harder than we did. When you give up 23 points off turnovers and 17 second-chance points, you won't win many games. They dominated us in a lot of ways." But back at home here we think the Tide are going to bounce back. Look for Mark Sears to have a big game here as he's so far averaging 19.8 points per game this year and he had 22 in defeat last time out. It's a classic strength vs. strength matchup in this one, as KenPom has the Crimston Tide ranked No 1 in offensive efficiency rating, while Auburn is ranked as the sixth-most-efficient defense. The Tigers are great offensively as well, but after an 82-59 home rout of Ole Miss we just think they're going to have their hands full here in this difficult road venue; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Alabama! AAA Sports |
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01-23-24 | Air Force +11.5 v. UNLV | Top | 90-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
10* Air Force (ASSASSIN) This one sets up well for the visitors. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we definitely believe the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting. The Eagles are 7-10, while UNLV is 9-8. Air Force is just 3-3 on the road, while the Runnin Rebels are 6-2 at home. UNLV is coming off a 78-75 loss at Colorado State and we're anticipating a similar tight battle here as well. The Rebels have been inconsistent and we just feel this number is a few points higher than it really should be. As stated off the top, Air Force won't be pulling off any epic upsets or anything, but everything definitely points to a war until the final whistle; grab the points, the play is indeed on Air Force! AAA Sports |
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01-23-24 | Golden Knights v. Islanders -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
10* Islanders (BEST OF THE BEST) Off a 6-5 OT loss at New Jersey just last night, snapping a three-game win streak, we're absolutely expecting the Knights to come out with "heavy legs" here in the second game of the B2B scenario. New York plays with revenge as well after a 5-2 loss at Vegas at the start of the year. Look for the hungry home side to step up and take advantage, as this literally comes the very definition of "great line value," in our opinionl; the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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01-23-24 | Knicks v. Nets OVER 222.5 | Top | 108-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Knicks/Nets (BATTLE) The Knicks are 26-17 after three straight victories. They've now seen the total go "under" the number in five straight, but note that New York has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Brooklyn beat the Lakers, then fell to the Clippers. The Nets have seen the total go "over" the number in two straight and now back at home, and looking to rebound, everything in our opinion points to this great situational play soaring "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |