Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-26-23 | Rangers v. Oilers +117 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
10* Oilers (NON-CONF GOW) The Oilers prove to be one of the most frustrating teams for its fan-base. Edmonton was supposed to take another big step forward this year after a decent campaign last season, but so far Edmonton is just 1-4-1. The Rangers come to town at 4-2. Edmonton is coming off three straight losses, which is significant to take note of, as the Oilers are 7-3 in their last ten after three or more straight losses in a row. After this Edmonton has the outdoor game at a neutral location with Calgary, so Edmontno will be looking to go into that Nationally televised event with some positive momentum, and we're expecting the team to risk life and limb here to pull off the upset here at home. Because the Oilers are in fact somehow a dog here at home in this matchup. NY is off B2B road wins and has two more on the West Coast at Vancouver and Winnipeg, before heading home. Either way, the Rangers are in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" tonight; in my opinion, this represents the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Edmonton! AAA Sports |
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10-26-23 | Bucs +9 v. Bills | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
10* Bucs (GOW) Tampa Bay is 3-3, while Buffalo is 4-3. Both teams come in off defeats. The Bucs fell 16-13 to the Falcons in a tight division battle, while Buffalo fell 29-25 at New England. Buffalo started the year posting some crazy defensive numbers, but the unit looked pretty terrible last week, and we believe that'll leave the door open for Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield, who has 1,363 yards passing, eight TD's and four INT's. His counterpart today Josh Allen has 1,841 passing yards and 15:7 TD/INT. With a much more high-profile game at Cincinnati next weekend, the Bills could very easily be caught "looking past" their lowly non-conference opponent here today at home. We're expecting Mayfield to fight until the bitter end; grab the points, the play is Tampa Bay! AAA Sports |
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10-26-23 | Senators v. Islanders UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER Sens/Isles (EAST-CONF TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much tighter defensive battle finally here on Long Island. Ottawa is 3-3 and so far it's seen the total go "over" the number in every game but one, which "pushed." The Islanders are 2-2-1, but they come in having lost three straight. Most recently it was a 7-4 home setback to the Avalanche. Note that NY has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after three or more losses in a row. Note that all three games between these clubs went "under" the number last season, as they combined for just 14 goals over that span. Both teams were ranked well defensively last year and we think we'll see that play out in this contest tonight; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-26-23 | Syracuse v. Virginia Tech OVER 46.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
10* Syracuse/VT OVER (ACC TOY) Some pundits may believe that this will be a very low-scoring defensive battle, but we sure don't! These are two hungry teams looking for an outright victory here and we're expecting this extreme-sense of competition to translate into offensive production on the field of play today. Syracuse Syracuse is 4-3, while Virginia Tech is 3-4. The Hokies though are 3-1 at home. The Orange come in having lost three straight games, both SU and ATS, but that's significant for us to take note of here, as VT has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. ALSO, the Orange come in having seen the total go "under" in six straight, and despite their last game staying well under the number in their 41-3 humbling loss at FSU, note that Syracuse has also seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. These teams haven't played since 2021, but in that contest they combined for a whopping 77 points in the Orange's 41-36 road victory as a 3.5-point dog. We're not expecting that many points this time around, but we're definitely once again expecting a similar high-octane offensive affair, one that blasts past the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-25-23 | UTEP v. Sam Houston State OVER 36 | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 53 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER UTEP/Sam Houston State. These teams are bottom feeders and each has struggled to put points on the board in a consistent manner this season, but we definitely feel this O/U line is much too low in this one. Sam Houston State has nothing to play for here except pride as the Bearkats enter at 0-7 after a tough 33-27 OT home loss to FIU as 5-point favs last weekend. It was the best that Sam Houston has looked offensively and we fully expect that momentum to get carried over here. UTEP is 2-6 after a 28-7 loss to New Mexico State. The Miners have now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but that's signficiant to note here as UTEP has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Here's a great "situational" total on Tuesday night; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-24-23 | Suns +1.5 v. Warriors | Top | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 31 h 16 m | Show |
10* Suns (ROUT) Neither team was "itself" last year. Each has some new faces this season. Kevin Durant has had a full off-season now to acclimate himself in Phoenix and we don't foresee any chemistry issues for the visiting side out of the gates. The Warriors had a ton of chemistry issues last year, and that could again be the case this season, with the likes of veteran Chris Paul now in the mix. The Suns added Bradley Beal and we believe they have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. Note as well that Draymond Green is listed as questionable for the home side, and without him playing at 100% capacity, the Warriors usually have a hard time beating the better teams in the league; grab the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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10-24-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Red Wings -132 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -132 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
10* RED WINGS (ASSASSIN) The oddsmakers, and mostly the public, continue to "sleep" on the Wings this year. Detroit is good this season so far, and Seattle has for sure taken a big step back. Seattle is 1-4-0-1 overall. Last year the Kraken were one of the best in the league on the road, but we're expecting them to come back down to Earth away from friendly confines this season. Detroit on the other hand is 5-1 overall, including 3-0 at home. With incredibly tough upcoming road games at Carolina, Florida and Tampa Bay, we expect Seattle to get caught "looking ahead." This pick is based upon the good ole "eye test," and it's based also on this great line for a hot home team. And when you add those factors together, the pendulum does indeed swing in favor here for Detroit! AAA Sports |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings +7 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
10* Vikings (ULTIMATE ROUT) The 49ers are 5-1, and are off their first loss of the year in a shaky 19-17 setback at Cleveland. Now they're once again a huge road favorite, and once again they're facing a non-conference team that's completely desperate as the Vikes enter at 2-4. Minnesota though comes in on the opposite end of the spectrum to San Francisco though, entering off a solid 19-13 road win at Chicago as a 3-point favorite. It was a crucial divisional victory, and now the Vikes have a golden opportunity to continue to gain ground today. And with a home game vs. the Bengals next, we feel that the visitors could also get caught "looking ahead" here. Look for Kirk Cousins to do more than enough to keep his team competitive down the stretch; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (ALCS TOW) Game 1 went "under" the number, but since then the last five games have all flown "over" the number. Note that Texas has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row, while Houston has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four in the same position. We have two great experienced starters going for each side, with Max Scherzer getting the call for the Ranges, and the home side countering with Christian Javier; everything points to Game 7 staying "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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10-23-23 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Sabres | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* Canadiens PUCKLINE (PUNISHER) In a contest that we seeing being decided late, or even in extra periods or shootout, we're going to grab the hungry visiting side on the "runline" option. Montreal is 2-1-0-1, this year, while Bufflao is just 2-3. The Habs enter off a 3-2 OT win at home over Washington, and we're expecting a similar sort of highly-competitive contest here as well. The Sabres are off a 3-1 home win over the Islanders, but all signs point to these two teams battling until the bitter end on Monday night. While the outright win is possible,the official call is to grab the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is Montreal on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (ASSASSIN) This series has seen some high-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating much more of a "duel" here in this important Game 6. Texas won the first two games here, while Houston then responded with three straight wins in Texas. Now with their backs against the wall, Texas hands the ball to its best "in form" starter in Nate Eovaldi, who is so far 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in the playoffs. He'll be opposed by Framber Valdez, who has uncharacteristically struggled so far in the postseason, going 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA and 2.57 WHIP. But we're expecting Valdez to return to form here at home. He has the experience and pedigree to match pace with his counterpart and while we have indeed seen some higher-scoring affairs to open this series, everything now sets up from a number of different angles to finally be a lower-scoring "duel" here in Houston on Sunday in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Flames v. Red Wings +118 | 2-6 | Win | 118 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
8* Wings (DESTROYER) Despite having played just last night, we like the surging Detroit Red Wings to take advantage of home ice and to find a way to come out on top over the visiting Flames. Calgary is 2-2-0-1, including only 1-2-0-1 on the road after falling 3-1 at Columbus in its previous outing. The Wings are off a 4-2 win at Ottawa and come in on a four-game win streak, outscoring the opposition by a score of 21-7 over that span. Detroit's hit a favorable part of its schedule now, with upcoming home games vs. Seattle (which has taken a major step back this year), and Winnipeg (which never travels well.) Can anyone say major win streak possible for sure for the Wings here?! After this Calgary is in New York to play a much more high-profile game vs. the Rangers, so the possibility of getting caught "looking ahead" is also there for the visiting side as well. If this were the end of the season, the B2B would be an issue, but it's not right now at all; great price, the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Packers v. Broncos +1.5 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
10* Broncos (NON-CONF GOW) Two struggling teams collide here on Sunday afternoon in Denver, but in our estimation, the home field advantage simply can't be overlooked here in this matchup as being a very real deciding factor once it's all said and done. The Packers are off their bye week, and we don't think that the extra rest is going to help here at all. Green Bay is 2-3 SU, while Denver is just 1-5. The Broncos though have yet to even cover a spread, but that's going to change here finally in our opinion. Jordan Love has never been to Mile High, and we think he'll struggle in this difficult venue. It's been a complete disaster for Sean Payton and Russell Wilson once again this year, but we can expect the veteran pivot to get the better of his younger counterpart, who has been one of the worst in the NFL in terms of completion percentage. As mentioned off the top, the outright is clearly possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Denver! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Bills v. Patriots +8 | Top | 25-29 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC EAST GOM) The Patriots are 1-5 SU and 0-3 SU/ATS at home, but we believe those streaks of futility will come to an end here this weekend. At least the ATS streaks, as we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset. That said, it's not entirely out of the question but in a contest that we seeing a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Bills are clearly the better team here, but they've hardly been playing well at all of late, going just 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS the last two. They struggled to put away the Giants 14-9 at home last week. Now they face a division rival that's looking for any spark of positivity it can find. With a quick turn around and a game at home vs. Tampa Bay on Thursday night, not only does this set up as a letdown spot, but also a "look ahead" position for the visiting side; no outright, but closer than expected, the play is New England! AAA Sports |
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10-22-23 | Falcons +3 v. Bucs | Top | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
10* Falcons (NFC SOUTH GOM) While we absolutely believe the outright win is very possible, in the end we're recommending to grab as many points as you can in this important early divisional contest between two hungry teams. Atlanta is 3-3 and Tampa is 3-2. The Bucs have been hit or miss this year. Last week they fell 20-6 at home to Detroit. With a short week and a game at Buffalo on Thursday night, will Tampa get caught "looking ahead" here as well? It's very possible in our estimation. Same story for the Falcons with consistency this year, but after five straight ATS losses in a row after last week's 24-16 loss at home to Washington, we're finally expecting that streak to come to an end here (as note, the Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last five after five or more ATS setbacks in a row!) As stated off the top, the outright is possible, but the official is to roll with the points; the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Jets v. Oilers -165 | 3-2 | Loss | -165 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
8* Oilers (BLOWOUT) It's safe to say that at 1-3, the Oilers season has not started the way the team envisioned it would. The same though can be said for the 1-3 Jets. Two struggling teams that are both super motivated to "get off the schneid" collide here, but we can't understate how important we feel that the home-ice advantage will play in this one. The Jets have a 4.75 GAA through four games. The Oilers so far have a 4.25 GAA. Edmonton though is still 5 for 15 with the man advantage, which is third in the NHL. Look for the Oilers to dig deep here and deliver in front of the home town crowd; lay the price, the play is Edmonton! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
10* D-Backs RUNLINE (NLCS GOY) If you're watching this game, then you know the story lines of each team to this point, as well as the cast of characters on each side. Zach Wheeler has been better than Zach Gallen so far in the post-season, but honetly it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these starters to come out on top in this pressure packed situation. Gallen definitely benefits from throwing at home. Wheeler has experience, but we say this starting pitching matchup (for all intents and purposes), is a "wash." Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor in the playoffs and it's one that we've found that the oddsmakers have a hard time in properly quantifying into a line at times. Arizona has definitely wrestled back the momentum in this series after going down 0-2 in Philadelphia to start and to get an extra 1.5 runs of insurance at this price is just too good to to turn down in the end; so that's the play, Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Coastal Carolina v. Arkansas State +10.5 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 53 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (SUN BELT GOY) We think this contest will be much more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in this Sun Belt Conference matchup on Saturday night and while we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one coming "right down to the wire." Coastal Carolina is a big road favorite here at 3-3, but it's just 1-2 SU on the road. Arkansas State is 3-3 as well, which includes going 2-1 SU/ATS at home. CC is off a 27-24 win at Appalachian State with a walk-off FG win and now here the Chanticleers are big favs on the road. Overall they average 30.2 PPG, while allowing 23.7. Arkansas State is off a 37-3 loss to Troy. Overall the Red Wolves average 22.2 PPG, while allowing 36.5. But those numbers are skewed because of the blowout. Strength of schedule has to be called into question for both sides heading into this one; no outright, but MUCH closer than expected so grab the points with Arkansas State! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Colorado State v. UNLV UNDER 62.5 | Top | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 50 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER CSU/UNLV (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting a much more defensive affair this time around. Colorado State has seen the total go "over" in two straight afer its most recent 31-30 home upset of Boise State as a 7.5-point dog. Note though that CSU has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS home win as an underdog. UNLV has covered in all six games and is 5-1 SU overall. The Runnin Rebels have seen the total go "over" the number in four sraight after a 45-27 win at Nevada last time out, but note that the Rebels have still seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last seven after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. UNLV's only loss was a 35-7 setback to Michigan. The Rebels can become bowl eligibile with a win here. We don't see UNLV's defense giving the Rams' any hope and believe they home side will just look to control this one without sustaining significant injuries. In our opinion, all of this will add up to a lower-scoring defensive battle in the end; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Buffalo v. Kent State +7 | Top | 24-6 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 2 m | Show |
10* Kent State (MAC GOM) Buffalo is 2-5 and Kent State is 1-6. Buffalo is 1-2 SU on the road this year, but 3-0 ATS. The Golden Flashes are only 1-1 ATS at home, but we're expecting the home side to give the visitors everything they can handle in this one. The Bulls are off a 24-14 loss to Bowling Green, while the FLashes are off a 28-14 setback to EMU. Buffalo is led by Cole Snynder, who has 1,337 passing yards and an 11:6 TD:INT. Michael Alaimo has 881 passing yards and a 2:4 TD:INT for the Flashes. Kent State's offense revolves primarily around the run, keep your eyes on Gavin Garcia and Jaylen Thomas. Kent State's offensive numbers have been terrible, but we just can't give the putrid Bulls any credit here in this matchup as such a big favorite on the road. This one is more evenly matched in our estimation and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to this one being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is indeed on Kent State! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Arsenal v. Chelsea +0.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 46 h 28 m | Show |
10* Chelsea on the spread option (EPL GOW) In an important clash at Stamford Bridge this Saturday, we're expecting a very competitive battle. Arsenal is 6-0, while Chelsea is 3-3. Chelsea is 11th place in the EPL and it returns from the international break having posted B2B victories, including allowing just one goal in doing so and by hammering Burnley 4-1 in its last outing. Now back home and refreshed, everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion. The Gunners are off a tight 1-0 win over Manchester City and we believe they're now finally primed for a letdown here. For all the situational reasons listed above, we're on Chelsea on the spread-option! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Rutgers v. Indiana +5.5 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 37 m | Show |
10* Indiana (BIG TEN GOW) While we're not ruling out an outright victory, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can here with Indiana. The Scarlet Knights are just one win away from eligibility, but they're going to have their hands full here with the 2-4 Hoosiers in our estimation. Indiana is 2-1 SU and ATS at home and definitely plays a lot "better" in front of the home town crowd. The Scarlet Knights have been ATS covering machines so far this season, but now the public is overwhelmingly on Rutgers this weekend, and our contrarian ways definitely will "kick in" here and have us loving our play on the home side even more. Rutgers just doesn't blow teams away, it averges only 23.7 PPG, while being suffocating defensively so far in allowing only 18.2. Indiana is averaging 14 PPG, while allowing 33.4. After back-to-back blowout road losses, Indiana mercifully returns home to play a much more manageable opponent. At 2-4, the odds are against the Hoosiers of making a bowl berth, but clearly they aren't throwing in the towel at this point. And of all the games remaining, this home contest vs. Rutger is likely the most "winnable" of them all. As mentioned off the top, we feel the outright is obviously possible, but grab the points, because the play is indeed on Indiana! AAA Sports |
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10-20-23 | Devils v. Islanders +107 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
10* Islanders (METROPOLITAN GOM) The Devils are 1-1-0-1 after three games, while the Islanders are 2-0. Home ice has so far been a big advantage for New York, and we're banking on that being the case again here today as well. Both teams have a lot of depth and talent, but New York is rested and once again undervalued here overall in our opinion. The Devils were a great team last year and they appear to have a lot of depth, but so far early on that chemistry is just not quite there yet; the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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10-20-23 | SMU v. Temple +21 | Top | 55-0 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Temple (ASSASSIN) Outright win?! We're not calling for that or anything, but in a contest that we see being a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting, we're going to grab the points. SMU is off B2B wins, including a 31-10 victory at ECU last weekend as a big favorite, covering the 12-point spread. Now they're once again a heavy favorite on the road, but we think this spread is now just a bit too large. Temple is off a 45-14 loss at North Texas. SMU QB Preston Stone had 250 yards and three TD's in his last game, but the run game sputtered with just 58 yards. Temple is averaging 270 yards passing and 112 yards rushing per contest. The Owls will be sticking around late here and we're fully expecting the back door to be left wide open down the stretch. SMU is the better team here, but this spread is now too large in our estimation; the play is Temple! AAA Sports |
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10-20-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers (ALCS TOY) The last three games in this series have flown "over" the number, but note that Houston has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row, and Texas has seen the total go "under" in seven of its last ten in the same position (also in five of its last seven in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent.) Honestly it would not be very difficult to write a convincing argument for this to be a high-scoring game either, but these strong O/U trends do definitely tip the scales in favor of the men on the mound in this ALCS matchup. The Astros go with Justin Verlander (1-1, 1.42 ERA), while the home side counters with Jordan Montgomery (2-0, 2.08.) This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -115 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 52 h 12 m | Show |
10* Saints moneyline (NON-CONF. GOW) The Jaguars are now 4-2 after winning their third straight in last week's 37-20 win at Indianapolis on Sunday. The Saints come in as the more motivated side here though after getting tripped up by Houston 20-13 last weekend. The Jags swept the Colts in the season series, but note that Jacksonville is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more straight SU victories in a row. New Orleans' offense has been a work in progress all season, but Derek Carr is handling the pressure well and we expect him to move the ball here at home and the fact that this is a short week benefits the Saints as well. New Orleans defense has been great, and was the bright spot even in defeat last weekend. Look for Carr to finally have that break out game and for the Saints to indeed find a way to get the job done once it's all said and done at the end of the night! AAA Sports |
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10-19-23 | Golden Knights v. Jets OVER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER Knights/Jets (WEST-CONF TOM) Las Vegas is 4-0, and it's seen the total go "under" in all four games. Winnipeg is 1-2, and after its first two games went "over" the number, it's coming off its first "under" of the season in a 5-1 setback here to the Kings two nights ago. Note though that the Jets have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 off an upset home loss. Additionally note that the Knights have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last seven still after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. We absolutely respect Adin Hill and Connor Hellebuyck, but the overall situation finally points to a wide-open "goal-fest" in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-19-23 | Flames v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
8* OVER Flames/Sabres (GOAL-FEST) Both teams have gotten out to slow starts, and each will be hungry to kick start its offense into high-gear because of it. We like betting on highly-motivated teams when we're betting on "overs." Calgary is 1-1-0-1 after a 3-2 shootout loss in the Nation's capital three nights ago, while Buffalo is 1-2 after a 3-2 OT win over the Lighting here two nights ago. All three games of Buffalo's have gone "under" to open the year, but note that the Sabres have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. These two teams were expected to be among the best offensive clubs in the league and while each has gotten out to a slow start offensively to begin the season, all signs finally point to a wide-open shootout in this non-conference affair in our opinion; this total flys "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-19-23 | Rice v. Tulsa UNDER 59 | Top | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rice/Tulsa (ACC TOY) It's a big game, as each team comes into this one at 3-3 overall and 1-1 in league play. We're expecting a very competitive (as are the bookmakers with a spread like this!), and because of that, we're going to focus on the total and we're definitely expecting more of a defensive affair than what this larger O/U line is suggesting. The Owls are 4-2 ATS and they've seen the total go "over" the number in four of six this season. QB JT Daniels has 1,831 passing yards, 15 TDs and five INTs. The Owls have struggled defensively, but we anticipate this game to be won in the trenches and by field position this time around. Tulsa brought in all new coaching staff this year and so far so good. Tulsa has gotten the job done with tough defensive play and by running the all, as four of six games have gone "under" the number. If this one was at Rice, we'd likely be leaning to a higher-scoring game, but as it is, all signs in our opinion point to this one being a defensive battle until the end; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-19-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/D-Backs (TOP TOTAL) The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but all signs point to much more of a "duel" here finally in our opinion now that the venue has shifted. The D-Backs essentially have their backs against the wall here being down 2-0. Ranger Suarez (1-0, 1.04 ERA, 0.58 WHIP) gets the call for the visitors, and he'll be opposed by Brandon Pfaadt (0-0, 3.86, 1.43.) It's interesting to note as well that Arizona has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The overall situation here finally points to a more of a defensive "duel" in the NLCS; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers (ASSASSIN) Texas has the 2-0 series lead and is on the proverbial driver's seat in this series now back at home for three straight. One game went "over" and one game went "under." But now here in Game 3, we think this number is a bit TOO high, so we're going to recommend a play on the "under." And for us, it all comes down to the starting pitchers, who we're expecting will battle deep into this one. Max Scherzer (13-7, 3.77 ERA) makes his first start for Texas since Spetember 12th after injuring himself. He's thrown a bullpen session and has been given the green light. Overall Scherzer is 5-2 with a 3.84 ERA in ten career regular-season starts vs. Houston. He's also 7-7 with 3.58 ERA in 27 career playoff appearances. The Rangers bullpen has been elite throughout the playoffs as well. He'll be opposed by the red hot Cristian Javier (1-0, 0.00) who hasn't allowed a run in three career postseason starts. He's also 5-1 with a 3.84 ERA in 14 career appearances against the Rangers. All signs point to a classic "duel" here in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-18-23 | Penguins v. Red Wings +108 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 108 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* Wings (BEST OF BEST) Great value here on Detroit as a slight home dog. Both teams are 2-1, but we can't understate how important we feel that the home ice advantage will be in this one. These teams went 1-1-1 last year in the regular season. They played twice in the preseason and the Wings won both games. Pittsburgh is off a 5-2 win over Calgary at home despite getting outshot 36-29. That type of performance won't get the job done on the road here. Detroit comes in off a convincing 4-0 win over Columbus. The Wings are built to beat teams like this and the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing how far that Detroit has come already this season. We say that home ice is a big factor in the final outcome of this one; the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports |
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10-18-23 | Florida International v. Sam Houston State OVER 41 | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER FIU/Sam Houston State. Time is running out for 3-4 Florida International to become "eligible," but here's a great opportunity to move one step closer to that possibility. Sam Houston State enters 0-6, just looking for something positive and to finally "get off the schneid." Both teams have struggled with offensive consistency this year and each has been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but those facts have only helped in driving this particular total now a few points lower than it normally would/should be. We have to very motivated sides, and we're expecting that sense of competition to translate into offensive production on the field of play on Wednesday night. The Panthers average 28 PPG in their victories so far. The Bearkats have nothing to lose here, except another game. They have just nine offensive TD's this season, but here's a greart opponend for QB Keegan Shoemaker to finally have a break out performance against. Last week he was 32 of 48 for 278 yards and two TD's in the lost to New Mexico State. In our opinion, everything point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (ASSASSIN) We had a play on Arizona on the runline yesterday and where that play came up short, we're expecting this Game 2 contest to now deliver the goods in "rocking chair" fashion. We won't rule out an outright victory here obviously either, but at this decent mid-sized price, getting the extra 1.5 runs of insurance is just too good to turn down in our opinion. The D-Backs go with Merrill Kelly (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.79 WHIP), while the home side counters with Aaron Nola (2-0, 1.42, 0.87.) Very evenly matched teams and clubs and in a contest that we seeing being decided late, or even in extras, we're indeed laying the price for Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-17-23 | Western Kentucky -7.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
10* WKU (CONF. USA GOW) WKU is coming off a 35-28 win over Louisana Tech, while Jacksonville State enters off a 31-13 home loss to Liberty. Hilltoppers' QB Austin Reed and WR Malachi Corley are a force to be reckoned with offensively for WKU and I think they'll keep their team competitive late in this one. Jacksonville State likes to run the ball, but the Hilltoppers have been decent defensively this year in stopping the run, especially in the red-zone. The Gamecocks are led by Malik Jackson offensively, he already has 578 rushing yards. Jacksonville State has also been dominant defensively, but there are a few injury issues on offense this week, with both QB's Zion Webb and Logan Smothers listed as questionable. WKU also has a 100% redzone efficiency rate this season. Look for the visiting side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is WKU! AAA Sports |
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10-17-23 | Canucks v. Flyers +1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
8* Flyers PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) We're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. The Canucks are road favorites here after a 2-0 start, but let's not read too much into any early results, either good or bad, for any team quite yet. Both of Vancouver's wins came against Edmonton. Great wins for sure, but the Canucks whole purpose right now is built around beating teams in the Western Conference like Edmonton, a club that it's super familiar with. Now heading to the East Coast for the first time, things are different here. The Flyers are 1-1 and return home for their first game of the year here and they'll be fired up. We won't rule out an outright victory, but let it be known far and wide, AAA Sports is never afraid to lay chalk in the correct situation, and this is one of those times in our estimation. In a game that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're laying the price and taking Philly on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +1.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
10* Chargers (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Dallas is 3-2 and coming off a humbling 42-10 loss at San Francisco last week. We think the Cowboys will once again struggle here on the road vs. the hungry 2-2 LA Chargers, who are coming out of their bye week ready and focused. Dallas only gained 197 yards last week and despite allowing a season-high 42 points in the setback, the defense still ranks No. 7 in the league. But Dak Prescott and the offense looked terrible as well and we just think that Just Herbert and company have a major advantage in every metric and on both sides of the ball here this afternoon. Look for "home field" to be a big advantage and prove to be a difference-maker for the Chargers on Monday night! AAA Sports |
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10-16-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -148 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLCS GOW) If you're watching and wagering on this game, then you almost assuredly know the story line for each club up to this point, so there's no reason to give you a breakdown of how each club got to this point. You likely also already know the cast of characters for each side, the coaches and the players and also each team's strengths and weaknesses. We're just here to tell you why we think that the D-Backs can pull off the upset here, or at the very least, keep it close enough to cover on the runline option. And it's simple, the starting pitching matchup is very even, but we definitely think that Zac Gallen (2-0, 3.18 ERA) will be able to easily match his counterpart Zach Wheeler (1-0, 2.08) inning for inning and in a scenario like that, the value invariably swings to the undervalued underdog; the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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10-16-23 | Flames v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Flames/Capitals (NON-CONF TOW) Here's a great situational play, as we're expecting the home side to push the pace from start to finish after losing 4-0 to the Penguins on Opening night. Note that Washington has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten off a shutout home loss. Both of Calgary's games have flown "over" the number, beating the Jets 5-3 and then falling 5-2 at Pittsburgh. With the home side pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | Giants v. Bills OVER 44.5 | Top | 9-14 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 31 m | Show |
10* Giants/Bills OVER (NON-CONF TOY) The Bills are now 3-2 after falling 25-20 to Jacksonville in London last week. Note that Buffalo has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after a SU/ATS loss as a favorite. The Giants are just 1-4, and another loss here will essentially be the final nail in the coffin for their 2023/24 campaign. Note that NY though has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row. Both teams are coming off losses, and each can't wait for the other to make the first mistake. With each side pushing the pace throughout like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (BLOWOUT) We're expecting a "duel" here in the opener of the ALCS, and you don't have to look any further than the starting pitchers to know why. These teams are very familiar with each other of course, but in the end we're expecting the men on the mound to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest. Texas hands the ball to Jordan Montgomery (1-0, 3.27 ERA), while the home side counters with Justin Verlander (1-0, 0.00.) These two veterans are coming off solid regular seasons and have so far been great in the playoffs. All signs point to a classic "duel" as we stated off the top; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | Lightning v. Senators UNDER 7 | Top | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bolts/Sens. Here's a great "situational" play. Both teams are 1-1, and each has seen the total go "over" the number in each of its games. Finally here on Sunday night we're expecting more of a defensive battle between these two hopeful Eastern-Conference opponents. Despite who is playing in net, and despite the past history of these clubs playing to higher-scoring affairs whenever they get together, the overall situation to us points finally to a defensive battle; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | Lions v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 20-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
10* Bucs (BLOCKBUSTER) Detroit is 4-1, while Tampa is 3-1. Home field will prove to be the difference here between these evenly matched teams in our opinion. The Lions do have the quality Week 1 win over the Chiefs, but their other victories haven't been super impressive, including last week's 42-24 win over Carolina. Jared Goff has been decent with 1,265 passing yards and a 9:3 TD:INT. The Lions concede 21.4 PPG. The Bucs enters focused and fresh out of their bye week. QB Baker Mayfield has 882 yards passing and a 7:2 TD:INT. But the Bucs have been downright awesome defensively so far, conceding just 17 PPG. Todd Bowles is a great defensive coach and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has it hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Tampa! AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | 49ers v. Browns +10 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
10* Browns (ULTIMATE CONTRARIAN) As the title of this pick implies, the basis of this selection is us going against the general betting public, which has overwhelmingly backed the 49ers on the road here, because Cleveland will be playing without DeShaun Watson. Cleveland though comes out rested off its bye, and I think the Browns will be competitive here at home with tough defensive play. This game will be won in the trenches and by field position. Expect San Fran to be running the ball a lot today behind Christian McCaffrey. But the Browns allow the fewest yards in the NFL. PJ Walker will be a game manager, but we expect that to be more than enough for the home side to walk away with the comfortable cover; so grab the points, the play is indeed on Cleveland! AAA Sports |
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10-14-23 | Ducks v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Ducks/Knights (PACIFIC DIVISION TOM) When a season starts (in any sport), whenver we wager on a total, we're essentially wagering on "situations." And in our opinion, this particular Pacific Division contest sets up to a be a wide-open "shootout," rather than a lower-scoring, grind-it-out defensive battle. This is the Ducks first game of the year, while Las Vegas enters already at 2-0. Both of the Knights games have gone "under" so far backed by Adin Hill, but we're definitely expecting this Knights offense to push the pace and to make Anaheim have to play from behind. There's no way that the younger visiting side can sit back and hope that the champs will make the first mistake. With each side pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-14-23 | Canucks v. Oilers UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Canucks/Oilers (ASSASSIN) A great "common sense" play here. No need to overthink this one TOO much. These teams opened the season together in Vancouver just two nights ago and the Canucks skated away with the upset and lop-sided 8-1 victory. After that blowout high-scoring loss, we're expecting the oilers to double down defensively here obviously as they look to atone for their opening night "brain fart." The Canucks looked great on both ends of the ice in the victory, but don't expect lightning to strike twice offensively for Vancouver, especially here on the road. We're expecting a much "chippier" affair in the "rematch," and ultimately this slower-paced battle is going to produce a lower-scoring outcome; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-14-23 | NC State +3.5 v. Duke | 3-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
8* NC State (BAIL-OUT) The Blue Devils are 4-1 and they're coming out of their bye week, but we believe that "rest" will lead to "rust" here. Duke suffered its first loss of the season in a 21-14 home setback to Notre Dame in its previous action. NC State is 4-2 after a huge 48-41 win over Marshall last week. The Wolfpack also lost to Notre Dame by a score of 45-24, but with QB MJ Morris throwing the ball around the field today, we believe that the Blue Devils secondary won't be up to the task. Duke QB Riley Leonard was just 12 of 27 last week, and he hurt his ankle in the process. Look for NC State to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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10-14-23 | California v. Utah OVER 43.5 | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Cal/Utah (PAC 12 TOM) Cal is 3-3 and coming off a 52-40 shootout home loss to Oregon State on Saturday. Cal's offense looked decent, but the defense looked terrible. So that's good news for the 4-1 Utes, who come out of their bye off their first loss in a 21-7 setback at Oregon State (note though that Utah has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 off a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to a TD or less.) Utah hasn't announced yet if star QB Cam Rising will finally be under center, but whether he is or not we can fully expect this explosive Cal offense to run the ball early and often behind Isaiah Ifanse. But the Golden Bears' defense, especially the secondary is completely atrocious. No matter which way you cut it, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-14-23 | Michigan State +5.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 68 h 37 m | Show |
10* MSU (BIG TEN GOY) Here's a great spot for MSU to pull of an outright upset! And while that scenario is definitely a possibility in our opinion, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. MSU is 2-3 and Rutgers is 4-2. The Spartans are coming out of their bye, while the Scarlet Knights are coming off an 11-point loss to Wisconsin. MSU looked pretty bad in its 16-13 loss to Iowa back on September 30th, with QB Noah Kim passing for 193 yards and three INT's. RB Nathan Carter though looked great with 20 rushes for 108 yards. It's also interesting to note that the road team has covered in each of the last six games between these teams. Rutgers' QB Gavin Wimsatt finished with 181 yards, one TD and an INT in the 24-13 loss to Wisconsin and we think he'll have a difficult time here vs. MSU as well. Rutgers has in fact scored 13 or less points in two of its last three games. The Spartans have had plenty of time to prepare for this one and that's going to play a big part in the outcome as well in our opinion; grab the points, the play is Michigan State! AAA Sports |
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10-13-23 | Stanford +12.5 v. Colorado | Top | 46-43 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
10* Stanford (PAC 12 GOM) Colorado is 4-2 after a dramatic 27-24 win at ASU last week on a last-second field goal. But with their bye, followed by a game at UCLA, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot here facing the lowly 1-4 Cardinal and off that big win, but it's also a "look ahead" position as well. When you add those two factors together you get "trap game." Clearly, Stanford's hopes of reaching eligibility are essentially zero to none already, but it won't be rolling over here and catches the Buffs and Coach Prime right at the correct moment. Colorado isn't going to the National Championship and running up the score here isn't going to impress anyone. They just need wins for a better bowl berth at the end of the day, and in our opinion, all signs do indeed point to the home side taking the foot off the gas in the second half and leaving the back door open just enough for the hungry visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch with the sizeable spread that it's been afforded in this one; grab the points, the play is indeed on Stanford! AAA Sports |
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10-13-23 | Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Pens/Caps (BLOWOUT) Every single Washington preseason game either went "over" the number or "pushed." Now that the "real thing" is here, we're expecting a very defensive affair between these bitter rivals. Pittsburgh enters off a 4-2 Opening night loss at home to the Blackhawks, but note that the Pens have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last seven off an upset home loss as a favorite. These teams have played to a lot of high-scoring games against each other (the "over" is 15-4 the L19 in the series), but the overall situation here finally points to more of a defensive affair; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-13-23 | Coyotes v. Devils UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Coyotes/Devils (NON-CONF TOM) The Devils are off a high-scoring 4-3 win here over Detroit just last night, but we're expecting a much more defensive affair here on Friday. Arizona finished 28-40-14 last year, while New Jersey was 52-22-8. New Jersey won both games last year in this series. Arizona only averaged 2.68 GPG last year, while allowing 3.55. New Jersey averaged 3.48 GPG last year, while conceding just 2.67. If New Jersey was opening its season tonight, we'd likely be leaning "over" here, but because of the fatigue factor in the b2b scenario, we're expecting the home side to have a more defensive game-plan this evening; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-12-23 | Broncos +10.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 8-19 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 32 m | Show |
10* Broncos (AFC WEST GOY) Outright victory? Nah, we're not calling for that. But we do feel that KC will let the foot off the gas enough in the second half to allow the hungry Broncos to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel is a large amount of points here. KC is 1-1 SU/ATS at home and returns home after two straight road victories at the Jets and Vikings. It's a potential letdown spot for the now surging Chiefs, who have another divisional home game next week vs. the Chargers. Denver is on the ropes. Clearly Sean Payton can't be too happy about the team he chose to come back to. It's do or die, now or never for Russell Wilson and the Broncos, who fell 31-21 at home to the Jets last weekend. The offense though is still a lot better than it was last year in averaging 24.2 PPG. The issue has been on the defensive side, allowing 36.2 PPG, including the 70-20 loss to Miami. We think Denver's defense won't have to worry about the Chiefs running up the score here, while at the same time we expect Wilson to be able to move the ball. This is just too many points; the play is Denver! AAA Sports |
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10-12-23 | Panthers v. Wild -125 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
10* Wild (NON-CONF GOM) Florida struggled down the stretch last year and finished 42-32-8, but the Panthers managed to "right the ship" and make the Stanley Cup Final, only to lost to Vegas. Minnesota finished 46-25-11 and third in the Central with 103 points, getting eliminated by Dallas eventually in the first round of the playoffs. The Panthers have many concerns coming into the season, including key injuries to several players, including Matthew Tkachuk. Florida had major issues on the defensive end last year, allowing 3.32 GPG. Minnesota lacked depth offensively last year, but it added a few players like Pat Maroon in the offseason to address that. Defensively though the Wild are once again expected to be elite with Filip Gustavsson between the pipes. All in all, we feel this to be the very definition of "great line value;" lay the short price, thep lay is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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10-12-23 | West Virginia -145 v. Houston | Top | 39-41 | Loss | -145 | 52 h 59 m | Show |
10* WVU (BIG 12 GOY) West Virginia is obiouvsly a surprise here in the conference at 4-1. It's playing on the road for a second straight game, which is never an easy thing to do, but at 4-1 the Mountaineers are looking good right now obviously. They're favored here and then after this they have two home games. We think West Virginia is for sure the better team here and it has to be feeling confident after a 24-21 upset road win over TCU. QB Garret Greene has 544 yards passing and four touchdowns this year, but the offense revolves around the run game and CJ Donaldson Jr, who has 348 rushing yards and four touchdowns. The Cougars first year in the Big 12 hasn't gone to plan so far as they're 2-3 and off a brutal 49-28 loss to Texas Tech last time out. West Virginia is winning games right now and doing so for the most part with a tougher-than-expected defense. Houston on the other hand is unable to stop anyone right now. West Virginia was able to suffocate TCU last weekend, and also held Texas Tech to just 13 points as a six-point underdog, a team that just throttled the Cougars. We're avoiding the spread all together and playing WVU on the moneyline option! AAA Sports |
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10-11-23 | Jets v. Flames -126 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
10* Flames (ASSASSIN) We'd say this is a "public" play, but for the most part the "public" doesn't even play the NHL. The NHL is one sport that we don't take the "splits" into consideration. These two teams are familiar with each other and we just can't understate how important we feel that the home ice advantage will prove to be in this one. The Jets made the playoffs but lost to Vegas in the first round. Both teams are at "crossroads" this season, for different reasons. Note that Calgary led the league in 30 one-goal losses last year and missed the playoffs by just two points. Calgary enters this season with a young cast of new players, but also with a chip on its collective shoulder after missing the playoffs last year. Winnipeg has plenty of contract issues and other off ice things to deal with this year, and after the first round exit, we're expecting hangover here to open the season; lay the price, the play is indeed on Calgary! AAA Sports |
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10-11-23 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLDS BOB) Arizona has a shot at eliminating the Dodgers here and we're expecting that to happen. That said, for this price, we can't turn down the home side on the runline option. Arizona has scored nine first-inning runs so far in this series, and we're expecting this very real momentum that it's created to be carried over here. Often we've found that oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying in factors like "momentum" into a line, and that's definitely the case here with Arizona, which is clearly "firing on all cylinders" right now. LA hands the ball to Lance Lynn, while the home side counters with Brandon Pfaadt. Each has struggled, but Arizona's home field advantage, its bullpen and its offense has been "on point" of late and because of that, we're going to play Arizona on the runline option here in Game 3 of this NLDS! AAA Sports |
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10-11-23 | UTEP +2.5 v. Florida International | Top | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
10* UTEP (SUPER BLOWOUT) We think the 1-5 UTEP Miners will find a way to deliver the goods here on Wednesday night on the road at FIU. The Panthers enter are 3-3, including 0-3 in C-USA play. So far the Miners are averaging just 16.2 PPG, while allowing 28.2. QB Gavin Hardison has 947 passing yards, five TDs and seven INTs. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as the Panthers are averaging only 20.7 PPG, with QB Keyone Jenkins with 1,258 passing yards, five TD's and six INT's. The defense concedes 27 PPG. UTEP's strength though is the run game, which ranks 64th in the nation, and FIU is already allowing an average of 208.8 YPG on the ground. UTEP's defense is also 32nd in the country vs. the pass, and FIU's strength on offense is the passing game, which has so far averaged 221.3 YPG. UTEP will control this one and find a way to get the job done! AAA Sports |
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10-10-23 | Louisiana Tech v. Middle Tennessee State -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* MTSU (CONF-USA GOW) Louisiana Tech is 3-4, while MTSU is 1-5. Why then are the Blue Raiders favored here? The oddsmakers are trying to tell us something, and that's that the Blue Raiders have played a tougher schedule to this point. And that's the case. Louisiana Tech is coming off a 35-28 loss to WKU. QB Jack Turner has 849 passing yards, four TD's and four INT's. Overall the teams concedes 28 PPG. MTSU is off three straight losses, falling 31-23 to Colorado State, 31-10 to WKU and 45-30 to Jacksonville State last week. QB Nicholas Vattiato has 1,576 passing yards, nine TD's and six picks. The defense has so far allowed 37.2 PPG, but take in mind that includes a 56-7 loss at Alabama to open the season. The Blue Raiders are the "hungrier" team in this fight and we're expecting a full four-quarter effort; lay the points, the play is MTSU! AAA Sports |
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10-10-23 | Predators v. Lightning -150 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
8* Lightning (BLOOD-BATH) We're going to lay the price here and expect a decisive victory for the home side. Tampa took both games over Nashville last year. The Predators missed the playoffs for the first time since 2013/14 and they have a new coach this season in Andrew Brunette. Last year it ranked 28th in GPG and 12th in GAA. Tampa had made the Cup Final three years in a row until last season, falling in the first round to the Maple Leafs. The Bolts ranked eighth offensively and finished 14th in GAA. It's opening night and anything can happen right? Not in this case. Yes, the Predators are going to be better this year, but so should Tampa once again this season. In what we anticipate will be a lop-sided destruction, we'll recommend laying the price on Tampa here at home on Opening Night! AAA Sports |
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10-10-23 | Astros v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Twins (ASSASSIN) Here's a great "situational" play, as the first two games of this series went "over" the number, and now here with the shift in venue we're finally expecting more of a "duel." Houston hands the ball to Christian Javier (10-5, 4.56 ERA), who is 4-1 with a 2.20 ERA in 14 playoff games. In his World Series start last year he threw six shutout innings in a win over the Phillies. He'll be opposed by Sonny Gray (8-8, 2.79), who threw five scorless innings in a win over the Jays in the wildcard. Look for these two "studs" to be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-09-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLDS GOW) Arizona is rolling, and dangerous and we think it's once again undervalued in this matchup. After steamrolling the Brewers in two games, the D-Backs smoked the Dodgers 11-2 in Game 1. Now with the superior starter on the hill (in our opinion anyways), we feel that Arizona has a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. However, in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The visitors hand the ball to ace Zac Gallen (1-0, 3.00 ERA) has had difficulties with the Dodgers this year, but he's off the great start vs. the Brewers and this is a case of "that was then, and this is now!" The Dodgers' bullpen was taxed in Game 1 and now they turn to Bobby Miller (11-4, 3.76,) who has been great in his rookie year, but who clearly is in unchartered territory here; lay the price, the play is indeed on Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-09-23 | Packers v. Raiders UNDER 44.5 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Packers/Raiders (BLOODBATH) We're expecting a really defensive affair here. The Packers looked horrible in their loss to the Lions last week, especially offensively getting outgained 401-230. QB Jordan Love is struggling, ranked 34th in the league in completion percentage. The run game is still suffering without Aaron Jones, who may be back, but regardless, Green Bay will have to establish the run throughout here to alleviate the pressure off its struggling young pivot. Las Vegas should have Jimmy G back under center, but he'll be more of a "game manager" here. Look for Josh Jacobs to finally get involved more for LV as well this week; when you add it all up, this number is indeed a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-09-23 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 47 | 3-29 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
8* OVER RedBlacks/Als (SUPER TOTAL) These teams played just last week in Canada's capital and the Als came out on top by a score of 32-15, the total staying "under" the number. Note though that the 4-11 RedBlacks have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Montreal has won three of its last four SU/ATS. It's seen the total go "under" in four straight. Note though that the Als have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. It's a great situational play here, as all signs finally point to more of an offensive affair in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Cowboys +4 v. 49ers | Top | 10-42 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
10* Cowboys (NFC NON-DIV GOM) Two really good teams collide here on Sunday night and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Dallas is 3-1, while San Francisco is 4-0. The 49ers beat Arizona at home last week, while the Cowboys hammered the Patriots at home. This is a revenge game for the visiting side, which fell 19-12 in the divisional round of last year's playoffs. So far Dak Prescott and the Cowboys average 31 PPG, while allowing only 10.3. Brock Purdy and the 49ers average 31.3 PPG, while allowing just 14.6. This really is a case of "Any Given Sunday," as it would not be hard to write a convincing argument for either of these sides to come out on top in this one. For all the reasons listed above, grab as many points as you can; the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Twins v. Astros -136 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -136 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* Astros (BEST OF BEST) We had a play on the Astros 6-4 series-opening win last night, and we think the home side can now smell the blood in the water. As predicted, Minnesota suffered a letdown on the road after their win over the Jays to snap a super long playoff slide. Minnesota is just terrible on the road, now 40-42 away from friendly confines this year. Houston struggled at home uncharacteristically this year, and enters are 40-42. But that said, now that the playoffs are finally here, we just can't understate how important we feel the home-field advantage will play here. Pablo Lopez (11-8, 3.66 ERA) gets the call here for the Twins and while he had a decent year, and a good showing against the Jays in the Wildcard, regression seems imminent here in our opinion in this difficult road venue. He'll be opposed by Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.45), who is 7-2 with a 3.41 ERA in 13 career postseason starts. He's also 3-1 with a 2.37 ERA in seven career appearances vs. Minnesota. Overall we feel we're getting a great price here on Houston at home with the superior starter on the hill; lay the price, the play is indeed on the Astros! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Chiefs v. Vikings +5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 31 m | Show |
10* Vikings (NON-CONF GOY) Note that since 2018 with Patrick Mahomes as the full-time starting QB for KC, the Chiefs are are 17-19 ATS as a road favorite. Despite stumbling at home on Opening night, the Chiefs now enter Week 5 at 3-1. The Vikes though are on the ropes at 1-3, and clearly they'll be risking life and limb here to pull off the minor upset and avoid the 1-4 hole. After three straight losses the Vikes got back on track in last week's 21-13 road win at Carolina. A road game at division rival Chicago won't be easy the following week, so this becomes an almost "do or die" scenario for the Vikes already. KC has won three straight, but it certainly looked shaky in last Sunday night's 23-20 victory at the Jets as a 9-point favorite. With a quick turnaround and a Thursday night game up next at home vs. the Broncos, this not only sets up as a "letdown" spot for KC, but also a "look-ahead" position as well in our opinion, and when you add those two factors together you get "trap game." The outright win is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Texans v. Falcons -1.5 | Top | 19-21 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
10* FALCONS (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 2-2, but we can't understate how important that we feel that the home field advantage will prove for the Falcons in the final outcome of this non-conference contest. Houston is off a 30-6 win at home over Pittsburgh, and we're expecting a predictable letdown hereon the road now. Atlanta is off a 23-7 loss in London to Jacksonville in its last outing. So far Houston has gotten great play from QB CJ Stroud with a 6:0 TD:INT. Overall Houston is averaging 24 PPG, while allowing 19.8. The Falcons are led by RB Bijan Robinson and a run game that averages 128 YPG. ATL has so far averaged only 15.5 PPG, while allowing only 19.25. Look for Desmond Ridder to settle down here at home and for ATL's elite defense to finally get to Stroud. While the rest of the public goes one way on this contest, we're going the other; the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Panthers +10 v. Lions | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
8* Panthers (BLOWOUT) Are we suggesting that the 0-4 Panthers are going to win this game outright? Well, anything can happen of course, but we're not going to be suggesting that here, but we do feel that this one sets up to be WAY more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Lions have won and covered in B2B games, including a highly-satisfying 34-20 road win at nemesis Green Bay last weekend. With B2B road games starting at Tampa Bay next weekend, not only do we feel this sets up as a letdown spot for the home side, but also a "look-ahead" position as well. And when you combine those two factors together you get "trap game!" This play is called our "SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT" for a reason, as this is an awesome "situational" play; the play is Carolina! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Giants +13 v. Dolphins | Top | 16-31 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
10* Giants (BLOOD-BATH) In no way are we suggesting that New York will win this game outright, but we do however feel this is a great situational play as we expect the 1-3 Giants to catch the 3-1 Dolphins at the correct time to keep this one more competitive than what this lop-sided spread is suggesting. Miami beat Denver 70-20, but then came back down to Earth in last week's 48-20 beatdown division road loss at Buffalo. Daniel Jones has so far struggled for the Giants with a 2:6 TD:INT. He's been sacked 22 times already though. The defense hasn't been much better, so far allowing 30.5 PPG. Tua Tagovailoa as a 9:3 TD:INT, but the defense for the Fish is very worrisome, allowing 374.5 YAPG and 29.8 points per contest. This one takes on a very "do or die" feel for the Giants, who took a major step forward last year, but who have regressed so far this season. Look for Miami to take the foot off the gas in the second half and for the hungry Giants to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread that they've been afforded here on the road in Week 5; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | San Jose v. FC Dallas -112 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -112 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
10* FC Dallas (ASSASSIN) FC Dallas had its midweek game vs. Colorado shelved because of bad weather, so the home side is fresh for sure. They tied 1-1 in the reverse fixture at the start of the season, but we can't understate how important we now feel that the home field advantage will prove for FC Dallas this weekend, between teams that are seperated by just one point. A win today and Dallas is guaranteed a playoff spot, but it would also open up the potential way out of the wildcard altogether as well. One game at a time though. Look for FC Dallas to dig deep here and find a way to deliver for us at this great price! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | San Jose State v. Boise State UNDER 59 | Top | 27-35 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER San Jose State/Boise State. Two teams in dire need of a victory collide here on Saturday night, and in our opinion, we're going to see a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Boise State is 2-3 and San Jose State is 1-4. The Spartans have lost five straight road games. QB Chevan Cordeiro has been decent with 1,066 yards passing, six TD's and two INT's. The defense is allowing 33.4 PPG. Boise State concedes 31.6. It's QB Taylen Green has 938 passing yards and a 4:4 TD:INT. The ground game though is the strength of the Broncos by averaging 165.8 YPG. Boise State will look to run this ball, and then run it some more to control the pace of this contest. San Jose State has had a difficult schedule, but this is a tough matchup once again for it and we expect it to once again have difficulties moving the ball. When you add it all up, this number is indeed high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | Twins v. Astros -143 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show |
10* Astros (ALDS GOY) The Twins not only won a playoff game for the first time since 2004, but they also won their wildcard series at home over the Blue Jays in two straight, but we're now expecting a predictable letdown here in the opener of this ALDS. The Astros are the king of the AL, winning four of the last six years. They earned a few days rest and look primed for another deep run. Minnesota has got zero rest and partied big after beating the Jays. This one has "letdown" spot written all over it; lay the price the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | North Texas v. Navy UNDER 61.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER UNT/Navy (AAC TOM) For a number of different reasons we believe this number is way too high. UNT is 2-2, while Navy is 1-3. The Mean Green though have seen the total go "over" the number in all four games this year. That fact has only helped in driving this particular total here in Week 6 a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Navhy has seen its last two games fly "over" the number as well (both losses.) Two teams in dire need of a victory collide here and we're fully expecting this to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. These teams haven't played against each other since 2007, so there's no recent comparisons to make in that department, but from a "situational" stand point, this one sets up beautifully to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. This game is going to be decided in the trenches, and by field position; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | Rangers v. Orioles -140 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
10* Orioles (ASSASSIN) The Rangers rolled over Tampa Bay, but now we believe they'll stumble here in the opener of this ALDS. The Orioles are expected to start Kyle Bradish, while the visitors are expected to start Dane Dunning. We love the way this one sets up for Baltimore though regardless. The Rangers did well against the Orioles in the regular season, but Baltimore was 49-32 at home this year, while the Rangers were just 42-41 on the road. Look for the home side to figure out a way to come out on top here in Game 1 and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | UTSA -14 v. Temple | Top | 49-34 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
10* AAC GOY on UTSA. UTSA is 1-3, while Temple is 2-3. So why are the Roadrunners favored here by so much on the road? Simple, strenght of schedule to this point. Temple is off a road loss at Tulsa, while UTSA lost to Tennessee last weekend. The Roadrunners were without starting QB Frank Harris for a second straight week, but his backups did a great job in defeat, with Owen McCown finishing with 170 yards passing and two TD's. The defense allowed 519 yards, but UTSA finally catches a break here facing the Owls. Harris is listed as probable this weekend. Overall the Roadrunners are the better team here and we're expecting them to make the most of this opportunity. The Owls have a pass heavy offense, but the Roadrunners are generating sacks on 8.73 percent of opponent's drop backs, which is Top 30 in the country. Temple gave up 34 points to Miami in a loss two weeks ago, and then 48 to Tulsa last week. EJ Wanrer had 269 yards passing and two TD's on 50 attempts. The Owls have been terrible in the red zone as well. Look for the Roadrunners to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is UTSA! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | Chelsea -130 v. Burnley | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
10* Chelsea (EPL GOM) Burnley is in 18th place in the Premier League. Somehow it managed a win over Luton Town 2-1 last week, but an immediate return to mediocrity is fully expected by us here this Saturday. Chelsea moved up to 11th with its 2-0 win over Fulham at home and we're expecting a similar final result here as well. If recent history is any precedence, then Chelsea has to be confident here that it can keep the good times rolling (remember, many pundits believed that the Blues had a legitimate shot at winning the league this season!) as it's only lost once in the last 16 in this series, with the only outright loss coming back in 2017. Burnley has lost all four of its home matches, so the home field is anything but an advantage here this weekend either. All things considered we feel that this line could/should in fact be a lot larger; the play is Chelsea! AAA Sports |
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10-06-23 | Nebraska v. Illinois UNDER 43.5 | Top | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 76 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Nebraska/Illinois (BIG TEN TOY) Two struggling Big Ten teams collide on Friday night. The Huskers are 2-3 straight up and 2-3 against the spread as well and they're also 0-2 straight up on the road. Illinois is 2-3 as well, but it's 2-1 at home. What does definitley stand out here though is that the Illini are so far 0-5 against the spread to open the year. Nebraska is going back and forth with its quarterbacks, but it looks like Henrich Haarberg has emerged as their No. 1 guy over Jeff Simms. Haarberg has only completed 54 percent of his passes, but he's the teams best rusher. Illinois is led by Luke Altmyer, who has looked bad of late. He looked banged up in last week's 44-19 loss to Purdue. The Illini passing game is in the bottom half of nation in EPA/pass and so far he has a negative touchdown to interception ratio. We love standing in front of trains and predicting when a lop-sided streak, either good or bad, will come to an end but we're going to steer clear of a side in this one on Friday night between these two struggling teams and instead focus on the tota; and we're going with the "under" here. Both of these offenses are in really bad shape right now. Nebraska is so far limiting opponents to less than five yards per play (which is 25th in the country.) In what should be an evenly matched "WAR OF ATTRITION," the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-05-23 | Bears +7 v. Commanders | Top | 40-20 | Win | 100 | 54 h 30 m | Show |
10* BEARS (GOW) The Bears are 0-4, blowing a 21-point lead last week at home to the Broncos and falling 31-28 as 3-point dogs. It's do or die for Chicago this week. Essentially, the season is already over, but for all intents and purposes, there will be zero chance of the playoffs at 0-5. Washington is 2-2, but it's now lost two straight after also choking away a big lead on the road to the Eagles. Both teams come in off terrible losses, but we still believe that the Bears will be the more motivated side here. The Bears got the best game of the season out of Justin Fields last week, going 28 of 35 for 335 yards and 4:1 TD:INT. Sam Howell on the other hand has a 5:4 TD:INT so far this year. We're giving Fields the advantage here and we believe that Chicago has a legitimate shot at winning this one outright; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +6.5 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -103 | 53 h 31 m | Show |
10* Louisana Tech (GOW) WKU is 3-2, while Louisana Tech is 3-3. The Hilltoppers are 1-0 on the road, while the Bulldogs are 2-0 at home. WKU is off a 31-10 home win over MTSU. QB Austin Reed wasn't the most efficient, but finished 30 of 52 for 297 yards, two TD's and an INT. Louisiana Tech is off the 24-10 road win over UTEP. QB Jack Turner was much more efficient, finishing 9 of 20 for 152 yards and a TD. So far WKU is averaging 31.6 PPG, while allowing 29.2. Louisiana Tech is averaging 27 PPG, and conceding 25.7. Why is the line the way it is? The possiblility that Bulldogs' starting QB Hank Bachmeier may not play. Look for players though like RB Tyre Shelton, who has 318 rushing yards and three rushing TD's to step up this week. It's next man up for this hungry home side and while the Bulldos may fall short of winning outright, we're definitely expecting a full out battle until the very end; grab the points, the play is Louisiana Tech! AAA Sports |
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10-04-23 | DC United v. Austin +110 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
10* Austin FC (GOM) DC United may have picked up draws in its last two MLS competitions, but we feel its well in over it head here on the road this weekend. What do you base your picks on? We base ours on many different things, but for us, this one sets up fantastically from a situational stand point. Austin FC is still in the playoff hunt, while DC United can only hope to play spoiler here. We feel that the home field advantage will prove critical here, as we expect DC to just go through the motions in this one; lay the price with Austin FC in regulation! AAA Sports |
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10-04-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -151 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* Phillies (WC GOY) We had a play on the Phillies yesterday, and we like the home side to now finish off this series and get ready for the Divisional round with Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.46 ERA) on the hill. Nola didn't finish the season strong, but he's had plenty of time to rest up here and note that he's 6-3 with a 3.30 ERA in front of the home town crowd this season. The Fish counter with Braxton Garrett (9-7, 3.66) who has never even thrown in the Playoffs. Garrett was actually 6-3 with a 2.85 ERA on the road, but we still feel he's completely overmatched here at this difficult and unfriendly venue; lay the price with confidence, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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10-04-23 | Jacksonville State v. Middle Tennessee State OVER 51.5 | Top | 45-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
10* OVER Jacksonville State/MTSU. MTSU is 1-4, and Jacksonville State is 4-1. So why are the Blue Raiders favored here today? Because they've played the much more difficult schedule. They're also in dire need of some victories now that conference play is in full swing if they have any hope of a Bowl berth. Jacksonville State is off the 35-28 win over Sam Houston State, and we expect the Gamecocks to keep that offensive momentum rolling here. With MTSU pushing the pace of this one like we anticipate, this great situational play will eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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10-03-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -150 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
8* Phillies (SLUG-FEST.) The Phillies used "momentum" at the end of last season and rode that wave all the way until the World Series. Philadelphia caught fire like that at the end of this regular season as well, and now I expect the experienced home side to make the most of this opportunity. The difference-maker is the starting pitchers, as we feel that Zach Wheeler (13-6, 3.61 ERA) has a major advantage here. Wheeler is 10-4 with a 2.48 ERA in 22 career starts vs. the Marlins. He's 1-3 with a 2.78 ERA in six playoff games. The Fish counter with Jesus Luzardo (10-9, 3.63), who is 3-0 with a 3.26 ERA in five career starts vs. Philadelphia, but who is 0-1 with a 5.91 ERA in three career playoff appearances. As stated off the top, experience in this case will prove to crucial; lay the price with confidence, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants UNDER 47.5 | Top | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hawks/Giants (TOW) This total has been bet up since the opening number, and we now feel its too high. We liked the opening number as well to go under the number. Either way, we're not expecting a shootout here, but instead we expect this game to be won in the trenches, and with field position, similar to what we saw on Sunday night between the Chiefs and Jets. Seattle is unbelievably 5-0 in this building, but after playing to B2B "overs," and with their bye week up next, we're expecting the Hawks to have their hands full here with this hungry home side looking to avoid falling to 1-3. With each team committed to establishing the run like we predict, we're indeed expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle here on Monday night; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Chiefs v. Jets +9 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
8* Jets (BAIL-OUT) We're contrarian handicappers, and this is the biggest contrarian play on the board. While the majority goes one way, we're going to go the other. The Chiefs are going to win this game, but this isn't College, and KC doesn't need to up the score to impress anyone. It just has to leave NY without any significant injuries and the "W." With a game at Minnesota next week, we do indeed expect the Chiefs to take the foot off the gas in the second half and leave the back door open just enough for the hungry Zach Wilson to sneak in through the down the stretch; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Rams v. Colts +1 | 29-23 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
8* Colts (DESTRUCTION) The 1-2 Rams are on the road for a second straight week and we believe they'll run out of gas here vs. the "under the radar" 2-1 Colts. Last week the Rams lost to a poor Bengals team, and now they face a good Colts team that has the advantage of playing in front of the home town crowd. The Colts have looked great with QB Gardner Minshew, but whether he, or Anthony Richardson gets the call under center, we like the home side and it's tough defensive play to be too much for LA to handle on the road. QB Matt Stafford has gone down hill for LA since his Week 1 win over the Hawks, expect that regression to continue here in this difficult road venue; the play is Indianapolis! AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Broncos v. Bears +3.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
8* Bears (WINNER) Here is a great situational play. These are easily the two worst teams in the NFL right now. The Broncos just gave up 70 points, and the Bears and Justin Fields have not been able to move the ball and put any points on the board. But a date vs. the hapless Broncos is just what the doctor ordered for Fields here. This is a great matchup for the Bears and Fields, who will be able to control the tempo and clock throughout. While the outright win is clearly what we feel will occur, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on Chicago! AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Bucs v. Saints -3.5 | Top | 26-9 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
10* Saints (NFC SOUTH GOM) Both NFC South teams are 2-1, so the winner will have a big leg up in the division. New Orleans though gets ready to welcome back dynamic RB Alvin Kamara, and we feel he'll be a big difference-maker in the outcome of this one. Tampa was riding high after two games, but it sure came back down to Earth in last week's loss. Tampa's defense has been great, but we feel it'll finally struggle here to keep Mayfield from looking terrible. Derek Carr is out for the Saints, but that just means that his equal in Jameis Winston steps up to take over, super motivated here to now maintain this starters role. We expect Mayfield to take another predictable step back again here in this difficult road venue; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Steelers v. Texans +3 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
10* Texans (UNDERDOG GOM) Pittsburgh is 2-1 SU, while Houston is 1-2. The Steelers are off an impressive 23-18 win at Las Vegas as 3-point dogs, but with a home game vs. division rival Baltimore next weekend, not only do we feel this sets up as a letdown spot after the upset road win, but also a look ahead spot. This is a "trap" game for Pittsburgh. Houston on the other hand comes in off its first win of the year, demolishing the Jaguars 37-17 as 7.5-point underdogs. While we do feel the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Houston! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Nevada +25 v. Fresno State | Top | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 28 m | Show |
10* Nevada (MW GOY) Outright win? Of course not! For us, this is an unbelievably great "situational" play. Nevada 0-4 SU, and 2-2 ATS, while Fresno State is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. The Wolf Pack are off a 35-24 loss as a 17-point underdog at Texas State, but we feel they offer great value to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. With a game at Wyoming next week though, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot for the home side, but it's also a "look ahead." That = "trap game!" Look for the hungry Wolfpack to keep this one competitive late; grab the points, the play is Nevada! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech +2.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 53 h 36 m | Show |
10* Virginia Tech (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 1-3, but we can't understate how important we feel that the home field advantage will prove in the final outcome of this contest. To say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement though, as Pittsburgh has won three straight in the series. Pittsburgh if off the 41-34 loss to UNC. QB Phil Jurkovec had 109 yards passing before leaving with an injury. So far the Panthers average just 17 PPG. VT is coming off a hard-fought 24-17 loss to Marhall. QB Kyron Drones had two rushing TD's, as well as throwing for 159 yards and no INT's. The VT run game posted 184 years, and we believe that the Panthers will have a difficult time slowing it down here as well; clearly the outright win is possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Virginia Tech! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Oregon v. Stanford +27.5 | Top | 42-6 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 20 m | Show |
10* Stanford (PAC 12 GOM) Oregon is 4-0 SU/ATS, but with a week off next weekend, followed by a game at Washington, not only do we feel this sets up as a classic "letdown" spot, but it's also a "look-ahead" position. When you add those two factors together you get "trap game!" That's what we're basing this pick on, a great situational play as we do indeed feel this is a "trap." No such luxury obviously for 1-3 Stanford, who nealry pulled off the epic upset last week in a 21-20 home loss to Arizona as a 13-point underdog; no outright win, but closer than expected, so grab the points with the Cardinal! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Georgia v. Auburn +15 | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 56 m | Show |
10* Auburn (SEC GOM) Georgia is 4-0, but 0-3-1 ATS. With nearly 90% of the money on the Bulldogs here though, we're going full on contrarian and going theother way with Auburn. The Tigers are 3-1 SU, and 1-3 ATS. The Bulldogs are B2B National Champs, but getting a little TOO much respect here in our opinion; grab the points, because this is a great situational play on Auburn! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Indiana +14.5 v. Maryland | Top | 17-44 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 30 m | Show |
10* Indiana (BIG TEN GOM) Maryland is 4-0 SU, and they've outscored their opponents 149-49 so far. We're not predicting an outrigh upet here or anything, but we do think there are plenty of reasons to believe that the home side will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow the hungry visiting side enough room to sneak in through down the stretch. Indiana is 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS. Not only is this a natural "letdown" spot after four straight wins and playing at home here as a huge favorite, but it's also a "look ahead" position for the Terps, who are on the road at Ohio State next week. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Indiana! AAA Sports |
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09-29-23 | Saskatchewan +10 v. BC | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
10* Riders (WEST-CONF GOY) After three straight SU victories, we believe the Lions come in complacent here, and they leave the back door wide open for the hungry 6-8 Riders to sneak in through down the stretch. BC is off the satisfying 37-29 road win at Edmonton. Saskatchewan comes in on the other end of the spectrum, desperate to snap a three-game slide, most recently a 36-38 loss in Ottawa. Situationally we feel this one sets up well for us, with the public quick to jump on the Lions here. BC won this game here back on July 19th by a score of 19-9, but the Riders beat the Lions at home. This is the third and final game of the season series and we're expecting much more of a battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. For us to pull the trigger on a GAME OF YEAR, or GAME OF MONTH etc, it HAS to set up extremely well for whatever team we're on from a "situational" standpoint. And this one does for Saskatchewan; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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09-29-23 | Cubs -111 v. Brewers | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* Cubs (ASSASSIN) The Brewers have clinched, and the slumping Cubs have essentially now run out of time. It's do-or-die time for Chicago, and because of that, we're expecting Kyle Hendricks and the visiting side to dig deep here and find a way to deliver in the opener of this series. Evenly matched starters here with Hendricks (6-8, 3.66 ERA) going up against Colin Rea (6-6, 4.74,) but the intenstiy and focus in which we're expecting the Cubs to play with here will turn out to be the difference-maker. Chicago has the right man on the hill for the job; lay the price, the play is the Cubs! AAA Sports |
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09-29-23 | Louisville v. NC State +3.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
10* NC State (ACC GOW) Louisville is 4-1, and NC State is 3-1. In a battle that we see being decided by whichever of these team's has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Louisville may be 4-0 SU, but it's just 2-2 ATS, and 0-2 ATS on the road. NC State is 0-4 ATS right now, but here's a great opportunity for the Wolfpack, with the Cardinals getting caught "looking ahead" to their game at home vs. Notre Dame next weekend; the outright is possible, but grab the points with NC State on Friday night! AAA Sports |
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09-28-23 | Lions v. Packers +2 | Top | 34-20 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* Packers (NFC NORTH GOM) They say that divisional games are the most important, and they almost always mean the most to the home side. Yes, Detroit may on paper have played the harder schedule to this point, but the bottom line here is that these teams are both 2-1. The winner of this game will have a clear leg up in the division. They'll play the reverse fixture in Detroit on Thanksgiving Day. We expect Jordan Love to continue his progression here though and to get the better of his counterpart Jared Goff on the road, who has been consistently inconsistent away from friendly confines. A great "situational" play on the Packers! AAA Sports |
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09-28-23 | Middle Tennessee State +6.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -108 | 29 h 2 m | Show |
10* MTSU (CONF USA GOY) We like MTSU to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door with what we feel is a generous amount of points afforded to it. The Blue Raiders are 1-3 SU, while Western Kentucky is 2-2. MTSU has played a tough schedule though, losing 56-7 to Alabama, 23-19 to Missouri and 31-23 to Colorado State. The lone victory was a commanding 35-14 victory over Murray State. The Blue Raiders are led by Nicholas Vattiato who has an impressive 916 yards and 7:2 TD:INT. WKU opened 2-0, but the Hilltoppers enter with zero momentum after two straight losses. Most recently they lost 63-10 to Ohio State and 27-24 to Troy. QB Austin Reed has 1,071 passing yards and 9:1 TD:INT. MTSU is the better overall team here, and much more battle-tested. Everything does point to an upset, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is MTSU! AAA Sports |