At 8:15pm ET, my selection is on Washington/Green Bay under the total. After high-scoring Sunday and Monday night games, it's easy to overlook that Week 1 favored unders. The Commanders and Packers played a big role in this trend. Green Bay limited the typically potent Lions to 13 points and 246 yards, while managing just 14 first downs and 266 yards themselves. The Commanders held the Giants to only 6 points, keeping them out of the end zone. With both defenses performing strongly and both teams on a short week, it is my strong opinion that the current total is too high. All 3 meetings since 2019 have finished with 44 or less and this one is going to do the same. Play on the under.

At 1:00pm ET, my AFC Total of the Month is on Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts Under. A very high total for this AFC battle. The Dolphins have a goal of revitalizing their running game this season and they'll be committed to establishing the run from the onset. The Colts are likely to take the same approach in looking to run the ball with regularity. Though Tagovailoa didn't play, last year's game finished with only 26 points. Daniel Jones struggled (119 yards, no touchdowns and was sacked six times) in his lone start versus the Dolphins. Play on the under.

At 7:30pm ET, my August Total Of the Month is on Missouri St vs USC Under. We think of the Trojans as a team which is always flying over the total. That was the case in 2023 as the over was 9-3 in their games. The over was 9-3 in Trojan games in 2022 and 7-5 the previous year. So, a 25-11 over mark for the 3-year period between 2021-2023. So, its no wonder the perception of the Trojans being an 'over' team still lingers. That changed last season though, as the over was only 6-6 in their games. USC was much improved in both yards and points allowed. With 7 starters back on defense, the Trojans are expected to improve again defensively. The Trojans will host a Missouri State team which was 3-1 to the under in non-conference games last season and which is going to have trouble scoring. USC pitched a shutout in its "home" opener last season. Behind another big effort from the Trojan defense, play on the under. 

At 2:00pm Et, my selection is on Zrinjski vs Utrecht Over. Thursday's Zrinjski Mostar vs. FC Utrecht match at Stadion Galgenwaard is likely to see more than two goals due to Utrecht’s potent attacking form and Zrinjski’s need to chase the game after losing 2-0 in the first leg. Therefore, though we successfully supported Utrecht in the first leg, we favor the total here. Utrecht, who scored twice in Mostar through David Min and Victor Jensen, have been prolific in the Europa League qualifiers, netting 14 goals across five matches, with all games featuring at least two goals. Zrinjski, now forced to attack to overturn the deficit, is likely to open up its play, exposing its defense to Utrecht’s clinical forwards, who recently thrashed Excelsior 4-1. With Utrecht’s high-pressing style and Zrinjski’s counter-attacking threat, the game should easily produce three or more goals as both teams push for a decisive result. Play on the over. 

At 12:45pm ET, my selection is on Sparta Prague vs Riga Under .Tuesday's second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League playoff between Sparta Prague and Riga FC, following a 2-0 victory for Sparta Prague in the first leg, is likely to be lower scoring than many might expect due to several tactical and contextual factors. First, Sparta Prague’s 2-0 lead gives it a comfortable cushion, incentivizing a defensive approach to protect its aggregate advantage. Sparta's recent form shows a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.8 goals per match on average in the competition, with a 40% clean sheet rate. This suggests they can effectively control games and limit opponents’ scoring opportunities, as seen in the first leg where Riga managed only three total shots. Sparta’s strategy will focus on maintaining possession (averaging 61% in recent matches) and slowing the tempo to frustrate Riga, reducing the likelihood of an open, high-scoring game. Second, Riga FC's attacking output has been somewhat inconsistent, with an average of 2.8 goals scored per match but a 10% failure-to-score rate and a modest expected goals (xG) of 1.72. In the first leg, Riga failed to score, managing just one offside and three shots, indicating difficulty penetrating Sparta’s defense. Riga’s 40% clean sheet rate and Sparta’s ability to keep games tight (60% of away games under 2.5 goals) suggest a cautious, low-risk approach from both sides. The match’s high stakes, with Sparta aiming to secure advancement and Riga needing a disciplined comeback, are likely to result in a tightly contested game with fewer clear-cut chances. I'll be surprised if either team scores more than one and another clean sheet won't surprise. Play on the under. 

At 2:45pm Et, my Golden Goal selection is on Brentford FC vs Bournemouth Under. Both these teams gave up more goals in they wanted to in their opening league matches. Each responded with a much better defensive effort on Saturday, Bournemouth beat Wolverhampton 1-0 and Brentford defeated Aston Villa 1-0. That elite defense and goal-tending will carry over into Tuesday's EFL Cup match. While the Bees won on Saturday, they were dominated in terms of possession. They will have trouble scoring. Playing without striker Enes Unal again, Bournemouth is also going to struggle to find the back of the net. Play on the under.

At 2:45pm ET, my La Liga Total Of the Month is on Torino vs Inter Milan Over. Torino faces a challenging match at San Siro on Monday against a determined Inter Milan, eager to redeem last season's late collapse. Torino, caught in Inter's path, has a tough task ahead, as Inter is likely to dominate and surpass the low goal total on its own. Historically, Torino struggles at San Siro, remaining winless in its last 18 league visits, including games against AC Milan. However, Torino should still contribute (at least) a goal. The past four head-to-head matches averaged three goals, with the last two averaging 3.5. Expect at least three goals in this Serie A opening matchday. Play on the over. 

At 7:00pm ET, my CUSA Total Of The Month is on Sam Houston St vs Western Kentucky Under the total. Both these CUSA teams suffered significant losses. WKU has only 2 returning offensive starters, compared to 9 last year when the Hilltoppers averaged 26.8 points per game. Sam Houston fared worse, averaging 23.8 points per game. Last season's matchup resulted in 45 (31-14) combined points, and the year prior, 51 points. Sam Houston’s last three season openers averaged just 31 combined points. With both teams integrating many new players, the score will stay under the high total. Play on the under.

At 2:30pm ET, my selection is on RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Under the total. Bayern Munich is always very dangerous but this is the first match of the season. It'll take some time to adjust to the absence of play creator Jamal Musiala. Though Bayern will likely tally a couple, Leipzig, which no longer has striker Benjamin Sesko, is going to have trouble scoring a single goal. Bayern will be motivated to deliver a clean sheet. With neither side likely to be at their best on the opening matchday, goals aren't going to be as plentiful as the high O/U line suggests. Play on the under. 

At 7:00pm Et, my Eastern Conference Total Of the Month is on Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Over. These teams played a low-scoring game against each other two days ago, at Washington. Today's rematch at Mohegan Sun Arena will be higher-scoring because both the Washington Mystics and Connecticut Sun are likely to bounce back offensively after a game where defensive intensity and poor shooting (Mystics 43.5% FG, Sun 45.6%) kept the score down. This season's previous meeting at Mohegan Sun Arena finished with 175 points and went well over the total, indicating the potential for high-scoring affairs when these teams meet on this court. The Mystics, led by Sonia Citron’s 15.3 points per game and a fast-paced, guard-oriented offense, should exploit Connecticut’s 11th-ranked defensive rating, while the Sun, with players like Tina Charles and Saniya Rivers, have shown improved offensive output recently, averaging 78.5 points over their last 10 games. Both teams are going to want to win and the scoring is likely to keep going right until the final seconds. The teams rank eighth and ninth in pace, suggesting a relatively fast tempo that will push the score over the low total. Play on the over.

At 10:00pm ET, my selection is on the Dallas Wings vs Los Angeles Sparks Under the total. The Dallas Wings and Los Angeles Sparks are likely to go under the high total in tonight's WNBA game due to several factors. This over/under line is notably elevated, having climbed from its opening number and significantly surpassing the totals of this season's previous head-to-head meetings this season, which were set at 174.5 and 178.5. Historically, none of the past 10 meetings between these teams had a total as high as this one, suggesting the line may be inflated. While neither defense is that strong, both teams have struggled offensively at times, with Dallas ranking mid-tier in scoring and LA having managed 86 last time out and just 59 points in a game within the past couple of weeks. The past 4 h2h meetings were all at Dallas; the last one at LA finished with only 153 points and the one before that had 167. Play on the under. Will Rogers split yesterday, 1-0 with WNBA but 0-1 with MMA. Off yesterday's winner with the NY Liberty, Rogers is 13-6 his past 19 WNBA. Better still, he's on a long-term +$40,610 RUN with his WNBA/NBA selections. Pick up Wednesday's Super Slam and hit the hardwood with confidence!

At 8:00pm ET, my selection is on the Buffalo Bills vs Chicago Bears Under the total. This is one of the highest preseason totals which we have seen. The run of overs has finally led to these numbers getting driven up. In this case, it's too high. The Bears were unhappy with their defensive effort in Week 1 and we will see them improve in that area today. Ditto for the Bills. Buffalo's Week 2 preseason game was a 9-3 final score last year. This will be another defensive battle. Play on the under.

At 7:10pm ET, my selection is on Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Under. Since 2019 the 5 Little League Classic games have averaged 6 combined runs, none of them finishing with more than 8. Kirby and Holmes are each usually tough. They both have identical 3.71 ERA's. Holmes wasn't brilliant last start but Kirby was. He allowed 3 hits in 7 shutout innings. He's 6-1 with a 2.55 ERA his past 7 games. Enjoy the game and go with the under.

At 1:00pm ET, my selection is on the New England Patriots vs Minnesota Vikings Under the total. The preseason games have been primarily going over the total so far. Here's a game which will buck that trend. The Patriots put up a big number in their first preseason game but this week wil be far more difficult. The Vikings defensive line has been dominant in joint practices. Having seen the offense clicking last week, the Patriots will now look to focus on getting the defense playing at that level. This game will feature a heavy dose of running and will be a hard-hitting low-scoring battle. Play on the Under. 

At 3:00pm ET, my EPL Total Of the Week is on Bournemouth vs Liverpool Under. Of course, Liverpool is a very big favorite. The Reds should win but I'm more interested in the total. The combination of Bournemouth's defensive resilience and Liverpool's potential early-season adjustment issues should lead to a low-scoring match. Despite Liverpool's potent attack, its recent Community Shield performance exposed defensive vulnerabilities and a lack of cohesion among new signings. I see that leading to a more cautious approach this afternoon. Bournemouth, under Andoni Iraola, has shown defensive compactness in recent friendlies, including a 2-0 shutout against Leicester, and its ability to frustrate top sides was evident last season. Historical head-to-head data also supports a lower-scoring affair, with last season's matches both staying below the 3.5-goal threshold, scores of 2-0 and 3-0. Expect a tightly contested game where Bournemouth's disciplined setup limits Liverpool's scoring opportunities, likely resulting in one of the following final scores: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1 or 3-0. Play on the under. 

At 1:00pm ET, my selection is on the Miami Dolphins vs Chicago Bears Under. Last year, Miami head coach Mike McDaniel chose to go with backup quarterbacks Skylar Thompson and Mike White in the Dolphins' preseason opener, resting Tua Tagovailoa until the second exhibition game. That led to a 33-point game against Atlanta. This year, McDaniel is expected to roll with Zach Wilson and Quinn Ewers. Chicago is expected to go with backups Tyson Bagent and Case Keenum. A battle of back-ups between 2 teams which both have important divisional games upcoming in September will again lead to a relatively low-scoring game. Play on the under.

At 8:30pm Et, my MLS Total Of the Month is on Portland vs FC Dallas Under. Portland, despite a potent attack, is on short rest after three Leagues Cup matches in 10 days, potentially leading to fatigue and reduced scoring efficiency. The Timbers are off a 1-1 draw on Wednesday. Additionally, Portland’s historical difficulty winning in Frisco (only one victory since 2014) and Dallas’ focus on shoring up its defense under coach Eric Quill, who emphasizes getting back to basics, point to a low-scoring, tightly contested match. The last h2h meeting was a 0-0 draw. Four of the past 5 h2h matches have finished with 2 goals or less. Play on the under. 

At 8:10pm ET, my AL Central Total Of The Year is on Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Under. The Twins gutted their roster but steady Joe Ryan remains. Ryan is 10-5 with a 2.83 ERA on the season and his ERA dips to 2.46 (0.884 WHIP) when he pitches at night. Seth Lugo has also been rock solid. He's 8-5 with a 3.06 ERA this season, 5-0 with a 2.62 ERA over the past 2 months. These same pitchers opposed each other in the spring and the score was 4-0. Lugo was good and Ryan was great. With that result, the under is 17-11-2 in KC divsional games this season. Play on the under.

At 7:30pm ET, my CFL Total of The Year is on Edmonton Elks vs Montreal Alouettes Under. Edmonton is 3-0 to the under its past 3 games. The Elks defense has improved but they scored only 14, 18 and 24 points in those games. Montreal is 2-0 to the under its past 2 games. The Alouettes scored only 6 points last game. Their last 5 games have all finished with 52 or fewer points. When the Elks played here last August, the total was 51 and the teams combined for only 38 points, a 21-17 Montreal win. A similar type of game is anticipated. Play on the under. 

At 10:00pm ET, my NFLX Western Conf. Total Of the Year is on the Las Vegas Raiders vs Seattle Seahawks Under the total. The storyline is all about Pete Carroll and Geno Smith, now with the Raiders, returning to Seattle. Its still a Week 1 preseason game though. Smith is expected to play but he won't be around too long. The Seahawks aren't expected to play any starters at all. The total climbed on the news that the Raiders would play some starters and that's given us excellent line value. Twelve of 16 Week 1 games last preseason finished with 37 or fewer points and only 2 of those 16 games reached the 40 mark. Play on the under.

At 4:10pm ET, my American League Total Of The Year is on Seattle/Chicago under the total. The first two games of the series were high-scoring affairs, but this afternoon’s finale is poised to be a pitcher’s duel. Logan Gilbert, boasting a 2.27 ERA and an impressive 0.67 WHIP at home, has been dominant, striking out 17 batters without a walk in his last two home starts. His past three outings have yielded an average of just four runs per game, with scores of 4-3, 4-1, and 1-0. Shane Smith, meanwhile, has been steady, allowing exactly two runs in each of his last two starts. He held the Mariners to only 2 hits (3 runs) in 5 innings earlier. Despite the White Sox’s recent offensive outbursts, they’ve been a profitable under bet against American League opponents all season. With somewhat cooler weather expected in Seattle this afternoon and Gilbert on the mound for the home team, the bats will stay quiet. Play on the under.

At 11:45pm ET, my selection is on Hyun Sung Park vs Tatsuro Taira Under. Tonight's Hyun Sung Park vs. Tatsuro Taira bout is likely to finish quickly due to both fighters' aggressive styles and high finishing rates. Park, with an undefeated 10-0 record, has ended his last nine fights inside the distance, including three UFC stoppages via knockout and submission, showcasing his ability to capitalize on mistakes with powerful striking and grappling. Taira, a skilled grappler with a 16-1 record, has secured 12 of his wins inside the distance, often using his elite ground game to lock in submissions or ground-and-pound finishes. The short-notice nature of the fight for Park, combined with Taira’s experience against top competition and relentless wrestling, could lead to a quick finish if Taira exploits Park’s aggressive striking to secure a takedown and submission or if Park lands a decisive blow early. I've got Taira securing an early submission. Either way, this fight won't last long. Play on the under.

At 3:00pm ET, my selection is on the Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces Under. Minnesota leads the WNBA in defensive rating (98.4) and allows the fewest points per game (76.0), often holding opponents below 80 points. Meanwhile the Aces rank eighth in offensive output (81.6 PPG) and struggle with efficiency, shooting just 42.0% from the field. The Lynx's ability to slow down A'ja Wilson and limit Las Vegas' three-point shooting (32.5% as a team) will help to keep this game low-scoring, especially given Minnesota's slower pace (11th in the league). Two of the past 3 head-head meetings have finished with less than 160 points. Play on the under. 

My NFLX Total Of the Month is on Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions Under. This total might seem low but given conservative nature of preseason games, particularly this early exhibition match, it's actually quite generous. The past 10 Hall of Fame Games averaged 31.8 points, with 12 of the last 16 going under the total, as teams prioritize evaluating backups and rookies over aggressive play-calling. (If you throw out last year's game which didn't count as an O/U play, the last 10 HOF games averaged 30.7) Starters typically play limited snaps, if any, reducing offensive firepower, and coaches like Jim Harbaugh for the Chargers emphasize rigid defense and controlled tempo, further limiting scoring opportunities. Last year, the Lions lost their first preseason game 14-3 and the Chargers lost their first preseason game 16-3. They both went on to have excellent seasons. So, there should be no reason for concern or urgency to change anything in their first preseason game. Both teams’ backups nd depth players are unlikely to produce high-scoring outputs, favoring a low-scoring, defensive game. Play on the Under

At 10:00pm ET, my #1 Non-Conference Total Of The Month is on Atlanta Dream vs Las Vegas Aces Under. The Aces have seen the under go 8-2 against Eastern Conference teams and the Dream are one of the top defensive teams in the league. This will be the first meeting of the season. Last season's three games all stayed well below the total. Despite having totals ranging from 164.5 to 173, the three games finished with scores of 155, 154 and 152. Play on the under

At 11:15pm Et, my UFC total of the Month is on Daniel Rodriguez vs Kevin Holland Under the total. Rodriguez and Holland were actually supposed to fight in 2022, at UFC 279. However, Khamzat Chimaev missed weight for his fight with Nate Diaz and that ended up causing the entire card to change (Holland ended up fighting Chimaev and Rodriguez ended up fighting Li Jingliang.) Three years later, the fight will finally happen. Dating back to a loss to Chimaev that night, Holland is 5-6 his last 11. Only 3 of those 11 fights went the distance. Holland's most recent fight resulted in an early 2nd round submission victory. Rodriguez ended up defeating Jingliang that night that he was supposed to fight Holland but lost his next 3. He's rebounded with back-to-back wins most recently an early third round TKO over Ponzinibbio. Both fighters have demonstrated their finishing ability. Four of Holland's last 5 fights have ended in the first 2 rounds and 3 of those finished in the first round. This will be another early finish. Play on the under.

At 9:30pm Et, my MLS Non-Conference Total Of The Year is on FC Cincinnati vs Real Salt lake Over the total. FC Cincinnati is engaged in a tight three-way race for first place in the Eastern Conference, competing with Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC. The standings show three teams with 44, 45 and 46 points, each having played 23 matches. However, FC Cincinnati's defensive record is less robust, conceding 31 goals compared to Philadelphia's 22 and Nashville's 25. Offensively, FC Cincinnati has scored 38 goals, resulting in an average of exactly three goals per match. Recently, Real Salt Lake, a Western Conference team, has been consistent in attack, scoring at least one goal in each of its last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Despite a challenging start to the season, Real Salt Lake has shown significant improvement in recent weeks, entering the matchup with strong momentum. FC Cincinnati, coming off a three-goal performance in its latest match, leads the league with the most points earned on the road.Given the offensive output of FC Cincinnati and the recent scoring form of Real Salt Lake, expect both to score, with at least the winning side netting multiple goals. Play on the Over.

At 3:00pm ET, my Euro Cup Total Of The Year is on England vs Sweden Under. Since a disappointing opening match loss, England’s defensive structure has significantly improved. England will be difficult to score against and a clean sheet won't come as a surprise. Scoring won't come easily for the defending champions either as Sweden has conceded just one goal in the competition. England won 4-0 in the 2022 Euro Cup against Sweden but the most recent 2 h2h matches have finished with scores of 1-1 and 0-0. Play on the under.

At 8:00pm Et, my Eastern Conference Total Of The Year is on Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun Under. The total is very high but only one of these teams scores enough points to justify that. The Indiana Fever demonstrate strong offensive capabilities, while the Connecticut Sun struggle to score, averaging a league-low 71.7 points per game. This matchup's point total is generously high given the Sun's offensive challenges, including the WNBA's lowest field goal and three-point shooting percentages. In the most recent head-to-head meeting, which happened to also have a comparable total, the final score was 88-71 in Indiana's favor, staying under the total. That was at Indiana but the Sun's defense performs better at home. Connecticut has held each of its last five opponents to 86 points or less, an average of 83. Expect Connecticut's offensive woes combined with its slightly more respectable home court defense to contribute to a lower-scoring game, one which stays below the big total. Play on the under.

At 7:00pm Et, my Western Conference Total Of The Year is on B.C. Lions vs Edmonton Elks Over. The Elks last game had a score of 39-33. They have allowed more than 30 points in all 4 games this season and they've allowed at least 30 in 6 straight games, dating back to last season. Despite playing one less game than most of the others, the Elks have allowed more points than any other Western Conference team. The Lions are off a low-scoring game against Montreal - which was fine, as we had the under. They've allowed the 2nd most points in the West though and they gave up 37 and 34 points in their previous 2 road games. BC's last 2 visits here averaged 57.5 points. With both teams having a good shot at cracking the 30-mark, this one flies over the total. Play on the over. 

At 7:30pm ET, my selection is on Atlanta United vs Toronto FC Over the total. Both these teams often struggle to score. That's factored into the low O/U line. Both teams also struggle to keep the ball out of the net. Atlanta is especially bad on defense, conceding 37 goals in 20 matches. Atlanta and Toronto's head-to-head record shows an average of 3.12 goals per match across 17 encounters, with both teams scoring in 71% of those games, indicating a pattern of open, goal-heavy contests. Four of the past 6 h2h matches finished with at least 3 goals, all 6 producing at last 2. Those 6 matches averaged 3.3 goals. Given Atlanta's porous defense, Toronto could easily go over by itself. That won't be necessary though as Atlanta will also contribute. Play on the over. 

At 9:38pm Et, my July Total Of the Month is on Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Angels Under the total. These starters opposed each other in 2023. The final score was 3-1. Another pitcher's duel is expected. Anderson's last 3 starts have finished with 5, 4 and 5 runs. Nelson's last 3 starts have finished with 8, 6 and 5 runs. Anderson's last 3 starts versus Arizona all finished with 7 runs or less. Arizona's last series here (2023) resulted in all 3 games finishing with 8 runs or less. Play on the under.

At 10:30pm Et, my Golden Goal selection is on Colorado vs Los Angeles FC Under. LAFC has scored two goals or less in six of its last eight MLS matches, including a 1-0 loss to Vancouver in its last match. Colorado has scored just 24 goals in 21 MLS games this season, by far the lowest among playoff-positioned teams. The Rapids often rely on clean sheets to secure points. Eleven of their last 12 matches have finished with three or fewer combined goals. The last meeting finished with three goals and this one will also produce three or less. Play on the under.

At 10:00pm Et, my Western Conf. Total Of the Month is on the Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Under the total. These teams are playing each other for the second straight time. Dallas put up 98 points on its home floor. The Mercury will be determined to play better defense with tonight's rematch being played at Phoenix. They will need to as they only score 81 points in their last game here. Phoenix coach Nate Tibbetts said this: "I thought they got extremely comfortable. And when you allow a team to play comfortable, it's going to be a long night. We need to be tougher defensively, for sure." Play on the under. 

At 10:30pm ET, my MLS Haymaker is on Houston vs San Diego Under. Tonight's Houston Dynamo vs. San Diego FC MLS match is likely to be low-scoring due to both teams' defensive tendencies and inconsistent attacking outputs. Houston has struggled offensively, averaging 1.25 goals per game with an expected goals (xG) of 24.6, and its road games often see low-scoring outcomes, with five of its last seven away matches producing under 2.5 goals. San Diego, despite leading the Western Conference with 41 goals, has shown defensive solidity at home, conceding just 0.7 goals per game across 10 home matches, bolstered by goalkeeper C.J. dos Santos’ 70.6% save rate and seven clean sheets. Houston’s disciplined 4-2-3-1 formation, led by Artur, often stifles opponents’ attacks, and the Dynamo's recent 1-0 win over St. Louis City SC highlights their ability to keep games tight. That was the 4th straight match that Houston failed to score more than a goal. With San Diego missing some key attackers due to injuries,  a low-scoring, "cautious" match ending 1-0, 1-1 or 2-0 is probable. Play on the under. 

At 7:00pm ET, my selection is on the B.C. Lions and Montreal Alouettes Under the total. Montreal's defense leads the CFL in yards allowed per game (308.0) and turnovers forced (12), while ranking second in sacks (11), making it tough for BC's offense, which has averaged under 18 points per game during a three-game losing streak. BC's defense has been solid against the pass, ranking second in the league, which will challenge Montreal’s passing game, especially with backup quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson starting due to Davis Alexander’s injury. Montreal’s offense is potentially limited by key absences like Austin Mack and Lorenzo Burns and BC’s turnover-prone quarterback, Nathan Rourke is playing his first bame back from injury and facing a stout Alouettes front four. The last meeting produced only 30 combined points. All signs point to another low-scoring game. 

At 9:00pm ET, my Club World Cup Total Of The Year is on Chelsea vs Palmeiras Under. Friday's quarter-final, a rematch of the 2022 Final, is likely to be low-scoring due to both teams' strong defensive records and tactical approaches. Palmeiras has kept clean sheets in three of its four tournament matches, conceding only two goals. The Brazilians compact, defense-first style, often utilizing a low block, frustrates opponents, as seen in their goalless draw with Porto and 1-0 win over Botafogo. Chelsea, under Enzo Maresca, favor a cautious, possession-based approach, averaging low shot counts in recent games. Five of the Blues' last eight combined tournament matches have produced fewer than three goals. The 2022 Final was 1-1 after regulation, Chelsea wining 2-1 in extra time. Fatigue from extra-time wins in the previous round, coupled with key absences for Palmeiras (Gómez, Piquerez, and Murilo) and Chelsea’s Moises Caicedo, will lead to another tight, low-scoring affair. Play on the under. 

AT 7:30pm ET, my selection is on Toronto FC vs New York City FC Over. New York City FC has had some trouble on the road but has consistently created scoring opportunities at home. City's last 3 home matches had scores of 4-0, 0-3 and 3-1. Toronto FC, despite sitting 13th, showed offensive spark in their recent 3-0 win over Portland Timbers, with players like Tyrese Spicer capable of exploiting defensive gaps. That marked the end of a lengthy run of home games. Toronto's last road game resulted in a 6-1 win, at Montreal. Both teams will score and at least the winner, will do so more than once. Play on the over.

At 7:00pm Et, my selection is on Guatemala vs USA Over the total. I expect todays' USA vs. Guatemala CONCACAF Gold Cup semifinal to finish with at least three goals, probably more. The Americans has shown strong attacking form, averaging 2.3 goals per game at home this year and scoring eight goals in the group stage, including a 5-0 win over Trinidad and Tobago. Guatemala, while defensively solid, has been involved in high-scoring games, with three of its four matches featuring at least two goals, including a 3-2 win over Guadeloupe. Historical head-to-head data supports a high-scoring match with four of the last five meetings between these teams producing four or more goals. Additionally, Guatemala’s key attacker, Rubio Rubin, has been in scoring form, and the USA’s aggressive wing play, led by players like Diego Luna and Malik Tillman, will exploit Guatemala’s goalkeeper. Play on the over.

At 9:00pm ET, RD of 16 Total of the Year is on Monterrey vs Borussia Dortmund Over. Tonight's Borussia Dortmund vs. Monterrey match is likely to finish with AT LEAST three goals due to both teams' offensive firepower and potential defensive vulnerabilities. The Germans could exceed this number themselves but won't have to. Dortmund has been prolific, averaging 14 shots per game in its last three matches and producing over 2.5 goals in eight of its last ten, including a 4-3 thriller against Mamelodi Sundowns. Monterrey, meanwhile, showcased its scoring ability with a 4-0 rout of Urawa Red Diamonds, led by players like German Berterame and Nelson Deossa. Dortmund’s high-pressing style and Monterrey’s counterattacking threat will exploit occasional lapses, especially with the stakes of a quarter-final berth driving aggressive play. The number is low. Play on the over.

At 3:00pm ET, my selection is on Al Ain vs Wydad Casablanca Over the total. This afternoon's Al Ain vs. Wydad Casablanca match on June 26, 2025 is likely to produce at least three goals due to the defensive vulnerabilities and attacking potential of both teams, as well as the fact that this is a "meaningless" match. Both sides have already been eliminated from contending for the next round, which will lead to a more open, attacking game as they play for pride in this "dead rubber" match. Al Ain have conceded a staggering 11 goals it is two group stage matches against Juventus (0-5) and Manchester City (0-6), exposing significant defensive frailties. Wydad Casablanca, while slightly more resilient, conceded six goals across its losses to Manchester City (0-2) and Juventus (1-4). With both teams likely to adopt fluid, attacking approaches using their typical 5-4-1 formations, and given their defensive weaknesses, there’s a strong chance for both teams to find the net more than once. They'll combine for at least 3 goals, probably more. Play on the over. 

At 9:00pm ET, my selection is on Manchester City vs Al Ain Over the total. I played on the over in Al Ain's first match. The line was 2.5 and Al Ain conceded 5 goals. Though the line is higher, Manchester City vs. Al Ain is also likely to produce at least four goals, due to the significant disparity in attacking quality and defensive vulnerabilities. Manchester City, under Pep Guardiola, boast a potent offense led by players like Erling Haaland, Phil Foden, and Jeremy Doku, who demonstrated their clinical edge with a 2-0 win over Wydad Casablanca, despite not being at their peak. Al Ain, however, were exposed defensively in the 5-0 thrashing by Juventus, conceding four goals before halftime, highlighting its struggle against elite teams. City’s relentless pressing and possession-based style will exploit Al Ain’s disorganized backline, while Al Ain’s desperation to salvage pride might open up spaces for counter-attacks. With City’s attacking depth and Al Ain’s defensive frailties, a high-scoring affair is highly probable, potentially mirroring Juventus’s goal-fest. Play on the over. 

At 3:10pm ET, my NL Total Of The Month is on the Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Over. Saturday's game stayed below the total but Sunday's game is likely to be much higher scoring. Weather is going to be favorable at Coors Field, still known for its hitter-friendly condition. Brandon Pfaadt, with a 5.38 ERA (6.53 on the road!) and 1.39 WHIP, struggles with consistency and has never pitched at Coors, where his fly-ball tendencies could lead to extra-base hits in the thin Denver air. Antonio Senzatela, with a 6.72 ERA and 1.98 WHIP, has been ineffective this season, allowing nearly two baserunners per inning, which Arizona’s potent offense, led by Eugenio Suárez’s 25 homers and 67 RBIs, is well-equipped to exploit. Both bullpens rank in the bottom 5 of baseball, in terms of ERA and WHIP. Both teams rank high in slugging and recent games in this series have seen high run totals, like Friday’s 14-8 outcome. The pitching vulnerabilities and favorable hitting conditions points to a very high-scoring game. Play on the over.

At 1:40pm ET, my UFC Total Of the Month is on Daria Zhelezniakova vs Melissa Mullins Under. The bantamweight bout between Daria Zhelezniakova and Melissa Mullins is a rematch of a fight from November of 2022. It's unlikely to go the distance due to both fighters' aggressive styles and proven finishing abilities, as evidenced by their past performances and statistical tendencies. Zhelezniakova, with five knockouts in nine wins, and Mullins, with four knockouts in seven wins, both prioritize high-paced striking and early finishes. Recall that their previous encounter at Ares FC 9 ended in a first-round TKO via Mullins' ground-and-pound. Zhelezniakova’s forward pressure and powerful striking (3.29 significant strikes per minute) clash with Mullins’ ability to capitalize on ground control, where she excels at delivering punishing strikes, as seen in her TKO win over Klaudia Sygula. Another Mullins' KO/TKO won't surprise. Both fighters’ defensive weaknesses—Zhelezniakova’s grappling vulnerabilities and Mullins’ lack of head movement—make it likely that one will exploit the other’s flaws for a stoppage before the midpoint of the third round. Play on the under.

At 9:00pm ET, my Opening Rd. Total Of The Year is on Bayern Munich and Boca Juniors Under the total. I feel that these teams are likely to combine for fewer than four goals due to Boca's defensive resilience and Bayern's potential to control the game without overextending. Despite Bayern's 10-0 thrashing of Auckland City, Boca presents a sterner test, having conceded only two goals in a 2-2 draw against a good Benfica, with just 0.42 expected goals from open play. Boca's disciplined defending will obviously do a much better job of limiting Bayern's scoring opportunities compared to Auckland. Additionally, Boca's recent struggles in front of goal, scoring only four goals in its last five matches, are likely to continue. Boca will not contribute significantly to the scoreline, if at all. Bayern's solid defense, which kept a clean sheet against Auckland, further supports the likelihood of a lower-scoring affair. The total is generously high, in part to the opening games from both teams. I see this one playing out much differently and the high total providing tremendous value. Play on the under

At 9:00pm Et, my selection is on Al Ain vs Juventus Over. We're likely to see AT LEAST three goals due to a combination of offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities. Juventus could easily achieve this number by itself but shouldn't need to. Al Ain, led by prolific forwards like Kodjo Laba, who scored 20 goals in 21 UAE Pro League matches, and Soufiane Rahimi, a clinical finisher, have shown consistent scoring ability, netting 12 goals in their last seven games and at least two in three of their four previous Club World Cup matches. Meanwhile, Juventus, under Igor Tudor, boast a potent attack with players like Dusan Vlahovic, who scored 9 goals in 16 matches, and Randal Kolo Muani, contributing three goals in his last five games. Despite Juventus’ defensive solidity, (17 clean sheets in Serie A last season) Al Ain’s attacking threat could exploit occasional lapses, as seen in Juventus’ 3-2 win over Venezia. Conversely, Al Ain’s defense has been porous, conceding 22 goals in their last eight AFC Champions League games, making it likely for Juventus to capitalize. The lack of prior head-to-head familiarity and the attacking styles of both teams, with Juventus’ 3-4-2-1 and Al Ain’s 3-4-3 formations, suggest an open, transitional game conducive to goals. The number is low. Play on the over. 

At 7:05pm ET, my selection is on Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees. The Yankees are mired in an unexpected offensive slump, having been shut out in three consecutive games and scoring just five runs over their last six contests, a skid driven by a lack of timely hitting and a synchronized cold spell among their lineup. However, today’s matchup offers a prime opportunity to break out, as Angels' starter Jack Kochanowicz (3-8, 5.53 ERA, 1.59 WHIP) has struggled, particularly in June with a 0-2 record, 7.94 ERA, 1.94 WHIP, and .383 opponents’ batting average across two starts. Meanwhile, the Angels’ offense (4.37 runs per game on the road) is poised to capitalize on Yankees starter Ryan Yarbrough’s recent struggles, having posted a WHIP above 2.00 with 13 hits and five walks allowed in 8.2 innings over his last two outings. Given both pitchers’ vulnerabilities and the offensive capabilities of both teams, this final score will reach "double-digits." Play on the over.

At 12:00pm ET, my selection is on Bayern Munich vs Auckland City. This is a big-time mismatch. I don't believe that Auckland City will score. So, the question becomes, will Bayern Munich score more than four? I believe the answer to that question is no. Kane and company will start and figure in the scoring early but the Germans may call off the dogs a little once they're up a couple. Auckland are likely to start goalkeeper Conor Tracey behind a defense consisting of Adam Bell, Nikko Boxall, Adam Mitchell and Nathan Lobo. The New Zealand club has a lot of pride and will be doing everything it can to avoid getting blown out. Auckland assistant coach Adrià Casals said this: "We know the task at hand is very difficult, but we want to just go out and make it as hard as possible for the opposition, and to just give the best performance we can...We represent like 95% of the world’s footballers. If we can stay true to who we are, if we can be brave, then we can make a lot of people proud of us and everything we represent as an amateur club from a small nation in the middle of nowhere.” Auckland keeps Bayern from running up the score and the final stays below the big number. Play on the under.

At 3:00pm Et, my WNBA Eastern Conference Total Of The Month is on New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever Over. The Indiana Fever came very close to defeating the New York Liberty in their first matchup this season. That 90-88 loss gives them confidence and motivation and they are determined to be the first team to hand the Liberty a loss. To achieve this, the Fever are going to need to score lot of points. The Liberty are the only WNBA team averaging over 90 per game, with a season average of 90.44 points. In contrast, the Fever average 81.6 points per game, but their scoring increases to 87.8 points per game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. In their previous encounter this season, the O/U line was 174, with the final score totaling 178 points. The lower O/U total provides value in a game which I expected to exceed the 180-mark. Play on the over.

At 2:15pm ET, my #1 Total Of The Week is on Iraq vs Jordan over the total. With the pressure somewhat off, both teams are likely to score at least once. The winning team will get at least 2. Jordan just got 3 against Oman, 25-year-old Olwan bagging the hat-trick. He now has 18 goals in Jordan colours. With that win, Jordan has already qualified for the 2026 World Cup. Conversely, Iraq can't finish in the top 2 but has already advanced to Round 4. Iraq will badly want to score but keeping the ball out of its own net won't be easy. Iraq has conceded 11 goals in its last five matches. A high-scoring match, relatively to the low total, will be on display at Amman International Stadium, in the final game in Group B of the qualifiers. Play on the over.

At 9:00pm ET, my NHL Playoff Total Of The Year is on the Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers Under the total. The first two games of this series were both played at Edmonton. The Oilers won 4-3 in Game 1, the Panthers responded with a 5-4 win in Game 2. Both contests went to Overtime. Now the series shifts to Florida's Amerant Bank Arena. This will lead to a lower-scoring game. Three of the Panthers' last 4 games here finished with 3 goals or less. Skinner has a better GAA on the road than at home and Bobrovsky has better numbers at home than on the road. Series tied and neither team wanting to give an inch, I believe that this will be the lowest scoring game of the Finals. Play on the under.

AT 10:00pm ET, my Slam Dunk selection is on Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Over. This marks the third encounter between these two rivals this season, with both prior games finishing under the total. However, following break-out offensive performances by both teams in their most recent outings, I anticipate a higher-scoring contest this time. In my previous analysis for Phoenix's last game, where I also favored the over, I noted: "Phoenix faced Minnesota in two of its last three games. Against a non-undefeated opponent in their most recent matchup, the Mercury scored 85 points. In their last home game against a non-undefeated opponent, they scored 94." Phoenix delivered with 86 points, resulting in an 86-77 final that exceeded the low total. With another low total set for this game, I believe it will again prove too conservative. The Storm, coming off an 83-point performance in their last game, further supports the case for a higher-scoring outcome. Both teams top the 80 mark and the final score sails over the low total. Play on the Over. 

At 2:45pm ET, my Soccer Total Of the Week is on Netherlands vs Finland Under. When we think of the Dutch teams of old, we think of a wide-open, free-flowing attacking brand of football. The current team is capable of dominating defensively though and scoring will be extremely difficult for Finland today. The Dutch shut out Hungary (in the Nations League) and they will be aiming for another clean sheet today. Finland showed it can do the same with its 1-0 win at Malta on match day one. Finland should do a better job than Hungary at slowing down the Dutch. A 1-0 or 2-0 Netherlands victory seems likely though the Finns could potentially sneak one in for a 1-1 draw. Play on the under. 

AT 10:00pm ET, my WNBA Total Of The Month is on Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Over. Both teams will be happy to face someone other than Minnesota or New York. Those two teams are undefeated, a combined 15-0, each of them are hard to score against. Golden State's last 3 games have come against either NY or Minnesota. Phoenix has played Minnesota in two if its last 3 games. When last matched up against an opponent which wasn't undefeated, the Mercury scored 85 points. In their last home game against an opponent which wasn't undefeated, the Mercury scored 94. Likewise, the Valkyries scored 82 the last time that they faced a team which wasn't either Minnesota or NY. The last time that the Mercury were laying points, the final score went over the total by more than 20. This is their chance to get the offense clicking again and we can expect another high-scoring affair. Play on the Over. 

At 8:30 ET, my NBA Playoff TOY is on the Under in Game 1 Of the Finals. Thursday's game features two potent offenses capable of scoring rapidly. That's factored into what is an exceptionally high projected total. Too high, in my opinion. Last season’s NBA Finals opener had a total that opened at approximately 214 and closed at 217.5. I had a big play on the under, and the game concluded with 196 points. The first quarter was high-scoring with 57 points, but defenses tightened, with no subsequent quarter exceeding 48 points. Although this year’s teams differ, I believe the current total is inflated. The Oklahoma City Thunder boast an elite defense, ranking second in the regular season for fewest points allowed per game and first in the playoffs for limiting opponents’ field goal percentage. The Thunder demonstrated this prowess by holding Minnesota to 94 points in the final game of their series, 88 points in the series opener, and Memphis to 80 points in their first playoff game. The Pacers, while not as defensively dominant, have held opponents to 111 points or fewer in six of their last eight games. Look for the defenses to be better than advertised and the final score to stay beneath the big total. Play on the under.

At 7:40pm Et, my #1 MLB Total Of the Week is on Detroit/Chicago over the total. Both teams played low-scoring games on the weekend but the bats will come back to life on Monday, at Rate Field. Neither of these starters inspires confidence. Flaherty is 1-3 with a 5.06 ERA in 5 road starts. He's got a 4.74 ERA his past 7 starts overall. Cannon is 2-6 on the season and he's 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA his past 2 starts. Cannon is also 1-3 with a terrible 11.20 ERA in four starts vs. Detroit. Six of the past 9 head-to-head meetings, including 3 of the past 4, have finished with at least 9 runs. Play on the over.

At 6:00pm ET, my MLS Western Conf. Total Of the Year is Minnesota/Seattle under. In the Western Conference, Minnesota is third with 27 points. One point behind, the Sounders are tied for fourth with 26 points. Battling each other in the standings will add to the intensity of today's match. If we look at the standings, we find that these teams may be 3rd and 4th in the West but that there are six teams in the West which score more goals than they do. They'd rank 7th and 8th, in terms of goals scored. They're strong rankings are based one exceptional defense. Minnesota has conceded just 14 goals in 16 matches. Only 1st place Vancouver, which has allowed 12 goals in 15 matches, has allowed less. Seattle, which has conceded only 19 goals in 16 matches, ranks 4th. At home is where the Sounders really shine defensively. As a matter of fact, they have posted four clean sheets at Lumen Field in MLS this year. Goals will be very difficult to come by. Play on the under. 

At 7:15pm Et, my I.L Total Of the Month is on Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Under.I was impressed by the performances of both starting pitchers in their most recent outings. Grant Holmes held the Padres to just one run over seven innings, maintaining an impressive 1-0 record and a 1.86 ERA across his last three starts. Similarly, Lucas Giolito delivered seven scoreless innings for the Red Sox in a 2-1 victory against Baltimore, earning high praise from Boston fans. Given the current form of those starters, this number is generously high. With the Red Sox finishing under the total in four of their last five games, I anticipate another low-scoring contest. Play on the under. 

At 8:00pm ET, my NBA Eastern Conference Playoff Total Of The Year is on New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers. Following a lower-scoring Game 3, the over/under (O/U) line for Game 4 has adjusted downward, presenting favorable betting value. Historical trends support a strong offensive rebound for the Indiana Pacers after a loss. In the playoffs, their two previous defeats were followed by games where they scored 129 points, with both contests exceeding the total. Since mid-March, the Pacers have consistently delivered high-scoring performances post-loss, scoring 132, 162, 111, 126, 129, and 129 points in such games. Indiana’s strategy emphasizes pushing the tempo to generate efficient offense. Point guard Tyrese Haliburton acknowledged areas for improvement, stating, “I didn’t do a good job getting downhill and making plays. I’ve got to do a better job there. ... Execution down the stretch, we definitely can be better, and that starts with me.” Expect Haliburton and the Pacers to drive a more aggressive, fast "pace" offensive approach, compelling the New York Knicks to respond in kind. This dynamic supports a high-scoring outcome. Play on the over. 

At 7:10pm Et, my NL Total of the Month is on Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Over. The Mets have scored 5 runs in three straight games. They may get even more than that against struggling Landon Knack. The Dodger right-hander has a 6.17 ERA through 6 appearances (4 starts) this season. NY's Kodai Senga has impressive numbers but they haven't come against a lineup like this. They may not have shown it yesterday but the Dodgers are the best hitting team in baseball. As a team, they have a .264 average and .802 OPS. Their 81 home runs is the most in the NL, second only to NY in all of baseball. Three of Knack's 4 starts have finished with "double-digits" in runs scored. This one will also be high-scoring. Play on the over. 

At 11am ET, my EPL Total of the Week is on Arsenal vs Southampton Under. For different reasons, both these teams are already looking ahead to 2025-26. Arsenal finished in second place and has bigger games on deck. Southampton was dead last in the Premier League and is bound for the Championship. With only 33 goals conceded in 37 matches, Arsenal is the stingiest team in the Premier League. With only 25 goals scored in 37 matches, Southampton is the worst offensive team. Arsenal should keep a clean sheet but has no motivation to run up the score. A 1-0 or 2-0 final score is in the cards. Play on the under.

At 8:30 PM ET, my NBA Western Conference Playoff Total Of the Year is on OKC/Minnesota under the total. In the playoffs, the Thunder and Timberwolves rank as the top two defensive teams in the Western Conference, allowing an average of 102.27 and 102.83 points per game, respectively. The Thunder lead the playoffs in both defensive field goal percentage and defensive three-point percentage. The first two games of the series averaged a combined 211.5 points. As the series shifts to Minnesota for Game 3, I expect scoring to decrease. In Game 3 of the previous series, the Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors combined for only 199 points. Similarly, in Game 3 of the Thunder’s last series against Denver, the total points scored remained well below the projected total, despite the game going into overtime. Only 204 points were scored in regulation. Historical data further supports a lower-scoring game, with the under hitting in 4 of the last 5 matchups between these teams at Target Center and in 8 of the past 10 meetings here. Play on the under. 

At 1:00pm ET, my WNBA Early Riser is on New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever Under. The Liberty have been scoring a lot of points which is reflected in this high total. Indiana should be able to slow them down. After Indiana's last game, Fever coach Stephanie White made the following statement: "I felt like our defensive energy, physicality, and disruption was better. We made it more difficult for them, moving the ball around the perimeter. We executed better in our ball screen defense. I felt like we had each other's back a little bit more and we played through breakdowns." NY's last visit here had a total of 174 and finished with only 161. Play on the under.

At 8:00pm ET, my NHL Western Conference Total Of The Week is on the Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars under. These teams do have some dangerous offensive weapons but this is a very high total for an NHL playoff game. Before losing Game 1 of this series, the Oilers' previous 2 games had scores of 1-0 and 3-0. Before winning Game 1 of this series, the Stars' previous 3 games had scores of 2-1, 4-0 and 3-1. Six of the Stars' last 8 games have finished with 6 or fewer goals. Scoring will be more difficult tonight. Play on the under. 

At 8:30 PM ET, my NBA Slam Dunk is on OKC/Minnesota under the total. Game 1 stayed comfortably below the total. We're in store for more elite defense in Game 2. Off their previous playoff losses, the Timberwolves allowed 104 and 93 points in their next game. Their second game of the first two series' had 179 and 210 points. Minnesota, which allows 101 ppg in the playoffs, will likely improve defensively but scoring against Oklahoma City is another matter. The Thunder are holding opposing teams to 40.71% field goals in the playoffs, #1 in that category. With the line up from its opening number, we're getting excellent value. Play on the under.

At 8:00pm ET, my Eastern Conference Total Of the Week is on the Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks Over the total. This o|u line isn't all that much higher than yesterday's total closed at. These teams are nothing like yesterday's teams though. The Pacers look to run every chance they get but don't play nearly the level of defense that OKC or Minnesota does. The Pacers have scored 114 or more in 6 of their last 7 games. They're the underdogs in this game. So, if they score even 114 again, the Knicks are going to be expected to score more than that. Will they reach that mark? Considering that the last 2 meetings between the Knicks and Pacers produced 243 and 252 points, I absolutely believe so. NY scored 119 or more in 2 of its last 3 games, despite having to face Boston. Last year, when these teams faced each other in the playoffs, the series opener finished with 238 points. Three of the 4 at NY finished with at least 238. Play on the over. 

At 3:00pm ET, my selection is on Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion Under. This fixture holds greater significance for Brighton, as Liverpool has already secured the Premier League title. However, the Reds are determined to maintain their focus and avoid complacency. In their previous match, they relinquished a 2-0 lead, resulting in a 2-2 draw—a rare occurrence, marking only the third time in Premier League history that Liverpool failed to secure a home victory after leading by at least two goals at halftime. While Liverpool may tweak its lineup, the primary objective will be to address defensive lapses and prevent Brighton from scoring. Brighton has been defensively solid recently, conceding just two goals in its two league matches this month—a 2-0 win and a 1-1 draw. Another low-scoring outcome is anticipated for this afternoon’s encounter. Play on the under. 

At 1:00pm ET, my La Liga Total Of the Year is on Deportivo Alaves vs Real Valladolid Under. That didn't last long! Real Valladolid was promoted from the second tier just last year. Apparently it wasn't the right time. Real Valladolid finished with by far the worst record in La Liga this season and will be relegated back down. Alaves is fighting to avoid a similar fate. Alavés has demonstrated improvement in recent performances, particularly on the defensive side of the ball and in its ability to prevent goals. Its most recent visit to Estadio Jose Zorrilla resulted in a 2-0 final. Another clean sheet is in order, helping to keep the final score staying below the total. Play on the under.

My Ligue 1 total of the year is on AS Monaco and Lens Over. Its the end of the season. At first glance, already guaranteed of a top half spot and unable to finish better than eighth, Lens has nothing much to play for. A closer look shows that's not technically accurate. With the right circumstances, Lens could still nab a Conference League spot. It would need to better eighth-placed Brest's result (Brest plays Nice, the 4th best team) while also hoping that Paris Saint-Germain beat Reims in the Coupe de France final. Additionally, Lens would need Lyon to suffer a UEFA ban on account of its economic problems. Lyon getting banned is actually a real possibility. So, Lens should be motivated. The hosts will need to score at least a couple though to keep up with a Monaco team still in the hunt for 2nd place. Monaco, which has scored 63 goals in 33 matches, is likely to score more than once against a Lens team which has conceded 22 times in 16 home matches. Monaco's last 5 visits to the Stade Bollaert-Delelis have had scores of 3-2, 2-2, 3-0, 2-2 and 4-2. On the final day of the season, with both teams finding the back of the net more than once, this turns into another wild one. Play on the Over. 

At 2:30pm ET, my EPL Total Of the Week is on Tottenham vs Aston Villa Under. Aston Villa secured a 1-0 victory in their latest match, generating just six shots, three of those in first-half stoppage time. Tottenham, meanwhile, suffered a 2-0 defeat and faces challenges in finding the net. Villa’s defense and goal-keeping has been formidable, achieving consecutive clean sheets and allowing just three goals across their last eight Premier League matches, with five shutouts in that span. Expect Villa to maintain their defensive solidity with a third straight clean sheet, keeping the match total under the projected o/u line. Play on the under.

At 8:30pm Et, my NBA Slam Dunk is on Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Over. 229.5 ... 230 .... 232 ... 228 ... 221.5. Those were the totals from the first 5 games. Look how much lower tonight's is. We will swoop in and grab the line value. The Thunder have demonstrated exceptional offensive prowess throughout the season and into the playoffs. OKC averaged over 120 points per game during the regular season and has maintained a formidable scoring output of 117.33 points per game in the postseason. Despite the Denver Nuggets' defensive efforts, they have mostly been unable to contain the Thunder's high-powered offense. However, the Nuggets remain resilient, continuing to compete aggressively. They aren't going to go down without a fight and will keep shooting and scoring right until the end. Play on the over.

At 7:00pm ET, my NHL Eastern Conference Total Of The Year is on Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Under. After the first 3 games of the series went over the total, things changed drastically in Game 4. The score was just 2-0. That brings us to a critical Game 5. I believe we can expect more of what we saw in Game 4; a low-scoring, tight-checking, great goaltending brand of hockey. Bobrovsky has found his groove and the Toronto big guns aren't scoring: Captain Auston Matthews has yet to score a goal this series. Mitch Marner has only one shot on goal in the past three games. John Tavares, who opened the playoffs with five points in the first three games, has just two points over the past six.  Filling in for Stolarz, Toronto goalie Woll has risen to the occasion. Goals will be hard to come by. Play on the under. 

At 8:00pm ET, my NHL Center Ice Report is on Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Under. In the most recent matchup, the game total (5-2 Dallas) exceeded expectations. However, that was an outlier compared to historical trends. Notably, the previous ten meetings between these teams all finished below the projected total. The last game saw an unusually fast-paced start, with three first-period goals, including one within the opening few minutes, which undermined the under. A slower start tonight is likely to result in a lower final score. Expect improved performance from Winnipeg's goaltender, Connor Hellebuyck, who will need to be sharp given the Jets' challenges scoring on the road. Play on the under.

Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Jessica Andrade Over 2.5 Rounds. Tonight's flyweight bout between Jasudavicius and Andrade has a strong likelihood of being decided by the judges. Jasudavicius, a Canadian fighter, is coming off a decision victory, with 10 of her last 12 fights going the distance. Notably, all three of her career losses and eight of her 13 wins have been by decision. Similarly, Andrade has competed in back-to-back fights that ended in decisions. Given Jasudavicius' track record, she is favored to win, but a finish against Andrade is improbable, making a decision victory the most likely outcome. Likewise, with Jasudavicius having never been stopped, if Andrade pulls off the upset, its likely going to be by decision. Play on the over.

At 3:30pm ET, my NBA Slam Club is on the Boston Celtics and New York Knicks Under. It's important to pay attention to what's happening in front of own eyes. These teams combined for only 181 points last game. The first game finished with 213 but only 200 of those points came in regulation. When asked about Boston's offensive struggles, Celtics' coach Mazzulla commented: "...obviously the Knicks are doing a good job defending us." NY coach Thibodeau is demanding similar defense from his players on each play. "But what we have to understand is what goes into winning Game 3. You have to earn it. It's not given to you. There's no guarantee because you're up in the series. There's no guarantee because you're at home. You have to earn it, and you have to earn it play after play." The venue may have changed but this will be another hard-fought defensive battle. Play on the under.

At 10:00pm ET, my selection is on Denver/OKC Under the total. The first two games of the series both exceeded the over/under line, with the series now tied as it shifts to Denver for a critical Game 3 on Friday. Expect heightened defensive intensity from both teams. Denver must address their first-half defensive lapses to avoid falling behind early, and strategic adjustments are likely forthcoming. Oklahoma City, however, can maintain their current defensive approach, which has proven effective. Their strategy of fouling Nikola Jokic and applying relentless pressure has disrupted his rhythm while forcing Denver's supporting players into low-percentage shots. Despite the over/under line increasing, the scoring is expected to decrease due to anticipated defensive adjustments. Recommendation: Play the under.

At 7:00pm Et, my Central Division Total of the Month is on Indiana/Cleveland under the total. The 2nd round has featured a number of upsets already. As a matter of fact, the Celtics, Thunder and Cavaliers all lost, each as a large favorite. Tonight, the higher seed will respond with a much better defensive performance. Of course, these are fast paced, high-scoring teams. That's been factored into the total, as this number is roughly 20 points higher than tonight's other game. The Cavaliers offense was much better this season than its been and that improvement was a big part of the reason for Cleveland's successful season. The defense was already among the best in the league (top 10) for the past few seasons. The defense was solid again this season. Adjustments made, they'll be more effective at slowing down Indiana.

At 8:00pm ET, my May NHL Total Of the Month is on Winnipeg Jets vs St. Louis Blues Under. Winnipeg now leads the series 3-2. A win tonight and the Jets move on to the next round. The goaltending hasn't been as sharp as might have been expected the past few games. These are high-level net-minders though. In an elimination game, they're going to give us great goal-tending. Scheifele, the Jets' #1 center is out. That's big. Winnipeg coach Scott Arniel expects this: “This is going to be a meat-and-potato kind of work zone-to-zone game. Get out of our zone, get through that neutral zone and then make them spend some time in their end of the rink. You know, not having Nic [Ehlers], not having ‘Scheif,’ kind of knocks out a couple of your top-six players. So this is straightforward, grind it out kind of work for, fight for every inch." Go with the Under.

At 7:30pm ET, my Eastern Conference Total Of The Week is on the New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons Under the total. Two of the first 3 games finished over the number but this series has since turned defensive. It's not quite the 1970s, 80s or 90s but it's still been hard-nosed physical, old-school basketball. As a matter of fact, the last game here at Little Caesar's Arena was a throwback type game, the Knicks winning 94-93. That's 3 of 5 games which have finished with fewer than 210 points. Make that 4 of 6 after tonight. Play on the under. 

At 3:00pm ET, my Europa League Total Of the Year is on Manchester United vs Ath Bilbao Under. The Red Devils can score goals against most teams but they will find it difficult to do so against Athletic Bilbao, the stingiest team (0.79 goals per match allowed) in La Liga. United's last match finished with a 1-1 score. Athletic's last match was a 1-0 final. On offense, Athletic will be without its leading scorer as Oihan Sancet has been ruled out for this match. A low-scoring tactical battle awaits us at San Mames. Play the under.

My WESTERN CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under between the Oilers and the Kings at 10:00 EST. The first four games of this series have all flown over the number. LA won the first two games before Edmonton bounced back and won the next two. All tied up and now heading back to LA in the best-of-three series, I finally expect these fatigued sides to play some defense tonight. The Edmonton power-kill went 3-for-3 in Sunday's 4-3 OT victory. Yes, these four games have been high-scoring, but previous to this playoff series from December 28th to April 21st, five games between these clubs had a posted total of 5.5. Their final three regular-season games all went under the number. Expect a slower overall pace in Game 5 to lead to a much tighter and lower-scoring combined outcome. This number is high, the play is on the under.

My WESTERN CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the over between the Clippers and the Nuggets at 10:00 EST. This series is now the best of three, and Denver has the home court advantage after the Nuggets won Game 4 by a score of 101-99. All four games have gone under the number so far in this series, but I'm finally expecting more of an offensive shootout here in Game 5. Nuggets star Nikola Jokic is on fire once again, he had 36 points and 21 rebounds in the Game 4 victory. The Clippers have been fantastic defensively throughout this series, but LA is filled with offensive talent as well. With Kawhi Leonard and James Harden looking to match the Nuggets' tempo and with an overall faster expected pace here in Game 5, I look for this total to fly well over this small number before the final seconds tick off the clock. This number is now too low, so the play is the over.

My NL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the over between the San Francisco Giants and the San Diego Padres at 9:40 EST. These two teams have both been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I anticipate the opener of this series to fly well over this small number on Tuesday night. It's impossible to say anything negative about either starting pitcher, so I won't bother. Logan Webb (3-1, 1.98 ERA) gets the nod for the Giants, while the Padres counter with Nick Pivetta (4-1, 1.20.) San Diego is 17-11, but now third in the NL West after four straight losses, scoring just three runs in that span. The Padres have seen the total go under in five straight. Note that this is just a two-game series, though. San Francisco has won four of its last five and its seen the total go under in three straight. There's room for regression from each starter as well moving forward. Pivetta has been amazing early, but remember he came into the season 56-71 and with an ERA closer to 5.00. Also note that in five previous outings against the Giants he's just 1-1 with a poor 5.40 ERA. Webb is a better 4-3 with a 2.90 ERA in 14 career outings against the Padres. But the bottom line here is that is a great situational play in my opinion and that these starters are in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time." This number is low, so the play is on the over!

My EASTERN CONFERENCE ROUND ONE TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on the over between the Hurricanes and the Devils at 3:30 EST. Home ice advantage has so far proved crucial in this series. Carolina won Game 1 by a score of 4-1, and then Game 2 at home by a score of 3-1. The Devils finally answered back at home in Game 3 with a hard-fought 3-2 overtime victory. While the first three games of this series have all gone under the number, I'm finally anticipating a much faster-paced affair in Game 4, and will therefore be hammering the over in this one. These teams played a back-to-back on December 27th and 28th in the regular season. The Devils beat Carolina 4-2 on the 27th, and then Carolina responded with a 5-2 win on the 28th. I believe we'll see a similar offensive response here following the Game 3 loss. Keep your eyes on the Devils' Timo Meier, who has ten shots on 27 attempts through three games. Jacob Markstrom and Frederik Andersen have so far been the focal point of this series, but now everything points to these offenses taking "center stage" so to speak in Game 4. This number is low, the play is on the over.

My ROUND-TRIPPER play is on the "over" between the Rays and Padres at 8:40 EST. Tampa has won three straight after taking the opener of this interleague series by a score of 1-0 yesterday. Previous to that it took two of three at Arizona, winning the final two games of that series by scores of 7-6 and 7-4. The Padres come in revenge-minded and ready to snap their two-game slide, first losing 6-0 at the Tigers, before yesterday's 1-0 home loss. These offensse both look primed for a bounce-back performance on Saturday though facing these scheduled starters though, with Tampa handing the ball to Ryan Pepiot (1-3, 4.82 ERA), and the home side countering with Dylan Cease (1-1, 6.04.) Pepiot is off a loss to the Yanks, while Cease is off a no-decision to the Astros. I'm expecting these starters to "get the hook early," and for that to help in pushing this total over the number.