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Will Rogers ALL Sports Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
11-05-24 Cal Poly v. San Francisco UNDER 150.5 Top 78-86 Loss -110 14 h 50 m Show

At 10:00pm ET, my #1 Total Of The Week is on Cal Poly SLO vs San Francisco Under. Cal Poly's last trip to San Francisco was its first game of the 2022-23 season. The final score was 60-48. The final score stayed under the number by nearly 40 points as the the total for that game was 146. The Mustangs have a new coach this year who says he wants to play fast. That's going to be hard against a vastly superior opponent in the opening game of the season though. The reality is that Cal Poly is going to have a difficult time scoring tonight. It'll be the Dons who dictate the tempo and once they are up comfortably, the pace will slow. In its first lined game last season, the Dons were favored by 28.5 with a total of 147.5. The final score was 84-52. This one will unfold in similar fashion. Play on the under.

11-03-24 Los Angeles FC v. Vancouver Whitecaps UNDER 3 0-3 Push 0 12 h 4 m Show

At 8:45pm ET, my Golden Goal is on Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps Under. The Whitecaps return home to BC Place for the second match in this opening round series. After falling 2-1 first match at BMO Stadium, the Caps season is on the line. It's important to recognize that these MLS playoffs are a Best-Of-3 and that goal differential isn't a thing. Teams just need to win 2 games. There is no running up the score. This will make for a low-scoring second match.

11-03-24 Commanders v. Giants UNDER 44 Top 27-22 Loss -108 5 h 40 m Show

At 1:00pm ET, my NFC East Total Of The Year is on Washington and NY under. Five of the past 6 games between the Giants and Commanders have finished with 40 or fewer points. They combined for 39 points in Week 2. This will be another low-scoring divisional showdown. The Giants have scored 3 and 7 points in their last 2 home games. They rank 31st in the NFL with an average of 14.6 points per game. On the season, the Giants are 6-2 to the under. The Commanders have allowed 15 points or less in consecutive games and in 4 of their past 5 games overall. Washington's offense has been very good with QB Daniels looking to win the Rookie Of The Year. Daniels was limited in practice Wednesday and Thursday with a rib injury though. He'll play but things won't be as easy as he's gotten accustomed to. Go Under.

11-02-24 Real Salt Lake v. Minnesota United UNDER 3 1-1 Win 100 12 h 46 m Show

At 9:00pm ET, my Golden Goal is on Real Salt lake vs Minnesota United Under. Minnesota won the opening match 5-4 on penalties. The score at the end of regulation was 0-0. Goals are going to be few and far between again tonight. The 2 regular season matches had scores of 0-0 and 1-1. The Loons have now recorded 5 clean sheets in their last 6 MLS matches, in normal time. Goalkeeper Dayne St. Clair is at the top of his game and will continue to frustrate the Real Salt Lake attackers. Play on the under.

11-02-24 Wisconsin v. Iowa UNDER 42.5 Top 10-42 Loss -110 10 h 20 m Show

At 7:30pm ET, my Big Ten Total Of The Month is on Wisconsin vs Iowa Under. Games between these teams tend to follow a similar script from one year to the next. The losing team gets held to 10 points or less. The winning team scores 28 or less. Defense and running the ball reign supreme. The last 4 scores were 15-6 last season, 24-10, 28-7 and 27-7. The Hawkeyes only passed for 37 yards last year but won 15-6 thanks to their defense and 200 yards, on 48 carries, on the ground. Before last week's loss to Penn State, the Badgers had allowed 3, 7 and 6 points in their previous 3 games. Iowa is allowing just 14 points per game at home. Wisconsin coach Luke Fickell said: "It's going to be a tough, hard-fought football game that in a lot of ways is probably going to come down to the fourth quarter." Play on the under.

10-31-24 Tulane v. Charlotte UNDER 56.5 Top 34-3 Win 100 11 h 12 m Show

At 7:30pm ET, my AAC Total Of The Year is on Tulane and Charlotte under. With Charlotte off 3 straight games which went over the total and with Tulane having gone to the over in 2 of 3, we're getting a pretty high number to work with. The 49ers are going to have a difficult time scoring. Though it comes off a high-scoring game against North Texas, Tulane allows 22.2 points and 342 yards per game. Solid numbers. But if we look just at the 3 games where the Green Wave were double-digit favorites, it shows that they are allowing an average of only 10 points per game and 283 yards. The last 2 times that the Green Wave allowed 20 or or more points, they responded by holding their next opponent to 10. The last time that they allowed 30 or more, the Green Wave held their next opponent (USF) to 12 first downs and 26 yards on the ground, only 201 total. Tulane ran the ball 50x. The Green Wave will employ a similar formula of dominant defense and a lot of running the ball on offense. The 49ers have been going over on the road but 2 of their 3 home games have gone under. Go with the under.

10-30-24 Basel v. Young Boys Bern UNDER 2.75 Top 2-3 Loss -101 7 h 49 m Show

At 3:30pm ET, my Swiss League Total of the Month is on FC Basel vs Young Boys Under. Basel is off a 6-goal outburst against Winterthur but goals are going to be much harder to come by today. These teams faced each other a fortnight ago and the final score was 1-0. Four of the last 5 h2h matches have finished with 3 goals or less, 3 of those finished with 2 or less. Young Boys are off a 2-0 loss at Lugano. On the season, Basel has conceded the fewest goals in the entire Swiss Super League, just 11 in 11 matches. They are tough to score against at home and on the road. Young Boys has some trouble keeping the ball out of the net on the road at times but has conceded only 7 goals in 5 matches at Stadion Wankdorf in Bern. That's the venue today and we can expect another low-scoring match.

10-28-24 Houston Dynamo v. Seattle Sounders FC UNDER 2.5 Top 0-0 Win 100 13 h 33 m Show

At 9:00pm ET, my Round 1 MLS Playoff Total Of The Year is on Houston vs Seattle Under. This is the first game of a best of 3. Margin of victory doesn't matter. The only thing that counts is winning or losing. There is no reason or incentive to run up the score. Known for their defensive prowess, the Sounders conceded the fewest number of goals in the Western Conference. Houston actually ranks 2nd in the West, in terms of goals allowed. The problem for the Dynamo is that they have real trouble scoring. They scored the 2nd fewest number of goals of any team in the playoffs. The last h2h meeting was a 1-0 final. With 2 of the top defensive teams going at it, this is going to be another low-scoring match. Play on the under.

10-28-24 Dodgers v. Yankees OVER 8.5 Top 4-2 Loss -110 12 h 54 m Show

At 8:08pm ET, my MLB Playoffs Total OF the Year is on the Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Over. We saw some pretty good pitching in the first 2 games, both played at Dodger Stadium. That was with guys like Cole, Rodon, Flaherty and Yamamoto on the mound though. Now the series shifts to Yankee Stadium and the starting pitching matchup is a lot less daunting for the hitters. Clarke Schmidt is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA for his career in the postseason. He had a 1.39 ERA on the road this season but a 4.50 ERA at home. Buehler was once a dominant pitcher but those days are gone as injuries/surgeries have taken their toll. He's got a 6.00 ERA in these playoffs and he was 1-6 with a 5.38 ERA during the season. It goes without saying that these lineups are both loaded. Nearly every hitter is dangerous. I love a good pitcher's duel but I don't think we'll get that here. This game will reach double-figures. Play on the over.

10-27-24 Senators v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 Top 4-5 Win 100 13 h 9 m Show

At 9:07pm Et, my NHL Total Of The Month is on Colorado/Ottawa over. Games between these teams are fun. They've faced each other 6x since the start of 2021. Scores were 7-5, 6-5, 7-0, 5-4, 6-4, and 7-4. That's 10 goals per game, 60 in 6. Ottawa is off a "10-goal game," losing 6-4 to Vegas. In their last 5, they've also had a game which hit 9 goals and another which finished with 15! The Avalanche scored 4, 4, 3 and 5 goals, their last 4. The 5 goals last game was their most yet and they will build off that with a big offensive performance against Ottawa. Play on the over.

10-27-24 Chiefs v. Raiders OVER 41 Top 27-20 Win 100 9 h 8 m Show

At 4:25pm ET, my #1 October Total Of the Month is on Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Over. I won with the Chiefs under last week but their game still finished with 46 points. They scored 28 themselves and they scored 26 the previous game. This week's total is much lower than last week's. As a matter of fact, it's the lowest Chiefs total this season. The Chiefs offense will have a breakout game. Three of the Raiders' last 5 opponents have scored 32 or more points. Other than a loss the last time they played, KC's last loss of any kind, the Chiefs had scored 30 or more points 8 straight times against the Raiders. The Chiefs offense should get a big boost with the expected debut of DeAndre Hopkins. He went over 1000 yards for the 7th time in his career, just last season. The Raiders offense may not be good but they still average more than 18 points per game at home. They scored 20 last time they faced the Chiefs and have scored 79 their last 4 games against them. This score will finish over this low number. Play on the over.

10-24-24 Vikings v. Rams UNDER 48 20-30 Loss -105 12 h 21 m Show

At 8:15pm ET, my Thursday Super Total is on the Minnesota Vikings and Los Angeles Rams Under. The Vikings may not have shown it against the Lions last week but they have been one of the best defensive teams in the NFL this season. They are 4-2 to the under. They allow just 17.8 points per game, 6th best in the league. In their 4 non-divisional games, the Vikings are allowing an average of less than 12 points. The Rams allowed only 15 points in last week's win. The offense still wasn't very good though as they managed only 15 1st downs and 259 yards. Stafford was 14 of 23 with 0 tds and 1 int. Kupp may be be but Williams is the man for the Rams. He got 21 carries last week and will be featured heavily once again. The Rams last 3 games have all finished with 43 or fewer points. They've already played the other 3 NFC North teams and all 3 games finished with 46 or less. This will be another low-scoring game. Play on the under.

10-24-24 Georgia Southern v. Old Dominion OVER 53.5 Top 19-47 Win 100 10 h 25 m Show

At 7:00pm ET, my SBC Total Of The Week is on Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion Over. The total was set at 62.5 when these teams faced each other last season. The previous year, the total was set at 67. This one is far lower. It'll be too low. Georgia Southern's last 2 road games finished with 59 and 65 points. Earlier this season, the Eagles had a game which finished with more than 100 points! On the season, they are averaging 30 points per game. After a slow start, the Monarchs are averaging 28 ppg their last 4 games, including 30 and 37 against Bowling Green and Coastal Carolina. Both teams will trade points and both will get to at least 28-30. I've got this game finishing with 60 or more. Play on the over.

10-24-24 AZ Alkmaar v. Tottenham Hotspur UNDER 3.5 Top 0-1 Win 100 7 h 9 m Show

At 3:00pm ET, my Europa League Total OF The Month is on AZ Alkmaar vs Tottenham Under. This is quite a mismatch. AZ Alkmaar isn't very good and Tottenham is coming in looking for a clean sheet. AZ Alkmaar is in bad current form and has bigger problems at home to think about. The Dutch squad has been struggling in the Eredivisie of late. As a matter of fact, they just lost 4 straight league matches. They've been low-scoring, as the 4 defeats had scores of 2-1, 1-0, 2-0 and 2-1. Prior to that, through the first six league matches at home, AZ Alkmaar conceded only 3 times in total. Knowing it has little or nothing to fear, Tottenham can give some run to some secondary players. The English side will be content to dominate possession, keep the ball out of their own net and play keep away in a 2-0 victory.

10-23-24 Dinamo Zagreb v. Salzburg UNDER 3 Top 2-0 Win 100 6 h 46 m Show

At 3:00pm ET, my Champions League Total OF The Week is on Dinamo Zagreb vs Salzburg Under. The last 2 head-to-head encounters between Dinamo Zagreb and Salzburg had final scores of 1-0 and 1-1. Both those matches were in the group stage of Champions League play in 2022. This year, in its first 2 UCL matches, Salzburg has yet to score. Dinamo Zagreb is off a 2-2 draw with Monaco, the final goal coming very late on a penalty. Both squads can give up goals against superior talent but this is a more even match and goals will be hard to come by. Salzburg needs this win and knows it needs to keep the ball out of the net to get it. This match will play out much like the 2022 Champions League matches betwen these teams did. Play on the under.

10-21-24 Ravens v. Bucs UNDER 50 Top 41-31 Loss -110 14 h 41 m Show

At 8:15pm ET, my NFL Total Of The Week is on Baltimore/Tampa under. Both teams have played some high-scoring games this month and those results have helped bring this total up. For some perspective, Tampa's last 4 games had totals of 42, 43, 43 and 40.5. These offenses are quite good. They both like to run the ball and neither are that easy to run against. As a matter of fact, the Baltimore run defense is ranked number 1 in the NFL, allowing 59.0 yards rushing per game. Baker Mayfield said this about Baltmore's defense: "They're physical. They want to be the bully, but they have those guys that set the tone for them on all three levels." Mayfield knows. He's faced Baltimore 9x over his career, posting an ugly 80.4 QB passer rating with 11 interceptions in 9 games. Only 2 of those 9 games finished with more than 50 points. Both of Lamar's 2 career starts versus Tampa finished with less than 50 points and they averaged 40.5. This game will stay under the big total. Play on the under.

10-21-24 Crystal Palace v. Nottingham Forest UNDER 2.5 Top 0-1 Win 100 9 h 32 m Show

AT 3:00pm ET, my EPL Total Of the Month is on Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest Under. Crystal Palace is capable defensively but is the worst offensive team in the Premier League. The Eagles have conceded just 10 goals through 7 matches (the best defensive record of the bottom 6 teams), but they've managed only 5 themselves, the worst attacking record in the top flight. Nottingham Forest has conceded only 6 times in its 7 matches, the best mark of any team except for Liverpool. Forest has only scored 7x though. Only 3 teams have less, Palace being one of them. Nottingham Forest's Morgan Gibbs-White is set to miss the match with an ankle injury. He's an important playmaker and that really hurts their already anemic offense. The last 5 h2h matchups have all produced 2 goals or less. Play on the Under.

10-20-24 Avalanche v. Sharks UNDER 6.5 Top 4-1 Win 100 13 h 49 m Show

At 8:07pm ET, my NHL Western Conference Total Of The Week is on Colorado/SJ under. The Avalanche have gone over in every game this season. Their defense and goal-tending has been steadily improving with each game though and now they will face the worst team in hockey. Colorado's last game was 3-2 with 15 seconds left but the Avalanche allowed a tying goal which led to Overtime. It was very close to staying under. This time, they probably won't be going to OT and they almost certainly won't be allowing a goal with 13 seconds remaining. Colorado has held San Jose to 2 goals or less (average of 1.5) in 4 straight meetings. This season, the Sharks have scored just 11 goals in 5 games. The last head-to-head meeting was a 3-1 final score. The last time that the Avalanche played at San Jose, the score was 2-1. Play on the under.

10-20-24 Chiefs v. 49ers UNDER 48 28-18 Win 100 9 h 14 m Show

At 4:25pm ET, my HOOK N LADDER play is on SF/KC under. Mahomes vs. Purdy. Shanahan vs. Reid. Kelce vs. Kittle. A Super Bowl rematch. You gotta love it! Though it will be great to see these heavyweights duke it out, they won't be doing so with all their weapons. The 49ers are still without their #1 offensive weapon, as McCaffrey remains out. His backup Jordan Mason left last week's game with a sore shoulder. He'll be good to go but maybe less than 100%. Ditto for Deebo Samuel. SF will also be without receiver Jennings and he's had some big games for them. Their kicking situation is a mess. The Chiefs may be even more short-handed. They play without Pacheco, Brown and Rice, their best runner and 2 best receivers. Smith-Schuster is questionable with a hamstring injury. He's likely to go but again, maybe not with full health. The world champions have allowed 13, 10 and 17 points their last 3 games. With all the offensive injuries, this will be a low-scoring game. Play on the under

10-19-24 Iowa v. Michigan State UNDER 39.5 Top 20-32 Loss -110 12 h 36 m Show

At 7:30pm ET, my Big Ten Total Of The Year is on Iowa/MSU under. Something's got to give. Iowa is 5-1 to the over this season. Michigan State is 5-1 to the under. The Spartans under streak will be the one which prevails today! Michigan State coach Jonathan Smith said this of the Hawkeyes: "I think it looks like an Iowa team that plays a physical brand of football. You know, running the ball, high-end defense ... " The Spartans have only scored 36 points their last 3 games, just 17 their last 2. Off back to back games against Ohio State and Oregon, the Hawkeyes wont seem so bad to the Spartans. In their last home game against a team which wasn't Ohio State, they recorded a shutout. The Hawkeyes just held Minnesota to 16 points and they allowed 14 in their last road game against an opponent which wasn't Ohio State. The total may seem low but last year's game had a total of only 36.5 Five of the past 6 meetings finished with 42 or less and 4 of those finished with 40 or less. Tonight's game will also finish below the 40 mark.

10-19-24 Daniel Pineda v. Darren Elkins UNDER 2.5 Top 0-1 Loss -140 11 h 18 m Show

At 7:10 ET, my UFC Total Of The Month is on Daniel Pineda vs Darren Elkins Under. This will be a good battle of two old-timers. Elkins (40) is a small favorite but really it could go either way. I'm more interested in the total as I don't expect this one to last all that long. Known for having a "finish-or-bust" mentality, Pineda (39) has seen a remarkable 28 of his 28 career wins come by stoppage. He doesn't want to lose any decisions either and has promised to retire if he doesn't win tonight. Pineda said this: "All this Fight of the Night, going three rounds, they suck. Let me get in there, finish this guy, and let’s get a bonus." Though Elkins has a tendency to go longer than Pineda, he has still only seen 2 of his past 6 fights go the distance. Elkins is known for being able to take punishment but he's also been stopped 5 times. He's going to keep coming forward and it's going to lead to one of these veterans getting stopped. Enjoy the battle and go with the under.

10-17-24 Broncos v. Saints UNDER 37 Top 33-10 Loss -105 12 h 19 m Show

At 8:15pm ET, my TNF Total Of The Month is on Denver/New Orleans under. The total might seem low but its really not low enough. The Saints are missing their QB and #1 receiver. Rookie Spencer Rattler was forced to throw to catch up against the Bucs but that's not how New Orleans wants it. The Saints will look to employ a more conservative gameplan tonight. The Broncos have a rookie QB of their own. Though it may seem that Bo Nix has had some quality moments, he still has only the 34th best passer rating (73.7) in the NFL. The Broncos make up for it with their defense. They allowed just 10 and 9 points in their last 2 road games. They rank in the top 5 of the NFL for points allowed and yards allowed. The Saints' defensive numbers aren't as good but you know that Saints' coach Allen will, Payton's former defensive coordinator, will have his defense fired up for a bounce-back effort. Also, the Denver offense ranks near the bottom of the NFL and won't be capable of taking advantage of any New Orleans defensive deficiencies. With 2 rookies behind center and two coaches that know each other well, this game will feature a lot of running the ball and will be a low-scoring defensive battle. Go with the under.

10-17-24 Yankees v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 Top 5-7 Loss -120 10 h 38 m Show

At 5:08 ET, my ALCS Total Of The Year is on NY and Cleveland under. You likely know the situation. The Yankees are up 2-0 and looking very strong. Veteran Matthew Boyd was out much of the regular season but he sure did his part in the divisional series. Boyd made two effective, albeit brief, starts against the Detroit Tigers in the AL Division Series. In 6 2/3 shutout innings, through two starts, he allowed just five total hits while striking out 10. He had a 2.24 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 4 home starts this season. Clarke Schmidt had a 2.85 ERA this season. That's already really good but if a closer look at his stats shows that he had a terrific 1.39 ERA in 8 road starts. Schmidt is 1-0 with a 0.96 ERA his past 2 starts versus Cleveland. Scores were 3-2 and 4-3. The arms in the very capable bullpens got a day off yesterday and will be fresh and ready. Play on the under.

10-15-24 Troy v. South Alabama OVER 54.5 Top 9-25 Loss -110 10 h 10 m Show

At 7:30 ET, my Sun Belt Total Of The Year is on Troy and South Alabama over. Troy comes in off 3 consecutive games that stayed under. That's a good thing as it helps to keep this total reasonable. Important to understand that all those games were at home. The Trojans have allowed 38 points in each of their road games. Their last time on the road was a 38-21 loss at Iowa. The Trojans had some success moving the ball through the air at Iowa and the defense they will encounter today isn't anywhere close to as good as the one they faced that day. South Alabama allows 442.3 yards per game, bottom 15 in the country. The Jaguars allowed 52 points in one game and 42 in another. Their defense stinks but they can flat out score on offense, as they scored 87 in their last home game and they scored 38 and 48 points on two other occasions. South Alabama is going to get 38+ and Troy is going to get 20+. They will combine for more than 60 and send this game over the low total. Play on the over.

10-14-24 Bills v. Jets OVER 40 Top 23-20 Win 100 12 h 17 m Show

At 8:15pm ET, my MNF Total Of The Month is on the Bills and Jets over. These may be good defenses but this total is too low. Even off a bad game, the Bills still average 28.4 points per game. Josh Allen has vowed to be better. The Jets average 18.3 but they've hit 24 twice, including once in their only divisional game. Like Allen, Rodgers is vowing to improve. Rodgers and the Jets offense will benefit from the change in play-calling. In addition to the firing of head-coach Saleh, the Jets are handing the play-calling duties to passing game coordinator Todd Downing, as opposed to Nathaniel Hackett. The Bills have allowed 23 and 35 points their last 2 games. Each of their last seven games, including all five this season, has finished with at least 41 points. Monday's game will continue that streak. Play on the Over.

10-14-24 Panthers v. Bruins UNDER 6 Top 4-3 Loss -120 5 h 14 m Show

At 1:07pm ET, my Atlantic Div. Total Of The Year is on Florida/Boston under. This is already the 2nd meeting between these Atlantic Division rivals. The Bruins had to watch while the Panthers raised their Championship banner on October 8th, at Florida. That was a high-scoring game with Panthers earning a 6-4 victory. Inspired by the moment, the Panthers scored 4 first period goals. Things be much different at TD Garden on Monday afternoon. Since that opening game, the Panthers have only scored 3 goals in their last 2 games combined. Boston is off a 2-1 OT win over the Kings on Saturday afternoon. Florida's last 2 visits here had scores of 2-1 and 3-2. Four of the past 5 meetings here have gone to the under, all 4 of those finishing with 5 or fewer goals. This will be another low-scoring battle. Play on the under.

10-13-24 Jaguars v. Bears OVER 44.5 16-35 Win 100 49 h 33 m Show

At 9:30am ET, my Sunday Morning Super Total is on Jacksonville/Chicago over. Both teams are 3-2 to the under. But both were 3-1 to the under before last week. Things changed for both teams. The Jaguars offense came to life in a 37-34 victory over Colts. Trevor Lawrence threw for 371 yards but the defense allowed Joe Flacco to throw for almost as many. The Bears offense has continued to improve all season and last week they scored 36 points against Carolina. Williams threw for more than 300 yards. The Bears probably could have scored more if they needed to but Carolina didn't put up a fight. They'll need to score a lot to keep pace with the rejuvenated Jaguars. With both offenses at the top of their games, the fans at Tottenham Stadium will be treated to an exciting high-scoring game. Play on the over.

10-12-24 Boise State v. Hawaii OVER 59 Top 28-7 Loss -120 15 h 23 m Show

At 11:00pm Et, my Mountain West Total Of The Year is on Boise/Hawaii over. The last time that the Broncos played here the score was 40-32. This year's Boise team is led by a running back who can't be stopped. If you haven't seen any clips of Ashton Jeanty, you might want to take a minute to do so. He's a special player. A Heisman front-runner, he's a near lock to find the end zone multiple times each game. The entire Boise attack is downright explosive. The Broncos lead the nation with 50.6 points per game. No other team is averaging 50. They are 3rd overall in total yards with 537.6. Having scored 62 points last game, they are capable of exceeding this total by themselves. The Broncos also give up a lot of points themselves. All 5 opponents have scored at least 14 and all 4 FBS teams scored 24 or more. Even Georgia Southern scored 45 against them. They are 5-0 to the over and that streak will continue for at least one more game. Hawaii lost 27-24 last week but scored 36 in its last home game. The Broncos have scored 40, 52, 49 and 54 their last 4 visits here. They will not be stopped tonight and Hawaii will score plenty of its own. Go with the over.

10-09-24 Avalanche v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 Top 4-8 Loss -118 14 h 49 m Show

At 10:07pm, my NHL Western Conference Total Of The Month is on Colorado/Vegas under. This is a great showdown between a pair of former Stanley Cup champions. You might expect otherwise but their recent games against each other have been low-scoring. As a matter of fact, 7 of the past 9 meetings between these teams have gone to the under. Those 9 games had a total of only 41 goals. That's an average of only 4.56 goals per game. The Golden Knights lost a number of contributors in the offseason including last year's leading scorer, Jonathan Marchessault. The 6 players they lost to free agency on July 1st combined for 85 goals and 182 points last season. It may take time to figure out who replaces that scoring. This will lead to a low-scoring home opener.

10-08-24 Phillies v. Mets UNDER 7 Top 2-7 Loss -100 9 h 30 m Show

At 5:08pm ET, my NLDS Total Of The Year is on the Phillies/Mets under. The first 2 games of this series went to the way of the hitters but with a couple of battle-tested warriors on the mound, today's game will be all about the pitching. Veteran Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Phillies. He's 5-3 with a 3.70 ERA in nine career playoff starts. Nola was even better than that in last year's postseason as he was 3-1 with a 2.35 ERA. Sean Manaea, another very capable veteran, was solid in this season's first postseason start. He's had a very good year (12-6, 3.47 ERA) and is 5-2 with a 2.97 ERA and .199 opponents batting average in his daytime starts. He just delivered seven quality innings against the Phillies less than a month ago. The Mets are finally back home and the Phillies are 10-6 to the under the last 16 times they faced them in New York. The late inning heroics come to an end and this game stays under.

10-06-24 Cowboys v. Steelers OVER 43 Top 20-17 Loss -110 14 h 42 m Show

At 8:20 ET, my October Non-Conf. Total Of The Month is on Dallas/Pittsburgh over. I won with the under in the Cowboys last game. That was a divisional battle on a short week. Plus, the total was higher. This non-conference clash will be a lot higher-scoring. Dallas doesn't effectively run the ball. That leads to a lot of passing and clock stoppages. CeeDee Lamb gets in a zone and he and Prescott are nearly unstoppable. Before the low-scoring NYG contest, every Dallas game had finished with at least 50 points. And those 3 games averaged more than 55. Some key defenders are out on both sides, including pass rushers Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence . Dallas also doesn't effectively stop the run. That will help the Steelers, as their effective running game will set up their passing attack. The Steelers are off a 27-24 game against the Colts. Fields had a big game and he also had a great game (17 of 23, 151 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs with 60 rushing yards and a rushing TD) with a 120 QB rating when he previously faced Dallas. The final score was 49-29. This will be another high-scoring game. Play on the over.

10-06-24 Jets v. Vikings OVER 40 17-23 Push 0 73 h 31 m Show

At 9:30am ET, my NFL Early Riser is on the Jets and Vikings over. This number is low. Though the Jets played a low-scoring game last week, that wasa against Denver in bad weather conditions. A game against the Vikings, in North London, will play out much differently. The Vikings combined with the Packers for 60 points last week. Minnesota allowed the Packers to gain 465 total yards of offense. The Vikings are averaging 29 points per game, 4th best in the NFL. Darnold is playing great at QB and now he gets a chance to stick it to his old team. Remember, his time in New York didn't go well. He will like nothing better than to have a big game. Rodgers got banged up last game but says he's good to go. The Pack threw for nearly 400 yards against the Vikings and Rodgers should also be able to effectively move the ball. There have been 8 games played at Tottenham. All 8 finished with 40 or more points. This one will do the same. Play on the over.

10-05-24 Temple v. Connecticut UNDER 50 20-29 Win 100 4 h 36 m Show

At 3:30pm ET, my totals club selection is on Temple/Connecticut under the total. The Huskies are suddenly playing great on both sides of the ball. They've blown out back to back opponents and are projected to deliver another beating this afternoon. Temple is going to have a difficult time scoring. The Huskies just held Buffalo to 3 points, less than 200 yards and only 12 first downs. The previous game, they shut out FAU for the first half and held the (FAU) Owls to 9 first downs and 250 yards for the game. Duke held the Huskies to 21 points a few weeks ago, it can be done. Temple did allow 51 points at Oklahoma back in August but was still adjusting to a lot of new transfers. Since then, the Owls have allowed 42 or less in each game. They can and will hold the Huskies to 40 or less. The Owls are going to score 10 or less themselves. Teams haven't played in a few years but still worth mentioning that they are 9-1 to the under their last 10 meetings. The Huskies win but the score will be lower than their last few. Play on the under.

10-05-24 Tigers v. Guardians OVER 7 Top 0-7 Push 0 28 h 6 m Show

At 1:08pm ET, my Div. Rd Total Of The Year is on the Tigers and Guardians over. This is a very low total. Bibee hasn't been as good at home as on the road. A 4.15 home ERA compared to a 2.76 away ERA. Three of his past 5 home starts have gone to the over and 4 of those finished with at least 7 runs. Bibee also has struggled against Detroit. He has a 1-3 record with a ERA of 5.28 in 6 starts versus the Tigers. Four of those 6 games went to the over and 5 of them finished with at least 7 runs. At home, Bibee is 0-2 with a 6.11 ERA versus Detroit. The Tigers' pitching approach has been effective in getting them here but will lead to some runs Saturday afternoon. Eight of the past 12 h2h meetings have gone to the over. Enjoy the game and play on the over.

10-05-24 UCLA v. Penn State OVER 46.5 11-27 Loss -112 72 h 32 m Show

At 12 ET, my Early Riser selection is on UCLA/PSU over. For these teams, this total is too low. Before playing a low-scoring game against Illinois, Penn State had scored 34, 34 and 56 points. The Nittany Lions should get at least 34 again Saturday (and could go over themselves!) as UCLA has allowed 34, 34 and 42 its last 3 games. Even if the Lions get "only" 34, the low number doesn't leave us needing much from UCLA. The Bruins have played some good teams but they've still scored at least 13 in every game. Their recent O/U lines have been in the 50s and this is the lowest O/U line game for a Penn State game this season. With the Lions moving the ball with ease and the Bruins providing points of their own, this one finishes with 50+. Play on the over.

10-04-24 Houston v. TCU OVER 51 Top 30-19 Loss -110 11 h 32 m Show

At 7:30pm ET, my Big 12 Total Of The Year is on Houston/TCU over. The Cougars have been shut out in back-to-back games, the first time that's happened to them since 1994. It's not happening a 3rd time in a row! Not against a TCU team which has surrendered 128 points over its past 3 games. Houston's 2 shutouts and overall string of unders to start the season has brought this total way down. When these teams squared off against each other last year, the total was 64. TCU had 564 yards and 36 points in that game and this year's offense is still potent. The Horned Frogs have scored 34, 45, 34, 42 and 38 points this season, an average of 38.6 points per game. Facing a struggling instate opponent on ESPN, the Frogs will be happy to run up the score. They will score big and the Cougars will help contribute to the our cause. Play on the over.

10-03-24 Sam Houston State v. UTEP OVER 50 Top 41-21 Win 100 33 h 48 m Show

At 9:00pm ET, my CUSA Total Of The Year is on Sam Houston St vs UTEP Over. The Bearkats returned 8 starters on the offensive side of the ball this season. The veteran unit has scored 40, 31 and 31 points its last 3 games. They've gone over the 30 mark in 4 of 5 games. They also allowed 39 points last week and they gave up 45 the last time that they were on the road. The Bearkats should absolutely exceed the 30 mark for the 5th time in 6 games as UTEP has allowed 27 or more points in every game. The Miners scored 24 in their only home game. These teams combined for 71 points against each other last October. UTEP's 37 points was the most it scored all season. The Miners arguably have a better offense than they did last year and last year's big showing against Sam Houston State will provide confidence. This game will finish well over the total. Play on the over.

10-03-24 Bucs v. Falcons UNDER 43.5 Top 30-36 Loss -109 32 h 6 m Show

At 8:15 ET, my NFC South Total Of The Month is on Atlanta/TB under the total. The pattern the past 2 seasons between these divisional rivals has been to play a low-scoring game against each other early in the season and a higher scoring rematch later on. Last year, the first meeting between these teams finished with a score of 16-13. The previous year, the first meeting finished at 21-15. This will be another low-scoring battle. Tampa just held the Eagles to 16 points last game. The Eagles only had 227 total yards and 16 first downs. As a matter of fact, the 227 yard effort was the Eagles fewest yards since October 14, 2021, when they gained just 213 yards. (That was also against the Bucs.) The Eagles' 114 net passing yards was also their fewest since that same game in 2021. In their only road game, the Bucs held Detroit to just 16 points. Atlanta has also playing solid defense. The Falcons last game went over but their first 3 all stayed under the total. Overall, Falcon games are averaging only 40 combined points. Play on the under.

10-02-24 Bologna v. Liverpool UNDER 3.25 Top 0-2 Win 100 5 h 22 m Show

At 3:00pm ET, my Champions League Total Of The Month is on Bologna vs Liverpool Under. Liverpool may be the toughest team to score against on the planet. In 6 Premier League matches this season, the Reds have conceded just 2 goals. Bologna is very unlikely to score. So, will Liverpool score more than 3? Not in my opinion! Bologna doesn't play an exciting brand of soccer but it's pretty good at keeping the ball out of the net. Its first Champions League match resulted in a 0-0 draw. Bologna only allowed 1 shot on goal! In 5 matches, all leagues, since the end of August, Bologna has conceded only 5 times. They haven't allowed more than 3 goals in any Serie A match this season, or in any recent match at all. Play on the Under.

10-01-24 Royals v. Orioles UNDER 7 Top 1-0 Win 100 23 h 17 m Show

At 4:08 ET, my Wild-Card Total Of The Year is on KC/Baltimore under the total. These two starters are getting the call for Game 1 for a reason. Both had great seasons and both are red hot. Burnes came over to Baltimore in the off-season and immediately assumed the role of ace. He's been getting the job done all season long. Through 32 starts, he had a 2.92 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. In 5 September starts, he has a 1.20 ERA! Ragans also made 32 starts this season. He had a 3.14 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. He had a 2.30 ERA in his daytime starts and a 1.08 ERA in 4 September starts! As a matter of fact, Ragans is a perfect 6-0 to the under his past 6 starts. His last start was 0-0 after 9 innings and finished 1-0. Go with the Under.

09-30-24 Mets v. Braves UNDER 7.5 Top 8-7 Loss -105 4 h 48 m Show

At 1:10 ET, in Game 1 of the Double-header, my MLB TOW is on the Braves/Mets under the total. Sale will go in the second game for the Braves. He leads the league in wins, ERA and strikeouts, a pitcher's triple-crown. The Mets won't find the going much easier in the early game though. Spencer Schwellenbach has given up just one run in 14 innings in two starts against the Mets. Those 2 starts against the Mets, the first of which was a head-to head showdown vs. today's opponent Tyler Megill, both stayed below the total with scores of 5-1 and 4-0. His last 3 starts have all gone to the under. As a matter of fact, Schwellenbach is 16-3 to the under his last 19 starts! Megill is also in exemplary form. Over his past 5 starts, he's 2-0 with a ERA of 1.78 and 28 strikeouts in 25 innings. Go with the Under.

09-29-24 Bills v. Ravens UNDER 47 Top 10-35 Win 100 56 h 5 m Show

At 8:20 ET, my AFC Total Of The Month is on Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens Under. We're treated to a great game on Sunday night. The Bills have been the most impressive team through 3 weeks. They're 3-0 and their last 2 games haven't been close. Can the Ravens hand them their first loss? Of course they can. Will they? I'm not certain. I do fully believe that the Ravens will slow them down though. Buffalo has been scoring a lot of points but the reality is that the Bills are averaging just 329 yards of offense. That ranks only 13th. That's only partly a result of being able to take their foot off the gas when leading. They've also benefitted from a lot of short fields. The Ravens are going to make things a lot more difficult. They just really slowed Dallas last game. They lead the league in rushing yards allowed. Teams haven't been able to run against them and that makes throwing a lot more difficult. With only 16 points allowed per game, the Bills defense has also been thriving. The last 3 h2h games between the Bills and Ravens finished with 41, 20 and 43 points. All three went to the under. So does Sunday night's game.

09-29-24 Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 41 Top 17-10 Loss -120 8 h 56 m Show

At 4:25pm, my AFC West Total Of The Month is on KC/LA over. I won with the Chiefs under in their last game. That was against a stingy Atlanta team and the total was quite a lot higher. I don't think the Chargers are as good defensively as the Falcons (right now) and this number is quite a lot lower. Accordingly, I will now be backing the over. Much will be made of Herbert's questionable status. Of course, he's very important but it's also important to recognize that the Chargers defense is a mess right now. This is a team with numerous defensive injuries. Mahomes will take the opportunity to get himself right. Nine of the past 10 meetings have finished with 41 or more points and six of the last 7 finished with at least 48 points. Notably, the only Chiefs/Chargers game which was low-scoring was one where the Chiefs rested Mahomes, Kelce and other starters. They'll have the "A-lineup" in the game for this one and they'll ensure it finishes with more than enough to get us over this low number.

09-28-24 Nebraska v. Purdue UNDER 49.5 28-10 Win 100 113 h 7 m Show

At 12 ET, my Early Riser is on Nebraska/Purdue Under. When these teams met last season, the o/u line was roughly 10 points lower. Saturday's much higher total is providing a lot of room to stay under. Both offenses may potentially be improved from last season but so are both defenses. Off a 31-24 OT loss to Illinois, the Huskers will get back to playing the type of defense that got them a 3-0 record through their first 3 games. They allowed only 20 total points in those 3 games combined, all of which went to the under. Purdue's last game went over only thanks to a crazy 4th quarter when the game was out of reach. The Boilermakers only had 7 points entering the 4th quarter. Another wild 4th quarter is unlikely to happen again and that will help keep this game under the total.

09-26-24 Cowboys v. Giants UNDER 45.5 20-15 Win 100 11 h 23 m Show

At 8:15 pm ET, my Thursday Super Total is on the Giants/Cowboys under the total. The Cowboys have gone over in all 3 games. That will change for this weeknight divisional showdown. The Giants are 3-0 to the under. Their games have produced 34, 39 and 36 points. Recent meetings between these teams at Dallas have been high-scoring. That's not the case when the Cowboys visit New York. The under is 4-0 the past 4x Dallas played here. Those scores were 40-0, 23-16, 21-6 and 23-19. Motivated to improve defensively, the Cowboys will be pleased to face the Giants. New York is averaging only 15 points per game, 29th in the NFL. Daniel Jones also tends to struggle against the Cowboys. The Giants are going to need their defense to play well if they want to remain competitive and they will do their very best to keep the Dallas offense on the sidelines. The Cowboys are also going to be anxious to get their running game going. The clock is going to keep ticking away and the final score is going to stay under the posted number.

09-25-24 Mercury v. Lynx UNDER 160.5 Top 88-101 Loss -108 51 h 44 m Show

At 7:30 ET, my Opening Rd TOY is on Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Under. Game 1 of this series was an absolutely wild ride. Minnesota led 32-19 after the first quarter and extended that lead to 50-27 halfway through the 2nd quarter. The blowout nature of the game changed the tempo and the way that things played out. The Mercury furiously fought back. As a matter of fact, they even managed to take the lead at one point in the 4th quarter. The Lynx took their best shot and responded with their own, coming back for the victory. This one will play out much differently. The 4 regular season games averaged 156 points and the last regular season game at Minnesota finished with only 133. The Lynx had the best defense in the Western Conference this season. That will be on display Wednesday. Play on the under.

09-25-24 Cardinals v. Rockies OVER 10 Top 5-2 Loss -115 11 h 0 m Show

At 8:40pm ET, my MLB TOW is on the St. Louis Cardinals and Colorado Rockies Over. Two starts ago, Austin Gomber gave up 9 hits. Last start, he lasted only 2 innings and allowed 6 hits and 5 runs. Gomber also has a poor 6.55 ERA in 5 appearances versus the Cardinals. He allowed 4 runs in 5 innings against them in this season's only start. It finished with 13 runs. Erick Fedde has been strong at home but not on the road. Fedde has made 3 career starts at Colorado and all 3 produced at least 12 runs. None of those pesky Coors weather issues are in the forecast, it should be an excellent night for hitting. Play on the Over.

09-22-24 Chiefs v. Falcons UNDER 46.5 22-17 Win 100 12 h 11 m Show

At 8:20 ET, my Sunday Super Smash is on the Falcons/Chiefs under. Something has to give. The Chiefs have gone over in both their games. The Falcons have gone under in both of theirs. Look for the Atlanta under streak to be the one which continues for another game. The Falcons are only averaging 16 points a game but their defense has been outstanding. The Chiefs offense was nothing special against the Bengals and is likely to have some trouble against this improved Atlanta defense. It won't help that they will be without their leading rusher, Isiah Pacheco. They'll still try and run the ball a lot but it's just going to be more difficult. The Falcons only home game finished with 28 points. This one will also be low-scoring! Play on the under.

09-22-24 Ravens v. Cowboys UNDER 48 Top 28-25 Loss -112 9 h 49 m Show

At 4:25pm ET, my Non-Conf. TOW is on Baltimore/Dallas under. Both teams have a good offense. Both also have a good defense. With both teams having been involved in some high-scoring games already, the total is quite high. None of the past 4 head-to-head meetings have had totals of greater than 45. The Ravens have three new starters on their offensive line and that will hinder their offense. Dallas will be better defensively than it was against the Saints. Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy said this about the run defense: "We made some technique adjustments that we need to be better at," "We can't get gapped, and we were gapped time and time again. That puts more pressure on your second-level defenders, obviously your linebackers and our primary support element. But yeah, we have to. It's that first step, the discipline, playing the technique, and making sure the fit behind them is in order. We definitely were not clean and we weren't consistent." Quarterbacks are both excellent but running the ball will still be a key for both teams. The Cowboys only gave up 35 or more points twice last season. They allowed 13 and 17 points in the following games, both going to the under. We will see a hard-hitting game with the final score staying below the total.

09-21-24 Michigan State v. Boston College OVER 45 Top 19-23 Loss -110 35 h 5 m Show

At 8:00pm ET, my Total Of The Month is on the Over in the Michigan State and Boston College game. Low number. All 3 of the Eagles' games have had o/u lines in the 50s. The o/u line for the Spartans was 53.5. last game. With both teams expected to score more than 20, this low number won't take much to get over. The Spartans have been putting up bigger numbers progressively. They scored 16 in Week 1, 27 in Week 2 and 40 last week. Boston College scored 28 and 21 and its 2 road games, at Missouri and Florida State, and 56 points in the only home game. This is an improved Eagles offense which returned nine starters from last season including QB Castellanos, who has 9 TD passes against 2 interceptions. Both teams will have success on offense and the final score will finish above the low number.

09-21-24 Napoli v. Juventus UNDER 2.5 Top 0-0 Win 100 19 h 56 m Show

At 12:00pm ET, my Serie A Total Of the Month is on Napoli and Juventus under. I'm anticipating a close low-scoring battle. Juventus have won 1-0 as a host of Napoli last season. This season, Juventus has yet to concede a single goal through 4 Serie A matches. Its just the 5th time ever they've managed 4 clean sheets in a row to start the season. The last 2 were scoreless draws. Napoli came through with a clean sheet of its own last match. Goalie Alex Meret was magnificent. Napoli does have a dangerous attack but Juventus does a brilliant job at limiting opportunities. With scoring chances few and far between, this match stays under.

09-20-24 Diamondbacks v. Brewers OVER 7.5 Top 7-4 Win 100 11 h 18 m Show

At 8:10 ET, my MLB Total Of The Month is on the over in the Arizona/Milwaukee game. This total is too low. Rea is not in good form for the Brewers. As a matter of fact, he has a 10.13 ERA in 3 September starts. He has a 4.88 ERA since the All Star Break and a 6.82 ERA his past 7 starts. He has a 7.20 career ERA versus Arizona. His only start against the diamondbacks as a member of Milwaukee, resulted in a 7-5 final score. Six of his past 8 starts have finished with at least 9 runs. The Brewers just saw Gallen less than a week ago. They had 6 hits and scored 3 runs against him in 5 innings. Facing the same team twice in a row can be difficult and Gallen usually isn't quite as tough on the road. This game will get over the low number. Play on the Over.

09-19-24 Patriots v. Jets UNDER 39 Top 3-24 Win 100 51 h 30 m Show

At 8:15pm ET, my Thursday Night Total Of The Year is on New England and New York under the total. This total might appear low but there is still plenty of room to go under. The Patriots are averaging 300 yards of offense per game but they'll be unlikely to match that against a very good Jets' defense. The Jets are averaging just 265.5 yards of offense. Only 5 teams are worse. Allowing just 291 yards per game, the Patriots defense is playing well. Their 16.5 points allowed per game is 5th best in the NFL. The last 3 meetings between these teams had scores of 10-3, 15-10 and 17-3. The Patriots had only 6 first downs and 119 yards in the last game. New York wasn't all that much better. This sets up to be another tough defensive battle with frequent running plays keeping the clock moving and drives ending in punts and field goals as opposed to touchdowns. Play on the Under.

09-17-24 Aces v. Storm OVER 162 Top 85-72 Loss -110 14 h 1 m Show

At 10:00pm, my WNBA TOM is on Las Vegas and Seattle over. The Aces are on an under streak which dates back more than 3 weeks. Their first game of September finished over and every game since has gone to the under. The streak ends tonight, in Seattle. The Storm scored 90 points last game. They've hit the 90 mark in 3 of their last 4 games, including each of their past 2 at home. They've scored 85 or more in 4 straight home games and average 83.39 ppg on the season. The Aces scored 84 last game and they've scored 84 and 94 in their last 2 games against Seattle. They average 86.13 ppg, most in the league. Both teams top the 80 mark and the final score goes over the low total. Play on the Over.

09-17-24 Dinamo Zagreb v. Bayern Munich OVER 3.5 Top 2-9 Win 100 7 h 5 m Show

At 3:00pm ET, my Champions League TOM is on Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayern Munich over the total. Bayern Munich has a great shot at going over this total by themselves. The German giants are as stacked as ever. They have quality over the pitch, loaded with scoring prowess. They've won 20 of their last 25 Champions League home games and are going to score with regularity. Once Bayern takes the lead, Dinamo Zagreb will be forced to open things up. That'll lead to more goals, one way or another. With several dangerous attacking options of their own, Dinamo Zagreb has scored more goals than any team in the Croatian league this season. They average 2.17 per match. If you enjoy "goals galore," you're in for a treat. Play on the over.

09-15-24 Bears v. Texans UNDER 45.5 Top 13-19 Win 100 14 h 55 m Show

At 8:20 ET, my #1 Total Of The Month is on Chicago/Houston Under. Both teams enter at 1-0. Chicago is off a 24-17 win over Tennessee, while Houston posted the 29-27 road win at division rival Houston. Both scores could have been lower. The Houston score was only 15-13 into the 4th quarter. Twenty-eight points were scored in the final 14 minutes. Chicago's defense led the charge in its Week 1 victory, with TJ Edwards posting a team-high 15 total tackles. The Bears allowed just 244 total yards. The Chicago offense was even worse though. As a matter of fact, the Bears managed only 148 total yards and just 11 first downs. So, their 24 points scored was misleading. They will try and take pressure off their young QB with a more effective ground game this week. CJ Stroud had 234 passing yards and two TD's in Houston's Week 1 win. But it was RB Joe Mixon who carried the offensive load with 159 rushing yards and a TD. With each team looking to establish the run while on offense, look for the time to keep ticking and the combined final score to stay under.

09-12-24 Arizona State v. Texas State UNDER 60.5 Top 31-28 Win 100 29 h 55 m Show

At 7:30pm ET, my Non-Conf TOW is on ASU/Texas State under. The Sun Devils have been better than advertised up to this point, entering 2-0 SU and ATS. In Week 1 they beat Wyoming 48-7, before then pulling away for the 30-23 home victory over Mississippi State. I won with the under in that game and feel that the number is generous again for this game on a short week. ASU has been great defensively and as it now hits the road for the first time this season and as a member of the Big 12, I think that carries over here. Texas State is also 2-0 SU, most recently pounding UTSA 49-10 at home as a 2.5-point favorite. UTSA was held to just 334 yards and went just 4-13 on third down. The Sun Devils are led by Sam Leavitt, who has only completed 57.1 percent of his passes, but so far he hasn't had to be great, as the defense has conceded an average of just 15 PPG. Look for this one to be decided by field position and in the trenches with the final score staying below the large number.

09-08-24 Panthers v. Saints UNDER 41.5 Top 10-47 Loss -110 24 h 48 m Show

At 1:00pm ET my NFC South TOM is on Carolina and NO to go under the total. Clearly, this is an important early season game for both of these NFC South hopefuls. I'm not 100% positive who in fact will win cover the spread in this game, but whoever does, it will be because of having the better defensive unit, as I do indeed expect this total to fall under the posted number. Dave Canales is now directing the show in Carolina, with Bryce Young once again back under center. Canales is known as an offensive coach but he's not working with much and its going to take time to implement his schemes. The Saints are led by Derek Carr for a second straight year. He was far from amazing last year and Saints fans are already talking about who will replace him. These teams of course met twice last year, with New Orleans coming out on top of each. Each was a lower-scoring battle, with the Saints holding on for the 20-17 victory in Week 2 on the road, before then winning 28-6 at home in December. Nothing is going to change here as far as the pace and tempo, with the improved New Orleans defense setting the tone. This number is high, the play is the under.

09-07-24 Mississippi State v. Arizona State UNDER 60 Top 23-30 Win 100 87 h 30 m Show

The SEC invades the Big 12 in this interesting matchup on Saturday night and in my opinion, this total is too high. Arizona State is off a dominant 48-7 win over Wyoming at home last week, looking pretty good on both sides of the ball in its Big 12 debut. It has no issues at all in covering the 6.5-point spread, but as good as it looked offensively, it was likely even better on the defensive side of the ball in holding the Cowboys to just the one TD. The Sun Devils are improved defensively from last year, bigger and deeper on that side of the ball. I fully expect last week's strong defensive play to carry over here at home vs. this opponent who is also tough on that side of the ball. Mississippi State was a 26.5-point favorite in its home game vs. Eastern Kentucky and it went on to annihilate its opponent by a score of 56-7. The Bulldogs also looked fantastic on both sides of the ball, but now here on the road for the first time, I say it's Mississippi State's offense, still in its first year in a new system and working with a brand new offensive line, that takes a step back. The under has been highly profitable in ASU non-conference home games over the past several seasons and this number gives a lot of room to work with. Play on the Under.

09-07-24 Sean Brady v. Gilbert Burns OVER 4.5 Top 1-0 Win 100 14 h 26 m Show

At 9:15pm ET, my UFC TOM is on Brady Burns Over 4.5 rounds. I see this fight going the distance. Both these guys are grapplers and their respective strengths will help to cancel each other out. Burns has seen 4 of his last 6 bouts go the distance. He now has 11 decisions on his resume. Half (8) of Brady's 16 victories have come via submission and even his non-decisions tend to come late. He hasn't had a first round win since 2017. Both men win their fights via submission but neither has ever been submitted. Expect the judges to decide this one. Play on the Over.

09-05-24 Ravens v. Chiefs UNDER 47 20-27 Push 0 13 h 3 m Show

This is a interesting opening game this year, as Kansas City looks for a third straight championship. In Week 1 they'll face the Baltimore Ravens, who won the AFC last season. KC though won 17-10 in the Playoffs to advance over the Ravens last year. Baltimore went 12-5-1 ATS in the regular season and LaMar Jackson and company were 2-0 ATS as road dogs. That said, Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce are 3-1 vs. Baltimore in the regular season. The Ravens added dynamic running back Derrick Henry, who will now have to face one of the league's best defensive units. In fact, both teams excel defensively with each finishing among the league leaders in almost every category. These are two great QB's, but this one has the feel of being a much more defensive battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe in my opinion. With a lot of running keeping the clock moving, I foresee another tight low-scoring contest between these rivals, so the play is the under.

09-04-24 Nationals v. Marlins OVER 8.5 3-4 Loss -100 11 h 21 m Show

At 6:40pm ET, my NL East TOM is on Miami/Washington over. When considering the inconsistent form of these two scheduled starters, I think that this total will eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The Nats turn to Matt Gore (8-11, 4.45 ERA,) who comes in off a victory over the Yankees, giving up two runs over six innings. So you know, it was just his second victory over his past 13 starts. Gore has been all over the map regarding his performance, especially on the road where he's just 2-6 with a 4.92 ERA. The home side counters with Valente Bellozo, who is 2-2 with a 4.32 ERA overall, but who enters off a brutal start vs. the Rockies, getting shelled for six runs off seven hits over four innings. Bellozo has now allowed 11 earned runs and six homers over his last two outings (11.2 innings.) This one has "over" written all over it.

09-02-24 Boston College v. Florida State OVER 49.5 Top 28-13 Loss -110 15 h 56 m Show

At 7:30 ET, my ACC TOM is on BC/FSU Over. We have an exciting ACC matchup here with Boston College on the road to take on Florida State, which is off a titanic 24-21 road loss at Georgia Tech as a ten-point favorite in Week 0, and in my opinion, this one sets up to be a higher-scoring shootout, rather than a lower-scoring defensive battle. With the home side now motivated to bury Boston College and to erase the stink of that Week 1 collapse, I am expecting Florida State to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and that this overall faster tempo will help in pushing the total over the number before it's all said and done. Mike Norvell is a good coach and I expect him to have his team ready to bounce back here. Boston College has a new coach in Bill O'Brien, who came over previously as the Patriots offensive head coach. The Eagles gave the Seminoles everything they could handle last year, falling 31-29 as 27.5-point underdogs, and in my opinion, everything points to a similar higher-scoring shootout here as well. Play on the Over

09-02-24 Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 8 Top 3-9 Loss -110 10 h 40 m Show

AT 2:10 ET, my NL Central TOM is on the Cardinals and Brewers Under. St. Louis just finished up winning two of three at the Yanks over the weekend, including a 14-7 win yesterday, while Milwaukee finally had its five-game win streak come to an end in yesterday's 4-3 setback at Cincinnati. The Cardinals are 11.5 games back of the Brewers for the division lead, but only 5.5 games back of the final NL Wildcard spot. They say that divisional contests are always the most important, and that's definitely the case here for St. Louis and Andre Pallante (6-6, 3.80 ERA), who allowed two runs over six innings in an unfortunate no-decision to the Padres in his last outing. Pallante has not conceded more than two runs in any of his last four starts. The under is 3-0 his last 3 starts and 13-7 his last 20. He'll have to be sharp here throwing opposite Freddy Peralta (9-7, 3.70), who went six scoreless and struck out eight in a win over the Giants on Wednesday. For the season he owns as sharp 172:56 K:BB. Peralta is 3-0-1 to the under his past 4 starts. With these two starters battling each other into the latter frames like I believe they will, the under is the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one.

09-01-24 Tottenham Hotspur v. Newcastle United UNDER 3.5 Top 1-2 Win 100 3 h 51 m Show

At 8:30am my EPL TOW is on Tottenham/Newcastle Under. Both teams enter with one win and one draw. So far Tottenham has scored five goals, while allowing just one. Newcastle has just two goals, while conceding one. Tottenham annihilated Everton at home, but played down to the level of its competition by drawing with Leicester on the road. Newcastle drew 1-1 at Bournemouth in its last EPL action and a similar "war of attrition" seems imminent here as well. The Spurs will be wary here, having lost their last two games here and allowing ten goals in the process. From the recent form of these defenses though, each having conceded just once in two matches, its clear to me that this particular matchup, which sets up well really well situationally, will be a lower-scoring affair. This number is high. Play on the Under.

08-31-24 Penn State v. West Virginia UNDER 51.5 34-12 Win 100 123 h 14 m Show

At 12:00pm ET, my Early Riser is on Penn State and West Virginia under the total. As per usual, the Nittany Lions are going to be very good on defense. They allowed 18.2 points per game last year and just 323 yards. This year's defense is again stacked. The defensive line is right there with any in the country and the linebackers and secondary are also going to be really good. Neal Brown believes that WVU's defense is better than last year's. Last year they had to face the Nittany Lions at Penn State and ended up giving up 38 points. They will do a better job of limiting the Lions this year. Both teams ran the ball a lot last year (40x and 35x) and the final score of 35-18 would have been lower if not for a 25-pt 4th quarter and touchdown in the final few seconds. This score will be lower. Play on the Under.

08-29-24 Mets v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 3-2 Win 100 7 h 36 m Show

At 3:40 ET my Total Dominator, is on Mets/Arizona under the total. The Peterson/Nelson matchup will result in some quality pitching this afternoon. Peterson continues to shine brightly. He's been delivering gem after gem and is now 8-1 with a 2.85 ERA this season. Nelson has also been really good. He is 3-0 with a 2.91 ERA his last 7 starts. His last start here was a 3-2 final. Peterson's last road start was a 4-3 final. This game will also have that type of score. Play on the Under.

08-28-24 Royals v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 Top 5-7 Loss -100 3 h 12 m Show

At 1:10 ET, my AL TOW is on Cleveland and KC to finish under. Both Michael Wacha and Tanner Bibee are having strong seasons. Bibee (10-6, 3.46 ERA) is 12-7-1 to the under his last 20 starts. Wacha (11-6, 3.32 ERA) is 8-3 to the under his last 11 road starts. Wacha has made 4 starts against Cleveland. Those 4 games averaged only 5 total runs with the under going 3-1. This game will be all about the pitching. Play on the Under.

08-25-24 Nationals v. Braves OVER 8 5-1 Loss -115 4 h 17 m Show

At 12:05 ET, my Early Riser is on Washington/Atlanta over the total. Yesterday's game featured 21 hits but only 6 runs. We'll see a lot more scoring this afternoon. DJ Herz has a 5.50 ERA in four road starts. Reynaldo Lopez can be tough but hasn't been sticking around very long lately. He went 5 and 3 innings in his last 2 starts. He's only made 1 start since coming off the injured list so isn't likely to go much longer today either. Washington games average roughly 9 runs. I've got this one finishing above that average. Play on the Over.

08-24-24 SMU v. Nevada UNDER 56 Top 29-24 Win 100 34 h 16 m Show

At 8:00pm ET, my August TOM is on Nevada/SMU Under the total. SMU is a big favorite and will put up big points. The Mustangs won't get over this number themselves though and they aren't going to have things quite as easy as expected. Nevada's new coach Jeff Choate knows his defense as does new defensive coordinator Kane loane. Choate was a co-defensive coordinator at Texas and loane was the co-defensive coordinator and safeties coach at Boise. They will have the Wolf Pack improved on defense. Offense may be a different matter. Nevada averaged only 17 points last year. Favored by a similar amount, the Mustangs won their opener 38-14 last year. This one should play out much the same. I've got it at 37-10. Play on the Under.

08-24-24 Giants v. Jets OVER 31 Top 6-10 Loss -110 12 h 27 m Show

At 7:30 ET, my NFLX TOW is on the Giants and Jets Over. You don't see many starters in these Week 3 preseason games. That doesn't mean that the games can't produce a lot of points. The 2nd and 3rd stringers all want success and a chance to show they deserve to be on the team. So far the Week 3 preseason games have finished with 41, 55, 31, 38 and 48. That's an average of more than 42 points. Last year's Week 3 preseason game between these teams had a final score of 32-24. The year before that was a 31-27 score. Play on the Over.

08-18-24 Packers v. Broncos UNDER 39 Top 2-27 Win 100 104 h 60 m Show

At 8:00pm ET, my NFLX. TOY selection is on Denver and Green Bay under. Both teams won their first game. After their 23-10 on Saturday, Packers coach Matt LaFleur said he was leaning toward not playing his starters in the Broncos' second preseason game. "“Too early to tell but, right now, I don’t anticipate those guys playing vs. Denver, the majority of the starters. There might be a select few, but I think what we’re going to do just because we have the competitive practice vs. the Broncos, use that as their game reps and let the other guys play for the most part in that second preseason game, then we’ll re-evaluate it for the third one." That means that Denver's rookie QB Bo Nix will probabl get to play against a lot of 2nd stringers, as he did against the Colts. That doesn't mean that he'll have the same level of success. The Green Bay 2nd string defense was pretty good. Cleveland managed only 244 total yards for the game. With 2nd-stringers also on offense, it does mean that the Packers are unlikely to score 17 1st half points again though. This will be a low-scoring game. Play on the Under.

08-14-24 Atalanta v. Real Madrid OVER 3 Top 0-2 Loss -100 6 h 11 m Show

At 3:00pm ET, my Soccer TOM is on Atalanta vs Real Madrid Over. This UEFA Super Cup match is being played in Warsaw. The Super Cup pits the winner of the Champion's League (Real Madrid) against the winner of the Europa League, Atalanta. Real Madrid expects to finally have Mbappe in action on Wednesday, when the French superstar is expected to make his debut against Atalanta. He's one of the best offensive football players in the world. Even if they were without Mbappe, the Spanish giants are poised to score multiple times against an opponent dealing with some injuries to defensive players. Determined to show it belongs, Atalanta will also find the back of the net. I've got it finishing at 3-1 for Real Madrid. Play on the Over.

08-12-24 Royals v. Twins OVER 8 Top 3-8 Win 100 25 h 13 m Show

At 7:40pm ET, my August AL Central Divisional Total Of The Month is on Kansas City and Minnesota Over the total. This total is too low. Minnesota game average 9.22 runs. Kansas City games average 8.80 runs. Brady Singer allowed 10 hits in 5.2 innings in his last start. That game had 14 runs. Singer's previous start finished with 13 runs. Pablo Lopez has a bad 4.74 ERA this season. He allowed 7 hits and 4 runs in 5 innings in his last start. That game finished with 10 runs. As a matter of fact, Lopez is 5-1 to the over since the start of July and each of his past 4 starts have finished with at least 10 runs. Play on the Over.

08-10-24 Nikolay Veretennikov v. Danny Barlow UNDER 2.5 Top 0-1 Loss -130 74 h 13 m Show

My UFC Total Of the Month is on the Under in the Nikolay Veretennikov vs Danny Barlow fight. Uros Medic was originally supposed to fiight Danny Barlow. Replacing Medic will be Dana White’s Contender Series veteran Nikolay Veretennikov. The new matchup will make for a quick bout, most likely a quick Barlow TKO. Veretennikov's last 3 fights have all finished in the first or second round. His most recent was a 1st round TKO victory. Barlow has four straight TKO victories. Three of those four didn't make it out of the first round. This one won't either. Play on the Under.

08-09-24 Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 8 Top 5-9 Loss -107 17 h 2 m Show

At 10:10 ET, my MLB Total Of The Year is on Pittsburgh and LA Under. A pair of top tier starters will lead to a low-scoring pitcher's duel at Dodger Stadium on Friday night. Jack Flaherty was a shrewd acquisition and he may help put the Dodgers over the top in this year's playoffs. He has a 2.80 ERA and 0.96 WHIP this season and he gave the Dodgers 6 shutout innings less than a week ago. That's 2 straight starts with 0 runs for Flaherty. He's got a 0.00 ERA in August and he had a 1.53 ERA in July. A former Cardinal, Flaherty knows the Pirates well. He's 9-1 with an exemplary 2.52 ERA in 15 career starts and one relief appearance against them. Mitch Keller gets it done. He went 4 innings last start but that was only because of a rain delay. He allowed just 1 hit and 0 runs in those 4 innings. He's 8-2 with a 2.34 ERA his last 15 starts. Keller has faced the Dodgers 3x since the start of the 2022 season and all 3 games finished with 8 or fewer runs. Play on the Under.

08-08-24 Brewers v. Braves UNDER 9.5 16-7 Loss -119 7 h 28 m Show

At 12:20 ET, my Early Riser is on Milwaukee/Altanta Under the total. The Brewers have scored big this series and that changes this afternoon. Charlie Morton is 4-0 to the under his last 4 home starts. As a matter of fact, since July 1st, 2023, Morton is 14-3 to the under at home. Montas earned a victory in his first start as a Brewer, bringing some stability to their rotation. Five strikeouts and 0 walks was a good sign for Brewer fans and was something that Montas can build off. Play on the Under.

08-04-24 Cardinals v. Cubs UNDER 9 Top 2-6 Win 100 9 h 0 m Show

At 7:10 ET, my NL Central TOM is on the Cubs and Cardinals under the total. Miles Mikolas has struggled at home. But Mikolas is 7-4 with a 3.89 ERA on the road. As a matter of fact, Mikolas is 13-1 to the under his last 14 road starts. That only over snuck over by a half run! (He's 7-2 to the over his last 9 at home.) Any trouble Steele has had this season has come in the day. He's got a 2.89 ERA and 1.06 WHIP at night, 65 strikeouts in 65 night innings. Play on the Under.

08-03-24 Dodgers v. A's UNDER 8 Top 10-0 Loss -110 11 h 15 m Show

At 9:07pm ET, my IL Total Of the Month is on the Dodgers and Athletics under the total. Jack Flaherty makes his debut for the Dodgers. He's been getting it done for Detroit all year long and he'll be fired up for this start. Flaherty (2.95 ERA) will love being on the the Dodgers but he isn't likely to get much help in his first start. Not the way Mitch Spence is throwing the ball of late. Last game, Spence allowed 1 run in 6 innings.The game before that, he allowed 2 runs. Spence prefers pitching at night and he likes being on his home mound. 4 of Flaherty's last 6 road starts have finished below the total. Play on the Under.

07-31-24 Mariners v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 Top 2-3 Win 100 9 h 15 m Show

At 4:10 ET, my Total. Of the Week is on Boston and Seattle under the total. George Kirby has a 0.98 WHIP this season with 129 strikeouts in 130 innings. He has an outside shot at the American League Cy Young Award. Kirby is 7-4-1 to the under his last 12 starts. He has a 2.02 ERA his last 7 starts. Bello held the Mariners to 1 run in 5 innings, striking out 7, the only time he faced them at Fenway. When he faced the Mariners earlier this season Bello conceded 2 runs in 5 innings. Bello has given up 3 runs or less in 4 of his 5 July starts, each of his past 3. Play on the Under.

07-30-24 Marlins v. Rays OVER 7.5 Top 3-9 Win 105 14 h 15 m Show

At 6:50 ET, my IL TOW is on Tampa and Miami over the total. This total is low. As a matter of fact, no Tuesday MLB total is lower! Edward Cabrera is one of this season's worst pitchers. He's got a 12.19 road ERA giving up more than 1 run per inning. Jeffrey Springs has been out with injury for a long time. This is his first start this season. There was nothing special about his 0-3 record and 4.50 ERA which he compiled in his 9 rehab starts. Minor league batters hit .292 against him. Both starters are likely to give up some runs and neither bullpen is anything special. Final score will eclipse the low o|u line. Play on the Over.

07-28-24 Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 Top 8-2 Loss -115 11 h 24 m Show

At 7:10 ET, my AL East TOM is on NY and Boston under the total. Carlos Rodon was brilliant in his last start. Through 7 innings, he permitted just 2 hits. He didn't allow a hit until the 5th. He struck out 10. That's the type of performance Rodon needed and what the Yankees needed from him. He will carry the renewed confidence with him to the ballpark tonight. Rodon is 6-1 to the under in 7 career starts versus Boston. Tanner Houck has an exemplary 2.71 ERA and 1.09 WHIP through 20 starts. Houck is 3-1-1 to the under his past 5 starts against the Yankees. Play on the Under.

07-26-24 Calgary v. Ottawa OVER 50.5 Top 6-33 Loss -110 10 h 15 m Show

At 7:30 ET, my CFL TOW is on Calgary/Ottawa over the total. The CFL games have gone under over the last stretch but that will change at TD Place Stadium on Friday. This is the first meeting of the season. The last time that these teams faced each other was last July, roughly 1 year ago. The score of that game was 43-41. Ottawa used a balanced attack and the Stampeders racked up 450 yards through the air. Calgary's last 2 road games had 78 and 56 points. This is a non-conference matchup between 2 mediocre, or below average defenses. It will also finish with more than 50. Play on the Over.

07-22-24 Rays v. Yankees OVER 8.5 1-9 Win 100 5 h 17 m Show

At 1:05 ET, my Early Riser is on NY/TB over the total. A pair of struggling starters will lead to an offensive explosion on Monday afternoon. Rodon is 1-5 with a 7.94 ERA his past 7 starts. Littell is 1-3 with a 5.73 ERA his past 7. Littell is 5-2 to the over in those games. Since the start of May, Rodon is 9-3-2 to the over. Littell is 2-0 to over versus the Yankees. Play the Over

07-21-24 BC v. Calgary OVER 52.5 Top 24-25 Loss -110 12 h 59 m Show

At 7:00 ET, my Western Conf TOY is on the B.C. Lions and Calgary Stampeders Over. All 3 Week 7 games have gone under. That changes today. BC has the best offense in the CFL. The Lions score more than 30 ppg and they average more than 450 yards per game. The Lions won 35-20 last game. Their last road game produced 72 points. The Stampeders last 2 games finished with 78 and 56 points. Two of the last 3 meetings have finished with 55 or more. Two of the last 3 meetings at Calgary have finished with 60 or more. Both offenses will continue to click. Play on the Over.

07-20-24 Mets v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 Top 1-0 Win 100 9 h 43 m Show

At 4:10 ET, my NL TOM is on New York and Miami Under the total. Today's pitching matchup features Luis Severino vs Roddery Munoz. We've already seen this matchup earlier this season, Severino and Munoz opposed each other on June 13. That game was a genuine pitcher's duel. Munoz went 6 shutout innings. He gave up just 1 hit! Severino also went 6 innings. After 5 shutout frames, he finally gave up a run in the 6th inning. The score was 0-0 after 5 innings, 2-1 going into the 9th. The Mets won 3-2 after scoring 2 in the bottom of the 9th. Severino and Munoz are going to be fired up for the rematch and we can expect more strong pitching. Play on the Under

07-17-24 Borac Banja Luka v. Egnatia Rrogozhine UNDER 2.25 Top 1-2 Loss -100 20 h 59 m Show

AT 3:00pm ET, my Champions League T.O.M. is on Borac Banja Luka and Egnatia Rrogozhine Under. Borac Banja Luka won the first leg 1-0. That match was scoreless until the 96th minute. The goal may not have come at all if the visitors hadn't picked up a red card. Egnatia Rrogozhine are likely to struggle to score again, as they attempt to overturn their one-goal deficit. It doesn't help their cause that 2 key players are suspended for this match. Borac kept a clean sheet last week and know that a repeat performance will get them into the next round. They will employ a defensive strategy from the opening kickoff. Play on the Under.

07-14-24 England v. Spain UNDER 2 Top 1-2 Loss -104 46 h 60 m Show

At 3:00pm ET, my Euro Cup TOY is on England and Spain under. I played on Spain over for the 1st half against France. An early goal was just what I wanted to see. It led to a wide open 1st half, though I only needed 1 for the win. A match against defensive-minded England will play out differently. England's 6 matches have averaged less than 2 goals per match. No team has scored more than 1 and the English have 2 clean sheets. Spain was without a pair of key defensive-minded players for the France match but Dani Carvajal and Robin Le Normand will now both be back and they will have fresh legs. Goals will be hard to come by for both teams; at the end of 90 mins, a 0-0 or 1-0 score is what I expect. Play on the Under.

07-12-24 Lynx v. Storm OVER 154.5 Top 63-91 Loss -110 17 h 2 m Show

At 10:00 ET, my WNBA Western Conf. TOW is on Seattle/Minnesota oven. When the Lynx played here in May the total was 165. Now we're in the 150s. That's too low. Both teams are going to score. Both have a strong chance of going over the 80 mark. Seattle scores 83.5 points a game. Minnesota scores 82.15. Those are both top 5 for ppg in the WNBA. The Storm have scored 89, 97, 95 ,84, 84 and 79 points their last 6 games. The Lynx scored 82 last game and have scored at least 73 in each of their last 3 games. They've scored 70 or more in 7 of their last 8. 7 of the past 10 meetings finished to the over. Play on the Over.

07-11-24 Sky v. Liberty OVER 164.5 Top 76-91 Win 100 25 h 38 m Show

At 7:00pm ET, my WNBA TOY is on the Chicago Sky and New York Liberty over the total. New York plays 2 games in 2 days for the 3rd time. Both previous instances saw the Liberty score more than 90 and the final score go to the over. New York returns home after playing 2 or more road games for the 4th time. All 3 previous instances saw the Liberty score more than 90 and the final score go to the over. This season's earlier meeting at Barclays Center had a total of 168.5 and finished with 171. This lower total offers line value. New York will score big. Chicago has scored more than 80 points in 4 of its last 5 road games. The Sky will do their part. Play on the Over.

07-10-24 Blue Jays v. Giants OVER 7 Top 10-6 Win 100 16 h 41 m Show

At 9:45 ET, my I.L. TOY is on San Francisco/Toronto over the total. This total is too low. Toronto games average 8.55 runs. San Francisco games average 9.13. With a 1.42 WHIP on the season, Bassitt is allowing quite a few baserunners. Last start, he surrendered 8 hits in 5 innings. He also walked 4. That's 12 base-runners in 5 innings, a recipe for disaster. His last 5 starts have all finished with at least 7 runs. His last 3 starts have finished with 8, 12 and 13 runs. Webb has pitched well but his starts still tend to end up producing quite a few runs. Webb's last start finished with only 6 but his previous 8 starts all finished with at least 7 runs. Those 8 starts averaged 8.5 runs. Webb has a 9.00 ERA versus Toronto. Play on the Over.

07-07-24 Blue Jays v. Mariners OVER 7 Top 5-4 Win 100 20 h 26 m Show

At 4:10 ET, my AL TOY is on Seattle/Toronto over the total. This total is too low. The Mariners couldn't hit yesterday's starter but they will have much better success today. Jose Berrios allowed 5 runs in 5 innings in his last start. He only struck out 1 batter. Berrios also allowed 5 earned runs in his last road start. He had a 4.70 ERA in May and a 4.85 ERA in June. On the road, he's 2-5 with a 4.38 ERA. Berrios is supported by a bad Toronto bullpen. Kirby has an ERA above 4 when pitching during the day. Kirby is 0-1 with an ERA of 7.56 in 2 career appearances versus the Blue Jays. Berrios' last start at Seattle finished with 22 runs. The weather will be favorable for hitting and this will be another high-scoring game. Play on the Over.

07-07-24 Wings v. Aces UNDER 176 Top 85-104 Loss -110 9 h 22 m Show

At 3:00pm ET, my WNBA Western Conf TOY is on Dallas and Las Vegas under. When these teams met a month ago, the total was only 167.5. This is a much larger number which gives us a lot more wiggle room. The Wings were able to score 81 in that game but will have trouble matching that number on the road. They scored 71 points in their last road game and 76 in their previous one. The last 3 meetings have all finished with 176 or fewer points and they averaged less than 159. Las Vegas is off an OT loss. The last time that the Aces had failed to cover, they held their next opponent to 69 points. Play on the under.

07-06-24 Panama v. Colombia OVER 2.5 Top 0-5 Win 100 27 h 23 m Show

At 4:00 ET, my Copa America TOY is on Panama/Columbia Over the total. Columbia is entirely capable of exceeding this total without any help from Panama at all. The Columbians earned this match by drawing Brazil. If they'd lost, they'd be up against Uruguay, a far more difficult opponent. Now Columbia will take advantage of a weaker Panama squad by jumping on them early and often. Playing from behind will force Panama to have to take chances. That will lead to goals, for and/or against. The last 3 head-to-head matches had scores of 3-0, 4-0 and 3-2. Play on the Over.

07-05-24 Ottawa v. Winnipeg OVER 46 Top 16-25 Loss -110 52 h 1 m Show

At 8:30 ET, my CFL TOY is on Winnipeg and Ottawa over the total. The Redblacks and Blue Bombers faced each other at Ottawa a few weeks back. That game had weather issues which got progressively worse as the game went on. Near the end of the game, the teams were even forced to stop playing altogether and wait out the bad weather. They had 26 points by halftime but in no small part to the weather, they only finished with 42. That took a goal-line, weather-assisted stand at the end of the game. That total was 47.5. There re no weather concerns this time, its expected to be a beautiful Friday evening in Winnipeg. The last h2h meeting without weather concerns finished with 59 points. This game will also exceed the 50 mark. Play on the Over.

07-05-24 Germany v. Spain UNDER 2.5 1-1 Win 100 43 h 28 m Show

At 12:00pm ET, my Golden boot is on the Germany and Spain under the total. In a very even and tightly contested match, goals will be difficult to come by. Spain has only conceded one goal in 4 Euro Cup matches, only 2 goals in its last 6 matches, in all competitions. Germany is off a clean sheet against Denmark and has conceded only twice in 4 Euro Cup matches. The last four head-to-head meetings between Spain and Germany in major tournaments have produced only six combined goals. In all competitions, in six of the last seven meetings, no more than two goals have been scored. Play on the Under.

07-02-24 Cardinals v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 Top 7-4 Loss -110 14 h 36 m Show

At 6:40 ET, my NL Central TOY selection is on the St Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates to go und the total. Keller is 9-4 with a 3.20 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. He averages over 6 innings per start. A deeper look reveals that he's 7-1 with a 1.85 ERA since the start of May! With a 3.77 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, averaging nearly 6 innings per start, Gibson has also been dependable. Though he lost to the Braves last start, Gibson was 4-0 with a 2.64 ERA over his previous 11 starts. Four of Keller's last 5 against the Cardinals have gone under. Gibson is 2-0 to the under versus the Pirates since 2022. Play on the Under.

07-02-24 Netherlands v. Romania OVER 2.5 3-0 Win 100 7 h 0 m Show

At 12:00pm ET, my Golden boot is on the Netherlands and Romania over the total. Monday's 2 matches were both of a very low-scoring nature. France scored late to win 1-0 and Portugal and Slovenia were tied 0-0 after regulation. Those came on the heels of 2 high-scoring Sunday matches. Tuesday's early match will provide a return to the goals that fans and over bettors love to see. Netherlands is off a 3-2 match against Austria. Seven of Holland's last 8 matches have finished with 3 or more goals. With 4 goals in 3 group stage matches, Romania has shown that it can also score. As a matter of fact, the Romanians actually finished on top of their group. Netherlands scores 2 or more but Romania gets at least 1 of its own. Play on the Over.

06-30-24 Slovakia v. England UNDER 2.5 1-1 Win 100 3 h 34 m Show

At 12:00pm ET, my Golden boot is on the under in England and Slovakia. Slovakia is unlikely to score in this match. England will shut the Slovaks down. England entered the tournament off consecutive clean sheets and 3 group stage matches had scores of 1-0, 1-1 and 0-0. Slovakia never managed more than a goal in its group stage matches. There's a great path to the Finals for England. Though a scoreless draw after 90 wouldnt shock me, I look for England to shut down the Slovaks with a 1-0 or 2-0 victory and be ready for Switzerland in the next round. Play on the Under.

06-27-24 Sun v. Mystics OVER 152.5 94-91 Win 100 10 h 3 m Show

At 7:00 ET, my super shootout is on the Over in Washington and Connecticut. Given the way they are currently playing, for a game involving the Mystics, this total is too low. Angered off of 2 straight losses, the Sun are going to put up a lot of points tonight. They will need to because Washington has scored 92 and 97 points its last 2 games. The Mystics are 4-0 to the over their last 4 games. Over the past 3 weeks, they are 6-1 to the over. Even the game which stayed under finished with 155 points. It only went under by a bucket. Four of the past 6 head-to-head clashes have finished with more than 150 points. Play on the Over.

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