AT 2:10 ET, my NL Central TOM is on the Cardinals and Brewers Under. St. Louis just finished up winning two of three at the Yanks over the weekend, including a 14-7 win yesterday, while Milwaukee finally had its five-game win streak come to an end in yesterday's 4-3 setback at Cincinnati. The Cardinals are 11.5 games back of the Brewers for the division lead, but only 5.5 games back of the final NL Wildcard spot. They say that divisional contests are always the most important, and that's definitely the case here for St. Louis and Andre Pallante (6-6, 3.80 ERA), who allowed two runs over six innings in an unfortunate no-decision to the Padres in his last outing. Pallante has not conceded more than two runs in any of his last four starts. The under is 3-0 his last 3 starts and 13-7 his last 20. He'll have to be sharp here throwing opposite Freddy Peralta (9-7, 3.70), who went six scoreless and struck out eight in a win over the Giants on Wednesday. For the season he owns as sharp 172:56 K:BB. Peralta is 3-0-1 to the under his past 4 starts. With these two starters battling each other into the latter frames like I believe they will, the under is the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one.

At 8:30am my EPL TOW is on Tottenham/Newcastle Under. Both teams enter with one win and one draw. So far Tottenham has scored five goals, while allowing just one. Newcastle has just two goals, while conceding one. Tottenham annihilated Everton at home, but played down to the level of its competition by drawing with Leicester on the road. Newcastle drew 1-1 at Bournemouth in its last EPL action and a similar "war of attrition" seems imminent here as well. The Spurs will be wary here, having lost their last two games here and allowing ten goals in the process. From the recent form of these defenses though, each having conceded just once in two matches, its clear to me that this particular matchup, which sets up well really well situationally, will be a lower-scoring affair. This number is high. Play on the Under.

At 12:00pm ET, my Early Riser is on Penn State and West Virginia under the total. As per usual, the Nittany Lions are going to be very good on defense. They allowed 18.2 points per game last year and just 323 yards. This year's defense is again stacked. The defensive line is right there with any in the country and the linebackers and secondary are also going to be really good. Neal Brown believes that WVU's defense is better than last year's. Last year they had to face the Nittany Lions at Penn State and ended up giving up 38 points. They will do a better job of limiting the Lions this year. Both teams ran the ball a lot last year (40x and 35x) and the final score of 35-18 would have been lower if not for a 25-pt 4th quarter and touchdown in the final few seconds. This score will be lower. Play on the Under.

At 3:40 ET my Total Dominator, is on Mets/Arizona under the total. The Peterson/Nelson matchup will result in some quality pitching this afternoon. Peterson continues to shine brightly. He's been delivering gem after gem and is now 8-1 with a 2.85 ERA this season. Nelson has also been really good. He is 3-0 with a 2.91 ERA his last 7 starts. His last start here was a 3-2 final. Peterson's last road start was a 4-3 final. This game will also have that type of score. Play on the Under.

At 1:10 ET, my AL TOW is on Cleveland and KC to finish under. Both Michael Wacha and Tanner Bibee are having strong seasons. Bibee (10-6, 3.46 ERA) is 12-7-1 to the under his last 20 starts. Wacha (11-6, 3.32 ERA) is 8-3 to the under his last 11 road starts. Wacha has made 4 starts against Cleveland. Those 4 games averaged only 5 total runs with the under going 3-1. This game will be all about the pitching. Play on the Under.

At 12:05 ET, my Early Riser is on Washington/Atlanta over the total. Yesterday's game featured 21 hits but only 6 runs. We'll see a lot more scoring this afternoon. DJ Herz has a 5.50 ERA in four road starts. Reynaldo Lopez can be tough but hasn't been sticking around very long lately. He went 5 and 3 innings in his last 2 starts. He's only made 1 start since coming off the injured list so isn't likely to go much longer today either. Washington games average roughly 9 runs. I've got this one finishing above that average. Play on the Over.

At 8:00pm ET, my August TOM is on Nevada/SMU Under the total. SMU is a big favorite and will put up big points. The Mustangs won't get over this number themselves though and they aren't going to have things quite as easy as expected. Nevada's new coach Jeff Choate knows his defense as does new defensive coordinator Kane loane. Choate was a co-defensive coordinator at Texas and loane was the co-defensive coordinator and safeties coach at Boise. They will have the Wolf Pack improved on defense. Offense may be a different matter. Nevada averaged only 17 points last year. Favored by a similar amount, the Mustangs won their opener 38-14 last year. This one should play out much the same. I've got it at 37-10. Play on the Under.

At 7:30 ET, my NFLX TOW is on the Giants and Jets Over. You don't see many starters in these Week 3 preseason games. That doesn't mean that the games can't produce a lot of points. The 2nd and 3rd stringers all want success and a chance to show they deserve to be on the team. So far the Week 3 preseason games have finished with 41, 55, 31, 38 and 48. That's an average of more than 42 points. Last year's Week 3 preseason game between these teams had a final score of 32-24. The year before that was a 31-27 score. Play on the Over.

At 8:00pm ET, my NFLX. TOY selection is on Denver and Green Bay under. Both teams won their first game. After their 23-10 on Saturday, Packers coach Matt LaFleur said he was leaning toward not playing his starters in the Broncos' second preseason game. "“Too early to tell but, right now, I don’t anticipate those guys playing vs. Denver, the majority of the starters. There might be a select few, but I think what we’re going to do just because we have the competitive practice vs. the Broncos, use that as their game reps and let the other guys play for the most part in that second preseason game, then we’ll re-evaluate it for the third one." That means that Denver's rookie QB Bo Nix will probabl get to play against a lot of 2nd stringers, as he did against the Colts. That doesn't mean that he'll have the same level of success. The Green Bay 2nd string defense was pretty good. Cleveland managed only 244 total yards for the game. With 2nd-stringers also on offense, it does mean that the Packers are unlikely to score 17 1st half points again though. This will be a low-scoring game. Play on the Under.

At 3:00pm ET, my Soccer TOM is on Atalanta vs Real Madrid Over. This UEFA Super Cup match is being played in Warsaw. The Super Cup pits the winner of the Champion's League (Real Madrid) against the winner of the Europa League, Atalanta. Real Madrid expects to finally have Mbappe in action on Wednesday, when the French superstar is expected to make his debut against Atalanta. He's one of the best offensive football players in the world. Even if they were without Mbappe, the Spanish giants are poised to score multiple times against an opponent dealing with some injuries to defensive players. Determined to show it belongs, Atalanta will also find the back of the net. I've got it finishing at 3-1 for Real Madrid. Play on the Over.

At 7:40pm ET, my August AL Central Divisional Total Of The Month is on Kansas City and Minnesota Over the total. This total is too low. Minnesota game average 9.22 runs. Kansas City games average 8.80 runs. Brady Singer allowed 10 hits in 5.2 innings in his last start. That game had 14 runs. Singer's previous start finished with 13 runs. Pablo Lopez has a bad 4.74 ERA this season. He allowed 7 hits and 4 runs in 5 innings in his last start. That game finished with 10 runs. As a matter of fact, Lopez is 5-1 to the over since the start of July and each of his past 4 starts have finished with at least 10 runs. Play on the Over.

My UFC Total Of the Month is on the Under in the Nikolay Veretennikov vs Danny Barlow fight. Uros Medic was originally supposed to fiight Danny Barlow. Replacing Medic will be Dana White’s Contender Series veteran Nikolay Veretennikov. The new matchup will make for a quick bout, most likely a quick Barlow TKO. Veretennikov's last 3 fights have all finished in the first or second round. His most recent was a 1st round TKO victory. Barlow has four straight TKO victories. Three of those four didn't make it out of the first round. This one won't either. Play on the Under.

At 10:10 ET, my MLB Total Of The Year is on Pittsburgh and LA Under. A pair of top tier starters will lead to a low-scoring pitcher's duel at Dodger Stadium on Friday night. Jack Flaherty was a shrewd acquisition and he may help put the Dodgers over the top in this year's playoffs. He has a 2.80 ERA and 0.96 WHIP this season and he gave the Dodgers 6 shutout innings less than a week ago. That's 2 straight starts with 0 runs for Flaherty. He's got a 0.00 ERA in August and he had a 1.53 ERA in July. A former Cardinal, Flaherty knows the Pirates well. He's 9-1 with an exemplary 2.52 ERA in 15 career starts and one relief appearance against them. Mitch Keller gets it done. He went 4 innings last start but that was only because of a rain delay. He allowed just 1 hit and 0 runs in those 4 innings. He's 8-2 with a 2.34 ERA his last 15 starts. Keller has faced the Dodgers 3x since the start of the 2022 season and all 3 games finished with 8 or fewer runs. Play on the Under.

At 12:20 ET, my Early Riser is on Milwaukee/Altanta Under the total. The Brewers have scored big this series and that changes this afternoon. Charlie Morton is 4-0 to the under his last 4 home starts. As a matter of fact, since July 1st, 2023, Morton is 14-3 to the under at home. Montas earned a victory in his first start as a Brewer, bringing some stability to their rotation. Five strikeouts and 0 walks was a good sign for Brewer fans and was something that Montas can build off. Play on the Under.

At 7:10 ET, my NL Central TOM is on the Cubs and Cardinals under the total. Miles Mikolas has struggled at home. But Mikolas is 7-4 with a 3.89 ERA on the road. As a matter of fact, Mikolas is 13-1 to the under his last 14 road starts. That only over snuck over by a half run! (He's 7-2 to the over his last 9 at home.) Any trouble Steele has had this season has come in the day. He's got a 2.89 ERA and 1.06 WHIP at night, 65 strikeouts in 65 night innings. Play on the Under.

At 9:07pm ET, my IL Total Of the Month is on the Dodgers and Athletics under the total. Jack Flaherty makes his debut for the Dodgers. He's been getting it done for Detroit all year long and he'll be fired up for this start. Flaherty (2.95 ERA) will love being on the the Dodgers but he isn't likely to get much help in his first start. Not the way Mitch Spence is throwing the ball of late. Last game, Spence allowed 1 run in 6 innings.The game before that, he allowed 2 runs. Spence prefers pitching at night and he likes being on his home mound. 4 of Flaherty's last 6 road starts have finished below the total. Play on the Under.

At 4:10 ET, my Total. Of the Week is on Boston and Seattle under the total. George Kirby has a 0.98 WHIP this season with 129 strikeouts in 130 innings. He has an outside shot at the American League Cy Young Award. Kirby is 7-4-1 to the under his last 12 starts. He has a 2.02 ERA his last 7 starts. Bello held the Mariners to 1 run in 5 innings, striking out 7, the only time he faced them at Fenway. When he faced the Mariners earlier this season Bello conceded 2 runs in 5 innings. Bello has given up 3 runs or less in 4 of his 5 July starts, each of his past 3. Play on the Under.

At 6:50 ET, my IL TOW is on Tampa and Miami over the total. This total is low. As a matter of fact, no Tuesday MLB total is lower! Edward Cabrera is one of this season's worst pitchers. He's got a 12.19 road ERA giving up more than 1 run per inning. Jeffrey Springs has been out with injury for a long time. This is his first start this season. There was nothing special about his 0-3 record and 4.50 ERA which he compiled in his 9 rehab starts. Minor league batters hit .292 against him. Both starters are likely to give up some runs and neither bullpen is anything special. Final score will eclipse the low o|u line. Play on the Over.

At 7:10 ET, my AL East TOM is on NY and Boston under the total. Carlos Rodon was brilliant in his last start. Through 7 innings, he permitted just 2 hits. He didn't allow a hit until the 5th. He struck out 10. That's the type of performance Rodon needed and what the Yankees needed from him. He will carry the renewed confidence with him to the ballpark tonight. Rodon is 6-1 to the under in 7 career starts versus Boston. Tanner Houck has an exemplary 2.71 ERA and 1.09 WHIP through 20 starts. Houck is 3-1-1 to the under his past 5 starts against the Yankees. Play on the Under.

At 7:30 ET, my CFL TOW is on Calgary/Ottawa over the total. The CFL games have gone under over the last stretch but that will change at TD Place Stadium on Friday. This is the first meeting of the season. The last time that these teams faced each other was last July, roughly 1 year ago. The score of that game was 43-41. Ottawa used a balanced attack and the Stampeders racked up 450 yards through the air. Calgary's last 2 road games had 78 and 56 points. This is a non-conference matchup between 2 mediocre, or below average defenses. It will also finish with more than 50. Play on the Over.

At 1:05 ET, my Early Riser is on NY/TB over the total. A pair of struggling starters will lead to an offensive explosion on Monday afternoon. Rodon is 1-5 with a 7.94 ERA his past 7 starts. Littell is 1-3 with a 5.73 ERA his past 7. Littell is 5-2 to the over in those games. Since the start of May, Rodon is 9-3-2 to the over. Littell is 2-0 to over versus the Yankees. Play the Over

At 7:00 ET, my Western Conf TOY is on the B.C. Lions and Calgary Stampeders Over. All 3 Week 7 games have gone under. That changes today. BC has the best offense in the CFL. The Lions score more than 30 ppg and they average more than 450 yards per game. The Lions won 35-20 last game. Their last road game produced 72 points. The Stampeders last 2 games finished with 78 and 56 points. Two of the last 3 meetings have finished with 55 or more. Two of the last 3 meetings at Calgary have finished with 60 or more. Both offenses will continue to click. Play on the Over.

At 4:10 ET, my NL TOM is on New York and Miami Under the total. Today's pitching matchup features Luis Severino vs Roddery Munoz. We've already seen this matchup earlier this season, Severino and Munoz opposed each other on June 13. That game was a genuine pitcher's duel. Munoz went 6 shutout innings. He gave up just 1 hit! Severino also went 6 innings. After 5 shutout frames, he finally gave up a run in the 6th inning. The score was 0-0 after 5 innings, 2-1 going into the 9th. The Mets won 3-2 after scoring 2 in the bottom of the 9th. Severino and Munoz are going to be fired up for the rematch and we can expect more strong pitching. Play on the Under

AT 3:00pm ET, my Champions League T.O.M. is on Borac Banja Luka and Egnatia Rrogozhine Under. Borac Banja Luka won the first leg 1-0. That match was scoreless until the 96th minute. The goal may not have come at all if the visitors hadn't picked up a red card. Egnatia Rrogozhine are likely to struggle to score again, as they attempt to overturn their one-goal deficit. It doesn't help their cause that 2 key players are suspended for this match. Borac kept a clean sheet last week and know that a repeat performance will get them into the next round. They will employ a defensive strategy from the opening kickoff. Play on the Under.

At 3:00pm ET, my Euro Cup TOY is on England and Spain under. I played on Spain over for the 1st half against France. An early goal was just what I wanted to see. It led to a wide open 1st half, though I only needed 1 for the win. A match against defensive-minded England will play out differently. England's 6 matches have averaged less than 2 goals per match. No team has scored more than 1 and the English have 2 clean sheets. Spain was without a pair of key defensive-minded players for the France match but Dani Carvajal and Robin Le Normand will now both be back and they will have fresh legs. Goals will be hard to come by for both teams; at the end of 90 mins, a 0-0 or 1-0 score is what I expect. Play on the Under.

At 10:00 ET, my WNBA Western Conf. TOW is on Seattle/Minnesota oven. When the Lynx played here in May the total was 165. Now we're in the 150s. That's too low. Both teams are going to score. Both have a strong chance of going over the 80 mark. Seattle scores 83.5 points a game. Minnesota scores 82.15. Those are both top 5 for ppg in the WNBA. The Storm have scored 89, 97, 95 ,84, 84 and 79 points their last 6 games. The Lynx scored 82 last game and have scored at least 73 in each of their last 3 games. They've scored 70 or more in 7 of their last 8. 7 of the past 10 meetings finished to the over. Play on the Over.

At 7:00pm ET, my WNBA TOY is on the Chicago Sky and New York Liberty over the total. New York plays 2 games in 2 days for the 3rd time. Both previous instances saw the Liberty score more than 90 and the final score go to the over. New York returns home after playing 2 or more road games for the 4th time. All 3 previous instances saw the Liberty score more than 90 and the final score go to the over. This season's earlier meeting at Barclays Center had a total of 168.5 and finished with 171. This lower total offers line value. New York will score big. Chicago has scored more than 80 points in 4 of its last 5 road games. The Sky will do their part. Play on the Over.

At 9:45 ET, my I.L. TOY is on San Francisco/Toronto over the total. This total is too low. Toronto games average 8.55 runs. San Francisco games average 9.13. With a 1.42 WHIP on the season, Bassitt is allowing quite a few baserunners. Last start, he surrendered 8 hits in 5 innings. He also walked 4. That's 12 base-runners in 5 innings, a recipe for disaster. His last 5 starts have all finished with at least 7 runs. His last 3 starts have finished with 8, 12 and 13 runs. Webb has pitched well but his starts still tend to end up producing quite a few runs. Webb's last start finished with only 6 but his previous 8 starts all finished with at least 7 runs. Those 8 starts averaged 8.5 runs. Webb has a 9.00 ERA versus Toronto. Play on the Over.

At 4:10 ET, my AL TOY is on Seattle/Toronto over the total. This total is too low. The Mariners couldn't hit yesterday's starter but they will have much better success today. Jose Berrios allowed 5 runs in 5 innings in his last start. He only struck out 1 batter. Berrios also allowed 5 earned runs in his last road start. He had a 4.70 ERA in May and a 4.85 ERA in June. On the road, he's 2-5 with a 4.38 ERA. Berrios is supported by a bad Toronto bullpen. Kirby has an ERA above 4 when pitching during the day. Kirby is 0-1 with an ERA of 7.56 in 2 career appearances versus the Blue Jays. Berrios' last start at Seattle finished with 22 runs. The weather will be favorable for hitting and this will be another high-scoring game. Play on the Over.

At 3:00pm ET, my WNBA Western Conf TOY is on Dallas and Las Vegas under. When these teams met a month ago, the total was only 167.5. This is a much larger number which gives us a lot more wiggle room. The Wings were able to score 81 in that game but will have trouble matching that number on the road. They scored 71 points in their last road game and 76 in their previous one. The last 3 meetings have all finished with 176 or fewer points and they averaged less than 159. Las Vegas is off an OT loss. The last time that the Aces had failed to cover, they held their next opponent to 69 points. Play on the under.

At 4:00 ET, my Copa America TOY is on Panama/Columbia Over the total. Columbia is entirely capable of exceeding this total without any help from Panama at all. The Columbians earned this match by drawing Brazil. If they'd lost, they'd be up against Uruguay, a far more difficult opponent. Now Columbia will take advantage of a weaker Panama squad by jumping on them early and often. Playing from behind will force Panama to have to take chances. That will lead to goals, for and/or against. The last 3 head-to-head matches had scores of 3-0, 4-0 and 3-2. Play on the Over.

At 8:30 ET, my CFL TOY is on Winnipeg and Ottawa over the total. The Redblacks and Blue Bombers faced each other at Ottawa a few weeks back. That game had weather issues which got progressively worse as the game went on. Near the end of the game, the teams were even forced to stop playing altogether and wait out the bad weather. They had 26 points by halftime but in no small part to the weather, they only finished with 42. That took a goal-line, weather-assisted stand at the end of the game. That total was 47.5. There re no weather concerns this time, its expected to be a beautiful Friday evening in Winnipeg. The last h2h meeting without weather concerns finished with 59 points. This game will also exceed the 50 mark. Play on the Over.

At 12:00pm ET, my Golden boot is on the Germany and Spain under the total. In a very even and tightly contested match, goals will be difficult to come by. Spain has only conceded one goal in 4 Euro Cup matches, only 2 goals in its last 6 matches, in all competitions. Germany is off a clean sheet against Denmark and has conceded only twice in 4 Euro Cup matches. The last four head-to-head meetings between Spain and Germany in major tournaments have produced only six combined goals. In all competitions, in six of the last seven meetings, no more than two goals have been scored. Play on the Under.

At 6:40 ET, my NL Central TOY selection is on the St Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates to go und the total. Keller is 9-4 with a 3.20 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. He averages over 6 innings per start. A deeper look reveals that he's 7-1 with a 1.85 ERA since the start of May! With a 3.77 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, averaging nearly 6 innings per start, Gibson has also been dependable. Though he lost to the Braves last start, Gibson was 4-0 with a 2.64 ERA over his previous 11 starts. Four of Keller's last 5 against the Cardinals have gone under. Gibson is 2-0 to the under versus the Pirates since 2022. Play on the Under.

At 12:00pm ET, my Golden boot is on the Netherlands and Romania over the total. Monday's 2 matches were both of a very low-scoring nature. France scored late to win 1-0 and Portugal and Slovenia were tied 0-0 after regulation. Those came on the heels of 2 high-scoring Sunday matches. Tuesday's early match will provide a return to the goals that fans and over bettors love to see. Netherlands is off a 3-2 match against Austria. Seven of Holland's last 8 matches have finished with 3 or more goals. With 4 goals in 3 group stage matches, Romania has shown that it can also score. As a matter of fact, the Romanians actually finished on top of their group. Netherlands scores 2 or more but Romania gets at least 1 of its own. Play on the Over.

At 12:00pm ET, my Golden boot is on the under in England and Slovakia. Slovakia is unlikely to score in this match. England will shut the Slovaks down. England entered the tournament off consecutive clean sheets and 3 group stage matches had scores of 1-0, 1-1 and 0-0. Slovakia never managed more than a goal in its group stage matches. There's a great path to the Finals for England. Though a scoreless draw after 90 wouldnt shock me, I look for England to shut down the Slovaks with a 1-0 or 2-0 victory and be ready for Switzerland in the next round. Play on the Under.

At 7:00 ET, my super shootout is on the Over in Washington and Connecticut. Given the way they are currently playing, for a game involving the Mystics, this total is too low. Angered off of 2 straight losses, the Sun are going to put up a lot of points tonight. They will need to because Washington has scored 92 and 97 points its last 2 games. The Mystics are 4-0 to the over their last 4 games. Over the past 3 weeks, they are 6-1 to the over. Even the game which stayed under finished with 155 points. It only went under by a bucket. Four of the past 6 head-to-head clashes have finished with more than 150 points. Play on the Over.

At 12:00 ET, my Euro Cup Group Stage TOW is on Belgium and Ukraine over the total. There may be one or two dull low-scoring matches on the final day of group play. This won't be one of them. These were the 2 group favorites. Both can put the ball in the net. Urkraine scored 2 against Slovakia last game. Belgium scored 2 against Romania. They could have had more if Romelu Lukaku hadn't been snakebitten. Belgium's all-time scoring leader will break through on Thursday. Ukraine was fortunate to only concede once versus Slovakia. This will be an exciting, high-scoring match. Play on the Over.

At 9:00pm ET, my Golden Goal selection is on Brazil and Costa Rica over the total. The Euro Cup started out with a plethora of goals. The opposite has been true of Copa America. The first five matches produced only 8 combined goals. Scores were 2-0, 0-0, 1-0, 2-1 and 2-0. The goals finally came in last night's Panama/Uruguay tilt. That match finished with a final score of 3-1. This evening's Brazil/Costa Rica match should see at least as many goals as Uruguay/Panama. Just as Uruguay was much stronger than Panama, Brazil is the far better team here. The Brazllians should score at least 3 goals and there's a really good chance they get even more than that. They will control play and will continue to have scoring opportunities the entire way. In 2 previous Copa America meeting with Costa Rica, Brazil scored 9 goals. Costa Rica comes in confident and is off a 3-goal effort against Grenada and a 4-goal performance before that. Play on the Over.

At 7:45pm ET, my June T.O.M. selection is on the Braves and Cardinals Over the total. Lynn isn't pitching well right now. He was hit hard by the Marlins last game. The final score was 9-8. Lynn has a 7.91 ERA and 1.83 WHIP his last 3 starts. Schwellenbach has a 6.75 ERA in 2 road starts. Last time that Lynn pitched against Atlanta was last August. He gave up 3 home runs and 7 runs in 4.33 innings. The final score was 8-7. His last 3 starts against Atlanta have all finished with 10 or more runs. The last 3 head-to-head meetings had scores of 10-6, 11-6 and 8-5. Play on the Over.

At 9:00 ET, my Group Stage TOY is on Panama/Uruguay Over the total. The Euro Cup started out with a plethora of goals. The opposite has been true of Copa America. Four matches have produced only 6 combined goals. Scores were 2-0, 0-0, 1-0 and 2-1. Fans of goal-scoring will be happier with the outcome of this one. Uruguay is a strong team, one of the best. Striker Luis Suarez is getting older but remains deadly. Suarez, who may not start, is the most recognizable name but Uruguay is loaded with younger talent. They beat Mexico 4-0 last match and defeated Brazil and Argentina in qualifying. They should score at least 3 themselves. Panama may be overmatched but is still a proud team and very much capable of scoring. Field conditions have been poor at some of the stadiums and that may have contributed partly to some of the low-scores. That's not a problem tonight. This match will be played on natural grass at Hard Rock Stadium, always praised by visiting international teams. Play on the Over.

At 3:00pm ET, my WNBA Eastern Conf. TOM is on NY Liberty and Atlanta Under the total. These teams played each other on June 6th. That game had a total listed in the low 160s. New York won 78-61, the final score stayed below the total by more than 20 points. This will be another low score. New York scored 98 yesterday. That was at home against a bad defensive team. Atlanta is better defensively than LA and now NY is playing a road game after playing yesterday. The Liberty won't score nearly as many today. Atlanta often has trouble scoring. As a matter of fact, the Dream score fewer points than any team in the entire league. The number is high. Play on the under.

At 10:30pm ET, my MLS TOM selection is on San Jose vs Los Angeles FC to go under the total. This is a big total for a match between 2 clubs which are struggling to score. The Earthquakes have scored 1 goal or less in 4 of their last 5 matches. They have only scored 27 in 18 matches. LA FC has scored 1 goal or less in 3 of their last 5 matches. LA FC has also allowed fewer goals (21 in 18 games) than any other team in the Western Conference. A look at the last 5 head-to-head meetings reveals that 4 of those have produced 3 goals or less. Play on the Under.

At 8:00 ET, my NHL Playoff TOW is on the Under in Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Finals. The series started with 2 low-scoring games. I came back with a winner with the Over in Game 3. That was followed with overs in Games 4 and 5. Now we've got a series again! Game 6 will be the lowest-scoring game of the series so far. The Panthers only lost 2 games in a row one other time in these playoffs. They won 3-2 the next game. Before that, the last time that they lost 2 in a row, they responded with a shutout. At 5-on-5, the Panthers are really difficult to score against. They will do a much better job at limiting Edmonton's chances in this one. Play on the Under.

At 8:00pm ET, my selection is on Canada vs Argentina to go over the total. The Euro Cup began with the host country Germany thrashing Scotland. I took the over in that 5-1 match. Today, Copa America kicks off from Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta. On paper, its another potential mismatch as the world champions are facing Canada. The Canadians are no longer the pushovers of the past though. Unlike their past teams, they can score. In my opinion, they are more likely than not to find the back of the net in this match. Like I said of Germany in the Euro opener, Argentina can easily exceed total all on its own. The world champions will get at least 2 and 3 or more goals are likely. Play on the Over.

At 3:00pm ET, my Golden Boot selection is on Italy and Spain under the total. Football fans will be treated to a true clash of titans this afternoon as these are two of Europe's heavyweights. Both won their opening match and each is already in good shape to advance to the next round. Though each would of course prefer victory, a draw would be enough for both teams. This will lead to a conservatively played match. Spain posted a clean sheet in its first match. Italy would have done so, if not for a mistake inside the opening 30 seconds. If they were meeting in the Knockout stage, things could potentially be different but with the setup in the group, this match will be low-scoring. Play on the Under.

At 12:00 pm ET, my WNBA TOM is on Chicago and Dallas under the total. This is an opportunity for 2 struggling teams to have a chance for a victory. Chicago is 4-9 and Dallas is 3-10. Dallas has lost 8 straight. Chicago has lost 4 in a row and 6 of 7. The majority of those losses have been going over the total. That's been a result of the opposition scoring. These teams are both in the bottom half of the league in scoring. The chance to break their losing streaks on the line, we will see some extra effort on defense this afternoon. The last h2h meeting finished with 157 and this one will also fall below the 160 mark. Play on the Under.

At 3:00pm ET, my Golden Boot selection is on Switzerland and Scotland under the total. I kicked off the tournament by cashing the over in Scotland's match against Germany. I began by mentioning: "The Scots have no pressure. They can play free and easy and have no reason to hold back. This will lead to a wide open type of match. Germany, the host country, has a great chance of exceeding this total all by itself." The Germans scored 5 goals!

This match will be much tighter. The Germans were the host country and riding a wave of emotion. The Swiss don't have the same type of fire-power. The Swiss are just as tough to score on as Germans though. They have conceded 1 goal or less in 8 straight matches overall, a total of just 5 goals conceded in the 8 matches. Scoring chances will be hard to come by and goals will be even more so. Play on the Under.

At 9:00am ET, my Early Riser is on Croatia and Albania under the total. Group B has seen Italy narrowly defeat Albania and Spain smash Croatia. Both matches finished with 3 goals. As a result of those losses, neither team can afford a loss in this one. That will lead to some extra caution.

Neither team was dangerous in the attacking zone in the first game. Croatia failed to score in its first match. Albania was presented with a gift goal inside the opening 30 seconds (fastest goal ever in Euro Cup play) but did nothing afterwards. Albania could easily be shut out in this one. Croatia may score but doing so more than once is far from a certainty. Croatia had 3 clean sheets (1-0, 2-0, 1-0) in 5 qualifying matches and lost 1-0 in one of the others. Albania had 4 clean sheets (0-0, 2-0, 3-0, 2-0) in 5 Euro qualifying matches and the other was a 1-1 draw. Play on the under.

At 3:00pm ET, my Golden Boot selection is on France/Austria over the total. France is loaded and can really put the ball in the net. Prior to a 0-0 draw with Canada, the French had scored 26 goals themselves in their previous 6 matches. The French have also conceded 2 or more goals in 3 of their last 5 matches. Each of their last 3 Euro qualifiers finished with a minimum of 3 goals.

France could easily go over this number all on its own but won't need to, as Austria will also contribute. Since a 2-0 loss to France in September 2022, Austria has scored at least 1 goal in 17 straight matches. Over their last matches, the Austrians have scored 15 times. Play on the Over.

At 12:00 ET, my Group Stage TOY is on Denmark and Slovenia under the total. There was a plethora of scoring in the first few matches of this tournament. Sunday's clash between Denmark and Slovenia will play out much differently.

Ranked 57th, Slovenia did well to make it here. They have only 1 loss in their last 12 matches. A lot of that has been due to their ability to keep the ball out of the net. Slovenia is off a 1-1 draw versus Bulgaria but has also produced clean sheets against both Portugal (2-0) and the United States (1-0) in 2024. Scoring is going to be challenge though. The Danes can be really difficult to score against, as seen in their 0-0 draw with Switzerland back in late March. They have only conceded twice in their last 4 matched combined. Play on the Under.

At 4:10 ET, my NL Central TOY selection is on the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers to go over the total. The Reds entered this series having played 5 consecutive unders. That changed yesterday when they combined with the Brewers for 11 runs. The bats will be running hot again for this afternoon's game.

Neither of today's starters inspires much confidence right now. Wilson got trounced by the Tigers in his last start. He has a 8.31 ERA his last 3 starts. Abbott has been better than Wilson but still has a 5.29 ERA his last 3 starts. The Reds used up a lot of relievers in preserving yesterday's victory. The (4) 2024 meetings between these divisional rivals have now finished with 18, 14, 9 and 11 runs, an average of 13 per game. Play on the Over.

AT 8:30 ET, my NBA TOW is on Boston/Dallas Over the total. When I won with the under for my Playoff TOY in Game 1, this was still a series. The Mavericks still had hope. The total was also quite a lot higher than this one. Three straight Boston wins and 3 straight unders have killed the Mavericks' hope and brought down the total at the same time. This is the lowest total of the series but will be the highest-scoring game.

The Mavericks are 13-8-1 to the over their last 22 tries when revenging a home loss. The Celtics are 25-17 to the over, after allowing 105 points or less. Dallas games average 235.1 points when the Mavericks were off a loss compared to 225.8 when they are off a win. Play on the Over.

At 3:00pm ET. my selection is on Germany/Scotland over the total. The Scots have no pressure. They can play free and easy and have no reason to hold back. This will lead to a wide open type of match. Germany, the host country, has a great chance of exceeding this total all by itself. If they don't get 3 or more, the Germans should at least be good for 2.

Scotland, coming in looking to shock the world and supported by many of fans of their own, is stronger than people realize. Better than the previous edition, Scotland will very likely find the back of the net. Each of the past 3 h2h matches have finished with a minimum of 3 goals, the most recent producing 5. Play on the Over.

At 8:00 ET, my NHL Playoff TOY is on the Over in Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Finals. The 2 games in Florida were both won by the Panthers. Each of them stayed under the posted total. Now the series shifts to Canada. The change of rinks will bring a different style of game and that means more scoring.

The Oilers are hard to stop on home ice. They average 4.1 goals per game in games played at Edmonton. Games here average 6.8 combined goals. The Panthers actually score slightly more goals (3.4) on the road than they do at home. Bobrovsky is a top goalie for Florida but he's not unbeatable. He let in a soft one to start Game 2. Edmonton's goaltending hasn't been at the same level. Florida will continue to score but this time Edmonton will do the same. Each of Florida's last seven visits here have finished with 6 or more goals. Play on the Over.

At 6:50 ET, my AL East TOY is on Baltimore/Tampa under the total. Corbin Burnes is one of the most reliable starters in American League. If he stays healthy, he is a serious Cy Young Award contender. He's 6-2 with a 2.37 ERA and a 1.029 WHIP. On the road, he's got a 0.969 WHIP. Pepiot has an even better WHIP (0.955) than Burnes, in his 10 starts. He leads all Tampa starters in batting average against (.185).

Over his last 6 starts, Burnes has permitted just 6 combined runs. Over his last 7 starts, Pepiot has only conceded 13 total runs, less than 2 per outing. The hitters aren't familiar with either starter. Both will making their first career start against today's opponent. The pitchers will have the advantage and this game will be low-scoring. Play on the Under.

At 7:00 ET, my CFL Total of the Month is on BC and Toronto Over. When their #1 quarterback Chad Kelly got suspended, expectations were lowered for the Argonauts this season. That's evident by the point spread for this game. BC is a big favorite, even though Toronto is a good team which is playing at home. The loss of Kelly is a big deal, as he was the CFL's most outstanding player of the year. It's not a death notice though. The absence of Kelly has kept the total low giving us value.

Cameron Dukes backed up Kelly last season and he looked good in his limited opportunities. Dukes will have the luxury of playing behind a dominant Toronto offensive line, one which returns in tact from last season. The Argos will still score. The defense lost a lot of pieces and will have trouble stopping a potent BC attack. These teams met here last year and combined for 69 points. The last 4 meetings have averaged 55 points. Play on the Over.

My UFC TOM is on the Stoltzfus/Ferreira fight to go under 1.5 rounds. This fight is unlikely to go the distance. Brunno "The Hulk" Ferreira is 11-1. None of his 12 fights have been decided by the judges. He has 8 KO's/TKO's and 3 submissions. His loss was a KO.

If we look the recent Ferreira fights we see a definite pattern. Win or loss, they always end in the 1st round! Each of his last 6 fights have finished in the 1st round. A look at his entire career reveals that 10 of his 12 fights finished in the 1st round, the other two both finished in the 2nd. Stoltzfus is off a 2nd Rd submission win. Before that, he lost by TKO in the 1st round.

Ferreira wanted a different opponent but this one is a good one for him: “Unfortunately, Shara Magomedov escaped from me for a second time. We had a fight prescheduled for June 22 in Saudi Arabia, but he escaped from me and accepted an easier opponent where he doesn’t run any risk from being taken down. But fortunately, UFC found Stoltzfus, which is a great opponent to me. Just like Hawes, he will permit me to show both my striking and grappling abilities. That fight will be perfect for me to show my overall improvement for the fan." Translation. This one won't last long. Go with the Under.

At 8:30 ET, my NBA Playoff TOY is on the Under in Game 1 Of the Finals. The Mavericks haven't played since May 30th. That's a long stretch in between games. They are 5-2 to the under when playing with 3 or more days off. The Celtics' gap in between games is a lot longer than that. They haven't played since they held Indiana to 102 points way back on May 27th! That long break will help them get Porzingis back from injury but it will also very likely lead to at least a little offensive rust.

Dallas is allowing 103.9 points per game in the playoffs. Boston is allowing 101.3 points per game in the playoffs. Boston is 12-7 to the under its last 19 tries in the finals. Over that time, Dallas is 8-4 to the under in the Finals. This season, the Mavericks are 12-4 to the under when off an upset win as an underdog. Play on the Under.

At 9:40 ET, my AL West GOY is on Seattle/Oakland Over the total. These may not be the best hitting teams but this is a very low total. Oakland games average 8.6 runs. When Estes is pitching, A's games are averaging 11 runs. He is 4-1-1 to the over in 6 career major league starts. That's what happens when you have a career 6.46 ERA. This will be the first time that a major league team sees Estes for the 2nd time.

Gilbert gave up 8 hits last start and 2 of those left the ballpark. In 6 May starts, Gilbert was 1-3 with a 4.66 ERA. He's hoping for a better month but he didn't pitch very well (4.50 ERA) last June. Last night's game finished with 7 runs but the previous 5 meetings all finished with 9 or more runs. Play on the Over.

At 9:38PM ET, my American League Total Of the Month is on the Yankees/Angels Over the total. The starters for this game have both been pretty good. That's worked into the total. It would be higher otherwise. The Angel bullpen held up last night but is unlikely to do so again. LA relievers entered the series with a collective ERA above six at home!

Anderson is 3-1 to the over in 4 home starts. He'll be facing a dangerous Yankee lineup, loaded from top to bottom. Gil's last road start finished with 16 runs. Two of his last 3 road starts have finished with more than 12 runs. Angel games average 9.36 runs. Weather appears favorable. Play on the Over.

At 8:00pm ET, my NBA Conference Finals Total Of the Year is on Min/Dal Under the total. In both the East and the West, the Conference Finals have been high-scoring so far. That will change tonight! Dallas is 25-15 to the under the last 40 times it was off an upset win as underdog, 12-3 to the under its last 15 tries in that situation.

Minnesota games have been quite a lot lower-scoring when the Timberwolves were off a loss than when they were off a win. The last time that the Wolves were on a "losing streak," they held Denver to 70 points! Back home, the Mavericks will also be be better defensively. They have conceded 101 or less in 3 of their last 4 games here. These are 2 great defending teams and that will finally be on display. Play on the Under.

At 2:45 ET, my Serie A Total Of the Week is on Roma/Empoli over the total. Here's the situation: Roma is the much better team but has nothing much to play for. Empoli FC is fighting to stay in Serie A. A victory will ensure them of staying. A loss will ensure them of being relegated. A draw may only be enough to take them into a possible playoff.

With little to play for, Roma can play with no pressure. They scored 7 goals in the last h2h match. As a matter of fact, they have scored 2 or more goals in each of the past 8 h2h matches. Even missing some key regulars, they will likely find the back of the net multiple times again. Fighting for their Serie A lives, Empoli is also likely to score. Play on the Over.

At 12:30 ET, my La Liga Total Of the Month is on the Over in the Cadiz/Almeria match. It's the last day of the season. For both these clubs, it's their last match in the Spanish top league. Each will be relegated to the second tier. With a match at Power House Stadium, one might give the edge to Almeria. The real value lies with the total, given that Almeria can't keep the ball out of the net.

Playing their last match at this level, both clubs will be going all out to score some goals. There's no pressure and no reason to play cautiously. Favored Almeria has allowed 74 goals in 37 league matches. Cadiz has conceded 49. Almeria has allowed at least 2 goals in 3 straight matches and 7 of 8. Cadiz should score more than once and even that may not be enough. Play on the Over.

At 8:30pm Eastern, my Neutral Zone Trap play is on Edmonton/Dallas Under the total. Last night's Eastern Conference Finals ended with a 3-0 final score. Great goal-tending and tough defense. Tonight's Western Conference Finals opener will take a similar trajectory.

The Oilers are known for their scoring but they got here with their defense. They held Vancouver to 2, 3, 1 and 2 goals in the final 4 games of that series. The Canucks had trouble generating shots. Dallas used a similar formula. The Stars held the Avalanche to 1 goal in 3 of the final 4 games of that series. Oettinger had a shutout when these teams met here last month. Play on the Under.

At 8:00pm ET, my Conf. Finals Total Of The Year is on Boston/Atlanta under the total. Game 1 was ultra high-scoring. Twenty-four of the points came in Overtime though. So, the 133-128 final score was slightly misleading. Surely, it was still a high score without OT but if we look more closely we see that the scoring was slowing down as the game progressed. The first quarter was the highest-scoring but every subsequent quarter brought fewer points. The final quarter only had 47. The 106 point 2nd half is the type of play which we will see the whole way tonight.

The Celtics are allowing 99.5 points per playoff game. Tyrese Haliburton said this of them: "They're a great defensive team. They got great, great defenders -- individual and team defenders." Boston is 12-8 to the under its last 20 tries, versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season. This number is high. Play on the Under

At 9:00 pm Eastern, my NHL Total Of The Week is on Vancouver/Edmonton under the total. The first 3 games of the series all finished with at least 7 goals. Things have tightened up since then. The last 3 games have all finished with 6 or less. Scoring opportunities have been hard to come by. Last game, the teams only combined for 42 shots. That's less than individual teams sometimes get.

Brock Boeser leads Vancouver in goals scored in these playoffs. He's also tied for the team lead in overall points. The problem is that Boeser is expected to miss the game. That hurts the offense. Goals are often hard to come by in a Game 7. This season's first 2 Game 7s (Bos/Tor and Dal/Veg) finished with scores of 2-1 and 2-1. Since last year, the past 5 Game 7's have all finished with 4 goals or less. Play on the Under.

My Game 7 showdown is on Indiana/NY under at 3:30 pm et on Sunday. There is a lot of the line in here, as its win or go home time.The Knicks are trying to reach the Eastern Conference finals for the first time since 2000. The Pacers haven't been there since 2014. The high stakes matchup will lead to a defensive battle!

Indiana held the Knicks to 103 points to show it can play great defense and to tie the series. NY is 3-0 to the under its last 3, when tied in a playoff series. When these teams were tied 2-2, they went under in Game 5. The Knicks are also 11-6-1 to the under their past 18 tries, after a loss by 10 points or more. Play on the Under.

My MLS Total Of The Year is on Orlando City SC / San Jose Over at 10:30 pm et on Saturday. Orlando City smashed San Jose the last time the two clubs met. They scored three times in the opening 31 minutes and went on to win 5-0. Orlando doesn't allow that many goals but this is a low total and the Earthquakes are a team they can open play up against.

In 13 MLS matches, the Earthquakes have conceded 32 goals. San Jose is off a 4-2 loss on Wednesday. Its previous 2 matches finished with scores of 3-2 and 3-1. Orlando has scored eight times in its last three outings on the road. Both teams find the net at least once and the winning team scores more than once. This match finishes with at least 3 goals, probably 4 or more. Play on the Over!

My UFC Total Of The Month is on the over in the Main Event between Lerone Murphy and Edson Barboza at 8:30 pm et on Saturday. This fight could easily go the full five rounds. Barboza has been around for a long time and has some highlight reel KO's to his credit. Most of those were a long time ago though and he's now taking on a fighter who has never lost. Barboza's last fight was a 5-round decision in October of 2023. Five of his past 8 fights have beed decided by the judges.

As fights have become more difficult, Lerone Murphy is also going the distance more and more regularly. Off back-to-back decisions, he's now had 6 of them. Three of his past 4 fights have been decided by the judges. Play on the Over.

My NBA total of the week is on Dallas/OKC over at 8:00 pm et on Saturday. When this series began the total was 218.5. It was down to 217 by the time that the series moved to Dallas in Game 3. Now look at it. The much lower total obviously means we don't require nearly as many points to cash with the over. Put another way, that much lower total is giving us a lot of line value.

The Thunder are 6-1 to the over when off 3 or more consecutive unders. They are also 7-2-1 to the over after a loss by 10 points or more. The Mavericks are 7-4-1 to the over when playing with 2 days rest. Play on the Over.

Last game had a very high-scoring 1st quarter but then settled right down. The 2nd half finished with only 92 points. That type of defense will be on display again tonight in Boston.

The Cavaliers are now 13-5 to the under in their last 18 playoff games. They are 4-1 to the under when trailing in a playoff series. Boston held Miami to only 84 points in the close out game of that series. Expect another dominant defensive effort from the Celtics to lead to a low-scoring game that finishes under the total.

Yesterday's game was extremely low-scoring but the bats will bounce back to life this afternoon. He may have a great name but Rogers is a really bad pitcher this season. He's 0-6 in 8 starts, the Marlins are 0-8 in those games. On the road, he has a 9.00 ERA and 2.70 WHIP. His last 3 starts have all gone to the over and he has a 12.66 ERA and 2.72 WHIP in those 3 games. Those 3 games all finished with 9 or more runs and they totalled 43 runs!

Mize has been better than Rogers. It would be hard to be worse. But he has a 4.41 ERA and 1.448 WHIP his last 3 starts. Two of those went over. Miami bullpen has been bad overall. Tiger bullpen has had some issues at home. Both have already blown numerous at least 10 saves. Before yesterday, Miami had scored 15 runs in its previous 3 games and Detroit had scored 19 in its previous 3. Go with the Over!

This is a series which has alternated from low-scoring to high-scoring games. Saturday's defensive game has brought the number down for Monday. We will go with the over in anticipation of the pattern continuing. Recall that Game 2 finished with 229 points. Both teams have seen their games average greater than 230 points on the season.

It's important to recognize how teams react in certain situations. The Thunder are off consecutive losses. There have been only 3 cases since the start of February where they lost their previous 2 games. Those 3 cases finished with 239, 238 and 240 points. Overall, OKC games are 10.6 points higher scoring when the Thunder were off a loss compared to when the Thunder were off a win. They are 17-7-2 to the over off a loss. Go with the Over!

This is an extremely low total for a match involving Udinese, a team fighting for its Serie A survival. The visitors know they could really benefit from maximum points. They will be going for it and that will create chances both for and against. Both teams are likely to find the back of the net at least once.

Udinese has allowed 52 goals in 35 league matches. Lecce has conceded 50 goals in 35 league matches. Nine of Udinese's last 10 league matches have finished with at least 2 goals. Each of Lecce's last 3 league matches have finished with at least 2 goals. Three of the past 4 h2h matches have finished with at least 2 goals. I've got Lecce winning 2-1 but it could easily turn out even higher-scoring. Go with the Over!

Nine goals in the first game. That came down to 7 goals in the 2nd game, 6 in regulation. The number of goals will continue to fall in Game 3. The Canucks last trip to Edmonton ended in a 3-1 victory.

Vancouver playoff games are averaging 5.1 goals. The Canucks are averaging only 20.4 shots on goal in the playoffs. They permit just 24.6. The Oilers are allowing an average of just 2.4 goals over their past 5 games, only 27 shots per game. They concede 2.7 goals per game on home ice. The Canucks don't see many 6.5's. Let's take advantage of this one and go with the Under!

We will take advantage of this low total on Sunday night baseball. The Braves average 5 runs a game and they may need more than that if they're going to win this game. Elder allowed 7 runs in 3.33 innings in his last start. He gave up three home runs, 7 hits overall. He also walked 4. A dismal performance all around.

Elder's 18.90 road ERA is only from 1 game but he was worse on the road than at home last season. Over his last 3 road starts since last season, he's allowed 17 earned runs in 11 combined innings. Those games had 13, 12 and 15 runs. Severino walked 6 batters in 5 innings of his last start, a game which finished with 13 runs. Go with the Over!

With each passing game which goes over, the total climbs higher and higher. This one is the highest of the series. Too high! The Knicks are 29-17-2 to the under when the total is greater than or equal to 220.

The Knicks are also 23-14-2 to the under their last 39 tries, after scoring 130 or more points. Pacers games are high-scoring but not nearly as high when they are laying points. Indiana games average nearly 10 points less when the Pacers are favored compared to when they underdogs. We'll take the big number being offered by the books and go with the Under!

Wednesday's NHL games were high-scoring but Thursday's games will be different. There is a lot of firepower on the ice in this game but that's reflected in the fact that this total is very high. The number was 6 instead of 6.5 in the opening game.

The offenses are potent but the defenses can be really good as well. Dallas allows 2.2 goals over its last 5 games. Colorado also allows an average of 2.2 goals over its last 5 games. The Stars lost 4-3 in the opening game. Dallas also lost 4-3 in Game 1 of its first series against Vegas. The next game was a 3-1 final. Before Game 1 of this series, the Stars had played 6 straight games with 6 goals or less. Go with the Under!

Wednesday's NHL games were high-scoring but Thursday's games will be different. The Rangers allow 2.8 goals per game on the road. In the playoffs, they are conceding only 2.2 goals per game. Carolina allows only 2.5 goals per game at home, just 24 shots.

Both teams have top level goalies. Both are among the best at killing penalties. Go with the Under!

After a high-scoring opening game, the total has jumped way up. It's now too high, the way that I see it. New York road games average 225 points but games at Madison Square Garden average 216.6. Indiana games often seem to fly over the total but not when the Pacers are off an ATS victory. When the Pacers are in that situation, they are 26-21 to the under.

The Knicks are 16-8 to the under in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. In all their games, they are 29-17 to the under, when the total was 220 or more. Let's go Defense!

If you watched the Mavericks close out win over the Clippers, you would have heard the commentators repeatedly praising the Dallas defense. They kept commenting about how the Mavericks had transformed themselves into an elite defensive team. Maybe not elite but the Mavericks sure were tough in the final 2 games. LA scored only 93 and 101 points. As a matter of fact, the Clippers scored 93 or less in 4 of the final 5 games.

The Thunder were even better defensively. They held New Orleans to an average of less than 90 points in a 4-game first round sweep.The Pelicans scored 92, 92, 85 and 89 points. The Mavericks are 4-1 to the under their last 5 tries, when playing with 3 or fewer days rest. Go with Under!

Walker has made only one start this season. The score was 8-6 as he allowed 6 runs. Webb was hit hard in his last start. He gave up 9 hits and 4 runs in 3.67 innings. Webb's 2 career starts versus Philadelphia have averaged 13 runs, each finishing with at least 9.

Six of Walker's last 7 starts, since last season, have finished with at least 9 runs. Those 7 games finished with 85 total runs, more than 12 per game. Neither bullpen has been good. The Giants bullpen has a 5.20 ERA.The Phillies bullpen has a 6.31 ERA at home. This number is too low. Go with the OVER!

The Hurricanes are 19-11-1 to the under their last 31 tries when playing with 3 or more days rest, 6-3 this season. The Hurricanes allow 2.4 goals per division game and they're allowing 2.4 goals per playoff game. Their division games are 21-9-1 to the under.

The Rangers are 4-2 to the under when playing with 3 or more days rest. They are 5-2 to the under their last 7 2nd round playoff games, 31-15 long-term. They're allowing only 1.7 goals per game in the playoffs. The last h2h meeting was a 1-0 final score. Go with the Under!

Two really good defensive teams will do battle in Denver tonight. Division rivals and also having faced each other in last year's playoffs, the Nuggets and Timberwolves know each other well. Both teams have enjoyed an extended break since winning their opening round series. That gap in between games will lead to some rusty shooting and will help to keep the final score beneath the total.

The Timberwolves are 10-6 to the under in division games. The Nuggets are also 10-6 to the under in division games. Both teams are also 4-1 to the under when playing with 3 or more days rest in between games. They couldn't even get to 190 in Game 1 of last year's series. This will be another defensive battle. Go with the Under!

The last game finished with a 2-1 final score. That makes 3 of the last 4 games which have produced 5 or fewer goals. Vancouver has generated only 92 shots in the first five games of the series. The Canucks' previously potent power play has scored goals in only one game.

Even in the regular season, these teams were both pretty good defensively but both have stepped up their defensive efforts even further in the postseason. Both teams are averaging only 2.4 goals in the playoffs. Only Toronto and Washington have averaged less.

This is from NHL.com about Vancouver's defense: "The Canucks are allowing 6.94 high-danger chances against per 60 minutes at five-on-five. That is the best in the league for defending against high-danger scoring chances. They also rank number one in the league for allowing scoring chances against per 60 minutes – only allowing 19.8/60 at five-on-five." Go with the Under.

You're not going to see many goals scored at Stadio Olimpico on Thursday. These clubs faced each other twice in 2023 and the scores were 0-0 and 1-0.

Bayer Leverkusen is off a 1-1 draw. The Germans have conceded only 1 goal over their last 4 matches with 3 of those finishing with 2 goals or less. Roma is off a 2-1 victory over Milan. Prior to that, the Italians had played in 5 straight matches which had 1 goal or less. Neither team is likely to score more than 1 today. Go with the Under!

After the first 3 games of the series stayed below the total, the offenses came to life in Game 4. The teams combined for 115 points in the first half and 227 for the game. That result didn't cause the total to climb. This total is still much lower than the totals at the start of the series.

The total is much lower than the games these teams have been playing all season. Clipper games average 226.8 points. Maverick games average 232.1 points. The Mavericks are 9-6 to the over off an upset loss as a favorite and the Clippers are 4-2 to the over off an upset win as an underdog. Go with the Over!

This is a low total for an Atlanta Braves game. As a team, the Braves are hitting .272. That's the second best mark in baseball behind only LA. They average 5.7 runs per game. That's almost enough to go over this low total right there.

Castillo is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.56 WHIP at home. Nice start to the season for Reynaldo Lopez. He's still 41-49 with an 4.19 ERA over his career and has done more work out of the bullpen than as a starter. The last time that Lopez started against Seattle, he allowed 6 runs and 3 home runs. The score was 10-8. This one goes over the low number!

The Capitals are very likely done in this series. They know it. They will still put up a good fight but their depleted group of defensemen won't be able to stop the potent Rangers attack. New York has scored 3 or more goals in every game, more than 3 in 2 of the games. The Rangers are deadly on the power-play and they're even dangerous when killing penalties.

There may be some extra penalties too, as the Capitals are out for revenge from a big hit that injured one of their players. Washington has yet to get any production from Ovechkin, one of the best goal scorers the game has seen. Don't be surprised when he finally makes an appearance in the boxscore. Also, the Capitals will pull their goalie extra early, should they find themselves trailing. Go with the Over!

How about those Miami Heat. Not only were the Heat more competitive in Game 2, they won the game outright. Can they do it again? They sure could but I'm not going to bet on it. Instead, the total is what intrigues me. Did you know that the Heat are 8-2 to the under off an upset win?

In order to win, the Heat have to do it with defense. The Celtics are also capable of taking their defense to another level. They are likely to give the Heat a dose of their own medicine tonight. They are 9-7 to the under off an upset loss and 13-9 to the under their last 22 against winning teams. The Celtics are 7-5 to the under their last 12 tries when tied in a playoff series. In same period, the Heat are 6-2 to the under when tied in a series. Go with the Under!

At first glance, the over 3.5 goals might appear to be an attractive option. Further review reveals that the opposite is true. Off a 5-0 loss to Arsenal, Chelsea will be determined to clean up its goals conceded. In its previous match, Chelsea recorded a clean sheet.

Aston Villa has only conceded one goal in its last 2 league matches combined. Eight of the past 9 meetings have produced 3 goals or less. The last 3 matches had scores of 1-0, 2-0 and 2-0. Go with the Under!

You likely saw what happened in the first 2 games. They both sailed over the total. Tonight, we work with a very high total of 6.5. We don't even have to lay heavy juice to get it. Winnipeg is 15-9-3 to the under when playing in a road game where where the total is 6 or more.

The Jets only allow 2.5 goals a game on the road. The Avalanche concede just 2.7 goals per game at home. The goal scoring barrage comes to an end tonight. Go with the Under.

The Mavericks were favored in Game 1 but got blown out by a Clipper team which was without Leonard. When off an upset loss as a favorite, the Mavericks are 9-5 to the over. When off an upset win as an underdog, the Clippers are 4-1 to the over.

For Game 1, the total was 221. The regular season totals were in the 236.5 to 237 range. Playoff games are lower-scoring. But its my opinion that this low total, far lower than any of those, is an over-reaction. LAC games average more than 227. Dallas games average more than 233. Go with the Over!

Game 1 got out of hand. A 7-6 final. Hockey playoffs are funny though. You can have a game like that and see the next one play out completely differently. The benefit of that Game 1 result is that the Game 2 total is now jacked right up. The Avalanche are 2-0 to the under the past 2 years when trailing in a playoff series.

The Avalanche are 20-10 to the under their last 30 tries when playing with revenge. The Jets are 11-7 to the under after allowing 4 goals or more. The Avalanche still allow just 3.1 goals per game and the Jets still allow a measly 2.5 goals per game, 2.2 gpg over their last 5. Go with the Under!

Game 1 went over. Game 2 has a higher line but will be lower-scoring! Off the game 1 over, the 76ers are now 7-4 to the under their last 11 first round playoff games. Over that same period, the Knicks are 5-1 to the under in the first round of the playoffs. They are also 3-0 to the under when leading in a series.

In the regular season, the Knicks allowed the fewest number of points per game in the Eastern Conference, 2nd least in the NBA. Philadelphia ranked in the top 10. The 76ers are 16-8-2 to the under their last 26 against winning teams. Before the Game 1 result, the previous 2 meetings between these teams produced 152 and 185 points. This will be a defensive war right from the beginning.

Bournemouth has scored 1 goal in 2 of its 3 April matches. The Cherries are unlikely to score more than 1 against an Aston Villa squad which blanked Arsenal 2-0 last Sunday and which has Emi Martinez in its goal. Martinez, the goalie for the Argentine national team, is controversial but he's also really good.

Aston Villa was just in a Europa League match on Thursday and may have some tired legs. Scoring won't come easily. Villa has scored 2 or less in 6 of its last 7 matches. Six of the past 7 h2h matches, including each of the 3 at Villa Park, have finished with 3 goals or less. Go with the Under!

Playoff hockey brings playoff level defense. Games tend to be lower-scoring. Recent games between these Original Six rivals have also shown a tendency to be low scoring. The last 2 meetings have had identical 4-1 scores. Four of the past 5 meetings have finished with 5 or fewer goals.

Toronto is one of the highest scoring teams in the league and everyone knows about Matthews' big season. Boston is one of the best defensive teams though and this is a very high total. The Leafs only managed 2 combined goals the last 2 games and Matthews was held without a goal in each of those games. Go with the Under!

Chicago's first game came against Atlanta. The Hawks and Heat are opposites. Atlanta allowed the 3rd most points in the NBA. Miami allows the 3rd least. The Bulls game against Atlanta was high-scoring. Tonight's game against Miami will be the opposite. Chicago is 79-59-1 to the under its last 139 tries, against winning teams.

Miami's game against Philadelphia had no business going over. The Heat hit a 3-pointer with less than a second left to send the game over and that was after a foul-fest in the closing minute. The Heat are still 24-19 (56%) to the under their last 43 playofff games. During that period, the Bulls are 6-2 (75%) to the under in their playoff games. D-E-F-E-N-S-E! Go with the Under!

Wednesday game resulted in a 2-0 pitcher's duel. Thursday afternoon's game will be entirely different. Carrasco is permitting a lot of baserunners. He has a 1.657 WHIP. Averaging less than 5 innings, he likely won't be around long. Four of Carrasco's last five starts against Boston have finished with 10 or more runs. Last game here Carrasco went only 2 1/3 innings and allowed 10 hits and 5 runs.

Brennan Bernardino won't be going deep into the game either. This is his first start this season. Of his 61 big league appearances, only 6 have been starts. The Boston bullpen didn't come into play yesterday because of Houck's masterpiece but it will today. Red Sox relievers have an awful 6.94 ERA and 1.69 WHIP at Fenway. Go with the Over!