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Will Rogers ALL Sports Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
12-07-23 Pelicans v. Lakers UNDER 229.5 Top 89-133 Win 100 13 h 21 m Show

We've reached the semi-finals of the in-season tournament. This game will be played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The Lakers last game finished with only 209 points. Their previous game produced only 204. They are 9-5 to the under when listed as favorites. The Pelicans upset the Kings to get here. They are 6-2 to the under off a SU win as an underdog, 4-1 to the under off a win by 10 points or more. Neither team scores as many when away from its home floor. This game goes under. ***Western Conf. TOM***

12-06-23 Heat v. Raptors UNDER 220 Top 112-103 Win 100 12 h 41 m Show

Long layoff will lead to early rust. The last 3 meetings have all gone to the under. The last time these teams played, the total was 219 but they combined for only 198 points. The game before that, they combined for 216. Before that, they combined for just 188. Miami road games are averaging 216 points this season, much lower than Miami home games. Seven of 12 away games have gone under and this one will too. ***Eastern Conf. TOW***

12-05-23 Wisconsin v. Michigan State OVER 131 Top 70-57 Loss -110 13 h 46 m Show

I know this is a Big Ten game between two teams typically known for defense but this total is too low. The Badgers average 74 points a game. The Spartans average 74.9. The Spartans have scored at least 65 points in all 7 of their games. The Badgers have scored at least 65 in 7 of their 8 games. Though the one that they didn't reach 65 in came on the road, the Badgers are 15-8-1 to the over in road games past 2 seasons, 5-3 as road underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points. Both teams reached the 65 mark in the last meetings, a 69-65 win for the Spartans in January. Both teams will hit at least 65 again, the winning team exceeding that number. That will brings the final score over the total and the over to 6-3 the last 9 times that the Spartans played with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games. ***Big Ten TOY***

12-03-23 Chiefs v. Packers OVER 42.5 Top 19-27 Win 100 14 h 56 m Show

If not for all the low-scoring primetime games, we could be looking at a higher Sunday Night total. As it is, we've got a nice low number. KC scored 31 last game. The game finished with 48 points. The Chiefs have scored 31 or more in 2 of their last 3 against the Packers. Green Bay scored 29 last game. Packers coach Matt LaFleur played things more aggressively after expressing remorse for previously being too conservative with his play-calling. The game finished with 51 points. That makes 3 straight GB games that have finished with at least 42 points. This one finishes with more than that! ***Non-Conf TOW***

12-03-23 Avalanche v. Kings UNDER 6.5 Top 1-4 Win 100 14 h 47 m Show

Allowing only 2.35 goals per game, 2nd fewest in the NHL, Los Angeles has been an under team. The Kings last two game had scores of 4-0 and 2-1. They are 8-1-1 to the under their last 10 games. Colorado played last night. The game started high-scoring but had no goals from mid-way through the second period right up until the shootout. Last time that the Avalanche played for the 2nd time in 2 days, the final score was 3-1. This game goes under! ***WESTERN CONF TOY***

12-03-23 Panthers v. Bucs OVER 36.5 Top 18-21 Win 100 56 h 1 m Show

Games between these teams at Carolina have been lower-scoring but games in Tampa have been higher-scoring. Carolina's last five visits to Tampa have finished with scores of 41, 63, 48, 58 and 54 points. The last 4 of those all went over the total. Last season's game at Carolina had 24 points but the game at Tampa had 54. This season, Tanpa games average 39.9 points. Carolina games average 42.2 points. Getting rid of Frank Reich can only help the offense. The emphasis will be on improving scoring. The final score will finish above the low total! ***NFC South TOY***

12-03-23 Brown v. Maine UNDER 138 49-60 Win 100 6 h 44 m Show

Same teams played last season. Total was 138.5. Brown's best scorer, Lilly, had a big game with 32 points. The final score still stayed under at 70-63. Teams are very similar this season. Maine is tough to score against. The Black Bears have limited 2 of their last 3 opponents to less than 60 points. They are 4-0 to the under their last 4 games. Lilly will get his points but the Black Bears will do a better job on him this year. They are 4-1 to the under with a total of 130 to 139.5. Points will not come easily! ***Early Riser***

12-02-23 Blazers v. Jazz OVER 221 Top 113-118 Win 100 13 h 17 m Show

This season's two games both went to the under. The last of those finished with 226 points and had a total of 228. The total for the first game was 230.5. We've got a lower number tonight, presenting us with a prime opportunity. The Jazz are 54-31 to the Over their last 85 in the revenge role. Their home games are averaging 237 points, 6 of 9 going over the total. Portland gives up 118 points a game against division foes. The Trailblazers are 13-7 to the over the last 20 times that their previous 3 games all went under. Under streaks end tonight, as this game produced points aplenty! ***Northwest Div. TOY***

12-02-23 Michigan v. Iowa OVER 35 Top 26-0 Loss -110 76 h 21 m Show

Michigan averages 37.6 points a game. That's more than this total is set at. It's entirely possible that the Wolverines exceed this total all by themselves. They're favored by more than 3 touchdowns. So, they're going to expected to score more than that. Remember they scored at least 30 in every game but one. Iowa is all about defense. That we know. But the Hawkeyes also know that they will need to score points, if they want to avoid total embarrassment. The last meeting had 41 points and the one before that had 45. The 45-point game (42-3 Michigan) was right here in the Big 10 Championship game. Last year's Big 10 title game had 65 points. This game goes over the low number!

12-02-23 Miami-OH v. Toledo UNDER 46.5 Top 23-14 Win 100 123 h 60 m Show

Miami is here because of defense. The RedHawks permit only 16.3 points a game. Toledo is also stout on defense. The Rockets concede 20.4 points a game. The regular season game finished with 38 points. The RedHawks held the Rockets scoreless in the second half but couldn't erase a 21-3 halftime deficit. Toledo was in this game last year and beat Ohio 17-7. That game finished way below the total. Defense rules the day once again! ***MAC TOY**

12-02-23 Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Arsenal UNDER 3 Top 1-2 Push 0 21 h 55 m Show

Arsenal has conceded only two goals in its past 6 matches. 4 clean sheets and a pair of 1-goal games. Wolverhampton has scored only once in its last 4 matches against Arsenal. Of the last 8 head-to-head matches, only 1 has produced more than 3 goals. Wolverhampton will play conservatively. Arsenal won't come anywhere close to matching the number of goals it had against Lens last game. One or two at most. That's all that will be required as Wolverhampton likely won't score at all. Go with the Under! ***Soccer TOY***

12-01-23 Senators v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6.5 Top 2-4 Win 115 11 h 16 m Show

Ottawa scored 0 last game and has managed 5 goals total its last 3 games. Averaging 2.88 goals, Columbus is one of the lower-scoring teams in the league. The Jackets scored 2 last game which marked the third time in 4 games that they scored less than 3 goals. None of the last 9 meetings have exceeded 7 goals. Six games since 2022 have averaged less than 5 goals each. Under is 5-1 in Blue Jackets last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Blue Jackets are also 4-1 to the under last 5 tries when playing with 1 day's rest in between games. This game goes Under! ***EASTERN CONF TOM***

12-01-23 Iona v. Fairfield UNDER 147 Top 78-67 Win 100 11 h 22 m Show

The Stags have a reputation for defense. Their last 3 meetings with Iona have all finished with 144 or less. Last game finished with 131. The Gaels are 4-1 to the under last 5 tries, when playing a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5. Iona opened up MAAC Conference play with a 68-64 loss against Marist. They've failed to reach 70 in either of their road games. Fairfield is 8-4 to the under last 12 in December. Defense will rule the day! ***MAAC TOY***

11-30-23 Fairleigh Dickinson v. Fordham UNDER 159 Top 52-80 Win 100 10 h 1 m Show

This is a very high total considering that the Rams are a good defensive team. They allow 67.5 points a game and a 41% field goal percentage. They are 15-7 to the under the past 22 tries when the total ranges from 150 to 159.5. The Knights are not very good defensively, the reason for such a high total. The Knights can play defense though. We saw that last March. Remember, this team shocked the world and held Purdue to 58 points in the NCAA Tournament last year. Look for the under to more to 7-3 last 10 times that Fordham scored 80 or more in the previous game. ***CBB TOW***

11-27-23 Bears v. Vikings OVER 44 Top 12-10 Loss -110 30 h 41 m Show

Fields is back and the Bears offense is looking better. The defense continues to struggle. Chicago's last game saw 57 points scored. Vikings scored 27 last home game, a 46 point game against New Orleans. Minnesota home games average 44 but Bears' road games average 49.3. Bears last three visits here have had scores of 51, 48 and 60. This one goes over! **NFC North TOM**

11-27-23 Blazers v. Pacers UNDER 240.5 Top 114-110 Win 100 10 h 17 m Show

The Pacers have been streaking to the over all season long. Games have been flying above the total. Their over streak will come to an end tonight. Portland only scores 104.4 points per game this season. That's the lowest in the NBA. A 43.2% field goal percentage is second worst. Last season's game here the total was 237.5 and the game only finished with 207 points. Blazers already 4-1 to the under against Eastern Conference teams. This game goes under! ***NBA TOW***

11-26-23 Panthers v. Titans OVER 37 Top 10-17 Loss -107 126 h 43 m Show

Two non-conference teams. Neither is going to the playoffs. Why not throw caution to the wind? Neither defense is looking too good. The Titans gave up 34 points last week; the 6th straight time that they've allowed 20 or more. Carolina allowed 33 last game. That was the 4th time that the Panthers gave up 33 or more in their last 8 games. The Titans have scored 27 or more in 3 of their 4 home games. Their last game here finished with more than 50 points. It also came against an NFC South opponent. This one flies over the low total! ***NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR***

11-25-23 Pelicans v. Jazz OVER 233.5 Top 100-105 Loss -110 15 h 1 m Show

Front-end of two games between these teams. They play again Monday. When the Jazz played consecutive games against the Suns, the first game produced 259 points., Utah scoring 128 When the Pelicans played consecutive games against the Kings, they scored 129 in the front-end. When they did so against Dallas, they scored 124. New Orleans is off a win at LA last night. Last 2 times Pelicans played two games in two nights, both finished with more than 240. This will be another high-scoring game! ***Western Conf. TOM***

11-25-23 Connecticut v. UMass OVER 51.5 31-18 Loss -110 6 h 35 m Show

Neither team is very good on defensive. Both will be happy to face another defensively-challenged foe. The Huskies allow more than 30 points a game. The Minutemen allow more than 40 points a game! That has led to an 8-2 over record for UMass. The last time that the Huskies played a road game where they weren't a double-digit underdog, they combined with Rice for 69 points. This will be another shootout! ***Saturday Super Shootout***

11-20-23 Bradley v. Tulane UNDER 147 Top 80-77 Loss -110 14 h 31 m Show

Bradley has snuck over last 2 games but both games finished with 144 or less. The Braves lost their leading scorer from last year. They gave up 71 in their first game but have allowed 70 or fewer points in 7 of their last 10 games, each of their last 2. They are 21-7 to the under, last 28 games with a total with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games. Tulane allowed only 57 points last game. Tulane is 6-1 to the under last 7 neutral site games when total was between 145.5 and 149. This game goes under! ***Tournament Total Of The Month***

11-20-23 Heat v. Bulls OVER 208.5 Top 118-100 Win 100 11 h 18 m Show

In today's NBA, this is a very low total. The reason for the low total is that both are low-scoring teams. They also just played a low-scoring game. But if we look at the numbers, Miami games average 219.2 points and Chicago games average 217.7 points. Last two years, Miami is 51-42 to the over after allowing 105 or fewer points. Before Saturday's game, Miami had played 9 straight games which reached at least 210 points. This game will be much higher-scoring than Saturday's and will finish over the low total! ***Eastern Conf TOM***

11-19-23 Titans v. Jaguars OVER 39.5 Top 14-34 Win 100 47 h 10 m Show

Neither defense is pitching many shutouts these days. Tennessee has allowed 20 or more points in 5 straight games. Jacksonville allowed 34 last game and has given up at least 20 in 4 of 5 games. The Titans only division game finished with 39 points but the Jaguars' three divisional games have finished with 52, 54 and 57 points. The Titans like to play conservatively at times but they will have to throw caution to the wind if they want to keep up with the Jaguars. Five of the last 7 meetings finished with more than 40 points and last year's 2 games averaged 47. This one goes OVER! ***AFC South TOY***

11-18-23 Old Dominion v. Georgia Southern UNDER 61 Top 20-17 Win 100 74 h 48 m Show

Lots of room to work with here. The Eagles have been involved in some recent high-scoring games, driving this week's total up. They will be up against a low-scoring team here. The Monarchs only scored 10 points last game. They average 24.4 points a game but that average comes down to 21.2 points per game on the road. Last year was the first meeting. The total was in the 60s but the score was 28-23. The Monarchs likely won't be as successful passing the ball in this game as they were in that one. The Eagles ran the ball 50 times. They will keep the clock moving again and the final score will stay below the big total! ***Sun Belt TOY***

11-16-23 Bengals v. Ravens OVER 46 Top 20-34 Win 100 9 h 34 m Show

Ravens offense can't be stopped. Baltimore has scored more than 30 points in 4 straight games. Bengals scored 27 last game and have gone over the 30 mark each of last 2 road games. The earlier meeting finished with 51 points. Bengals gave up 20 or more yards 17 different times last game. The Ravens had trouble stopping both the run and the pass. This will be another shootout! ***TNT TOM***

11-15-23 Seattle Kraken v. Oilers OVER 6.5 3-4 Win 100 10 h 30 m Show

The Oilers made a coaching change and immediately got a win. Better late than never! Draisaitl had four points and McDavid had a goal and an assist. Prior to that McDavid had been in a slump. With those two going and the entire team happier, we should see loads of offense from this team, going forward. Seattle has allowed 22 goals past 5 games, an average or more than 4. Before a 4-1 game a few days back, each of the previous 7 meetings have featured at least 7 goals. Both teams will find the back of the net regularly and this one will also finish at 7 or more. ***SUPER SHOOTOUT***

11-15-23 Central Michigan v. Ohio OVER 46.5 20-34 Win 100 8 h 56 m Show

Ohio games have been low-scoring. So, the total might seem a little high. It's not. Central Michigan games average 54.8 points. The Chippewas scored 28 points last game and 37 the game before that. Problem is that they also allowed 38 and 31. They've allowed 30 or more in seven of their 10 games. So, we've got an offense which is playing well but a defense which has been bad all year. Last 2 meetings both had 57 points and last 4 all finished with 47 or more. Ohio will break out with 30 plus points and CMU will contribute the rest. This game goes Over! ***Conf Crusher***

11-14-23 Akron v. Eastern Michigan OVER 39 Top 27-30 Win 100 8 h 29 m Show

Lowest of today's 3 totals. Far too low! Akron games produce, on average, 43.4 points. Eastern Michigan games average 44! Last year's game had 62 points! The year before they had 56. Akron has only played 2 home games since October. They had scores of 69 and 58. Eastern Michigan's last 2 games had scores of 72 and 66. This one sails over! ***MAC TOW***

11-13-23 Cavs v. Kings UNDER 221.5 Top 120-132 Loss -110 11 h 44 m Show

The Kings played great defense and allowed only 98 points in their last game. The 105-98 scored stayed below the total by a country mile. It was the 4th time in 5 games that Sacramento had scored 105 or fewer points. A big reason for the scoring woes is that De'Aaron Fox continues to have the same doubtful status that he's had for some time: "Fox has been diagnosed with a right ankle sprain and is unlikely to take the court for the Kings." He's supposed to be out until late November. Last year, Fox played in the first meeting and it was high-scoring. He didn't play in the second and the Kings and Cavaliers combined for only 201 points. The Cavaliers are 14-8 to the under their past 22 against Pacific teams. This one goes Under! ***NBA TOM***

11-12-23 UC-Davis v. Montana OVER 143 65-78 Push 0 11 h 23 m Show

Both these teams have excellent guard play. Both appear poised for good seasons. Both are averaging more than 80 points through their opening two games. The Over is 26-11 in Montana home games with a total in between 140 and 144.5. This one sails over! ***Total Smash

11-12-23 Jets v. Raiders OVER 36.5 Top 12-16 Loss -108 13 h 32 m Show

It may seem that stand-alone NFL games have been going under at a pretty good rate. Previous results from other games have nothing to do with this one though. In this case, the number is too low. The Jets defense is pretty good but they still allow 19.5 points per game. The Raider defense allows 21.4 points a game. Last time these teams met they scored 59 points. The total was 48.5. The Raiders scored 30 last game, their offense coming alive. They will build on that and the Jets will be better than they were last game. This game goes Over the low total! ***AFC TOW

11-12-23 Blue Jackets v. Rangers UNDER 6.5 Top 3-4 Loss -110 10 h 36 m Show

Last month's game between these teams was high-scoring but Columbus divsion games are only averaging 4.7 goals. The Blue Jackets won that firs game. The Rangers have gone under 4 of the past 5 times that they played with revenge. Under has hit 4 of past 5 meetings in New York. Rangers are also 47-29 to the under their last 66 tries, off a 2 or more goal victory. Also, Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. This one goes Under! ***Metro Division Total Of The Year

11-12-23 Giants v. Cowboys OVER 38.5 Top 17-49 Win 100 104 h 18 m Show

An under streak by the Giants has allowed for a very low total. The Week 1 meeting had a total of 44.5. This one is below 40. That's too low, even with the sorry state of the Giants. Tommy DeVito may be just what the Giants need for a game to go over. He went 15-of-20 for 175 yards with a touchdown in relief. He may help the Giants offense but he could also turn the ball over and give Dallas easy points. The Cowboy's last game finished with 51 points. The Cowboys' previous game finished with 63 points. Seven of the Cowboys' 8 games have produced 40 or more points. The other had 37. The Cowboys might go over this total by themselves but they won't need to. *** NFC East TOY

11-12-23 Colts v. Patriots OVER 43 10-6 Loss -105 2 h 50 m Show

It may seem that stand-alone NFL games have been going under at a pretty good rate. Previous results from other games have nothing to do with this one though. In this case, the number is too low. Did you know that Indianapolis games are averaging 52.7 points this season. Not only do the Colts score a lot, but they also give up a lot. They're 26.9 points allowed per game is 4th worst in the NFL. Patriots aren't much better as they allow 25.3 points a game, 7th worst. Over is 8-2 last 10 meetings and 9 of those games finished with 44 or more. Go with the Over! **AFC Early Bird

11-11-23 Connecticut v. James Madison OVER 48.5 Top 6-44 Win 100 6 h 27 m Show

The Huskies don't play much defense. They gave up 51 points last game. The Dukes scored 42 last game. That was the 3rd time they've scored more than 40 since Sept. 23rd. It's unlikely but they have the capability to go over this total by themselves. They won't need to though because UConn will also score. Before scoring just 3 at Tennessee, they scored 33, 38, 21 and 14 in their previous four. The Huskies should contribute at least 14 again and the Dukes will more than take care of the rest. Go with the Over. ***2023 NCAAF TOY

11-08-23 Troy State v. Ohio OVER 145 Top 70-88 Win 100 10 h 2 m Show

Both teams brought back quality scorers. Troy also lost a number of top defenders. Troy scored 92 points in its opening game but the defense wasn't tested against a weak opponent. Ohio will put up significantly more. The Bobcats averaged 83.5 points per home game last season. Over is 6-1 the last 7 that Ohio was at home and total was between 145 and 149.5. Over will improve to 5-1 last 6 times that Troy faced a MAC opponent. **Nov TOM

11-08-23 Akron v. Miami-OH OVER 38.5 0-19 Loss -110 8 h 2 m Show

A low total provides opportunity on Wednesday's MAC board. Akron games average more than 46 points. Miami Ohio games average nearly 49 points. Akron's last game finished with 48 points. Miami's last game finished with 46. Seven of the past 10 meetings finished with 41 or more points. Miami will score 30 or more and Akron will add in the rest. ***MAC Conf. Crusher

11-07-23 Ball State v. Northern Illinois OVER 43.5 Top 20-17 Loss -113 10 h 5 m Show

This total is simply too low. It's by far the lowest these teams have had against each other over the last 10 meetings. The Cardinals average 45.1 points in their game. The Huskies average 48. Ball State's last game finished with 45. NIU's last game finished at 68! Last year's game finished with 82 points. The 2021 game had 59 points. The 2020 game had 51. This one flies over the total! ****MAC TOW

11-06-23 Chargers v. Jets OVER 39.5 Top 27-6 Loss -105 13 h 10 m Show

The Chargers can score points with the best of them but they often can't stop the other team from doing the same thing. Their games average 48.9 points. Nine of their 10 games in 2023 have finished above the 40 point mark. The other one nearly did, landing on 37. The Chargers and Jets last faced each other in November of 2020, Justin Herbert's rookie year. The total was set at 47. The game finished with 62 points! Herbert threw for 366 yards (277 in the first half!) and three touchdowns. Keenan Allen set a franchise-record 16 passes for 145 yards and a touchdown. Though this Jets defense is better than that one, Herbert will have success again tonight. This will be the Jets' third game against AFC West teams this season. The first two finished with 43 and 52 points, both going over. This one will do the same! ***MNF toy

11-05-23 Bills v. Bengals OVER 50.5 Top 18-24 Loss -110 13 h 58 m Show

When the Bengals and Bills played each other in the playoffs, the weather wasn't good. There was lots of snow and the temperature was below zero. Despite the conditions and despite playing without some pieces of their offense, the Bengals still put up big 27 points and more than 400 yards. The Bills couldn't get going until it was too late. No snow in tonight's rematch and both offenses will benefit. Bills are averaging more than 30 points their last 2 road games and 27.8 points a game on the season. Bengals started slowly on offense this season but have gone over the 30 mark in 2 of their last 3. Last nine games Bills were underdogs all went over. Scores of 78, 54, 60, 58, 62, 82, 60, 62 and 78! This will make 10 straight. ***AFC TOY

11-04-23 Avalanche v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 Top 0-7 Loss -120 15 h 57 m Show

Have a look at this group of 6 scores and see if you notice a pattern. 3-0, 3-2, 3-2, 3-2, 2-0, 3-1. Did you see it? Of course you did. All six games were low-scoring. All finished with 5 goals or less. Those were the scores from the last 6 meetings between the Avalanche and the Knights. No Western Conference team has allowed less goals than Colorado. Vegas would be right there but has played two more games. These teams are hard to score agaisnt. The Under is 6-0-1 in Colorado's last 7 games when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is also 6-1 in Colorado's last 7 vs. Pacific Division teams. This game stays under! ***total of the month

11-04-23 Iowa v. Northwestern OVER 30 Top 10-7 Loss -110 31 h 30 m Show

I get it. These are bad offenses. Plus, Iowa has a really good defense. Knowing that a lot of bettors will like the under at any line and that few will play the over in this game, the oddsmakers have had to post a really low total. Too low! Northwestern just combined with Maryland for 60 points. QB Sullivan, who has breathed life into the Wildcat offense, passed for 265 yards (2 touchdowns) and ran for another 56. Iowa scored 33 points in last year's game, nearly going over the total of 37 by itself. Final score was 33-13. The Hawkeyes just announced that their offensive coordinator (Brian Ferentz) won't be back next year. They're going to want to show that their offense is better than people think. A Wildcat team that gives up an average of 29.5 points per game over their last 6 will allow for that! Northwestern's last football at Wrigley Field? a 47-point affair against Purdue. Go with the Over! ***big ten toy

11-01-23 Kent State v. Akron OVER 37.5 Top 27-31 Win 100 12 h 35 m Show

You don't regularly get totals in the 30s for MAC Conference games. Not between these teams at least! When they faced each other last year, the O/U line was 62.5. The 2021 meeting had an O/U line of 72.5! The year before that, the total was "only" 60 and the Golden Flashes and Zips combined to score 104 points! Six of the past seven meetings, including each of the three I mentioned, have produced at least 38 points. This year, Kent State games average 45.5 points. Akron games average 44.8 points. Last night's MAC games both finished well above this number. The Buffalo/Toledo game had zero fourth quarter points, due to the blowout nature of the score, but the game still finished with 44. The other game (Central Michigan / Northern Illinois) finished with 68. This number is too low! ***mac TOM

10-30-23 Raiders v. Lions OVER 46.5 14-26 Loss -110 11 h 50 m Show

The scoring has dried up late in some of these primetime games, last night being a "prime" example. Thirty-one points were scored in the first half but only 12 in the second. Tonight's game should see the teams continue to pile up points the entire way. The Raiders gave up 30 points to the Bears last game. Fourth quarter had 18 points. The Lions gave up 38 to the Ravens! The Lions scored 42 points in their last home game. 28 points were scored in the 4th. Again, we shouldn't have to worry about scoring drying up. Their games here are averaging 53.3 points. The last meeting finished with 55 and this one will also crack the 50 mark. **mnf master-class

10-30-23 Rangers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 Top 3-1 Win 100 11 h 41 m Show

Back-to-back high-scoring games to start the WS and now the scene shifts to Arizona. Pfaadt has come up big for the Diamondbacks. He's got a 1.29 ERA his last 3 starts. All resulted in Arizona victories. All resulted in games that fell under the total. Scherzer is an all-time great. He's 5-0 in six appearances at Arizona and he allowed 1 run or less in 3 of those. He also allowed 3 or fewer runs in all three of his previous WS starts. He'll be better today and the final score will stay below the total. **playoff toy

10-29-23 Bears v. Chargers OVER 46 Top 13-30 Loss -110 10 h 10 m Show

Recent Chargers games have slipped beneath the Vegas total. Otherwise, this total could be in the 50's. Tonight's game will be higher-scoring. These are not good defenses. Chargers allow 2nd most yards to opposing offenses, 406.8 per game. Chargers also allow 25.8 points a game. Bears allow 26.9. The Chicago offense has come to life. Bears have scored 28 or more in 3 of their last 4. Their last road game resulted in a 40-20 win. Over is now 6-1 in Chicago games. The Bears are going to keep scoring. The heavily favored Chargers are going to score even more. The end result? Another Chicago Over. ***Non-Conf. TOW

10-29-23 Vikings v. Packers OVER 43 Top 24-10 Loss -109 103 h 22 m Show

Both teams have been involved in some low-scoring games, keeping and bringing the total down. This represents the lowest total for a Viking game all season. Both are still seeing their games average greater than 43 though. Jordan Love has gone through some growing pains of late but a game against a mediocre Viking defense will give him a chance to get right. He'll have to be effective to keep pace with Cousins. The Vikings just threw for 378 yards (452 overall) against SF! Minnesota's last 3 visits to Lambeau have produced 58, 47 and 50 points. We'll take advantage of the low number and go with the Over. *NFC North TOY

10-28-23 Cincinnati v. Oklahoma State OVER 52.5 Top 13-45 Win 100 27 h 37 m Show

Cowboys are off a game where 82 points were scored. Their last 2 have both finished with more than 70 and their last 4 have all produced at least 50. Three of those went over the 60 mark. The Bearcat defense was strong at the start of the season but has now surrendered 30 or more points in back-to-back-to-back games and four of the past 5. Cincinnati offense put up 450 yards in last week's loss vs Baylor. They also accumulated 498 yards in their last road game, a 35-27 loss at BYU. The Cowboys will score a lot but the Bearcats won't go away. The end result? A game that goes over the total. *Big 12 TOY

10-27-23 Florida Atlantic v. Charlotte OVER 43 Top 38-16 Win 100 10 h 54 m Show

Charlotte games have been low-scoring but this is a historically low total for a game between the Owls and 49'ers. Eight meetings between these teams. The O/U lines all fell in a range from 54.5 to 65.5. Six of the past seven finished with at least 43 points. Five of those finished with 47 or more. Last year, they combined for 56 points. On the subject of 56 points, FAU scored that many all by itself the last time it was on the road. FAU games are averaging more than 49 on the season. This one will get over the small number. *AAC TOW

10-26-23 Syracuse v. Virginia Tech OVER 46.5 Top 10-38 Win 100 11 h 26 m Show

Thursday Night football from Lane Stadium is always a good time. So was last year's game Syracuse. It finished with 77 points even though the total was only 45. VT has scored 30 and 38 its last 2 home games. Defenses aren't playing as well as you might think. Hokies have given up 21 or more points in 5 of their last 6. Syracuse has permitted 40 or more in back-to-back games and has conceded 30 or more in 3 straight. This one's going over the total! *ACC TOY

10-24-23 Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 Top 4-2 Win 100 12 h 7 m Show

Lots of hitting in yesterday's winner-take-all event as last night's Game 7 ended with 15 runs. This one will be much lower-scoring. Most recent Game 7's are. These teams combined for 6 runs yesterday. Both these starters were extremely strong when they opposed each other in Game 2. The final score was 2-1. That was by far the lowest-scoring game of the series. Pfaadt went 5.2 shutout innings, Suarez went 5.1 shutout innings. This one also stays under. *NLCS TOW

10-24-23 New Mexico State v. Louisiana Tech OVER 52 Top 27-24 Loss -110 11 h 7 m Show

Both teams are consistently scoring. NMSU scored 34, 27 and 28 last three games. LA Tech has scored 24, 28 and 23 its last three games. At home, the Bulldogs are averaging 34.5 points but also giving up 28.3. Off their bye last year, the Bulldogs next game finished with 72 points. The O/U line for that game was 52.5. This one will also result in a shootout. Go with the Over. *CUSA TOW

10-22-23 Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 Top 9-2 Loss -105 12 h 47 m Show

A previously high-scoring series will feature great pitching tonight. Eovaldi is a great competitor. He's 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in the postseason. Twenty-four strikeouts in 19.2 innings. Valdez may not have been brilliant in this series but he's still only a couple of months removed from throwing a no-hitter. With a chance to punch a ticket to the World Series The bullpens got a day to rest yesterday and it will be all hands on deck. Look for the bats to stay quiet and the final score to stay Under. *ALCS TOY

10-22-23 Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 44.5 Top 10-20 Win 100 8 h 57 m Show

This total could easily be lower. The Arizona offense has come down to earth, a lack of talent becoming evident.The Cardinals have scored 16, 20 and 9 points in their last three games. Seattle managed only 13 last week. The last two Seahawk games have both finished with 30 or less. When Arizona played here last season, the score was 19-9. The year before, it was 23-13. The Cardinals will again have trouble scoring and that will lead to this final score staying below the total. *NFC West TOY

10-22-23 West Ham United v. Aston Villa UNDER 3 Top 1-4 Loss -110 3 h 28 m Show

Don't expect many goals in today's early match between West Ham and Aston Villa. The last meeting had a final score of 1-1. The one before that finished with a score of 1-0. Eight of the past 10 meetings produced 3 or fewer goals, six of those finishing with less than 3. Villa has only conceded three goals in its last four matches. AV has allowed one goal or less in six of its last seven matches. WH has allowed less than 2 goals in seven of its past 10 matches. Last match here was scoreless into the 2nd half and finished 1-0. This one also goes Under. *EPL TOW

10-21-23 UCLA v. Stanford UNDER 53.5 Top 42-7 Win 100 15 h 58 m Show

Stanford fans won't soon forget last week's stunning comeback. That was against a porous Colorado defense. Now the Cardinal will be facing one of the toughest defenses in the country. Scoring will be extremely difficult, let alone coming back. Stanford only scored 13 against UCLA last year and may not even get that many in this one. The Bruins' defense is that good. Remember, in the game before Colorado, the Cardinal scored only 6 points. Off their previous loss, the Bruins' next game stayed below the total by double-digits. This one will also stay under! *Pac 12 TOY

10-21-23 Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 6-1 Win 100 13 h 33 m Show

Yesterday's game was a wild one. Today's will also be exciting but only if you appreciate top level pitching. What more can you say about Wheeler? In three playoff starts, he's got a 0.63 WHIP. That goes with a 2-0 record and 2.37 ERA, with 26 strikeouts in 19 innings. All three of Gallen's postseason starts have been on the road. He's been much better here at home all season. In 16 starts here, he's 12-3 with a 2.47 ERA. Wheeler should continue his strong pitching and Gallen will be better in his home park. Go with the Under. *Total Dominator

10-21-23 Western Michigan v. Ohio OVER 52 17-20 Loss -110 4 h 30 m Show

Western Michigan has played seven games. Five of seven went over the total. All seven finished with greater than 50 points. The Broncos have scored 21, 28, 42 and 31 points their last four. But they've given up more than 40 in three of four past six. Ohio has scored 38 or more in 2 of its last 3. Six of seven meetings have finished with 52 or more and the last game here finished with 71. This one goes Over. *Run and Shoot

10-20-23 SMU v. Temple OVER 54 Top 55-0 Win 100 11 h 0 m Show

The Mustangs are going to score early and often. They scored 69 in a game earlier. The Mustangs scored 31 and 34 their last two games. Now they get to go up against the Owls, who have allowed more than 40 points in four straight games. The Owls did score 34 in their last game here. Even if down, they won't just quit trying to score. The Mustangs' last five games against Temple saw them score: 59, 60, 45, 45 and 47! Those are just SMU scores, not combined. Every one of those games got to at least 65. All five went Over the total. This one also will. *AAC TOW

10-19-23 Jaguars v. Saints OVER 39 Top 31-24 Win 100 60 h 25 m Show

Saints have been an under cash machine this season. As a result, we've got a really low total for Thursday's game against Jacksonville. It's important to understand that Jaguar games average 44 points. The Jax offense has gotten better and better. They scored 31 in the opener but then dropped all the way to 9 in their next game. After that they went from 9 to 17 to 23 to 25 to 37. It's fair to say that they're clicking on all cylinders. The Saints didn't score many last game but they did have well over 400 yards of offense. Also, they scored 34 in their previous game. They'll be able to move the ball and score on TNF. The Jaguars have played here twice in the past. Both those games finished with 65 points. This one might not produce that number of points but it'll produce more than enough to get us over this low total. *Thursday Night Total Of The Year

10-19-23 Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9.5 10-3 Loss -115 9 h 17 m Show

These guys don't have the big established names like Verlander or Scherzer. Don't discount either Urquidy or Heaney though. Urquidy has permitted only 2 runs his last 2 starts combined. Games had final scores of 3-2 and 2-1. Heaney doesn't go deep but he keeps the ball in the park (0 HRs last four starts) and he doesn't allow many runs. Last two starts: 1 combined run. Last 10 starts: 14 combined earned runs, never more than 3. Three of Heaney's last four starts have finished with less than 8 runs. Go Under! *Totals club

10-18-23 New Mexico State v. UTEP OVER 47.5 28-7 Loss -110 12 h 46 m Show

Both teams effectively moved the ball and scored points in their last game. Both will do so again tonight. NMSU scored 27 last game. All the scoring came in the first half. The Aggies probably could have scored more if they didn't take their foot off the gas. They still put up 458 total yards. They were also well above the 400-yard mark in their previous game. They scored 34 against FIU in that one. The Miners also scored 27 last game. They had 441 yards of offense. It marked the second time in three games that UTEP scored at least 27 points. Look for both offenses to enjoy success and the final score to go over the total. *Total Takedown

10-17-23 Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 8 Top 0-10 Loss -115 12 h 21 m Show

The Phillies are very strong at home in the playoffs. They jumped on Arizona early yesterday and won 5-3. That game had a lower total than this one and the final score finished over. This one will be lower-scoring and likely won't feature early runs the same way as yesterday. Take a look at these pitching numbers. Nola is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in the current postseason. Kelly is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in the postseason. Kelly now has a 2.20 ERA his past five. Nola? He's 5-0 with a 1.40 ERA. Neither starter has allowed a home run in either of his last two starts. This game stays under! *NLCS TOY

10-16-23 Cowboys v. Chargers UNDER 51 Top 20-17 Win 100 11 h 11 m Show

A total in the 50's gives us a lot of room to stay under and that's the way I'm going this Monday. These teams are both known more for their offenses but there is also plenty of talent on the defensive side of the ball. The Chargers kept the Raiders to 17 points last game but only scored 24. Off a bad loss to SF, Dallas will want to improve on defense. Off only previous loss, the Cowboys gave up just 3 points in their next game. These teams last meet in 2021. The total was 55 but they finished with 37. The previous three meetings before that one had scores of 34, 51 and 37. That's an average of 39.75 for the past four meetings. This one won't reach 50. *MNF TOM

10-15-23 Giants v. Bills OVER 43.5 Top 9-14 Loss -110 12 h 30 m Show

Low number. Much lower thanks to the Jones injury. Forget Jones for a minute, the Bills can score this many themselves. Don't believe me? Ask the Dolphins. The Bills put up 48 points against them. Before that, they scored 37 and 38 against the Commanders and Raiders. The Giants have allowed 24 or more in seven straight games, 30 or more in two of their last three. Heck, they're allowing an average of more than 30 per game. As mentioned, Daniel Jones is out. But is that really a bad thing? The Giants were 1-4 with Jones behind center. Tyrod Taylor is a capable veteran. Having started 43 games for the Bills, he'll have a chip on his shoulder when playing his former team. At the least, he'll help to light a spark. Buffalo will score big and the Giants will do "enough." This game goes Over! *NFL TOM

10-15-23 Ravens v. Titans OVER 42.5 Top 24-16 Loss -110 2 h 46 m Show

Some might say that all signs point to an under. Baltimore is off 3 straight unders. Tennessee is, too. Games across the pond are often different though. If you haven't noticed, these games at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, the only stadium designed specially for NFL games outside of North America, a tendency to be quite high-scoring. Last week's game here produced 45 points. The opposite has been the case in the games at Wembley Stadium. The last four Wembley games have all finished with 38 or less. The six games at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium all finished with 43 or more. Both offenses are filled with talent and capable of more than they've shown. This will be on display, the final score going Over. *AFC TOW

10-14-23 Canucks v. Oilers UNDER 7 Top 4-3 Push 0 31 h 32 m Show

A very big O/U line. These teams faced each other already. Playing in their own building, the Canucks crushed the Oilers by an 8-1 score. Both Edmonton goalies struggled. We'll see a better defensive and goaltending effort from the Oilers on Saturday. Only one of Vancouver's past five visits here has produced more than 7 goals. Three of those five games finished with less than six. The under is 3-1-1 in those games and 6-2-1 in nine meetings overall. Also, the under is 5-1 the past six times that Edmonton allowed five or more goals in its previous game. Go with the Under! *NHL TOM

10-14-23 Auburn v. LSU UNDER 60.5 Top 18-48 Loss -110 82 h 58 m Show

LSU has been money for the over all season. That comes to an end Saturday. With all the LSU games going over, the totals have been going up and up. Games between these SEC rivals rarely reach the 60 point mark though. The past seven Auburn versus LSU games have had the following scores: 38, 43, 59, 43, 43, 50 and 31. Only one of the past 10 meetings had a total which was as high as this one. Auburn gave up 27 against Georgia and 27 at Texas A&M. Before that Auburn permitted 14 or fewer points in each of its first three games. Holding Georgia to 27 points and 19 first downs was pretty good when considering that the Bulldogs scored 49 in the game before Auburn and 51 in the one after. If Auburn can slow down Georgia, it can slow down LSU. The games may have gone over, but LSU is still loaded on defense. Points won't come easily for Auburn. Count on another low-scoring "Tiger Fight." *SEC TOY

10-14-23 Kent State v. Eastern Michigan OVER 38.5 14-28 Win 100 48 h 56 m Show

Given how bad the visiting defense is, this number is too low. Kent State just gave up 42 at Ohio last week. The Bobcats threw for 300 yards. In their previous road game, the Golden Flashes permitted 53. They allow an average or more than 35 per game, 44.8 per game on the road. The last six meetings have all finished at 48 or higher. EMU averages 25 per game at home but arguably hasn't hosted a defense this bad. The Eagles will exceed their average which will lead to the final score finishing over the low total! *eye opener

10-13-23 Saskatchewan v. Calgary UNDER 49.5 Top 19-26 Win 100 9 h 15 m Show

Third meeting. First two O/U lines were 43.5 and 45.5. Now we've got a much higher line. An extra handful of points makes a big difference! The play is about more than line value. Calgary just isn't scoring right now. The Stampeders scored 15 in their last game, at Hamilton. The previous game, a home date with Montreal, was even worse. Calgary managed only 11 points. Both games finished with 40 or less. The score from this season's earlier game here was a little misleading due to Overtime. They had 46 points in regulation. Saskatchewan's previous three visits here had final scores of 40, 37 and 46. This one stays Under. *CFL TOM

10-12-23 Braves v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 1-3 Win 100 11 h 37 m Show

Off a high-scoring Game 3, we'll see better pitching in this one. Strider has owned the Phillies for his career and he was sharp in the series opener. When Strider and Suarez opposed each other in Game 1, the final score was 3-0. Suarez didn't stick around too long but was brilliant for his time in there. Like Game 1, this one will likely be another low-scoring nail-biter. Go with the Under. *totals club

10-12-23 SMU v. East Carolina OVER 49 Top 31-10 Loss -110 10 h 27 m Show

I've got this one finishing with more than 50. These teams haven't played since 2020. So, most of the faces are different. Mike Houston, ECU's coach, is still here though. He knows that type of these games these teams typically play against each other. The last one finished with 90 points. The one before had 110! Prior to that, games had 86, 72, 69 and 83. The rivalry gets renewed on ESPN this evening and we'll see more offensive fireworks.

The Mustangs can really score. They put up 69 points in a game last month and they had 34 last game. Last year, their first under offensive minded coach Rhett Lashlee, the Mustangs averaged more than 37 points and more than 473 yards. The Mustangs will look forward to facing the Pirates suspect pass defense.

We know SMU will score tonight. ECU will, too. The Pirates have scored 28, 17 and 44 their last three games. Off their previous loss, the Pirates scored 44. They average 28.5 at home. With SMU projected to finish with 30+ and ECU projected to score 20+, the final score finishes above this low total. *AAC TOY

10-11-23 Liberty v. Aces UNDER 171.5 Top 76-104 Loss -110 12 h 57 m Show

The Aces won a high-scoring Game 1. Worked for me, I had Las Vegas. The Liberty don't usually allow that many points though. We can expect a better defensive effort from them tonight. They allowed 87 or less after all their previous 9 losses, less than 80 in seven of those. The Liberty will improve defensively but they will still find scoring difficult. The under is still 7-3-1 the last 11 Aces' home games. The Aces dominated defensively in the Finals last year, Game 2 finishing with 156 points. This one stays beneath the total. *Playoff TOY

10-10-23 Liberty v. Jacksonville State OVER 56.5 31-13 Loss -110 11 h 47 m Show

Both these teams can really put up big numbers. Liberty averages more than 36 points per game. Jacksonville State averages more than 30. Though loaded on offense, the Flames are inexperienced on defense. The scoring dried up in their last game but they'd previously been one of the top offenses in the country. The Gamecocks have an experienced offense which has found its groove. Their last two games have finished with 63 and 75 points. Liberty may win but the Flames are going to need to score a lot to do so, these Gamecocks will score. Ive got this one finishing with 60+. *totals club

10-08-23 Twins v. Astros UNDER 8 6-2 Push 0 12 h 43 m Show

A high-scoring opener will be followed by a low-scoring Game 2. Valdez is 3-1 with a 2.37 ERA in 7 career appearances against the Twins. He held them to two hits and one run through 7 innings last time he faced them. He's been solid at home all season. Lopez has been solid on the road all season. He has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 3 straight starts and 12 of his last 14. His last start resulted in a 3-1 final. Expect some high-quality pitching with this game going under. *total dominator

10-08-23 Jets v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 Top 31-21 Loss -110 8 h 8 m Show

They may not have Aaron Rodgers behind center but the Jets have one of the best defenses in football. Their early season defensive stats are a bit skewed by the fact that three of their first four opponents have been the Chiefs, Cowboys and Bills. All three of those teams are top 10 scoring offenses. The Broncos are better defensively than they've shown. They turned the corner defense in the second half of last week's game. It was their defense which keyed the comeback. Last year's game had 25 points. The year before had 26. This game also goes Under. *AFC TOM

10-08-23 Aston Villa v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 Top 1-1 Loss -135 1 h 11 m Show

Low number for an Aston Villa match. In seven league contests, Villa has scored 18 goals and conceded 11. That's an average of more than four per match. The 29 total goals is second most in the entire EPL so far this season. Wolverhampton has allowed 13 and scored 8. That works out to three per match. With both teams finding the back of the net and at least one of them doing so multiple times, they'll get at least that many in this one. *EPL TOW

10-07-23 Oklahoma v. Texas UNDER 60.5 34-30 Loss -109 52 h 56 m Show

This is the 119th time that these teams will meet. It's the first time since way back in 2008 that both were undefeated. That makes this game an even bigger deal than it normally is. Forget all the corn dogs and fried desserts for a minute, this is finally a big-time game! The Sooners have a score to settle. Remember last year? Scoring won't be easy for them though. Texas limited Oklahoma to 11 first downs and 195 total yards in last year's shutout. The Longhorns have a bigtime defense again this year. They went to Alabama and held the Tide to 24 points. No other opponent has scored more than 14 against them. Baylor scored six. Rice and Wyoming each had 10. Even factoring in Alabama, Texas is still allowing less than 300 yards of offense per game. The Sooners won't get blanked again but they also won't come close to matching some of the numbers they put up in this rivalry from 2018 to 2021. The Sooners are also playing top level defense. They're allowing just 10.8 points per game, tied for 4th best in all of college football. The offenses will get all the pre-game love but the defenses will rule the day!

10-06-23 Kansas State v. Oklahoma State OVER 53 Top 21-29 Loss -110 12 h 31 m Show

The Wildcats crushed the Cowboys 48-0 last year. This K-State offense is again loaded and will again put up a huge number. They enter the game averaging 39.5 points on the strength of 482.5 yards of offense per game. The Cowboys aren't about to get blanked again. They never have since. They scored 27 (34-27 loss) at Iowa State last game, the third time in their past four games that they've scored more than 26 points. Wildcats may not get 48 but they should get close to their average. The Cowboys gave up 34 to the Cyclones (and 33 to South Alabama before that) and the Wildcats are far more potent. With the Cowboys chipping in another 20+, this final score finishes over the total. *Big 12 TOW

10-05-23 Bears v. Commanders UNDER 44.5 Top 40-20 Loss -110 12 h 15 m Show

The Bears defense hasn't been good. Everyone knows that. The oddsmakers certainly do. Chicago's defensive struggles have rewarded us with an extra high total. Last year, these same teams played each other and the total was only 38.5. Remember how that game played out? It was a 12-7 final! Scoreless after the first quarter and 3-0 at halftime. Lots of kicking and poor red zone efficiency. Both teams ran the ball a lot. With both teams eager to clean up their defensive deficiencies, Thursday's game will take on a similar look and feel. Plenty of running will keep the clock ticking. When all is said and done, the final score will stay under the total. *NFC TOW

10-05-23 Sam Houston State v. Liberty OVER 45.5 Top 16-21 Loss -110 8 h 4 m Show

I played on the Bearkats to go Over last week's low total. One of the easier winners of my season. They had been really struggling to score and they were up against what had been an excellent Jacksonville State defense. The Sam Houston State offense came to life and made Jacksonville State's defense look decidedly ordinary. They finished with 435 yards of offense, 299 through the air and 28 points. Of course, they also gave up 35 points, after giving up 38 in their previous game. Now the Bearkats face Liberty which has scored 34, 33, 55 and 38. Averaging 40 points, the Flames rank #13 in the nation for scoring. Their 501 yards per game ranks in the top 10. They may easily go over this low number themselves. They won't need to though. Though loaded on offense, the Flames are inexperienced on defense. Sam Houston State will score. With both teams doing so, this one finishes over the low total. *CUSA TOTAL OF THE MONTH

10-04-23 Florida International v. New Mexico State OVER 48.5 17-34 Win 100 12 h 56 m Show

The total came down from where it started. It's my strong opinion that it is now too low. Remember, last year's O/U line was 54. Not a good defensive team, FIU has given up 38 or more points in two of its last three games. The Panthers did score 46 points (more than 500 yards of offense) against North Texas though. So, they're more than capable on offense. The Aggies are going to need to score in order to win. Their last three games came on the road but they scored 58 and 30 in their two home games. Expect this one to fly over the total! *Total Dominator

10-03-23 Rangers v. Rays UNDER 7.5 4-0 Win 100 8 h 32 m Show

October baseball will bring some of everything with an extra amount of quality pitching and defense. Montgomery has become the ace of this Texas staff and he's earned that title down the stretch. His final four starts, a span of 27 innings, have seen him allow only 2 total runs! The last three of those games stayed below the total. Glasnow was crisp last start, striking out nine through five shutout innings. He gave up only two hits in the 5-0 TB win. A playoff veteran, Glasnow is 3-0 with a 0.46 ERA against Texas. Runs will be hard to come by. Go with the Under!

10-02-23 Seahawks v. Giants UNDER 47.5 Top 24-3 Win 100 11 h 27 m Show

Neither of these teams has run the ball as effectively, or as regularly, as they'd like to. It's early though and we've still had a limited sample size. Its hard to run the ball when getting blown out. These are still a pair of clubs who want to run the ball and this should be a more competitive game. Saquon Barkley sounds doubtfut but the Giants still want to pound the rock. These teams combined for 40 last October, the Seahawks winning 27-13 at home. A look at the boxscore shows that yards did not come easily. The Giants had only 14 first downs and 225 total yards of offense. Seattle had 19 first downs and 277 total yards. That game fell below the total and this line is even higher. Go with the Under. *Total of Week.

10-02-23 Chelsea v. Fulham UNDER 2.5 Top 2-0 Win 100 6 h 18 m Show

Goals won't come easily in this game. Neither team is scoring many goals this season. Fullham has five goals in six league matches. Ditto for Chelsea. Only lowly Burnley, which has four, has less. Not only does Chelsea, which is off a 1-0 victory, not score many but the Blues are also very hard to score against. They've conceded six times in six matches. Only Manchester City, which has allowed five in seven games, has permitted less. (Arsenal also has allowed six.) So, we've got a Chelsea team which doesn't score but which also doesn't get scored against, facing a Fullham team which doesn't score. Last h2h match had a score of 0-0 and three of the past four have finished with two or fewer goals. This one finishes with two or less again. Go with the Under. *EPL TOM

10-01-23 Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 7.5 Top 6-1 Loss -115 7 h 49 m Show

This number, in my estimation, is too low. Entering the weekend,.Baltimore games vs. right-handed starters were averaging 9.2 runs. Boston games vs. right-handers were averaging 9.9. Bradish has been pretty good but he got destroyed the last time that he faced the Red Sox in a game at Baltimore. In fact, he's 1-4 with a 8.13 ERA in 7 starts against Boston. Houck has just been plain bad. He gave up 10 hits in 3 innings of last start. He was on the wrong-sided of an 11-2 loss (against Bradish) against Baltimore less than a month ago. This one sails over! *AL East TOM

10-01-23 Liberty v. Sun UNDER 160.5 Top 87-84 Loss -110 7 h 3 m Show

The Sun stole Game 1 but the Liberty have stormed back to win the next two. They're favored to make it three in a row Sunday afternoon. The total is where I'm focusing my attention. Its a close-out game but its a higher total than either of the past two games. NY's close out game with Washington had only 152 points at the end of regulation. (Twenty-three more were scored in OT.) Even after the Game 3 result, the under is 13-6-1 the past 20 meetings between these teams in Connecticut. Nothing easy in this one. Defense rules the day! *Eastern Conf TOY

09-30-23 San Diego State v. Air Force UNDER 42.5 Top 10-49 Loss -105 12 h 4 m Show

The total is low for a reason. San Diego State is always tough defensively. Air Force has one of the most talented defenses in the country this year. That elite defense is typically on display when the Aztecs and Falcons get together. The last three meetings have gotten progressively lower-scoring with final scores of 21-17 in 2018, 20-14 in 2021 and 13-3 last year. The Aztecs had eight first downs and one rushing yard last year! (AF had 14 first downs and 14 passing yards.) Most of the same Falcon defenders are back from last year and the Aztecs will again have trouble moving the ball. Look for another defensive battle. *MWC TOY

09-28-23 Jacksonville State v. Sam Houston State OVER 36.5 Top 35-28 Win 100 11 h 17 m Show

This very low total says a lot about these teams. They don't possess the type of offenses that keep defensive coordinators up at night. They're still good to get over this low number though. The Gamecocks have scored 16 or more points in all four games and they're averaging just shy of 26 per game. The Bearkats have struggled to score but that's due to who and where they've been playing. Their three opponents were Houston, BYU and Air Force. A home game against Jacksonville State provides a much easier opportunity to move the ball and score points. They'll take advantage, as will their guests. Go with the Over! *CUSA TOY

09-26-23 Wings v. Aces UNDER 176 Top 84-91 Win 100 14 h 48 m Show

Game 1 saw these teams combine for 180 points. Forty-eight of those came in the final quarter. Game 2 has a higher total but will produce a lower final score. The Aces can score but can also dominate teams defensively. They held Chicago to 70 and 59 points in the two games of the opening round. Both those games fell below the total. They'll flex their defensive muscles in this one and keep the final score below the large number. *WNBA Total Of The Month

09-25-23 Astros v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 Top 5-1 Win 100 13 h 10 m Show

Both teams played high scoring games on Sunday. This one will be different. Verlander against Castillo facing each other in a huge game. Talk about a heavyweight fight! These guys are both absolute aces. Verlander can still dominate. His last road start, he allowed one earned run in 7 innings. Castillo has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in five of his past six starts, including each of his past three. His last two home starts both finished with identical 3-2 scores. He held Houston to a single unearned run through 7 innings, back in July. Knowng their teams are in need, Castillo and Verlander both bring their A-Game in this one. Enjoy the old fashioned pitcher's duel.

09-25-23 Rams v. Bengals UNDER 44 Top 16-19 Win 100 12 h 40 m Show

Will Burrow play? My hunch is that he will. Either way, I still really like the under. Even with Burrow, the Cincinnati offense has been a mess. The Bengals rank dead last in the league, in terms of both points per game (13.5) and total yards. Fixing the problems against the Aaron Donald and the Rams won't be easy. (Remember the SB?) The Rams rank #6 in terms of yards allowed per game. The Bengals are better defensively than they've shown. Let's not forget that they allowed only 16.7 ppg last year. Only Dallas (16.5) allowed less. Points won't come easily for either team. Go with the Under! *MNF Total Of The Month

09-24-23 Falcons v. Lions UNDER 46 Top 6-20 Win 100 52 h 41 m Show

It's not a secret that the Falcons are going to feature a lot of running plays. They did so last year and they're doing so again this season. Running the ball with regularity keeps the clock moving. While the Falcons rank in the top 5 in rushing attempts per game, the Lions rank in the Top 10. Atlanta is running 35.5 times per game. Detroit is doing so 30.5 times. So, it's safe to assume that this game is going to see a lot of rushing. The Lions are off a high-scoring game. That reminded many of their previously poor defense and helped in providing a high total. Remember, that the Lions' opener saw them hold KC to only 20 points, a 21-20 final. This is actually a much improved defense from last year. The Falcons defense is playing well. Atlanta has allowed an average of only 17 ppg. Since last year, the Falcons have allowed 24 or fewer points in nine straight games. None of their last eight games have reached the 50 point mark and six of those finished with less than 40. This game will be low-scoring. *Sept. Total Of The Month

09-24-23 West Ham United v. Liverpool UNDER 3.5 1-3 Loss -110 1 h 9 m Show

These clubs are undoubtedly more capable of scoring than the ones we discussed (Fulham and Crystal Palace) yesterday. However, that's reflected in a much higher total. Too high. The last three matches between these teams had final scores of 1-0, 1-0 and 2-1, all in favor of Liverpool. Remember, Liverpool has only conceded four goals in five league matches. Only Manchester City, which has allowed three, has given up less. West Ham has conceded a respectable 1.4 gpg, seven through its five games. With neither team easy to score against, just as the three previous meetings did, this one finishes with three or less. *golden boot

09-23-23 California v. Washington OVER 57.5 Top 32-59 Win 100 14 h 48 m Show

I set this O/U line in the low 60s. Washington has the potential to go over this number by itself. I'm not joking. The Huskies scored 56 against Boise State and they've gone over 40 in every game. They're averaging an impressive 614.7 yards of offense per game. The Huskies won't need to go over by themselves though, as Cal will contribute. The Bears scored 31 last week and they scored 58 in their only road game. They're averaging 437+ ypg. Expect some "end of the summer" fireworks, as this turns into a Saturday evening shootout! *total of week

09-23-23 Fulham v. Crystal Palace UNDER 2.5 0-0 Win 100 2 h 31 m Show

Neither team is likely to score more than 1 goal. Frankly, these punchless offenses will be lucky to even get 1. Palace has scored 1 or less in four of its past five matches. Two of those ended in 1-0 scores. Likewise, Fullham has scored 1 or less in four of its past five matches. Two of those also ended with scores of 1-0. I'm calling for either another 1-0 final or a 1-1 draw.

09-19-23 White Sox v. Nationals OVER 9.5 Top 3-4 Loss -110 18 h 57 m Show

The Nationals and the White Sox have both been eliminated from the postseason and are starting to play around with their pitching staffs to see what will work for the future.  Probable starter Rutledge for the Nats has one start in the majors to his name and it didn’t go well.  He gave up 7 runs in 3.2 innings of work.   He has bounced around in the minors for 7 teams in the last 4 years with wildly varying degrees of success.  He should be just the remedy the White Sox need to activate their lethargic bats. 

Probable starter Ureno for the White Sox had 5 starts in April, was released by two clubs and now has 2 starts in September.  In his last 5 starts his team has surrendered an average of 9.4 runs.

In their last 7 games the two teams have given up an average total of 11.5 runs/9 innings.  All these numbers point towards that perfect storm of high event baseball.  Make a bowl of popcorn and add up the runs for this over total.

09-16-23 Iowa State v. Ohio OVER 42 Top 7-10 Loss -110 45 h 8 m Show

Two teams that have yet to play to an over collide here on Saturday afternoon, but I think that the offensive floodgates will finally open up here in Week 3.

Iowa State lost 20-13 to Iowa last week, with Rocco Becht finishing with 203 yards and a TD. The Cyclones only allowed 21.2 PPG, last year, but they also won this exact game by a score of 43-10 at home over Ohio last years.

I foresee a similar final combined score here as well.

Ohio is 2-1 after holding on for a 17-10 win at FAU last weekend. The Bobcats offense was ranked in the Top 50 in 2022 with 29.7 PPG. They especially excelled at home, averaging 40 PPG at Peden Stadium. They did score 27 points in their first home game and I think they'll exceed that here.

This number is a little low, the play is the over.

09-14-23 Diamondbacks v. Mets UNDER 7 Top 1-11 Loss -100 5 h 29 m Show

Two very good right-handers meet up today when the D-backs' Kelly faces the Mets' Senga today.  Kelly has been one of the most consistent starters since returning from the IL in July.  He has a 1.42 ERA with 18 K's in his two September starts.  Senga has a 2.82 ERA in his last seven starts.  He faced the Diamondbacks in July, throwing an 8 inning, 1 run gem.  Arizona, at 6-4, has been winning with their pitching.  The offense hasn't managed more than four runs and is averaging less than three in their last six games.  The Mets put up 14 runs in their last two starts against the Diamondbacks, but in their previous five games averaged under three runs.  The Mets have been hitting for power if not for average in the last week; not so the D-backs, who are 25th in the league at .238/.697.  I expect today's game to be low scoring.  Take the Mets and Diamondbacks to stay very low in runs allowed while the starters are in, and hold on for the under.

09-12-23 Royals v. White Sox OVER 8.5 Top 2-6 Loss -120 15 h 7 m Show

These two teams were two of the first to be eliminated from the post-season and are wallowing down at the bottom of the standings, doing what they can to make it to the end and set themselves up for next season.  Who would have thought we would find such value in a couple of dumpster fire seasons. 

In their last three head-to-head they have totals of 10, 13 and 13.   Tuesday’s probable starters, Singer for the Royals and Cease for the White Sox started that middle 13 total.  In Cease’s last two starts he has totals of 13 and 15.  Cease had an ERA of 8.07 in August and is at 6.05 in September.  Singer has an ERA of 6.43 for his last 5 starts.

The available bullpens both have ERAs north of 5.50. 

The Royals have averaged 5.0 runs against/ 9 innings and the White Sox have averaged 4.5 runs against/9 innings over their last 7 seven games. 

All these numbers add up to totals well over 9 for this game.  Take the over and enjoy an early high event game.

09-10-23 Brewers v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 Top 3-4 Win 100 12 h 21 m Show
Two top dogs in the pitching world face each other on Sunday with Burnes and Cole on the mound. Cole has won three straight although his ERA rose to 4.06 in August. His last three starts have been typical Gerrit Cole, pitching at least 6 innings and allowing just 5 runs over 19+ innings. Burnes on the other hand has been alternating between good and sub-par starts lately. He has allowed 11 runs over 19 innings, not typical of his usual performances. As far as offense goes, the Yankees are among the league's worst at .199/.651 over the last two weeks, paling in comparison to the usually poor-hitting Brewers at .266/.754. The Brewers have pummeled NY in the first two games, but this should be a much tighter affair. I expect both starters to bring their best stuff; these are two pitchers vying for a Cy Young this year. The Brewers thrashed the usually excellent Yankees bullpen for multiple runs in the last two games, but a rebound is very likely.  The Brewers also have a fine relief corps.  Look for a low scoring game and take the under on Sunday!
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