A repeat matchup exists today in the Missouri Valley Conference, as Indiana State takes on Illinois State. Saturday the Redbirds allowed the Sycamores to shoot double the free throws, as Indiana State went 22-24 from the line. Room for improvement from the field should elevate Indiana State’s play Sunday. Take the Sycamores.  

The Albany Great Danes have not been on the court in seven days, because of their last matchup against Stony Brook being postponed. Saturday, they’ll take on a New Jersey Institute team coming off a season-low forty-one points. In a game that may get sloppy expect the 1-5 Great Danes to do enough to pull through ATS. Grab Albany.

On Thursday, Florida Atlantic ended a three-game losing streak by topping today’s opponent in Florida International, 81-79. Value exists today on the Owls again, as FAU has failed to win consecutive games over division one schools this season. Furthermore, the Panthers are failing to get proper levels of play from their upperclassmen. Take the Owls here. 

A devalued team ATS are the Bryant Bulldogs. They’re 7-3 ATS, which included a tough one-point loss against the Syracuse Orangemen. Thursday, they’ll take on a St. Francis (PA) team that’s 1-7 record could make this a let down spot for the Bulldogs. Instead, expect the Bulldogs to come out strong and avenge two losses a season ago by twenty points or more against the Red Flash. Take Bryant. 

The Texas Longhorns have ascended to the fourth spot in the top twenty-five. They’ve done so with a knack of winning close games. In fact, they have won four games by a margin of three points or less. Sooner or later that style of play hurts a team, especially in-conference. Grab Texas Tech as their starting lineup is growing more and more comfortable each game on the floor together. 

The Texas A&M Aggies have had difficulties offensively. They’ve dropped three of their last four games, and scored fifty-four points in all three. Furthermore, they are 0-2 on the road with both losses by twenty points or more. Yet, last season the Aggies scored a conference high 87 points against the Bulldogs. Take the value here on A&M.

The youth of the Auburn Tigers has not matched up well early in SEC conference play. 0-4, they are dead last in the conference and in dire need of confidence. Tonight they’ll face a Georgia team that’s 7-1 home record is devalued based on a weak schedule. Take the Tigers to get their first conference win. 

After a 1-6 start, Kentucky has began SEC play undefeated at 3-0. The only team that has began conference play stronger is tonight’s opponent in Alabama. Expect Kentucky to take advantage of the Crimson Tide’s low team field goal percentage of forty two percent, and convert opportunities in transition. Grab Kentucky. 

Under the radar value lies today in a Big West conference debut for UC San Diego against UC Irvine. Saturday also marks the division one debut of the Titans, who have played just two games this year due to covid issues. Teams that have had limited completed games against non-division one opponents have been fantastic ATS. Grab the Titans as they begin their conference and division one debut with a cover.  

 Saturday, UNC Greensboro will meet Wofford for the second time in four days. On Wednesday, UNC Greensboro Coach Wes Miller made a brilliant adjustment in the second half. Amplified defensive ball pressure forced Wofford point guard Storm Murphy into seven turnovers. Grab UNC Greensboro to build upon Wednesday’s blueprint.  

For the second consecutive day, Florida International will take on Middle Tennessee. Friday, the Panthers used a 10-0 second half run to pull away from a 48-48 tie. Expect a similar result Saturday, as Middle Tennessee’s offense is too sluggish to depend on ATS-wise. Grab FIU.

Rice’s strength of schedule downgrades them today against 5-3 UTEP. Rice has faced lower level competition in the majority of their games. Look for UTEP to take advantage as they have a solid win over ASU, and have the scoring ability to pull away from the number ATS. Go against the line move here and back the favorite. 

A team that was expected to be at the top of the MAC was Ohio. They came into the season with the bullseye on them, and lost three straight in late December. They’ve now bounced back and will step up in competition today against the 4-0 Toledo Rockets in MAC conference play. Look for Ohio to elevate their play and cover the number.

On the young season the Virginia Cavaliers have yet to defeat a power five team by fourteen points or more. Yet, the Cavaliers continue to get strong numbers from oddsmakers ATS based on their past history. In-conference they execute game plans as good as any team in college basketball. With Wake Forest undermanned expect the Cavaliers to pull away by a significant margin. Grab Virginia. 

Prior to their team coronavirus outbreak the Houston Cougars looked the part of a tier-two national contender. They have not had the same rhythm and look since returning to the court, and that resulted in their first loss of the season. In their last game against SMU they needed to pull away from a game that was closer than the final score. The Shockers have been solid and have yet to lose a game by double-digits. Expect that spectrum to change as the Cougars have enough return time back on the floor to be sharp. Grab Houston. 

One of the more obscure lines of the season lies with today’s matchup of Northwestern State vs Incarnate Ward. With a 1-11 record the Demons find themselves as seven point favorites. Northwestern State has defeated Incarnate Ward in four consecutive matchups since 2017-2018. Lay the points. 

In college basketball teams have yearly patterns that bettors can capitalize on. A season ago, Richmond began 10-1 before losing three of five at the tail end of December and into January. That pattern has lurked once again as the Spiders have lost consecutive home games. Take the value on the underdog as the Rams keep it close.

 Tuesday, Rutgers will travel to take on Michigan State in a battle of top twenty-five teams. Close losses in two games are the difference in Rutgers not being a top ten team. They are shooting just sixty percent from the free throw line, which proved costly in their lost against Iowa. With Michigan State just 1-3 in-conference this line is a bit short. Grab the Spartans. 

The Clemson Tigers have one of the best surprise early resumes. They have defeated Purdue, Maryland, Alabama, Mississippi State, and Florida State. That has catapulted them inside the top twenty, but today’s opponent is tricky for them. NC State has torched recent ACC opponents in first halves, with 49 points against North Carolina and 45 against Boston College. Expect another big first half and for Clemson to be in an unfamiliar spot facing a deficit. Grab NC State. 

Pre-season, no mid-major team received more of a boost than Bowling Green when Justin Turner announced he would return to the school. The Falcons have raced out to a 7-2 start and have covered decisively in three-straight road games. Returning home to face Central Michigan is a value spot on the Chippewas to fade the Falcons recent ATS-run. Grab the underdog.

Two teams that have extended layoffs will meet today in the CAA. Both Morgan State and James Madison have not stepped on the court in nearly two weeks. In the Dukes last loss they nearly pulled off an upset over VCU. Expect that to be fresh in bettors minds but for the layoff to benefit the road team in Morgan State. Take the points here.

Consecutive days of games have seen a familiar pattern. Single digit spreads the team that loses in the first day, typically covers the next. This scenario just happened with Georgia State-Coastal Carolina and South Alabama-Georgia Southern. I expect it to happen in the Missouri Valley Sunday as Northern Iowa’s 2-6 record is not indicative of the type of team they are. Young they are a work in progress and will take a step forward today against Evansville.

A familiar team has returned to Summit League competition in UMKC. Saturday, after seven years away in the WAC they’ll meet against North Dakota. At 1-8, the Fighting Hawks are coming off their worst loss of the season, 88-55 against Drake. An even level of competition today against UMKC should help elevate North Dakota’s offense. Take the home favorite to spoil UMKC’s return to the Summit League.

A season ago the Dayton Flyers were one of the top choices to make a Final Four run. A cancelled season and a talent drop off has placed uncertainty on this year’s team.  Already 0-1 in conference play, they’ll face a feisty George Mason team Saturday. The Patriots have played four straight games that have been decided by five points or less. Take the points here. 

Two teams that are explosive offensively are Coastal Carolina and Georgia State. The Panthers boast scorers up and down their roster and have a knack for going on crucial decisive scoring runs. I expect that to take fold in the second half even if the Panthers are down early and at halftime. Take the Panthers to pull away in the final minutes.

Two teams that have under performed to in the MAAC have been Rider and Fairfield. They’ll meet today with a combined record of 2-14. An ATS edge is a common opponent in Iona, whom the Stags have their lone win over and a team that Rider lost against. In what may be a sloppy game take the forward thinking value on the road team in Rider. 

With Tennessee Tech winning yesterday there are few teams left without a win. One of those plays today in a repeat matchup of Wednesday, as USC Upstate takes on High Point. USC Upstate has had a drastic change over from their days in the Southern Conference six years ago. Talent is down and they struggle mightily with transition defense. Yet, High Point is a slower pace team. This will be closer than yesterday’s eleven point road loss. Grab Upstate.

Eric Musselman has quickly revamped Arkansas, as they are off to an 8-0 start. Yet, they are one of the few power five schools that have not had any true non-conference tests. In fact, the highest rated team they have faced is 4-3 North Texas. Expect Auburn to capitalize on Arkansas weak non-conference schedule as the home underdog. Grab Auburn. 

St. Bonaventure and Rhode Island both head into Wednesday’s matchup off a long holiday break. The Bonnies have not played since December 19th, and Rhode Island since the 18th. The break may have been a good thing for the Rams as they had a fierce non-conference schedule. Working in several transfers takes time. Expect the Rams to show improvement and get one win closer to .500.

Senior guard, Tahj Eaddy is one of several small school transfers the USC Trojans have utilized this season. Eaddy played his past two years at Santa Clara, which should be added motivation for the Trojans. Take the Trojans to run away from Santa Clara with their underrated blue chip transfer depth. Grab USC.

A great battle should be on display today in the ACC as Clemson hosts Florida State. In last year’s series the team’s split, including a late February home victory for Clemson. In that matchup the Tigers small ball lineup featured 44 of 70 points from guards Clyde Trapp, Al-Amir Dawes, and John Newman III. Personnel may be different but the Tigers have an uncanny lineup that should get a boost from Fordham transfer Nick Honor. Take the Tigers.

Colorado and Arizona were supposed to meet several weeks ago but had their initial game postponed. They’ll meet tonight in what will be a true barometer test for both teams. One player to keep an eye out on is McKinley Wright. The Buffaloes guard has had particularly solid games against UofA. Look for his play to give the Buffaloes an edge in what should be a tight game. 

Sunday a late add will be on UC Irvine. The Anteaters have not played in eight days and will play their first Big West conference game of the season. In what’s the first of a two-game matchup against UC Santa Barbara look for Irvine to be the aggressor. The Gauchos are a bit over valued thanks to a 4-1 record and an outright upset over Pepperdine. Take Irvine.

Despite three losses, Illinois finds themselves still ranked in the top twenty in college basketball. That’s largely due to their three losses being against top twenty-five teams. Today, they’ll face an Indiana team that played them wire to wire last season in a 67-66 game. Expect another close matchup as Illinois is coming off of four of five road games. Play Indiana. 

The Iowa Hawkeyes lone loss this year has been against the top team in the country in Gonzaga. Their presence offensively is sparked by one of the best players in the country in Luke Garza. A season ago they demolished Minnesota in one matchup and held on by three points in another. The Gophers weak schedule this year and blowout loss against Illinois has placed value here on them. Grab Minnesota to stand up in the final game tonight in college hoops on Christmas Day. 

 Each year we see a team that jumps higher than they should in the polls off of one big win. Michigan State soared after defeating Duke, but is coming off a fourteen point loss to Northwestern. Expect Wisconsin to continue to expose the Spartans, and redeem themselves from losing their only road game of the season against Marquette. Play the Badgers. 

Coach Pitino’s return to college basketball to Iona has had early mixed results. At 4-3, Iona has been sporadic as they learn Pitino’s system. Expect an uptick in performance against today’s opponent in Coppin State. The Eagles have lost all five of their road games by a combined average of twenty-six points. Grab Iona.

Rutgers has picked up where they left off in 2019, with a stout 6-0 record. As a result they’ve surged in the polls to 11th place. Wednesday, they’ll face a Buckeyes team that has a knack for keeping games close. In fact, their last four games have all been decided by seven points or less. Grab the Buckeyes as Rutgers loses their first game of the season.

On the young basketball season one team that has struggled has been UT San Antonio. Their three wins have been against non division one competition. All their other games have been double-digit losses. Yet, I expect the continuity to be much more fluid today against Lamar. Grab UT San Antonio to roll.

Friday, the Ohio Valley begins conference play as Southeast Missouri State hosts UT-Martin. Both teams have played one common opponent in Evansville. UT-Martin defeated the Purple Aces, while Southeast Missouri State lost in their last game against Evansville. The fresh loss has devalued this spread slightly. Grab the value here on Southeast Missouri State.

A team that has had difficulties transitioning from graduates of 2019 has been College of Charleston. They’re just 2-3, and have had difficulties replacing the scoring of Grant Riller and Jaylen McManus. Yet, they’ve shown strides in their last two games and will face a Western Carolina team that’s record is masked by weak opponents. Grab College of Charleston. 

Thursday, the San Francisco Dons will face a Pac-12 team for the second consecutive game. In their last matchup against California they surrendered a seven point lead in the final minutes, and lost 72-70. Their reliance on three-point shooting should play into the hands of the Ducks half-court defense, as they’ve forced 19 turnovers or more in consecutive games. Grab the Ducks.

Thursday, Delaware State returns to the court after a lengthy layoff of twenty-two days. The layoff should play into the hands of Coastal Carolina, which features electric guard DaVante Jones. In last year’s matchup against Delaware State, Jones came two rebounds short of a triple-double. Grab Coastal Carolina as they surpass last season’s matchup total of 92 points.

It was just a few short years ago that Middle Tennessee State built a reputation centered around their March Madness run. Times have changed for the Blue Raiders but they do have experience against today’s opponent in Ole Miss. Last year forward Tyson Jackson scored a career-high fourteen points and made all seven of his shot attempts. Take the value here on the home double-digit underdog.

One of the hottest teams in the country for field goal percentage has been Campbell. At 4-0, they have shot the ball over sixty percent in consecutive games, this includes a whopping 21-41 from three-point range. Wednesday, a familiar opponent in Elon should have a proper game plan in-place to derail Campbell. Take the Phoenix to avenge last year’s 60-46 loss. 

 The Mean Green have lost three straight games yet find themselves steep favorites tonight against Arkansas Pine-Bluff. It’s justified as the three losses were all against power five schools in Arkansas, Mississippi State, and West Virginia. In fact, the Mean Green held a 29-21 lead over West Virginia at halftime. Expect a blowout as North Texas cruises past the lowly Golden Lions.

Saturday, Valparaiso hopes to end an 0-3 start on the road. They’ll take on a Central Michigan team that has one common opponent with Valparaiso, in Illinois-Chicago. The Chippewas lost by two points while Valparaiso lost by sixteen against the Flames. The common opponent factor and Valparaiso’s road woes are ATS value indicators. Grab the Crusaders. 

An under the radar small school matchup will take place tonight between George Washington and Delaware. The Colonials are coming off a double-digit loss against UMBC, but closed the gap from a twenty-five point deficit to two points in the final minute. Expect the Colonials to start off faster against a Delaware squad that has just two games under their belt.

Year to year Creighton has continued to make strides quietly under Coach Greg McDermott. 2020 appears to be the year they take a further step, which may be devalued ATS-wise. Last season the Blue Jays got their second-best non-conference win over Nebraska, 95-76. Look for the smaller school in the state to get the upper hand once again. 

Only a handful of teams have played six games thus far this year. Xavier is one of them as they are coming off a solid win over crosstown rival Cincinnati. At 6-0 they’ve shown the explosiveness to be a contender in the Big East again. Yet, the Sooners are a different caliber. Even with the fact that they’ve only played two games, they have the upper hand talent wise. Grab Oklahoma.

Inexplicably Georgia Tech began the season losing to both Georgia State and Mercer. The wake up call has paid dividends as they blew out Kentucky 79-62, in their last game. Aggressive play and better shot selection should continue today against Nebraska. Tail the slight favorites in Georgia Tech in their first true road game of the season. 

A former ACC clash will take place today as Maryland heads to Clemson. The Tigers have impressed on the young season with double-digit wins over both Mississippi State and Purdue. Maryland may not have the team experience the Tigers do, but this a good spot in the schedule for them. Grab the points here as Clemson has had a full week off since their last win over South Carolina State. 

In prior years Lipscomb had developed into one of the better small schools to take advantage of. This year they’ve started 1-3 with three straight losses to big schools. This included a thiry-six point loss Saturday against Arkansas. A quick turn around against a small school Monday spells value. Take the Bisons tonight against Southeast Missouri State.

Out in the Big Sky, Idaho will travel to take on Sacramento State. Last season the Vandals were one of the worst teams in college basketball with an 8-24 record. Yet, they played Sacramento State well. Losing their home matchup by eleven points, and toppling them by fourteen on the road. Look for Idaho to play confidently in their first game of the year. Take the points.

Montana has one of the more peculiar schedules of any team in college basketball. Virtually the first full month they are on the road, with four matchups against the Pac-12. In between are two road matchups against Big Sky rival Southern Utah. Look for Montana to be dialed in and ready against a familiar opponent, and get the first game of two straight against Southern Utah.

Nebraska Omaha already has three losses on the season at 1-3. Two of those losses were against little known schools Abilene Christian and Austin Peay. That’s placed a bit of value on them against an undefeated Drake team, that has already defeated a power five team in Kansas State. Back the underdog here in Omaha.

Dixie State will make their division one debut tonight as they host North Dakota.  Due to Covid-19 protocols Dixie State will have limited capacity of 1,000 fans. That’s a small number but a distinct factor in an arena that holds just 5,000. Shot selection and transition defense were big issues for North Dakota in their double-digit season-opening loss to Miami-Ohio. Grab Dixie State in their debut to division one hoops.

One of the few college basketball teams that will allow fans is Iowa State. Tonight they’ll have limited capacity as they face South Dakota State. The Jackrabbits are coming off three nationally televised tournament games in which they went 1-2. Tournament level competition should have them prepared against an Iowa State team that’s only game was against Arkansas Pine-Bluff of the SWAC.

Last season, SIU Edwardsville had one of the worst records in college basketball at 8-23. Of their ten non-conference losses last year only one was by single digits against Northern Illinois. That sets up a solid underdog spot tonight against a Northern Illinois squad that surrendered a twenty-two point lead in their debut. 

Over the last three years, VMI has had an overall record of 29-66. Tuesday, they’ll take on Longwood that battled hard against Wake Forest in their first matchup. In fact, they were tied at halftime 34-34. Yet, value is to be had in the rare spot of VMI being favored. Look for VMI’s senior tandem backcourt in Myles Lewis and Greg Parham to carry VMI. 

Bryant nearly pulled off a huge upset against Syracuse, but fell short 85-84 in their season opener. Tuesday, they’ll take on New Hampshire whom they lost to in overtime in non-conference play last season. It was a contest that the Wildcats out-rebounded Bryant 59 to 38, and also shot ten more free throws. With their front-court personnel intact, grab New Hampshire. 

The Alabama Crimson Tide were a delight ATS last season. At one point they were neck and neck with St. Francis as the top school in the country ATS. With many returnees from last year the program figures to progress under second year coach Nate Oats. Yet, today’s matchup is a tricky one against Stanford. The Cardinal not having a home court to practice at currently combined with Alabama’s success ATS last year are value indicators. Take Stanford. 

Monday, a fantastic small school in-state matchup will take place between Georgia State and Mercer. Both teams have a power five win over Georgia Tech. Electric scoring capabilities has featured the Panthers averaging 114 points per game. But look for an overhauled Mercer team with an advanced front court to be game ready. Grab Mercer.

Two winless teams will meet today as Arkansas State takes on Morehead State. This is a spot where Arkansas State’s guard play figures to be an advantage, as Morehead State has struggled in consecutive blowout losses. Yet, those losses were against big schools in Kentucky and Richmond. Grab the underdog in a close Sunday battle.

Saturday, UNC Asheville and Western Carolina will meet in an under the radar matchup. Both have already played UNC Wilmington, with UNC Asheville losing by ten points and Western Carolina rolling to a twenty-two point victory. That common opponent has swayed the point spread. Expect consecutive days of action to benefit the host tournament team in UNC Asheville.

The Missouri Valley has already made some noise to begin the 2020 season with Northern Iowa and Bradley. Friday, the Crusaders can be the latest as they travel on the road against SEC opponent Vanderbilt. The Crusaders may have struggled in 2019 but it gave a young lineup a chance to develop. Key personnel and their strong half-court defense should give them an ATS edge Friday. Grab Valparaiso. 

For three halves of basketball St. Mary’s struggled in a blowout loss against Memphis and the first half against Northern Iowa. A dominant second half against Northern Iowa helped avoid an 0-2 start. Yet, clearly Randall Bennett has his hands full as he works to develop St. Mary’s. Grab South Dakota State as their hot three point shooting continues.

Two teams that finished 2019 in opposite directions will meet to begin the 2020 season. Yet the biggest team adjustments entering 2020 will be Utah State who lost all three of their starting guards, including main scorer Sam Merrill. Their strength will be in the front court which should be an advantage challenging shots at the rim by VCU. Expect the Aggies to turn have an advantage off rebounds and transition fast breaks. Grab Utah State. 

Wednesday, a conference matchup to begin the season will take place as California travels to Oregon State. The Beavers will have their hands full as they lost both Kylor Kelly and Tres Trinkle to graduation.  While the Bears have the experience advantage, that can be used against them by the Beavers staff. Look for the Beavers to pull away in the second half thanks to halftime adjustments on prior scouting intel. 

In 2019, Pepperdine caught the attention of the betting public with covers against Arizona, USC, Providence, and Gonzaga twice.  Wednesday’s opener against UC Irvine is a matchup the Waves won at home last season 77 to 73. The Anteaters surrendered a nine point lead with two minutes left by going scoreless. Expect the revenge angle to be strong. Grab UC Irvine.

Wednesday, the Utah Utes will face an Oregon State team led by two seniors and three juniors. On February 13th the Beavers had their highest margin of victory in the Pac-12 defeating the Utah Utes 70 to 51. That matchup and the Beavers upperclassmen are tied into this line. Look for the Utes to lean on their return to T-Mobile as a confidence booster, as the Utes defeated Kentucky there on December 18th. Grab Utah. 

North Carolina comes into the ACC tournament a healthy team that’s won three of their past four games. Led by freshman Cole Anthony and junior Garrison Brooks they’ll give the Hokies a tremendous fight. Yet the balance of the Hokies offensively is better than what the Tar Heels have to offer. Grab Virginia Tech to defeat the Tar Heels for a second time this year.

St. Francis-PA has been one of the best teams ATS all season with a 69 percent mark at 20-9. That’s a factor as to why they’re a small favorite tonight against Robert Morris. Both of these teams split the season series with Robert Morris winning the most recent matchup by ten points on February 29th. Take the value here on Robert Morris. 

Buffalo’s success getting to March Madness in the past has created an opportune buy against them Monday. They’ll take on a subpar Miami-Ohio team that has the worst record overall in the MAC at 12-19. Yet in both matchups this year against the Bulls the RedHawks lost by six points or less. Look for that trend to continue. Grab the RedHawks.

Since 2016, Charleston has won eight straight over the Delaware Blue Hens. In the matchup nine days ago Delaware actually led at halftime 31-28, before unraveling in the second half. Sunday look for the Blue Hens balanced scoring to override Charleston’s talented senior tandem of Grant Riller and Jaylen McManus. Take Delaware as they end their eight game losing streak against Charleston. 

Two under performing teams in the Sun Belt will meet Saturday in Coastal Carolina and UT Arlington. UT Arlington has been the more disappointing team as they’ve had to many scoring droughts in second halves. Look for that to spark a Coastal Carolina team that’s coming off scoring 101 points and also beat UT Arlington on their home floor earlier in conference. Grab Coastal Carolina. 

Saturday we have a true under the Radar special out in the NEC. St Francis PA will look for to complete the difficult task of getting three wins over Sacred Heart. Their seven point home win earlier in conference shows we should expect a tight game. Look for Sacred Heart was challenge for a full forty minutes and keep this within two baskets.

A regular season finale for two ACC teams will take place Friday as Georgia Tech travels to Clemson. Implications for potential seeding in the ACC tournament is at stake as Georgia Tech and Clemson are separated by one-game in conference standings. The Tigers consecutive home wins over top ten teams in Florida State and Louisville has inflated this line. Look for Georgia Tech’s recent win over Clemson on February 25th to fuel another cover. Grab Georgia Tech. 

Akron has sole possession of first place in the MAC conference thanks to wins in seven of their last eight games. They’ll conclude the regular season against Kent State who defeated them 68 to 67 on January 31st. Impeccable free throw shooting of 80 percent on twelve of fifteen shots was the main factor. Look for Kent State to hang within the number again as Akron is 1-4 ATS their last five games. 

The final stages of conference play are taking place all throughout college basketball. We’ll look for value in the Big Sky as Northern Colorado aims to take advantage of a five day layoff loss against Eastern Washington. They’ll take on a Montana team that they defeated by eight points in the first matchup. Expect a tight game as this matchup is for second-place in the Big Sky, but expect Northern Colorado to sweep the season series.