ASA NHL play on Vegas Knights +105 vs Edmonton Oilers, 9:30PM ET - Vegas put an end to the Oilers 6-game winning streak with a last second, or last half-second goal for a 4-3 win in Game 3 of this series. Trailing 1-2 in this series we like the Knights to even it up tonight in Game 4, especially with the Oilers missing goaltender Calvin Pickard again for this one. That means the Oilers are forced to start Stuart Skinner again who has given up 4, 5 and 6 goals in his last three starts. He is allowing 3.1 goals per game in his last ten starts with a .866 save percentage. Skinner is 1-3 against Las Vegas this season. Vegas is 37-22 with Adin Hill in net this season and clearly has an edge in that department for this game. Take the live dog in this one.

ASA NHL play on Edmonton Oilers -120 vs. Las Vegas Knights, 9pm ET - I’m going to keep this analysis shorter than normal today and essentially say…bet the red hot streak with Edmonton who has won 6 straight games. The Oilers have outshot Las Vegas 65-49 in the first two games of this series and have put a ton of pressure on the Knights goaltender Hill who has allowed 9 goals. Las Vegas is a solid road team, but Edmonton is 28-13-3 on their home ice, 3-0 in the playoffs. Don’t overthink this one and back the Oilers.

ASA NHL play on Winnipeg Jets -125 vs. Dallas Stars, 9:30pm ET - The Winnipeg Jets are in a must win situation here and we trust them at home with their 34-8-4 record, at Canada Life Centre. The Jets have won 3 of five meetings with Dallas this season with two of those wins coming in dominating fashion 4-1 at home. Winnipeg’s has been outstanding at home, with a 9-2 record and a +12 goal differential in their last 11 home games. Connor Hellebuyck, boasting a .921 save percentage and a 2.00 GAA, has been a wall at home, stopping 30 of 32 shots in Game 1 despite the 3-2 loss. The Jets’ offense, led by Kyle Connor (8 points in his last 4 games), averages 3.4 goals per game against Dallas, while their league-leading 67 goals through 15 games highlight their scoring depth. We like Winnipeg to even this series 1-1 tonight.

ASA NHL Under 6.5 Goals – Edmonton Oilers vs. Vegas Golden Knights (May 8, 2025) - Last Game (May 6, 2025): Edmonton won 4-2, but Edmonton’s two late third-period goals and an empty-netter inflated the score. Shots were low (Edmonton: 28, Vegas: 17), suggesting limited scoring chances. The Under has cashed in 5 of the last six meetings between these two teams. The Oilers have been a strong road Under team all season long with a 19-26 record, the Knights at home are Under in 24 of 45 at home this season. When Pickard (Oilers) and Hill (Knights) have started in goal this season they are a combined 43-49-1 Under on the season. Both teams ranked top 10 in Shots on Goal allowed this season and will solid goaltending tonight we don’t see these two teams getting to7 or more total goals.

ASA NHL Dallas Stars -105 vs. Winnipeg Jets – 9:30pm ET May 7, 2025 - The Stars are riding momentum from a Game 7 upset over Colorado, led by Mikko Rantanen’s third-period hat trick (five goals, seven assists in Round 1). Jake Oettinger (2.85 GAA, .911 save percentage) outshines Winnipeg’s Connor Hellebuyck (3.85 GAA, .830 save percentage), who struggled in Round 1. Dallas’ depth (21 goals in seven games) and 22% power play exploit Winnipeg’s defensive lapses (27 goals allowed). Despite Winnipeg’s home strength, the Stars’ form makes them the better bet.

ASAwins NHL Washington Capitals (+123) vs. Carolina Hurricanes – 7pm ET May 6, 2025 - The Washington Capitals face the Carolina Hurricanes in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference Second Round playoff series at Capital One Arena. As the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference, the Capitals are riding high after defeating the Montreal Canadiens in five games in Round 1. The Hurricanes, the No. 2 seed in the Metropolitan Division, advanced past the New Jersey Devils but face a tough challenge on the road against a Washington team that thrives at home. The Capitals posted a 26-9-8 record at home during the regular season. Capitals goaltender Logan Thompson was a brick wall at home in Round 1, stopping 86 of 90 shots for a .956 save percentage across three games. He allowed two goals or fewer in each contest, including a 33-save effort in Game 1 and a 25-save performance in Game 2, where he shut down Montreal’s third-period push. Thompson’s 4.7 goals saved above expected in the series highlight his elite play, which is crucial against Carolina’s high-octane offense (3.8 goals per game in their last 10 regular-season games). Alex Ovechkin remains Washington’s offensive cornerstone, particularly at home. He scored in both regular-season games against Carolina this year and has three goals in his last three games against them. In Round 1, Ovechkin netted two goals in Game 1, including the overtime winner, and averaged 3.68 shots on goal per game during the regular season. Washington’s defense was stellar in Round 1, allowing the fewest high-danger scoring chances (24) of any team. Their expected goals against rate was under 44% in five-on-five play, showcasing a structure that can neutralize Carolina’s puck-possession game. While Carolina’s penalty kill was perfect in Round 1, Washington’s power play, powered by Ovechkin, scored three times against Montreal and could capitalize on any Hurricanes infractions. The Hurricanes struggled on the road during the regular season, posting a 16-24-1 record in their last regular season away games. Carolina’s goaltending is also uncertain, with Frederik Andersen’s status unclear after an injury in Round 1. If backup Pyotr Kochetkov starts, his .884 save percentage against Washington this season could be exploited. This a great spot to ‘capitalize’ on a live home underdog!

ASA NHL St. Louis Blues -115 vs. Winnipeg Jets 8pm ET - In Game 6, the St. Louis Blues are primed to defeat the Winnipeg Jets and force a Game 7. The Blues dominated both home games, outscoring the Jets 12-3, and now face a Jets team missing captain Mark Scheifele, injured in Game 5. Scheifele’s absence (4 goals, 2 assists in playoffs) weakens Winnipeg’s offense. Blues goaltender Jordan Binnington, with a 10-4-1 record, .909 save percentage, and 2.26 GAA over his last 15 starts, has been stellar, allowing just 3 goals on 42 shots in Games 3 and 4. Back the Blues to extend the series.

ASA NHL play on Tampa Bay Lightning (-110) vs. Florida Panthers , 7:30pm ET Game 5 - The Tampa Bay Lightning face the Florida Panthers in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference First Round series, with the Panthers leading 3-1. Despite the series deficit, the Lightning are listed as -110 favorites at home, and we like them to extend the series. The Lightning are in a must-win situation at Amalie Arena, where they are 29-8-4 (70.7% win percentage), outscoring opponents by an average of 3.6 goals to 2.8 per game at home. While they lost Games 1 and 2 at home (6-2 and 2-0), we trust their +34 goal differential at Amalie Arena. In Game 3, the Lightning fired 38 shots on goal, with Jake Guentzel (1 goal, 2 assists) and Nikita Kucherov (3 assists) leading the charge. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 34 shots (.971 save percentage), outdueling Florida’s Sergei Bobrovsky. Power Play Edge: Tampa Bay’s power play operated at 26.4% during the regular season (4th in NHL), compared to Florida’s 22.1% (11th). In Game 3, the Lightning converted 1 of 3 power-play opportunities, while Florida went 0-for-2. If Tampa Bay draws penalties, their man-advantage unit could be a difference-maker. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has a 113-game playoff start streak, with a career postseason save percentage of .921. His 33-save performance in Game 3 and ability to handle high-danger chances (14 of 15 high-danger shots stopped) make him a cornerstone for a Game 5 win.

ASA NHL play on LA Kings -125 vs Edmonton Oilers, 10 pm ET - The Los Angeles Kings take on the Edmonton Oilers in Game 5 of their 2025 NHL Playoffs first-round series at Crypto.com Arena, with the series tied 2-2. We like the Kings tonight, backed by their NHL-best 33-6-4 home record this season (.814 winning percentage). At home, they have a +1.42 goal differential, scoring 3.06 goals per game while allowing just 1.98 (best in the NHL). Goaltending gives the Kings an edge, with Darcy Kuemper posting a 2.02 GAA and .922 save percentage in the regular season (second in the NHL among goalies with 50 starts). He also had two shutouts against the Oilers this year (3-0 on April 5, 5-0 on April 14). Edmonton’s Calvin Pickard, expected in net, has a 2.71 GAA and .900 save percentage, with a .889 save percentage in the playoffs. The Kings went 3-1 against the Oilers in the regular season with a +8 goal differential, and their defense has been solid at home.

ASA NHL play on Florida Panthers -135 vs. Tampa Bay Lightning, 7pm ET We like the Panthers off their game 3 home loss to the Lightning. Florida’s 27-13-2 home record, 40-28 mark as favorites, and superior performance against winning teams give them the edge. They’ve outshot Tampa Bay 74-63 in the series, while Sergei Bobrovsky’s .936 SV% (2.53 GAA) outshines Andrei Vasilevskiy’s .892 SV% (2.67 GAA). Tampa Bay’s 19-23 road record and 7-14 mark as underdogs highlight their struggles. Florida’s depth, led by Verhaeghe and Tkachuk, and strong penalty kill make them the bet to take a 3-1 series lead.

ASA NHL play on Edmonton Oilers (-129) vs. Los Angeles Kings (Game 4, 9:30pm ET Sunday, April 27) - Edmonton’s 26-13-3 home record (62.6% win rate) this season follows a 28-9-4 mark last year, and their Game 3 rally (four third-period goals) shows their resilience after dropping the first two games in LA. The Oilers’ 5-on-5 play is a major advantage, outpacing the Kings with a 51.96% Corsi For percentage and 59.36% high-danger chance percentage in the series, including 31-14 scoring chances when Connor McDavid (12 points in series) faces LA’s top lines. Despite a dismal 0-for-12 power play (0%), Edmonton’s regular-season 26.3% power-play rate (4th in NHL) should capitalize on LA’s penalty kill, which allowed 9 power-play goals in 20 chances (55%) in last year’s playoffs. The Kings, with a 17-19-5 road record and -15 goal differential away from home, struggle to match Edmonton’s pace, despite Darcy Kuemper’s stellar 2.02 GAA and .922 SV%. Kuemper faces Edmonton’s top-three rush offense (3.16 GF/G, 11th), which generated 36 shots in Game 3. LA’s 5-for-10 power-play success (50%) is potent, but their 27% fewer road goals and 0-12 penalty-kill chances in Game 3 suggest vulnerabilities. Betting trends favor Edmonton: they’re 7-4 in their last 11 home playoff games, while LA is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road playoff underdog spots.

ASA NHL play: Over 6 Goals in Dallas  Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche (Game 4, Saturday 9:30pm ET) - Dallas (3.35 GPG, 3rd) and Colorado (3.33 GPG, 6th) are offensive powerhouses, averaging 30.8 and 29.9 shots per game, respectively. Five of their last six meetings this season (including playoffs) have finished with 6 or more goals. Dallas’s Jake Oettinger (2.67 GAA, .904 SV% in series) and Colorado’s Mackenzie Blackwood (2.34 GAA, .906 SV% in series) face high shot volumes (27-28 per game). Both teams’ potent power plays (Colorado 24.79%, Dallas 22.5% vs. opponent) and Colorado’s home scoring (3.45 GPG) support a high-scoring game. Trends show 5-1 Over in head-to-head matchups and 58% Over in Colorado’s home playoff games since 2022.

NHL play on: Ottawa Senators -107 vs. Toronto Maple Leafs – Game 3 Thursday, 7pm ET - I’m betting on the Ottawa Senators to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 3 on Thursday night at Canadian Tire Centre, with the Sens a slight favorite. Despite trailing 0-2 in the series, Ottawa has been the better team overall, outshooting Toronto 61-45 across the first two games. The Senators also swept the regular-season series 3-0, outscoring Toronto 7-3. Ottawa’s underlying numbers are strong—they’ve led the playoffs with 148 shot attempts through two games and hold edges in scoring chances, expected goals, and high-danger chances, even if they haven’t converted enough. At home, where they went 27-11-3 this season, the Sens should capitalize on their territorial dominance. Meanwhile, Toronto’s 33-12-2 record when outshot this season (47 times) is impressive, but their 5-on-5 play has been underwhelming, outscoring Ottawa just 4-3 in that situation despite a 9-4 overall edge. With Ottawa’s physicality, home crowd energy, and regular-season success against the Leafs, I expect a Sens win to get back into the series.

ASA NHL play on LA Kings -130 vs. Edmonton Oilers Game 2 Wednesday, 10pm ET - LA led 4-0 in Game 1 but let Edmonton tie it at 4-4 in the 3rd before winning 5-4. That should serve as a wakeup call for the Kings who dominated 2 full periods before the late collapse. The Kings have the NHL’s second-best defense (203 goals allowed) and a 32-6-4 home record, allowing just 1.98 goals per game. Darcy Kuemper’s elite 2.02 GAA and .922 SV% outmatch Stuart Skinner’s 2.81 GAA and .896 SV%, and LA has won 4 of 5 matchups this season, including two shutouts. LA is on an 18-4 run right now and we’ll back them again in Game 2.

ASA Tampa Bay Lightning -115 vs. Florida Panthers Game 1 Tuesday, 8:30pm ET - Tampa’s offensive firepower, goaltending edge, and home-ice advantage give them the upper hand in this series opener. Tampa led the NHL with 3.60 goals per game this season, driven by Nikita Kucherov (121 points), Brayden Point (42 goals), and Jake Guentzel (41 goals), while their five-on-five GF/60 of 2.79 ranked fourth league-wide. Since February 1, they’ve allowed just 2.40 goals per game, sixth-fewest in the NHL. Florida, the defending champs, averaged 3.00 goals per game (15th) but underperformed by 29 goals based on expected metrics, indicating finishing issuies. They allowed 2.72 goals per game (seventh-fewest), but their Net Rating is only two goals better than Tampa’s, the tightest margin of any first-round series. Andrei Vasilevskiy (2.18 GAA, .921 SV%) is a key advantage for Tampa, especially at home, where he’s posted a .927 save percentage since the 4 Nations Face-Off. He ranks second in high-danger save percentage at five-on-five, ideal against Florida’s low-danger shot volume (first in LDSF/60). Sergei Bobrovsky (2.44 GAA, .906 SV%) has been solid but not elite, and Florida’s forecheck, while the league’s best, may struggle against Tampa’s improved puck-moving defensemen like Victor Hedman and Nick Perbix. Florida’s health is a concern: Matthew Tkachuk (groin) hasn’t played since February 8, Aaron Ekblad is suspended for Games 1 and 2, and Aleksander Barkov is recovering from an upper-body injury. Tampa, meanwhile, is fully healthy and riding a 20-6-5 streak since January 30, with 29 home wins this season, second-most in the East. Tampa’s top-five power play (27.4% since March 1) could exploit Florida’s penalty-prone style—they’re the most penalized team in the NHL. We like the Lightning as a low money-line favorite here.

ASA NHL play on Los Angeles Kings -121 vs. Edmonton Oilers, 10pm ET - The Kings finished the 2024-25 regular season with an NHL-best 31-6-4 home record, boasting a .825 points percentage and allowing just 2.02 goals per game at home. Their home goal differential is impressive, with a stout defense ranked second in the league, conceding only 2.48 goals per game overall. This defensive strength is a key advantage against Edmonton’s potent offense, which averaged 3.16 goals per game overall, 3.05 GF/GP on the road. Darcy Kuemper anchors the Kings’ crease with an elite 31-11-7 record, a 2.02 GAA (second in the NHL), and a .921 save percentage across 50 appearances. At home, Kuemper is even better, posting a 20-3-2 record with a 1.67 GAA and .935 save percentage. He dominated Edmonton this season, going 3-1 with a 1.33 GAA and .952 save percentage, allowing just four goals on 100 shots. In contrast, Edmonton’s Stuart Skinner struggled, finishing 26-18-4 with a 2.81 GAA and .896 save percentage. Skinner’s .894 save percentage against the Kings this season and weaker playoff leash make him a liability. The Kings also hold a 3-1 season series edge, including a 3-0 shutout and a 5-0 rout in April, showcasing their ability to stifle Edmonton’s stars like Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, both of whom are battling injury concerns. With Edmonton missing key defenseman Mattias Ekholm and possibly others, the Kings’ depth and physicality should shine. Los Angeles’ 81.8% penalty kill (11th in the NHL) can neutralize Edmonton’s 24.8% power play, further tilting the ice. We like the Kings to win Game 1 and set the tone for the series.

Winnipeg Jets vs. St. Louis Blues: Under 5.5 Total Goals (-145) Prediction In Game 1 of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs - The Winnipeg Jets host the St. Louis Blues in a matchup primed for a low-scoring affair. Winnipeg’s Connor Hellebuyck has been a brick wall at home this season, posting an exceptional 27-3-3 record, 1.63 GAA, .938 SV%, and six shutouts. His dominance was evident in the regular-season series with the Blues, where the Jets won 3-1, including a 3-1 victory at home on April 7, with Hellebuyck allowing just one goal. St. Louis counters with Jordan Binnington, who has been solid with a 28-22-5 record, 2.69 GAA, and .900 SV% this season. Binnington has shown recent form, allowing three or fewer goals in three of his last five starts and one or fewer in five of his last eight. However, the Blues’ offense may be hampered, as leading scorer Robert Thomas (81 points, 21 goals, 60 assists) is questionable after an injury in the regular-season finale. Without Thomas, St. Louis, already averaging just 2.70 goals per game, could struggle against Hellebuyck’s elite goaltending. Winnipeg’s top-ranked defense (2.39 GAA) and the Blues’ improved penalty kill since the 4-Nations break further support a tight, defensive game. With both teams likely to play cautiously in this playoff opener, expect a goaltending duel that keeps the scoreline low.

ASA NHL play on OVER 6 Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins – 7pm ET - The Capitals (51-21-9) and Penguins (33-36-12) clash tonight in a high-scoring rivalry. Washington’s elite offense (3.67 GPG, 6th) faces Pittsburgh’s weak defense (3.52 GA/G, 30th). Their February 22, game ended 8-3, clearing 6 goals easily. The Capitals average 3.51 GPG, 2nd most in the NHL; Penguins 2.93 GPG which ranks 20th. Pittsburgh allows 3+ goals in 8 of the last 14 games overall and 4+ goals in six of those games; Washington’s is 9th in GA/GP at 2.77 but will rest some key defensemen heading into the playoffs. The last time these two teams met they produced 11-goals and one of the two teams involved in this series has scored 4 or more goals in 8 straight meetings. Washington’s 26.8% PP (4th) and Pittsburgh’s 25.6% PP (6th) exploit penalties (PIT: 557 PIM, 4th). The Over is 6-3-1in Washington’s last 10 and 8-5 in Pittsburgh’s last 13 home games. In net for the Penguins tonight will be Tristan Jarry who has a 3.12 GAA and .892 SV%. Jarry has allowed 4+ goals in 4 of his last six starts and his last two outings. Washington counters with goalie Charlie Lindgren who has a 2.72 GAA and .894 SV% on the season. Lindgren has given up 3 or more goals in 3 of his last four starts.

ASA NHL play on Montreal Canadiens -110 vs. Carolina Hurricanes, 7pm ET - Montreal, fighting to clinch the Eastern Conference’s second wild card spot, faces a Carolina team that’s locked up second in the Metropolitan Division and may rest key players. The Canes will call up several players from their American Hockey League affiliate the Chicago Wolves to get key contributors rest heading into the postseason. The Canadiens are 14-11 since February, 22nd with a strong 4-1 home record in their most recent 5 games on home ice. Montreal is led by goaltender Sam Montembeault (5-1-1 last 7 starts with a 2.12 GAA and .921 SV%) who is 1-1 against the Canes this season. Montreal’s top line of Suzuki and Caufield should have plenty of opportunities in this one which spells trouble for Canes goalie Kochetkov. Kochetkov has allowed at least 3 goals in six straight starts with a 2-4 record, 4.06 GAA and .830 SV%. Montreal’s desperation makes them the clear choice. Montreal is 2 points away from clinching a playoff berth. Carolina: 1-4-1 in their last 6 games, 0-3-1 in last 4 road games.

ASA NHL play on Seattle Kraken +104 vs. LA Kings, 10:37pm ET - Seattle hosts the Kings tonight, and we like the Kraken to win at home. Los Angeles, locked into their playoff spot after beating Edmonton last night, may rest players in this back-to-back. The Kings are 20-21-3 on the road, scoring 2.95 goals per game while allowing 2.89. Seattle, out of the playoffs, is 22-17-4 at home, averaging 3.12 goals per game and conceding 3.05. Joey Daccord (2.69 GAA, .909 SV%) gives the Kraken an edge over David Rittich (2.71 GAA, .890 SV%). Seattle’s motivated for their home finale.

ASA NHL play on OVER 6 Goals Utah Hockey Club at Nashville Predators, 8pm ET - The Utah Hockey Club vs. Nashville Predators game at Delta Center is primed to go over 6 goals (-110 odds). Utah allows 3.0 goals per game (17th in the NHL), while Nashville’s defense is leakier, conceding 3.3 goals per game (26th). Both teams rank in the top half for shots on goal, with Utah averaging 32.4 (8th) and Nashville at 31.1 (12th), ensuring plenty of scoring chances. Last week’s meeting saw a 4-3 Nashville win with a whopping 73 combined shots, highlighting their offensive tempo. Utah has been relentless lately, firing 34, 42, and 41 shots in their last three games, while Nashville hit 30+ shots in three straight before a 17-shot effort against Vegas. Goaltending adds fuel to the over. Utah’s Karel Vejmelka (2.52 GAA, .906 SV%) has been solid on the season, but has allowed 3 goals in three of his last 5 starts. Nashville’s Juuse Saros (2.96 GAA, .895 SV%, 46th in the league) struggles to stop pucks, with 15 goals allowed over his last four games. Both teams’ power plays rank in the top 17 (Utah 24.1%, Nashville 21.7%), and their penalty kills have been below average lately, suggesting special teams could contribute. With fast-paced play and defensive gaps, expect a high-scoring affair.

ASA NHL LA Kings -1.5 vs. Colorado Avalanche - 4pm ET - The Kings are poised to cover the -1.5 spread against the Avalanche. Colorado, locked into third in the Central, has little to play for, likely resting key players. Meanwhile, LA is chasing home-ice advantage for the playoffs, boasting a stellar 30-9 home record—the NHL’s best. The Kings also have extra motivation after dropping both prior games to the Avs this season. In net, Colorado’s Blackwood has faltered, posting a 1-3 record and allowing 12 goals over his last four starts. LA’s Kemper, however, is in top form, winning 7 of his last 9 starts with a 1.4 GAA across his last 10. Expect the Kings to dominate at home.

ASA NHL play on LA Kings -1.5 -125 vs. Anaheim Ducks, 10pm ET - We like the Kings to smack the Ducks by at least two goals (-1.5 spread) on Thursday night. Kuemper’s been a beast in net, rocking a 1.40 GAA and .940 save percentage since March, and he’s kept every game tight—two or fewer goals allowed in his last 14 starts. Dostal’s been decent for Anaheim, but his 3.52 GAA and .885 save percentage over his last six games don’t bode well, especially with the Ducks’ shaky D giving up over 31 shots a night. Plus, LA’s owned this matchup, winning 8 of the last 10. The Kings have one of the best home ice advantages in hockey with a 29-5-4 record and 3 of their last four games have been decided by multiple goals. With Anaheim off a game last night (1-4 last 5 without rest) it's going to be tough to get back up for this California showdown. The Kings did lose the last meeting (in the shootout) 2-1 in early February. Perfect spot for Revenge!

ASA NHL play on Edmonton Oilers -138 vs. St Louis Blues, 10 pm ET - The Edmonton Oilers come in as -125 favorites against the St. Louis Blues, and I’m leaning strong toward them in this one. The Blues just saw their impressive 12-game winning streak come to an end, which might leave them a bit off-balance, especially facing an Oilers team that’s already defeated them twice this season. Edmonton’s starting goalie, Calvin Pickard, has been sharp lately with a 2.0 GAA over his last 10 starts and a 5-2 record in his past seven decisions. The Oilers are also 20-8 when he’s in net, showing his reliability. On the other side, Jordan Binnington has been solid for St. Louis with a 2.2 GAA in his last 10 starts, but his most recent outing—where he gave up 4 goals—raises some concerns about his form heading into this game. With the Blues off that loss that snapped the long winning streak and Edmonton’s offensive firepower plus prior success against the Blues ... with consideration to all those factors it gives the Oilers the massive edge here. I will go with the Oilers money line to get this clutch win on home ice.

ASA NHL play on Winnipeg Jets (-159) vs. St. Louis Blues - The Blues are riding a crazy 12-game win streak, but I’m calling it—they’re hitting a wall tonight. They’re missing their stud young forward Dylan Holloway, who’s been lighting it up with 26 goals and 37 assists, and their top defenseman Colton Parayko, who’s got 35 points, is also sidelined. Their goalie Binnington’s been solid lately, but Winnipeg’s Connor Hellebuyck? He’s on another level—25-3-3 at home with a ridiculous 1.67 goals-against average. The Jets already beat the Blues twice this season (2-1), and they’re a beast at home with a 28-6-4 record. Plus, they’re gunning for the Central Division crown and maybe even the Presidents’ Trophy. I’m betting the Jets cash this one out tonight.

ASA NHL play on Ottawa Senators -140 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets, 5pm ET - Both teams are playing the second game of a back-to-back on Sunday, but the Senators had the advantage of staying home and resting their top goaltender on Saturday, when they defeated Florida to boost their home record to 23-11-2. Meanwhile, Columbus relied on their primary goalie, Merzlikins, in Toronto on Saturday night, resulting in a loss that dropped their road record to 12-22-4. Ottawa’s Linus Ullmark has been solid between the pipes, posting a 10-3-1 record over 14 starts with a .904 save percentage. On the other side, Columbus netminder Daniil Tarasov has averaged a 2.5 goals-against average across his last ten appearances, with the Blue Jackets going winless in his past three starts and getting outscored by a combined nine goals. Ottawa has won 3 straight in the series with Columbus and 7 of the last ten meetings. Lay it with the Sens.

ASA play on Montreal Canadiens -153 vs. Philadelphia Flyers, 7pm ET - The Canadiens are in a must-win situation, desperately needing two points to keep their playoff hopes alive. Meanwhile, the Flyers have already been eliminated from postseason contention, giving them little motivation. Montreal has been strong at home with a 20-12-5 record this season and an impressive 5-1 mark as a home favorite. In contrast, Philadelphia has struggled on the road, posting a 12-17-8 record and a dismal 9-22 mark as the road underdog. The goaltending matchup further favors Montreal. The Flyers will start Samuel Ersson, who has a 3.8 goals-against average (GAA) over his last ten games, with Philly going just 3-7 in his last ten starts. The Canadiens counter with Sam Montembeault, who has been solid lately, going 6-2 in his last eight decisions with a 2.7 GAA. Given Montreal's desperation, home dominance, and goaltending edge, the Canadiens look like a solid play against a Flyers team with nothing left to fight for.

ASA NHL top play on OVER 6.5 GOALS (-110) Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets – 7 pm ET - Perfect set-up here. The Maple Leafs are off a big divisional win over Florida and they have a road trip down to Florida on deck!  This means we are unlikely to see defensive intensity at its peak for the Leafs here.  They are in a dogfight to win the Atlantic Division as they are trying to hold off the Panthers and the Lighting and now they face both those teams down in Florida this coming week.  Toronto should have no trouble scoring goals on this struggling Blue Jackets defense (and goalie Merzlikins struggling too) but don't be surprised if Columbus is answering them goal for goal at the other end.  The Jackets already have beaten the Leafs in both meetings this season and they scored at least 5 goals in each win!  Granted they faced a different goalie in those two games then they face tonight but the confidence against Toronto is certainly there!  Also, Columbus has scored 4 goals per game in their last 6 games so their overall confidence is back up in the offensive zone.  The trouble for the Blue Jackets is that they have allowed 5 goals per game last 6 games and Toronto is sure to take advantage.  As for the Leafs, we know Stolarz has been announced as the expected starter tonight for the Maple Leafs and he has been playing well.  However, the Jackets are in a desperate situation (still alive in the Wild card race) and yet are weak defensively and in goal.  The point is that Columbus knows they have no choice but to throw everything but the kitchen sink at Stolarz.  This is going to end up a wide open game the way we see it as the Blue Jackets will be forced to be aggressive and to take risks but they are so weak in their own end that the Maple Leafs will cash in on this too in what should turn into a free-flowing affair.  Analyzing all the factors with this one we can't see either team being held below 3 goals and that would mean a 4-3 final at the very least in this one.  We actually predict that a 5-3 or 5-4 game is even more likely.  Both teams have been finding the net with regularity.  More of the same tonight.  Over is the call here! 

ASA NHL play on Calgary Flames -155 vs. Anaheim Ducks, 9:37pm ET - The Calgary Flames, boasting a strong 19-12-5 record at home, are set to take on the struggling Anaheim Ducks, who have a 14-22 road record this season. Calgary's goaltender Dustin Wolf, owns an impressive 2.33 goals-against average (GAA) at home, gives the Flames a clear edge in net. Wolf has been particularly dominant against Anaheim, going 2-0 with a stellar 1.48 GAA in two career starts. The Ducks will have John Gibson in net who is 11-10 on the season with a 2.72 GAA. The Flames have been a solid bet as home favorites, posting a 13-5 record, and they’re undefeated at 5-0 when favored in this specific price range. Historically, Calgary has controlled this matchup, winning 8 of the last 10 games against the Ducks. Take the Flames to come out on top in this one.

ASA play on Vancouver Canucks -148 vs. Seattle Kraken, 10:30pm ET - The Canucks are in a must-win situation, as they sit in the middle of the crowded Western Conference Wild Card race. They sit 6 points behind the St Louis Blues for the final Wild Card spot and must get 2-points here to have a better shot of qualifying for the playoffs. Vancouver plays six of their final eight games at home. The Canucks have some injury concerns, but it shouldn’t matter against this Seattle team that has been eliminated from the playoffs and sit 7 games below .500. The Kraken are 1-5 in their last six games with three of those losses coming by multiple goals, including their last two games by a minus -6 goal differential. As a dog this season the Kraken boast a 20-33 record, the Canucks are 17-14. Vancouver’s #1 netminder Thatcher Demko is back after missing over a month and has looked good in his last 3 starts going 2-1. In his last ten games Demko has a .912 save percentage and 2.2 goals against. The Kraken will have Joey Daccord between the pipes which hasn’t been good for Seattle fans. Daccord is 3-7 in his last ten starts with a 3.3 goals against and .881 save percentage. Lay it with Vancouver tonight.

ASA NHL play on Columbus Blue Jackets -1.5 goals +145 vs. Nashville Predators, 7pm ET - Columbus is chasing a Wild Card spot in the East with time running out on the regular season. The Blue Jackets are 2-1 in their last 3 games with the most recent being a 2-3 loss to Ottawa. Nashville on the other hand has been officially eliminated from the Playoffs this season. The Predators are 2-8 SU their last nine games with a negative total goal differential of minus -10 total goals. Preds center Colton Sissons is out for tonight along with several others being questionable on the second night of a back-to-back. Nashville is 4-18 as a road dog this season -1185, Columbus is rarely a home favorite, but they are 5-3 in that role +55. When the Preds start goaltender Juuse Saros they are 19-34 this season, when the Blue Jackets start Merzlikins they are 24-24. Nashville is 9-23-5 on the road this season, Columbus is 21-9-5 at home. Scheduling is certainly a factor here as the Preds are 3-9 in the second night of a back-to-back this season with a total goal differential of minus -19 goals.

ASA play on Philadelphia Flyers -120 vs. Nashville Predators, 7pm ET - The Flyers look like a new team under new head coach Shaw after Philly fired Tortorella last week. Philly was 1-10-1 SU in their last twelve games under Tortorella and had managed just 10 total goals in their previous six games. With Shaw the team atmosphere has changed dramatically, and it’s led to a 2-0 run with 13 goals. It could be a stretch, but mathematically the Flyers still have a shot at making the Wild Card. Nashville on the other hand has been officially eliminated from the Playoffs this season. The Predators are 2-7 SU their last nine games with a negative total goal differential of minus -9 total goals. The Preds lost center Colton Sissons on Saturday who is listed as doubtful tonight. Nashville is 4-17 as a road dog this season -1085, Philadelphia is rarely a home favorite, but they are 11-5 in that role +255. The Preds goaltender Juuse Saros is 18-28 this season with an average 2.89 goals against.

ASA NHL top play on OVER 6.5 GOALS (+100) Toronto Maple Leafs at Anaheim Ducks – 8 pm ET - Perfect set-up here. The Maple Leafs are in a B2B spot.  Toronto off a low-scoring win over the Kings last night but Los Angeles is known for playing lower-scoring games.  The Leafs used Stolarz in goal last night which means Woll should be getting the call tonight.  Not only has Woll allowed 4 or more goals in his last two starts, they were against the lower-scoring Sharks and Predators.  Now he faces a Ducks team that has been scoring well at home.  Also, Woll has allowed an average of 4 goals in his last 5 road starts so his road struggles are nothing new.  The Ducks will likely start Gibson here in goal after he returned recently from injury.  Though his first two starts have been good since he returned, he faced the Bruins and Predators.  Those are two of the lowest-scoring teams in the league.  Now he faces a Maple Leafs team that is one of the highest scoring clubs in the league.  Also, before the win over the Bruins, Gibson allowed 6 goals in a loss to the Blackhawks in his most recent home start prior to facing Boston.  The Maple Leafs have won 5 of 7 games and averaged scoring 4 goals in those 7 games!  The Ducks have scored an average of 3.5 goals per game in their last 18 games on home ice!  Analyzing all the factors with this one we can't see either team being held below 3 goals and that would mean a 4-3 final at the very least in this one.  Both teams have been finding the net with regularity.  More of the same tonight.  Over is the call here! 

ASA play on NY Islanders -120 vs. Vancouver Canucks, 7:37 pm ET - This is a HUGE game for both teams as they chase a wild-card spot. Vancouver has some key injuries with forwards Nils Hoglander and Elias Pettersson sent home from this trip, while also being without Filip Chytil. The Nucks are going to have a tough time scoring against the Isles goaltender Ilya Sorokin who is 6-2-2 his last 10 starts with a 2.58 Goals/Against. Sorokin is averaging over 30 Saves per game over his last ten. The Islanders should have success finding the net tonight against Vancouver’s goalie Lankinen who is 2-5 SU his last seven starts allowing 3.0 Goals p/game in that stretch. When these teams met earlier this season the Isles won decisively 5-2. We expect another win here by New York.

#23/24 ASA TOP PLAY ON OVER 6 Goals - Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings, Tuesday at 9 PM ET - The key reason that the Red Wings, prior to last night, had been straight-up spiraling with just 2 wins in their last 11 games had a lot to do with goals conceded. Now off a 5-1 win there is much more than meets the eye to that one. Detroit goalie Petr Mrazek got hurt very early and Alex Lyon came in and had a rare, strong performance though he did not face a lot of shots. The Red Wings had allowed 4 goals per game in their 11 games prior to last night's win. Detroit now has a goalie problem again tonight. Lyon won't go because he played last night and Mrazek is now out with an injury. That means it will be Cam Talbot here and he has allowed at least 4 goals in 6 of his last 9 starts! He will struggle again in goal here against a very strong Avalanche team and let's not forget the Red Wings started this road trip first getting smoked 4-1 in Washington and then torched 6-3 in Vegas. Detroit’s on the ropes, and now their big deadline pickup, Petr Mrazek, proved he ain't saving the day plus he is now out with an injury. We did end up liking what we saw from the Red Wings in their neutral zone play and playing up high in the D zone to create some odd man rushes in the win at Utah last night. They did not have to generate a lot of shots on goal but they did create quality chances plus we saw some extra hunger in front of the goal for 2nd chance opportunities. The Red Wings are still within striking distance of the final Wild Card spot in the East and they have some added confidence after netting 5 goals last night.  Trouble for Detroit is their goalie is likely to get torched again here by a Colorado team that has won 10 of 12 games and scored 4 goals per game on average during this run. The Avalanche are projected to have Mackenzie Blackwood in goal here. Not only did he allow 4 goals at Montreal in most recent start, he has allowed 7 goals in his last 2 starts on home ice. Last but not least, both these clubs have been strong on the power play this season. The Avalanche are not great on the penalty kill either while the Red Wings penalty kill has been brutally bad on the season.  This means we should see some special teams goals here as well. By the way, the Avs have averaged scoring 5 goals per game last 7 games at home plus we expect Detroit also builds off last night's 5-goal showing and we look for plenty of goals as a result in this one. Bet the over!

ASA NHL play on Utah Hockey Clubs -1.5 goals +155 vs Detroit Red Wings, 9 pm ET - The Red Wings are straight-up spiraling, just 2 wins in their last 11 games. That’s a one-way ticket to the NHL basement, and their playoff dreams in the East are pretty much toast. They’ve been bouncing around the country on this weird road trip, first getting smoked 4-1 in Washington, then torched 6-3 in Vegas. Detroit’s on the ropes, and their big deadline pickup, Petr Mrazek, ain’t saving the day. Dude stopped just 22 of 26 shots against the Caps—yikes. Flashback to February with Chicago, where he was rocking a brutal 5.11 GAA over four starts. Not exactly inspiring confidence. On the flip side, Utah’s still lurking around the edges of the West playoff race. They’re coming off back-to-back home dubs at the Delta Center, dropping 11 goals total on the Sabres and Lightning. So, here’s the play: take Utah on the puck line. Four of their last five wins were by 2+ goals, and Detroit’s been a mess—dropping 8 of their last 10, with six of those losses by 2 or more. Oh, and the last time these two squared off? Utah took it 4-2 and peppered the Wings with 40 shots to Detroit’s measly 19.

ASA NHL Hurricanes vs. Kings – UNDER 5.5 Goals - Today’s matchup between the Carolina Hurricanes and the Los Angeles Kings presents a strong case for betting the UNDER 5.5 goals, driven by elite defensive play and recent low-scoring trends from both teams. The Hurricanes rank 5th in the NHL in goals allowed per game at 2.60, while the Kings sit just ahead at 3rd with 2.54. Carolina leads the league in preventing shots on goal, allowing the fewest per game, while the Kings are right behind in 2nd place. Fewer shots mean fewer scoring chances, setting the stage for a tight, low-scoring affair. Both squads excel at neutralizing power plays, with their penalty kill percentages ranking in the top 10 league-wide. The Kings have been a moneymaker for the UNDER bettor, with their games staying below 5.5 goals in 5 straight contests and 8 of their last 10. The Hurricanes aren’t far behind, with games involving them dipping below 5.5 goals in 7 of their last 10. With two of the NHL’s best defenses squaring off, expect a grind-it-out battle where scoring chances are at a premium.

#4 ASA TOP PLAY ON New York Rangers -125 or -130 over Toronto Maple Leafs, Thursday at 7 PM ET - This is a great spot for a home favorite that is priced very fairly and set up perfectly to dominate. The Rangers are rested and off B2B home ice losses.  The Maple Leafs are in a B2B spot and they won last night against the Avalanche even though they were heavily outshot and gave up nearly 40 shots in the game!  Toronto used their top goalie last night and that means it will be Anthony Stolarz most likely in the crease tonight for the Leafs.   Stolarz is 0-3 in his last 3 starts and has allowed 11 goals in the 3 games.  The Rangers are going with Igor Shesterkin here and he is in fantastic form and has allowed only 9 goals in his last 5 starts - an average of just 1.8 per game while Stolarz allowing 3.7 goals per game in recent starts.  The Rangers had a sub-par effort versus the Flames Monday as they were heavily outshot and now off B2B losses (including one to a tough Oilers team) which followed B2B wins, New York is primed for a big response on home ice here.  The Maple Leafs defeated the Rangers earlier this month here in New York but the Rangers outshot them 35 to 16 in that game.  Toronto enters this one off B2B wins but this followed a 1-5 stretch for the Leafs and now in a tough B2B and facing a rested and revenge-minded Rangers team, this is a very tough spot for the Maple Leafs.  The Rangers know the importance of this in the playoff picture and Shesterkin leads the way with a dominating effort in between the pipes in this one. Lay it with the Rangers money line for a Top Game

ASA NHL play on Colorado Avalanche vs. Toronto Maple Leafs – Over 5.5 Goals - Take the Over 5.5 Goals in tonight’s clash between the Colorado Avalanche and Toronto Maple Leafs. These two high-octane offenses have a proven track record of lighting up the scoreboard against each other. In their most recent meeting, they combined for a whopping 11 goals, and the trend doesn’t stop there. Over the last three straight head-to-head matchups, they’ve hit 7 or more goals each time, and in 6 of their last 7 meetings, the nets have been buzzing. With Colorado’s explosive attack (averaging around 3.4 goals per game) facing Toronto’s leaky defense, and the Leafs’ potent offense (around 3.3 goals per game) testing Colorado’s blueline, expect another goal-fest. The Over is the play here.

ASA NHL play on OVER 5.5 GOALS Ottawa Senators at Montreal Canadians, 7:07pm ET - For the Ottawa Senators, through 66 games, they’ve scored 194 goals and allowed 185 goals or 2.94 GF/GP and 2.80 GA/GP. For the Montreal Canadiens, through 66 games, they’ve scored 195 goals and allowed 214 goals: 2.95 GF/GP and 3.24 GA/GP. In a head-to-head scenario, we typically model it as each team’s offense versus the other’s defense and factor in the efficiency rates for both teams. In this matchup our model is projecting 5.88 total goals being scored. These two teams have met twice already this season with the Canadians winning both 4-1 and 5-2. In the last eight meetings one of the two teams has scored 4+ goals and all eight have finished with 5 or more total goals being scored. Ottawa has played in three straight higher scoring games with 7, 8 and 6 total goals being scored. Montreal’s last three games have finished with 4, 9 and 6 total goals.

ASA NHL top play on Tampa Bay Lighting -1.5 goals -115 vs Philadelphia – 7:07 pm ET - Tampa Bay had Andrei Vasilveskiy (2.28 GAA this season) in the starters crease at the morning skate and he gives the Lightning a big edge in goal over the Flyers. Ivan Fedotov is the starter for Philly here and he is 5-11-3 this season and Philadelphia has had some issues defensively which is part of the reason the slumping Flyers have lost 6 of 7 games. The Lightning have also produced 3 or more goals in 4 of their last six and put up 6 goals three times! Tampa Bay is 2nd in the NHL in Goals for per game at 3.53, Philadelphia is 24th at 2.75. Philadelphia is allowing 3.37 goals against, the Lightning allow 2.68. The key here is not just that the Lightning hold all the edges, including in current form as well as power play and penalty kill, Tampa Bay also has double revenge here! The only win that the Flyers have recently was last week's win over, you guessed it, the Lightning! Also, earlier this season the Bolts lost to Philly in the shootout here in Tampa. So, with revenge on their side and also having a stacked roster after being buyers at the trade deadline while the Flyers were sellers, Tampa is a -300 favorite on the money line logically! Where we get the value is the puck line! By laying 1.5 goals we only have to lay a -115 price on TB! 9 of the last 10 Lightning wins have been by 2 or more goals. The Flyers have 6 losses since early March and all were by at least 2 goals! This one will be too! Lay it with the Lightning goal line here at -1.5 goals for a Top Play Monday

ASA NHL play on OVER 5.5 GOALS Tampa Bay at Boston – 7:07 pm ET - Boston has scored 3 or more goals in 4 of their last five games and they’ve allowed 6 goals in 2 of their last five. Tampa Bay has had some issues defensively allowing 4 or more goals in four straight games. The Lightning have also produced 3 or more goals in 3 of their last five and put up 6 goals twice. Tampa Bay is 2nd in the NHL in Goals for per game at 3.49, Boston is 25th a 2.72. Boston is allowing 3.15 goals against, the Lightning allow 2.69. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league is shots against so both should get plenty of opportunities to put shots on goal. In the last seven head-to-head meetings one of the two teams has scored 3 goals. In the last three meetings one team has put up 4 or more goals. We are betting 6 or more goals get scored in this one.

ASA play on Edmonton Oilers -140 at New Jersey Devils, 7:37 pm ET - We are not buying the Devils two recent wins, and they came against Columbus and Philadelphia who both sit below them in the standings. New Jersey now steps up to face a much better Edmonton team that is coming off a loss against Buffalo as a -180 road favorite. The Oilers have outshot their last four opponents by a combined 128/102 and two of those wins came against Montreal and Dallas. The Oilers are 9th in Goals p/game at 3.23 on the season, New Jersey is averaging 2.98. The Devils have a slight advantage defensively allowing 2.53 Goals p/game, the Oilers give up 2.94. Edmonton has the much better shots/shots allowed differential at +300 for the season compared to the Devils at +165. With two relatively even goaltenders, we like the Oilers offense in this one and the fact Edmonton is playing with revenge from a loss earlier this season to the Devils.

ASA NHL play on Detroit Red Wings -135 vs. Buffalo Sabres, 7:35pm ET - The Red Wings are in a desperate situation here coming off 6 straight losses and slipping to 12th in the Eastern Conference. Five of those six losses are excusable as they came to good teams above them in the standings. Tonight they face a Buffalo team that is 25-32 SU on the season, the 4th fewest wins on the year. Buffalo won the first meeting of the season between these two teams but the Wings have won the last two 2-1 and 6-5 in a shootout. Detroit has a clear advantage defensively allowing 3.19 goals against compared to the Sabres who rank 30th in GA/G at 3.48. Buffalo has struggled on the road with a 9-18-3 SU record away from home and are coming off a big home win over Edmonton on Monday night. In Detroit’s most recent loss they peppered Ottawa goaltender Ullmark with 49 shots but were unlucky producing just one goal. We expect the offense to have another high-volume of shot attempts tonight which will lead to a solid home win and snap this losing streak.

ASA NHL play on OVER 5.5 GOALS (-130) Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild – 8pm ET - The situation is ripe for a shootout between these two teams in what shapes up to be a higher scoring game. The Wild are 11th defensively in goals against per game of 2.86 for the season and in recent action they have allowed 3 or more goals in 8 of their last nine games. Colorado is giving up an average of 2.95 goals per game which ranks 16th in the NHL. The Avs clearly have the better offensive number ranking 6th in total goals this season while averaging 3.36 per game. Minnesota is further down the rankings at 2.77 goals per game which ranks 25th. Colorado is coming off a game on Monday and have gone OVER in 5 of eight this season without rest. Four of the last five meetings between these two teams has finished with 7 goals. The Wild have just two total goals in their last two games but they did have 68 total shots on goal and if they get 30 plus attempts here the sheer volume should result in several goals.

#3/4 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Columbus Blue Jackets vs San Jose Sharks, Thursday at 7 PM ET - Very interesting match-up here as San Jose is having a rough season yet they just won 6-3 at Detroit to snap the Red Wings 7-game winning streak. Ironically the Sharks now have a chance in their very next game to stop the current longest winning streak in the NHL as well and that is the 5-game run that the Blue Jackets are on. While we do expect the confidence to be up for the Sharks after that 6-goal outburst and we look for continued offensive success here, we also expect the Blue Jackets to stay hot. Columbus has scored an average of 4 goals in their current 6-1 run last 7 games. The Blue Jackets, as hot as they have been, have allowed 3 goals per game in their last 4 on home ice and they enter this game in a unique situation. Columbus is off B2B unders that each totaled 5 or less goals. Keep in mind, the season is already halfway over and the Blue Jackets have NEVER had a 3-game stretch this season without at least 1 game totaling 7 goals or more. In fact, Columbus home games have averaged 7.4 goals this season! We get value here because the Sharks trend toward lower-scoring games but this is a unique spot with San Jose off a 6-3 win and a chance to again snap the winning streak of the current hottest team in the NHL. San Jose goalie Georgiev has a 3.44 GAA this season and Columbus goalie Merzlikins has allowed 3.5 goals per start in his last 10 starts. Both of these clubs have had problems on the penalty kill this season too and the Blue Jackets power play has been solid. The goals fly here! Given numbers like the above it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is showing the highest probability here for a range of 7 to 8 goals with 4-3 or 5-3 the most highly probable outcomes as each club is likely to reach the 3-goal mark here. Look for at least 7 goals in this one! Over is the play Thursday in Columbus

ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Vegas Golden Knights Puck Line (-1.5 goals -105) over San Jose Sharks, Tuesday at 10:05 PM ET - Vegas is in a great spot here which is why they are a -260 favorite on the money line.  Where the value is here is with the puck line which is in the even money range on this one.  Regardless of the starting goalies here, we love the Golden Knights in this spot.  However, we will mention that the expected starters are Ilya Samsonov for Vegas and Alexandar Georgiev for the Sharks. Samsonov was in the starters' crease at the morning skate earlier today and so we expect him to get the call here. He has been absolutely fantastic with a 5-0 record in his last 5 starts and a total of only 7 goals allowed in those 5 starts!  The Sharks Georgiev, on the other hand, has continued to struggle. He has an 0-4 record in his last 4 starts and has allowed at least 4 goals in all 4 starts! San Jose is off B2B wins but this followed 8 straight losses and defeats in 11 of last 12 games.  The Sharks have averaged scoring just 2 goals in last 15 games (including the B2B wins) and just don't have the offensive production necessary to keep up with the high-flying Golden Knights.  Right now Vegas has been on a mission with wins in 12 of last 14 games including 8 of last 9!  Also, each of the last 7 wins for Vegas have come by a multi-goal margin.  Each of the last 4 Sharks home losses have come by a multi-goal margin.  The Golden Knights have scored an average of 4 goals in their last 6 road victories.  Vegas also has won the two meetings this season by a combined 13 to 6 and they won the 4 meetings last season by a combined 18 to 5.  Look for this dominating pattern to continue here.  Road team in a blowout per our computer math model.  Laying the 1.5 goals with road favorite Vegas is the value play here.

#59/60 ASA TOP PLAY ON OVER 6.5 Goals - Vegas Golden Knights vs Anaheim Ducks, Monday at 10 PM ET - The Ducks are starting John Gibson in goal. He is 1-4 in his last 5 starts and has allowed at least 3 goals in each of those five games! Anaheim is off a 5-4 win at Utah in the shootout last night.  The Ducks have allowed 3.5 goals per game in their last 10 games.  Anaheim will struggle again in that department here as the Golden Knights have been red hot.  The Ducks also should score well here however as they have now won 5 of 8 road games and have averaged 3 goals scored in that 8-game stretch away from home. Vegas has won 11 of 14 games and has averaged 3.5 goals scored in going 6-1 last 7 games.  Vegas has scored an average of 4 goals per game in the last 4 games against divisional opponents and they'll be ready for the Ducks here.  What we like about Anaheim is the way they have turned things around, particularly on the road, and their goal-scoring ways continue here.  But Gibson's struggles in goal continue and Vegas (huge favorites in this game) are going to build off their 6-2 win versus Seattle as they have won 4 straight at home and 7 of 8 overall and stay hot here.  Both teams struggle on the penalty kill and the Golden Knights also have a potent power play.  The goals fly here!  Given numbers like the above it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is showing the highest probability here for a range of 7 to 8 goals with 4-3 or 5-3 the most highly probable outcomes as each club is likely to reach the 3-goal mark here.  Look for at least 7 goals in this one!  Over is the play Monday in Vegas

#29/30 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights, Wednesday at 10 PM ET - Colorado's last home game was a 5-2 loss and that was the 10th time in 12 games that a Colorado home game totaled at least 7 goals!  We don't see this strong trend ending anytime soon and certainly not tonight.  The Avalanche enter this game off an 8-2 loss following a 7-4 win!  Yes, each of Colorado's last two games reached double digits in goals.  Speaking of wildly high-scoring games like that, the only meeting so far this season between these teams was an 8-4 Vegas win in the season opener for the Avalanche!  Last season 2 of the 3 meetings between these teams reached at least the 7 goal mark as well.  This season these are two of the top power plays in the league and also two of the worst penalty killing teams!  In other words, seeing some goals from the special teams is highly likely to boost this one as well.  Vegas enters this one off B2B high-scoring wins and the Golden Knights are one of the highest scoring teams in the league.  Colorado is averaging 3.5 goals scored per game at home this season.  The goaltending has been a little better of late for the Avalanche but it has still been spotty and facing one of the tougher teams in the league to defend will not help matters tonight.  Annunen has struggled between the pipes and though Georgiev has improved recently he now has stumbled in back to back appearances with 7 goals allowed in a game and a half ice time.  That half game was in relief of Annunen Monday and he struggled.  Vegas will pressure the Avalanche plenty in this one and should score very well but Colorado at home also should be up to the task to match them with plenty of scoring of their own on home ice where they play with extra confidence in the offensive zone.  Given numbers like the above it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is showing the highest probability here for a range of 7 to 8 goals with 4-3 or 5-3 the most highly probable outcomes as each club is likely to reach the 3-goal mark here.  Look for at least 7 goals in this one!  Over is the play Wednesday in Colorado.

#55/56 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Calgary Flames at Montreal Canadiens, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Canadiens are happy to be back home after a 3-1 loss at Pittsburgh followed a 6-3 loss at Washington.  Montreal is now looking to get back to work on home ice for a key game prior to a longer road trip on deck.  From Halloween until mid-November, this is the Canadiens only home game.  Their most recent home game was an 8-2 loss.  While the chances of a Montreal sudden turnaround on defense and/or in goal has appeared highly unlikely from what we are seeing from this hockey club right now, the Canadiens had scored 3.3 goals per game in an 8-game stretch prior to this 3-game losing streak.  This included B2B wins by a combined score of 9 to 5 prior to the 8-2 home loss.  Montreal should resume those high-scoring ways as they take on a Flames team that just lost for the 5th time in 6 games and it was a loss to their biggest rival, Edmonton.  The 5 losses in this 1-5 stretch have featured a goals allowed average of 4.6 goals per loss!  Calgary, like Montreal, is having issues both defensively and in goal.  The Flames have given up at least 4 goals in each of their last 5 losses.  Calgary has scored 3.5 goals per game in their 4 games in non-Conference action this season.  East-West match-ups do tend to feature less defensive intensity than in-conference games and especially divisional games.  We look for a rather wide-open game here.  Montreal has allowed 4.7 goals per game against Western Conference foes and the Canadiens did score 5 goals in their lone win against a Western Conference team this season.  Both teams rank among the worst in the league for shots allowed per game and we expect plenty of quality scoring chances in this one.  Given numbers like the above it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is showing the highest probability here for a range of 7 to 8 goals with 4-3 or 5-3 the most highly probable outcomes as each club is likely to reach the 3-goal mark here.  Look for at least 7 goals in this one!  Over is the play Tuesday in Montreal.

#55/56 ASA TOP PLAY ON OVER 6.5 Goals - Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - Flyers starting Samuel Ersson here and he has a 3.55 GAA this season and Philadelphia ranks among the worst teams in the league for goals allowed as they are allowing 4.4 goals per game so far this season. Ersson is off a win in his most recent start but allowed 5 goals in that one! The Bruins are going to go with little used Joonas Karpisalo in this one and he has seen little action this season which is different from last season when it was Swayman and Ullmark consistently rotating for Boston. Korpisalo has struggled in his limited action with a 4.54 GAA in his first two starts for the Bruins this season. Boston enters this one with their home games having totaled at least 7 goals in 4 of the 5 games as a host. Philadelphia enters this one on a run that has featured 6 of 8 games reaching at least the 7 goal mark! They have allowed at least 3 goals in 8 straight games! The Bruins have allowed at least 3 goals in 7 of 9 games this season. Given numbers like this it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is showing the highest probability here for a range of 7 to 8 goals with 4-3 or 5-3 the most highly probable outcomes as each club is likely to reach the 3-goal mark here. Look for at least 7 goals in this one! Over is the play here.

#23/24 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Boston Bruins at Colorado Avalanche, Wednesday at 9:30 PM ET - Avalanche games are not only 3-0 to the over already this season, the games averaged 10 goals apiece!  Even if you eliminate empty net goals from the equation, all 3 games totaled at least 7 goals and averaged 9 goals apiece!  The Avalanche have had to pull starting goalie Georgiev in 2 of the 3 starts.  His replacement Annunen allowed 4 goals in 52 minutes of combined ice time in those 2 appearances.  Georgiev has a 6.58 GAA in his 3 starts this season!  The concerning thing for the Avalanche is that they were in a desperate situation on home ice in the most recent game as they had started the season 0-2 plus had just lost their home opener and yet they still struggled badly.  In fact, Colorado allowed 37 shots on goal in that game and got trounced 6-2 by the Islanders.  Overall, though scoring just 2 in the most recent loss, the Avalanche have been solid in the offensive zone, including on the power play, but they have been dreadful on the penalty kill and in terms of goaltending too.  Now they face a Bruins team that will be looking to respond off a 4-3 loss to Florida.  Trouble for Boston is that the 4-3 defeat was the 3rd time in 4 games this season that they have allowed at least 4 goals.   Korpisalo allowed 6 goals in his only start and Swayman allowed 4 goals in 2 of his 3 starts!  Boston, like Colorado, has been quite consistent offensively.  However, also like the Avalanche, the Bruins have been having some trouble keeping the puck out of their own net!  3 of 4 Bruins games have totaled at least 7 goals and those 3 games averaged 9 goals apiece.  Our computer math model shows the highest probability of 8 to 9 goals here and we agree with the model in this one!  Look for at least 7 in this one!  Over is the play here.

#22 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Edmonton Oilers (-115/-120) over Florida Panthers, Friday at 8 PM ET - This is one of the more dramatic turnarounds you will ever see in a series and we strongly feel it is not over yet!  When the Oilers were down 3-0 in these Stanley Cup Finals, they had actually outshot the Panthers in 2 of the 3 games.  They could have easily been up 2-1 in the series but instead were down 3-0.  They could have packed it in at that point and prepared for the golf course.  Instead, Edmonton roared back with an 8-1 win in Game 4 followed by a 5-3 win on the road in Game 5.  While Skinner is playing very well for the Oilers in goal, the Panthers Bobrovsky all of the sudden lost his way!  He got pulled in Game 4 and certainly did not impress in Game 5.  Edmonton now has the more confident goalie in Skinner plus the home ice edge.  The reason Florida is getting so much love in the markets is because history suggests this series was over once it reached 3-0 as teams historically just do not come back from that kind of deficit.  History suggests very few 3-0 series even make it to a Game 7 and that is what is giving the Panthers some attention here.  However, anyone who has watched the last two games knows the ice has suddenly been tilted heavily in favor of Edmonton.  The Oilers made some key in-series adjustments and the Panthers have not been able to counter that yet.  On home ice and with all the momentum and confidence on their side, the Oilers will not be denied here.  Skinner is "in the zone" while the Panthers goaltending has suddenly slipped badly the last two games.  Considering all of the above, that makes this -115 range truly a bargain price on the Oilers the way we see it!  Looks like a solid home win is on the way in this one!  Home team money line is our play here as the Oilers win to complete the comeback from a 3-0 deficit and force a Game 7 in  these Stanley Cup Finals!

#16 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Edmonton Oilers (-135) over Florida Panthers, Thursday at 8 PM ET - At this point in the season, 100 games in when you include the regular season and now all the post-season action of both Edmonton and Florida, plenty is known about both the Oilers and Panthers.  So what we want to speak the most about here is the fantastic situational aspect.  The Oilers are down 2-0 in this series but really played well in Game 1 despite losing and then lost Game 2 despite taking an early lead.  We feel Edmonton coming back to home ice after two straight losses is going to bring forth their best game of the post-season.  The Oilers have been so strong off B2B losses.  The last 7 times Edmonton entered a game off of consecutive losses they have won the next game all 7 times with scores of 4-2, 4-0, 4-3, 6-2, 9-2, 7-4 and 5-2.  That works out to an average score of 5.6 to 2.1 so the Oilers have not just been winning in this situation, they have been dominating.  Edmonton has won 4 of last 5 games on home ice and has scored an average of 4 goals per game when at home in this post-season.  Florida, of course, is having a great post-season but they have averaged scoring only 2.4 goals in their last 5 road games.  The Oilers goalie, Skinner, has allowed a total of only 3 goals in the last two games in Edmonton.  Florida goalie Bobrovsky has been great in this post-season but Edmonton will do a better job of getting more traffic in front of the net in this one and Bobrovsky is sure to face a barrage of shots from a desperate Oilers team that will be dialed in on home ice for their strongest effort yet in this series! That makes this -135 range actually a bargain price on the Oilers the way we see it!  Looks like a solid home win is on the way in this one!  Home team money line is our play here as the Oilers win to climb right back into these Stanley Cup Finals! 

#4 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Edmonton Oilers (-135) over Dallas Stars, Sunday at 8 PM ET - Edmonton has really turned this series on its head. When they were down 2-0 in Game 4 and already down 2-1 in the series, it looked like this was going to be the end once again for the Oilers who have been trying so hard to get it done while they have a generational talent like Connor McDavid. Well, there was no quit in this Edmonton team as they rallied to win that game 5 to 2 to tie the series up. Then they went down to Dallas and knocked off the Stars down in Texas by a count of 3 to 1 and the Dallas goal was a late one. The point is that Edmonton has a ton of momentum and we have seen more grit and solid defense throughout this post-season than Oilers teams of recent seasons. This truly look like a team that now can win it all. Dallas is finding that out now too as Edmonton's offensive firepower is just as potent as ever but now they have strong defensive play to match it. At the same time, Oilers goalie Stuart Skinner is on top of his game and looks so comfortable out there. When a goalie is in the zone like Skinner is now plus on home ice plus has a strong defense in front of him and a potent offense for goal support...it all adds up to a huge mental edge. Right now, Edmonton has scored 8 of the last 9 goals in this series and they have all the momentum in this series plus the home ice edge and an "in the zone" goalie. That makes this a bargain price on the Oilers the way we see it! Looks like a solid home win is on the way in this one! Home team money line is our play here as the Oilers win to advance to Stanley Cup Finals.

#9/10 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals +110 - Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars, Wednesday at 8 PM ET - Avalanche are down 3-1 in this series so this is it. If you look at Colorado's road games since early last month, the scores have included a 5-2 loss and a 4-3 loss in OT and 7-6 and 5-3. They also have 4 road wins in this stretch too and those scores were 5-2 and 4-3 in OT and another 5-2 and a 6-3. You notice some trends here? Goals have been the story! Colorado has scored very well on the road but has struggled to stop teams when traveling. In fact, the struggle to stop teams has included the Stars both at home and in Dallas in this series. That said, we look for the goals to fly here. The Avalanche have to go for it here down 3-1 in this series and if you look at all their wins in this post-season, the offense has fueled those victories. They have averaged 5 goals in the 5 victories! In fact, overall in this post-season, Colorado has averaged 4 goals scored per game. We just can't see Dallas slowing down in the offensive zone here either. The Stars have proven they have some match-up edges and with Nichushkin being out for the Avalanche, the edges are even a little more pronounced. There will be no quit in this Colorado team however and we see both clubs having a great shot of reaching the 3-goal mark here. Dallas has scored at least 3 goals in all the games in this series and has averaged 4 goals per game during this stretch. Based on all of the above, this is the perfect set-up for a back and forth 4-3 type affair. We expect at least 7 goals in this one and like the added value here of working with a posted total of 6.5 at plus money (+105/+110) in this one! Over is our play here

#35 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Colorado Avalanche +110 over Dallas Stars, Tuesday at 9:30 PM ET - Stars off that grueling 7-game series with Vegas which just wrapped up on Sunday.  The Avalanche, on the other hand, have been off for a week as they hammered the Jets in 4 wins after dropping the first game to Winnipeg.  The Avalanche did allow too many goals in the first game of that series but that is inflating their defensive numbers.  Since losing that first game they have allowed only 2 goals per game last 4 games!  Also, the Avalanche have scored at least 5 goals in 6 straight games!  Colorado has fresh skating legs and they have the edge in the offensive zone and will push the Stars back on their heels from the drop of the puck in this one.  Last season the Stars were eliminated from the post-season by Vegas.  The Golden Knights also went on to win the Stanley Cup last year.  In other words, that victory over Vegas was a huge one for Dallas!  They got revenge and they beat the defending champs and the series took 7 games and they had to rally from a 2-0 series deficit.  When you analyze all these key factors plus the fact Dallas averaged only 2 goals in their last 6 games with Vegas while Colorado has practically been scoring at will, you can see why we like the Avalanche plenty in this spot.  Huge situational edge with the rested Avs taking advantage of a worn-out Dallas team right out of the gate in this one.  Colorado is the bet here. 

#3 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Dallas Stars -110 over Vegas Golden Knights, Friday at 10 PM ET - The Stars have won 3 straight games in this series as they look to exact revenge for getting knocked out of the post-season by the Golden Knights last season when Vegas was on their way to the Stanley Cup. The Stars have had the goalie edge in this series and, not including an empty net goal, have allowed just 2 goals in each of last 4 games! Vegas, on the other hand (and not including empty netter), have allowed at least 3 goals in 4 of the 5 games. So Dallas has had the upper hand in this series and they have all the momentum with 3 straight wins. Also, the road team had taken 6 straight games in this series (dating back to the regular season) prior to the Stars getting the win on home ice in Game 5 in Dallas! In other words, home ice has not been a big deal in meetings between these teams and Dallas has already won both meetings at Vegas in this series! The Stars had the best road record of any team in the NHL in the regular season. Now, 2-0 in the post-season on the road and Dallas has won 10 of last 11 games away from home. The Stars have scored at least 3 goals in all 10 of those wins. Now, remember what we said above about Vegas being held to just 2 goals in 4 straight games and you can see why we especially like the value with the road team in this one. Jake Oettinger has been fantastic in goal for the Stars and allowed just 2 goals in 4 straight games. The Golden Knights were riding Thompson in goal and then switched to Hill in Game 5 and lost. They are going with Hill again here and though that worked last year, Hill instead of Brossoit, it seems like the switch to Hill this season - instead of Thompson - might prove to be their undoing. Remember that Hill allowed 3 or more goals in 10 of his last 11 starts this season. Those 10 starts saw 4 goals on average and, again, the Knights have not been able to get more than 2 past Oettinger in any of the last 4 games. Dallas is the bet here.

#77 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Nashville Predators +115 over Vancouver Canucks, Tuesday at 10 PM ET - Demko is the #1 goalie for the Canucks and he made a stellar early save in the Game 1 win.  Also, Saros is the #1 goalie for the Predators and the Canucks first goal was a bit of a soft one that normally Saros would save. Even with all this, the Predators still led the game 2-1 mid-way through the final period!  Per the above, that score truly could have been 3-0 in favor of Nashville.  The fact it was not and the fact the game ended up a 4-2 Vancouver win (Canucks got empty net goal to seal it) has led to line value here.  But why did this line come down even more?  It is because Demko is out for tonight for the Canucks.  DeSmith will get the call instead as Demko is said to have a minor injury and will miss at least this game.  DeSmith is just not on the same level as Demko and, before allowing 1 goal in his final regular season start, DeSmith allowed 6 goals in B2B starts!  The Predators played very well in Game 1 yet ended up with nothing to show for it.  Now you have a superb situation with a highly motivated team down 1-0 in the series and looking to take advantage of a back-up goalie who has played only once in recent weeks.  Saros is a veteran who is likely to be even better in Game 2.  DeSmith has made only one post-season appearance in his career!  On the other hand, Saros has played in 18 post-season games and is playing in his 6th post-season!  Take advantage of the line value in this one and grab the small dog money line price with the road team here as the Predators take advantage of the goalie situation and bounce back off the tough game 1 loss. Nashville is the bet here.

#7/8 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Hurricanes no longer have to worry about winning the division as the Rangers wrapped that up last night.  That is part of the reason Spencer Martin is getting the start in goal tonight and he is sure to be rusty.  Even though Martin has had decent numbers since coming to the Hurricanes this season, he has not played since the final day of February!  Yes, it is more than a month and a half for Martin.  No matter how much one practices and prepares as a goalie, there is still nothing like live game action and Martin could struggle a bit in this one given the rust aspect.  Speaking of struggling, Blue Jackets goalie Jet Greaves is 2-6 with a 3.55 GAA this season!  He also has allowed 4 or more goals in 3 straight starts!  Columbus has been eliminated for quite some time from the post-season and their record is not impressive to say the least.  Part of the problem is they allow far too many goals as they are not strong defensively or in goal.  We capitalize on that here as Carolina will be looking for one final tune-up before the post-season.  The key here though is that the Blue Jackets are likely to give a strong effort in their home ice finale.  Generally speaking they do play better on home ice and they will want to go out with a bang to wrap up their season.  With nothing to lose there should be quite an emphasis on the offensive zone in this one and plenty of attacking.  We do not expect a tight, defensive-minded checking style of game here as this one just does not offer that incentive for either club.  The Jackets have allowed 4 goals per game on average over their last 14 games.  They have scored 3.5 goals per game in the last 6 games on their home ice  The Hurricanes have won 5 straight games and 7 of last 8.  Carolina scored an average of 3.5 goals in those 8 games.  In a rather loosely played affair, there will be plenty of scoring opportunities and both these goalies are unlikely to be sharp for the reasons we noted above.  Look for at least 7 goals in this one!  Over is the play here.

#35/36 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning, Thursday at 7 PM ET - The Senators are off a shutout loss which is certainly a rarity for them, only their 2nd of the season. The other one was recent but was followed by a game that totaled 7 goals. We look for the Senators to again respond off a rare low-scoring loss as they entered that game with 7 of 9 games against Eastern Conference foes totaling at least 7 goals. Ottawa expected to start Anton Forsberg in goal and he has struggled in each of his last 2 appearances and got pulled from his most recent start. On the season Forsberg has an unimpressive 3.36 GAA. He has an .885 save percentage and Lightning goalie Matt Tomkins has a similar unimpressive .883 save percentage this season. Tomkins getting the start here because #1 guy Andrei Vasilevskiy needs a rest and #2 goalie Jonas Johansson has been dealing with a lower-body injury. So TB is using their #3 goalie here and we are sure that the Senators will respond off the shutout loss. Ottawa will struggle, however, on the defensive end as the Lightning continue to pile up goals. Tampa Bay wants to stay sharp offensively heading into the post-season. The Lightning have scored at least 4 goals in 4 straight games. Also, TB has scored an average of 4.4 goals in their current 11-3 run. Considering Tomkins has allowed at least 3 goals in all 4 NHL appearances this season and considering that Tampa is a heavy favorite for a reason, we have this one getting to at least 4-3 and 5-3 is even more likely. Look for at least 7 once again in this one! Over is the play here.

#67/68 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers, Wednesday at 7 PM ET - The Rangers are still trying to hold off the Hurricanes for the top spot in the Metropolitan Division and the Rangers still have a shot at finishing the regular season with the most points in the league and guaranteeing home ice for the entire post-season.  Also, the Devils are still mathematically alive for a post-season spot, though struggling in the last two games. Yet, even with these post-season implications a consistent factor for weeks now, both clubs continue to get involved in high-scoring games and we don't see that changing here.  The Rangers are starting Igor Shesterkin in goal and he has allowed at least 3 goals in 4 of last 5 starts.  The Devils will be starting Kaapo Kahkonen or Jake Allen in goal.  Kahkonen is off a strong start but those have been rare this season and he could be rusty if he gets the call here as he has not played in a week and a half.  Allen has been the designated #1 since being acquired in a trade last month (Kahkonen also was a recent trade acquisition).  All the transition in goal for New Jersey has not gone well as Allen is also struggling.  He has allowed an average of 4 goals in his last 4 starts.  8 of 10 Rangers games since mid-March have totaled 7 or more goals.  5 of 7 Devils games - including 3 in a row - have totaled 7 or more goals.  Look for at least 7 once again in this one!  Over is the play here.

#29/30 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - Huge game at the top of the Atlantic Division and the way these goalies are going coupled with some key players coming back for the Panthers has us liking the over here. Both Aleksander Barkov and Gustav Forsling are coming back for Florida in this one. Forsling had contributed 7 points in his last 8 games for the Panthers before being ruled out recently and Barkov is 2nd on the team in the assists and also a solid goal-scorer. He'll be back on the top line tonight and the first power play unit. As for the goalies here, Florida's Sergei Bobrovsky is winless in 4 straight and has allowed at least 3 goals in all 4 outings. Boston's Jeremy Swayman has lost 2 of his last 3 and he has allowed at least 3 goals in all 3 of those! Both teams have plenty of solid offensive production and, given the above, we expect each team gets to the 3-goal mark here. Florida is off a 4-1 win but allowed 3.6 goals in their 5 games before that. The Panthers have scored at least 3 goals in 10 of the last 13 games. The Bruins have lost B2B games so they are hungry to respond here. Prior to the 3-2 loss to the Flyers, Boston had 5 of the last 6 games total at least 6 goals and we like this one to get there as well! The Bruins and Panthers both have been solid on the power play this season and this huge game could be a bit chippy resulting in even more power plays. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here.

#21/22 ASA TOP PLAY ON 6* OVER 5.5 Goals - Chicago Blackhawks at Los Angeles Kings, Tuesday at 10 PM ET - We had our eyes on this one since the Blackhawks got embarrassed on home ice by these Kings less than a week ago by a 5-0 count.  Chicago, though that game was a rare exception, has been scoring better of late.  The Blackhawks have averaged scoring 5 goals per game in their other 5 games the last two weeks!  Chicago took advantage of facing some weaker competition in some of those games but still it builds confidence for this team and now they are out for revenge and playing with more confidence in the offensive zone.  The issue for the Blackhawks is their defensive play and netminding leaves a lot to be desired.  If Soderblom is between the pipes, he is 4-19-1 with a 4.02 GAA this season!  If Mrazek is between the pipes he has been solid on home ice but has struggled badly away from home with a 3-15-1 record and a 3.70 GAA this season on the road!  So, even though we anticipate a solid effort from Chicago in the offensive zone tonight, we also look for them to continue to struggle in terms of goals conceded.  Los Angeles is off a low-scoring loss and the the last 4 times LA was off a defeat they responded with a win each time and scored an average of 4 goals in those victories.  The Kings do have an anticipated tougher game tomorrow versus Minnesota and, since they also beat the Blackhawks 5-0 last week, don't be surprised if the defensive intensity of LA is not at its best tonight.  That being said, we look for Chicago to score multiple goals but struggle badly to stop the Kings as Los Angeles has another big game on offense.  Look for at least 6 in this one!  Over is our play here. 

#24 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Calgary Flames -125 over Seattle Kraken, Monday at 9:30 PM ET - The Kraken are getting some attention here because they have been playing better of late and because goalie Grubauer has been playing well. However, the key with both those things is that the majority of this stretch has been on home ice for the Kraken. This is their first road game since mid-February.  That certainly holds some significance here as they have lost 6 of last 8 road games.  Also, we are assuming #1 goalie Grubauer plays here. Though he delivered a strong performance in his most recent road start, this followed him allowing at least 3 goals in 6 straight road starts.  If Daccord gets the call here in goal for Seattle, he has allowed 4 goals in each of his last two starts and was pulled early from his most recent start.  As for the Flames (winners of 5 straight including 4 over teams currently in playoff position!) they have announced Markstrom as the starter tonight. He has allowed an average of just 2 goals in his last 10 starts and has an 8-2 record in these games!  Calgary has won 9 of 12 games and allowed just 2 goals per game in the 9 victories.  Also, the Flames have won 4 straight on home ice.  Seattle's recent little mini run had a lot to do with home ice and now they are on the road and facing a surging Calgary team.  Take advantage of the line value in this one and lay the very reasonable money line price with the home favorite here as the Flames win their 6th game in a row and drop Seattle to 2-7 last 9 road games!  

#21/22 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks, Tuesday at 10 PM ET - The Penguins are coming off a crazy 7-6 win over the division rival Flyers.  This continued a high-scoring trend for the Pens as they have now scored at least 4 goals in 4 of their last 5 games.  Defensively, if you take out the results against two bottom-dwelling teams (Montreal and Chicago), Pittsburgh has allowed at least 4 goals in 3 of last 4 games against teams with a pulse!  Vancouver is a strong team and they will be able to score well here on the Penguins as that trend continues.  But right now Pittsburgh is scoring so well that this has the makings of a back and forth 4-3 type affair.  Vancouver is off a 3-2 OT win over the Bruins but prior to this they had allowed at least 3 goals in 4 straight games and actually allowed at least 4 goals in 3 of those.  Demko has not been at his best lately between the pipes and he is expected to get the call here as he was in the starters' crease at the morning skate.  Considering that as well as the Penguins recent knack for giving up too many goals when facing quality opposition and you have a barnburner likely in this one.  Each of the last 3 meetings between these teams have totaled at least 6 goals.  Both teams are rested here as well as neither was in action yesterday.  Fresh legs.  Look for at least 7 in this one!  Over is our play here. 

#77/78 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Columbus Blue Jackets at Anaheim Ducks, Wednesday at 10 PM ET - The Blue Jackets are in the 2nd night of a B2B which means, after losing 5-1 to the Kings with Merzlikins in goal for Columbus, Tarasov is likely to get the start tonight.  It is either Merzlikins in goal in a B2B (not easy to do) or Tarasov (likely) and both goalies have struggled of late.  Tarasov is the likely starter and he is allowing nearly 4 goals per game with a 3.91 GAA this season.  Columbus lost 5-1 to LA last night which was the 10th time in last 14 games that the Jackets have allowed at least 4 goals!  Columbus has scored an average of 3 goals per game on the season and will bounce back after scoring just 1 goal last night.  They face a Ducks team that will likely have John Gibson in goal for this one.  He has allowed 8 goals in his last two appearances even though those spanned just 5 periods of hockey.  In other words his GAA is above 4 goals per game his last two games.  Both these teams struggle on the penalty kill so that should help get the power plays going in this one.  On the season the Blue Jackets have allowed the most goals in the league!  As for Anaheim, in the Western Conference the Ducks rank 14th out of 16 teams in terms of goals allowed!  Anaheim has won 2 of 3 and scored at least 4 goals in each win.  They also are happy to be back home after a long road trip.  They will take advantage of hosting a team that is very susceptible defensively and in goal.  At the same time the Blue Jackets have done a great job in the scoring department this season when coming off a loss by a margin of at least 3 goals!  They have averaged scoring 4.3 goals the 13 times that has happened this season!  In other words, perfect spot for Columbus to respond in the offensive zone.  5-4 would not surprise us at all here and getting each team to 3-3 here (resulting in a 4-3 final) should not be a problem either!  Look for at least 7 in this one!  Over is our play here. 

ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Carolina Hurricanes Puck Line (-1.5 goals +120) over Arizona Coyotes, Friday at 9:05 PM ET - Carolina is in a great spot here which is why the odds on the Hurricanes have risen to as high as a -225 favorite on the money line. Where the value is here is with the puck line which is in the +120 range on this one. Regardless of the starting goalies here, we are strong on the Canes in this spot. However, we will mention that the expected starters are Karel Vejmelka for the Coyotes and Pyotr Kochetkov for the Hurricanes. Kochetkov allowed 3 goals in the loss to Dallas but had allowed 2 or less goals in each of his 7 road starts since mid-December - and an average of just 1.4 goals ruing this stretch! Arizona is without #1 goalie Connor Ingram as he was hurt in the 3-1 home loss to Minnesota Wednesday. Vejmelka has lost 14 of 20 decisions this season and has a 3.36 GAA on the season. He has allowed 26 goals in his last 6 starts including allowing at least 4 goals in 5 of those 6 starts! Vejmelka is struggling badly and faces a tall order here. The Hurricanes come to Arizona hungry for a win as they are off a 4-2 loss at Dallas. The Canes team is well-coached and is an especially tough team when off a loss. The Hurricanes had won 13 of 17 games prior to that loss. Unlike red hot Carolina, Arizona has been trending in the other direction. The Coyotes have lost 13 of 17 games and that includes 7 in a row! 16 of last 21 Arizona losses have been by a margin of 2 or more goals. The Coyotes are struggling to score goals so another loss by a multi-goal margin appears likely here. Arizona's has averaged just 1.9 goals scored in last 18 losses. Carolina has averaged 4.2 goals scored in last 14 wins. We look for at least a 4-2 final in this one and the rested Hurricanes off a loss coupled with the Coyotes goalie situation makes a win by a 3-goal margin quite possible here. Road team in a blowout has high probability here per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals with road favorite Carolina is the value play here.

#25/26 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - New Jersey Devils at Nashville Predators, Tuesday at / PM ET - We like this over even if these goalies do not go but, barring something unforeseen prior to drop of the puck, the expected goalie match-up here is also great news for an over. Because of Nico Daws starting last night coupled with #1 goalie Vitek Vanecek currently out with an injury, the Devils options tonight are Daws again in the 2nd night of a B2B (always tough on a goalie) or go with the #3 guy Akira Schmid (3.38 GAA in 11 night game starts this season) who has been down in the American Hockey League until being called up because of the Vanecek injury. New Jersey expected to go with their third choice, Schmid, and he is expected to be matched up with Juuse Saros of the Predators. Note that Saros is struggling right now. Saros has a modest 2.97 GAA this season but has allowed 11 in his last 3 starts! Saros will face a Devils team that scored 3 early goals in their win last night and could have scored 5 or 6 goals in that game were it not for some great saves from the Kraken goalie. New Jersey looked great on the attack last night and they have scored at least 3 goals in 4 of last 5 games. We expect each team to get to 3 goals here and force this one to get to at least a 4-3 final in Nashville. The Predators have allowed at least 4 goals in 5 of last 6 games. The Predators have scored at least 3 goals in 5 of last 7 home games! The Devils, prior to the 3-1 win over Seattle, had seen 5 of last 7 games total at least 8 goals! Based on all of the above, this is the perfect set-up for a back and forth 4-3 type affair.  We expect at least 7 goals in this one and like the added value here of working with a posted total of 6.5 at low juice across the board in this one!  Over is our play here

ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Florida Panthers Puck Line (-1.5 goals -100) over Washington Capitals, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET - Florida is in a great spot here which is why they are a -270 favorite on the money line. Where the value is here is with the puck line which is in the even money range on this one. Regardless of the starting goalies here, we love the Panthers in this spot. However, we will mention that the expected starters are Darcy Kuemper for the Capitals and Sergei Bobrovsky for the Panthers. Kuemper lost his starting job to Charlie Lindgren because of performance but now Lindgren is off a rough start so here comes Kuemper again. He has had a very rough season with his performance away from home being particularly bad. Kuemper has lost 8 of 12 road decisions and has a 3.77 GAA away from home this season! Bobrovsky was in the All-Star game so he was given a break in Tuesday's loss to the Flyers. Now he is back for this start and he is having a fantastic season. This is the perfect situation for a big play on the Panthers as they are off a home loss and now can take advantage of a struggling Capitals team. Washington has lost 13 of 18 games and 9 of their last 12 losses have been by 2 or more goals. Already without Backstrom since late October now they are without Kuznetsov and this Capitals team is just not at the same level as the Caps teams of recent seasons. Florida has been trending the opposite direction of Washington as they had won 13 of 17 games prior to the 2-1 loss to the Flyers Tuesday. The Panthers had scored an average of 4 goals per game last 17 games prior to the loss to Philly. The Capitals have had trouble scoring goals for much of this season and enter this game having scored just 19 goals in last 11 road games! Home team in a blowout per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Florida is the value play here.

#69/70 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks, Wednesday at 10:30 PM ET - We like this over even if these goalies do not go but, barring something unforeseen prior to drop of the puck, the expected goalie match-up here is also great news for an over. Because of Mackenzie Blackwood starting last night, the Sharks options tonight were Blackwood again in the 2nd night of a B2B (always tough on a goalie) or go with the struggling Kaapo Kahkonen. San Jose expected to go with Kahkonen and he is expected to be matched up with John Gibson of the Ducks. Note that Gibson has a 3.09 GAA this season and if they go with Lukas Dostal he has a 3.50 GAA this season. Gibson is slated to start and he has allowed 30 goals in his last 8 starts! Also, he just allowed 4 goals in most recent start and gave up 4 goals to the Sharks in a recent 5-3 loss. As for San Jose goalie Kahkonen, he had a 3.85 GAA last season and is having another rough season including a 3.86 GAA this month! Both these clubs allow a lot of shots on goal and have struggled on the penalty kill this season. San Jose is off a 2-0 win and has won 4 of 5 games! The low-scoring win was a rarity and was the first shutout for Blackwood this season but prior to that, 3 of last 4 Sharks games totaled 7 or more goals! The Ducks are off a 3-2 win but this followed Anaheim allowing 4 goals per game on average over their last 8 games. Anaheim, prior to the 3-2 win, was on a stretch in which 8 of 9 games totaled 6 or more goals. Those 8 games that did had an average of 7.5 goals and, based on all of the above, this is the perfect set-up for a back and forth 4-3 type affair. We expect at least 7 goals in this one and like the added value here of working with a posted total of 6 across the board in this one! Over is our play here

#69/70 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals -120 - Arizona Coyotes at Florida Panthers, Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET - We like this over even if these goalies do not go but, barring something unforeseen prior to drop of the puck, the expected goalie match-up here is also great news for an over. Sergei Bobrovsky expected to get the call for the Panthers and his last 3 appearances  have only lasted about 2 and 1/2 games as he was pulled mid-way in one of the starts. In this 2 and 1/2 game stretch he has allowed 10 goals.  He has a GAA in the 4.00 range over his last 6 appearances! The Coyotes, because this is the front end of a back to back and they have Tampa Bay tomorrow, are expected to rest Connor Ingram and go with Karel Vejmelka instead.  Vejmelka has not played in over a week and in that one he allowed 4 goals in just 14 minutes!  Prior to this he allowed an average of 4 goals over his last 3 games so his form has not been good.  The Panthers will take advantage here and are off of a 4-1 victory and that was the 9th time in 12 games that Florida has scored at least 4 goals!  The Coyotes enter this one off a 5-2 win and 6 of their last 9 games have totaled 6 or more goals.  Arizona has scored 3.4 goals per game in their last 5 games and this one, based on all of the above, is the perfect set-up for a back and forth 4-3 type affair.  We expect at least 7 goals in this one!  Over is our play here

#37/38 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Arizona Coyotes at Calgary Flames, Tuesday at 9:07 PM ET - Great set-up for an over here. The Coyotes head to Calgary with plenty of confidence off a 6-0 win. However, Arizona also just got hammered 6-2 at home by these Flames. Something has to give here and we fully expect the Coyotes to be aggressive on the attack as they are out for revenge but they will again struggle to slow down Calgary. The Flames have consistently been involved in high-scoring games of late. Calgary is off a 3-1 win at Vegas but, prior to this, 6 of the last 9 Flames games had totaled at least 6 goals. Those 6 games averaged 8 goals each! The Coyotes have had 5 straight games (and 8 of last 11) total at least 6 goals! Prior to their 6-0 shellacking of the Wild at Minnesota, Arizona had allowed an average of 5 goals per game in their 5 most recent games. The goals should fly here with a strong effort from the revenge-minded Coyotes coupled with Arizona's struggles in keeping the puck out of their own net! The Coyotes are strong on the power play but weak on the penalty kill. Of course this helps lead to some extra scoring overall in Arizona's games. In terms of special teams play, the Flames lead the league in short-handed goals. Don't be surprised if special teams play helps the cause in this one as well as Arizona is one of the most penalized teams in the league. Calgary has scored 26 goals in 6 games and they come out strong here at home but the revenge-minded Coyotes keep this one interesting in what should be a back and forth high-scoring battle. Based on the recent trending for each club, we can't see either team finishing with less than 3 goals in this one given the above and this would translate to at least a 4-3 final. Over is our play here

#18 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Calgary Flames (-130) over Ottawa Senators, Tuesday at 9 PM ET - The Senators are struggling overall and have struggled on the road this season.  Ottawa enters this game having lost 10 of 13 games.  They also have lost 11 of 15 games on the road this season.  The Flames, on the other hand, have turned things around since goalie Jacob Markstrom came back.  He was excellent in a recent road loss at Philadelphia and that tight loss was preceded by a stretch in which Calgary won 6 of 8 games.  The Flames enter this game on a 3-1 run last 4 home games and they are certainly happy to be back home in Alberta after their road trip ended with a couple tight losses.  This is the perfect spot for a Calgary bounce back against a team that is struggling and has proven to be road-adverse this season.  The Flames have allowed just 2.4 goals per game in their last 10 games.  The Senators have allowed 4.3 goals in the last 14 games!  Also, Calgary is one of the top teams in the NHL for short-handed goals and their penalty kill is much stronger than that of the Santors. In fact, Ottawa is dead last on the penalty kill in the NHL this season.  Special teams play and the home/road dichotomy plus the goalie and defensive edges all belong to the host in this one.  Looks like a home blowout is on the way in this one!  Home team's money line is our play here.

#53/54 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Washington Capitals at Columbus Blue Jackets, Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET - Great set-up for an over here.  Washington is coming off a 3-2 win in the shootout last night and the back to back is going to stress the goalie situation for the Capitals.  The Blue Jackets are a high-scoring team and the Capitals defense and netminding will be pushed to the limit here.  Columbus has seen 7 straight games total at least 7 goals.  The Blue Jackets have become a more wide-open free-flowing team and the goal-scoring has picked up as a result.  Columbus has played .500 hockey for many weeks now and won 7 of 14 games and averaged scoring 4 goals per game in those 14 games.  The issue for the Blue Jackets is that the goal-tending work has really tailed off of late.  Columbus has allowed at least 3 goals in 7 of last 8 games.  The Capitals also have a goal-tending concern here as their option would be Kuemper playing a 2nd straight game in a B2B which would not be good.  The Caps other option (and the expected option) is that Lindgen will get the start tonight.  He has allowed at least 3 goals in 6 of his last 8 games.  In those 6 games, Lindgren allowed an average of 3.5 goals.  The goals should be flying here as the Caps are facing a high-scoring Jackets team that is surging right now but, at the same time, Washington's confidence is surging with B2B wins and victories in 4 of last 6 games.  Based on the above, we can't see either team finishing with less than 3 goals in this one given the above and this would translate to at least a 4-3 final.  Over is our play here

#53/54 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Ottawa Senators at Dallas Stars, Friday at 8:07 PM ET - Great set-up for an over here.  Ottawa is coming off a 4-2 loss at St Louis last night and the back to back is going to stress the goalie situation for the Senators.  The Stars are a high-scoring team and the Senators defense and netminding will be pushed to the limit here.  Dallas has seen 11 of the last 14 games total at least 7 goals.  This is not like the Dallas teams of old that played tight defensive-minded hockey.  Instead, the Stars have become a more wide-open free-flowing team and the goal-scoring has picked up as a result.  Dallas has averaged scoring 4 goals per game in the last 14 games.  The issue for the Stars is that the goal-tending work of Jake Oettinger has really tailed off since he had a strong start to the season.  Oettinger has allowed at least 3 goals in each of his last 4 games.  The Senators are a solid scoring club and will be ready to go strong here after the disappointing result at St Louis last night in which the Blues were ready to respond after firing their head coach.  The Senators had averaged 4 goals scored per game in their 4 games prior to the tough result at St Louis last night.  They should enjoy success against a Stars club that has allowed 22 goals in the last 5 matches!  This is not only a non-divisional but also non-conference match-up and that also lends itself to a more free-flowing affair.  Based on the recent trending for each club, we can't see either team finishing with less than 3 goals in this one given the above and this would translate to at least a 4-3 final.  Over is our play here

NHL game rotation #7: ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Toronto Maple Leafs (-130) over Ottawa Senators, Thursday at 7 PM ET - The Senators are off a huge upset win over the Rangers on Tuesday!  Speaking of upsets, Ottawa also beat the Maple Leafs in Toronto earlier this season.  This is a divisional game and the Leafs are set for revenge here.  Toronto enters this game well rested as their last game was a home loss in overtime against the Bruins over the weekend.  The Maple Leafs hold the rest edge here and have revenge plus the Senators are dead last in the division even though they have only played 5 true road games out of 20 games this season!  No team in the NHL has fewer road games than Ottawa.  The Senators are home for this game but the point is we are not convinced the Sens are even as strong as their 10-10 record on the season considering they have had a home-heavy schedule.  The Sens only have 5 wins in regulation time in their last 16 games and they are yet to lose in OT or the shootout this season.  The point is the Senators have been fortunate in terms of scheduling and in terms of good breaks in tight games.  This is a great value spot to back one of the stronger teams in the league at a fair price because the Maple Leafs are on the road for this revenge match-up so the price is held to a reasonable level.  Toronto goalie Joseph Woll has allowed 3 or less goals in regulation time of each of his last 5 starts and he is also seeking payback here as his worst start of the season was the game against Ottawa.  The Senators won the game 6-3 but it was 3-3 in the 3rd period.  The road team has won each of the last 4 meetings between these teams.  Toronto had won 6 of last 7 meetings before that loss earlier this season and those 6 wins were by a score of 24-11 for an average score of 4-2.  We look for the Leafs to resume their long-term dominance here.  Great situation with revenge, rest, and also the better special teams.  Toronto has been better on the power play and on the penalty kill this season in comparison with the Senators.  Road team money line is our play here.

#40 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Edmonton Oilers (-130) over Vegas Golden Knights, Tuesday at 9 PM ET - We have been waiting for this one since the start of the season and the way it has been set up here is perfect.  Vegas is in a B2B spot.  The Golden Knights used their top goalie, Hill, last night.  That means Thompson will be patrolling the crease tonight.  Though Thompson has been okay this season, Hill has been the top guy and the Knights have lost each of Thompson's last 4 starts.  This is a huge revenge game for the Oilers as they were eliminated in the Western Conference Semifinals by Vegas in May and the Golden Knights went on to win the Stanley Cup!  What has made this situation even stronger (again we had this spot circled BEFORE the season started) is that the Golden Knights have now lost 7 of last 10 games and have been struggling to score goals of late.  Now couple that with the fact that Edmonton seems to have turned the corner after a slow start this season.  The Oilers just wrapped up a road trip with a much-needed 5-0 blowout win.  For an encore, they came home and delivered an 8-2 thrashing to get warmed up for this huge revenge game.  Remember it was right here in Edmonton that the Golden Knights ended the Oilers season last May!  Now it is time for payback for the home team here.  Since Kris Knoblauch took over in Edmonton for the fired Jay Woodcroft two weeks ago, the Oilers have gone a perfect 3-0 here on home ice!  Edmonton is well-rested here as they have played only once since Friday while this will be the 3rd game in 4 nights for Vegas and it is a back to back spot.  In this stretch of 7 losses in 10 games, Vegas has scored an average of only 1 goal in the 7 defeats!  Also, they scored just one goal in regulation time of their most recent win (in OT over Dallas).  The Golden Knights have not won a game in regulation time in a week and half!  We like the goal-scoring confidence the Oilers have displayed in their last two games and they are getting their swagger back and the set up for this game is perfect.  Looks like a solid home win is on the way in this one!  Home team money line is our play here.

#36 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Dallas Stars (-135) over Vegas Golden Knights, Wednesday at 9:30 PM ET - The Stars have been waiting for this game and are off to a fantastic start this season.  The Golden Knights are the defending champs but have been slumping badly.  Dallas is hungry for this one in particular because they lost a hard-fought playoff series with Vegas in May.  Then, in their first shot at revenge this season the Stars actually never trailed against the Knights in Vegas but they lost in the shootout.  The Golden Knights scored the equalizer with just 3 minutes left in regulation or there would have been no shootout in a game that the Stars know they should have taken!  Now, entering this game, the set-up is perfect for revenge and the odds makers know that as well.  That is why the Stars are priced as a solid -135 favorite here against the defending champs.  There is no mistake with this line.  The Golden Knights have lost 5 of 7 games and scored a total of just 6 goals in those 5 defeats!  The Stars enter this one having won 11 of 15 games.  Also, unlike Vegas, Dallas is having no trouble in the goal-scoring department of late.  The Stars have scored at least 3 goals in 6 straight games and have averaged scoring 4.7 goals per game in those 6 games.   Keep in mind the Knights were rolling until early November but, since then, the only two wins they have the past few weeks have been against Montreal and San Jose.  Those teams have combined for just 10 wins in 36 games this season.  The Golden Knights are just not right at the moment and the Stars are rolling with confidence and on home ice here and highly motivated.  Looks like a home blowout is on the way in this one!  Home team money line is our play here.

#17 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Florida Panthers Puck Line (-1.5 goals +100) over San Jose Sharks, Tuesday at 10:30 PM ET - The Sharks are, by far, the worst team in the league so far this season. San Jose is 2-12-1 but what is particularly alarming about the record is the shots on goal stats in the two wins!  The Sharks could easily be winless on the season as their 2-1 win over the Flyers saw the Sharks outshot by a 39-19 margin.  The 3-2 win over Edmonton saw San Jose outshot by a 41-18 margin!  Also, their 12 losses in regulation have all come by a multi-goal margin! In fact, the average margin of defeat for the Sharks in those dozen losses is 4 goals per game!  The Sharks are being outshot 38.4 to 24.1 on the season!  This is incredible how they are being outplayed night after night and now they must deal with a red hot Panthers team that has won 4 straight games and 9 of 12.  Of course this is why Florida is priced as a heavy money line favorite on the road here but we get the value on the puck line.  Remember, San Jose has 13 losses this season and all 12 of the losses that were in regulation were all by at least 2 goals!  Florida is scoring 3.14 goals per game this season while the Sharks are averaging just 1.20 goals per game on the season!  San Jose has been held to 2 or less goals in 11 of 12 games and Florida is averaging 4 goals per game during their 4-game winning streak.  4 to 2 or 4 to 1 sounds about right here and all signs point to the Panthers handing the Sharks another defeat by a multi-goal margin. Laying the 1.5 goals with road favorite Florida at an even money price in this one is the value play here.

#61/62 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Philadelphia Flyers at San Jose Sharks, Tuesday at 10:37 PM ET - Great set-up for an over here.  Two teams very hungry for a win and with fresh skating legs (both off since Saturday) and ready to push hard here but both clubs having major issues in goal.  The Flyers will still be without top goalie Carter Hart here.  That means Cal Petersen or Samuel Ersson will get the call.  Petersen was struggling in the AHL so far this season and then he struggled against the Kings Saturday in his first game after being called up.  Ersson is off a good start but this was a shock that can not be expected to be repeated here as he allowed 14 goals on just 59 shots in his first three appearances!  The Sharks top guy is Kappo Kahkonen but even if he is back now from his upper body injury, he has a 4.30 GAA so far this season.  Mackenzie Blackwood has a 4.77 GAA so far this season.  Magnus Chrona is a rookie who allowed 4 goals on only 17 shots in relief of Blackwood Saturday in a 10-2 loss to Pittsburgh.  Yes, the Sharks lost 10-2 and this was after losing 10-1 to Vancouver! San Jose has tied an NHL record with 11 straight losses to start the season!  However, they showed effort early in the loss to the Penguins and then things unraveled.  They badly want to win and will keep pushing hard but their defense and goaltending will hold them back.  The same can be said of the Flyers who are off their worst game of the season as they just lost 5-0 at LA Saturday.  Philly had not only not been shutout this season, they had never been held to less than 2 goals in a game this season and were averaging 3.4 goals scored per game in their first 11 games this season.  So Philly can be expected to bounce back here and their power play did look much better but just could not get the finishes.  Those will come against this bad Sharks team but, again, San Jose is going to bring it at the other end of the ice.  They do not want to set NHL history with a 12th straight loss so SJ pushes hard here but can not stop Philly either.  5-4 would not surprise us in the least but certainly we should see this one get to at least a 4-3 final.  4 of the 5 games not started with Hart in goal for Philly have seen the Flyers allow at least 5 goals each time!  The Sharks are allowing 5 goals per game this season!  Based on the above, don't be surprised if one of these teams reaches the 5 goal mark here and we can't see either team finishing with less than 3 goals here given the above.  Over is our play here.

#32 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Philadelphia Flyers (-105) over Buffalo Sabres, Wednesday at 7 PM ET - The Flyers are off a tight 3-2 loss but that came against a strong Hurricanes team and, overall, Philadelphia again looked solid in that match-up. Philadelphia has been a bit of an early season surprise but the fact is they have a good mix of young talent and veteran presence and also the management and hockey operations changes that were made entering this season are paying immediate dividends.  The Flyers right now have looked just as good, if not better, than the Sabres so far this season and also have the home ice edge in this match-up.  That being said, the set up here is perfect because Buffalo is off a shocking win over a strong Avalanche team.  The Sabres won that game 4-0 behind a shutout performance from Lukkonen between the pipes.  However, he had struggled prior to that and Buffalo has been dealing with injuries to goalies Levi and Comrie.  The point being, Lukkonen was their #3 choice at goalie!  His first two outings were unimpressive so don't be surprised if he quickly regresses after the shocking win over Colorado.  As for the Flyers, their #1 goalie is Carter Hart and he is expected between the pipes here and has played very well particularly on home ice.  Hart has allowed a total of just 6 goals in his 4 home starts this season!  Overall, the Flyers are the deeper team as they are getting more out of their 2nd and 3rd lines than Buffalo has this season.  The Sabres have struggled other than their top line.  Also, prior to the 4-0 win, Buffalo had lost 5 of 8 games and other than a 3-1 win over the Islanders they were allowing about 4 goals per game in the other 7 games in that stretch.  Philly is now off B2B home losses but Hart was in goal for only one of them and this followed the Flyers going a perfect 3-0 in their first 3 home games and winning those games by a combined score of 12 to 3.  The Sabres have lost 2 of 3 on the road this season.  Home team money line is our play here.

#42 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Boston Bruins Puck Line (-1.5 goals -115) over Anaheim Ducks, Thursday at 7:07 PM ET -The Bruins are 6-0 this season and only one of the 6 victories was by less than 2 goals. Boston's average margin of victory this season is exactly 2 goals and they are allowing just 1 goal per game. Conversely, the Ducks are 2-4 this season but, other than 1 high-scoring win, Anaheim has been held to scoring just 1.4 goals per game in their other 5 games. We simply can not envision the Ducks being able to do much in the offensive zone in this one given those numbers plus the way the Bruins have been playing. That said, this one is likely another dominating Boston win and we look for the Bruins to improve to 7-0 with another victory by a multi-goal margin. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Boston at a small money price in this one is the value play here.

#7/8 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals (-110) - Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Lightning simply are not the same team without goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy. He is currently on long-term injured reserve after having back surgery last month. Without Vasilevskiy, the Lightning have already shown a strong trend toward overs this season. It makes sense as their goalie options without him are Jonas Johansson and Matt Tomkins. The Bolts have a goals against average of 4.00 on the season and the Lightning have just 2 wins in 6 games so far. Tampa Bay has scored quite well though and this is particularly true on home ice where they are averaging 4 goals scored per game this season. Overall, 5 of 6 Tampa Bay games have totaled at least 7 goals and the only one that did not was against a Sabres team that has now seen 5 of its 6 games finish under the total this season. Now the Lightning take on a goal-happy Hurricanes team. Indeed Carolina is scoring at a high rate this season as well. The problem for the Canes is they are also conceding goals at a high rate too. This is why all 6 of the Hurricanes games this season have gone over the total! The crazy thing is that Carolina's games are not just going over the total, they are truly flying over the total with authority! Their 6 games have averaged 9.5 goals in regulation time and there is certainly nothing "average" about NHL games averaging 9.5 goals apiece! Look for the high-scoring trend to continue here. We are aware of the Hurricanes having some injury issues but one of those is goalie Frederik Andersen and, even if he plays, he would be rusty here and not 100%! Also, just like the other two Canes goalies this season, Andersen has not been impressive between the pipes. Over is our play here.

#16 ASA PLAY ON 8* Winnipeg Jets (+100) over Vegas Golden Knights, Thursday at 8 PM ET - Why is this line a pick'em? Exactly! The 4-0 Golden Knights are facing a 1-2 Jets team and the casual observer might view this as a gift line for Vegas. Of course we all know the sports books are not in the habit of giveaways! In other words, this is no gift and actually functions as a trap line.  People will be enticed to back the undefeated Knights here but they are fortunate to be 4-0 as they just barely snuck by Dallas in a game that looked like it belonged to the Stars! Vegas scored very late to tie the game and than managed to eke out the win in the shootout. Even in the shootout their goalie did not make a single stop but had puck line as 2 of the 3 shots struck iron while the other one went right between his legs with ease. The point is that the Golden Knights undefeated season should have already come to an end but did not and we now take advantage of the hidden value here.  The Jets are not off to a great start this season but it is early and this is a solid team and they also have playoff revenge just like the Stars did Tuesday.  Unlike Dallas, the Jets will get the job done in regulation here and get their revenge. They waited many months for this shot and they get this opportunity at home. Home team's money line is our play here. 

#75 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Carolina Hurricanes Puck Line (-1.5 goals -115) over San Jose Sharks, Tuesday at 10:30 PM ET - The Hurricanes are highly motivated after their first loss of the season and we knew we were going to come with a strong play here after that Canes loss. This Carolina team is again loaded this season while it looks like San Jose will be one of the weakest teams in the league again this season. Last season the Sharks finished with the fewest wins (22 out of 82 games) in the entire league while the Hurricanes were 2nd to only the Bruins in terms of best record in the entire league as the latter had a historical regular season. So far this season the Sharks are 0-1-1 but they should be 0-2-0 with two blowout losses as they lost their opener 4 to 1 and then lost their 2nd game by only 2-1 in the shootout but they were outshot in the game 52 to 21. Complete dominance! Speaking of dominance, a key to this play is that Carolina has already scored an average of 4.3 games in regulation time of their 3 games. This is a dangerous Hurricanes offensive attack once again. The Sharks, on the other hand, have scored just 1 goal in each of their first two games this season! Carolina is sure to respond off the Saturday loss and San Jose had seen 8 of their last 9 losses (dating back to last season) come by 2 or more goals before they were fortunate to hang around in the 2-1 loss to Colorado Saturday. They will not be so fortunate here against a determined and highly motivated road team. The Canes are a massive money line favorite (-300 on the road!) for a reason here and you can also see why the odds suggest a good probability that the winner of this game in San Jose will win it by 2 or more goals. Laying the 1.5 goals with road favorite Carolina at a very reasonable low price in this one is the value play here.

#9 ASA PLAY ON 8* Seattle Kraken (+100) over Nashville Predators, Thursday at 8 PM ET - Nashville is likely to struggle this season and they were fortunate to not allow a lot more early scoring in their loss at Tampa Bay Tuesday.  The Predators looked quite sloppy and were very susceptible at the back.  Seattle is the better team defensively and all over the ice.  That is why this line is basically a pick'em even though the Kraken are on the road.  Seattle was great on the road last season and made the post-season.  The Predators fell short of the playoffs last season and if it were not for Juuse Saros they would have given up a lot more early goals in their loss at Tampa Bay Tuesday.  The Kraken also lost Tuesday but it was against the defending champion Golden Knights in Vegas.  The bottom line is Seattle outshot Vegas in that game and they looked a lot stronger than Nashville did Tuesday.  Today on Thursday we take advantage here with the stronger team. Road team money line is our play here.

#70 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Toronto Maple Leafs Puck Line (-1.5 goals -120) over Montreal Canadiens, Wednesday at 7 PM ET - The Maple Leafs are highly motivated after another tough exit from the post-season last spring. This Toronto team is again loaded this season while it looks like Montreal will be one of the weaker teams in the league again this season. Last season the Canadiens finished dead last in the division while the Leafs were 2nd to only the Bruins as the latter had a historical regular season. Montreal lost 27 of 41 road games last season while the Maple Leafs won 27 of 41 home games last season. 10 of the Canadiens last 12 losses last season were by 2 or more goals. The last 11 meetings between these clubs has seen the home team win all 11 games and last season Toronto's two home wins over Montreal were by a combined score of 12 to 2. The Maple Leafs are a big money line favorite for a reason here and you can also see why the odds suggest a good probability that the winner of this game in Toronto will win it by 2 or more goals. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Toronto at a very reasonable low price in this one is the value play here.

#51/52 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 6 Goals - Vegas Golden Knights vs Florida Panthers, Tuesday at 8:20 PM ET - Florida must fight hard to stay alive on enemy ice. To do so, the Panthers need to turn to their defensive play and goaltending. They lost the first two games of this series by a combined score of 12 to 4. However, after back to back 3-2 games in Florida, the Panthers have now seen 9 of last 12 games total 5 or less goals.  As for the Golden Knights and their defensive play, they are on home ice with a a chance to close out the Stanley Cup Finals and we fully expect them to make the most of it. The fact is that Vegas is also proving fully capable of turning up the heat on defense and also displaying solid netminding. The Golden Knights have allowed an average of only 2 goals per game in regulation time of their last 12 games. Under is our play here.

#49 ASA PLAY ON 8* Florida Panthers -110 over Vegas Golden Knights, Saturday at 8:20 PM ET - The home team is a perfect 3-0 in this series. The home teams has prevailed in each of the Panthers last 5 games. Florida is on a 13-3 run last 16 games overall and they will now build off the victory they just delivered in Game 3. The Panthers have allowed an average of only 1.8 goals in their last 5 home games and the Golden Knights have been piling up power play goals but struggled at times in 5 on 5. Given these factors we would not be surprised to see the Panthers come up big again on home ice in Game 4. We are laying the money line with the home team in this one.