Champions League #224201 ASA PLAY ON Inter Milan +0.5 (-128) over Paris Saint-Germain, Saturday at 3 ET - Of course we can not bad-mouth PSG as they are justified in being favored here. However, we do feel that this has opened up exceptional value on the goal line at plus a half goal with the underdogs in what we perceive to be a very tight match. Inter has done such a great job of drawing first blood in their matches and we believe they can do it again here and really keep the pressure on PSG who, as the favorite, is playing with a lot of pressure already as it is.  We like the fact that Inter has been scoring a lot of goals in recent matches and even outdueled high-flying Barcelona to reach this point.  It shows that Inter can win both ways this season as they also are known for excelling in tighter low-scoring matches too but they can trade punches with clubs when required.  Considering this match is in Germany and PSG is only 2-2-1 in last 5 matches away from home, we like the value here on a reasonable price to have the +1/2 goal on our side in this one. The odds favor the underdogs earning at least a draw again in this one. This one has upset potential written all over it and, if not, at least Inter sends it beyond regulation for it be decided in which case we also cash this bet! We will take Inter Milan on the goal line (+0.5) in this one.

#200160 ASA PLAY ON Brighton & Hove Goal Line Pick'em (-100) over Liverpool, Monday at 3 ET - With Brentford losing yesterday, Brighton & Hove can make their move up the standings to the 8th spot which is important in terms of having a chance at European football next campaign. We expect the Albion to come up big here at home and, in terms of line value, we like the fact that a draw would be a push since the goal line is at a pick'em. We do expect the outright win however as Brighton gets revenge for having lost each of the last 3 meetings with the Reds - all by a 1-goal margin. With Liverpool already having won the league title for this season, the visitors simply do not have the same motivation level that Brighton has here. Liverpool, as one would expect after clinching the league title, is fading some here late in the season and is winless in their last 2 matches. The odds favor the hosts earning at least a draw in this one and we expect even more with the win and a cashed ticket for us here. We will take Brighton & Hove on the goal line in this one.  

Champions League #224213 ASA PLAY ON Arsenal +0.5 (-130) over Paris Saint-Germain, Wednesday at 3 ET - We expect Arsenal to come up big here on the road and, in terms of line value, we like the fact that a draw would also be a win since the goal line is at +0.5 goals for Arsenal. We do expect the outright win as Arsenal is down 1-0 after the 1st Leg but they know they need to unleash a more aggressive attack here and, when they do, this is when this club is at its most dangerous! The first leg was a surprising 1-0 road win for Paris Saint-Germain as Arsenal struggled. Now they respond on the road and, keep in mind, PSG is okay with a draw here since they have the 1-0 edge already based on the first leg result. That means if this match is tied up at 1-1 or 2-2 there will be no extra emphasis on attacking for PSG. They will be content with a draw knowing that is all they need to advance. Give credit to PSG for surprisingly shutting down Arsenal in London but now you will see the true version of the Gunners coming out and firing away in this one! Arsenal has an unbeaten run - win or draw - going strong on the road with 7 straight away matches earning at least a draw! The odds favor the visitors earning at least a draw again in this one! We will take Arsenal on the goal line (+0.5) in this one.

Champions League #224209 ASA PLAY ON Barcelona Pick'em (-110) over Inter Milan, Tuesday at 3 ET - We expect Barcelona to come up big here on the road and, in terms of line value, we like the fact that a draw would be a push since the goal line is at a pick'em. We do expect the outright win however as Barcelona just has too much firepower for Inter Milan.  The first leg was a surprising 3-3 draw as Inter Milan had not been scoring so well so to see them get 3 on the road was a surprise.  There is a reason that Barcelona is favored here even though they are on the road.  Their attacking firepower is the key.  Give credit to Inter Milan for surprising goal-scoring success at Barcelona but also note that, prior to that one, Barcelona was allowing an average of only 1 goal last 10 games.  Inter Milan, other than the 3-3 draw versus Barcelona, has scored a total of only 1 goal in their other 4 recent matches since mid-April!  The odds favor the visitors earning at least a draw in this one and we expect the win and a cashed ticket for us here. We will take Barcelona on the goal line in this one.

Premier League #200070 ASA PLAY ON Manchester City -1.5 goals (+110) over Wolverhampton, Friday at 3 ET - Both clubs are hot but the key here is Wolverhampton has played a number of weaker teams consecutively.  Not only is Manchester City much higher in the standings and the much stronger team overall, their recent wins have included a number of victories over strong opponents.  City is at home for this one and they have impressively adjusted well to being without Haaland and their defensive play has been much stronger recently.  Manchester City is on a legitimate heater and Wolverhampton will struggle to keep up here as they finally face a more formidable foe after winning a stretch of matches over weak opponents.  The last 4 meetings with City as the host were all wins for Manchester City and the aggregate score of those matches was 13-2. We will take Manchester City on the goal line in this one at -1.5 goals.

#200194 ASA PLAY ON Tottenham Pick'em (-110) over Nottingham Forest, Monday at 3 ET - With their success in the Europa League Thursday a huge weight is lifted off the shoulders of Tottenham and we expect them to play much better here as a result in this Premier League match-up Monday. Tottenham got hammered in their most recent EPL match but that was on the road and they might have had one eye on their Europa League showdown with Eintracht Frankfurt. Now they are back home where their most recent EPL match as a host was a 3-1 win. We expect the Hotspur to come up big here at home and, in terms of line value, we like the fact that a draw would be a push since the goal line is at a pick'em. We do expect the outright win however as Tottenham gets revenge for a 1-0 loss at Nottingham Forest on Boxing Day.  Prior to that meeting, Tottenham had won each of the 3 prior meetings by a 2-goal margin!   Nottingham is fading some here late in the season and off B2B losses in which they scored only 1 goal in the 2 matches combined.  The odds favor the visitors earning at least a draw in this one and we expect the win and a cashed ticket for us here. We will take Tottenham on the goal line in this one.

#224205 ASA PLAY ON Real Madrid +0.50 (-125) at Arsenal, Tuesday at 3 PM ET - Arsenal seems a bit over-valued here just because they are at home. They are missing some key players here and that makes this spot even better for Real Madrid. We were already looking the way of the visitors in this 1st Leg battle as Real Madrid is off a loss. They lost 2 to 1 at home versus Valencia in La Liga action and could have been guilty of looking ahead to this big Champions League battle. Real Madrid has scored 10 goals in last 4 games. Arsenal has scored only 7 goals in last 5 games. This means even more value with the +0.5 goal at a very fair price here. The odds favor the visitors earning at least a draw in this one. We will take Real Madrid on the goal line in this one.

#200029 ASA PLAY ON Crystal Palace +0.25 (-126) at Brentford, Sunday at 9 AM ET - Crystal Palace looks quite strong in terms of their starting 11 after the off-season changes they made. Brentford has a defense that is looking a bit depleted entering this one. The Bees are at home and are a tough club in their own right but we like the way this Crystal Palace club is headed and getting the +0.25 goal means we can still earn some cash even if this match ends in a draw here. Last season Crystal Palace had only 8 road losses in 19 road matches while Brentford had only 5 home wins in 19 home matches. The odds favor the visitors earning at least a draw in this one. We will take Crystal Palace on the goal line in this one.

#216554 ASA PLAY ON Guadalajara +0.25 goals (-125) over LA Galaxy, Sunday at 10:30 ET - This one being played in Leagues Cup action. There is some goal line available at +0.25 in the marketplace if you lay the juice (-125 range) and we like the value with this as a draw is what Guadalajara needs to advance to the knockout stages. As for Los Angeles, they are already guaranteed of advancing. So this one sets up nicely for a rather disinterested LA club to go through the motions and Guadalajara can play a safe game as well and play for the draw. We do expect Guadalajara to do enough to get the win here but if they do not, then look for this to be a draw. Once Guadalajara gets that first one (we just can not see LA scoring first given the metrics for this one), they can really settle in and play a game characterized by a defensive-first mentality the rest of the way as they then look to just protect the lead in this one. We just do not see LA pushing the tempo too much in this one and the hungry underdog manages to at least get the much-needed draw here even if this one becomes a drab 0-0 or perhaps 1-1 affair. We will take Guadalajara on the goal line in this one.

#216526 ASA PLAY ON Monterrey PK (-145) over Pumas, Saturday at 10 ET - This one being played in Leagues Cup action. There is some goal line available in the marketplace if you lay the juice (-145 range) and we like the value with this as a draw would then become a push. We do expect Monterrey to get the win but if they do not, then look for this to be a draw. We just can not see Pumas getting an upset here. Once Monterrey gets that first one, look for the floodgates to open up for them in this one. We are getting line value here because Monterrey has underachieved recently but now all the chips are on the table and we look for this to bring out the best in them here. They have more talent and better attacking talent than Pumas and this will show up on the pitch in this one now that it is do or die time. This is when the elite stars shine! We will take Monterrey in this one.

#208009 ASA PLAY ON Independiente PK +110 over Instituto, Thursday at 8 ET - This one in  Argentine Primera Division action. This is a value spot for Independiente on the goal-line in this one. With his line a PK +110 that means a draw would be a push. But, in this case, we are certainly expecting a win for Independiente but it is definitely nice to have that added value with this line. Independiente has gone undefeated in the last 5 meetings between these clubs with 3 wins and 2 draws. They have been the much better club from a defensive standpoint and, amazingly, have allowed only 3 goals in their 9 road matches this season! Instituto, on the other hand, has scored better than their opponents in this match but they have also allowed 1.3 goals per match when at home this season. We get excellent line value here with the better defensive team that also has owned this series in recent seasons. We expect a solid Independiente win here though we will grab the goal line at a pick'em so we have the added insurance in case this is a draw. Take Independiente Thursday evening.

#235758 ASA PLAY ON Canada +1 goal -106 over Uruguay, Saturday at 8 ET - We are confident that Canada has a chance for a big dog win here but we will grab the 1 goal just in case. We faded Uruguay with Colombia and we got the win with Colombia as a big dog even after they were down to 10 men. Of course Canada is not at the level of Colombia but, keep in mind, Uruguay had high hopes in this tourney and were on the way until that loss. As for Canada they have played better than expected in this tournament and are happy to be playing for 3rd place! Uruguay is absolutely disappointed to be here and they are also short-handed for this one as they are missing some solid players for this one. The emotional letdown also could lead to a truly lackluster effort from the favorite in this one. We take advantage! Take Canada +1 goal on Saturday evening.

#235745 ASA PLAY ON Brazil PK-120 over Uruguay, Saturday at 9 ET - This one in Copa America action. This is a value spot for Brazil on the goal-line in this one. With his line a PK-120 that means a draw would be a push. But, in this case, we are certainly expecting a win for Brazil but it is nice to have that added value with this line. Uruguay has surprised but now faces a stiff step up in terms of level of competition. Even without Vinicius Junior, Brazil is the play here. In fact, his absence for this one is serving to give us line value because the betting markets have overemphasized the impact of his absence. Uruguay won the most recent meeting 2-0 but Brazil entered that one having won 4 straight meetings by a combined score of 11 to 2. While we certainly respect of Uruguay having this hot run through the tournament, we feel strongly that they have finally met their match here. Brazil gets revenge for October loss right here, right now. We expect a solid Brazil win here though we will grab the goal line at a pick'em so we have the added insurance in case this is a draw. Take Brazil Saturday evening.

#235737 ASA PLAY ON Canada PK-115 over Venezuela, Friday at 9 ET - This one in Copa America action. This is a value spot for Canada on the goal-line in this one. With his line a PK-115 that means a draw would be a push. But, in this case, we are certainly expecting a win for Canada but it is nice to have that added value with this line. Venezuela has surprised but off a 1-0 win over an outclassed Jamaica team. Canada had to face a tough Argentina team but then held their own against Peru (a win) and Chile (a draw). Considering this we see value here with many still being non-believers in Canada. There is a reason this match is priced about equal on Canada and Venezuela and the draw despite prevailing market opinion favoring Venezuela. In other words, don't let the line fool you here. Canada is going to surprise yet again. They have responded very well now under Jesse Marsch. They are bringing solid intensity and confidence is on the rise. We expect that to lead to a surprise win here though we will grab the goal line at a pick'em so we have the added insurance in case this is a draw. Take Canada Friday evening.

#225493 ASA PLAY on Belgium -1 (-130) over Romania @ 3 ET - This is a very late release for us - about 2 hours before the game goes but we got the info we wanted and this one shapes up to be a blowout. Even though Romania won 3-0 in their opening match they lost the possession battle and they faced a Ukraine team that is not on par with this Belgium team. As for that Belgium team, being upset - the biggest upset of the first matches played - means they are fully focused on getting back on track here. Belgium will not hold back and this one should see the big favorites jumping to an early lead plus not taking their foot off the gas. Unfortunately for Romania, they are facing the wrong team at the wrong time. This one is all Belgium! Lay it!

#225481 ASA PLAY ON Netherlands +1/2 goals -150 over France, Friday at 3 ET - France hurting with Mbappe breaking his nose in the prior game. He is a key to opening things up for the offense of France. Even if he plays, with a mask of course, we do not expect him to be 100% and this will absolutely impact the France attack. That said, Netherlands is a great value play here even at a price as the goal line at +1/2 goal means even a draw gets us the win here but we would not be surprised to see an outright upset. Netherlands scored late to eke out a win in their first game but really they were more dominant than the final score showed. That is leading to some value here with a highly talented Netherlands team. Take Netherlands on Friday afternoon.