Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-20-19 | Air Force v. Boise State OVER 55 | Top | 19-30 | Loss | -109 | 82 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the over Air Force/Boise State. These are two teams “firing on all cylinders” to open the season and I look for that momentum to translate into offensive production on the field of play this evening. Both teams are undefeated with victories over Power 5 programs already on their resumes. These are two very productive offenses, but each gets the job done differently. The Broncos are going to have a hard time slowing down the Falcons’ rushing attack, which ranks second in the country at 353.5 YPG (it has 22 runs of ten or more yards.) Boise State QB Hank Bachmeier has a stiff task tonight facing this revamped Air Force defense, but he has a pair of solid backs in Robert Mahone and George Holani to keep the visitors honest. I see both sides pushing the pace and from a situational stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up as more of a high-scoring “shootout,” than a low-scoring “chess-match.” Key Trends: - The Falcons have seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of their last six as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. - The Broncos have seen the total go over the number in six of their last eight off a SU home victory. The verdict: As mentioned off the top, I expect a wide open pace from start to finish; play the over! |
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09-16-19 | Browns v. Jets UNDER 45 | Top | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 49 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Browns/Jets. Cleveland played terribly in Week 1. It’s first drive of the game looked brilliant, but then a penalty cost it a TD and the Browns settled for the FG to open things up. And after that it was all downhill, as several penalties resulted in 187 yards lost. At that point, Baker Mayfield and company were forced to play from behind and the dynamic back threw three picks. I don’t think that the Titans offense is as good as it looked in Week 1 and I don’t think that the Browns defense is as bad as it looked either. What we do know is that the Jets blew a 16 point lead late to the Bills and lost in Week 1. They also lost starting QB Sam Darnold to mono. These are two teams looking to limit mistakes and control the tempo. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe that this one sets up as a lower-scoring battle. Key Trends: - Cleveland has seen the total go under in its last four after allowing 35 points or more in its previous outing. - New York has seen the total go under in its last two off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, I expect this one to stay well below the posted number; play the under! |
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09-14-19 | Alabama v. South Carolina UNDER 60.5 | Top | 47-23 | Loss | -120 | 119 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the under Alabama/South Carolina. Alabama comes to town off wins over Duke and New Mexico State, while South Carolina was shocked in a 24-20 loss to UNC in its opener, before then annihilating FCS opponent Charleston Southern 72-10. Alabama will be out to establish the run early and often vs. its first SEC opponent this year, so far it’s ranked 31st in the country in that department. But South Carolina has looked much better on the defensive side of the ball this year, especially up front. Imposing their will in the trenches is the trademark of the Tide and I look for offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian to stick to the run throughout, despite having mobile QB Tua Tagovailoa. Key Trends: - UNC gouged USC for 238 rushing yards, so as mentioned off the top, look for the visitors to try and establish the run game while on offense from start to finish. - South Carolina lost its QB Jake Bentley in the loss to UNC. Ryan Hilinski was 24 of 30 for 282 yards and two TD’s in last week’s blowout win, but obviously he’s being thrown to the Wolves here vs. the best potential defense in the conference. The verdict: How can the Gamecocks help their backup QB today? Clearly by protecting him and by running the ball effectively. And so with both teams firmly committed to establishing the run and assert itself in the trenches, all signs do indeed point to the under as the correct call here! |
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09-13-19 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest UNDER 66 | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 98 h 55 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under UNC/Wake Forest. After starting 2-0, the Tar Heels will be looking to carry that momentum over here. Most recently Mack Brown’s guys beat Coastal rival Miami. The Demon Deacons enter off victories over Utah State and Rice. UNC has gotten better than expected QB play from Sam Howell, but the offense still revolves around the run game and Javonte Williams, who has 178 rushing yards thus far. Wake has gotten exceptional play from its dual threat QB as well in Jamie Newman, who has six TD’s and no INT’s so far. Key Trends: - Despite struggling against the pass in the early going, the Deacs do already have five sacks this season. - Look for Wake Forest to utilize the run game tonight, as UNC just gave up 179 yards on the ground to Miami. The verdict: This is a big game and on the short week, I believe these under-rated defensive units become the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries; play the under! |
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09-08-19 | Falcons v. Vikings UNDER 47.5 | Top | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 215 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Falcons/Vikings. It’s a big game for both teams right out of the gate. Minnesota has a 19-11 all time lead in this series, which includes back-to-back victories, including 14-9 win in 2017. Both teams took big steps backwards last year, but each has big expectations heading into this season. While the offense stalled for Minnesota last year, the Vikings return ten starters on the defensive side of the ball to a unit which is once again expected to be one of the bed tin the league. Atlanta was plagued by injury last year. The Falcons’ offense isn’t in question ever with Matt Ryan running the show, but Atlanta’s success in 2019/20 will once again be decided on what its defense is capable of doing. Key Trends: - Atlanta has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 16 on the road. - Minnesota has seen the total go under in nine of its last 12 as a home favorite. The verdict: I can’t see the Vikes turning this into a “shootout” with Ryan and company, so I believe we’ll see a much more methodical pace from the home side. When you add up all of the above factors I believe that the under is definitely the correct call! |
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09-07-19 | Rutgers v. Iowa OVER 49.5 | Top | 0-30 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 32 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Rutgers/Iowa. Rutgers got 340 passing yards and two TD’s from McLane Carter in its blowout win over UMass last weekend. He did however also throw three picks. Iowa only allowed 14 points in its victory last week, but it got 252 yards and three TD’s from QB Nate Stanley and the team would also go on to post 213 rushing yards. Key Trends: - The Scarlet Knights were horrible on third-down defense vs. the lowly Minutemen last week, allowing seven third-down conversions out of 16 attempts. - Iowa had the nation’s best third-down offense last week, converting nine of 14 attempts. The verdict: Rutgers has seen the total go over in six of its last seven when the total in the contest is set between 42. and 49 points. This one has “shootout” written all over it in my opinion; play the over! |
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09-06-19 | Marshall v. Boise State UNDER 55 | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 101 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Marshall/Boise State. Marshall cruised to victory with a blowout win over FCS opponent VMI. No big surprise there. Boise State though roared out to an early lead vs. FSU and then it continued to hold on for the eventual upset victory. Can anyone say “letdown” spot? For both teams! I think Marshall struggles in this difficult road venue and I believe the Broncos take a step back after last weekend’s emotional victory. This is a big game for both teams though, with a run at the Group of 5’s top spot in the New Year’s Six. Marshall is going to see a much stiffer test this time around, as Boise State registered four sacks last week vs. the Seminoles. Key Trends: - Marshall has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 14 when playing with six or less days rest. - Boise State has seen the total dip under in four of its last five as a home favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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09-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville UNDER 55 | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 35 h 0 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* BLOOD-BATH on the under Notre Dame/Louisville. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Ian Book put up big numbers after taking the reins in Week 4 for the Irish last year and he’s expected to take another big step forward this season. Book’s team this year though looks different from last year’s squad and I think he’ll have some difficulties with chemistry coming out of the gate. The Notre Dame defense also lost many key players, but its top pass rushing duo in Khalid Kareem and Julian Okwara are poised to give Jawon Pass fits for the Cardinals tonight. Pass will obviously be improved from a decent season a year ago, but he’ll be leaning heavily on his other players for support tonight in this difficult matchup. Key Trends: - Notre Dame has seen the total go under in three of its last four as a road favorite in the 17.5 to 21 points range. - Louisville has seen the total go under in six of its last seven non-conference contests. The verdict: Turnover for both teams on both sides of the ball leads to this total staying well below the posted number in Week 1; play the under! |
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09-01-19 | Houston v. Oklahoma UNDER 80 | Top | 31-49 | Push | 0 | 35 h 21 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL CASH-BOMB on the under Houston/Oklahoma. Both teams enter the 2019 campaign looking vastly different than they did a year ago. Both have new coaches and each has lost significant talent (Kyler Murray is now the starting QB in Arizona and Ed Oliver has gone to the NFL as well.) The Sooners went out and got defensive guru Alex Grinch to try and bring back some respectability to that side of the ball this season. Houston has D’Eriq King back under center after he suffered a knee injury last year. Oklahoma has a talented QB transfer in Jalen Hurts this season and while he has plenty of weapons around him, I think chemistry will be an issue to start (note as well that Hurts loves running the ball, is big and can take a beating no problem.) Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under in six of its last ten on the road. - Oklahoma has seen the total dip under in four of its last six non-conference games. The verdict: I expect these teams to come out a little “flat” to open the game and that “lull” will help in keeping this total under this sky high number; play the under! |
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08-30-19 | Rice v. Army OVER 47.5 | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -125 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* total of the month on the over Rice/Army. Every team has “big” expectations coming into a new season and these two are no different. The Army Golden Knights though come in off a historic 2018 campaign, one which was capped by a 70-14 win over Houston in the Armed Forces Bowl (11-2 overall for the Cadets last year.) The Owls will be eager to prove themselves against the up-tempo Knights. Rice finished its season with a 27-13 upset victory over Old Dominion though (just 2-11 overall though.) Rice turns to Wiley Green, who was the QB in the ODU victory and who had 621 passing yards and three TD’s, to go along with 34 rushing yards and two more scores in four appearances last year. The Army offense welcomes back seven starters, including senior QB Kelvin Hopkins Jr. Key Trends: - Rice has seen the total go over in eight of its last nine non-conference games. - Army has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 as a favorite. The verdict: Rice has to open up the playbook here if it has any shot at pulling off the upset; look for this one to fly over early! |
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08-24-19 | Florida v. Miami-FL OVER 50.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -108 | 730 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Florida/Miami Florida. Key Trends: - It’s interesting to note that UF finished with a 1-3 record last year when it scored less than 20 points, but it was 9-0 when scoring over 20. - Also note that the Hurricanes were 0-5 last year when scoring less than 20 points, while going 7-1 when eclipsing the 20 points plateau. The verdict: Florida was 10-3 last year under Dan Mullen’s first year as head coach and I believe it has a chance to duplicate that record. The home side won’t be going down without a fight though under Miami first year head coach Manny Diaz. When you add it all up, I think this one flies over the number sooner, rather than later! |
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02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams UNDER 58 | Top | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 324 h 18 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the “under” in the Super Bowl. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Underrated defensive units. With so much offensive fire-power, it’s easy to forget how well each team played defensively down the stretch in the playoffs. The Pats enter off a 37-31 win over KC, holding Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes to just 16 of 31 and sacking him four times. The Rams were forced by the Saints for 45 points in the first meeting between the clubs, but last week LA looked great defensively in its eventual 26-23 OT victory. Key Trends: - New England has seen the total go under the number in 11 of 17 as a favorite this year. - LA has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four off an upset win as a road dog. The verdict: Look for the two week lay off to benefit the defensive units and play the under in the Super Bowl! |
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01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints UNDER 57.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 143 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Rams/Saints. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Improved defensive play from each team. The Rams beat a dangerous Cowboys team 30-22 last week. I’d argue that the LA defense “stole the show” in that one though. The Saints overcame a 14 point hole in the first quarter to edge past the Eagles last weekend. Drew Brees had 301 yards and two TD’s, but after the slow start, it was the Saints’ defense which “brought that one home” for the home side. The Rams will be committed to the run offensively after posting 273 rushing yards in last week’s win. Known for the high-flying offensive play in the regular season, this one has Key Trends: - LA has seen the total go under the number in six of eight on the road already this year. - The Rams have seen the total dip under the number in four of their last five in revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 28 or more points (lost in Week 9 to the Saints.) - New Orleans has seen the total go under the number in nine of 14 as the favorite this year. - The Saints have seen the total go under in four of five already this year after allowing 14 points or less last game. The verdict: While the first matchup between these clubs flew over, this one has all the makings of a lower-scoring defensive battle this time around. Play the under! |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 60 | Top | 16-44 | Push | 0 | 131 h 36 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Two of the top defensive teams in the country going head to head. Last year Alabama dominated 24-6 and I expect a similar hard-fought, lower-scoring war here as well. Clemson plays with revenge and it’s backed by one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing just 12.9 PPG. The Tide are second in the nation in scoring, but clearly this is Alabama’s stiffest test to date. The Crimson Tide are now slouches defensively either though, ranked among the nation’s leaders in most categories, including being ranked 12th in yards allowed (308.7). Key Trends: - Alabama has seen the total go under the number in four of its last five as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. - Clemson has seen the total go under in 20 of its last 29 following two or more SU victories. The verdict: The recent history between these clubs, combined with their nation leading defensive units make the under the correct move! |
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01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens UNDER 41.5 | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 146 h 41 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Chargers/Ravens. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Ravens game-plan. With Melvin Gordon III injured for LA (if he does suit up, clearly he won’t be at 100% form), LA’s offensive game-plan becomes one-dimensional. The Ravens were among the league leaders in most defensive categories. They record a sack about once every eight plays and also have the fifth best opponents’ passer rating at 73.15. Baltimore also has as many INT’s as TD passes allowed (6). Baltimore will be looking to “manage” the game with LaMar Jackson while on offense, so as to limit Philip Rivers tie on the field of play. Key Trends: - LA has seen the total go under in ten of its last 12 following a road victory. - Baltimore has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 11 following a divisional contest. The verdict: The situation and numbers point to the under as the correct call! |
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12-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati UNDER 54 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -115 | 531 h 41 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Cinncy/VT. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Long lay off. I think the longer layoff throws a money wrench into the chemistry of each sides offense. The Bearcats got the job done with their elite defense (allowing only 16.1 PPG), which led to their 10-2 record. VT was just 6-6 and while it features some talent, the Hokies are just glad to be here. This one screams “under.” Key Trends: - The Hokies have seen the total go under the number in six of their last eight after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games. - The Bearcats have seen the total dip under in nine of their last 14 as a favorite. - Cincinnati has seen the total go under in its last three when playing with two weeks or more of rest. The verdict: Conditions and numbers point to a lower-scoring under. |
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12-30-18 | Cowboys v. Giants OVER 41 | Top | 36-35 | Win | 100 | 74 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over Cowboys/Giants. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Manning’s last hurrah? If this is Eli Manning’s final game as QB for New York, he’s going to want to put on a show for the home side fans. Manning is also out to avenge a 20-13 road loss to Dallas in Week 2. With the Cowboys expected to rest most of their starters with nothing to win or lose here, I’m expecting the legendary New York pivot to air it out early and often. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total go over in both games already this year in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent. - The Giants have seen the total go over in five of their last seven as a home favorite. The verdict: The situation and trends are pointing to a shootout. Play the over. |
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12-22-18 | Wake Forest v. Memphis UNDER 73.5 | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky's 8* play on the under in the Birmingham Bowl. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Significant injuries to key offensive players for both teams. Wake Forest is likely to be without Greg Dortch, who led the ACC with 1,750 all purpose yards and who had injured his hand in a win over Duke in the reg. season finale (if he does suit up, clearly he won’t be at 100% form.) Memphis will be without RB and All American Darrell Henderson (2,328 all purpose yards and 25 TDs), who is leaving to the NFL. This is my “key angle” for this contest. Key Trends: - Wake has seen the total go under the number in six of its last eight after having won two of its last three - Wake has seen the total go under in four of its last six after allowing 14 points or less in its last game. - Memphis has seen the total go under in three of its last four after allowing 50 points or more in its last game. The verdict: This number is high, play the under. |
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12-21-18 | BYU v. Western Michigan UNDER 51 | Top | 49-18 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Above average defenses and backup QB’s. Both teams have their back-ups in here, forced to make switches for different reasons half way through the campaign. BYU allows only 21.7 PPG, while WMU gives up just 33.3. The Broncos though struggled with offensive consistency after starting QB Jon Wassink went down with inury and backup Kaleb Eleby only went 1-3 in his limited time. Key Trends: - BYU has seen the total go under the number in five of seven as a favorite this season. - WMU has seen the total go under the number in its last two neutral site affairs. The verdict: The conditions and trends point to a defensive affair. Play the under. |
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12-16-18 | Dolphins v. Vikings OVER 43 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 92 h 47 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over Dolphins/Vikings. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Desperation. Both teams still have a shot at their respective Wild Card spots. It’s now or never as neither can take the foot off the gas at this point. I expect each to push the pace and this becomes my “key angle” for this contest. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go over in nine of 14 off a division game. - The Dolphins have seen the total go over in four of their last five off an upset win as a home underdog. - Minnesota has seen the total go over in three of its last four after a loss by 14 points or more. The verdict: Miami comes in off a thrilling last second win over the Patriots and I expect that offensive momentum to get carried over here. Play the over. |
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12-10-18 | Vikings v. Seahawks UNDER 46 | Top | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 36 h 0 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Game significance. Both teams currently hold the NFC wild card spot and each will be desperate for a victory here to hold onto that position. On the short week, this one has the feel of a classic lower-scoring “chess match” on Thursday night. Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go under the number in 10 of its last 15 as an underdog. - Seattle has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 25 as a favorite. The verdict: Take the under. |
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12-08-18 | Navy v. Army UNDER 40 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 29 h 21 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. These two teams like to the run the ball. Almost every game they’ve played over the last ten years has been competitive (was a 14-13 Army win last year). Navy’s stumbled this year, while Army is on the verge of posting back-to-back ten-win seasons. Look for this trend of low-scoring “chess matches” to continue on Saturday afternoon. Key Trends: - Navy has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. - The Midshipmen have seen the total go under the number in eight of their last 11 off a road loss (including in four of five this year). - Army has seen the total go under in four of its last five when playing with two or more weeks of rest. The verdict: Play the under. |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans UNDER 37.5 | Top | 9-30 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 26 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Common sense and recent history. These teams struggle with offensive consistency most weeks. Last week Jacksonville beat the Colts 6-0, while the Titans rallied for a 26-22 win over the Jets. When these teams played in Jacksonville earlier in the year, the Titans scored the low-scoring 9-6 victory. Expect these strong under trends to continue on the short week and on the National stage. Key Trends: - Jacksonville has seen the total go under the number in nine of 14 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. - Tennessee has seen the total go dip under the number in all four games that it’s played in this year, after playing a home game. The verdict: Everything points to another battle. Play the under. |
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12-03-18 | Redskins v. Eagles OVER 45 | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -108 | 35 h 31 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - It’s “do or die.” Motivation is the “key angle” for this play. An important divisional match-up sees both teams desperate for a win to keep its small playoff hopes alive. This one has “shootout” written all over it. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go over the number in 17 of its last 27 when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points. - Philadelphia has seen the the total go over the number in ten of its last 15 vs. the division. - The Eagles have seen the total go over in nine of their last 15 following a home victory. The verdict: Play the over. |
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12-02-18 | Chargers v. Steelers UNDER 52 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 151 h 26 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Chargers/Steelers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - It’s a big game for both teams, with playoff positioning on the line. I believe the overall situation lends itself to a lower-scoring defensive battle and it’s my “key angle” for this selection. Key Trends: - LA has seen the total go under in ten of its last 11 after having won four or five out of its last six games. - The Chargers have seen the total go under in seven of their last eight after a win by 14 points or more. - The Steelers have seen the total go under in nine of their last 14 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Play the under. |
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12-01-18 | Northwestern v. Ohio State UNDER 59.5 | Top | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 136 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under in the BIG TEN Champ game. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Defesne, defense, defense! That’s my key angle for this game. The Wildcats allow 134.7 rushing YPG and 238 passing yards, while Ohio State’s only weakness has been against the run, allowing 161.9 YPG. The pass defense of the Buckeyes is on point though, which doesn’t look good for a Northwestern team averaging a pedestrian 351.1 YPG. Key Trends: - Northwestern has seen the total go under in nine of its last 14 as an underdog. - The Wildcats have seen the total go under in its last two neutral site games. - The Buckeyes have seen the total go under in their last three as a neutral field favorite. The verdict: Play the under. |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs v. Rams OVER 62 | Top | 51-54 | Win | 100 | 36 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - KC has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last 11 non-conference road games as an underdog in the 2.5 to 5.5 points range. - The Rams have seen the total go “over” in 15 of their last 25 non-conference home games as a favorite in the 2.5 to 5.5 points range. The verdict: These teams feature the two most explosive offenses from their respective conferences and neither can play a lick of defense. Play the over. |
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11-18-18 | Vikings v. Bears UNDER 45 | Top | 20-25 | Push | 0 | 59 h 21 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go under in nine of its last 13 as an underdog. - The Vikings have seen the total go under in eight of their last 12 following a divisional contest. - The Bears have seen the total go under in 12 of their last 20 at home. The verdict: This is an important game for both teams and the numbers and the overall situation point to the under as the correct move. |
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11-18-18 | Bucs v. Giants UNDER 52 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -109 | 52 h 57 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - Tampa Bay has seen the total go under the number in 11 of its last 15 following two or more SU losses. - New York has seen the total go under in eight of its last 13 vs. teams with losing records. - The Giants have seen the total go under in 13 of their last 20 at home. The verdict: Take the under. |
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan v. Ball State OVER 53 | Top | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over WMU/Ball State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - As note that WMU has seen the total go over in its last two Tuesday night contests - Note that the Broncos have also seen the total go over in five of eight as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. - Additionally note that Ball State has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 10 of its last 16 at home. The verdict: Even without their starting QB’s, I’m expecting a more “up-tempo” pace. Play the over. |
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10-28-18 | Saints v. Vikings OVER 52 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -104 | 166 h 14 m | Show |
Ricky's 8* play on the Over 52: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the Vikings defense is particularly significant. The Vikes ranked 2nd in the NFL versus the pass last year, and they rank 21st in the league coming into tonight's game versus the Saints. Key Trends: - The Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. - The Over is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 versus a team with a winning record. - The Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota. Verdict: Take OVER |
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10-27-18 | Georgia v. Florida UNDER 52 | Top | 36-17 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Under 52.5: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. - The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Georgia. - The listed total was under 50 in each of the last seven meetings. Verdict: Take Under |
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10-07-18 | Rams v. Seahawks OVER 50 | Top | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Over: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the Seahawks defense is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Over is 7-3 in Rams last 10 games overall. - The Over is 7-2 in Rams last 9 road games. - The Over is 6-1 in Rams last 7 games following a straight up win. Verdict: Take Over |
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10-06-18 | Arizona State v. Colorado UNDER 64.5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Under: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the cold weather in Colorado is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Under is 4-1 in the Buffaloes last 5 games overall. - The Under is 8-3 in the Buffaloes last 11 games following a straight up win. - The Under is 7-2 in the Buffaloes last 9 versus teams with a winning record. Verdict: Take Under |
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09-29-18 | Virginia Tech v. Duke UNDER 51.5 | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Under: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the Duke defense is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Under is 7-1 in the Hokies last 8 versus teams with a winning record. - The Under is 9-4 in the Hokies last 13 games overall. - The Under is 36-17 in the Hokies last 53 conference games Verdict: Take Under |
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09-24-18 | Steelers v. Bucs UNDER 54 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 155 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Under 53.5: Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the inflated line is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Under is 9-3 in Buccaneers last 12 home games. - The Under is 23-7 in Steelers last 30 road games. - The Under is 4-0 in Steelers last 4 games following a straight up loss. Verdict: Take Under |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 70 h 54 m | Show |
Between their games vs Bills and Steelers, no one believed in the Jaguars. They were a better team than the Steelers in terms of efficiency and showed up big time at Pittsburgh. Now everyone believes in them again and Jalen Ramsey is already talking about the Super Bowl. It’s fascinating how the perception changes and the Jaguars are a prime example because their variance over the season has been extremely high. We saw a total of 97 points last Sunday but I am expecting a completely different game this time at Foxboro. A low scoring game. The Patriots defense got shredded the first six games, allowing 400+ yards in each of those. Since week 7, they allowed 400+ yards just once, at Pittsburgh. Bill Belichick and Matt Patricia did a great job adjusting their defense towards playing highly efficient. The Patriots defense ranks #1 in yards per point – they find ways to not lot opponents score. Since the game against the Panthers, they have given up 20+ points just twice in 13 games. Belichick knows how to attack opposing weaknesses and rob strengths. He will stack the box, play a lot of QB contain and will likely show a lot of cover 1 looks with man coverage. He will force Bortles to straight up beat them with his accuracy and I highly doubt that Bortles will be able to do that. He is at his best when playing off play-action behind an efficient run game and the Pats will try their best to shut down the run game. They held Derrick Henry to 2.3 yards per carry last week which made Mariota force a lot of throws. I don’t see the Jaguars offense scoring 20+ in this one, I see more field goals than touchdowns. The most interesting part is the flip side – Pats offense vs Jaguars defense. The Jaguars are at their best when they are lined up vs 3+ WR's. Teams like the Niners or Titans played a lot of 12 / 21 / 22 personnel against the Jaguars and were highly successful. The Patriots will know that. They won’t attack Bouye and Ramsey on the outside. They also don’t have WR's like Martavis Bryant or Antonio Brown who make great adjustments towards the catch point. I expect the Pats to look to run it up the gut and come out in a lot of 12 or 21 personnel with 2 WR's lining up outside and tie up Ramsey and Bouye. Then they are going to use a lot of pre-snap motions to identify coverages and find their matchups in the short passing game via Gronk, Burkhead, Lewis and White. Stretch the field, send Gronk down the seam and pick your matchups. With runs and short passes, the Pats are likely to control / eat the clock which is a huge bonus for a low scoring game. At the end it’s still the Jaguars defense with tremendous front-four pressure against an average offensive line so it’s not that I expect the Pats to score every drive. The Jaguars will make stops. But I also don’t see them going high-pace on offense. I really expect a low scoring affair with the Pats coaching staff dominating the matchup and Blake Bortles. It’s not that I do not see any chance of an upset, because the Jags have been a highly efficient team over the course of the season (equally efficient to the Pats). I think Pats at home should get it done in a low scoring affair. Under 46.5 *Update* Brady's injured finger boasts well for this pick. |
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01-13-18 | Titans v. Patriots OVER 47 | Top | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 74 h 23 m | Show |
Pats at home in the divisional round is usually a no-brainer: since their last loss vs the Jets in 2011, they went 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in that round. But this game is interesting because we don’t know which offense is gonna show up from Tennessee, Mularkey's or Mariota's. There were rumours that Mariota started calling the plays by his own since the 2nd quarter at Kansas City. The No-huddle up-tempo offense from shotgun is perfectly suited for Mariota, but Mularkey desperately wants to rely on his ground-and-pound approach. He wants to run the ball on 1st and 2nd down with DeMarco Murray and let Mariota make a precise pass on 3rd down from a tight formation. It’s not a surprise that Mariota has four game-winning drives this season because on game-winning drives he is put into an up-tempo offense from shotgun and can dictate the offense by himself. He is a very good pocket passer and showed that at Kansas City in “his” offense. I also believe that Derrick Henry is a better and more efficient runner than DeMarco Murray. The Mariota-offense is definitely capable of putting up points at New England, the Mularkey offense will be out coached from start to finish. New England has a highly efficient defense by yards per point – they somehow avoid being scored on. The Patriots’ front seven isn’t great and they are lacking speed. I think the Titans’ offensive line has a very solid matchup and a few Mariota runs could absolutely take care for some damage and first downs.The Chiefs offense showed a great gameplan in the first half against the Titans as they tried to avoid that good run defense (4th in YPC, 7th in DVOA) and moved the ball through the air. KC receivers had a few costly drops, otherwise they would have scored a TD more. The Patriots are going to do the same: pass the ball, avoid the opponent’s strength. They will pick their matchups and the zone blitz scheme by Dick LeBeau is generally something Tom Brady highly prefers to play against. I don’t think the Pats will have any troubles moving the ball through the air because there isn’t anything the Titans can throw at Brady IMO. If the Titans play Mariota-ball, they can be competitive in that game, but if they wake up too late, it could be over too soon. Patriots also don’t want to be the Chiefs all over again and they know that it’s hard to run the clock down vs the Titans so I expect them to look to score early and often. I think this game could end up in the 50's, because the Pats are capable to score 30+ and the Titans have a solid matchup as soon as they play Mariota ball and they should get garbage time opportunities in no-huddle mode if they lose in the fourth quarter. Over 47 |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles UNDER 41.5 | Top | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 71 h 30 m | Show |
The Falcons defense has been the key as they played the run pretty aggressively and played tight against those Rams WR's. A couple of special teams turnovers helped for field position. I am expecting a close game at Philly in the divisional round. The Eagles obviously aren’t the same without Carson Wentz. Wentz is able to avoid 2-3 sacks/throwaways per game because of his crazy ability of scrambling away from pressure. I don’t think that offense is lost, but Foles is a downgrade from Wentz. With the way the Falcons are playing on defense right now, it’s tough for me to see the Eagles moving the ball efficiently. They must try to take pressure off Foles. They have to try to not win the game with him, but the rest has to work to let Foles deal with the last 20%. I trust Doug Pederson to put together a competitive offensive gameplan, but with Nick Foles, he will be somehow limited. On offense, Atlanta will have a big advantage against the Eagles secondary because their cornerbacks are the weak spot and Julio Jones should feast on them. Eagles have a stout defense with a great defensive line and they rank 7th in pass DVOA / 3rd in run DVOA, so we shouldn’t expect the Falcons to move the ball easily on the ground to grind it out like at Los Angeles. All season, the Falcons had their issues in key situations like red zone, as they only convert 50% of their trips into touchdowns for rank 23rd. I think both teams will struggle to score many points. If the Eagles play tough on defense, get the home crowd going and take pressure off of Foles by getting their running game going, they will be in a very good position to succeed, however the value lies on the total. Under 41.5 |
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12-17-17 | Jets v. Saints UNDER 47 | Top | 19-31 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 11 m | Show |
*Top Total of the Week* The Jets are probably the worst road team in 2017. They are 1-5 SU away from home, getting outscored 14.5 – 24.8. Their lone win was at Cleveland in a game the Browns out gained them by around 200 yards and committed three turnovers inside the 5. Last week at Denver they were shut 0-23. And now with Josh McCown landing on the IR, the Jets will start Bryce Petty at QB this week – let me tell you this as a Jets fan: he is awful. Small sample size, but over 142 career passes he has a completion percentage of 54%, 3 TD, 7 INT and 5.8 YPA. The Jets aren’t going to move the ball at New Orleans, because the Saints won’t respect the pass and can stack the box heavily with Lattimore locking down Anderson or Kearse. The Saints’ offensive philosophy is to get a lead and sit on it by running down the clock and rest the arm of Drew Brees. As they are already preparing for the Falcons game next week which seems to be their personal Super Bowl, they won’t be interested in running up the score against the Jets. They will jump a lead and hand it off to Kamara/Ingram in the second half. Sustain drives as much as possible, keep a slow pace to keep offense and defense as fresh as possible. If you ask Sean Payton, he would sign a 10-7 win without injuries right now. I am seeing this game being played out similar to the Bucs/Saints game when the Bucs weren’t able to score and the Saints just took shots when given opportunities. Under 47 |
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11-23-17 | Chargers v. Cowboys UNDER 48 | Top | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 69 h 16 m | Show |
While the Chargers come off a 50-pt outing and the Cowboys got blown out by their divisional rival, the perception favours the Chargers and I agree with it. Zeke and Tyron Smith are the two most important offensive players along with Dak Prescott. Sean Lee is the most important defensive player. Missing those three would probably kill most teams in the league outside of Boston. I think Prescott still played as good as he possibly could, but the offense was simply over-matched by a good Eagles defense. We have two interesting coaching angles going for this game. Jason Garrett is the worst short-rest coach in the league at 2-14 ATS, while Anthony Lynn is a rookie head coach on a short week who comes off a big emotional win against his former team who didn’t want to have him as their head coach. While I cannot make many cases for the Cowboys as a side, I am making one for the total. The latter is simply too high. I expected it to be in the 44-45 range. I am struggling to see any of these teams scoring significantly north of 20. I expect the Chargers to come out a little bit flat after that huge win and Lynn not being capable of putting together a good offensive gameplan on a short week. Before playing against one of the current-worst defenses with a lot of short fields, they averaged 17.9 offensive PPG. DeMarcus Lawrence will be all over anyone who lines up at RT this week, forcing some throw aways by Rivers. I also believe that both teams are trying to attack the opposing defense on the ground which is gonna eat the clock. I think the Chargers’ ceiling in this game is in the low 20s. On the flip side, this Los Angeles defense is really good. Denzel Perryman being back helps that defense, but they are still vulnerable on the ground and that’s how the Cowboys are going to attack them, because their passing attack will be lost against this defense. In Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa, the Chargers are in “charge” of the Los Angeles “Nippers” which will be all over La’el Collins and Byron Bell in pass protection. The pass offense won’t work and I think their ceiling is in the high 10s, around 17 to 20. 23-17, 20-16 likely scores. I am seeing a low scoring affair and that’s why I'm playing on the Under. |
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11-19-17 | Jaguars v. Browns UNDER 37.5 | Top | 19-7 | Win | 100 | 72 h 55 m | Show |
From a numbers standpoint, Browns were the right side last week, but they beat themselves again. 6 red zone trips and they managed to lose by 14 – wow. That coaching staff seems to be inept, that’s why I stop playing them even though I lean them again this week. 7.5 points are too many in a good matchup. I played the Under, as I believe it’s a much better option this week. First of all, the weather forecast says it’s gonna be around 21 mph winds with as high as 25 mph. Games with 20+ mph of winds result in an average scoring total of 35. The weather condition that affects totals the most is wind, not rain or snow. In snow or rain, offenses aren’t forced to change their gameplan, because we pitches favor the offenses. It’s easier to change directions forwards than backwards or sidewards. Without wind, passes have the same velocity and trajectory in wet conditions as in dry conditions. Some coaches just think they need to run more in wet conditions. With wind it gets tricky and the magic number is 20mph. When you throw the ball in heavy winds, you cannot be as accurate as normal, because the force of the wind has such a high impact on the trajectory of the pass. A few inaccurate throws because of wind can kill drives. The first windy game of the year, CAR@TB, ended 17-3 and both QBs combined for 39/70 (55.7%) for 348 yds for 4.9 YPA when their season average is 61% and 62% completions and 6+ YPA. Last year’s game PIT@CLE was a wind game and ended 24-9. QBs combined for 44/77 343 yards, 4.5 YPA. With the Jaguars and Browns, we get a matchup that has a high probability of ending below 37.5 even without wind. The Jaguars have a phenomenal defense and improved against the run with the addition off Marcell Dareus. The Jaguars have a run-first offense with a bad matchup against the best run defense in the league. Take away the run and the Jaguars offense will be completely limited this Sunday. But so will be the Browns defense also, because they won’t move the ball on the Jaguars, no way. It wouldn’t surprise me if we didn’t see an offensive touchdown this week and the game ends somewhere around 17-12 with a defensive score. Loving the Under here. Under 37.5 |
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11-18-17 | Rutgers v. Indiana UNDER 47.5 | Top | 0-41 | Win | 100 | 47 h 53 m | Show |
It looks like QB Richard Lagow will get the call this week to try and help the Hoosiers into bowl game contention. Lagow does not provide the mobility of Peyton Ramsey, but does have a powerful arm. Accuracy has been a bit of an issue (59%; 6 INT) but he has a really good receiving group. Indiana is ranked #12 in the Big 10 in rushing yards and #13 in yards per play and are going up against a a very capable Rutgers defense. The QB situation on the other side of the ball is rough (6 TD passes all year), but the good news is that the running game continues to work well. Their 1-2-3 RB combo has over 1300 yards and 12 TDs and should be able to do some work vs the Hoosiers (#9 Big 10 rush defense; #8 YPC allowed). Indiana will be able to shut down the passing game and are very good on 3rd downs (#15 FBS). It feels like tough sledding for Rutgers vs an underrated defense. The only teams ahead of Indiana in yards per play defense in the Big 10 are Wisconsin, Penn St, Michigan and Ohio St. Good company. Rutgers is giving max effort on defense and their offense is predicated on running the ball and limiting mistakes. Throw in the possibility of less than ideal weather (nothing horrible; but not balmy) and this feels like a decent under play. Under 47.5 |
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11-16-17 | Titans v. Steelers OVER 44 | Top | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
This is a matchup of two high-potential offenses with questionable defenses in a game with standard weather conditions. The Titans offense scores 24.9 PPG with Marcus Mariota as the starter which would rank 7th in the league (Matt Cassel started vs MIA). The Steelers defense ranks high by metrics and gives up only 15.2 PPG which ranks 2nd in the league. They seem to be much improved from last season, but they played an easy schedule and keep showing some big mistakes just like last week when corners blew their assignments in cover 2 and cover 3 on the long Colts touchdowns. Here are the offenses they have faced with their respective ranks in offensive scoring: Browns (29th), Vikings (6th) in their first game with Case Keenum, Bears (32nd), Ravens (27th), Jaguars (14th), Chiefs (5th), Bengals (30th), Lions (10th), Colts (24th). That’s not a tough schedule at all. Their defensive schedule ranks near last in the league in terms of strength. We can say they haven’t been tested a lot. This Titans offense is a tough challenge for this defense, especially since they give up 4.6 YPC (26th) on the 10th-toughest schedule. On an average schedule, the Steelers defense would probably give up around 17-20 PPG. The realistic ceiling for this Titans offense is 20-24 points at Pittsburgh. The production of the Steelers offense has been underwhelming, their 19.9 offensive PPG are far below expectations. With the personnel, they should be a 27ish PPG offense. But there is the same schedule-issue for the offense : they played a really tough schedule. Fortunately, they get to play one of the worse defenses in the league. The Titans recently played the Browns in a game in which they changed the QBs twice, the Ravens and Bengals, all three are bottom-five offenses in 2017. That’s why the perception is a little bit too high on them I guess. The Titans defense played an easy schedule and they rank 20th in scoring defense, giving up 22 defensive PPG. They aren’t good in stopping the run and their secondary is the weakest part. Logan Ryan, Adoree Jackson and LeShaun Sims can’t really match up with the Steelers – Pittsburgh should move the ball on the Titans. The ceiling for the Steelers is 24+ points in my opinion. I think if both teams run a lot without breakout runs and show red zone struggles, the score could stay below 44, but that scenario isn’t likely to me. I think the score should end atleast around 24-20 with potential for 35-24. This game should fly into the 50s. Over! Over 44 |