Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-25-20 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 10.5 | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Over 10.5. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The over is 48-23-2 in the Red Sox last 73 games following an off day. - The over is 9-3-1 in the Red Sox last 13 games at Toronto. - The over is 9-2-1 in the Blue Jays last 12 games as a favorite. Verdict: Neither of these pitchers inspire much confidence. |
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08-23-20 | Angels +1.5 v. A's | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on LAA. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - Mike Trout is batting .324 with four home runs and 14 RBI versus Oakland this year. - Dylan Bundy is 2-0 with a 0.66 ERA in two starts versus the A's. - The Athletics are batting a combined .205 versus Bundy. Verdict: The Angels should be a favorite in this game. |
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08-22-20 | Red Sox v. Orioles +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Baltimore +1..5. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Red Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 road games. - The Red Sox are 3-9 in their last 12 overall. - The Red Sox are 8-17 in their last 25 after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Verdict: The Orioles have three more wins than Boston this season. |
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08-21-20 | Blue Jays v. Rays -148 | 6-5 | Loss | -148 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Tampa. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Blue Jays are 18-37 in their last 55 games as a road underdog. - The Blue Jays are 17-40 in their last 57 road games versus a left-handed starter. - The Rays are 13-3 in their last 16 overall. Verdict: The Jays best hitter (Bo Bichette) is out with a knee injury. |
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08-19-20 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -153 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Baltimore. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Blue Jays are 16-40 in their last 56 road games versus a left-handed starter. - The Orioles are 8-4 in their last 12 versus a team with a losing record. - The Blue Jays are 20-42 in their last 62 games following a win. Verdict: The Blue Jays have no business being favored. |
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08-18-20 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +1.5 | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Baltimore. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Blue Jays are 15-40 in their last 55 road games versus a left-handed starter. - The Orioles are 8-3 in their last 11 versus a team with a losing record. - The Blue Jays are 19-42 in their last 61 games following a win. Verdict: The Blue Jays have no business being favored. |
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08-17-20 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 60 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Over 9.5. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The over is 5-2-1 in the White Sox last eight games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. - The Tigers rank 26th in the majors with a team ERA of 5.52. - The over is 4-1 in the Tigers last five overall. Verdict: There should be plenty of scoring with two struggling pitchers on the mound. |
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08-16-20 | Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Over 9. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The over is 5-1 in the Diamondbacks last six overall. - The over is 4-1 in the Diamondbacks last five games versus a right-handed starter. - The over is 7-2 in the Padres last nine games following a loss. The verdict: This should be a shootout. |
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08-15-20 | Dodgers -138 v. Angels | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the LAD. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Dodgers are 6-1 in their last seven games versus a left-handed starter. - The Dodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 road games. - The Angels are 5-17 in their last 22 games as a home underdog. The verdict: The Dodgers are the best team in LA. |
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08-15-20 | Cardinals v. White Sox -160 | 5-1 | Loss | -160 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Chisox. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Sox starer Giolito was 7-3 with a 2.16 ERA in day games last year. - The Sox starter Giolito was 11-2 in the first half of last season. - The Cardinals starter Wainwright has an ERA of 6.22 in his last 15 road starts. The verdict: The Cardinals haven't played in three weeks, they should struggle. |
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08-14-20 | Mariners v. Astros -184 | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Houston. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Mariners are 3-9 in their last 12 overall. - The Mariners are 6-21 in their last 27 road games versus a left-handed starter. - The Astros are 22-6 in their last 28 home games versus a left-handed starter. Verdict: The Mariners are in big trouble in Texas. |
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08-13-20 | Pirates v. Reds OVER 9 | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Over 9. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - Trevor Williams is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in two starts on the road. - Anthony Descalafini is 0-2 with a 5.57 ERA in his last four starts versus Pittsburgh. - Josh Bell is batting .353 lifetime versus Descalafini. The verdict: expect plenty of runs at Great American Ballpark. |
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08-12-20 | Padres +1.5 v. Dodgers | 0-6 | Loss | -139 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on SD +1.5. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Padres are 4-1 in their last five overall. - The under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles. - The Dodgers have as many strikeouts (17) as they do hits versus Davies. The verdict: The Padres should actually be the favorite. |
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08-12-20 | Royals +1.5 v. Reds | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on KC. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Royals are 5-1 in the last six meetings in Cincinnati. - The Royals are 11-4 in the last 15 meetings. - The Reds are 4-9 in their last 13 home games. The verdict: The Reds have no business being favored here. |
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08-11-20 | A's v. Angels OVER 9 | 0-6 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Over 9. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The over is 4-0 in Fiers' last four starts with 4 days of rest. - The over is 8-1 in Angels last nine home games. - The Angels are batting over .300 versus Fiers. The verdict: The total here could be higher. |
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08-10-20 | A's v. Angels OVER 9 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Over 9. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The over is 7-1 in the Angels last eight home games. - The Athletics are 12-4 in their last 16 road games. - The over is 22-8 in the Athletics last 30 Monday games. The verdict: These pitchers should each get touched up in the first 5 innings. |
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08-09-20 | Indians v. White Sox +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Chisox Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Indians are 3-10 in their last 13 road games. - The are 3-8 in their last 11 road games versus a right-handed starter. - The Indians are 1-4 in the last five meetings in Chicago. The verdict: The White Sox look good at home with their ace on the mound. |
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08-09-20 | Tigers -139 v. Pirates | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Detroit Tigers +1.5. The Steelers lost by a score of 17-14 in Pittsburgh on Friday? Oh wait, despite the score it wasn't a football game, but rather a high scoring baseball game that ended in extra innings. It wasn't a surprise to see a close game go back and fourth, as four of the previous five meetings had been decided by one run. Sunday Steven Brault steps in to face a Tigers team that tagged him for four runs without recording an out in his last appearance. The Pirates might be the worst team in the Majors, and I don't think they deserve to be favored in this game. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-08-20 | Rockies +1.5 v. Mariners | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on the Rockies RL. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Mariners have lost six of their last seven overall. - The Rockies are 4-1 in the last five meetings in Seattle. - The Rockies have won seven of the last eight meetings. The verdict: The Mariners have no business being a favorite. |
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08-07-20 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -117 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on San Diego Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Diamondbacks are 1-9 in their last 10 games as a road underdog. - The Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Weavers last four starts versus a team with a winning record. - The Padres are 4-0 in their last four during game 1 of a series. The verdict: The home team should get the win. |
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08-06-20 | Yankees v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 39 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Over 9.5. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Yankees Aaron Judge has hit seven home runs in 11 days. - The Phillies rank 29th in the majors in team ERA. - The Phillies rank 3rd in the MLB in on base percentage. The verdict: This looks like another slugfest. |
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08-05-20 | Mets v. Nationals -187 | 3-1 | Loss | -187 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Washington. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Mets have lost six of their last seven overall. - The under is 4-0 in Scherzer's last four starts as a favorite. - The Mets pitching staff ranks 25th in team ERA. The verdict: The Mets are a mess, and this appears to be a lost season already. |
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08-04-20 | Mets v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Under 9.5. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The under is 5-2 in the last seven games at Nationals Park. - The under is 6-0-1 in Pat Corbin's last seven starts during game 1 of a series. - The under is 3-0-1 in the Mets last four road games versus a team with a losing record. The verdict: This number is simply far too inflated. |
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08-03-20 | Mets v. Braves +118 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Atlanta. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Mets are 0-5 in their last five overall. - The Braves are 5-0 in their last five overall. - The Mets are 1-6 in the last seven meetings in Atlanta. The verdict: The Mets shouldn't be a favorite regardless of who's pitching. |
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08-03-20 | Phillies v. Yankees -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
Ricky's 1* Free play on NYY -1.5. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Red Sox rank last in the majors with an opponent's batting avg. of .270. - The Phillies have been off for a week, and should be a bit rusty. - The Yankees were the highest scoring team in the majors last year. The verdict: This should be a blowout win for New York. |
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08-02-20 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Over 9.5. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Red Sox rank last in the majors with an opponent's batting avg. of .270. - The Over is 5-0 in Paxtons last 5 starts during Game 3 of a series - The Yankees were the highest scoring team in the majors last year. The verdict: This should be a slugfest. |
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08-02-20 | Astros -117 v. Angels | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Houston. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Astros are 14-6 in their last 20 games following a loss. - The Astros are 20-8 in the last 28 meetings in Los Angeles. - Mike Trout is expected to become the all time leader in WAR, and he's on paternity leave. The verdict: The Astros should dominate Game 3. |
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08-02-20 | Rangers v. Giants OVER 9 | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Over 9. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The over is 4-0 in Rangers last four road games. - The over is 4-0 in Giants last four home games. - The over is 5-0 in Giants last five Interleague games. The verdict: This should be a slugfest. |
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08-01-20 | Astros -154 v. Angels | 4-5 | Loss | -154 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
8* |
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07-31-20 | Astros -160 v. Angels | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Astros. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Astros are 13-6 in their last 19 games following a loss. - The Astros are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Los Angeles. - Mike Trout is expected to become the all time leader in WAR, and he's on paternity leave. The verdict: The Astros should dominate Game 1. |
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07-30-20 | Royals v. Tigers +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -134 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Detroit +1.5. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - Two of three games in this series have been decided by one run. - The Royals are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in Detroit. - The Royals are 0-8 in their last eight when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. The verdict: I don't think the Royals should be a favorite here. |
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07-29-20 | Royals +1.5 v. Tigers | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Ricky's 5* play on the Royals +1.5. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The over is 4-0-1 in Boyd's last five home starts. - The Royals are 5-2 in the last seven meetings. - Boyd is 5-9 with a 6.46 ERA in 19 career starts versus KC. The verdict: I don't think the Tigers should be a favorite here. |
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07-26-20 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -118 | 4-3 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on San Diego. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Diamondbacks are 0-6 in their last six games as a road underdog. - The Diamondbacks are 2-6 in the last eight meetings in San Diego. - Arizona finished at the bottom of the standings in Cactus League with a -35 run differential. The verdict: look for the home team to get the W. |
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07-25-20 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -125 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on San Diego. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last five games as a road underdog. - The Diamondbacks are 2-5 in the last seven meetings in San Diego. - Arizona finished at the bottom of the standings in Cactus League with a -35 run differential. The verdict: look for the home team to get the W. |
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07-25-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Houston -1.5. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Mariners were 1-18 versus the Astros last year, and 0-10 in Houston. - The Mariners finished dead last in the Cactus League this spring. - Mariners are 22-47 in their last 69 road games. The verdict: look for Houston to win big. |
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07-24-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Houston -1.5. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Mariners were 1-18 versus the Astros last year, and 0-10 in Houston. - The Mariners finished dead last in the Cactus League this spring. - Verlander was 3-0 with a 2.97 ERA in five starts versus Seattle last year. The verdict: look for Houston to win big. |
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07-24-20 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Rays | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 67 h 45 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Toronto +1.5. |
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10-29-19 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Nats/Astros. Justin Verlander has been terrible in the playoffs so far for the Astros, losing three of four. That included giving up four runs to the Nationals in his last start. Clearly the veteran has the tools and pedigree in place to turn things around and if not now, when? The Nationals are struggling at the plate over the last two games, so Verlander has a big opportunity to shine here. But Nationals' starter Stephen Strasburg also has a big opportunity here to help his team rebound. And Strasburg has been brilliant in the playoffs, winning four of his last five. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 15 as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range. - Houston has seen the total dip below the number in 13 of its last 20 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: I believe the men on the mound will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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10-23-19 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Nats/Astros. While yesterday's total blew past the posted number, I expect a much different result this time around in Game 2. I'm basing this pick primarily on the starting pitchers, but also a few key O/U trends that match up well in this position. Key Trends: - Stephen Strasburg of the Nationals went 18-6 with 3.32 ERA this year and he's 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA in the post-season. - Justin Verlander of the Nationals went 21-6 with a 2.58 ERA this season and he's 1-2 with a 3.70 ERA in the playoffs (overall Verlander is 19-12 with a 2.57 ERA lifetime at Minutemaid Park.) The verdict: Additionally note that Washington has seen the total dip below the number in eight of its last 13 road games after scoring five or more runs in its previous contest. As mentioned off the top, while yesterday's game snuck over, this one has "duel" written all over it in my opinion! |
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10-22-19 | Nationals +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 54 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* RUN-LINE GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Washington Nationals. Do you need me to list the stats of these starting pitchers? Max Scherzer of the Nationals and Gerrit Cole of the Astros are two of the better known starting hurlers in the league, so if you're betting on this game, listing their records probably isn't necessary (Scherzer is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in the post-season, with 27 K's over 20 innings of work, while Cole is 3-0 with a 0.40 ERA so far in the playoffs.) The verdict: I believe the starters are a "wash" here, so in a contest which I envision being decided by the releivers and in the latter frames, I'm going to suggest grabbing extra 1.5 runs of insurance for this very reasonable price; play on the Nats run line in Game 1! |
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10-15-19 | Astros -155 v. Yankees | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* SITUATIONAL DESTROYER is on the Houston Astros. New York scored the 7-0 win in Game 1, and then the Astros responded with a 3-2 extra innings effort in Game 2. So far this series has been dominated by the men on the mound and I think that's once again going to be the case today. I think these talented line-ups are a "wash," but I give Gerrit Cole (20-5, 2.50 ERA) the big nod on the bump in this matchup. Cole has been "lights out" all year, but he's been particualry sharp of late by going 2-0 with a 0.57 ERA so far in the playoffs. He was 8-3 with a 2.37 ERA in 16 starts on the road as well. Severino is 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA this year. Severino is also 2-1 with a 3.86 ERA in five games vs. the Astros. Severino is great, but I think he's going to run into a buzz-saw here vs. the hottest pitcher in the league. Key Trends: - Houston is 31-15 in day games this year. - New York is 5-8 in its last 13 as an underdog in the +125 to +175 range. The verdict: Note that Severino is 1-2 with a 5.33 ERA in his career in the postseason. Bank on Cole continuing his record setting playoff run with another gem; lay the price! |
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10-14-19 | Cardinals v. Nationals UNDER 7 | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is the under Cards/Nats. This is a pivotal game in this series. A win here for the Cards and they're right back in it. A victory for the Nationals means they have a strangle hold on it and the pressure is truly off. These are also two World class pitchers and I expect them to go deep into this one. Jack Flaherty (11-8, 2.75 ERA, 0.97 WHIP) held the Nats to one run over five innings in his only matchup against them. Stephen Strasburg (18-6, 3.32) allowed three runs over 11 innings vs. the Card this season and overall vs. them he's 3-2 with a 2.50 ERA in eight career matchups. Key Trends: - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in interestingly in 15 of its last 23 after allowing four runs or less in three straight games. - Washington has seen the total dip under in 50 of its last 90 following a victory. The verdict: The Cards' offense has been non-existent in this series and I don't see anything changing with the shift in venue; this one has "duel" written all over it. Play the under! |
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10-11-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Nats/Cards. Anibal Sanchez toes the rubber for the visitors, while Mile Mikolas gets the nod for the home side. Each looked sharp in their respective starts in their NLDS opening duties, but I believe each will take a step back in the opener of the NLCS. Sanchez is 2-4 with a 3.34 ERA in eight career starts vs. St. Louis, while Mikolas is 2-2 with a 4.95 ERA in 26 career innings vs. Washington. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go over the number in 13 of its last 19 when playing with a day off. - St. Louis has seen the total go over the number in 16 of its last 24 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: Look for these two big hitting line-ups to chase these starters early and expect this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later! |
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10-10-19 | Rays v. Astros UNDER 7 | Top | 1-6 | Push | 0 | 34 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL SUPER-BLOWOUT is on the under Rays/Astros. I think we have a classic "duel" on our hands here. Both starters enter on top form and I expect that to translate into a lower-scoring battle in this pivotal Game 5 ALDS contest. The visitors see Tyler Glasnow toe the slab, and he's 6-1 with a 1.78 ERA and 0.89 WHIP this year. Glasnow is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA with four walks and 11 K's over 9.1 innings spanning two career starts vs. the Astros. The home side counters with Gerrit Cole, who was 20-5 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.895 WHIP this year. He already beat the Rays in Game 2, going 7.2 innings of scoreless work. Cole is 21-4 with a 2.70 ERA with 48 walks and 330 K's over 33 career starts at Minute Maid Park. Key Trends: - Tampa has interestingly seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten when the total in the contest is set at seven or less. - Houston has seen the total go under in 14 of 21 when playing with double revenge after two straight losses vs. an opponent this season. The verdict: Expect these starting pitchers to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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10-09-19 | Nationals v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -120 | 36 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR is the under Nats/Dodgers. Washington forced a decisive Game 5 by taking Game 4 by a score of 6-1. I think this one has "duel" written all over it as well. Both starting pitchers come in red hot and it's the entire reason why I'm making a play of this size. Stephen Strasburg (18-6, 3.32 ERA) toes the slab for the visitors, while the home side counters with Walker Buehler (14-4, 3.26). Key Trends: - Strasburg is 8-4 with a 3.39 ERA in 19 starts on the road. He's 2-0 with a 0.95 ERA over his last three starts overall. He's 3-2 with a 0.64 ERA in five postseason starts in his career. - Buehler is 6-1 with a 2.86 ERA in 14 starts at honme this season and he's 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA in his last three trips to the hill overall. He's 1-1 with a 3.03 ERA in five career postseason starts. The verdict: With these two "studs" battling deep, expect this total to stay WELL below the posted number; play the under! |
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10-07-19 | Yankees v. Twins UNDER 9 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 36 h 39 m | Show |
My10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under Yanks/Twins. With their backs against the wall, the Twins fight for their lives at home vs. the mighty Yanks. New York's offense was one of the best all year, but it actually entered the postseason in a bit of a slump. New York is up 2-0 in this series thanks in part to some timely pitching and some suddenly hot bats. But I think that Twins' starter Jake Odorizzi (15-7, 3.51 ERA) can go deep into this one opposite his counterpart Luis Severino (1-1, 1.50). Severino is 19-13 with a 3.38 ERA in 51 career road games. Odorrizzi is 7-3 with a 3.42 ERA in Minnesota lifetime. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 12 after two straight wins by four runs or more. - Minnesota has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of its last five after allowing seven runs or more in two straight games. The verdict: I look for these two dominant starters to fight into the latter frames; play the under! |
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10-04-19 | Twins v. Yankees -180 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 29 h 24 m | Show | |
My 9* BIG TIGER is on the New York Yankees. Jose Berrios gets the call for the Twins, while James Paxton toes the slab for the home side. If recent history is any precedence, then New York has to be loving its chances in this ALDS, as it’s won ten straight playoff series vs. Minnesota and 13 of the 15 all time appearances. Both teams had great campaigns, setting many clubs records on offense. I think these talented line-ups are a “wash.” Key Trends: - Twins’ starter Jose Berrios (14-8, 3.68 ERA) was exceptional overall this year. Note that he’s just 1-2 with a 5.79 ERA in three life-time starts vs. the Yanks. - James Paxton (15-6, 3.82) of the Yankees is 3-1 with a 2.27 ERA in six career starts vs. the Twins. The verdict: I give Paxton a big nod on the bump in this matchup. Home field advantage can’t be overlooked here either in this pressure packed opener; lay the price with confidence! |
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10-03-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Cards/Braves. This should be an interesting series. This is also an interesting matchup on the mound to open this series, as neither Miles Mikolas nor Dallas Keuchel has had a great season and neither enters in good form. The winner of this series could very well hinge upon which of these two starters can regroup the quickest. Both teams have plenty of starting talent, but overall Mikolas and Keuchel have been huge disappointments. Each though has plenty of experience and both will be highly motivated. And I think this does indeed set up nicely from a situational stand point to be a classic “duel” to open this series. Key Trends: - Mikolas is in fact 2-1 with a 3.03 ERA over his last six starts, striking out 35 in his last 35 2/3’s innings of work. - Keuchel is 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA over his last eight starts, but enters having lost three in a row. The verdict: I think these two hungry starters fight deep into the latter frames, which is going to help in keeping this total well under the number; play the under! |
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10-02-19 | Rays v. A's -142 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -142 | 59 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Oakland A’s. Charlie Morton (16-6, 3.05 ERA) has been excellent this year. He also has great numbers vs. the A’s this season (1-0, 0.69 ERA) and he’s done well in Oakland throughout his career. He’s a mediocre 2-2 with a 4.60 ERA in seven postseason appearances though. The A’s Sean Manaea (4-0, 1.21 ERA) returned from a lengthy injury at the start of September and he’s been red hot ever since. Manaea has a 0.78 WHIP as well and he’s 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA in three career match ups vs. Tampa Bay. The verdict: The A’s were bounced by the Yanks in the AL Wildcard last year. The home side has the option to move to Mike Fiers quickly if it has too as well. In my opinion, this line should/could in fact be larger. Great value on the A’s to bounce back after last year’s loss in this contest; lay it! |
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10-01-19 | Brewers v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -113 | 35 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the OVER Brewers/Nationals. Both Brandon Woodruff and Max Scherzer are coming off victories to end the year and each has put together a fine campaign. But I think that the extra time off between starts for Scherzer (an entire week), will actually be a detriment here as I believe he comes out flat to start. The Brewers are without some key offensive players in the line-up today, but Milwaukee was the hottest team in the league down the stretch and I think that momentum gets carried over here. Washington hasn’t won a playoff game in 38 years. I’m expecting a fight from start to finish in this one. Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go over the number in 11 of its last 16 when playing with a day off. - Washington has seen the total go over the number in 14 of 22 already this season at home when the total is set between 7.5 and 8.5. The verdict: "We're going into a hostile environment, playing against a hot team with one of the best pitchers in the league," Milwaukee left fielder Ryan Braun told reporters. "Certainly, it will be a challenge, but we've had our backs against the wall all month. We've been counted out many times. We kind of like being in that position." With neither side backing down, I look for this total to sneak over this number in the latter frames; play the over! |
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09-27-19 | Astros v. Angels OVER 10 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -120 | 32 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* TOAL BLOOD-BATH is on the over Astros/Angels. I think these suspect starting pitchers get the hook early and as a result, I believe this total is going to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. Houston sees Jose Urquidy (1-1, 4.63 ERA) toe the slab and he’s faced the Angels twice this year, including a start in July in which he conceded five runs off eight hits over two innings. Urquidy will be opposed by the erratic Patrick Sandoval (0-3, 5.25) who gae up three runs over three innings in his lone start vs. the Astros this season. Key Trends: - The Astros have seen the total go over the number in 13 of its last 21 on the road when the total is set between 9 and 10.5. - The Angels have seen the total go over the number in 11 of their last 17 home games when the total is between 9 and 10.5. The verdict: Look for these two confirmed “gas cans” to get the hook early and as mentioned off the top, then look for this total to fly over the posted number sooner, rather than later! |
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09-27-19 | Braves +100 v. Mets | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Atlanta Braves. I think that Dallas Keuchel (8-7, 3.59 ERA) and Marcus Stroman (9-13, 3.23) are a “wash,” but I look for the Braves to keep the foot on the gas in the final series of the regular season. The Mets are eliminated and the Braves have locked down the second-best record in the NL, but clearly the visitors will want to keep their momentum high as they head into that important playoff contest. Key Trends: - Keuchel has faced the Mets twice this year and so far he’s thrown 13 scoreless frames vs. them. - The Mets are just 2-7 in their last nine National League home games as a favorite in the -105 to -130 range. The verdict: Stroman has been a solid presence for the Mets since coming over from the Jays, but I’m going to give the advantage to Keuchel here, as he looks to tune up his performance for what will hopefully be a deep playoff push. Play on the Braves! |
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09-25-19 | Astros v. Mariners UNDER 9 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 32 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the UNDER Astros/M’s. I think that runs will be at a premium in this one, due mainly to the fact that I have a hard time seeing the home side mustering much of an offensive attack vs. the Astros Zack Greinke (17-5, 3.05 ERA). Greinke is 7-1 with a 3.48 ERA since coming over from Arizona and he’s 6-1 with a 2.05 ERA in 13 career appearances vs. the M’s. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total dip under in 15 of 24 already this season on the road when the total is either 9 or 9.5. - Seattle has seen the total go under the number in 12 of its last 20 as a home dog of +125 or higher. The verdict: The Astros won 3-0 in yesterday’s series opener and everything points to a similar final outcome here as well in my opinion. As stated off the top, based entirely on the recent form of Greinke and his long-term dominance he’s had vs. the M’s, I’m playing the under! |
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09-25-19 | Red Sox -154 v. Rangers | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Boston Red Sox. Both teams are eliminated from playoff contention. Each side plays out the remainder of the season, but I believe that Rick Porcello (13-12, 5.56 ERA) and the defending champs are the correct call in this one. The home side see Kolby Allard (4-1, 4.25) toe the slab. Porcello is a free agent next year, so he’s looking to close out strong. Note that the Red Sox’ veteran was extremely sharp in his last contest, holding the Rays to just three hits over six scoreless frames of work, while also striking out six. Allard has a 2.60 ERA in five road contests and a 7.36 ERA in three starts at home for the Rangers. Key Trends: - Boston is still 50-27 vs. clubs with losing records this year (Texas assured a third straight losing season now.) - Texas is just 13-30 (-12.1 units) in its last 43 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: I love Porcello to dominate his rookie counterpart and I do in fact believe that this line could/should be much larger; play on the Red Sox! |
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09-24-19 | Brewers v. Reds -133 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -133 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
The set-up: I think this is a bigger mismatch on the mound and at the plate than what this line would suggest. The visitors see Julio Teheran toe the slab, while the home side counters with Danny Duffy. The pitchers: Teheran (10-10, 3.55 ERA) is 0-2 lifetime vs. the Royals, despite a minuscule 0.69 ERA spanning 13 frames of work. Duffy (6-6, 4.30) is coming off a strong outing and he’s enjoyed success vs. the Braves in the past, but I think he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time here. The pick: The Braves still have a mathematical shot at catching the Dodgers, so I don’t expect them to let off the gas over this two-game interleague series. Just the opposite in fact. Look for ATL to come in focused on the task at hand and lay the reasonable mid-sized price (note the Royals swept a two-game series in ATL in July, so the Braves also play with revenge here.) 10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on the Atlanta Braves. |
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09-24-19 | Twins v. Tigers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under Twins/Tigers. I have a hard time seeing the anemic Tigers mustering much of an offensive attack today vs. Twins starter Jake Odorizzi (14-7, 3.59 ERA). The home side sees Spencer Turnbull (3-15, 4.66) toe the slab. Odorizzi most recently allowed two runs over six innings in an unfortunate 3-1 loss to the White Sox (note that in 11 career starts he’s 5-1 with a 3.05 ERA vs. the Tigers.) Turnbull earned a no-decision vs. the Tribe in his last start despite allowing only one run over five frames of work. Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four after allowing seven runs or more over two straight games. - Detroit has seen the total dip below the posted number in 17 of its last 27 at home when the total in the contest is set at either 9 or 9.5. The verdict: I think these starters battle deep, which will in turn help in keeping this total under the number; play the under! |
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09-23-19 | Cardinals -124 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the St. Louis Cardinals. This is a big game/series. Adam Wainwright (13-9, 3.83 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while the home side counters with Alex Young (7-4, 3.27). St. Louis clinched a playoff berth with yesterday’s victory, but it’ll keep the foot on the gas as the Brewers are still surging towards the finish line as well. Also note that St. Louis can play spoiler here, as a loss today will eliminate Arizona from contention. Key Trends: - Wainwright is 4-0 in his last four starts, having given up just two runs over his last 27 frames of work. - Wainwright is 9-5 with a 2.70 ERA in 16 career appearances vs. the D-Backs. - This is Young’s first ever matchup vs. St. Louis. The verdict: Young’s been great and Arizona’s season hangs in the balance, but the Cards have the advantage across the board here and I look for them to deliver the knock out blow; lay the short price! |
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09-23-19 | Marlins v. Mets OVER 8 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER Marlins/Mets. The Mets’ wildcard hopes are dwindling, but they can only play one game at a time. This is a favorable matchup to open the new week obviously. The Marlins won’t be rolling over here as they’ll be looking to play spoiler. The visitors go with Caleb Smith (9-10, 4.24 ERA), while the home side counters with Steven Matz (10-9, 4.16.) Matz was crushed in his most recent outing, allowing seven runs over four innings in a 9-4 loss to the Rockies. Smith earned a victory his last time out despite not being at his best, allowing four runs over five frames in his team’s eventual 12-6 win over the D-Backs. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go over the number in 23 of its last 33 vs. southpaws. - New York has seen the total go over the number in 40 of 63 vs. division opponents this season. The verdict: I think these suspect starters get chased early; play the over! |
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09-20-19 | Giants v. Braves -179 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Atlanta Braves. The Braves won a tight one 5-4 last night vs. the Phillies and with a victory tonight they’ll clinch the division title. While I don’t normally ever recommend laying juice of this size on a play of this magnitude, in this case I feel the situation absolutely calls for it. The visitors see the erratic Tyler Beede (5-9, 5.02 ERA) toe the slab, while the home side goes with Mike Foltynewicz (7-5, 4.80). Foltynewicz has arguably been the best pitcher in all of MLB over the last two months, going 5-0 with a 2.76 ERA over his last eight games. Beede’s been decent of late, but note that he’s a poor 4-5 with a 5.79 ERA on the road this season.) Key Trends: - San Francisco is just 22-32 this year after three or more straight road games. - Atlanta is 43-23 as a home favorite. The verdict: I think the Giants throw in the white flag early here and look for Foltynewicz to continue his recent red hot form; lay the price with confidence! |
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09-20-19 | Phillies v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 101 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the under Phillies/Indians. The Phillies playoff hopes are on the line and the Indians are still vying for position. For a number of different reasons, I believe that the opener of this interleague contest will fall under the number once it’s all said and done. The visitors go with Drew Smyly (4-6, 6.22 ERA), while the home side sees Shane Bieber (14-7, 3.26) toe the slab. The Phillies offense lost Jean Segura to injury in yesterday’s 5-4 setback to the Braves. But while Smyly’s overall record isn’t anything to write home about, the Phillies have to be feeling decent about a bounce back here as Smyly has been sharp since coming over to his new team, going 3-1 with a 4.14 ERA since the All Star break. Bieber has been a steady bright spot for the Tribe all year and I expect him to go deep as well. Key Trends: - Philly has seen the total go under in three of four already this year as a road dog in the +175 to +250 range. - The Indians have seen the total go under the number in 21 of 34 at home when the total in the contest is set between 9 and 9.5. The verdict: I think these starters battle deep; play the under! |
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09-19-19 | Padres v. Brewers -150 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST is on the Milwaukee Brewers. No need to overthink this one. Milwaukee had won 11 of 12 before yesterday’s loss, while the Padres had lost six in a row. Milwaukee still sits a couple games back in the wild card playoff race, so it can ill afford to take the foot off the gas or lose focus now. The Padres hand the ball to Joey Lucchesi (10-8, 4.22 ERA), while the Brewers go with Jordan Lyles (11-8, 4.25). These two starters had drastically different results in their last outings and I believe it’s a “sign of things to come” in the short-term (Lucchesi gave up eight runs in three innings to the Rockies in his last start, while Lyles earned the victory vs. the the Cards last Saturday by conceding two runs over six frames.) Key Trends: - San Diego is just 32-36 (-5.3 units) this year following a victory. - Milwaukee is a sharp 21-12 this year as a favorite of -150 or higher. The verdict: Considering how big this game is for the Brewers and also taking into account their overall form and also the form of their starting pitcher, I think this is definitely the very definition of “great line value.” Lay the price! |
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09-18-19 | Padres v. Brewers -137 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -137 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the under Phillies/Braves. Considering the circumstances, I think this number is a little high. The visitors hand the ball to Zach Eflin (8-12, 4.20 ERA), while the home side counters with Julio Teheran (10-9, 3.50). Eflin has admittedly struggled vs. ATL this year, going 0-3 with an 11.57 ERA. But I’m of the belief that such unbelievably lop-sided trends/numbers have a way of naturally “correcting” themselves, even over the short-term. Note though that in six career starts, Eflin is now 2-3 with a 4.45 ERA (and he’s conceded only four runs over 23 frames worked in Atlanta.) Same thing for Teheran funnily enough, as he’s 0-2 with an 8.00 ERA in two starts vs. Philadelphia. But like his counterpart today, overall Teheran has fared well vs. the PHillies throughout his career, going 9-8 with a 3.92 ERA in 25 appearances. Key Trends: - Philly has seen the total go under the number in 30 of 50 as an underdog this season. - ATL has seen the total dip under in 21 of its last 34 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Look for these two hungry starters to be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries; play the under! |
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09-18-19 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 10 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 103 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the under Phillies/Braves. Considering the circumstances, I think this number is a little high. The visitors hand the ball to Zach Eflin (8-12, 4.20 ERA), while the home side counters with Julio Teheran (10-9, 3.50). Eflin has admittedly struggled vs. ATL this year, going 0-3 with an 11.57 ERA. But I’m of the belief that such unbelievably lop-sided trends/numbers have a way of naturally “correcting” themselves, even over the short-term. Note though that in six career starts, Eflin is now 2-3 with a 4.45 ERA (and he’s conceded only four runs over 23 frames worked in Atlanta.) Same thing for Teheran funnily enough, as he’s 0-2 with an 8.00 ERA in two starts vs. Philadelphia. But like his counterpart today, overall Teheran has fared well vs. the PHillies throughout his career, going 9-8 with a 3.92 ERA in 25 appearances. Key Trends: - Philly has seen the total go under the number in 30 of 50 as an underdog this season. - ATL has seen the total dip under in 21 of its last 34 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Look for these two hungry starters to be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries; play the under! |
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09-17-19 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 12-6 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Marlins/D-Backs. A couple of capable hurlers go head-to-head in this one and in my opinion, runs are definitely going to be at a premium after yesterday’s 7-5 win by the D-Backs. The visitors go with Caleb Smith (8-10, 4.13 ERA), while the home side counters with Alex Young (7-4, 3.38). Smith already has 160 K’s over 139 1/3’s innings of work this season, while rookie Young has 61 K’s over 69 1/3’s innings. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go under the number in 20 of 29 this year as a road dog in the +150 to +200 range. - Arizona has seen the total dip under the number in nine of 14 this year as a home favorite in the -150 to -200 range. The verdict: Look for these two hungry starters to battle deep into the latter frames and for this total to stay well under once it’s all said and done! |
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09-17-19 | Mets -147 v. Rockies | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the New York Mets. I think that Marcus Stroman (8-13, 3.35 ERA) and the Mets will find a way to get the job done here on the road vs. Tim Melville (2-2, 5.16) and the Rockies after last nigh’s 9-4 series opening loss. Now five game sback in the NL Wild Card race, if not now for the Mets, when?! Stroman is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA since coming over from the Jays and the Mets are 5-3 in those starts. Stroman comes in off his best start as a Met as well, allowing one run over six innings in an 11-1 win over the D-Backs on Thursday. Melville was destroyed in his latest outing by the Cards on Thursday, allowing five runs off five hits (four were home runs) over three innings. Key Trends: - The Mets are still 18-8 (+7.7 units) in their last 26 vs. teams with losing records. - The Rockies are just 6-10 this season as a home dog in the +125 to +175 range. The verdict: Stroman’s on a mission to prove he belongs and the Mets are absolutely desperate for a victory; all things considered, I feel this is a great price! |
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09-16-19 | Mets v. Rockies OVER 13.5 | Top | 4-9 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 1 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the over Mets/Rockies. For a number of different reasons, I look for this total to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. The visitors hand the ball to Steven Matz (10-8, 3.84 ERA), while the home side goes with Antonio Senzatela (9-10, 6.87). This is a big series for the Mets following a tough 3-2 loss to the Dodgers last night. The verdict: Matz has been awesome in The Big Apple by going 7-1 with a 1.94 ERA, but he’s a terrible 3-7 with a 6.08 ERA on the road. Clearly that doesn’t bode well for the southpaw playing in the thin air of Coors Field tonight. Senzatela has had success vs. the Mets in his career, but he owns a terrible 6.79 ERA at home this year. Taking into account the suspect starting pitching, as stated off the top, all signs point to this one flying over the number early! |
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09-16-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals +106 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 106 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the St. Louis Cardinals. The Nationals bounced back and avoided a four-game sweep at home to the Braves last night, but I think they’ll stumble here. The visitors go with Stephen Strasburg (17-6, 3.49 ERA), while the home side goes with Daniel Hudson (15-7, 3.38). The Cards lead the Cubs by two games for the NL Central lead and after losing two of three to the Brewers over the weekend, clearly they won’t be looking past their opponent today. I’m calling the pitchers a “wash.” The difference is in the home field advantage and the numbers. Key Trends: - Washington is just 3-7 in its last ten following a win and as a road favorite in the -110 to -140 range. - St. Louis is 7-2 in its last nine home games as an underdog in the +115 to +145 range. The verdict: Look for the hungry home side to bounce back after a losing weekend; great value here! |
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09-15-19 | Dodgers -130 v. Mets | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* SITUATIONAL SMASH-JOB is on the LA Dodgers. Whether on the road or at home, the Dodgers are a popular pick this year. The Mets are vying for a wild card, but the Dodgers are still in a fight for home field advantage. I always take into account “motivation” when looking at the two teams in question, but in the case, I think they’re equally as motivated, so we can throw that factor out the window and call it a “wash.” So that said, for this pick I’m going to concentrate solely on the starting pitching and in this case, I absolutely feel that Walker Bueler (13-3, 3.14 ERA) is worth the price of admission in this spot. Buehler enters on top form, most recently striking out 11 over seven innings, allowing no runs off four hits and no walks. Zach Wheeler (11-7, 4.21) comes in off a strong outing as well vs. the D-Backs, allowing one run over seven innings, but note that he’s 1-2 with a ballooned 7.88 ERA in three career starts vs. LA. Key Trends: - LA is 68-34 vs. right-handed starters this season. - New York is interestingly a poor 8-15 (-11 units) this year when playing on a Sunday. Does this stat matter? It certainly doesn’t help the Mets that’s for sure. The verdict: I like Buehler to continue his recent surge and I believe that Wheeler’s issues vs. this particular hard-hitting opponent continue; lay the short price! |
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09-15-19 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 10 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the over Braves/Nationals. The Braves won 10-1 yesterday and with the victory they’ve punched a ticket to the post-season. Atlanta though has its eyes on a bigger prize and it won’t be taking the foot off the gas today as it looks to still run down the best overall record in the NL. The Nationals though are looking to avoid the series sweep and back into the win column themselves. Max Fried (16-5, 4.02 ERA) and Anibal Sanchez (8-8, 4.04) have both been better than advertised for their clubs this year, but the overall situation lends itself to another high-scoring slug-fest in my opinion. Note the Fried was destroyed in his last start, getting rocked for five runs off seven hits over five innings vs. the Phillies (while 8-2 on the road, the beneficiary of the Braves’ explosive offense, note that Fried only has a 4.91 ERA on the road.) And unfortunately for Sanchez, he’s been better on the road (6-6, 3.36 ERA) this season, than at home (2-2, 4.96). Key Trends: - Atlanta has seen the total go over the number in all three of its games this year in which it enters off a victory of eight runs or more vs. a division rival. - Washington has seen the total go over the number in three of four this season after scoring two runs or less in two straight games. The verdict: I believe the starters get chased early and as a result, I look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later! |
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09-14-19 | White Sox v. Mariners UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS on the under White Sox/M’s. Clearly neither starter instills much confidence whatsoever. That said, neither Dylan Cease (3-7, 6.53 ERA) nor Felix Hernandez (1-6, 6.96) will be lacking for motivation and each benefits from facing a line-up which struggles at the plate at times. After last night’s 9-7 explosive White Sox’ victory, I think the Saturday night contest sets up as more of a “duel.” Hernandez has been atrocious since returning from injury over two starts, but he’ll take confidence in the fact that he’s posted a very respectable 3.82 ERA in 21 career starts vs. the White Sox. Cease gave up one run over four innings vs. the Angels in his last outing. Key Trends: - Chicago has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten after scoring nine or more runs in its previous contest. - Seattle has seen the total go under the number in 13 of its last 21 vs. clubs with losing records. The verdict: For all the reason listed above, expect this total to sneak under once it’s all said and done! |
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09-14-19 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -109 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* BIG TIGER on the Arizona Diamondbacks. I think the home side offers great value to bounce back here after last night’s loss. The Reds go with Anthony DeSclafani (9-8, 4.06 ERA), while the home side counters with Merrill Kelly (10-14, 4.68). Arizona is playing with extreme desperation as last night’s 4-3 loss was its sixth in a row. Now 4.5 games behind the Cubs for the final wild card, there’s no room left for error. But desperation breeds motivation. Kelly has made back-to-back quality starts, most recently going seven scoreless and stricken gout nine in a 2-1 win over the Padres. DeSclafani has had success vs. the D-Backs in the past, but I think he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time. Key Trends: - Cincinnati is still only 14-28 (-10.3 units) this year as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range. - Arizona is already 7-3 (+4.8 units) this season after having lost six or seven of its last eight. The verdict: The writing is on the wall and a blowout is in the cards; lay the short price! |
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09-13-19 | Astros v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 106 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Astros/Royals. The Astros have been playing to some high-scoring affairs of late, but when the smoke clears at the end of this one, I believe it’ll be the starting pitchers who are the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Gerrit Cole (16-5, 2.73 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while the home side counters with Danny Duffy (6-6, 4.71). Cole has won 12 straight decisions, posting a 1.97 ERA in the process. Note that Cole struck out 15 in his team’s 21-1 win over the Mariners last Sunday. Duffy returned from the IL to starts ago and he’s looked great, most recently allowing on run and two hits in a 7-2 victory over the Marlins. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under the number in 30 of 47 this year when the total in the contest is set between 8 or 8.5. - KC has seen the total go under in 19 of 31 this year in the same position. The verdict: I have a hard time seeing the Royals’ anemic offense mustering much of an attack here; this number is high, play the under! |
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09-13-19 | Dodgers -128 v. Mets | Top | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS on the LA Dodgers. I like Clayton Kershaw (13-5, 3.06 ERA) and the Dodgers to find a way to get the job done here vs. Noah Syndergaard (10-7, 4.06) and the Mets. New York is still in the hunt for a wild card berth, but after sweeping the D-Backs in four games, I believe a predictable “letdown” is imminent here. LA is still in search of the NL pennant and it has its best line-up of starters ready to go for this series. I like Kershaw to set the early tone. The verdict: Both starters have had considerable success vs. their respective opponent tonight, but note that LA is 66-33 vs. right-handed starters this year, while New York is only 15-21 (-7.4 units) vs. southpaws; lay the short price! |
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09-12-19 | Braves -123 v. Phillies | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -123 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* BIG TIGER on the Atlanta Braves. Julio Teheran (10-8, 3.31 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves have taken two of three to open this four game series, but they still sit three games behind the Dodgers for the best record in the NL. Drew Smyly (4-6, 6.20) and the Phillies are desperate to try and reach one of the NL wild card spots, but time is running out and this is a horrible matchup on the mound for it. Teheran has a 3.66 lifetime ERA vs. Philadelphia, while Smyly is just 1-6 with a 7.66 ERA in all home games this year. The verdict: I base my picks on many different things, but this one I’m primarily focussing on the starting pitchers. Both teams are equally as “hungry” to win, so the motivation part of the equation has to be thrown out here. From purely a starting pitching stand point, I absolutely feel that Teheran could/should in fact be a much larger favorite in this particular matchup; lay the price! |
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09-12-19 | Diamondbacks v. Mets OVER 8 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the over D-Backs/Mets. For a number of different reasons, I think this one sets up perfectly as a high-scoring slug-fest on Thursday afternoon. Alex Young (7-3, 3.38 ERA) has been sharp for the D-Backs of late, most recently striking out 12 in a 2-0 win over Cincinnati. After having won three of four though, I think Young finally takes a step back here in this pressure filled situation. The home side goes with Marcus Stroman (7-13, 3.42), who looked poor in his last start, allowing five runs off ten hits over four innings in a 5-0 loss to Philadelphia. Since coming over from Toronto Stroman has posted a horrible 1-2, 5.05 ERA record. Key Trends: - Arizona has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 12 National League road games as an underdog in the +125 to +175 range. - New York has seen the total dip under the number in seven of its last 11 day home games as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: This is a big game/series and I believe these hungry line-ups chase these starters early; play the over! |
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09-11-19 | Brewers v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Brewers/Marlins. I have a hard time seeing the offensively challenged Marlins mustering many runs in this matchup. The Brewers hand the ball to Zach Davies (9-7, 3.69 ERA), while the home side counters with Reynaldo Lopez (5-8, 4.75.) Milwaukee is going for its sixth straight win here. Note though that last night’s victory came with a major cost after slugger Christian Yelich injured himself in the first inning. He won’t be in the line-up this evening either. Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in ten of its last 15 on the road when the total is set at either 8 or 8.5. - Miami has seen the total dip under in 13 of its last 21 vs. right-handed starters. The verdict: I like Davies to go deep and without Yelich in the line-up, there’s no question in my mind that this one definitely sets up as a “duel,” rather than a high-scoring slug-fest; play the under! |
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09-11-19 | Dodgers v. Orioles +183 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 183 | 28 h 31 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* BEWARE-OF-DOG play on the Baltimore Orioles. After last night’s setback, I think the Orioles offer great value to “steal” this one off their contented non-conference opponent. LA just won the NL West Division with last night’s victory and while it still has to lock up home field advantage throughout, there’s no question that tonight’s contest sets up as a natural letdown spot for the Dodgers. Ross Stripling (4-4, 3.42 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, while the home side goes with John Means (10-10, 3.50). Means has been spectacular of late, going 2-2 with a tiny 2.45 ERA over his last four starts. The verdict: I think Means is the correct call here. LA looks poised for a classic “letdown” after clinching the division last night as well. As mentioned off the top, this one has “upset” written all over it; play on the Orioles! |
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09-10-19 | Reds -130 v. Mariners | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 32 h 36 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS on the Cincinnati Reds. Cincinnati turns to Trevor Bauer (10-12, 4.60 ERA), while the home side goes with Justus Sheffield (0-1, 5.51). Sheffield comes in off a no-decision despite going five scoreless vs. the Cubs. Bauer’s been terrible for the Reds since coming over from the Tribe, but I still think he’ll have more than enough in the tank to get the better of his rookie counterpart. Note that Bauer beat the M’s on April 15th, conceding one run over seven innings while striking out eight. Key Trends: - Cincinnati is 7-2 in its last nine as a road favorite of -110 or higher. - Seattle is only 8-16 this season a home dog of +125 or more. The verdict: I think Bauer bounces back and finishes up the season strong and doesn’t look past this opportunity whatsoever. Lay the price! |
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09-10-19 | Diamondbacks v. Mets OVER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the over D-Backs/Mets. Zac Gallen (3-4, 2.50 ERA) gets the nod for the D-Backs and he’ll be opposed by the Mets’ Zach Wheeler (10-7, 4.33) in this one. Both have looked good this season, but I believe each will get the hook early and I expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. Both teams are still in the wildcard hunt and neither will be taking anything for granted tonight. Key Trends: - Arizona has seen the total go over in 12 of its last 18 in revving a loss where the team scored one or less runs. - New York has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 16 of 25 this year already at home with a money line in the -100 to -150 range. The verdict: From a situational stand point, this one absolutely sets up as a “slug-fest;” play the over! |
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09-09-19 | Pirates v. Giants -154 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -154 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on San Francisco Giants. Trevor Williams (7-6, 5.16 ERA) has had a lot of success vs. the Giants throughout his career and he’s been playing well of late as well. But Madison Bumgarner (9-8, 3.81 ERA) has also dominated the Pirates though out his career and he also enters on top form. The verdict: The difference here though is the desperation in which the Giants come out with tonight. San Fran is seven games back with three weeks remaining for the final Wild Card spot, but it has a big advantage in playing seven straight at home vs. sub .500 teams. Bumgarner is scheduled to pitch twice over the next week. I think the veteran delivers and gets the better of his counterpart today. I’m laying what I feel to be a very reasonable mid-sized price and expecting a blowout from start to finish; play on the Giants! |
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09-09-19 | Brewers v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Brewers/Marlins. Neither of these starting pitchers instills a ton of confidence, but neither will be lacking for motivation here. The Brewers go with Jordan Lyles (10-8, 4.46 ERA), while the home side counters with Robert Dugger (0-1, 4.00). The Brewers beat the Cubs 8-5 yesterday afternoon to get them back into the Wild Card race, but I’m expecting much more of a “duel” today. The verdict: Note that in seven starts for the Brewers since coming over from Pittsburgh, Lyles is 5-1 with a 2.56 ERA spanning seven starts. Dugger was rocked for six runs in his debut, but since then he’s allowed just two runs over his last 13 innings of work. Look for these two hot hurlers to battle deep and expect this total to stay well below the posted number; play the under! |
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09-06-19 | Angels v. White Sox -125 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 37 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* BIG TIGER on the Chicago White Sox. The Angels are in a free fall after getting swept by the A’s and I think they simply go through the motions tonight as well. The visitors see Dillon Peters (3-2, 4.13 ERA) toe the slab and he went a poor 1-2 with a 4.67 ERA in six appearances in August, including five starts (most recently he got rocked for four runs off seven hits over fix innings in a loss to the Red Sox.) The home side counters with ace Lucas Giolito (14-8, 3.30), who has dominated this series throughout his career, going 2-0 with a 3.75 ERA vs. the Angels lifetime. Key Trends: - The Angels are a poor 6-13 as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range this year. - The White Sox are 9-2 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range this season. The verdict: Look for the home side to take full advantage of this favorable matchup; lay the short price! |
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09-05-19 | Mariners v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 9-11 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Mariners/Astros. For a number of different reasons, I believe this number is a little high. The visitors hand the ball to Marco Gonzales (14-11, 4.30 ERA), while the home side counters with Wade Miley (13-4, 3.06). Gonzales comes in off a shaky start vs. the Rangers on Friday, but he still sports a sharp 128/44 K/W this season (he’s also 10-6 with a 3.99 ERA in all “night” contests this season.) Miley has posted the 3.06 ERA and 1.22 WHIP to go along with 134 K’s over 152 frames this year (he’s 10-6 with a 3.89 ERA in all “night” contests YTD.) Key Trends: - Seattle has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 22 vs. clubs with winning records. - Houston has seen the total dip below the posted number in 12 of its last 20 vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I look for these two hungry veterans to battle deep; play the under! |
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09-05-19 | Tigers v. Royals +102 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 2 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* BEATDOWN on the KC Royals. Matt Boyd (7-10, 4.58 ERA) of the Tigers will square off against Glenn Sparkman (3-10, 5.86) of the Royals and I don’t think that the home field advantage can be overlooked in this one as a very real deciding factor. Boyd can’t be feeling too comfortable here as he’s a terrible 4-9 with a 6.61 ERA in 18 career starts vs. Kansas City (that includes going 1-2 with a 6.53 ERA in four starts vs. KC in 2019.) Sparkman’s been a disaster as well, making the matchup on the mound a “wash” for all intents and purposes, however it’s still interesting to note that he posted a 2.84 ERA in two relief appearances vs. Detroit last season. Key Trends: - Detroit is 1-4 this year on the road as an underdog in the +100 to +150 range. - KC is 13-7 in its last 20 vs. clubs with losing records. The verdict: After last night’s 5-4 win, I think the home side carries that momentum over here; lay the short price! |
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09-04-19 | Rockies +305 v. Dodgers | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* BEWARE OF DOG on the Colorado Rockies. The Dodgers came from behind to win 5-3 last night, but I think that the home side is overpriced here. Antonio Senzatela (8-9, 6.95 ERA) toes the slab for the visitors, while the home side counters with Hyun-Jin Ryu (12-5, 2.35). Clearly on paper this is a big mismatch, but the fact of the matter is, Ryu has been terrible of late, allowing 18 earned runs over his last 14 2/3’s innings of work. The verdict: Also note that Ryu is a horrible 4-7 with a 4.86 ERA lifetime vs. Colorado (which includes going 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA in three starts this season.) Senzatela has been poor this year as well, but I still believe that Ryu is completely over-priced here considering his recent form; play on the hungry dog! |
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09-04-19 | Phillies v. Reds OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL SUPER-BLOWOUT on the over Phillies/Reds. I’m expecting some offensive fireworks between these two explosive clubs on Wednesday night. The visitors see Aaron Nola (12-4, 3.45 ERA) toe the slab for the home side, while the the home side goes with Trevor Bauer (10-12, 4.53). The Reds are out to play spoiler here vs. the Phillies, who are still in the wild card hunt after three straight victories. Bauer is the issue here though for Cincinnati, who was 9-8 with a 3.79 ERA before being traded to Cincinnati, but who has since gone 1-4 with an 8.40 ERA. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten after three or more straight victories. - Cincinnati has seen the total soar over the number in 13 of its last 21 home games after back-to-back losses. The verdict: I think Bauer’s struggle continue here, but I also don’t expect the home side to go down without a fight. This one has “slug-fest” written all over it; play the over! |
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09-03-19 | Astros -165 v. Brewers | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -165 | 29 h 21 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS on the Houston Astros. Jordan Lyles (9-8, 4.55 ERA) has been fantastic in his time for the Brewers, but I simply feel that he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time here. The visitors see Zack Greinke (14-4, 2.99) toe the slab tonight. Greinke is a sharp 16-4 with a 3.32 ERA in 29 career starts at Miller Park and he’s 4-0 for his new team. Key Trends: - Houston is 39-16 (+8 units) this season after allowing two runs or less in its previous contest. - Milwaukee is only 7-12 in interleague games this year. The verdict: Houston has easily taken the first two games of this series and I believe that the momentum that it’s created in this interleague series is real; lay the price and expect another beatdown! |
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09-03-19 | Mets v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 10-11 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 47 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Mets/Nats. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The starting pitchers. This is a classic “ace off.” The Mets hand the ball to Jacob deGrom (8-8, 2.66 ERA), while the home side goes with Max Scherzer (9-5, 2.46). deGrom gave up four run over seven innings in a 4-1 loss to the Cubs last time out, but he’s got to be feeling confident here as he’s a sharp 5-3 with a tiny 2.30 ERA on the road. Scherzer gave up two run and struck out eight over five innings in a no-decision to the Orioles on Wednesday. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total dip under in 25 of its last 40 when the money line in the contest is set between -125 and +125. - Washington has seen the total go under the number in 11 of its last 17 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Expect deGrom and Scherzer to fight deep into this one; play the under! |
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09-02-19 | Twins -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -128 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Twins run line. The Twins won big on Sunday and I believe they’re going to lay the hammer down here as well in this extremely favorable matchup on the mound. The visitors go with ace Jake Odorizzi (14-6, 3.55 ERA), while the home side goes with Jordan Zimmermann (1-9, 6.24). Odorizzi enters off a gem, holding the White Sox to two runs over six innings and he’s now won three of his past four decisions. Zimmermann has been better of late, but he’s still only 4-5 with a ballooned 6.89 ERA in ten career match ups vs. the Twins. Key Trends: - Minnesota is 9-3 this year as a road favorite of -175 or higher. - Detroit is just 10-37 as a home dog this year. The verdict: Finally note that Odorizzi is 5-1 with a 3.05 ERA in ten starts vs. the Tigers in his career, which includes going 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA at Comerica Park. Lay the 1.5 runs for the near pick-em price! |
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09-02-19 | Mets v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Mets/Nationals. The visitors go with Noah Syndergaard (9-7, 4.14 ERA), while the Nationals counter with Joe Ross (3-3, 5.36). The Mets took two of three from the Phiilies over the weekend and they still have a shot at the post-season. Syndergaard has to be feeling confident here though as he’s a respectable 1-1 with a 3.33 ERA in four starts vs. the Nationals this year (note, Syndergaard gave up a career-high ten runs in his last start, after posting eight straight quality efforts. Time to hit the panic button? Of course not. All starters have nightmare outings like that at some point. Syndergaard is true pro and I expect him to have a very short memory here.) Ross has struggled in his limited time this year, but fortunately he’s facing a Mets team which has struggled with offensive consistency all season. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total go under in 24 of its last 40 when the money line in the contest is set between -125 and +125. - Washington has seen the total dip under in 16 of 22 already this season when the total in the contest is either 9 or 9.5. The verdict: I believe the starters go deep and I look for this total to sneak under once it’s all said and done! |
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09-01-19 | Pirates v. Rockies +109 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Colorado Rockies. Yes Jeff Hoffman (1-4, 7.81 ERA) has struggled in his time as a starter for the Rockies, but I still think he’ll get the better of Steven Brault (3-3, 4.06) this afternoon. Coors Field is the great equalizer in MLB and I don’t think that Brault has an advantage here whatsoever. Note that Brault is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in two starts vs. the Rockies. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is still just 8-12 on the road this year when the money line in the contest is set between +125 and -125. - Colorado is 9-5 in its last 14 after playing six straight home contests. The verdict: After winning seven of nine, I expect the Pirates to come out flat here. Conversely, after dropping the first two of this series, I expect the home side to play with some passion this afternoon; play on the Rockies! |
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09-01-19 | Marlins v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the under Marlins/Nationals. I expect this one to fall under the total once it’s all said and done. The visitors hand the ball to Caleb Smith (8-8, 4.05 ERA), while the home side goes with Patrick Corbin (10-6, 3.15). Washington has the best record in the major since mid May and it’s out for the the three game sweep this afternoon. Miami on the other hand has lost 14 straight on the road. Caleb Smith (8-8, 4.05 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors and while he’s only 2-5 on the road, he does own a respectable 3.99 ERA in those contests. Patrick Corbin (10-6, 3.15) goes for the home side and he’s dominated the Fish this season, going 2-0 with a 0.78 ERA in three starts. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total dip under the number in 13 of its last 19 as a road dog of +200 or more. - Washington has seen the total go under in three of four as a home favorite in the -250 to -330 range. The verdict: I expect these two competent starters to battle deep and for this total to fall under the number once it’s all said and done; play the under! |
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08-30-19 | Mets v. Phillies -131 | Top | 11-5 | Loss | -131 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS on the Philadelphia Phillies. I think Aaron Nola (12-4, 3.53 ERA) and the home side are well worth the price of admission in this matchup. The visitors see the erratic Zack Wheeler (9-7, 4.52) toe the slab this evening. New York suffered its sixth straight defeat last night and I believe it continues to slide. The Phillies on the other hand had the day off after destroying the Pirates 12-3 on Wednesday. And that’s bad news for the slipping Wheeler, who most recently allowed five runs over six innings in a loss to the Braves. Nola took a loss on Sunday, despite conceding only three runs over seven innings (3-2 loss to the Fish. Key Trends: - The Mets are just 14-27 (-8 units) this year as a road underdog. - The Phillies are 24-16 at home with a money line in the -100 to -150 range. The verdict: With a chance to put the Mets’ out of their misery for good, I believe the Phillies lay the hammer down this weekend; lay the price! |
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08-30-19 | A's v. Yankees UNDER 11 | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under A’s/Yanks. Brett Anderson (10-9, 4.08 ERA) has struggled somewhat of late, but I think he’ll be able to match his counterpart CC Sabathia (5-8, 4.99) inning for inning. These two veterans have seen better days, but I expect them to fight deep into the latter frames tonight. Sabathia has thrown twice since returning from injury and he’s worked into the seventh inning in each contest. The veteran is now gearing up for one last playoff push and I expect him to carry over his recent form. Anderson got out to an unreal start and he’s since predictably come back down to Earth, but note that he’s still a sharp 6-3 with a 3.42 ERA on the road this season. Key Trends: - Oakland has seen the total go under the number in 16 of 19 of its “Friday Night” games this year. - New York has seen the total go under in five of its last six at home when the total in the contest is set between 11 and 11.5. The verdict: Clearly these teams have plenty of pop in the lineup, but the overall situation lends itself to more of a lower-scoring affair in my opinion; play the under! |
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08-28-19 | A's -153 v. Royals | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -153 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* CASH-BOMB on the Oakland A’s. I think that Tanner Roark (8-8, 3.95 ERA) and the surging A’s are well worth the price of admission in this matchup, facing the punchless Royals and the erratic Jake Junis (8-12, 4.89). Oakland enters off a 2-1 win in yesterday’s series opener. Note that Roark is 2-1 with a 2.63 ERA as a member of Oakland and I believe the big right-hander continues that momentum here in this favorable matchup (he’s 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two appearances vs. the Royals lifetime.) Junis most recently allowed four runs off six hits over three innings in a second straight loss, this time to Cleveland on Friday. Key Trends: - Oakland is 22-16 (+4.6 units) this year after allowing two runs or less in its previous contest. - KC is a poor 28-54 (-16.2 units) in all “night” contests this season. The verdict: Oakland has a favorable schedule to close out the season and I believe it makes the most of it. Especially tonight! |
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08-28-19 | Pirates v. Phillies OVER 10 | Top | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS on the Pirates/Phillies over. Neither of these starters instills much confidence. I believe runs are going to be plentiful as the Pirates try to play spoiler and the Phillies push for a playoff spot. The visitors see Mark Keller (1-2, 7.24 ERA) toe the slab, while the home side goes with the volatile Vince Velasquez (5-7, 4.93). Last Friday Velasquez saw a 7-0 lead in Miami go away in his team’s eventual 19-11 loss. Unfortunately a date vs. the Pirates isn’t what the doctor ordered for Velasquez to get back on track, as he’s 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA over 11 1/3’s innings opposed. Keller has been hit or miss this year and I think he’ll predictably struggle in this difficult road venue. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh has seen the total go over in seven of nine already this year when on the road and the total in the contest is set at either 10 or 10.5. - Philly has seen the total go over in 27 of its last 47 as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: Look for these two erratic starters to get the hook early and for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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08-27-19 | Twins -127 v. White Sox | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Minnesota Twins. I think Minnesota finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night in this one. The Twins see Michael Pineda (9-5, 4.26 ERA) toe the slab, while the home side counters with Lucas Giolito (14-6, 3.20). Giolito looked dominant in his win last week vs. the Twins, striking out 12 and walking none in a three-hit shutout. Do I expect lightning to “strike twice?” I don’t. Giolito has been fantastic, but I think he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Note as well that Pineda is 3-0 with a 3.05 ERA in three starts vs. the White Sox this season. Key Trends: - Minnesota is 15-6 this year as a road favorite in the -125 to -175 range. - Chicago is 9-20 (-10.5 units) this season after having won four or five of its last six games. The verdict: Minnesota clearly won’t be taking anything for granted here after the White Sox took two of three from it at home last week; lay the short price! |
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08-27-19 | Cubs v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 45 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Cubs/Mets. Chicago sees Yu Darvish (4-6, 4.34 ERA) toe the slab tonight, while the home side counters with Marcus Stroman (7-11, 3.18). I think runs are going to be hard to come by as I expect these two starters to battle deep into the latter frames. Stroman most recently allowed one run over four innings vs. the Indians, while Darvish enters off an outing to forget, allowing seven runs over six innings in a 12-11 win over the Giants (Darvish has been solid overall this year though and note that he’s 1-0 with a 3.51 ERA in four starts vs. the Mets.) Key Trends: - The Cubs have seen the total go under in 12 of 17 already this year when playing with a day off. - New York has seen the total dip under in 14 of 23 this year following a loss by two runs or less. The verdict: I think Darvish gets back on track after his anomalous poor outing last time out. Stroman continues to throw decently for his new team as well and I expect that trend to carry over in this important matchup; play the under! |
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08-26-19 | Pirates v. Phillies -123 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Philadelphia Phillies. I think Jason Vargas (6-6, 3.99 ERA) and the Phillies are a “steal” at this price. And that’s because his counterpart Joe Musgrove (8-12, 4.74 ERA) has been anything but consistent this year. A big boost to the Phillies’ line-up sees the return of slugger Bryce Harper tonight, as he was out over the weekend for the birth of his son (Harper is batting .290 with nine homers and 20 RBI’s over his last 17 games.) Key Trends: - Despite being 0-1 in four starts for his new team, Vargas has still posted a 3.91 ERA. The verdict: After losing two of three to Miami over the weekend, this has essentially now turned into Philadelphia’s most important game of the entire year. No upset/spoiler here, as I look for Vargas to deliver the goods! |
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08-26-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 12-2 | Loss | -101 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Cards/Brewers. This is an important game and when the smoke does finally clear at the end, I believe these competent starting pitchers will be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. The visitors hand the ball to Adam Wainwright (9-9, 4.51 ERA), while the home side goes with Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.64). Gonzalez faced these very card on Tuesday and allowed one run over five innings (he’s 3-4 with a respectable 3.11 ERA in 11 career starts vs. St. Louis.) Wainwright lost to the Brewers last week, but overall he’s 16-10 with a 2.48 ERA vs. them, including 7-4 with a 2.60 ERA in 19 career appearances in Milwaukee. Key Trends: - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in 34 of of 52 games this year when the total is 9 or 9.5. - Milwaukee has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 21 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: I expect these veteran hurlers to throw deep into the latter frames; this number is a little high, play the under! |