Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-17-18 | Montana +1 v. Idaho | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Montana Grizzlies (699) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Idaho Vandals (700). Montana (20-6) looks to bounce-back from a 74-65 loss at Eastern Washington on Thursday as a 4-point favorite that snapped their thirteen game winning streak. The Grizzlies have rebounded to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. And while this team has failed to cover the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 39 road games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. This Montana team remains the class of the Big Sky Conference with their 13-1 record: they lead the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while ranking 2nd in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They are making 48.6% of their shots in conference play while holding their opponents to just a 39.6% shooting percentage. Furthermore, the Grizzlies have allowed only 5 offensive rebounds in each of their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than 9 offensive rebounds in two straight games. Now this team stays on the road where they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games which includes covering the point spread in eight of their last ten games away from home. Additionally, Montana has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Grizzlies have also covered the point spread in 7 straight games against teams with a winning record. Montana matches up well against this Vandals team that averages 21 shots from behind the arc per game as they have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 34 games against teams that average at least 21 shots from 3-point land per game. |
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02-17-18 | Morehead State v. Belmont OVER 145 | 65-108 | Win | 100 | 1 h 15 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Morehead State Eagles (691) and the Belmont Bruins (692). Morehead State (6-20) has lost seven straight games after their 83-74 loss at Tennessee State on Thursday as a 9-point underdog. The Eagles have then played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total when playing their second game in their last three days. Morehead State stays on the road where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Additionally, the Eagles have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, Morehead State has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total as an underdog getting more than 10 points — and this includes playing five of their last six road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 12.5 or more points. The Eagles are looking to avenge a 83-73 loss to Belmont back on February 3rd — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when attempting to avenge a loss at home. |
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02-17-18 | Memphis v. Tulane OVER 144 | 68-63 | Loss | -125 | 1 h 39 m | Show | |
At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Memphis Tigers (533) and the Tulane Green Wave (534). Tulane (13-12) has lost four straight games with their 82-80 upset loss to East Carolina despite being a 13-point favorite on Wednesday. The Green Wave have then played 22 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. And while Tulane has failed to cover the point spread in five of their last six games, they have then played 7 straight games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Now this team stays at home where they have played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total. The Green Wave have also played 17 of their last 21 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, Tulane is looking to avenge a 96-89 loss to the Tigers back on January 9th. The Green Wave have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing with same-season revenge — and they have also played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total when avenging a game where they allowed at least 75 points. |
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02-17-18 | George Mason v. La Salle OVER 150 | 62-69 | Loss | -120 | 1 h 46 m | Show | |
At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the George Mason Patriots (527) and the LaSalle Explorers (528). George Mason (12-14) has won three of their last four games with their 85-67 upset win over Dayton on Wednesday. The Patriots have then played 11 straight games Over the Total after an upset loss against a conference rival. George Mason has also played 12 straight games Over the Total after an upset win as a home underdog. Additionally, the Patriots have played a decisive 43 of their last 64 Over the Total after a point spread victory. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total. George Mason has also played 4 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And in their last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Patriots have played 11 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-17-18 | Providence v. Butler -7.5 | 54-69 | Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Butler Bulldogs (510) minus the points versus the Providence Friars (509). Butler (17-10) has lost three straight games with their 87-83 upset loss to Georgetown. The Bulldogs have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 18 of the last 25 home games after an upset loss to a conference rival — and that tightens to them covering the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games when that upset loss to a conference rival by 6 points or less. And while Butler has not covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 home games after failing to cover the point spread in three straight games. The Bulldogs do a great job of protecting their defensive glass — they rank 28th in the nation by limiting their opponents to pulling down just 24.5% of their missed shots. Butler has allowed their last two opponents to rebound just 6 and 7 offensive rebounds in each of their last two games. The Bulldogs have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 home games after not allowing more than nine offensive rebounds in two straight games. Butler stays at home where they are 12-3 with an average winning margin of +16.5 PPG. They score a whopping 86.7 PPG on their home court on 52% shooting while limiting their opponents to just a 43.9% shooting percentage. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 27 of their last 42 games on their home court which includes covering the point spread in twelve of their last seventeen home games. |
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02-16-18 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Wisc-Milwaukee UNDER 132.5 | Top | 76-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the IUPUI Jaguars (817) and the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (818). Milwaukee (14-14) has won two of their last three games — as well as five of their last seven contests — after their 74-73 upset win at Wright State as a 7-point favorite. The Panthers made 59.2% of their shots which was the best offensive effort in their last 27 games going all the way back to their first game of the season. The Regression Gods are likely to make an appearance with this team tonight — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after shooting at least 55% of their shots in their last game. Additionally, the Panthers have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Milwaukee’s improved play has much to do with their improved play on the defensive end of the court. They have held their last five opponents to just a 40.8% field goal percentage. |
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02-16-18 | Brown v. Harvard OVER 142 | 58-65 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Brown Bears (805) and the Harvard Crimson (806). Harvard (12-11) has won three straight games after their 76-67 win over Penn last Saturday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Crimson have covered the point spread in six of their last eight contests — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. And while Harvard made 17 of their 21 (81%) free throws against the Quakers after making 15 of 19 (78.9%) of their free throws in their previous game, they have then played 14 of their last 18 home games Over the Total after making at least 78% of their free throws in their last two games. The Crimson stay at home where they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. |
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02-16-18 | Pennsylvania v. Columbia +2 | Top | 74-62 | Loss | -101 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Columbia Lions (812) plus the points versus the Pennsylvania Quakers (811). Columbia (6-15) has lost two straight games after their 91-88 loss at Brown last Saturday. But these Lions typically respond well to adversity as they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 35-15-2 ATS in their last 52 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Columbia has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 gamers after a loss to a fellow Ivy League team. Additionally, they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after losing two of their last three games. Now this team returns home where they are 5-3 while outscoring their visitors but 9.5 PPG. The Lions leads the Ivy League in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring a healthy 79.9 PPG on their home court while limiting their visitors to just a 41.7% shooting percentage. Columbia is 2nd in the Ivy by making 39.2% of their 3-point shots — and that number rises to a 40.3% clip on their home court. The Lions should enjoy a significant advantage on the boards tonight as they lead the Ivy League by pulling down 30.8% of their missed shots — and the Quakers are 5th in the league by allowing their conference opponents to rebound 25.7% of their missed shots. In the first meeting between these two teams, Columbia rebounded 32.4% of their missed shots — but they shot just 39.4% from the field while making only 6 of their 25 shots from downtown (25%) in a 77-71 loss at Penn. The Lions will be playing with revenge on their minds in this one — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. |
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02-15-18 | St. Mary's -8.5 v. San Francisco | 63-70 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the St. Mary’s (563) minus the points versus the San Francisco Dons (564). St. Mary’s (24-3) takes the court again for the first time since their 78-65 loss at home to Gonzaga last Saturday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Gaels made just 41.5% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last sixteen games — and the 47.1% shooting percentage of the Bulldogs was the worst defensive effort in their last sixteen games as well. St. Mary’s should bounce-back with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss at home. The Gaels have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, this team has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games on the road as the favorite or a pick ‘em. Additionally, St. Mary’s has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games in San Francisco against the Dons. |
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02-15-18 | Weber State v. Portland State OVER 160.5 | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Weber State Wildcats (607) and the Portland State Vikings (608). Weber State (17-7) has won seven straight games with their 71-66 win over Northern Colorado on Saturday as a 3-point favorite. The Wildcats made just 43.5% of their shots which was their worst offensive effort in their last five contests. This Weber State team made up for their poor shooting performance by holding the Bears to just a 34.2% shooting mark which was their best defensive performance in their last ten contests. The Wildcats have seen the Over go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Weber State has played 6 straight road games Over the Total after a win by 6 points or less. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 16 of their last 20 games Over the Total. They also have played 20 of their last 26 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. And in their last 9 road games as an underdog of 6 points or less, the Wildcats have played 8 of these games Over the Total. Weber State has covered the point spread in six of their last seven games — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. And in the last 9 road games against teams with a winning record after 15 games into the season, the Wildcats have played all 9 games Over the Total. |
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02-15-18 | Santa Clara v. Portland -1.5 | 81-72 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Portland Pilots (560) minus the points versus the Santa Clara Broncos (559). Portland (10-17) has lost two straight games with their 60-58 loss at Pacific on Saturday as a 9.5-point underdog. The Pilots should bounce-back with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Portland has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a game where both teams scored no more than 65 points. And while the Pilots have played three straight games Under the Total, they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after playing at least three straight Unders. They return home where they are 7-6 this season — but they are outscoring their opponents by +5.2 PPG by shooting 47.1% from the field while holding their opponents to just a 39.4% shooting percentage. They are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on their home court. They are also 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. And in their last 8 games against fellow West Coast Conference opponents, the Pilots are 7-0-1 ATS. Furthermore, Portland is looking to avenge a narrow 70-68 loss to the Broncos back on January 6th — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 opportunities to avenge a loss on the road. |
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02-15-18 | Arizona v. Arizona State | 77-70 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Arizona State Sun Devils (510) plus (or minus) the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (509). Arizona State (19-6) has won three games in a row with their 88-79 win over UCLA on Saturday as a 5-point favorite. The Sun Devils have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after scoring at least 85 points in their last game. Arizona State has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last game against a Pac-12 rival. Additionally, the Sun Devils have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after winning at least two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after winning at least three straight contests. Now this team stays at home where they are 12-2 this season with an average winning margin of +15.8 PPG. Arizona State scores 86.0 PPG on their home court with a 47.2% shooting percentage while holding their visitors to just a 40% shooting mark. The Sun Devils have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 home games — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 home games after a game where at least 155 combined points were scored. Furthermore, this team will be motivated by revenge after they lost to the Wildcats by an 84-68 score back on December 30th. Arizona State has covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games when avenging a loss where they gave up at least 75 points. |
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02-14-18 | Nevada v. Boise State -3 | 77-72 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
At 11:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Boise State Broncos (788) minus the point(s) versus the Nevada Wolf Pack (787). Boise State (20-5) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 71-65 upset loss at Utah State as a 3-point favorite. The Broncos have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up loss. Boise State has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after winning three of their last four games. And while this team has only committed 14 personal fouls in each of their last two games, the Broncos have then covered the point spread in 26 of their last 36 games after not committing more than 15 personal fouls in at least two straight games. Now this Boise State team returns home where they are a perfect 13-0 with an average winning margin of +19.0 PPG. The Broncos are scoring 85.5 PPG on 51% shooting while limiting their visitors to just a 41.8 field goal percentage. The Broncos will be facing a Wolf Pack team that is outscoring their opponents by +11.4 PPG — but they have covered then point spread in a decisive 26 of their last 40 games against teams that are outscoring their opponents by at least +4.0 PPG. Boise State will also be playing with revenge on their minds after a 74-68 loss at Nevada back on January 20th. The Broncos were ice-cold from behind the arc in that game as they made only 31 of 21 (14.3%) of their 3-point shots. Look for these shots to fall tonight as they are making 39.2% of their 3-pointers this season — and that mark rises to a 43.7% mark when they are playing at home. Boise State has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing with revenge — and this includes three straight point spread winners when that previous loss was on the road. |
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02-14-18 | Clemson v. Florida State -4 | 79-81 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 54 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (742) minus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (741). Florida State (17-8) has lost two straight games — as well as three of their last four contests — with their 84-69 loss at Notre Dame as a small 1-point underdog on Saturday. But the Seminoles have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after dropping three of their last four contests. Now this team returns home where they are 10-2 with an average winning margin of +15.6 PPG. The Seminoles are scoring a robust 88.2 PPG on their home court on 51.3% shooting while holding their opponents to just a 39.6% shooting percentage — so they should improve on their 40.6% shooting effort against the Irish while allowing Notre Dame to make 49.1% of their shots on Saturday. Florida State is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 24 home games as the favorite or as a pick ‘em. Additionally, the Seminoles are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And while this Tigers team averages 22 shots from behind the arc while making 8 of them per game, Florida State has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games against teams that average at least 21 shots from behind the arc per game while also covering the point spread in 8 of their last 9 home games against teams that make at least 8 shots from behind the arc per game. |
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02-14-18 | Mississippi State v. Vanderbilt OVER 141 | 80-81 | Win | 100 | 1 h 48 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs (733) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (734). Mississippi State (18-7) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 89-85 loss at Missouri as a 5.5-point underdog. The Bulldogs have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Mississippi State has also played 9 of their last 10 road games Over the Total after a game where both teams scored at least 75 points — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games on the road Over the Total after a game where both teams scored at least 80 points. Additionally, the Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall. |
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02-14-18 | Western Illinois v. IUPU Ft Wayne -11.5 | 74-90 | Win | 100 | 1 h 40 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the IUPUI-Fort Wayne Mastodons (790) minus the points versus the Western Illinois Leathernecks (789). IUPUI-Fort Wayne (16-12) has lost two straight games after their 90-85 upset loss at Nebraska-Omaha as a 3-point favorite on Saturday. The Mastodons have then covered the point spread in 6 straight home games after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. While this Fort Wayne team has not covered the point spread in their last two games, they had covered the spread in their previous four contests — and they have then covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 home games after covering the point spread in four of their last six games. This team returns home where they are 12-1 this season with an average winning margin +16.0 PPG. The Mastodons are scoring 89.4 PPG on their home court while making 49.2% of their shots. Fort Wayne is a dominant 41-19-3 ATS in their last 63 games on their home court. They have also covered the point spread in 21 of their last 31 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. |
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02-13-18 | Arkansas v. Ole Miss +2.5 | 75-64 | Loss | -103 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Mississippi Rebels (532) plus the points versus the Arkansas Razorbacks (531). Ole Miss (11-14) has lost five games in a row with their 82-66 loss at LSU on Saturday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Rebels have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a loss by at least 15 points. Additionally, Ole Miss has cord the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after a loss on the road. They have also covered the point spread in 10 of the last 11 games after a loss to an SEC rival. And in their last 52 games after a straight-up loss, Ole Miss is 34-16-2 ATS. Look for this group to play with spirit and emotion on the heels of the university declaring that they will not ask head coach Andy Kennedy to return next season. This team returns home where they are 10-5 while holding their visitors to just a 41.0% shooting percentage. Mississippi has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on their home court. The Rebels are looking to avenge a 97-93 loss to the Razorbacks back on January 20th — and they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 85 points. |
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02-12-18 | Baylor v. Texas -3 | 74-73 | Loss | -116 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Texas Longhorns (718) minus the points versus the Baylor Bears (717). Texas (15-10) has lost two straight games with their 87-71 loss at TCU on Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. The Longhorns have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Texas has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss to a conference rival — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a loss to a Big 12 opponent when on the road. The Longhorns played their worst defensive game of the season against the Horned Frogs as they allowed them to shoot 54.8% from the field. That came after they saw Kansas State make 53.7% of their shots against them in their previous game. But Texas has then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing their last two opponents to make at least 50% of their shots in each of those two games. The Longhorns return home where they are 11-3 with an average winning margin of +11.1 PPG. They are holding their visitors to scoring just 65.5 PPG on low 40.6% shooting. Texas has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Longhorns will also be looking to avenge a 69-60 loss to the Bears back on January 6th — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games when avenging a loss on the road to their opponents. |
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02-12-18 | TCU v. West Virginia -7.5 | Top | 66-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the West Virginia Mountaineers (716) minus the points versus the TCU Horned Frogs (715). West Virginia (18-7) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 88-85 upset loss to Oklahoma State as a 12.5-point favorite. That loss should ensure that Bob Huggins had the full attention of his team in practice since. The Mountaineers have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after an upset loss as a home favorite laying at least 12 points. West Virginia has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. This team stays at home where they remain 11-3 with an average winning margin of +21.2 PPG. The Mountaineers are holding their visitors to scoring just 63.2 PPG on low 38.8% shooting. West Virginia has covered the point spread in 6 of the last 8 home games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 6 points. The Mountaineers are also 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, this West Virginia team will be motivated with revenge on their minds after losing to these Horned Frogs by an 82-73 score. Huggins’ teams at West Virginia have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. |
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02-12-18 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina -10 | 66-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the North Carolina Tar Heels (714) minus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (713). Notre Dame (15-10) has won two straight games with their 84-69 win over Florida State as a 1-point favorite. The Fighting Irish held the Seminoles to just a 40.6% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last ten games. Notre Dame made 49.1% of their shots while also hitting 20 of their 24 free throw attempts. But the Irish have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after making at least 78% of their free throws in their game. This Notre Dame team is still without their best player in Bonzie Colson who is out indefinitely with a foot injury. That is not a good sign for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Irish have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games on the road. Furthermore, Notre Dame has failed to cover the point spread in 4 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And in their last 6 road games as an underdog or pick ‘em, the Irish have failed to cover the point spread 5 times. The Fighting Irish will be looking to avenge a 69-68 loss to the Tar Heels back on January 13th but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when attempting to avenge loss at home to their opponents. |
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02-10-18 | Cal Poly v. Long Beach State -9.5 | 54-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
At 11:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Long Beach State 49ers (684) minus the points versus the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (683). Long Beach State (12-14) had won three games in a row — but now they have dropped two straight contests after their heartbreaking 105-104 upset loss in double-overtime to Cal-Davis last Saturday as a 4.5-point favorite. The 49ers allowed the Aggies to make 53.6% of their shots in that game which was their worst defensive effort in their last twelve games. Look for this Long Beach State team to rebound with a strong effort tonight. Not only have they bounced-back to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 29 home games after a loss by 6 points or less but they have covered the point spread in seven straight home games after a loss by 3 points or less. And they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. They have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. 10* CBB Saturday Late Show Bailout with Long Beach State minus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank. TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank. |
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02-10-18 | Gonzaga +2.5 v. St. Mary's | 78-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Gonzaga Bulldogs (679) plus the points versus the St. Mary’s Gaels (680). Gonzaga (22-4) has won six straight games since their 74-71 loss at home to the Gaels back on January 18th. The Bulldogs enter this game coming off a 71-61 win at Pacific as a 13-point favorite on Thursday. Gonzaga made just 39.7% of their shots in that game which was their worst shooting effort of the season. Expect the shots to drop tonight as they are making an impressive 50.1% of their shots when on the road. The Bulldogs are 9-3 on the road with an average winning margin of +11.3 PPG. They hold their home hosts to just a 41.1% shooting percentage. The Zags are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Gonzaga usually brings their A-Game when motivated by revenge as well as they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 23 road games when avenging an upset loss. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games when avenging an upset loss when they were favored by at least 7 points. Gonzaga does tend to exceed point spread expectations in this rivalry as they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 meetings with the Gaels — and this includes covering the last six meetings when playing at St. Mary’s. 10* CBB play on Gonzaga plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank. TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank. |
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02-10-18 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's UNDER 146.5 | Top | 78-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Gonzaga Bulldogs (679) and the St. Mary’s Gaels (680). St. Mary’s (24-2) continues to roll as they enter this game coming off an 83-62 win at Loyola-Marymount on Thursday as a 13-point favorite. This is an excellent offensive basketball team — but they are not likely to come close to replicating their 64% shooting mark that they enjoyed against the Lions which was their best offensive performance in their last seven games. St. Mary’s has played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after shooting at least 55% from the field. And while the Gaels have made at least 50.8% of their shots in three straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after shooting at least 50% from the field in three straight games. St. Mary’s has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Under is also a decisive 64-29-2 in the Gaels’ last 95 games after a straight-up win. Now this team returns home where they have played 7 straight games Under the Total. St. Mary’s has also played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Gaels have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 16 games in conference play, the Under is 12-3-1. |
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02-10-18 | Kentucky +4.5 v. Texas A&M | 74-85 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Kentucky Wildcats (565) plus the points versus the Texas A&M Aggies (566). Texas A&M (16-8) has won three straight games after their 81-80 upset victory at Auburn on Wednesday as a 6-point favorite. The Aggies made 54.1% of their shots in that game which was their best shooting mark in their last twenty games. But this Texas A&M team has then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a point spread win. The Aggies have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. Now this team returns home — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Texas A&M has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 home games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. 10* CBB play on Kentucky plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank. TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank. |
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02-10-18 | Dayton v. VCU -3 | 84-88 | Win | 100 | 1 h 34 m | Show | |
At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Virginia Commonwealth Rams (626) minus the points versus the Dayton Flyers (625). VCU (14-10) has lost two straight games after their 77-76 loss at Richmond as a 1.5-point favorite on Wednesday. The Rams allowed the Spiders to make 47.5% of their shots in that game which was their worst defensive effort in their last five contests. VCU has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after an upset loss to a conference rival. And while the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in their last two contests, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. Now this team returns home where they are 10-4 with an average winning margin of +6.8 PPG. VCU has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 28 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, the Rams are looking to avenge an ugly 106-79 loss to Dayton back on January 12th — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games when avenging a loss by at least 20 points. |
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02-10-18 | Purdue +3 v. Michigan State | 65-68 | Push | 0 | 1 h 40 m | Show | |
At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Purdue Boilermakers (621) plus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (622). Purdue (23-3) looks to bounce-back from their tough 64-63 upset loss to Ohio State earlier this week despite being a 10-point favorite. The Boilermakers made just 42.6% of their shots which was their worst shooting performance in their last eighteen games. Purdue has rebounded to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after an upset loss as the favorite — and they have covered the point spread in four of their last five games after an upset loss to a Big Ten foe as a favorite laying at least 6 points. The Boilermakers are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up loss in general. Purdue is a similar profile to the Michigan team that last handed Sparty a loss last month. They lead the nation in 3-point shooting with their 42.7% clip. They are doing even better in Big Ten play by making 43.9% of their shots from behind the arc. And they do not experience much of a drop off when playing in hostile environments as they are making 42.4% of their 3-pointers when on the road. Michigan State leads the nation in defense inside the arc as they are holding their opponents to just a 37.9% shooting percentage with their 2-point shots. But the Spartans can be beaten from the outside as they rank just 69th in the nation in 3-point defense (at a still solid 32.9% mark). Purdue has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 trips to East Lansing. |
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02-10-18 | Massachusetts v. St. Joe's -7 | 73-85 | Win | 100 | 0 h 19 m | Show | |
At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the St. Joseph’s Hawks (586) minus the points versus the Massachusetts Minutemen (585). St. Joseph’s (9-14) has lost five straight games after their 91-62 blowout loss at Davidson. The Hawks allowed the Wildcats to make 54.8% of their shots in what was their worst defensive effort of the season. But now after playing four of their last five games on the road, St. Joseph’s returns home where they are 7-2 this season while holding their opponents to just a 39.7% shooting percentage. The Hawks should bounce-back with a strong effort as they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a loss by at least 20 points. St. Joseph’s are also 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. And while they trailed at halftime to Davidson by a 51-28 score, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after trailing by at least 20 points at halftime of their last game. The Hawks have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on their home court — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 home games when favored in the 6.5 to 12 point range. |
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02-10-18 | Northern Iowa v. Drake +1 | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 0 h 12 m | Show | |
At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Drake Bulldogs (574) minus the points versus the Northern Iowa Panthers (573). Drake (13-13) has lost four of their last five games with their 72-57 loss at Loyola-Illinois as an 11.5-point underdog. The Bulldogs made just 34.4% of their shots in that game which was their worst offensive effort of the season. But Drake has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by at least 15 points. And in their last 5 games after a conference loss, Drake has covered the point spread in 4 of these games. Now this team returns home where they are 8-2 with an average winning margin of +11.4 PPG. They are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games on their home court. Furthermore, they will be looking to avenge a 68-54 loss to the Panthers back on January 16th — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent. |
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02-10-18 | Fordham v. Duquesne -8.5 | 80-57 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Duquesne Dukes (516) minus the points versus the Fordham Rams (515). Duquesne (15-10) has lost two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 88-73 loss at Dayton on Wednesday as an 8-point underdog. The Dukes shot 48.3% from the field which was actually their worst offensive effort over their last four games. The problem for this team has been defense as they allowed the Flyers to make 64.6% of their shots which was their worst defensive performance of the season. Duquesne should bounce-back as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread setback. Returning home will help where they are 12-4 this season with an average winning margin of +10.7 PPG. They are holding their visitors to just a 42.1% shooting percentage on their home court. The Dukes have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on their home court. Duquesne has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Additionally, the Dukes have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. And in their last 11 games coming off a game as an underdog, Duquesne has covered the point spread 8 times. |
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02-10-18 | Northwestern v. Maryland -4.5 | 57-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Maryland Terrapins (524) minus the points versus the Northwestern Wildcats (523). Maryland (16-10) has lost four of their last five games with their 74-70 loss at Penn State as a 4.5-point underdog on Wednesday. The Terrapins allowed the Nittany Lions to make 51.9% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last seven contests. But Maryland has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after a road game point spread cover where they lost the contest straight-up as an underdog. The Terrapins are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, this basketball program has covered a decisive 37 of their last 56 games after losing four or five of their last six games. Maryland did make 11 of their 14 (78.6%) free throw attempts in that game against Penn State after making 18 of their 19 (94.7%) free throws in their previous game against Wisconsin — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after two straight games where they converted at least 78% of their shots from the charity stripe. Now this team returns home where they are 13-2 this season with an average winning margin of +16.0 PPG. The Terrapins are scoring 78.1 PPG on sizzling 49.1% shooting — and their defense tightens up considerably on their home court as they are holding their opponents to just a 37.5% field goal percentage. Maryland is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games on their home court. And in their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, the Terrapins have covered the point spread 7 times. |
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02-08-18 | USC v. Arizona State UNDER 161 | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the USC Trojans (587) and the Arizona State Sun Devils (588). USC (17-7) saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 82-79 loss at UCLA as a 1.5-point underdog. The Trojans have played their last 3 games Under the Total after a loss by 3 points or less. USC allowed the Bruins to make 50.9% of their shots which was their worst defensive performance in their last ten games. USC also struggled to score baskets in that game as they made only 42.9% of their shots which was their worst shooting effort in their last eighteen games. The Trojans only had 7 assists in that game — but that is not a good harbinger for tonight as they have played a decisive 35 of their last 51 games Under the Total after a game where they did not pass for more than 8 assists. USC is shooting just 45.9% from the field in conference play so they are not likely to see a significant improvement in their shooting performance on Saturday. The Trojans have played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. USC has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in Pac-12 play. And in their last 5 games on the road, the Under is 3-1-1. |
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02-08-18 | Cal Poly v. CS-Fullerton -8.5 | Top | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Cal-State Fullerton Titans (574) minus the points versus the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (573). Cal-State Fullerton (12-9) has lost four of their last five games after their 63-58 loss to UC-Irvine on Saturday as a pick ‘em. The Titans shot just 32.8% from the field which was their worst shooting effort in their last 20 games. That was a surprisingly poor performance for this Cal-State Fullerton team that still leads the Big West with an effective field goal percentage of 53.1% this season. The Titans have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread loss. This team should shoot much better tonight as they are making 47.7% of their shots in conference play. Cal-State Fullerton is 6-3 at home this season with an average winning margin of +9.8 PPG. They also play very good defense as they are holding their visitors to scoring just 63.2 PPG on low 38.2% shooting. The defense did their job on Saturday as they held the Anteaters to just a 38.6% shooting percentage in their losing effort. The Titans have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games on their home court. Cal-State Fullerton has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Besides leading the Big West with their effective field goal percentage combining their 2-point and 3-point shooting, this Titans team also leads the nation with a Free Throw Attempt to Field Goal Attempt ratio of 49.5% — and they are hitting a healthy 72.0% of these shots from the charity stripe this season. This is an area where Cal-State Fullerton should seize a big advantage as Cal-Poly SLO is 265th in the nation with an opponent’s FTA/FGA ratio of 37.7%. The Mustangs are also last in Big West with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 54.0%. |
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02-08-18 | Duke -1 v. North Carolina | 78-82 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Duke Blue Devils (549) minus the points versus the North Carolina Tar Heels (550). Duke (19-4) has lost two of their last three games with their 81-77 upset loss at St. John’s last Saturday as an 11-point favorite. The Blue Devils allowed the Red Storm to make 46.2% of their shots which was actually the worst defensive effort for this team in their last eight games. The conventional wisdom on Duke is that they are terrible on defense — but they had held five of their previous seven opponents to a 39.4% or lower field goal percentage. The Blue Devils have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after an upset loss as a favorite. Duke has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread loss. And while the Blue Devils have played their last two games Over the Total, they have then covered the point spread in 18 of their last 26 games after playing at least two straight Overs. Now Duke stays on the road where they are 8-3 this season while shooting 48.2% from the field. Not only do the Blue Devils lead the ACC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency but they are also 2nd best in the nation in that advanced metric. Duke is 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games on the road. They are also 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Blue Devils have enjoyed recent success against the Tar Heels as well as they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Roy Williams teams — and they are also 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games at Chapel Hill. |
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02-08-18 | Stanford v. Utah -4.5 | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Utah Utes (548) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (547). Utah (13-9) has lost two games in a row with their 67-55 loss at Colorado last Friday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Utes shot just 35.1% from the field in that game which was their worst shooting effort in their last nineteen games. Utah has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after failing to score more than 60 points in their last game. Now after playing their last three games on the road, the Utes return home where they are 9-2 this season with an average winning margin of +13.9 PPG. Utah makes 46.7% of their shots on their home court — but it is their defense that typically stifles their guests as they limit their visitors to just 66.8 PPG on low 38.4% shooting. The Utes are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Utah has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games as a favorite laying 6 points or less. Additionally, the Utes have covered the point spread in a decisive 36 of their last 54 home games after losing two of their last three games. Furthermore, Utah’s high altitude advantage has helped them go 37-14-2 ATS in their last 53 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And while the Utes have committed only 15 personal fouls in each of their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 44 of their last 65 games when not committing more than 15 personal fouls in at least two straight games. |
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02-07-18 | NC State v. Virginia Tech -6 | 75-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech (760) minus the points versus the North Carolina State Wolfpack (759). Virginia Tech (16-7) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 84-75 upset loss to Miami (FL) as a 5.5-point favorite. The Hokies have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 home games after a home game where both teams scored at least 75 points. Virginia Tech has struggled on the boards as they have been out-rebounded by at least 6 boards in three straight games. But the Hokies have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after being out-rebounded by at least 6 boards in three straight games. Virginia Tech stays at home where they are still 11-3 with an average winning margin of +17.1 PPG. They are scoring 86.7 PPG on sizzling 53.3% shooting on their home court — and they are holding their visitors to just a 41.8% shooting percentage. The Wolfpack have a defensive field goal percentage of 45.2% — and the Hokies have covered the point spread in 8 straight games against teams who allow their opponents to make at least 45% of their shots. Furthermore, after fifteen games into the season, Virginia Tech has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 28 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-80% range. |
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02-07-18 | Kansas State v. Texas UNDER 134.5 | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas State Wildcats (737) and the Texas Longhorns (738). Kansas State (16-7) has lost two straight games with their 89-51 loss at West Virginia on Saturday as a 7-point underdog. The Wildcats allowed the Mountaineers to make 54.9% of their shots in that game in what was their worst defensive effort in their last eight contests. Kansas State made only 29.8% of their shots in that game — and they will likely have trouble making baskets again tonight against this Longhorns team that holds their visitors to just a 39.7% shooting percentage on their home court. The Wildcats have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road in Big 12 play. This is just Kansas State’s second game since last Monday — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing just their second game in a week. Furthermore, the Wildcats have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in Big 12 play. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Kansas State has played 6 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, the Wildcats have not pulled down more than 31 rebounds in ten straight games — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not rebounding more than 31 boards in at least four straight games. |
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02-07-18 | George Mason v. Fordham OVER 136.5 | Top | 66-67 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the George Mason Patriots (723) and the Fordham Rams (724). George Mason (10-13) snapped their four-game losing streak on Saturday with their 79-75 upset win at Richmond as a 7-point underdog. The Patriots held the Spiders to just a 38% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort of the season. George Mason has still allowed their last five opponents to make 46.9% of their shots even with that strong effort — so the Regression Gods are likely to make an appearance tonight. The Patriots have allowed at least 75 points in eight straight games — and they have then played 8 straight games Over thew Total after allowing at least 75 points in two straight games. Additionally, George Mason has played a decisive 42 of their last 61 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total. The Patriots have also played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Furthermore, George Mason has played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 8 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, the Patriots gave played 7 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-06-18 | Missouri v. Ole Miss +1 | 75-69 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Mississippi Rebels (556) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Missouri Tigers (555). Ole Miss (11-12) has lost three games in a row with their 94-61 loss at Tennessee on Saturday as a 10-point underdog. But the Rebels are a decisive 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Ole Miss has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Rebels have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 14 games after a loss against a conference rival. Now this team returns home where they are 10-4 this season while holding their visitors to just a 40.7% shooting percentage. Ole Miss has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on their home court. And while the Rebels are on that three-game losing streak, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after losing at least three straight games. |
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02-06-18 | Tennessee v. Kentucky -2 | 61-59 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 43 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Kentucky Wildcats (542) minus the points versus the Tennessee Volunteers (541). Kentucky (17-6) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 69-60 loss at Missouri as a 2.5-point favorite. The Wildcats shot only 31.3% from the field which was their worst shooting effort of the season. Now Kentucky returns home where they are 13-1 with an average winning margin of +11.2 PPG. They are shooting 47.9% from the field on their home court while holding their opponents to just a 40.6% field goal percentage. The Wildcats have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 140 to 144.5 point range. Kentucky has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as a favorite laying no more than 6 points. And in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road, the Wildcats are 3-1-1 ATS. Additionally, Kentucky is looking to avenge a 76-65 loss to Tennessee back on January 6th — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when avenging a same-season loss. |
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02-06-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State -3.5 | 71-67 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 38 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Kent State Golden Flashes (536) minus the points versus the Eastern Michigan Eagles (535). Kent State (12-11) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 70-62 loss at Bowling Green as a 1-point underdog. The Golden Flashes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. Kent State managed only 8 assists in that loss to the Falcons — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight home games after failing to dish out at least 9 assists collectively in their last game. Now Kent State returns home where they are 9-2 this season. They are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games on their home court. They are also 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. |
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02-06-18 | Pennsylvania v. Princeton -5.5 | 82-65 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
At 6:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Princeton Tigers (518) minus the points versus the Pennsylvania Quakers (517). Princeton (11-9) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with a 102-100 upset loss to Brown. The Tigers allowed the Bears to make 57.9% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort of the season. Look for Princeton to bounce-back with a strong effort. They have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games after a loss by 6 points or less against a conference rival. The Tigers have also covered the point spread in 24 of their last 32 games after a loss by 3 points or less. And in their last 60 games after an upset loss, Princeton has covered the point spread a decisive 32 times. Furthermore, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. Princeton stays at home where they are 6-3 with an average winning margin of +10.8 PPG. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. |
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02-05-18 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma -3 | 75-73 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Oklahoma Sooners (720) minus the points versus the West Virginia Mountaineers (719). Oklahoma (16-6) has lost four of their last six games with their 79-74 loss at Texas on Saturday as a 3-point underdog. The Sooners have also lost two of their last three games — but they have then covered the point spread in 29 of their last 44 home games after losing two of their last three games. We had the Longhorns in that game as we seem to have a good finger on the pulse of this Oklahoma team. They are a much better team at home because freshman sensation Trae Young is not asked to do as much because his teammates make more of their shots on their home court. The Sooners are shooting 52.6% from the field on their home court which is a big leap over their 48.1% mark for the season. Oklahoma is a perfect 11-0 at home where they are scoring 97.5 PPG while outscoring their opponents by +16.8 PPG. The Sooners are also limiting their visitors to just a 42.7% shooting percentage. Oklahoma has covered the point spread in 38 of their last 60 home games as a favorite of 6 points or less. They will also be playing with revenge on their mind from an 89-76 loss at West Virginia back on January 6th. The Sooners have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 19 games when playing with revenge. Additionally, Oklahoma has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 12 games when avenging a loss on the road — and this includes seven straight point spread covers when that loss on the road was by double-digits. |
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02-05-18 | Syracuse v. Louisville -7.5 | 78-73 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Louisville Cardinals (718) minus the points versus the Syracuse Orange (717). Louisville (16-7) has lost two straight games with their 80-76 upset loss to Florida State on Saturday as a 3-point favorite. The Cardinals have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. Louisville stays at home for this contest where they are 13-2 this season with an average winning margin of +15.1 PPG. The Cardinals are scoring 81.8 PPG on their home court while making 47.2% of their shots while limiting their opponents to just 66.7 PPG on low 39% shooting. Louisville has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, the Cardinals are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. |
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02-04-18 | Arizona State v. Washington State UNDER 160 | 88-78 | Loss | -102 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
At 4:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona State Sun Devils (829) and the Washington State Cougars (830). Arizona State (16-6) has lost two of their last three games with their 68-64 loss at Washington on Thursday as a 2.5-point favorite. The Under is then 3-0-1 in the Sun Devils’ last 4 games are a straight-up loss. Arizona State has also played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Now the Sun Devils stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total. And in their last 19 games in Pac-12 play (after their game with the Huskies finished below the point total), Arizona State has seen the Under go 13-5-1. |
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02-03-18 | Hawaii v. Cal Poly OVER 137 | 64-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Hawai’i Rainbows (689) and the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (690). Hawai’i (13-7) has lost two games in a row with their 84-82 loss at UC-Santa Barbara on Thursday as a 6.5-point underdog. The Rainbows have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after a close loss by 6 points or less. Hawai’i has also played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. And in their last 15 games on the road after a point spread cover where they lost the game straight-up as an underdog, the Warriors have played 13 of these games Over the Total. Additionally, Hawai’i has played 38 of their last 56 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. And in their last 9 games as the favorite, the Warriors have played 6 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-03-18 | Oklahoma v. Texas -2.5 | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
At 6:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Longhorns (624) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (623). Texas (14-8) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 73-71 loss at Texas Tech as an 8.5-point underdog. The Longhorns have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win. Texas has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Now this team returns home where they are 10-2 with an average winning margin of +13.0 PPG. The Longhorns are shooting 47.2% from the field in Austin while hold their opponents to scoring just 64.7 PPG on 38.6% shooting. Texas has covered the point spread in 4 straight games on their home court. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Longhorns have covered the point spread in 5 of these games. |
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02-03-18 | George Mason v. Richmond OVER 142 | 79-75 | Win | 100 | 0 h 17 m | Show | |
At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the George Mason Patriots (597) and the Richmond Spiders (598). George Mason (9-13) has lost four straight games with their 85-69 loss to St. Bonaventure as a 7.5-point underdog. The Patriots have then played a decisive 35 of their last 51 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, George Mason has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total. The Patriots have also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. |
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02-03-18 | Eastern Washington v. Portland State -5 | 81-94 | Win | 100 | 0 h 24 m | Show | |
At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Portland State Vikings (712) and the Eastern Washington Eagles (711). Portland State (13-9) has lost three games in a row with their 97-88 upset loss to Idaho on Thursday as a 4-point favorite. The Vikings allowed the Vandals to make 61.4% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort of the season. Portland State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. And while they have lost four of their last five games, they have then covered the point spread in a decisive 46 of their last 74 games after losing four of their last five games. They stay at home where they are 5-3 this season while outscoring their guests by +21.5 PPG. The Vikings are looking to avenge an 81-74 loss to the Eagles back on January 4th where they shot just 36.8% from the field including making only 3 of their 20 shots from behind the arc (15%). Portland State should shoot better in this rematch back at home where they average 95.7 PPG on 48.3% shooting percentage which includes a 37.1% mark from behind the arc. Moving forward, the Vikings have covered there point spread in 5 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 150 to 159.5 point range. And in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record, Portland State is 15-5-1 ATS. |
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02-03-18 | Denver v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 147 | 63-91 | Win | 100 | 1 h 36 m | Show | |
At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Pioneers (697) and the IUPU-Fort Wayne Mastodons (698). Denver (10-12) has won three straight games with their 84-68 win over South Dakota last Saturday as an 8.5-point underdog. The Pioneers played their best defensive game in their last nine contests by holding the Coyotes to just a 39.1% shooting percentage. Yet even with that effort, Denver has has allowed their last five opponents to make 46.6% of their shots. Denver countered by making 55.4% of their shots which was still their worst shooting effort in their last three contests. The Pioneers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Denver has also played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total against Summit League foes. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total. The Pioneers have also played 13 of their last 17 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Denver will be playing with revenge on their minds from an 82-63 loss to the Mastodons back on January 6th. The Pioneers have played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss. |
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02-03-18 | Cincinnati v. Connecticut UNDER 127 | 65-57 | Win | 100 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (531) and the Connecticut Huskies (532). Cincinnati (80-70) ranks 2nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency according the analytics of College Basketball metrics guru Ken Pomeroy — and they will be facing a Huskies team that ranks 217th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Bearcats come off an 80-70 win over Houston on Wednesday in a game where they shot 48.2% from the field which was the best offensive effort in their last five games. Expect regression for Cincinnati in this game as they are making just 44.2% of their shots on the road. The Bearcats have played 20 of their last 28 road games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points. In fact, Cincinnati has won their last seven games by at least 11 points — and they have then played 25 of their last 33 games Under the Total after racking up at least four straight double-digit victories. Additionally, the Bearcats have played 12 of their last 13 road games Under the Total as the favorite. And in their last 53 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, the Under is a decisive 41-11-1. |
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02-02-18 | Green Bay v. Wisc-Milwaukee -7 | Top | 58-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (832) minus the points versus the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix (831). Milwaukee (12-13) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday in a 74-56 upset loss to Illinois-Chicago despite being a 4-point favorite. The Panthers made just 35.1% of their shots in that contest which was their worst shooting effort in their last twenty-two games. Milwaukee also allowed the Flames to make 45.6% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last four contests. Look for the Panthers to bounce-back with an outstanding effort as they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 26 games after a double-digit loss at home. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a double-digit loss to a conference opponent. And in their last 32 home games after failing to score at least 60 points, the Panthers have covered the point spread 25 times. More passing to set up better shots should reap dividends for this team tonight. They had only 9 assists against Illinois-Chicago — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to dish out more than 9 assists in their last game. This team should be very focused tonight as they have now lost five straight times to their cross-town rivals after their 99-92 upset loss to the Phoenix as a 2.5-point road favorite back on January 15th. Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 34 of their last 52 games when looking to avenge an upset loss — and this includes covering the point spread in eight of their last eleven of these situations. |
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02-01-18 | San Francisco v. St. Mary's UNDER 138 | 43-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Dons (567) and the St. Mary’s Gaels (568). St. Mary’s (21-2) raised their West Coast Conference record to a perfect 10-0 mark with their 72-55 win over Portland on Saturday as a 23-point favorite. The Gaels have then seen the Under go a decisive 62-29-1 in their last 91 games after a straight-up win — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games on their home court Under the Total after a straight-up victory. St. Mary’s made 47.1% of their shots against the Pilots which was their twelve straight game where they made at least that amount of their shots. The Gaels have then played 14 of their last 18 home games Under the Total after making at least 47% of their shots in three straight games. St. Mary’s stay at home for this game where they have played 6 straight games Under the Total. The Gaels have also played 4 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. |
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02-01-18 | Elon v. William & Mary -4 | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the William & Mary Pride (516) minus the points versus the Elon University Phoenix (515). Elon (13-10) snapped their three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 83-76 loss at Towson as a 9-point underdog. The Phoenix held the Tigers to just a 40.6% shooting mark which was their best defensive performance in their last four games. But Elon has then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after a straight-up win. The Phoenix have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a point spread win. Additionally, Elon has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games after a straight-up win. Now this team stays on the road where they are 6-8 with an average losing margin of -3.6 PPG. The Phoenix have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 5 trips to William & Mary, they have failed to cover the point spread 4 times. |
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02-01-18 | College of Charleston v. Northeastern -4 | Top | 69-64 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Northeastern Huskies (534) minus the points versus the College of Charleston Cougars (533). Northeastern (14-8) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 68-67 loss at Drexel despite being a 6-point favorite in that game. The Huskies made just 42.4% of their shots which was their worst offensive effort in their last ten games. Northeastern has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Now this team returns home where they are 8-1 this season with an average winning margin of +10.0 PPG. The Huskies are scoring 77.2 PPG on 49.7% shooting on their home court so they should get back to looking like the team that leads the Colonial Athletic Association with an effective field goal percentage of 59.5%. Northeastern has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And while their loss to the Dragons finished below the 147.5 point total, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 home games after a game that finished Under the Total. Additionally, the Huskies have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. They will be motivated to avenge an 82-66 loss to the Cougars back on January 11th where they only made 44.4% of their shots. More on why that game was an aberration below — as it is, Northeastern has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road to their opponent. |
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01-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College OVER 154.5 | 85-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Virginia Tech Hokies (757) and the Boston College Eagles (758). Virginia Tech (15-6) has won two straight games via upsets after their 80-75 win at Notre Dame on Friday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Hokies has then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Virginia Tech has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. The Hokies have also played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, Virginia Tech has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against fellow ACC opponents. And in their last 18 games with the Total set in the 150 to 159.5 point range, the Hokies have played 13 of these games Over the Total. 10* CBB play with the Over. Best of luck for us -- Frank. TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank. |
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01-31-18 | Wyoming v. Colorado State OVER 149 | Top | 91-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (769) and the Colorado State Rams (770). Wyoming (14-7) has won three games in a row with their 90-86 win at San Jose State as an 11-point favorite on Saturday. The Cowboys have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played a decisive 44 of the last 58 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Wyoming has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. That win over the Spartans finished well over the 141.5 point total for that game — and they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished above the number. In fact, the Cowboys have played four straight Overs — and they have then played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. Wyoming will be looking to avenge a 78-73 upset loss to the Rams back on January 13th — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss to their opponent. The Cowboys have also played 7 straight Overs when attempting to avenge a same-season loss. Furthermore, Wyoming has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against fellow Mountain Western Conference opponents. |
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01-31-18 | Syracuse v. Georgia Tech +1 | 51-55 | Win | 102 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (742) minus (or plus) the points versus the Syracuse Orange (741). Georgia Tech (10-11) has lost four games in a row with their 72-70 loss to Clemson as a 2.5-point underdog on Sunday. The Yellow Jackets should bounce-back with a good effort as they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a loss by 6 points or less. Georgia Tech has also covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a loss where they covered the point spread as the underdog. And the Yellow Jackets have covered the point sad in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. Georgia Tech did make 15 of their 19 free throw attempts for a sizzling 78.9% mark — and they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after making at least 78% of their free throws in their last game. Now this team returns home where they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after losing two straight contests. The Yellow Jackets have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games on their home court. Furthermore, they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 24 games against fellow ACC opponents, Georgia Tech has covered the point spread in 17 of these games. |
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01-31-18 | La Salle v. Davidson -8.5 | Top | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Davidson Wildcats (734) minus the points versus the LaSalle Explorers (733). Davidson (10-9) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 66-63 upset loss to Richmond despite being an 11-point favorite. The Wildcats allowed the Spiders to make 49.4% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last last eleven contests. Davidson has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after upset loss to a conference rival after being a favorite of at least 6 points. The Wildcats have also covered the point spread in 46 of their last 72 games after a loss to a conference rival. Davidson made 10 of their 12 free throw attempt in that game — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after taking at least 12 free throws in their last game. The Wildcats also pulled down only 8 offensive rebounds in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not rebounding at least 9 offensive boards in their last game. Now this team returns home where they are 6-1 this season with an average winning margin of +19.3 PPG. They are scoring 80.6 PPG on a 49.4% shooting percentage while holding their visitors to just a 41.1% shooting mark. Additionally, Davidson is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against fellow Atlantic 10 opponents. |
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01-30-18 | Akron v. Miami-OH -3.5 | Top | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Miami (OH) Redhawks (532) minus the points versus the Akron Zips (531). Miami (OH) (11-10) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 58-48 upset loss to Eastern Michigan as a 1.5-point favorite. The Redhawks made only 30.4% of their shots which was their worst shooting effort of the season. Look for this Miami (OH) team to bounce-back as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Redhawks have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after failing to score more than 55 points in their last game. They should shoot better tonight considering that the are making 47.5% of their shots on their home court. They are also making a sizzling 41% of their shots from behind the arc at home — and they are facing a Zips team that allows their home hosts to make 41.2% of their 3-point shots. Miami (OH) is 6-3 on their home court but they are outscoring their opponents by +15.5 PPG. The Redhawks thrive on the defensive end of the court as they rank 2nd in the Mid-American Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are holding their visitors to scoring just 64.2 PPG while shooting a low 40.6% from the field. Miami (OH) has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. |
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01-30-18 | Indiana v. Ohio State -11 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Ohio State Buckeyes (538) minus the points versus the Indiana Hoosiers (537). Ohio State (18-5) saw their eight-game winning streak snapped last Thursday with their 82-79 upset loss at home to Penn State on a last-second buzzer-beating shot from the Nittany Lions. The Buckeyes were 10-point favorites in the game — and they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 32 of their last 48 games after an upset loss to a conference rival which includes them covering the point spread in four of the last five occasions under those circumstances. Ohio State allowed Penn State to make 58.3% of their shots which was their second worst defensive effort of the season and their worst defensive performance in their last eighteen games. The Buckeyes still hold their visitors to just a 41.3% shooting percentage on their home court. They remain 12-2 at home with an average winning margin of +15.0 PPG as they are scoring 80.9 PPG while making 50.7% of their shots. Ohio State has not committed more than 11 turnovers in three straight games — and they have then covered the point spread in 20 of their last 26 home games after not committing more than 11 turnovers in three straight games. The Buckeyes have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 10 games against fellow Big Ten opponents, Ohio State has covered the point spread in 8 of these contests. |
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01-29-18 | Kansas v. Kansas State +2 | Top | 70-56 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Kansas State Wildcats (720) plus the point(s) versus the Kansas Jayhawks (719). Kansas State (16-5) has won four straight games with their 56-51 win over Georgia on Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. The Wildcats won that game despite shooting just 38.3% from the field which was their worst offensive effort in their last seven contests. Kansas State made up for some of those missed shots was their free throw shooting as they made 17 of their 19 shots for a sizzling 89.5% mark. The Wildcats have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after making at least 88% of their free throws in their last game. Kansas State has also covered the point spread in 3 straight games after a win by 6 points or less. And while the Wildcats had covered the point spread in five straight games before not meeting point spread expectations against the Bulldogs, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Kansas State has also covered the point spread in 5 straight games against Big 12 opponents. They stay at home where they are 11-1 with an average winning margin of +15.9 PPG. The Wildcats make 48.4% of their shots on their home court while limiting their opponents to just 61.5 PPG on low 38.8% shooting. Kansas State is 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. The Wildcats have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 6 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, Kansas State has covered the point spread 5 times. The Wildcats are looking to avenge a 73-72 loss to the Jayhawks back on January 23rd. Kansas made 10 of their 23 shots from behind the arc (43.5%) that helped them squeeze by their in-state rivals. They are highly unlikely to repeat that mark again tonight as Kansas State limits their visitors to just a 28.2% shooting percentage from the 3-point line. The Wildcats have covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 games when playing with revenge. |
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01-29-18 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin UNDER 130.5 | 74-63 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers (721) and the Wisconsin Badgers (722). Nebraska (16-8) enters this game coming off a 98-84 win over Iowa on Saturday as a 4.5-point favorite. The Cornhuskers won that game despite the Hawkeyes making 50% of their shots which was tied for their worst defensive effort in their last seventeen games. Expect a better defensive effort from this Nebraska team as they are holding their Big Ten opponents to just a 39.8% shooting percentage. The Cornhuskers have played 29 of their last 38 games after allowing their last opponent to make at least 50% of their shots. Nebraska has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Cornhuskers have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total in Big Ten play. Now Nebraska goes back on the road where they are shooting just 39.3% of their shots. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. The Cornhuskers have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 12 games as an underdog, Nebraska has played 10 of these games Under the Total. |
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01-29-18 | Northwestern v. Michigan -7.5 | 47-58 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Michigan Wolverines (714) minus the points versus the Northwestern Wildcats (713). Michigan (17-6) has lost two of their last three games with their 92-88 loss at Purdue on Thursday as an 11-point underdog. The Wolverines should bounce-back with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up loss. Michigan is also 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Now the Wolverines return home where they are 11-1 this season. Michigan is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games on their home court — and they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. |
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01-28-18 | Connecticut v. Temple -6 | Top | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Temple Owls (846) minus the points versus Connecticut Huskies (845). Temple (10-10) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their ugly 75-42 loss at Cincinnati. That was worst offensive performance of the season for the Owls as they made just 28.6% of their shots against the tough Bearcats defense. Expect a much better effort from this Temple team tonight as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by at least 20 points. The Owls have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after failing to score more than 50 points in their last game. Temple trailed by a 35-19 score at halftime of that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games at home after trailing by at least 15 points at halftime of their last game. The Owls have not scored more than 58 points in three straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to score at least 60 points in three straight games. Temple should shoot the ball better this game after bottoming out at Cincinnati. They made only 3 of their 23 shots from behind the arc (13%) — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to make at least 20% of their 3-point attempts in their last game. The Owls also only made 7 of their 18 free throw attempts for a 43.8% mark in that game — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after not making at least 45% of their free throw attempts in their last game. Fran Dunphy’s team had been showing steady improvement as of late as they have held their last five opponents to just a 40.7% shooting percentage from the field. And in their last 7 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, Temple has covered the point spread 5 times. |
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01-28-18 | Bradley v. Indiana State -4 | 81-73 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Indiana State Sycamores (828) minus the points versus the Bradley Braves (827). Indiana State (10-11) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 82-77 loss at Southern Illinois as a 2-point underdog. The Sycamores allowed the Salukis to shoot 52% from the field in what was their worst defensive effort in their last five games. But Indiana State is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. The Sycamores return home where they are 7-3 with an average winning margin of +7.6 PPG. Indiana State has covered the point spread in 37 of their last 54 home games as the favorite laying 3.5 to 6 points. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Sycamores have covered the point spread all 4 times. |
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01-28-18 | Villanova v. Marquette +8 | 85-82 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Marquette Golden Eagles (818) plus the points versus the Villanova Wildcats (817). Villanova (19-1) has won six games in a row with their 89-69 won over Providence last Tuesday. This Wildcats team is riding high — but this game sets up as a letdown situation for them against a good opponent in their gym. Villanova has been favored and has covered the point spread in three straight games with results where the closest game over that span was by 20 points. But the Wildcats have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in at least three straight games as the favorite. Additionally, not only has this team failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after winning at least three straight games by at least 10 points but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after winning three straight games by at least 15 points. Furthermore, while Villanova has scored at least 81 points in three straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 80 points in three straight games. And in their last 14 games after winning at least 18 of their last 20 contests, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of these games. |
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01-28-18 | Michigan State v. Maryland +6.5 | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Maryland Terrapins (820) plus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (819). Maryland (15-7) has lost three of their last four games this season after their 71-68 loss at Indiana as a 2-point underdog on Monday. But the Terrapins have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after loss to a conference rival on the road. Maryland has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss. And while the Terrapins have played three straight games Under the Total, they have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after playing at least two straight Unders. This Maryland team returns home to College Park where they are 12-1 this season with an average winning margin of +18.4 PPG. They are scoring 79.6 PPG at home on a strong 49.6% shooting percentage while holding their visitors to just 61.2 PPG on low 37% shooting. The Terrapins have covered the point spread in 6 straight games on their home court. This team will also be very motivated to redeem themselves from an ugly 91-61 loss at Michigan State back on January 4th. The Spartans could not miss from the field in that game as they made 16 of their 28 shots from behind the arc (57.1%) to fuel a 57.1 field goal percentage overall while holding Maryland to just a 37.7% shooting percentage. The Terrapins have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when looking to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent. They have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road to their opponents. Additionally, Maryland has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games as the underdog. |
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01-27-18 | Stanford v. UCLA -6 | 73-89 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the UCLA Bruins (666) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (665). Stanford (11-10) has lost two straight games with their 69-64 loss at USC on Wednesday as a 8-point underdog. The Cardinal trailed by a 41-26 score at halftime of that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after trailing by at least 15 points at the half of their last game. Stanford lost that game despite taking 11 more free throws than the Trojans — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after attempting at least 10 more free throws than their opponent in their last game. That loss came on the heels of their 73-71 loss at home to Arizona — and the Cardinal has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing two straight games by 5 points or less to a Pac-12 rival. Furthermore, Stanford has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 road games coming off a game on the road. The Cardinal is just 2-5 on the road this year where they are being outscored by -4.7 PPG. Stanford is 12-26-1 ATS in their last 39 games on the road. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 road games as an underdog or as a pick ‘em. Additionally, this is the fifth game in a row where Stanford will be the underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after playing as the underdog in each of their previous four games. |
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01-27-18 | Kentucky v. West Virginia -10 | Top | 83-76 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the West Virginia Mountaineers (586) minus the points versus the Kentucky Wildcats (585). Kentucky (15-5) snapped their two-game losing streak on Tuesday with their 78-65 win over Mississippi State as a 7.5-point favorite. We had the Wildcats in that game — but this is a terrible matchup now for John Calipari’s team. As it is, Kentucky has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. The Wildcats have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games after a double-digit victory — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 road games after a point spread cover. But this young team makes too many mistakes with their young roster to not play right into the Mountaineers’ formula which is to force mistakes from their opponent. “Press Virginia” is 2nd in the nation in forcing turnovers in 26.2% of their opponent’s possessions — and Kentucky is 231st in the nation by turning the ball over in 19.7% of their possessions. West Virginia plays very physical and pounds the offensive glass as well — they are 9th in the nation by rebounding 36.5% of their missed shots. The Wildcats are 248th in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 30.8% of their missed shots — and that number has actually risen to a 31.3% mark in SEC play. Kentucky is 3-4 on the road this year where they are being outscored. They have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 14 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread 9 times. |
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01-27-18 | Cincinnati v. Memphis +11.5 | 62-48 | Loss | -102 | 1 h 36 m | Show | |
At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (602) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bearcats (601). Cincinnati (18-2) has won eleven games in a row with their 75-42 blowout win versus Temple on Wednesday as a 15-point favorite. The Bearcats held the Owls to just a 28.6% shooting mark which was their best defensive effort of the season. But Cincinnati is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. That win was preceded by a another big win over East Carolina where they were massive 29-point home favorites — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after being a home favorite for at least two straight games. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 1-3-1 ATS. The Bearcats have also failed to cover the point spread in 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, this Cincy team is a precarious double-digit road favorite against this Tigers team as they are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Memphis. |
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01-27-18 | South Alabama +2 v. Louisiana-Monroe | 74-83 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 46 m | Show | |
At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the South Alabama Jaguars (559) plus the points versus the UL-Monroe Warhawks (560). South Alabama (11-10) looks to bounce-back from a 76-57 loss at UL-Lafayette on Thursday as a 14-point underdog. The Jaguars shot just 37.5% from the field while allowing the Ragin’ Cajuns to make 48.1% of their shots. Both those marks were that worst efforts on both ends of the court in their last five games since a 91-67 loss at UT-Arlington. South Alabama responded by destroying Trinity Baptist by a 99-34 score — so expect another good performance this afternoon. The Jaguars have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. South Alabama has also covered the point spread in 26 of their last 35 games after a point spread setback. Now the Jaguars stay on the road where they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games. And in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record, South Alabama has covered the point spread 4 times. |
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01-27-18 | Oklahoma v. Alabama +1.5 | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
At 2:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Alabama Crimson Tide (550) plus the point(s) versus the Oklahoma Sooners (549). Oklahoma (15-4) snapped a two-game losing streak on Tuesday with their 85-80 triumph over Kansas as a 2-point favorite. We had the Sooners in that game as we expected the shooting woes that they suffered in two games on the road at Kansas State and at Oklahoma State would be rectified by returning home. Sure enough, Oklahoma made 49.1% of their shots which was their best offensive effort in their last six games. But now the Sooners go back on the road where they are making just 43.2% of their shots this season. Furthermore, freshman sensation Trae Young was very deferential in that game against the Jayhawks after receiving criticism for shooting too much and taking too many turnovers. I am not sure Young has a good sense of what his exact role should be on the court as the team’s point guard and primary scorer. As it is, Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. The Sooners have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games outside Big 12 play. And in their last 10 road games as the favorite or a pick ‘em, Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread 9 times. |
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01-27-18 | Virginia v. Duke -3.5 | 65-63 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 0 m | Show | |
At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Duke Blue Devils (534) minus the points versus the Virginia Cavaliers (533). Duke (18-2) enters this game having won five games in a row with their 84-70 victory at Wake Forest on Tuesday. Now the Blue Devils host the Cavaliers in this highly anticipated “strength versus strength” matchup. Virginia not only leads the nation with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 81.6 but that mark is an unprecedented low number in the sixteen years that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy has been compiling that trusted statistic. This Duke team is 2nd in the nation this season with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 126.2. I think the Blue Devils will find ways to score points against this outstanding Pack-Line defense of the Cavaliers. For starters, they still have Grayson Allen who will be called on to make outside jumpshots to loosen this defense up. Allen has taken a backseat this season to the four outstanding freshman that Duke has brought in this season in Marvin Bagley, Wendall Carter, Trevon Duvall and Gary Trent. But quietly Allen is enjoying his best offensive rating of his career despite it being registered with his fewest possessions in his tenure with the Blue Devils. But as he showed against Michigan State earlier this season when he scored 37 points, he can still be the difference maker against elite competition. Furthermore, Duke should have success on the offensive glass where they are leading the nation by pulling down 40.8% of their missed shots. This is a surprising area of weakness for this Cavaliers team who rank 11th in the ACC by allowing conference opponents to rebound 32.1% of their missed shots. The Virginia Pack-Line defense usually does a great job of protecting the defensive glass — last year Tony Bennett’s team was 2nd in the nation by limiting their opponents to rebounding just 24.3% of their missed shots. In fact, the last time one of Bennett’s teams at Virginia to pull down at least 27% of their missed shots was in 2009 — so this could be a big problem for the Cavaliers that the Blue Devils can exploit. Duke is making 53.7% of their shots on their home court. They also are holding their opponents to making just 37.9% of their shots when playing in Cameron Indoor Arena. Defense has been the vulnerability for this Blue Demons team — but since getting crushed by North Carolina State by a 96-85 score, they have held their last five opponents to just a 38.1% shooting mark with the Demon Deacons 43.5% mark being the best a team has shot against them since that loss. That performance against the Wolfpack may have offered Mike Krzysewski the “teaching moment” he needed. The Blue Demons have scored at least 81 points in all their games this season — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after scoring at least 80 points in two straight games. Duke has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games as a home favorite laying 3.5 to 6 points. |
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01-27-18 | NC State v. North Carolina -12.5 | 95-91 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Carolina Tar Heels (516) minus the points versus the North Carolina State Wolfpack (515). North Carolina (16-5) looks to bounce-back from an 80-69 loss at Virginia Tech on Monday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Tar Heels have then covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after an upset loss by at least 10 points. North Carolina is also 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games after a straight-up loss. And in their last 7 games after a point spread loss, the Tar Heels are 5-1-1 ATS. This UNC returns home where they are 9-1 this season with an average winning margin of +16.3 PPG. They are scoring a robust 87.7 PPG while shooting 49.3% from the field while holding their visitors to just a 41.9% shooting mark. The Tar Heels are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 home games. And in their 14 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, North Carolina is 9-4-1 ATS. |
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01-25-18 | CS-Northridge v. UC-Davis -13.5 | 56-63 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Cal-Davis Aggies (560) minus the points versus the CSU-Northridge Matadors (559). UC-Davis (12-7) has lost two of their last three games after their 77-72 loss at Hawai’i last Saturday as a 4-point underdog. The Aggies are then a decisive 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a straight-up loss. UC-Davis has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Now the Aggies return home where they are a perfect 7-0 with an average winning margin +15.3 PPG. UC-Davis shoots a solid 47.2% from the field while limiting their visitors to just 58.1 PPG on very low 34.8% from the field. The Aggies are 18-6-3 ATS in their last 27 games on their home court. Additionally, the Aggies are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, UC-Davis have covered the point spread in all 7 games. |
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01-25-18 | Long Beach State v. Cal Poly OVER 150 | Top | 87-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Long Beach State 49ers (557) and the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (558). Long Beach State (10-12) has won three of their last four games with their 81-73 win over Cal-State Fullerton last Saturday as a 2.5-point favorite. The 49ers have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. Additionally, while that game barely finished below the 156 point total, they have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Long Beach State has also played 22 of their last 32 road games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, the Over is 4-1-1. |
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01-25-18 | Utah v. Arizona State -8 | 80-77 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
At 9:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Arizona State Sun Devils (556) minus the points versus the Utah Utes (555). Arizona State (15-4) enters this game coming off their 81-73 win over California on Saturday as a 10-point favorite. The Sun Devils are then 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a straight-up win. Arizona State has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. Now this team stays at home where they are 9-1 with an average margin of +19.9 PPG. The Sun Devils are scoring 87.9 PPG on their home court while shooting 49.7% from the field. Arizona State also holds their visitors to just a 38.2% shooting mark. The Sun Devils have covered the point spread 9 of their last 12 games on their home court. Furthermore, Arizona State has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. |
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01-25-18 | North Dakota v. Eastern Washington -5.5 | 71-95 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Eastern Washington Eagles (600) minus the points versus the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (599). Eastern Washington (9-11) has lost two of their last three games after their 66-62 loss at Southern Utah as a 3.5-point favorite last Saturday. The Eagles have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. And while that game finished below the 161 point total, they have then covered the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after playing a game that finished below the Total. And while Eastern Washington has failed to cover the point spread in three straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 23 of their last 32 home games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Now this team returns home where they are 5-1 with an average winning margin of 15.3 PPG. The Eagles score 79.3 PPG while shooting 48.6% from the field while holding their visitors to just a 38.8% shooting mark. Eastern Washington has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on their home court. The Eagles have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Additionally, Eastern Washington has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. |
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01-24-18 | Colorado State v. San Diego State -15.5 | 78-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
At 11:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the San Diego State Aztecs (766) minus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (765). San Diego State (11-7) has lost three straight games with their 79-75 upset loss at New Mexico on Saturday as a 2.5-point favorite. That was the second straight upset loss for the Aztecs after they were upset as a 7.5-point favorite by Fresno State by a 77-73 score. But San Diego State has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after suffering two straight upset loss. The Aztecs are also 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread loss. San Diego State has scored 49 and 40 points in the first-half in each of their last two games — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after scoring at least 40 points in the first-half in two straight games. Additionally, the Aztecs have played three straight games Over the Total — and they have then covered the point spread in a decisive 42 of their last 66 games after playing at least two straight Overs. Now the Aztecs return home where they are 7-2 with an average winning margin of +19.6 PPG. This team remains stout on defense where they limit their guests to just 59.7 PPG on low 37.8% shooting. But this San Diego State team flexes their muscles on offense at home where they are scoring 79.3 PPG while making 47.4% of their shots. The Aztecs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 6 games as a double-digit favorite, San Diego State has covered the point spread in 5 of these games. |
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01-24-18 | Indiana v. Illinois UNDER 144 | 71-73 | Push | 0 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Hoosiers (749) and the Illinois Fighting Illini (750). Indiana (12-8) has won four of their last five games with their 71-68 win over Maryland on Monday as a 2-point favorite. The Hoosiers shot 50% from the field which was their best offensive effort in their last thirteen contests. The Regression Gods are likely to make an appearance for this team as they make just 42.3% of their shots on the road — and they are also making just 41.3% from the field in their last five games even with that good effort in their last game. Indiana has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Hoosiers have not committed more than 13 turnovers in each of their last six games — and they have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not committing more than 14 turnovers in their last three games. Now Indiana has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on the road. The Hoosiers have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. |
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01-24-18 | DePaul +3.5 v. Georgetown | Top | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the DePaul Blue Demons (747) plus the points versus the Georgetown Hoyas (748). Georgetown (13-6) enters this game coming off their 93-89 win over St. John’s as a pick ‘em back on Saturday. The Hoyas have then failed to cover the point spread in 36 of their last 53 men after a straight-up win. Georgetown has also failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 36 home games after a win by 6 points or less. And while the Hoyas have only covered the point spread once in their last three games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 home games after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. Georgetown stays at home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games on their home court. And in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record, the Hoyas have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games. |
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01-24-18 | Louisville +4.5 v. Miami-FL | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Louisville Cardinals (737) plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (738). Louisville (15-4) has won four straight games with their 77-69 win over Boston College on Sunday as a 10-point favorite. The Cardinals shot just 40.4% from the field in that game which was their worst offensive effort in their last six games. But Louisville won this game with defense as they held the Eagles to just a 35.4% shooting percentage. The Cardinals have allowed only 29 and 28 points in the first-half in their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after not allowing more than 30 points in the first-half in their last two games. Louisville has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against fellow ACC opponents. This team is finding a rhythm under interim head coach David Padgett who took over for brothel kingpin Rick Pitino at the school. The Cardinals have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games in the month of January. Louisville has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, the Cardinals have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. |
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01-24-18 | Richmond v. Duquesne -2 | 77-73 | Loss | -122 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Duquesne Dukes (728) minus the points versus the Richmond Spiders (727). Duquesne (14-6) has won two of their last three games — as well as five of their last seven games — after their 95-89 win over George Mason on Saturday. This Dukes team has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after winning five or six of their last seven games. Duquesne has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against fellow Atlantic-10 opponents. The Dukes stay at home where they are 12-2 with an average winning margin of +14.8 PPG. Duquesne is holding their visitors to just 41.1% shooting this season. The Dukes have covered the point spread in 4 straight games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, Duquesne has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. |
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01-23-18 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky -7.5 | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Kentucky Wildcats (546) minus the points versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (545). Kentucky (14-5) has lost straight games — both upset losses — after their 66-64 loss to Florida as a 2-point favorite. The Wildcats have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Kentucky stays at home looking to rebound from their lone loss on their home court this season — they remain 11-1 at home with an average winning margin of +11.7 PPG. They shoot 48.5% on their home court while holding their opponents to just 40.2%. They have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 25 home games when favored in the 9.5 to 12 point range, the Wildcats have covered the point spread 16 times. |
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01-23-18 | Creighton v. St. John's UNDER 156 | Top | 68-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Blue Jays (541) and the St. John’s Red Storm (542). Creighton (15-5) has lost two of their last three games with their 85-71 loss at Providence on Saturday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Blue Jays’ defensive effort was lacking in that contest as they allowed the Friars to shoot 53.4% which was their worst defensive effort in their last thirteen games. But Creighton also shot just 39.4% from the field in that game which was their worst offensive effort in their last fifteen contests. But while the Blue Jays are making 50.4% of their shots overall, they see that number drop to just a 45.4% mark when on the road — so a complete reversal of fortune on the offensive end of the court is unlikely. Creighton has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Blue Jays have also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total in Big East play. Additionally, Creighton has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total in the month of January. Moving forward, the Blue Jays have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as a favorite of 6 points or less. And in their last 15 games listed in the +/- 3-point range, Creighton has played 10 of these games Under the Total. |
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01-23-18 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech -9 | 70-75 | Loss | -103 | 0 h 24 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Texas Tech Red Raiders (524) minus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (523). Texas Tech (15-4) has lost two straight games — as well as three of their last four — with their 70-52 loss at Iowa State as a 7.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Red Raiders shot just 33.9% from the field which was their worst offensive performance all season. Texas Tech has rebounded to cover the point spread in 36 of their last 56 home games after a loss by at least 15 points. The Red Raiders to return home where they are a perfect 12-0 this season with an average winning margin of +23.3 PPG. Texas Tech scores 80.3 PPG on 49.9% shooting on their home court while limiting their guests to just a 35.9% shooting mark. They have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 37 games at home. And while the Red Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in four straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 23 of their last 33 home games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. And while this Texas Tech team has played five straight games Under the Total, they have then covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after playing at least three straight Unders. |
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01-23-18 | Davidson v. Dayton +1 | 64-65 | Win | 102 | 0 h 18 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Dayton Flyers (518) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Davidson Wildcats (517). Dayton (9-10) has lost two straight games with their 88-74 loss to Rhode Island on Saturday as a 3.5-point underdog. The Flyers did shot 63.4% from the field in that loss which was the third time in their last four games where they made at least 62.9% of their shots. But Dayton allowed the Rams to make 50% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last eight games. The Flyers have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and they have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Dayton has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss at home. And in their last 11 games after losing two of their last three games, they have then covered the point spread in 9 of these contests. The Flyers have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home with the Total set in then 140 to 144.5 point range. |
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01-23-18 | Kansas v. Oklahoma -1.5 | Top | 80-85 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Oklahoma Sooners (522) minus the point(s) versus the Kansas Jayhawks (521). Oklahoma (14-4) has lost two straight games after their 83-81 loss at Oklahoma State on Saturday despite being a 2-point favorite. That was on the heels of their losing at Kansas State earlier in the week despite being 2-point favorites in that contest. That has triggered a flurry of articles trying to dissect what is wrong with freshman sensation Trae Young who has not been quite as spectacular in conference play while seeing a few ugly games in the Turnover Department. I say that what is wrong with Young and this Sooners team is nothing more than a trip back home and a visit from the Regression Gods can fix. Oklahoma shot a season-low 34.1% against the Cowboys on Sunday. But now they return home where they are a perfect 9-0 with an average winning margin of +19.8 PPG. The Sooners make 52.8% of their shots on their home court which translates into 98.9 PPG — and they hold their opponents to just a 41.9% shooting clip. Young’s supporting cast should shoot better at home which will take the pressure off him and open things up again for better offensive efforts all the way around for this team. As it is, Oklahoma has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. The Sooners have also covered the point spread in 28 of their last 42 home games after losing two of their last three games — and this includes covering the point spread in eight of their last twelve games at home after dropping two of three. This is certainly a battle-tested team that will be facing their fifth opponent ranked in the Top-Ten — and they have won three of those four encounters entering the evening. Oklahoma has also covered the point spread in 37 of their last 58 home games when favored by 6 points or less. |
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01-22-18 | Nebraska v. Ohio State UNDER 139 | Top | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 1 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers (725) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (726). Nebraska (14-7) has won two straight games after their 72-52 upset win over Michigan as a 5-point underdog. the Cornhuskers shot 55.3% from the field which was their best offensive performance in their last fifteen games. But now this Nebraska team goes back on the road where they are making just 39.3% of their shots. The Cornhuskers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Nebraska has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 7 games on the road, the Cornhuskers have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, Nebraska has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games against fellow Big Ten opponents, the Cornhuskers have played 6 of these games Under the Total. |
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01-21-18 | Rutgers v. Michigan -12.5 | 47-62 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Michigan Wolverines (814) minus the points versus the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (813). Michigan (16-5) played one of their worst games of the season on Thursday — with the Cornhuskers also playing one of their best games of the year — in their 72-52 loss at Nebraska as a 5-point favorite. The Wolverines made only 37.5% of their shots which was their worst offensive effort in their last eleven games — and they allowed the Cornhuskers to make 55.3% of their shots which was their worst defensive performance in their last seventeen contests. Michigan should bounce-back as they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread setback. It was just seven days ago when the Wolverines soundly defeated their arch rivals in Michigan State in East Lansing. They were flat in the first half then two days later at home against Maryland before shooting the lights out in the second half to pull that game out. Perhaps a letdown in Lincoln was inevitable. But now Michigan returns home where they are 10-1 with an average winning margin of +17.6 PPG. The Wolverines shoot 49.1% from the field at home while making 38.9% of their shots from behind the arc while limiting their opponents to only 58.9 PPG on low 41.2% shooting. Michigan is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games on their home court — and they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. |
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01-20-18 | St. Mary's v. Pacific +10.5 | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 0 h 17 m | Show | |
At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Pacific Tigers (680) plus the points versus the St. Mary’s Gaels (679). St. Mary’s (18-2) comes off a triumphant 74-71 upset win at arch-rival Gonzaga on Thursday as a 7.5-point underdog. But that victory sets up the Gaels for a big emotional letdown which will make them covering the point spread as double-digit road favorite quite precarious. As it is, St. Mary’s has failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 26 games after playing at least three straight games on the road. The Gaels have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning at least three straight games on the road as they have on this road trip. Furthermore, St. Mary’s has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when playing with one day or less between contests. And in their last 5 games against the Tigers, the Gaels are just 0-4-1 ATS. |
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01-19-18 | Indiana v. Michigan State -14.5 | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 1 h 47 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (818) minus the points versus the Indiana Hoosiers (817). Michigan State (16-3) returns to the court for the first time since their 82-72 loss to Michigan last Saturday as a 9.5-point favorite. Expect the Spartans to bounce-back with a strong effort. Sparty has rebounded to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 37 games after a loss at home. Michigan State has also covered the point spread in a decisive 35 of their last 52 games after a straight-up loss. And in their last 9 games after a double-digit loss at home, the Spartans have covered the point spread in 7 of these games. Michigan State stays at home where they are 11-1 with an average winning margin of +28.5 PPG even after that loss to the Wolverines. The Spartans average 92.7 PPG on their home court on 55.5% shooting while limiting their opponents to just 35.3% shooting. Michigan State has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games on their home court. The Spartans have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 24 home games when listed as a big favorite lay ing at least 12.5 points, Michigan State has covered the point spread in 17 of these games. |
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01-18-18 | Northeastern v. William & Mary -2.5 | 90-70 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the William & Mary Tribe (510) minus the point(s) versus the Northeastern Huskies (509). William & Mary (12-5) looks to bounce-back from their 99-73 upset loss to Towson on Saturday as a 3-point favorite. The Tribe should rebound with a strong effort as they are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games after a double-digit loss at home — and they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Additionally, William & Mary are 33-16-3 ATS in their last 52 games after a straight-up loss. The Pride stay at home where they are 7-1 with an average winning margin of +13.6 PPG based off a stout offense that scored 94.6 PPG on 53.7% shooting from the field. William & Mary is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games on their home court. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, the Pride are 11-3-1 ATS. |
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01-18-18 | NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston OVER 150 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 104 | 1 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (519) and the College of Charleston Cougars (520). UNC-Wilmington (5-13) has lost three of their last four games with their 81-77 loss to Northeastern on Saturday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Seahawks have then played 10 of their last 12 road games Over the Total after playing a game at home where both teams scored at least 75 points. UNC-Wilmington has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total. Additionally, the Seahawks have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 5 games against Colonial Athletic Conference opponents, UNC-Wilmington has played 4 of these games Over the Total. |
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01-17-18 | Long Beach State v. UC-Davis -6 | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
At 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Cal-Davis Aggies (776) minus the points versus the Long Beach State 49ers (775). Cal-Davies (11-6) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 85-70 loss at Cal-State Fullerton as a 2-point underdog. The Aggies have then covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a double-digit loss. Cal-Davies are also 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Now the Aggies return home where they are a perfect 6-0 with a an average winning margin of +16.4 PPG. Not only does this Cal-Davis team shoot 46% from the field at home but they hold their visitors to just a 32.9% shooting mark. The Aggies are 17-6-3 ATS in their last 26 home games — and they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. |
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01-17-18 | Richmond v. VCU -8.5 | 67-52 | Loss | -110 | 0 h 19 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the VCU Rams (728) minus the points versus the Richmond Spiders (727). VCU (11-7) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 106-71 blowout loss at the hands of Dayton in their building as a 3-point underdog. The Rams allowed the Flyers to make 62.9% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort of the season. But VCU has covered the point spread in 6 straight games after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. The Rams have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Now this VCU team returns home where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games. And in their last 26 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, the Rams have covered the point spread 18 times. |
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01-16-18 | Oklahoma v. Kansas State +2.5 | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Kansas State Wildcats (540) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (539). Kansas State (12-5) has lost three of their last four games with their 73-72 loss at Kansas back on Saturday as a 12.5-point underdog. The Wildcats made 10 of their 11 shots from the charity stripe in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after nailing at least 88% of their free throws in their last game. Now this team returns home where they are 24-7-3 ATS in their last 34 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. This Kansas State team will be playing with revenge on their mind after getting crushed by the Sooners last year by an 81-51 score despite being 1.5-point favorites back on February 25th. The Wildcats have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against fellow Big 12 opponents. |
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01-16-18 | North Dakota v. North Dakota State OVER 148.5 | Top | 86-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (547) and the North Dakota State Bison (548). North Dakota State (10-8) has won two of their last three games with their 82-64 win over Oral Roberts on Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. We had the Over in that game and won that play with the number finishing around 140.5 despite the Bison holding the Golden Eagles to just a 31.7% shooting mark which was their best defensive performance of the season. North Dakota State has then played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 16 of their last 22 home games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. The Bison stay at home for this game where they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall, North Dakota State has played 7 of these games Over the Total. |
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01-16-18 | Louisville v. Notre Dame -2.5 | 82-78 | Loss | -112 | 1 h 28 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (525) minus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (524). Notre Dame (13-5) has lost two straight games with their 69-68 loss to North Carolina as a 5-point underdog back on Saturday. The Fighting Irish have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of the last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread 5 of their last 7 games after a narrow loss by 3 points or less. And in their last 15 games after a loss to a fellow ACC opponent, Notre Dame has covered the point spread 11 times. The Irish stay at home where they are 7-2 this season with an average winning margin of +18.2 PPG. Notre Dame averages 83.1 PPG on their home court on 47.5% shooting while limiting their visitors to just 64.9 PPG on low 39% shooting. The Fighting Irish have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. And in their last 10 games against fellow ACC opponents, Notre Dame has covered the point spread 7 times. |
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01-16-18 | Clemson v. North Carolina OVER 147 | 79-87 | Win | 100 | 1 h 22 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (509) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (510). North Carolina (14-4) has won two straight games with their 69-68 win at Notre Dame on Saturday as a 5-point favorite. The Tar Heels have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. North Carolina has also played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Now the Tar Heels return home where they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total. And in their last 6 home games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range, North Carolina has played 5 of these games Over the Total. |