03-23-22 |
Hawks v. Pistons +5 |
Top |
101-122 |
Win
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100 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
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At 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Detroit Pistons (546) plus the points versus the Atlanta Hawks (545). THE SITUATION: Detroit (19-53) has lost six of their last seven games with their 119-115 upset loss to Portland as a 10-point favorite on Monday. Atlanta (36-36) comes off a 117-111 win in New York last night against the Knicks as a 3.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PISTONS PLUS THE POINTS: Detroit may be eliminated from the playoff race in the Eastern Conference — but they have been playing better basketball as of late with the continued development of Cade Cunningham. The number one pick in the 2021 NBA draft had a loss start to the season after a late start to training camp after a delay in signing in his contract. Some injuries in the fall then impacted his adjustment to the challenge of the NBA — but the former Oklahoma State star is finding his groove. Cunningham is scoring 22.4 Points-Per-Game this month while pulling down 7.3 Rebounds-Per-Game and dishing out 6.9 Assists-Per-Game. Their loss to the Trail Blazers was their second-straight game and third of their last four that was decided by four points or less — so this team has usually been competitive in their losses. The Pistons made only 42.4% of their shots on Monday which was the worst shooting effort in their last five games. But Detroit has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss. The Pistons have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games as an underdog. They have also covered the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games in March. Atlanta has been consistently inconsistent all season. They have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 12 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread victory. The Hawks have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played without a day of rest — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games on the road when playing their second game in back-to-back days. Atlanta will play this game undermanned with John Collins out with a foot injury and Lou Williams likely not playing because of personal reasons. The Hawks stay on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games when favored. Atlanta has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: Detroit won the last meeting between these two teams on March 7th by a 113-110 score in overtime as a 7.5-point home underdog. Cunningham starred in that game by scoring 28 points for the Pistons in the win while adding 10 rebounds. The Hawks have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 meetings against Detroit. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Underdog of the Month with the Detroit Pistons (546) plus the points versus the Atlanta Hawks (545). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-22-22 |
Bulls v. Bucks -7.5 |
Top |
98-126 |
Win
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100 |
0 h 6 m |
Show
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At 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Milwaukee Bucks (542) minus the points versus the Chicago Bulls (541). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (44-27) had their two-game winning streak snapped with a 138-119 loss at Minnesota as a 3.5-point underdog on Saturday. Chicago (42-29) ended their three-game losing streak with a 113-99 win against Toronto as a 4-point favorite last night.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BUCKS MINUS THE POINTS: Milwaukee allowed the Timberwolves to make 51.1% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last six games. The Bucks should bounce back with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after a loss on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss. Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when favored. Chicago made 48.9% of their shots in their victory against the Raptors yesterday which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. They also held Toronto to 44.0% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last four contests. The Bulls are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 23 road games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. Chicago has also failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 24 road games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee will be without Khris Middleton tonight as he nurses an ankle injury — but the Bulls are undermanned in this contest as well. Lonzo Ball remains out and Zach LaVine is questionable with a knee injury. Chicago has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games. 25* NBA Central Division Game of the Month is on Milwaukee Bucks (542) minus the points versus the Chicago Bulls (541). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-21-22 |
Wizards v. Rockets OVER 233 |
Top |
97-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 12 m |
Show
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At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (533) and the Houston Rockets (534). THE SITUATION: Washington (30-40) snapped their six-game losing streak with their 127-119 win against the Los Angeles Lakers as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. Houston (17-54) has lost five games in a row with their 122-98 loss to Memphis as a 12.5-point underdog yesterday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wizards’ losing streak likely played them out of a spot in the postseason — and their play on defense has illustrated their loss of ambition. Washington allowed the Lakers to make 52.7% of their shots which was the seventh time in their last eight games where they allowed their opponent to make at least 50% of their shots. Washington has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. The Over is 14-3-1 in the Wizards’ last 18 games after a win — and they have played 5 straight Overs after a point spread victory. They go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. Houston only made 43.0% of their shots against the Grizzlies which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last ten contests. The Rockies have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a loss by 10 or more points on their home court. The Over is 21-10-1 in Houston’s last 32 games after a point spread loss — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing without a day of rest. They stay at home where the Over is 13-6-1 in their last 20 games at home — and the Over is 17-8-1 in their last 26 home games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Houston has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record — and Washington has played 5 straight Overs against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less. 25* NBA Monday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (533) and the Houston Rockets (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-20-22 |
Raptors +6.5 v. 76ers |
|
93-88 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 6 m |
Show
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At 8:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Toronto Raptors (517) plus the points versus the Philadelphia 76ers (518). THE SITUATION: Toronto (39-31) had their five-game winning streak snapped on Friday with their 128-123 upset loss at home to the Los Angeles Lakers as a 9-point favorite. Philadelphia (43-26) has won two games in a row with their 111-101 win against Dallas as a 3.5-point favorite on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RAPTORS PLUS THE POINTS: The 76ers may choose to rest Joel Embiid tonight with a showdown with Miami Heat looming tomorrow. He is listed as questionable. If Embiid does not play, this Philly team lacks size. Even with Embiid playing normal minutes, the trading away of Andre Drummond has left their second unit lacking a big man when Embiid is off the court — and it has contributed to James Harden running with the second unit not being very effective. Even if Embiid plays tonight, Toronto should stay competitive. Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a point spread victory. They stay at home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games when favored. The Sixers are also just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Toronto has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. They go back on the road where they are 24-13 this season — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Raptors have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto will not have Fred VanVleet tonight — but they have depth and that is the reason they are getting up to eight points in this contest. They have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 27 games against teams with a winning record — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. They have posted a Net Efficiency Rating of +6.1 in their last six games. Philly has a Net Efficiency Rating of -0.3 despite winning four of their last six games. The losses of Drummond and Seth Curry in the trade for Harden should not be discounted. The 76ers have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. 10* NBA Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Toronto Raptors (517) plus the points versus the Philadelphia 76ers (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-19-22 |
Lakers v. Wizards OVER 227.5 |
|
119-127 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 10 m |
Show
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At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (583) and the Washington Wizards (584). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (30-40) snapped their three-game losing streak with a 128-123 upset win at Toronto as a 9-point underdog last night. Washington (29-40) has lost six games in a row after losing to New York by a 100-97 score as a 6-point underdog last night.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wizards only made 43.0% of their shots last night in what was the worst shooting effort in their last 12 contests. But Washington remained competitive with the Knicks because New York only made 34.4% of their shots which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 57 games. The Wizards had seen each of their previous six opponents make at least 50% of their shots — so that effort last night probably says more about the Knicks than it does about a sudden improvement in the play of the Washington defense. The Wizards have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. They have also played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing their third game in four days. They return home where the Over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games — and they have polled 13 of their last 16 home games Over the Total with the Total set at 220 or higher. Additionally, Washington has played 5 straight Overs at home as an underdog — and they have played 4 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Los Angeles has played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after an upset win as a road underdog. LeBron James is doing everything he can to carry this team into at least a Play-In game opportunity in the postseason. This team is not nearly as good on defense as they were last year. Their last five opponents have made 47.9% of their shots which has resulted in 122.9 Points-Per-Game. The Lakers have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles has played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total in non-conference play. 10* NBA Over/Under Situational Special with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (583) and the Washington Wizards (584). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-16-22 |
Bulls v. Jazz UNDER 225.5 |
Top |
110-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
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At 9:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (543) and the Utah Jazz (544). THE SITUATION: Chicago (41-27) lost their sixth game in their last eight with their 112-103 upset loss at Sacramento as a 3.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Utah (42-26) has lost two of their last three games with their 117-111 upset loss to Milwaukee as a 2-point favorite on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulls have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight Unders after a point spread loss. They have also played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. DeMar DeRozan has cooled off as of late with his shooting as he is making only 40% of his shots in his last eight games. Zach LaVine is not 100% with his knee. But while Chicago still misses the defensive presence of Lonzo Ball, they did get back Alex Caruso who gives them a boost on that end of the court. The Bulls stay on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 220s. The Under is also 13-5-1 in Chicago’s last 19 games on the road as an underdog. They have also played 5 straight Unders against teams with a winning record. Utah has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while they have not covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after not covering the point spread in at least three straight games. The Jazz will be without their second-leading scorer tonight with Bojan Bogdanovic out with a wrist injury. They stay at home where they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games when favored. Utah has also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on October 30th when the Bulls upset the Jazz at the United Center by a 107-99 score. That game finished well below the 219 point total — the Under is now 21-7-1 in the last 29 meetings between these two teams. 25* NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (543) and the Utah Jazz (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-16-22 |
Mavs -1.5 v. Nets |
|
113-111 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 22 m |
Show
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At 7:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Dallas Mavericks (535) minus the points versus the Brooklyn Nets (536). THE SITUATION: Dallas (42-26) has won two games in a row after their 95-92 loss at Boston as a 7-point underdog on Sunday. Brooklyn (36-33) has won four games in a row with their 150-108 blowout victory at Orlando as a 10-point favorite last night.
REASONS TO TAKE THE MAVERICKS MINUS THE POINTS: Dallas should build off their momentum tonight. They have covered the point spread in 11 of their 15 games after winning two games in a row on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 30 games after winning two of their last three games. The Mavericks have also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 17 games after not scoring more than 100 points in their last game. Dallas is a reliable road team that has covered the point spread in 26 of their last 39 games when favored by up to six points. Dallas is a dangerous team now that Luka Doncic has regained his basketball shape after not being in top fitness coming back from the offseason. The addition of Spencer Dinwiddie gave this group a quality third scoring option alongside Jalen Brunson and Doncic. But the biggest difference with this team this season has been the influence of first-year head coach Jason Kidd with the team’s effort on the defensive end of the court. The Mavericks rank sixth in the NBA in Defensive Rating. Brooklyn shot 60.2% from the field last night which was the best shooting effort in their last 62 games. Kyrie Irving went off for 60 points as he played like a man knowing that he would get the next night off since he chose not to get vaccinated despite being employed by a city that requires a COVID vaccine for their employees. So the Nets do not get Irving on the court — but he will probably showboat in the crowd which does not require vaccinations. He can’t help his teammates from the crowd — and Brooklyn has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games when playing the second game in back-to-back days. The Nets have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a win by at least 15 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a win by double-digits on the road. And while they have covered the point spread in three of their last four games with Kevin Durant back in the fold, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after covering the point spread in three of their last four contests. With Irving on the court, Brooklyn has a dynamite Offensive Rating of 119.3 — but that number drops to just 109.9 when he is not on the court. The Nets’ attention to defense on the other end of the court is not consistent as they rank just 24th in Defensive Rating since the All-Star Break. Now Brooklyn returns home where they have failed to cover the point in 10 straight games after a win on the road. They have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 31 games at the Barclays Center this season — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 home games with the Total set at 230 or higher. And in their last 7 home games as an underdog, they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on December 7th when the Nets won by a 102-99 score — but the Mavericks have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 17 opportunities for same-season revenge. 10* NBA Dallas-Brooklyn ESPN Special with the Dallas Mavericks (535) minus the points versus the Brooklyn Nets (536). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-14-22 |
Nuggets +3.5 v. 76ers |
|
114-110 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 25 m |
Show
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At 7:40 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Denver Nuggets (505) plus the points versus the Philadelphia 76ers (506). THE SITUATION: Denver (40-22) has lost two games in a row after their 127-115- loss to Toronto as a 6.5-point favorite on Saturday. Philadelphia (41-25) has won two of their last three games after their 116-114 victory in overtime at Orlando as a 10.5-point favorite yesterday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE NUGGETS PLUS THE POINTS: Denver should bounce back with a strong effort tonight. They have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a double-digit loss as a home favorite. The Nuggets have lost two games in a row by double-digits after dropping their previous contest to Golden State by a 113-102 score. Denver has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games after losing two games in a row — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after losing two in a row by 10 or more points. And while the Nuggets have not covered the point spread in four straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 18 of their last 25 games after not covering the point spread in four of their last five games. This team continues to get by without Jamal Murray and Michael Porter, Jr. although the hope is that both will return from injury in time of the playoffs. But Denver has a great head coach in Michael Malone — and with Nikola Jokic at center, they remain competitive against every team in the league. Jokic is scoring 26.1 Points-Per-Game on 57.3% shooting this season — and he is averaging 13.8 Rebounds-Per-Game and 8.1 Assists-Per-Game. They have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, the Nuggets have covered the point spread in 4 straight games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games with the Total set in the 220-229.5 point range. Philadelphia only made 38.0% of their shots last night against the Magic — but that was still the second-best shooting effort in their last four games. The 76ers gave failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after a loss on the road. And while that game finished Over the Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 home games after playing their last game Over the Total. Philly now has their Big Three with James Harden joining Joel Embiid and Tobias Harris — yet they are just 4-4 ATS in their eight games since the blockbuster trade. While Ben Simmons was not offering anything to them this season, losing Seth Curry and Andre Drummond should not be underestimated. The 76ers’ 3-point shooting is down without Curry knocking down shots — they are now just 11th with a 35.6% shooting percentage from behind the arc since the All-Star Break. And the second unit with Harden leading the way has not been effective. Interior defense with the second unit is a big problem where Drummond had been spelling Embiid. The 76ers are not a good defensive team either — this is where the loss of Simmons from past seasons really is felt. In their last 15 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, Philadelphia is 4-10-1 ATS.
FINAL TAKE: Denver is looking to avenge a 103-89 upset loss at home to the Sixers as a 7.5-point favorite on November 18th — and they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss at home. 10* NBA Denver-Philadelphia ESPN Special with the Denver Nuggets (505) plus the points versus the Philadelphia 76ers (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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