|
01-19-26 |
Miami-FL v. Indiana UNDER 48.5 |
Top |
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 40 m |
Show
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 48½
Our Edge
The market is trapped by the availability heuristic after Indiana’s 55-point explosion against Oregon, failing to account for a championship game script that favors conservative clock management and defensive regression toward elite season-long averages.
Statistical Edges
• Indiana enters this matchup with the second-ranked scoring defense in the country, allowing only 10.3 points per game, and has limited opponents to a sub-40% success rate in the red zone throughout the playoffs.
• While Indiana is missing key edge rushers Stephen Daley and Kellan Wyatt, the cluster injury on the defensive line has forced a tactical shift to a more conservative deep-shell coverage that effectively eliminates the explosive passing plays Miami relies on.
• Schedule-adjusted efficiency metrics show that Miami’s offense struggles against disciplined fronts, and with defensive anchors Akheem Mesidor and Ahmad Moten Sr. confirmed active, the Hurricanes possess the interior strength to turn this into a trench-warfare struggle.
• Historical pace ratings for Mario Cristobal teams in high-leverage situations show a 12% decrease in snaps per game compared to regular-season averages, as his philosophy shifts toward ball control and field position.
Psychological Edges
Public perception is heavily anchored to the high-scoring semifinal round, creating an overreaction to Indiana's recent offensive output. This narrative bias overlooks the psychological tightening that typically defines a national title environment. Betting markets frequently fail to apply proper Bayesian updating when a team has one outlier performance, leading to an inflated total. We are fading the public's memory of a blowout and betting on the reality of two top-ten defensive units that prioritize risk mitigation over aggressive downfield shots. When the pressure peaks, coaches revert to their most stable habits, which for these two programs means running the football and leaning on defensive stops.
EDGE ON: UNDER 48.5 (-110) |
|
01-09-26 |
Oregon v. Indiana OVER 47 |
Top |
22-56 |
Win
|
100 |
178 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON over 47
|
|
01-02-26 |
Wake Forest v. Mississippi State -3 |
Top |
43-29 |
Loss |
-108 |
180 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Mississippi State -3 -108
|
|
01-01-26 |
Alabama v. Indiana UNDER 48.5 |
Top |
3-38 |
Win
|
100 |
113 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 48½
|
|
12-31-25 |
Iowa v. Vanderbilt OVER 47 |
Top |
34-27 |
Win
|
100 |
172 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON over 47
|
|
12-30-25 |
Tennessee v. Illinois OVER 61.5 |
Top |
28-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
177 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON over 61½
|
|
12-29-25 |
Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State +7.5 |
Top |
29-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
171 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Appalachian State +7½ -110
|
|
12-27-25 |
Penn State v. Clemson -3 |
Top |
22-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
167 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Clemson -3 -110
|
|
12-26-25 |
Florida International +6.5 v. UTSA |
Top |
20-57 |
Loss |
-105 |
180 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Florida International +6½ -105
|
|
12-24-25 |
California v. Hawaii UNDER 54.5 |
Top |
31-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
178 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 54½
|
|
12-23-25 |
UNLV v. Ohio OVER 62.5 |
Top |
10-17 |
Loss |
-115 |
170 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON over 62½
|
|
12-22-25 |
Washington State v. Utah State -3 |
Top |
34-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
173 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Utah State -3 -110
|
|
12-20-25 |
Miami-FL v. Texas A&M UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
10-3 |
Win
|
100 |
91 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 51½
|
|
12-19-25 |
Kennesaw State v. Western Michigan -3.5 |
Top |
6-41 |
Win
|
100 |
132 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Western Michigan -3½ -115
|
|
12-18-25 |
Missouri State v. Arkansas State +1.5 |
Top |
28-34 |
Win
|
100 |
179 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Arkansas State +1½ -105
|
|
12-17-25 |
Old Dominion +4.5 v. South Florida |
Top |
24-10 |
Win
|
100 |
166 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Old Dominion +4½ -110
|
|
12-16-25 |
Troy v. Jacksonville State +4 |
Top |
13-17 |
Win
|
100 |
150 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Jacksonville State +4 -110
|
|
12-13-25 |
Army v. Navy UNDER 39.5 |
Top |
16-17 |
Win
|
100 |
143 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 39½
|
|
12-06-25 |
Indiana v. Ohio State -5.5 |
Top |
13-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
168 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Ohio State -5½ -110
|
|
12-05-25 |
Troy v. James Madison UNDER 48.5 |
Top |
14-31 |
Win
|
100 |
131 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 48½
|
|
11-29-25 |
Penn State v. Rutgers OVER 53.5 |
|
40-36 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON over 53½
|
|
11-29-25 |
Troy v. Southern Miss UNDER 52.5 |
Top |
28-18 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 52½
|
|
11-29-25 |
UAB v. Tulsa UNDER 61.5 |
|
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
145 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON under 61½
|
|
11-29-25 |
Miami-FL v. Pittsburgh +7 |
|
38-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
141 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Pittsburgh +7 -110
|
|
11-28-25 |
Arizona v. Arizona State UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
23-7 |
Win
|
100 |
127 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 50½
|
|
11-27-25 |
Navy +3.5 v. Memphis |
Top |
28-17 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Navy +3½ -105
|
|
11-25-25 |
Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 45.5 |
Top |
31-21 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON over 45½
|
|
11-22-25 |
Colorado State +17.5 v. Boise State |
|
21-49 |
Loss |
-110 |
149 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Colorado State +17½ -110
|
|
11-22-25 |
Pittsburgh +3 v. Georgia Tech |
Top |
42-28 |
Win
|
100 |
149 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Pittsburgh +3 -110
|
|
11-22-25 |
Duke v. North Carolina +7 |
|
32-25 |
Push |
0 |
146 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON North Carolina +7 -110
|
|
11-22-25 |
Connecticut v. Florida Atlantic +7.5 |
|
48-45 |
Win
|
100 |
145 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Florida Atlantic +7½ -110
|
|
11-22-25 |
New Mexico State v. UTEP -2.5 |
|
34-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
145 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON UTEP -2½ -110
|
|
11-22-25 |
Louisville v. SMU -3 |
|
6-38 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON SMU -3 -110
|
|
11-21-25 |
Hawaii v. UNLV -2.5 |
Top |
10-38 |
Win
|
100 |
127 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON UNLV -2½ -110
|
|
11-20-25 |
UL-Lafayette v. Arkansas State -2.5 |
Top |
34-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
27 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Arkansas State -2½ -110
|
|
11-19-25 |
Central Michigan -7 v. Kent State |
Top |
28-16 |
Win
|
100 |
77 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Central Michigan -7 -110
|
|
11-18-25 |
UMass v. Ohio UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
14-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
53 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 51½
|
|
11-15-25 |
Mississippi State v. Missouri -6 |
|
27-49 |
Win
|
100 |
150 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Missouri -6 -110
|
|
11-15-25 |
Penn State v. Michigan State +7.5 |
|
28-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
146 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Michigan State +7½ -110
|
|
11-15-25 |
Georgia Tech v. Boston College OVER 55.5 |
Top |
36-34 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON over 55½
|
|
11-15-25 |
Marshall -6.5 v. Georgia State |
|
30-18 |
Win
|
100 |
144 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Marshall -6½ -110
|
|
11-15-25 |
Air Force v. Connecticut -7 |
|
16-26 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Connecticut -7 -110
|
|
11-15-25 |
Eastern Michigan v. Ball State +3 |
|
24-9 |
Loss |
-110 |
142 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Ball State +3 -110
|
|
11-14-25 |
Clemson v. Louisville UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
20-19 |
Win
|
100 |
126 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 51½
|
|
11-13-25 |
Troy v. Old Dominion -10 |
Top |
0-33 |
Win
|
100 |
101 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Old Dominion -10 -110
|
|
11-12-25 |
Toledo -3 v. Miami-OH |
Top |
24-3 |
Win
|
100 |
77 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Toledo -3 -110
|
|
11-11-25 |
Ohio v. Western Michigan +1.5 |
Top |
13-17 |
Win
|
100 |
36 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Western Michigan +1½ -110
|
|
11-08-25 |
Navy v. Notre Dame OVER 55.5 |
|
10-49 |
Win
|
100 |
150 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON over 55½
|
|
11-08-25 |
Wake Forest v. Virginia -6.5 |
|
16-9 |
Loss |
-110 |
149 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Virginia -6½ -110
|
|
11-08-25 |
Florida State +2.5 v. Clemson |
|
10-24 |
Loss |
-100 |
149 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Florida State +2½ +100
|
|
11-08-25 |
Stanford v. North Carolina OVER 41.5 |
Top |
15-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
147 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON over 41½
|
|
11-08-25 |
Georgia State v. Coastal Carolina -7 |
|
27-40 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Coastal Carolina -7 -110
|
|
11-08-25 |
SMU v. Boston College OVER 53.5 |
|
45-13 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON over 53½
|
|
11-07-25 |
Houston v. Central Florida UNDER 48.5 |
Top |
30-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
126 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 48½
|
|
11-06-25 |
UTSA v. South Florida -12.5 |
Top |
23-55 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON South Florida -12½ -110
|
|
11-04-25 |
Miami-OH v. Ohio UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 50½
|
|
11-01-25 |
Oklahoma v. Tennessee UNDER 56.5 |
Top |
33-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
150 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 56½
|
|
11-01-25 |
New Mexico v. UNLV UNDER 64.5 |
|
40-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
145 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON under 64½
|
|
11-01-25 |
Central Florida v. Baylor OVER 58.5 |
|
3-30 |
Loss |
-118 |
142 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON over 58½
|
|
11-01-25 |
Rutgers v. Illinois OVER 60.5 |
|
13-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
142 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON over 60½
|
|
11-01-25 |
Miami-FL v. SMU OVER 50.5 |
|
20-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
142 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON over 50½
|
|
10-31-25 |
North Carolina v. Syracuse UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
27-10 |
Win
|
100 |
126 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 47½
|
|
10-30-25 |
Tulane v. UTSA +4.5 |
Top |
26-48 |
Win
|
100 |
102 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON UTSA +4½ -110
|
|
10-29-25 |
Florida International v. Missouri State -3 |
Top |
21-28 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Missouri State -3 -110
|
|
10-28-25 |
James Madison v. Texas State UNDER 59.5 |
Top |
52-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 59½
|
|
10-25-25 |
Boston College v. Louisville -23.5 |
|
24-38 |
Loss |
-105 |
149 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Louisville -23½ -105
|
|
10-25-25 |
Auburn v. Arkansas OVER 55.5 |
|
33-24 |
Win
|
100 |
143 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON over 55½
|
|
10-25-25 |
Virginia v. North Carolina +10 |
|
17-16 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON North Carolina +10 -110
|
|
10-25-25 |
SMU v. Wake Forest +4.5 |
|
12-13 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Wake Forest +4½ -110
|
|
10-25-25 |
Northwestern v. Nebraska OVER 42.5 |
|
21-28 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON over 42½
|
|
10-25-25 |
UCLA v. Indiana OVER 51.5 |
Top |
6-56 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON over 51½
|
|
10-24-25 |
Boise State v. Nevada UNDER 52.5 |
Top |
24-3 |
Win
|
100 |
128 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 52½
|
|
10-23-25 |
South Alabama v. Georgia State OVER 54.5 |
Top |
38-31 |
Win
|
100 |
100 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON over 54½
|
|
10-22-25 |
Middle Tennessee State +10 v. Delaware |
Top |
28-31 |
Win
|
100 |
59 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Middle Tennessee State +10 -105
|
|
10-21-25 |
Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
28-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 50½
|
|
10-18-25 |
Texas State v. Marshall +5.5 |
|
37-40 |
Win
|
100 |
145 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Marshall +5½ -110
|
|
10-18-25 |
Kent State v. Toledo -23.5 |
Top |
10-45 |
Win
|
100 |
144 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Toledo -23½ -110
|
|
10-18-25 |
West Virginia +7.5 v. Central Florida |
|
13-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
143 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON West Virginia +7½ -110
|
|
10-18-25 |
Oklahoma -3.5 v. South Carolina |
|
26-7 |
Win
|
100 |
143 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Oklahoma -3½ -105
|
|
10-18-25 |
Eastern Michigan v. Miami-OH OVER 47.5 |
|
30-44 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON over 47½
|
|
10-17-25 |
Nebraska v. Minnesota UNDER 48.5 |
Top |
6-24 |
Win
|
100 |
125 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON under 48½
|
|
10-16-25 |
Tulsa v. East Carolina OVER 53.5 |
Top |
27-41 |
Win
|
100 |
101 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON over 53½
|
|
10-15-25 |
UTEP v. Sam Houston OVER 47.5 |
Top |
35-17 |
Win
|
100 |
76 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON over 47½
|
|
10-14-25 |
Florida International v. Western Kentucky OVER 55.5 |
Top |
25-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON over 55½
|
|
10-12-25 |
Utah State v. Hawaii +1.5 |
Top |
26-44 |
Win
|
100 |
62 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Hawaii +1½ -108
|
|
10-11-25 |
Michigan v. USC -2.5 |
|
13-31 |
Win
|
100 |
150 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON USC -2½ -110
|
|
10-11-25 |
UAB +5.5 v. Florida Atlantic |
Top |
33-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
148 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON UAB +5½ -110
|
|
10-11-25 |
Indiana +10 v. Oregon |
|
30-20 |
Win
|
100 |
145 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Indiana +10 -110
|
|
10-11-25 |
Oklahoma +3 v. Texas |
|
6-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
145 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Oklahoma +3 -105
|
|
10-11-25 |
Alabama v. Missouri +4.5 |
|
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Missouri +4½ -110
|
|
10-10-25 |
Fresno State v. Colorado State +7 |
Top |
21-49 |
Win
|
100 |
127 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Colorado State +7 -110
|
|
10-09-25 |
Southern Miss -2.5 v. Georgia Southern |
Top |
38-35 |
Win
|
100 |
102 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Southern Miss -2½ -110
|
|
10-08-25 |
Liberty v. UTEP +3 |
Top |
19-8 |
Loss |
-110 |
78 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON UTEP +3 -110
|
|
10-04-25 |
South Alabama v. Troy -2.5 |
|
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
149 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Troy -2½ -110
|
|
10-04-25 |
Coastal Carolina v. Old Dominion -16.5 |
Top |
7-47 |
Win
|
100 |
148 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON Old Dominion -16½ -110
|
|
10-04-25 |
Washington v. Maryland +5.5 |
|
24-20 |
Win
|
100 |
145 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Maryland +5½ -110
|
|
10-04-25 |
Boston College v. Pittsburgh -4.5 |
|
7-48 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Pittsburgh -4½ -110
|
|
10-04-25 |
Ohio v. Ball State +17.5 |
|
14-20 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
BENNETT EDGE ON Ball State +17½ -110
|
|
10-03-25 |
New Mexico +3 v. San Jose State |
Top |
28-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
128 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON New Mexico +3 -110
|
|
10-02-25 |
Sam Houston v. New Mexico State OVER 53 |
Top |
10-37 |
Loss |
-108 |
60 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
TOP BENNETT EDGE ON over 53
|