Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-31-23 | Rangers +100 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
#951 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Texas Rangers -100 over Arizona Diamondbacks, Tuesday at 8:03 PM ET - This game is essentially a bullpen game as Mantiply is just an opener for the Diamondbacks and Heaney has lasted a total of only 6 innings his 4 post-season appearances (2 starts). So if we talk about team facts here, the Rangers have won all 9 of their road post-season games! Based on the way Texas has played away from home in this post-season, they are loaded with confidence and the same can not be said for a Diamondbacks team that so often has struggled to score many runs in these playoffs. We look for that road team trend to reach 10 in a row as the Rangers resume their long-term pattern of consistently crushing the ball away from home. In the ALCS, Texas delivered that huge 9th inning to put the finishing touches on a huge Game 6 win which carried right into a Game 7 dominating win! Those 2 wins to close out the series at Houston have already carried momentum into their first travels in the World Series as well as they jumped out 3-0 in the 3rd inning yesterday and then hung on for the 3-1 win. The Rangers lineup has proven to be a very confident group away from home in this post-season and will likely hit much better today too after a surprisingly quiet effort yesterday. Texas rolls again here with our computer math model showing a strong probability of another road win in this one. Take the Rangers |
|||||||
10-30-23 | Rangers -104 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
#945 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Texas Rangers -110 over Arizona Diamondbacks, Monday at 8:03 PM ET - Look at this line today and tell us nothing is "fishy" here with this one! The fact is one could argue that the Diamondbacks, at least based on stats so far in this post-season for the pitchers involved here, have the much bigger pitching advantage today in this match-up, How is this line almost a pick'em when Brandon Pfaadt has a 2.70 ERA in the post-season and Max Scherzer has a 9.45 ERA in the post-season? Yes...we are saying the same thing here! How is this possible? Well the fact is that Scherzer has more rest entering this start then he did entering his prior start and that will make a difference here! Also, Pfaadt really struggled for much of this season before now enjoying some post-season success. Don't be surprised if he matches up much worse with the Rangers here than he did with the Phillies. Overall, Pfaadt is not a guy with dominating stuff. Also, let's now look at other factors here like the fact that the Rangers have won all 8 of their road post-season games! This is a pivotal Game 3 in this series and yet this line seems funny to us and we look for that road team trend to reach 9 in a row as the Rangers continue to crush the ball away from home. In the ALCS, Texas delivered that huge 9th inning to put the finishing touches on a huge Game 6 win which carried right into a Game 7 dominating win and those 2 wins to close out the series at Houston will carry momentum into their first travels in the World Series as well. The Rangers lineup has proven to be a very confident group away from home in this post-season and Texas rolls again here after the ugly Game 2 loss at home. Take the Rangers |
|||||||
10-23-23 | Rangers +113 v. Astros | Top | 11-4 | Win | 113 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
#933 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Texas Rangers +110 over Houston Astros, Monday at 8:03 PM ET - Look at the two lines today and tell us nothing is "fishy" here with this one! The fact is one could argue that the Astros, at least based on stats so far in this post-season for the pitchers involved here, have the bigger pitching advantage today than the Phillies. In that NLCS match-up, Nola has been great but Kelly is also a solid starter. That said, how are the Phillies nearly a $2 favorite but this line is almost a pick'em when Javier has a 1.69 ERA in the post-season and Scherzer has an 11.25 ERA in the post-season? Yes...we are saying the same thing here! How is this possible? Well the fact is if you look at the prior match-up between these two starters, Scherzer had trouble with 4 Astros hitters while Javier gave up hits to 3 Rangers hitters. In other words, the difference was not so great! That said, look at other factors here like the fact that the road team has incredibly won all 6 games in this series! In fact, the road team is now 9-0 in the Astros last 9 post-season games! This is a huge Game 7 and yet this line seems funny to us and we look for that road team trend to reach 10 in a row as Houston is eliminated from the post-season. Texas delivering that huge 9th inning to put the finishing touches on a huge Game 6 win is absolutely going to carry momentum into Game 7 as well. Texas believes even more now and they can win this thing! Take the Rangers |
|||||||
10-19-23 | Astros v. Rangers -110 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
#908 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Texas Rangers -110 over Houston Astros, Thursday at 8:03 PM ET - Our money is on the Rangers to bounce back here after losing Game 3 at home yesterday. Texas had won all 7 of their post-season games before that loss. Andrew Heaney expected to start for Texas in this one and he held the Astros to only 3 earned runs on just 9 hits in 15 innings in his first 3 starts against them this season. Then he struggled some in the final start versus Houston so he is out for redemption here and we see him getting that! Heaney had a solid outing, though not long, against the Orioles in the divisional round and we expect another solid effort here. We also look for Jose Urquidy to struggle here. He missed a lot of this season so Urquidy also missed facing the Rangers but in his last two starts against them, both last season, he allowed 8 earned runs in 11 innings! Urquidy has allowed 5 homers in his last 3 starts against Texas! The Rangers were 51-31 at home this season prior to yesterday's loss. Our computer math model shows a high probability the home team gets the win here in Game 4. Take the Rangers |
|||||||
10-16-23 | Rangers +115 v. Astros | Top | 5-4 | Win | 115 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
#965 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Texas Rangers +115 over Houston Astros, Monday at 4:37 PM ET - Many will jump on the Astros here thinking they simply can not fall into an 0-2 hole in this series by losing each of the first two games at home. However, this Rangers team is hungrier and sure looks like the better team in this match-up. Texas really has come a long way and it looks like it finally could be a changing of the guard in the Lone Star state. The Rangers got the 2-0 win yesterday and should dominate much more today! They have a big pitching edge with Nathan Eovaldi over Framber Valdez. Keep in mind, Houston actually had a losing record at home this season! The Astros certainly have not found their home field to be a fortress this year by any stretch of the imagination! As for the Rangers, their confidence has grown game by game as they finished the season strong and carried that momentum right into the post-season. Texas won 8 of their last 12 regular season games including 8 of 11 to wrap up their post-season berth before the regular season finale. Now in the post-season the Rangers have won 6 straight games! In 5 of those 6 victories they have allowed a total of only 4 runs or average of 0.80 runs per game! They are dominating with starters and bullpen! Speaking of that dominance, Eovaldi went 12-5 with a 3.63 ERA in the regular season and is 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA so far in the post-season. The Astros Framber Valdez went just 4-8 at home this season and also enters this start off 3 straight rough outings! His final 2 of the regular season carried right into struggles in a 3rd straight game as his post-season outing was a loss to the Twins in which he allowed 5 earned runs in 4.1 innings! Look for a 4th straight rough outing for Valdez here and the Texas win streak continues and moves to 7 in a row! Take the Rangers |
|||||||
10-09-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -147 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -147 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
#920 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Los Angeles Dodgers -150/-155 over Arizona Diamondbacks, Monday at 9:07 PM ET - Just like our play on the Astros in their win over the Twins in Game 1 of that series Saturday, laying a little juice can prove well worth it in the post-season when the situation is right. This is another one of those spots the way we see it! And, for comparison's sake, a 4* play on a -110 is roughly the same risk amount as a 3* play on a -150 favorite. No hesitation to lay it here as the Dodgers are set to bounce back after the ugly loss in Game 1 Saturday. LA was hammered 11 to 2 in that game but, as you would expect with a strong team like the Dodgers, they rarely have losses in which they allow 9 or more runs. The last 8 times that happened this season, Los Angeles won the next game all 8 times - a perfect 8-0 mark! We do not see that changing here. Zac Gallen is a solid starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks but his ERA was nearly 2 runs higher on the road compared to at home this past season. Gallen was 12-3 with a 2.47 ERA in Arizona this season but went 5-6 with a 4.42 ERA on the road. Specifically he struggled in his two starts against these Dodgers and we expect more of the same here. Bobby Miller, on the other hand, was solid against the Diamondbacks this season with a 3.00 ERA in his two starts against them. Another thing that impressed us about a rookie like Miller this season is we thought he might fade some late in the season. However, Miller even got stronger come crunch time and he had a 3.36 ERA after the All-Star break compared to a 4.50 ERA prior to it. That is a good sign of what to expect from him here in a home post-season start as well. Also, in the regular season, the Dodgers bullpen ranked among the best in the majors while the Diamondbacks bullpen ERA ranked them in the lower half of the majors. We look for a huge bounce back here from a playoff-tested Dodgers team as they respond off a rare, ugly home loss and make it 9-0 last 9 times when off a loss in which they allowed 9 or more runs! Take the Dodgers at home Monday night. |
|||||||
09-29-23 | Red Sox +125 v. Orioles | Top | 3-0 | Win | 125 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
#915 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Boston Red Sox +115/+120 over Baltimore Orioles, Friday at 7:05 PM ET - Action on pitchers. The Orioles did it with yesterday's win over these Red Sox. They clinched the AL East and that is their first division title in nearly a decade. We do not expect much from this Baltimore bunch today after such an emotional win yesterday and all the celebrating that followed last night. That said, there is excellent underdog line value with Boston here. The Red Sox send Nick Pivetta to the mound and he has a 3.08 ERA this month with opponents hitting just .208 against him. Pivetta has an edge here in that the Orioles have not seen him yet this season and when he last pitched here in August at Baltimore he struck out 9 in 6 innings. Pivetta has had good success against them each of the last two times he has faced them and the O's bats could be a little sleepy here after last night's celebration. The Orioles send John Means to the mound and he had missed much of this season as well as much of last season. Though he has pitched well in limited action since coming back, Means could be limited tonight as now the Orioles are just in "tune-up mode" for the post-season. They will want to be careful with Means here. Keep in mind he is coming back from Tommy John surgery and this will be just his 5th start since the 2021 season ended and they want him healthy and strong for the playoffs. The value is on the Red Sox in this one and Boston is currently available at a solid underdog price range of +115 to +120. |
|||||||
09-27-23 | Rays -120 v. Red Sox | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
#913 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Tampa Bay Rays -125 over Boston Red Sox, Wednesday at 6:10 PM ET - We will go action on the pitchers here. The Red Sox have Brayan Bello listed as a starter and the Rays are expected to start Tyler Glasnow here. The odds that both pitchers get scratched is, of course, very minimal and this is both a play on Glasnow and a play against Bello so we are in good shape either way. From a team aspect there is a huge edge for Tampa Bay as well. They are still alive in the race for the AL East division title plus they catch a Red Sox team that is slumping badly to end the season. Boston is 4-15 last 19 games and fell out of playoff contention as the month of September wore on. Overall, they have been struggling for 2 months now as, dating to late July, the Red Sox have a 20-34 record! The Rays are on a 33-18 run since late July! Glasnow has dominated the Red Sox in both his starts against them this season and that included one at Fenway Park! Though he has given up more earned runs in recent outings he has still been tough to hit and has continued piling up strikeouts and he will resume his dominance of the Red Sox here! As for Bello, he has allowed 15 earned runs in 20 innings in his 4 starts against TB in his career. Bello also enters this outing off B2B losses and got destroyed in his most recent start and has a 7.65 ERA this month. All factors considered, a lot of value with the road team at a very fair money line price in this one. Look for Tampa Bay to keep rolling as they have one of the best records in the league this season and continue to be consistently strong. Rays get the win this evening in Boston. |
|||||||
09-24-23 | Mariners v. Rangers -119 | Top | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
#976 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Texas Rangers -120 over Seattle Mariners, Sunday at 2:35 PM ET - The Mariners again lost to the Rangers yesterday in the second game of this 3-game set with Texas. More of the same on the way here as the loss dropped the Mariners to just 33-44 in their games against teams with a winning record this season. Texas is 49-31 in home games this season and this is their regular season home finale. Considering that plus the fact they are in a battle with Houston and Seattle for the AL West title, the Rangers realize the importance of taking advantage of home field in this one for the series sweep. We get line value here because Bryan Woo is on the mound for the Mariners in this one and has a respectable ERA. The fact is the rookie does not have the MLB big game experience of Nathan Eovaldi plus Woo is 0-3 with a 10.38 ERA in his 3 day game starts this season. This Texas line up has been very good this season at home where they are ranked #2 in the AL for batting average (.274) and #1 in the AL with a .492 slugging percentage! The Rangers are averaging 6 RPG this season at home. They will send Eovaldi to the mound here as he continues to get back to full strength after missing the last two weeks of July and the month of August. We look for him to continue to bounce back as he has gotten stronger and worked deeper with each start here in the month of September. For the season Eovaldi has an ERA of 3.04 and an 11-4 record. With over a decade of experience including multiple seasons with post-season experience, Eovaldi delivers in a key game here. The Rangers are looking to grab the division title this coming week and we look for Eovaldi to help the cause and, along the way, he adds a W to his sparkling run of 10-2 his last 12 decisions! Texas is 6-1 last 7 at home and Seattle is on an overall 7-12 run and has lost 10 of 16 road games! Take the Rangers |
|||||||
09-15-23 | Rangers -118 v. Guardians | Top | 3-12 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
#917 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Texas Rangers -120 over Cleveland Guardians, Friday at 7:10 PM ET - The red hot Rangers have won 6 straight games and have Jonathan Gray on the mound for this one. He is off a rare bad start and we look for him to bounce right back here. Gray has a 3.43 ERA on the road this season and has allowed a batting average of only .220 away from home this season. Lucas Giolito has been trending the opposite direction and getting absolutely crushed in terms of homers allowed. Giolito has given up 3 homers in 3 straight starts! Yes, 9 homers over his last 3 starts. He has allowed multi-homer games in 6 of his last 10 starts! Giolito is now on his 3rd team this season and the 2nd half of this season has been a nightmare for him. Since the All-Star break Giolito is 1-8 with an 8.06 ERA. The Rangers are off a 9-2 win yesterday and have averaged scoring 8 runs per game in their current winning streak of 6 games! The Guardians have been going the other direction with losses in 8 of 11 games! We really like Texas in this spot. Regardless of the pitchers we have the hotter team here but we definitely also do have a starting pitching edge. Gray is highly unlikely to have back to back bad starts while Giolito has consistently been roughed up. Lay it with the road team in this one! Take the Rangers |
|||||||
09-13-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -112 | Top | 10-0 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
#918 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Toronto Blue Jays -120 over Texas Rangers, Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET - Texas picked up the win here last night topping the Blue Jays 6-3. That’s 4 straight wins for the Rangers but Toronto, prior to B2B losses to open up this series, had wins in their last 4 home games and we like them to get another one tonight to get right back on track. The offense has been up and down this season for Toronto but they are still a top ten offense in the league and we expect them to have success tonight vs Jordan Montgomery. The Rangers southpaw has been crushed in both his starts this month. Also, Montgomery has a 2-6 record in his road starts this season while the Jays Yusei Kikuchi has been great at home this season. The Blue Jays left-hander is 5-2 at home this season and has held hitters to a .220 batting average in his 13 starts here. In his 10 starts since the All-Star break, Kikuchi has a 2.44 ERA and has held hitters to a .234 batting average. The Jays also have the much better bullpen in this match-up when you consider ERA numbers on the season. Toronto ranks 5th and Texas ranks 26th for bullpen ERA! The Rangers have won 4 straight but this was on the heels of a 4-16 run! Texas had been slumping to say the least and now we get value with the Jays at home and with a big pitching edge in terms of starters and bullpen here. The Jays, prior to losing the first two games of this series, had won 8 of 10 games. Toronto should resume their heater here as they have done a great job of avoiding losing streaks this season. This one should end at 2 for the Blue Jays at home per all of the above. The Rangers entered this series with a losing road record on the season. The Jays play in the tough AL East and have a sub-par divisional record but they entered this series 68-38 against non-divisional foes. We have this money line set higher in favor of the Jays so our value is on Toronto tonight. |
|||||||
09-08-23 | Diamondbacks -110 v. Cubs | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
#951 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Arizona Diamondbacks -110 over Chicago Cubs, Friday at 2:20 PM ET - The Diamondbacks got the big win yesterday and today should be a repeat of that. Arizona's Zac Gallen is off B2B tougher starts but he is having a great season overall and plus this followed 4 straight starts in which his typical dominance was fully intact. Gallen went 3-0 in those 4 starts and allowed 4 earned runs on 18 hits in 25.1 innings and he struck out 30 batters! The only two times this season that he was off of B2B starts in which he allowed at least 4 earned runs in each outing he bounced back with a stellar outing each time. Gallen has not had 3 straight bad starts this entire season. He is a gamer that will come up big here against the Cubs who start a much more questionable starter in this late-season playoff-chase battle. Jameson Taillon gets the call for Chicago here and he has a 5.51 ERA on the season plus has been a bit shaky over his last 5 starts. In those outings he has allowed 26 runs (20 earned) on 33 hits in 26.1 innings! Taillon is just not on the same level as Gallen as the latter is 26-11 the past two seasons combined with a 3.00 ERA! The Diamondbacks confidence is surging off B2B wins by a combined score of 18 to 7 and they stay hot here in this one! The Cubs had been hot too but if you look at their schedule over the past 3 weeks, they had faced a combination of weak non-playoff teams and a number of slumping teams too. This game is another playoff-level game today and we like Arizona to get the job done again here. Take the Diamondbacks on the road Friday afternoon. |
|||||||
09-06-23 | Giants v. Cubs -143 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
#954 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Chicago Cubs -145 over San Francisco Giants, Wednesday at 2:20 PM ET - We successfully played the over yesterday as we expected the long-struggling bats of the Giants to finally get going with the wind blowing out at Wrigley Field. They did just that but the Cubs outscored them in the high-scoring win that was an easy over for us. Wednesday the wind will likely be switching to westerly just before or as this game is going on. Either way, the Cubs are the team much more likely to again win a high-scoring battle if it would turn into one. Since the All-Star break, Chicago is averaging 6 runs per game and no NL team has scored more runs than them since the break. As for San Francisco, they are dead last in the majors for runs scored since the break and having averaged a paltry 3.6 runs per game. The Giants are hitting just .216 since mid-July with a dismal .344 slugging percentage. The Cubs slugging percentage over the same period is .460 - more than 100 points higher! In terms of pitching here, though we are going action on pitchers, Alex Wood has a 6.15 ERA in day games with a .327 batting average against! The Cubs Jordan Wicks is a rookie but he has been rock solid in his first two big league starts and he went undefeated in his 20 starts in the minors while earning the win in seven of those outings for a perfect 7-0 record. The Giants have lost 5 straight games and are on a 9-20 run in the last 29 games. The Cubs have won 3 straight games and are on a 13-5 run in the last 18 games. Take the Cubs at home Wednesday afternoon. |
|||||||
08-28-23 | Brewers +111 v. Cubs | Top | 6-2 | Win | 111 | 19 h 40 m | Show |
#903 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Milwaukee Brewers +110 over Chicago Cubs, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - Action on pitchers. Yes, the Cubs bullpen has been solid this season but the Brewers bullpen is even better and has the 3rd lowest team ERA in the NL for bullpens! The expected starters - though we like this play even if the starters do not go - are Wade Miley and Jameson Taillon. The Brewers are heating up again and are the hottest team in the league right now with 8 straight wins! The Cubs have been playing well too but are off B2B wins here and are actually 1-5 the last 6 times they have entered a game on a winning streak of 2 or more. Chicago has gone 29-36 against teams with a winning record this season and, though solid in divisional games, the Brewers have been even better with a 24-12 record in divisional action. Milwaukee is also 56-37 this season against right-handers. Again, even if there was a starting pitching change we like the road team here. Chicago is expected to start Taillon and he has a 6.08 ERA this month and has allowed a homer in each of his 5 August starts! Look for Milwaukee to make it 9 straight wins as they build on their 8-game winning streak and Miley could certainly play a role in that. The Brewers left-hander has allowed only 8 earned runs in 26 innings over his last 5 starts! The Cubs struggles when entering a game on a winning streak continue here as they face the top team in their division. The value is on the Brewers here ... currently available at an underdog price range of +110. |
|||||||
07-28-23 | Yankees -119 v. Orioles | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
#961 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* NY Yankees -120 over Baltimore Orioles, Friday at 7:05 PM ET - We will go action on pitchers here. The Orioles have Grayson Rodriguez listed as a starter and the Yankees are expected to start Gerrit Cole here. The odds that both pitchers get scratched is, of course, very minimal and this is both a play on Cole and a play against Rodriguez so we are in good shape either way. Cole enters this one having another strong month as batters are hitting just .196 against him in July and he has struck out 31 in 25.2 innings! Grayson Rodriguez has struggled badly for the Orioles in his home starts this season. Rodriguez has a 9.11 ERA with a .348 BAA in his 6 starts at home in Baltimore this season. He could be facing a Yankees lineup rejuvenated by the bat of Aaron Judge who is expected to be activated for this game as he has completed his rehabilitation after injury. The Yankees have won 4 of 5 games. The Orioles have lost B2B games. Also, Baltimore has lost 2 of the last 3 home games. The Yankees are ranked #1 in the majors for bullpen ERA and their pen is also #2 for batting average against. The Orioles bullpen has a solid ERA but the batting average against numbers for the Baltimore pen ranks them 22nd out of the 30 MLB teams. The point is that Baltimore has been fortunate with the low bullpen ERA thus far this season. So, all factors considered, a lot of value with the road team at a very fair money line price in this one. Look for New York to build momentum off the 3-1 win over the Mets Wednesday. The Yankees get the win this evening in Baltimore. |
|||||||
07-14-23 | Brewers -116 v. Reds | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
#957 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Milwaukee Brewers -115 or -120 over Cincinnati Reds, Friday at 7:10 PM ET - Action on pitchers. This is a big game right of the gate in the Central Division as the 2nd half of the season gets underway post-All Star Break. We like the Brewers here as they have won 6 of last 8 road games and are taking on a divisional foe that has lost 3 of 5 home games and has not been great at home this season. In fact, the Reds 23-21 record at home is no better than the Brewers road record which is also 23-21. Each club has played 26 divisional games and Milwaukee is 17-9 in divisional action while Cincinnati is 12-14 in divisional games. All of the above supports a value play on the Brewers here and that is before even analyzing the expected pitching match-up here which is Corbin Burnes (with a big edge) against Graham Ashcraft. Note that Burnes is 6-4 with a 3.44 ERA in night games and opponents hitting just .202 against him under the lights. Ashcraft, on the other hand, is 2-5 with a 7.95 ERA in his home starts this season and opponents hitting .297 against him in his home ballpark. Though Ashcraft had a good start in his only outing so far in July, let us not forget that he got completely steamrolled with a combined 1-6 record in his 10 starts in May/June and a very ugly ERA of 9.66 over the starts spanning those two most recent months. Burnes has been great in both starts against the Reds this season while Ashcraft got destroyed in his only start against Milwaukee this season. The value is on the Brewers here ... currently available at a nearly pick'em price range of -115 to -120. |
|||||||
07-03-23 | Braves -151 v. Guardians | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
#915 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Atlanta Braves (-155) over Cleveland Guardians, Monday at 7:10 PM ET - The Royals and the Athletics are the only two teams in baseball that have less than 33 wins and each of those clubs have 25 or less wins on the season! What does that have to do with this play? Well, the Guardians are starting rookie right-hander Gavin Williams in this one and he has been solid in his first two starts but those are the two teams he has faced - Oakland and Kansas City. Now Williams is facing an Atlanta team that has won 8 straight games and is the hottest team in the majors plus has the highest winning percentage (.675) in the majors with a stellar 56-27 record on the year. Atlanta is worth a strong rated play in this price range as the Braves are on a win streak and the Guardians are still a game below .500 on the season. Also, Cleveland has been nothing special at home this season and plus they are facing a tough Braves hurler in Bryce Elder in this one. Elder has a 1.43 ERA in his 6 road starts this season and is undefeated in those with a 3-0 record and a .195 batting average against away from home on the year! Atlanta has won 23 of 26 games so when you consider all factors in this match-up, this is a rare opportunity to get one of the best teams in baseball and the hottest team in MLB at a reasonable money line price. We will take advantage and grab that opportunity. Lay it! |