1* Free Play on Indians -162
Free Pick on Giants
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Rotation #902 Monday Free Pick Philadelphia Phillies Money Line (-) vs New York Mets @ 7:05 ET - The Phillies are in a horrible slump but, similar to my successful big play on a slumping Astros team yesterday, today looks like the perfect spot for Philadelphia to snap their slump. The Phillies are 4-2 in Zach Eflin's home starts this season. Overall, he has been the most consistent starter for the Phillies this season. Eflin has allowed 3 or less runs in 11 of his 14 starts this season. Also, he has a 2.83 ERA on the season. The Mets are starting Steven Matz and he has allowed 9 runs (7 earned) in the 6 innings spanning his last two starts against the Phillies. Also, the New York southpaw is 2-5 with an ugly 6.21 ERA in his 8 road starts this season. The Mets are 17-27 in road games this season. The Phillies have lost 4 straight home games but were 23-13 on the season at Citizens Bank Park prior to this surprising stretch. That said, don't be surprised when Philly gets right back on track here. Free Pick PHILADELPHIA
1* Free MLB Pick on Chicago Cubs -120
This is an easy play on the Cubs as a small home favorite in Monday's series opener against the Braves. Tough spot here for Atlanta after closing a road series against division rival Washington with a 10-inning affair on Sunday. Chicago on the other hand is int the midst of a 10-game homestand and fresh off a thrilling 5-3 win, where they scored 3 in the bottom of the 8th.
Jon Lester will start for the Cubs and he's had his struggles of late, However, Lester is coming off a strong start at home against the White Sox and now owns a 2.76 ERA in 8 home starts (Cubs are 6-2).
It's also worth pointing out that Lester has enjoyed pitching against Atlanta, as he owns a 2.52 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Braves. That includes an outing at Atlanta earlier this year, where he gave up just 2 runs in 6 innings.
Braves will send out Julio Teheran, who was just rocked for 6 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in 4 innings at home to the Mets.
Cubs are 26-9 on the season as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 13-2 in Lester's last 15 starts in the month of June. Take Chicago!
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10* FREE MLB PICK (White Sox +160)
I'll take my chances here with the White Sox at this price all day long. No question who has more talent, but talent can be negated by pitching and I've really liked what I've seen from Chicago starter Lucas Giolito. I'm not concerned at all about his last start at the Cubs, where he gave up 6 runs in 4 1/3 innings. Every starter is going to have those kind of days. As bad as that was, he still has a sensational 2.74 ERA and 1.020 WHIP. White Sox are 11-3 in his 14 starts, including a 6-1 mark on the road. I also like he's facing the Red Sox off a game where the offense managed to score just 1 run. Boston is 1-5 last 6 off a game where they scored 2 or less. Give me the White Sox +160!
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Free Play on White Sox +157
[1%] Free Play on Indians -148
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OVER 9 1/2 -125 Kansas City/Cleveland
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The MLB Comp Play is on Cleveland at 7:10 eastern. The Indians have taken 21 of 27 here at home vs KC and they are 5-1 in game 1 of a series. They fit a nice 22-6 system here that plays on -140 or more home favorites off a home favored win scoring 5 or more vs a team off a home dog win that scored 5 or more runs. KC is off an upset win over the Twins but are a lousy 0-10 on the road off a home dog win and 1-5 on Mondays. They have Keller going but are 2-8 in his road starts. Cleveland counters with Plutko and they have won 6 of his last 7 starts. Play on Cleveland. For the Monday free pick. Go with the Indians. RV- GC Sports
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1* Free Pick on Cubs -120
1* Free Sharp Play on Diamondbacks +130
My money is on the Diamondbacks to cash in a win at home as a underdog against division rival Los Angeles. Dodgers are a massive public play every single day. Especially when they are starting the likes of Clayton Kershaw. Arizona snapped their losing streak with a win over the Giants on Sunday and have a pretty good starter of their own going in Zack Greinke. The value here is clearly with the Diamondbacks at this price. Bet Arizona +130!
FREE PLAY on Blue Jays +225
Jack’s Free Pick Monday: Chicago White Sox +160
The Chicago White Sox are showing great value today against the Boston Red Sox. They have their ace on the mound and a big advantage because of it.
Lucas Giolito is 10-2 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.020 WHIP in 14 starts this season. He has been at his best on the road, going 6-1 with a 2.49 ERA and 0.957 WHIP in seven starts. And Giolito has posted a 3.18 ERA in two career starts against the Red Sox.
Boston goes with Eduardo Rodriquez, who has a solid 8-4 record in spite of his 4.71 ERA and 1.360 WHIP in 15 starts this season. He has simply gotten good run support almost every time he takes the mound. That won’t happen today against Giolito.
Giolito is 11-3 (+10.6 units) in all starts this season, including 7-2 (+7.7 units) as an underdog of +100 or higher. The White Sox are 9-1 in Giolito’s last 10 starts. Bet the White Sox Monday.
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Dave’s Monday Free Play:
1* on Chicago Cubs -131
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Chicago Cubs at home tonight with Jon Lester on the rubber. He has been lights out at home, going 4-2 with a 2.76 ERA in 8 starts at Wrigley Field this year. Lester is 6-2 with a 2.52 ERA in 10 lifetime starts against the Braves as well. Julio Teheran is 2-3 with a 3.65 ERA in 9 road starts this season for the Braves. Lester is 26-7 as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Lester is 13-2 in June games over the last 3 years. The Cubs are 42-15 in Lester’s last 57 home starts. Take Chicago.
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1* on Indians -167