1* Free Pick on Minnesota United
Saturday MLB Free play. My selection is on Atlanta -1.5 runs over Arizona at 10:10 pm et on Saturday.
I think we'll see a 'slingshot effect' from the Braves offensively here as they look to bounce back from a rough stretch at the plate, and a 3-2 defeat at the hands of the D'Backs in the opener of this series last night. Atlanta has now scored just nine runs over its last four games, going 1-3 over that stretch. Note that the Braves are still averaging 5.0 runs per game this season and 5.2 runs per contest on the road. Spencer Strider will take the ball for Atlanta on Saturday. He's been close to as good as it gets as far as starters go this season, logging a 2.35 FIP and 0.99 WHIP. Strider has recorded double-digit strikeout totals in four of his last seven outings. His counterpart on Saturday will be Ryne Nelson. He's had an up-and-down start to the season and enters this outing with a 4.75 FIP and 1.44 WHIP. The Braves haven't seen Nelson before but neither had the Rockies before they lit him up for five earned runs on eight hits over just five innings in his most recent start. The bullpen matchup is fairly even but I'm confident the Braves can inflict enough damage at the dish to ultimately win this one handily. Take Atlanta -1.5 runs.
1* Best Bet on Braves/Diamondbacks over
No analysis provided.
This is a free play on STL.
The Houston Dynamo are winless in away matches so far this season, and they lost 6-2 at Vancouver in their last match. It's been a successful first season in MLS for St. Louis, sitting just one point out of first place in the Western Conference. They are undefeated at home, and their +13 goal differential at home is the best in MLS. My money is on the home side.
1* MLB Braves/Dbacks FREE Pick on Diamondbacks +185
Saturday's Free MLB Pick is on the Arizona Diamondbacks as a +185 home dog against the Atlanta Braves. This is just too good a price to pass up on the red-hot Diamondbacks. Arizona secured their 6th straight win with Friday's 3-2 win over Atlanta in the series opener. Yes, the Braves will have Spencer Strider on the mound. However, he's struggled with a 4.24 ERA in his last 3 starts. and in his only career start vs the Dbacks (in Arizona), he gave up 5 runs in 4 1/3 innings. Arizona won that game 6-2. Diamondbacks go with Ryne Nelson. The overall numbers aren't great, but he's got a 3.31 ERA and 1.164 WHIP over his last 3 outings and is facing a Braves team that has scored just 9 runs total over their last 4 games. Bet the Diamondbacks +185!
Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Baltimore Orioles +117
The Baltimore Orioles have been disrespected all season despite legitimately being one of the best teams in baseball. They are 36-21 this season and you'd be up 16.1 units backing them every game. They should not be underdogs to the San Francisco Giants tonight.
Kyle Bradish is 2-1 with a 3.89 ERA in nine starts this season, including 1-0 with a 2.94 ERA in his last three. He'll be opposed by Alex Cobb, who is struggling coming into this one. Cobb is 1-1 with a 7.54 ERA and 1.954 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 28 base runners in 14 1/3 innings.
The Giants have scored a total of 7 runs in losing three consecutive games to the Pirates and Orioles. The Orioles are 11-5 (+9.7 Units) in Bradish's last 16 road starts. San Francisco is 0-8 in its last eight interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Bet the Orioles Saturday.
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R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Saturday 6-3-23
OVER 8.5 -120 Atlanta/Arizona (Strider/Nelson) Listed
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Ricky's 1* play on VAN.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- Sporting KC are 1-1-3 in their last 5 road matches.
- Vancouver Whitecaps are 4-1-0 in their last 5 home matches.
- Vancouver Whitecaps have scored an MLS best 19 goals at home.
Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.
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West Ham 1
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1* FREE PLAY Atlanta.
We feel this is the correct time to pull the trigger on road chalk. The D-Backs have sure been playing well, but they finally look primed for a letdown here facing Spencer Strider, who is 5-2 with a 2.97 ERA for the Braves. Ryne Nelson is just 2-2 with a poor 5.37 ERA for Arizona. Note that ATL is 3-1 in its last four in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent as well; consider the Braves on Saturday night!