1* Free Play on 76ers -2½ -109
Free Pick on Clippers
FREE PLAY on Dodgers -106
1* Free NBA Pick on Philadelphia 76ers -2.5
Love the value here with Philadelphia as a small road favorite in Game 3 against the Nets. Philadelphia didn't show up with the right mindset for Game 1 and got beat by 9 as a 8-point favorite. 76ers responded by blowing out Brooklyn by 22 in Game 2.
While the series shifts to Brooklyn and the Nets will certainly be up for a home playoff game, but Philadelphia is the better team and will be extremely motivated to take back control of the series and not put themselves in a must-win situation in Game 4.
Nets are just 3-15 ATS last 18 at home after playing 2 straight against a division opponent. There's also a big time system in play. Road favorites have covered 62% (78-48) when coming off a win by 20 or more and playing in a game involving two teams who average 102+ points/game. Take Philadelphia!
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Take the San Antonio Spurs minus the points versus the Denver Nuggets. San Antonio (49-35) looks to bounce-back from their 114-106 loss at Denver on Tuesday. The Spurs have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 22 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points in their last game. San Antonio is also 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Denver (55-29) has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win. The Nuggets have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Take San Antonio minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.
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1* Free Sharp Play on Clippers +8½ -110
My money is on the Clippers to ride the momentum from their 31-point come-from-behind win to at least a cover at home in Game 3. Golden State will no longer have the services of Cousins, who was lost for the season to a quad injury and Beverly seems to be in Durant's head. LA is going to do whatever it takes to make a game of this. If they shoot well they can definitely steal a win here, but all we need is for them to lose by 8 or less. Bet the Clippers +8.5!
[1%] Free Play on Angels -114
Free Play on Warriors vs Clippers over 236 -102
Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Thursday 4-18-19
Philadelphia -2 1/2
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Free Total Annihilator On Reds vs Padres under 7½ -115
Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Colorado Rockies +103
I like the fact that Colorado had yesterday off, while the Philadelphia Phillies played yesterday and then had to fly cross country to Denver overnight. The Rockies are fresh and rejuvenated after winning three in a row coming in.
I think we are getting Kyle Freeland at a great value today as a home underdog because he’s off to a sub-par start this season. He is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA through four starts. But we know he’s better than this, and he proved that last year by going 17-7 with a 2.85 ERA, which is almost unheard of for a Colorado pitcher to have a sub-3.00 ERA when they pitch half their games at Coors Field.
Zach Eflin is 2-1 with a 3.94 ERA this season, but he’s now just 17-19 with a 5.04 ERA in his career. He is getting way too much respect from the books in this matchup. Eflin is also 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his two road starts this season. He gave up 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 innings in a 3-10 loss at Miami in his last start, and the Marlins have a terrible lineup. Eflin is 1-2 with a 9.20 ERA and 1.977 WHIP in three career starts against Colorado as well.
The Phillies are 1-7 in Eflin’s last eight road starts. Philadelphia is 7-19 in its last 26 road games. The Rockies are 13-3 in Freeland’s last 16 home starts. Colorado is 8-1 in Freeland’s last nine home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Rockies Thursday.
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1* FREE INFO PLAY on Spurs -4 -109
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-123)
The Tampa Bay Rays have been the best team in baseball to this point. They are 14-4 on the season and continue beating their opponents by multiple runs. In fact, all 14 of their wins have come by two runs or more. That’s why I’ll take them on the run line today instead of laying the heavy juice on the money line. They should get after Andrew Cashner, who has posted a 5.31 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in his four starts this season for the Orioles. Give me the Rays on the Run Line.
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Dave’s Thursday Free Play:
1* on Los Angeles Angels -115
The Key: The Mariners have come back down to reality in a hurry by losing 6 straight coming in. Their struggles will continue tonight in Los Angeles. The Angels are 6-1 at home this season. They’ll get after Felix Hernandez, who is 1-1 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 3 starts for the Mariners. Hernandez is far past his prime and hasn’t fared well recently against the Angels. He is 1-2 with a 7.90 ERA in his last 3 starts against them, yielding 12 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings. Chris Stratton is 7-0 in home games when playing against a team that wins 54% to 62% of their games over the last 3 seasons. Stratton is 10-1 in home night games over the last 3 years as well. Take Los Angeles.
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