FREE PLAY on Texas A&M/Alabama under 60 -110
Free Play on Vanderbilt +2½ -105
1* on Navy -6 -110
1* Free Play on North Carolina +3½ -115
*3 Star Free Play* South Florida and East Carolina is a matchup of two teams both ranked in the top 30 in the nation in tempo. South Florida showed what they are capable of on offense against Georgia Tech earlier this year. The Bulls have a good fit at quarterback in Blake Barnett. Sterlin Gilbert's system is designed to get players into open space and move with extremely fast tempo.
East Carolina's defense has been awful the last two years. I don't see any reason to expect big improvements from them. Their numbers so far this year look better, but they have played NC A&T and North Carolina (who was missing a bunch of key players due to suspension). East Carolina's defense isn't likely to be able to do much to slow USF down here.
The USF defense is much weaker in the front seven this year. The Bulls have allowed 5.34 yards per carry this year. East Carolina will keep the tempo quick in this one, especially since they will likely be playing from behind all along.
Look for a big number from South Florida and East Carolina should contribute enough to get this past the posted total. Take the over.
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1* Free Play on Broncos vs Ravens under 43½ -109
1* Free Pick on Broncos/Ravens UNDER
Analysis will be posted shortly
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Free Total Annihilator On Notre Dame vs Wake Forest under 59½ -110
Free Pick on Texas A&M
Sun Belt Conference action opens for Coastal Carolina and Lafayette an we give the edge to the Chanticleers who should dominate the line of scrimmage. They opened the season with an expected blowout loss against South Carolina but they bounced back with an upset win at home over UAB and then trounced Campbell last week in a game that was moved up to Wednesday because of the hurricane. That is a significant edge as Coastal Carolina has the benefit of three extra days of rest and preparation. The Chanticleers are averaging 253.3 ypg on 5.1 ypc and will face a Cajuns defense that is allowing 239.0 ypg on 5.8 ypc so they will be able to run at will. Louisiana is coming off a blowout loss at Mississippi St. which came after a bye week following a win over Grambling. The defense has struggled as a whole as they have only three starters back from the team that allowed 493.0 ypg and 40.0 ppg last season. A whole new coaching staff is in place so the early struggles are not surprising and as good as this team has been over the years, Louisiana is just 10-8 at home over he last three-plus seasons with four of those wins coming against FCS opponents. The Cajuns are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game and fall into a negative situation where we play on road teams after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game. This situation is 49-17 ATS (74.2 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (375) Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
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Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Clemson -15
I think the fact that Clemson is 0-3 ATS thus far this season is keeping this number against Georgia Tech lower than it should be in Week 4. They beat Furman 48-7 but failed to cover as 50-point favorites, they beat Texas A&M on the road 28-26 but failed to cover as 12-point favorites, and they beat Georgia Southern 38-7 and barely failed to cover as 31.5-point favorites.
But that Georgia Southern game was a bigger blowout than the final score even. The Tigers outgained them by 455 yards and should have won by more. And the fact that they played Georgia Southern will be a huge help here because they are playing a triple-option offense for a second consecutive week.
Clemson has certainly had an answer for Georgia Tech’s triple-option offense in recent years, too. Over the past three years, the Tigers have held the Yellow Jackets to just 121 rushing yards per game and 2.9 per carry in their three meetings. Georgia Tech has only managed 17 combined points in its last two meetings with Clemson.
This is a Georgia Tech team that simply isn’t any good. They lost 38-49 as a 3-point favorite at South Florida in Week 2. Then they trailed 6-24 at Pitt last week as this game was decided early before they tacked on a couple of scores late in a 19-24 loss. The big blow was losing RB KirVonte Benson to a season-ending injury in that USF defeat. He rushed for 1,053 yards last year and was their best playmaker outside their QB. No other RB topped 280 yards rushing last year.
Clemson boasts a potent offense that is putting up 38.0 points and 513 yards per game this season. They will do enough offensively to put Georgia Tech away, and I expect their defense to continue the three-year trend of coordinator Will Venables shutting down the triple-option. Look for the Tigers to be focused for their ACC opener and win big in this one. Bet Clemson Saturday.
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3* on Western Michigan
Rocketman Sports FREE CFB play Saturday 9-22-18
Minnesota +2 1/2 +101
Possibly No analysis due to computer issues.
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UMass is 1-3 on the season, but has finally returned home after three straight losses. The common thread for those games was an underachieving offense and a lack of defense against the run. All three teams put up over 300 yards rushing on the Minutemen. Andrew Ford and Ross Comis are both injured at quarterback for them. Michael Curtis came in and moved the chains a little bit in the loss to FIU in garbage time. Charlotte is 2-1 and they are playing their first road game this season. Charlotte beat Fordham and ODU in between a 45-9 loss to Appalachian State. The team is using the run heavily to take the pressure off their redshirt freshman quarterback. The defense has held up for the most part although they did give up 70 the last two weeks. UMass has gone over in 16 of their last 27 including eight of their last 12 at home. I think this one does as well.
Free Play on Memphis -26 -110
R&R Totals FREE CFB Over-Under Saturday 9-22-18
UNDER 51 1/2 -105 Arizona State/Washington
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Boston vs. Cleveland Under 8.5
The Red Sox and Indians are worth a flyer here on Saturday night with this Under.
Both starting pitchers have been absolutely great this year.
Mike Clevinger gets the ball for the Indians and he comes in with 6 straight quality starts under his belt. Clevinger has been a huge piece to this Indians run here in 2018 and owns just a 2.14 ERA since the start of August.
Rick Porcello will counter and he has been dominant on the road. Porcello has gone 10-3 with a 3.78 ERA in 17 road contests.
Some trends to note. Under is 32-15-4 in Indians last 51 Saturday games. Under is 4-0 in Porcellos last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Expect a low scoring game here.
Back the Under.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Saturday 5* FREE MLB O/U Play
Saturday NCAAF Free play. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Notre Dame and Wake Forest at 12 noon et on Saturday.
We won a big play on the ‘over’ in Wake Forest’s wild 41-34 home loss to Boston College last week but I won’t hesitate to switch gears and back the ‘under’ as the Demon Deacons host the Irish on Saturday afternoon.
While the Notre Dame offense has struggled a bit in the early going this season, its defense has been stout to say the least. The Irish have yet to allow more than 17 points in a game. Last week they didn’t allow Vanderbilt to reach the end zone until the closing seconds of the third quarter (we won with the ‘under’ in that contest). Even against a quality Michigan offense back in Week 1, Notre Dame held the Wolverines offense out of the end zone until the final three minutes of the fourth quarter (it did give up a kick return touchdown in the second quarter).
While Wake Forest has put up a whopping 85 points over its last two games, one of those came against FCS squad Towson and it’s hard to ignore the fact that the Demon Deacons were held out of the end zone until the back half of the second quarter in their season-opener at Tulane (they didn’t score another touchdown until the fourth quarter in that one).
Defensively, Wake Forest got ripped by Boston College last week but we’re talking about a multi-dimensional Eagles offense. That game really opened up after Wake Forest blocked a punt and returned it for a touchdown nearly halfway through the second quarter. The Deacons will undoubtedly need to do a better job of limiting big plays but it’s not as if the Irish offense has been lighting it up. Take the under (8*).
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Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFL Game #656 Saturday Free Pick Toronto Argonauts (+) vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - The Argonauts are off of a bye week and they have been fully focused on this match-up with the Roughridrers. That's because the Argos next game is at league-best Calgary so Toronto knows this game today truly fits the bill as a "must win" for them. The Argonauts lost at Saskatchewan earlier this season so this is a revenge game. Toronto had won the prior match-up outright and also had lost by just 3 in the meeting previous to that. The point being that getting more than 3 (and there is plenty of 3.5 available as of early game day morning) is a great value here with the Argos. Also note that the Argonauts are 2-0 SU and ATS when off of a bye this season. When playing with a full 14 days or more of rest between games, Toronto is a long-term 4-1 SU and ATS. The Roughriders are just 6-9 ATS as a favorite and also on a long-term 7-15 SU run in Saturday games. The Argonauts are very hungry here and they catch Saskatchewan still reeling from their home loss last Saturday. Big rest edge for the Argos here. Free Pick TORONTO
Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Purdue +7
The Key: Purdue is one of the most underrated teams in the country right now. That’s because the Boilermakers are 0-3 when they could easily be 3-0. Their 3 losses have come by a combined 8 points to the likes of Northwestern, Eastern Michigan and Missouri. They have played a really tough schedule to this point. They’ll be prepared to face Boston College now. BC has only really been tested once this season, and they won 41-34 at Wake Forest, but that was an evenly-played game. I think Purdue is every bit as good as Wake Forest, if not better. David Blough through for a school-record 572 yards against Missouri last week. The Boilermakers certainly have the firepower offensively to keep up with Boston College. Jeff Brohm is 8-0 ATS all-time as a head coach in home games after gaining 100 or fewer rushing yards in his previous game. Take Purdue.
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The free soccer pick is on the draw when Angers meets Toulouse in France on Saturday.
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #411 Eastern Michigan Eagles over San Diego State Aztecs (10:30p.m., Saturday, September 22CBSSN) The Aztecs are coming off a big win over Arizona State last Saturday. That being said they are not an explosive offense to be laying this many points. EMU already has a win against Purdue this season and they are able to move the football through the air averaging over 332 passing yards per game. This game should go down to the wire and expect the Eagles to easily cover the spread. Eastern Michigan is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 nonconference games. SDSU is 7-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 23 games played during September.
1* Free Sharp Play on Missouri +15 -110
My money is on the Tigers to cash in a cover at home against the Bulldogs. Georgia has covered their last two games and the one that sticks out to the public is the 24-point win as a mere 8.5-point favorite at South Carolina. I think it has the Bulldogs way overvalued here on the road against a very talented Missouri team. The Tigers have a potent offense that I believe will be able to move the ball on this Georgia defense and with the help of the home crowd, I think the defense can make enough plays to keep this a lot closer than most are expecting. Give me Missouri +15!
This is a 1* Free Play on the Dallas Cowboys.
The Hawks are staring 0-3 in the face this Sunday and we think it’ll become a reality. Dallas finally found its footing in the second half of its 20-13 win over the Giants last Sunday night and we look for it to grind out a win here as well. Dallas’ QB Dak Prescott was 16 of 25 for 160 yards last week, along with another 45 yards rushing. The Dallas defense had six sacks of Eli Manning and now that aggressive unit faces the Seahawks suspect offensive line which has already given up 12 sacks this year (the most in the NFL.) Note that Dallas is 10-6 ATS its last 16 on the road, while Seattle is just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 at home. Consider the COWBOYS Sunday afternoon.
Kansas is one of the early-season feel good stories. The Jayhawks have won their last two games beating Central Michigan and Rutgers. Kansas had won three games during its previous three years under fourth-year head coach David Beaty. So what gives with the Jayhawks? Are they really better. Maybe a little. But look for things to revert back to normal for Kansas as it can't maintain it's unbelievable plus 12 turnover margin. That's No. 1 in the country! Kansas had all of nine takeaways last year. Baylor has a far more explosive offense than Kansas and is a step up for the Jayhawks. The Bears have defeated Kansas eight straight times with the average winning margin being by 37 points. Kansas has lost 38 straight Big 12 road contests. The 2-1 Bears will be fired up after a disappointing 40-27 home loss to Duke last week. Duke is good, though. Kansas is not. Pooka Williams is a promising runner. Steven Sims Jr. is a dependable wide receiver. Other than that, I don't think much of Kansas' offense. Baylor has a solid quarterback rotation of Charlie Brewer and Jalan McClendon and are deep at running back and wide receiver. Look for reality to hit the Jayhawks here. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the top football handicappers in North America and he's off to hot starts both in the NFL, where he 12-6-2 through preseason and the first two weeks of the season, and 8-3 the past two weeks in college football entering this week. Stick with Stephen and stack the odds high in your favor!)
NC State @ Marshall 7:00 PM ET
Play On: Marshall +5.5
This is a dangerous spot for NC State with their ACC slate about to begin next week. Furthermore, they had their game against nationally ranked West Virginia cancelled last week due to “Hurricane Florence” which stalled their momentum from a 2-0 start. Ryan Finley is an excellent quarterback but I’m not crazy about his surrounding cast. This will be by far their toughest game to date after facing James Madison and Georgia State at home in their first 2 games.
Marshall is an experienced and very good “Group of Five” team. The Thundering Herd has gone 28-7 straight up in their last 35 home games and that includes 10-2 when facing non-conference opponents. Since 2017, Marshall is a perfect 4-0 ATS as an underdog of 3.0-points or less and they won 3 of those contests straight up. They’ll also be playing with revenge stemming from last year’s 37-20 loss at NC State. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see the Thundering Herb pull off an upset on Saturday. However, I won’t be greedy and will take the points with Marshall for my Saturday 9/22 college football free pick of the day.
My free play is on Utah State at 10:15 ET. The Air Force Falcons and the Utah State Aggies, a pair of teams from the Mountain Division of the Mountain West Conference, will square off Saturday night at Maverik Stadium in Logan, Utah. The Falcons opened the 2018 season with a 38-0 win over Stony Brook 38but then lost 33-27 at Florida Atlantic 33-27 on September 8. Air Force had a bye last weekend and now face a Utah State team that's 2-1, losing only at Michigan State on August 31 as about a 24-point underdog. The Aggies come in off back-to-back blowout wins at home, 60-13 over New Mexico State and 73-12 over Tennessee Tech.
It looks as if Air Force will go with Isaiah Sanders at QB, who was 8-of-13 for 164 yards, one TD and one INT in the loss at FAU. The Air Force D was unable to contain FAU, allowing
525 total yards, including 471 through the air. They became the first service academy beaten by the Owls in their school history. Air Force never led in the game, falling behind 13-0.
After giving a Michigan State team all it wanted at East Lansing in Utah State's opener, the Aggies have shown no mercy in the last two weeks, piling up 133 points in blowing out New Mexico State and Tennessee Tech. Utah St has scored 60-plus points in back-to-back games for the first time in school history.
Both teams have struggled in conference games ATS as of late. Air Force is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 conference games, while Utah State is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 conference games. It's true that the Falcons have a 4-2 edge in the all-time series and have won three straight meetings (including a 38-35 home win in the last meeting on November 25, 2017) but Utah State's offense has been terrific (not many schools score 31 at Michigan St) and the team's 54.7 PPG ranks 4th-best in the nation. Lay the points.
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Texas +3.5
The Texas Longhorns had a statement win last week in a 37-14 beat down of USC at home. I think this is a program headed in the right direction and are one of the best teams in the Big 12. They will be out to prove that this week at home against TCU as they look to build on the momentum they’ve gained. I think this is a bad situation for TCU as it feels like it should have won last week against Ohio State, but lost 28-40. I believe they will have dwelled on that loss for at least a few days before turning their attention to Texas. Tom Herman is going to use the ‘underdog card’ in this game. Including his time as an assistant at Iowa State and Ohio State, Herman is a ridiculous 21-1 ATS as an underdog in all games as a coach. Wrong team favored here. Give me Texas.
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Play - Kansas (Game 385).
Edges - Jayhawks: 12-4 SUATS when coming off consecutive wins … Bears: 5-14 ATS L19 games as a favorite. We recommend a 1* play on Kansas. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Chip's FREE NCAA Winner Northern Illinois at Florida State 3:30 ET Seminoles (-) over Huskies- In other times I would look to play the Huskies as Florida might be between big games...well this is a 'big game' to the Seminoles. Both clubs are 1-2 straight-up with FSU a crushing 0-3 ATS including losses to Virginia Tech and Syracuse. Some of the pressure will be relieved from first year coach Willie Taggart who is in 0-2 in ACC action as the Seminoles have won 14 consecutive home games against non-conference opponents. This may not be a rout as in the old-days but they win by enough to cover. Cover yourself tonight with a pair of Best Bet winners...Take FSU
NCAAF FREE WINNER
This Saturday, my college football is going to get you paid. I have my first CONFERENCE GOM in my ACC GAME OF THE MONTH. My Conf GOM'S were 16-2 LY. I have my 7-1 (LY) ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE PLAY. I also have my NCAAF LATE INFO MOVE. My LIM's are a perfect, 3-0 this season and are riding a 30-5 run. Get them all and get paid.
Saturday's FREE NCAAF WINNER: UNLV
4:00 pm pst.
Tony Sanchez has our home town boys at 12-4 ATS as a road underdog, since taking over as HC. So, getting 7.5 points here, prompts me to side with our UNLV squad. Going into Jonesboro won't phase them as they covered at Southern Cal this season, Fresno State, Air Force, and Ohio State , last season, UCLA two seasons ago, and Michigan three seasons ago. Arkansas State isn't a bad team, but they are slow starters, going 3-8 ATS the L11 in the month of September and fall flat when facing non-Sun Belt opponents, with a 3-11 ATS mark the L14 vs. non-Conference foes. Take the Rebels. Thank you.
Mikey Sports FREE CFB play Saturday 9-22-18
Oklahoma State -14 -103
Mikey Sports has a TOP RATED 10* CFB play, TOP 8* CFB play and four 6* CFB plays for Saturday! Win big today!
Pure Lock's FREE CFB play Saturday 9-22-18
Kansas State +17
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Last week SMU +36 EASILY cashed and Freddy moves to 33-9 ATS over his last 42 Free college football picks!
North Carolina +3.5 1.1% Free Play
I expect North CArolina to show up big time for their state following the hurricane. They’ll be fresh this week while Pitt faced Georgia Tech and 56 rushing attempts with cut blocking. I think North Carolina can run the ball here. They actually outplayed a very good California team in week 1 but had 4 turnovers. They had 164 yards rushing at California. That’s the same Justin Wilcox defense that stuffed BYU rushing attack for 91 yards, which just got done going on the road and beating up on Wisconsin with 191 yards rushing. Meanwhile Pitt has given up 500+ rushing yards the last two weeks.
North Carolina has line value because they lost 41-19 against East Carolina in what I am just calling a flukey game. Pat Narduzzi has not beaten Larry Fedora since he has joined the ACC and I don’t expect they will here, but they are a 3.5 point favorite based on what North Carolina did against East Carolina. The last 7 meetings have all been decided by 7 points, and North Carolina has the better special teams and the field goal plus the hook, playing at home.
John Ryan Sports Research Report
The Play and the Matchup
STANFORD (3 - 0) at OREGON (3 - 0)
Week 4 Saturday, 9/22/2018 8:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
5 stars on the Stanford Cardinal on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Currently, Stanford is priced as 2.5-point road favorites in this PAC-12 tilt.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Stanford to pass for a minimum of 250 passing yards and will average 8 or more yards-per-pass attempt. In past road games where Stanford has met or exceeded these KPIs, they have gone 5-0 ATS.
Here is a supporting DB situational query. Playing against home where the line is between -3 and +3 after a game where they covered the spread by 28 or more points total over their last three games has produced a solid 37-11 ATS mark for 77% winners.
This is a Free #NCAAF play on [email protected] to go Over. The Oregon Ducks can score points, that has never been an issue for this team. Oregon has averaged over 50 points per game so far, but there are still plenty of concerns about the defense. I am not convinced that the Ducks can get stops against a top tier opponent such as #7 ranked Stanford. History suggests we could see a shootout here in Eugene, as the Cardinal have scored over 100 points in their last two games against the Ducks. Five of the last six meetings in Oregon have gone over the total, and the over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings overall. Justin Herbert has thrown for 840 yards and a dozen TDs in three starts this season, and the last time he played Stanford he threw for 270 yards and a pair of TDs on 21-of-30 passing, but the Ducks lost by a score of 52-27. Oregon only scored seven points in a loss at Stanford last year, but Herbert sat that game out with an injury. We should see plenty of scoring from both teams in this game. Take Over. GL,
10* FREE MLB PICK (Cubs -1.5, -120)
I'll take my chances here with the Cubs on the -1.5 run line in Saturday's showdown with the White Sox. The Cubs were embarrassed in Friday's series opener, as the White Sox won going away 10-4. Few teams bounce back like the Cubs, who are 74-35 in their last 109 off a loss. With today's pitching matchup, the Cubs not only should bounce back with a win, but do so in convincing fashion. White Sox will have Lucas Giolito on the mound and he's got a 7.91 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in 14 home starts and a 6.91 ERA over his last 3 outings. Cubs will counter with veteran ace Jon Lester, who is 10-2 with a 2.82 ERA and 1.218 WHIP in 14 road starts and enters with a 1.45 ERA over his last 3. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (-120)!
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#NFL FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The Houston Texans took a 20-17 loss to the Titans last Sunday, and I think they're well overrated in this Week 3 matchup with the New York Giants.
The Giants are still looking for their first win of the season, but they've held both Dallas and Jacksonville to just 20 points. They limited the Cowboys to only 298 total yards last week. The Texans rank 26th in the league in scoring at 18.5 points and it will be tough to cover this spread in what's likely to be a low-scoring game.
Additionally we can note that Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a losing home record, Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Free pick on New York Giants +6.5.
Mike has 3 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS and a MLB RUNLINE RIPPER (24-15 RUN) locked and loaded for Saturday. He's on a 100% PERFECT 4-0 RUN W/ TOP RATED CFB, so make sure you're on Mike's side of his 10* CFB GAME OF THE WEEK.
He has also picked an INSANE 9-2 L11 TOP RATED NFL releases! That includes a 100% PERFECT record with Game of the Week/Month picks this year. Don't miss his BEST NFL BET (SIDE) for Week 3, featuring Broncos @ Ravens Sunday afternoon. Sharps are also gonna want to take advantage of his ALL EARLY 3-PACK OF NFL WINNERS. Your best bet for a profitable weekend is to sign up for an all sports subscription to get each and every pick.