Free Play on Portland State +16½ -109
Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Oklahoma City Thunder -2
The Oklahoma City Thunder are playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now. They opened the season 0-4, but that was largely due to Russell Westbrook sitting the start of the season. They have gone an impressive 17-4 since and are now just 2-point favorites over the New Orleans Pelicans tonight.
The Pelicans are just 4-8 SU & 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Injuries have taken their toll on this team as Anthony Davis just can’t seem to stay healthy, and neither can important players around him. Two starters in Elfrid Payton and Nikola Mirotic are both out, and E’Twaun Moore is questionable.
This Pelicans team just doesn’t have enough talent outside Davis and Jrue Holiday to be able to afford playing this short-handed. And making matters worse is that this is a tired team right now. The Pelicans will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and their 7th game in 11 days tonight. Meanwhile, the Thunder will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.
New Orleans is 1-9 ATS off a road loss this season. The Pelicans are 0-8 ATS after playing two consecutive road games this season. The Thunder are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall. Oklahoma City is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 trips to New Orleans. Bet the Thunder Wednesday.
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FREE PLAY on Southern Illinois -1½ -110
1* on Portland State +16½ -109
Free Play on Alcorn State +7½ -110
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Golden State Warriors -7
The Warriors are finally at full strength for the first time all season. Draymond Green and Steph Curry are back from injury, and this is going to be a dangerous team moving forward. They have won four straight while going 3-1 ATS as well with their only non-cover coming on a last-second bucket by the Timberwolves to lose by 8 as 9.5-point dogs. The other three wins all came by double-digits on the road, including a 10-point win at Milwaukee. And the Warriors should be able to handle the Raptors tonight, who could be without Kawhi Leonard. It’s also a Raptors team playing for a second consecutive day and playing their 3rd game in 4 days. They haven’t had two days off in a row in nearly a month. So it’s no wonder they are faltering of late, going 2-5 ATS in their last seven games with three outright losses as favorites. Give me the Warriors.
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3* on Michigan
The Wolves have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Kings at home earlier this season, when Jimmy Butler was still there and making life miserable for this group. Minnesota owned this series before that and swept the season series from Sacramento last year, winning by an average of 15.3 points and they get the nod again according to my power ranking stats.
The Kings are 0-14 SU/ATS as a home dog off a win in a road game when they are taking on a team that is averaging more than five blocks per game. The closest margin of defeat was 5 points, and the average margin of defeat came by 15.7 ppg.
NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover
1* Free NBA Pick on Washington Wizards +4
The Celtics have had a difficult time coming away with a win when they visit Capital One Arena. Boston has just one win in their last 7 trips to face Washington and I like the Wizards to add to their struggles with a win tonight.
This is a big bounce back spot for Washington after dropping back-to-back road games to finish up their short 4-game road trip. The Wizards didn't have John Wall for their last game, but he's expected back and it's the Celtics that figure to be short-handed. Gordon Hayward, Al Horford and Aron Baynes are all listed as questionable.
Washington is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record, while the Celtics are a mere 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games vs a team with a winning home record.
Adding to this is a strong system in play favoring the Wizards. Underdogs off back-to-back road losses are 70-32 (69%) ATS in the month of December going back over the last 5 seasons. Take Washington!
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #313 Dallas Cowboys over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 FOX) Just believe that the wrong team is favored in this game. Dallas has won 5 straight games including beating teams that are better than what they will see from Indianapolis this week. The Colts need to win out to keep their slim hopes of a playoff berth alive and I just do not see that happening. They will struggle to move the football against the Cowboys defense and expect this to be a low scoring game. Dallas has covered the spread in 5 straight games during this 5 game winning streak. Indianapolis is 5-12 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 19 games following a victory in their previous game. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card. Monster runs going in all sports and now is the time to sign-up with a veteran handicapper that has been in business since 1971.
Dave’s Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Dallas Mavericks -9
The Key: The Mavericks are a perfect 10-0 SU & 10-0 ATS in their last 10 home games with 6 of those wins coming by 9 points or more. And they have played a rough home schedule during this stretch with wins over OKC, Utah, Golden State, Boston, LAC, Portland and Houston. I expect them to be able to beat the lowly Atlanta Hawks by double-digits tonight. The Hawks are 2-11 on the road this year and losing by 11.8 PPG. Take Dallas.
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Chip's FREE NBA Winner
Brooklyn at Philadelphia 7:00 ET
Nets (+) over 76ers- After dropping eight straight the Nets have won their last two including a win over the NBA's best Toronto. There sure is a difference in these teams record with the 76ers a full nine games better than Brooklyn but the are equal ATS where they are both 13-15 ATS. The Nets 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and are 8-6 ATS on the road but, Philadelphia leads the NBA is home wins with 14 but are starting to have ego problems with players roles with the addition of Jimmy Butler. Take the points with Brooklyn!
1* Free Play on North Carolina A&T State -7½ -106
Free Play on Giants -2½ -120
Yesterday, Ben Burns provided an easy complimentary winner with the Spurs, while going 5-2 with his premium selections. Enjoying ANOTHER WINNING YEAR, Burns is determined to close it out in style, as per usual. He's 8-4 on the week & 114-70 (+$27K) the L6 weeks. Here, he looks at tonight's Portland/Memphis total.
This is the lowest O/U line on the board and I believe that its likely to prove too low. I came up short with the Blazers 'over' the number last night. It was close - and very possibly would have finished above the total if not for a pair of key free throw misses with just over a minute left, by CJ McCollum, an 83% free throw shooter. Either way, tonight's number is considerably lower.
The Grizzlies are known as a defensive team. While thats mostly true, they've still allowed nine of their last 10 opponents to reach triple-digits in scoring. The last time that the Blazers played the second of b2b games, they allowed 143 points. The last two meetings between these teams have both produced 211 combined points. Consider the Over.
Check out a few of Wednesday's headlines:
NHL: ***12-1 RECORD TESTED TODAY*** Tuesday's PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP on the ice brings Burns to 12-1 THIS MONTH with his hockey sides. Going back another month finds him at an AMAZING 42-12 (+$20.5K) with ALL NHL since the start of November.
CBB: ***8-0 RECORD TESTED TODAY*** Off last night's winner with New Mexico, Burns fires with his December GAME OF THE MONTH. GOM sides are a PERFECT 8-0 the L2 months, in all sports.
SOCCER: ***30-13 YTD RECORD TESTED SOON*** Don't forget soccer! Dominating with his American based sports, it'd be easy to forget that Ben Burns is 30-13 (+$11K) on the year with his soccer selections. Yesterday's play resulted in a NEVER-IN-DOUBT WINNER with Liverpool/Napoli 'under' the total, a game which finished with a final score of 1-0. His latest one is about to kick-off!
R&R Totals FREE NHL Over-Under Wednesday 12-12-18
UNDER 6 +111 Pittsburgh/Chicago
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This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Syracuse Orange. The West Virginia Mountaineers were hoping to compete for a playoff spot this season, and Will Grier was won of the favorites to win the Heisman. Finishing the season with back to back heartbreaking losses leaves a cloud hanging around Morgantown heading into Bowl Season. When first asked about the Camping World Bowl, Will Grier said: “I have no thoughts or decisions,” Grier said. “I was planning on playing [in the Big 12 championship]. Just kind of taking it all in, my last game in Morgantown. Wish we would have came out on top, but we left it all out there for the fans.” The Orange are coming into this game with a chance to reach 10 wins, which would be considered a huge success for Dino Babers and company. The last time I bet on the Orange, they lost their starting quarterback early in the first quarter and ended up getting blown out by Notre Dame. Here is what I said prior to that game: "This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. I'll take the points with Syracuse." Given the situation, I think the bookmakers are offering a generous number here on the underdog. Take CUSE. GL,
[1%] Free Play on Bills -1
This is a 1* Free Play on the Baltimore Ravens.
The Bucs did their best to play “spoiler” to the Saints last weekend and while they looked “OK” for one quarter, eventually they’d stumble and succumb to the superior team. The Bucs laid everything on the line at home and the result was a 28-14 setback. Now they have to hit the road and face the league’s No. 1 defense which comes in off a tough 27-24 OT road loss in KC. The Ravens will be hungry to return to form and to keep pace in the playoff picture.
Additionally note that Tampa is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine after a loss by ten points or more, while Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. Lay the points.
SAN DIEGO+ over Oregon
San Diego (8-2) has had to face a number of quality teams in the early going,
so they should not be shaken by a road game in Oregon. On the other hand,
the Ducks (5-3) are going to be difficult as they are an effective defensive
unit (#2 FG%), have been tough on the opposing arc builders with the #23
rated defense disallowing the three ball (27.8%) consistently. With the road
scenario for San Diego, we do expect a SU win for Oregon. On the technical
we have SD 4-1 ATS vs. the Pac-12 and 9-4 ATS vs. >.600 units. Oregon comes in
0-4 ATS Wednesdays, and 1-6-1 ATS off a SU win. TAKE THE POINTS!
OUR RED HOT PICKS WILL BE AVAILABLE THIS AFTERNOON 12/12/18
SWEPT AGAIN ON TUESDAY....3-0!
EXACTLY 9 OF 10 WINNING DAYS....90%
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Hump day card has the NBA Game of the Month and a 5* College Hoops RPI Scale Power System Side. NBS Comp total below
On Wednesday the NBA Comp Play is to play over the total in Portland at Memphis game at 8:05 eastern. This game fits a nice league wide totals system that has flown over 18 of 22 times since 1995 for non division road dogs with no rest of 4 or less with a total that is 200 or more if they were a 5+ road dog last night like the Blazers and are playing a team off a spread loss as a road dog like Memphis. The Blazers are 8 of 9 over on Wednesdays and 5 f 6 over on the road. Look for this one to sail over the total tonight. On Wednesday we have our NBA Top Play Game of the Month going along with a 5* NCAAB Play from our exclusive RPI Scale system. For the NBA Free play. Go over the total Portland at Memphis. RV- GC Sports
The set-up: The Toreros are no joke, entering with an 8-2 record. The hungry Ducks are 5-3 and they’ll be eager for a win here as well. San Diego’s early numbers are skewed due to the level of the competition, most recently coming in off an 82-68 home win over CS Northridge. Oregon on the other hand will look to build off an 84-61 home win over Nebraska Omaha. Overall San Diego averages 77.8 PPG and it allows 65, while Oregon averages 78 PPG and it allows 66.7.
The pick: This is a difficult non-conference road venue and note that the Toreros are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 after having won three of their last four games straight-up. I’m banking on the step up in competition to be too much for the Toreros to handle tonight. Consider Oregon.
10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Houston -3)
The line move here has me a bit concerned, but I just can't pass up the Cougars as a small 3-point home favorite. Houston has started out 8-0, including a 6-0 record at home, but all the talk right now is about when the Cougars' perfect start will come to an end. It seems like a lot of people think LSU is going to hand them a loss tonight, but I just don't see it happening. I know you can't read too much into common opponents, but it's hard to ignore the fact that Houston just won by double-digits at Oklahoma State, who beat LSU on a neutral court by 13. One thing that really stands out to me is how much better the Cougars defense was against the Cowboys. Houston held Oklahoma State to just 35.1% shooting on their home court and the Tigers let the Cowboys hit on 58.5% of their shots. Houston might not be a Power 5 program, but they got a Power 5 head coach in Kelvin Sampson. Give me the Cougars -3!
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1* Free Sharp Play on Middle Tennessee State +7 -115
Take Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors and the Golden State Warriors. Golden State (19-9) has won seven of their last nine games with their 116-108 win over Minnesota on Monday as a 9.5-point favorite. That game finished below the 229 point total — they have now played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Warriors have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Toronto (22-7) comes off a 123-99 win in Los Angeles against the Clippers last night. The Raptors have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against opponents who scored at least 100 points in their last game. Toronto has also played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total on the road. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.
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