Free College Football Picks

1* Free Play on Chargers/Titans over 40½ -110

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1* Free NFL Pick on Philadelphia Eagles +3

I don't think the Cowboys struggles are going to subside when they host the Eagles on Sunday Night Football. Dallas has lost 3 straight after starting the season 3-0 and are fresh off a loss at the Jets as a 7-point favorite. 

Sometimes scheduling can play tricks on ya. People couldn't get enough of Dallas to start the year, but their 3-0 start was against the Dolphins, Redskins and Giants. The offense has really struggled to get going against better teams and I think they are in for a long day against this Eagles defensive front. Philadelphia is No. 2 in the NFL against the run, allowing just 72.8 ypg. 

I also love backing the Eagles off that embarrassing 38-20 loss at Minnesota. They are 7-3 ATS last 10 off a SU loss of more than 14 points. Cowboys are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 at home off an upset loss as a favorite and are just 5-14 ATS under Jason Garrett as a home favorite of 3 or less. Take Philadelphia! 

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Free Play on Dolphins vs Bills under40½ -110

The Miami Dolphins (0-5) head north to take on the Buffalo Bills (4-1) in an AFC East showdown. The Dolphins have been historically bad this season. They are in the bottom two of the league in nearly every offensive and defense category in the entire league. The Dolphins only average 8.4 points per game. The Buffalo offense hasn't been that impressive either, only scoring 18 points per game. The Buffalo defense has been excellent this season, ranking third in yards allowed, third in passing, seventh in rushing, and fourth in points allowed. The Dolphins will find it very hard to put any points up in this game. This will be a defensive run-frist divisional game that sees plenty of clock movement and very few points. Take the UNDER at 40.5 as the Bills will probably be the only team to get touchdowns today.

Bears -4

This Sunday at 4:25 p.m. the (5-1) New Orleans Saints will take on the Chicago Bears (3-2) at Soldier Field in Chicago. The Bears are currently 4 point favorites in the game with the total sitting at 38. 

The New Orleans Saints have now won four in a row after a 13-6 win on the road in Jacksonville last week. Teddy Bridgewater completed 24 of 36 passes for 240 yards and a touchdown. Michael Thomas was his leading target in the game with 89 yards on eight receptions.The Saints had 104 rushing yards as a team, led by Latavius Murray with 44 yards on eight carries. The Saints were stingy in the game on the defensive side of the ball. They held the Jaguars to just 226 total yards with only 75 of them coming on the ground. Teddy Bridgewater has yet to lose a game as a starter this season. He has tossed the ball for 1,089 yards, seven touchdowns, and two interceptions. It’s safe to say the Chicago Defense will be his biggest test so far while filling in for Drew Brees. 

Bears quarterback Mitchell Trubisky is listed as questionable, but expected to be the starter this week against the Saints. Trubisky was injured against the Vikings on September 29 and Chase Daniels has been under center ever since. I’m not taking the Bears minus 4 points because the starting QB is back, let's just say that, but it helps that Allen Robinson is playing like an elite WR again. He caught seven passes for 97 yards and two touchdowns in the Bears' 24-21 loss to the Raiders on Sunday and has been targeted at least 7x in every game this year, I don't think the Saints secondary matches up well with him. Also, Chicago has one of, if not the meanest defenses in the NFL this season and they are completely aware of the opportunity to win against the Saints without Drew Brees in the game. 

At 3-2, the Bears still are in the running to win the NFC North. They still have two games against Detroit this season and another matchup with both Green Bay and Minnesota. A win against New Orleans during the season will have value in the playoffs. 

I don’t think Bridgewater is ready for what’s getting ready to happen to him. He still has some legs and is able to scramble, but I think the pressure will get to him. One more prediction, Murray and Michael Thomas will need to do the heavy lifting on offense with Kamara joined by Jared Cook (ankle) and Tre'Quan Smith (ankle) on the inactive list. I see Chicago with a score on defense helping them cover the points. 

Some trends to consider. New Orleans is 1-4 ATS last 5 after giving up less than 90 rushing yards previous game. Chicago is 11-5 ATS previous 16 games. Chicago is 4-1 ATS previous five games vs. NFC South, and are 8-0 ATS previous eight games at home vs. team with a winning record.

Back the Bears -4.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

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[1%] Free Play on Giants over 48½

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Oakland at Green Bay 1:00 ET

Raiders (+) over Packers- The 5-1 Packers and Aaron Rogers did it again last week winning in impossible fashion. Once again officials calls were a huge factor with the Packers getting more than just 'breaks' on calls leading to their comeback 23-22 win over the Lions. Oakland at 3-2 in much improved as they have a respectable running game with rookie Josh Jacobs who has eight touchdowns on the ground. The Packers have won eight straight in this series but Oakland has had extra rest while Green Bay has had to work on a short week. Take the RAIDERS!

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Play - Houston Texans (Game 453).

Edges - Texans: QB Deshaun Watson 9-2-1 ATS as a dog, including 5-0-1 ATS the last six games, and 6-1 ATS in 4th away game of the season in division games … Colts: 6-14 ATS as home favorites of 3 or less points versus avenging foes. With the Texans looking to avenge a home playoff loss suffered against the Colts last season, we recommend a 1* play on Houston.   Thank you and good luck as always.

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The set-up: Philadelphia is 3-3 and off a 38-20 road loss at Minnesota. The Cowboys are 3-3 as well and they're off a terrible road loss to the Jets, falling 24-22. The Eagles defense looked particularly horrible last weekend though, allowing three TD passes to Kick Cousins and I think that Dak Prescott is going to bounce back here and take advantage at home. Philadelphia stand out DeSean Jackson has an abdomen issue and is listed as questionable for this one as well. 

The pick: Despite the disappointing result last weekend, Prescott still finished with 277 passing yards and RB Ezekiel Elliot still finished with 105 rushing yards. Note as well that Philadelphia is a poor 2-5 ATS in its last seven following a road loss (including 0-1 ATS this year), while the Cowboys are still 7-3 ATS in their last ten as a home favorite.

1* FREE PICK on the Dallas Cowboys. 

Free Total Annihilator On Dolphins vs Bills over 40 -110

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Sunday's FREE NFL WINNER: San Francisco 49ers.

Game 465.

10:00 am pst.

Can you say, "Let Down?" This is a tough spot for Washington, which comes in here after notching their first win of the season. But, this is still a team riding a five-game no cover streak. Granted, San Francisco is a bit banged-up, but they have won their last five outings SU and are just a FG away from covering every outing in 2019. They are money the road, going 3-0 SU and ATS, outscoring hosts, by 17.0 PPG. Their No. 2 rushing offense will steamroll the soft, front seven of the Redskins (28th vs. the rush), while the 49ers second ranked defense (12.8 PPG allowed) will completely shut down the NFL's 30th ranked offense. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS the last five games played at Washington. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Eagles/Cowboys UNDER 49 

Both the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles are highly motivated for a win here Sunday night in the NFC East rivalry.  The Eagles are coming off a bad loss at Minnesota, while the Cowboys are coming off three straight upset losses.  This game will be played close to the vest, and I think points will be hard to come by in this divisional showdown. 

The Cowboys have injuries on offense that have slowed them down on that side of the ball.  Both starting tackles in Tyron Smith and La’el Collins have been out with injuries and are questionable to return this week.  Randall Cobb is battling multiple injuries, and star receiver Amari Cooper left last week’s games against the Jets with a quad injury.  Both are questionable to play this week. 

The Eagles get some good news on the injury front defensively as they are expected to get a couple cornerbacks back from injury.  Their secondary has been their weakness, but they should have it more fortified this week with the return of those two players.  But the offense has some injury issues too with LT Jason Peters, WR DeSean Jackson and RB Darren Sproles are questionable this week. 

The Cowboys are a team that like to establish the run, but they haven’t been doing that in recent weeks.  Look for them to try and get back to that this week because letting Dak Prescott throw the ball 44 times against Green Bay and 40 times against the Jets did not work.  But the Eagles have the second-best run defense in the NFL, giving up just 72.8 rushing yards per game and 3.3 per carry. 

Based on the series history, this total has been set too high.  The Eagles and Cowboys have combined for 47 or fewer points at the end of regulation in each of their last six meetings.  They have averaged just 38.5 combined points per game at the end of regulation in those six games, which is 10.5 points less than this posted total of 49.  There is some serious value on this UNDER Sunday night. 

Philadelphia is 8-1 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses that allow 235 or more passing yards per game over the last two seasons.  The Eagles are 7-0 UNDER after allowing 6.5 or more yards per play in their previous game over the last two years.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday. 

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Vikings/Lions UNDER 44 

This has clearly been an UNDER series between the Vikings and Lions and that should continue in their first meeting of 2019.  The UNDER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings and all nine games that went under saw 42 or fewer combined points.  We have a total here of 44 and there is clearly value with the UNDER given the series history.  The UNDER is 6-0 in Vikings last six road games.  The UNDER is 24-7 in Vikings last 31 against NFC North teams.  The UNDER is 4-0 in Lions last four against NFC North teams.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Lions last seven home games.  The Vikings are 9-1 UNDER in their last 10 after playing a game where 50 or more total points were scored.  Give me the UNDER.

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Dave’s Sunday Free Play: 

1* on Miami Dolphins +17 

The Key: Just plug your nose and back the Miami Dolphins this week.  They finally covered a spread last week in their 16-17 loss to the Redskins.  They benched Josh Rosen down 17-3, and Ryan Fitzpatrick nearly led the comeback as they just came up a 2-point conversion short of their first win.  Now they are going with Fitzpatrick this week, and this team is clearly much better with him as their starter.  He has been one of the best backup QB’s in the league for years and had some great success in Tampa Bay last year.  The Bills just don’t have a good enough offense to be laying 17 points to anyone.  They are scoring just 18 PPG this year.  This is expected to be a low scoring game with a total of just 40.5 points, so getting 17 points with a dog in an expected low scoring game is a nice price.  Bets on road dogs who are winless on the season off a home cover where they lost outright as an underdog are 25-6 ATS since 1983.  We’ll go contrarian here and back the winless team.  Take Miami.

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1 Dimer on Bears -3½ -105

FREE PLAY on Bears -3½ -105

10* FREE NFL PICK (Falcons +3) 

I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a home dog against the Rams. LA has lost 3 straight and two of those have come as home favorites. You would think the public would want nothing to do with this team, but they can't help themselves with the Rams only laying a field goal against a Falcons team that is 1-5. Atlanta is not as bad as their record and they are going to do whatever it takes to get a win here, as this feels like the make or break point of their season. This is just not the same Rams team as last year, especially on offense. They made headlines for the Ramsey trade, but they added him and lost corners Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib, as well as safety John Johnson. I look for Ryan to have a field day in this one. Give me the Rams +3! 

My free play is on the Jax Jaguars at 1:00 ET.

The 2-4 Jacksonville Jaguars have opened the season going 0-2, 2-0 and 0-2. The Jaguars finally dealt top CB Jalen Ramsey to the Rams for three draft picks Tuesday, parting ways with a two-time Pro Bowl player who wanted out. With that drama behind them, the Jags are hoping to break their two-game slide this Sunday at Cincinnati. The 0-6 Bengals coming off a 23-17 setback at Baltimore last Sunday, the team's fourth game this season in which it lost by less than a TD.

Good luck...Larry

The NFL Comp Play is on The NY. Giants at 1:00 eastern. NY looks to bounce back after losing the last 2 and falling to 2-4. Today they are home for an Arizona team that is off back to back dog wins the last of which sets them up in a powerful play against system. In fact home teams with a total of 40 or more that played as a road dog on a Thursday are 7-0 straight up and to the spread vs a team off a home dog win like Arizona. The sample is small with just 7 games since 1989 but the Giants have covered 4 straight vs a losing team and 8 of 9 after scoring 14 or less plus they get Barkley back. Arizona has failed to cover 6 of 8 after passing for 250+ yards and 24 of 35 after allowing 350 or more yards. The Temperature will be in the 50/s and rainy which should help NY more than the Cards. Play on the NY. Giants. On Sunday we have a huge NFL Card up with a TIER 1 Executive level Side and 4 powerful totals one is the Non Conference total of the year. We also have Sunday night Football.. Rob V- GC Sports

Sunday card has 4 Huge NFL Totals and one is the Non Conference total of the year, we also have our Executive Level NFL TIER 1 Side and Sunday night Football. 

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Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Oakland plus the points over Green Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday.

This is a tough spot for the injury-depleted Packers as they welcome the upstart Raiders to Lambeau Field. I don’t love the scheduling situation for Oakland as it travels across a couple of time zones to play an early start Sunday affair but that’s somewhat negated by the fact that it is coming off its bye week while the Packers play on a short week following a tightly-contested Monday night affair against a division rival. I’m higher on Raiders RB Josh Jacobs than most and believe this a potential breakout spot for him against a Packers defense that allows just shy of five yards per rush this season. Green Bay simply has too many injuries at the wide receiver position to garner much confidence in its offense at this point. QB Aaron Rodgers is playing well but continues to be let down by drops. The Packers ground game has been inconsistent at best, with Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams in a time share at this point. Williams looked explosive on Monday night but I wouldn’t count on a repeat performance here. Take Oakland (8*).

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MIKE LUNDIN'S RAVENS @ SEAHAWKS FREE PICK

The Seattle Seahawks are 5-1 on the season, but all but a blowout win at Arizona were one-score games and one could certainly make an argument that they've had Lady Luck on their side in most contests. 

The Ravens lead the NFL in total offense at 450.7 yards per game and they rank second in scoring with 30.7 points per game. Seattle just gave up 406 total yards to Cleveland and Baker Mayfield, so I have no doubt that Lamar Jackson and the rest of the Ravens can move the ball quite freely against this Seahawks defense.  

Ravens are 19-7-4 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Seahawks are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

I feel the Ravens are undervalued at this point after failing to cover the spread in five straight games, and I like the visitors to keep it close and maybe even record an outright upset here at Seattle Sunday afternoon. 

Free pick on Baltimore Ravens. 

14-2 ALL SPORTS L2 SUNDAYS ~ 27-10 (73%) NFL YTD!

Mike Lundin is coming off yet another MONSTER OF A SUNDAY to make it 14-2 ALL SPORTS L2 SUNDAYS and a WHITE HOT 26-10 (72%) through Week 6 of the NFL season!

Mike's NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK cashed Thursday night and his NFL ATS GAME OF THE MONTH goes Sunday afternoon, one of the picks included in Mike's ALL EARLY NFL-PACK. In total, Mike has four NFL premium picks up for grabs this Sunday. Invest in a premium pick subscription to get ALL plays.