Free College Football Picks

California starts play in  new conference this season and this Saturday go against SEC opponents Auburn  in the underdog role.  They are not the superior side here , but the line according to my projections. estimates we have value backing them getting close to 2 TDS.  It must be noted that the Bears have been bad news for their hosts gambling backers as they flash a  10-0 ATS record  as a non-conference away pups against Power 4/5 opposition . HC  Wilcox team is pretty loaded thanks to the transfer portal, and will Im betting provide the Tigers with alot more than then the linemakers are  expecting. Also a fair deal of regression must be expected from Auburn after going non stop in week 1 beating FCS opponent Alabama A&M 73-3.

Play on California to cover

*Free Play Over* Colorado’s tempo was quick in game one. They are 37th quickest in the country. They struggled to run it against N Dak State and they’ll likely to struggle to run it here against a great Nebraska DLine. How will they do throwing it? Sanders threw it around and had a great game. Nebraska’s secondary is their question mark on defense. They did fine against UTEP, but against Shedeur Sanders and Travis Hunter that is a completely different test.

Nebraska could have scored far more points last week. They jumped ahead with some big plays and then went full out vanilla and just called off the dogs later in that one. Raiola impressed me in game one.

Shedeur Sanders was that dude against ND State. 445 passing yards on 34 attempts. 5 Big Time Throws and 0 turnover worthy plays! He and Hunter are such a dangerous connection.The other Colorado wide receivers are very good as well.  They should be able to throw it around on most teams if the offensive line gives him just a little time.

Take the over here.

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Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Arkansas +8

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Arkansas Razorbacks early in the season after a disastrous 4-8 campaign last year.  But the Razorbacks were not as bad as their record as five of their eight losses came by 7 points or fewer, so they were simply unfortunate in close games going 1-5 in such contests.

After having just 10 starters back last season, the Razorbacks return 17 starters this season in what is a 'prove it' year for head coach Sam Pittman.  He went out and hired one of the best offensive minds in Bobby Petrino as offensive coordinator.

Petrino has nine returning starters to work with plus the addition of QB Taylen Green from Boise State.  Green threw for 229 yards and two touchdowns while also rushing for 88 yards and two scores in a dominant 70-0 win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff in the opener.  The Razorbacks led 49-0 at halftime before calling off the dogs after intermission.  Utah transfer Ja'Quinden Jackson rushed for 101 yards and two scores on just eight attempts.

Oklahoma State is getting a lot of hype heading into the season after finishing 10-4 last season and making it to the Big 12 title game.  But it was all smoke and mirrors for the most part as the Cowboys were actually outgained on the season with a defense that gave up 442 yards per game.  They were outgained by 17 yards per game in Big 12 play alone.

This is a great time to 'sell high' on the Cowboys with the lofty preseason expectations that come with returning 19 starters from that team.  That's especially the case after a misleading 44-20 win over South Dakota State as a 13-point favorite in the opener, which is a SDSU team ranked No. 1 in the FCS.  

The Cowboys only outgained the Jackrabbits 394 to 388, or by 6 total yards.  The Jackrabbits actually outgained them 6.0 to 5.5 yards per play as well.  They held the Cowboys to 3.8 yards per carry on the ground and held 1st-team All-American RB Ollie Gordon to 126 yards on 28 carries.  This game was much closer than the 44-20 final.

Arkansas is actually the more talented team from the SEC, and getting the Razorbacks as over a touchdown underdog is too good of value to pass up in this one.  Bet Arkansas Saturday.

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At 3:30 eastern the CFB Comp play is on the Under 35.5 in the Iowa St at Iowa game. Both teams were superb on defense last week both not allowing a touch down. In the series the last 5 have stayed under and have been a snooze fest. In fact home favorites of 4 or less with a total of 36 or less are 10-1 to the under over the last 24 seasons. Iowa has a pathetic offense but has allowed 16 or less in 7 of 8 at home and are on a 4-1 under run at home. Iowa St has stayed under in 12 of 16 as a road dog  and should be in this game throughout as they have a solid defense as well. Play this one Under the total. On Saturday we have a Loaded card with the Non Conference Game of the Year headlining along wit a TIER 1 Play, a BIG Totals from a 27-1 system, Soccer, MLB and more. Jump on now as we continue to cash with Exclusive data that wont be seen elsewhere. For the Comp play go Under in the Iowa St at Iowa game.  Rob V-

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Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Marshall.

Game 349.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

Normally, after a team like Virginia Tech, which was favored by nearly two touchdowns last week, loses to a team like Vanderbilt outright, I would look to back them the following week. But that's not the case here. The Hokies have a lot of problems on both sides of the ball, for sure. And making them this much of a favorite with Old Dominion up next, tells me this is a mistake. Following next week’s matchup on the road, this team comes home to face Rutgers, then takes to the road to face Miami. I just don't see urgency for this team to keep their foot on the gas here. Even if they come out here with something to prove, laying nearly three touchdowns against a Marshall opponent, which has played them very competitively over the years is going to be fatal for this team. The Thundering Herd enter this match up with a little confidence, following a 45-3 shellacking over Stonybrook. Granted the Seawolves are a far cry from the Hokies, but yet this team still has some confidence coming into this week’s matchup. I understand they have the Ohio State Buckeyes on the road in their next outing. But they have an off week after this game to prepare for that contest. I think we could all agree they don’t stand a chance against the Buckeyes, but yet they still have a week to prepare. Let's go back to how competitively they play Virginia Tech. They took down the Hokies a season to go, 24-17 at home. That gave them their third cover in the last four meetings in this rivalry. I just don't see laying nearly three touchdowns with a very lackluster Virginia Tech team. Take Marshall. Thank you.

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on San Jose State +5.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the San Jose State Spartans as road underdogs to the Air Force Falcons today.  Ken Niumatalolo gets a fresh start in San Jose and if anyone knows how to defend Air Force's triple-option, it's him.  The Spartans were impressive in topping Sacramento State 42-24 as a 2.5-point favorite last week.  That's a Sacramento State team that is one of the best FCS teams in the country ranked in the Top 10.  They held up against the run yielding 4.3 YPC.  Air Force looked awful in its 21-6 win over lowly Merrimack as a 30-point favorite.  The Falcons managed just 237 total yards and only 166 rushing yards on 55 attempts, an average of 3.0 YPC.  This is a very inexperienced Air Force team with just 6 returning starters including only 2 on offense.  They are clearly behind the eight ball offensively in the early going, and they shouldn't be laying this big of a number to the Spartans.  Take San Jose State.

**4X Top 10 NCAAF Handicapper!** Dave was the #4 NCAAF Capper in 2011, the #7 NCAAF Capper in 2009 and the #5 NCAAF Capper in 2008! He had his best season to date finishing as the #2 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2020! He is riding a 310-267 NCAAF Run over the past couple seasons! He is also on a 112-71 NCAAF 7* Run as well as a 7-2 NCAAF Start this season! Give your book the beating it deserves today and hop on board for Dave's Saturday NCAA Football 11-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Month along with ten 6* picks for you to crush your book with today ladies and gents! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Sunday's NFL picks for FREE!

1* FREE INFO PLAY

Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick

PLAY ON: Iowa -3

I'll lay the 3-points at home with Iowa against in-state rival Iowa State. The Hawkeyes are far from a juggernaut on offense, but they are no longer the laughing stock of college football. I know the first half wasn't pretty, but in the end Iowa put up 40 points with a staggering 492 yards of total offense in their opener against Illinois State. Cade McNamara was a different QB in the 2nd half and I think he builds off of that. Simply put, the Hawkeyes finally have an offense that can feed off of their elite defense. Iowa State was the team with the lackluster opening game. They struggled to put away North Dakota until late in a 21-3 win. What really stood out to me was them only getting 86 yards on the ground. Hard to beat this Iowa defense without some balance on offense. Iowa is 7-1 SU and 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series. Give me the Hawkeyes -3! 

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Louisville -28 1.1% 

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Michigan State/Maryland UNDER 44

Both Michigan State and Maryland have similar profiles this season.  Both are way ahead defensively than they are offensively.  Michigan State has 10 starters back on defense but only 5 starters back on offense.  The Spartans were real shaky offensively in their 16-10 win over Florida Atlantic in the opener that saw just 26 combined points.  Maryland has 8 starters back on defense and only 4 starters back on offense.  The Terrapins lost their all-time leading passer in Tualia Tagovailoa.  They have just 21 career starts returning on the offensive line.  Maryland dominated defensively in a 50-7 win over Connecticut in their opener as only an 18.5-point favorite.  QB Billy Edwards had a solid game, but he completed just 10-of-30 (33.3%) of his pass attempts as Tagovailoa's backup last year.  I don't expect him to have nearly as much success against this tough Michigan State defense.  The UNDER is 8-1 in the last nine meetings between the Spartans and Terrapins.  They have combined for 40 or fewer points in five of their last six meetings.  Give me the UNDER.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Houston Dynamo

GEORGIA TECH/SYRACUSE CFB FREE PICK

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have opened the season with two wins, including a solid victory over then-No. 10 Florida State in Dublin. Both their games went under the total (45 points & 47 points), but I predict a high-scoring game against an Orange team that opened the season with a 38-22 win over Ohio. 

Georgia Tech quarterback Haynes King averaged over 9 yards per attempt in both games, and Syracuse QB Kyle McCord looked excellent against Ohio with 354 passing yards and 4 TDs while averaging 9.1 yards per attempt.

There is a risk of GA Tech putting together long, clock-draining drives with their rushing attack, but from what we've seen so far I think both teams will score fast and easy. 

3% FREE PICK ON THE OVER. 

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This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our Saturday Free Play. There are always overreactions from week to week in football and that takes place between Week One and Week Two especially in college football. We are seeing it with this game based on results from the opening week as Texas opened as the favorite when the line was posted early this summer as part of the game of the year card and it stayed at -3.5 through last Saturday but the line has now more than doubled after just one game from each side. Texas steamrolled Colorado St. while Michigan beat Fresno St. by only 20 points but this is exactly what the Wolverines did last season, letting their three inferior nonconference opponents still around with their own offense scoring no more than 35 points, similar to the 30 they scored against Fresno St. and this all done for a reason as to not show too much and they basically gave Texas nothing. Michigan wants to play slow which it did all of last season, using its running game to burn clock and keep the defense fresh. The Longhorns were able to go through the motions as well but Michigan already has tape and has a good idea what to expect. Texas lost running back CJ Baxter before the season, so Jaydon Blue and Jerrick Gibson have to try and make up for that lost production but neither are close to Baxter and will be facing a great run defense. The Wolverines held Fresno St. to just nine rushing yards and while the Longhorns present a bigger challenge, they are going to make quarterback Quinn Ewers beat them and we are not really sure that he can. He had solid top line numbers last season and he has a very high floor but according to PFF, his grades did not even rank him in their PFF College 101 that included 12 quarterbacks, seven of which are back playing in 2024. With Baxter, he can implement a lot of play action, which is where he thrives, but he does not have that luxury. Texas proved it is a great team with a 52-0 win but the early overreaction is against them here. Play (320) Michigan Wolverines

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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #332 Under in South Carolina Gamecocks @ Kentucky Wildcats (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 7 ABC) The SEC on ABC is in full effect for the first time ever and expect a low scoring game with their two defensive minded coaches. Kentucky is coming off a 31-0 shutout of Southern Miss and they will once again have a top defense in the SEC. South Carolina will likely struggle to score points in this game and for them to have a chance they will have to keep the scoring low. We will not worry about if Kentucky can cover this spread and instead just focus on the total. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card including plays from football, MLB, WNBA, and the US Open. Jump on board with a veteran handicapper of 53 years and let Doc bring home money this weekend.

#348 ASA FREE PLAY ON Ole Miss -43 over Middle Tennessee State, Saturday at 4:15 PM ET - Ole Miss can name the score here and head coach Lane Kiffin has shown he’s not opposed to running up huge numbers on inferior opponents.  Last week the Rebels beat FCS Furman 76-0 and they took their foot slightly off the gas after leading 73-0 in the 3rd quarter.  You might say well that’s Furman an FCS team but the Paladins have a very solid program and entered the year ranked in the top 15 in the FCS poll.  One trusted FBS / FCS power rating system, Jeff Sagarin, has Furman and this Middle Tennessee state team rated almost dead even.  The 76 point win wasn’t a turnover laced fluke as Furman had only 1 turnover in the game.  Ole Miss outgained the Paladins by a ridiculous +600 yards (772 to 172 total yards) and the Rebels had 37 first downs to just 7 for Furman.  While Mississippi was destroying one of the better teams at the FCS level, MTSU was struggling at home to simply win a game vs one of the worst FCS programs, Tennessee Tech.  The Blue Raiders were outgained in that 32-25 win, had fewer first downs and needed a TD with under 1:00 minute remaining to escape with a home win as a 24 point favorite.  Tennessee Tech finished 4-8 last year and hasn’t won more than 4 games in any of the last 4 seasons.  For comparisons sake, this same Tennessee Tech team who almost beat MTSU last Saturday, played Furman last year (Mississippi’s opponent last week) and lost 45-10.  The Blue Raiders are lost a ton of players from last year (just 7 starters back) and are working on new systems on both sides of the ball with new head coach Derek Mason.  Heading to Oxford is not ideal for this MTSU team still trying to figure things out.  Unless Lane Kiffin decides to take it easy here, which he hasn’t in the past, this one will get really ugly.

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South Florida at Alabama 7:00 ET

Bulls (+) over Crimson Tide- Oh yeah, go ahead laugh or chuckle at this one, but we were all over Alabama last week and see them not being able to maintain that level of excellence. USF had a non-competitive game against Bethune Cookman keeping the Wildcats to a grand total of 180 yards. I’m sure the level of play for both teams will be elevated. Enough for the Bulls to cover. Take SOUTH FLORIDA!

I like taking this many points with an SEC team in a non-conference matchup, even a lower-tier one such as Arkansas. 

This could be a make or break year for Sam Pittman and the Razorbacks after they went 4-8 last year. Note, though, that five of those defeats were by seven points or fewer.

I can't stand Bobby Petrino as a person. But give the devil his due because he's a heck of a college football offensive coordinator. Pittman hired Petrino and all the Razorbacks did in their opener was bury Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 70-0, scoring a touchdown on all 10 of their drives. Can't be more perfect than that. 

Oklahoma State beat a much stronger FCS opponent in its opener last week. The Cowboys defeated South Dakota State, 44-20. South Dakota State is the reigning FCS champion. The score wasn't as lopsided as you might think, though, judging by statistics. Oklahoma State wasn't impressive running the ball and only outgained the Jackrabbits overall by six yards. 

A major takeaway from Arkansas' win was the play of transfer QB Taylen Green from Boise State. The dual threat looked extremely comfortable operating the Razorbacks' quarterback friendly offense accounting for 317 yards and four touchdowns before taking a seat. Oklahoma State has had problems with mobile quarterbacks. The Cowboys also surrendered the most big plays of any Big 12 team last season. Oklahoma State allowed an average of 39.5 points during its last four regular season games in 2023. 

Ollie Gordon gives the Cowboys perhaps the top running back in the country. The defensive strength of Arkansas is its huge defensive line. So the Razorbacks can keep Gordon from running wild while producing enough points to stay close if not pull the outright upset.