5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls -3.5

Bottom Line: I'm not buying the Bucks winning a 3rd straight game in this series. Milwaukee has clearly been the more motivated team in the last two games, but that's not going to be the case here tonight. Chicago has made it clear they know they need to pick up the intensity and with a full 2 days to get things figured out, I look for the Bulls to come out and dominate this game right from the finish. The extra day of rest should help Rose get his legs back under him and allow him to be the force he was in the first 3 of this series. Chicago quits messing around and punches their ticket to the conference quarterfinals. Pound the Bulls -3.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets/Hawks U200.5

Bottom Line: These two teams combined to score 191 or less in each of the first 3 games in the series before going off for 235 in a overtime contest in Game 4. The important thing to note is that they only combined for 208 in regulation and that was with both teams shooting lights out from the field. With the series sitting at 2-2 and so much on the line in Game 5, I'm expecting it to return to a grind it out game that finishes around the 185-190 mark. Pound the UNDER 200.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets/Mavericks UNDER 221.5

Bottom Line: Due to these two teams flying over the total in their last two games, oddsmakers have been forced to drastically inflate tonight's total, creating some big time value on the UNDER at 221.5. Both teams have shot light 47% or better in each of the last two games and that's simply not going to hold up. Houston isn't going to let Dallas continue to run up and down the floor and the Mavericks aren't going to be as strong shooting the ball on the road. I look for a similar result here to Game 2, which the Rockets won 111-99. Pound the UNDER 221.5!

5* NBA WISEGUY *BEST BET* on Hawks -4.5

Bottom Line: The Hawks have not played up to their potential so far in this series and as a result they are showing some big time value here as a mere 4.5-point home favorite against the Nets. Brooklyn allowed opponents to shoot 45.3% from the field during the regular season, which is why I'm not buying the Hawks offensive struggles being a result of the Nets defense. Atlanta is due for an offensive explosion and I look for them to win here comfortably. Pound the Hawks -4.5!

5* LAC/SA WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Clippers +6

Bottom Line: Love the value we are getting here with the Clippers as a 6-point dog. LA shot a miserable 34% from the field in Game 3, which in turn has jumped this line up a full 1.5-points from what it was listed at for Game 3. Easy for the public to fall in love with the Spurs after that great performance, especially after what they did last year. Clippers will be better offensively as they have to big of advantages with Paul and Griffin. Better shooting will have a strong impact on their play defensively. I got this one going right down to the wire and could definitely see LA winning this one outright. Pound the Clippers +6!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls -4.5

Bottom Line: I believe the Bucks are both emotionally and physically drained from Thursday's double-overtime loss at home in Game 3. Chicago now has a 3-0 advantage in the series and I don't see them letting their foot off the gas in a close out game. Teams with a 3-0 series lead have covered the spread in Game 4 60% of the time since 2002 and 63% of the time in the 1st round. Pound the Bulls -4.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Clippers/Spurs UNDER 203

Bottom Line: These two teams only managed to score 188 points in Game 2, but a 30-point overtime period pushed the final score to 118 and well over the total set for that game of 206.5. Keep in mind that the two only managed 199 points in Game 1 with a total of 208. Defensive gets an edge the more the series progresses and with this one tied at 1-1 and there being such a big advantage to going up 2-1, I think we are going to see this one fly under the mark. You also have to factor in Spurs are forced to play an injured Tony Parker and without him at full strength they must slow the pace to keep it close. Pound the UNDER 203!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans +5

Bottom Line: Warriors are getting a little too much respect here against a Pelicans team that has shown they can hang with the league's top team. New Orleans has shown they can win at home in a big spot like they will be facing tonight, as they held off the Spurs in the regular season finale 108-103 to punch their ticket to the postseason and knock San Antonio out of the No.2 seed. Other key thing here is I believe the Warriors know they are the better team and with a 2-0 series lead this is a prime spot for them to suffer a letdown. It's also worth noting that New Orleans won 103-100 as a 4.5-point home dog against the Warriors down the stretch on 4/7. Pound the Pelicans +5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Blazers/Wizards UNDER 190

Bottom Line: Memphis isn't a team that likes to push the ball. They want to grind it out and let their stingy defense do all the work. Their defense matches up extremely well with Portland's two starts Lillard and Aldridge, leaving the Blazers without any reliable options to turn to on the offensive end. The key here is that being down 0-1 is going to have Portland coming out extremely motivated on the defensive end, especially after how easily Memphis's offense scored in Game 1 (had 86 points after 3 quarters before scoring just 14 in the 4th with a 24-point lead). UNDER is 13-1 in Memphis's last 14 home games after allowing a shooting percentage of 35% or less and 26-8 in Blazers last 34 road games when revenging 4 or more straight losses. Pound the UNDER 190!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards/Raptors OVER 192.5

Bottom Line: After watching these two teams combine for just 179 points in an overtime affair in Game 1, the books have adjusted this total by quite a bit from the 194.5 line we saw in the opener. Typically I like to play a lot of unders in the postseason, but there's too much value here to pass up. These are two really good offenses. Wizards averaged 98.5 ppg and Toronto 103.8 ppg. Both teams shot under 40% in Game 1 and that's simply not going to last. I think this one will eclipse the 200 mark. Pound the OVER 192.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks/Bulls UNDER 187

Bottom Line: With Milwaukee in a desperate spot here trying to avoid an 0-2 hole and the Bulls equally motivated to take a 2-0 lead, I look for a tight low-scoring game. These two combined for 194 in Game 1 to go over the total of 186, but the important thing to note is they combined for just 83 points in the 2nd half after an offensive explosion in the 1st half. Each of the previous four meetings during the regular season all had a combined score of 186 or less and I wouldn't be surprised at all if they failed to reach 175 tonight. Pound the UNDER 187!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +10.5

Bottom Line: I know the Hawks dominated the regular season series, but 10.5-points is a lot to ask a team to cover by in the playoffs. Brooklyn can be a good team when they decide to show up and play and that shouldn't be an issue given this is the playoffs. I look for the Nets to keep it surprisingly close and cover this double-digit spread without any problem. Road underdogs of 10 or more, who have been beaten by the spread by 18 or more combined points in their last 3 games are 27-7 (79%) ATS in April. Pound Brooklyn +10.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks/Bulls UNDER 186

Bottom Line: While Chicago's defense wasn't as dominant as it's been in years past, don't let that fool you. The Bulls got after it on that side of the ball when they needed to. With the intensity that comes with the playoffs and the fact that they are arguably as healthy as they have been all season, I look for them to make life miserable for the Bucks. Keep in mind they held Milwaukee to just 84.8 ppg in the 4 meetings during the regular season. Bucks are also a solid defensive team and know they can't get in a shootout if they want any chance to win this game. These two teams combined for 186, 158, 182 and 181 in their 4 regular season meetings. Pound the UNDER 186!

5* NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +11.5

Bottom Line: With Utah out of the playoff picture and Houston desperately needing a win here to ensure they get homecourt in the first round and potentially the No. 2 seed if the Spurs were to lose at New Orleans, the oddsmakers have inflated this line by quite a bit, creating some great value on the Jazz. Utah has won 7 of 9 with their two losses coming by a combined 3-points. This team has really came on strong down the stretch and while I don't expect them to win, I really like their chances of keeping it close enough to cover. Pound the Jazz +11.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards/Pacers UNDER 192.5

Bottom Line: With the Nets loss at home to the Bulls last night, the door has been left open for the Pacers to make the playoffs. Indiana simply needs to win out to take the 8th and final spot in the east. I'm expecting playoff-like intensity from the Pacers in this one. Washington doesn't have a whole lot to play for, but are trying to get some momentum built for the playoffs. While these two teams combined for 204 points in their most recent meeting, each of the previous 7 matchups saw the two teams combine for 190 or fewer points. Pound the UNDER 192.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Magic +7.5

Bottom Line: Orlando is showing great value here as a 7.5-point dog, as I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they won this game outright. While Miami is technically still alive for the 8th and final playoff spot, they are 2-games back of both Brooklyn and Indiana. They would need to win out and have both of those teams lose their final 2. Wade already seems to think their season is over..."Injuries are part of the game. It's not always who is the most talented team. It's who can stay the healthiest and we weren't able to do that this year to give ourselves a chance," Hard for Miami to show up for this one. Pound the Magic +7.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets -5.5

Bottom Line: Houston enters off a back-to-back losses to the Spurs, including a heartbreaking 103-104 home defeat to San Antonio in their last game. This sets up two profitable situations to back the Rockets here. Houston is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3 and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when they enter off a home loss. In both situations the Rockets are winning on average by 8.5+ points/game. Pound the Rockets -5.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +6.5

Bottom Line: This is a great spot to fade the Trail Blazers, who while mathematically are still alive for home court in the first round are all but locked in as the No. 4 seed and will have to begin their opening series on the road. Having recently lost Wesley Mattews and Dorell Wright for the season and watching Arron Afflalo suffer an injury that will have him sidelined for 1-2 weeks in their last game, Portland's primary focus over their last 3 games is to stay healthy. LaMarcus Aldridge isn't going to play tonight and I just don't see the Blazers showing up for this one. Utah is out to prove something and build for next year and wouldn't be surprised at all if they won outright. Pound the Jazz +6.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans -8.5

Bottom Line: Whenever a team like the Suns that had realistic expectations of making the playoffs and has been officially eliminated, chances are they aren't going to show up, especially on the road. That's exactly the case we have here and adding even more value is that this is essentially a playoff game for the Pelicans, who control their own destiny for the No. 8 seed in the west. An unmotivated Phoenix team that doesn't have the size inside to contend with Anthony Davis points to a big blowout for New Orleans. Pound the Pelicans -8.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *TOTAL KNOCKOUT* on Blazers/Warriors OVER 208.5

Bottom Line: Golden State is coming off a couple of less than impressive offensive performances by their standards, both of which resulted in losses. They managed just 92 points on 43% shooting in a loss at San Antonio and 100 on 44% shooting in a defeat at New Orleans. I look for the offensive to return to form at home, where the Warriors are averaging 112.9 ppg. Helping matters is that the Blazers won't be able to give their best effort defensively in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. Warriors will be focused offensively as Curry goes for the MVP, but with everything locked up I don't expect great effort defensively, which should lead to this one flying over the total. Pound the OVER 208.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks +6

Bottom Line: Most assume Atlanta isn't going to take this game seriously in the 2nd day of a back-to-back set, but the Hawks have made it clear that they are putting an emphasis on closing out the season strong. There's also some hidden value here with Atlanta, as they hold the rights to the Nets 1st round pick if Brooklyn fails to make the playoffs. The Hawks seem to have had that in the back of their minds in the first three meetings this season. Atlanta won 98-75 at Brooklyn on Dec. 5, 113-10 at home on Jan. 28 and just this past Saturday won at home 131-99. Even if some of the Hawks key players rest, Atlanta has the depth to keep this close and likely win outright. Pound the Hawks +6!

5* WISEGUY NBA *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Lakers +17.5

Bottom Line: There's no denying that the Clippers are the better team and could easily beat the Lakers by 20+ points if they wanted to, but I don't think the intensity is going to be there. These two teams just played 2-days ago with the Clippers routing the Lakers 106-78 as a 13.5-point favorite. The Clippers know all they have to do is show up to get a win and with a much-needed 3-day break on the horizon, I don't expect to see their best effort. On the flip side of this, the Lakers will be motivated to at least keep it respectable and it's not really asking a lot for them to keep it within 17-points. Lakers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Pound the Lakers +17.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Duke +103

Bottom Line: While Duke has been the more impressive team throughout the tournament and has a 10-point road win over Wisconsin in non-conference play, the Badgers are getting all the attention from their win over Kentucky, which spoiled the Wildcats perfect season. As a result, it's created big time value on the Blue Devils as an underdog in a game where I believe they should be a 2-3 point favorite. While Duke isn't any more athletic than Kentucky was, unlike the Wildcats the Blue Devils are an efficient offensive team in the half-court and have a number of different players who can light it up from the outside. They also have a more polished big man offensively with Okafor. I like Duke to win here rather comfortably. Pound the Blue Devils +103 on the Money Line!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Heat/Pacers UNDER 190

Bottom Line: Miami and Indiana are both on the outside looking in at the playoffs, but both aren't far back. The Heat trail 8th place Boston by 1/2-game and the Pacers are just 1-game back of Miami. This is going to feel like a playoff game for both teams and I look for it to lead to a defensive showdown, as both of these teams are built to win games with their defense. UNDER is 12-1 in the Heat's last 13 games when playing against a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) and 11-3 in the Pacers last 14 home games with a total of 190 to 194.5. Pound the UNDER 190!

5* WISEGUY FINAL FOUR *BEST BET* on Kentucky -5

Bottom Line: So much has been made about Wisconsin being the team that can knock off Kentucky, but I'm just not buying it. I think the Wildcats went into that game against Notre Dame with a big head after what they did to West Virginia and it nearly cost them their perfect season. I see that as the wake-up call Kentucky needed. Not to say Wisconsin isn't a good team, but this is just too favorable a line to not take the more talented team. Even if it's a close game, there's a good chance Kentucky will be able to pull away late with free throws to win here by at least 6 points. Pound the Wildcats -5!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG*

Bottom Line: Books are begging you to take Toronto as a small home favorite, but I believe the smart play here is on Boston, who has a lot more to play for. It wouldn't surprise me at all if the Raptors rested some of their key players and those that do play just go through the motions. Raptors are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 after playing 2 straight on the road, while Boston is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games after failing to cover in their last game and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games when playing their 5th game in 7 days. Pound the Celtics +3!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET*

The Bucks come in off a 95-91 home win over the Bulls as a 5-point dog, which might make them seem like a good bet as a 5.5-point road dog against the Celtics. I don't believe that's the case, as Milwaukee have lost 11 straight on the road. Keep in mind that Boston was a 7.5-point home favorite earlier this season against the Bucks and won that contest 108-100. Milwaukee is also just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 off an upset win at home as an underdog against a division opponent, while Boston is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after 2 or more consecutive wins. Pound the Celtics -5.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Suns +12.5

Bottom Line: Golden State is being way overvalued here due to the fact that they are 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS (8 straight) in their last 10 games. The key thing to keep in mind is that the Warriors have locked up the No. 1 seed in the west and have a 5.5-game lead over Atlanta for the No. 1 overall seed. They are also coming off an emotional come-from-behind win at Los Angeles (Clippers), who they hadn't beat on the road since 2013. This is do or die for the Suns, who are 4-games back of OKC for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Phoenix is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 off a loss by 10+ points, while Golden State is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 when playing on 1 day of rest. Pound the Suns +12.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Trail Blazers -2.5

Bottom Line: This is a great spot to fade the Clippers, who laid everything on the line in last night's home loss to the Warriors and now must turn around and play on the road against a red-hot Portland team that has won 4 straight. The big key here is that LA's starters racked up huge minutes last night and simply aren't going to have enough gas in the tank at this point in the season to play up to their potential on the road against a top level team like the Blazers. Portland is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games against explosive offensive teams that average 103+ ppg and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games after covering the number in 3 of their last 4. Pound the Blazers -2.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers/Nets UNDER 199

Bottom Line: The Nets are currently 1/2 game ahead of the Pacers for the 8th and final spot in the Eastern Conference. This is essentially a playoff game for these two teams and that should lead to max effort on the defensive end. Had it not been for these two teams combining for 134 points in a recent meeting on 3/21, this total would be a lot closer to 190 than 200. Prior to the offensive outburst in the last meeting, these two teams had combined for 199 or less in each of their previous 5 matchups. Pound the UNDER 199!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Raptors -1

Bottom Line: Houston is getting too much respect here against the Raptors. While the Rockets have won 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall, they find themselves playing on no rest and their 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Not to mention they are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 visits to Toronto and 12-23 ATS in their last 35 road games after winning 2 or more consecutive games. Raptors head coach Casey is 35-19 ATS over last 54 when revenging a road loss of 10+ points. Pound Toronto -1!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Grizzlies +

Bottom Line: We are seeing a huge overreaction here that has the Grizzlies showing some big time value as a 8-point dog against their division rivals. Memphis is coming into this game off back-to-back blowout losses to the Cavs and Warriors. I look for them to come out extremely motivated here against San Antonio, who is overvalued right now. Spurs are just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games against the Southwest, while Memphis is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Pound the Grizzlies +8!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *ELITE 8 SUREFIRE* on Gonzaga +3

Bottom Line: This is without a doubt the best team that Few has had at Gonzaga and I actually think they are the better team here. The Bulldogs have rattled off 3-straight wins by 10+ and have the offensive fire-power to keep pace early with the Blue Devils and put them away late. Gonzaga is 23-10 ATS in their last 33 neutral court games when listed as a dog of 6-points or less and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 when playing on 1 or less days of rest. They are also 22-12 ATS in their last 44 against strong offensive teams that shoot 45% or better from the field. Pound the Bulldogs +3!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Notre Dame +11

Bottom Line: No surprise here as the books have made a huge overreaction here based on Kentucky's blowout win over West Virginia. After a couple of less than impressive showings in their first two games, Notre Dame finally played up to their potential in their win over Wichita State. I look for the Irish to give Kentucky all they can handle and easily cover this double-digit spread. Notre Dame is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games following a SU win, while Kentucky is just 7-14 ATS in their last 21 after allowing 30 points or less in the 1st half of each of their last 2 games. Pound Notre Dame +11!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Spurs/Mavs OVER 206.5

Bottom Line: These two teams played in Dallas on Tuesday and combined for just 195 points with a total set at 207. The fact that the books have came right back with essentially the same number, lets us know they aren't concerned about the low-scoring game last time out. Spurs are averaging 107.4 ppg at home on the season and 118.0 ppg over their last 8 home games. Mavs have scored 100+ in 5 of their last 6. OVER is 20-8 in Spurs last 28 home games when listed as a favorite of 9.5 to 12 points and 8-1 in their last 9 home games against teams that are outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. Pound the OVER 206.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Notre Dame +

The Irish should not be listed as the underdog in this matchup. Notre Dame is a team on a mission right now and have even more to play for after learning head coach Mike Brey's mom just passed away. Wichita State put up an impressive performance against Kansas in a game that meant a lot more than to them than just another tournament win. I look for the Shockers to come out a big flat, while Notre Dame shakes off the rust and returns to the form that saw them win the ACC Tournament with back-to-back wins over Duke and North Carolina. Pound the Fighting Irish +2!

5* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Nets/Hornets OVER 196.5

Bottom Line: Both of these teams are really struggling on the defensive end right now. Charlotte is giving up 98.0 ppg over their last 5, while the Nets are allowing a staggering 114.2 ppg over their last 5. On top of that, these two teams have a history of playing in high scoring games. Each of the last 4 has seen a combined score of more than 200 points. OVER is 4-1 in Nets last 5 road games and 5-1 in their last 6 following a SU loss of more than 10 points. OVER is also 6-0 in Hornets last 6 when playing on 1 days rest and 5-1 in their last 6 at home. Pound the OVER 196.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks +3.5

Bottom Line: I'm expecting Dallas to come out with one of their best efforts after a 92-98 loss at Phoenix, which head coach Rick Carlisle labeled and "embarrassment." Dallas has played the Spurs as well as anyone over the last couple of seasons and are too strong a team to be laying 3.5-points at home. Home underdogs off an upset loss as a favorite are 34-10 (77%) ATS since 1996 in a game involving two teams that have won between 60% and 75% of their games. Pound the Mavericks +3.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls -6

Bottom Line: Chicago won't have any trouble getting motivated for this one, as they come in off a 16-point loss at Detroit in their last contest, plus will be playing with double-revenge, which includes a recent loss at Charlotte just 10 days ago. While it may appear the Hornets cruised to a 11-point win over the Timberwolves last night, they actually trailed by 5-points at the half. Not only will Charlotte be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but this will be their 3rd road game in the last 4 days and 5th overall on their current road trip. Hornets are 12-29 ATS in their last 41 after playing 4 straight on the road, while Chicago is 24-9 ATS in their last 33 when revenging a loss of 10 or more points. Pound the Bulls -6!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE* on Maryland -1

Bottom Line: The Big 12 has shown that they are not anywhere close to as strong of a conference as most people thought and I look for the Terrapins to have no problem punching their ticket to the Sweet 16. Maryland has the talent at the guard positions that won't be rattled by the Mountaineers chaotic style of play and teams that can handle their pressure will more times than not come away with an easy win. Terrapins are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 non-conference road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a neutral site. Pound Maryland -1!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks -1.5

Bottom Line: The Hawks are showing some big time value here as a mere 1.5-point home favorite against the Spurs. Atlanta is also going to be extremely motivated in this spot after losing back-to-back games at Golden State and Oklahoma City. They will also be out for revenge from a heartbreaking 92-94 loss at San Antonio earlier this season. Atlanta models themselves after the Spurs and I believe this game is more important to them than some might think. Not to mention they are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 when playing against a team with a winning record, 23-8 in their last 31 with a total set at 200 to 209.5 points and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 when listed as a favorite of 6 points or less. Pound the Hawks -1.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls -3

Bottom Line: The Bulls won 108-92 at home over the Raptors last night for their second straight 20+ point win and I look for them to keep the momentum going with another easy win here against Detroit. The Pistons have completely fallen apart, going just 1-11 over their last 12 games and are expected to be without Greg Monroe. Road favorites (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two average teams with a +/- 3 PPG differential are 27-8 (77%) ATS since 1996!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on NC STATE +10

Bottom Line: The Wolfpack are showing some great value here as a 10-point underdog against No. 1 seed Villanova, which isn't a big surprise given the Wildcats are coming off a 40-point blowout win in their first game, while NC State barely squeaked by with a 1-point win over LSU. NC State won't be intimidated by Villanova at all. The Wolfpack have wins over Duke, North Carolina and  Louisville, while also playing Virginia tough in two separate meetings (loss by 10 points or less). Neutral court teams (VILLANOVA) - excellent team - shooting >=45% with a defense of

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +7

Bottom Line: The Nuggets are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back here, but I believe we have seen an overreaction with the spread because of it. Denver has been playing much better since firing Brian Shaw and I look for them to come out and surprise the Heat, who are in line for a letdown after two big home wins over the Cavaliers and Trail Blazers. Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against the Eastern Conference, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their starters combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100+ points. Miami is 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 4-20-2 ATS in their last 26 following a SU win. Pound the Nuggets +7!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE* on Iowa -1.5

Bottom Line: Davidson is getting a lot of hype here as an upset candidate over Iowa, but I don't think this is a good matchup at all for the Wildcats. Iowa defends the 3 well and has a ton of size across the floor. The Hawkeyes should be able to score at will against Davidson's defense and do enough here defensively to win this game without much problem. While the Hawkeyes suffered an ugly loss to Penn State in the Big Ten Tournament, this team had been playing their best basketball of the season prior to that defeat and I believe it will have them humbled and focused on making sure they put their best effort forward tonight. Roll the Hawkeyes -1.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz -4

Bottom Line: The Jazz are in a perfect spot to back off a disappointing home loss to the Wizards last night, which snapped their 6-game winning streak. Utah will not only be motivated to bounce back from that defeat, but they will also be playing with revenge here, as they lost the last meeting at home to the Lakers 97-100 back on Feb. 25. Utah is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 when revenging a loss where they allowed the opponent to score 100 points, 19-9 ATS in their last 28 after failing to cover the number in their last game and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 revenging a same season loss. Pound the Jazz -4!

4* MAJOR *NCAA TOURNAMENT SUREFIRE* on Arkansas -7.5

Bottom Line: This is one is simple. Wofford isn't in the same class as the Razorbacks. The Terriers played a non-conference game against West Virginia, who plays a very similar style to that of Arkansas and they lost that game by 33-points. It's going to take the Terriers best game and the Razorbacks worst just for them to keep this within 15-points. Pound Arkansas -7.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on NC State -2

Bottom Line: Outside of Kentucky and Arkansas I wasn't impressed with the rest of the SEC and I look for LSU to have a horrible time here just trying to keep this game respectable against what I feel is a far superior NC State team. The Wolfpack are 24-12 ATS in their last 36 games against teams who are outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game. Simply put, when the stage gets bigger, the better NC State tends to play. Sure they got embarrassed by Duke in the ACC Tournament, but LSU is nothing close to the Blue Devils. Most importantly, NC State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when coming off a loss by 15+ points. Pound the Wolfpack -2!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz -3

Bottom Line: The Jazz are the hottest team in the NBA right now. Utah has won 6 straight and are 13-3 over their last 16 overall. Washington comes in having won 4 straight, but three of those wins came at home. They did beat the Hornets in their last road game, but prior to that had dropped 9 straight. Utah has won 3 straight and 7 of 8 at home against the Wizards and I look for them to add to that streak with any win and cover tonight. Teams who have led by 5 or more points at the half in each of their last 3 games (Utah) against an opponent that scored 60+ in the first half of their last game are 41-18 (70%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Jazz -3!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on St Francis +10

Bottom Line: Richmond isn't going to be motivated at all to play in the NIT after getting snubbed from the NCAA Tournament. You might not have heard of St Francis, but this is a talented team that is led by Northeastern Conference player of the year Jalen Cannon, who is an NBA-caliber player. St Francis is a live dog in this one, especially if the Spiders don't show up to play. Pound the Terriers +10!

5* WISEGUY NIT *GAME OF THE MONTH* on UTEP +5.5

Bottom Line: Murray State can complain all they want about not making the tournament, but this team was left out for good reason. All you have do is look at their non-conference schedule to see that this team is vastly overrated. The public however is more familiar with Murray State due to all the publicity they are getting for not making the tournament. Not only is UTEP the better team and should be favored, I don't see the Racers being all that motivated with the disappointment of not making the big dance. Pound UTEP +5.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Magic +11.5

Bottom Line: Orlando has thrived in the roll of the underdog when playing on the road. The Magic are 22-11 ATS this season as a road dog and 14-6 ATS when listed as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points. Houston on the other hand is just 51-76 ATS in their last 127 games when listed as a favorite of 10 or more points. To top it off we have a strong system backing a play on the Magic. Underdogs of 10 or more points that have failed to cover two or more straight games, who are a bad team winning 25% to 40% of their games are 226-157 (59%) ATS since 1996. Pound Orlando +11.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks -5.5

Bottom Line: Oklahoma City has dropped 3 of their last 4 on the road with the only winning coming against the lowly Lakers. While Westbrook has done everything in his power to keep the Thunder competitive, I don't like their chances on the road against the Mavericks with Ibaka being downgraded to doubtful and Durant still sidelined. Dallas has a big advantage here playing on 2 days rest, while Oklahoma City will be in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and playing their 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Thunder are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games against a team with a winning home record, while Dallas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 following a SU win by more than 10 points. Pound the Mavericks -5.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls/Thunder UNDER 206.5

Bottom Line: Games played on Sunday have a stronger tendency to go UNDER the total, especially ones like we have here with an early start time. I'll take my chances on this one finishing well below the mark. While these two teams combined for 213 points back on March 5, that should actually benefit a lower scoring game. Adding to this is that the UNDER is 12-4 in the Bulls last 16 road games when listed as an underdog, 8-0 in Chicago's last 8 after scoring 60+ points in the 1st half of their last game and 12-3 in the Thunder's last 15 home games off a home win by 10 or more points. Pound the UNDER 206.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nets -5.5

Bottom Line: As bad as the Nets have been playing of late, I will gladly take my chances on them coming away with a win here against the 76ers. Philadelphia is coming off a rare win last night against the Kings and have struggled to put together two strong performances in a row. Brooklyn is desperate for a win and that extra motivation against a horrible team like the 76ers should be more than enough for us to get a win and cover here. Pound the Nets -5.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Connecticut -2.5

Bottom Line: Connecticut just has a way of turning it on when it matters the most and I look for the Huskies to cruise to an easy win here in the AAC semifinals against Tulsa. Connecticut won the last meeting by 25-points and are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 after covering the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6, 29-11 in their last 40 off a close win by 3-points or less and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games off an upset win as an underdog. Pound the Huskies -2.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Pistons +8.5

Bottom Line: Portland was able to hold on for a 105-100 win at home over the Rockets in their last game, which I believe has them overvalued here against the Pistons, who are clearly getting no respect after losing 8 straight. I don't know that Detroit will have enough to win this game outright, but I'm expecting a closely contested game that comes right down to the wire. Detroit is 23-7 ATS in their last 30 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of 60% or better and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 after a SU loss. Portland is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs the Eastern Conference and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Pound the Pistons +8.5!

4* NCAAB *ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE* on Maryland -1.5

Bottom Line: The Terrapins are the better team and in a much better spot here than the Hoosiers. Indiana will be playing on no rest, while Maryland has yet to take the floor in the Big Ten Tournament. You might think this is an advantage for Indiana, as they have had a chance to get into a rhythm, but history suggest otherwise. Hoosiers are just 14-30 ATS in their last 34 road games when playing with 1 or less day of rest, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after allowing 60 points or less and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games after a game where they covered the spread. Pound the Terrapins -1.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Kentucky -13

Bottom Line: Kentucky won the last meeting, which also happened to be the regular season final, 67-50 over Florida. The Wildcats are in pursuit of perfection and now that it's tournament time I expect them to give their max effort each and every time they take the floor. I also think this being the 3rd meeting favors Kentucky, who now has a great understanding of what the Gators are looking to do offensively. The Wildcats allowed 61 points  on 49% shooting at Florida in the first meeting and just 50 points on 43% shooting the second time around. Anything less than a 15-point win would be unsatisfactory for Kentucky. Florida is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after winning 3 of 4 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when revenging a same season loss. Pound the Wildcats -13!

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets -2

Bottom Line: I believe the books are over-adjusting here due to the fact that the Rockets are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. Houston had 3 days off prior to last night's game at Portland and should have more than enough energy to come away with a win on the road against the Jazz. The Rockets are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 against a team with a losing record, 17-5 ATS in their last 22 after a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100+ points in their last game. Pound Houston -2!

5* NCAAB *BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH* on Ohio State -5.5

Bottom Line: The Buckeyes barely escaped with a 74-72 overtime win at Minnesota in the only meeting between these two teams during the regular season, which I believe has Ohio State showing some big time value here. We are also seeing the Buckeyes undervalued due to their last game being a 48-72 loss at home to Wisconsin. Prior to that Ohio State had won 3 straight and I look for them to have no problem here against a Minnesota team that is playing on no rest. Gophers are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 following a SU win, while Buckeyes are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 after failing to cover the spread last time out. Pound Ohio State -5.5!

4* NCAAB *LINE MISTAKE* on St Bonaventure -2.5

Bottom Line: The Bonnies won both regular season meetings without much problem. They came away with a 70-61 win at home and a 70-60 win at St Joe's. St Bonaventure also comes in riding a 3-game winning streak, while the Hawks are just 2-5 over their last 7. Another big key here is how these two teams have fared away from home. St. Joe's is a miserable 3-13 on the road, while the Bonnies are a respectable 8-6. Pound St Bonaventure -2.5!

5* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Colorado -3.5

Bottom Line: The Buffaloes are showing some great value here as a mere 3.5-point favorite against the slumping Beavers. Oregon State closed out the regular season with 6 losses in their final 7 games, with the lone win being a 14-point win at home over Colorado. Now that might make you think the Beavers are the smart play, but I actually think it's what is creating the value. Oregon State is a mere 2-11 away from home and rarely have they been competitive outside of Corvallis. Beavers are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 conference games away from home and favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are revenging a loss and coming off an upset loss as a road favorite are 112-67 (63%) ATS since 1997. Pound the Buffaloes -3.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Celtics +4.5

Bottom Line: Couple of key factors favoring a fade of the Grizzlies. First, Memphis has struggled to play up to their potential against bad teams, as they are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 against a team with a losing record. Second, the Grizzlies are playing their 3rd straight on the road and 6th game overall in the last 9 days. Memphis is just 10-22 ATS in their last 32 when playing 6 or more games in a span of 10 days. Boston on the other hand is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 against a team with a winning record and 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home. Pound the Celtics +4.5!

4* NCAAB *LINE MISTAKE* on Kansas State -1.5

Bottom Line: The Wildcats are a quality team that hasn't played up to their potential and are now faced with the difficult task of having to win the Big 12 Tournament to punch a ticket to the Big Dance. While its unlikely they win 4 games in 4 days, I like their chances of beating TCU in the opener. Keep in mind this is a Kansas State team that has wins over the likes of Kansas, Oklahoma (twice), Iowa State and Baylor. TCU did beat the Wildcats at home, but the Horned Frogs only win on the road inside conference play came against last place Texas Tech. Kansas State is simply the better team and worth the gamble here as a mere 1.5-point favorite. Pound the Wildcats -1.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons -2.5

Bottom Line: Both these teams come in riding length losing streaks. The Pistons have dropped six straight, while the Lakers have lost 5 in a row. Detroit is more than capable of snapping out of this funk, while Los Angeles is an NBA-worst 4-21 since Jan. 11. The big problem for the Pistons has been their poor shooting from their guards, which is important to note, as the Lakers have had a horrible time slowing down opposing guards. Perfect spot for Detroit to right their ship, plus it's worth noting that they are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 road games after a combined score of 205+ in their last constest and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3. Pound the Pistons -2.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Timberwolves +7.5

Bottom Line: These two teams faced off in Minnesota last Monday, with the Clippers escaping with a 110-105 win. Teams playing with revenge tend to have a bigger edge when that last meeting came within the last 10 days and I look for the Timberwolves to keep this one surprisingly close. The Clippers are still without two of their best players in Griffin and Crawford and Paul is dealing with a knee injury that figures to limit his production. Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 against an opponent that allowed 100+ points in their last game, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs the Western Conference and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Pound the Timberwolves +7.5!

5* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder -6

Bottom Line: Perfect spot to back the Thunder at home off back-to-back losses, especially against a Toronto team that is in the midst of a major funk. The Raptors have dropped 7 of their last 8 overall. OKC is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after allowing 105+ in each of their last two games and teams that have gone over the total by 6 or more points in 5 straight games are 45-15 (75%) ATS in non-conference games since 1996. Pound the Thunder -6!

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +4.5

Bottom Line: Washington somehow didn't cover last night against the Heat at home after jumping out to a 35-point lead. The most important thing was they got the win and showed signs of life after an awful stretch of basketball. I look for the Wizards to come out with that same intensity against a Milwaukee team that is in the middle of a major slump, having lost 4 straight and 6 of 7 overall. Washington is 25-14 ATS in their last 39 road games after playing their last game at home, while Bucks are just 3-15 ATS in their last 18 hoem games when revenging a home loss. Pound the Wizards +4.5!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE ATS ROUT* on Villanova -12

Bottom Line: The Wildcats are a class above the rest of the Big East and I look for them to have no problem disposing of the Red Storm at home by more than 12-points. Villanova is a perfect 15-0 SU and 11-4 ATS at home and each of their last 5 home games have come by 16+ points. Not to mention they already went on the road and crushed St John's 90-72. Villanova is also 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games when listed as a favorite of 10 or more and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games after 7 or more straight wins. Pound the Wildcats -12!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Rhode Island -9

Bottom Line: The Rams should have no problem winning at home by more 10+ points. Rhode Island is 12-2 at home and will be taking on a St Joseph's team that is a mere 3-12 on the road. Most importantly the Rams will be extra motivated with this being their final home game of the season and the fact they come in off a blowout loss at Dayton and will be looking to make up for a loss to Davidson in their last home game. St Joseph's beat LaSalle 55-50 as a 2-point favorite in their last game and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off a win by 6 points or less and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 on the road after a game where they covered the spread. Pound Rhode Island -9!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets -2.5

Bottom Line: Value here is clearly with the Nets, who are being undervalued due to losing by 24-points at home in their last game. Brooklyn was in a major letdown spot after a big win over the Warriors and I look for them to come out extremely motivated and cash in an easy cover against a Phoenix team that has trailed by at least 15-points in each of their last 3 games. Road teams with a line of +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive overs, who are averaging 102+ ppg against an opponent that is allowing 98-102 ppg are just 13-38 (25%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Nets -2.5!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Washington St +13

Bottom Line: Utah is primed for a major letdown after losing at home to Arizona on Saturday in arguably their biggest game of the season. The Cougars will be the more motivated team and I look for them to keep it surprisingly close against the Utes. Washington State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. Pound the Cougars +13!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks/Blazers UNDER 199

Bottom Line: The books have set the mark too high for this one. Portland isn't going to be looking to push the pace after laying everything they had on the line in last night's overtime win at Los Angeles and Dallas is not the same dynamic offense since acquiring Rondo. Not to mention the Mavericks will be without one of their top offensive weapons in Chandler Parsons and we can expect max effort defensively here in a nationally televised game on TNT. UNDER is 6-1 in the Mavs last 7 road games and 9-2-1 in their last 12 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. UNDER is also 5-0 in the Blazers last 5 games played on Thursday and 5-1 in their last 6 playing on 0 days rest where the starting 5 accounted for more than 160 minutes. Pound the UNDER 199!

4* NCAAB *SUREFIRE ATS ROUT* on San Diego St -4.5

Bottom Line: The Aztecs are a perfect 6-0 following a loss this season and I look for them to keep that streak alive with an easy win on the road against UNLV following that ugly 10-point loss at home where they scored just 46 points on 32.7% shooting. San Diego St is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 following a double-digit loss at home and 42-20-2 ATS in their last 64 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Pound the Aztecs -4.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH* on Suns -4

Bottom Line: Phoenix is being way undervalued here due to the fact that they come in off back-to-back blowout losses to the Spurs (74-101) and Heat (98-115). This is a perfect spot for them to bounce back against a Magic team that isn't any good and is playing with zero confidence off 3 straight losses. Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 33-9 (79%) ATS since 1996! Pound the Suns -4!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Fordham -2.5

Bottom Line: The Rams have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 overall and are showing great value here as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against Duquesne. Not only will Fordham be motivated in their final home game of the regular season, but the Dukes are a miserable 1-11 on the road this season. Rams will be playing with revenge from a tough 6-point loss at Duquesne earlier this season, while the Dukes will have a difficult time coming in 100% focused with their home finale against Davidson on deck. Pound the Rams -2.5!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Georgia +10

Bottom Line: The Bulldogs lost by just 11-points on the road as an 18-point dog against Kentucky earlier this season and did so without the services of leading scorer Marcus Thorton. With Thorton back in the lineup and Georgia coming out extremely motivated to not only upset the No. 1 ranked team, but close out the regular season with a win in their final, the value is clearly with the home team in this one. Kentucky is a mere 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games, while Georgia is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 following a SU win. Pound the Bulldogs +10!

5* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets/Hawks UNDER 199

Bottom Line: The Rockets are one of the most explosive offensive teams in the league, averaging 103.3 ppg, but that's largely been due to the play of Harden, who is in the running for the league MVP. Harden won't be in action tonight and I believe it's created some great value here on the total. Atlanta is only giving up 95.1 ppg at home and offensively are averaging just 93.8 ppg over their last 5. UNDER is 5-0 in the Rockets last 5 after allowing 100 or more in their last game and 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 after a SU win. Pound the UNDER 199!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +6.5

Bottom Line: The Warriors are 7-3 SU and just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games, which goes to show the book are clearly inflating their lines. I believe that's the case again tonight, as Golden State should not be laying 6-points on the road in this spot. The Warriors are coming off a draining 106-101 win at Boston yesterday, which saw them rally from 26 down. Plus, Golden State is playing their 4th game in 5 days, which should have them lacking any sort of motivation or energy for this road game. Brooklyn has played much better since the break going 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS, plus are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 in the 2nd half against teams outscoring opponents by 3+ points/game. Pound the Nets +6!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Purdue +9

Bottom Line: The books are overvaluing the Buckeyes homecourt edge in this one, as they should not be laying near double-digits against the Boilermakers. Purdue has been a completely different team of late, but are still undervalued. The Boilermakers have won 4 straight and 8 of 9 overall, which includes road wins at Northwestern, Rutgers and Indiana. Ohio State comes in off a 81-57 blowout win at home against Nebraska, which is also causing some inflation on the line. The Buckeyes are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a win by 20 or more points. Pound the Boilermakers +9!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Thunder -3.5

Bottom Line: Even without Westbrook and Durant sidelined, I look for the Thunder to have no problem leaving Los Angeles with an easy victory over the Lakers. The fact that Oklahoma City is short-handed is going to take away a lot of motivation for Los Angeles to play hard, which is a key factor that often times gets overlooked. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are a poor defensive team (98-102 ppg) against a horrible defensive team (102+ ppg) after 42+ games and after a game where both teams in their last contest scored 105+ are 36-11 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Thunder -3.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Utah -

Bottom Line: The Utes are a perfect 16-0 at home this season and I fully expect them to get their revenge on the Wildcats and move into a tie for 1st in the Pac-12 standings with a win tonight. Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 off a blowout win by 30+ points against an opponent that scored 80+ in their last game are 92-47 ATS since 1997. Utah is also a dominant 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games at least 16 games into the season against teams who are outscoring opponents by 4+ points game. Pound the Utes -1.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks -

Bottom Line: This is a great price to back Atlanta. The Hawks are returning to form after a minor slump and are the more equipped team out of these two excel in a back-to-back set. Miami is not a good team and have really struggled at home this year, going just 10-16 SU and 9-17 ATS. Atlanta is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 after winning 3 of their last 4 and should have no problem here winning by 6+ points against the Heat. Pound the Hawks -5.5!

4* NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Mississippi St +

Bottom Line: South Carolina continues to be overvalued, as this is too many points for them to be laying at home against a Mississippi State team that has been playing a lot better of late. Gamecocks are also in a tough spot off a big road game at Alabama and another big home game against Arkansas on deck. South Carolina is just 3-12 ATS inside SEC play and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 home games after scoring 65 points or less in 3 straight games. Pound the Bulldogs +9.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Nuggets +

Bottom Line: As bad as the Nuggets have been playing of late, they should not be a home dog to the Jazz, especially with Utah coming in off a bad home loss to the Lakers. Denver will be getting back both Kenneth Faried and Wilscon Chandler from injury, which I believe will be enough to not only have them covering the spread, but winning this game outright. Pound the Nuggets +4!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +6.5

Bottom Line: The Nets are being undervalued here at home off a 96-102 road loss at New Orleans as a 2.5-point favorite. Brooklyn has quietly been playing much better of late and that's evident by their 7-4 ATS record over their last 11 games. This is a great spot to back the Nets, as Houston could be missing both Harden and Beverley (questionable) and are in a major lookahead spot with a nationally televised home games against the Cavs on deck. Pound the Nets +6.5!

4* NBA *TOTAL DOMINATOR* on Cavs/Pacers UNDER 197

Bottom Line: The Cavaliers will be without point guard Kyrie Irving and aren't going to have the legs to run up the score after playing a huge home game against the Warriors last night. Indiana has quietly won 6 of 8 and have done so with their defense. These two teams recently played on Feb. 6, so there's some familiarity with each others offense, adding value to the under. Not to mention the UNDER is 9-2 in the Cavs last 11 road games against a team with a losing home record and 22-10 in their last 32 overall. UNDER is also 5-2 in Pacers last 7 off a SU loss of more than 10 points and 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 100+. Pound the UNDER 197!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Rutgers +14

Bottom Line: Purdue has covered the spread in 8 straight games and as a result find themselves extremely overvalued at home. The Boilermakers haven't laid this many points in a game since they hosted Arkansas State in non-conference play. There's no denying Rutgers is a bad team, but that actually aids in backing the Scarlet Knights. Purdue isn't going to come out with the same energy as they have in recent matchups against a bad team, especially given the fact that they just gone done playing a huge game on the road against in-state rival Indiana and have another big game on the road against Ohio State looming on Saturday. Rutgers is 51-32 ATS in their last 63 off a loss by 15 points or more, but most importantly are only losing in this spot by an average of 1.9 ppg. Pound the Scarlet Knights +14!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE TNT WINNER* on Cavaliers -3.5

Bottom Line: This will likely be the last time during the regular season where we will find the Cavaliers this small a home favorite. Cleveland got off to a slow start, but have quickly turned things around and have shown no signs of slowing down. The Cavaliers are 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. Cleveland lost at GS earlier this year, but were without James. They aren't going to lose the rematch at home, especially in a nationally televised game. Pound the Cavaliers -3.5!

4* NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Kings +7

Bottom Line: The Kings come into this one well rested off a 3-day break and have recently got a renewed sense of energy with the addition of George Karl as their new head coach. Sacramento will be highly motivated here off a 27-point road loss to the Clippers and are catching the Grizzlies in a big letdown spot after two huge road wins against the Trail Blazers and Clippers. Kings are 34-17 ATS in their last 51 home games as an underdog of 6.5 to 9 points and the Grizzlies are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams who are getting outscored by 3 or more points/game. Pound the Kings +7!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets/Clippers OVER 214.5

Bottom Line: Whenever the Rockets match up against a team that likes to play at a fast pace, there's a good chance it will go over the total. In fact, the OVER is 24-13 in Houston's last 37 games against up-tempo teams who are averaging 83 or more shots per game. OVER is also 4-1 in the Clippers last 5 against an opponent that just allowed 100+ points and 6-1 in the Rockets last 7 after a SU win by more than 10 points. Pound the OVER 214.5!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Mississippi St +19

Bottom Line: As good as Kentucky has been, this is too many points for them to be laying on the road against a team that they aren't going to be all that excited to play. That becomes an even bigger factor when you consider they have a huge home game against Arkansas on deck, who is 2nd in the SEC at 12-3 and the only other ranked team int he conference. Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games against poor offensive teams that are scoring 64 or fewer points/game, while Mississippi State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams outscoring opponents by 8 or more points/game. Pound the Bulldogs +19!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Pacers +7

Bottom Line: The Pacers have won 6 of 7 and come in off an impressive 104-98 home win over the Warriors. While that win may appear to put Indiana in a letdown spot, they aren't going to get a big head due to Golden State being without Steph Curry. I look for them to take the same approach against the Thunder, who will be without Durant. Key here is the Pacers are on a roll offensively, hitting 47% from the field while averaging 102.4 ppg over their last 5. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have shot 47% or better from the field in 3 straight games are 79-46 (63%) ATS over the last 5 seasons! Pound Indiana +7!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Texas +4

Bottom Line: The books are begging for money on the Mountaineers here as a small home favorite against a Texas team that has been struggling to get anything going. The key here is that the Longhorns matchup extremely well with West Virginia and that's evident in the fact that they have won 4 straight in the series, including a 27-point win at home earlier this season. Texas is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games, while the Mountaineers are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team that's won more than 60% of their games on the season. Pound Texas +4!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Timberwolves +9

Bottom Line: The Timberwolves have won 4 of their last 6 games and have been playing much better basketball since getting Rubio back healthy. However, Minnesota is still be valued based on their overall record, which makes them an easy play tonight against the Rockets. Houston is coming off a big home game against the Raptors and have an even bigger game on deck against the Clippers on Wednesday, which they will be out for revenge from a 15-point loss at LA just a couple weeks ago. Timberwolves are a profitable 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games revenging a home loss. Pound Minnesota +9!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Georgia Tech +6.5

Bottom Line: Louisville should not be this big of a road favorite here. After returning to the team on Saturday against Miami following a 1-game suspension, senior guard Chris Jones was dismissed from the team. Louisville lost by double-digits at Syracuse without Jones and I look for them to struggle to beat Georgia Tech by more than the spread listed. The Yellow Jackets have just 4 losses inside conference play by more than 6 points. All 4 came on the road and one of those was a 7-point double-overtime loss at Notre Dame. Pound Georgia Tech +6.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Magic -8

Bottom Line: The 76ers got worse at the trade deadline, shipping away two of their best players in Carter-Williams and McDaniels. Philadelphia doesn't have the talent to keep up on the road, even against an average team like the Magic. Orlando has looked a lot better since making a change at head coach and I look for them to have no problem winning here by double-digits. Road underdogs who are averaging 16+ turnovers/game are just 133-204 (39%) ATS in the month of February since 1996. Pound Orlando -8!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on WKU +4

Bottom Line: We are seeing a huge overreaction in this line due to the fact that the Hilltoppers have lost 4 straight against the number, while Middle Tennessee comes in off a surprising 39-point win over Marshall at home. Blue Raiders had lost 5 of their previous 6 and are just 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games off a blowout win by 20 or more points. Pound Western Kentucky +4!

5* WISEGUY NBA *EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH* on Pelicans +1.5

Bottom Line: The Heat returned from the All-Star break with an impressive 111-87 road win over the Knicks, which might make it appear like Miami is a safe bet at home against a Pelicans team that has lost 4 straight, including a 84-95 loss at Orlando last night. However, the Heat are not nearly as good at home as they are on the road. Miami is 9-15 at home, compared to 14-15 on the road. New Orleans is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 when playing on no rest and 14-2 ATS in their last 16 off a road loss. Pound the Pelicans +1.5!