5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Cavaliers +2.5
Bottom Line: Playing against all teams when the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 3 straight games of allowing opponents to shoot 47% or better - has produced a 32-9 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation have lost by an average of 4.0 points. In addition, the Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take the Cavs.

4* Major on Baylor -7.5
Bottom Line: I believe Baylor is being undervalued here because of the close game it played with South Dakota State. That game showed the Bears, who are one of the most talented teams in the country, that they'll need to step up their game to make a Final Four run. I fully expect them to do that here. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Pacific-12 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Under coach Drew, Baylor is 62-47 ATS in road/neutral floor games when playing against a team with a winning record. We'll lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Big Dance *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Indiana -6
Bottom Line: VCU will play hard, as it always does, but I'm confident this more talented Indiana squad will be too much in the end. In fact, the Indiana squad has been too much for all 14 of its non-conference foes this season, including Kentucky. Odds makers set spreads for 8 of those games and the Hoosiers covered the number in all 8 while winning by an average of 23.8 points. We'll lay the number.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pacers -4.5
Bottom Line: Expect the Pacers, who lost by 5 in New York last night, to return the favor here. The
Knicks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. They are also 13-5 at home where they have won by an average of 7.7 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on T-Wolves +8
Bottom Line: The T-Wolves will be the more motivated team tonight as they look to snap a 17-game losing streak in the series. They have played the Lakers to 5 and 3-point games in 2 of the season's 3 meetings. Plus, the Lakers could be dealing with some chemistry issues after moving Derek Fisher, Luke Walton and Jason Kapono. The Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Lakers 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament *PUNISHER* (TNT) on Virginia +4
Bottom Line: Virginia should not be catching this many points. The Cavs have lost 3 of their last 4 but all 3 of those losses came by 3 points to NCAA tourney teams (UNC, FSU, NC St). Florida has lost 4 of 5 with 3 of those losses coming by double figures. When getting ample time to prepare, Virginia has been unstoppable. In fact, it is 6-0 ATS under coach Bennett when playing with 5 or 6 days' rest. It has won by an average of 6.6 points in these games. Also, the Cavaliers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog.

4* Major Early Annihilator (CBS) on Cincinnati -2
Bottom Line: I really feel this is a mismatch with a proven Cincy squad up against an inexperienced Texas team. Texas has been a poor investment all season at just 10-18 ATS in lined games. The Longhorns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Big East and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. The Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Big 12 and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Clippers -7
Bottom Line: The Suns have been playing well but have only played one road games since Feb. 19. They have lost each of their last four road contests by an average of 11.5 points. The Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Bet the Clippers.

4* Major Bailout on UNLV -5.5
Bottom Line: After losing to Northern Iowa and Illinois in the first round of the NCAA tournament the past two seasons, this experienced UNLV squad (returns 4 starters) will be lacking no motivation when it hits the court tonight. The Buffaloes won the Pac-12 tourney, but that feat doesn't exactly impress this season with the league being down so much. UNLV was dominant in non-conference play with impressive wins over North Carolina (by 10) and Cal (by 17). The Buffs, meanwhile, lost to Maryland, struggled to beat Georgia and lost to Colorado State. Expect UNLV's NCAA tourney disappointments the past two seasons to drive them to a comfortable win tonight.

5* Wiseguy Round of 64 Game of the Year on South Dakota State +8
Bottom Line: I won't hesitate to back South Dakota State at this price with the way it can light it up from three-point range. SD State is 8-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% - over the last 2 seasons, defeating these foes by an average score of 79.2 to 66.5. The Jackrabbits are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Baylor is 0-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game - after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. It is losing to these teams by an average score of 79.8 to 69. The Bears are also just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.

4* Major on Wichita State -6
Bottom Line: Lightning doesn't strike twice in the same place. In other words, don't expect VCU to make another improbable run in the tourney. The Rams aren't as good as they were a season ago, and they're up against a Wichita State squad that is a perfect 6-0 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pickem over the last 3 seasons. The Shockers have won these games by a whopping 13.9 points on average. Take Wichita State.

4* Major Monster Matchup (ESPN) on Bulls -2.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls will be lacking no motivation as they look to end a 5-game skid versus Miami. Plus, they get this game at home where they are 17-3, and they get a fatigued Miami squad that just played an overtime game last night. The Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. They are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record. Also, the Bulls are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Hornets +5
Bottom Line: The Hornets catch the Lakers at the right time as LA used a ton of energy in last night's double-OT win. The Lakers have struggled on the road all season. They are even on a 0-5 ATS slide in road games when matched up against teams with losing marks at home. The Hornets have covered the number in 10 of their last 13 when catching points. Pound New Orleans.

4* Major NCAAB Play of the Day on American +3
Bottom Line: The Buffalo Bulls are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 6.5 points or less and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite period. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Denver has won 4 straight at home against Atlanta with those wins coming by 9.5 points on average. Lay the number.

4* Major NCAAB Play-in Game *BLOOD BATH* on Western Kentucky -3.5
Bottom Line: The WKU Hilltoppers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. They are also 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when playing just their 2nd game in 8 days. The Delta Devils, meanwhile, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 0-6 ATS in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on T-Wolves +4
Bottom Line: The Timberwolves are still a quality team without Rubio. They are more talented than Phoenix top-to-bottom and will prove it here tonight. The Suns defeated the Wolves by 9 points earlier this month, but Minnesota shot just 39.5% from the field in that game. The poor shooting can be attributed to tired legs as that was Minnesota 3rd game in as many days. It is fresher heading into this one and will shoot the ball a lot better. The Wolves are an impressive 17-7 ATS when catching points this season. It is winning by an average score of 99.2 to 98.6 in these games. Look for the Wolves to notch an outright win.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks +1
Bottom Line: I like this experienced Atlanta squad to bounce back from consecutive defeats against the young Kings tonight. Sacramento is coming off a big double-digit win over the reigning NBA champs but is only 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. Atlanta has won 7 in a row against the Kings with those wins coming by an average of 8.6 points. Also, the Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Bet Atlanta in this bounce back spot against a team it has had a great deal of success against.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten Championship *PUNISHER* on Michigan State +2
Bottom Line: Michigan State has been a team on a mission since losing its final two regular season games and sharing the Big Ten title with Ohio State and Michigan. It wants this game to prove it is the best team in the Big Ten and to give itself an opportunity to land a No. 1 seed. A 72-70 loss at home to Ohio State in the season finale will be the motivating force behind a Michigan State victory today. Under coach Izzo, the Spartans are 27-12 ATS when out to avenge a same-season defeat to a foe. They are winning by an average of 7.5 points in these games.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +9.5
Bottom Line: We may not get the Pacers in a better spot all season. They have had 3 days to get fresh following consecutive defeats, and we can expect maximum effort after losing the season's first two meetings with Miami badly. The Pacers have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games when taking the floor with 3 days' rest or more. The Pacers desperately want to show that they can play with anyone in the East. I think they take a step toward proving that by taking the Heat down to the wire.

5* Wiseguy Conference Tourney *PUNISHER* on NC State +9
Bottom Line: NC State likely still needs a win (or at least a strong showing) to get off the bubble, and that's all the motivation it will need here. The Wolfpack are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games as an underdog. It also bodes well for us that John Henson has a wrist injury and may not be able to go. Even if he's on the floor, he likely won't be as effective.

4* Major on Clippers +5
Bottom Line: The Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. They lost to the Spurs by just 3 points in OT on Feb. 18, and I like them to keep this one within the number in this revenge spot.

5* Wiseguy Big East Tourney *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Louisville -3
Bottom Line: I won't hesitate to grab the Cards laying such a small number as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or fewer. The Fighting Irish, meanwhile, are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Notre Dame won the regular season meeting by 2 points, but I expect Louisville to have its revenge here.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Year on Lakers -113
Bottom Line: After blowing a 12-point lead against Detroit Tuesday and a 21-point lead against Washington Wednesday, the Lakers will be out for blood against a team they have defeated 17 straight times. Playing on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, has produced a 12-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons. Also, the Lakers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

4* Major on Bobcats +3
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the NBA Atlantic and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite and 4-21-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Suns +3.5
Bottom Line: I fully expect the Suns to end their 8-game losing streak to the Mavs tonight. Dallas has dropped its last 4 on the road while Phoenix has won 5 of its last 6 at home and that lone home defeat only came by 2 points. The Mavs are not the same team that won the title last season and yet they are continuing to get that type of respect from odds makers. The Mavericks are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite period. The Suns have covered the number in 5 of their last 6 at home and 7 of their last 10 as an underdog of fewer than 5 points.

5* Wiseguy Conference Tournament Game of the year on California -185
Bottom Line: I really like Cal against the spread if you don't want to pay this much juice, but I'm taking the Golden Bears on the money line to eliminate any fluke back door cover from Stanford in the closing seconds (i.e. slop 3-pointer at the buzzer). After losing to Stanford in their last game (and losing a share of the Pac-12 title alone with it), the Bears will be out for blood here. Cal has been a solid investment in bounce back spots at 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a, ATS loss. The Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite and the favored side is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Pound the Bears.

4* Major on UTEP -3.5
Bottom Line: Playing favorites (UTEP) that have failed to cover the number in 3 or more consecutive games, provided they are matched up against an opponent that has successfully covered the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, has produced a 51-24 ATS record the last 5 seasons.

4* Major on Bucks +8
Bottom Line: Odds makers are begging for action on the Bulls with this line considering Chicago has won the last 2 in this series by 23 and 19. We won't bite. This is Milwaukee's last chance at the Bulls and they enter very confident following a big win over Philly. Expect the Bucks to keep this one closer than the odds makers think.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers -6.5
Bottom Line: Boston is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 on the highway. It's also just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 away games when matched up against a team that has won more than 60% of its home games.

4* Major on Bobcats +7
Bottom Line: The Jazz, who are just 4-13 on the highway, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.

4* Major on Wizards +8
Bottom Line: The Lakers, who are just 6-13 on the road, are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Pistons +6
Bottom Line: A Lakers squad that is just 6-12 on the road this season enters this matchup overvalued following a big win over Miami. L.A. hasn't won by more than 5 points on the road all season and is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 in the road chalk. The Pistons are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog. Pound the Pistons.

4* Major on Rockets +4.5
Bottom Line: The Celtics are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, and the Rockets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings at Boston.

5* Wiseguy Atlantic 10 Tourney Punisher on George Washington +9
Bottom Line: GW is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 conference tournament road games. It has won these games by an average score of 73.1 to 69.9. It is also 14-4 ATS in its last 18 road games when out to avenge a loss where it was held to less than 60 points. It is only losing these games by an average score of 67.3 to 65.9. Bet George Washington.

5* Wiseguy West Coast Conference Game of the Year on Gonzaga -2.5
Bottom Line: After 11 straight seasons of winning the WCC regular season championship, Gonzaga was finally dethroned by St. Mary's. That's not sitting well with the Bulldogs, and they'll be out to prove they're the better team tonight. The Gaels are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games as an underdog, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less. The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less.

4* Major NBA Play of the Day on Cavs +2.5
Bottom Line: With as poorly as Utah has played on the road (3-13), I won't hesitate to grab the Cavs in the home dog role. They are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points.

4* Major NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Nuggets +6.5
Bottom Line: Denver's dominance on the boards last game is a good sign considering it is 8-0 ATS in road games after a game in which it outrebounded an opponent by 15 or more over the last 3 seasons. It hasn't just won in this situation, it's won by an average of 10.6 points. Also, Denver is 14-5 ATS in road games this season and 23-9 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Month on Ohio State +3.5
Bottom Line: Michigan State's loss to Indiana opened the door for the Buckeyes to earn a share of the Big Ten and I expect them to take advantage. Michigan State won the first meeting but Matta's teams are 11-1 ATS all-time when out for revenge for an upset home loss. His squads have won by an average of 8.1 points in this situation. Also, Izzo's Spartan's are just 1-11 ATS all-time as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pickem. This trend is relevant because the Spartans opened as a 2.5-3.0 point favorite almost everywhere. Sparty has lost these games by an average of 6.6 points. Pound the Buckeyes.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs -7.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Utah following a big win over Miami last night. It's a bounce back spot for Dallas, who is out to snap a 4-game skid. The Mavs are 6-0 SU and ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series with those 6 wins coming by an average of 12.0 points. The Mavericks are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The favorite is 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings, and the home team is 24-8-1 ATS in the last 33 meetings.

5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Year (ESPN) on North Carolina -1.5
Bottom Line: I'm confident UNC will avenge its 1-point loss to Duke. The Tar Heels actually led by 10 points with just a couple minutes remaining before they allowed Duke to rally. They won't take their foot off the gas this time around. The Blue Devils are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Duke. Also, the road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pound UNC.

4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on Iowa State -1.5
Bottom Line: Iowa State has been sensational at home where it has won 6 straight, a run that includes an 8-point win over Kansas. The Cyclones are 9-0 all-time at home against Baylor and their last 4 home wins against the Bears have come by an average of 15.8 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Cavaliers +10
Bottom Line: Even if an illness keeps Kyrie Irving out, this is a lot of points for the Bulls to be laying on the road. The Bulls handed Cleveland the most lopsided home loss in franchise history six weeks ago, which assures us the Cavs will leave it all on the floor here. The Cavaliers have been a real nice home dog, covering the spread in 7 of their last 9 in the role. We'll pound Cleveland.

5* Wiseguy Conference Tourney *PUNISHER* on E. Tennessee State +12
Bottom Line: The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. The Bruins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite. East Tennessee State has only lost to Belmont by more than 12 points 1 time in the last 15 meetings. We'll pound the Bucs.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Trail Blazers +4.5
Bottom Line: Playing on home underdogs in non-conference games that are extremely well rested playing 3 or less games in 10 days has produced a perfect 9-0 ATS mark the last 3 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 3.7 points on average but have won by an average of 1.7. Also, fading Miami when it enters a contest off 3 of more consecutive home wins has produced a perfect 9-0 ATS run. The Heat are losing by an average of 9.1 points in this spot.

4* Major NBA on TNT SUREFIRE on Magic +1.5
Bottom Line: The Magic will be out for revenge at home tonight as they look to atone for an 8-point loss in Oklahoma City on Christmas. The home team has had the big edge in this series, covering the spread in each of the last 5 matchups. The Magic have won 7 in a row at home against the Thunder/Sonics by an average of 15.0 points.

4* Major on Nuggets -3
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games against the Trail Blazers. Denver has won 6 straight at home in the series by 15.0 points on average.

4* Major on Jazz -2.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Rockets are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Warriors +7
Bottom Line: The Warriors are being undervalued here because of last night's embarrassing loss to Indiana. They are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Expect Golden State to take Atlanta right down to the wire.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Game of the Year on Kent State -2
Bottom Line: It's been a disappointing season for Kent State, which was the favorite to win the MAC East but a battle with Ohio, who embarrassed the Golden Flashes by 22 in the season's first meeting, will get its competitive juices flowing. The Golden Flashes have won 9 of the last 10 at home in this series with those 9 wins coming by an average of 11.6 points. Also, Kent State is 17-6 ATS when out to avenge a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent since 1997. It is 19-3 ATS when out to avenge a same season loss to an opponent since 1997. Pound Kent State.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Month on Wyoming -8
Bottom Line: Wyoming is 14-3 at home this season with an average winning margin of 13.3 points. It has also won 6 of its last 7 at home against TCU and the last 4 wins have come by an average of 12.0 points. The Cowboys are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. TCU is riding high after a big upset win over New Mexico and has a big revenge game against SDSU up next. Expect it to fall flat on its face tonight as it gets caught overlooking a team that is very dangerous on its home floor.

5* Wiseguy NBA *Underdog Shocker* on Pistons +4
Bottom Line: After getting clobbered by the 76ers in the season's first two meetings in Philly, look for the Pistons to take the floor with focus and hunger tonight. The 76ers have lost 5 in a row by an average of 8.6 points. Considering they're recent struggles, I don't believe they are worth of laying this many points on the road. The 76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. The Pistons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less. We'll take the points for insurance but I like Detroit to win this one outright.

4* Major on Hornets +14
Bottom Line: The Hornets have covered the spread in 6 straight games and yet they continue to be undervalued by odds makers. An embarrassing 23-point loss to Chicago on Feb. 8 has fueled the Hornets' solid play of late and they will be out for revenge tonight. Prior to that loss, Chicago hadn't won by more than 11 points in 4 straight meetings in this series. We'll take the Hornets and the points.

5* Wiseguy *Primetime Punisher* (ESPN) on Oklahoma State +9
Bottom Line: Revenge has been a strong play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS this season when out to avenge a road loss to a foe and have won these games by an average score of 65.4 to 64.0. Also, recent history suggests this is too many points for Kansas to be laying on the road. The Jayhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games when valued as a favorite of 7.0 to 12.5 points.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Week on Illinois -5.5
Bottom Line: Illinois has lost 6 in a row but it will be willing to leave it all on the floor against an Iowa squad that has endured 5 consecutive setbacks on the highway by an average of 15.8 points. The Fighting Illini have won 6 in a row against the Hawkeyes by an average of 11.2 points. They have also won 10 in a row at home in the series with those wins coming by an average of 13.0 points. Iowa guard Matt Gatens have absolutely gone off the last 2 games with 30 and 33-point efforts, and the Hawks needed everyone of those points to fend off late rallies from Indiana and Wisconsin. I just can't see him keeping it up on the road against an Illinois team with enough athletes to make life very difficult for him. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Year (CBS) on Kansas -7.5
Bottom Line: Hungered by a bitter 74-71 defeat in Columbia, MO on Feb. 4 in which the Jayhawks blew an 8-point lead with 2:00 minutes remaining, and with a chance to notch an eighth consecutive Big 12 title, expect Kansas to roll this afternoon. Kansas is 14-0 at home this season with a 22.8-point average margin of victory. Also, the Jayhawks are a perfect 8-0 ATS under coach Self when out to avenge a close loss of 3 points or less to an opponent. They have won these games by a whopping 19.4 points on average. Bet Kansas.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on West Virginia -107
Bottom Line: WVU needs a resume-boosting win and I like its chances here. Coach Huggins is a proven motivator and he won't have any trouble getting his kids ready to play following Wednesday's embarrassing 71-44 loss to Notre Dame. Huggins' teams are 14-2 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more since 1997. They have won by an average score of 79.1 to 63.4 in this situation. Also, his WVU teams are 9-2 ATS off an embarrassing road loss in which they were held to less than 60 points. They've bounced back to win by an average score of 78.3 to 62.6 in this situation. The home team has won the last 6 meetings and WVU's 3 home wins during this span have come by an average of 11.7 points. Take the Mountaineers.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Heat -9.5
Bottom Line: Miami is 14-2 at home and those 14 wins have come by an average of 15.5 points. These wins haven't just come against cupcakes either. The Heat have double-digit wins at home over the Pacers, Spurs, Lakers, 76ers, Magic and Knicks. The Knicks are an improved team with Lin at the point, but they have benefited from a soft schedule. Lin is yet to face a defensive team like the Heat, and I expect him to struggle. Miami has rattled off 7 straight wins by an average of 16.9 points, and it will be out to prove to everyone that the Knicks have been overhyped.

4* Major on Bucks +11.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks played the Bulls to a 7-point game in Chicago last month and I like them to keep this one closer than the odds makers think as well. The Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 11.0 points or more while the Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 11.0 points or more.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks +7.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are dealing with some injuries and have lost back-to-back games but shouldn't be catching this many points. Atlanta's last two losses came in Portland (arguably the toughest place to play in the West) and at Chicago (arguably the best team in the East). It will be excited to go to battle against a Knicks team that plays no defense. NY is 1-10 ATS in home games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 108.5 to 99.5 in this situation. Bet the Hawks.

4* Major on Bobcats +6
Bottom Line: The Pacers, who are 1-9 ATS in their last 10, shouldn't be getting this much respect on the road, especially against a team that will be out for blood following embarrassing losses in Indiana in the season's first two meetings. The Pacers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Trail Blazers -4
Bottom Line: Odds makers expect San Antonio's 11-game win streak to come to an end tonight, and so do I. The Spurs have lost their last 6 in Portland and those losses have come by 8.2 points per game. With this in mind, the Blazers are showing good value as just a 4-point fave. Bet bet Blazers.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *Underdog Shocker* on Colorado State +6
Bottom Line: Colorado State was defeated by 33 at New Mexico, but it is a completely different team at home where it has won 11 straight. The Rams are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS over the last 2 seasons when out to avenge a road defeat to a foe. Bet the Rams.

5* NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Wizards +6
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Suns following last night's satisfying revenge win against the Lakers. The Wizards have 2 days' rest on their side and will be hungry to end a 9-game skid in the series. Phoenix has constantly been overvalued against weak competition and this remains the case this evening. The Suns are 0-9 ATS in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) over the last 2 seasons. It is barely winning these games by an average score of 108.0 to 107.9.

4* Major on Rockets -3
Bottom Line: The Rockets have lost their first two meetings with the Grizzlies but both of those were in Memphis. Expect the Rockets to have their revenge at home where they are 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS. Houston has won 10 in a row at home against the Grizzlies with those 10 wins coming by an average of 12.2 points.

4* Major on Hornets +11.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder have won the first 2 meetings of the season by 10 points each, and I don't see them winning by more than that here. New Orleans have the benefit of 2 days' rest while Oklahoma City played an overtime game Sunday. The Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days' rest, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater.

4* Major on Suns +3
Bottom Line: The Lakers have defeated the Suns twice this season but both wins have come in LA. The Lakers haven't shown they can be trusted on the road where they are 5-10 SU and 4-11 ATS this season. The Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games when laying points. Take Phoenix in this double revenge spot.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +1
Bottom Line: Look for Philly to bounce back strong here against a team it has defeated 3 straight times by an average of 17.7 points. Under coach Collins, the 76ers are 10-0 ATS after a playing a game in which 165 total points or less were scored. The Sixers have won by an average score of 100.6 to 85.6 in this situation. Also, Minnesota is only 1-8 ATS in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Take Philly.

4* Major on Celtics -5.5
Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for Boston which lost SU and ATS at Detroit Wednesday. It bodes well for us that Boston followed that loss up with another SU and ATS loss to Chicago because the Celtics are 19-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. They are winning by an average of 9.6 points in this situation. Also, the Celtics are 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit.

5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Year (ESPN) on Michigan +5.5
Bottom Line: Michigan is 14-0 at home this season where it has wins over ranked foes Wisconsin, Michigan State and Indiana. I believe the Wolverines add Ohio State to the list today. The Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 6.5 points or fewer. Plus, they have a major advantage from beyond the arc where they average 8 makes on 23 attempts (Ohio State only average 5 makes on 15 attempts). This is significant because the Buckeyes are 0-10 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Take Michigan.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Warriors +5.5
Bottom Line: I won't hesitate to back the Warriors catching 5.5 points even after last night's double-digit loss in Oklahoma City. Consider that Golden State is 28-9 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 108.2 to 107.4 in these games. In addition, the Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Grizzlies are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Take Golden State.

4* Major on Xavier -7.5
Bottom Line: With 7 days to prepare and motivated by a lackluster performance at Temple last game and an embarrassing 15-point loss at Dayton last month, expect the Musketeers to continue their home dominance in this series. Going back to 1998, Xavier has won 14 in a row at home against the Flyers with those wins coming by an average score of 77 to 66. The Musketeers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite, and the favorite is 15-7 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Suns +8.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are one of the most frequently overvalued teams because of their huge public following. They have especially been overvalued at home on Friday nights as odds makers look to take advantage of the public's love affair with this team. As a result, LA is just 5-18 ATS in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on 76ers -3
Bottom Line: I'm confident Dallas' absences will be too much to overcome this evening. The Mavs are expected to be without Delonte West, Rodrique Beaubois and Jason Terry, which really only leaves the aging Jason Kidd to deal with Philly's deep backcourt. Also, playing on home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) off a road loss by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), has produced a 41-16 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams in this situation have won by an average of 8.3 points. Take the 76ers.

4* Major on Bobcats +7
Bottom Line: The last 2 times the Raptors have been favored by 5.5 points or more they lost straight up to New Jersey and Sacramento. Charlotte is bad, but the Raptors have not proven they can be trusted laying this many points. The Raptors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Toronto.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls -8
Bottom Line: I really like the Bulls in this spot. Playing against road teams (BOSTON) off a double-digit loss in a game in which they were favored by 6 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, has produced a 24-5 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting the parameters of this system have lost by an average of 10.7 points. Also, this system is a spotless 4-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Losing at Boston Sunday can't be sitting well with the team with the best record in the East. Even if Rose can't go, I like Chicago in this revenge spot. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Celtics are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Lay the points.

4* Major on Nuggets +7
Bottom Line: The Nuggets have some momentum on their side following back-to-back wins and will be hungry to pay the Mavs back for last week's loss. Denver 21-6 ATS in its last 27 road games and 21-5 ATS in its last 26 games as an underdog. Also, the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the points.

4* Major on Rockets +4
Bottom Line: Expect the third time to be the charm for the Rockets, who have lost their first two with OKC this season. Houston is 10-3 at home this season and has only lost to the Sonics/Thunder by more than 4 points once in the last 14 home meetings in this series. The home team has certainly been the play considering it is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* Game of the Month on Kings +6.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are due for a major letdown following last night's buzzer-beating win in Toronto. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games at Madison Square Garden. Also, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on TCU +8.5
Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game for UNLV, which is coming off a big win over San Diego State and has a big showdown at New Mexico Saturday. TCU will be lacking no motivation here as it was crushed by 23 at UNLV last month. The Runnin' Rebels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, and I don't see them covering this hefty number versus a TCU squad with an 11-2 home mark.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +3
Bottom Line: This is an extremely difficult spot for the Heat, who will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days. The Pacers will have the benefit of 2 days' rest and are guaranteed to leave it all on the floor as they face a 4-game losing streak. The Pacers have won 7 of 10 at home on the season and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The underdog is an incredible 22-8-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings. We'll pound the Pacers.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hornets +4
Bottom Line: The New Orleans Hornets, who have lost 8 in a row, want a win in the worst possible way. Fortunately, they find themselves in an ideal spot tonight. The Hornets have had 2 full days to prepare while the Jazz just played Sunday. The prep time is key considering New Orleans is 43-25 ATS in its last 68 home games when playing on 2 days' rest. It's winning by an average score of 99.4 to 94.6 in this situation. The Hornets will be lacking no confidence in this one either since they played the Jazz to a 4-point game in Utah last month and since the Jazz are just 3-7 on the road this season. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two, and I expect this trend to continue.

4* Major on Magic +5
Bottom Line: The Timberwolves have been consistently good on the road this season and have covered the number in 8 of their 11 road contests as a result. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Wizards +6
Bottom Line: Detroit is getting too much respect here. It has been favored just 3 times all season, and it lost straight up in the 2 games it was favored by 5 points or more. The Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Take the points.

4* Major on Celtics +3
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back loss, the Celtics will be hungry for a win this afternoon, especially against a Bulls team they lost to last month. The Celtics have won 10 of their last 13 at home against the Bulls, and they are a terrific 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on T-Wolves -6
Bottom Line: The Knicks are riding as high as they have all season having rattled off 4 straight wins despite injuries to Melo and Stoudermire. Lin-sanity is getting out of control and I expect the T-Wolves to hand the Knickerbockers a reality check this evening. The T-Wolves are the more talented team and will be lacking no motivation following consecutive defeats. They've won 2 straight, 6 of their last 7 and 11 of their last 14 at home against the Knicks. Their 2 most recent home wins in the series have come by 21 and 9 points. Lay the number.

4* Major on Bobcats +10.5
Bottom Line: This is a great situational spot for Charlotte against an LA club that will be playing its 7th game in 11 days. Playing on home underdogs of 10 or more points (CHARLOTTE) - after a game in which they failed to cover the spread, well rested team playing 4 or less games in 10 days, has produced a 27-7 ATS record since 1996. Teams in this situation are only losing by an average of 4.9 points. This system is 7-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

5* Mountain West Conference Game of the Year on UNLV -9.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are looking to catch the public in a major trap here. SDSU is rated higher than UNLV in the polls and yet it is getting nearly double digits? Exactly! The Aztecs have overachieved all season and I expect the bottom to fall out down the stretch. SDSU was pounded by 17 in its last road game at Colorado State, and I expect a similar result here. The Runnin' Rebels are 13-0 at home where they are winning by 23.2 points on average, and they will show no mercy as they are out to avenge a 2-point loss to the Aztecs. UNLV dominated a very good New Mexico squad at home by 15 points and also crushed Colorado State by 19. The Rebs even beat UNC - arguably the most talented team in the country - by 10 on a neutral floor. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Jazz +1.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder are incredible fatigued. We saw it down the stretch last night when they blew a lead and lost to Sacramento. This will be their 7th game in 10 days this month. Utah, meanwhile, has had 2 fulls days to prepare for this one. The Jazz are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days' rest, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake Game of the Month on Pacers +1.5
Bottom Line: I really believe the odds makers have the wrong team favored here. The Pacers have 4 more wins on the season and haven't lost back-to-back games all year. The Grizzlies have lost 7 of their last 10 and aren't the same team without Zach Randolf, who is their best player. Plus, the Pacers have been really good on the road where they have wins over the Celtics, Lakers, Bulls, Magic and Mavs. The Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. Pound the Pacers.

4* Major on Mavericks ML
Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Mavs, who have dropped the first two meetings with Minnesota this season. Considering the road team is 21-5 ATS in the last 26 meetings, I won't hesitate to back Dallas here. Plus, the Timberwolves are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.

4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Kings +7
Bottom Line: The Kings have been way undervalued of late and have covered the number in 6 straight as a result. They continue to be undervalued here against a fatigued Oklahoma City squad playing its 6th game already this month. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, and we'll grab them in the home dog role tonight.

4* Major on Suns -3.5
Bottom Line: The Suns have won 4 in a row at home against the Rockets by an average of 6.5 points. Plus, Houston is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 at Phoenix. The Suns are playing well and they'll be lacking no motivation after losing by 18 in Houston Friday. Also, the Suns have the big edge at point guard with Kyle Lowry expected to miss with an elbow injury.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Lakers +3.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses, I expect LA to show up in a big way tonight. Boston has won 9 of 10 but none of those wins have come against elite teams. The Lakers have won three straight and five of six in Boston during the regular season. Boston is just 9-30 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take the Lakers.

4* Major on Mavs +1.5
Bottom Line: Denver has caught a hard case of the injury bug, which opens the door for the Mavs tonight. The loss of Danilo Gallinari especially hurts. He posed the biggest matchup problems for the opposition. The Mavs were embarrassed by the Nuggets in their second game of the season so they'll take great joy in returning the favor here. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge Game of the Month on Hawks -3
Bottom Line: Off 3 consecutive losses, at home no less, the Hawks will be out for some serious revenge tonight. It is also to their benefit that the Pacers just played last night. Indy is just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games when playing on 0 days' rest. The Hawks have won 8 in a row at home against the Pacers and each of those 8 wins have come by at least 4 points.

4* Major on Cavs +7
Bottom Line: Chauncey Billups' injury deals the Clippers a considerable blow. LA wasn't overly deep to begin with and it will really miss its most clutch performer. The Clippers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Warriors +2.5
Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for the Thunder, who used a lot of energy in last night's overtime win in Portland. The Warriors haven't played since Saturday and they'll be hungry to avenge last month's home loss to the Thunder. The Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing without a day of rest and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Take Golden State.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bucks -7
Bottom Line: This is a really good spot for the Bucks, who haven't played since Saturday. They'll be a lot fresher than the Suns, who just played in Atlanta last night. Milwaukee is 7-3 at home where it has an 11-point win over the Lakers and an 8-point win over the Heat. The fact the Bucks are coming off consecutive losses actually works in our favor. That's because Milwaukee is 29-12 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses under coach Scott Skiles. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Thunder -1.5
Bottom Line: Portland has been nearly unstoppable at home, but Oklahoma City has the horses to get the job done tonight. The fact the Blazers upset the Thunder in OKC in the season's first meeting bodes well for us considering the Thunder are 16-3 ATS in road games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. We'll take the Thunder in this revenge spot.