Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-11-21 | Heat v. Blazers OVER 221.5 | Top | 107-98 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
7* Heat/Blazers NBA *BAILOUT* on OVER 221.5 The Key: The Blazers just beat the Heat 125-122 on March 25 in a game that saw 247 combined points. It should be more of the same as they matchup again here roughly 2 weeks later. Take the OVER. |
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04-10-21 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 216.5 | Top | 135-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Month on Raptors/Cavs OVER 216.5 The Key: The Raptors and Cavs don't have much to play for right now and this game should be a shootout because of it. There isn't much defense that will be played in this game. The Cavaliers have scored 125 and 129 points in their last 2 games. Offense hasn't been a problem for the Raptors this season, but they've taken a big step back defensively. The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with 5 of those games seeing these teams combine for at least 221 points. Take the OVER. |
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04-09-21 | Rockets +13.5 v. Clippers | Top | 109-126 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
7* NBA Friday Night *BAILOUT* on Houston Rockets +13.5 The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers are primed for a letdown after beating the rival Phoenix Suns last night. It also means they will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and on tired legs, especially Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, who played 37 and 34 minutes last night respectively. The Rockets only lost by 3 to the Suns as 14-point dogs before upsetting the Mavericks outright as 10-point dogs in their last 2 games. So they can stay within 13.5 of the Clippers tonight, too. Take Houston. |
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04-08-21 | Cavs -4 v. Thunder | Top | 129-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Cleveland Cavaliers -4 The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder are missing 5 of their top 6 scorers in Gilgeous-Alexander, Bazley, Horford, Dort and Muscala. It's no wonder they are just 1-7 SU & 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall with all 7 losses coming by 9 points or more. The last 3 losses have come by 37, 48, 24 points and 11 points. That includes their 11-point loss to the short-handed Hornets last night. Now they will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and their 5th game in 7 days. The Cavaliers had the last 2 days off after a 24-point blowout win in San Antonio on Monday and will be the fresher team. Take Cleveland. |
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04-07-21 | Knicks +3 v. Celtics | Top | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks +3 The Key: Tough situation for the Boston Celtics tonight. They will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and their 14th game in 23 days. They will be without both Kemba Walker and Evan Fournier. And they take on a rested, hungry Knicks team that had Tuesday off. The Knicks already beat the Celtics by 30 in their lone matchup this year. The Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing for a 2nd consecutive day. The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Take New York. |
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04-06-21 | Blazers v. Clippers OVER 229 | Top | 116-133 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference Total of the Year on Blazers/Clippers OVER 229 The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are loaded on offense right now with McCollum back and the trade for Powell from the Raptors. They have scored 109 or more points in 7 consecutive games and 108 or more in 15 of their last 17. They face a Clippers team that ranks 2nd in offensive efficiency and should be able to name their number against a rotten Portland defense that ranks 29th in defensive efficiency. The last 2 matchups in this series saw 239 and 233 combined points. Take the OVER. |
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04-05-21 | Baylor +4.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
7* Baylor/Gonzaga NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Baylor +4.5 The Key: The Baylor Bears have won and covered against the likes of 9th-seeded Wisconsin, 5th-seeded Villanova, 3rd-seeded Arkansas and 2nd-seeded Houston to get here. They won all 4 of those games by 9 or more points. Gonzaga has had the much easier schedule beating 16th-seeded Norfolk State, 8th-seeded Oklahoma, 5th-seeded Creighton and 11th-seeded UCLA. And they needed OT to beat the Bruins. The Bulldogs have played a much easier schedule than Baylor all season. I would argue that the Bears are actually the better team, and it has shown so far in the NCAA Tournament. It will show again Monday in the Championship Game. Take Baylor. |
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04-04-21 | Warriors -1 v. Hawks | Top | 111-117 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Hawks NBA TV *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -1 The Key: The Golden State Warriors want to avenge their 108-124 home loss to the Atlanta Hawks on March 26 just over a week ago. They were really banged up for that game as they were 7-point home dogs, and now they are much healthier. Most notably they will have Steph Curry for this rematch while they didn't have him in that first matchup. The Hawks are the team with the injury problems now with John Collins and DeAndre Hunter out, while both Trae Young and Danilo Gallinari are questionable. The Warriors are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 road games when avenging a same-season loss. The Hawks are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games after winning 2 of their last 3 games. Take Golden State. |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor -5 | Top | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
7* Houston/Baylor NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Baylor -5 The Key: The Baylor Bears have won and covered against the likes of 9th-seeded Wisconsin, 5th-seeded Villanova and 3rd-seeded Arkansas to get here. The Houston Cougars have won against 15th-seeded Cleveland State, 10th-seeded Rutgers, 11th-seeded Syracuse and 12th-seeded Oregon State. And it's worth noting they had to go down to the wire with both Rutgers and Oregon State. This easy run to the Final Four has been a microcosm of Houston's season. They have only faced one team that ranks in the Top 25 of almost everyone's power ratings, and that was Texas Tech. Baylor will be their most difficult challenge to date and it's not even close. I expect that to show up on the scoreboard today with the Bears rolling to victory. Take Baylor. |
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04-02-21 | Lakers v. Kings -4 | Top | 115-94 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
7* Lakers/Kings NBA *BAILOUT* on Sacramento -4 The Key: The Lakers have been real money burners without Lebron James and Antony Davis. They have gone 2-5 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games without them with their only wins coming against 2 of the worst teams in the NBA in the Cavaliers and Magic (by 3). Their 5 losses all came by 5 points or more with 4 of them by 8 points or more. Now they face a hot Kings team that is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games overall with its only loss coming on the road to the Spurs the game after they had just beaten the Spurs by 17, so they weren't motivated. Take Sacramento. |
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04-01-21 | Hornets +3.5 v. Nets | Top | 89-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
7* Hornets/Nets TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Charlotte +3.5 The Key: Tough situation for the Brooklyn Nets tonight. They used a lot of energy coming back from a double-digit deficit in the 3rd quarter to beat the Rockets last night. They made the comeback without James Harden, who left in the 3rd quarter with a hamstring injury. It's almost certain the Nets won't play Harden tonight now. And this team is already short-handed with injuries as it is. The Hornets will upset them tonight as they continue playing some great basketball. The Hornets are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall with the lone loss coming to the red hot Suns in overtime. The Nets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites. Take Charlotte. |
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03-31-21 | Raptors -8 v. Thunder | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Week on Toronto Raptors -8 The Key: This looks like a great spot for the Raptors to get on track with a blowout victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder. While the Raptors are almost fully health now, the Thunder are missing 5 of their top 6 scorers in Gilgeous-Alexander, Horford, Dort, Bazley and Muscala. These 5 combined to average 72.1 PPG. It has not gone well without them recently as the Thunder have suffered 3 straight blowout losses by 9, 15 and 21 points. The Raptors are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games off 3 or more consecutive ATS losses. The Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 trips to Oklahoma City. Take Toronto. |
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03-30-21 | Hornets -3.5 v. Wizards | Top | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets -3.5 The Key: The Charlotte Hornets have gone 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall with their only loss coming to the Suns in overtime. They have played just fine without LaMelo Ball as they have the guards to make up for his loss. And they come in rested having yesterday off, while the Wizards come in playing the for a 2nd consecutive day and their 11th game in 19 days. Bradley Beal didn't play last night and may not play again tonight. And don't be surprised if they sit Russell Westbrook after that historic triple-double in a 132-124 shootout win over the Pacers last night. They are missing Ish Smith, Davis Bertans and could be missing Daniel Gafford as well. The Hornets beat the Wizards 119-97 in their lone matchup this year in early February. The Hornets are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 games against a team that wins less than 40% of their games. Charlotte is 20-6-1 ATS in its last 27 road games against a team with a losing home record. The Hornets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites. Take Charlotte. |
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03-29-21 | Oregon State +8 v. Houston | Top | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
7* NCAA Tournament Game of the Year on Oregon State +8 The Key: The Oregon State Beavers are now 18-3-1 ATS in their last 22 games. They have won 12 of those games outright as underdogs, including their wins over Tennessee by 14, Oklahoma State by 10 and Loyola-Chicago by 7 in the NCAA Tournament thus far. Those 3 opponents were much tougher than the slate that Houston has faced, and the Beavers also beat UCLA, Oregon and Colorado in the Pac-12 Tournament. Houston has beaten Cleveland State, Rutgers and Syracuse in the NCAA Tournament. The Beavers will give them a run for their money similar to what Rutgers did in the 2nd round. The Beavers are 16-3 ATS in their last 19 games as underdogs. Take Oregon State. |
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03-28-21 | UCLA v. Alabama -6.5 | Top | 88-78 | Loss | -105 | 89 h 1 m | Show |
7* UCLA/Alabama NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -6.5 The Key: Alabama is 26-6 this year and one of the most dangerous teams left in the tournament. If I had to pick one team that stood a chance against Gonzaga other than Baylor, it would be Alabama. That's because their ceiling is as high as anyone. That was on display against Maryland as they crushed the Terrapins 96-77. They hoist 30 3-pointers per game and make 35.5% of them. They get great looks almost every time down the floor. And they have quietly ranked 2nd in the country in defensive efficiency, so they do a good job of not allowing easy shots for their opponents. UCLA's competition during this 3-0 run in the NCAA Tournament has been extremely soft with wins over Michigan State, BYU and Abilene Christian. They take a big step up in class here against Alabama. And the Bruins finished 0-4 SU in their last 4 games of the season against the Pac-12. The Bruins are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Sweet 16 games. Their season comes to an end here in blowout fashion against the Crimson Tide. Take Alabama. |
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03-27-21 | Grizzlies +10.5 v. Jazz | Top | 110-126 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Memphis Grizzlies +10.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Memphis Grizzlies tonight due to the Utah Jazz coming off 2 straight blowout wins by 25 and 30 points. But they caught both the Bulls and Nets on a back-to-back situation so both were good spots for them. And last night they only beat the Grizzlies 117-114. Now they are once again double-digit favorites and shouldn't be. The Grizzlies are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall and will be the hungrier team tonight seeking revenge. The Jazz will relax after beating the Grizzlies yesterday. Take Memphis. |
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03-26-21 | Heat v. Hornets -105 | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Charlotte Hornets ML -105 The Key: This is a tough situation for the Miami Heat tonight. They are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall after a 122-125 loss to the Blazers last night. Now the Heat will be playing for a second consecutive day, their 7th game in 11 days and their 10th game in 16 days. They won't have any gas left for the Hornets tonight. They will be without Goran Dragic plus both Bjelica and Oladipo, whom they traded for. They could also be without Jimmy Butler again after he sat out last night's game with an illness. The Heat only played 8 players last night and 5 of them played at least 32 minutes. The Hornets are rested after having yesterday off. They are playing well in going 6-3 SU in their last 9 games with their only losses coming to the Clippers, Lakers and Nuggets which are 3 of the best teams in the NBA. The Hornets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take Charlotte. |
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03-25-21 | Clippers v. Spurs +6.5 | Top | 98-85 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs +6.5 The Key: Greg Popovich has been great at getting the most out of his teams through the years when they are attempting to avenge a defeat. He will get the most out of the Spurs tonight after a terrible performance against the Clippers last night in a 134-101 loss. The Spurs will be the more hungry team here. San Antonio is 63-32 ATS in its last 95 games when avenging a defeat, including 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games when avenging a defeat by 20 points or more. Take San Antonio. |
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03-24-21 | Clippers v. Spurs +6 | Top | 134-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs +6 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the San Antonio Spurs tonight because they are off 2 straight losses while the Clippers are off 2 straight wins. But the losses by the Spurs weren't bad as they lost by 7 at Milwaukee when playing for a 2nd consecutive day and by 3 at home to the Hornets. They had won 3 in a row prior and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. The 2 wins by the Clippers came at home over the Hornets and Hawks. The Clippers are now back on the road where they are just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the highway. The Spurs are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 home games off 2 or more consecutive losses. Take San Antonio. |
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03-23-21 | Suns v. Heat +2 | Top | 110-100 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat +2 The Key: The Miami Heat had won 11 of 12 games prior to losing each of their last 3 contests. They come out hungry tonight against the Phoenix Suns, who are coming off a 5-game home stand in which they lost outright as big favorites to the Timberwolves and Pacers. They shouldn't be favored on the road here against the Heat. Miami has won 17 of its last 20 matchups with Phoenix straight up and has gone 21-6 ATS in the last 27 matchups as well. The Heat are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games off a loss by 3 points or fewer. Take Miami. |
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03-22-21 | Maryland v. Alabama -5.5 | Top | 77-96 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
7* NCAAB 2nd Round Game of the Year on Alabama -5.5 The Key: Maryland somehow made the NCAA Tournament with a 16-13 record this season. They lost 3 of their final 4 games this season with 2 upset losses to Northwestern and Penn State. They played a UConn team that played at a slow tempo just like they do in the first round and simply out shot them 51.2% to 32.3%. Now this is a bad matchup for them against an Alabama team that gets up and down and shoots a ton of 3-pointers, which is Maryland's defensive weakness. And it's an Alabama team that ranks 2nd in defensive efficiency in the nation, which is bad news for a Terrapins team that is one of the worst offensive teams in the country. This game just has blowout written all over it. The Terrapins are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 game off a low-scoring game that saw 125 or fewer combined points. They will have to try and keep up with the Crimson Tide here and they are not equipped to do it. Take Alabama. |
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03-21-21 | Oregon State +6.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
7* Oregon State/Oklahoma State NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Oregon State +6.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Oregon State Beavers against Oklahoma State in the 2nd round. The price has been off on the Beavers for a couple months now as they are 16-3-1 ATS in their last 20 games. Oregon State is 12-0 ATS in their last 12 games after playing 3 straight games as underdogs. They won outright as underdogs over UCLA, Oregon, Colorado and now Tennessee in their last 4 games. Take Oregon State. |
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03-20-21 | Maryland v. Connecticut -3 | Top | 63-54 | Loss | -109 | 40 h 21 m | Show |
7* NCAAB 1st Round Game of the Year on Connecticut -3 The Key: Maryland somehow made the NCAA Tournament with a 16-13 record this season. They lost 3 of their final 4 games this season with 2 upset losses to Northwestern and Penn State. Now they have to take on a UConn team playing its best ball since the return of leading scorer James Bouknight, who gets over 20 PPG. He leads an underrated Huskies team that ranks in the Top 25 in both offensive and defensive efficiency this season. The Huskies are 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games with their only losses coming on the road to a healthy Villanova team by 8 and to Creighton by 3 in the Big East Tournament. The Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game. The Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games. The Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games off a loss. UConn is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 NCAA Tournament games. The Huskies are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. UConn is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games as a favorite. The Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as favorites. Take UConn. |
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03-19-21 | Utah State v. Texas Tech -4 | Top | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 45 h 52 m | Show |
7* Utah State/Texas Tech NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas Tech -4 The Key: I like the price we are getting on Texas Tech now after losing their final 2 games of the season to Baylor and Texas. Now the Red Raiders are refocused and ready to go. Chris Beard is one of the best head coaches in the country and took the Red Raiders on a deep NCAA Tournament run a few years back. Utah State was blasted by 11 points by San Diego State in the MWC Championship Game and doesn't stand much of a chance of keeping this game competitive against Texas Tech, which played a much tougher schedule than the Aggies did this season. Utah State is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games after playing its last game as an underdog. The Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. The Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. Take Texas Tech. |
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03-18-21 | UCLA v. Michigan State -2 | Top | 86-80 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 38 m | Show |
7* UCLA/Michigan State NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Michigan State -2 The Key: The Michigan State Spartans went 5-3 SU in their final 8 games this season with upset wins over Illinois, Michigan and Ohio State. Thats 3 wins against Top 2 seeds and it proves that the Spartans can play with anyone. Now they take a step down in class here against the UCLA Bruins, who have lost 4 straight games to close out the season and are going in the other direction. It's worth noting that the Bruins also lost to the lone Big Ten team they faced this season in Ohio State. The Bruins are now 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Take Michigan State. |
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03-17-21 | Heat v. Grizzlies +2 | Top | 85-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis Grizzlies +2 The Key: The Memphis Grizzlies come in hungry for a victory off 3 straight losses. They face a Miami Heat team that is tired right now and won't have much left in the tank for them. The Heat will be playing for a 2nd consecutive night and their 5th game in 7 days. They could rest some players tonight because of it. Take Memphis. |
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03-16-21 | Wolves +9 v. Lakers | Top | 121-137 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
7* Timberwolves/Lakers NBA *BAILOUT* on Minnesota +9 The Key: This is a bad situation for the Los Angeles Lakers. They will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after beating the Golden State Warriors on the road last night on National TV. They will be tired and this is definitely a letdown spot for them with the Timberwolves coming to town. Especially with how short-handed the Lakers are right now due to injuries. This has been a different Timberwolves team since the All-Star Break, going 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS with upset wins over the Pelicans by 30 as 8-point dogs and the Blazers as 5-point dogs. They also only lost to the Blazers by 4 as 5-point dogs in their lone defeat. They can keep this game within single-digits of the Lakers tonight given the tough situation for Los Angeles. The Lakers are 0-8 ATS in home games against teams that are outscored by 3 PPG or more this season. Take Minnesota. |
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03-15-21 | Bucks v. Wizards +9.5 | Top | 133-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Washington Wizards +9.5 The Key: This is a great situation for the Washington Wizards. They just played the Bucks to the wire on Saturday in a 119-125 home loss. Now they are catching 9.5 points from the Bucks in the rematch 2 days later. The Wizards didn't even have Beal or Bertans for that first matchup due to injuries and still nearly pulled the upset. There's a chance both return tonight, and they will be the more hungry team to try and avenge that defeat. The Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record. Milwaukee is 4-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this year. The Wizards are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Take Washington. |
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03-14-21 | Raptors v. Bulls -3.5 | Top | 95-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Chicago Bulls -3.5 The Key: This is an awful situation for the Toronto Raptors. They will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day here after a 10-point loss in Charlotte last night. They will be without Siakam, VanVleet and Anunoby once again as they are still in COVID protocol. The Raptors are 1-6 in their last 7 games and it's not going to get better for them until that trio returns to the lineup. The Bulls should be hungry here after losing to both the 76ers and Heat coming out of the break. They won't take the Raptors lightly because of it. The Bulls are 9-0 ATS in its last 9 home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Take Chicago. |
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03-13-21 | Iowa v. Illinois -3.5 | Top | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
7* Iowa/Illinois Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Illinois -3.5 The Key: The Illini Fighting Illini have won 12 of their last 13 games overall and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. They have the rest advantage here after playing the earlier game than Iowa yesterday and cruising to a 22-point win over Rutgers. Iowa had to play its starters big minutes in a 5-point win over Wisconsin late last night. And the Hawkeyes are already dealing with injuries to Fredrick and Wieskamp that are going to make this back-to-back situation even tougher on them. The Fighting Illini are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record. Take Illinois |
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03-12-21 | North Carolina v. Florida State -2 | Top | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
7* UNC/Florida State ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Florida State -2 The Key: Florida State has had the last couple days off while North Carolina has had to play each of the last 2 days. So the Tar Heels will be playing for a 3rd consecutive day here and that's a big disadvantage for them. The Tar Heels are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games off 3 or more consecutive wins. Take Florida State. |
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03-10-21 | Iowa State +11.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
7* Iowa State/Oklahoma Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Iowa State +11.5 The Key: Iowa State played Oklahoma tough in covering both matchups this season with a 7-point road loss and a 10-point home loss. The Cyclones get their best player in Rasir Bolton and his 15.4 PPG back in the lineup after missing most of the last 4 games with an ankle injury. They face an Oklahoma team that has lost 4 straight including an upset loss to Kansas State. The Sooners are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Sooners are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as favorites. Take Iowa State. |
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03-09-21 | Oakland v. Cleveland State -2 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
7* Oakland/Cleveland State Horizon League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland State -2 The Key: The Cleveland State Vikings have been one of the most underrated teams in college basketball this season. They are 18-7 SU & 16-8-1 ATS. I cashed them in a short price yesterday as 3.5-point favorites over Wisconsin-Milwaukee. I like the short price we are getting on the Vikings again today against the Oakland Golden Grizzlies. They already beat Oakland twice on the road in their first two matchups this year. I see no reason anything will change here in the championship game. The Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. The Vikings are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games against teams that shoot 42% or worse and allow 45% or higher. The Vikings are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams that are outscored by 4 PPG or more on the season. Take Cleveland State. |
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03-08-21 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Cleveland State -3.5 | Top | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
7* Horizon League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland State -3.5 The Key: The Cleveland State Vikings have been one of the most underrated teams in college basketball this season. They are 17-7 SU & 15-8-1 ATS. I like the short price we are getting with the Vikings today over the Milwaukee Panthers. After beating Milwaukee 64-53 in their first matchup this year, the Vikings got out to a 34-23 halftime lead the next day. They then took their foot off the gas and the Panthers came back to win 81-80. The Vikings won't be letting up today and that was clearly a letdown spot. Cleveland State is 7-0 ATS when attempting to avenge a loss this season. The Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. The Vikings are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games off an ATS loss. Take Cleveland State. |
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03-07-21 | Texas Tech +8 v. Baylor | Top | 73-88 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
7* Texas Tech/Baylor Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas Tech +8 The Key: Baylor has only covered one of its last four gams and that was an overtime win against West Virginia. They didn't even come close to covering against Iowa State and Kansas as they lost outright to the Jayhawks and only beat the Cyclones by 5. And now they are laying 8 points to a Texas Tech team that has only 2 losses by more than 8 points all season. The Red Raiders have won and covered 3 straight games with their 3 wins coming by a total of 56 points. They are ready to give the Bears a run for their money today. Texas Tech is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games against good teams that win by 8-plus PPG on average 15 or more games into the season. The Red Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games against good offensive teams that score 77-plus PPG 15 or more games into the season. Texas Tech is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games road underdogs. Baylor is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take Texas Tech. |
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03-06-21 | Illinois v. Ohio State -2 | Top | 73-68 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
7* Illinois/Ohio State Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State -2 The Key: Ohio State is looking to erase the sour taste of 3 consecutive defeats. The Buckeyes got some much needed rest as they have had the last 5 days off to rest up and get healthy. They are primed for a great showing against Illinois today. The Fighting Illini are unlikely to have Ayo Dosunmu back today and are in a letdown spot off 3 straight wins, including the blowout victory over Michigan. The Buckeyes will be hungry because of those 3 straight losses, plus trying to get a Top 4 seed in the Big Ten Tournament and the fact that it is Senior Day. The Buckeyes have won 4 of the last 5 matchups in this series, including their 87-81 win at Illinois in their first matchup this year. The Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games when attempting to avenge a loss as a favorite. Take Ohio State. |
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03-05-21 | Georgia Tech -9 v. Wake Forest | Top | 75-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
7* Georgia Tech/Wake Forest ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Georgia Tech -9 The Key: The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. They have won 5 straight games including impressive wins over Duke and Virginia Tech. They are fighting hard to make the NCAA Tournament down the stretch and cannot afford a slip up against Wake Forest. That shouldn't be a problem considering the Demon Deacons have already quit on their season. They have lost 6 straight games and are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Each of their last 5 losses have come by 13 points or more and by 22.8 PPG on average. The Yellow Jackets already beat them by 16 at home in their first matchup this year. Take Georgia Tech. |
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03-04-21 | Heat v. Pelicans OVER 227 | Top | 103-93 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
7* Heat/Pelicans TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 227 The Key: The Pelicans have been the best OVER team in the NBA this season. They have gone OVER the total in 26 of their last 30 games overall, including 13 of their last 14 games coming into tonight. They are 16-2 OVER in their 18 home games as well. Take the OVER. |
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03-03-21 | Hornets -1 v. Wolves | Top | 135-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Charlotte Hornets -1 The Key: The Timberwolves are 5-26 SU in their last 31 games. They are 0-8 SU & 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall with 3 of their last 4 losses coming by 16 points or more. They just aren't playing well at all, fired their coach, and are missing 2 of their best players in Beasley and Russell. The Hornets are coming off a loss in Portland on the 2nd of a back-to-back. The Hornets are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games off a loss. Charlotte is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games off a loss by more than 10 points. Minnesota is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games as a dog. They just have to win to cover tonight so the price is right to back the Hornets. Take Charlotte. |
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03-02-21 | Hawks v. Heat -3.5 | Top | 94-80 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami Heat -3.5 The Key: The Miami Heat are 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. They just beat Atlanta by 10 at home on Sunday even without Jimmy Butler, who is questionable to return. The Hawks are in turmoil right now and I want to keep fading them. They just fired head coach Lloyd Pierce and remain a banged up team without Cam Reddish and De'Andre Hunter tonight. The Hawks are 4-11 SU & 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Hawks are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games with 3 losses by 9 points or more and an upset loss to the Cavaliers as 8-point favorites. The Hawks are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days. The Heat are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups with the 4 wins all coming by 9 points or more. Take Miami. |
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03-01-21 | Nuggets v. Bulls +4.5 | Top | 118-112 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Bulls +4.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Chicago Bulls as home underdogs to the Denver Nuggets tonight. The Bulls are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Their only loss came 97-106 to the Suns after getting outscored 32-16 in the 4th quarter. They had control of that game for 3 quarters against a Suns team that is playing as well as anyone right now in going 14-3 SU & 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall. This is actually a step down for the Bulls against a Nuggets team that is banged up and not playing well at all right now. The Nuggets are 6-7 SU & 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall. They are without Millsap, Harris and Green right now. The Nuggets are 4-16 ATS in their last 20 road games off a win by 15 points or more. Denver is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 road games. The Bulls are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as underdogs. Take Chicago. |
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02-28-21 | Suns -10 v. Wolves | Top | 118-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns -10 The Key: This is an awful situation for the Minnesota Timberwolves. They will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after a 112-128 loss in Washington on Saturday. The Timberwolves will also be playing their 17th game in 28 days. They are without Beasley and Russell, who combine for 40 PPG so they are short-handed as it is. And now they must take on a Phoenix Suns team that is crushing everyone right now in going 13-3 SU & 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games. The Timberwolves have gone 1-11 SU in their last 12 games, including 0-7 SU & 0-7 ATS in their last 7 contests. Take Phoenix. |
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02-27-21 | Boise State +6.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Boise State +6.5 The Key: The Boise State Broncos will be hungry to avenge their overtime defeat to the San Diego State Aztecs in their first matchup on February 27. I can't believe the books have come back with the same line here as they were 6.5-point dogs in that first matchup as well. Boise State isn't going to shoot as poorly as they did in that first matchup as they shot just 36.4% and still forced OT. The Broncos are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games off a loss. Take Boise State. |
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02-26-21 | Rockets +8.5 v. Raptors | Top | 111-122 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets +8.5 The Key: I love the price we are getting on the Houston Rockets tonight due to going 0-9 SU & 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall. They weren't more than an 8-point dog in any of those 9 games and they were more than a 2-point dog just twice. They covered in their largest underdog role during this losing streak, losing by 5 at Philadelphia as 8-point dogs. Now they are +8.5 dogs to the Toronto Raptors tonight. This is a tired Raptors team playing their 6th game in 9 days. The Rockets just got Victor Oladipo back from a 4-game absence and are as healthy as they've been at any point during this skid. They should show some improvements tonight and stay within this number. They are the way fresher team as this will be just their 3rd game in 9 days. Bets on road teams who are off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, a bad team winning 25% to 40% of their games playing a team with a losing record are 26-5 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Houston. |
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02-25-21 | Wizards +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Wizards +7.5 The Key: The Washington Wizards are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Their only loss came on the road to the Clippers the night after upsetting the Lakers in overtime. They have also upset the Nuggets, Celtics and Blazers during this stretch. Now they face the Nuggets again and it's a Denver team not playing well at all right now. The Nuggets are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. They have a handful of injuries that they are dealing with, which is the biggest reason they aren't playing up to par. And they can't be laying this many points to the Wizards in their current state. The Wizards are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups. Take Washington. |
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02-24-21 | Warriors v. Pacers UNDER 231 | Top | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Pacers ESPN *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 231 The Key: The Warriors just got their 2 big men in Wiseman and Looney back in the lineup last night after being out for a couple weeks. They will have to go to bigger lineups and that will make them better defensively moving forward. They beat the Knicks 114-106 last night behind a strong defensive effort. And now they will be tired playing for a 2nd consecutive night and their offense will struggle because of it. The Pacers will likely be rusty after having the last 6 days off. It all adds up to a great situation to back the UNDER. The UNDER is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 road games. Bets on the UNDER on home games where the total is 230 or higher in non-conference games who are coming off a road win are 36-9 since 1996. Take the UNDER. |
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02-23-21 | 76ers -1.5 v. Raptors | Top | 109-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Philadelphia 76ers -1.5 The Key: I like the situation for the Philadelphia 76ers tonight in the 2nd game of this double-header at Toronto. They lost the first 103-110 and now will be looking to avenge that defeat. They shot just 38.8% compared to 49.4% for the Raptors. They got Ben Simmons and Shake Milton back in the lineup for that game from injury and they combined for 37 points in the loss. They finally had their full team together Sunday for the first time since December 26. So there should be even better chemistry tonight in this rematch with the Raptors. I could see the Raptors relaxing after finally getting above .500 at 16-15 for the first time all season. Toronto is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 home games. Take Philadelphia. |
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02-22-21 | Wizards +7 v. Lakers | Top | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
7* Wizards/Lakers NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington +7 The Key: The Washington Wizards are really playing well right now and are as healthy as they've been all season. Westbrook and Beal are really starting to gel together. The Wizards are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games while covering those 4 games by a combined 47.5 points. They upset Portland, Denver and Boston as underdogs and beat Houston by 12 as a short favorite. Now they are catching 7 points against a Lakers team that has been upset in 3 of its last 4 games. And it's a tired Lakers team that is playing without Anthony Davis and Dennis Shroeder. The Wizards will be playing only their 2nd game in 5 days and are in the more favorite situation. The Lakers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams that lose by 3 PPG or more on average on the season. They just have a way of playing to their level of competition. Take Washington. |
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02-21-21 | Michigan v. Ohio State +110 | Top | 92-87 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
7* Michigan/Ohio State Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State ML +110 The Key: The Ohio State Buckeyes have won 10 of their last 11 games with their only loss coming by 2 points to Purdue. The Buckeyes have won 16 of their last 18 home matchups with the Wolverines. The home team has covered 8 of the last 10 matchups in this series. The Buckeyes are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games. Take Ohio State on the Money Line. |
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02-20-21 | Warriors v. Hornets +2 | Top | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Charlotte Hornets +2 The Key: The Golden State Warriors just can't have much gas left in the tank tonight. They will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after their loss in Orlando last night. Curry played 37 minutes, Oubre 36, Green 33 and Wiggins 32. And the Warriors don't have much of a bench at all especially without Wiseman and Looney. Golden State hasn't had more than one day off in a row in over 3 weeks. The Hornets will have plenty of gas in the tank because they have had the last 5 days off. They got good news on the injury front too with both Hayward and Washington returning to the lineup tonight. Golden State is 5-16-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing for a 2nd consecutive day. The Hornets are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as home dogs. Take Charlotte. |
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02-19-21 | Bulls +8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
7* Bulls/76ers ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +8.5 The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers are 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Their only win came against a short-handed Houston Rockets team by 5 as 8.5-point favorites. And they shouldn't be 8.5-point favorites tonight over a Chicago Bulls team that is playing well and thrives in the role of the underdog. The Bulls have won 4 of their last 6 games overall with one of their losses coming by 4 points. The Bulls are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as underdogs. Chicago is an even better 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games as a road underdog. Philadelphia is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring 110 points or more in 3 straight games. Take Chicago. |
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02-18-21 | Colorado v. Oregon -3 | Top | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on Oregon -3 The Key: The Oregon Ducks have won 3 straight coming in with double-digit wins over Washington and ASU as well as an upset road win at Arizona. They are playing their best basketball of the season now that they are 4 games removed from their last COVID pause. And now they have their sights set on avenging a 72-79 loss at Colorado in their first matchup. The Buffaloes are just 17-43 ATS in their last 60 road games. The home team is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 matchups. The favorite is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups. The Ducks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home matchups with the Buffaloes. Take Oregon. |
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02-17-21 | Nuggets v. Wizards +3.5 | Top | 128-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Washington Wizards +3.5 The Key: The Washington Wizards are finally healthy and playing up to their potential now after a COVID pause. The Wizards are coming off 2 straight blowout wins over Boston by 13 and Houston by 12. They had yesterday off and will be the fresher team here. The Nuggets will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after their 99-112 loss in Boston last night. They are already short-handed as they played without Barton, Millsap, Harris and Morris last night and all 4 are questionable to return tonight. Jokic played over 37 minutes and scored 43 points and it still wasn't enough to beat the Celtics. That effort will have taken its toll on their best player. The Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home matchups with Denver. Take Washington. |
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02-16-21 | Nets v. Suns -5 | Top | 128-124 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
7* Nets/Suns TNT *BAILOUT* on Phoenix -5 The Key: The Phoenix Suns are proving to be a real contender in the Western Conference now that they are healthy. The Suns are 9-1 SU & 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Now they get to host a Brooklyn Nets team that is in a terrible situation playing for a 2nd consecutive night after a 136-125 win in Sacramento last night. The Nets are without Kevin Durant and don't have a very deep bench, so it's tough for them to handle these situations right now. The Nets are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games when playing for a 2nd consecutive day. The Suns are 7-0 ATS in their 7 home games against Eastern Conference teams this season. Phoenix is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 games against a team with a winning record. The Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as home favorites. Take Phoenix. |
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02-15-21 | 76ers +8 v. Jazz | Top | 123-134 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
7* 76ers/Jazz NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia +8 The Key: Bettors are getting no bargains on the Utah Jazz at this point after going 17-2 ATS in their last 19 games overall. Now they are 8-point favorites here over a Philadelphia 76ers team that is one of the best in the NBA. But the 76ers are coming off 2 straight road losses at Portland and Phoenix, so we are getting a bargain on them tonight. The 76ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 matchups with Utah. The Jazz are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams that win more than 60% of their games. Take Philadelphia. |
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02-14-21 | Blazers v. Mavs -4.5 | Top | 121-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
7* Blazers/Mavericks ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas -4.5 The Key: It's fun seeing what the Mavericks can do at full strength now that they have been healthy for the first time all season just recently. The results have shown as they have won 4 straight games. But the Mavericks are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall, so we are getting them cheap today as only 4.5-point favorites over the Blazers. I can't see the Blazers competing with the Mavericks without CJ McCollum. Portland is 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 games off a win by more than 10 points. The Blazers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games against a team with a losing home record. Dallas is 21-8 ATS in the last 29 matchups, including 9-4 ATS in the last 13 home matchups. Take Dallas. |
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02-13-21 | Iowa v. Michigan State +5 | Top | 88-58 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
7* Big Ten Game of the Year on Michigan State +5 The Key: The Michigan State Spartans have won 2 in a row and are making a push to make the NCAA Tournament. Now it's time for them to avenge their 78-84 road loss at Iowa last week. The Spartans come back as 5-point home dogs here. That's significant when you consider Michigan State is 17-1 SU in its last 18 home matchups with the Hawkeyes. This line is way off for a Hawkeyes team that has dropped 4 of its last 6 games coming in. The Spartans should be the favorites in this matchup and don't be afraid to bet a percentage of your wager on the money line as well. Take Michigan State. |
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02-12-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 130-143 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
7* Pelicans/Mavs ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas -2.5 The Key: We are getting a great price on the Dallas Mavericks tonight after failing to cover 10 of their last 11 games overall. But they have won 4 of their last 5 games straight up and only have to cover 2.5 points tonight at home against the New Orleans Pelicans. It's a good time to fade the Pelicans after covering 4 of their last 5 games. But after playing 7 of their last 9 games at home, the Pelicans are now back on the road. New Orleans is 2-6 SU in its last 8 road games with its only wins coming by 1 point over the Pacers and by 5 over the Kings. The 6 losses all came by 5 points or more with 5 of them coming by double-digits. The Mavericks are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 matchups with the Pelicans with the 4 wins coming by 19.5 PPG. Take Dallas. |
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02-11-21 | Raptors v. Celtics -3 | Top | 106-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
7* Raptors/Celtics NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston -3 The Key: The situation really favors the Celtics over the Raptors tonight. They are back home after playing 5 straight road games. They had Wednesday off and are 5-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. They host a Raptors team that will be playing their 5th road game in 7 days. The Raptors will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after winning in Washington last night. I just don't see Toronto having much left in the tank for a hungry Boston team that will be looking to bounce back from 2 consecutive losses. The Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 matchups with the Raptors. Take Boston. |
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02-10-21 | Hawks v. Mavs OVER 232 | Top | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
7* Hawks/Mavericks ESPN *Total* Annihilator on OVER 232 The Key: The OVER is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 games overall. They have averaged 254 PPG combined with their opponents in these 4 games and none of them went to overtime. So a total of 232 here against a Hawks team they just combined for 238 points with a couple games back is too low. Enjoy rooting for points here because there will be plenty of them to cash this ticket. Take the OVER. |
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02-09-21 | Rockets v. Pelicans -5.5 | Top | 101-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
7* Rockets/Pelicans TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on New Orleans -5.5 The Key: The New Orleans Pelicans are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall while outscoring Phoenix, Indiana and Memphis by a combined 32 points. Now they are in the better spot here coming in on 2 days' rest and hosting the tired Houston Rockets. The Rockets will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after a 25-point loss in Charlotte last night in which they only trailed by 3 entering the 4th quarter before gassing out. It will also be the 5th game in 7 days for the Rockets. They are already without their best player in Christian Wood and will be without Victor Oladipo tonight due to rest. The Rockets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record. Houston is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 games off a SU loss. The Pelicans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 2 days' rest. Take New Orleans. |
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02-08-21 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 233.5 | Top | 100-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Month on Warriors/Spurs OVER 233.5 The Key: These are two OVER teams right now, especially the Warriors. Golden State is coming off 2 straight games that didn't go to OT against Dallas in which they combined for 263 and 266 points. A big reason for these high-scoring games is the losses of 2 post players for the Warriors in Wiseman and Looney. They have been forced to go small ball even more than they usually do. The Spurs will oblige as they like the small ball route as well and have to do the same now that LaMarcus Aldridge is out with a hip injury. These teams played a couple weeks ago with the Warriors winning 121-99. But the Spurs shot 4-of-33 (12.1%) from 3-point range in that game. It was a fast-paced game with the Spurs getting 94 shots and the Warriors 91. Betting shooting from the Spurs and an even faster-paced game in the rematch will have this one sailing OVER the total. Take the OVER. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
7* Chiefs/Bucs Super Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay +3 The Key: The Tampa Bay Bucs have been dominant since their bye week. They are 7-0 since their bye and scoring 34 PPG. The Bucs have the offense to keep up with Patrick Mahomes, who will be running for his life in the Super Bowl without the services of his 2 starting offensive tackles. The Bucs have the way better defense in this game as they are 6th in the NFL on that side of the ball while the Chiefs are only 18th. And Tampa Bay will be playing at home. The Bucs did not play well at all in their first matchup with the Chiefs this season and still only lost 24-27. They will have their revenge here on the biggest stage of them all with Tom Brady doing what he does. Take Tampa Bay. |
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02-06-21 | Colorado State v. Wyoming +7.5 | Top | 68-59 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Wyoming +7.5 The Key: Wyoming will be looking to avenge its 72-74 home loss to Colorado State as identical 7.5-point dogs on Thursday. The Cowboys blew a 38-32 halftime lead in that contest and allowed the Rams to shoot 55.1% while they shot 42.6% themselves. Just a slight improvement will have them covering this spread again and possibly winning outright. The Cowboys are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games when avenging a same-season loss. The Cowboys are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as underdogs. The underdog is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 matchups. Take Wyoming. |
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02-05-21 | Jazz v. Hornets +8.5 | Top | 138-121 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Charlotte Hornets +8.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Charlotte Hornets tonight. They have gone 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games with outright upset wins over the Bucks, Heat and Pacers. Their only loss came by 7 points to the 76ers, who are playing as well as anyone right now. And now they get to face a Utah Jazz team that is also playing great basketball in winning 13 of its last 14 games. But the Jazz are in a tough situation tonight as they will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after winning in Atlanta last night. It will also be the 7th game in 11 days for the Jazz. The Hornets are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as home underdogs. Take Charlotte. |
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02-04-21 | Warriors v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 147-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Mavs TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas -2.5 The Key: The Dallas Mavericks have some depth now that everyone has returned from quarantine. So they will be more prepared to handle this situation of playing for a second consecutive day after a win in Atlanta last night. And I really like the price we are getting on the Mavericks as a short home favorite over the Warriors, a team they are clearly better than. The Warriors are going to have a tough time defending the paint now that they recently lost both Wiseman and Looney to injuries. They are going to be one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA now. The Mavericks are primed to be one of the best offensive teams in the NBA moving forward now that they are healthy. The Mavericks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 matchups with the Warriors while winning each of the last 4 by 20-plus points. Take Dallas. |
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02-03-21 | Pacers v. Bucks -8 | Top | 110-130 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
7* Pacers/Bucks ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -8 The Key: We are getting the Bucks cheap right now because they are off to just a 12-8 start this season and have lost 2 of their last 3 coming in. But they flashed their potential with a 134-106 win over the Blazers last game. And now they catch the Indiana Pacers in a bad spot. The Pacers will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after their win over Memphis yesterday. It will also be the 7th game in 11 days for the Pacers. The Bucks are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 matchups with the Pacers with all 5 wins coming by 9 points or more. The Bucks are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home matchups with all 4 wins by 17 points or more. Take Milwaukee. |
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02-02-21 | Pistons +12.5 v. Jazz | Top | 105-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
7* Pistons/Jazz NBA *BAILOUT* on Detroit +12.5 The Key: The Pistons have recent upset wins over both the Lakers and 76ers, so they are playing well coming in and fully capable of hanging with the Utah Jazz. The Jazz are coming off a loss to the Nuggets that ended their 11-game winning streak. They won't show up with the same kind of effort they were playing with to keep that winning streak alive, and that's going to make it very difficult to cover this 12.5-point spread. They were only 8.5-point favorites against the Pistons in their 96-86 win over them in their first matchup this season. So I like the price we are getting on the Pistons in the rematch. Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games off a loss by more than 10 points. The Pistons have gone 9-1 ATS in their 10 games this season against teams that make at least 46% of their shots. Take Detroit. |
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01-31-21 | UNLV v. Nevada -2 | Top | 60-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
7* UNLV/Nevada Mountain West *BAILOUT* on Nevada -2 The Key: I like the price we are getting on Nevada. The Wolf Pack are coming off 2 straight upset losses at Wyoming. But each of their last 5 losses have come by 7 points or fewer. That's how close they are to being on an 11-game winning streak. UNLV is starting to get some respect after going 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against a very soft schedule. They starting 1-6 this season prior to this run. Injury news favors the Wolf Pack as well. They will get Meeks (9.1 PPG, 5.9 RPG) back from a 3-game absence, and Cambridge Jr. (15.2 PPG) is probable. UNLV's best player in Hamilton (18.3 PPG) is questionable with an ankle injury suffered in a loss to Utah State last time out. He had just 2 points in 32 minutes of action against the Aggies, so it clearly affected his play. The Wolf Pack are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after playing a road game. The Rebels are 15-32-4 ATS in their last 51 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Wolf Pack are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as home favorites. Take Nevada. |
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01-30-21 | Suns v. Mavs UNDER 217.5 | Top | 111-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Month on Suns/Mavs UNDER 217.5 The Key: The Suns already play at one of the slowest paces in the NBA due to having the aging Chris Paul at point guard. And now they are without their best player in Devin Booker and have been for the past 3 games. Let's take a look at those 3 games. They were tied 98-98 at the end of regulation with the Nuggets for 196 combined points. They lost to the Thunder 97-102 for 199 combined points. And they beat the Warriors 114-93 for 207 combined points. Now they will be without Booker again tonight and this total with the Mavs is set at 217.5. The Mavs are a tired team playing for a second consecutive night after falling 101-120 in the altitude in Salt Lake City last night. They won't be looking to push the tempo today give the situation. The UNDER is 7-2 in Suns last 9 road games. The UNDER is 7-2 in Mavs last 9 games off a loss. The UNDER is 14-6 in the last 20 matchups in Dallas. Take the UNDER. |
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01-29-21 | Cavs v. Knicks +1 | Top | 81-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on New York Knicks +1 The Key: The New York Knicks will be looking to avenge a 103-106 road loss at Cleveland in which they controlled the game most the way but got crushed in the 4th quarter. They lost that game 2 weeks ago and have not forgotten. And they also are hungry for a win after losing 3 straight on the road against a tough schedule coming in. The Knicks are now as healthy as they have been all season and haven't played since Tuesday. They are primed for one of their best efforts of the season tonight. The Cavaliers are 30-61-1 ATS in their last 92 games as favorites. The Knicks are 21-10 ATS when avenging a same-season loss in their last 31 tries. Take New York. |
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01-28-21 | Warriors v. Suns UNDER 220.5 | Top | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Suns TNT *BAILOUT* on UNDER 220.5 The Key: Phoenix has been without Devin Booker in each of its last 2 games and is likely to be without him tonight. The Suns and Nuggets combined for 196 points at the end of regulation in their first game without him. Then last night they combined for 199 points with the Thunder in their 2nd game without him. Now the Suns are a tired team and will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. The Warriors are also a tired team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. That fatigue will affect shooting and will favor defense in this game tonight. The UNDER is 6-0 in the last 6 matchups in this series with each of the last 3 seeing 218 or fewer combined points. Take the UNDER. |
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01-27-21 | Wisconsin -2.5 v. Maryland | Top | 61-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
7* Wisconsin/Maryland Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Wisconsin -2.5 The Key: I like the situation for the Wisconsin Badgers tonight. They are coming off an upset home loss to Ohio State. They also were upset by this same Maryland team as 10-point home favorites back on December 28th. Now they will avenge that defeat and they are only 2.5-point favorites this time around. That's a 7.5-point adjustment. Wisconsin hasn't lost 2 in a row all season. They are 3-0 SU & 2-0-1 ATS in their 3 games after a loss this year. The Badgers are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games off a SU loss. The Terrapins are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games as home underdogs. Maryland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games off a SU win. Take Wisconsin. |
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01-26-21 | Wizards v. Rockets -3.5 | Top | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Rockets -3.5 The Key: The Washington Wizards just returned to action after being off from January 11th through January 24th due to COVID-19. They abruptly got blasted by the Spurs by 20 points. And it's probably going to be more of the same tonight against the Houston Rockets. They are still missing a handful of key players in quarantine. The Rockets are as healthy as they've been all season right now and it's starting to show with 2 straight upset wins over the Pistons and Mavericks by a combined 26 points. They should be laying more than 3.5 points against the Wizards tonight. I love the price we are getting on the Rockets. Take Houston. |
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01-25-21 | Raptors v. Pacers -2 | Top | 114-129 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Indiana Pacers -2 The Key: The Indiana Pacers will be hungry to avenge their 102-107 home loss to the Toronto Raptors yesterday. They don't have to wait long as they get to play them again today. I like the price we are getting on the Pacers. They were 4.5-point favorites against the Raptors yesterday and are now just 2-point favorites today. The Raptors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games off an ATS win. Take Indiana. |
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01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -125 | 50 h 50 m | Show |
7* NFC Playoffs Game of the Year on Green Bay Packers -3 The Key: The Green Bay Packers have won 7 straight games all by 7 points or more. They have won those games by an average of nearly 15 PPG. I think we are getting the Packers cheap as only 3-point home favorites against the Bucs in the NFC Championship Game. The Bucs will be on the road for the 3rd straight week, and teams in this situation haven't fared well. The Packers are still very fresh after getting that bye and haven't had to leave home. They made easy work of the Rams in a 32-18 victory. They outgained the Rams by 240 yards in that game and put up 484 yards against what was thought to be one of the best defenses in the NFL. The Bucs struggled to move the ball against the Saints and the Packers have a good pass defense. The Bucs benefited from a +4 turnover differential against the Saints, who basically gave that game away after having a 20-13 lead in the second half, getting outscored 17-0 the rest the way. The Bucs scored 21 points off turnovers. Aaron Rodgers doesn't turn the ball over. He has 50 touchdown passes and only 5 interceptions this year. The Packers have won 8 of their 9 home games this year with an average margin of victory of 12.4 PPG. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take Green Bay. |
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01-23-21 | Lakers v. Bulls +9.5 | Top | 101-90 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
7* Lakers/Bulls NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +9.5 The Key: The Bulls are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall. They have been one of the most underrated teams in the NBA. They have lost just once by more than 4 points in those 13 games too. And they shouldn't be this big of underdogs to the Lakers. The Bulls only lost 115-117 at Los Angeles as 8.5-point dogs in their first matchup this year earlier this month. And now they come back as 9.5-point dogs at home. I know they played yesterday, but this is a deep team that can handle these back-to-back situations better than most teams. And they won't have any problem getting re-energized for the defending champion Lakers tonight. The Bulls are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as underdogs. Take Chicago. |
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01-22-21 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 222.5 | Top | 110-122 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
7* Celtics/76ers ESPN *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 222.5 The Key: The UNDER is 5-2 in the last 7 matchups in this series with 216 or fewer points scored in all 5 unders. Wednesday was the exception when the game went over with 226 points scored. But the 76ers attempted a ridiculous 45 free throw attempts as the refs were whistle-happy. I look for this matchup to be much more lower scoring. And keep in mind even with all those free throw attempts it still just went over this 222.5-point total by 3.5 points. There's a lot of room for error with this UNDER. These back-to-back rematches always seem to favor defense, too. Take the UNDER. |
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01-21-21 | Lakers v. Bucks -1 | Top | 113-106 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
7* Lakers/Bucks TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -1 The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks are fully healthy right now and hungry to take down the defending champion Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers have 6 guys on the injury report including both James and Davis, who will both likely play but it is concerning. The Lakers were just upset by the Warriors on MLK Day. Now they have to travel to face a Bucks team that is 6-1 SU at home this season. The Lakers are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games against Eastern Conference teams. The Bucks are 30-12 ATS in their last 42 games off an upset loss as a favorite. The Bucks are 37-17 ATS in their last 54 games off a SU loss. The Bucks are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups. Take Milwaukee. |
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01-20-21 | Providence +9.5 v. Creighton | Top | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
7* Providence/Creighton Big East *HEAVY HITTER* on Providence +9.5 The Key: Providence wants to avenge a 65-67 loss to Creighton at home a couple weeks ago. The Friars were only 4-point dogs in that game, and now they are 9.5-point dogs here. The Friars haven't been getting blown out at all lately as they haven't lost any of their last 9 games by more than 10 points. And Creighton just was upset by Butler without Marcus Zegarowski, who averages 14.1 PPG and is questionable to play tonight. Zegarowski had 20 points against the Friars in their first matchup so he's clearly very important to the Bluejays' success. The Friars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when avenging a same-season loss. They are also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games when avenging a loss overall. Creighton has only won 1 of its last 7 matchups with Providence by double-digits. Take Providence. |
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01-19-21 | Purdue v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 67-65 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
7* Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State -4.5 The Key: The Ohio State Buckeyes want to avenge their 60-67 loss at Purdue in their first matchup on December 16 this season. The Buckeyes shot just 37.9% from the field and 6-of-24 (25%) from 3-point range. They have been a different team since and are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now. The Buckeyes are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games with a 79-68 win at Rutgers as a 3.5-point dog, an 81-71 home win over Northwestern as an 8.5-point favorite and an 87-81 win at Illinois as an 8-point dog. Purdue hasn't been great on the road with losses to Illinois by 8, Rutgers by 5 and Iowa by 15. The Boilermakers are 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. The Buckeyes are 27-12 ATS in the last 39 matchups. Purdue is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after going over the total in its last game. The Buckeyes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games off an ATS win. Take Ohio State. |
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01-18-21 | Pistons v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Miami Heat -5.5 The Key: The Miami Heat will be hungry for a victory today. They have lost 3 straight coming in. That includes their 100-120 loss to the Pistons as 5-point favorites on Saturday. They led that game 56-52 at halftime and got outscored by 24 points after intermission. The Heat should get even more players back today from COVID and will be ready to avenge that defeat. The Pistons are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 ATS. The HEat are 37-14-1 ATS in their last 52 games off a loss. Take Miami. |
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01-17-21 | Browns v. Chiefs -10 | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -102 | 66 h 9 m | Show |
7* AFC Playoffs Game of the Year on Kansas City Chiefs -10 The Key: Andy Reid has a proven track record of being the best coach in the NFL to back off a bye. The Chiefs needed a bye as they just seemed to be going through the motions down the stretch. Now they will turn the switch on and put their best foot forward in the playoffs. And that will be enough to put away the Cleveland Browns by double-digits. The Browns had everything go their way against the Steelers by forcing 5 turnovers. They still gave up 37 points and 553 total yards. They gave up 47 points to Baltimore and 35 points to Tennessee recently. The Chiefs will do whatever they want to against this soft Cleveland defense. And I don't trust Baker Mayfield to be able to keep up with Patrick Mahomes and company. The Browns are 1-10 ATS int heir last 11 road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division opponent. Cleveland is 9-26-2 ATS in its last 37 games against a team with a winning record. Take Kansas City. |
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01-16-21 | Virginia v. Clemson +2 | Top | 85-50 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
7* ACC Game of the Month on Clemson +2 The Key: Clemson is one of the most underrated teams in the country. The Tigers are 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS this season, including 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS at home. And now they are getting no respect again as home underdogs to Virginia. The Tigers have had 10 days to get ready for the Cavaliers after last playing on January 5th. Virginia only has 2 days to get ready for Clemson after beating Notre Dame on Wednesday. That's a big advantage for the Tigers. Clemson is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 home games off a conference win. Virginia is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games off a home win by 10 points or more. The Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as home underdogs. Take Clemson. |
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01-15-21 | Clippers v. Kings +7 | Top | 138-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +7 The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers haven't won any of their last 7 games by more than 7 points and have gone 2-5 ATS during this stretch. They shouldn't be 7-point road favorites over a hungry Sacramento Kings team tonight. The Kings have won their last 2 matchups with the Clippers by a combined 30 points and covered the spread in those 2 games by a combined 53 points. Take Sacramento. |
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01-14-21 | Rockets v. Spurs -7 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
7* Rockets/Spurs TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on San Antonio -7 The Key: The San Antonio Spurs have won 4 of their last 5 games including upset wins over both the Lakers and Clippers. They are playing well right now and will be taking on a Houston Rockets team in turmoil. The Rockets just traded away James Harden. They won't have any of the players they gained in the trade in the lineup. Plus their best player in John Wall is out, as is key contributor John Wall. Eric Gordon is also questionable. The Rockets will have a suspect lineup tonight to say the least. Houston is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 road games. The Rockets are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss by more than 10 points. They are coming off 2 straight 17-point losses to the Lakers. The Rockets are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall with all 4 losses coming by 7 points or more. Take San Antonio. |
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01-13-21 | Boise State v. Wyoming +9.5 | Top | 90-70 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Wyoming +9.5 The Key: Boise State is getting too much respect from the books due to its 10-game winning streak. The Broncos will now have to take on a hungry Wyoming team looking to avenge its loss in the first game in this matchup on Monday. Boise State won the first matchup by 23 points, but it was a 5-point game with under 8 minutes to play. And the Broncos have failed to cover in the last 2 times they've been in this situation. They beat San Jose State by 52 and came back and won by just 1 point in the rematch. They beat Air Force by 19 and came back and won by 11 in the rematch. And this game will be decided by 9 points or fewer to give the Cowboys the cover. The Cowboys are a sensational 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games revenging a loss in the same season. Take Wyoming. |
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01-12-21 | TCU +6.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 46-82 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
7* Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on TCU +6.5 The Key: The TCU Horned Frogs will be looking to avenge a 78-82 home loss to the Oklahoma Sooners in their first matchup this year. This is a TCU team that has gone 5-2 SU in their last 7 games overall with their only losses coming to the 2 best teams in the Big 12 in Baylor and Kansas. The Horned Frogs won't have to face Oklahoma's 2nd-leading scorer in Brady Manek, who is out with COVID. He averages 13.4 PPG this year and had 14 points and 6 boards in their first matchup this season. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups. TCU is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 road games. The Sooners are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team that wins more than 60% of their road games. Take TCU. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State v. Alabama -8.5 | Top | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
7* Ohio State/Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -8.5 The Key: The Alabama Crimson Tide are going to go down as one of the best teams in college football history. They have an elite defense as always, giving up 19 PPG. But their offense is a record-setting one that will continue to pile on the points against Ohio State. The Crimson Tide average 48.2 PPG and 535 YPG this year as they have outscored their foes by 29.2 PPG on the season. And they have let up in the 2nd half of most their games. They won't let up against the Buckeyes after seeing what they did to Clemson last week. That was an aberration as the Buckeyes managed just 22 points against Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship the week prior. Clemson just allowed receivers to get behind them the entire game, which was a terrible strategy. I trust Nick Saban to make the proper adjustments defensively. And the weakness of this Ohio State defense is their secondary, which allowed 491 passing yards to Indiana and 400 more to Clemson. That's bad news going up against Mac Jones, Devonta Smith and perhaps Jaylen Waddle returning. The Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after yielding more than 280 passing yards in their last game. The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against Big Ten opponents. The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games off an ATS loss. Take Alabama. |
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01-10-21 | Browns v. Steelers -6 | Top | 48-37 | Loss | -103 | 72 h 35 m | Show |
7* NFL Wild Card Game of the Year on Pittsburgh Steelers -6 The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers nearly beat the Cleveland Browns last week even with resting their starters. They lost 22-24 but gained 394 yards with a backup QB. They were a failed 2-point conversion from forcing OT. Now the Steelers have their starters back and will win and cover in the rematch similar to when they beat the Browns 38-7 at home earlier this year. Roethlisberger is 24-2-1 all-time against Cleveland and has never lost to them at home. The Steelers are now 26-2 SU & 18-9-1 ATS in their last 28 home matchups with Cleveland. The Browns will now be without head coach Kevin Stefanski due to COVID, and he is their play-caller on offense. It's a huge loss. The Browns are 8-26-2 ATS in their last 36 vs. a team with a winning record. Cleveland is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 road games. The Steelers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine playoff home games. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups. Take Pittsburgh. |
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01-09-21 | Oklahoma v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 59-63 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
7* Big 12 Game of the Month on Kansas -6.5 The Key: Kansas had its wake up call with a 25-point home loss to Texas two games back, its worst home loss in program history. The Jayhawks bounced back with a 93-64 win at TCU as a 6-point favorite. And now they are short 6.5-point home favorites against Oklahoma. The Jayhawks have won 9 of their last 10 games overall, so that performance against Texas was an aberration. Oklahoma just lost by 15 at Baylor and hasn't fared well at Kansas. The Jayhawks are 16-0 SU in their last 16 home matchups with Oklahoma dating back to 1997. Oklahoma is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 road games off a loss by 10 points or more. The Sooners are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games against good offensive teams that score 77 PPG or more. Take Kansas. |
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01-08-21 | Clippers -6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
7* Clippers/Warriors ESPN *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -6.5 The Key: The Clippers have won 4 straight matchups with the Warriors all by 7 points or more and by an average of 15 PPG. They beat the Warriors 108-101 on Wednesday in what was a bad spot for them playing the 2nd of a back-to-back while the Warriors had the previous day off. Now this is a much better situation for the Clippers as they are fully healthy, while the Warriors could be without Stephon Curry. Either way, I like Patrick Beverly's chances of shutting him down again even if he does play. Beverly held him to 13 points and only 5 made field goals in the first matchup. Curry was seen limping off the floor afterward and it would be wise of the Warriors to sit him. The Clippers are 39-17 ATS in their last 56 games as road favorites. The Clippers are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games against division opponents. The Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 trips to Golden State. The Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games. Take Los Angeles. |
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01-07-21 | 76ers v. Nets +112 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 112 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
7* 76ers/Nets TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Brooklyn ML +112 The Key: The situation really favors the Brooklyn Nets tonight. They are rested after having yesterday off following their blowout win over the Jazz by 34 points on Tuesday that saw them get to rest their starters in the 4th quarter as well. The 76ers were in a dog fight with the Wizards last night and prevailed 141-136 despite 60 points from Bradley Beal. That effort will have taken a lot out of the 76ers, and now they won't have much fight left tonight for the Nets. It will also be the 8th game in 13 days for the 76ers, a brutal schedule to start the season. Bets against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after being the spread by 30 or more points total in their last 5 games against a team that went under the total by 24 points or more in their last 3 games combined are 24-5 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Brooklyn on the Money Line. |
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01-06-21 | Virginia Tech v. Louisville -4 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
7* ACC Game of the Week on Louisville -4 The Key: Virginia Tech is overrated due to its 8-1 record this season. This will actually be the Hokies' first true road game this season, and it comes against one of the best teams in the ACC in Louisville. The Cardinals are 7-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road at Wisconsin. They will make easy work of the Hokies, which has been a yearly tradition for them. Louisville has won 16 straight matchups with Virginia Tech, most recently a 68-52 home win in March of 2020. Virginia Tech hasn't beaten Louisville since 1991. The Hokies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Hokies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as underdogs. Take Louisville. |
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01-05-21 | Kansas -5.5 v. TCU | Top | 93-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
7* Kansas/TCU Big 12 *BAILOUT* on Kansas -5.5 The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks are coming off their worst home loss in program history to Texas. Their only other loss this season came to top-ranked Gonzaga. They will be fired up to bounce back here against an overrated TCU team that has won 5 straight against suspect competition coming in. The Jayhawks have won 16 of their last 17 matchups with the Horned Frogs. The Jayhawks are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 road games against a team with a winning record. Kansas is 9-0 ATS in its last 9 games off a loss by 20 points or more. Take Kansas. |
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01-04-21 | Maryland +5 v. Indiana | Top | 55-63 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
7* Maryland/Indiana Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Maryland +5 The Key: The Indiana Hoosiers are playing well enough since they opened Big Ten play to warrant being 5-point favorites over Maryland in this matchup. The Hoosiers are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games overall with their lone win coming in overtime over Penn State 87-85 as 6.5-point favorites. They were upset at home by Northwestern 67-74 as 9-point favorites and also failed to cover as 6.5-point underdogs at Illinois. Maryland is 2-1 ATS in its last 3 games. The Terrapins only lost by 3 as 6-point dogs at Purdue, upset Wisconsin 70-64 as 10-point dogs and lost to undefeated Michigan 73-84. Maryland is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in its last 3 matchups with Indiana. Take Maryland. |
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01-03-21 | Jets +3 v. Patriots | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
7* AFC East Game of the Year on New York Jets +3 The Key: The Jets have been one of the most profitable teams in the NFL to back down the stretch. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They have pulled off 2 straight upsets over the Rams as 17.5-point dogs and Browns as 6.5-point dogs. And now they would love to get revenge from a 27-30 loss to the Patriots in their first matchup this season. The Patriots are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games overall, getting outscored a combined 24-84 in the process. They haven't even been competitive. If they were going to show something it would have been against the Bills on Monday Night Football last week. Instead they rolled over and lost 9-38. Their offense is broken as they have been held to either 12 points or fewer or 291 yards or fewer in 5 straight games coming in. They are missing several key contributors on both sides of the football. The wrong team is favored in this matchup. The Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as favorites. Take New York. |
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01-02-21 | North Carolina v. Texas A&M -7 | Top | 27-41 | Win | 100 | 37 h 33 m | Show |
7* UNC/Texas A&M NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas A&M -7 The Key: Texas A&M just completed a dominant 8-1 season in which they proved they were one of the best teams in college football. Their lone loss came to Alabama, which could be the best team in college football history. And now the Aggies want to punctuate their season. They don't have anyone really opting out for this one, and it's a senior-led team. And they'll be up against a UNC team from a weak ACC conference that has almost all of their best players opting out and getting ready for the NFL draft. Their top NFL prospect on defense and leading tackler Surratt is out. They are without 2-time 1,000-yard receiver Brown, plus two 1,000-yard rushers in Carter and Williams. QB Sam Howell might as well opt out as well with all the weapons he is missing. It will go about as well for him as it did for Kyle Trask and Florida when they got blasted by Oklahoma earlier this week. The Aggies are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games as favorites. Texas A&M is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games. Take Texas A&M. |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame v. Alabama -19.5 | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
7* Notre Dame/Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -19.5 The Key: The Notre Dame Fighting Irish keep coming up short in big games. It happened against in the ACC Championship when they lost 10-34 to Clemson. And that game was every bit the blowout it seemed as Clemson outgained Notre Dame 541 to 263. And it will be more of the same here against Alabama. This may be the best Alabama team we've ever seen as they are outscoring opponents by 30.2 PPG this season. They definitely have their best offense of the Saban era at 49.7 PPG. And the Crimson Tide have outscored their opponents 131-47 in their last 4 playoff semifinal games. They beat Notre Dame 42-14 in their last playoff matchup. Ian Book isn't good enough to keep up with Mac Jones and company. The Fighting Irish have allowed over 200 rushing yards in 2 straight games coming in, so the Crimson Tide should be able to run the ball when they need to late to keep margin. Alabama is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games off an ATS loss. The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Take Alabama. |
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12-31-20 | Ball State +10 v. San Jose State | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
7* Ball State/San Jose State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Ball State +10 The Key: The San Jose State Spartans were undervalued all season. They went 7-0 SU & 6-0-1 ATS this year en route to winning the Mountain West title. They beat Boise State in the Championship Game. This team was an underdog in 4 of their 7 games this season and won them all outright. But now the Spartans are getting respect heading into this bowl game due to those perfect records both SU and ATS. And asking them to win by 10-plus points to cover this number against Ball State is asking too much. I don't see the Spartans being too excited to face a MAC opponent in their bowl game as I think they feel they deserved a better bowl game. They will be content with their season no matter what happens here. Ball State has been a different team since losing a fluky game to Miami Ohio in the opener. The Cardinals have gone 6-0 SU & 4-2 ATS since while beating the best teams the MAC had to offer in Toledo, Central Michigan, Western Michigan and Buffalo. Their outright 38-28 win over Buffalo as a 12-point dog showed what they are capable of. And now the Cardinals will feel disrespected again as big dogs in their bowl game and will be playing with a chip on their shoulder. No question the Cardinals have the better quarterback here, which is why they will never be out of this game. Drew Plitt is one of the more underrated quarterbacks in the country. He completed 65.8% of his passes for 1,947 yards with 16 TD and only 6 INT this season. And this Ball State defense got better down the stretch, holding each of its final five opponents to 28 points or fewer. This is a senior-laden Cardinals team that wants a bowl win desperately. They haven't been to a bowl since 2013 and the program is 0-7 all-time in bowls. They have a chance to make history here and I wouldn't be surprised at all if they win this game outright. Take Ball State. |