Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-20-21 | Tulsa v. Rhode Island -3.5 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Rhode Island -3.5 The Key: Rhode Island is 3-0 this year and coming off an impressive 57-49 win over Boston College as a 4.5-point favorite. Tulsa is 2-1 with a home loss to Air Force as a 15-point favorite and a 7-point win over Northwestern State as a 19.5-point favorite. It's clear the Rams are the better of these 2 teams based off the early results and should be bigger favorites. The Rams are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. Take Rhode Island. |
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11-19-21 | Ole Miss -10.5 v. Elon | 74-56 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
6* Friday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Ole Miss -10.5 The Key: Ole Miss is going to be greatly improved this year. They beat New Orleans by 21 and Charleston Southern by 25 before losing by 6 to Marquette. That's a Marquette team that is undefeated and upset Illinois prior to beating Ole Miss. Elon lost by 13 to Florida and by 19 to West Virginia. I think Ole Miss is on both of those teams' level and can win this game by 11 points or more with relative ease. Take Ole Miss. |
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11-18-21 | Nevada +7 v. San Francisco | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
6* Nevada/San Francisco NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Nevada +7 The Key: A lot was expected of Nevada considering they were a very good team last year and returned all 5 starters for Steve Alford this year. But they have been upset twice already by San Diego and Santa Clara. Now the price is right to back the Wolf Pack here as 7-point dogs to San Francisco. The Dons are getting some love after a 4-0 start this year against a soft schedule of Long Island, Prairie View A&M, Samford and Davidson. And they only beat Davidson by 5 as 6.5-point home favorites. Nevada is better than Davidson. The Wolf Pack are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as underdogs. The Dons are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games off an ATS win. The Dons are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games off a SU win. Take Nevada. |
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11-17-21 | Tulane v. Florida State -16.5 | 54-59 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Florida State -16.5 The Key: The situation is a good one for the Florida State Seminoles. They were blown out in the 2nd half and lost outright as a favorite to Florida last time out. That followed up their 105-70 win over Pennsylvania as a 19.5-point favorite in their opener. The Seminoles are still one of the best teams in the country and will show it tonight. Tulane has been shaky to say the least. They only won 70-67 as a 15-point favorite over SE Louisiana, then lost outright to Southern 70-73 as a 12-point favorite. If they let both of those teams nearly upset them, I don't see how they can hang with a team that caliber of Florida State. The Green Wave are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Seminoles are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. Take Florida State. |
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11-17-21 | VCU v. Vanderbilt -4.5 | 48-37 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
6* VCU/Vanderbilt NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt -4.5 The Key: Vanderbilt is a team on the rise in the SEC. They beat Alabama State 91-72 and Texas State 79-60 as a 7-point favorite to open the season. VCU looks broken in the early going and is a team on the decline. They only beat St. Peter's 57-54 as a 9-point favorite and lost outright 44-58 to Wagner as an 11.5-point favorite. I like the price we are getting on the Commodores tonight based off those results. The Rams are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as underdogs. The Commodores are 10-2-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall. Take Vanderbilt. |
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11-16-21 | South Alabama v. Alabama -20.5 | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Alabama -20.5 The Key: Alabama is one of the best teams in the country again this year with arguably the best backcourt in the country. They won 93-64 over Louisiana Tech as an 11-point favorite and 104-88 as a 12.5-point favorite over South Dakota State to open the year. Those are two of the better mid-major teams in the country. Now they take a big step down in class against South Alabama tonight. The Jaguars are a middle-of-the-pack team from the Sun Belt. They lost 3 starters who all averaged in double figures last year and combined to average 45.2 PPG. The losses are heavy, and they won't be able to compete with Alabama without a single returnee that averaged double figures scoring last year. The Crimson Tide are 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games off an ATS win. The Crimson Tide are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 home games. Take Alabama. |
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11-15-21 | Long Beach State +29 v. UCLA | 79-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
6* Monday NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Long Beach State +29 The Key: Long Beach State always seems to give UCLA a run for its money and I think that will be the case again this year. 6 of the last 7 matchups have been decided by 19 points or fewer, including a 4-point win by UCLA as a 17-point favorite in the last matchup. This is a big letdown spot for the Bruins after coming from 10 points behind in the 2nd half to beat Villanova in overtime over the weekend. They won't be nearly as hungry to beat Long Beach State as they were the Wildcats. Long Beach State is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games as a road underdog. Long Beach State is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games after failing to cover the spread in its previous game. Take Long Beach State. |
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11-15-21 | Furman v. Belmont -6 | 89-95 | Push | 0 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
6* Monday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Belmont -6 The Key: Belmont returned all 5 starters and 5 key bench players from last year this season. They are one of the most experienced teams in the country. They are coming off a 91-43 win over Evansville and will make easy work of Furman tonight, too. The Paladins lost 2 of their best players from last year. The Bruins are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games when playing on one days' rest. Furman is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 road games. The Paladins are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after covering the spread in their last game. Take Belmont. |
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11-14-21 | Florida State -1 v. Florida | 55-71 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
6* Florida State/Florida ESPN *CA$H COW* on Florida State -1 The Key: Florida State is 7-0 SU in its last 7 matchups with Florida with the last 4 all coming in blowout wins by 12 points or more. The Seminoles are also 8-0 ATS in the last 8 matchups. Based off the opener by both teams, it should be rinse and repeat for FSU in its domination of Florida this season. FSU won 105-70 over Pennsylvania as 19.5-point favorites to easily cover. Florida won 74-61 as 19-point favorites over Elon to not cover. Take Florida State. |
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11-13-21 | Davidson +7 v. San Francisco | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Davidson +7 The Key: Davidson is one of the better teams in the A-10 year in and year out under Bog McKillop, who is in his 33rd year with the program. He has 3 starters back this year including two double-digit scorers. The Wildcats were impressive in their opener in a 93-71 win over Delaware as 7-point favorites as they shot 59.3% as a team. They are always dynamic offensively year in and year out. They should be able to hang with San Francisco, which is getting too much respect after a 34-point win over Long Island and a 16-point win over Prairie View A&M, failing to cover as an 18-point favorite. This will be their 3rd game in 5 days and is a big jump up in class against the Wildcats. The Dons are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days. The Dons are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games off a win. Take Davidson. |
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11-12-21 | Abilene Christian v. Texas A&M -10.5 | 80-81 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
6* Friday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Texas A&M -10.5 The Key: Buzz Williams is too good of a head coach for Texas A&M not to make big improvements this season after being ravaged by COVID last year. The Aggies have the talent to take that next step this year. They beat North Florida 64-46 as 18-point favorites in their opener behind a great defensive effort. They face an Abilene Christian team that lost 56-70 at Utah as 10-point dogs in their opener, and that's a Utes team that is way down this year. Take Texas A&M. |
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11-12-21 | Western Michigan +24.5 v. Michigan State | 46-90 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
6* Friday NCAAB *LINE MISTAKE* on Western Michigan +24.5 The Key: Michigan State is a notoriously slow starter under Tom Izzo. The Spartans are coming off a 74-87 loss to Kansas on National TV and won't be that excited to play Western Michigan after playing Kansas. The Broncos should stay within this big number tonight. The Spartans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after yielding 80 points or more last game. The Broncos are 23-8-4 ATS in their last 35 road games against a team with a losing record. The Spartans are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games as favorites. Take Western Michigan. |
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11-10-21 | Robert Morris v. UCF -15.5 | 59-69 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on UCF -15.5 The Key: UCF returns all 5 starters this year and is a sleeper in the American Athletic Conference. Robert Morris went 4-15 last year and returns just 2 starters and one reserve. They don't return anyone that scored in double figures last year. The Knights should make easy work of the Colonials, who lost 12 of their final 13 games last year. The Knights are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games as home favorites. Take UCF. |
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11-09-21 | Western Illinois v. Nebraska -16.5 | 75-74 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Nebraska -16.5 The Key: Fred Hoiberg is in Year 3 at Nebraska and just brought in the best recruiting class in program history. It's finally going to pay off this year for him. The Huskers should make easy work of a Western Illinois team that went 7-15 last year and won't be very good this year, either. Take Nebraska. |
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11-09-21 | Kennesaw State v. Iowa State -15 | 73-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -15 The Key: Iowa State welcomes its former assistant in T.J. Otzelberger to the helm and it can only get better. He went to UNLV but returned home and brought Caleb Grill with him from UNLV. He also brought in some great transfers in Penn State's Izaiah Brockington, Mississippi State's Blake Hinson and Minnesota's Gabe Kalscheur. The Cyclones are lacking the respect they deserve in the early going due to a 2-22 season last year. They should make easy work of Kennesaw State, which went 5-19 last year and is 6-47 in Amir Abdur-Rahim's 2 years on the job. Take Iowa State. |
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04-05-21 | Baylor +4.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
7* Baylor/Gonzaga NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Baylor +4.5 The Key: The Baylor Bears have won and covered against the likes of 9th-seeded Wisconsin, 5th-seeded Villanova, 3rd-seeded Arkansas and 2nd-seeded Houston to get here. They won all 4 of those games by 9 or more points. Gonzaga has had the much easier schedule beating 16th-seeded Norfolk State, 8th-seeded Oklahoma, 5th-seeded Creighton and 11th-seeded UCLA. And they needed OT to beat the Bruins. The Bulldogs have played a much easier schedule than Baylor all season. I would argue that the Bears are actually the better team, and it has shown so far in the NCAA Tournament. It will show again Monday in the Championship Game. Take Baylor. |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor -5 | Top | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
7* Houston/Baylor NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Baylor -5 The Key: The Baylor Bears have won and covered against the likes of 9th-seeded Wisconsin, 5th-seeded Villanova and 3rd-seeded Arkansas to get here. The Houston Cougars have won against 15th-seeded Cleveland State, 10th-seeded Rutgers, 11th-seeded Syracuse and 12th-seeded Oregon State. And it's worth noting they had to go down to the wire with both Rutgers and Oregon State. This easy run to the Final Four has been a microcosm of Houston's season. They have only faced one team that ranks in the Top 25 of almost everyone's power ratings, and that was Texas Tech. Baylor will be their most difficult challenge to date and it's not even close. I expect that to show up on the scoreboard today with the Bears rolling to victory. Take Baylor. |
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03-30-21 | USC +8.5 v. Gonzaga | 66-85 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
6* USC/Gonzaga NCAAB *CA$H COW* on USC +8.5 The Key: USC has won its 3 NCAA Tournament games over Drake, Kansas and Oregon by a combined 64 points. They clearly have what it takes to give Gonzaga a run for its money tonight. The matchup is a good one for the Trojans with their big guys inside. They have the best 2-point defense in the nation to counter Gonzaga's best 2-point offense in the nation. And those game big guys for USC will take advantage of Gonzaga's lone weakness, which is their interior defense. Andy Enfield is 7-0 ATS in NCAA Tournament games since he came over to USC, and he had great success with Florida Gulf Coast before that. Take USC. |
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03-29-21 | Oregon State +8 v. Houston | Top | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
7* NCAA Tournament Game of the Year on Oregon State +8 The Key: The Oregon State Beavers are now 18-3-1 ATS in their last 22 games. They have won 12 of those games outright as underdogs, including their wins over Tennessee by 14, Oklahoma State by 10 and Loyola-Chicago by 7 in the NCAA Tournament thus far. Those 3 opponents were much tougher than the slate that Houston has faced, and the Beavers also beat UCLA, Oregon and Colorado in the Pac-12 Tournament. Houston has beaten Cleveland State, Rutgers and Syracuse in the NCAA Tournament. The Beavers will give them a run for their money similar to what Rutgers did in the 2nd round. The Beavers are 16-3 ATS in their last 19 games as underdogs. Take Oregon State. |
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03-28-21 | Oregon +2.5 v. USC | 68-82 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 36 m | Show | |
6* Oregon/USC NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Oregon +2.5 The Key: Oregon is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games overall with each of its last 6 wins coming by double-digits. Dana Altman is a great tournament coach as he is 16-4 ATS in the NCAA Tournament as the coach of Oregon. The Ducks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games. The Ducks are 28-11 ATS in their last 39 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games. Oregon is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games in the dog roll. The Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games off a win. Take Oregon. |
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03-28-21 | UCLA v. Alabama -6.5 | Top | 88-78 | Loss | -105 | 89 h 1 m | Show |
7* UCLA/Alabama NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -6.5 The Key: Alabama is 26-6 this year and one of the most dangerous teams left in the tournament. If I had to pick one team that stood a chance against Gonzaga other than Baylor, it would be Alabama. That's because their ceiling is as high as anyone. That was on display against Maryland as they crushed the Terrapins 96-77. They hoist 30 3-pointers per game and make 35.5% of them. They get great looks almost every time down the floor. And they have quietly ranked 2nd in the country in defensive efficiency, so they do a good job of not allowing easy shots for their opponents. UCLA's competition during this 3-0 run in the NCAA Tournament has been extremely soft with wins over Michigan State, BYU and Abilene Christian. They take a big step up in class here against Alabama. And the Bruins finished 0-4 SU in their last 4 games of the season against the Pac-12. The Bruins are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Sweet 16 games. Their season comes to an end here in blowout fashion against the Crimson Tide. Take Alabama. |
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03-27-21 | Villanova v. Baylor OVER 140.5 | 51-62 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 6 m | Show | |
6* Villanova/Baylor NCAAB *CA$H COW* on OVER 140.5 The Key: The OVER is 12-2 in Baylor's last 14 games overall, including 6-1 in their last 7 contests. The Bears rank 3rd in the country in offensive efficiency. They shoot the 3-pointer better than any team at 41.5% as a unit. They have 6 different players that make 40% or better from 3-point range. Villanova isn't very good at defending the 3-pointer, giving up 35% shooting and 8 makes per game. The Wildcats have actually been just fine offensively without Collin Gillespie. They scored 84 points on a good North Texas defense and 73 on Winthrop. They also scored 71 against Georgetown in the Big East Tournament. If the Wildcats can get to 70 points here we are going to cash this OVER. The Bears have yielded 68 or more points in 9 of their last 11 games overall. The OVER is 11-1 in Bears last 12 games off a win. Take the OVER. |
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03-22-21 | Maryland v. Alabama -5.5 | Top | 77-96 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
7* NCAAB 2nd Round Game of the Year on Alabama -5.5 The Key: Maryland somehow made the NCAA Tournament with a 16-13 record this season. They lost 3 of their final 4 games this season with 2 upset losses to Northwestern and Penn State. They played a UConn team that played at a slow tempo just like they do in the first round and simply out shot them 51.2% to 32.3%. Now this is a bad matchup for them against an Alabama team that gets up and down and shoots a ton of 3-pointers, which is Maryland's defensive weakness. And it's an Alabama team that ranks 2nd in defensive efficiency in the nation, which is bad news for a Terrapins team that is one of the worst offensive teams in the country. This game just has blowout written all over it. The Terrapins are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 game off a low-scoring game that saw 125 or fewer combined points. They will have to try and keep up with the Crimson Tide here and they are not equipped to do it. Take Alabama. |
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03-22-21 | Colorado v. Florida State -1.5 | 53-71 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
6* Colorado/Florida State NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Florida State -1.5 The Key: Colorado just blasted Georgetown 96-73 in the opening round. They played their best game of the season, shooting 61% as a team and 64% from 3-point range while making 16 of 25 from distance. I always like fading teams off an outlier performance like that because it's not going to happen again, especially against a lengthy FSU team that gets after it defensively. The Seminoles went 0 for 9 from 3-point range against UNC-Greensboro yet still won by 10. They aren't going to shoot that poorly again either considering they are one of the better 3-point shooting teams in the country at 38.3% as a team. The Buffaloes are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games after a game with 5 or fewer offensive rebounds. Colorado is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog. Take Florida State. |
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03-22-21 | LSU +5 v. Michigan | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
6* LSU/Michigan NCAAB *CA$H COW* on LSU +5 The Key: LSU is 5-1 SU & 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games overall with its only loss coming by a single point to Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. The Tigers are primed to pull the upset over the Michigan Wolverines, who are just 3-3 SU in their last 3 games with upset losses to Michigan State and Maryland. The Wolverines also lost to Ohio State, which was their first game without Isaiah Livers, their best player. Livers remains out for this game. They struggled to put away a bad Texas Southern team in a 16-point win as 25-point favorites too. And they face a much stiffer challenge here against the Tigers, who are one of the most talented teams left in the tournament. Take LSU. |
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03-21-21 | Oregon State +6.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
7* Oregon State/Oklahoma State NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Oregon State +6.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Oregon State Beavers against Oklahoma State in the 2nd round. The price has been off on the Beavers for a couple months now as they are 16-3-1 ATS in their last 20 games. Oregon State is 12-0 ATS in their last 12 games after playing 3 straight games as underdogs. They won outright as underdogs over UCLA, Oregon, Colorado and now Tennessee in their last 4 games. Take Oregon State. |
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03-21-21 | Oral Roberts +8.5 v. Florida | 81-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
6* Oral Roberts/Florida NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Oral Roberts +8.5 The Key: Oral Roberts is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games after upsetting Ohio State as a 15-point underdog. We've seen the Golden Eagles score 84.3 PPG in their last 10 games and they can play with anyone doing that. The Golden Eagles are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games after scoring 75 points or more in 2 consecutive games. They only lost by 5 to Wichita State and by 5 to Oklahoma State in non-conference play too, and they hung tough against both Oklahoma and Arkansas as well. They can hang with Florida, a team that went just 2-7 ATS down the stretch this season and one that should not be laying 8.5 points here. Take Oral Roberts. |
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03-21-21 | Wisconsin v. Baylor -6.5 | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Wisconsin/Baylor NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Baylor -6.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting on Baylor after they failed to cover 7 of their last 8 games overall. They barely missed the cover against Hartford in a 24-point win as 25.5-point dogs. If they didn't pull off the dogs they would have covered. Now we are getting Baylor cheap because of this poor ATS run, coupled with Wisconsin's upset win over UNC by 23 as 2-point dogs. The Badgers saved their best game of the season for that game. I always like fading teams after playing their best game of the season because it is unlikely to happen again, especially against a team the caliber of Baylor. The Badgers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games off an ATS win. Wisconsin is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 neutral site games. The Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. The Badgers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games off a SU win. Take Baylor. |
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03-20-21 | Maryland v. Connecticut -3 | Top | 63-54 | Loss | -109 | 40 h 21 m | Show |
7* NCAAB 1st Round Game of the Year on Connecticut -3 The Key: Maryland somehow made the NCAA Tournament with a 16-13 record this season. They lost 3 of their final 4 games this season with 2 upset losses to Northwestern and Penn State. Now they have to take on a UConn team playing its best ball since the return of leading scorer James Bouknight, who gets over 20 PPG. He leads an underrated Huskies team that ranks in the Top 25 in both offensive and defensive efficiency this season. The Huskies are 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games with their only losses coming on the road to a healthy Villanova team by 8 and to Creighton by 3 in the Big East Tournament. The Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game. The Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games. The Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games off a loss. UConn is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 NCAA Tournament games. The Huskies are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. UConn is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games as a favorite. The Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as favorites. Take UConn. |
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03-20-21 | Texas Southern +26 v. Michigan | 66-82 | Win | 100 | 36 h 11 m | Show | |
6* Texas Southern/Michigan NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Texas Southern +26 The Key: The Texas Southern Tigers are 15-1 SU in their last 16 games and were competitive in non-conference games against Oklahoma State, St. Mary's, Auburn and BYU. They didn't lose to either of those teams by more than 20 points, and they aren't losing to Michigan by more than 26. That's especially the case with the Wolverines down their best player in Isaiah Livers heading into the NCAA Tournament. The Wolverines went 2-3 SU & 2-3 ATS in their final 5 games this season. The Tigers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. They have gone 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games when 15 or more games into the season and playing a team with a winning record. Take Texas Southern. |
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03-20-21 | Georgetown +6.5 v. Colorado | 73-96 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 26 m | Show | |
6* Georgetown/Colorado NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Georgetown +6.5 The Key: Georgetown just won the Big East Tournament by winning 4 straight games outright as underdogs to improve to 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. I don't know what more the Hoyas need to do to get some respect, but they aren't getting it here as 6.5-point dogs to Colorado. This game should be lined much closer to a PK. We just saw Colorado play 3 straight games decided by 3 points or less against Cal, USC and Oregon State in the Pac-12 Tournament. Georgetown would probably beat all 3 of those teams with the exception of perhaps USC. Colorado is a terrible road team, and this is an early start time for them at 12:15 EST which is a 10:15 AM body clock game. They will be sleep-walking at tip off as they aren't used to playing this early in the day, while the Hoyas are used to it. The Buffaloes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games. Take Georgetown. |
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03-19-21 | Oregon State +8 v. Tennessee | 70-56 | Win | 100 | 48 h 37 m | Show | |
6* Oregon State/Tennessee NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Oregon State +8 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Oregon State Beavers against Tennessee in the opening round. The price has been off on the Beavers for a couple months now as they are 15-3-1 ATS in their last 19 games. Oregon State is 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after playing 3 straight games as underdogs. They won outright as underdogs over UCLA, Oregon and Colorado to win the Pac-12 Tournament. And I wouldn't be surprised to see them upset Tennessee in the opening round. Rick Barnes has always been a poor tournament coach, going 7-17-1 ATS in his last 25 NCAA Tournament games. Take Oregon State. |
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03-19-21 | Utah State v. Texas Tech -4 | Top | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 45 h 52 m | Show |
7* Utah State/Texas Tech NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas Tech -4 The Key: I like the price we are getting on Texas Tech now after losing their final 2 games of the season to Baylor and Texas. Now the Red Raiders are refocused and ready to go. Chris Beard is one of the best head coaches in the country and took the Red Raiders on a deep NCAA Tournament run a few years back. Utah State was blasted by 11 points by San Diego State in the MWC Championship Game and doesn't stand much of a chance of keeping this game competitive against Texas Tech, which played a much tougher schedule than the Aggies did this season. Utah State is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games after playing its last game as an underdog. The Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. The Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. Take Texas Tech. |
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03-19-21 | Virginia Tech +100 v. Florida | 70-75 | Loss | -100 | 43 h 22 m | Show | |
6* VA Tech/Florida NCAAB *CA$H COW* on VA Tech ML +100 The Key: The Virginia Tech Hokies have shaken off the rust from their COVID pause in late February. They are ready to take down the Florida Gators, who are one of the weakest teams in the tournament. The Hokies were 14-4 before the pause and should get back to playing like that team. The Gators are 4-5 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games with their only 4 wins coming against teams that did not make the NCAA Tournament. They also lost to South Carolina, and lost to the 4 teams that are in the field including 3 losses by double-digits. The Gators are now 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Take Virginia Tech. |
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03-18-21 | UCLA v. Michigan State -2 | Top | 86-80 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 38 m | Show |
7* UCLA/Michigan State NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Michigan State -2 The Key: The Michigan State Spartans went 5-3 SU in their final 8 games this season with upset wins over Illinois, Michigan and Ohio State. Thats 3 wins against Top 2 seeds and it proves that the Spartans can play with anyone. Now they take a step down in class here against the UCLA Bruins, who have lost 4 straight games to close out the season and are going in the other direction. It's worth noting that the Bruins also lost to the lone Big Ten team they faced this season in Ohio State. The Bruins are now 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Take Michigan State. |
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03-18-21 | Mt. St. Mary's v. Texas Southern -108 | 52-60 | Win | 100 | 52 h 29 m | Show | |
6* Mount St. Mary's/Texas Southern NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Texas Southern ML -108 The Key: Texas Southern is the better team in this matchup with Mount St. Mary's and it's really not even close. This is a Mount St. Mary's team that lost 10 of their 22 games this season despite facing a much easier schedule than Texas Southern did. The Tigers are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games and they were competitive in non-conference games against Oklahoma State, St. Mary's, Auburn and BYU. They also upset Wyoming outside the conference. Mount St. Mary's lost to the 3 best teams they played in non-conference in Navy, plus 18-point losses to both Maryland and VCU. The Tigers are an elite offensive team and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring 80-plus points in 2 consecutive games coming in. The Tigers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Take Texas Southern. |
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03-14-21 | Ohio State v. Illinois -6 | 88-91 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
6* Ohio State/Illinois Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Illinois -6 The Key: The Illini Fighting Illini have won 13 of their last 14 games overall and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games. They will only be playing their 3rd game in 3 days here after blowout wins over both Rutgers and Iowa. The Buckeyes will be playing their 4th game in 4 days and each of the last 3 went down to the wire with a 4-point win over Minnesota, an OT win over Purdue and a 1-point win over Michigan. It's obvious which of these teams will be fresher, plus the Buckeyes could be without Kyle Young again. I like the price we are getting with the Fighting Illini as their freshness compared to the tiredness of the Buckeyes isn't being factored into the line enough. Take Illinois. |
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03-13-21 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -1.5 | 86-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
6* Oklahoma State/Texas Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Texas -1.5 The Key: Texas has the rest advantage over Oklahoma State here after getting a surprise bye into the Big 12 Championship Game. Kansas had COVID problems yesterday that knocked the Jayhawks out of the Big 12 Tournament. The Longhorns will now be the more rested team and take on an Oklahoma State team that has been through 2 wars the last 2 days against West Virginia and Baylor. The Longhorns are 10-2 ATS in all road/neutral games this season as they have played their best ball away from home. Take Texas. |
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03-13-21 | Utah State +2 v. San Diego State | 57-68 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
6* Utah State/San Diego State MWC *CA$H COW* on Utah State +2 The Key: Utah State has been hungry to make the NCAA Tournament in the MWC Tournament and it has shown with 2 of their best performances of the season. The Aggies beat UNLV by 21 and Colorado State by 12 the last 2 days. They should still be reasonably fresh because of those 2 blowout victories. San Diego State already knew it was going to make the NCAA Tournament coming into the MWC Tournament and it has shown as the Aztecs have just gone through the motions. They only beat Wyoming by 3 as 15.5-point favorites and Nevada by 7 as 8-point favorites. They weren't able to rest their starters in either game and will not have much gas left in the tank as a result. The Aggies want this game more, and they are 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS against the Aztecs this season, handing them 2 of their 4 losses all season. The Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. The Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Utah State is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games after allowing 60 points or fewer in 2 straight games. Take Utah State. |
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03-13-21 | Iowa v. Illinois -3.5 | Top | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
7* Iowa/Illinois Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Illinois -3.5 The Key: The Illini Fighting Illini have won 12 of their last 13 games overall and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. They have the rest advantage here after playing the earlier game than Iowa yesterday and cruising to a 22-point win over Rutgers. Iowa had to play its starters big minutes in a 5-point win over Wisconsin late last night. And the Hawkeyes are already dealing with injuries to Fredrick and Wieskamp that are going to make this back-to-back situation even tougher on them. The Fighting Illini are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record. Take Illinois |
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03-12-21 | Ole Miss v. LSU -1 | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
6* Ole Miss/LSU SEC *CA$H COW* on LSU -1 The Key: LSU has gotten the double-bye into the quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament. They will take advantage of it here against an Ole Miss team that had to play yesterday in a win over South Carolina. The Tigers just have Ole Miss' number, going 8-1 SU in the last 9 meetings including 5 straight victories after their 75-61 road win over the Rebels in their lone matchup this season. Take LSU. |
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03-12-21 | Nevada +8 v. San Diego State | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
6* Nevada/San Diego State MWC *CA$H COW* on Nevada +8 The Key: The San Diego State Aztecs know they aren't playing for much in this Mountain West Tournament. At 21-4 on the season, they are only playing for seeding in the NCAA Tournament. They went through the motions in their 69-66 win over Wyoming as 15.5-point favorites yesterday. It's life and death for Nevada, which has made a great run here to close out the season in going 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games overall. They just upset Boise State 89-82 for their 3rd win against the Broncos in 3 tries this year. They already showed they could play with San Diego State, losing by 5 and 2 points in their 2 road matchups this year. So I like the price we are getting with the Wolf Pack as 8-point dogs here in their 3rd matchup. The Wolf Pack are 7-1 ATS as underdogs this season. The Wolf Pack are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games overall. Take Nevada. |
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03-12-21 | North Carolina v. Florida State -2 | Top | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
7* UNC/Florida State ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Florida State -2 The Key: Florida State has had the last couple days off while North Carolina has had to play each of the last 2 days. So the Tar Heels will be playing for a 3rd consecutive day here and that's a big disadvantage for them. The Tar Heels are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games off 3 or more consecutive wins. Take Florida State. |
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03-12-21 | Florida v. Tennessee -4.5 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
6* Florida/Tennessee SEC *CA$H COW* on Tennessee -4.5 The Key: The Tennessee Vols have gotten a double-bye into the quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament. They will take advantage of it here against a Florida team that had to play yesterday and beat Vanderbilt 69-63 as an 8-point favorite. I like the fact that was a close game so the Gators could not rest their starters late. The Vols were last seen beating this same Florida team 65-54 at home on March 7. Florida is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games off a win by 6 points or less. The Gators are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games as underdogs. The favorite is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 matchups. Take Tennessee. |
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03-11-21 | Indiana v. Rutgers -3 | 50-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
6* Indiana/Rutgers Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Rutgers -3 The Key: Indiana is 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games overall. That includes a 63-74 loss at Rutgers on February 24. The Hoosiers are playing without their best shooter in Armaan Franklin and he is doubtful to play today. Rutgers is hungry to make the NCAA Tournament and has gone 7-4 SU in its last 11 games overall. The Scarlet Knights are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 matchups with the Hoosiers. Indiana is 0-6 ATS when attempting to avenge a road loss this season. Take Rutgers. |
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03-11-21 | Arizona State v. Oregon -8.5 | 73-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
6* Arizona State/Oregon Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Oregon -8.5 The Key: Oregon has won 10 of its last 11 games overall. That includes a 75-64 road win at Arizona State in their lone matchup this year. Now they face a short-handed Sun Devils team that will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after needing a late comeback to beat Washington State yesterday. It will be the 4th game in 8 days for the Sun Devils. The Ducks have had the last 3 days off and are in the way more favorable situation. Take Oregon. |
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03-11-21 | Miami-FL v. Georgia Tech -9.5 | 66-70 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
6* Miami/Georgia Tech ACC *CA$H COW* on Georgia Tech -9.5 The Key: Miami will be playing for a 3rd consecutive day after 2 close wins over Pitt by 6 and Clemson by 3. They won't have much gas left in the tank today for Georgia Tech. Now they face a Yellow Jackets team that earned a double-bye thanks to a huge finish to the season. The Yellow Jackets have won 6 straight games and are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. That includes a 87-60 win at Miami. I like their chances of beating the Hurricanes by double-digits again given the favorable situation they are in. Take Georgia Tech. |
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03-11-21 | Georgetown +8.5 v. Villanova | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
6* Georgetown/Villanova Big East *CA$H COW* on Georgetown +8.5 The Key: Villanova will be without Gillespie and his 14.0 PPG along with Moore and his 12.7 PPG for the Big East Tournament opener against Georgetown. They lost outright to Providence in their first game without Gillespie, which is the same game Moore got hurt in. The Hoyas have played the Wildcats tough in both matchups this year as they lost by 10 and 13 points. Keep in mind they had a 13-point lead in that 13-point loss and only trailed by 2 at halftime in that 10-point defeat. The Hoyas are fully capable of winning this game outright today now that the Wildcats are down 2 of their top 3 scorers. And they impressed yesterday with a 68-49 win over Marquette that allowed them to rest their starters late. The Hoyas are now 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games. Take Georgetown. |
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03-10-21 | Iowa State +11.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
7* Iowa State/Oklahoma Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Iowa State +11.5 The Key: Iowa State played Oklahoma tough in covering both matchups this season with a 7-point road loss and a 10-point home loss. The Cyclones get their best player in Rasir Bolton and his 15.4 PPG back in the lineup after missing most of the last 4 games with an ankle injury. They face an Oklahoma team that has lost 4 straight including an upset loss to Kansas State. The Sooners are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Sooners are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as favorites. Take Iowa State. |
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03-10-21 | Kansas State +3.5 v. TCU | 71-50 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Kansas State/TCU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Kansas State +3.5 The Key: The Kansas State Wildcats are 3-1 SU in their last 4 games overall with their only loss coming at West Virginia. They upset Oklahoma as 10-point home dogs and upset TCU as 6.5-point road dogs. Now they are catching 3.5 points against TCU here on a neutral and I think they should be favored. The Horned Frogs are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games overall with 2 of their wins coming against Iowa State by 3 and 4 points. That's an Iowa State team that is 2-21 this season and winless in Big 12 play. The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as underdogs. The Horned Frogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as favorites. TCU is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games against a team with a losing record. Take Kansas State. |
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03-10-21 | Air Force +12 v. UNLV | 52-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Mountain West *CA$H COW* on Air Force +12 The Key: Air Force was competitive in both losses to UNLV this season. They lost 58-68 as 14-point road dogs and followed it up with a 64-69 loss as 13.5-point dogs 2 days later. Now the Falcons are catching 12 points against the Rebels despite not losing either of those games by more than 10 points. UNLV is struggling right now in going 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games overall with its 2 wins coming against 2 of the worst teams in the conference in San Jose State by 3 as 14-point favorites and Fresno State by 1 as 5-point favorites. They also lost outright as 7-point favorites to Fresno State and outright by 11 as 1.5-point favorites against Wyoming. The Falcons are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 neutral site games as underdogs. The Rebels are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. UNLV is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as a favorite, and 2-8 ATS as a favorite this season. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 matchups. Take Air Force. |
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03-09-21 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame -8 | 77-80 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
6* Wake Forest/Notre Dame ACC *CA$H COW* on Notre Dame -8 The Key: Wake Forest has lost 7 straight games by 7 points or more and 6 straight by 12 points or more. Those 7 losses came by 19 PPG as the Demon Deacons have simply given up on their season. The Fighting Irish are 5-5 SU & 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games and just upset the Florida State Seminoles 83-73 in their final game of the regular season. That includes a 79-58 win over Wake Forest in their first matchup this year. It should be another comfortable win for the Fighting Irish considering the Demon Deacons haven't even been competitive due to their questionable motivation. This is a veteran Notre Dame team relishing the opportunity to make a run in the ACC Tournament. I like the price on them considering they are clearly the hungrier team right now. Take Notre Dame. |
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03-09-21 | Oakland v. Cleveland State -2 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
7* Oakland/Cleveland State Horizon League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland State -2 The Key: The Cleveland State Vikings have been one of the most underrated teams in college basketball this season. They are 18-7 SU & 16-8-1 ATS. I cashed them in a short price yesterday as 3.5-point favorites over Wisconsin-Milwaukee. I like the short price we are getting on the Vikings again today against the Oakland Golden Grizzlies. They already beat Oakland twice on the road in their first two matchups this year. I see no reason anything will change here in the championship game. The Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. The Vikings are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games against teams that shoot 42% or worse and allow 45% or higher. The Vikings are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams that are outscored by 4 PPG or more on the season. Take Cleveland State. |
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03-09-21 | Boston College +13 v. Duke | 51-86 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
6* Boston College/Duke ACC *CA$H COW* on Boston College +13 The Key: I really like the price we are getting on the Boston College Eagles tongiht. They have been competitive down the stretch in going 3-1 ATS in their last 3 games overall including an upset win over Notre Dame. And they had to play Syracuse, FSU and Miami all on the road. They also only lost 82-83 as 11.5-point dogs at Duke in their first matchup this year, so they've already shown they can play with the Blue Devils. Duke is 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games overall, including a 73-91 loss at North Carolina. It's just hard to trust the Blue Devils right now with where their heads are at mentally. The Golden Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after playing 2 consecutive road games. Duke is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 neutral site games as a favorite. The Blue Devils are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games. Duke is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games off an ATS loss. Take Boston College. |
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03-08-21 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Cleveland State -3.5 | Top | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
7* Horizon League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland State -3.5 The Key: The Cleveland State Vikings have been one of the most underrated teams in college basketball this season. They are 17-7 SU & 15-8-1 ATS. I like the short price we are getting with the Vikings today over the Milwaukee Panthers. After beating Milwaukee 64-53 in their first matchup this year, the Vikings got out to a 34-23 halftime lead the next day. They then took their foot off the gas and the Panthers came back to win 81-80. The Vikings won't be letting up today and that was clearly a letdown spot. Cleveland State is 7-0 ATS when attempting to avenge a loss this season. The Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. The Vikings are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games off an ATS loss. Take Cleveland State. |
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03-07-21 | Texas Tech +8 v. Baylor | Top | 73-88 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
7* Texas Tech/Baylor Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas Tech +8 The Key: Baylor has only covered one of its last four gams and that was an overtime win against West Virginia. They didn't even come close to covering against Iowa State and Kansas as they lost outright to the Jayhawks and only beat the Cyclones by 5. And now they are laying 8 points to a Texas Tech team that has only 2 losses by more than 8 points all season. The Red Raiders have won and covered 3 straight games with their 3 wins coming by a total of 56 points. They are ready to give the Bears a run for their money today. Texas Tech is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games against good teams that win by 8-plus PPG on average 15 or more games into the season. The Red Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games against good offensive teams that score 77-plus PPG 15 or more games into the season. Texas Tech is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games road underdogs. Baylor is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take Texas Tech. |
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03-07-21 | Wisconsin +7 v. Iowa | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
6* Wisconsin/Iowa Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Wisconsin +7 The Key: I like the price we are getting on Wisconsin after losing 4 of its last 5 games while Iowa won 6 of its last 7. Let's just compare the line to the first time these teams played on February 18. Wisconsin was a 1.5-point home favorite and now is a 7-point road underdog which is an 8.5-point adjustment. Iowa did win that first matchup 77-62, but it took a 12 for 19 (63.2%) shooting effort from 3-point range. Wisconsin shot just 30% as a team. Look for the Badgers to close the gap drastically in both departments today. The Badgers are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games after losing 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. The Badgers are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games off a loss. The road team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups. Take Wisconsin. |
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03-07-21 | Florida v. Tennessee -5.5 | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
6* Florida/Tennessee SEC *CA$H COW* on Tennessee -5.5 The Key: The Tennessee Vols want to avenge their worst loss of the season today. They lost 49-75 at Florida despite being a 9-point favorite. Now the Vols are only 5.5-point favorites at home in this matchup so the price is right to back them when you compare the line to the first matchup. The Vols have been a resilient team this year in that they are 5-1 SU in their 6 games off a loss. The Vols are 70-43 ATS in their last 113 home games when attempting to avenge a loss. The home team is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 matchups. Take Tennessee. |
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03-06-21 | Vanderbilt +8.5 v. Ole Miss | 46-56 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
6* Vanderbilt/Ole Miss SEC *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt +8.5 The Key: Vanderbilt has quietly gone 7-0-4 ATS in its last 11 games overall. They just got their best player in Scottie Pippen Jr. and his 21.3 PPG back from an injury too, and he promptly scored 36 points in a 78-64 upset win at Cincinnati as 6.5-point underdogs. Now Pippen Jr. and the Commodores are catching 8.5 points from an Ole Miss team that they just beat 75-70 as 10.5-point home dogs on February 27th without Pippen Jr. I love the price we are getting on the Commodores today in this rematch. The Commodores are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 matchups. The road team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 matchups. Take Vanderbilt. |
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03-06-21 | Illinois v. Ohio State -2 | Top | 73-68 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
7* Illinois/Ohio State Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State -2 The Key: Ohio State is looking to erase the sour taste of 3 consecutive defeats. The Buckeyes got some much needed rest as they have had the last 5 days off to rest up and get healthy. They are primed for a great showing against Illinois today. The Fighting Illini are unlikely to have Ayo Dosunmu back today and are in a letdown spot off 3 straight wins, including the blowout victory over Michigan. The Buckeyes will be hungry because of those 3 straight losses, plus trying to get a Top 4 seed in the Big Ten Tournament and the fact that it is Senior Day. The Buckeyes have won 4 of the last 5 matchups in this series, including their 87-81 win at Illinois in their first matchup this year. The Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games when attempting to avenge a loss as a favorite. Take Ohio State. |
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03-06-21 | Indiana v. Purdue -6.5 | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
6* Indiana/Purdue Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Purdue -6.5 The Key: We have 2 teams headed in opposite directions here in Purdue and Indiana. The Boilermakers are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games, while the Hoosiers are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Indiana now knows it must likely win the Big Ten Tournament to make the NCAA Tournament. Purdue knows it can get a Top 4 seed in the Big Ten Tournament and a double-bye with a win here. It is also Senior Day for the Boilermakers. And they will have no problem kicking the Hoosiers while they are already down. The Boilermakers are 8-0 SU in their last 8 matchups with the Hoosiers with 6 of those wins coming by 7 points or more. They won 81-69 at Indiana earlier this year. The Hoosiers are likely to be without Armaan Franklin and his 11.6 PPG and great 3-point shooting as he is listed as doubtful. They could be without Race Thompson and his 9.6 PPG as well as he is questionable for this one. Take Purdue. |
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03-05-21 | Georgia Tech -9 v. Wake Forest | Top | 75-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
7* Georgia Tech/Wake Forest ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Georgia Tech -9 The Key: The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. They have won 5 straight games including impressive wins over Duke and Virginia Tech. They are fighting hard to make the NCAA Tournament down the stretch and cannot afford a slip up against Wake Forest. That shouldn't be a problem considering the Demon Deacons have already quit on their season. They have lost 6 straight games and are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Each of their last 5 losses have come by 13 points or more and by 22.8 PPG on average. The Yellow Jackets already beat them by 16 at home in their first matchup this year. Take Georgia Tech. |
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03-04-21 | Nebraska +17.5 v. Iowa | 64-102 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
6* Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Nebraska +17.5 The Key: The Nebraska Cornhuskers haven't been beaten by more than 18 points in any of their last 14 games overall. They have improved rapidly under Fred Hoiberg, coupled with the fact that a lot of teams take them lightly. I think that will be the issue for the Hawkeyes here. They just faced 2 of the top teams in the Big Ten in Michigan and Ohio State in their previous 2 games, so there will be a natural letdown factor here against Nebraska. The Huskers will stay within this number because of it. Take Nebraska. |
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03-04-21 | Arizona State +10.5 v. Colorado | 61-75 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
6* Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Arizona State +10.5 The Key: The Arizona State Sun Devils are finally starting to play up to the potential that had them ranked as a Top 25 team coming into the season. They have won 3 straight games by a combined 44 points and are now catching double-digits from Colorado. The Sun Devils also get some key pieces back from injury tonight to only fortify their roster a little more here down the stretch. They will be a scary team in the Pac-12 tournament, and will give Colorado a test tonight. The Buffaloes are coming off 3 straight wins including back to back wins over USC and UCLA, which has them primed for a letdown here. The Buffaloes are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games off 3 or more consecutive wins. Take Arizona State. |
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03-04-21 | TCU +13 v. West Virginia | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
6* Big 12 *CA$H COW* on TCU +13 The Key: The West Virginia Mountaineers had won 3 straight and had Baylor on the ropes Tuesday. They eventually blew a late lead and lost 89-94 (OT). Now I think there will be a hangover effect here for the Mountaineers and they won't bring the kind of effort it's going to take for them to cover this 13-point spread against TCU. The Horned Frogs already took the Mountaineers to the wire at home in a 66-74 loss in their first matchup this year as 7.5-point dogs. So this 13-point spread now is a 5.5-point adjustment off the first matchup. It's too much given the awful situation the Mountaineers are in off that heartbreaking loss to Baylor. It's the type of loss that can beat a team twice. The Mountaineers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after playing 2 consecutive home games. Take TCU. |
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03-03-21 | NC State v. Notre Dame -2.5 | 80-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Notre Dame -2.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting on Notre Dame tonight due to being off 3 straight road losses while NC State is off 4 straight wins. Now the Fighting Irish are back home tonight where they have gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games with all 3 wins coming by double-digits. NC State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games against a team with a losing record. The Fighting Irish are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as home favorites. The favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 matchups. Take Notre Dame. |
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03-02-21 | Vanderbilt +12 v. LSU | 68-83 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
6* Vanderbilt/LSU SEC *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt +12 The Key: The Vanderbilt Commodores continue to battle as they are 6-0-3 ATS in their last 9 games overall. They haven't lost any of those 9 games by more than 12 points, which is impressive when you consider they have played the likes of Tennessee, Alabama and Florida during this stretch. Now they are catching 12 points from an LSU team that is coming off 2 straight losses by 13 to Georgia and by 8 to Arkansas. LSU has only won one of its last eight matchups with Vanderbilt by more than 10 points. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record. LSU is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games. The Commodores are 6-0 ATS as underdogs of 10 or more points this season. The Commodores are 6-0 ATS in conference road games this season. Take Vanderbilt. |
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03-02-21 | Duke v. Georgia Tech -1.5 | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Duke/Georgia Tech ACC *CA$H COW* on Georgia Tech -1.5 The Key: Georgia Tech is 7-1 SU in ACC home games this season and 13-1 SU in its last 14 ACC home games dating back to last year. So I like the price we are getting on the Yellow Jackets, who nearly pulled the upset at Duke earlier this year in their first matchup. The Yellow Jackets have won 4 straight games by a combined 56 points and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. Duke is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Georgia Tech. |
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03-01-21 | Dayton v. St Bonaventure -7 | 55-52 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Dayton/St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 *CA$H COW* on St. Bonaventure -7 The Key: St. Bonaventure is 8-0 at home this season and winning by 19.0 PPG. Now it's Senior Night here and they should win in blowout fashion over a Dayton team that is 1-3 SU in its last 4 games overall and coming off a 13-point loss at St. Joe's as a 7.5-point favorite. St. Bonaventure has won all 8 of its home games this season by 8 points or more including an 11-point win over Davidson, a 17-point win over George Mason, a 16-point win over VCU and a 14-point win over Duquesne. They make it 9 in a row here by 8 points or more to send their seniors out the right way and potentially grab a spot in the NCAA Tournament in the process. Take St. Bonaventure. |
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02-28-21 | Nevada +8 v. Utah State | 66-87 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
6* Nevada/Utah State Mountain West *CA$H COW* on Nevada +8 The Key: Nevada showed a little rust early from its COVID break in its loss to Utah State on Friday. But the Wolf Pack made a big comeback in the 2nd half and only lost 72-75 as 9-point dogs. Now the Wolf Pack are 8-point dogs and will be looking to avenge that defeat. At the very least they should stay within this number. The Wolf Pack have been one of the most underrated teams in the country this season. Nevada is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games overall, including 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games. The Wolf Pack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs. Nevada is 21-8 ATS in its last 29 games against a team with a winning record. Utah State is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games against teams that win more than 60% of their games. The Wolf Pack are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after playing their last game on the road. The Wolf Pack are 10-1 ATS against good teams that outscore their opponents by 4 PPG or more this season. Take Nevada. |
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02-28-21 | Iowa v. Ohio State -3.5 | 73-57 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
6* Iowa/Ohio State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Ohio State -3.5 The Key: The Ohio State Buckeyes are 10-2 at home this season and will bounce back from 2 straight losses to Michigan and Michigan State tonight. They take on an Iowa team that they already beat on the road in their first matchup this year. And it's a Hawkeyes team that has been exposed of late in going just 5-5 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. Now the Hawkeyes just lost their best bench player in Jack Nunge to a season-ending injury in their 57-79 loss at Michigan on Thursday. The Buckeyes have won and covered each of their last 3 home matchups with Iowa, winning those games by a combined 42 points. The Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games off a loss. The Buckeyes are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as home favorites, including 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as home favorite of 6 points or fewer. Take Ohio State. |
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02-27-21 | Florida State v. North Carolina +2.5 | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
6* FSU/UNC ACC *CA$H COW* on North Carolina +2.5 The Key: The Florida State Seminoles are just 3-2 SU in true road games this year. They have feasted on a home-heavy schedule. They should not be road favorites over the North Carolina Tar Heels. The Tar Heels are 8-1 at home this year. The one loss? An upset loss to Marquette last time out as they stepped out of conference and didn't really care about that game. Now they will be refocused today and get back to playing how they were prior to that home defeat. They were last seen crushing Louisville 99-54 at home. Take North Carolina. |
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02-27-21 | Kansas State +14.5 v. West Virginia | 43-65 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Kansas State +14.5 The Key: West Virginia has its biggest game of the season on deck against Baylor March 2nd. The Mountaineers will be overlooking the Kansas State Wildcats today because of it and won't cover this 14.5-point spread. That's especially the case after already beating Kansas State by 22 in their first matchup this year. They will think they just have to show up to win. But the Wildcats have been one of the most improved teams in the country in the 2nd half of the season. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall including outright upsets over TCU as 7-point road dogs and Oklahoma as 10-point home dogs in their last 2 games. They also only lost to Texas by 3 as 14-point dogs, Oklahoma State by 7 as 13.5-point dogs and Texas Tech by 11 as 15.5-point dogs. Their only loss by more than this spread was an 18-point loss to Kansas. The Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as road underdogs. The Mountaineers are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games against a team with a losing record. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups. Take Kansas State. |
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02-27-21 | Boise State +6.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Boise State +6.5 The Key: The Boise State Broncos will be hungry to avenge their overtime defeat to the San Diego State Aztecs in their first matchup on February 27. I can't believe the books have come back with the same line here as they were 6.5-point dogs in that first matchup as well. Boise State isn't going to shoot as poorly as they did in that first matchup as they shot just 36.4% and still forced OT. The Broncos are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games off a loss. Take Boise State. |
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02-27-21 | Miami-FL +13 v. Clemson | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Miami/Clemson ACC *CA$H COW* on Miami +13 The Key: The Miami Hurricanes will be looking to avenge their 65-66 home loss to Clemson as 4.5-point underdogs in their first matchup this season. Now the Hurricanes are 13-point dogs in with an 8.5-point adjustment in the line. This is too much, especially for a rusty Clemson team that just came back from a 2-week COVID pause. Clemson is 0-6 ATS when the total is 129.5 or less this season. The Tigers are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. The Hurricanes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record. The underdog is 16-7-1 ATS in the last 24 matchups. Take Miami. |
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02-26-21 | Southern Illinois +20 v. Loyola-Chicago | 52-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Missouri Valley *CA$H COW* on Southern Illinois +20 The Key: Loyola-Chicago is just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games overall. It failed to cover the 3 games it was an 18-point favorite or higher against Evansville (twice) and Valparaiso. The Ramblers didn't win any of those games by more than 13 points, and I have a hard time seeing them beating Southern Illinois by 20-plus tonight. The Salukis have only lost by more than 18 points twice all season. The Ramblers play at such a slow tempo that it makes it tough for them to cover these big numbers. The Salukis are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 road games off a home win by 3 points or fewer. Take Southern Illinois. |
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02-25-21 | Boise State +6.5 v. San Diego State | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
6* Boise/SDSU Mountain West *CA$H COW* on Boise State +6.5 The Key: San Diego State is getting too much respect from the books now after going 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Those 8 games came against the bottom of the Mountain West Conference with 2 victories each over Air Force, Wyoming, San Jose State and Fresno State. Now the Aztecs are laying 6.5 points to a Boise State team that owns the best record in the conference. The Bulldogs are 17-4 this season and just swept Utah State. San Diego State was swept by Utah State in its 2 games prior to this 8-game winning streak. The Broncos are 8-1 ATS against good shooting teams that make 45% or better this year. Boise State is 6-0 ATS against good rebounding teams with a +4 RPG margin or better this year. The Broncos are a tall, lanky athletic team that will give the Aztecs troubles in both areas. Take Boise State. |
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02-25-21 | Western Kentucky +11.5 v. Houston | 57-81 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Western Kentucky +11.5 The Key: Western Kentucky is one of the best mid major teams in the country. They are 15-4 this season with a win over Alabama and a narrow loss to West Virginia. They have what it takes to hang with Houston and thrive in the underdog role. The Hilltoppers are 25-8 ATS in their last 33 games as underdogs. Houston could easily take them lightly as they step out of conference here in this rare non-conference game this late in the season. After all, the Cougars did just lose outright as 16.5-point favorites to East Carolina and outright to Wichita State as 7.5-point favorites. Take Western Kentucky. |
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02-25-21 | Washington +9.5 v. Arizona State | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
6* Washington/Arizona State Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Washington +9.5 The Key: Washington fell flat in its 64-97 road loss at Arizona State on Tuesday. Now the Huskies get a chance to avenge that defeat and have been pretty good in this situation recently. They bounced back from an earlier loss to Cal with a 62-51 win the game prior to Arizona State. They bounced back from a 15-point loss to Washington State with an upset road win over the Cougars. They lost by 23 to Colorado and won the rematch outright as home underdogs. That was a rare cover for the Sun Devils, who are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall. Arizona State is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 home games. The Sun Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a losing road record. The road team is 22-10 ATS in the last 32 matchups. The Sun Devils are missing several key players due to injury. Take Washington. |
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02-24-21 | Xavier v. Providence +2 | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
6* Xavier/Providence Big East *CA$H COW* on Providence +2 The Key: Providence lost at the buzzer 73-74 on the road to Xavier in their first matchup this season. They will be looking to avenge that defeat and I expect them to win outright as home underdogs tonight. The Friars are 6-3 SU at home this year while Xavier is just 2-2 in true road games. The Musketeers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as road favorites. The Friars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a .500 or better road record. The Friars are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games when avenging a same-season loss. Take Providence. |
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02-24-21 | Tulane +10.5 v. Memphis | 46-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
6* Tulane/Memphis AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulane +10.5 The Key: Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall and hasn't lost any of those games by more than 7 points. Now the Green Wave are catching double-digits against a Memphis team that will be rusty after having the last 16 days off due to COVID. They have only recently been able to start practicing again. Memphis only won 80-74 in its first matchup with Tulane this year. The Green Wave are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when lined as a +6.5 to +12 dog. The Green Wave are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring at least 80 points in their previous game. Take Tulane. |
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02-23-21 | Washington +9.5 v. Arizona State | 64-97 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Washington +9.5 The Key: Arizona State led the entire way against UCLA until the final seconds and lost 79-80 over the weekend. I don't think they'll be able to get back up off the mat following that defeat. At least not enough to put away Washington by double-digits, which is what it is going to take to cover this lofty number. This is a bad Arizona State team, plain and simple, and it has been reflected by the fact that they've gone just 4-14 ATS on the season. The Sun Devils haven't won a single Pac-12 game by more than 4 points, and they have just one win all season by more than 8 points, and that came in a 23-point win over Houston Baptist as a 37-point favorite. Washington keeps fighting down the stretch going 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games overall including an upset win over California 62-51 in their last contest. The Sun Devils are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record. Arizona State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games as a home favorite. The road team is 22-10 ATS in the last 32 matchups. Take Washington. |
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02-23-21 | Iowa State +23.5 v. Baylor | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Iowa State +23.5 The Key: The Baylor Bears have had the last 3 weeks off and just won't be hitting on all cylinders in their first game back. I really like the price on the Cyclones catching 23.5 points given the awful situation for the Bears. Iowa State only lost by 11 to Baylor in their first matchup this year as 15.5-point dogs. So there's no reason they should be 23.5-point dogs with the books adjusting 8 points for home-court advantage. This line should be much closer to the line from the first matchup this season. Take Iowa State. |
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02-23-21 | LSU v. Georgia +5 | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday SEC *CA$H COW* on Georgia +5 The Key: The Georgia Bulldogs will be looking to avenge their 92-94 (OT) loss at LSU in their first matchup this season. Now the Bulldogs are 5-point home dogs in a game they can win outright. The Bulldogs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games including upset wins over Kentucky, Ole Miss and Missouri. They are 11-3 SU at home this year. The home team is 7-2 SU in the last 9 matchups. LSU is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games off 2 consecutive home games. The Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games off a win by more than 20 points. The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games. Georgia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games as an underdog. The underdog is 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups. Take Georgia. |
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02-22-21 | Oregon +4 v. USC | 58-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
6* Oregon/USC Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Oregon +4 The Key: The Oregon Ducks had some COVID breaks that interrupted their season at the start of Pac-12 play. But they have found a rhythm now and have won 5 straight games to improve to 14-4 on the season. They always seem to be the best team in the Pac-12 every year, at least the most consistent. And this is a great opportunity to back them as a dog against the perceived best team in the conference in USC. But the Trojans showed their vulnerabilities in a 72-81 loss to Arizona on Saturday. They have weak guard play, and rely too much on their post players. Oregon is 25-9 ATS in its last 34 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games. The Ducks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as road dogs. The Ducks are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 trips to USC. The Trojans are 17-34 ATS in their last 51 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. The Ducks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against good teams that outscore their foes by 8 PPG or more after 15 or more games. Take Oregon. |
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02-22-21 | Valparaiso v. Southern Illinois -1.5 | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Southern Illinois -1.5 The Key: Southern Illinois lost a heartbreaker to Valparaiso by a single point 65-66 on Sunday. Look for the Salukis to avenge that defeat and continue being great in this situation. The Salukis are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games after losing the first game of the double-header in MVC play. They have come back to win all 3 games and were short favorites or underdogs in all 3 against Northern Iowa, Bradley and Illinois State. Valparaiso is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games after winning its last game outright as an underdog. Take Southern Illinois. |
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02-21-21 | Cincinnati +13.5 v. Houston | 52-90 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
6* Cincinnati/Houston AAC *CA$H COW* on Cincinnati +13.5 The Key: The Houston Cougars have recent upset losses to ECU 73-82 as 16.5-point favorites and Wichita State 63-68 as 7.5-point favorites. They should not be laying 13.5 points to Cincinnati today. I like the price we are getting on a Bearcats team that has won 4 straight and just doesn't get blown out. They have only lost one game all season by double-digits. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 matchups. Take Cincinnati. |
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02-21-21 | Michigan v. Ohio State +110 | Top | 92-87 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
7* Michigan/Ohio State Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State ML +110 The Key: The Ohio State Buckeyes have won 10 of their last 11 games with their only loss coming by 2 points to Purdue. The Buckeyes have won 16 of their last 18 home matchups with the Wolverines. The home team has covered 8 of the last 10 matchups in this series. The Buckeyes are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games. Take Ohio State on the Money Line. |
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02-20-21 | San Diego State v. Fresno State +14 | 75-57 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Fresno State +14 The Key: I like the price we are getting on Fresno State here in this rematch with San Diego State. The Bulldogs lost 53-67 at home to the Aztecs as 13.5-point dogs and are now 14-point dogs this time around. They will be the hungrier team and they aren't likely to shoot as poorly as they did in the 1st matchup. They shot just 33.3% while the Aztecs shot 48.1%. The price is getting steep to back the Aztecs now that they are ranked in the Top 25 after going 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The price is right to back the Bulldogs after going 4-5 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games off a double-digit home loss. The underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 matchups. The Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games off a home conference loss. Take Fresno State. |
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02-20-21 | Auburn v. LSU -4 | 80-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
6* Auburn/LSU SEC *CA$H COW* on LSU -4 The Key: The Auburn Tigers know they won't be going to the NCAA Tournament and they are having a hard time just playing for pride of late. They are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games overall with their only win coming over lowly Vanderbilt by 6 points. That includes upset home losses to both Ole Miss and Georgia. Now they hit the road to take on a very good LSU team that is trying to cement itself in the NCAA Tournament. The Tigers are 9-2 at home this year and coming off 2 straight blowout wins over Tennessee by 13 at home and Mississippi State by 14 on the road. They were underdogs in both games. I like the price here as only 4-point home favorites. Take LSU. |
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02-19-21 | Utah State +1.5 v. Boise State | 77-81 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
6* Utah State/Boise State Mountain West *BAILOUT* on Utah State +1.5 The Key: The Utah State Aggies will be looking to avenge their 70-79 road loss at Boise State on Wednesday. The Aggies made just 3 3-pointers and shot them at 18% in that game. They shoot over 34% on the season, so it was an aberration. Utah State is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 road games. The road team is 10-3 ATS in the last 14 matchups. Take Utah State. |
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02-18-21 | Colorado v. Oregon -3 | Top | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on Oregon -3 The Key: The Oregon Ducks have won 3 straight coming in with double-digit wins over Washington and ASU as well as an upset road win at Arizona. They are playing their best basketball of the season now that they are 4 games removed from their last COVID pause. And now they have their sights set on avenging a 72-79 loss at Colorado in their first matchup. The Buffaloes are just 17-43 ATS in their last 60 road games. The home team is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 matchups. The favorite is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups. The Ducks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home matchups with the Buffaloes. Take Oregon. |
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02-18-21 | St. Mary's +20.5 v. Gonzaga | 65-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
6* St. Mary's/Gonzaga WCC *CA$H COW* on St. Mary's +20.5 The Key: St. Mary's only lost 59-73 in its first matchup with Gonzaga as a 16.5-point dog earlier this season. Now the Gaels are 20.5-point dogs in their 2nd matchup and it's just too much. The Gaels are the one team in the WCC that has proven to give the Bulldogs some trouble over the years. They can make a game of this with their ability to slow the tempo and play great defense. They give up only 61.8 PPG this year. The Gaels are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games. St. Mary's is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 road games against a team with a winning home record. The road team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 matchups. The Bulldogs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games off an ATS win. Take St. Mary's. |
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02-17-21 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Indiana | 72-82 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Minnesota/Indiana Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Minnesota +6.5 The Key: Everyone is jumping on Indiana today seeing that Minnesota is 0-7 SU & 1-6 ATS on the road this season. But those 7 road losses all came to better teams than Indiana with the exception of Maryland. This is an 11-9 Indiana team that has lost 3 of its last 4 home games with its only win coming by 2 points. The Hoosiers should not be laying 6.5 points here to the Golden Gophers. I actually think Minnesota is the better team, so home-court advantage is not worth 6.5 points. The price is right to back the Gophers, who are 10-1 ATS int heir last 11 games off a loss in which they scored less than 60 points. The Hoosiers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as home favorites. The underdog is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 matchups. Take Minnesota. |
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02-17-21 | Valparaiso +20.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 52-54 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Valparaiso +20.5 The Key: Valparaiso recently outscored Drake by 14 points in 2 matchups with them. They lost by 3 in OT in the first matchup and won by 17 in the 2nd matchup. Given they've shown they can play with Drake, they will have the confidence to play with Loyola-Chicago tonight as well. They did get blown out by the Ramblers earlier this season, but they have been a much better team since. And they were 11-point dogs in that first matchup and are now 20.5-point dogs in the 2nd matchup. That 9.5-point difference shows that the price is right to back the Crusaders here tonight. Loyola-Chicago could be primed for a letdown after playing Drake twice over the weekend as well. They won't be nearly as hungry to face this Valpo team that they've already blown out once. Bets on dogs of 10 or more points who went under the total by 24 or more points in their last 3 games against an opponent that went under the total by 42 or more points in their last 7 games are 71-32 ATS over the last 5 years. Loyola-Chicago plays at a snails' pace which makes it difficult for them to cover these big numbers. Take Valparaiso. |
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02-17-21 | Evansville +6.5 v. Indiana State | 73-87 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Evansville/Indiana State MVC *CA$H COW* on Evansville +6.5 The Key: Evansville wants to avenge its 70-76 home loss to Indiana State on February 14 as 3-point underdogs. The Purple Aces come back as 6.5-point dogs at Indiana State just 3 days later here. To give up 59.6% shooting to the Sycamores and only lost by 6 is actually impressive. The Sycamores won't shoot nearly as well in the rematch. They shoot just 43.4% as a team this season. The Purple Aces are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as dogs. Take Evansville. |
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02-16-21 | Xavier v. St. John's -1 | 84-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
6* Xavier/St. John's Big East *CA$H COW* on St. John's -1 The Key: St. John's is 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games overall. The Red Storm's only losses during this stretch came by 2 points to Marquette and by 3 at Butler in OT after they blew a 16-point lead. They have upset wins over Providence, Villanova, Marquette and Connecticut during this run. Now they want to avenge their 61-69 road loss at Xavier on January 6th. The Musketeers have only played 2 games since January 10 due to COVID pauses. They are rusty right now and taking on a completely different Red Storm team than the first time they met. The Red Storm are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take St. John's. |
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02-15-21 | Washington +8 v. Washington State | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington +8 The Key: I really like the price we are getting with Washington in this rivalry game. Washington State beat Washington by 15 points in their first matchup this year. But that was a letdown spot for the Huskies as they were coming off 2 straight upset wins over Colorado and Utah. The price is right to back them in the rematch when you consider they were 1.5-point favorites in that first matchup and now are 8-point dogs in the 2nd matchup. The books have adjusted this line a whopping 9.5 points. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups. Take Washington. |
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02-14-21 | Bradley v. Missouri State -10 | 57-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
6* Missouri Valley *CA$H COW* on Missouri State -10 The Key: Bradley played without 4 of its best players yesterday in a 58-80 road loss to Missouri State. It should be more of the same here as the Braves are without these guys until Wednesday. They are missing Childs (14.2 PPG, 8.3 RPG), Henry (10.7 PPG, 4.7 RPG), Nolan Jr. (11.2 PPG, 3.3 APG) and Kingsby (4.0 PPG) due to suspension. That's their Top 3 scorers plus a key bench guy. Missouri State is 8-0 ATS as a favorite this season. The Bears are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games off a blowout home win by 20 points or more. Take Missouri State. |
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02-14-21 | Tulane +5 v. South Florida | 62-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
6* American Athletic *CA$H COW* on Tulane +5 The Key: Tulane is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games overall. It has lost just once by more than 4 points during this stretch, which was an 8-point loss at Wichita State as as 12-point dogs. The Green Wave shouldn't be catching 5 points against a South Florida team that is rusty due to a COVID break. The Bulls didn't play for an entire month then had to come back and play Houston, and it wasn't pretty in a 17-point loss. They were gassed in the 2nd half. They won't be much better today in their 2nd game back and this is a game I expect the Green Wave to win outright. Tulane is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 road games off 3 straight games as an underdog. The Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Take Tulane. |