Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-05-22 | Toronto v. Hamilton | Top | 28-8 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TI-CATS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. Hamilton has lost two straight games, both on the road, to fall to 3-8 on the season and the road has been the ultimate demise. The Ti-Cats are now 0-6 on the highway but are a much more respectable 3-2 at home with the two losses coming by a combined seven points against teams from the West Division. One of those wins came against Toronto in their last home game and the Argonauts got their revenge last week so now it is payback time for Hamilton. Dane Evans will be the starting quarterback again after Matthew Shiltz was hurt after replacing Evans last week so a return home can only do him good after a poor outing against Hamilton. The home team is 7-0 in the last seven games for Hamilton. Toronto improved to 5-5 on the season but it has had a very favorable schedule this far with seven of the 10 games taking place at home and this is the start of six road games over the last seven so things could get ugly down the stretch. The Argonauts are 1-2 on the road with both losses coming by a touchdown or more with the victory being an impressive one over Saskatchewan but they are at the wrong end of the revenge angle this week and one intangible in our favor is a contrarian one. Turnovers have been a big difference for Toronto as after six games, the Argonauts were -10 in turnover margin but over last four games they are +10 in turnover margin and this latter part of the angle cannot be sustainable. Here, we play on favorites after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (696) Hamilton Ti-Cats |
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09-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +3.5 | Top | 20-18 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Winnipeg bounced back from its first loss of the season with a two-point win over Calgary last week and is back on the road where it is a perfect 6-0. While the Blue Bombers have a 10-1 record, they have not exactly dominated as six of the 10 wins this season have been by seven points or less. Saskatchewan bounced back as well as it defeated B.C. on the road following a home loss to the Lions the previous week to move back over .500 at 6-5, one of four teams in the West Division with a winning record. The Roughriders are just 3-3 at home and that record is partially playing into this number along with the overall Winnipeg record. It was a good sign from quarterback Cody Fajardo last week as he threw for 321 passing yards with two touchdowns while completing 79.2 percent of his passes. This is the first of three meetings in the next four games so Saskatchewan has a chance to make a move with a big September run. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better after one or more consecutive losses against the spread playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 61-31 ATS (66.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (694) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-27-22 | Ottawa v. Edmonton Elks -3 | Top | 25-18 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Game of the Month. Football in Edmonton used to be a big deal but it has been some trying times for a while now. The Elks are 3-7 on the season with a playoff berth at least another year away but they have played better of late as all three of those wins came within their last seven games and the four defeats over this stretch have come against teams from the West Division. Additionally, all three wins have come on the road as the Elks are 0-4 at home and they have not won a home game in over 22 months as they are 0-12 over their last 12 home games. Thanks to some improved play over the last two weeks and the back end of a home-and-home series, this one sets up perfectly for the streak to end. Ottawa opened the season with three solid efforts with two games against Winnipeg and a game against B.C. resulting in losses by a combined 12 points but have struggled much more of late with four of their last five losses coming by at least a touchdown and the only victory on the season came at Toronto despite winning the yardage battle by just 26 total yards. The overall numbers are not horrible as Ottawa is ranked No. 5 in total offense and No. 7 in total defense but the quarterback situation remains a mess. Caleb Evans will take a seat and Nick Arbuckle will make the start on Saturday and while he has completed 66.7 percent of his passes in mop up duty, he has not thrown a touchdown while tossing two interceptions. The RedBlacks are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss. 10* (688) Edmonton Elks |
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08-26-22 | Saskatchewan +4 v. BC | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. The B.C. train keeps rolling along as the Lions are 8-1 on the season but they still train Winnipeg by a game in the West Division. They are coming off a win at Saskatchewan last week to make it five straight victories but the near future took a massive hit. Quarterback Nathan Rourke was hurt last week and is out for an undetermined period of time which is a huge loss. He passed for 375 yards in the abbreviated outing in Week 11 for his league-leading 6th game of the season with 300 or more yards and he has multiple touchdown passes in all nine of his starts. This will be the first career start for Michael O'Connor who was 5-5 last week when the game was already out of reach. Saskatchewan has now lost four of its last five games to fall to 5-5 on the season and it hits the road where it is 2-2 and a win here pulls it to within a half-game of Calgary in the West Division. Even without Rourke going for the Lions, this is not an easy matchup and while the value may seem to be on the other side, this is the contrarian side with the public biting on the smaller than anticipated number. The Roughriders will go with Cody Fajardo tonight after he was benched near halftime of the loss last week to the Lions and there is not a more motivational situation than this. The Roughriders are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off in two straight division games. This situation is 133-75 ATS (63.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (685) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-19-22 | BC v. Saskatchewan +5 | Top | 28-10 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over Edmonton last week and it heads back home trying to out an end to a two-game home losing skid. Injuries have played a role in the Roughriders 5-4 record and the big one has been quarterback Cody Fajardo who continues to play through his nagging knee injury and has done so while wearing a brace which has limited his running ability bit did score twice last week against the Elks. We are getting excellent value in this number as B.C. came here last month with the game listed as a pickem and now the Lions are laying a big number on the road in the second of three meetings in a span of four games. Saskatchewan is 24-11 ATS in its last 35 games against teams averaging 325 or more passing ypg. B.C. continues to play at a high level and it is coming off a thrilling 41-40 win over rival Calgary as it trailed 40-31 with just over two minutes remaining but closed with a pair of scores including the game-winning 25-yard field goal with five seconds remaining. That was a huge victory that kept the Lions within a game of first place in the West Division behind Winnipeg. They are 3-0 on the road including that win here last month and they have dominated in doing so, outgaining the three opponents by an average of 236.7 ypg and that is playing into this number that opened at 3 and has been steamed up to as much as 5.5 in some places. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off two straight division games. This situation is 180-120 (60 percent) since 1996. 10* (694) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-12-22 | Toronto v. Hamilton +1.5 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. We won with Toronto last week as it defeated Hamilton 34-20 as a one point favorite at home and now comes in as a road favorite and the normal venue switch would make the Argonauts the dog here. Toronto has won three of its last four games and has a sizable lead in the East Division at 2.6 games over Hamilton and Montreal. Five of the Argonauts seven games have been at home and are 1-1 on the road. Toronto benefitted from an interception returned for a touchdown as well as a kick return for a touchdown so the game was closer than the final score indicates as Toronto was actually outgained by 91 total yards. The big reason for the line switch is that Matthew Shiltz will be starting over Dane Evans who is listed as doubtful but he will be facing a Toronto defense that has been vulnerable against the pass, allowing 277.9 ypg through the air. Despite the 2-6 record, Hamilton has outgained five of eight opponents and is +28.6 ypg in differential on the season. On defense, Hamilton is No. 2 in the CFL against the pass and will have to continue to get to the quarterback after registering three sacks last week. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems after failing to cover the spread in five or six out of their last seven games, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 45-16 ATS (73.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (684) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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08-06-22 | Hamilton v. Toronto -1.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Game of the Week. After a 0-4 start to the season, Hamilton has won two of its last three games but neither were overly impressive as they came against Ottawa and Montreal by a combined nine points and both of those were at home. The Ti-Cats hit the road again where they are 0-3 while getting outgained by 44.4 ypg. To their credit, all three of those games have come against the much tougher West Division but they do now face the strongest team from the East, albeit a 3-3 squad. Quarterback Dane Evans has put up a decent amount of yards but he is completing only 67.4 percent of his passes and has tossed nine picks to his nine touchdowns and was given off a few series last week which we should see again here. Going back, the Ti-Cats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. Toronto possesses the second best offense in the CFL as it is averaging 376.7 ypg and the problem has been getting the ball into the endzone as well as simply turning it over too much at the wrong times as it is averaging only 19.8 ppg but it is going up against a defense with the opposite effect. Hamilton in second in the league in total defense, allowing 350.0 ypg but is has given up 25.0 ppg which is No. 6 in the CFL and that is where the Argonauts can take advantage, especially at home. Quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson has been solid for the most part as he has thrown for 1,713 yards at a 71.4 percent completion rate but his six interceptions have cost him at times and he needs to cut those down. The Argonauts are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss. 10* (696) Toronto Argonauts |
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08-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +5.5 | Top | 35-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALLOUETTES for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. We played against Winnipeg last week as it came from behind to defeat Calgary to improve to 8-0 on the season. The two-time reigning Grey Cup champions have won 10 straight games going back to last season and the Blue Bombers have been far from dominant as they have been outgained in four of their seven games and on the season, they have been outyarded by over 15 ypg as they possess the No. 7 offense and No. 4 defense, which are not typical rankings for a 8-0 team. This is no doubt a letdown spot as after opening with four straight games against the East, the last four have come against the West including a pair over rival Calgary and this is the last of three straight road games and the first cross country trip. Montreal is coming off a loss against Hamilton which was its third in four games to fall to 2-5 on the season. The Alouettes have played better than that record as they have been outgained by just over eight ypg and they bring in the No. 6 ranked offense and defense which is certainly nothing special but they are close to being in the top half on both sides. Five of the first seven games have been on the road so this marks just the third home game of the season after starting 1-1. A one-point loss to Edmonton was not good but a 24-point win over Saskatchewan was a solid victory. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a close win by seven points or less over a division rival, in the first half of the season. This situation is 33-12 ATS (73.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (692) Montreal Alouettes |
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07-30-22 | Winnipeg v. Calgary +1.5 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Game of the Month. After a 4-0 start, Calgary is coming off a loss against Winnipeg on the road as it was coming off a bye week and is now coming off another bye and back home playing with revenge. The Stampeders are 2-0 at home and have failed to cover either of those games and that brings some value as does the public love for the opponent. Calgary is ranked No. 2 in total offense while ranked No. 6 in total defense and it has outscored its opponents by close to 10 ppg while winning the yardage battle by 23 ypg. Bo Levi Mitchell has been as solid as always, completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 1,299 yards with seven touchdowns and just three picks. Winnipeg is off to a 7-0 start and the reigning Grey Cup champions have won nine straight games going back to last season. The Blue Bombers have been far from dominant as they have been outgained in four of their seven games and on the season, they have been outyarded by close to 28 ypg as they possess the No. 8 offense and No. 5 defense, which are not typical rankings for a 7-0 team. They have help opponents out of the end zone but have faced a slew of poor offenses and while Calgary managed just 297 yards in the first meeting, expect a bigger effort at home. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) Calgary Stampeders |
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07-29-22 | BC v. Saskatchewan +2 | Top | 32-17 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. B.C. opened the season 3-0 before getting thumped at home against Winnipeg but it bounced back last week with a win against Hamilton and comes in as the road favorite which is just its second road game of the season. After dominating their first three games, the Lions have been outgained in each of their last two games and have fallen back into normalcy. They still lead the league in offense as they are averaging 447.2 ypg but have a tough matchup here. B.C. has scored only 39 combined points the last two games, and now faces a Roughriders defense that has allowed the second-fewest yards in the CFL and leads the league in sacks with 26. The Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. Saskatchewan opened the season 4-1 but has lost its last two games as it was swept against Toronto in back-to-back games. The Roughriders are coming off their worst effort in a 10-point loss to the Argonauts as they were outgained by 377 yards and while that is keeping the betting market off of them, they were severely shorthanded as many players were out due to a COVID outbreak. Quarterback Cody Fajardo missed that game with a knee injury and COVID issues but is now listed as probably which is big as Jake Dolegala struggled as his replacement. The Roughriders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .50 or better after one or more consecutive losses against the spread, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 59-30 ATS (66.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (684) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-21-22 | Hamilton +8.5 v. BC | Top | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TI-CATS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Hamilton has gone from a team that was a win away from winning the Grey Cup to a team that is off to a 1-4 start but has some momentum on its side following a win over Ottawa last week. Quarterback Dane Evans completed 21 of 28 passes for 342 yards and two touchdowns and that is a big confidence boost. The Ti-Cats have not played as bad as the record shows as two losses have come by a combined seven points and they have outgained three of their five opponents. This is a big contrarian play as reading the Canadians papers shows that everyone loves the Ti-Cats to fall big but momentum is a big thing, especially against a team continuing to be overpriced. Hamilton is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 road games against teams averaging 325 or more passing ypg. B.C. came back down to earth after a dominant 4-0 start as it lost to Winnipeg by 21 points two weeks ago and while it is coming off a bye week, the real Lions may have finally been exposed. Despite that, they are still being priced as the undefeated team and it is hard to be sold on a team that was so bad last season and has turned it around at the flip of a switch. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win over a division rival, in July games. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1996. 10* (693) Hamilton Ti-Cats |
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07-15-22 | Calgary +4 v. Winnipeg | Top | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. While 3 is a key point spread number in football, it does not really pertain to the CFL as much but there is still value in this number as we can give 3 to home field and Calgary is getting value over that and as of this point in the season, it has been the better of the two undefeated teams. The Stampeders are off to a 4-0 start and while the opposition has not been great, that can be said for both sides and they have been more dominant. Calgary is ranked No. 2 in total offense while ranked No. 5 in total defense and it has outscored its opponents by 14 ppg while winning the yardage battle by close to 45 ypg. Bo Levi Mitchell has been as solid as always, completing 69 percent of his passes for 1,112 yards with six touchdowns and just two picks. Calgary is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games as an underdog while going 18-8 ATS in its last 26 games against the West Division. Winnipeg is 5-0 and it has not been overly impressive with the exception of the win over B.C. last time out but the Lions are not the team many think that started off. The Blue Bombers have gotten off to a slow start on offense is they are ranked No. 7, ahead of only Hamilton and Edmonton while the defense is ranked No. 6 in total defense but to their credit, they have kept the points off the board but those were against some anemic defenses. Overall, Winnipeg has been outgained by 34.8 ypg and it still gets the love based on the last two Grey Cup wins and the undefeated start. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win over a division rival, in July games. This situation is 47-16 ATS (74.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (683) Calgary Stampeders |
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07-02-22 | Montreal v. Saskatchewan -4.5 | Top | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. This is the second of a home-and-home between Montreal and Saskatchewan after the Alouettes rolled over the Roughriders last week 37-13. Montreal is now 1-2 on the season and has covered all three games as it lost to Toronto by a point and Calgary by a field goal, both on the road. The win last week was deceiving however as the Alouettes outgained Saskatchewan by only five total yards as they returned the opening kickoff for a touchdown and took advantage of two interceptions by Cody Fajardo, one returned for a touchdown. Additionally, the Roughriders did not help their cause by committing 11 penalties for 106 yards. That win was the first this season by a team from the East over a team from the West and on the season, the East is 1-9 against its counterpart division. Saskatchewan opened the season with a pair of double-digit wins against Hamilton and Edmonton and while those are two of the worst teams in the league, Montreal is not that much better and the loss last week can be blamed on the intangibles more than anything. To be fair, Fajardo was not good last week as he threw for only 191 yards to go along with those two picked and had a passer rating of 51.3 after posting ratings of 110.3 and 118.6 in his first two games. The Roughriders are ranked No. 2 in overall defense and No. 1 against the run and they held Montreal to just 60 yards on the ground last week. Expect the defense to come up strong again against either Trevor Harris or Vernon Davis, Jr. Here, we play on home teams that are averaging between 385 and 420 ypg going up against teams averaging between 345 and 385 ypg, after allowing 7.6 or more yppl in their previous game. this situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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06-30-22 | BC v. Ottawa +2.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. B.C. has been the early season surprise in the CFL as it is off to a 2-0 start which is one win shy of its win total from all of last season. The Lions have destroyed both of their opponents by a combined score of 103-18 while winning the yardage battle by an average of 247 ypg but those were against two teams not expected to make much noise this season. B.C. hits the road for the first time this season and are travelling cross country on a short week and while playing another team that is not predicted to do a whole lot, the situation is not a good one. Quarterback Nathan Rourke has shredded the first two defenses he has faced as he has completed an amazing 87.8 percent of his passes while throwing seven touchdowns and no interceptions but we will see what he can do against a defense that has had plenty of time to prepare. Ottawa is off to a 0-2 start but has looked good in doing so if that makes sense. The RedBlacks have played two-time Grey Cup Champion Edmonton twice and shut down the potent Blue Bombers offense both times, allowing only 19 points in each game. They outgained Winnipeg by 152 and 82 total yards and while it is only a two-game sample, they have the No. 2 ranked defense in the CFL and while the results are opposite of B.C., it can be argued their start is just as impressive. The offense has not produced on the scoreboard but quarterback Jeremiah Masoli has thrown for 355 ypg and 9.9 ypa and will test the Lions defense for the first time this season as they have faced Nick Arbuckle and McLeod Bethel-Thompson. Overall, the RedBlacks are ranked No. 2 in total offense so it is up the unit to produce in the clutch which has been the issue. Ottawa is coming off its first bye week which adds to the situational advantage as it has not left home in 19 days. 10* (682) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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06-25-22 | Toronto +5 v. BC | Top | 3-44 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Game of the Week. Both Toronto and B.C. are just one game into the season and while both are 1-0, the results were much different and because of this, we have seen the line climb from 3 to 4.5 and the big value is on the road team. Toronto escaped in its season opener following a bye in Week One as it defeated Montreal by a point, avoiding a loss with the Alouettes missing a field goal in the final seconds. The Argonauts were the top team in the East Division last season and hosted a playoff game but lost to Hamilton and they are coming into this season with some high expectations once again. They have failed to cover six of their last seven games going back to last season and that could also be playing a factor into this number. They have the edge of playing last week while B.C. had some momentum cut short with a week off. The Lions rolled in their season opener over the worst team in the CFL as they defeated Edmonton 59-15 thanks to a huge first half where they scored four touchdowns on four red zone trip while also adding rushing touchdowns of 36 and 21 yards. It was a very impressive victory based on final score and overall production but B.C. takes a big step up in competition here. The Lions were just 5-9 last season and did not do much to improve on the offensive side. They lost veteran Mike Reilly at quarterback who retired and while Nathan Rourke was impressive in his first starts, that was against the Elks and he will have a bigger challenge here against a defense that was average last season and made some strong upgrades. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (697) Toronto Argonauts |
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06-23-22 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal +4 | Top | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 34 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Montreal is off to a 0-2 start but both games could have gone either way. The Alouettes opened the season with a three-point loss at Calgary and followed that up with a one-point loss at Toronto last week as they missed a field goal in the last seconds of the game. They are now back in Montreal for their home opener and look to build off those first two impressive performances. Montreal outgained the Stampeders by 31 total yards and were outgained by just 19 total yards against the Argonauts and the season has started like what happened all of last season as the Alouettes lost four of their seven games by five points or less so they have been close to turning the corner. Vernon Adams, Jr. is out at quarterback but that is not a bad thing as Trevor Harris is the best backup in the league and threw for 270 yards in relief last week. The Roughriders are off to a 2-0 start , but those results are a little skewed. They opened the season against Hamilton and it was a close game until they pulled away in the fourth quarter and then last week against Edmonton, they trailed going into the final quarter and ended up with another double-digit win. The defense has carried the team thus far late in games and are at a scheduling disadvantage here. Saskatchewan heads east for the first time and has had two fewer days off than Montreal which is an issue as the shortened turnaround hurts when trying to prep for two quarterbacks as it had to early in the week. Saskatchewan is 5-15 ATS on its last 20 games after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better. Here, we play against teams off a win over a division rival, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (692) Montreal Alouettes |
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06-18-22 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton Elks +8 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan opened the season with a 30-13 win over Hamilton but it was not overly dominant as it outrushed the Ti-Cats by just 49 yards and outpassed them by just 41 yards. The Roughriders benefitted from five Hamilton turnovers and the ones that happened late decided the game as Saskatchewan was up by just a score of 15-13 with less than four minutes left and scored 15 unanswered points over that final stretch. Hamilton also hurt itself by getting in tough situations as on 17 occasions, it faced a second and long and those catch up quickly. Sure, the Roughriders defense can be given some credit on those first down stops but overall, it was a clearly misleading final score as Saskatchewan in now overvalued hitting the road for the first time. The Roughriders are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing record. Edmonton is coming off an awful opening game against B.C. as it lost 59-15 but was outgained by a more respectable 153 total yards which is by no means good, but that does not correlate to the final score. Quarterback Nate Arbuckle was 20-29 for 254 yards but tossed three interceptions and falling behind 42-6 at halftime was an insurmountable deficit. The Elks are coming off a 3-11 season and not much is expected this year as they are +2,500 to win the Grey Cup, easily the longest odds in the league but there are improvements even though they were not fully on display in the first game. The Elks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against favorites after one or more consecutive straight up wins, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (688) Edmonton Elks |
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06-17-22 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa +4.5 | Top | 19-12 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. This is the second of a home-and-home between Winnipeg and Ottawa with the Blue Bombers escaping with a 19-17 win and it should have not been that close, going the other way. The RedBlacks outgained Winnipeg 441-289 but had some costly penalties and were forced into three field goals and a single as they could not execute deep when needed while ending the first half at the Winnipeg 22-yard line with timeouts remaining but inexplicably let the time run out. Jeremiah Masoli had a big game in his first start for Ottawa as he was 24-34 for 380 yards with a touchdown and an interception and despite losing, Ottawa has to be encouraged in its season opener. The game was decided by a Winnipeg field goal with six seconds left which left the RedBlacks despondent but an early revenge spot at home will have them ready. The RedBlacks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in June. Winnipeg should be better but this is clearly a bad matchup and a big factor here is the line. The Blue Bombers closed as a 6.5-point favorite at home and now they are favored by just a couple points less on the road which is not the typical line swing based on home field. The fact Winnipeg won is the one thing that the common bettor will look at and not take advantage of digging deeper into the game to see exactly what transpired. The Blue Bombers are the team with the bulls-eye on its back and they continue to be overvalued going back to last season as they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite. Here, we play against favorites after one or more consecutive straight up wins, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (684) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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06-10-22 | Ottawa +10 v. Winnipeg | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 81 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Winnipeg is coming off its second straight Grey Cup as it defeated Hamilton last December in overtime, coming back from a 20-10 fourth quarter deficit. The pieces are in place for another run but there has been some turnover in key areas that could take some time early in the season for this team to display its full potential. The Blue Bombers were the class of the West Division last year with an 11-3 record but the division is better and this line is based on the results from last season. Quarterback Zach Collaros had a solid season with Winnipeg last year and carried the Blue Bombers to their second straight Grey Cup but he has lost several key weapons on offense that includes running back Andrew Harris and league-leading wide receiver Kenny Lawler. They led the league in scoring and were by far the best defense in the league but with that repeat championship comes high expectations and every opponent will be out for the upset. Ottawa is the first one on the schedule and the RedBlacks have gone through an overhaul following a disappointing 3-11 record in 2021. The front office has changed and with that came numerous roster changes and many for the good as this is not really considered a rebuild but a retooling that looks much better on paper. Ottawa signed quarterback Jeremiah Masoli in free agency and he is a proven commodity and the RedBlacks also brought back running back William Powell who rushed for 2,389 yards in 2017-2018 before a couple solid years in Saskatchewan. The defense is a concern but holes were filled there too and this could easily be a team on the rise. 10* (693) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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06-09-22 | Montreal v. Calgary -3 | Top | 27-30 | Push | 0 | 58 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Non-Division Game of the Month. The CFL season gets underway Thursday and this will be the first normal season in three years as COVID cancelled 2020 and minimized the schedule in 2021. Calgary plays host to the first game in Week One and while the Stampeders have made the playoffs 16 years in a row, it has been a mediocre last couple years. Last season, Calgary lost to Saskatchewan in the opening round of the playoffs in overtime which resulted in an overall record of 8-7 and things should be better this season. The main reason for the average 2021 campaign was the play of quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell who played through the season with shoulder injuries and managed only 10 touchdowns after averaging over 27 touchdowns in his previous four seasons and had a career low 83 quarterback rating. The good news is that he is fully healthy and has most of his weapons back including running back Ka'Deem Carey, wide receiver Reggie Begelton, and slot back Kamar Jorden. Calgary went just 3-4 at home last season but that changes this year beginning right out of the gate. Montreal went 7-7 during the regular season before losing to Hamilton in the playoffs and the Alouettes are in position to make another playoff run but catch a tough opener. Vernon Adams is back as the starting quarterback after going down with a season ending injury in October and he can be dangerous but faces a tough defense that finished third in the league in points allowed last season at 18.8 ppg. Montreal was just 2-4 against the West Division and will be tested right away against a team that is ready to make it back to the elite status in the CFL. 10* (692) Calgary Stampeders |
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10-30-21 | Saskatchewan +1.5 v. Montreal | Top | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
his is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. We won with Saskatchewan last week as it defeated Calgary, snapping a two-game losing streak against the Stampeders. The Roughriders now have a game and a half lead over Calgary for second place in the West Division and this is a big stretch for them. A winnable game against Montreal is followed by a back-to-back set against 2-7 Edmonton so this is a good shot at getting some breathing room. They can actually lock up a playoff berth this week as a win here coupled with losses by either the B.C. or Calgary combined with a loss by Edmonton. The Roughriders are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Montreal has won four straight games to improve to 6-4 which is good for a tie for first place in the East Division with Toronto although two of those came against the worst team in the CFL. 2-9 Ottawa. It will be strength against strength. The Alouettes lead the CFL in rushing yards with 1,553, rushing attempts at 261 and with 6.0 ypc. The Roughriders have held teams to a league-low 738 rushing yards, fewest rush attempts at 168 and lowest average gain per rush with 4.4 ypc. The Alouettes are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive straight up wins, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (675) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-23-21 | Saskatchewan +2.5 v. Calgary | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
his is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan and Calgary are set to meet for the third time in four weeks and this will be the third straight game against the Stampeders for Saskatchewan which is coming off a bye last week. The Roughriders have dropped the last two meetings by a possession each but are getting some big help on offense this week as two receivers are ready to open it up as Shaq Evans will be back after missing the last seven games with a broken foot and Duke Williams is expected to be available for his first game this season. Saskatchewan is 24-7 ATS in its last 31 games revenging two straight close losses by seven points or less. Calgary has now won three straight games following a 39-10 victory over B.C. last week but it won the yardage battle by just 40 total yards as they benefitted from a kickoff return for a touchdown as well as an interception return for a touchdown as well. The Stampeders are now 5-5 on the season and have moved into second place in the West Division. The Stampeders are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a loss as a favorite. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1996. 10* (667) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-16-21 | Calgary v. BC -1 | Top | 39-10 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan came into Week Nine with a 5-2 record but lost two games against Calgary which improved to 4-5 on the season to get back into the playoff race. B.C. is a half-game ahead of the Stampeders so this is a big game for the Lions to gain some space. Both teams are in a battle for third in the West, but a Lions win could see them pull into a tie with Saskatchewan for the No. 2 seed. The Lions possess the number two scoring defense in the West Division while Calgary has the second lowest scoring offense in the league. Calgary backup quarterback Jake Maier has COVID-19 and he will be in isolation until further notice so Michael O'Connor will back up Bo Levi Mitchell until his return to the roster and while it should noy be an impact, an injury to Mitchell would be catastrophic for Calgary. B.C. is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 home games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game while the Stampeders are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems coming off a loss against a division rival going up against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 68-32 ATS (68 percent) since 1996. 10* (676) B.C. Lions |
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10-11-21 | Toronto v. Hamilton -4.5 | Top | 24-23 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. Hamilton is coming off a loss last week against Montreal which snapped an 11-game home winning streak but we expect the Tiger-Cats to get back to their winning ways here. They will have had an extra two days to get ready for this game which is important to get Jeremiah Masoli, Bralon Addison and Brandon Banks ready as they are back in the lineup after time off. Toronto has won two straight games to improve to 5-3 and is playing with much shorter rest following the win over Ottawa. The Argonauts are a perfect 4-0 at home but just 1-3 on the road and are in a tough spot with Hamilton coming off that home loss. Hamilton defeated Toronto by 13 points in the first meeting here and while the number was shorter, we expect an easy win and cover on Monday. The Argonauts are 9-22-1 ATS in their last 32 games as a road underdog while the Tiger-Cats are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. 10* (688) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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10-09-21 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan -3.5 | Top | 22-19 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. We played on Calgary last week against Saskatchewan as it won 23-17 but we will be backing the Roughriders this week in the second game of this home-and-home. We are getting great line value here as Saskatchewan was favored on the road by 2.5 points and it is now favored by just a point more at home. Saskatchewan is 4-1 at home this season with the lone loss coming against 7-1 Winnipeg. Calgary is 0-6 ATS in its last six games after gaining 275 or less total yards while going 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after having won two out of their last three games. Expect a motivated and refocused Cody Fajardo to get back on track this week at home in the rematch against Calgary. The Roughriders are 7-1-1 ATS against teams with a losing record. 10* (664) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-02-21 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary +2.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 51 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan is coming off a pair of wins to move to move to 5-2 on the season. The Roughriders have outgained opponents by just 164-143 so there is some illusion in this record. The Roughriders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games against the West. Calgary is off to a 2-5 start but that is a bit skewed as four of those losses came by a single possession. They have typically been the favorite in the West so they should be playing with a chip on their shoulder. The Stampeders are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. Here, we play against favorites with a turnover margin of +0.75 per game or better on the season, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (678) Calgary Stampeders |
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08-29-21 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -6.5 | Top | 16-18 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Game of the Month. We won with Calgary last week but we are going against them here on the road. The Stampeders placed quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell on the six-game injured list two weeks ago with a broken fibula. Jake Maier took over and while he threw for 301 yards, he did toss two picks and completed just 55.2 percent of his throws. The Stampeders are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. After a pair of wins to open the season, Winnipeg lost at Toronto last week. It was outgained by 223 total yards but it is cack home now in a great spot. The Blue Bombers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. 10* (686) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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08-21-21 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan -10.5 | Top | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Ottawa is coming off its bye week following a season opening win at Edmonton. I was a skewed 16-12 final score however as the RedBlacks were outgained by 316 total yards and lost the first downs 26-7. The Roughriders are off to a 2-0 start following a 30-8 win over Hamilton and it could have been more of a blowout if they did not commit 20 penalties for 187 yards. This team is stacked on both sides and laying this number is not an issue especially against a team that gained just 127 total yards in their first game. Here, we play on teams after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 275 or less total yards in their previous game. This situation is 41-16 ATS (71.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (678) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-20-21 | Montreal v. Calgary +6 | Top | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. The Stampeders placed quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell on the six-game injured list Tuesday with a broken fibula and while that is a big hit, this is a veteran team in a desperate spot. Calgary is off to a 0-2 start which is rare for this team and a bounce back is expected here. The Alouettes are coming off a season opening 30-13 win over Edmonton and while that looks good, it could be considered a fluke. Montreal figures to apply a lot of pressure on the Calgary quarterback after notching four sacks in its season-opening win last Saturday. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite going up against opponent off a road win. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (674) Calgary Stampeders |
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08-19-21 | Edmonton Elks +3.5 v. BC | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Game of the Week. Edmonton has gotten off to a 0-2 stat this season. With four days in between games, the Eskimos are looking forward to getting things back on track Thursday when they travel to Vancouver in search of their first win of the season. B.C. is 1-1 including a win last time out against Calgary last time out and has easily covered both games. This is a great letdown spot and the line is on our side. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (671) Edmonton Eskimos |
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08-14-21 | Hamilton +1.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 8-30 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Game of the Week. Hamilton looks to bounce back following a Week One loss against Winnipeg. The six points was the lowest offensive output of any team in Week One while the Roughriders put 33 points on the scoreboard in their season opening victory over the B.C. Lions. In that game, the Roughriders raced into a 31-0 second-quarter lead before hanging on for a 33-29 victory so there are issues. Hamilton will be looking for their first victory not only of the season, but also at new Mosaic Stadium. Here, we play against favorites off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 60-24 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (685) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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11-10-19 | Winnipeg v. Calgary -4 | Top | 35-14 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Sunday Enforcer. The Stampeders are playing a rare semifinal playoff game as Saskatchewan was able to win the West Division and get a first round bye. Calgary has an advantage since it is at home and as healthy as it has been in months. After a 3-2 start, the Stampeders have won their last four games at McMahon Stadium and they have won their last five home playoff games. Reigning Most Outstanding Player Bo Levi Mitchell is justifying a four-year contract extension signed last winter by playing some of the best football of his career. And he has torched the Blue Bombers in 2019 with 344 yards per game. Winnipeg has been up and down to close the season as it lost four of its last six games while getting outgained in five of those. Despite a season ending split with Calgary, the Blue Bombers were outgained both times. Here, we play against road teams after a game where they forced no turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive game where they committed one or less turnovers. This situation is 35-9 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (824) Calgary Stampeders |
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11-02-19 | Edmonton v. Saskatchewan -9.5 | Top | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. There is a lot on the line in the West Division and Saskatchewan has the advantage of being the first game played. With a victory, the Roughriders would lock up the West Division crown for the first time since the 2009 season. Cody Fajardo is now considered questionable for the game after he reportedly pulled a muscle in his back during a closed practice. If he is unable to play Isaac Harker will make the start. All other starters are going to play with what is at stake. Edmonton already knows its playoff fate as it will be traveling to Montreal in a crossover game. The Eskimos lost their final home game of the season, a 27-24 defeats against Saskatchewan in the first game of this hone-and-home. Quarterback Trevor Harris will likely not suit up in the Eskimos final game of the season against the Roughriders, instead Logan Kilgore will be the projected starter. Many other starters are projected to sit as well in preparation of the postseason. Edmonton is 0-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season while Saskatchewan is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 10* (814) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-26-19 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton +1.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Edmonton clinched a playoff berth as the crossover team in Week 18 and will head to the post-season for the fifth time in six seasons. The Eskimos have compiled a 5-3 record at The Brick Field at Commonwealth Stadium this season, including a 19-6 win over BC when the team last played in Week 18. They got a big boost to the lineup, as starting quarterback Trevor Harris was activated from the six-game injured list on Monday. Harris had completed 71.7 percent of his passes for 3,706 yards and 15 touchdowns against four interceptions through 12 games prior to the injury. Coming off their bye week, the Eskimos are well rested which is a big edge this late into the season. Saskatchewan does have a lot to play for as it still has a chance to claim the top spot in the West Division but the environment tonight will not make it easy. While going 7-1 at home, the Roughriders are just 4-4 on the road. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive wins against the spread in the second half of the season. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (696) Edmonton Eskimos |
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10-19-19 | Winnipeg v. Calgary -6.5 | Top | 33-37 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. This is the first game of a back-to-back set with heavy playoff implications as the winner will take a significant step towards first place in the West Division. Calgary was able to snag a playoff spot last week with its win over the Roughriders and it is now 5-1 over its last six games. When you break down the remaining schedules of the Stampeders, Blue Bombers and Roughriders it becomes pretty obvious that Calgary needs to run the table to lock up first in the CFL West Division. Bo Levi Mitchell has looked increasingly better with every game he gets under his belt since returning from injury. He nearly completed 80 percent of his passes for 298 yards and two throwing majors against Saskatchewan last week and this is the perfect time for him to start to peak. Winnipeg is coming off a win for us last week as it defeated Montreal by 11 points which snapped a three-game losing skid. The Blue Bombers are not in a good spot as they are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. Meanwhile, Calgary is 26-8 ATS in its last 34 games against teams allowing 75 or fewer rushing ypg. 10* (688) Calgary Stampeders |
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10-12-19 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -3.5 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Montreal heads to snowy Winnipeg for the second meeting this season and one that the home team is eager to take. There is revenge in play today for Winnipeg from a game it surely has not forgotten about. The Alouettes orchestrated the largest come-from-behind victory in franchise history when they defeated the Blue Bombers 38-37 on a touchdown in the game's final seconds. They overcame a 24-point deficit, the largest comeback in team history. While both teams must play in the snow, the Blue Bombers practiced in it Thursday and Friday, while the Alouettes were experiencing mild conditions in Montreal. Winnipeg has dropped three straight games but quarterback Chris Streveler has played well with the exception of some costly interceptions. He is 76-104 (73 percent) over this stretch so things should have been better. Montreal is coming off an upset win over Calgary but it was outgained by 262 yards. The Blue Bombers are 6-1 at home this season with two games remaining. The last time they posted seven wins at home came in 2007, when they were 7-2. Here, we play on favorites after two consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (694) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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10-05-19 | Toronto +9.5 v. BC | Top | 8-55 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Game of the Week. British Columbia has on three straight games, blowing out Ottawa twice and then then narrowly defeating Montreal last week. The Lions are still fighting for a playoff berth but their chances are slim like the Argonauts. Toronto got hammered by Saskatchewan last week which was its first non-cover since August 16 so it has been competitive for the most part despite the poor record. The Argonauts are in the midst of a two-game slide and will be trying for a split of the season series following a narrow 18-17 loss to the Lions in Week Four. The Argonauts are 2-11 but still have a mathematical chance at making the playoffs as it would require a collapse by either Edmonton or Montreal. They got a piece of that last night with Edmonton getting blown out by Hamilton. Their issue has been getting down early and not being able to fight back, On the flip side, the Lions have only led after the opening 15 minutes in five of their 14 games and scored a total of 68 points in first quarters. That makes this line a very juicy one. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense allowing 385 or more total ypg, after being outgained by 70 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (687) Toronto Argonauts |
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09-28-19 | Montreal v. BC -6.5 | Top | 23-25 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the BRITISH COLUMBIA LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. The Lions season is all but done at 3-10 yet they come into Saturday as significant favorites and we are behind them here. B.C. has won two straight games, albeit against the struggling RedBlacks. Despite that, they were able to hold Ottawa to a single sack over those games while getting to the quarterback six times on defense. The record is deceiving as the Lions have a positive yardage differential overall as they are +17.4 ypg on the season. Montreal has had a surprisingly good season and can clinch a playoff berth with a win here but it will be shorthanded tonight as quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. has been suspended for this game after an altercation against Winnipeg last week. Matthew Shiltz will start at quarterback for the Alouettes which are now in a tough spot. Montreal is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games against teams with a losing record and here, we play on favorites after allowing nine points or less last game. This situation is 94-54 ATS (63.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (696) British Columbia Lions |
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09-21-19 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +3 | Top | 37-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Game of the Week. Montreal is playing some of the best football in the league despite just a 6-3 record over its last nine games. However, those three losses came by a combined 12 points and the Alouettes won the yardage battle in two of those. Montreal is 3-2 at home and going back, the Alouettes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Winnipeg is coming off a bye week which is good and bad. It kills some momentum from its 4-1 run but did allow quarterback Chris Streveler to get some more work in. Despite the latter, he is no Matt Nichols and despite sitting atop the West Division, the Blue Bombers have been outgained in four of their last six games with the two positive outings being by just a combined 40 yards. Here, we play against all teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive wins against the spread, good team, in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-9 ATS (76.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) Montreal Alouettes |
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09-07-19 | Toronto +5.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 46-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Toronto has continued to improve over the last month. Quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson has tossed for 300-plus yards in six of his 10 games this season and he has not been picked off in his last four starts. The Argonauts have outgained four of their last seven opponents and going back, the Argonauts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Ottawa has just one more win than Toronto and has been playing much worse as the RedBlacks have been outgained in their last nine games. The issues is having the worst offense and the seventh worst defense in the league. Ottawa is 5-24 ATS in its last 29 games against teams allowing 300 or more passing ypg while going 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games against teams allowing 430 or more ypg. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 300 or more passing ypg. This situation is 33-6 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (683) Toronto Argonauts |
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09-02-19 | Edmonton v. Calgary -3 | Top | 9-25 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. This is the time that Calgary needs to get going and things are going in their favor starting today. The Stampeders have not played since August 17 where they lost 40-34 in overtime at home to the Montreal Alouettes to fall to 5-4 on the season. To put that into perspective, Calgary lost just five games all of last season. Part of the struggles are because of the lack of execution at quarterback but after missing the last seven games with a torn pectoral muscle, Stampeders quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell is expected to start against the Eskimos. Edmonton is also coming off a loss in its last game as it fell at home against Winnipeg to snap a two-game winning streak. The Eskimos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record while the Stampeders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams after two or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 105-61 ATS (63.3 percent) since 1996. 9* (694) Calgary Stampeders |
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09-02-19 | Toronto +13 v. Hamilton | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Game of the Week. Hamilton got away with it yet again as it won at British Columbia last week despite getting outgained by 106 total yards. That was the sixth time over the last seven games the Tiger-Cats have been outgained and yet they are 8-2 on the season and that record is obviously skewed. Five of the eight wins have come by just one possession, Hamilton has been outgained seven times and is getting outgained by an average of 21.6 ypg which may not seem like much but that is a lot for a double-digit favorite. Toronto is coming off a loss against Montreal which was the exact opposite situation where it was defeated by six points yet outgained the Alouettes by 157 total yards. It was the fourth time in the last six games the Argonauts have won the yardage battle but they were able to come away with the victory only once. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems with a poor passing defense that is allowing 300 or more passing ypg. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (691) Toronto Argonauts |
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08-24-19 | Hamilton v. BC +3.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. After posting a CFL-best 7-2 home record in 2018, the B.C. Lions have dropped each of their three contests at BC Place this season with the closest result coming by ten points in the season opener against Winnipeg. The Lions are 1-8 overall and the schedule has not been in their favor as six of the first nine games have come on the road but they have played a lot better than that record shows. B.C. has outgained its opponent in four of its last seven games and overall, it has been outgained by just 33.8 ypg. That is not much worse than Hamilton, which has been outgained by 12.2 ypg on the season despite a 7-2 record which shows how its record is skewed as well. The Tiger-Cats were outgained in five straight games before last week when it won in Ottawa 21-7 to make it four wins in five games. With their bye week coming up, this is a big letdown spot for Hamilton. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems after five or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) B.C. Lions |
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08-17-19 | Hamilton v. Ottawa +2.5 | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Game of the Week. Though the RedBlacks fell short of picking up their second-straight win in Edmonton last weekend, the team put on one of its best defensive efforts of the season, while quarterback Dominique Davis threw for 289 yards and a touchdown. While they are 3-5, they could be 5-3 and right in the mix for the East Division lead. The Ottawa pass protection has improved tremendously. In the first six games, they allowed 14 sacks; in the past two games, it has been just one. The RedBlacks have lost three straight games at home and they have not lost four in a row at home since 2014, their expansion season. Hamilton is being deemed a Grey Cup contender but the record is skewed when digging deeper. The Tiger-Cats are 6-2 with four of those wins coming by one possession but they have been outgained in five straight games. When mentioning Ottawa last week, we said that they rank at or near the bottom in both offense and defense but a lot of that was due to early poor play and the RedBlacks have improved immensely and come into Saturday in the rare role of home underdog. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems after one or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 97-54 ATS (64.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (694) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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08-16-19 | Edmonton v. Toronto +8 | Top | 41-26 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Toronto picked up its first win of the season two weeks ago in what was biggest upset of the season as it handed Winnipeg its first loss of the season. Now at 1-6, the Argonauts look to carry that momentum forward and they have actually been playing much better for a longer period as they have outgained their opponent in three of their last four games. The only bad game came at Edmonton in a 26-0 loss so revenge is in play. Toronto is 6-0 ATS in its last six games following a bye week. Edmonton is undefeated this season while playing in the friendly confines of Commonwealth Stadium, however, they have fared much worse on the road as they are 1-3 on the year and have lost their last two contests on the road. The Eskimos are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after playing a game at home, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (692) Toronto Argonauts |
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08-09-19 | Ottawa v. Edmonton -8.5 | Top | 12-16 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Game of the Week. Having had a hot start to the season, going 3-1 in their first four games of the season and putting up 125 points on the board in those four games, the Eskimos spark that had them start the season off hot has died down a bit in the past few weeks, having lost two of their past three games, while only scoring 54 points. The 4-3 record is a bit deceiving as Edmonton has outgained all but one opponent and that came by just a -24-yardage differential. It does not take much to understand why the Eskimos are dominating despite the average record as they lead the CFL in both total offense and total defense. Back in February, ex-RedBlacks quarterback of three seasons Trevor Harris inked a two-year deal with the Eskimos as a free agent, joining other teammates in Greg Ellingson and SirVincent Rogers in the move to Edmonton. In six games with the Eskimos this year, Ellingson has caught for 457 yards and two touchdowns, while Harris has thrown 2304 yards and 10 touchdowns. Ottawa snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Montreal but it was the sixth straight game that is has been outgained and unlike Edmonton the stats do not lie. Ottawa is dead last in total offense and No. 7 in total defense. 10* (686) Edmonton Eskimos |
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08-03-19 | Edmonton v. Calgary +1 | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Calgary finally has some competition in the West Division after years of dominance as it has to deal with Winnipeg and Edmonton and this is a true test of where it now stands. Calgary is 3-1 in four games without quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell. It scored just 17 points last week after putting up a total of 86 points in the previous three games but it did outgain Hamilton by 272 total yards so the game should not have been as close as it was. The Stampeders have outgained three of their last four opponents by an average of 193.3 ypg so the domination is still there despite many believing the ship has sailed. The loss of Mitchell is a big factor in that but Stampeders backup Nick Arbuckle ranks sixth in the CFL with 1,284 yards in five games. He has five touchdowns and just two interceptions and he leads all qualified starters by completing 73.9 percent of his passes. He leads the CFL in game-winning drives in the fourth quarter with two. Edmonton is coming off a shutout win over Toronto last week but that is not saying a whole lot. The defense has been dominant of late, allowing 26 points over the last three games but two of those came against B.C. and Toronto, which are a combined 2-12. Edmonton has dominated this series against the number with five straight covers but this is the first time since 2015 that the Eskimos are favored. And they should not be here. 10* (696) Calgary Stampeders |
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08-02-19 | Ottawa +7.5 v. Montreal | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. This is not the records we expected from these two teams coming into this game we have two teams heading in opposite directions but that is where the value lies. This is the second meeting of the season with Montreal winning the first one on the road in Ottawa as an 8.5-point underdog and even though the record are what they are, the Alouettes should be nothing more than a pickem based on the venue change but we are seeing over a two-touchdown swing which is simply too much. With starting quarterback Dominique Davis set to make his return from injury after missing two games, the RedBlacks will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak in Montreal, but most importantly are on the hunt for a crucial two points in what is always a tight race to the top of the division. It has been a huge regression for Ottawa that has gone from Grey Cup participant to a team that is 2-4 and is getting close to must win territory. The Alouettes have been one of the pleasant surprises in the CFL so far this year as Montreal enters tonight with a 3-2 record, just two wins off of their win total for all of the 2018 season. They are on a three-game winning streak and while each victory came by at least a touchdown, Montreal did not dominate as it outgained the three opponents by just 108 total yards combined. Here, we play against teams after beating the spread by more than 14 points in two consecutive games, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 35-12 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (693) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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08-01-19 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan -3 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Hamilton is coming off its biggest win of the season as it upset then-undefeated Winnipeg 23-15 but the Blue Bombers were done in by five turnovers. The Tiger-Cats were outgained by 99 yards and it was the fourth time in six games they have been outgained. The only two games where they won the yardage battle came against Toronto and Montreal and this is a great spot for a letdown after that big win. Additionally, they lost quarterback Jeremiah Masoli to a torn ACL and Dane Evans will be making the start and he has seen limited action. Saskatchewan has won two straight games to improve to 3-3 on the season. The Roughriders are ranked No. 2 in total offense and No. 4 in total defense. Saskatchewan lost 23-17 in Hamilton in the regular-season opener on June 13. On the third offensive play, since-traded Roughriders quarterback Zach Collaros absorbed an illegal hit from Simoni Lawrence, who is to complete a two-game suspension on Thursday and emerged with a concussion. Saskatchewan actually outgained the Tiger-Cats by 134 yards in that game but turnovers and special teams were the difference. So that brings in revenge along with a situation based on turnovers where we play on favorites after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1996. Additionally, we play on teams after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 275 or less total yards in their previous game. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (692) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-27-19 | Saskatchewan v. BC +2.5 | Top | 45-18 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. Lions for our CFL Game of the Month. This is the second game of a home-and-home between B.C. and Saskatchewan with the latter taking the first meeting at home. The Lions actually outgained the Roughriders by 89 yards but a costly pick and allowing a kickoff return for a touchdown did them in. The offense put up 468 total yards but they had to settle for too many field goals. B.C. is just 1-4 but has outgained its opponent in three of five games and the schedule has done it no favored as four of the first five games have come on the road. Field position has also been an issue. Of the Lions 75 offensive drives this season, only five have started on the opposing side of the field. The Lions opponent has started on their side of the field 13 times. Saskatchewan is 2-3 and remains winless on the road at 0-2. The Roughriders are coming off a three-game homestand, going 2-1, with the other win coming against hapless Toronto. Nothing comes easily in football, so the desperate Lions will come out fighting and the Roughriders should expect a very difficult game. Here, we play against favorites coming off a win over a division rival, in July games. This situation is 75-34 ATS (68.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (688) B.C. Lions |
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07-26-19 | Winnipeg -2 v. Hamilton | Top | 15-23 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Hamilton is off to a 4-1 start and likely many will be calling for the upset here and ending the undefeated start to the season for Winnipeg. That record is deceiving however as the Tiger-Cats have been outgained in three of their five games and three of the wins came against Toronto, Montreal and Calgary which was without its starting quarterback. Nobody has been able to defeat the Tiger-Cats at home this season as they are currently 3-0 at Tim Hortons Field. A big reason for that is their league-leading offense as their 187 points are the most in the CFL. The 5-0 Blue Bombers have beaten their opponents by an average of nearly 18 ppg this season. They have given up just 80 points all season, including a minuscule eight total first-quarter points. Winnipeg has not trailed in four straight games and has been behind for just 9:24 this season, forcing opponents to often play catchup. The Tiger-Cats will not have their leader on defense as linebacker Simoni Lawrence sits out the first game of a two-game suspension and this is a big deal. The Tiger-Cats are 7-18-3 ATS in their last 28 games against team with a winning record while the Blue Bombers are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on teams after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 5.5 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (685) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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07-20-19 | Edmonton v. Montreal +6 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. After opening the season 0-2, Montreal has won two straight games and both have been legitimate as it outgained both Hamilton and Ottawa while registering 36 points on offense in both of those games. The Alouettes are third in the CFL in offense which was a concern heading into the season but Vernon Adams Jr. has done a solid job at quarterback. The Alouettes are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games. The Eskimos opened their three-game roadtrip with a 28-21 loss to the Blue Bombers, their first setback of the season, but rebounded with a 33-6 drubbing in B.C. last week. The Edmonton defense, which leads the CFL in allowing an average of 255 ypg, is second in sacks and third in giving up an average of 20.5 ppg and the Alouettes have already faced this defense. They put up 25 points with the game being tied late in the third quarter before a late touchdown sealed it for the Eskimos. Here, we play against favorites with a turnover margin of +0.75 /game or better on the season, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (694) Montreal Alouettes |
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07-19-19 | Ottawa +10.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 1-31 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS FOR OUR CFL Friday Enforcer. Ottawa is coming off a pair of losses including an embarrassing loss at home against Montreal last week as an 8.5-point favorite. The game prior to that was a home loss against Winnipeg so this sets up a revenge spot with a line that is completely overadjusted. Ottawa quarterback Dominique Davis got hurt in the last game but this might not be a bad thing despite the line going up. Davis won the starting role out of training camp and has started all four games for the RedBlacks but through four games, he has completed 103 of 156 passes for 1,132 yards with three touchdowns and seven picks. Former B.C. Lions pivot Jonathon Jennings will make his first start for Ottawa after signing with the club as a free agent this offseason. Winnipeg will be looking to go 5-0 for the first time since 1960 and while the chances are in its favor based on the number, it has shifted two touchdowns since the last meeting two weeks ago. This team is solid on both sides of the ball but is in an overpriced spot tonight. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points coming off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, in the first half of the season. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (691) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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07-13-19 | Calgary v. Hamilton -3.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We played against Hamilton last week as it lost at home against Montreal in what was a classic letdown/lookahead spot after starting the season 3-0 and with this game looming. Lookaheads are a term that can be overused but in this case, the Tiger-Cats have been eyeing this one. They defeated Calgary back in September of 2011 and in the seven seasons since then, the they have been on the short end of 14 consecutive games against the Stampeders, 15 when you include the Grey Cup in 2014. This is one of the better teams that Hamilton has had to break the streak and it faces a shorthanded Calgary team. The Tiger-Cats will be facing Stampeders backup quarterback Nick Arbuckle instead of 2018 CFL Most Outstanding Player and Grey Cup MVP Bo Levi Mitchell. Mitchell is 12-0 against Hamilton. The Stampeders are coming off their best game of the season in a win over Saskatchewan but this is a different team now traveling in back-to-back weeks. Hamilton also has the benefit of an extra two days of rest over Calgary. Here, we play on favorites after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (688) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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07-12-19 | Toronto +15 v. Winnipeg | Top | 21-48 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. 3-0 Winnipeg hosts 0-3 Toronto in a matchup of the best team against the worst team in the CFL. To no surprise, the public is all over the Blue Bombers but the line is taking this into consideration and this is simply too big of a number in what can be a very volatile league. Toronto has not looked good but is coming off its best game and it can carry that forward. It was the first start of the season for Argonauts quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson, who replaced James Franklin (hamstring) after he went on the six-game injured list. Bethel-Thompson acknowledged he has a lot of weapons on offense and that first start was big one to get into the flow and improve the unit. Toronto head coach Corey Chamblin said his players aren't down on themselves and he's seeing improvement. Winnipeg has been led by its defense as it has not allowed a touchdown over the last two games and has allowed just one all season. The Blue Bombers have a strong rushing attack on offense but the passing game has been a letdown and that is key with a line this big as there is no quick strike offense that can put Toronto away early. Here, we play on road underdogs or pick with a poor passing defense allowing 300 or more passing ypg. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (683) Toronto Argonauts |
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07-06-19 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan -4.5 | Top | 37-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Calgary bounced back from its season opening loss with a win over B.C. last week but paid the price as starting quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell went down late. Nick Arbuckle, who led the Stampeders to the come-from-behind win will be starting. Arbuckle connected on all nine passes he threw for 93 yards and a major score in the win and while it was solid, he is no Mitchell and this will be his first road start. Running back Don Jackson and receiver Juwan Brescacin are also out for the Stampeders as the depth will be tested. Saskatchewan is off to a 1-2 start but did pick up its first win of the season last week after opening with a pair of close losses. Cody Fajardo threw for a career-high 430 yards last week, dissecting the Argonauts secondary on the way to victory and he has been solid since taking over from Isaac Harker who opened the season as the starter for the injured Zach Collaros but did not last the opening game. The Roughriders will get a boost on defense as Solomon Elimimian will start at middle linebacker after missing the team's first three games of the season. Despite being 1-2, the Roughriders have won the yardage battle in all three games and by an average of 110 ypg. Calgary has failed to cover 12 of its last 16 games against the West while the Roughriders are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against the West. Saskatchewan is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games after allowing nine points or less last game and this has been a common success across the league as we play on favorites after allowing nine points or less last game. This situation is 93-50 ATS (65 percent) since 1996. 10* (696) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-05-19 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa -3.5 | Top | 29-14 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Ottawa comes in off its bye week with a 2-0 record and has had the luxury of staying put the last three weeks with no travel. In Week One for the RedBlacks, a win over Calgary, it was probably the defense that bailed out the offense. In Week Two, a win over Saskatchewan, the offense put up 44 points as the RedBlacks won by three. The Ottawa defense is much better than it showed by allowing 41 points against the Roughriders. Quarterback Dominique Davis impressed in the win, completing 30 of his 39 pass attempts for 354 passing yards and three touchdowns. Winnipeg also comes in 2-0 and got a little fortunate last week as it was outgained by 162 total yards. If the Blue Bombers are going to start a season 3-0 for the first time since 2014, they will have to do it without their best defensive player as middle linebacker Adam Bighill has been placed on the one game injured list. Bighill was the 2018 CFL Defensive Player of the Year. The RedBlacks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record. 10* (692) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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07-04-19 | Hamilton v. Montreal +12.5 | Top | 29-36 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. The public is all over Hamilton here for obvious reasons as it comes in a perfect 3-0 on the season while Montreal remains winless at 0-2. The last two wins for the Tiger-Cats has come by a combined score of 105-24 which includes a win over Montreal last week 41-10. The difference here is the change in venue as they mover to Montreal yet Hamilton comes in favored by nearly the same amount as it goes from a 13-point home favorite to a 12.5-point road favorite. It has been some rough years for the Alouettes but they closed last season with two straight wins and played Edmonton tough in the season opener and tonight marks the home opener for Montreal. Hamilton has not started a season 4-0 since 1989 and clearly it is in good shape to match that but stranger things have happened in this league and going against the public has been a huge factor in the past. Montreal Quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. looks like he is worth investing time in while B.J. Cunningham and William Stanback continue to be exciting options on offense. Despite sitting 0-2, the Alouettes lead the league in turnover ratio at +4 while home teams are 8-3 on the season. Here, we play against favorites off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 59-24 ATS (71.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (690) Montreal Alouettes |
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07-01-19 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan -10 | Top | 7-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. Toronto is coming off a complete debacle last week in its season opener as it lost 64-14 at home against Hamilton and that is clearly playing into this line. Both sides of the ball were awful for the Argonauts as quarterback James Franklin looked skittish in the pocket and was pulled after failing to get anything going and while the defense allowed 64 points, they sustained some key injuries to go along with that. This will be a homecoming of sorts for Argonauts head coach Corey Chamblin, who was head coach of the Roughriders for three and a half seasons. He was at the helm when the Riders won the 2013 Grey Cup and he is already feeling the pressure. Saskatchewan is off to a 0-2 start but both games were winnable as the combined losses were by just nine points and the Roughriders actually outgained both opponents. Quarterback Zach Collaros remains out but Cody Fajardo made his first CFL start and he was solid as he completed 27-of-34 passes for 360 yards and two touchdowns. He has the ability to build on that tonight against an awful Toronto defense. Saskatchewan is 26-8 ATS in its last 34 games off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog while the Argonauts are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 games following a straight up loss. 10* (688) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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06-27-19 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg -5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Edmonton is off to a 2-0 start with big wins over B.C. and Montreal but both of those victories came at home and the Eskimos hit the road for the first time this season. The weapons on offense, including receivers Greg Ellingson, Ricky Collins Jr. and Kenny Stafford, and running back CJ Gable, have moved the Eskimos to the top of the league in almost all offensive categories behind quarterback Trevor Harris. Now they face their first challenge of the season. Winnipeg is also coming off a win over B.C. in its season opener and is also coming off a rare early season bye week. The Blue Bombers offense operated an efficient attack in the season-opening win before the bye, as Matt Nichols threw for three touchdowns and Andrew Harris rushed for 148 yards. Now, they get receiver Chris Matthews into the rotation making the offense that much more lethal. The situation is just the opposite here as the Blue Bombers lone game came on the road making this their home opener. Going back, the Blue Bombers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games against teams with a winning record and this situation has treated them well as Winnipeg was 3-0 last year coming off a bye, and 5-0 since 2017. 10* (682) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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06-15-19 | Winnipeg v. BC | Top | 33-23 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. Winnipeg added some key pieces to its roster and many are saying this is finally the year to end a 30-year Grey Cup drought. The Blue Bombers were close last year, falling to Calgary in the Western Final and this could be the year should they stay healthy. Last season, the receiving corps was a negative but they added Chris Matthews, who played three seasons in the NFL and he is going to have a big season. But it will not start tonight as he is on the injury list and will miss the opener. B.C. general manager Ed Hervey spent his off-season picking up talent from around the league and beyond, including receivers Duron Carter and Lemar Durant, offensive lineman Brett Boyko and linebacker Maleki Harris. The real prize however was quarteback Mike Reilly who makes his long-anticipated debut since signing with the Lions this off-season, and the weapons around him have the potential to put up big numbers right from the start. The Lions went just 2-7 on the road last season but went 7-2 at home, a three-point loss to Saskatchewan and a loss to eventually Grey Cup Champion Calgary in the regular season finale that meant nothing. 10* (688) B.C. Lions |
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06-13-19 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton -3 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Opening Night Enforcer. Orlondo Steinauer will be making his head coaching debut tonight for Hamilton and it has been a long time coming as he has been a top assistant in the CFL following an elite playing career. Usually, injuries do not impact games early in the season but Saskatchewan is down some key players. Veteran offensive lineman Brendon LaBatte will open the season on the six-game injured list, while linebacker Emmanuel Arceneaux and slot back Solomon Elimimian will also miss the Week One opener. The Roughriders will again hand the offensive reigns to Zach Collaros and this could again be dicey. Last season, he would throw more interceptions than touchdowns, only twice did he register more touchdowns than interceptions in a game, he exceeded 300 yards in a single game twice and only once would he have multiple touchdown passes in a game. On the other side, Jeremiah Masoli and the Ticats are looking to repeat as the top CFL top offense. It was an impressive attack last year, and most of the critical pieces are back including two of the best receivers in the league in Luke Tasker and Brandon Banks. On the other side, the defense is filled with impressive playmakers, including experienced veterans like linebacker Simoni Lawrence, corner Delvin Breaux and nose tackle Ted Laurent. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems, poor passing defense from last season, allowing a completion percentage of 61 percent or worse. This situation is 86-43 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (682) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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11-25-18 | Ottawa v. Calgary -4.5 | Top | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Grey Cup Winner. Sometimes one of the biggest factors pertaining to the Grey Cup is the weather but that is not the case this season as conditions will be ideal. Calgary had a three-game slide at the end of October but bounced back with a pair of wins as it defeated B.C. to claim the West Division and then took care of Winnipeg last week to advance to the Grey Cup for the fifth time in the last seven years including the last three. The Stampeders have lost the last tow so there is some extra juice tonight. We played against Ottawa last week and the result was not good as it unleashed on the Hamilton defense, namely Trevor Harris who threw for a CFL playoff record six touchdowns but the challenge is greater this week. Calgary's defense led the CFL in fewest offensive points allowed (17.8 ppg), offensive touchdowns (27), passing touchdowns (11), was tied for most sacks (45) and second in fewest offensive yards allowed (321.4 ypg). This is a revenge game of sorts for Calgary as it faced Ottawa in the 2016 Grey Cup and lost in overtime as the 8-9-1 RedBlacks earned a stunning 39-36 overtime victory over Calgary (15-2-1) in Toronto. 10* (668) Calgary Stampeders |
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11-18-18 | Hamilton +3.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 27-46 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Game of the Week. Hamilton is coming off a blowout victory over B.C. last week in the first round of the playoffs and despite the 9-10 record, this is the most dangerous team remaining in the playoffs. The Tiger-Cats are the only team in the league that were ranked in the top three in both total offense and total defense and they finished with the best yardage differential at +72 ypg. Revenge does not really come into play this time of the year based on what is at stake but the history plays a role as Hamilton lost all three meetings to Ottawa this season and the significant part is that the Tiger-Cats were favored in all three meetings and are now catching points. Ottawa had the luxury of a bye last week but momentum is more important at this point of the season. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after failing to cover the spread in two out of their last three games, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 in the second half of the season. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (663) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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11-11-18 | Winnipeg +3 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 23-18 | Win | 100 | 50 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Winnipeg heads to Saskatchewan for a first round matchup between bitter rivals and the road team some in with better momentum. While Saskatchewan closed the season winning five of six games but it was outgained in half of those games and the Roughriders were outgained overall on the season. Winnipeg lost its season finale but all starters sat in that one and it had won five straight games prior to that. The quarterback comparison is most important to look at for matchups against the opposing defenses and Winnipeg has a significant edge. Blue Bombers starting quarterback Matt Nichols completed 34-of-64 passes (53.1 per cent) for 486 yards with two touchdowns and five interceptions in the three games against Saskatchewan this season. But over his final five regular-season starts, all wins, he threw seven touchdown passes with just one interception. On the other side, quarterback Zach Collaros is expected to play for Saskatchewan despite an upper body injury but threw for only 2,999 yards in 14 starts this season. What's more, Collaros has more interceptions (13) than touchdown passes (nine). Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive wins against the spread, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1996. 10* (661) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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11-03-18 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton -5 | Top | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Game of the Week. Only one game on Saturday has playoff implications and this is not one of those but there are still significant areas that make this playable. Winnipeg is in the postseason and its seeding is set so there is nothing to play for today as the goal is to stay healthy. Quarterback Matt Nichols is not to play as the Blue Bombers have listed Chris Streveler as their starter. Running back Andrew Harris is listed as a backup as he is likely to only play sparingly as he sits just seven yards away from a second consecutive rushing title. Numerous other positions will be filled with backups as well. While there is nothing to play for on the Eskimos side, there will be plenty of motivation. A win will give the Eskimos a 9-9 record and would also give the Eskimos a 7-2 record at home. Payback is in play as well as Edmonton had its worst offensive performance of the season here in Week 16 in a 30-3 loss to the Blue Bombers. There is also the future to keep in mind for every player on the roster as GM/VP Brock Sunderland said earlier this week that if anyone is treating their Week 21 game as a meaningless one, they are gone. Here, we play on home teams that are averaging between 385 to 420 ypg going up against a team averaging between 345 to 385 ypg, after allowing 7.6 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 23-6 ATS (79.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (654) Edmonton Eskimos |
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10-27-18 | BC v. Saskatchewan -4.5 | Top | 16-35 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. With the Winnipeg win over Calgary last night, all six playoff spots have been secured and now the only thing left is jockeying for positions. It looked as though the West Division was going to be locked up by Calgary but the Stampeders suffered their third straight loss and winning the division is no longer a guarantee. Saskatchewan defeat Calgary last week to take the season series 2-1 which means a tie gives them the division and a spot to host the West Division final on November 18th. In order for this to happen, the Roughriders need to win tonight which is their regular season finale and hope that B.C. can extend the Calgary losing streak to four games next week. That will be pointless if they do not get it done tonight and they come in having won eight of their last 10 games and knowing they are off next week will have then fully fueled tonight. B.C. has won six of its last seven games and it is likely going to head to Hamilton in the crossover game in the postseason. The Lions have had a couple of successful late season pickups as DeVier Posey and Tyrell Sutton have become big additions to the team and make the Lions a serious contender down the stretch as their defense has picked it up considerably in the back half of the season. We cannot ignore the fact they are 2-6 on the road with one of those wins coming at 3-13 Montreal. The Roughriders have covered six of their last seven divisional games while the Lions are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following three or more consecutive wins. 10* (664) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-19-18 | Edmonton +1.5 v. BC | Top | 32-42 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. The West Division playoff race is heating up and this game tonight will go a long way in determining the outcomes. Edmonton got back to .500 with a win over Ottawa last week which snapped a three-game losing skid and kept its playoff hopes alive. It was obviously a big win for the standings but the performance is something they can carry forward. The Eskimos did not allow a sack which gave quarterback Mike Reilly an opportunity to get back to his normal ways. It was a big bounce-back performance by an Eskimos pass protection that surrendered 11 sacks in their three previous outings, after averaging just two sacks a game over their previous 12. This is a must win for the Eskimos as a loss puts them at 8-9 which would be a game and a half behind idle Winnipeg and the only way to make the playoffs would to have Winnipeg lose against Calgary next week and then defeat the Blue Bombers in the season finale in Week 21 as they would own the tiebreaker. A victory tonight gives then a little breathing room. B.C. is coming off an upset win at Calgary, handing the Stampeders their first home loss of the season. The playoff situation for the Lions is simple, if they win tonight they are in and while things look good, should B.C. lose out and it is out of the playoffs if Edmonton also wins against Winnipeg. The Lions have won five of the last six games as they have been one of the hotter teams in the league but they have not been overly dominant as they have been outgained in half of those games. B.C. is 6-1 at home but it is getting outgained by an average of 25.6 ypg which is telling of the truer story going on. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a loss as a favorite, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (653) Edmonton Eskimos |
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10-13-18 | Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg -3.5 | Top | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We lost our big game last week on Edmonton as it was covering for the first three quarters until early in the fourth quarter when Saskatchewan picked off a Mike Reilly pass and returned it 49 yards for a touchdown to take a four-point lead and the eventual win. Reilly was picked off three times so the fact that the Roughriders were outgained for the sixth time in their last seven games meant nothing. The victory cliched a playoff spot for Saskatchewan which has won three straight games and seven of its last eight despite the negative yardage differentials. The only time it has won the stats over the last seven games was against 3-12 Montreal so a lot of things have gone its way during this unexpected run. The defense has shown improvement but the stagnate offense will eventually catch up as the Roughriders are ahead of only Montreal in total offense as they are averaging just 333.5 ypg. The Roughriders are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after having won four out of their last five games. Winnipeg has won three straight games to improve to 8-7 on the season and the last victory could keep the momentum rolling as it defeated Ottawa in overtime. The Blue Bombers moved ahead of Edmonton and they control their own destiny at this point to host a playoff game. The three-game run is a season high and it has been a dominating one as they have led by at least 15 points each time, with two wire-to-wire victories. This is a revenge game as well in this rivalry as Winnipeg has lost the first two meetings this season which came in back-to-back weeks a month ago despite outgaining the Roughriders both times. The Blue Bombers are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (664) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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10-08-18 | Edmonton +4 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 12-19 | Loss | -107 | 148 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Game of the Year. We played against the Roughriders last week as they were unable to put away a bad Montreal team despite having a 294-yard advantage. Quarterback Zach Collaros recorded season highs in completions (29) and attempts (41) as the Roughriders registered a season-best 502 yards of total offense yet they only won by five points. Saskatchewan has been red hot, winning six of its last seven games but that record is as deceiving as they come. The Roughriders have outgained only two opponents over this seven-game stretch, with Montreal being one and the other was by just 12 yards. The Roughriders are four games over .500 yet are getting outgained on average in their 14 games. The last five victories have come by an average of just 4.4 ppg. Saskatchewan is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after having won four out of its last five games. Edmonton had a chance to make a move in the West Division but it lost to Winnipeg by 27 points at home despite outgaining the Blue Bombers. The Eskimos killed themselves as they finished with seven turnover, which led to 20 Winnipeg points, including a pair of interceptions from Mike Reilly, who had his worst game of the season by a wide margin. Over the last two games, both losses, the Eskimos have been outscored 58-18 while totaling 585 yards and 12 turnovers and we know they are better than this. These recent results are skewing a line that is considerably off. Edmonton is 6-0 ATS in its last six games as a road underdog of seven points or less. The Eskimos fall into two solid situations as well. First, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points coming off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) since 1996. Second, we play on underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams allowing between 23 and 28 ppg, after a loss by 20 or more points. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (657) Edmonton Eskimos |
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09-30-18 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal +7 | Top | 34-29 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on he MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Sunday Enforcer. With Edmonton losing last night no thanks to six turnovers, the Roughriders now have a 1.5-game lead over three teams for second place in the CFL. Saskatchewan has been red hot, winning five of its last six games but that record is as deceiving as they come. The Roughriders have outgained only one opponent over this six-game stretch, and that was by just 12 yards, and they have been outgained in five straight games. Saskatchewan is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after having won four out of its last five games. Montreal is having a tough season as it sits at 3-10 but there is still hope as the Alouettes are just 3.5 games out of fourth place which is not insurmountable at this point. They have split their last four games while outgaining three of their last four opponents and they turn to Johnny Manziel, who will be making his fourth start. Saskatchewan will be without a key piece of its offense today as Naaman Roosevelt will not be playing due to a knee injury. He has 48 catches for 570 yards and four touchdowns this season as he is leading the Roughriders in targets and receiving yards and is second in receptions. This is not ideal for a team that is averaging just 315.3 ypg over its last three games. The Alouettes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record and they fall into a great contrarian situation where we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after one or more consecutive losses against the spread, in September games. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (678) Montreal Alouettes |
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09-29-18 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton -6 | Top | 30-3 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Once in hot pursuit of the Stampeders for first place, the Eskimos have gone 2-4 in their last six games and are now 7-6 as they take on the 6-7 Blue Bombers in a game that falls under the must-win category for both teams. Edmonton came into the season as arguably the team with the best chance to contend with Calgary but the Stampeders once again ran away from everyone and the Eskimos are now two points behind Saskatchewan for second place in the West Division. The home and road splits are glaring but good for tonight in this spot as the Eskimos have lost four consecutive games on the road and won five straight at home. This is not overly shocking but three of those losses have come by a combined seven points. The offense will be the spotlight tonight led by quarterback Mike Reilly, who is the reigning Most Outstanding Player, and he leads the CFL in passing yards and touchdown passes with 27, 17 of which have covered 20 yards or more. This is a big game for Winnipeg as well as it can catch Edmonton in the standings with a victory. The Blue Bombers snapped a four-game losing streak with their win over Montreal last week, but they have yet to beat a team with a winning record this season. Four of their six wins have come against the Alouettes (3-10) and Toronto (3-9) while the other victories coming against B.C. and Hamilton. The Blue Bombers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record and Edmonton falls into a solid situation where we play on home teams that are averaging 385 to 420 ypg after allowing 7.6 or more yppl in their previous game going up against teams that are averaging 345 to 385 ypg. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (676) Edmonton Eskimos |
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09-22-18 | Hamilton -2.5 v. BC | Top | 32-35 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Game of the Month. Hamilton hung with Calgary for over half of the game last week but after taking a 25-20 lead on a fumble return for a touchdown, the Tiger-Cats were outscored 23-3 to close the game. That snapped a three-game winning streak as well as a six-game streak where they outgained their opponent. They are now a game behind Ottawa in the East Division but with the playoff crossover, they are in fifth place overall and just a half-game up on Winnipeg for sixth place. B.C. has won two straight games for the first time this season but this is not a good spot to keep it going. Lions quarterback Travis Lulay got hurt two weeks against Ottawa and he tried to go last week but left the game after just two pass attempts. Jonathon Jennings will get the start and he has been as average as average can be. He opened the season as the starter when Lulay was on the shelf and he did not produce a single 200-yard passing game in three starts as he averaged 162.3 ypg with the Lions going 1-2. Making matters more difficult, he will face a Hamilton defense that leads the CFL in passing defense, allowing just 219.3 ypg. On the other side, Jeramiah Masoli is 214 yards away from his first 4,000 yard passing season in the CFL and three touchdowns short of tying his career-best of 21 in 2016. Additionally, with one more 300-plus yard game, Masoli can set a Tiger-Cats record of 10 such games. The B.C. defense has shored things up over its last three games but that is skewed based on last week when it held the hapless Alouettes to just 95 yards passing. B.C. is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after outgaining opponent by 70 or more total yards in their previous game while the Tiger-Cats are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing record. 10* (657) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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09-15-18 | Calgary -1 v. Hamilton | Top | 43-28 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We have been high on Hamilton all season and we won with the Tiger-Cats but we are going against them here in what is tough spot. Hamilton enters the game riding a three-game winning streak and looks to extend it as they eye the first-place position in the East Division. After a 7-0 start, Calgary has gone just 2-2 over its last four games, both losses coming on the road against West Division opponents. The Stampeders lost a tight one last week in Edmonton and they have not lost back-to-back meaningful games since early 2012. There is an asterisk with this as they lost their last three regular season games last year but those were not meaningful as they had everything wrapped up. Not counting those, Calgary is 21-0 in its last 21 regular season games following a loss in a game that means something which is pretty impressive to say the least. The Stampeders have dominated in this series as they have won their last 13 games against the Tiger-Cats dating back to Sept. 25, 2011. We have two solid situations in play. First, we play on road teams coming off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 39-15 (72.2 percent) since 1996. Second, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 48-22 ATS (68.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (661) Calgary Stampeders |
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09-08-18 | Hamilton -5.5 v. Toronto | Top | 36-25 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Typically, this would be a good spot to go contrarian and back the home underdog but right now, there is a huge variance between these two teams. It is hard to believe that Toronto is the reigning Grey Cup champions as it is 3-7 and it just goes to show how important the quarterback is in this league. Ricky Ray has been the face of this franchise since 2012 but he was injured in the season opener and is done for the year. Ray led the Argonauts to Grey Cup victories in 2012 and 2017, and he also claimed the CFL championship in 2003 and 2005 while with the Edmonton Eskimos. In ten games, Toronto has been outgained nine times including last week at Hamilton by 322 yards. The Tiger-Cats are just 5-5 but remain a sleeper team for the postseason as they have played better than their record indicates. They have been outgained only twice all season as they own the top offense and the second ranked defense and their 126.9 ypg differential is the best in the CFL. Entering Week 13 of the regular season, Hamilton holds a four-point advantage over the Argonauts and the idle Alouettes for second place in the East Division and are looking to win their third consecutive game. Speaking of quarterback play, Jeremiah Masoli has been exceptional as he has thrown for at least 300 yards in eight of their 10 games, including a 385-yard output against the Argonauts on Monday. 10* (653) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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09-03-18 | Edmonton +8 v. Calgary | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. It has been an up and down run for Edmonton as it looks to bounce back from its worst game of the season. The Eskimos only lost by a point to Hamilton but they were outgained by 195 yards in an ugly loss where they blew a 14-point lead. Edmonton comes into today with a 6-4 record and sits in second place in the West Division, four points back of the 8-1 Stampeders for first place. Prior to Hamilton, the Eskimos outgained their previous seven opponents and they are in good position to get back into this rivalry as the Eskimos have not won on Labour Day since the 2011 season and they have not had a lead on Labour Day since the 2012 game. Calgary bounced back from its first loss of the season with a 13-point win against Winnipeg last Saturday and it remains the class of the league. While the Stampeders have surrendered just nine offensive touchdowns in the nine games they have played this year, this is the first time they will face an offense led by Eskimos quarterback Mike Reilly, who leads the league in both passing touchdowns, with 22, and rushing touchdowns, with eight. Edmonton falls into a spectacular contrarian situation where we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after outgaining their last opponent by 70 or more total yards going up against an opponent after being outgained by its opponent by 70 or more total yards last game. This situation is 59-28 ATS (67.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (645) Edmonton Eskimos |
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09-02-18 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan -3.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Sunday Enforcer. We have the advantage of a small number here based on the fact these two teams are going in opposite directions. The Roughriders have been trotting along since quarterback Zach Collaros returned from injury, going 2-1, including handing the Stampeders their first loss of the season. They are a half-game behind Edmonton in the West Division, which plays Calgary tomorrow, so they could be sitting in second place come tomorrow provided they take care of business in the annual Banjo Bowl. Saskatchewan has won the yardage battle in three of its last five games and the two it did not, it was outgained by only 12 and 13 yards. The Roughriders are 3-2 at home but one of those losses was against Calgary and while the other one was an inexcusable one against Montreal, it was due to four thrown interceptions by the two backups. Winnipeg has lost two straight games and neither were really close but the problem actually goes back further. Despite victories over Hamilton and Toronto prior to that, the Blue Bombers have been outgained in all four games and by an average of 91.8 ypg so it has been a significant discrepancy. Winnipeg running back Andrew Harris continues to lead the league in rushing yards, but faces a strong defensive line anchored by the August Top Performer Charleston Hughes, who leads the league with 12 sacks. Saskatchewan is second in the CFL in rushing defense as it allowed just 78.3 ypg and that will be an issue here for Winnipeg considering its passing offense has not been good enough this season to carry it. 10* (644) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-25-18 | Saskatchewan v. BC -2.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Month. We were on Saskatchewan last week as they pulled off the huge upset over then undefeated Calgary and we know what we can expect this week and that is a major letdown. The Roughriders improved to 3-2 at home with that victory but they are just 1-2 on the road and their inconsistent play hurts them even more coming off that big victory. This rivalry has not gone their way of late when having to travel as the Roughriders have struggled in B.C., losing each of their last four regular season meetings and seven of their last nine dating back to October 31st of 2010. The Roughriders are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. B.C. is coming off a tough one-point loss in Toronto last week and a win would have given the Lions their first road win of the season, but they fell to 0-5 on the highway. Conversely, they are 3-0 at home including a pair of impressive wins over Winnipeg and Edmonton and this is an extremely important game when looking at the big picture. A victory means B.C. and Saskatchewan are likely in a battle going forward for a playoff spot, but a loss means not only would the Lions fall four points back, they would also be behind the eight ball in terms of the head to head tiebreaker. While the season is just half over, and we do not back teams just because they are in must win spots, this one is different because of the situation. 10* (368) B.C. Lions |
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08-23-18 | Edmonton +3.5 v. Hamilton | Top | 24-25 | Win | 100 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. We have been high on Hamilton this season, justifying that it is better than its record shows and we still believe in that. The Tiger-Cats lost at Winnipeg in their last game two weeks ago. so they do have the benefit of having an extra week of preparation here as they try to move to a game under .500. The problem for Hamilton is that it has struggled against the better teams it has played, going 1-4 against the West Division. That lone win came at Edmonton so while many will think Hamilton has the matchup edge which is not the case and the Eskimos will be out for payback. One of the biggest things hampering Hamilton is they give up a lot of sacks and getting to the quarterback has been a strength of Edmonton so far this season. Hamilton possesses the second best defense in the CFL, but the Eskimos are not far behind, allowing fewer than 17 ypg more. The Edmonton offense is scary good, led by quarterback Mike Reilly. Even more impressive could be the receiving corps as Duke Williams leads all CFL receivers with 831 yards while Derel Walker is right behind him with 816 yards. Since 1958, players from the same team have finished first and second in receiving yards only six times. The Eskimos rebounded from a loss at B.C. with a blowout win over Montreal last week and in nine games this season, they have won the yardage battle in eight of those. Edmonton is ranked No. 2 in the CFL Power Rankings and this has turned into a big game as a win here gets the Eskimos to within a game of first place Calgary heading into their bye week and with a game at Calgary following that. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 coming off a non-conference game. This situation is 41-11 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (361) Edmonton Eskimos |
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08-19-18 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan +7 | Top | 27-40 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Sunday Enforcer. Calgary has been the class of the CFL for upwards of the last decade and it is showing it again this season with a perfect 7-0 record. The Stampeders will not be going undefeated this season and coming off a bye week, they are in a vulnerable spot tonight against a desperate team. Showing how dominant they have been, they have been up by at least 14 points in all seven of their games this season and only three teams have done that in seven consecutive games in CFL history, and no team has ever made it to eight straight. This is the best defensive team in the league, but the Roughriders have a solid defense of their own and if it turns into a low scoring game, the underdog has the significant advantage. Adding to it, a home underdog of a touchdown has an even bigger advantage. The Roughriders are also coming off a bye week and it helps more than hurts coming off a pair of losses including a loss to Edmonton in their last game as they were up by two points late in the fourth quarter before eventually losing by seven points. Saskatchewan has already lost at home once to Calgary this season as it fell by 12 points, but it outgained the Stampeders as special teams ended up being the difference. The fact the Roughriders gave up 24 points in the first quarter did not help either so getting off to a better start this time around is crucial. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems that are coming off a loss against a division rival, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (378) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-18-18 | BC v. Toronto +3 | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Toronto is not getting much respect here as it is in the role of home underdog for the fifth time in five games. The difference here is the fact the first four times were against teams with winning records, three from the West Division and Ottawa which is 6-3 on the season. The Argonauts have played the toughest schedule in the CFL so the fact the reigning Grey Cup Champions are just 2-5 should not come as a huge surprise. Another factor is quarterback. Ricky Ray was lost for the season in Week Two and James Franklin took over, but he was ineffective. Enter McLeod Bethel-Thompson who made his first start two weeks ago against Ottawa and he was outstanding as he was 25-37 for 302 yards, four touchdowns and just one interception as he led Toronto back from a 24-point deficit. The Argonauts are coming off a bye week, which does not help the momentum from that victory, but it does give Bethel-Thompson an extra week of preparation which is important for his second career start. B.C. has been playing a lot better since Travis Lulay has taken over at quarterback, but it could be just an illusion. The Lions have been outgained in three of his four starts and six of their seven games overall. This includes getting outgained by 107 and 91 yards the past two games and the overall numbers are right there with Toronto so making the Lions the road chalk seems to be very aggressive, but it is based on public action and right now that action is all over B.C. 10* (374) Toronto Argonauts |
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08-17-18 | Ottawa +6.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 44-21 | Win | 100 | 99 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS four our CFL Friday Enforcer. Two weeks ago, Ottawa blew a 38-14 lead late in the third quarter as Toronto outscored the RedBlacks 28-3 the rest of the way to pull off the outright victory. Ottawa clearly came out flat last week against Montreal as it avoided the upset by scoring the final 13 points in the fourth quarter after trailing the Alouettes 17-11 after three quarters. So now the positive momentum is on their side heading into Week Ten. It was a game that should not have been that close as the RedBlacks rung up 587 yards of net offense Saturday night, including a 69-yard touchdown drive that closed out the victory, with 15 seconds left on the clock. They outgained Montreal by 330 total yards and while the challenge will be more difficult here, the linesmakers have made a number based on a score and not what really transpired. Ottawa is 9-0 ATS in its last nine road games after one or more consecutive losses against the spread while going 7-0 ATS in its last seven games as a road underdog of seven points or less. Winnipeg comes in with an identical 5-3 record as it has won three straight games including a six-point victory over Hamilton last week. The Blue Bombers were outgained by 120 yards, so this was also a game that differed from what really happened, and it was the Tiger-Cats that hurt themselves with a pair of lost fumbles and 13 penalties. This score is also playing into the linesmakers number, the same way the Ottawa games from last week is as well. The Blue Bombers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. Ottawa falls into a great situation where we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points coming off two straight division games. This situation is 116-66 ATS (63.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (371) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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08-10-18 | Hamilton +6 v. Winnipeg | Top | 23-29 | Push | 0 | 53 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Game of the Week. We won with Hamilton last week as it completely demolished Montreal and while a win over the Alouettes is nothing special, it does give the Tiger-Cats much needed confidence moving forward. They had lost three straight games prior to that and now sit at 3-4 but they have played better than this record shows. While the domination against Montreal skews the numbers slightly, Hamilton has outgained five of seven opponents and one of the games it was outgained in, it was against 7-0 Calgary and it was by just 29 total yards. Overall, the Tiger-Cats are outgaining opponents by 90.2 ypg which is the second best differential in the CFL. And making it more impressive in that they have played a tough schedule five of seven games against the West Division as well as a game against Ottawa. Winnipeg is coming off a bye week where it won its previous two games to improve to 4-3 on the season. The Blue Bombers have played an opposite type of schedule as they have played just one team with a winning record and of the six games against losing teams, five of those have been against opponents with two of fewer wins. They will be out for revenge following a 31-17 loss at Hamilton earlier in the season, but they do not match up well with the strong Hamilton running game that has been bolstered even more with the return of Alex Green. Going back, the Tiger-Cats have covered eight of their last 10 road games and they fall into a solid situation where we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points coming off in two straight division games. This situation is 115-66 ATS (63.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (353) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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08-04-18 | BC +12 v. Calgary | Top | 18-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. It is no secret that Calgary is the best team in the CFL and by a pretty wide margin. At 6-0, the Stampeders off to their best start since 1995 when they opened 7-0 under current Lions coach Wally Buono which adds another interesting dynamic to this rivalry. The Calgary defense has been unreal thus far as the Stampeders have allowed just four offensive touchdowns so far this season and lead the league in forced fumbles with 10. Calgary is tied for first in sacks with Edmonton at 17 and also tied for first in interceptions with seven with Winnipeg. The other side of the ball has not been as dominant but still above average although there are shortcomings heading into tonight. Quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell and the Stampeder offense may lean a little more on the defensive contributions Saturday with star wideout Eric Rogers and No. 1 running back Don Jackson out with injuries. B.C. is coming off a bye week, which is always a big advantage against teams playing on a regular schedule. The Lions lost at Ottawa two weeks ago to fall to 2-3 on the season but there is plenty of optimism on offense as quarterback Travis Lulay has taken over for a struggling Jonathon Jennings, and his veteran leadership is big which will be buoyed by the return of running back Jeremiah Johnson. Lulay has passed for over 300 yards in two starts since taking over and certainly gives the Lions a fighting chance in what is considered an overinflated line. 10* (377) B.C. Lions |
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08-03-18 | Hamilton -7 v. Montreal | Top | 50-11 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Game of the Week. The big storyline in this game is the debut of Johnny Manziel and while it is unknown how he is going to do in Canada, even if he becomes a star and plays well on Friday, the Alouettes have other issues to deal with. Th offense has definitely struggled, averaging a league-low 292 ypg, but the defense has been just as bad, allowing 420.3 ypg so their yardage differential is by far the worst in the CFL. There are holes all over the depth chart so just one player, even if he does not fail, cannot fill all of the holes. Hamilton is coming off of a disappointing loss to the RedBlacks at home in what was a fairly slow-moving game until the final minutes of the fourth quarter. It was the third straight loss for the Tiger-Cats as they are now 2-4 on the season but they have played better than that record shows. Hamilton has outgained four of six opponents and by an average of 65.6 ypg which is third best overall and tops in the East Division. That is even more impressive considering the Tiger-Cats have played five of six games against the West Division. Through six games, quarterback Jeremiah Masoli ranks 2nd in the CFL in passing yards with 1,914, completions with 144 and completion percentage (67%), however, he has thrown just five touchdowns to six interceptions. In what should help Hamilton with their lack of finish, receiver Luke Tasker is set to return after missing two weeks plus it will be facing a horrendous passing defense that allows close to 300 ypg. That is not a good thing for Montreal as it is 4-13 in its last 17 games when allowing 300 or more passing yards and it is 0-8 following three or more consecutive losses. 10* (375) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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08-02-18 | Ottawa v. Toronto +6 | Top | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. We were on Toronto last week as it lost at Winnipeg 40-14, but it was a game that was not dominated by the winner but decided because of miscues. The Argonauts actually outgained the Blue Bombers by 27 total yards, but Toronto committed four turnovers and had a punt blocked and returned for a touchdown. It was the third straight loss and fifth in six games to start the season for the reigning Grey Cup Champions and now is the time we will see things regressing to the mean. The Argonauts have played the toughest schedule thus far as they got a brutal draw to open the season as the first six games have come against Western Conference teams. Ottawa is off to a 4-2 start as it has played an easier schedule but has been outgained in its last three games. Overall, the RedBlacks are getting outgained on the season despite the winning record and the numbers are skewed as they were able to outgain lowly Montreal by 158 total yards. While some may see this as a disadvantage, Toronto will start McLeod Bethel-Thompson at quarterback over the ineffective James Franklin and this can only help things. Bethel-Thompson has a chance to display his big arm against a RedBlacks defense that leads the league with 13 completions allowed of more than 30 yards. Additionally, they have no film to look at, so preparation will be non-existent, and adjustments will have to made on the fly. Toronto has a strong situation on its side as we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are coming off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. This situation is 65-32 ATS (67 percent) since 1996. 10* (372) Toronto Argonauts |
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07-28-18 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan +7 | Top | 34-22 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. For those that do not follow the CFL very close, the Calgary Stampeders are the equivalent of the New England Patriots in the NFL as they are on their way to their 11th straight season with double-digit victories. They have won the Grey Cup twice along the way but have also lost it three times and they can be vulnerable against the number as the linesmakers have no choice but to inflate their numbers as evidenced last week when they failed to cover a 19.5-point spread against Montreal. Saskatchewan is coming off a pair of wins over Hamilton to move back over .500 for the season and while this will be its first game against a team from the West Division, the same holds true for Calgary which has played nearly an identical schedule to open the season. The Stampeders know where they are as a team which makes this game a big one for the Roughriders as they do have a shot to bring Calgary back to the pack and even have a realistic shot at taking the West Division. There might be an opportunity at quarterback because starter Bo Levi Mitchell is nursing an injured knee that he suffered two weeks ago and while he started the following week against the Alouettes, there were mobility issues and the swarming Saskatchewan defense can take advantage. On the other side, despite Calgary ranking at the top in just about every offensive category, the Roughriders rank fairly close in many key statistics that could prove crucial in pulling off an upset against the lone undefeated team in the CFL. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better after one or more consecutive losses against the spread, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 54-23 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (368) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-27-18 | Toronto +10 v. Winnipeg | Top | 14-40 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. This is the second game of a home-and-home set for Toronto and Winnipeg with the latter easily winning the first meeting last week on the road. We are going absolutely contrarian here as the Argonauts could be considered one of the worst defending Grey Cup Champions we have seen in recent history. They are off to a 1-4 start and have been outgained in all five games and by an average of 143.6 ypg so things have not been going the way as planned. Injuries have taken their toll, but things are looking up this week Toronto is returning some key defensive players as back in the fold tonight will be defensive linemen Frank Beltre and Dylan Wynn, as well as linebacker Cassius Vaughn. This is huge for the worst defense in the league statistically. Winnipeg is now 3-3 and can move over .500 for the first time this season but this is a tricky spot, especially coming off a blowout win that can display overconfidence. The Blue Bombers have a Week Eight bye, and with every looming vacation there is the risk of being preoccupied mentally so Winnipeg could be at risk of thinking too far ahead. Even though past history can be meaningless, it is extremely difficult for teams to win twice against the same team in back-to-back weeks while also losing in consecutive weeks is usually not the norm. The Blue Bombers have played 42 sets of back-to-backs since 1996 and have swept only four of them while Toronto has played 34 back-to-backs and have only been swept nine times. Toronto falls into a contrarian situation where we play on road underdogs or pickems that are allowing 385 or more total ypg, after gaining 275 or less total yards in their previous game. This situation is 54-25 ATS (68.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (363) Toronto Argonauts |
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07-26-18 | Edmonton -8.5 v. Montreal | Top | 44-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Edmonton is off to a 3-2 start, yet it has covered just once game, which was the 41-22 home victory against B.C. More importantly, the Eskimos have outgained four of five opponents and by an average of over 50 ypg which sets them up in a great spot tonight coming off their bye week. This is an offensively driven league and right now, Edmonton leads the way as it is averaging a CFL-best 429.6 ypg thanks to a great start from quarterback Mike Reilly who leads the league with 1,648 yards passing and nine touchdowns. He has thrown six interceptions which would normally be a concern, but not in this matchup against a Montreal defense that is allowing a league-high 29.6 ppg and applies no pressure with a league-low six sacks. While Reilly has been a rock at quarterback for Edmonton for the last six seasons, the Alouettes have gone through 13 starters since Anthony Calvillo retired after the 2013 campaign. One of those is Vernon Adams, who is making the start tonight in his second stint with Montreal as Drew Wiley has an injured hand, both Jeff Mathews and Matthew Shiltz are also hurt, and Johnny Manziel has been in town for only two days. Montreal falls into a simple, yet effective, negative situation where we play against CFL teams after scoring nine or fewer points in their last game. This situation is 84-41 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (361) Edmonton Eskimos |
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07-20-18 | BC v. Ottawa -7 | Top | 25-29 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Ottawa is coming off a humbling loss last week against Calgary, its second loss to the Stampeders this season, but it has dominated its other two games and we expect a big rebound tonight. The RedBlacks were outgained by 214 total yards and they managed only three points, their lowest point total since August of 2015, which also happened to come against Calgary. The 150-yard offensive output against Calgary was the lowest in team history over 76 games since rejoining the league in 2014. Going back, Ottawa is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games after gaining 275 or less total yards in its previous game. B.C. meanwhile came back from a 17-0 half-time deficit to win 20-17 on a walk-off field goal in front of their home crowd against Winnipeg last week. The Lions are now 2-2 on the season, winning both games at home and losing both games on the road, but the one consistent is that they have been outgained in all four games thus far. Ottawa running back William Powell is third in the CFL with 372 rushing yards, averaging 5.9 ypc, despite getting shut down last week. That should prove to be another tough test for the B.C. run defense after they allowed Winnipeg running back Andrew Harris to eclipse the 100-yard mark in back to back meetings, and overall, the Lions are dead last in the league allowing 152 rushing ypg. Making matters worse, B.C. will be without its defensive leader as Solomon Elimimian was placed on the six-game injured list with a wrist injury. His 26 defensive tackles rank him fourth in the league so far this season after amassing 274 tackles over the previous two seasons. 10* (374) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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07-19-18 | Saskatchewan +10.5 v. Hamilton | Top | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. The Roughriders and Tiger-Cats meet in the back end of a home-and-home series that, due to a bye week, has been stretched out an extra seven days. Saskatchewan prevailed in the first matchup 18-13 despite getting outgained by 131 total yards as its bend but do not break defense kept Hamilton out of the endzone despite amassing 429 total yards. It has been a struggle offensively for the Roughriders since Zach Collaros went down with a concussion. Quarterback Brandon Bridge is set to make his third straight start for Saskatchewan and the fourth of his career and he is returning to the site of his first start for the Roughriders as he helped them win in Hamilton last season. David Watford will also see time behind center as head coach Chris Jones confirmed that the two will split time again which does give them some extra wrinkles on offense. While Hamilton is looking for some revenge, this line is inflated in what very well could be another low scoring battle which gives a big edge to the underdog, especially one this big. The Roughriders defense has stepped up numerous times against highly-powered teams as they are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games against teams averaging 325 or more passing ypg. Meanwhile, Hamilton is just 3-12 ATS in its last 15 home games against teams allowing 75 or fewer rushing ypg. 10* (371) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-14-18 | Winnipeg v. BC +4.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. This line was off the board all week waiting for the news of the B.C. quarterback situation and it has been confirmed Travis Lulay will be starting after suffering a knee injury last season. Jonathon Jennings has started the firth three games in his place and once considered one of the most promising young quarterbacks in the CFL, he has struggled to start the 2018 season, completing just 48 of his 72 passes for 487 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. This is the second game of a home-and-home between the Lions and Blue Bombers with the latter taking the first game last week with a 41-19 home win to even their record at 2-2. The Blue Bombers now lead the entire league in total points with 144 and points per game at 36 ppg, while the Lions are sixth overall in both categories so the return of Lulay is a big boost. Winnipeg was excellent on defense last week as it allowed just 280 total yards, but we can chalk that up as an aberration more than the norm as the previous week against Hamilton on the road, the Blue Bombers allowed 480 total yards. Defensively, the Lions need a better push up front as they did not register a sack last week and a change of venue can help that, especially with this being their first home game in a month following a bye week and two road games. Based on what we have seen through four weeks, the public is all over the Blue Bombers which is causing an inflated line considering Winnipeg was favored by just two points more last week and that game was at home. 10* (366) B.C. Lions |
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07-13-18 | Toronto v. Edmonton -9.5 | Top | 15-16 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. We won with Toronto last week as a home underdog as it snapped a two-game losing steak to start the season despite getting outgained by 64 yards. It was a game of momentum, in which Toronto scored 12 straight points to open the game, followed by 17 consecutive points by the Eskimos before the Argonauts put together the winning drive in the fourth quarter. While the Eskimos won the yardage battle, they lost an intangible that lost them yards, points and a possible win as they were penalized 12 times for 126 yards. This included one holding penalty that took a touchdown off the scoreboard. Additionally, they fumbled on their second play of the game which set up the second Toronto touchdown. The Argonauts have been outgained in all three games this season and taking nothing away from their Grey Cup Championship from last season, they have now been outgained in five straight games including 134 yards against Calgary in the final. Edmonton returns home where it is 1-1 and a more discipline team should be able to run away with this one. The Eskimos passed for 370 yards last week and Mike Reilly can go off again against an Argonauts defense that is ranked dead last in the CFL in passing defense. The home team has won eight of the last nine meetings in this series including four straight Edmonton wins by an average of 3.5 ppg. The Eskimos fall into a solid situation where we play on teams that are revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 106-58 ATS (64.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (364) Edmonton Eskimos |
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07-12-18 | Calgary -3.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. This is the second meeting of the season between Calgary and Ottawa which possess the best records in the CFL early in the season. Both teams top their respective divisions, with the Stampeders the lone undefeated team remaining while Ottawa will be looking to even the season series after dropping the first meeting 24-14 in Week Three. That game probably should not have been as close as the final score shows as the Stampeders defense did an outstanding job of putting RedBlacks quarterback Trevor Harris under pressure and limited him to 135 passing yards while he completed 13-of-29 pass attempts. They did not do a great job against the run but thanks to a bye week, Calgary will have Cordarro Law back in the lineup, giving them a potent front four that should give the RedBlacks offensive line serious trouble. Ottawa is back home after a pair of road games, including that game at Calgary two weeks ago, and a win over Montreal last week. The RedBlacks are at the disadvantage of having eight fewer days to prepare for this game as Calgary looks to break it recent curse at TD Place Stadium. The Stampeders haven't won a game Ottawa since a 32-7 victory in the RedBlacks inaugural season in 2014 as they have gone 0-1-2 At TD Place against Ottawa since, and suffered a 27-24 Grey Cup loss to Toronto at the stadium last fall. All said and done, the Stampeders are the better team by a significant margin. Calgary is 23-10 ATS in its last 33 games after one or more consecutive straight up wins while Ottawa is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games after gaining 450 or more total yards in their previous game and 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games after outgaining opponent by 70 or more total yards in their previous game. 10* (361) Calgary Stampeders |
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07-07-18 | Edmonton v. Toronto +3 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Toronto is off to a 0-2 start and will be facing its third team from the West Division to open the season. Making matters worse, the Argonauts lost quarterback Ricky Ray for the season last week due to a neck injury, so James Franklin will be making his first start. Franklin spent his first three CFL seasons backing up Eskimos quarterback Mike Reilly, the CFL most outstanding player last year. Franklin appeared in 12 games with the Eskimos, going 2-1 as a starter. Two weeks ago, he completed eight of 13 passes for 65 yards and ran three times for 14 yards, his 10-yard TD run accounting for lone Toronto touchdown of the game. While Edmonton is a very good team, Franklin does have the edge of knowing the Eskimos personnel and having an additional week to prepare. Edmonton is 2-1 on the season and coming off an impressive win over British Columbia last week. Reilly threw for 326 yards and three touchdowns and C.J Gable had an outstanding game, rushing for 126 yards and chipping in a touchdown of his own. The Toronto defense was lit up for 564 yards against the Stampeders but like the offense, the stop unit has an extra week to get ready. The recent results along with the Ray injury is giving value to the Argonauts in what is a great contrarian spot. Here, we play against favorites coming off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 58-22 ATS (72.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (356) Toronto Argonauts |
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07-06-18 | Ottawa -7.5 v. Montreal | Top | 28-18 | Win | 100 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Game of the Week. Montreal came through for us last week as it upset the Roughriders on the road as a double-digit underdog, but we go against them in this follow up game where it will not be sneaking up on Ottawa. The Alouettes snapped a 13-game losing streak, both straight up and against the number, going back to last season and while it can be argued that they finally have some positive momentum, this is not a good team. Last week, they were able to capitalize on four Saskatchewan turnovers and their lone touchdown came on a trick play. Despite the victory, Montreal will be going with a new starting quarterback as Jeff Matthews will be making his first start after it had 13 two-and-outs against Saskatchewan, the most by a team in almost five years. The RedBlacks are coming off a loss last week in Calgary as the offense was able to put up just 299 yards against the stout Stampeders defense. Things will be a lot easier this week facing the third worst defense in the league as quarterback Trevor Harris has a chance to bounce back following a poor performance against Calgary. In the two meetings he played against Montreal last season, he threw for 376 and 343 yards. Ottawa is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games after one or more consecutive losses against the spread while going 8-0 ATS in its last eight road divisional games. Meanwhile, Montreal is 0-6 ATS in its last six games after gaining 300 or less total ypg over their last 3 games. 10* (353) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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07-05-18 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan +7 | Top | 13-18 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. We have ridden Hamilton the last two weeks as it coasted to two easy victories and now faces its fourth straight opponent from the West Division prior to its bye week. The Tiger-Cats have been dominant on offense as they lead the CFL with 469.3 ypg but they will be tested here against the No. 2 ranked defense in the league. This is the first time since 2009 that Hamilton has started a season 2-1 and it has not won three straight games since August of 2015, going 0-4 in its last four games following consecutive victories since then. Additionally, the Tiger-Cats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. We played against the Roughriders last week as they lost at home against Montreal as 10.5-point favorites and now they come in as significant underdogs, making this a 17-point shift in the line which is simply too big in a one week span. The loss of quarterback Zach Collaros for six weeks due to a concussion is big and it showed last week as Brandon Bridge was held to 111 yards and two interceptions before being replaced by David Watford, who went 10-of-22 for 108 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions in the loss. Bridge played well prior to that and will be back in to start tonight. Favorites are 8-4 ATS through the first three weeks but the underdog situation early in the season still thrives, especially at home, as we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season. This situation is 32-14 ATS (69.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (352) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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06-30-18 | Montreal +10.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. The favorites have gone 3-0 ATS this week after a 3-1 ATS performance last week which is a surprise in this league and we will buck that trend tonight by going as contrarian as you can get with a Montreal team that has not won a game since Week Eight of last season and is currently on a 0-13 ATS run since then. Last week was not ideal for the Montreal home opener as it was blasted 56-10 against Winnipeg. It was a setback for the revamped Montreal defense, which added high-profile free agents in the off-season and has defensive guru Rich Stubler as the new coordinator. The unit should be better this week with a couple games behind then plus the fact they welcome back defensive end John Bowman. Saskatchewan opened its season with a win at home against the Argonauts, extracting some revenge, but are coming off a humbling 40-17 defeat last week at Ottawa. The big story here is that Roughriders quarterback Zach Collaros sustained a concussion last week and it out for the next six games. Brandon Bridge came into the game last week in relief and he completed just 13 of 22 for 145 yards and was intercepted once. It does not help that Bridge will be without the top receiving target as although he was the leading receiver with 1,043 yards last season, Duron Carter will continue playing boundary cornerback due to an injury. The Alouettes fall into a positive situation where we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 86-43 (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (377) Montreal Alouettes |
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06-29-18 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton -3.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Game of the Week. We won with Hamilton last week as it defeated Edmonton to pick up its first win of the season after losing its opener in Calgary. This is the home opener for the Tiger-Cats which have spent the last two weeks in Alberta to avoid extra travel and as mentioned last week, they have the potential to be a contender in the East Division. The Tiger-Cats missed the playoffs last season after a 0-8 start, but they finished strong by going 6-4 over their last 10 games after June Jones was hired as head coach to take over for Kent Austin. Quarterback Jeremiah Masoli has been exceptional this season, throwing for 676 yards and he is becoming one of the top quarterbacks in the league. Last week, the Tiger-Cats had a pair of 100 yard receivers in the win, as Brandon Banks (117 yards) and Luke Tasker (103 yards) both played major roles. Winnipeg is also coming off a victory last week as it rolled past Montreal 56-10 but the Alouettes are by far the worst team in the CFL. Rookie quarterback Chris Streveler was 22-of-28 for 246 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for a team-high 98 yards and a touchdown. He has been impressive in his first two starts but he will facing a much bigger test on Friday against a tougher Hamilton defense. The Blue Bombers have not been good in a spot like this as they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game while going 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games after outrushing their last opponent by 175 or more yards. 10* (374) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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06-23-18 | Calgary v. Toronto +3.5 | Top | 41-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Game of the Week. Week Two finds the rematch of the Grey Cup Final from last season and Calgary will be out for revenge but playing this game on the road is a different story. Calgary got away with one last week as Hamilton was trailing by a touchdown with less than two minutes remaining in the game and the Tiger-Cats were on the march to at least tie the game when Calgary defensive back Brandon Smith intercepted Jeremiah Masoli and the Stampeders added on a long touchdown run to cement the cover. The Stampeders were inefficient on offense as on the first five trips into the redzone, the Stampeders generated just four field goals and an interception. Toronto lost at Saskatchewan in its opener on the road, but it is back home where it went 7-3 last season and it looking to show that last season was no fluke. Argonauts quarterback Ricky Ray did not play in the preseason and it looked like he was a little behind game speed until the second half against Saskatchewan. That lack of offense is giving Toronto some value here with Calgary once again being a public favorite. Toronto falls into a couple solid situations. First, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that averaged 385 or more total ypg the previous season. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) since 1996. Additionally, underdogs of three or more points coming off a loss are 57-30-3 ATS (65.5 percent) since 2005. 10* (368) Toronto Argonauts |