10-28-21 |
Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 222 |
|
122-91 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
These teams are a combined 6-1 for the under thus far this season. Houston has been very bad offensively. Utah has been very good defensively. We don’t see any way that Houston will put up a big total on offense here, and this game has a good chance for a blowout. The under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Houston and 4-1 in the last five meetings overall. Those trends are sustainable.
|
10-27-21 |
Cavs v. Clippers -8 |
|
92-79 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
1-Unit Play #548 Take LA Clippers -8 over Cleveland (10:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday Oct 27) This Clippers team has been inconsistent to start off with but we see more games like the blowout against Portland than the rout vs. Memphis in their future. They are on a bit of high alert after losing their first two games, and this season it is all about the regular season and getting a good seed with the hopes of Kawhi returning at some point for a playoff run. They should be able to get a double-digit win against an overmatched opponent that is fat and happy after two consecutive wins.
|
10-27-21 |
Lakers v. Thunder +6 |
|
115-123 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
2-Unit Play #540 Take Oklahoma City +6 over LA Lakers (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday Oct 27) It’s early in the season so back-to-backs normally don’t matter that much. It shouldn’t be much of an issue tonight for OKC, who is young and is at home for both ends of the B2B. For the Lakers, however, this team is old. They are already one of the worst ATS teams in the NBA every season as the oddsmakers shade their lines on a regular basis. But this team is also old and they aren’t built for a rugged schedule. They played OT last night and this will be their third game in four nights. And the Thunder will be gunning for them as every team does every time they play the Lakers.
|
10-27-21 |
Pacers v. Raptors |
|
100-118 |
Loss |
-113 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
4-Unit Play #533 Take Indiana -1 over Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday Oct 27) We love the Pacers with this short line on Wednesday. Some books even have the Pacers getting a point. The Pacers are 1-3 but they have had a real tough schedule to start off the season. They have looked much better at 1-3 than the Raptors at 1-3. Toronto caught Boston on an off night, but otherwise they have looked horrible and their offense is completely inept to start the season, averaging only round 100 PPG. We had this line at Pacers -4.5, so we love the value here tonight.
|
10-27-21 |
Wizards v. Celtics -4 |
|
116-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
2-Unit Play #538 Take Boston -4.5 over Washington (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday Oct 27) After a slow start to the season, the Celtics have won and covered their last two games. This team enters the season underrated because of some poor results last season, especially at the betting window, but this team is very talented on the court and they have been one of the best betting teams for years. The Wizards have had a light schedule thus far, but we don’t think they are as good as they were last season. We think this line is short and there is value in the favorite.
|
10-27-21 |
Hornets v. Magic OVER 219.5 |
|
120-111 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
2-Unit Play #529 Take Charlotte/Orlando OVER 220 (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday Oct 27) Orlando is one of the worst offensive teams in the league and they average under 100 per game. But we think they can put up some points tonight. This line tells us this will be a somewhat close game. But we just don’t see the Magic shutting down the Hornets offense, which is averaging 120+ per game. The over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings and 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Orlando. These teams are a combined 6-2 to the over thus far.
|
10-26-21 |
Lakers v. Spurs OVER 222 |
|
125-121 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
The Lakers have been playing awful defense to open the season and are close to last in the league in that department. They have given up an average of 118 per game thus far. The offense has played pretty well, but it has been the defense that has been the problem. We think San Antonio will get their points tonight in what should be a close game, and we think both teams can get above 110 here. Both teams are trending to the over to start the season, and the over is 6-0 in the Spurs last 6 home games.
|
10-25-21 |
Pistons v. Hawks UNDER 213 |
|
104-122 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
It’s still early in the season, but both of these teams are allowing only around 95 points on defense. Small sample size, but it’s likely these two will be in the Top 10 when the season is over. And the Pistons have been horrible offensively as they haven’t scored more than 88 points in their two games this season. It won’t get any easier against an Atlanta team that is very athletic on the defensive end of the court. Looks like this total is about 6+ points too high.
|
10-23-21 |
Grizzlies v. Clippers -4.5 |
|
120-114 |
Loss |
-104 |
10 h 58 m |
Show
|
We liked what we saw from the Clippers in their season opener, a loss at GSW. But they played well and had a chance to win at the end. We think this is a probable Top 4 seed in the West even without Kawhi. This is a very talented team. And they are a bit underrated right now. They don’t want to start off the season 0-2 and they are solidly the better team in this matchup, so we expect them to take care of business in the home opener tonight.
|
10-23-21 |
Pistons +8.5 v. Bulls |
|
82-97 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
We always state that revenge is an overrated handicapping factor in the NBA. However, it does come into play when the teams have recently played each other, and that is the case here as these teams played Wednesday in their season opener, a six-point Pistons win. Detroit hung in there all game and barely covered, and we think this will be a close game again. This is the Pistons second game of the season, while the Bulls come in on a back-to-back.
|
10-23-21 |
Heat v. Pacers OVER 222.5 |
|
91-102 |
Loss |
-113 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
Miami scored 137 in their opener against Milwaukee, so who knows what kind of gaudy number they will put up tonight against Indiana, who has allowed 129 points per game thus far. The Pacers are averaging 128 on offense. They probably won’t get near that tonight because the Heat are a solid defensive team, but we can see both teams getting over 110 and this one should easily go over the total.
|
10-22-21 |
Raptors v. Celtics -6.5 |
Top |
115-83 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
Spoiler alert! We will be betting Boston a lot this season. This team has been one of the most dependable betting teams in the NBA for many years before taking a step back last season in what was a very strange season for them. But they reshuffled the administration decks and we expect a much stronger effort from them this season. Toronto really looked bad in their first game and they managed only 83 points against Washington. They face a much stronger defense tonight.
|
10-22-21 |
Knicks v. Magic UNDER 213 |
|
121-96 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
The Knicks weren’t their usually dominant defensive selves in the opener against Boston. But there isn’t much doubt that this team will be a Top 5 defense by the end of the season, and most likely No. 1. We expect a much better effort on that side of the ball here. Orlando is probably a strong defensive team this season. And they better use that defense, because we expect their offense to be among the worst in the league. And they failed to reach the century mark in their opener and probably won’t here, either.
|
10-22-21 |
Pacers v. Wizards OVER 227.5 |
|
134-135 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
Washington struggled on offense in the first game of the season, scoring only 98 against Toronto. They should have a much better time tonight on the offensive end. This team showed they can put up some high scores in the preseason, and the pace here should be fluid. Indiana showed in Game 1 they can score and their defense is suspect. The over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in the nation’s capital.
|
10-21-21 |
Clippers v. Warriors -3 |
Top |
113-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
The Warriors were very impressive on Opening Night as they beat the Lakers handily on the road, and now they face the other NBA title contender from the city of Los Angeles, and this time in their home opener. The Clippers have had their number lately, but we expect this one to go the other way. Kawhi Leonard is out, of course, until March at the earliest. So they will have to make due without him, and it might take some time for this team to get on the same page. Their depth will take a hit tonight as Batum and Ibaka are out tonight, as well as some role players. This game is a divisional and regional rivalry, and the crowd should be pumped tonight. We just see the Warriors winning this one comfortably as we see them being really good this year and they have a more stable team right now while LAC is a work in progress with rotations and roster and such.
|
10-20-21 |
Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 216.5 |
|
134-138 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
The Celtics have a new coach and we expect he will bring a new attitude to this team, who should have a much better season with some reshuffling of the front office and coaching staff. This team has all the talent to be one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, and the Knicks are already there as they were by far the best defensive team last year. We expect that defensive intensity to continue this season, and in this rivalry opening game we expect both teams to give it all on the defensive side of the ball against a total that looks a few points too high.
|
10-20-21 |
Pacers v. Hornets OVER 223.5 |
|
122-123 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
These are going to be two of the better offensive teams in the NBA and two teams that are going to be hit or miss defensively. We think they will both miss tonight as we see a fast pace here and a high-scoring game for both teams. The last time these teams met, the score was over 260, and the over is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in Charlotte.
|
10-20-21 |
Bulls -4.5 v. Pistons |
|
94-88 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
We see the Bulls as being much improved this season, and the Pistons are still a major work in progress. Chicago is now on a different tier in the Eastern Conference and they are a playoff team in our eyes. We think this opening line is short as we had this one handicapped at 7.5, so getting some value on the other side of the NBA key number of 7 shows us the oddsmakers are a bit behind on this team. We see the Bulls getting a comfortable win tonight.
|
10-19-21 |
Nets +2 v. Bucks |
|
104-127 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
Much has been made about Kyrie Irving and his vaccine status. But this Nets team is probably still the best in the East without him as long as they stay healthy. They should be extra motivated in this one because of the revenge factor from the playoffs last season and also because they will see the Bucks getting their rings and that will provide extra incentive that the Bucks won’t have on the court. We think the wrong team is favored here.
|
07-20-21 |
Suns +5 v. Bucks |
Top |
98-105 |
Loss |
-108 |
26 h 13 m |
Show
|
10 Unit Play. Take #511 Phoenix Suns over Milwaukee Bucks (9:05p.m., Tuesday, July 19 ABC) Just do not believe Phoenix will go this entire series without winning (or at least covering) one road game. Phoenix could not stop Milwaukee at all during the second and third quarters on Saturday and still had the ball with a chance to win it late in that game. Phoenix is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. Milwaukee is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games played on Tuesday. Despite losing the last three games, the Sunday are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games between Phoenix and Milwaukee.
|
07-17-21 |
Bucks v. Suns -3.5 |
Top |
123-119 |
Loss |
-109 |
50 h 8 m |
Show
|
10 Unit Play. Take #510 Phoenix Suns over Milwaukee Bucks (9:10p.m., Saturday, July 17 ABC) Homecourt has been the play in all 4 games thus far and look for that to continue on Saturday night in the desert. Role players tend to play better at home and expect the Suns to bounce back in a big way on Saturday. Phoenix gave away the game on Wednesday and I see them jumping out early and holding the lead tonight. Milwaukee is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. Phoenix is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against Milwaukee.
|
07-14-21 |
Suns +4.5 v. Bucks |
|
103-109 |
Loss |
-109 |
31 h 27 m |
Show
|
3 Unit Play. Take #507 Phoenix over Milwaukee (9p.m., Wednesday, July 14 ABC) The Suns had an off-shooting night and game 3 quickly got out of hand. But expect them to bounce back in a big way especially Devon Booker, who sat the entire fourth quarter of game 3. The Suns have won Game 4 in each of the 3 previous rounds, and I feel they will take this game down to the wire with a good chance to win straight-up. Phoenix is 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games.
|
07-14-21 |
Suns v. Bucks UNDER 220.5 |
Top |
103-109 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 25 m |
Show
|
10 Unit Play. Take #508 Under in Phoenix @ Milwaukee (9p.m., Wednesday, July 14 ABC) All three games have been blowouts and that does not bode well for the over to hit. Surprised this total is in the 220s and thus we will play the under on Wednesday. The Bucks have played under the posted total in 7 over their last 11 home games (1 push). The Suns have gone under the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game.
|
07-11-21 |
Suns +4 v. Bucks |
Top |
100-120 |
Loss |
-103 |
53 h 57 m |
Show
|
10 Unit Play. Take #505 Phoenix Suns over Milwaukee Bucks (8:05p.m., Sunday, July 11 ABC) We have used the Suns in both games thus far and won easily. Things will be different in Milwaukee, but I just do not feel the Bucks should be favored by this many points. Milwaukee is still struggling from the arc, and you just cannot win games in this day and age without strong three-point shooting. Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Suns are also 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games against the Bucks.
|
07-08-21 |
Bucks v. Suns -5.5 |
Top |
108-118 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 36 m |
Show
|
10 Unit Play. Take #504 Phoenix Suns over Milwaukee Bucks (9:05p.m., Thursday, July 8 ESPN) The Suns dominated Game 1 of the NBA Finals and one never got the impression in that game that Milwaukee was going to cover the spread let alone win the game. The Bucks just have not been shooting it well from the arc on a consistent basis and for them to beat Phoenix they must make shots from the three-point line. Milwaukee is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against Phoenix in the Valley of the Sun. Phoenix is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
|
07-06-21 |
Bucks v. Suns -5.5 |
Top |
105-118 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a strange NBA Finals for sure. Milwaukee belongs here, but not sure about the Suns. Phoenix was a team that we thought would flame out in the postseason after a brilliant regular season. They were lacking playoff experience. Teams need to take their lumps with some postseason heartbreak to eventually get to this point. But here we are. The Suns were benefited by a bunch of injuries to key players in the Western Conference Playoffs. They had one of the easier paths to the championship we can remember. But they did earn their postseason experience. They have gotten here by being the healthiest team in the playoffs. They gained a lot of confidence in the postseason, and we think that will be on display here.
|
07-03-21 |
Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 217.5 |
Top |
118-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
The last game was high scoring and the Bucks did what they wanted offensively. But if Atlanta puts together another performance like that on the defensive end, they will be going home after this game. This is an underrated defensive team, and we think they step up and put it all on the line here tonight. Most of the games in this series have gone well under the posted number, and we think both teams will lock down on the defensive end as this is the biggest game of the series to date for both teams.
|
07-01-21 |
Hawks v. Bucks -2.5 |
Top |
112-123 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
We have some major injuries on both sides here but the Bucks have the more complete roster, and the more experienced one. We think they will take the Next Man Up strategy and run with it here to a comfortable win. Even if Young plays for the Hawks, we just don’t see him being effective as he will be rushed back too soon. We have seen it time and time again where they rush a player back and he hinders the team more than he helps. Regardless, we think the Bucks will circle the wagons here and take the win and move one step closer to the Finals.
|
06-30-21 |
Suns v. Clippers UNDER 215 |
Top |
130-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
The Clippers got hot in Game 5 and they were able to score 116. We don’t see that happening again tonight, and we think this will be a low scoring game with both teams barely getting over the century mark. These are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA. This is a must win for both teams, and we think they will dig in defensively. The oddsmakers have adjusted the total upwards from Game 5, but we think they should have gone the other way. We will take advantage of their error tonight.
|
06-29-21 |
Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 219 |
|
88-110 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
The last two games have gone significantly under the posted number. This one was adjusted because of Young’s status. And the line will move whether he plays or not. We like the under regardless. These teams have been playing well defensively, and the playoffs have been trending to the under. Just not sure how the Hawks will score their fair share with Young out or hobbled. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these teams, and we expect another low scoring game here.
|
06-28-21 |
Clippers v. Suns UNDER 214.5 |
Top |
116-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
Game 1 of this series went over, but the rest of the games have been fewer points than the last. We are pretty sure they hit the bottom of the barrel with Game 4 as 164 total points were scored. The oddsmakers adjusted a few points here, but it’s not enough. The Clippers are one of the most overworked teams in postseason history as they have played every other day all month and had some incredibly tough games along the way. They just looked exhausted in several spots in this series, especially Game 4 when they had tons of chances to take the lead but couldn’t. There’s a great chance both teams will shoot much better than they did in the last game, but we just don’t see either team breaking out on offense. This has possibly been one of the most physical series of the postseason, and the Suns are probably fatigued as well. These are two of the better defensive teams in the NBA, and we think that will be on display here again in Game 5.
|
06-27-21 |
Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 224 |
|
113-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
The NBA playoffs has been grueling and the offense have been struggling. We have seen a big time trend to unders, and oddsmakers are not adjusting these totals enough downward. We think this one is too high as well. We think Atlanta might struggle to shoot the ball here again in Game 3! We had this one handicapped at 219, so we like the value here.
|
06-25-21 |
Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226.5 |
|
91-125 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 55 m |
Show
|
The Bucks were the No. 1 offensive team in the regular season, but their offense hasn’t played well in the postseason. The result has been a 7-4-1 under run in the playoffs. The Hawks have been trending to the under as well, with a 9-4 mark in the postseason. Game 1 went over, but just barely. We think the Hawks could fall flat offensively in this one as Milwaukee amps up the defense in what has basically turned into a must win game. Looking back on the Hawks playoff results, they beat the Knicks in Game 1 in Round 1 then struggled in Game 2 with only 92 points on offense. After winning Game 1 in Philly, they also struggled in Game 2, scoring 26 fewer points than they did in that win. The under is 7-0 in the last seven when the Bucks are coming off a loss. And it is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these teams, with Game 1 being the only over in that stretch.
|
06-24-21 |
Suns v. Clippers UNDER 222 |
Top |
92-106 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
Chris Paul should be back here and controlling the offense. He doesn’t move the ball up the court quickly and he sets up the offense more deliberately. This is the most important game of the season for both teams. If the Clippers lose, they are done. If Phoenix loses, then the Clippers are firmly back in this one. We expect both defenses to be at their best, and these are two of the best defensive teams in the league. The last game was very low scoring and went way under the total, but the oddsmakers didn’t adjust the number enough. The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in LA.
|
06-23-21 |
Hawks +8.5 v. Bucks |
|
116-113 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
We think this line is too big, bottom line. The Bucks have always disappointed in the postseason with the current core. We don’t think they should be this big of a favorite. The Hawks are playing their best basketball of this season here in the playoffs, and it sure looks like this team is built for the postseason. They were one of the most impressive teams down the stretch of the regular season, and they haven’t missed a beat here when the games have meant more. We expect a close game here and all the pressure is on the home team.
|
06-22-21 |
Clippers +5 v. Suns |
|
103-104 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
The Clippers looked exhausted for Game 1 and they still had a chance to cover on the last possession. They had a super quick turnaround from their Game 7 against Utah until Game 1 at Phoenix. Now they have had a little more rest, and this is basically almost a must win for them tonight as they don’t want to go down 2-0 AGAIN in a series and have that hole to climb out of. We think they will do a better job of containing Booker and that this will be a close game where the underdog has a chance for the outright win.
|
06-20-21 |
Clippers +4 v. Suns |
Top |
114-120 |
Loss |
-106 |
3 h 59 m |
Show
|
The Suns had too much time off here. We think that, and the fact that Chris Paul is out for this game with Covid, has thwarted the Suns momentum. The Clippers have all the momentum here and are coming off one of the best second-half performances in playoff history. This team is really clicking on all cylinders, and they have shown they can play at an elite level even with Kawhi out of the lineup. Plus, they have some hope for Kawhi to be back at some point as he was seen at Game 6 against Utah without a brace and walking without a limp. That has led some to speculate that he could be back at some point in this series. These Clippers are more battle tested than the Suns in this postseason as Phoenix had a very easy path with the injured Lakers and the hobbled Nuggets. The Clippers had a tougher path and they have been playing better with each passing game after the first couple games in Dallas. They are getting contributions from throughout the roster, and Paul George has stepped up into the Top Dog role with Kawhi out. We just see the Suns having some problems getting into the flow of the game without Paul and with a week off from their last game. The Clippers won and covered in two of three meetings this season, and longer term they have covered in 14 of the last 19 meetings. We think they have a great chance to win outright here.
|
06-19-21 |
Bucks v. Nets -1.5 |
|
115-111 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
Just think home court makes all the difference here and the stars will shine on Saturday in this elimination Game 7. The NBA is all about the stars, and the Nets will have two on the court and the Bucks with one. And with Brooklyn being at home we think the crowd will drive them to a win here.
|
06-18-21 |
Jazz -131 v. Clippers |
Top |
119-131 |
Loss |
-131 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
Nothing ever comes easy for the Clippers. Almost all their playoff series go to seven games. They have never been to the conference finals in franchise history. In Game 5 Paul George and the role players stepped up while the Jazz went cold in the second half, and Utah was still in a position to win in the last couple minutes. Just don’t see the Clippers replicating that performance and we think the Jazz will pull away in this one in the fourth quarter.
|
06-18-21 |
76ers -2.5 v. Hawks |
|
104-99 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
We have been pretty heavy on the Hawks in this series with solid results, but we think it’s time to go the other way here. This looks like a seven-game series to us. And we think the Sixers will take care of business tonight. We expect them to lock down on defense, and we don’t see them blowing a big lead like they did in Game 5. Even experienced teams evolve, and the Sixers learned a big lesson last time out as they took their foot off the gas after accumulating a big lead. Won’t happen again as the Sixers win this one comfortably.
|
06-17-21 |
Nets v. Bucks OVER 220 |
Top |
89-104 |
Loss |
-101 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
Not one of the five games in this series went over the posted total. However, there has been a massive swing in the totals line in this series. This is the lowest total for the series so far. This one is almost 20 points less than the Game 1 total! We think now there is value on the over. Harden is back and he had one sloppy game under his belt but he should play better in this game. These are the Top 2 offensive teams in the NBA this season. This is going to be a hard-fought battle from both sides and we think both teams will get their points here against an overadjusted total.
|
06-16-21 |
Clippers +7 v. Jazz |
Top |
119-111 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
It was announced this AM that Kawhi Leonard is out indefinitely with an ankle injury. This is a major blow to the Clippers as they had seized all the momentum in this series and were looking in good shape to possibly steal a rare road win in Utah tonight. But we think they still have a chance. Paul George has broken out of his slump, and if he plays hero ball tonight, he can definitely have the Clips in a position to win this one. LA has its deepest team in franchise history, and they have experience playing without Kawhi. Just don’t see the Clips getting blown out here.
|
06-16-21 |
Hawks +7 v. 76ers |
|
109-106 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
The Hawks were one of the best teams in the NBA down the stretch, and they are being underrated by the oddsmakers once again here. Not many expected them to be in this series, but here we are with things tied up and this is now a three-game series and the Hawks have a real chance to make the conference finals. Philly always seems to disappoint in the postseason, and we think the Hawks will give them all they can handle tonight.
|
06-15-21 |
Bucks -4 v. Nets |
Top |
108-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
Great momentum for Milwaukee heading into Game 5 here with the series tied up. The Nets will likely be without two of their Big 3, and that is a problem with the way the Bucks have played the last two games of this series. They have all the momentum here, and the Nets have to figure out something quickly if they expect to win this one tonight. We don’t see it happening, and we think the Bucks go for the jugular this evening. Yes, the Nets have experience with playing without members of the Big 3 as they have done all season. And they have some role players that have the ability to step up. But we just don’t see where the points are going to come from for the Nets here tonight. They are really struggling offensively and have failed to reach the century mark in the last two games. The Bucks have the capability to score here, and we just don’t see the Nets being able to match that. Milwaukee has a strong betting history here in Brooklyn as they are 16-5-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings here. This Bucks team gets a mulligan from us for last season in the Bubble as they had some off-court issues going on, and a win tonight and putting the Nets on the verge of elimination would go a long way to put that failure in the rearview mirror.
|
06-14-21 |
Jazz v. Clippers -4.5 |
Top |
104-118 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
We loved what we saw from the Clippers in Game 3, and we think that positive momentum will carry over here in Game 4. The Clippers have been in this situation before in a must-win game, and they have had success in this situation already in the playoffs. In Game 3 the stars for LA did what they were supposed to do, and the role players stepped up big time. Mitchell for Utah is banged up for this game. He might not be able to perform at his best. Utah benefitted from some great shooting in Games 1 and 2. They have cooled off, however, and that kind of shooting is unsustainable likely throughout the series. Also, the Clippers have been great in the favorite role as they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. Utah hasn’t done great as an underdog as they are 0-5 ATS in their last five in this situation. This has the look of a series that could possibly go the distance, and we see the Clippers evening things up tonight with a comfortable win.
|
06-13-21 |
Suns -3 v. Nuggets |
Top |
125-118 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
If Denver was going to make a big stand in this series, Game 3 was the place to do it. But they didn’t. At all. They got blown out. Again. Now the Nuggets are toast. And they know it. It’s virtually impossible to come back from a 3-0 deficit in the NBA Playoffs. And Phoenix is playing some of their best basketball of the season right now, and that’s saying a lot since they had a great regular season. But not only are they playing great, but they match up extremely well with Denver and this series looks like a total mismatch. Denver showed a lot of heart in their postseason comebacks last season, but this is a different season, and they just matched up with the wrong team in the second round.
|
06-13-21 |
Nets v. Bucks UNDER 228.5 |
|
96-107 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 12 m |
Show
|
The Bucks haven’t really played a good game in this series yet they are still in it, especially with a win here on Sunday. If they lose, they are on the brink of elimination with the series headed back to Brooklyn. We think they will go all out here and could possibly play their best game of the series. All the games in this series have gone under the posted number, and Game 3 went under by a lot as the total reached only 169. This game will probably be higher scoring with two of the best offenses in the league, but we think the oddsmakers should have made a much larger adjustment on the total.
|
06-13-21 |
Nets v. Bucks +2 |
|
96-107 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 12 m |
Show
|
The Bucks haven’t really played a good game in this series yet they are still in it, especially with a win here on Sunday. If they lose, they are on the brink of elimination with the series headed back to Brooklyn. We think they will go all out here and could possibly play their best game of the series. All the games in this series have gone under the posted number, and Game 3 went under by a lot as the total reached only 169. This game will probably be higher scoring with two of the best offenses in the league, but we think the oddsmakers should have made a much larger adjustment on the total.
|
06-12-21 |
Jazz +5 v. Clippers |
|
106-132 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
We expect a close, low-scoring game here. Both teams need to bring their A Game defensively in what is the most important game in the series. The Clippers are done if they lose this one. The Jazz don’t want the Clippers to get back in this series and they saw what happened in Dallas when LA went down 2-0 in that series. The Clippers aren’t playing with a lot of confidence right now. PG can’t find his shot. They have to get it done with defense. But we think this is too many points as we think this will be a close game. We think the Clippers could squeak by in this one and then have a much better performance in Game 4 once the confidence is back.
|
06-11-21 |
Suns v. Nuggets OVER 222.5 |
|
116-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
Denver looks totally outclassed in this series. Phoenix looks like they have barely broken a sweat and they have rolled in the first two games. This one looks like it could very likely be a sweep. We were unsure of the Suns in this postseason because of lack of experience, but Chris Paul has been playing lights out and this team seems dialed in and is playing great team basketball. We think they go for the jugular tonight and essentially put this series out of reach with a win and a 3-0 lead. We had the Suns as 3-point favorites here, and there is great value in the much better team getting points here tonight. We see the Suns putting up a big offensive number tonight, and the Nuggets won’t be able to keep up.
|
06-11-21 |
Suns +2 v. Nuggets |
Top |
116-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
Denver looks totally outclassed in this series. Phoenix looks like they have barely broken a sweat and they have rolled in the first two games. This one looks like it could very likely be a sweep. We were unsure of the Suns in this postseason because of lack of experience, but Chris Paul has been playing lights out and this team seems dialed in and is playing great team basketball. We think they go for the jugular tonight and essentially put this series out of reach with a win and a 3-0 lead. We had the Suns as 3-point favorites here, and there is great value in the much better team getting points here tonight. We see the Suns putting up a big offensive number tonight, and the Nuggets won’t be able to keep up.
|
06-11-21 |
76ers v. Hawks +2 |
|
127-111 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
The Hawks have homecourt advantage now in this series and it’s time to go to work in Game 3 and protect that advantage. There aren’t many teams playing as well as the Hawks down the stretch of the regular season and the start of the postseason, and they have been beating the oddsmakers number on a regular basis. We had them as a small favorite here and expect them to win a close game here at home. Philly hasn’t covered in six tries here in Atlanta, and this team always finds a way to disappoint in the postseason.
|
06-09-21 |
Nuggets +5.5 v. Suns |
Top |
98-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
The Nuggets were blown out in Game 1. But they have done a pretty good job of bouncing back from a bad loss in these playoffs and we expect a much more competitive game in Game 2. The Nuggets have covered in seven of the last 10 meetings in this arena and 14 of the last 20 meetings overall. We just don’t trust Phoenix that much in this postseason and think the floor will fall out from under them at some point. Denver will draw on their playoff experience tonight.
|
06-08-21 |
Clippers +4 v. Jazz |
Top |
109-112 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
It’s rust vs. momentum here. We will go with momentum tonight. The Jazz didn’t play for almost a week while the Clippers closed out Dallas in Game 7 on Sunday. But LA didn’t look tired, and they are playing some excellent basketball. When this team is playing well, they could be the most talented team in the NBA, and we like them getting points tonight in what we feel is a coin flip game as to who wins. The long break has killed the Utah momentum while the Clippers have fresh momentum. We think the Clips will lock down on the defensive end here and that the Jazz may start the game a bit rusty.
|
06-08-21 |
Hawks +6 v. 76ers |
|
102-118 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
This Atlanta team is on a 12-2 run and we feel they are being disrespected with this number. This team has quietly been one of the best teams in the playoffs at 5-1 both SU and ATS. They are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games. This team has all the momentum and we think this game will be competitive no matter who wins or loses. We had this line handicapped at 3, so we think there is quite a bit of value and the Sixers look like a very public play tonight.
|
06-07-21 |
Bucks +1 v. Nets |
Top |
86-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
We wanted to wait to see what went down in Game 1 before we made a move on the side in this series, and this one turned out exactly as we wanted to go with the Bucks in Game 2. Brooklyn won Game 1 and that gives the Bucks even more motivation here, and James Harden went down with an injury, which increases the Bucks chances to pull even in this series. The Bucks played a pretty lousy game in Game 1. This team doesn’t often have two bad games in a row. They are a more stable team than the Nets, who threw together a super team on the fly. We just don’t see the same chemistry for Brooklyn, and that is crucial in such a pivotal playoff game. We expect the Bucks to even this series up tonight with a much improved effort compared to Game 1.
|
06-06-21 |
Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 211 |
|
111-126 |
Loss |
-103 |
4 h 53 m |
Show
|
ERROR IN POSTING THE PICK IS OVER In the middle of this series the totals got up as high as 220 after the first two games were very high scoring. Then since Game 4 the scores have been very low scoring with the last three going UNDER. But this total has been adjusted almost 10 points from the highest number in this series, and we think the value has gone the other way. We could see the pace here starting off pretty quick. If these teams shoot well then this one will probably fly over this number. If Dallas didn’t go totally cold in the fourth quarter of Game 6 then that game probably would have gone over easy. But we are getting by far the lowest total of this series and these teams are going to do everything they can to win and pull out all the stops and the energy could be lacking on defense after a grueling Game 6.
|
06-04-21 |
Clippers v. Mavs UNDER 216.5 |
|
104-97 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
The NBA playoffs is all about stars and although the Mavs have one of the best in the business, the Clippers have two difference-makers on the court tonight. The road team has won every game in this series, and we think that trend will continue tonight. There hasn’t been much intrigue in the postseason thus far and you know the NBA wants a Game 7, so the Clippers might get the benefit of the doubt on some calls tonight. Regardless, we think the Clippers will step up with their excellent defense and do everything they can to slow down Doncic and make the rest of the team beat them.
|
06-04-21 |
Clippers -2.5 v. Mavs |
Top |
104-97 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
The NBA playoffs is all about stars and although the Mavs have one of the best in the business, the Clippers have two difference-makers on the court tonight. The road team has won every game in this series, and we think that trend will continue tonight. There hasn’t been much intrigue in the postseason thus far and you know the NBA wants a Game 7, so the Clippers might get the benefit of the doubt on some calls tonight. Regardless, we think the Clippers will step up with their excellent defense and do everything they can to slow down Doncic and make the rest of the team beat them.
|
06-03-21 |
Suns v. Lakers -2 |
Top |
113-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
The Lakers were absolutely humiliated in their last game. With a proud team like LA, that isn’t going to cut it. We expect a spirited performance tonight from the home team. AD might be out here or seriously limited. But they still have LeBron. And they still have one of the best defenses in the NBA. We expect them to play D like their life depends on it tonight, and their playoff life basically does. They have shown they can win games on the defensive side, and we expect that to happen tonight. We just can’t get behind the Suns too much in this postseason because the lack of experience.
|
06-02-21 |
Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 |
Top |
105-100 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
We doubt Luka Doncic is going to be anywhere near 100 percent here. The whole Dallas offense goes through him. He is like Steph Curry in that his play makes his teammates better when he is on the court. Even though these teams had an extra day off, not sure if that is going to help much. But, regardless, the Clippers put on a defensive clinic in Game 4 and we expect to see more of the same tonight in what is up to this point the pivotal game in the series. Dallas will make some defensive adjustments as well and we don’t see either of these teams putting up big numbers on offense. The stars will probably do their jobs but we think the role players will fall short. And the extra day off will ramp up the defensive intensity.
|
06-02-21 |
Wizards +6 v. 76ers |
|
112-129 |
Loss |
-101 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
Embiid is likely out here and the Wizards have a lot of momentum after a very nice win in Game 4. We think that momentum will carry over here. While Doc Rivers has a championship pedigree, he hasn’t done much recently, and he is starting to become more known for letting lesser teams stick around in playoff series. Washington has nothing to lose here and all the pressure is on Philly, and we think this will be a close game.
|
06-01-21 |
Lakers v. Suns -5 |
|
85-115 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
LeBron is one of the greatest of all time but he is getting older and can no longer hold the weight of the entire team on his back. That’s why Anthony Davis has been such a good compliment to him. But this team looked lost against the Suns once Davis went out, and it looks like Chris Paul is getting over his injury as he played great last time out. The Lakers are always the darlings of the oddsmakers and bettors, so you normally get an extra point or two when betting against them, and we think that’s the case here as we had this line at 7.5.
|
06-01-21 |
Blazers v. Nuggets -2 |
|
140-147 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
This looks like a 7-game series to us, and it’s Denver’s turn tonight. They had an ugly loss last time out, but they have had extra time off and they should come back raring to go on their home court tonight. Denver will ramp up the defensive intensity tonight with the extra energy provided by extra rest, and the Blazers have been inconsistent on defense and we think this one could be a lopsided matchup.
|
06-01-21 |
Celtics +12.5 v. Nets |
|
109-123 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
Just think this is too many points. The Nets have looked great for the most part in this series. But this is the most points Boston has gotten as an underdog all season. Brooklyn has been inconsistent when laying big points and they were one of the worst bets in the league when laying five or more this season. The Celtics are a very proud team with a lot of tradition, and while they probably won’t win this game we think they will go down fighting and keep this one within double digits.
|
05-31-21 |
Jazz v. Grizzlies +6 |
Top |
120-113 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
We think the Grizzlies have a great chance to win this one and even the series up. It should at least be a close game. Memphis has nothing to lose and they are playing with house money right now. All the pressure is on Utah here. Last game the Jazz got off to a hot start and outscored the Grizzlies 34-22 in the first quarter. The Grizzlies pretty much played even with them the rest of the way after that slow start. Of course they won Game 1 and they haven’t embarrassed themselves at any point in this series. Even though they lost by 10 last time out, they have covered their last four at home after losing by double digits. They know this is their last best chance to stay in this series, and we expect to see a spirited effort tonight. Plus, the refs should dish out some home cooking, especially since there are a lack of games coming up as many of the series in the East have been lopsided.
|
05-30-21 |
Clippers -3 v. Mavs |
|
106-81 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
Luka Doncic is questionable for this game. We have no doubt he will play. His listing on the injury report is probably mind games by Dallas. But we also do think he is ailing a bit and will be well under 100 percent in this game. But regardless, we think the Clippers have turned the tide here. If they win here then they are once again heavy favorites in this series. Dallas has enjoyed some great performances in this series and hit a lot of lucky shots. But LA is a much stronger all around team and they showed they are motivated in Game 3 and we expect to see the same type of performance here.
|
05-30-21 |
Nets -7.5 v. Celtics |
Top |
141-126 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
Boston played great in Game 3. Tatum put the team on his back and scored 50 with a legendary effort. That’s doubtful to happen again, and the Nets should bounce back and comfortably win this one against an outmatched Boston squad. This Game 3 was typical of Boston all season as they will look like they are back on track and then fall on their faces. And it was typical of Brooklyn, a team that has been inconsistent. But we think that loss was a wake up call. And with the other top seeds in the East taking care of business quickly, there will be urgency for the Nets to make sure Boston doesn’t win another game and hang around as the competition will get much tougher in the coming rounds.
|
05-29-21 |
Jazz -5 v. Grizzlies |
Top |
121-111 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 6 m |
Show
|
Kudos to Memphis for winning Game 1. They caught Utah off guard and they got a great win. But Utah showed in Game 2 why they are the top seed as they dropped 141 points in a blowout. Sometimes good teams need a kick in the butt to get going, and it looks like that loss motivated Utah in a big way. That positive momentum should continue here. And Memphis would not even be a playoff team under the normal playoff format. This is a team on the way up but not there yet, while Utah is a true championship contender. And we think they get the job done again tonight.
|
05-29-21 |
Nuggets v. Blazers -4.5 |
|
95-115 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
|
We like to envision how a series will play out beforehand and bet accordingly, and we see this series going a long way or maybe even to Game 7 as we think these teams are pretty evenly matched. Portland played well last game but Denver played better, and we think the Blazers will be motivated here and even the series up. They had covered five in a row in this series before the last two losses. We think the early start time benefits the home team as they are in a more comfortable setting and should be able to handle the change better since these games have all been at night.
|
05-29-21 |
Bucks -4.5 v. Heat |
|
120-103 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 7 m |
Show
|
Miami put up a fight in Game 1 but the last two games have been blowouts. Will Miami play with some pride here? Maybe. But they are outmatched in this series and we expect the Bucks to finish this one off today. They have shown that last year was a fluke and that they are a legit contender. There is urgency to finish this one off and then wait for their next opponent. They are playing extremely well right now. We think this price is right and we expect a comfortable 7+-point win.
|
05-28-21 |
Clippers v. Mavs UNDER 220 |
Top |
118-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
Dallas has been playing great in this series and they have been shooting the lights out. But they have made a lot of lucky shots, and that is undeniable. They also have some players that have unsustainable shooting percentages in this series, especially from long range. The Clippers were one of the best defensive teams all season. Their season is on the line tonight and we expect them to lock down on defense and play with massive intensity. And the Dallas shooting can’t stay this hot forever. We expect a much different look on the scoreboard after the final buzzer than we saw in Game 2.
|
05-28-21 |
Nets -8.5 v. Celtics |
|
119-125 |
Loss |
-104 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
Better luck next year, Boston. The Celtics looked cooked and this series hasn’t even been competitive. Brooklyn is healthy and playing well, and Boston is banged up and looks lost. Everything the Nets have been working towards to be in good shape for the postseason seems to be coming to fruition, and they looked poised to end this series in a sweep. This should be another double-digit win. There is some urgency to end this series quickly because the competition for Brooklyn gets much more serious as they move on.
|
05-27-21 |
Suns +7 v. Lakers |
|
95-109 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
We think the Lakers will win this series but we are surprised how big this line is. The Lakers are one of the most public teams in the NBA and their lines are often inflated. That sure looks like the case tonight as we had this one handicapped at 4. So we see nice value here on the underdog in what should be a close game. The Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last six after a cover, so they normally follow up a great game with an average one.
|
05-27-21 |
Bucks -1.5 v. Heat |
Top |
113-84 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
We were hyped on the Bucks entering the postseason but also kind of apprehensive because of the fact that they fell on their face last postseason. Was that the Bubble or is this team a postseason underperformer? Well, Game 2 gave us a lot of confidence, and we think there’s a great chance this series ends up as a sweep. This team has unfinished business, and they looked focused and determined thus far in this series and Miami is just outmatched.
|
05-26-21 |
Wizards +8.5 v. 76ers |
|
95-120 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
We think these two teams are closer in ability than the oddsmakers do. The Wizards hung with Utah in Game 1. It was only the third quarter where the Sixers got a bit of separation, but the Wizards covered and we think they keep this one close once again on Wednesday. Washington was one of the best ATS teams in the second half of the season. They have covered six straight as a dog and are 7-0-1 ATS coming off a loss. They have also covered in four of the last five meetings.
|
05-25-21 |
Mavs v. Clippers -6.5 |
|
127-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
The Clippers are probably feeling some pressure after losing Game 1 in an upset. This team has had the ability to bounce back well in the past, and they did this quite a bit in the postseason last year. A loss here would be a big problem for the organization and we just don’t see this team disappointing again as they are just on another tier talent wise than the Mavs and they have all the ingredients of a championship contender. We expect a low scoring game and possible double digit win by the home team.
|
05-25-21 |
Lakers -1.5 v. Suns |
|
109-102 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
The Suns won Game 1 but we are going to back the Lakers again here in Game 2 for all the same reasons, the most important being the Suns inexperience in the postseason. The Lakers aren’t sweating the Game 1 loss and they have been here before. We think there is a lot of pressure on the Suns here and we don’t see them handling the adversity when they have a great chance to go up 2-0. This one should be all LA.
|
05-23-21 |
Hawks v. Knicks UNDER 215.5 |
|
107-105 |
Win
|
100 |
55 h 37 m |
Show
|
The Knicks are the No. 1 defensive team in the NBA. With plenty of rest coming into this game we think they will bring a lot of intensity on the defensive side of the ball. The Hawks are an underrated defensive team as well. They held their last two opponents in the regular season to 95 or fewer points. With the extended break, these offenses will probably be rusty to start off the game. And the defenses will have lots of energy. This should be a close game, and we could see these defenses really clamping down in the fourth quarter. In the playoffs defense increases and scores normally get smaller. We think this one has a real chance to be a defensive battle, and we see this total as at least five points too high.
|
05-23-21 |
Lakers +3 v. Suns |
Top |
90-99 |
Loss |
-115 |
51 h 7 m |
Show
|
For most of the later part of the season we have been planning to fade the Suns in the postseason. This team has all the look of a regular season wonder but a postseason failure. They don’t have a lot of postseason experience. Chris Paul has a career of postseason disappointments. This team needs some experience before they are a true title threat. Unfortunately, they drew the Lakers in the first round. The Lakers almost never have betting value because they are one of the most public teams in the NBA. There’s no doubt the Suns are scared here. The Lakers are healthy and streaking. We think this line is more than fair for Game 1 and we actually had the Lakers as a slight favorite, so we love the value here for Game 1.
|
05-23-21 |
Wizards +7 v. 76ers |
|
118-125 |
Push |
0 |
49 h 37 m |
Show
|
The Wizards are no normal No. 8 seed. This team has been one of the stronger teams in the entire NBA down the stretch after a horrible start to the season. We think they can hang with Philly in this series. The Sixers have seen their share of disappointment in the postseason during The Process era. Even though they are the top seed, we would put the Bucks and even the Nets in front of them as a possible NBA Finals representative from the East. The Wizards are just playing very good team basketball right now, and we feel this is a very public line. It doesn’t hurt that Washington has covered in five of the last seven meetings.
|
05-22-21 |
Celtics +8 v. Nets |
|
93-104 |
Loss |
-104 |
32 h 43 m |
Show
|
Brooklyn is hot entering the postseason, but they won five straight against a pretty easy schedule. We just don’t think this team has what it takes to win a championship this season. This team has been a very bad bet most of the season, especially when laying big points. They have dealt with so many injuries and roster changes this season that this new team hasn’t had the chance to build chemistry. Boston has been a big disappointment this season. But this is a whole new season, and you can throw out the previous struggles. They played one of their best games in a long time in the play-in game against a Washington team that had been playing extremely well. We expect a competitive game here.
|
05-22-21 |
Mavs v. Clippers -5 |
Top |
113-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is what the Clippers played the season for. All the load management, different rotations and team building was intended to be in a good place for the postseason. And we think the Clippers are in a very good place. This team didn’t care about regular season records. All they care about is winning a championship. And this team looks much better than the one we saw flame out of the playoffs last season. Paul George was having some mental issues last season in the bubble but he has been great this season, and this team is pretty much fully healthy here for Game 1. A healthy and motivated Clippers team is on a different level than this Mavs squad, and we think this line is short on Saturday.
|
05-21-21 |
Grizzlies v. Warriors -4.5 |
Top |
117-112 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
Home teams have been dominant in this play in tournament, and we expect that trend to continue on Friday in the final play in game. The postseason is when stars shine the brightest, and although Ja Morant is a rising star, the Warriors have two established stars, including one of the best to ever play the game. We have seen time and time again that Steph Curry elevates his game to a different level when things matter the most, and the stakes couldn’t be higher here. He also makes everyone around him better when he brings his A Game, and we expect to see his best tonight. The Grizzlies wouldn’t have made the postseason in a normal format. This team is on the rise for sure, but we think they are a season away from being a true threat. With Curry, the Warriors can beat any team in the postseason if he elevates his game. Golden State has been a great bet lately as they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games. They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against Memphis when playing in the Bay Area. The Warriors scored a double digit win in this same arena against the Grizzlies on May 16. We think there is a great chance they score a comfortable win tonight by 7+ points.
|
05-19-21 |
Warriors +5 v. Lakers |
Top |
100-103 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 4 m |
Show
|
This game features two of the most clutch players of all time facing off in an unprecedented game of two recent championship teams playing for the right to make the playoffs. But Steph Curry has been in fine form for a long time, while LeBron has been oft injured and is just getting back into rhythm for the postseason. This team just doesn’t have a lot of chemistry right now. They won five straight to end the regular season, but they covered only two of those games and they faces teams with questionable motivation while LA had all the motivation. But they will face an extremely motivated Golden State team tonight, and the Warriors are playing well and have covered six straight games. We had the Warriors as slight favorites here and we think it’s their game to lose.
|
05-19-21 |
Spurs v. Grizzlies -3.5 |
|
96-100 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 34 m |
Show
|
Memphis won the last two meetings in blowout fashion. This seems like a team on the way up, while the Spurs seem to be on the way to irrelevance after being one of the best teams in the NBA for the last couple decades. Memphis has won five of six entering the play-in tourney. They are in good form. The playoffs are all about stars, and Ja Morant is the best player on the court here. The Grizzlies were one of the best ATS teams in the NBA this season, and we think they are undervalued here once again. They are a bit better on both sides of the ball and they have all the momentum heading into this matchup.
|
05-18-21 |
Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 233 |
|
100-118 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 5 m |
Show
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Just think this season is a wash for the Celtics. Jaylen Brown went down for the season. That seemed to take the air out of this Celtics team that looked off anyways. They have dealt with many injuries all season and never got to develop the necessary chemistry needed for a championship run. They lost five of six games to close out the season, and they didn’t reach the century mark on offense in three of those games. They are banged up heading into this game with key players nursing a variety of injuries. The Wizards got off to a slow start this season, but they have been playing as well as anyone in the NBA lately. They have been a covering machine as they have covered the majority of their games over the last month or so. They are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. They are 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The last five meetings have all gone under the posted number.
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05-18-21 |
Wizards +2 v. Celtics |
Top |
100-118 |
Loss |
-100 |
23 h 6 m |
Show
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Just think this season is a wash for the Celtics. Jaylen Brown went down for the season. That seemed to take the air out of this Celtics team that looked off anyways. They have dealt with many injuries all season and never got to develop the necessary chemistry needed for a championship run. They lost five of six games to close out the season, and they didn’t reach the century mark on offense in three of those games. They are banged up heading into this game with key players nursing a variety of injuries. The Wizards got off to a slow start this season, but they have been playing as well as anyone in the NBA lately. They have been a covering machine as they have covered the majority of their games over the last month or so. They are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. They are 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The last five meetings have all gone under the posted number.
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05-18-21 |
Hornets v. Pacers -3 |
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117-144 |
Win
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100 |
21 h 37 m |
Show
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We think this line is short. We were expecting a bigger number and think there’s decent value here tonight. The Hornets are backing into the play-in tournament and they have lost five straight. This play-in is new and we don’t have many trends to rely on, but this tournament seems built for teams that are in good form, and the Hornets don’t seem to be that team. The Pacers have been playing a lot better and have won three of five, and they have been a hot ATS team as they are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games. Indiana has all the postseason experience here and this is a new ballgame for the Hornets. We think the Pacers will win comfortably here.
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05-18-21 |
Hornets v. Pacers OVER 227 |
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117-144 |
Win
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100 |
21 h 37 m |
Show
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We think this line is short. We were expecting a bigger number and think there’s decent value here tonight. The Hornets are backing into the play-in tournament and they have lost five straight. This play-in is new and we don’t have many trends to rely on, but this tournament seems built for teams that are in good form, and the Hornets don’t seem to be that team. The Pacers have been playing a lot better and have won three of five, and they have been a hot ATS team as they are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games. Indiana has all the postseason experience here and this is a new ballgame for the Hornets. We think the Pacers will win comfortably here.
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05-16-21 |
Nuggets v. Blazers -9 |
Top |
116-132 |
Win
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100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
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Maybe both teams want the Blazers to win here? The Clippers sure looked like they tanked their last game to avoid the Lakers potentially in the first round or closer down the road. Now the Blazers are in that position. They have a chance to knock LA into the play in tourney. Denver doesn’t have any incentive to win and let the Lakers into the top 6 seeds. We see Portland going all out here and the Nuggets focusing on their first-round opponent, which could possibly be these Blazers, so why would they want to give too much away?
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05-16-21 |
Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 211.5 |
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92-96 |
Win
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100 |
1 h 49 m |
Show
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Boston is solidified in their play-in tourney position and we think this is a throwaway game for them. We don’t see starters getting too many minutes. The Knicks have been the top defensive team all season and we think they will want to finish the regular season with a strong defensive performance against a bitter rival. The under is 4-1 in their last five and they have been excellent on the defensive and. The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings, and we expect that trend to continue here on Sunday.
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05-15-21 |
Celtics v. Wolves -5 |
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124-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 60 m |
Show
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The Celtics have lost four straight. This team will not have many starters in the game today because of injuries or rest. This looks like a team that just wants to focus on the play in tourney next week. Minnesota got off to a real bad start to the season and a lot of that had to do with injuries. But this team has played a lot better down the stretch and has the look of a team that wants to end the season on a positive note. We don’t think Boston cares much about this game as they have their sights set on next week.
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05-14-21 |
Nuggets v. Pistons +8.5 |
Top |
104-91 |
Loss |
-101 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
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Despite a 20-50 record, the Pistons are 35-33-2 against the spread. They get too many points on a regular basis. This team is building something good, and the players play hard and play until the final buzzer. Do they get blown out from time to time? Sure. There is a lot of developing talent on this team. But they get an A most nights for hustle, and this has the look of a team that wants to finish the season on a positive note. This team is 26-16-1 ATS when getting five or more points this season, so they are a pretty safe bet as a big underdog. Denver has been overrated by the oddsmakers as they are 1-4 ATS in their last five. This team is pretty secure in their postseason positioning and we just think they have their eyes towards the playoffs now and they aren’t going all out here in Detroit. The Pistons have covered in five of seven meetings. We expect a close game here, and a SU win by the home team wouldn’t be shocking.
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05-13-21 |
Blazers +4.5 v. Suns |
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117-118 |
Win
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100 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
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Portland is one of the main teams that need a win tonight. There are three teams trying to stay out of the play-in tournament – Portland, LA Lakers and Dallas – and right now the Blazers are on the right side of the standings. A win here would go a long way to securing their spot. They have been road warriors lately, covering in six of their last seven road games. The Suns are pretty secure in their playoff seeding and this game has no real importance to them compared to Portland. We think the road team will pull out all the stops to win this one.
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05-13-21 |
Clippers -8 v. Hornets |
Top |
113-90 |
Win
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100 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
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We were really impressed by the Clippers last win over Toronto. This has the look of a team that is getting healthy at the right time and wants to build some momentum heading into the playoffs. Ibaka is the only main player that will be out tonight. The Clippers have had a real light schedule down the stretch, so they should have plenty of energy here. And they have covered in four of the last five meetings.
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05-12-21 |
Celtics -7 v. Cavs |
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94-102 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
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Boston has lost three straight, but that has been against much tougher competition then they will see tonight. This has all the signs of a Get Right game against the Cavs, and we think Boston will be primed for a big win. They probably can’t avoid the play-in tourney, but they can at least build some momentum for the postseason, and that is much needed right now. Cleveland is 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven home games despite some generous lines from the oddsmakers, and we think the road team has a great chance for a double digit win.
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05-12-21 |
Wizards +6.5 v. Hawks |
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116-120 |
Win
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100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
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These teams played in Washington on Monday and the Hawks won by one point. It’s tough to beat the same team twice in a row, and we think the Wizards have a great chance to win this one. The points are an added bonus. Beal should play here. Washington has been playing as well as any team in the East since a slow start. They are one of the best ATS teams in the NBA this season. And we think they are getting too many points once again.
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05-11-21 |
Knicks v. Lakers UNDER 214 |
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99-101 |
Win
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100 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
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These are the Top 2 defensive teams in the NBA. This game should have a playoff atmosphere. We think these top defenses will be on display tonight. The Lakers are getting LeBron back likely tonight, but he will probably be rusty after missing some games. They are desperate and in must-win mode since they are as of now in the play in tournament. They will want to do their best to move up and avoid that. This is a major rivalry for the Knicks. Everything about this matchup tells us these two teams will likely go all out on defense, and we think this total is too high for two Top 2 defenses.
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05-11-21 |
Magic v. Bucks -13 |
Top |
102-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
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The Magic have suffered two 30+-point losses in their last three games. This team is so wracked with injuries they are fielding a G League-level team right now. And this team stunk before all the injuries. Those big losses were to Minnesota and Boston, one team that stinks and one that is not playing well. The Bucks are in on a back-to-back, and they suffered one of their worst losses of the season last night in San Antonio. They lost by 20+ in what was obviously an off game. We like to back a good team after an embarrassing loss like that as they normally give a lot better effort in their next game. Even on a B2B they should have enough energy to beat this Magic team without breaking too much of a sweat. The Magic haven’t covered in the last six games in this series, and we think they run into a buzzsaw tonight against a Bucks team that will want to remove the bad taste their loss from last night left them.
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