4 Unit Play. Take #673 North Carolina over North Carolina State (7p.m., Tuesday, December 22 ACCN) North Carolina is winning games despite not being able to shoot it well from the arc. If they ever start making shots from the 3 point line they could reach the final four. NC State lost their only game this year against a decent opponent and they have just feasted on cupcakes thus far in 2020-2021. The road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between UNC and NC State. The Wolfpack are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.

4 Unit Play. Take #782 Missouri State over Arkansas Little Rock (5p.m., Monday, December 21 ESPN3) The Bears have not been able to play many games in 2020, but playing at home tonight should allow them to emerge victorious. Little Rock is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Missouri State is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

3 Unit Play. Take #707 Oklahoma State +6.5 over Texas (2p.m., Sunday, December 20 LHN) We lost an 8-unit play with Texas in this game last year and hope to learn from our mistake today. Oklahoma State has talent, and it is just around to predict what you will get from Texas on a game in, game out basis. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups between Oklahoma State and Texas.

3 Unit Play. Take #679 Cincinnati -2 over Georgia (8p.m., Saturday, December 19 SECN) The Bulldogs have not played anyone this season, and this will be their toughest slate of the conference season. Georgia is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on Saturday. The Bearcats being favored on this true road games tells me they are the better team.

3 Unit Play. Take #682 Stanford -2.5 over Arizona (7p.m., Saturday, December 19 PAC12N) Would go higher if this were a true home game for Saturday, but instead they are playing this game in Santa Cruz. Arizona opened as the favorite, but the oddsmakers were not having it and now Stanford is favored. The Cardinal have more talent than do the Wildcats, and that might be the first time in over a decade that this has been the case. Arizona is 2-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games as an underdog. Stanford is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 Saturday games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports.

4 Unit Play. Take #631 North Carolina -3 over Kentucky (2p.m., Saturday, December 19 CBS) If North Carolina can have any success in this game from the arc, they will win this game by double digits. Kentucky is a mess at the moment and will likely not make the NCAA Tournament come March. North Carolina is 5-2 ATS (1 push) int their last 8 games as a favorite. The favorite in this matchup has covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 matchups (1 push).

6 Unit Play. Take #608 Wisconsin -6.5 over Louisville (12p.m., Saturday, December 19 ESPN2) This is a late add game after Louisville could not play this game during the ACC/Big 10 Challenge. The Cardinals have been off since 12/1 and they have just played home game. They lost a ton of talent from last year and Wisconsin has everyone back. The Badgers are 7-0 ATS in their last 8 games played on Saturday.

4 Unit Play. Take #854 Over in Weber State @ Portland State (10:05p.m., Friday, December 18) The Vikings have been an over team of late and expect that to continue on Friday night with Big Sky playing getting underway. The Vikings have gone over the posted total in 9 of their last 10 games as a favorite.

3 Unit Play. Take #833 Chicago State over Northern Illinois (7p.m., Friday, December 18) Both these teams are terrible, and the total is just in the mid-130s and thus we will grab the points and Cougars are hang on to only lose by 17 points or less.

5 Unit Play. Take #838 Tennessee over Tennessee Tech (7p.m., Friday, December 18 SEC+) This will be a blowout, name your score type of game for the Volunteers. The Golden Eagles are 0-7 on the season and this is a buy game where they will collect a check and get blown out by 30+ points. Tennessee has covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #856 Over in Richmond @ Loyola (6p.m., Friday, December 18 ESPN+) Both teams trends all favor the over and now we have value with the total dropping 4 points from the overnight line. Richmond has gone over the posted total in 8 of their last 11 games. Loyola has gone over the posted total in 10 of their last 11 games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #365 Kansas City Chiefs over New Orleans Saints (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 19 CBS) The Saints are coming off a devastating loss at Philadelphia last week and now will likely not earn the top seed in the NFC (only 1 team gets a bye this year). The Chiefs have been winning games but not covering the spread of late, but now they have a low number where they likely just need to win the game. QB Brees have been eyeing this date to return, but I do not think it will matter. Kansas City is an offensive machine, and New Orleans will have to score in the high twenties to have a chance to cover this spread. Kansas City is 11-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record. New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.

4 Unit Play. Take #674 Tulane over Memphis (9p.m., Wednesday, December 16 ESPN2) Memphis is overrated again this season and the Penny Hardaway experiment does not seem to be an improvement over Tubby Smith. Tulane has not played anyone this year, but they are 4-0 and I believe they can keep this game in single digits. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Tulane is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.

4 Unit Play. Take #670 Purdue over Ohio State (7p.m., Wednesday, December 16 BTN) On paper this line is begging you to take Ohio State, but an unranked favorite over a ranked team is always a recipe for success in college basketball gambling. Throw in the fact that Ohio State will be without E.J. Liddell and Seth Towns and expect Purdue to win this game by double digits. The Boilers are just a different team at home and tonight will be no different. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Purdue is 38-14 ATS in their last 52 games played on Wednesday.

4 Unit Play. Take #663 Pittsburgh over Miami (6p.m., Wednesday, December 16 ACCN) The Hurricanes are banged up with a ton of injuries and they cannot shoot the ball at all from the arc. They are 4 for 36 from the three-point line over their last two games. The Panthers have a nice win at Northwestern and will win this game as well. The Hurricanes are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games played on Wednesday.

4 Unit Play. Take #634 Over in Furman @ Alabama (9p.m., Tuesday, December 15 SECN) The Paladins have gone over the posted total in 21 of their last 28 games as a road underdog. The Crimson Tide have gone over the posted total in 11 of their last 16 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #307073 Florida A&M over Austin Peary (8:30p.m., Tuesday, December 15) The Rattlers are 0-4 on the season but they have a bunch of ATS trends that work in their favor tonight. They are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight-up loss of more than 20 points. Austin Peay has not covered the spread much of late going 3-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #644 Wisconsin over Loyola (8p.m., Tuesday, December 15 BTN) The Ramblers have not played anyone this season, and this is a late add game after the original games got cancelled. The Ramblers have nowhere near the talent they had when they reached the final four a couple of years ago. Wisconsin has experience and they will pull at some point in this game and win it by double-digits. Loyola is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.

5 Unit Play. Take #772 Western Michigan -3 over Milwaukee (2p.m., Sunday, December 13) We went against Broncos on Saturday but will take them on Sunday playing a worse Horizon League team. Milwaukee has played just one game in 2020-2021 and that was a loss to Kansas State, a terrible team that lost to a division two team earlier this season. Western Michigan played Detroit even for 35 minutes until falling apart down the stretch. Expect them to control this game from the start and earn a 7-9 point victory. The Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games played on Sunday. WMU is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 home games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #726 Alabama over Clemson (8p.m., Saturday, December 12 ACCNX) Coach Oats put a bullseye on his head and it will be interesting to see if he can back it up. Clemson is coming off their best performance of the year, dominating Maryland from start to finish but this will be the most talented team that they will face thus far in 2020. Alabama has bounced back from a loss to Stanford with two blowout victories and tonight will be no different as well.

4 Unit Play. Take #665 Syracuse over Boston College (1p.m., Saturday, December 12 ESPNU) The Orange need to start winning as once again their schedule is light on quality wins as conference play gets underway. They get Buddy Boeheim back for this game and that gives them a shooter that will be able to space out the floor. Boston College played well against Minnesota this week and lost in overtime but I believe that will take a lot out of them for this game.

6 Unit Play. Take #638 UCLA -4.5 over Marquette (9:30p.m., Friday, December 11 PAC12N) UCLA has bounced back after losing to San Diego State in their opener to win 4 straight games, all of them by at least 9 points. They face a Marquette team that will be playing their first true road game of the season and this is a very young team. UCLA is 12-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #628 Over in Georgia Tech @ Nebraska (7:15p.m., Wednesday, December 9 ESPN2) Both teams will be ready to go up and down tonight after playing teams that like to slow down the pace in recent games. The Yellow Jackets have gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 road games. Nebraska has gone over the posted total in 16 of their last 23 games following an ATS loss in their previous game.

10 Unit Play. Take #818 Iowa over North Carolina (7:30p.m., Tuesday, December 8 ESPN) Nonconference Game of the Year Just believe Iowa is the more experienced and better shooting team in this game. This follows the pattern of success that we have had in recent years in this game, fading a team that played in a Holiday tournament last week compared to a team that is resting at home. Granted, North Carolina got to play in Ashville, but a few things happened last week in their second-place finish. One is Garrison Brooks got hurt and he has not been cleared to practice as of late Monday. Second, the refs will not bail them out in the semifinals like they did last week. These will not be ACC centric refs tonight, as this is a true home game for the Hawkeyes. Not going to talk much about Iowa’s game thus far, as they have all been blowout wins against cupcake opponents. But a couple of keys to follow, one is the 3-point line. North Carolina again, does not have a good shooting team from the arc, averaging under 30% and that will not get it done tonight. North Carolina will have to pound the glass to win this game and Iowa just has too much experience for that to happen. Finally, Fran McCaffery teams usually follow a pattern of starting the season hot before failing toward the end of conference season and make a quick out in the NCAA Tournament. That is okay for us tonight and expect them to remain undefeated. Iowa is 15-5 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 22 games as a favorite.  

4 Unit Play. Take #792 Miami over Purdue (5p.m., Tuesday, December 8 ESPN2) Just not a fan of this Purdue squad this season. They struggled last year when not playing in West Lafayette and do not see things getting any better in 2020-2021. They are 3-1 but they only tough game this season they lost to Clemson by double-digits. They lost big man Matt Harms to BYU and I just do not believe they will be able to take advantage of Miami’s lack of size in this game. Miami had some covid issues earlier this season, but they are pretty healthy for this game and have more talent on the floor even if Chris Lykes does not go. They should be able to dominate this game at the guard position and they are being undervalued because they have played two cupcakes to open the season. Purdue is 3-9 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 14 road games. Miami is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Everyone loves Matt Painter as a coach, but he tends to go into two-year funks, and this does not appear to be an NCAA Tournament team again this year. Miami wins this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #770 Middle Tennessee -2 over Chattanooga (7p.m., Monday, December 7) The Blue Raiders played their best game of the season last time out dominating Murray State and expect more of the same tonight at home. MTSU is 23-9 ATS in their last 221 home games against teams with a winning road record. A 1-2 teams favored against an 0-3 team tells us something about the talent on each side.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports. Our 8-unit NCAA Nonconference Game of the Year is set to go tomorrow and will be posted at 11:30 a.m. eastern.

4 Unit Play. Take #662 Kansas State -2 over UNLV (8p.m., Saturday, December 5 ESPN+) No bet against UNLV is a bad bet this season. They are 0-4 and they have been blown out in 3 of their 4 games they have played this season. This is the end of a long road trip and it is a true road game for them. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #803 Toledo over Eastern Michigan (7p.m., Friday December 4 ESPN3) MAC play gets underway tonight, and we will side with the visitor. EMU is a bottom feeder team in the MAC whereas Toledo is expected to challenge for the top spot in the league. The Rockets have three players averaging at least 15 points per game and Marreon Jackson could challenge for player of the years. EMU is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games.

10 Unit Play. Take #805 Wisconsin over Marquette (7p.m., Friday December 4 FS1) The Badgers are legit and are better than Marquette at 4 of the 5 positions on the court. I expect this line to go up throughout the day but it will not matter since Wisconsin wins this game by double digits. The Golden Eagles lost to Oklahoma State last time out at home by 8 points in a game that was not as close as that final would reflect. They are in a complete rebuild and have no home court advantage in this game. Wisconsin is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games. Marquette is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.

4 Unit Play. Take #774 Over in Arizona State @ Cal (10p.m., Thursday, December 3 P12N) All three of the Sun Devils have gone way over tonight’s posted number and we expect them to dictate the pace of this game since they are the better team. Arizona State has gone over the posted total in 9 of their last 11 games. Cal has gone over the posted total in 5 of their last 7 games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #758 Over in VMI @ Virginia Tech (8p.m., Thursday, December 3 ACCN) The Keydets have gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 8 games played on Thursday. The Hokies have gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 11 home games (1 push). We will not worry if the Hokies can cover this big number and instead just collect with the over.

4 Unit Play. Take #752 USC over Connecticut (7p.m., Thursday, December 3 ESPN) Just feel Connecticut is overhyped again this season. Everyone wants them to return to form but they just do not have the talent yet. USC has been frustrating at times but they have looked really impressive thus far including a 26 point victory against BYU last time out. They have been in Connecticut and will be rested for this game with a day off yesterday. USC is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games. 73% of the money is coming in on USC.

4 Unit Play. Take #702 Nevada over USF (9p.m., Wednesday, December 2 themwc.com) This is a home and home with these two teams playing in Reno on Wednesday and San Francisco on Sunday. Expect Nevada to pull away in the second half tonight and earn their fourth victory of the season. USF beat Virginia but they lost by 13 points the next day to Rhode Island. The Dons are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight-up loss. The Wolf Pack is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite.

4 Unit Play. Take #705 Texas Arlington over Arkansas (9p.m., Wednesday, December 2 SECN) The Razorbacks are playing a super easy schedule yet again this year and this may be the toughest team they face to date. The Mavericks took Oklahoma State and Louisiana Tech to the wire and I see them keeping this game around 10 points. Arkansas will try and run up the score if they can, I just do not see it happening tonight. Texas Arlington is 15-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games as an underdog.

4 Unit Play. Take #682 Iowa State over South Dakota State (7p.m., Wednesday, December 2 ESPN+) This fits a similar situation to our top play yesterday. Iowa State has been at home while South Dakota State played three games in three days last week at a neutral site in South Dakota. The Cyclones are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

4 Unit Play. Take #636 Alabama -10.5 over UNLV (9:30p.m., Tuesday, December 1 ESPN2) No bet against UNLV is a bad bet this season. They have lost by double digits in each of there two games. Alabama got shell shocked by Stanford yesterday, but they are playing a much easier opponent tonight in Ashville. UNLV is still in a major rebuild and it does not appear they will be coming out of it this season.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #624 Duke -3.5 over Michigan State (7:30p.m., Tuesday, December 1 ESPN) Michigan State just does not seem to win these types of games early in the season. This is a true home game for Duke, although they will not have the Cameron crazies in attendance. But playing in Durham is still no easy task and expect Duke to take care of business.

7 Unit Play. Take #612 Louisville -4 over Western Kentucky (6p.m., Tuesday, December 1 ACCN) WKU is legit this season but the travel will get them in this game. They played three games in South Dakota last week and expect them to have tired legs in this game. Louisville has been feasting on bad teams at home and they return a bunch of talent form last year. WKU has played three games against good competition and that will eventually catch up with you. Getting a key transfer in Carlik Jones will put Louisville over the top in this game. Louisville is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games played on Tuesday. WKU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games played on Tuesday.

4 Unit Play. Take #631 North Carolina -3.5 over Stanford (4p.m., Tuesday, December 1 ESPN) The 2020 Maui Invitational was kept alive because of North Carolina and thus it is only fitting that they advance to the finals since this is being played in Ashville. Carolina struggled in their first game against Charleston but pulled away in the second half and have not looked back since. Now they face a former Roy Williams assistant in Jerod Haase, a team that returns 4 starters but lost their best player in Tyrell Terry from last season. North Carolina needs to win this tournament to make sure they get into the NCAA Tournament come March after falling apart last season mainly due to injuries.

4 Unit Play. Take #880 Nevada over Pacific (10p.m., Monday, November 30 MWC.com) The Wolf Pack are more tested this season having won a true road game at Nebraska over the weekend. They have had great success against Pacific of late and should be able to take them down at Lawlor Events Center tonight. The favorite has won 7 of the last 10 games between the Tigers and Wolf Pack. Nevada is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games played on Monday.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #858 Central Florida over Auburn (7p.m., Monday, November 30 ESPN+) Tough spot for the Tigers in this game having to play a true road game against UCF after getting blown out by Gonzaga on Friday. Auburn has a lame duck year, as they cannot go to the NCAA Tournament because of a pending investigation by the rule’s infraction committee. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. UCF is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played on Monday.

4 Unit Play. Take #851 Bowling Green over Appalachian State (6p.m., Monday, November 30) Bowling Green is terrible in football but they are expected to do damage in the MAC this year. The return Justin Turner and expect him to have a big night against App State tonight in North Carolina. Both teams blew out South Carolina State but the Falcons being favored on the road tells me something about who the better team in this game is. The Mountaineers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 home games.

4 Unit Play. #746 Villanova -9.5 over Virginia Tech (8p.m., Saturday, November 28 ESPNU) the Wildcats are battle tested this season having earned two victories by 9 points including beating Arizona State last time out. I do not see Virginia Tech being able to be a consistent winner once Buzz Williams left town and their level of talent continues to dwindle. Villanova has the best players on the court in Jeremiah Robinson-Earl and they should pull away in the second half and win this game by double-digits. Virginia Tech is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Villanova is 20-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 29 neutral site games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

5 Unit Play. #742 Liberty +8 over South Carolina (4p.m., Saturday, November 28 ESPNN) TOP NCAA HOOPS GAME OF THE DAY The Gamecocks are set to make their season debut in 2020 today in Kansas City. Liberty already has two games under their belt, and both came against teams that are better than South Carolina. Just not a believer in Fran Martin being a consistent winner at South Carolina. He had one great year when they made the final four but has not done much in the other years as coach. Liberty is coached by Ritchie McKay and already beat Mississippi State by 11 points this season. South Carolina is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 neutral site games. Liberty is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.

4 Unit Play. Take #677 VCU over Memphis (9p.m., Friday, November 27 ESPN2) Just do not believe Memphis should be this big of a favorite in this third-place game. Both teams will be playing their third game in three days and thus I expect a lower scoring hard fought game.

4 Unit Play. Take 307160 Connecticut over Hartford (8p.m., Friday, November 27 CBSSN) CUCONN continues with their in-state domination tonight against Hartford at Gampel Pavilion. The Huskies are back in the Big East and return 4 starters from last year’s squad. They will make the NCAA Tournament this year and win this game by 30 points. Connecticut is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #792 Nebraska -4 over Nevada (2p.m., Thursday, November 26 BTN) Both teams are coming off impressive win yesterday, but I feel Nebraska playing at home will be the difference today. They tried to host a tournament and invite teams they could beat and expect them to win this game by double digits. Fred Hoiberg had a bunch of transfers sit out last season, but they are now eligible to play. Nevada is in a major rebuild as well and I see them struggling to keep up in scoring in this game.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

10 Unit Play. Take #636 Over in Charleston @ North Carolina (6p.m., Wednesday, November 25 ACCN) Carolina was happy to put last year behind them and they reloaded with a bunch of incoming talent this year. Roy Williams likes to play up-tempo and I expect them to reach the nineties in scoring tonight at the Dean Dome. North Carolina has gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 9 home games (1 push) when they are the favorite.

4 Unit Play. Take #733 North Dakota State over Nevada (3p.m., Wednesday, November 25) Both teams lost a ton of talent from last year and thus we will side with the underdog. North Dakota State is always a top team in the Summit League, and they return three key players from last year’s 25 win team. NDSU is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games when they are an underdog. Nevada is 4-9 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 15 neutral site games when they are a favorite.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4-Unit Play #711 Take LA Lakers/Miami UNDER (7:30 p.m. EST, Sunday Oct 11)

We think that both teams played a but above their heads in Game 5 and the total still almost went under. We think scoring will definitely be down in this Game 6, and this should be a defensive battle all the way through. It's telling that despite Game 5 going over that the bookies lowered this totals number, but we don't think they lowered it enough. We think this could be one of the most low scoring games of the series.

--Best of Luck, Doc's Sports

These teams had an extra day off from their normal schedule, and that should provide energy for both teams on the defensive end. Miami really has to step up the defense tonight if they want to have any chance of getting back in this series, and we think they will play well on the defensive end and possibly keep this game close. Three of the last four games in this series have gone under the posted total, and with the extra day off we think this one will go that way as well, as both teams have the motivation to play top-level defense tonight.

The Lakers sometimes need a wake up call, and they got it Sunday when they were pretty much blown out by the Heat in Game 3. They haven’t lost much in this postseason, but when they have they have bounced back strong in their next game. We see them playing much better on Tuesday, and the oddsmakers have adjusted this number and the Lakers are now more attractive on the spread. Miami is a plucky team and they have had a great postseason for the ages. But when it comes down to pure talent and superstar power, the Lakers have a huge edge. And if they play up to their potential, which they did not do in Game 3, there is no reason they should not win this one by double digits.

We hit the total on both games so far in the NBA Finals, and we think that after the first game jitters with the under that the scoring will continue to be fluid here in Game 3.  We stated that Miami would be more competitive in Game 2 and they were, and we can see that continue here in Game 3 so there will be no blowout like in Game 1 where Miami doesn’t score enough to help get over the total. The Lakers offense is working so well now and they are playing some of their best basketball of the season, and we don’t see the Heat having any solutions for them on the defensive end. We see the Lakers putting up a big point total for the third straight game in these NBA Finals and the Heat will show some nice heart and make sure they do the rest to get this total over the posted number.

We scored a big winner on the UNDER in Game 1, but we are going the other way for Game 2. That Game 1 total was close to going over at the end of the game despite a horrible offensive performance from the Heat. This team has been pretty much rock solid all playoffs, and even with some key injuries for Game 2 we think we will see a much more competitive performance from them on Friday. The Heat showed that they have no answer for the Lakers on defense. Los Angeles could have scored a lot more had they not took their feet off the gas pedal late in the game in an attempt to drain the clock. Lakers starters played limited minutes compared to a normal game because of the blowout. They should be fresh and primed on offense. LA has been really good on offense lately and this team is gelling and playing some of their best basketball of the season right now. We think they put up a big point total for Game 2, and the Heat should make up the difference to get this one over the posted number.

The oddsmakers have posted this total four or five points too high. The Heat have played four straight overs in their series against Boston and the Lakers went over in four of five against the Nuggets. That’s why the oddsmakers posted a high total here. But this is a whole new series, These teams had some rare time off after playing every other day pretty much for awhile, and that will take these offenses out of rhythm a bit, especially at the start of the game. And more time off for rest will give these players the energy to play strong defense. Also, since this series is for all the marbles, we think Game 1 will see these two teams feeling out each other a bit and we don’t see any crazy offensive explosions. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these clubs.

Unlike the previous series for these two teams, the over has been the play here in this series, and four of the five games have gone over the posted total. The one that didn’t was only one point under. But the bookies have not adjusted this totals number much. These are two defensive teams, so that’s understandable. And the playoff normally focus on defense. But even with some lapses in scoring, these teams have been pretty good offensively.. They both shot well in Game 5, and Boston had their breakout game of the series on offense with 121 points in the win. We think they can match that effort here today as we think the momentum has switched sides, and this total looks about five points too low.

Unlike the previous series for these two teams, the over has been the play here in this series, and four of the five games have gone over the posted total. The one that didn’t was only one point under. But the bookies have not adjusted this totals number much. These are two defensive teams, so that’s understandable. And the playoff normally focus on defense. But even with some lapses in scoring, these teams have been pretty good offensively.. They both shot well in Game 5, and Boston had their breakout game of the series on offense with 121 points in the win. We think they can match that effort here today as we think the momentum has switched sides, and this total looks about five points too low.

The Nuggets have had a great run. They came back from big deficits against the Jazz and Clippers to win those series. But we think they don’t have another rally in them. Both of their series before this went to Game 7. This team has played a lot of basketball, and we think that this might be a real ugly game for them. The Lakers want to end this while the Celtics/Heat series is still going to give themselves some extra time to rest, and we expect them to go all out tonight while they have the Nuggets on the ropes. They don’t want Denver winning this one and getting confidence for another 3-1 comeback. We think they play lockdown defense and shut down a Denver offense that should be running on fumes here. We think this is a great chance for a double-digit Lakers win, and we are getting the best line of the series for the favorites.

We have not given up on Boston yet and think they have a good chance to extend this series to Game 7, where anything can happen in that situation. The Celtics didn’t play well in Game 4, but they were still in a position to win or at least force OT at the end of the game. This team seems to have the fortitude to dig deep for a must-win tonight, and they have one of the best coaches in the league that will be giving it his all as well. We see them playing a great game on both sides of the ball tonight to extend the series to Game 6.

Just like the Clippers series, the Nuggets are playing carefree and loose, while the Lakers have all the pressure on them. This series has looked pretty even to us for the most part, at least in the last two games. And the Nuggets could easily be up 2-1 in this series. The Lakers are always shaded by the oddsmakers and this Game 4 is a perfect example as by what we have seen on the court the Nugs should be catching around three points. Some good value on this line as we expect another close game.

Boston got right back into this series in Game 3 with a big win, and it’s easy to think they can keep the momentum going tonight. They had a rare three nights off because of the strange scheduling in the bubble, and as a result they got some much needed R and R. This definitely benefits the Celtics more since the Heat had them kind of on the ropes after that 2-0 lead but now Boston recaptured the momentum and they got some time to get Hayward some more rest, and he should be a major factor tonight in this likely win. Boston is the better defensive team, and with the extra rest we should see that unit flourish tonight. And their offense really woke up in Game 3 with 117 points, and we see that continuing tonight, especially with Hayward more fully in the mix. Miami is playing some very good basketball right now, but they have had an easy path and haven’t faced a lot of adversity. Boston is more battle tested, and ready for this crucial Game 4. And not to mention that Boston has been one of the best betting teams in the NBA for the last several years, and they normally exceed the expectations of the oddsmakers. We think that will be the case again tonight.

Just like in Game 2, we are going with the Nuggets here. Sometimes NBA hoops comes down to mental attitude. Every team in the league has ballers, but some have more talent than others. But the Nuggets are playing with house money and this team looks like they are just having fun. They are super confident and know that no lead or deficit is insurmountable. Just like the Clippers series, that makes them dangerous here and we expect another close game. Denver won’t be fazed, and we think they put forth their best effort tonight in this crucial Game 3.

Going to take a shot on the underdog here. Denver has been nothing but resilient in this playoffs, and they are playing loose with nothing to lose. That is a dangerous team. And this is a talented one, too. We had the Lakers last time out, and we think the Nuggets will bounce back well tonight. We just don’t see another blowout here. Denver is settled in and will play better tonight, and we are getting a better spread than Game 1.

Taking another shot at the Celtics here in Game 3. This is the most crucial game of a 7-Game series, and Boston is in a must-win situation here. They had a big blowup after blowing a big lead and losing Game 2, and we think that might be healthy for this team as they needed a wakeup call. If they lose tonight this series is essentially over for them, but if they win then they are right back in it. We think they bring their A Game tonight and think there’s a great chance they can win this one by 7+.

We are just not believers in the Nuggets. Kudos for beating the Clippers, but LA beat themselves more than Denver won the series. The Lakers have had extra time off here, and it will benefit them big time. The Lakers should send a card to the Clippers since they got a cakewalk to the Finals. LA will be locked in tonight and we expect a very strong defensive effort from the favorite while the Nuggets didn’t really get a chance to catch their breath and we have a great feeling that this will be a double-digit win by Los Angeles. We think this will be a low scoring game.

We are just not believers in the Nuggets. Kudos for beating the Clippers, but LA beat themselves more than Denver won the series. The Lakers have had extra time off here, and it will benefit them big time. The Lakers should send a card to the Clippers since they got a cakewalk to the Finals. LA will be locked in tonight and we expect a very strong defensive effort from the favorite while the Nuggets didn’t really get a chance to catch their breath and we have a great feeling that this will be a double-digit win by Los Angeles. We think this will be a low scoring game.

We are going the same way we went in Game 1 even though we missed the mark. We love Boston for this series, and we don’t see them going down 0-2. When Boston has lost recently it has been some last-minute stuff or OT, and that was the case in Game 1 once again. We expect the Celtics to really lock down on defense here in Game 2 to give themselves the best chance to wind up on top at the final buzzer. These are two of the better defensive teams in the NBA, and that should be on full force tonight. It’s telling that the bookies didn’t really adjust the numbers here for Game 2, and that tells us we are on the right track here.

We are going the same way we went in Game 1 even though we missed the mark. We love Boston for this series, and we don’t see them going down 0-2. When Boston has lost recently it has been some last-minute stuff or OT, and that was the case in Game 1 once again. We expect the Celtics to really lock down on defense here in Game 2 to give themselves the best chance to wind up on top at the final buzzer. These are two of the better defensive teams in the NBA, and that should be on full force tonight. It’s telling that the bookies didn’t really adjust the numbers here for Game 2, and that tells us we are on the right track here.

Maybe there is something to this Clippers curse after all. Denver has all the momentum in this series, and they have been playing with nothing to lose. They have been playing well, but the Clippers are in this situation more of their own doing with mental lapses and multiple cold shooting stretches. The Clippers have a ton of pressure here, and they haven’t shown they handle it well. We think this will be a close game and think the Clippers could very well lose outright.

These are two Top 10 defenses. We think that this series will be another defensive battle much like Boston/Toronto, Where six of seven games went under the posted total. Miami has had a long time off. They will probably be rusty on offense and have a lot of energy on defense. Boston has really dialed in the defense lately, and they have had an extra day off from the normal schedule, and that should bring some energy and tenacity on the defensive end. These teams should be feeling each other out here in Game 1 as well, and we just don’t see an offensive explosion here. The bookies seem afraid to post a total too much under 210 these days, but we had this one handicapped at 204, so we think there is some nice value here. And we like the Celtics for Game 1. Miami making the ECF as a No. 5 is a great story. But they beat a pretty weak Indiana team and then a Bucks team that didn’t have their head in the game. Boston is the better team and much more battle tested at this point.

These are two Top 10 defenses. We think that this series will be another defensive battle much like Boston/Toronto, Where six of seven games went under the posted total. Miami has had a long time off. They will probably be rusty on offense and have a lot of energy on defense. Boston has really dialed in the defense lately, and they have had an extra day off from the normal schedule, and that should bring some energy and tenacity on the defensive end. These teams should be feeling each other out here in Game 1 as well, and we just don’t see an offensive explosion here. The bookies seem afraid to post a total too much under 210 these days, but we had this one handicapped at 204, so we think there is some nice value here. And we like the Celtics for Game 1. Miami making the ECF as a No. 5 is a great story. But they beat a pretty weak Indiana team and then a Bucks team that didn’t have their head in the game. Boston is the better team and much more battle tested at this point.

The Clippers blew a big lead in Game 5 and ended up losing the game. They took their foot off the gas too early, and it was tough for this team to get back into the zone again. But you have to remember that the main core of this team hasn’t played together all that much this season and they are still learning. We think that lesson from the Game 5 loss will help them put together a more complete game here on Sunday. They have done very well during the restart after a loss and we think they will bounce back successfully as they have a bunch of times before in this spot.

We probably make plays on the Lakers less than any team in the NBA. They are a very public team, and their odds and normally shaded by the oddsmakers. But they do have value late in this series. The Rockets are a popular team also, and we expected this line to be around 8.5 with the way this series has gone the last couple games. The Lakers were shook out of their funk with the Game 1 loss, and they have rebounded nicely. They won and covered Games 2, 3 and 4, and the oddsmakers haven’t made a huge adjustment to this number. Houston is quite the dysfunctional team this season. They have looked disjointed since Game 1 and have some off court drama that is a distraction as well. We think the Lakers are in their heads big time, and the body language tells us this team doesn’t have much of a chance. We don’t think the Lakers take their foot off the gas tonight and expect them to roll in this likely final game of the series.

This is an easy call for Game 7 tonight. Boston is the better team, with the better coach. They will find a way to get the job done tonight. When Toronto has won in this series, they have needed some heroics. But when Boston has won, it has been by domination for the most part. They have had some mental lapses and should have put this one away awhile ago, but the cream will rise to the top tonight. Boston is on a 5-2 ATS run in this series, and they have been one of the most trustworthy ATS teams in the NBA for several years now. We think that there is a great chance they win this one by double digits tonight.

We thought Houston would make some noise in this series, but after that Game 1 win, the Lakers have been dominating. We see the same tonight, and this is more than a fair spread, something you rarely get when betting on the Lakers. Houston just looks disjointed in the Bubble and they can’t often get a team effort on offense as someone gets cold at the wrong time seemingly too much. We think the Lakers will play lock down defense in this one, and we think there’s a great possibility that this is a blowout, which would bode well for the under.

The Clippers haven’t played well the last couple games. We expect them to get it together tonight. They see the Lakers doing well now in their series against the Rockets, so there is some emphasis now to get this series over with pronto. In the fourth quarter the Clippers turned the switch last time out and we think that momentum will carry over to tonight, where we are getting the best line in the series with the Clippers.

Every game in this series has gone under by 10 points or more, yet the bookies have not made that big of an adjustment on the total. Just don’t see this game being a breakout game on offense. Probably because of no travel and extra rest, these playoffs have trended to the under, and the bookies have done a lousy job on adjustments. Not matter, since we have been able to take advantage. We think the Celtics will play lockdown defense here and close this series out tonight and get ready for the Heat in an unlikely ECF matchup.

Every game in this series has gone under by 10 points or more, yet the bookies have not made that big of an adjustment on the total. Just don’t see this game being a breakout game on offense. Probably because of no travel and extra rest, these playoffs have trended to the under, and the bookies have done a lousy job on adjustments. Not matter, since we have been able to take advantage. We think the Celtics will play lockdown defense here and close this series out tonight and get ready for the Heat in an unlikely ECF matchup.

The Lakers played great in Game 2, but this team just hasn’t shown the ability to consistently play like this in the Bubble. We think this will be a close game tonight, and the points look real attractive. We have stated it before, but we think the Lakers are a tad overrated this season and the bookies always shade the lines for their games. We think around 3 would be a more suitable line, so the extra couple points gives some nice value to what looks like a close game to us.

Toronto played a real strong game on Saturday, but we are still very confident in Boston for this series and we think the cream will rise to the top tonight. Boston has been mostly excellent for the most part of three games in this four-game series, and they should have won Game 3 also if not for that Toronto buzzer beater. This is the most crucial game in the series thus far and we see the Boston defense really stepping up here to shit the Raptors down.

Toronto played a real strong game on Saturday, but we are still very confident in Boston for this series and we think the cream will rise to the top tonight. Boston has been mostly excellent for the most part of three games in this four-game series, and they should have won Game 3 also if not for that Toronto buzzer beater. This is the most crucial game in the series thus far and we see the Boston defense really stepping up here to shit the Raptors down.

The oddsmakers finally adjusted this number, but it doesn’t seem like it was enough. The Bucks are cooked here in this series, and we think they will go out with a whimper today. Miami is playing some of their best basketball of the season right now in the Bubble. Giannis Antetokounmpo looks like he is playing through an injury, and the rest of the team has failed to step up. Milwaukee blew it in the playoff last season too, and it looks like we are going to see a repeat this year. It seems the Bucks have mentally left the building before this series.

After a grind-it out Game 7 win against Utah on Tuesday, it had to be demoralizing for the Nuggets to get spanked like they did in Game 1 Thursday against the Clippers. It showed us that Denver doesn’t have much of a chance in this series. And Denver probably knows that, too. Not sure what adjustments they can make here when the Clippers barely broke a sweat in Game 1 and the starters were able to hit the bench early. That is now three straight meetings the Clippers won by double digits. This is what LA has been working towards all season. They are completely healthy now and playing great team basketball. The bench is devastating when the starters need a break. They are much more fresh and rested than Denver. The Clippers have always had trouble in this round but this is by far the best squad in team history and we think they really want to make quick work of this series. With max effort, which we think they will provide, we think a double-digit win is a certainty.

Toronto needed a miracle buzzerbeater in Game 3 just to have a chance in this series now. Toronto failed to cover Game 3 and they are now 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings, all which took place in the Bubble. Two of those were double-digit wins. Toronto has a better regular-season record, but Boston is the better team in our opinion and they are playing some of their best basketball of the season at the right time. We think they will be determined here in Game 4 and will play one of their best games of the series after blowing a chance to put Toronto at the edge of elimination at the end of Game 3. Boston has been one of the best ATS teams for years, and that is a sign of great coaching. We expect them to shine on Saturday.

Really like Houston to make some noise in this series. They had a real tough series against the Thunder, but this is a veteran team and a hungry one. Plus, the Lakers are a tad bit overrated. And they haven’t often played to their potential in the Bubble. Not to mention they are often overrated by the oddsmakers. Houston has Westbrook back now, and he is getting back into the mix and should have a good series. And Harden won’t stay cold long. Houston is s veteran team, so we don’t see them having a hard time getting up for this matchup even though they just played in a real tough Game 7.

Denver gutted out a Game 7 win vs. Utah and they were literally inches from being sent home. They were already tired coming into this game (they managed only 80 points in Game 7) and they really laid it all on the line in that one. The Clippers dominated in their last two games in Dallas and they should have their full roster tonight as Pat Bev is expected to return. This team is rested and hungry. The Clips have won the last two meetings by double digits, and in this unique Bubble restart the Nugs got only one night off after their grueling Game 7 and we think they are in real trouble tonight in what should be a blowout by the favorite.

The public is betting the over while the NBA is trending to the under in the Bubble. So the bookies are afraid to post totals too low. That is why we are still seeing value in the under here after Games 1 and 2 went under by about 30 points combined. And they oddsmakers just made a minimal adjustment to this line. Seven of eight games from Boston have gone under the posted total and four of five for Toronto. Game 3 is crucial here for both teams. The Raptors are toast if they lose this one. And Boston wants to finish this series quick, especially with the Bucks facing some real trouble in their series against Miami. We think both defenses, two of the best in the NBA that are playing in top form now, will rise to the occasion once again.

The last two games have been defensive battles, and we see the same here tonight. There is really no precedent for play in the Bubble, but we saw last night for Utah/Denver Game 7 how things could go in a Game 7. These teams are tired. The Bubble is taking its toll with the protests and the games every other day. That game last night didn’t even crack 160. We don’t see this one being that low scoring, but we do think the defenses will lock down in this crucial game and that the offenses might be lagging as they haven’t been great lately and there’s a good chance they could take another step back tonight. The Thunder will have to rely on their defense to stay in the game, and we expect a close, low-scoring game in this one tonight.

Denver seemingly took all the momentum in this series, but you can throw all that out the window as the season comes down to one game here. Despite the season records, we think Utah is a tad bit better as a team. Remember, like always this team got off to a slow start but started playing better as the season went on. We think they will come out focused and determined tonight and will advance to play the Clippers in Round 2. We really think their defense will step up and play one of the best games of the series on the defensive end.

Throw the regular season results out the window in this series. We think in this current climate that Boston is the better team and we had them favored in our handicapping in this series and we think they have a great chance to go up 2-0 tonight. Boston is playing some of their best basketball of the season in the bubble and they have won and covered in four of the last five meetings between these teams. We think they have the upper hand again here as they match up well with Toronto. Boston is the more confident team now and we think it shows on the court today.

This series has a strong history for the under in recent meetings with six of the last eight meetings going under the posted total. The Heat are one of the better defensive clubs in the league, and they have been off for a week so they should have a lot of intensity to bring on the defensive end. We expect some great energy on that side of the ball as Miami wants to set the tone here in Game 1. The Bucks didn’t really get tested in their first series, but we think they will be here by the underrated Heat tonight. We think the bookies made a mistake on this Game 1 total.

We were on the Rockets yesterday because we thought they benefited more from the boycott than did the Thunder. We think the same way about the Mavs today. The Clippers were at the center of a lot of the activity during the boycott. Coach Doc Rivers was center stage, and the Clippers reportedly were one of the teams, along with the Lakers, that wanted to end the season. They had the Mavs on the ropes after their big 40+-point win, and they looked primed to end this series. But now Dallas had a chance to reset. Luka Doncic had extra time to rest his ankle. Dallas will be without Porzingis likely for the rest of this series. But they have become used to playing without him, and Doncic is the type of player, like Curry for Golden State, who elevates the play of the guys around him. We think this game will be similar to the Lakers game last night where a Damian Lillard-less Portland stayed within 10 and covered the number. The Lakers were the other team that reportedly wanted to end the season, and its stars were front and center during the boycott. But in this Clippers game we have the biggest spread of the series, and we think it’s an overreaction to that Game 5 result.

The extra days off for the boycott really helped the Rockets. OKC had them on the ropes with two straight wins, but the time off gave Houston a chance to reset and stifled the momentum for the Thunder. And now the Rockets get Russell Westbrook back for this Saturday game and they have the best chance to take control of this series. Westbrook has been lighting it up in practice and he should be a game changer for the rest of this series. OKC has been a nice story this year and they have come together to have a very nice season above expectations. But the Rockets are the much better team and we expect them to play a well-rounded game tonight in what should be a comfortable win.

This series is tied now after an incredible performance from Dallas in Game 4. But if you look at the Clippers results in The Bubble, they have suffered four losses since the restart, and every time they came back and played to their capabilities, covering in all those games. All but one win came by double digits. In Game 4 Dallas saw one of the best performances in playoff history by Luka Doncic. Not only was he going off, but some of the role players had excellent games as well. But even with the Mavs playing out of their minds, they still needed OT and an amazing buzzer-beater just to win the game on a night the Clippers just didn’t play well for most of the game. As recent history has show, LA knows how to follow up a lousy performance with a great one. Paul George has been the blame for a lot of the Clippers problems with his shooting slump. He will get out of this slump before too long. And it will probably be tonight. We expect to see an incredibly focused Clippers group tonight, and we think they will play to their potential. It’s doubtful that Doncic will have anywhere near the game he had last time out, and the role players are due for regression.

Before the series we thought the Blazers might make more noise in this series. But the Game 1 loss was a wakeup call for the Lakers, and we think they have all the momentum here in this series. The Bubble is an interesting place. In a normal NBA playoff series, the change in venue means a lot and can get the underdog back into the series. But there is no homecoming for the Blazers, and they are in a real tough spot here now. They are on the ropes. They started the playoffs early with the seeding games and then the play in game, and this team just looks tired and defeated. With no home-court to go back to, we think morale is low. The Lakers losing the first game was the best thing for them. That made them focus, and now we think they want to end this series ASAP as some of the other Western Conference teams are now in a dogfight in their series. We rarely bet on the Lakers as they are normally shaded by the oddsmakers and there is rarely value. But we think this line is more than fair tonight. We think this one has a great chance to be a double-digit win for the Lakers.

Both teams have been trending to the over. Ten of the last 11 games for Denver have gone over the posted total. Seven of the last nine games for Utah have gone over. Utah’s offense really played well last time out as they scored 124 in a blowout win. We expect the momentum from that offensive explosion to carry over into this one tonight. This is a crucial game for the Nuggets, and we expect them to be much more competitive, and we don’t see the Utah defense shutting them down twice in a row. They scored 124 in Game 2, just as Utah did in Game 3, and we think both teams will get their points here in this one tonight. One game already went to OT in this series, and this one looks to be close as well, so OT is always a possibility, which is great for over bettors like us. But we don’t think they will need the extra five minutes here as we think this one will get over 220 at the end of regulation.

We have to hold back on the bet size on this one because of the uncertain status of Dallas star Luka Doncic. He is the engine that makes this team run, and he is a game-time decision today. But if anyone saw Game 3, it would be a stretch to think he could be a factor even if he plays. It looks like that ankle was bothering him pretty badly. With or without Doncic, the Clippers are the call here. They have dominated the Mavs this season. They haven’t played their best in this series and are still in the driver’s seat. We think they want a good showing here and to be in a position to end this series early. The Mavs spirit may be broken after Game 3.

We are confident this series is not over, and although we think the Rockets will advance, we think the Thunder will make some noise, and this is a must win game for them tonight. The Rockets are a pretty inconsistent team and we just don’t see them playing in top form again here tonight, and the Thunder have been one of the safest ATS bets all season. This team doesn’t give up, and they will be confident going into this game and they have the belief they can win the series. We expect to see the best game we have seen thus far from them tonight in this series and expect them to score the straight up win.

Since the restart, the Clippers have bounce back well after every loss. In fact, they came back every time with a double-digit win. They are 8-1 ATS after getting beat by double digits. That is the sign of a very good team, and we think they will bounce back well here. That Game 2 win by Dallas was their first of the year against the Clippers. Los Angeles didn’t play well, and Dallas played a great game. But we expect a more well rounded effort tonight. The Clippers are in real trouble if they lose here, as Game 3 is one of the most crucial in a seven-game series. The Clippers don’t often play two bad games in a row, and Doc Rivers will make the needed adjustments for a big win tonight.

We think this line looks pretty fishy like the bookies are begging for Rockets money here. The Thunder got thrashed in Game 1, and yet the odds stayed the same for Game 2 when you would normally expect an adjustment. We like to be on the side of the bookies, and we think the Thunder are the clear play here today. They are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after a beatdown of double-digits, and we think they will bounce back well once again here and even this series up today. Houston is shorthanded without Westbrook and the Thunder have been a great bet all season as one of the best ATS teams in the NBA. Houston has been erratic this season; they can look great one game and lousy the next. They rely too much on certain players, and with Westbrook out, that hurts if a couple other guys go cold. The Thunder just seem like a steady team that plays strong team basketball and we think they will bounce back well once again today.