We love the way the Celtics are playing right now. This team has been one of the safest bets in the NBA the last couple seasons since Coach Stevens took over, and they are a much stronger team than the Wizards when both squads are playing their best. Kyrie Irving is listed as probable in this one, but as we saw last time out against the Pelicans, this team can get the job done even if he doesn’t play.

These are two bad teams but the Knicks are the lesser of two evils and they can put together a complete game on a more regular basis than the Cavs can. New York has covered in three of the last four meetings and they are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in Cleveland. Great chance the Cavs show up uninterested to this one, and we think the road team should win outright here.

The Clippers are being punished too much for this back-to-back situation. They are 3-1 ATS and SU in back-to-backs this season, and they probably overlooked the Suns last night as they focused on this marquee matchup. They have won and covered two straight in this series, and we like their chances to keep this one close tonight. The Raptors are not in the best form right now as they have lost three of four. They have been overrated by the oddsmakers as they have covered just one of their last six. The Clippers are one of the better ATS teams in the league, and they seem they are getting disrespected again. We see this game as a coin flip as to who wins outright, so getting this many points provides good value.

4 Unit Play. Take #606 New Mexico over Colorado (9p.m., Tuesday, December 11 ESPN 2) The Lobos are a much better team at home and I feel they have a good chance to win this game straight-up. The line keeps coming down on this game since Colorado is nothing special for a conference that is way down this season. Colorado is 3-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 12 games against MWC teams.

Five of the last six meetings between these teams have gone under the posted total, and this is the highest total we have seen during that stretch. The Suns have really struggled on offense lately. Five of their last seven games have seen them finish under the century mark for scoring. They played, and lost, in OT to the Clippers last night and this looks like a spot where their offense comes out flat again. Booker is out again for the Suns and Crawford is questionable here. We see this as a likely blowout here the Suns once again fail to reach the century mark, and we think the Spurs will get their points but they won’t go crazy on offense.

After a slow start to the season, the Celtics have come on strong lately and this team has now won and covered in five straight. Most of those games were blowouts, including a matchup at New Orleans to start the streak, a 124-107 Celtics win. We think revenge is an overrated NBA handicapping angle, and the Pelicans have been inconsistent lately and they are just trying to get on the same page as a team. If they are hunting for revenge then they will have a lot of teams in their target as they have been racking up too many losses lately. We have to go with the hot hand here as the Celtics are now playing to their potential, and that potential has them as a Top 2 team in the Eastern Conference.

We were on New York last night as it looked like a good spot at home against Brooklyn, but the Knicks played an absolutely dreadful game and now they face a much tougher matchup on the second end of a back-to-back. Things will not go well for them, and this looks like a possible blowout. The Hornets are one of the better ATS teams out there at 15-10 ATS, and they are very under the radar so as long as they don’t get their win total up too high but keep covering numbers, they can keep their betting value all season long barring major injuries.

The Bucks have been just average on the road this season at 4-5 on the year. We thought that this line should be above 7, so we think there is some great value with what looks like the best team in the NBA during the first part of the season. The Bucks won the last matchup very early in the season, but they are not in the best form right now as they have covered in only one of their last seven games. This one looks like a real mismatch and we expect the home team to win comfortably.

4 Unit Play. Take #862 Grand Canyon over Nevada (5:30p.m., Sunday, December 9 ESPN U) This is a short turnaround for the Wolf Pack and a defacto home game for Grand Canyon. The line is been coming down and we will follow that trend after going against Nevada on Friday.

4 Unit Play. Take #860 Gonzaga over Tennessee (3p.m., Sunday, December 9 ESPN) Just do not trust Tennessee as much as I trust Gonzaga. This will not be a blowout but expect Gonzaga to pull away late and win this game by 7-9 points. Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a victory in their previous game. Gonzaga is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #841 Arizona over Alabama (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 ESPN) This line keeps going up and I do not believe it is warranted. Arizona is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against SEC teams. 67% of the money is coming in on the underdog and it would not surprise me if Arizona wins this game straight-up.

Miami is in a real bad spot here, missing players from injury and for personal matters. They face an angry Clippers team that played a very uncharacteristic bad game last time out in Memphis. This is a very professional team and we feel they will shake that performance off and come out here with a workmanlike effort and get a big win over a bad team. The Clippers are playing like every game counts this season, and we don’t think they will overlook this game, especially with their bad effort last time out.

The Wolves have covered six of their last seven games and this team is really under the radar right now but playing well. Portland looked good last time out against a hapless Phoenix squad but they had lost three straight before that and they have struggled with six losses in their last eight games. They got off to a hot start, but alas it seems like this team doesn’t live up to the hype. Minnesota has all the betting value here in a game that looks like a coin flip. In those cases, getting more than two points offers some great value as we think the Wolves could, and should, win outright.

New York has been dominating in this series, cashing six straight tickets. We think they get No. 7 tonight. New York hasn’t played well lately but they have had one of the most brutal recent schedules in the NBA. They have actually covered in six of their last nine, however, and this looks like a great spot for a win against a Brooklyn team that had possibly their game of the year last night in an OT win at Toronto. They had lost eight straight before that, and this seems like the perfect spot for them to come back down to earth tonight.

4 Unit Play. Take #804 Connecticut +9 over Florida State (6:30p.m., Saturday, December 7 ESPN 2) Just never like Florida State as a big favorite. This team has always been poorly coached and they are 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games. UCONN is 4-1 ATS in their last 4 games. I expect this to be closer that what the experts think.

10 Unit Play. Take #777 Wisconsin over Marquette (5p.m., Saturday, December 7 FOX) This battle of Wisconsin takes place at the new Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI. We used Marquette last week as our big play and won easily but I do not expect the kind of officiating in this game that we saw in that game. The road team has dominated this series having covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Wisconsin is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games. Marquette is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big 10 teams. Wisconsin is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. The Badgers have the best player in the floor in Ethan Happ and they will not let Markus Howard go off like he did last Saturday.

4 Unit Play. Take #810 Over 150.5 in UT Martin @ East Tennessee State (4p.m., Saturday, December 7) The total keeps going up and it is with good reason. UT Martin has gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games. ETSU has gone over the posted total in 5 of their last 6 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #530 Arizona State over Nevada (11:59p.m., Friday, December 7 ESPN 2) We will grab the points in this battle of undefeated teams tonight at the Staples Center. Nevada lost here to a similar team in TCU and this will likely be the highest rated team the Wolf Pack face all season long. Arizona State should be healthier for this game and expect them to take it down to the wire. The Sun Devils are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games against MWC teams. 57% of the money is coming in on ASU despite being an underdog and I believe they can win this game straight-up.

In the NBA home-court advantage is everything. And that could not be more evident when looking at the Sixers home/road splits. This team is 13-1 at home but just 4-8 on the road this season. The Pistons are in the same boat at 9-4 at home and 4-5 on the road. This Pistons team is underrated and they are coming off two straight losses in tough matchups, and they will be anxious to get back on the winning track here tonight in front of a national TV audience. Before those two losses they had won five straight, all here at home. The Sixers will be without Embiid tonight, and that hurts their chances here. The Sixers are perpetually overrated by oddsmakers this season, and they have been a money burner at 11-15 ATS, mostly because of their road woes. They are 2-5 ATS on the road against winning teams this season. Detroit is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit, and we feel they will get the win here tonight.

The Suns are really struggling on offense lately, and they have averaged just 96 PPG in their last four contests, three of which saw them finish the game under the century mark, which is becoming very rare in this day’s NBA. And because scoring is up league wide, the bookies have to post high totals every night. This looks like one where they got it wrong. Devin Booker is the best offensive weapon for the Suns, and he has been banged up lately and will be out here, and their offense will suffer as a result. The Blazers have been better on defense at home than on the road, but they have been road warriors for awhile and haven’t played much at home in the last couple weeks. We think they put up a big defensive effort against a struggling Suns offense and we don’t see the Suns getting over 100 here tonight. The Blazers offense has been hit or miss, and we just don’t see them exploding for a 120+ type game in this one. They should do enough to win handily and will probably dribble the shot clock out at the end of the game.

4 Unit Play. Take #711 Drake over Milwaukee (8p.m., Thursday, December 6 ESPN+) The Panthers will struggle for wins this season and we will fade them tonight at the Cell. Drake has won 4 straight games and they have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Horizon League teams. This will not be a blowout but look Drake to pull away over the last 5 minutes and win this game by 7-9 points.

The Grizzlies have lost four of five but they faced a real tough slate during that stretch that saw them lose to Toronto, at Philly, and at these same Clippers. The Grizzlies had that game in hand until some late Clipper heroics and then they lost in overtime and missed the cover by ½ point. They will put their best foot forward tonight against a traditional rival and with the venue now at home. Memphis has had two nights off and they are 6-0 ATS with this much rest. We think they will be very focused to get back on track in this one. The Clippers are one of the biggest surprises in the league this year and they are a very good team. But they are starting to be overvalued by the oddsmakers, and we think that is the case here tonight. We think this will be a high-scoring game and that the posted total is about four points too low.

The Grizzlies have lost four of five but they faced a real tough slate during that stretch that saw them lose to Toronto, at Philly, and at these same Clippers. The Grizzlies had that game in hand until some late Clipper heroics and then they lost in overtime and missed the cover by ½ point. They will put their best foot forward tonight against a traditional rival and with the venue now at home. Memphis has had two nights off and they are 6-0 ATS with this much rest. We think they will be very focused to get back on track in this one. The Clippers are one of the biggest surprises in the league this year and they are a very good team. But they are starting to be overvalued by the oddsmakers, and we think that is the case here tonight. We think this will be a high-scoring game and that the posted total is about four points too low.

4 Unit Play. Take #537 St Joes over Princeton (7p.m., Wednesday, December 5 ESPN+) The Hawks have played a difficult schedule and will enter this game having lost 4 of their last 5 games. The Tigers have played a very light schedule thus far and will not be battle tested for this game. St Joes is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games against Ivy League teams. Princeton is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

5 Unit Play. Take #525 Marshall over Duquesne (7p.m., Wednesday, December 5 ESPN+) The Thundering Herd put up a dud last time out, but we expect a much better performance tonight in Pittsburgh, PA. The Dukes have yet to record a quality win on the season and they were also blown out last time as well. Marshall will get hot from the three-point line at some point in this game and that will be the difference. Marshall is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Atlantic 10 teams. Duquesne is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #726 Little Rock over Bradley (7:30p.m., Tuesday, December 4) The Braves continue to be overvalued and we will go against them for a second straight game. New Mexico pounded them on Saturday despite being a touchdown underdog and I think Little Rock has a chance to win this game straight-up as well. The Trojans have yet to play a close game thus far this season, but this will finally be the one that goes down to the wire and getting this many points is too good to pass up. Little Rock is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against MVC teams. Bradley is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.

The Bulls are a terrible team, but they have covered just as many games this season as the Pacers have. We simply think that this line is too large on Tuesday. The Bulls fired Fred Hoiberg on Monday, and sometimes this gives the team some extra motivation as sometimes the coach’s message has stopped getting through to the players. We think they will play hard here. The Pacers are the much better team, but they are missing their superstar and best player in Oladipo and this squad has lost four out of its last six. They are also on the dreaded first game back home after a long road trip, not to mention they play on the road for one game after this home contest, and sometimes players don’t give full effort in these spots since they have off-the-court life dealings to consider. This is too many points on Tuesday.

Most times it would be tough to trust a 2-9 road team laying points away from home. But this team not only got off to a slow start, but they have had just a brutal road schedule this season and this is arguably their easiest road game of the year (they also played at Orlando). This team is 7-5 in their last 12 games and they are playing much better basketball after a slow start. They seem to be taking nearly every game more seriously and we think they give it their all tonight in this very winnable contest. Washington is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in New York and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall, and we think there’s a good chance for a 7+-point win here.

Two teams that are playing very well, but the Pistons have won five straight and seven of their last eight. They are in amazing form right now and clicking on all facets of the game when this team has underwhelmed so many times over the years. They are 9-3 at home this season while the Thunder are just average on the road at 5-4. Both teams have been winning against an easy schedule lately, but we have just been more impressed by what the Pistons have done, and they are the team catching points at home. Very live home dog here on Monday that should be able to get the outright win.

The wrong team is favored here. The Clippers have been one of the biggest surprises in the NBA this season and they sit No. 1 in the Western Conference. They have had a decently easy schedule lately and this team is just average on the road where they sit at 6-5 on the season (The Mavs are 8-2 at home). Dallas has won seven of their last nine so they are in fine form as well. DeAndre Jordan will be hyped to play against his old team, and the rest of his teammates will rally around him against what is becoming a bit of an overrated Clippers team.

4 Unit Play. #720 Take Missouri over UCF (3p.m., Sunday, November 2 ESPN U) We will go against the grain in this game as Missouri is desperate for a win. The Tigers have played a brutal schedule thus far, but they have talent and they will get better as the season progresses. UCF is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. Missouri is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played on Sunday.

4 Unit Play. Take #552 New Mexico over Bradley (8p.m., Saturday, December 1 ESPN+) We will grab the points in this game with the team from the better conference and I truly believe the talent level is equal as well.  New Mexico had an outstanding MWC season and I do not believe they warrant to be a touchdown underdog.

4 Unit Play. Take #563 Nevada over USC (4:30p.m., Saturday, December 1 FOX) The Wolf Pack are a legit top 5 team and we will ride them again after easily collecting with them against Loyola earlier this week. USC has talent, but they do not have a home court edge and a couple of their key players are questionable for this game. Need to keep riding Nevada with these short numbers until we are proven wrong. Nevada is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. USC is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a victory last time out.

10 Unit Play. Take #534 Marquette over Kansas State (2p.m., Saturday, December 1 FS1) NONCONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR Both teams return a ton of experience, but Marquette needs this game more to bolster their hopes of an NCAA Tournament bid. Always like a game that features an unranked team that is favored against a ranked team. The Golden Eagles are a much better team at home and this will be the first two road game for Kansas State and their Milwaukee native coach. Marquette has two losses on the season, but they have played a much more difficult schedule, but they have yet to record a quality win. This will be the day that it happens. Generally, to win on the road against good teams you must shoot the ball well from long range and that is just not something this Wildcat team does well. This will be a contrast in styles with Marquette having the edge on the perimeter compared to K-State having the edge in the pant. Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big East teams. Marquette has yet to hit their stride and play a complete 40 minute game but I expect that to happen on Saturday.

4 Unit Play. Take #628 Chattanooga over Tennessee Tech (2p.m., Saturday, December 1 ESPN+) No play against Tennessee Tech is a bad play. They are 1-6 on the season and are coming off a home loss to Winthrop by double digits. 80% of the money is coming in on Chattanooga and the line is jumping with good reason. This will be an 8-10 point win by the visitor and we will collect big in the process as well.

4 Unit Play. Take #738 Minnesota over Oklahoma State (10p.m., Friday, November 30 BTN) Would go higher on this game if it were at the Barn but it is still in Minneapolis and feel Minnesota will bounce back in a big way tonight. The Pokes are coming off their best win of the season last time out against LSU. That being said they already lost to Charlotte this season in their only true road game thus far. Oklahoma State is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games played on Friday. The line is trending up and look for Minnesota to win this game by 6-8 points.

4 Unit Play. Take #735 Wisconsin over Iowa (8p.m., Friday, November 30 BTN) Iowa is undefeated, higher ranked, and playing at home yet Wisconsin enter as the favorite. That tells me that the Badgers are the right side in this game. The road team is 6-2 in the last 8 match-ups. Wisconsin is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.

4 Unit Play. Take #734 Over in Central Michigan @ TCU (7:30p.m., Friday, November 30) The Chippewas only know how to play one way and that is up and down the court with lots of shots and very little defense. Central Michigan has gone over the posted total in 19 of their last 27 games (2 pushes). TCU has gone over the posted total in 13 of their last 18 games following a victory in their previous game.

We had this game handicapped at Charlotte -6, so very nice value here in this line. This number seems very public and not a real representation of how these teams have played on the court thus far. Kemba Walker for the Hornets is putting in an MVP-like season so far, and he has the Hornets at 14-7 ATS and 8-3 at home this season. This team will be undervalued no matter how they play since they are so under the radar on a national level. Utah is the “name” team in this matchup, but they haven’t lived up to the massive preseason hype. They are under .500 on the season and they are not playing the stellar defense that we are used to seeing from this team. There isn’t the same teamwork we saw last season. Their star players have underperformed. This team will probably turn it around at some point, but right now they are overvalued by the oddsmakers, and we will take advantage of this bad line tonight with a big play for the Hornets.

4 Unit Play. Take #726 Dayton over Mississippi State (7p.m., Friday, November 30 CBSSN) The Flyers are undefeated at home this season and both of their losses have come against Power 4 teams in Virginia and Oklahoma. They have had a week off to prepare for this game and expect them to win it straight-up. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. The Flyers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games against SEC tams.

We liked the over in the Clippers game last night and that didn’t work out, but this one looks a lot better here on Thursday. The Kings and Clippers both have Top 10 offenses this season (The Clips are in the Top 5) and both teams have among the worst defenses, statistically, in the league. The Clippers are the better defensive club, but they come in on a back-to-back and we don’t see them having the legs for defense tonight. This team can score no matter what, but we don’t think they can grind down on defense in this matchup, especially against a Kings team that averages more than 114 PPG on the season. Three straight games in this series have gone over the posted total. We think both teams put up a massive number tonight in a game that should be very competitive and entertaining, that is unless you appreciate defensive basketball. But we think the Kings prevail here and we think there is a great chance that both teams surpass 120.

4 Unit Play. Take #519 Northern Arizona over UC Davis (10p.m., Thursday, November 29) Both of these teams are bad and thus we will take the points in this mid-major battle tonight in Davis. The Aggies are scoring just under 56 points per game and I just do not believe they can cover this spread by not scoring in the high sixties. NAU is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. UC Davis is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #761 North Carolina +3.5 over Michigan (9:30p.m., Wednesday, November 28 ESPN) 

4 Unit Play. Take #759 Purdue +4 over Florida State (9:15p.m., Wednesday, November 28 ESPN 2)

6 Unit Play. Take #802 Over 147 in Monmouth @ Kentucky (8:30p.m., Wednesday, November 28 SECN) Getting has been under the radar after losing to Duke on opening night in Indianapolis. They have won 5 straight games and expect this to be a high scoring game tonight. The Wildcats have gone over the posted total in their last 5 games against MAAC teams. Kentucky has also gone over the posted total in 18 of their last 26 home games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

We like this pick for several reasons, the biggest being that we think the Pelicans are the better team, and this number seems short as we had our handicapped number on the other side of the key betting number of 7. This is also a revenge spot for the Pelicans since they lost in Washington less than a week ago. Teams forget about games after a couple weeks, but this will be fresh on their minds. These teams have been on opposite trajectories lately but that just gives value to the line for the home team as this looks like a prime spot for them to get back on track.

We know that scoring is up in the NBA this season and it’s tough to take unders at times, but these two teams played earlier this month and the total reached only 181! And now they think these teams will combine for 30+ more points? We don’t see it. Yes, Westbrook was out for OKC for that game. But we think this one will still be low scoring. The Thunder are a Top 5 defensive team this season. They should be able to hold the Cavs to around 100 or less, and this one could be a blowout where we see the Thunder dribble the ball out on the final 24 second clock.

5 Unit Play. Take #752 Illinois State +2.5 over BYU (8p.m., Wednesday, November 28 ESPN+) BYU is coming off a bad home loss to Houston and they have yet to record a quality win this season. The Redbirds are undefeated at home this season and already beat Boise State by three points. BYU is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.

4 Unit Play. Take #737 Syracuse +5 over Ohio State (7:15p.m., Wednesday, November 28 ESPN 2)

The Hornets are one of the best ATS teams in the league this season. We don’t often like to lay this many points in the NBA, but we think this game will be a blowout tonight. This is a prime revenge spot for the Hornets after losing to the Hawks in Atlanta recently. But this team rebounded with a win vs. Milwaukee last time out and they will be riding sky high coming into this game and will be looking for payback. The Hornets have covered in four of their last five games overall, and this looks like a prime spot for another cover.

The Grizzlies are 12-7 ATS and they keep getting disrespected by the oddsmakers. That is the case here tonight as we had them +1 in this matchup and give them a good chance to win outright. They lost a tough one on Friday in OT at the Clippers then had a letdown in their last game against the Knicks, so they will be anxious to get back on track here against one of the top teams in the east. Toronto plays Golden State next, so they will probably be more concerned about that matchup, and the Grizzlies head on the road after this game so they know they need a win here. Memphis is 6-3 ATS against above-.500 teams this season, and they are undervalued once again by the bookies tonight.

4 Unit Play. Take #523 Nevada over Loyola Chicago (8p.m., Tuesday, November 27 ESPNN) This is a rematch of the 2018 Sweet 16 games. Nevada returned everyone that played in that game, but the same cannot be said for Loyola. They appear to be a one hit wonder currently sitting at 4-2 on the season with a pair of losses to teams that will likely not make the NCAA Tournament this season (Furman and Boston College). Nevada has revenge on their minds and they will get this game by double digits.

6 Unit Play. Take #517 Virginia Tech over Penn State (7p.m., Tuesday, November 27 ESPN 2) Virginia Tech has a big edge in talent this evening and the line is way to short. Penn State has two bad losses on the season to DePaul and Bradley and this line should be around -5. The Hokies already have a win against Purdue and they have a good chance to run the table in the nonconference portion of the season. Virginia Tech is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

The Warriors went through their rough patch and we made some money by fading them during their four-game losing streak, but this team has now won two straight and they are playing much better. They will get reinforcements soon, also, as Draymond Green and Steph Curry should be back soon. The Warriors have a long history of success in this rare matchup and they have covered three of the last four meetings despite laying massive numbers. We actually think this number is very short tonight and the Warriors are being punished too much for missing players here. We think they will roll to a double-digit win tonight.

We think the wrong team is favored here, especially with Rockets PG Chris Paul listed as questionable for this matchup. Both teams started off the season ice cold but both are heating up and playing better now. But the Wizards have won five of eight and they have won and covered their last two on the road while the Rockets enter having dropped two straight, both on the road, to Cleveland and Detroit. We think Washington is in better form right now and we think they have a great chance to win this one outright.

4 Unit Play. #716 Clemson over Nebraska (7p.m., Monday, November 26 ESPN 2) The Cornhuskers have never been a strong road team and I expect them to lose this game tonight. We will take advantage of a short number with a team that is always tough to beat at home. In their only competitive game of the season Nebraska got pounded by Texas Tech and I see an 8-10 point loss tonight. The Tigers have a bad taste in their mouth after losing to Creighton last time out but they are a much better team at home.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #525 Villanova +115 ML over Florida State (1p.m., Sunday, November 25 ESPN) The Championship game takes place on Sunday from the Walt Disney World Resort. The demise of the Wildcats appears to be mistaken as they have cruised to the championship. Florida State may have more talent on the floor but they are at a disadvantage when it comes to coaching. Villanova is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against ACC teams. Florida State is 1-5 ATS in their last 5 games played on Sunday. Villanova is 37-17 in their last 54 neutral site games.

4 Unit Play. Take Saint Mary’s over Harvard (9p.m., Saturday, November 24)

We are using Saint Mary’s and the over in this game. The Gaels are coming off two straight losses, but they are a different team at home. Harvard is missing a couple of key players for this game and will not be able to keep this deficit under double digits. Harvard has gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 9 road games. Saint Mary’s is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #742 Over in Harvard @ Saint Mary’s (9p.m., Saturday, November 24)

We are using Saint Mary’s and the over in this game. The Gaels are coming off two straight losses, but they are a different team at home. Harvard is missing a couple of key players for this game and will not be able to keep this deficit under double digits. Harvard has gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 9 road games. Saint Mary’s is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

This is a real tough spot for the Spurs, who are on a back-to-back on the road and playing their third game in four nights despite all NBA teams getting the night off for Thanksgiving. The Bucks have similar rest, but they had a much easier game on Friday against the Suns and they get to stay home for this back-to-back, which is a big advantage. San Antonio is down this season from what we are used to, and this team isn’t very good on the road. The Bucks are nearly unbeatable on their home court and they are one of the best ATS teams in the league this season, which means you can trust them laying a big number like this.

4 Unit Play. Take #740 Over in Houston @ BYU (6p.m., Saturday, November 24 BYU TV) Both teams should reach the 70s in scoring and that sets up for a strong play with the over. BYU has gone over the posted total in 16 of their last 22 home games (1 push). This should be an exciting game and we will not worry about who wins it and just collect with the over.

Overjoyed to get Utah as an underdog here as they are the superior team and should get the straight up road win tonight at Staples Center. Don’t be fooled by the records for these teams; the Jazz have gotten off to a slow start against a tougher schedule. And even at 10-7 straight up, the Lakers have been overvalued by the oddsmakers, as all LeBron James teams tend to be, as they are just 6-11 ATS on the season. Utah has won seven straight in this series. Yes, the Lakers are stronger with LeBron now, but you can’t ignore that long stretch of dominance. The Jazz are pretty fresh off a long road trip where they went 2-3 and then they dropped the normally-tough first game back home after a long trip to the Kings. We think they really need this game to get back on track and we think they give max effort here in a very winnable game. For whatever reason the Jazz have played better on the road than at home this season, and they have also covered five of the last seven meetings between these two teams in LA.

6 Unit Play. Take #545 Wisconsin over Virginia (2p.m., Friday, November 23 ESPN) This may be a low scoring game and thus we will grab the points with Wisconsin. The Badgers have the best player on the floor in Ethan Happ and if they can shoot the ball anywhere close to what they did yesterday they will win this game straight-up. Virginia did not look that impressive against Dayton yesterday and this is just not a good match-up for them unless they are making jump shots. The Badgers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #722 Over in Texas vs North Carolina (7:30p.m., Thursday, November 22 FS1) Both teams can score points and thus we will not worry if Carolina can cover this spread and just collect with the over. Texas has gone over the posted total in 13 of their last 16 games against ACC teams. North Carolina has gone over the posted total in 5 straight games against Big 12 teams. Expect both teams to score in the low eighties and we will collect with the over.

6 Unit Play. Take #702 Wisconsin over Oklahoma (1:30p.m., Thursday, November 22 ESPN) Wisconsin did not play that well yesterday on offense, yet still won the game by 16 points despite having only 2 assists for 40 minutes. Their defense is rock solid and if they can shoot the ball better, they will win this game by double digits. Wisconsin is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

After a hot start the Bucks had some struggles as they went through a tough stretch (3-4 SU and ATS). But they have won and covered two straight and this team is trending up again. This is a more complete and better team than the Blazers, and we expect a comfortable win from the home team tonight. These teams have almost identical records and yet the Bucks are laying a decent-sized number here. We think it’s not big enough, however. Also, the Bucks have owned this series as they are 11-3-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings. The Blazers are coming in on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights while the Bucks were off Tuesday and they have had a mellow schedule recently. They are primed for a big game tonight.

10 Unit Play. Take #533 Minnesota over Washington (6:30p.m., Wednesday, November 21 BTN) Washington just has not been playing well early in the season. They needed to rally to beat a so-so Texas A&M team last night and I do not believe they will have much left in the tank for this game. Minnesota had an easier game last night against Santa Clara and they should be better rested for this game tonight in Vancouver. Washington got blown out Auburn and they have struggled to cover the spread during much of the early season.  Washington is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams. Minnesota is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against PAC-12 teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #549 Wisconsin over Stanford (11:30a.m., Wednesday, November 21 ESPN) Stanford lost their best player to Kentucky and they appear to be in for a long season. Wisconsin has bounced back nicely from missing the NCAA Tournament last season and they should be able to reach the finish of this Battle 4 Atlantis. Stanford is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Wisconsin is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #767 Washington over Texas A&M (11:30p.m., Tuesday, November 20) Washington is going to make the NCAA Tournament this season. They laid an egg against Auburn but other than that have been solid. Texas A&M is in complete freefall currently sitting at 1-3 on the season and they will lose this game by double digits. The Aggies are 1-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against PAC-12 teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #719 Pacific over UNLV (10p.m., Tuesday, November 20) Both teams are bad and thus we will take the points in this match-up. UNLV has played cupcakes thus far in 2018 and this will be the toughest team they have faced at this point of the season. The Tigers are 3-1 with their only loss coming against a top 10 team in Nevada. UNLV is 7-17 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 26 games. 72% of the money is on UNLV yet the line is coming down, so that is a good indicator we are on the right side.

4 Unit Play. Take #778 UC Davis over Sacramento State (10p.m., Tuesday, November 20) Jim Les has quietly built a solid program at UC Davis and they are always one of the top teams in the Big West led by TJ Shorts II this year. They are off to a bad start but they get to face a team on Tuesday that has only one game under their belt because of the wildfires in California. The Aggies are 3-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games against Big Sky teams. The Hornets are 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against Big West teams.

We like this Clippers squad a lot this season and we have been down on the lousy Wizards, but we think this is a good spot for the home dog to get the straight up win. This is not only a back-to-back for LA but their third game in four nights, all on the road. Things have gone pretty well in the first two games of this road trip, but now this is a fatigued team playing the toughest matchup yet on the last game of this three-game trip. The Wizards have struggled mightily, and John Wall and Bradley Beal have been mentioned in trade rumors. We just think this team steps up tonight. If this game was the first game of the season this line would probably be Wizards -5. But perceptions have changed. But we see value in this line and think Washington should win this one outright.

6 Unit Play. Take #729 Clemson over Georgia (1:30p.m., Tuesday, November 20) The Tigers are farther along with Coach Brownell and should be able to win this game by double digits over Georgia. Tom Crean is in his first year at Georgia and this is the type of team he will struggle against. Clemson is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against SEC teams. Clemson is also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.

4 Unit Play. Take #578 Temple over VCU (9:30p.m., Monday, November 19 ESPN 3) Both teams are undefeated, but the Rams have played cupcakes thus far and they are not the mid0major power they once were. This is the swain song for the Temple coach and expect them to make a run towards the NCAA tournament. Temple is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. VCU is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.

The Clippers are a Top 4 team in the west in the standings right now, and not many expected this. But if they stay healthy all season, this is going to be a playoff team and one that the top teams in the west will not want to play in the postseason. They are 9-6 against the spread this year so far, so they are defying oddsmakers expectations. This team plays great team basketball and they are unselfish. They have guys that can score and they play decent defense. They started their road trip last time out against Brooklyn in what could have been a letdown spot after home wins against the Spurs and Warriors, but they won and covered in that contest. Now they face a much weaker team in Atlanta tonight. This is arguably the worst team in the NBA. They have lost seven straight and covered in only three of those games, despite some generous lines from the oddsmakers. This Clippers team seems like one that will not lower itself to the level of competition like past Clippers squads, and we think they take advantage of this situation for an easy road win tonight.

4 Unit Play. Take #576 Over in California vs St Johns (7p.m., Monday, November 19 ESPN 2) Expect both teams to reach the 70s in scoring and that sets us up for a strong play with the over tonight in Brooklyn. The Golden Bears have gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games played on Monday. St Johns has gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 10 games following a victory in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. Take #558 San Diego State over Duke (5p.m., Monday, November 19, ESPN 2) Duke is a machine this year but they lack experience and the long trip over from North Carolina may allow them to come out flat in this game. San Diego State has covered the spread in 4 straight neutral site games and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 nonconference games. If they can withstand Duke early they should be able to keep this game around 10-12 points for 40 minutes.

We have faded the Golden State Warriors the last two games, and it has worked out pretty well, so we will go for three in a row here. We have the feeling the Warriors may enter their toughest stretch of this current regime. They have off-court drama going on, impending free agency and injuries. They also don’t have the fire they have had in previous seasons. And we don’t think they give a crap. As long as they are healthy and synched heading into the playoffs, we don’t think this team cares about playoff positioning as long as they are a Top 4 seed. The Spurs are in a more desperate situation tonight as they have lost five of six. But they have played a road-heavy schedule. They are still dominant at home at 5-2, and they will put their best foot forward tonight. They aren’t going to give the Warriors any breaks because of their current problems, and we think they win this one by a comfortable margin tonight.

3 Unit Play. Take #723 Central Florida over Western Kentucky (6:30p.m., Sunday, November 18 ESPN2) UCF is a buzz saw early in the season and we will ride them again in the Championship Game of the Myrtle Beach Invitational. The Golden Knights have great size in the pant and the Hilltoppers will struggle to match that. UCF is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played on Sunday.

4 Unit Play. Take #778 Oklahoma over Wofford (2p.m., Sunday, November 18) This is a home game for the Sooners and should be able to win this game by double digits. Oklahoma is 2-0 on the season and both wins have come over today’s posted number. Wofford is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 12 teams. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played on Sunday.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

We think that this is a great time to fade the Warriors. The turmoil in this squad is real, and they will continue to be overvalued by the oddsmakers regardless of their performance on the court. After their record-setting season a couple years ago this team started caring less and less about the regular season after they lost in the finals to the Cavs. They started to become a lousy regular-season bet at that point. This team started hot ATS, but they have now failed to cover in four of their last five, and the ATS losses will keep coming. Curry and Green are out tonight, and we don’t see the Warriors playing to their potential against a Dallas team is 5-2 at home and should give their best effort against the world champs.

Both teams come in on a back-to-back, but the Celtics played in OT last night in a much bigger game and we think this might be a letdown spot against a Jazz team that needs a win before a couple lousy games snowball into a concerning losing streak. We see think both offenses might come out a bit flat in this one and there is a good chance for a low-scoring game, which makes the points for the underdog even more valuable. These teams played recently in Utah and the Jazz won that one pretty comfortably, so we know they can match up against Boston. We think the dog has a great chance to bark tonight for the outright win.

Both teams come in on a back-to-back, but the Celtics played in OT last night in a much bigger game and we think this might be a letdown spot against a Jazz team that needs a win before a couple lousy games snowball into a concerning losing streak. We see think both offenses might come out a bit flat in this one and there is a good chance for a low-scoring game, which makes the points for the underdog even more valuable. These teams played recently in Utah and the Jazz won that one pretty comfortably, so we know they can match up against Boston. We think the dog has a great chance to bark tonight for the outright win.

3 Unit Play. Take #584 Villanova over Furman (5p.m., Saturday, November 17 FS2) The Wildcats looked awful against Michigan this week but expect them to bounce back in a big way Saturday afternoon against an inferior opponent. Villanova is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games played on Saturday. This should be a game where Villanova scored in the nineties and that will allow them to cover this big number.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #544 Over in Michigan vs George Washington (12p.m., Saturday, November 17 ESPN 3) Michigan has been playing outstanding defense in their first three games but I do not expect that to last for much longer. That is an incredible pace, but the Colonials scored 57 against a better defensive team in Virginia and I expect them to reach 60 points in this game. George Washington has gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #814 Take Over 153 in Central Michigan vs Weber State (8:30p.m., Friday, November 16) The Chippewas are always a strong over team led by Keno Davis. His team usually do not play much defense and that will allow the total scoring to high levels. CMU has gone over the posted total in 39 of their last 60 games (2 pushes).

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #752 Pepperdine -2.5 over Towson (8p.m., Friday, November 16) The Waves can only go up after last season with Lorenzo Romar. The Tigers lost a ton of talent from their squad last year and Romar has always shown he is a good recruiter. Towson is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games. Pepperdine has covered the spread in 7 straight games.

We love to back a good team after a bad loss, and that handicapping angle doesn’t get any better than this matchup tonight. The Jazz suffered what will go down as one of the worst (and most head-scratching) losses of the season last time out when they lost by 50 points in Dallas. That is just a super embarrassing result and this team will come out and give max effort tonight, we have no doubt about that. This is one of the best teams in the NBA. Teams just have off nights like this where nothing goes right, and there was a real lack of effort there after things got out of hand. But starters played limited minutes and they will have extra energy to get things back on track here tonight. The Jazz had won and covered three straight before that loss, so overall we will give them a mulligan for that game and assume they will return to current form here. And they are 5-3 on the road this season.  Philly is undefeated at home, but this team hasn’t had a very tough home slate. This is their toughest home game of the season by far. And we think overall the Jazz are a much better team. Philly is just 6-10 ATS this season, so it’s obvious they are overvalued by the oddsmakers. We think Utah has a great chance for the outright win here.

4 Unit Play. Take #791 Connecticut +4.5 over Iowa (7p.m., Friday, November 16 ESPN2) I believe the odds makers over adjusted this line by making Iowa this big of a favorite. Both teams were underdogs yesterday and I expect this game to go down to the wire and we will gladly take the points with UCONN have a proximity edge in location.

4 Unit Play. Take #774 Penn -1.5 over Northern Iowa (5:30p.m., Friday, November 16)

4 Unit Play. Take #789 Syracuse (pk) over Oregon (4:30p.m., Friday, November 16 ESPN2) Many expected this to be the Championship game but now it is must win as neither team wants to leave NYC 0-2. Syracuse is always a tough team to beat at the Garden and expect a home crowd edge that will allow them to emerge victorious.

5 Unit Play. Take #764 UCF -1.5 over Saint Joes (1:30p.m., Friday, November 16 ESPN 2) Both teams are coming off impressive wins to open this Invitational in Myrtle Beach. Saint Joes had the more impressive victory but I just do not believe they can follow that up on consecutive days. UCF has great size and we used them yesterday and expect a similar victory today.

4 Unit Play. Take #548 Iowa +4 over Oregon (9:30p.m., Thursday, November 15 ESPN 2) This might be a make or break year for Fran McCaffery and he likely needs a good year to keep his job. Iowa always seems to start off the season on a high note before fading in March. Expect them to take this game down to the wire with a good chance to win this game straight-up. Iowa is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Oregon is 0-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 neutral site games.

4 Unit Play. Take #552 Over 147 in Pacific @ Idaho State (9p.m., Thursday, November 15) The Bengals are going over the posted total in 6 of their last 8 games against WCC teams.  Look for a high scoring game tonight and we will not worry about the spread and just collect with the total.

Love the Rockets in this spot. They started the season real slow, but now they have won five of seven and they enter this one on a two-game winning streak. It seems like parting from Carmelo Anthony did this team a world of good, and they seem to have their confidence back. On the other side of the court is the Warriors. And you have to wonder if the cracks they have shown lately are the start of the end for this dynasty. Draymond Green is starting lots of drama with this team, and one of the best things about this squad in recent years was their ability to mesh on and off the court. This team has now covered only one of their last four, and the Hawks have them all they could handle last time out (we cashed on Atlanta as a big underdog). You get the feeling that the Warriors are not invested in this game as much as the Rockets. Houston is a team that wants to do a lot of damage in the regular season, while the Warriors just want to make sure everything is good before the postseason, and that is their biggest concern. And Curry is the stabilizing force with this Warriors team, and with the current drama surrounding this club, his presence on the court will be sorely missed tonight.

6 Unit Play. Take #508 Creighton +2 over Ohio State (7p.m., Thursday, November 15 FS1) Playing in Omaha is always a tough challenge and with the talent Ohio State lost from last year I do not expect them to win this true road game. Creighton lost a bunch of talent as well but they do have the advantage of playing this at the CenturyLink Center. Most of the money is coming in on Ohio State yet the line is going the other direction. Creighton is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #535 UCF -4 over CS Fullerton (2p.m., Thursday, November 15 ESPN3) The Golden Knights laid an absolute egg last time out losing to FAU despite being a 20 point favorite. That being said they still have talent including great size in the paint. They are predicted to finish in the top three of the AAC and should be able to bounce back in a big way against a team traveling cross country from California. The Titans put forth a good showing against Arizona State losing in overtime but I actually believe UCF is a better team that Arizona State. UCF is 10-4 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss in their previous game.

5 Unit Play. Take #741 Marquette over Indiana (8:30p.m., Wednesday, November 14 FS1) The Golden Eagles are farther along than are the Hoosiers. Indiana is still in rebuild mode under second year head coach Archie Miller and they do not warrant to be this big of a favorite tonight at Assembly Hall. Indiana is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Big East teams. This should be a good game that goes down to the wire, but Marquette should be able to pull it out straight-up.

We think Miami will be extra motivated here tonight after dropping three straight games at home, but those were all against playoff-quality teams. They will be desperate for a win tonight, and now they face a lottery team in the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn lost one of their best players when Caris LeVert went down with a really bad foot injury last time out against Minnesota. It looks like he won’t be lost for the season, but he was really the engine for this team and see some regression from this team for maybe a few games until they can get back in the groove. The Heat have a very strong history here in Brooklyn as they are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings. This team hasn’t always played well this season and they have been somewhat of a disappointment thus far, but this is a playoff-quality club and we think this is a great spot for them to get back on track against a line that looks quite a bit short in our eyes.

Going to take a shot on Atlanta here in this letdown spot for Golden State. The Warriors had a very hard-fought game last night against the Clippers that went to OT, and this one came with bickering between the teammates at the end of the game. They play Houston next on Thursday, so this out-of-conference opponent will not get much attention tonight sandwiched between games against rivals. The Hawks stink. But Golden State gets most teams’ best shot every night, and we have no doubt the young Hawks will come to play. A win here would be an accomplishment they could hang their hats on all season. We don’t see a straight up win, but we see a competitive game and a distracted home team.