4 Unit Play. Take #306 Washington Huskies over Oregon Ducks (8p.m., Friday, December 1 ABC) PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHP GAME All the value is now with Washington, as this line skyrocketed over the weekend with the performance Washington had in the Apple Cup. People are lining up to bet Oregon and this line is just too high in my opinion. Washington already beat Oregon once this season and they have a fully capable quarterback that can match Bo Nix stat for stat. The Huskies have the motivation to play well since they will be hearing all week that they do not have any chance to win this game. Washington has a long winning streak and many of their games stay under the posted total allowing a strong play with a live underdog. Oregon does not have many quality wins this season, they just pass the eye test. That will not be enough to blow out Washington.

2 Unit Play. Take #268 Philadelphia Eagles over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 26 CBS) The Bills are still a public team and thus get overvalued for the talent they have. They pounded the Jets, but now must face the best team in the league, the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles do not lose games at home, and they are better on both sides of the ball. We will lay the field goal in this game.

10 Unit Play. Take #251 Jacksonville Jaguars over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, November 26 CBS) TOP FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEKEND Houston should have lost last week to Arizona, as CJ Stroud played his worst game as a professional. Now they face the divisional leader Jaguars, a team that just destroyed the Titans last time out. Just feel the Texans will hit a wall in the later portion of the season. The Jaguars have won 8 straight games playing outside of Jacksonville (8-0 ATS as well). Houston is not ready for primetime, and Trevor Lawrence and company will lock up the division with a victory today.

4 Unit Play. Take #195 Arizona Wildcats over Arizona State Sun Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 25 ESPN) The territorial cup features the Wildcats as clearly the best team in this matchup for the first time in quite some time. Arizona has won 5 straight games and will know by kickoff if they have a chance to play in the PAC-12 Championship Game next Friday in Las Vegas. ASU played Oregon last week and expect there to be a lingering effect from that game into this game. It is a rivalry and ASU will be up for this game, but Arizona is just too talented on both sides of the football for that to matter. The Wildcats showed last week they are not afraid to run up the score and they will win this game by double-digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #142 Michigan Wolverines over Ohio State Buckeyes (12p.m., Saturday, November 25 FOX) This game is for all the marbles with the winner winning the Big 10 Championship Game next week and a ticket to the playoffs. Ohio State has been one dimensional on offense and whoever runs the football better wins this game (happened over 20 years in a row). Ohio State is 8th in the Big 10 in rushing this season. I feel Michigan is better in all 3 phases of the game especially on special teams. Ohio State has Marvin Harrison, but their quarterback is subpar and I just do not believe he can beat them with his arm. Michigan against the world continues, as the Wolverines advance to the playoff with a double-digit victory at the Big House.

4 Unit Play. Take #136 Oregon Ducks over Oregon State Beavers (8:30p.m., Friday, November 24 FOX) The Civil War has both teams strong this season, but Oregon is just better. The Beavers faltered to move the football last week against a weak Washington defense. Now they must have their rival and a team that may be the best in the country. Oregon is 12-3 straight-up in their last 15 games against Oregon State. Bo Nix is looking to win the Heisman and expect him to light up the scoreboard and make a statement in this game. Sooner or later Oregon will get hot on offense and win this game by 20+ points. The Ducks need to run up the scoreboard in order to impress the selection committee.

4 Unit Play. Take #107 Washington Commanders over Dallas Cowboys (4:30p.m., Thursday, November 23 CBS) We will grab the double-digits in this divisional matchup in a short week for both teams. Washington is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games as an underdog. Dallas has blown out bad teams all season long, but that just cannot continue to happen for a 17-game season. QB Sam Howell has some ability and if he can play a clean game Washington should be able to keep this game in single digits.

2 Unit Play. Take #103 Bowling Green Falcons over Western Michigan Broncos (7p.m., Tuesday, November 21 ESPNU) The Falcons are going bowling and took Toledo to the wire last week. They will enter this game having won 4 of their last 5 games. Western Michigan cannot become bowl eligible even if they win this game on senior night and thus, I do not expect them to come out strong in this game. The Broncos have not beaten many of the top teams in the league in 2023 and tonight should be no different. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

10 Unit Play. Take #476 Kansas City Chiefs over Philadelphia Eagles (8:15p.m., Monday, November 20 ABC) This is a rematch of Super Bowl 57 and I look for the Chiefs to win this game again. Philadelphia has been winning ugly much of the season and it will catch up to them in this game. Andy Reid is 27-4 in his career following a bye week. Kansas City is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against NFC teams. Coach Reid will enjoy beating his former team for the second time in less than a year.

4 Unit Play. Take #456 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Chargers (1p.m., Sunday, November 19 FOX) The Chargers got lit up by the Lions last Sunday at home and I feel this game will do down to the wire at Lambeau Field. The Chargers are close to making a coaching change and look for the Packers to win their second straight game at home on Sunday. Green Bay has covered 3 straight home games when they are on an underdog. This game will be close and I just feel the Chargers will find a way to lose it, something they have done through most of Brandon Staley’s tenure.

4 Unit Play. Take #460 Jacksonville Jaguars over Tennessee Titans (1p.m., Sunday, November 19 CBS) The Jaguars laid an egg last week against the 49ers but should find things much easier against the Titans on Sunday at home. Tennessee is pot committed to Will Levis and he is a risk taker and that will bite him in this game. The Titans are 1-4 in their last 5 games and will lose this one by double digits. They are playing their third straight road game and the Jags have won 5 of their last 6 games. Jacksonville swept Tennessee in 2022 and they will bounce back and force the Titans to beat them through the air.

10 Unit Play. Take #367 Utah Utes over Arizona Wildcats (2:30p.m., Saturday, November 18 PAC12N) TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEK. Arizona has been on a roll and will enter this game having won 4 straight games. This will be the toughest team they faced in their last 5 games, as Utah will not self-destruct like UCLA, Oregon State and Washington State did. The Utes are extremely well coached and I feel the Wildcats are playing a little over their heads at the moment. They have had a great season, but this is a team that lost to Mississippi State earlier this season (just fired their coach). The spread tells me that the Wildcats are not as good as their record would indicate, and reality will hit them in this game. Jedd Fisch is a hot coaching commodity and should win Pac 12 Coach of the Year, but the overachievers take a step back on Saturday. Utah has beaten Arizona six straight times (5-1 ATS). Utah is 15-3 in their last 18 road games when they are an opening line underdog. 

4 Unit Play. Take #322 Army Black Knights over Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (12p.m., Saturday, November 18 CBSSN) This line is begging you to take Coastal Carolina, but we will not bite and instead side with the home underdog. Playing Army with only one week to prepare is always a difficult task, as team just do not see the triple option much anymore. Coastal Carolina has won 5 straight games, but only one of those wins came by over 10 points. They struggled to put away App State, Arkansas State, Old Dominion and Texas State. Army has won their last home game of the season 7 straight years. The Black Knights lost by just 10 points to Coastal Carolina last season and that was a better squad than what they will face on Saturday.

4 Unit Play. Take #248 Jacksonville Jaguars over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, November 12 FOX) Both teams are coming off a bye, with the Jaguars red hot and the 49ers ice cold. Injuries are taking its toll on the team from the bay area, as San Francisco is realizing that Brock Prudy cannot carry this team without a bunch of talent around him. Jacksonville is on a 5-0 straight-up and 5-0 ATS run. San Francisco is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye. The Jaguars are 5-1 in their last 6 home games when they are an underdog. Trevor Lawrence and Doug Pederson are a strong combination and will only get better as the season and years go on.

4 Unit Play. Take #144 Georgia Bulldogs over Ole Miss Rebels (7p.m., Saturday, November 11 ESPN) Ole Miss has an offensive mindset and some good playmakers, but they struggled against Alabama scoring just 10 points. I see a similar situation today, as the Bulldogs are getting better and should win this game by double digits. Ole Miss just cannot keep up in the trenches and that will be the difference in this game. The Rebels are just 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against ranked teams. It might not be pretty, but Georgia just do not lose games to inferior competition and Saturday between the hedges will be another victory.

10 Unit Play. Take #149 Michigan Wolverines over Penn State Nittany Lions (12p.m., Saturday, November 11 FOX) We are fading the Penn State offense in this game. Michigan has not been tested and this will be the best defense that they have faced all season long. But Penn State looked terrible against Ohio State, and I believe Michigan has a better defense than the Buckeyes. The Wolverines have won the last two games and are 6-3 straight-up and 7-2 ATS stretching that out to 9 games. Michigan has an us against the world mentality with all the outside noise going on around the program. JJ McCarthy is a much better player than Drew Allar and the offensive weapons are much better for the Wolverines. Penn State got a raw deal with this being a 12 p.m. game instead of a white out game at night. That edge allows Michigan to dominate this game and win it by double digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #269 New York Giants over Las Vegas Raiders (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 5 FOX) NFL GAME OF THE YEAR The Raiders are a mess, and we liked this play even before they fired their coach, offensive coordinator, and General Manager. Throw in they are starting a rookie at quarterback in Aiden O’Connell, and I see them really struggling on offense this entire game. Las Vegas is coming off back-to-back double-digit losses, and one of those was against the Bears. Finally, the Raiders have no home field advantage playing in Las Vegas, and expect a lot of Giants fans in attendance for this game.

The Giants did everything they could to lose a game that had over a 95% chance of winning last week. They could not muster any passing game, yet their defense played the best game of the year. The Jets offense is a lot like the Raiders offense, and I see another strong game from the Giants on Sunday. Danny Dimes is back, and that gives the Giants a much better chance to move the football via the air. He can run or pass, and he will need to utilize both in this game. The Giants are 17-8 in their last 25 games as a road underdog, including 9-0 during this streak when facing losing teams. They are 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against AFC teams. New York is also 4-1 ATS when facing foes coming off a Monday Night Football game. The Giants win this game, and we collect in the process as well.

4 Unit Play. Take #456 Baltimore Ravens over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, November 5 CBS) Lamar Jackson dominates the NFC and look for that to continue on Sunday. He is 16-1 in his career straight up when facing NFC teams. The Ravens have led at halftime in 7 of their 8 games this season and their defense is one of the top units in the league. Seattle did not look that impressive last week at home against Cleveland and they played poorly when they traveled to Cincinnati last month, especially on offense.

10 Unit Play. Take #328 Indian Hoosiers over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Saturday, November 4 BTN) This line is coming down, as Wisconsin has been decimated by injuries and should not be favored by this many points against any team in the Big 10. The Badgers played decent against Ohio State but expect a letdown to occur as RB Allen and WR Diketo to injuries in that game. No team can sustain that many injuries and thus it would not surprise me if Indiana wins this game straight-up. Expect this game to go down to the wire and we will cash this ticket with whoever comes out on top.

5 Unit Play. Take #308 Akron Zips -3.5 over Kent State Golden Flashes (7:30p.m., Wednesday, November 1 ESPNU) How the Golden Flashes have fallen. This used to be a perennial top team in the MAC, but they cannot get out of their own way this season going 1-7 with their only win coming against an FCS team. Akron has the same stats, but the difference tonight will be the quarterback play of Akron (taking care of the football). Jeff Undercuffler will be smart with the football and that will allow the Zips to move the football and win this game by double digits. Neither team will be making a bowl game, so the time is now for Akron to end this long losing streak to Kent State and earn some pride heading into next season.

4 Unit Play. Take #253 Jacksonville Jaguars over Pittsburgh Steelers (1p.m., Sunday, October 29 CBS) The Jaguars are on a roll and will enter this game having won 4 straight games. They have taken control of the AFC South and I feel they are farther along with their offense and quarterback compared to the Steelers. Pittsburgh is not a top team in the league and I see them being around a .500 team, which has been normal of late for Mike Tomlin. Jacksonville has extra rest for this game and being the favorite on the road leads me to believe the books what to take a bunch of Steelers money.

4 Unit Play. Take #176 Arizona Wildcats over Oregon State Beavers (10:30p.m., Saturday, October 28 ESPN) Arizona has been playing well of late covering three straight games including a shocking 44-6 victory over Washington State last time out. That Wazzou team is the only team to beat the Beavers this season. Both teams are coming off of a bye but Oregon State is just a different team when playing on the road. Arizona is 5-1 ATS in lined games this season. Oregon State is 2-5 in their last 7 conference road games when they are favored. They are also 1-7 ATS (1 push) in this same situation when they are favored by less than a touchdown. It is hard to beat anyone on the road in the PAC-12 besides Cal, ASU, and Stanford and this game should go down to the wire with the Wildcats coming out on top.

4 Unit Play. Take #162 Colorado State Rams over Air Force Falcons (7p.m., Saturday, October 28 CBSSN) This is an in-state battle and Colorado State already took Colorado to the wire. I do not see them getting blown out at home, as this is a sandwich game for Air Force. The Force played Navy last week and have Army on deck. Colorado State only lost by two to UNLV and beat Boise State in their last home game. Jay Novell will keep this game close and be ready to contain the triple option. All the pressure is on Air Force, as the look to win the MWC and receive a major bowl win.

4 Unit Play. Take #134 Louisville Cardinals over Duke Blue Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 28 ESPN) Duke has quarterback issues with Riley Leonard not able to finish last game. Playing Florida State last week took its toll on Duke, and I do not expect them to have much left for this game even if QB Leonard plays. Florida State dominated the second half against Duke outscoring them 21-0 and now they must face a sleeper team in the ACC that got pretty good, pretty quick. The Cardinals are coming off a bye and should be fresh for this game after suffering their only loss of the season last time out. All of their home game victories this season have come over today’s posted number. Louisville is also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Cardinals take this one by double digits.

5 Unit Play. Take #107 UTEP Miners over Sam Houston State Bearkats (8p.m., Wednesday, October 24 ESPN2) Just feel the wrong team is favored in this game and we will take the points with the team that has actually won games this season. UTEP won both of the previous meetings with Sam Houston State and is the must better offensive team. The Bearkats cannot run the football whatsoever and losing all these close games will eventually take its toll on them. Whoever runs the football better should win this game and look for that to be the Miners. 

10 Unit Play. Take #472 Philadelphia Eagles over Miami Dolphins (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 17 NBC) The Eagles suffered their first loss of the season on Sunday against the Jets. Expect them to bounce back in a big way tonight at home against the Dolphins, a team that has been beating up on bad team this season. Miami laid an egg against the only tough team they played this season in Buffalo, losing by 28 points on the road. The Eagles will be the best defense that they have faced in 2023 and look for them to go on another long winning streak similar to what they did in 2022. After the Eagles lost their first game of the season to the Commanders last October, they went onto win their next 5 games. The weather will be cold and not pristine conditions like Miami likes. Philadelphia is 10-1 in their last 11 games against AFC teams that won in their previous week. The Eagles get back on track, take care of the football and win this game by double-digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #342 Florida State Seminoles over Duke Blue Devils (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 21 ABC) Duke winning last week was fools gold, as the stats were terrible. Now they face a team that they have never beaten in Florida State, as they are 0-21 straight-up against them and have not covered the spread against them since 2004. QB Leonard may be back for this game, but it will not matter, as he will not be 100% and the Seminoles will win this game by over 20 points.

4 Unit Play. Take #323 Pittsburgh Panthers over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 21 ACCN) Wake Forest is a sinking ship and will enter this game having lost 3 straight conference games. Pittsburgh picked up their best win of the season last week against Louisville and expect them to follow that up with another victory on Saturday. The Demon Deacons benched their quarterback last week and were outgained by 200 yards last week against Virginia Tech. Pittsburgh has the coaching advantage and will get back closer to bowl eligibility with another victory on Saturday.

10 Unit Play. Take #326 Ohio State Buckeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (12p.m., Saturday, October 21 FOX) Big 10 Game of the Year. Getting Ohio State playing at the Horseshoe at this line does not happen very often. Penn State has looked impressive this season, but they have not played anyone of significance and will not be battle tested for this game. Many people have been critical of Ohio State QB McCord, but he has an 11-1 touchdown to interception ratio and Penn State does not have a veteran quarterback either. Penn State has lost 10 of their last 11 games to Ohio State including 6 games in a row. The Lions have not gotten many explosive plays this season and they will need a bunch in order to beat Ohio State. Coach Franklin does not win many road games against elite teams and Saturday should be no different. DC Manny Diaz never seems to live up to the hype and I always like fading him in big spots. Ohio State has great wide receivers and many of their running backs should be back for this game. The Buckeyes have improved greatly on defense and Penn State has not seen a unit this strong yet this season. Ohio State is accustomed to winning these type of games and Penn State once again in not in that class to knock off big teams in true road games. Penn State is on a monster ATS run but I look for that to end on Saturday, as Ohio State wins this game by double-digits.  

4 Unit Play. Take #275 New York Giants over Buffalo Bills (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 15 NBC) Buffalo is at home by they played in London last Sunday and thus I expect New York to keep this game in single digits. The Bills are really banged up on defense with injuries seemingly at every position. The Giants made some plays on defense against Miami and if they do that again they should be able to keep this game close. Sooner or later the Giants coaching staff will figure out a plan to move the football with Danny Jones.

4 Unit Play. Take #258 Cincinnati Bengals over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 15 FOX) Cincinnati put together a complete game last week and look for them to even up their record with a home win against Seattle on Sunday. I am not still sold on the Seahawks being a top team in the NFC and feel the offensive weapons for Cincinnati are much greater than that of Seattle. The Bengals are 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 home games and 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against NFC teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #264 Jacksonville Jaguars over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, October 15 CBS) The Colts put their quarterback on IR on Wednesday and look for Jacksonville to take advantage of one of their few home games to open the season. Jacksonville already lost to the Texans at home this season and cannot afford another home loss to an AFC South team. Jacksonville won earlier this season in Indianapolis and look for them to take control of the division with a win on Sunday.

10 Unit Play. Take #190 Oregon State Beavers over UCLA Bruins (8p.m., Saturday, October 14 FOX) We went against UCLA at the Rose Bowl last week and were a tough luck loser, as Wazzou offense played terribly in the second half. Now that makes this play at Oregon State much stronger in favor of the Beavers. Oregon State is 14-1 ATS in their last 15 home games. They have already beaten Utah at home, and they have a similar quarterback situation that UCLA does (freshman on the road). The Beavers are on a rampage and want to knock off all the teams leaving the conference next season. The fan base is that much more motivated, especially when playing UCLA, a team that started the dominos falling. UCLA has a strong defense, but they will not be able to win that game on defense alone. Oregon State is the best team that have played thus far, and they will not be up to the challenge.

4 Unit Play. Take #136 Kentucky Wildcats over Missouri Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 14 SECN) Both teams are coming off their first loss of the season. Kentucky was blown out by Georgia and thus I think it will be easier for them to bounce back in this game. The Wildcats have dominated this series, winning 7 of the 8 games (6-2 ATS). Missouri had a brutal loss and cover last week against LSU and I see losing two straight, as this game is a night game in Lexington. Missouri has not played in a hostile environment this season and look for that to have an effect. Lay the points with the home team.

4 Unit Play. Take #186 Nevada Wolf Pack over UNLV Rebels (5p.m., Saturday, October 14 NSN) The Wolf Pack carry the nations longest losing streak, but this rivalry has seen many upsets of late. Nevada has covered the spread in 3 straight games in this series. UNLV is 5-0 ATS this season and that usually evens out over 12 games. Nevada has been playing better football of late and will enter this game on a 3-0 ATS run. Getting this many points with a home underdog is too good to pass up.

10 Unit Play. Take #475 Green Bay Packers over Las Vegas Raiders (8:15p.m., Monday, October 9 ESPN) Just not a fan of the Raiders this season with their coach/quarterback combination. They are coming off 3 straight defeats and the last two were against teams that might not even make the playoffs. Green Bay is a better team that what their 2-2 record indicates and do not want to fall below .500 with this young quarterback. The Packers will have a huge crowd in Las Vegas for this game and expect no home field advantage for the Raiders. Josh McDaniels can only beat the Broncos, as they struggled against every other team. The Packers have beaten the Raiders 8 straight games.

4 Unit Play. Take #474 San Francisco 49ers over Dallas Cowboys (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 8 NBC) Dallas just does not beat San Francisco and we will lay the points with the home team on Sunday Night Football. San Francisco is 12-1 in their last 13 home games when they are the favorite. The 49ers have also won 14 regular season games in a row. If San Francisco does not beat themselves in this game, they will win it by double digits. Dallas has some great flashes, but under Coach McCarthy they cannot be trusted in big games against better teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #451 Jacksonville Jaguars over Buffalo Bills (9:30a.m., Sunday, October 8 NFLN) Always like backing the Jaguars in London. Buffalo is coming off a dominating game against a division opponent and look for there to be a letdown for them in this game. They are the home team and that will frustrate their rapid fan base and allow Jacksonville to cover the spread. Sooner or later, Trevor Lawrence is going to have a breakout game and I look for it to come on Sunday. Jacksonville takes this game down to the wire and we collect with whoever comes out on top.

4 Unit Play. Take #356 Ohio Bobcats over Kent State Golden Flashes (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 7 ESPN+) The Bobcats have been a covering machine the last two years going 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games. The Golden Flashes are 1-4 on the season and their only win came against FCS Central Connecticut. Their other four games have been losses by 50, 22, 43, and 20 points. Ohio has revenge in this game having lost their last two games against Kent State. Ohio is coming off a bye and will be healthy and rested to blow out Kent State. We will lay the wood with the home team.

4 Unit Play. Take #394 Texas A&M Aggies over Alabama Crimson Tide (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 7 CBS) Never like to fade Nick Saben especially with Jimbo Fisher on the other side, but this is more about Alabama really struggling on offense this season. Coach Fisher gets up for this game, and a victory today can get some of the fan base off of his back. A&M has not been as talented as Alabama the last few years, yet this game played them well. Look for the Aggies to shutdown the running quarterback and make them beat them through the air with long sustained drives. A&M has a wizard as offensive coordinator, and they will have some wrinkles that Alabama has yet to see. Grab the points with the more talented offensive team at home.

4 Unit Play. Take #379 Washington State Cougars over UCLA Bruins (3p.m., Saturday, October 7 P12N) Just feel the wrong team is favored in this game. Washington State has the better resume and they are on an us against the world type of run that we will back on Saturday. Their future is still unclear but the talent level in this game, especially on offense sides with the visitor. UCLA got exposed by Utah and they hardily get a home field advantage playing at the Rose Bowl. UCLA is starting a freshman quarterback and Wazzou has a major edge with Cam Ward behind center. The Cougars continues to make noise and getting them as a dog in this game is too good to pass up.

4 Unit Play. Take #280 New York Giants over Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Monday, October 2 ABC) The Giants are back from their west coast road trip with extra rest for this Monday Night Football game against the Seahawks. New York has been behind double-digits in each of their 3 games and that needs to change on Monday. They must start better and a 12-2 record when coming off a Thursday night is a positive sign. The Giants need this game with Buffalo and Miami on deck and they will get it in a grind out fashion.  

2 Unit Play. Take #263 Los Angeles Rams over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, October 1 FOX) The Colts are coming off a fortunate win at Baltimore last week, and I just do not believe they can handle prosperity. They will likely have quarterback issues all season long, and the Rams are the more stable team with recent success. The Colts have lost 3 straight games to the Rams. Los Angeles has weapons to utilize this season, and this is an important win for them to avoid falling too far behind San Francisco in the standings. The Marshall Faulk bowl will go the way of the Rams.

4 Unit Play. Take #201 LSU Tigers over Ole Miss Rebels (6p.m., Saturday, September 30 ESPN) We went against Ole Miss last week and won by a touchdown over the posted number. We will do that again, as I just do not believe they are great on either side of the football. LSU has a much better offense compared to Alabama and they cannot afford another loss with a brutal schedule awaiting them. The Bayou Bengals were in a battle last week with Arkansas, but I never felt they were going to lose that game in the second half. They put up 34 points with ease and expect them to do the same this week against Ole Miss. The Rebels finally played a decent team and failed that test with flying colors last week. Look for Lane Kiffin and company to fall to 3-2 overall Saturday night. 

4 Unit Play. Take #164 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Michigan Wolverines (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 30 FOX) Michigan continues to play an embarrassing nonconference schedule with cupcakes at home. This is the first road game of the season and I look for Nebraska to keep this one somewhat close. Michigan is not as strong as they have been the last two years and Nebraska should get better as the season progresses. Nebraska has been running the football of late and if they can do that on Saturday, they will be able to control the clock and keep the scoring low. Michigan has struggled to cover the spread this season and playing on the road should keep that streak going.

7 Unit Play. Take #181 Illinois Fighting Illini over Purdue Boilermakers (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 28 Peacock) TOP NCAA PLAY OF THE WEEK The Illini has been bad this season and they are 0-4 ATS, but I refuse to believe they are as bad as they have looked. They were a strong team in 2022 with an identity of a strong running game and great defense, and they should be able to find that form in this game. Purdue is in a complete rebuild under a new coaching staff and they have already lost three home games this season. The Boilermakers opened as a favorite, but that line is moving towards the Illini -- with good reason. Illinois has revenge on their minds after losing to Purdue last year, and I like to back Bret Bielema in grind out games like this one likely will be. Purdue is 3-13 in their last 16 games when opening as a home favorite. Turnovers have killed Illinois this season, but if they take care of the football, they should win this game by double digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #102 Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (8:15p.m., Thursday, September 27 Prime) The Packers are getting healthy and Jordan love should have many more weapons available for this game than he has had in the first 3 weeks. Green Bay does not lose to Detroit often at Lambeau Field, but they did last year and thus we kept out of the playoffs. Green Bay played well in the second half against a better defense than what they will face on Thursday in Detroit. Getting points with the Packers is too good to pass up and we will side with the home team.

4 Unit Play. Take #460 Green Bay Packers over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, September 24 FOX) Just not a fan of Coach Dennis Allen and the New Orleans Saints. The Packers should get some offensive lineman back for this game and this is their first home game of the season. The Saints are off a short week and will be playing back-to-back road games. Coach LaFleur is 5-0 in his career when playing against undefeated teams. Green Bay is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 home openers. When good teams play in the NFL the team that needs it more generally gets it and the Packers certainly need it more.

4 Unit Play. Take #547 New England Patriots over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, September 24 CBS) The Patriots are just not the same team without Tom Brady, but they can still beat the Jets. New England has dominated this matchup, winning 14 straight games and going 10-4 ATS during this span. Their average margin of victory is 18 points in the last 14 wins they have had against New York. The Patriots lost two home games to open the 2023 season, but they were competitive in both games with a chance late. They will dominate this game for 60 minutes.

4 Unit Play. Take #420 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders over Colorado State Rams (7p.m., Saturday, September 23 ESPN+) This is a tough ask for the Rams, as they will be playing their second straight road game and should have beaten Colorado last night out. That game in Boulder did not end until after midnight and I just believe that they are gassed and will not have anything left for this game. The Blue Raiders won 8 games last year and one of those wins came in Fort Collins by 15 points. They opened the season with two paycheck games against SEC teams and took Missouri to the wire, a team that just beat Kansas State. If MSTU plays well on offense, they will win this game by double digits. Look for that to happen, especially since the Rams are in a prime letdown spot.

10 Unit Play. Take #394 Alabama Crimson Tide over Ole Miss Rebels (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 23 CBS) TOP NCAA PLAY OF THE WEEK Many pundits and fans are throwing dirt on the grave of Alabama and Nick Saban, but I am not one of them. They have major issues at quarterback, but I feel they will right the ship on Saturday and win this game by double digits. Nick Saban is not a fan of Lane Kiffin, and he is 28-3 lifetime when facing his former assistants. Ole Miss never has a strong defense and tries to win most of their games by outscoring their opponents. They have beaten Alabama once in the past 16 meetings, and they just do not have the depth of a Nick Saban team. This is the game that Alabama will right the ship, and getting them at home with less than a touchdown is too good to pass up. 

4 Unit Play. Take #286 Denver Broncos over Washington Commanders (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 17 CBS) The Broncos cannot afford to lose two straight games at home to open up the 2023 season. The Commanders did not look much better beating an Arizona team at home by just 4 points. That is a Cardinal team many people believe is tanking this season. The home team is this matchup has won 5 straight games and gone 4-1 ATS. QB Wilson is better than QB Howell and Denver will dig deep to win this game by double digits.

7 Unit Play. Take #176 Florida Gators over Tennessee Volunteers (7p.m., Saturday, September 16 ESPN) The SEC appears to be way down this season and giving this many points on the road is not a recipe for success. Florida has dominated this series, winning 16 of the last 18 matchups. Tennessee has not won in Gainesville since 2003. Tennessee was loaded last year and still only beat Florida by 5 points in 2022 and that game was in Knoxville. The underdog has dominated Florida games going 14-3 ATS in their last 17 lined games. This is a rivalry game and Florida should be motivated to put on a good show and get their coach and quarterback off the hot seat.

4 Unit Play. Take #156 Oregon State Beavers over San Diego State Aztecs (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 16 FS1) The Beavers and Cougars are wrecking havoc in the nonconference season, especially when play a conference they may be forced to join next season. Oregon State has pounded opponents in two straight games giving up only 24 combined points in those affairs. The Aztecs played a home game last week against UCLA and gave up 550 totals yards of offense. This Beavers team is better on both sides of the play than UCLA and they are at home for this game. Oregon State is on an 8-0 ATS run, and San Diego State is never a strong team on offense under Brady Hoke. Lay the wood in this game.

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #110 Maryland Terrapins over Virginia Cavilers (Friday, September 15 FS1) Maryland came out flat last week against before turning it on in the second half. Look for that to carryover into this game against a deflated team that is a power 5 team in name only. Virginia should have beaten James Madison last week but fell apart in the fourth quarterback being outscored 12-0 to lose by a point. Now they travel north to play an old rival and expect Maryland to win this game by 20+ points. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring plays in MLB, NFL, NCAAF, WNBA, and more. We nailed 3 top plays over the weekend and now is the time to jump on board with a veteran handicapper that has been in business since 1971!

2 Unit Play. Take #103 Minnesota Vikings over Philadelphia Eagles (8:15p.m., Thursday, September 14 Prime) Everyone expected regression from the Vikings this season, as they won a ton of close games in 2022. We only need a close game tonight to win money and do not expect a blowout. Philadelphia did not look good last week and losing both coordinators from their Super Bowl team in 2022 may have caught up with them.

4 Unit Play. Take #480 New York Giants over Dallas Cowboys (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 10 NBC) The Giants have been terrible in the division of late, but I feel Dallas is once again overvalued and we will grab the points. New York finished last season strong covering the spread in 6 of their final 7 games. The Giants had a good draft on paper and Dallas lost their offensive coordinator from last season. Just do not believe Dallas is going to come into MetLife Stadium on Sunday Night Football and blowout the home team.

4 Unit Play. Take #466 Pittsburgh Steelers over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, September 10 FOX) Mike Tomlin just wins games and I will ride him in the opener against a suspect team in San Francisco. I am not sold on the 49ers quarterback situation and actually feel Pittsburgh is in better shape with Kenny Pickett under center. The Steelers went 4-1 ATS against NFC teams in 2022. Nick Bosa is still unsigned and I am not expecting much from him if he decides to show up. That is a major loss for the 49ers defense and they are just not the same team without him. Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games as a home underdog.

4 Unit Play. Take Maryland Terrapins over Charlotte 49ers (7:30p.m., Saturday, September 9 NBC) Maryland usually beats up on teams in nonconference play and tonight should be no different. Chalotte is an inexperienced team in 2023 with a ton of transfer but that does not mean they are talented transfers that were sought out by other teams. The 49ers were terrible on defense last year and look for Taulia Tagovailoa to pick apart this team for 60 minutes.

4 Unit Play. Take #384 Alabama Crimson Tide over Texas Longhorns (7p.m., Saturday, September 9 ESPN) Alabama has been hearing all summer long how they are not the same dominating team as they were in the past and Georgia has clearly surpassed them. Texas did not look good on offense early and I believe Alabama will dominate the line of scrimmage in this game. The Crimson Tide are 13-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 nonconference games against Power 5 teams. This is a coaching mismatch and Coach Sark is 0-3 ATS when he is a road underdog while at Texas. The Longhorns played well last season against Alabama and still lost and I see them losing by double digits tonight in Tuscaloosa.

3 Unit Play. Take #194 Colorado State Rams over Washington State Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, September 2 CBBSN) The Rams need/should be better in 2023 under Jay Norvell in his second season. Washington State has been told all summer that they are not wanted and eventually that will take its toll on this team. They also host Wisconsin on deck, so there could be a look ahead factor in this game. Coach Norvell is 9-3 ATS as a home underdog in his coaching career. They return starters on both sides of the football and they should be much better on offense in year two of this system. Look for both team to feel each other out early in this game and if it is lower scoring, that should benefit the double-digit underdog.

2 Unit Play. Take #304 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs over FIU Golden Panthers (9p.m., Saturday, August 26 CBSSN) Generally the public does well with early season games in college football and we will follow the line movement and back the home favorite. The Golden Panthers got blown out in 4 of their 5 road games last year losing them by 29, 73, 38, and 34 points (they did beat NMSU). Sonny Cumbie is an offensive coach that should be able to pick apart this FIU team and light up the scoreboard. The Bulldogs have covered the spread in 5 straight home games.

10 Unit Play. Take #101 Kansas City Chiefs over Philadelphia Eagles (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 12 FOX) All the talk is about the Eagles dominate run to reach the Super Bowl, but the odds makers are having no part of that. They have kept this game as a pick’em and I believe that the books wants Philadelphia money in this game. I believe that the difference in this game will come down to experience, something Kansas City has a major edge in at the quarterback and head coaching positions. Jalen Hurts did not throw the ball well in the conference championship and if the Chiefs can contain the rushing attack and make him beat them they should be in a good shape. Philadelphia has had a cake walk to reach the Super Bowl and just are not as battle tested as Kansas City is. Philadelphia is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Andy Reid earns his second Super Bowl victory, and this is one bittersweet coming against his former team. 

10 Unit Play. Take #323 Cincinnati Bengals over Kansas City Chiefs (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 29 CBS) Everyone is on the Bengals, which is sometimes a scary proposition, but as the games dwindle down, the public usually gets the big games correct. The Chiefs opened up as a favorite, but the wise guys and public were having no part of that. Cincinnati is now favored and the line during the week keeps going up. Joe Burrow has beaten Kansas City all three times in his career including earlier this season. The Chiefs are 1-8 (ATS) 1 push in their last 10 home games. The Bengals have won 10 straight games and will earn another trip to the Super Bowl on Sunday. Cincinnati has offensive line issues, but that was not a factor last week in Buffalo. Kansas City has quarterback issues with Patrick Mahomes suffering a high ankle sprain against Jacksonville last time out. He will play but I expect the injury to be worse this week compared to last week. Cincinnati is 13-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Joe Cool advances as we ride the public and the hot hand.

10 Unit Play. Take #318 San Francisco 49ers over Dallas Cowboys (6:30p.m., Sunday, January 22 FOX) The Cowboys played great last week against the Buccaneers, but I just do not believe they can follow that up with a second straight road victory. San Francisco has won 11 games in a row and have two extra days to prepare for this game. They have also covered the spread in 12 of their last 14 home games. Brock Purdy has been up to the challenge thus far and feel he will be playing with a lead most of this game. QB Prescott just had not been very consistent this season and playing his fourth straight road game will be too much to overcome. Dallas is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played in January. San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 divisional playoff games.

4 Unit Play. Take #303 New York Giants over Philadelphia Eagles (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 21 FOX) The Giants got a lot of confidence last week playing against the Vikings and look for that to carryover into this game. They also have momentum and Philadelphia has not looked the same since Jalen Hurts when down with an injury. New York has covered the spread in 14 of their last 18 games this year and our 10 of 12 ATS when they are an underdog (6 straight-up wins). This is a divisional game and I expect it to go down to the wire. We will come out on top with whoever wins this close game by taking the Giants.

10 Unit Play. Take #152 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Dallas Cowboys (8:15p.m., Monday, January 16 ABC) Do not trust either coach in this game, but I do trust the greatest quarterback of all time. Dallas has not played well on offense of later, struggling to run the football and turning over the ball at an alarming clip. Tom Brady is 7-0 in his career against Dallas. Tampa Bay won the first meeting this season by a score of 19-3 and that was in Dallas. The Cowboys do not play well on grass and it showed last week in Washington and will show this week in Tampa.

4 Unit Play. Take #147 New York Giants over Minnesota Vikings (4:40p.m., Sunday, January 15 FOX) The Vikings metrics do not align with their 13-4 record. This team has been very fortunate in close games all season long and I look for that even out in this game. Minnesota is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games this season. Minnesota has a bad defense and look for New York to be able to move the football through the air and ground in this game. The Vikings have had only two double digit victories this season and I don’t really count the last one taking place last week against the Bears. The road team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 games between New York and Minnesota. The Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. Take #460 Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (8:20p.m., Sunday, January 8 NBC) This line may change depending on the results of the Seahawks game taking place earlier in the day. Either way, I expect the Lions to play to win, but that is not something they have done very often at Lambeau Field over the last 4 decades. Detroit has won only 3 times at Green Bay since 1992. The Packers know that they just have to win, and they will earn the No. 7 seed in the playoffs and a likely trip to the Bay Area next week. The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 games between Green Bay and Detroit. The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games.

10 Unit Play. Take #470 Denver Broncos over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 8 CBS) Denver has gotten clarity on their coaching situation and they played better last week. The Chargers do not have much to play for in this game and would not be surprised if they rest a few of their starters. Denver has won 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams and all 4 of those victories came as an underdog. The Broncos are 3-0 straight-up (3-0 ATS) as well in the last 3 games against the Chargers played in Denver. QB Wilson wants to finish the season on a high note and look for that to occur on Sunday.

10 Unit Play. Take #277 Mississippi State Bulldogs over Illinois Fighting Illini (11a.m., Monday, January 2 ESPN2) ReliaQuest Bowl. Bowl Game of the Year. Just feel Mississippi State wants to send out the pirate with a win. The Bulldogs have most of their key players and have promoted from within to take over for Mike Leach next season. Mississippi State is making their 13th straight bowl appearance and I feel that Illinois got exposed during the second half of the season. They lost 3 of their last 4 games including two home games against so-so teams in Michigan State and Purdue. The Illini have a strong defense, but their competition was not of SEC caliber offenses, and they will be without CB Witherspoon for this game. The Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win in their previous game. The Fighting Illini are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Expect a low scoring game that the Bulldogs win straight-up and end the Mike Leach era on a positive note.

10 Unit Play. Take #128 Green Bay over Minnesota (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 1 CBS) The Packers continue to win games of late. We expect them to run the table and make the playoffs. Minnesota has already clinched the division and they luck in one score games continues to be impressive. When they lose, they seem to lose big and that is what we are looking for on Sunday afternoon. Minnesota is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings between Minnesota and Green Bay.

4 Unit Play. Take #124 Seattle Seahawks over New York Jets (4:05p.m., Sunday, January 1 FOX) The bettors continue to pound the Jets and it has not been paying any dividends of late. This team is terrible on offense, and I do not believe Mike White will be able to save them in this game. Seattle is in freefall as well, but they have been going up against some good teams and I feel they are better than their recent play indicates. The Jets had their chance last Thursday, when they were favored at home against Jacksonville with weather playing a role. Seattle is 10-0 ATS in their last 10 home games when coming off back-to-back underdog losses. Seattle has won 4 straight games against New York (4-0 ATS as well). Geno Smith gets revenge as the Hawks get a much-needed victory at home.  

4 Unit Play. Take #118 New England Patriots over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, January 1 CBS) Teddy Bridgewater is back trying to resurrect the struggling Dolphins. I do not see them playing well in this cold weather game in Foxboro on Sunday. Miami has lost 4 straight games, and this will be their 4th road game in their last 5 games. The Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.

4 Unit Play. Take #276 TCU Horned Frogs over Michigan Wolverines (4p.m., Saturday, December 31 ESPN) Not many people are giving TCU a chance in this game after they lost to Kansas State in the Big 12 Championship Game. I feel they have the talent on both sides of the football to make this a competitive game for 60 minutes. TCU is a very veteran team with a ton of talent returning from last season and I really like their quarterback, Max Duggan. Coach Harbaugh does not have a great record in bowls at Michigan and if TCU can stabilize this game early expect panic for the favored Michigan to set in. Michigan is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. That includes going 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played in December. TCU is 9-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #244 Wisconsin Badgers over Oklahoma State Cowboys (10:15p.m., Tuesday, December 27 ESPN) We will follow the line movement in this game and side with the Badgers, favored by around a field goal. Both teams have a top of players out for this game including starting quarterbacks. Wisconsin has the better defense and running game. That should allow them to win this game by close to double digits. The Badgers have won 7 straight bowl games and went 5-1-1 ATS in those games. Oklahoma State is 1-4 straight-up in their last 5 games (1-4 ATS). This game may be ugly at times but expect the Badgers to win it and build towards the Luke Fickell era.  

4 Unit Play. Take #475 Green Bay Packers over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 25 CBS) These two teams seem to be heading in opposite directions. The Dolphins have lost three straight games and the Packers have won two straight games. Both teams do their damage against bad teams in the league, but the Packers offense is coming alive of late. Green Bay has won 4 of the last 5 games against Miami including a 19-point victory the last time these two teams met. The young wide receivers of the Packers are starting to make plays and Rodgers seems intent on running the table to finish out the regular season. Green Bay is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games played on grass. Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games against the Dolphins.

10 Unit Play. Take #473 Las Vegas Raiders over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:15p.m., Saturday, December 24 NFLN) The Mike Tomlin consecutive winning seasons will come to an end in 2022. The Raiders are the much more talented team on offense, and they will win this game straight-up. Just do not believe the Steelers have the weapons to exploit this suspect Raiders defense. The Raiders went into Pittsburgh last season and won by 9 points and expect a similar performance in this game. Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Pittsburgh. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Raiders and Steelers.

4 Unit Play. Take #459 Cincinnati Bengals over New England Patriots (1p.m., Saturday, December 24 CBS) Just too many weapons that Cincinnati has compared to New England. The Patriots do not have much confidence in Mac Jones, and he will be without his starting center for this game. Cincinnati dominated the second half against Tampa Bay last week and they will dominate some portion of this game as well. Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in December. New England is 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games played on Saturday. The fans have given up on the Patriots after their debacle last week and I do not see them being competitive in this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #231 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Missouri Tigers (6:30p.m., Friday, December 23 ESPN) Really like Sam Hartman and feel he can outscore Missouri and win this game. Wake Forest had a disappointing finish to the season losing 4 of their last 5 games, but it was not because of their offense. They struggled because of their pass defense and I am just not sure Missouri can take advantage of this. Wake Forest does better out of ACC play, covering the spread in 5 of their last 6 nonconference games. Missouri is 2-12 ATS in their last 12 games played during the month of December.

10 Unit Play. Take #328 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Cincinnati Bengals (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 18 CBS) Hard to take Tampa Bay after their showing last week in San Francisco, but this team is desperate and needs to win their remaining home games. The Bengals have been a covering machine this season, but now they are the hunted and giving points on the road is never easy. I still like the Tampa Bay defense better than the Cincinnati defense. The Bengals struggle to handle prosperity and the law of averages will bite them in this game. Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games against Cincinnati. The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between the Bengals and Bucs.

4 Unit Play. Take #321 Dallas Cowboys over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday, December 18 FOX) The Cowboys did not play well last week at home against Houston, but that gives us the value we need to make this a strong play. Jacksonville has lost 20 straight games against NFC teams. Dallas won the last meeting by a score of 40-7 and they will enter this game having won 4 straight games. The Cowboys are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games. Jacksonville is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games played in the month of December. Expect a big Dallas crowd for this game and they will see a double-digit victory for their team.

4 Unit Play. Take #206 Cincinnati Bearcats over Louisville Cardinals (11a.m., Saturday, December 16 ESPN) Both teams are without their head coach, but what makes this game interesting is that Louisville’s coach is now the head man at Cincinnati. Some may think that that will inspire the Louisville players, but with so many players sitting out this game, look for Coach Satterfield to give the Bearcats the edge. He knows the players and coaches at Louisville and that will give Cincinnati the edge. Both starting quarterbacks are out for this game, but I see the backup at Cincinnati playing better between the two. Cincinnati will look to run the football with their quarterback and running backs. Louisville is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.

4 Unit Play. Take #127 New England Patriots over Arizona Cardinals (8:15p.m., Monday, December 12 ESPN) This is a coaching mismatch and I feel New England does just enough this season to finish 9-8. In order to do that they must win this game, as Arizona is a sinking ship at the moment. The Patriots have beaten the Cardinals in 7 of the last 8 games. Arizona has lost 4 of their last 5 games and 10 of their last 11 home games. It might not be pretty, but the Patriots will find a way to win this game. New England is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home. Finally, the Cardinals are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Monday games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #122 Seattle Seahawks over Carolina Panthers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 11 FOX) The line is low considering the Hawks have a huge home field advantage and Carolina is finishing out the season with an interim coach. Seattle is 10-4 straight up against Carolina and that includes going 2-1 against them in the playoffs. The Panthers are 0-4 ATS the last 4 years following a bye week. Geno Smith continues to impress and if his defense can stop the run they will win this game by double-digits. Carolina is 2-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during the month of December. Seattle is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played during Week 14 of the regular season.

10 Unit Play. Take #101 Las Vegas Raiders over Los Angeles Rams (8:15p.m., Thursday, December 8 Amazon Prime) These two teams are heading in opposite directions, and I see a double digit victory for the visitor. The Raiders have won 3 straight games and played well last week against the Chargers, a game which was not as close as the final score would indicate. The Raiders have the much better offense with Derek Carr, Davonte Adams, and Josh Jacobs playing outstanding of late. The Rams are 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games as a home underdog. The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. Take #473 Kansas City Chiefs over Cincinnati Bengals (4:25 p.m., Sunday, December 4 CBS) Revenge will be served in Cincinnati on Sunday, as the Chiefs get payback from the Bengals knocking them out of the 2022 playoffs. Kansas City blew a 21-3 lead in that game, but that will not happen on Sunday. The Chiefs lead the NFL in scoring at close to 30 points per game. Kansas City also has a fourth quarter pass rush that should pay dividends in this game, especially if they are leading late. The Chiefs need to keep winning games to clinch the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC and the bye that comes with that. The Bengals are starting to get healthy, but the Chiefs are a well-oiled machine that is playing better than anyone in the league at this moment. Kansas City is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played during the month of December.

10 Unit Play. Take #465 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, December 4 FOX) NFL GAME OF THE YEAR The Packers are in freefall now having lost 7 of their last 8 games. But Aaron Rodgers and company own the Bears having beaten them in 12 of the last 13 meetings (10-3 ATS). Green Bay played their best game of the season against Chicago earlier this season. The Packers are 24-5 against the Bears in games Aaron Rodgers has started. The Bears are in worse shape injury wise compared to the Packers and I just do not believe Justin Fields can win this game by himself. The favorite is 20-8 ATS in the last 29 games between Green Bay and Chicago. That includes Green Bay going 23-7 ATS in the last 30 meetings and 18-5 ATS in the last 23 games at Soldier Field.

3 Unit Play. Take #307 Kansas State Wildcats over TCU Horned Frogs (12p.m., Saturday, December 3 ABC) Just do not feel TCU can win every close game in route to an undefeated season. This line is begging you to take the Frogs, but Kansas State has revenge in this game. The Wildcats are on a 3-0 ATS run winning by 48 combined points in those game over the posted number. K-State lost their quarterback in the first meeting, but the backup has been playing a lot recently and been good. The Wildcats have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games against the Horned Frogs.

3 Unit Play. Take #305 Utah Utes over USC Trojans (8p.m., Friday, December 2 FOX) The Trojans have a lot of the line in this game, as a win will vault them into the College Football Playoffs. The Utes travel well and it will not surprise me if they have a home crowd edge in Las Vegas for this game. USC is 0-3 ATS in the PAC-12 Championship Game and they already lost to Utah once this season. The Trojans still have a suspect defense and Utah has the edge at a variety of positions in this game. The underdog has covered the spread in 4 straight games between Utah and USC. Utah is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a victory in their previous game. USC is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Enough said, Utah is a backet buster for the college football playoffs in 2022/23.

10 Unit Play. Take #266 Seattle Seahawks over Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 27 CBS) Just have no confidence in the Raiders to win back-to-back road games. Seattle is coming off a bye after playing in London last time out against Tampa Bay. Look for them to come back strong on Sunday, as they are 3-1 at home this season. Seattle has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games and are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against AFC teams. The home team has covered the spread in 7 of the last 9 meetings between Las Vegas and Seattle.

4 Unit Play. Take #197 Nevada Wolf Pack over UNLV Rebels (6p.m., Saturday, November 26 MWN) The underdogs have dominated this rivalry played every year for the Freemont Cannon. UNLV lost their chance to become bowl eligible last week at Hawaii. Nevada has had a lost season as well and has had a few weeks to point towards this game, as it is all they have left to play for. The betting underdog has won 6 of the last 9 meetings straight-up. Look for this game to remain in single digits and thus we will cover this spread. UNLV just does not deserve to be this big of a favorite against anyone on the schedule.

4 Unit Play. Take #186 Wisconsin Badgers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 26 ESPN) The Battle for the Ax takes place Saturday afternoon at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, WI. Minnesota has not fared well against the better teams on their schedule. The Badgers want to win this game badly and then make Jim Leonard their permanent coach. Playing at home will be the difference in this game. Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. The Badgers take back the Ax and we collect in the process as well.

4 Unit Play. Take #137 Wyoming Cowboys over Fresno State Bulldogs (10p.m., Friday, November 25 FS1) The Bulldogs have already clinched a spot in the MWC Title Game at Boise next Saturday. They do not have any chance to be the group of 5 team to make a New Year’s Six Bowl and thus I just do not see the motivation for them in this game. Wyoming is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when they are a double-digit underdog. The road team has covered 4 of the last 5 games between the Cowboys and the Bulldogs. Finally, Wyoming is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games played on Friday.

4 Unit Play. Take #107 New York Giants over Dallas Cowboys (4:30p.m., Thursday, November 24 FOX) This is just a lot of points to be laying for a short week divisional game. The Giants have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games. The Cowboys have not performed well in this game in recent years losing 3 straight and two of them have come against bottom feeder teams this century in the Raiders and Commanders. The Giants are coming off a bad loss to the Lions last Sunday and Dallas played their best game of the season pounding Minnesota. Look for both teams to regress to the mean and this divisional matchup will go down to the wire.

4 Unit Play. Take #473 Cincinnati Bengals over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 20 CBS) This game was flexed out because of the Steelers. The Bengals have revenge on their minds after blowing their first meetings against the Steelers in embarrassing fashion. Just feel the Bengals are much better on offense and the Steelers will struggle to keep up with them on the scoreboard. Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Just do not believe this Pittsburgh team is good enough to beat Cincinnati twice in one season.

4 Unit Play. Take #394 Oregon Ducks over Utah Utes (10:30p.m., Saturday, November 19 ESPN) Just do not see Oregon losing back-to-back home games in conference play. They got burned by QB Penix last Saturday, but I just do not believe Utah has the same explosive offense that Washington does. Utah has not risen to the occasions on many big games this season, especially when they are playing on the road. Utah is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning home record. Oregon is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.

10 Unit Play. Take #398 Baylor Bears over TCU Horned Frogs (12p.m., Saturday, November 19 FOX) It end’s tonight! TCU’s magical season comes to an end on Saturday in Waco, TX. The Frogs are coming off an impressive win on Saturday at Texas and now must go on the road again to play Baylor. Back-to-Back road games is always a tough bill to overcome and this will be one of the best defenses they will face in 2022. The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games between TCU and Baylor. The Bears are 21-4 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 27 games following an ATS loss in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. Take #312 Green Bay Packers over Tennessee Titans (8:15p.m., Thursday, November 16 Amazon Prime) The Packers got a much-needed win last time out and now get to face a team decimated by injuries. Throw in the fact that this is a short week road game for Tennessee and expect Green Bay to win this game by close to double digits. The Packers have been running the football tremendous of late and if that continues, QB Rodgers will pick is spots with the deep ball. Tennessee is 8-21 ATS (1 push) in their last 30 road games against teams with a losing home record. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played on Thursday.

7 Unit Play. Take #307 Western Michigan Broncos +11 over Central Michigan Chippewas (8p.m., Wednesday, November 16 ESPNU) I refused to believe that Central Michigan can blowout Western Michigan with a freshman quarterback that struggles to throw the football. The Broncos need to stop his running ability and if they do that, they should be able to take this game down to the wire. The visitor has dominated this series winning 7 of the 9 last games and is a perfect 9-0 ATS. Look for the Broncos to keep the scoring low and that makes this a strong play with the double-digit underdog. Western Michigan is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played on Wednesdays. Central Michigan is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. This is a rivalry game and should be competitive.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports