4 Unit Play. Take #253 Buffalo Bills over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 CBS) People are not getting off the Browns bandwagon and it only took them going 2-6 to open the 2019 season. Buffalo has feasted on bad teams this season to produce a 6-2 record and win No. 7 will come this week against Cleveland. The Browns are 0-3 this season at home and they are in dysfunction with a head coach that appears to be in over his head and a quarterback that appears to be overrated. Getting points is just icing on the cake in this game. Cleveland is 5-21 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

4 Unit Play. #266 Take Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 FOX) Both teams are on life support but I just do not see the Chicago Bears losing 4 home games this season in their first 5 home games. Chicago usually plays well as a home favorite covering the spread in 8 of the 11 games in this situation. Detroit will be one dimensional in this game and expect QB Stafford to post yards in this game but not enough points to keep pace. Chicago is 8-1 ATS in their lasts 9 games against NFC North teams. The favorite is 3-0 ATS in the last 4 games between Detroit and Chicago. The Lions are 13-27 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 42 road games against teams with a losing home record.

10 Unit Play. Take #179 Tennessee Volunteers over Kentucky Wildcats (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 9 SECN) This is an important game for both team as the winner will likely reach bowl eligibility and the loser will struggle to win 6 games. Tennessee is 20-2 in their last 22 games against Kentucky (17-5 ATS). Tennessee will enter having won 2 straight games and covered the spread in 4 straight games. Kentucky is terrible on offense and I do not believe they can be one-dimensional in this game and beat Tennessee. The Volunteers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Lexington. Kentucky is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games played during the month of November.

4 Unit Play. Take #140 South Carolina Gamecocks over Appalachian State Mountaineers (7p.m., Saturday, November 9 ESPN2) The Mountaineers were riding high before they suffered a setback last week to Georgia Southern and basically saw their chances for a New Year’s Six Bowl Game vanish. Now they are on the road in a pay game against a team that is desperate for a victory to keep their slim chances of making a bowl game alive. This line is below a touchdown and we will use the team with better athletes. Will Muschamp is a so-so coach, but he did beat Georgia in Athens this season. South Carolina is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Sun Belt teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #142 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Penn State Nittany Lions (12p.m., Saturday, November 9 ABC) I just believe that most people are overvaluing this Penn State team and undervaluing this Minnesota team. Both teams are undefeated, and Penn State will be playing their second straight road game. Minnesota will be the best offense Penn State has faced all season long and this is the biggest home game in decades for Gophers. Just do not see them getting blown out in a 11 am local time start. Penn State struggled against Iowa and Michigan this year and I see this won going down to the wire and we will take the points. The home team is 3-1 ATS (2 pushes) in the last 6 meetings between Penn State and Minnesota. The Golden Gophers are 33-16 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 51 games played during the month of November.

4 Unit Play. Take #145 Purdue Boilermakers over Northwestern Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, November 9 BTN) This play basically comes down to Northwestern, and no bet against the Wildcats is a bad bet. Surprised Northwestern opened as the favorite, as they may be the worst offensive team in the country this season. We have had success with Purdue this year, using them as our Big 10 Top Play against Iowa and feel they will win this game by double-digits. Northwestern will never quit under Coach Fitzgerald, but reality has set in and they will be lucky to win 2 more games this season. The Wildcats have scored 6 total points in their last 3 games. Enough said!

4 Unit Play. Take #473 New England Patriots over Baltimore Ravens (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 3 NBC) An undefeated season seems like the only thing left for QB Brady and Coach Belickick to accomplish in their illustrious careers. The Patriots have a 189-point differential this season and should be able to cover this number tonight. QB Jackson will face the best defense he has ever seen in his young career and I do not believe the Patriots will allow him to beat them with his legs. New England is 46-19 ATS in their last 65 games. The road team is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in the 8 meetings between New England and Baltimore. Baltimore is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #471 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 3 CBS) This is a home game in name only for the Chargers, as the Packers will occupy most of the stands. LA is 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games when they are a home underdog. Still do not believe the Chargers can run the football against this Packer defense to open up the passing game for QB Rivers. Green Bay is 14-0 ATS in their last 14 games when playing their second straight road game against a non-divisional opponent under .500. QB Rodgers are getting better and that is scary for the Chargers and the rest of the league.

4 Unit Play. Take #467 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 3 FOX) Despite poor play from QB Jameis Winston the Buccaneers seem to play competitive games and we will grab the points in this game. Seattle has already lost 2 home games this season and they seem to play better on the road (undefeated). Seattle likes to run the football and that should play into the strength of the Buccaneers defense. Tampa Bay has covered the spread 4 straight times against Seattle. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #460 Kansas City Chiefs over Minnesota Vikings (1 p.m., Sunday, November 3 FOX) Just do not trust Kirk Cousins to consistently win big games as a starting quarterback. The Chiefs are desperate to win this game, having lost 3 home games already this season. The Vikings are 0-12 (1 push) outdoors against an opponent with a winning record. Minnesota is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. The home team is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 meetings between Minnesota and Kansas City.

4 Unit Play. Take #326 Take Indiana Hoosiers over Northwestern Wildcats (7p.m., Saturday, November 2 FS1) The Wildcats are having a miserable season and they just cannot move the football and score points on offense whatsoever. Indiana is quietly 6-2 on the season and they have a chance to win 8 games on the season. Northwestern has only been competitive in 1 game of late and if Indiana can score in the 30s they should be able to cover this spread as well. The home team has covered the spread in this series 5 of the last 7 meetings. Indiana has done well against bad teams going 5-1 in their last 6 home games against teams with a losing road record.

10 Unit Play. Take #372 Florida Gators over Georgia Bulldogs (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 2 CBS) Florida always has a big location advantage in this game since Jacksonville in much closer to Gainesville than is Athens. Georgia has not been playing well on offense of late and this is the best defense they will face to this point of the season. Florida has played well in all of their games this season and I do not see them getting blown out in this game. The Gators are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a bye week. Florida is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. Take #355 Marshall Thundering Herd over Rice Owls (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 2 Stadium) I though Rice was improving and, on their way, to recording a couple of wins this season but they just cannot get over the hump. Marshall controls their own destiny to winning the CUSA East and cannot afford a letup in this game. Rice is terrible on offense averaging 4.2 yards per play (125th in FBS). Marshall has won three straight games and generally beats the bottom feeder teams in the league. Rice is 5-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #385 Arkansas State Red Wolves over ULM Warhawks (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 2 ESPNU) The Red Wolves have dominated this match-up winning 9 straight games against the Warhawks (9-0 ATS). Both teams have been giving up yards on defense and expect Arkansas State to be able to move the football at will through the air. ULM is 7-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 home games. Arkansas State is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games played during the month of November.

4 Unit Play. Take #323 Michigan Wolverines over Indiana Hoosiers (12p.m., Saturday, November 2 ABC) Many teams in the Big 10 have thrown in the towel on the 2019 season and Maryland is one of those teams. They have just a win against Rutgers in their last 6 games and when they lose they tend to lose big. Michigan has beaten Maryland 4 straight times (4-0 ATS) winning the games by an average of 33 points. Michigan can relax now and should be able to run the table in their 3 games before they face Ohio State. Maryland is 7-17 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. This line opened at -17 and continues to rise but it is not enough.

10 Unit Play. Take #269 Carolina Panthers over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) Carolina has made the wise decision to continue to ride QB Kyle Allen, as he is 4-0 in starts this season (4-0 ATS). Carolina has beaten San Francisco 6 straight games (6-0 ATS) and they need this game more in order to keep pace with the New Orleans Saints in their division. Still not sold on the 49ers offense and if Carolina does not beat themselves, they should be able to take this game down to the wire. The Panthers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games in San Francisco and 14-3 in the last 17 meetings. These trends just cannot be ignored especially when they are getting this many points.

4 Unit Play. Take #254 Tennessee Titans over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) Both of these teams are hard to predict, but we won with Tennessee last week in miraculous fashion and will ride them again on Sunday for a second straight week. The Titans played well behind QB Tannehill and they have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games against NFC teams. QB Winston was terrible last time out with 6 turnovers. He will play better on Sunday, but Tennessee has some mojo at the moment. Tampa Bay is 1-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played in the month of October. Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Tampa Bay.

4 Unit Play. Take #261 Philadelphia Eagles over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) The stats do not point toward Philadelphia in this game, but I believe they will play well in an effort to save their season. Buffalo did not play well against the worst team in the league last Sunday and now they face a much more talented team. The Eagles are 14-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games against the AFC. If the Eagles can stabilize the game early, they should be able to win it straight-up. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo has played an easy schedule thus far and Philadelphia is desperate for a victory in upstate New York.

4 Unit Play. Take #272 Indianapolis Colts over Denver Broncos (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 CBS) No bet against Denver is a bad bet. Denver played terrible at home last time out against a back-up quarterback. QB Joe Flacco is washed up and the Denver defense is not what is once was. Indianapolis has covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games. Denver has covered the spread in just 2 of their last 11 games. The Colts will jump on the Broncos early and expect Denver to then just throw in the towel if things to not go their way early. Denver is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss in their previous games. Indianapolis is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against AFC teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #145 Utah State Aggies over Air Force Falcons (10:15p.m., Saturday, October 26 ESPN2) Utah State has better talent than Air Force on both sides of the football. If QB Jordan Love could have play to his potential, this is a team that can do damage and possible win the MWC. The Aggies are 4-2 on the season with both of their losses coming against Power 5 teams in the deep south. Air Force is not as strong as their record would indicate, as their schedule has yet to really test them. They should not be favored in this game against a defensive minded coach that will be able to stop the triple option. Air Force is 7-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 MWC games. Utah State is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games.

10 Unit Play. Take #207 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Michigan Wolverines (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 26 ABC) Still cannot believe that Michigan opened as the favorite in this game. The Wolverines do not win games against top 10 teams and they are not great on either side of the football. Notre Dame still has a chance to make the College Football Playoff if they can win out and they should be able to win in Ann Arbor against a team that lacks confidence. The fan base will turn on Michigan if things do not go well early. If just seems that Coach Harbaugh cannot win these type of games. Notre Dame 7-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Michigan is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. The underdog is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 games between the Fighting Irish and the Wolverines.

4 Unit Play. Take #118 Tulsa Golden Hurricane over Memphis Tigers (7p.m., Saturday, October 26 CBSSN) This is a classic look ahead game for the Tigers, as they have undefeated SMU on deck. The Golden Hurricane have played better than what they record would indicate. They were competitive against SMU and Cincinnati, the top teams in the AAC. Tulsa is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. Expect them to keep this game in single digits and we will collect with the underdog.

4 Unit Play. Take #187 Texas Longhorns over TCU Horned Frogs (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 26 FOX) Just do not believe TCU has the talent to complete and outscore Texas in this game. The Frogs have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are just 3-3 on the season despite an easy schedule that gets much tougher. Texas did not play well last week against Kansas, but it is easy to just go through the motions against a bottom feeder team. That performance gave us value in this game with. Texas is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during the month of October. TCU is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games. The Gary Patterson magic has faded and he is still getting too much respect for the oddsmakers.

4 Unit Play. Take #132 Northwestern Wildcats over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Saturday, October 26 ESPN2) Northwestern does not have the team speed to stay with Ohio State, but they can take this game down to the wire in Evanston against Iowa. Northwestern is 3-0 straight-up (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 games against Iowa. The underdog in Wildcat games is 16-4 ATS (1 push) in the last 21 games. We went against Iowa as our Big 10 Top Play last week and we fade them again expecting another victory. Northwestern is 22-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 31 Big 10 games. Iowa is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games played on grass.

10 Unit Play. Take Tennessee Titans over Los Angeles Chargers (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 20 CBS) We went against both of these teams last week and easily won both games. That being said the Chargers have no offensive line and were destroyed by a free agent quarterback last week in Devlin Hodges. Having no home field advantage is starting to take its toll on this team. It does not matter who starts for Tennessee at quarterback in this game, the Titans defense should dominate and win this game. Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games overall. The favorite is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 9 games between the Chargers and Titans.

4 Unit Play. Take #452 New York Giants over Arizona Cardinals (1p.m., Sunday, October 20 FOX) This is a match-up of the top two quarterbacks taken in the 2019 NFL Draft. The Cardinals do not play well when traveling east, as they are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games in the eastern time zone. The Giants defense have been playing better of late and this will be the weakest offensive team they have faced in their last 3 games. QB Jones should come out better with extra rest for this home game against a weak defense. The Giants are 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Arizona is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games played during Week 7 of the regular season.

4 Unit Play. Take #460 Green Bay Packers over Oakland Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, October 20 CBS) The Packers did not start out fast last time out but still won the game (with some help from the officials). Expect them to play a much more complete game for 60 minutes in this game against the Raiders. Just do not trust QB Derek Carr to consistently win games. They nearly fell apart last game against Chicago when a botched handoff completely turned that game around. The Raiders are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games against NFC teams. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in this series and the Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Raiders.

4 Unit Play. Take #465 San Francisco 49ers over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, October 20 FOX) The Redskins beat a team worse than them last week in the Dolphins, but now must face the best team in the NFC. Washington has now home field advantage and Kyle Shanahan may have an ax to grind, as he was a coach under Washington for his father Mike Shanahan. Washington is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. This one could get ugly early and expect the 49ers to win this game going away.

4 Unit Play. Take #348 Eastern Michigan Eagles over Western Michigan Broncos (7p.m., Saturday, October 19 ESPN+) The Eagles have not beaten the Broncos is recent years but they are 2-0 (1 push) in the last 3 meetings against the spread. The Eagles must win this game to make a bowl game and expect them to go all out at home against an in-state rival. Western Michigan is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Eastern Michigan is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games against teams with a winning record.

4 Unit Play. Take #415 Rice Owls over UTSA Road Runners (6p.m., Saturday, October 19 ESPN3) An 0-6 teams being favored on the road against a 2-4 team tells you all you need to know about this game. Rice played well in a marathon game against UAB two weeks ago (two weather delays) and they will notch their first win of the season tonight in San Antonio. If Rice can prevent the big plays and make UTSA drive the length of the field they will be in good shape. UTSA is 2-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 home games. Rice is 21-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 30 games against teams with a losing record.

 4 Unit Play. Take #398 Virginia Tech Hokies over North Carolina Tar Heels (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 19 ACCNX) Just do not believe North Carolina should be favored in this game on the road. Virginia Tech has won two straight games and beaten North Carolina 3 straight times. The Tar Heels played well against Clemson, but they enter having lost 3 of their last 4 games and they will struggle to become bowl eligible this season. Virginia Tech is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against North Carolina.

10 Unit Play. Take Purdue Boilermakers over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Saturday, October 19 ESPN2) BIG 10 TOP PLAY These two teams are heading in opposite directions and I just do not believe Iowa should be this big of a favorite. Purdue has righted the ship after losing their quarterback and they dominated Maryland last week in impressive fashion. Purdue has beaten Iowa two straight games and the visitor has dominated this series going 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Iowa is not explosive on offense and Purdue has played well in their last 7 quarters (last 3 against Penn State). Purdue was shell shocked early by Penn State but held their own after the first quarter and got a pass rush against them. Iowa is coming off back-to-back losses and have seen their hopes for a Big 10 Title Game appearance all but vanish. Iowa is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games. Purdue is 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games.

10 Unit Play. Take #276 Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (8:15p.m., Monday, October 14 ESPN) This line is short, and we will ride the Packers at home playing a team that they hardly lose against. Detroit has won 4 straight games in this series, but Green Bay has still won 28 of the last 38 meetings. Detroit has played well this season, but I just believe Green Bay is better on both sides of the football. Detroit is 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. The favorite is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings between the Lions and Packers.

4 Unit Play. Take #273 Pittsburgh Steelers over Los Angeles Chargers (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 13 NBC) The Steelers continue to battle despite having quarterback injuries and I see them taking this game down to the wire as well. The Chargers just cannot be trusted as a favorite, as they played poorly last week at home losing to the winless Broncos. Pittsburgh will have revenge on their minds in this game, as they blew a big lead to Los Angeles last year. They AFC North is still up for grabs and Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games when they are an underdog. Los Angeles is just 11-28 ATS (1 push) in their last 40 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #272 Denver Broncos over Tennessee Titans (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 1 CBS) Tennessee has been a tough team to figure out this season, as they have won both games when they are an underdog and lost all three games when they are favored. Denver could be 3-2 this season but they are 1-4. I do not see them losing three straight home games to open the season. The fans have soured on QB Mariota and I believe he will be replaced as a starter at some point this season. If they Denver defense can ever play up to its standards, this will be a tough that can be a tough out for AFC West teams. Denver has covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games against Tennessee. The Titans are 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 road games against teams with a losing home record.

4 Unit Play. Take #256 Cleveland Browns over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 1 FOX) The line has really swung as the Browns failed to show up against San Francisco on Monday Night Football. Instead of being a favorite, they are now an underdog and I expect them to bounce back in a big way at home against the Seahawks. The home team has covered 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 pushes). Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss in their previous game.

10 Unit Play. Take #152 Arizona Wildcats over Washington Huskies (11p.m., Saturday, October 12 FS1) The Huskies are overvalued this season and oddsmakers have yet to catch up with their current talent on the roster. The match-up has been dominated by the home team, as they have won 8 of the last 10 games (8-2 ATS). Washington has two bad losses on the season and Arizona will enter this game having won 4 straight games. Washington is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Arizona is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 home games. Both trends hold true tonight as Arizona wins this game straight-up.

4 Unit Play. Take #191 Army Black Knights over Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7p.m., Saturday, October 12 Stadium) The results of each team last week have given us value with Army. The Black Knights lost at Tulane and WKU beat Old Dominion. It is always hard to prepare for a triple option team with just a week of prep and I expect Army to dominate on the road and rack up over 300 yards rushing. Army is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. WKU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of October.

4 Unit Play. Take #182 Nevada Wolf Pack over San Jose State Spartans (4p.m., Saturday, October 12 ATTSN) The fans in Reno will get their wish with Malik Henry (Last Chance U) starting under center for the first time this season. This line has dropped early in the week and I believe San Jose State is getting too much respect. Nevada has won 14 of the last 16 games and the bye week came at a perfect time since they were blown out last time out against Hawaii. The Spartans will be playing their third road game in the last four game and that will doom in them. When the Spartans lose, they lose big and that is how I see this game going as well. Nevada is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against San Jose State when the game is in Reno.

4 Unit Play. Take #171 Cincinnati Bearcats over Houston Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 12 ESPN2) The line continues to move up. I bet it early (Sunday night), as these two teams are heading in opposite directions. Houston has thrown in the towel on the 2019 football season and Cincinnati has beaten them 5 of the last 7 meetings. Houston played well last week against North Texas but will get a major step-up in talent this week against Cincinnati. The Bearcats are 4-1 on the season with their only loss coming against Ohio State. They have covered this number in 3 of their 4 victories. Houston is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The road team is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 4 games between Cincinnati and Houston.

10 Unit Play. Take #473 Green Bay Packers over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 6 FOX) Green Bay has dominated this series in recent years covering the spread in 6 of the last 8 games against Dallas. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. QB Aaron Rodgers put up big numbers last week against Philadelphia but had trouble inside the 5 yard line and that bite them late in that game. Expect them to correct that this week and be able to take this game down to the wire. Dallas played an easy schedule to open the season and did not look well last week against New Orleans. Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. The Packers win this game straight-up giving us another victory with an underdog.

4 Unit Play. #452 Take Pittsburgh Steelers over Baltimore Ravens (1p.m., Sunday, October 6 CBS) Nobody is great in the AFC North and thus we will grab the points with the home team coming off a win on Monday Night Football. Pittsburgh is 11-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 home games when they are an underdog. The Ravens defense was been exposed and I just do not believe QB Lamar Jackson can make enough plays through the air to beat them. The Underdog has covered the spread in 7 of the last 9 meetings (1 push). Pittsburgh is 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 games played during the month of October.

4 Unit Play. #454 Take Oakland Raiders over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 6 FOX) The Bears are without their starting quarterback and I feel QB Chase Daniel can perform well again. The Raiders are coming off an impressive win at Indianapolis and we will grab the points with them in this London game. If Oakland can take care of the football and not allow the Bear’s defense to score points, they should be able to take this one down to the wire. LB Khalil Mack might be overhyped for this game against his former team and I just do not believe there is this much talent discrepancy. Expect a field goal game and we will collect with whoever comes out on top.

4 Unit Play. Take #460 New York Giants over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, October 6 FOX) We will ride the Daniel Jones train again for a second straight week. We used the Giants last week against the Redskins and that game was never in doubt and I expect them to perform well this week. The entire city has gotten behind this quarterback and that is a stark contrast to how Minnesota fans feel about Kirk Cousins. The Vikings were lifeless last week in Chicago and I do not see things getting any better this week in East Rutherford. The home team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings.

4 Unit Play. Take #353 Tulsa Golden Hurricanes over SMU Mustangs (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 5 ESPN U) The Mustangs are riding high at the moment and are ranked for the first time since the 1980s. They are overvalued at the moment and we will take the points in this game. Tulsa has won 4 of the last 5 meetings. The Golden Hurricanes are 2-2 and they do not have a bad loss this season losing just to Oklahoma State and Michigan State. Tulsa is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 road games. The Underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

10 Unit Play. Take #317 Texas Longhorns over West Virginia Mountaineers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 5 ABC) Just do not believe much in West Virginia this year. They have a new coach and system and will struggle to win any of their remaining games in the Big 12. For Texas to become elite again these are the type of games they must dominate. Texas lost at the buzzer last year to West Virginia and that revenge will allow them to win this game big. QB Kelly Bryant took apart this team winning 38-7 and I expect QB Sam Ehlinger to do the same. West Virginia is 7-22 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 31 home games against teams with a winning road record.

4 Unit Play. Take #320 Penn State Nittany Lions over Purdue Boilermakers (12p.m., Saturday, October 5 ESPN) This line is inflated with the results of last week, but Purdue is really banged up at the moment and they will not be able to overcome those injuries to keep this game under 30 points. Penn State exploded last week against Maryland and they have a coach that does not mind running up the score. Coach Jeff Brohm has got to be upset that he stayed at Purdue instead of taking the Maryland job. This Boilermaker team is going nowhere fast. Purdue is 3-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 meetings with Penn State. Purdue is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. Penn State is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #356 Take Michigan Wolverines over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Saturday, October 5 FOX) Everyone is off the Michigan bandwagon after how they have played early in the season. But they got right last week against Rutgers and will be able to beat Iowa by double-digits. Michigan has covered the spread in 5 of the last 8 games against Iowa. The Hawkeyes have played a weak schedule thus far and are not battle tested to win on the road against top teams in the conference. Iowa is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning home record.  

4 Unit Play. Take #272 Chicago Bears over Minnesota Vikings (4:25pm., Sunday, September 29 CBS) Just do not trust QB Kirk Cousins in big games. The Bears swept the Vikings last years and Minnesota is 0-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games when playing outdoors against teams with a winning record. Chicago got healthy and confident last week against Washington and they will win this game by 7-10 points.

10 Unit Play. Take #269 Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 29 FOX) The Seahawks came out flat last time out against a desperate Saints team. Now they face a much less talented Cardinals team that has an unproven coach and quarterback. Arizona got torched last week against Carolina and a back-up quarterback and now must face a pro bowler in Russell Wilson. Seattle is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games in Arizona. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Seattle is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Kliff Kingsbury appears to be in over his head, as he could not win consistently in college and will struggle to survive as a head coach in the NFL.

4 Unit Play. Take #263 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, September 29 CBS) QB Tom Brady is 30-3 in his last 33 games against Buffalo. Not much else needs to be said, but I just do not believe the Bills are ready to challenge the Patriots in the AFC East. Buffalo is improved but New England is still better on both sides of the football.

4 Unit Play. Take #256 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, September 29 FOX) The Giants have life and Washington is dead man walking. The Redskins have a lame duck coach and not much talent on either side of the football. The football Giants found a spark last week with Daniel Jones at quarterback and expect them to ride this out for the next couple of weeks. Not having RB Barkley will hurt, but there is just too much momentum going on with the Giants to not take them this week. New York is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. Washington is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against NFC teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #146 Utah Utes over Washington State Cougars (10p.m., Saturday, September 28 FS1) Both teams lost last week but I just feel Utah is a better all-around team compared to Washington State. Any team that cannot hold a 32-point lead is not worth a damn and I never believe in Mike Leach teams. The Utes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss. Utah was predicted to win the PAC-12 South and they get back on track with a double-digit win at home tonight.

10 Unit Play. Take #157 Kentucky Wildcats over South Carolina Gamecocks (7:30p.m., Saturday, September 28 SECN) The Will Muschamp Era is on life support. USC has yet to defeat a FBS team this year and they have been blown out in their 2 SEC games this year. Kentucky collapsed against Florida two weeks ago and there was a residual effect last week against Mississippi State. Expect them to bounce back in a big way on Saturday against a team they have dominated in recent years (6-0 ATS last 6 meetings). Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played during September.

4 Unit Play. Take #177 Cincinnati Bearcats over Marshall Thundering Herd (5p.m., Saturday, September 28 Facebook) Marshall has trouble stopping the run and Cincinnati is more battle tested. The Bearcats come from the AAC and they play much better competition that what Marshall sees from Conference USA. Marshall is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games. Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of September.

4 Unit Play. Take #126 Temple Owls over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 28 CBSSN) Nice setup here for a blowout despite Georgia Tech coming from a power conference. Georgia Tech is a mess this year with players that are not used to running this offensive system. Temple gets to face their former coach and they will want to put it to him if they have the opportunity. Both teams laid an egg last time out with Temple losing to Buffalo and Georgia Tech losing to The Citadel. Temple is 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a loss in their previous game. Georgia Tech is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #488 Cleveland Browns over Los Angeles Rams (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 21 NBC) Many pundits are ready to jump on Cleveland whenever they fail, but they have talent and should not be an underdog in this game. The Rams will have to play 2 of their first 3 games in the eastern time zone and that travel will take its toll on them in this game. The Rams karma may catch up with them in this game, as they were the beneficiary of another blown call last week against the Saints. The Browns fans will be up for this prime time game and expect them to take care of business at home and move to 2-1 on the season. The Rams are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Week 3 games.

3 Unit Play. Take #480 Arizona Cardinals over Carolina Panthers (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 21 FOX) The Panthers are not very good, and they should not be favored by anyone on the road. QB Kyler Murray has held his own through two games this season and expect him to be able to move the football and put up points in this game as well. Carolina is 2-8 in their last 10 games overall and Cam Newton just does not look right. Arizona is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against NFC teams. Take the points in this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #470 Indianapolis Colts over Atlanta Falcons (1p.m., Sunday, September 21 CBS) This is the first home game for the Colts this season. Indianapolis is 1-1 and could have won both of their first two games in they did not have kicking issues. Atlanta has failed to cover the spread in 10 straight games against AFC teams. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The favorite has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between Atlanta and Indianapolis. QB Brissett threw 3 touchdowns last week and expect another solid performance from him today.

10 Unit Play. Take Detroit Lions over Philadelphia Eagles (1 p.m., Sunday, September 21 FOX) The Eagles are reeling now with a ton of injuries and did not have enough healthy bodies to practice on Wednesday. The Eagles have yet to look impressive this year, and now they face another solid quarterback that should be able to move the football on them. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Philadelphia. The Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take the points in this game as it will go down to the wire and be decided by a field goal.

4 Unit Play. Take #351 Colorado Buffaloes over Arizona State Sun Devils (10p.m., Saturday, September 21 PAC-12N) The Sun Devils are on cloud 9 now off a victory against Michigan State last Saturday. That being said they are not a strong team that can be laying this many points in conference games. Arizona State scored just 10 points in that victory and that will not consistently win games against decent competition. The Sun Devils beat the Spartans last year as well and then went on to lose two straight games. Colorado has played a tough schedule this far with all three games coming against rivals (Colorado State, Air Force, & Nebraska). They are 2-1 thus far with the lone loss coming against Air Force, a team that is tough to prepare for. They are determined to make a bowl game this year and they must show they can be competitive in these types of games and be able to take it down to the wire. Colorado beat Arizona State last year by 7 points. Arizona State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

3 Unit Play. Take #323 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Illinois Fighting Illini (8p.m., Saturday, September 21 BTN) Illinois is bottom feeder program in the Big 10 and Lovie Smith was a bad hire for a college coaching job. The bubble has burst after an impressive opening game against Akron. They barely beat UCONN and lost at home to Eastern Michigan. Nebraska is coming off their most impressive performance on the season and I feel this team will make some noise in the Big Ten West all season long. Illinois is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. Nebraska is 6-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 Big 10 games.

10 Unit Play. Take #379 SMU Mustangs over TCU Horned Frogs (3:30 p.m., Saturday, September 21 FS1) The Frogs are coming off a dominating performance last week against Purdue, but they will not have the good fortune of playing a back-up quarterback in this game. SMU can put up points this year, and TCU will have trouble keeping up with them. SMU needs to contain the running game of TCU and force them to beat them through the air. The road team has covered 5 straight games in this matchup. TCU is 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games.

3 Unit Play. Take #344 Wisconsin over Michigan (12p.m., Saturday, September 21 FOX) Jim Harbaugh just has not proven he can consistently win big game in the conference, especially on the road. Wisconsin is back after getting rid of their quarterback from last year that seemed to be a cancer for the entire team. Wisconsin has revenge on their minds after a bad showing in Ann Arbor last year but they are much different team when playing at home. 68% of the money is coming in on Wisconsin and the line is also moving in that direction as well. Wisconsin is 9-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games against Michigan. The Wolverines have not covered a spread in their last 6 games.

3 Unit Play. Take Denver Broncos over Chicago Bears (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 15 FOX) We are getting some value in this spread after the line moved when Denver did not look good against Oakland. That being said the Broncos are always a tough team to beat at home in the month of September. The Broncos have some ex-Bear coaches on their staff and that should bode well for them in this game. The Underdog is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between Chicago and Denver. Chicago is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played during Week 2 of the regular season.

3 Unit Play. Take #270 Miami Dolphins over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, September 15 CBS) Hard to say anything good about the Dolphins after they way the played last week but they are still a professional team. Getting this many points at home is too good to pass up, as pride usually sets in the next week following an embarrassing performance in Week 1. New England always has trouble in Miami, losing 5 of the last 6 years (1-5 ATS). Look for a 13-16 point victory for the Patriots.

3 Unit Play. Take #279 Minnesota Vikings over Green Bay Packers (1p.m., Sunday, September 15 FOX) The Green Bay defense looked impressive last Thursday against Chicago but they will face a team with much better offensive weapons on Sunday. Just do not believe the Packers can beat the Bears and Vikings in successive weeks. Minnesota looks good against Atlanta last Sunday and have beaten Green Bay 3 times in the last 2 years (1 tie). Green Bay is 1-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Minnesota is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played in the month of September. Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games against Green Bay.

3 Unit Play. Take #198 Arizona Wildcats over Texas Tech Red Raiders (10:30p.m., Saturday, September 15 ESPN) Arizona has not played up to their ability in two games this season but they have talent and should be able to defeat a rebuilding Texas Tech team at home. The Red Raiders have played two terrible teams to open the season and they just are not ready for the step-up in competition against a Power 5 teams. Both teams will put up points in this game but Arizona will get a much needed win at home. Arizona has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against FBS teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #175 Kentucky Wildcats over Florida Gators (7p.m., Saturday, September 14 ESPN) The Wildcats still have a strong defense and I just do not believe Florida can blow them out on the road. The Gators did not look that impressive against the Hurricanes in Week 0 and Kentucky ended their long losing streak to Florida last year. The back-up quarterback for Kentucky played well last game and I do not expect a huge drop-off in this game. Kentucky is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.

4 Unit Play. Take #171 Ohio Bobcats over Marshall Thundering Herd (6:30p.m., Saturday, September 14 Facebook) Like taking the Bobcats as an underdog, as they are well coached and beaten the Thundering Herd 4 of the last 5 meetings. Marshall is coming back from Boise last week and lost that game 14-7, but the score was misleading. Marshall did not get a first down in the second half and were outgained by over 250 yards. Ohio is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 nonconference games. Marshall is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.

3 Unit Play. Take #140 Navy Midshipmen over East Carolina Pirates (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 14 CBSSN) This is an important year for Navy to right the ship after a down year and losing to Army for the third straight year. East Carolina should not provide much opposition in this game and they have a new coach and system this year. The Pirates are 11-29 as an underdog in the regular season of more than 7 points. East Carolina is 1-4 in their last 5 games with Navy. ECU is also 7-21 ATS in their last 28 road games.

4 Unit Play. Take #481 Denver Broncos over Oakland Raiders (10:15p.m., Monday, September 9 ESPN) The Broncos always seem to get out of the gate well and Oakland is still dysfunctional. Denver needs to play better on the road and this is a very winnable game that can get them off on the right foot. Denver has not suffered an ATS defeat in Week 1 since 2014. The Raiders are 9-19 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 39 games. The Raiders are never a good better as a home favorite going 4-11 in their last 15 home games against divisional teams (LAC, KC, Den).

4 Unit Play. Take #478 New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 8 NBC) Pittsburgh is a trendy pick this year despite losing their top wide receiver and running back. But I just cannot go against New England at home when the spread is less than 7 points. New England is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Bill Belichick is a much better coach than Mike Tomlin and Pittsburgh has never defeated New England in Foxboro. New England is 27-12 ATS in their last 39 games against AFC teams. Pittsburgh is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 openers.

4 Unit Play. Take #461 San Francisco 49ers over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 8 FOX) Just feel that Jameis Winston is a lost cause at quarterback and even Bruce Arians cannot fix him. Jimmy Garoppolo is back healthy and despite not playing well in practice and preseason game he always seems to turn it on when the lights are on. San Francisco is 6-2 when Garoppolo is under center and score over 27 points per game. Tampa Bay is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 opening games.

4 Unit Play. Take #468 Carolina Panthers over Los Angeles Rams (1p.m., Sunday, September 8 FOX) Carolina was unstoppable at home when Cam Newton is healthy, and they quietly got better on both sides of the football. Los Angeles will suffer a super bowl hangover as the loser in that game is just 3-16 ATS in Week 1 during this century. We will grab the points with the home underdog and expect the Panthers to win this game straight-up. Los Angeles is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 Week 1 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #384 North Carolina Tar Heels over Miami (FL) Hurricanes (8p.m., Saturday, September 7 ACCN) Just feel there is magic at North Carolina with Mack Brown back as coach. This team was not favored last week but won against South Carolina and we will grab the points this week at home against Miami. Carolina had a 213 yard edge last week and I just do not believe Miami is capable of blowing anyone out in conference play. Mack Brown fired Manny Diaz during the season in 2013 as defensive coordinator at Texas after giving 550 yards rushing in a single game. Miami is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. North Carolina is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.

10 Unit Play. Take #358 Tennessee Volunteers over BYU Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, September 7 ESPN) I always like taking a team off an embarrassing loss in Week 1 and Tennessee fits that bill to a T. Tennessee played poorly on both sides of the ball but they still have talent and they did not suffer major injuries in their last loss last week to Georgia State. BYU did not look impressive at all either last week at home against Utah. Tennessee would have been a double-digit favorite had they beaten Georgia State last week but now enter around a field goal favorite. That gives us great value with this play. BYU is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games against SEC teams. Tennessee bounces back to win this game big.

4 Unit Play. Take #331 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Colorado Buffaloes (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 7 FOX) The Cornhuskers are out for revenge in this game after losing to Colorado last year in a game they should have won. Colorado has better talent last year and has a new coach and system this year. Nebraska won not sharp last week in their opener but expect a much better performance this week. Just not sold on Mel Tucker has a head coach and do not believe he will be able to win consistently without the Georgia talent. Colorado is 2-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Nebraska is 21-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 30 road games. Payback happens in Boulder on Saturday by double-digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #311 Army Black Knights over Michigan Wolverines (12p.m., Saturday, September 7 FOX) It is now or never for Michigan with their hopes of making the CFB Playoff and winning the Big 10 under Jim Harbaugh. Army is a tough team to prepare for and they should be able to move the football up and down the field methodically chewing up clock and keep the Michigan offense off of the field. Army is 7-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Michigan is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. Michigan has a new offensive system and is playing two quarterbacks and I just do not see a rout in this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #315 Rutgers Scarlet Knights over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Saturday, September 7 FS1) This is a lot of points to be giving in a conference game. Iowa does not have a dynamic offense that can run up a ton of points unless they can score points off of turnovers. Rutgers pulled away late against UMASS to win last week and I see them keeping this game close for 60 minutes. The Hawkeyes are just 8-18 ATS as a double-digit favorite in Big 10 games. Iowa is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Rutgers has covered the spread in their last 6 games.

3 Unit Play. Take #451 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 5 NBC) Green Bay is healthy and has a much better quarterback than Chicago does. QB Rodgers is 16-5 ATS against the Bears in his career and has a 45-10 touchdown to interception ratio in those games. Green Bay has won 13 of the last 17 match-ups with Chicago. Expect this game to go down to the wire and we will grab the points in this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #215 Houston Cougars over Oklahoma Sooners (7:30p.m., Sunday, September 1 ABC) Just do not see a blowout in this game since Houston should be able to move the football and score some points. Not a fan of QB Jalen Hurts and do not believe he can throw the ball well enough to keep the defense honest. Houston returns a ton of talent on offense and having a veteran new coach should put some life back into this program. This will be a high scoring game but I believe Houston can hold their own in this game and keep it under 20 points. 60% of the money is coming in on the underdog and that tells me we are on the right side. Houston is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games played during the month of September.

4 Unit Play. Take #209 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs over Texas Longhorns (8p.m., Saturday, August 31 LHN) We will take the points in this game as we hope Texas is looking ahead to their game with LSU the following Saturday. The Bulldogs return only 11 starters but they do return all of their top skill positions. That tells me that they will be able to move the football for 4 quarters and put up some points late for a backdoor cover. Louisiana Tech is 38-18 ATS in their last 56 road games.

10 Unit Play. Take #207 Oregon Ducks over Auburn Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, August 31 ABC) It is now or never for this Oregon team and the PAC-12 Conference all-together. Oregon has experience on both sides of the football and a quarterback offensive line combo that may be the best in the country. Auburn is just a middle of the pack team this year in the SEC and they have a coach that is on the hot seat. The SEC still have better players in the trenches but I just do not believe a freshman quarterback can walk into this type of game and beat this experience Ducks team. Oregon is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played during the month of August. Auburn is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 nonconference games.

4 Unit Play. Take #204 Pittsburgh Panthers over Virginia Cavaliers (7:30p.m., Saturday, August 31 ACCN) Just do not believe Virginia warrants to be a road favorite in a conference game. Both teams have defensive minded coaches and Pittsburgh has won 4 straight meetings and covered the spread in the last 3. Pittsburgh is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 ACC games.

4 Unit Play. Take #171 Toledo Rockets over Kentucky Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, August 31 SECN) Expect Kentucky to take a step back this season coming off a 10 win performance in 2018. It is still Kentucky, a basketball school and that not care all that much about football and they must replace numerous starters on both sides of the football. The Wildcats have not covered a season opener in the last 7 years. Toledo is always a top team in the MAC and I believe that they will keep this game in single digits. Kentucky is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games. Toledo is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.

4 Unit Play. Take #150 USF Bulls over Wisconsin Badgers (7p.m., Friday, August 30 ESPN) Wisconsin does not play many true road nonconference games and without a proven quarterback I just do not believe they can run over this USF team. The Bulls were a fraud last year opening the season 7-0 but beating nobody during that winning streak. But they might have a little Hawaii in them, as the Warriors had a similar path and they opened with an impressive win last week against a Power 5 teams. If the Bulls can stop the run they should be able to keep this game within single digits. Wisconsin had a very disappointing season in 2018 and I just do not believe they will be able to flip the switch in 2019 with questions on both sides of the football. Wisconsin is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of August. USF is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Big 10 teams.

3 Unit Play. Take #294 Hawaii Warriors over Arizona Wildcats (10:30pm., Saturday, August 24 CBSSN) Always like to use Hawaii early in the season especially when playing at home. Arizona will be better in year two under Kevin Sumlin but they still have a long way to go especially on the defensive side of the football. This game will likely feature a lot of points, but I just do not believe Arizona will be able to pull away and win this game big. Going to Hawaii is usually treated like a vacation and not a business trip and thus I do not expect Arizona to be all-in for this game.

3 Unit Play. Take #101 New England Patriots over Los Angeles Rams (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 3 CBS Super Bowl 53) Just cannot put my money going against QB Tom Brady and Coach Bill Belickick. We saw two weeks ago how New England was able to slow down the high-powered Chiefs for the entire first half and I expect them to have similar success against the Rams. The Patriots have an outstanding offensive line and Tom Brady has not been hit in two playoff games. The Rams are fortunate to be here, and I just do not believe it is there time yet. New England has beaten Los Angeles five straight times (4-1 ATS) dating back to the time they met in the Super Bowl. Expect this to be a double-digit win for the Patriots although they may give up a late score to put it in single digits. The Rams opened as the favorite in this game, but all the early money swing the line to New England. The Rams are 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games after accumulating for than 350 yards in their previous game. Very few people outside of New England want the Patriots to win this game but they will earn their sixth Super Bowl Championship and we will collect in the process as well.

4 Unit Play. Take #313 New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 20 CBS) The Chiefs have all of the pressure on them in this game and I have not sure they will be able to rise to the occasion and win this game. Coach Andy Reid does not have much success in this championship weekend winning just 1 time in 5 tries. QB Brady is used to playing in the elements unlike QB Luck last week and the cold weather will not affect him. Both teams will give up yards in this game but I do not believe the Chiefs defense will be able to rise to the level they played last week again this week. Despite the win last week, Kansas City is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home playoff games. New England already won at Chicago this year and they are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 road games.

4 Unit Play. Take #312 New Orleans Saints over Los Angeles Rams (3:05p.m., Sunday, January 20 FOX) The Saints were rusty to start last week against Philadelphia, but they dominated the second half and I do not expect them to look back and dominate this game for 60 minutes. Despite being a slight underdog, the Saints won the first meeting this season by double digits and expect a similar result in this game as well. The Rams are just 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The home team has covered 7 straight games in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. I still believe the Saints are due for a breakout game offensively and there is no better time for that to occur than Sunday in the Superdome in front of their fans.

10 Unit Play. Take #306 New England Patriots over Los Angeles Chargers (1:05p.m., Sunday, January 13 CBS) The Chargers have been on a roll but playing their third straight road games against a rested team will doom them in. The Patriots are a much better team at home and they are the only team that did not lose a home game this season. Los Angeles still seems to be banged up at the skill positions and I am not sure that their wide receivers can stretch the field against New England. QB Rivers is 1-5 in his career against New England and is 0-2 in the playoffs. New England is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against New England. Everyone is doubting the Patriots at this moment, but they still are the Patriots with the best coach/quarterback combo of all time. New England dominates for 60 minutes and wins this game by double digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #301 Indianapolis Colts over Kansas City Chiefs (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 12 NBC) The Colts are the offense to tear apart this Chiefs defense and I see them winning this game straight-up on Saturday afternoon. Kansas City has lost 6 straight home playoff games and if they hit adversity early in this game expect their crowd and players to panic. Indianapolis put forth a dominating performance last week on defense and shutdown Houston for much of that game. Indianapolis is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Kansas City. The Chiefs are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. The Colts are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record.

4 Unit Play. Take #152 Alabama Crimson Tide over Clemson Tigers (8p.m., Monday, January 7 ESPN) For the first time in the playoff era an undefeated team will emerge victorious for this game. Both teams were impressive in their semi-final game, but I just cannot go against Alabama especially when the line is under a touchdown. Alabama has a quarterback that can move the ball at will in the passing game and I am just not sure a freshman quarterback will be able to match Tua Tagovailoa blow for blow. Alabama beat Clemson 24-6 last year and I see them winning this game by double digits as well. Just cannot go against Nick Saban in this type of a game. The Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against ACC teams. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 nonconference games.

4 Unit Play. Take #104 Dallas Cowboys over Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 5 FOX) The Seahawks closed out the regular season with back-to-back home games, but they are just not the same team on the road. Seattle beat Dallas earlier this season, but this game will be in the State of Texas. Dallas has they pass rushers to sack QB Wilson, something that happened 51 times this season. Dallas has won 7 of their last 8 games. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games. The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

4 Unit Play. Take #102 Houston Texans over Indianapolis Colts (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 5 ABC) Everyone is one the Colts bandwagon, but I just do not believe that can beat the Texans twice in one season in Houston. The Texans are 11-2 in their last 13 games and they have the pass rushers to get to QB Luck early and often. Beating Blaine Gabbert is not the same as beating DeShaun Watson on the road and Houston will advance to play New England. Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road playoff games. Houston is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #276 Ohio State Buckeyes over Washington Huskies (5p.m., Tuesday, January 1 ESPN Rose Bowl) Urban Meyer may not be popular with the national media but he is loved in Columbus especially by his staff and he will get the proper sendoff in this game. Ohio State has a huge edge on offense and their defense has been playing much better of late. Washington got pounded by Penn State last year in a New Year’s Six Bowl Game, as the final score was not indicative of how Penn State dominated. Beating Washington State is not that same as beating Ohio State and I just do not believe they can keep this game in single digits. Dwayne Haskins will likely be heading to the NFL after this game and he will want to put on a show in a standalone game in Pasadena. Washington is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. Ohio State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

4 Unit Play. Take #272 Penn State Nittany Lions over Kentucky Wildcats (1p.m., Tuesday, January 1 ABC Citrus Bowl) Kentucky was overanked for most of the season and they are just not a good team whatsoever. Penn State is well coached, and they will be able to score points in this game and I just do not believe Kentucky will be able to keep up. The Wildcats are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 nonconference games. Penn State is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 nonconference games. Sometimes it is best not to overthink these things. Kentucky is a basketball school and Penn State is a football school. Expect Penn State to win this game by double-digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #262 Michigan State Spartans over Oregon Ducks (3p.m., Monday, December 31 FOX Redbox Bowl) COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR. Never been a fan of Mario Cristobal as a head coach. He was a very uninspired hire and his recruiting greatness never seems to match his coaching ability. The same cannot be said about Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio, as he gets the most out of his talent and this year is no exception. Oregon may have the edge on offense, but Michigan State has the best defense they have seen all season long and Sparty also had a huge edge in special teams. QB Herbert will play in this game but I believe he is already thinking about the NFL draft and is not that concerned about winning this game. Oregon has been the favorite in their last 3 bowl games and they have lost all of them straight-up (2 of them by double-digits). Michigan State dominated Washington State in their bowl game last year and expect a similar performance this year in a California bowl game. Oregon is 5-15 ATS ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games following a victory in their previous game. Michigan State is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 neutral site games.

4 Unit Play. Take #321 Indianapolis Colts over Tennessee Titans (8:20p.m., December 30 NBC) This is a winner take all game on Sunday Night Football. Not much needs to be said about this game except for this one stat: QB Andrew Luck is 10-0 lifetime against the Titans. Tennessee has QB issues but regardless we are taking Indianapolis.