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The Twins have lost six of their last seven games after going to extra innings. While the Mariners have won six of their last seven day games at T-Mobile Park following a loss, have won the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents, have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against American League opponents that held a winning record, and have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL Central opponents.

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The Astros have won each of their last seven day games against AL East opponents following a win. While the Rays have lost five of their last six road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

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The Cubs are the better team, and they are going to have no issue getting the job done in this game. Lodolo sits with a higher ERA of 4.39, and he gave up three runs in his last start against the Cubs. The Cubs' offense is averaging 5.89 runs, and they are going to have no issue running up the score against Lodolo. The Reds' offense won’t even get to their season average, and it’s going to be the Cubs are going to have no issue getting the job done. Back the Cubs on the money line. 

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Tampa Bay was able to erupt late in the game on Thursday night to cruise to the win, and they have been red hot over the last two weeks. The Rays are 11-8 on the road this year, while the Astros are 20-11 at home. Houston is also playing very well right now, and their pitching staff has been a bright spot, with the exception of Thursday. The Astros are starting Valdez, who has allowed one earned run in three of his last four starts. The Rays are going with Pepiot, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five. Both of these pitchers have been solid over their last five starts, but Valdez has been elite. Take the Astros here. 

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The Cardinals continue to rack up the wins and are throwing out a solid pitcher in Liberatore, who has allowed seven runs in his last 28.1 innings. Through 59.1 innings, Liberatore has a 2.73 ERA, .229 allowed batting average, and 1.10 WHIP. Liberatore looks like an all-star pitcher this season. The Rangers are in awful form over the last two weeks, and Leiter isn’t a pitcher I’m excited to back. Leiter has been a mess in his limited career, and that includes giving up 22 hits and 16 runs in his last 27.2 innings. Leiter has 21 walks to go with 30 strikeouts, and he has a 4.43 ERA in 22.1 home innings. Give me the Cardinals.

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The Oilers have won five of their last six games, while the Stars have lost four of their last six games. Edmonton has the edge here because they're playing well offensively and scored 13 goals in their last three games. They've also played well on special teams, converting over 23 percent of their power play opportunities. The Stars are fourth in the league in penalty kills, but they're not playing well defensively and gave up 16 goals in their last four games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Oilers. Dallas won't be as successful offensively because they're not playing well and scored only two goals in their last three games. They've done a better job on special teams, converting 22 percent of their power play opportunities. The Oilers are 16th in the league in penalty kills, and they're playing well defensively, giving up six goals in their last three road games, so expect them to keep Dallas' offense in check. Take Edmonton on the money line.

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Tampa Bay will start right-hander Shane Baz on Thursday against the Astros. In his previous outing, the 25-year-old held Toronto to one run on four hits and three walks in a 5.2-frame victory. He is 1-3 with a 7.82 ERA and 1.86 WHIP this month (five starts) and 4-3 with a 4.94 ERA and 1.39 WHIP this year (ten starts).

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Philadelphia was able to win a low-scoring game on Tuesday night to start this series, and they continue to hold a slim lead over the Mets in the NL East. The Phillies are 18-8 at home this year, while the Braves are 9-19 on the road. Atlanta has really struggled over the last week, and their offense has been very inconsistent. In game one, both starting pitchers have been very solid this year, so I think we are going to see a lower-scoring game. In game two, the starting pitchers have been even better, but I give the edge to Philadelphia, as Wheeler has been elite all season long. 

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Philadelphia was able to win a low-scoring game on Tuesday night to start this series, and they continue to hold a slim lead over the Mets in the NL East. The Phillies are 18-8 at home this year, while the Braves are 9-19 on the road. Atlanta has really struggled over the last week, and their offense has been very inconsistent. In game one, both starting pitchers have been very solid this year, so I think we are going to see a lower-scoring game. In game two, the starting pitchers have been even better, but I give the edge to Philadelphia, as Wheeler has been elite all season long. 

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The Timberwolves had a chance to really flip the series on its head, but they missed a real chance to level up the series on Monday. The series now shifts back to the Paycom Center, where the Thunder have won seven of eight games so far during these playoffs. The line has opened with the Thunder as heavy favorites, and that's not surprising given that they covered Games 1 and 2 with ease at home. The Timberwolves are playing for their season right now, and they might get off to a better start, but if the Thunder gets hot early, this one could get ugly in a hurry. I think the Timberwolves have already thrown their two best punches, and it's time for the Thunder to finish the job at home and book their tickets to the NBA Finals. 

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I’m on the Yankees here. I just think that the hot run for the Angels is over and while Tyler Anderson has been a solid option for the Angels this season and has actually been the starter for a lot of their team wins so far, I think the Yankees have a clear edge here and Rodon has been a lot better than I’d have expected him to be this season. I think the Yankees get it done here once again, so give me New York in this one.

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The Stars have been a great team all year, and you can make a case for them in the big underdog role. The problem is the Oilers have been on a heater all playoffs, and that includes wins in 10 of their last 12 games. The last two games between the Oilers and Stars were ridiculously one-sided. The Oilers have played their best hockey at home, where they’re 30-14-3 on the season. It feels like the Oilers are on a mission to get back to the finals, and they’re not a team I’m eager to step in front of. There’s also a chance the Stars could be without Hintz, who has five goals, six assists and 36 shots in these playoffs. I’m going to lay the price with the Oilers. 

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The Pacers should be favored at home where they have 33 wins and they’ve been the better team in this series. However, the Pacers blew a 20-point lead in game 3, giving the Knicks new life. The Knicks played their best game of the series their last time out, and they’re now 6-1 SU on the road in these playoffs. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven games between the Knicks and Pacers. I liked the Pacers entering this series, but that game 3 loss rubbed me the wrong way. It’s not easy to win a series when you throw games away. We’re also going to see a Brunson explosion at some point. We had the KAT game already. I’ll grab the bucket with the Knicks.

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In this Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, the Twins are coming as -125 home favorites. The Twins are rightfully favored in this spot, as they have a better overall record, and the Rays are below average at home. The Rays have been red-hot lately, but Joe Ryan has been elite for the Twins this season, and he is coming in excellent form into this matchup. On the other hand, Bradley has been mediocre this season and has been very bad against Twins bats, so I like the Twins here.

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The San Francisco Giants fell to 31-23 on the season following Monday’s defeat against Detroit. It was their fourth loss in seven games, and the Giants mustered just five hits on the afternoon. Hayden Birdsong was charged with a loss, allowing three earned runs across 4.1 innings, while the Giants’ mighty bullpen gave up two hits and two walks in 3.2 scoreless frames. The Giants lean on their pitching staff. Over the last couple of weeks, the Giants have been slashing an underwhelming .229/.315/.363 with 12 home runs in 424 at-bats, but their pitching has been terrific, notching a 2.79 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. 

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The Angels won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Yankees were better in three of the last five. Although the Angels are in good form at the moment, I am backing the Yankees to open the series with a win because I think they have an advantage on the mound. Ryan Yarbrough allowed only four runs in his three starts, and he has strong numbers against the Angels, allowing a .229 BA in 48 at-bats. Jack Kochanowicz, on the other hand, is rather inconsistent this season, and I believe he will have problems against one of the best offenses in the MLB. Go with the Yankees.

The Thunder are the best bet in sports with their 61-32-4 ATS record. It’s hard to find a moneymaker as consistent as the Thunder, so I wouldn’t talk you off the ledge if looking at the small chalk. However, I’m backing the Timberwolves for the same reason I did in game 3. The Timberwolves are a good team that I just don’t think has played their best ball yet, and is a team I don’t think will go down quietly. The Timberwolves hung around with the Thunder for a half in the first two games, and they finally played 48 minutes in game 3. The Timberwolves are also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog. Everybody was so quick to put the Thunder in the finals after the first two games, but I’m here saying not so fast, my friend. Give me the Timberwolves and the bucket in a game they should win outright. 

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These teams went into Sunday heading in opposite directions with the Diamondbacks losing four straight and the Pirates winning four of five. Heaney has pitched fairly well this season, which is surprising given his struggles in recent years. The biggest problem for the Pirates is that they don’t have much in the way of offensive production to scare opposing pitchers. Arizona has a good offensive lineup and they can be extremely dangerous at home. They should be able to do enough against a weak Pittsburgh lineup that the bullpen can’t give the game away. Take the Diamondbacks at home here.

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It's convenient to count out the Knicks in Game 3, as Indiana stole the momentum with a late rally in Game 1 and sustained NY's best shot in Game 2. Losing both games at home puts the Knicks at a disadvantage, but that's how they like it. New York has thrived in an underdog role, storming back from large deficits on the road at Boston last round. Being the top dog joyously celebrated by their home fans didn't suit this squad. Now, they have been written off by most, but these guys play much better with chips on their shoulders. It's easy to get caught up in the moment, but let's not forget that they led by 14 points with under three minutes remaining in regulation in Game 1, as Indiana needed a fortuitous bounce on a last-second shot to send the game to OT. They also defended much better in Friday's loss, but lost their scoring touch after a slow start to the fourth quarter. In short, I feel confident the Knicks and Pacers are more evenly matched than the previous results suggest. It's going to take a lot of guts and determination to win, but the Knicks aren't short in those departments. Bet on the NY ML in Game 3!

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The Dodgers enter Sunday night’s matchup as one of the league’s most feared offensive powerhouses. They rank third in MLB in runs per game (5.63), lead all teams in batting average (.264), and sit second in home runs (81). Their lineup is loaded from top to bottom—Shohei Ohtani (.296 AVG, 17 HR, 31 RBI) has lived up to the hype in his first season in Los Angeles, and Freddie Freeman is having another MVP-caliber campaign with a .351 batting average and 23 extra-base hits already. Teoscar Hernández leads the team with 41 RBIs and has become a consistent threat in clutch moments. With elite talent and depth, the Dodgers have the rare ability to strike in any inning and from any spot in the order. The Dodgers’ offensive depth often tilts the balance in their favor. Their ability to grind out at-bats and capitalize on mistakes puts pressure on opposing pitchers from the first pitch.

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The Athletics have won each of their last six day games against NL East opponents following a loss. While the Phillies have lost four of their last five Sunday games as favorites. Additionally, the Athletics have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games and have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home day games.

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The Rays are rolling this week and it makes them hard to ignore with the quick turnaround. I’ll still give the edge to the Blue Jays with Bassitt on the mound, a pitcher who has allowed 26 hits and eight earned runs in his last 23 innings. The Blue Jays have won each of his last four starts. Pepiot is having a decent season and has been better lately, allowing nine runs in his last 22.1 innings. However, the Rays have lost seven of the last nine games Pepiot has pitched. Pepiot has also been hittable at home where he has a 4.28 ERA and .271 allowed batting average in 40 innings. The Blue Jays have burned me recently, but I’ll give them another chance today. 

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Los Angeles was able to pick up the win in extra innings on Friday night, but New York blew several great chances to get the win. The Mets are 17-6 at home this year, while the Dodgers are 13-11 on the road. New York has really struggled over the last two weeks and they keep finding ways to lose. On the other side, the Dodgers have won three games in a row and they are starting to pick up some momentum. LA is going with Gonsolin, who has pitched decently well in his four starts. 

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The White Sox have a solid opportunity for a win today against the Rangers. Texas is just 8-16 on the road this season and has lost four of Leiter's last five starts. The White Sox counter with starter Cannon, and they've won three of Cannon's last five starts. Cannon has also been excellent at home this season. In three starts thus far, he is 1-0 with an ERA of 1.17 in front of the home crowd. The White Sox are also matching up with a team that is hitting only slightly higher than they are. While the Sox are hitting just .216 this season, the Rangers are hitting just .227. This should be a low-scoring game, and one that the White Sox will prevail.

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Boston was able to erupt for 19 runs in their win on Friday afternoon and they will look to continue that hot hitting during this doubleheader. The Red Sox are 15-12 at home this year, while the Orioles are 8-18 on the road. Baltimore continues to be the worst team in the AL East and they haven’t shown many signs of turning things around. In game one, I don’t like what I saw from Eflin in his last start, so I will take Boston to win

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I liked the Pacers entering this series and game 1s result only strengthen my stance. While the Knicks haven’t lost two straight games in well over a month, it’s not going to be easy to get off the canvas after such a result. Teams are 970-0 over the last 27 postseasons when having a 14-plus point lead with less than 2:50 left in regulation before that result. It was a historic collapse. We also can’t just say the Knicks will play harder or whatever, as they continue to play their starters into the ground. The longer the Knicks play, the more it favors the opposition. The Pacers are the deepest team in the league. The Pacers have also won five straight road games in these playoffs. Since April 27, the Pacers are 6-1 SU as an underdog. Since December 29, the Pacers are 9-3 SU when underdogs of five or more points. At some point we have to admit these Pacers are good. Give me the points.

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The Nationals have won five straight games, and their offense is absolutely steamrolling during this stretch. Gore leads baseball in strikeouts, and through 24.2 home innings, he has a 2.92 ERA and .176 allowed batting average. Roupp has been hittable all season, especially on the road, where he has a 5.04 ERA and .260 allowed batting average. Roupp is allowing a .272 batting average on the season. I’ll ride the hot hand with the Nats and the more trustworthy pitcher in terms of the road/home splits. 

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The Thunder are the safest bet in sports as they’re now 60-31-4 ATS on the season. The Thunder have also won their last four home games by an average of 27 points. The Thunder should be favored and there’s a lot telling us this will be another comfortable win. With that said, I still like the Timberwolves and the points as I think they’re too good of a team to turn down in the big underdog role. The Timberwolves looked in good shape through the first half of game 1 but completely fell apart in the second. While credit goes to OKC, I also don’t believe the Timberwolves will shoot 29 percent from three all series long. Reid and DiVincenzo are much better than what they’ve shown recently. The Timberwolves are also a feisty group that has had great road success in the playoffs the last two seasons. I’m not going to panic from one game. So, while the Thunder have been cash cows the last two years, I’m grabbing the points with the Timberwolves.

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The Hurricanes are going to be favored because they’re at home where they’ve won 36 games, and it’s a must-win if they’re serious about this series. You can’t lose the first two games at home and honestly expect to win. With that said, the value remains with the Panthers and the plus money. The Panthers have won seven of the last 10 games against the Hurricanes and are 5-0 against them in the playoffs all-time. The Panthers have outscored the Canes 18-8 in the last four meetings. The Panthers are back to playing elite level defense and the physicality has picked up. I’m going to keep grabbing the more favorable price with the Panthers when I can get it, as they’re back to looking like the team to beat. 

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The Washington Nationals (22-27, 11-12 Home) went through their worst period of the season, during which they lost seven consecutive games, but responded with five wins in six games. The Nats are currently on a four-game winning streak after sweeping the Orioles and defeating the Braves in Game 1 of the current series. 

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The Tigers have had the momentum in the AL Central, and will grow their lead here with Flaherty on the mound. Cleveland's rhythm has been thrown off recently, they only made it to the 4th inning on Monday, and will not play again until Wednesday, then have to leave town immediately for this trip to Detroit. On top of this, Cleveland will be starting Slade Cecconi, who has only made one other start this season. That one performance left him with a 5.40 ERA, but it was even worse last season at 6.66 over twenty games. The Detroit offense will generate runs off Cecconi, as Greene and Torkelson have been battling back and forth to see who will lead Detroit in home runs. Flaherty is an experienced pitcher who is coming off a win against Toronto, he will limit the Cleveland offense enough to generate a win.

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The Yankees are 7-3 in their last ten games. New York will turn to left-hander Carlos Rodón on Thursday against Texas. In his previous start, the 11th-year MLB pro surrendered one run and two hits in a five-inning win against the Mets. He is 1-0 with a 2.55 ERA/1.02 WHIP in three May starts (17.2 IP) and 5-3 with a 3.17 ERA/0.99 WHIP in ten starts (59.2 IP) this season.

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Edmonton comes into this series as one of the hottest teams in the NHL, as they have won eight of their last nine games. The Oilers were able to shutout Vegas in their last two games and they are playing with a ton of confidence. Dallas eliminated the one seed in the West last round, but they had times where they struggled to slow down Winnipeg’s scoring chances. I know Oettinger was outstanding in that series, but I don’t know if he can continue playing at that level. Edmonton is fully rested and I think we are going to see their offense have a big game. 

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The Knicks were expected to beat the Pistons in the first round, but the way they beat the Celtics in the second round was truly impressive. There is a bit of a luck factor involved as the Celtics had to deal with key injuries, but the Knicks showed great resiliency to hang tough and erase two 20-point deficits to win Games 1 and 2 on the road. You can make an argument for either side in what should be a close contest, but I am leaning towards the Knicks, who to draw first blood at home in front of a packed house.

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The Astros have done a good job of rebounding from losses over the last week or so, and Brown is on the mound here. With a 1.43 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, and 67 strikeouts, Brown looks like a CY Young contender. Brown has allowed seven earned runs in his last 50.2 innings. In 56.2 innings, Brown is allowing a .170 batting average, and it drops to a .143 allowed batting average in 91 at-bats against left-handed hitters. It’s filthy, folks. It doesn’t matter what you think of Bradley or the Rays as a team. I’m not stepping in front of the Astros with Brown on the mound. The price is reasonable. Give me the Astros.

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The Timberwolves will be relying on Edwards to take his game to another level on the offensive end. Rudy Gobert has been anchoring their defense while Julius Randle has been steady as he has averaged 23.9 points so far during these playoffs. The Timberwolves have the advantage of extra rest, but the extra layoff has hurt teams in these playoffs, so I will back the Thunder to strike first at home. 

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The Hurricanes should get the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home with the rest advantage. The Canes have had five days to rest while the Panthers just finished a game seven and are back in another series on the road. The Hurricanes also haven’t lost on the road this postseason. With that said, we’re getting the Panthers and plus money, a spot you don’t see often. this will be just the 10th time since January where the Panthers are an underdog. The Panthers have won seven of the last 10 games against the Hurricanes and that includes outscoring them 13-6 in the last three games. The Panthers have won five of their last seven road playoff games. This has the feel of a long competitive series. I want the more favorable price where I can get it.

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I’m on the Yankees here. I think that while Patrick Corbin is off to a nice start to the year in his Ranger tenure, knowing Patrick Corbin, it feels like these results are unsustainable. Will Warren isn’t my favorite option in the Yankees’ rotation, but the Rangers’ offense continues to be so frustrating and inconsistent to back that I think the Yankees get a big win at home to start the series. Give me the Yankees.

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I believe the wrong team is favored here. Colton Gordon was excellent in AAA this season, and the Astros' bullpen — which will follow him — ranks second in MLB with a 2.71 ERA. Pitching in the smaller confines of George Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, I expect Gordon to be comfortable and deliver a strong outing. On the other side, Tampa Bay is just 1-5 in Ryan Pepiot's last six starts.

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The home team has won each of the last five games between the Mets and Red Sox. The Mets have lost eight of their last nine night games against AL East opponents following a road loss and have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record. While The Red have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against the Mets at Fenway Park while the Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games at Fenway Park against AL East opponents.

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The Reds are playing their best ball of the season with four straight wins, and they should like their chances to keep things rolling against a bad Pirates side. The Pirates have won four games since April 26, and their offense has scored three or fewer runs in 11 of their last 14 games. In 31.1 road innings, Lodolo has a 1.44 ERA and .186 allowed batting average. In 27 home innings, Keller has a 5.33 ERA and a .279 allowed batting average. There’s no reason to look in the Pirates' direction, especially with a line this soft. Give me the Reds.

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I’m going to side with the Maple Leafs here. I know the Maple Leafs have a history of folding on the big stage. And game sevens have not been kind to Toronto in the core four era. However, Craig Berube has worked wonders with this team and has been there and done that, and he’s won a stanley cup in a game seven for crying out loud. It only takes one for Toronto to change their narrative. They did it in 2023 when they finally got out of the first round and now have a chance to shift another narrative. Florida is going to come out firing here, but I think the Leafs will be prepared for what’s coming and I do think it’s going to come down to one key goal. It’s going to be tight the entire way, but I will back the Leafs to get it done and send Toronto into a frenzy. Give me the Maple Leafs.

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As I’ve said before, the Thunder are going to be favored in nearly every game because they’re the safest bet in sports. The Thunder are 58-31-4 ATS on the season. OKC is also the healthier team. The Nuggets lack depth as it is, so they’re in a world of trouble if Gordon can’t go, while Murray and Westbrook aren’t 100 percent. I’m going to assume Gordon will give it a go with it being a game seven. Either way, we’re getting a boatload of points with the Nuggets, the team that has the best player in Jokic. The underdog has covered eight of the last 10 games between the Nuggets and Thunder. The Nuggets are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, which includes five outright wins. The Nuggets have covered four straight playoff games as an underdog. The Nuggets are also 15-4-1 ATS in their last 20 games when underdogs of six or more points. Give me the Nuggets and the points.

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We’ve been on the Cardinals a lot during this winning stretch, and there’s no reason to stop now. The Cardinals have lost once since May 3 and continue to get production across the board. Liberatore has been solid this season, which includes allowing 12 hits and five runs in his last 15.1 innings. The Royals have lost four straight games and have scored just seven runs during that span. Wacha has been strong this season with his 2.96 ERA and 1.20 WHIP, but none of that matters if the Royals can’t string together an offense. Regardless, the Cardinals continue to win and cash tickets. Until that stops, I’m going to keep backing them. Give me the Cards and the cheap price. 

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The Brewers won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last seven. Still, I am backing the Twins in this one. Minnesota is the hottest team in the MLB right now and will start their best pitcher, Pablo Lopez. He had a shaky start last time out against the Giants and allowed four runs, but before that, he didn't surrender more than two in a game. Tobias Myers, on the other hand, allowed multiple runs in three of his five starts, and he will likely pitch for four or five innings maximum. I expect another tight game and a Minnesota win.

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Houston starter Ronel Blanco is coming off an excellent outing in which the right-hander allowed no runs on two hits across eight innings. Additionally, the Astros have won each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Rangers following a road win. While the Rangers have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against the Astros following a home loss.

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I want to lay the bucket with the Knicks at home and not overreact to game 5. However, the Celtics just played their most complete game of the playoffs. The Celtics have also been better on the road this season where they’ve racked up 35 wins. As good as the crowd is in MSG, the Knicks haven’t played well there in the playoffs. In fact, the Knicks have outright lost three of their last four home games as a favorite. Also, that Knicks crowd can get nervous very easily and if the Celtics start the game strong, it won’t be much of a factor. There’s also the fact the Knicks players keep getting run into the ground and the longer this series plays out, the more it favors the opponent. The entire Knicks starting five are in the top-12 for playoff minutes played. There’s only one Celtic player in the top-16, who is Derick White. A battle of nutrition could be a role in a tight game like this. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Knicks close things out, but I’m leaning toward the Celtics and the free bucket.

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Patrick has been solid this season with a 3.19 ERA and 1.25 WHIP, but it’s not enough for me to get off the Twins. The Twins haven’t lost a game since May 2, and their offense has caught fire during this streak. Ryan is also putting up CY Young consideration numbers as he has a 2.74 ERA and 0.83 WHIP while also being top-20 in strikeouts. Through 46 innings, Ryan is allowing a .196 batting average and is averaging more than a strikeout per frame. I’m just not trying to step in front of a team that’s won every game over the last two weeks and has one of the best pitchers on the hill. It’s a near pick 'em price, folks. Give me the Twins.

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I keep saying the Orioles aren’t a good team, and they keep losing games. The Orioles have won six games since April 20. I’m just not excited to get behind the Orioles. I’m even less interested in Povich on the mound, a pitcher who has allowed 43 hits and 22 earned runs in 35.2 innings. In 17 home innings, Povich has a 7.94 ERA and a .300 allowed batting average. The Nationals aren’t playing any better, but they have the edge with Gore on the bump. Gore is first in strikeouts and has a top-40 WHIP at 1.16. Give me the Nationals and the more reasonable price with the better pitcher. 

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Tanner Bibee will get the start for the Guardians here, and Bibee is 3-3 with a 3.80 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bibee is 1-1 with a 3.65 ERA and 18 strikeouts against the Reds. The Cincinnati Reds will send out Brady Singer for the start here, and Singer is 4-2 with a 4.97 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season.

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Winnipeg comes into this matchup down 3-1 in the series, but they will be on home ice, where they have been very good all season. The Jets have played pretty well in this series and they have generated chances, but they have done a horrible job of finishing those chances. I think we are going to see a desperate Winnipeg team get off to a fast start in this game and I think the energy from being at home in a must win game is going to give them the advantage. Take the Jets here. 

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The Thunder will continue to get love from oddsmakers and bettors as they’re 58-30-4 ATS on the season. OKC is the safest and most profitable bet in sports. With that said, the Nuggets have played OKC tough in this series and with a bounce here or a bounce there, this is a different series. The Nuggets win game 5 if anybody was willing to help Jokic in the fourth quarter. The good news is Jokic has found his form after struggling the first few games. Also, the Nuggets are 10-4 SU in their last 14 home games as an underdog, a stretch that goes back to April 2022. The Nuggets have also covered their last four home playoff games as an underdog, which includes three covers this postseason. I kind of expect this series to go the distance, but I’ll take the points with the Nuggets for insurance. 

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The Astros and Rangers are both playing solid baseball heading into this weekend's series, their first meeting of the 2025 season. The Astros should have the edge with Brown on the hill, both for his ability to get swings and misses and his ability to keep the ball in the yard. deGrom has already allowed seven home runs this season, while Brown has given up just one long ball. Another major advantage for the Astros is on the offensive end. The Rangers are hitting just .231 as a team, while the Rangers are hitting over .250 as a team. Additionally, Brown will get his team deeper in this game. He's off to a tremendous start with seven quality games in his first eight. deGrom is still working his way back from injury and has only made two quality starts in his first eight.

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The Hurricanes won six of the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the Canes lead the series 5-3. The Canes are a better team in this series and deserved to advance to the ECF, but I am backing the Capitals to win and live for another day. In order to win, though, the Capitals have to score at least three goals against the best defense in the playoffs. I am sure Alex Ovechkin and co. can do that and cut the deficit in series to 3-2. Go with Washington.

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I get the Thunder have been the best team in the league this season and they’ve been kind to bettors all year with a 58-29-4 ATS record. As I’ve said before, the Thunder are the best bet in sports these days. However, this line is disrespectful toward a Nuggets team that’s hung with the Thunder in this series and could easily have the lead right now. The Nuggets are also competing despite Jokic not playing great, which probably won’t happen for much longer. Also, this will be just the fifth time since 2024 where the Nuggets are double-digit underdogs. Since November 2023, the Nuggets are 3-2 SU as double-digit underdogs. Since November 2022, the Nuggets are 7-2 ATS as double-digit underdogs. I just don’t understand this line. The Nuggets aren’t going to roll over. Give me the points.

Rating: 2 Units

As I’ve said all year, the White Sox are a team we’ve faded endlessly these last three years, and it’s not going to stop now. The White Sox have won two straight games just twice this season. In 28.2 road innings, Cannon has a 5.65 ERA and a .267 allowed batting average. No, thanks. The Reds need to take advantage of games like this if they’re going to right the ship. Abbott has allowed seven hits and zero runs in his last nine innings. Abbott has allowed one or fewer runs in four of his first five starts. In nine home innings, Abbott has a 1.00 ERA and .161 allowed batting average. There’s no excuse for the Reds in a series like this.

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Framber Valdez has allowed nine runs in his last four starts, and allowed a .165 BA in 115 at-bats against Kansas City. The Royals are not great against lefties this year - a .235 BA in 281 at-bats. 

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The Celtics are still slightly shorthanded with Sam Hauser still ruled out, while the Knicks are coming in with a full squad once again. The Celtics needed to respond after dropping the first two games at home, but they will be feeling much better after bouncing back with a dominant win on the road in Game 3. The Celtics rediscovered their touch from the 3-point line where they connected on 20 of 40 attempts, and they are going to be too tough to beat if they can replicate those numbers. The Knicks were somewhat lucky to run down massive leads in the first two games, but they looked outmatched in Game 3 against a Celtics team who were playing like their season was on the line. The Knicks are 6-3 ATS in their nine games in these playoffs, while the Celtics are 4-4 ATS so far. The Knicks are capable of pulling off the upset here, but they're going to need a monster game from Brunson and plenty of support from Towns and Anunoby. The Celtics have fallen in love with the 3-point shot this season, and that could be their downfall if they get off to a slow start. But considering what is at stake, I think the Celtics come out swinging and earn the narrow win and cover on the road in this spot. 

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Washington comes into this matchup trying to tie the series at two, but they will have to deal with a Carolina team that was 31-9-1 at home in the regular season. I thought the Capitals played pretty well in the first 30 minutes of game three, but they couldn’t capitalize on any of their chances. Carolina has played very solid defense for most of this series and Andersen has been spectacular, but Thompson has also been very good for the Caps. I expect another lower scoring game in this series, but I am going to take a shot with the Capitals and this big plus money price, as I think Thompson gives them a chance to win. 

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Both teams come in off series wins over the weekend but the Pirates had dropped 10 of their previous 11 before firing Derek Shelton. Skenes has been solid but the Pirates’ offense hasn’t really done a ton in regards to providing support for him on the bump. One need look no further than his last start, where he allowed two runs over six innings but still took the loss as Pittsburgh mustered a single run. Peterson is a solid pitcher and more importantly, the Mets have a powerful lineup that is capable of putting crooked numbers on the board in a hurry. Skenes keeps Pittsburgh in it but the Mets are the better team: they get the win here thanks to their bats.

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The Cavs are now 52-36-1 ATS on the season which makes them the second most profitable team in the NBA behind only the Thunder. The Cavs also had their way in game 3 now that they’re at full strength, so it’s easy to back them again in game 4. I still like the Pacers and the points. I gave the Pacers a real shot to win this series before it started and one rough showing doesn’t change much. The Pacers have 32 wins at home this season and they can be scary good when the offense is rolling. I don’t think there’s much of a gap between these teams. I’m grabbing the points with the Pacers.

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The Jets split the first two games with their offense stepping up and scoring six goals. Nikolaj Ehlers and Gabriel Vilardi scored three goals and added two assists to lead the top two lines but the rest of the offense has stepped up as well. Mark Scheifele, Nino Niederreiter, and Adam Lowry have combined for three goals and two assists while defensemen Dylan DeMelo and Haydn Fleury have added four assists from the point to open up the offense. The offense has stepped up but the defense has taken over this series, allowing only four goals while shutting out the Stars in Game Two. Neal Pionk and Josh Morrissey have anchored the top two pairings while Dylan DeMelo, Dylan Samberg, and Haydn Fleury have added depth to the unit. In addition, goaltender Connor Hellebuyck has returned to his elite form in this series, stopping 42 of the 45 shots he's faced.

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The Thunder might still be kicking themselves after wasting a great opportunity to take the lead in the series, as they just went ice-cold in the overtime period to allow the Nuggets to slip away in the end. Gilgeous-Alexander had his moments earlier in the game, but overall he had a rough outing as he missed his final seven shot attempts and did not attempt a field goal in overtime. The pressure is on the Thunder to respond and avoid falling further behind in the series, but they are going to need Gilgeous-Alexander to show up big time. It's hard to imagine the Nuggets' Jokic having another poor shooting night, so while I like the Thunder to get the win, I feel that the Nuggets will do enough to at least get the cover in the end.

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The Oilers have won six straight games, while the Golden Knights have lost four of their last seven games. Edmonton has the edge here because they're playing well offensively and scored 17 goals in their last three home games. They have also played well on special teams, converting over 23 percent of their power play opportunities. The Golden Knights are 26th in the league in penalty kills, and they're not playing well defensively, giving up 10 goals in their last three road games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Oilers. Vegas won't be as successful offensively because they're not playing as well as the Oilers and scored nine goals in their last three road games. They've fared better on special teams, converting over 28 percent of their power play opportunities. The Oilers are 16th in the league in penalty kills and gave up 10 goals in their last three games, so expect them to keep Vegas' offense in check.

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The Giants have cooled off a bit over the last two weeks and Webb just isn’t the same pitcher he is on the road that he is at home. Even this season, Webb has a 0.44 ERA and .219 allowed batting average in 20.1 home innings, but he has a 4.18 ERA and .271 allowed batting average in 28 road innings. The Twins have won six straight games and are getting production across the board. Ryan has allowed 13 runs in 40 innings this season, and he’s given up eight hits and one run in his last 13 innings. The Twins have to be the play.

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The Rangers are getting the edge from oddsmakers because deGrom is on the mound, but that doesn’t mean much when Texas has scored a combined five runs in its last five games. The Rangers have been held to two or less runs in 10 of their last 14 games. The Tigers are head and shoulders the more trustworthy team offensively and Flaherty has a 1.59 ERA and .175 allowed batting average in 17 home innings. Also, in 71 at bats against current Rangers, Flaherty is allowing a .169 batting average, .234 on base percentage and has 21 strikeouts. I’ll take the Tigers in this intriguing Saturday MLB contest. 

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The Hurricanes have the momentum and haven't lost on their home ice yet in the playoffs, making it easy to think they will win the game and cover the spread. The problem is that the Capitals have made this a tight series, and they'll not only cover the spread but pull off the upset on the road. The Capitals look to build off a three-goal game and created plenty of scoring chances with Tom Wilson, Connor McMichael, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone while creating open shots with quick passes. The Capitals, who have allowed only three goals in the two games, should limit the Hurricanes offense with John Carlson, Jakob Chychrun, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Logan Thompson to make plenty of big saves. The Capitals should win Game Three and provide great odds in the process as road Underdogs.

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