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Michael Alexander Basketball Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
04-02-26 Wolves v. Pistons UNDER 225 108-113 Win 100 8 h 24 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Detroit is missing Stewart and Cunningham, Minnesota is managing a back-to-back schedule, the Under is drawing 82 percent of the money and 88 percent of the tickets, and the total is sitting at a number that prices in Detroit's recent over streak without accounting for the injury and motivation factors pulling in the opposite direction. Both teams project to play at a controlled pace with reduced urgency late in the game, and a final score in the 112-110 range lands comfortably under the number.

NOTE:  NIT selections will post after 4:00pm Eastern today

03-15-26 Vanderbilt v. Arkansas UNDER 166.5 75-86 Win 100 4 h 53 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

The Under is the stronger of the two plays, supported by the market's own two-point drop from the opening total, the history of these two programs tightening games in championship contexts, and the reality that both semifinal scores were inflated by opponent defensive lapses that Arkansas and Vanderbilt are unlikely to replicate against each other.

03-14-26 Virginia v. Duke OVER 137 70-74 Win 100 10 h 8 m Show

Rating: 4 Units

KenPom projects 75-65 Duke (140 total) — the line at 137.5 is 2.5 points low for two efficient offenses in a championship game. Both teams combine for 163.5 PPG in the regular season — tournament pace suppression is minimal; elite defenses can coexist with scoring. Virginia's recent dominance (9-game win streak, 84-62 over Miami) — the Cavs are generating offense efficiently; Duke's injuries (Foster, Ngongba II) don't suppress scoring upside.

03-14-26 Connecticut v. St. John's UNDER 140.5 52-72 Win 100 8 h 13 m Show

Rating: 4 Units

The total opened with the under at -105, the February 25 meeting finished at 112 combined points, and UConn's defensive identity is built to suppress exactly the kind of transition-heavy scoring that inflated the February 6 final. The under is the natural lean in a championship final played at this pace and physical intensity.

03-14-26 Hornets v. Spurs UNDER 229.5 102-115 Win 100 4 h 19 m Show

Rating: 4 Units

Charlotte ranks 22nd in the league in tempo and San Antonio ranks in the middle of the pack in that category. The Spurs are an elite defensive team and the Hornets are comfortable playing a defensive game. Charlotte prints money for under bettors (26-41 O/U) and so does San Antonio to a lesser degree (29-38 O/U). Take the under

03-14-26 Bucks v. Hawks OVER 227.5 Top 99-122 Loss -115 4 h 2 m Show

NBA Total of the Week

Rating: 5 Units


There is a contrast of styles in this matchup. Atlanta is playing at the fourth fastest tempo in the league, while Milwaukee ranks 25th in that category. The Bucks (28-37 O/U) have been a profitable team for under bettors, but recent form suggests otherwise. Milwaukee has been torched for 129 point or more in three of their previous five games. Take the over.

03-14-26 Wisconsin v. Michigan UNDER 161 65-68 Win 100 3 h 60 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Each of Wisconsin’s last seven day games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 151 or fewer points. While thirty-eight of Michigan’s last 42 day games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 161 or fewer points.

03-07-26 North Carolina v. Duke UNDER 147.5 61-76 Win 100 6 h 52 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Duke's defensive identity has been elite down the stretch, and with UNC shorthanded and likely to struggle creating consistent offense against this Blue Devil defense, expect a final score that lands comfortably under the number.

02-27-26 Nets v. Celtics OVER 207 111-148 Win 100 9 h 38 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

The Nets don’t currently have any players listed on their injury report, while the Celtics have ruled out Jayson Tatum once again. The Nets have been one of the coldest teams in the league; they are playing this game on zero days’ rest and their last five games have been double-digit defeats. In contrast, the Celtics were on fire before they got humbled in their last game and I fully expect them to take out their frustrations on the lowly Nets, who aren’t playing for much at this stage of the season. The line is certainly hefty, but I think the Celtics get off to a quick start and cruise to a comfortable win in this one.

02-24-26 Tennessee v. Missouri OVER 144 69-73 Loss -110 12 h 15 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

The total has climbed from 143.5 to 144.5. With Missouri shooting efficiently and Tennessee possessing scoring options of its own, I lean toward a higher-scoring contest than the early number suggested.

02-22-26 Green Bay v. Detroit OVER 148 70-74 Loss -105 4 h 20 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

The Phoenix average 73.2 points per game on the road. They play at the 340th-fastest pace in the country, averaging 66.9 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 81.4 points per game at home. The Titans average 82.7 points per game at home. They play at the 112th-fastest pace in the country, averaging 72 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 77.9 points per game on the road. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.

02-21-26 Pistons v. Bulls UNDER 233.5 126-110 Loss -115 12 h 45 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Both teams score the ball well, but the Detroit Pistons’ defense will be the difference on Saturday. Look for Detroit to stifle Chicago from the opening minutes, leading to a defensive onslaught. Consider that Eech of the Bulls’ last four games as home underdogs following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line. While each of the Pistons’ last four games as favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

02-21-26 Michigan v. Duke OVER 150.5 63-68 Loss -110 10 h 48 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Michigan is averaging 90.7 points per game, which ranks seventh-best in the nation. While on defense Michigan is allowing 68.8 points per game, which ranks 47th.

02-21-26 Arizona State v. Baylor OVER 157 68-73 Loss -110 7 h 39 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

I expect both offenses to find rhythm in this matchup. Arizona State averages nearly 79 points per game, while Baylor posts 83 per contest. With both teams shooting efficiently and neither defense consistently shutting down opponents, this game has strong potential to push past the total.

02-21-26 Tennessee v. Vanderbilt OVER 150.5 69-65 Loss -108 5 h 14 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Each of Vanderbilt’s last four games have produced a total of 151+ points. Each of Tennessee’s last four day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.

02-21-26 Samford v. Mercer OVER 154 86-89 Win 100 5 h 27 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Mercer has earned 2,238 pts this year (82.9 per contest) and they pull down 39.2 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Bears are hitting on 45.3% from the field, which is 174th in the nation. While the Bears on defense are ranked 197th in the nation in points allowed per game with 74.3.

02-19-26 Magic v. Kings OVER 225 131-94 Push 0 8 h 25 m Show

Rating: 4 Units

Sacramento is one of the worst-scoring teams in the league, but its defense is terrible, resulting in a ton of points each game. Look for Orlando to score the ball in bunches as they have no issue against a lackluster Sacramento defense Thursday night. Sacramento will struggle to score, limiting the total in this matchup. Orlando will do the job, leading to the win and the total will go under the number as Sacramento will continue their offensive struggles.

02-19-26 UC-Davis v. CS-Fullerton OVER 155.5 92-93 Win 100 8 h 50 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

These two teams average 161.1 points per game combined, 4.6 more than the over/under of 156.5. CSU Fullerton and UC Davis have seen its opponents average a combined 0.1 more points per game than the over/under of 156.5 set in this outing. The average over/under CSU Fullerton has had in its matchups this season is 9.0 more points than this particular game’s point total.

02-19-26 South Dakota v. Denver OVER 161 70-90 Loss -110 7 h 56 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Denver has accounted for 2,331 pts for the campaign (83.3 per game) and they pull in 34.5 rebounds per contest and defensively are ranked 352nd in D-1 in PPG given up with 82.7. They are forcing 8.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 48.3% from the field (352nd in college).

02-19-26 SIU-Edwardsville v. Tennessee Tech UNDER 135.5 52-62 Win 100 6 h 57 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

02-19-26 Tenn-Martin v. Arkansas-Little Rock OVER 134 65-67 Loss -125 6 h 38 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Each of Little Rock’s last seven night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Jack Stephens Center have produced a total of 137+ points. Thirty of UT Martin’s last 40 night games against the Ohio Valley Conference have produced a total of 135+ points.

02-18-26 Illinois v. USC OVER 149.5 101-65 Win 100 8 h 56 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

I expect this matchup to trend toward the over. Both teams average over 80 points per game and shoot 47% from the field. USC’s pace and Illinois’ offensive efficiency should create a game with plenty of scoring opportunities. Even with solid defensive stretches, the tempo suggests this one climbs higher.

02-18-26 Troy State v. Louisiana-Monroe OVER 154.5 77-76 Loss -110 5 h 15 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Between them, these two teams average 0.4 more points per game than this game’s total. Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.5 more points per game  than this matchup’s over/under. The average total Troy has had set in games this season is 2.8 more points than this outing’s point total. The average point total for the Warhawks this season is 2.0 points higher than this game’s over/under.

02-18-26 Cleveland State v. Youngstown State OVER 157 82-106 Win 100 5 h 31 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Eleven of Cleveland State’s last 12 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 161+ points. Four of Youngstown State’s last five night games have produced a total of 161+ points.

02-16-26 Florida A&M v. Alcorn State OVER 137.5 86-78 Win 100 5 h 28 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Offensively, Florida A&M averages 69.2 points per game, while allowing 76.9 points per game defensively.  While Offensively, Alcorn State averages 66.4 points per game, while allowing 82.3 points per game defensively. 

02-16-26 Southern v. Texas Southern OVER 151.5 73-74 Loss -110 7 h 43 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

These teams last met up back on January 3 in an 84-73 road loss for the Tigers. In that game Texas Southern shot a tepid 41.5 percent from the field and just 21.1 percent (4-of-19) from outside while giving up 50.9 percent shooting on the other side. The Tigers were competitive on the boards but got into major mistake issues with 17 turnovers—not to mention the 38-30 deficit on points in the paint. The Tigers will need to clean a lot of things up in this home rematch but I think they’re up for it.

02-16-26 New Orleans v. Incarnate Word OVER 153.5 78-64 Loss -105 6 h 7 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Incarnate Word averages 75.7 points per game (188th in college basketball) while allowing 74.8 per outing (214th in college basketball). It has a +23 scoring differential overall. While New Orleans has been outscored by 2.9 points per game (posting 76.6 points per game, 162nd in college basketball, while giving up 79.5 per outing, 321st in college basketball) and has a -79 scoring differential.

02-16-26 UL - Lafayette v. Old Dominion UNDER 136.5 72-83 Loss -110 3 h 32 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

The Ragin’ Cajuns have scored 62.6 points per game with 30.2 rebounds and 10.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 69.0 points against per game this season.

02-15-26 College of Charleston v. Campbell OVER 157 62-57 Loss -110 8 h 53 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

The Campbell Fighting Camels are averaging 80.8 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 79.2 points on 49.2 percent shooting.  While the Charleston Cougars are averaging 76.3 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 74.6 points on 41.8 percent shooting. 

02-15-26 IU Indianapolis v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 160.5 78-83 Win 100 5 h 2 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

The Mastodons and Jaguars average 2.2 more points between them than the over/under of 160.5 for this matchup. Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.6 more points per game, 165.1, than this game’s over/under of 160.5 points. The average total in Jaguars games this season is 12.0 more points than the point total of 160.5 for this outing.

02-15-26 Denver v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 159.5 76-83 Loss -110 4 h 7 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Pioneers have scored 83.5 points per game with 34.4 rebounds and 11.5 assists per game, while they have allowed 82.7 points against per game this season.  While ten of Denver’s last 11 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 161+ points.

02-14-26 Loyola Marymount v. Pepperdine OVER 145.5 89-90 Win 100 8 h 34 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

In this Loyola Marymount vs Pepperdine Prediction, Loyola Marymount is coming as -5.5 road favorites. Loyola Marymount has been the better team this season but both teams have been in terrible form lately. Pepperdine is 1-9 in its last 10 games and 1-4 against the spread, while Loyola Marymount is 2-7 both straight up and against the spread in its last 9 games, so I cannot pick a side in this matchup. Both teams are 7-2 to the over in their last 9 games combined and their previous meeting last season was also a high-scoring one, with 175 total points. Take the over 145.5 points in this one.

02-14-26 New Orleans v. Houston Christian OVER 150.5 60-61 Loss -115 7 h 25 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

This season, New Orleans and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's over/under of 151.5 points 19 times. Six of Houston Christian's games have finished with a combined score over 150.5 points this season. The 153.8 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 3.3 more than the 150.5-point over/under in this contest. On average, New Orleans has seen a 157.4-point over/under in its games this season, 6.9 more points than the over/under in this contest.

02-14-26 Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Alabama State OVER 151.5 61-79 Loss -110 7 h 50 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

The two teams average a combined 1.0 more point per game, 151.5, than this matchup’s over/under of 150.5 points. Opponents of the two teams average a combined 11.3 more points per game, 161.8, than this matchup’s total of 150.5 points. Alabama State’s average point total in outings this year is 152.2, 1.7 points higher than the over/under in this game. The average total for Golden Lions games this season is 10.6 more points than the point total of 150.5 for this outing.

02-14-26 Tennessee State v. Morehead State OVER 151 86-94 Win 100 6 h 8 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Tennessee State comes into this contest with a mark of 16-8 so far this year. They are averaging 80.9 points per outing (86th in Division 1) on 46.3% from the floor. While on the defensive end, the Tigers are forcing 14.8 turnovers per game while drawing 16.7 fouls. They are giving up 33.1% on 3-point shots and they rank 234th in the country in PPG allowed (75.6).

02-14-26 Delaware v. Missouri State OVER 133.5 76-67 Win 100 5 h 22 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 6.2 more points per game (143.7) than this matchup’s total of 137.5 points. The average total Norfolk State has had in its games this season is 11.7 more points than this particular game’s point total. Each of Norfolk State’s last seven games have produced a total of 143+ points.

02-14-26 Army v. American OVER 144.5 63-75 Loss -110 5 h 46 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Offensively, Army averages 72.9 points per game, while allowing 77.5 points per game defensively. The Black Knights shoot with 41% from the field and grab 36.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15 assists per game. They average 1.5 blocks per game and 5.6 steals per game defensively. While offensively, American averages 74.8 points per game, while allowing 72.3 points per game defensively. The Eagles shoot with 45% from the field and grab 32.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14 assists per game. They average 1.7 blocks per game and 7.8 steals per game defensively.

02-14-26 Chicago State v. Le Moyne OVER 144.5 63-81 Loss -110 4 h 3 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Le Moyne and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (144.5 points) 10 times this season. This season, 13 games Chicago State has played finished with a combined score higher than 144.5 points. The 151 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 6.5 more than the 144.5-point total in this contest. Le Moyne has a 147.0 average over/under in its games this season, 2.5 more points than the over/under in this contest.

02-13-26 Cornell v. Princeton OVER 154 89-65 Push 0 8 h 30 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

This season, Cornell and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's over/under 15 times. This season, three of Princeton's games have ended with a combined score higher than todays total. The over/under for the contest of 154.5 is 6.0 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Big Red (91.1 points per game) and the Tigers (69.4 points per game). The 156.7 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 2.2 more than the 154.5-point total in this contest. On average, Cornell has had a 176.2-point over/under in its games this season, 21.7 more points than the over/under in this contest.

02-13-26 Mt. St. Mary's v. Rider OVER 138 65-55 Loss -110 7 h 22 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Offensively, Rider averages 63.4 points per game, while allowing 76.7 points per game defensively. The Broncs shoot with 40% from the field and grab 35.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 10.5 assists per game. They average 3.6 blocks per game and 5.1 steals per game defensively. While offensively, Mount St. Mary’s averages 68.2 points per game, while allowing 72.8 points per game defensively. The Mountaineers shoot with 43% from the field and grab 36.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.6 assists per game. They average 3.1 blocks per game and 5.8 steals per game defensively.

02-13-26 Manhattan v. Niagara OVER 136 76-69 Win 100 7 h 19 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Niagara plays at the second-slowest pace in the country, notching 62.1 possessions per 40 minutes. In conference play, the Purple Eagles tally just 61.8 possessions per 40 minutes, while the Jaspers register 68.7 possessions per 40 minutes (3rd in the MAAC). Despite Niagara’s pace of play, I will take the over. The Purple Eagles turn the ball over a lot, and the Jaspers will look to push the ball in transition as much as possible. Manhattan wants to force Niagara to run up and down the floor, and the Jaspers will attack the rim a lot. Moreover, Manhattan’s 3-point defense is awful, and Niagara will hit some shots from deep. These two teams combined for 149 points in January, and Niagara went 10-for-25 from downtown. The over is 5-1 in the previous six encounters between Niagara and Manhattan.

02-12-26 Memphis v. North Texas OVER 137 69-76 Win 100 6 h 24 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

North Texas’ defense has hit a rough patch lately, but they showed some real resilience on Saturday by bouncing back with an important road win at UTSA. Now the Mean Green will try to keep that momentum going, but it won’t come easy, as they’ll have to get through Memphis to do it. The Tigers have been playing well and have stacked up a few statement wins of their own as the season has gone on. They’re chasing their eighth conference win and sitting just one game behind South Florida and Tulsa at the top of the conference standings, so this one carries a lot of weight. At the same time, Memphis can’t afford to get ahead of itself, as North Texas is capable of making things difficult if the Tigers take them lightly. Final Score Prediction 72-68.

02-12-26 Louisiana Tech v. Missouri State OVER 135.5 79-78 Win 100 6 h 49 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

02-12-26 Portland State v. Northern Arizona OVER 134.5 77-68 Win 100 5 h 17 m Show

Rating: 3  Units

02-12-26 St. Thomas v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 155.5 94-98 Win 100 8 h 5 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

The over makes sense if Omaha is successfully speeding the game up, creating extra possessions, and turning the fourth quarter into a free-throw-heavy finish. The under makes sense if St. Thomas (MN) controls pace, reduces transition chances, and forces Omaha into longer possessions with fewer clean rim looks. The juice profile suggests the market is shading toward the over, which is worth respecting, but totals in this range are often decided by turnovers and foul frequency more than pure shooting.

02-12-26 Long Island v. Wagner OVER 140 67-57 Loss -110 4 h 25 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

02-12-26 Winthrop v. Gardner-Webb OVER 153 103-85 Win 100 7 h 11 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Winthrop averages 103.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (64th in college basketball), and allows 90.9 points per 100 possessions (90th in college basketball). The Eagles are posting 92.4 points per game this year when playing at home, which is 15.2 more points than they’re averaging on the road (77.2).

02-12-26 Middle Tennessee v. Kennesaw State OVER 147.5 90-87 Win 100 4 h 44 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

02-11-26 Pepperdine v. St. Mary's OVER 142 60-88 Win 100 10 h 37 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Each of Pepperdine’s last seven road games have produced a total of 143+ points. While ten of the last 11 games between Pepperdine and Saint Mary’s have produced a total of 143 or more points.

02-11-26 Missouri v. Texas A&M OVER 157.5 86-85 Win 100 9 h 33 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

Nine of Texas A&M’s last 10 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Reed Arena have produced a total of 160+ points. While each of Missouri’s last five road games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 154 or more points.

02-11-26 South Florida v. Wichita State OVER 159 66-58 Loss -110 7 h 59 m Show

Rating: 3 Units

The South Florida Bulls average 89 points (6th in country) on 44.2 percent shooting from the field and 33.6 percent shooting from three-point range per game. Shifting our attention to the defensive side of the basketball, the Bulls are allowing opponents 80.5 points per contest.

02-11-26 Bucks v. Magic UNDER 220.5 116-108 Loss -110 7 h 57 m Show

Rating: 4 Units

Both teams are scoring the ball well this season, but Milwaukee is struggling on that end of the floor. Expect Milwaukee to continue to have issues, and they will be shorthanded in this matchup. Orlando will overwhelm Milwaukee on defense, leading to an offensive struggle for the Bucks. Take the under on Wednesday night as the Orlando Magic get the job done again to secure the home win and cover against Milwauke

02-10-26 Purdue v. Nebraska UNDER 145.5 80-77 Loss -105 2 h 26 m Show

Rating: 4 Units

The Nebraska Cornhuskers average 80 points on 47.3 percent shooting from the field (52nd in country) and 35.7 percent shooting from beyond the arc per game. Defensively, the Cornhuskers are allowing opponents 66.1 points per contest which ranks 18th in the country.    

02-05-26 Fairfield v. Sacred Heart UNDER 155.5 92-87 Loss -112 5 h 38 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

The Fairfield Stags are averaging 73.5 points on 42.5 percent shooting from the field and 33.2 percent shooting from three-point range per game. Defensively, the Stags are allowing opponents 73 points per contest.

02-04-26 Colorado v. Baylor OVER 157.5 67-86 Loss -110 6 h 28 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

02-04-26 Lipscomb v. Austin Peay UNDER 157.5 76-87 Loss -110 7 h 31 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

02-04-26 Liberty v. Delaware OVER 132 75-69 Win 100 6 h 36 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

02-01-26 Iowa v. Oregon OVER 132.5 84-66 Win 100 9 h 11 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Twenty of Iowa’s last 21 day games against the Big Ten Conference have produced a total of 135+ points. While eight of Oregon’s last nine day games have produced a total of 137+ points.

01-31-26 Colorado State v. Wyoming OVER 138.5 57-68 Loss -110 10 h 6 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Eight of Wyoming’s last nine night games at Arena-Auditorium have produced a total of 141+ points. While nine of Colorado State’s last 11 games at Arena-Auditorium have produced a total of 140+ points.

01-31-26 Austin Peay v. West Georgia UNDER 151 81-78 Loss -110 5 h 16 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

The Governors are able to force 16.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 17.2 personal fouls. They surrender 31.3% on 3-pointers while they are 93rd in the country in points per game from their opponents (70.3). While West Georgia has scored 1,589 points for the season (75.7 per contest) and they average 36.1 rebounds per game.

01-31-26 Baylor v. West Virginia OVER 138.5 63-53 Loss -110 5 h 57 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Each of the last eight games between Baylor and West Virginia have produced a total of 140+ points. While each of Baylor’s last six games at Hope Coliseum have produced a total of 140+ points.

01-31-26 Norfolk State v. Howard UNDER 145.5 60-88 Loss -110 5 h 6 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Offensively, Howard averages 74 points per game, while allowing 70 points per game defensively.

01-31-26 College of Charleston v. Northeastern UNDER 163.5 89-84 Loss -110 3 h 19 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Northeastern has earned 1,534 points on the campaign (76.7 per game) and they average 30.9 rebounds per contest. While  The Huskies are ranked 338th in college hoops in points given up per game with 81.1. They are able to force 13.1 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 49.8% from the floor (359th in college).

01-30-26 Northern Kentucky v. Detroit UNDER 161 77-90 Loss -110 10 h 33 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Each of Northern Kentucky’s last nine road night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 156 or fewer points. While seven of Detroit Mercy’s last eight home games against Northern Kentucky have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.

01-29-26 Hawaii v. Cal-Irvine UNDER 141.5 76-87 Loss -115 12 h 51 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Each of Hawaii’s last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 139 points. Four of the last five games between Hawaii and UC Irvine have produced a total of 133 or fewer points.

01-29-26 Lindenwood v. Southern Indiana UNDER 150 73-60 Win 100 9 h 25 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.2 fewer points per game (146.3) than this game’s total of 150.5 points.  The average total for Screaming Eagles games this year is 6.6 fewer points than the point total of 150.5 for this outing.

01-29-26 Penn State v. Northwestern OVER 148 73-94 Win 100 9 h 4 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Offensively, Penn State averages 76.6 points per game, while allowing 77.8 points per game defensively. Offensively, Northwestern averages 76.5 points per game, while allowing 71.7 points per game defensively. 

01-29-26 Radford v. Charleston Southern UNDER 163.5 84-75 Win 100 8 h 10 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

The Charleston Southern Buccaneers are averaging 84.2 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 78.4 points on 40.6 percent shooting.

01-28-26 UCLA v. Oregon OVER 135 73-57 Loss -110 12 h 30 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Oregon has accumulated 1,462 pts on the season (73.1 per game) and they pull down 36.2 boards per contest. The Ducks on the defensive end are ranked 201st in college in points per game surrendered with 74.2.  UCLA averages 77.4 points per outing (169th in college) while going 47.9% from the field and give up 29.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 66th in college hoops in PPG from their opponents (69.1).

01-28-26 Colorado State v. San Diego State OVER 138.5 50-73 Loss -110 12 h 7 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Offensively, Colorado State has been solid this season, averaging 77.9 points on 50% shooting from the floor, but the Rams scored only 61 points in their last loss. Defensively, Colorado State is allowing 70.9 points per game this season through 20 games played. While The San Diego State offense has been the team's biggest strength this season, averaging 81.3 points on 40% shooting from the floor. Defensively, the Aztecs have been top-tier, holding opponents to 72.1 points per game this season.

01-28-26 Texas v. Auburn OVER 156 82-88 Win 100 9 h 49 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Texas steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss mark of 12-8 on the campaign. They are averaging 86.1 points per game (26th in D-1) while hitting 49.0% from the floor. On defense, the Longhorns are forcing 10.8 turnovers per contest while drawing 22.1 personal fouls. They give up 34.8% on shots from downtown while they are 211th in the nation in points per game allowed (74.6).

01-27-26 Massachusetts v. Miami-OH UNDER 164.5 84-86 Loss -110 11 h 14 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

The UMass Minutemen are averaging 79.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 74.2 points on 44.3 percent shooting. 

01-25-26 Oregon v. Washington OVER 142.5 57-72 Loss -110 5 h 32 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Offensively, Washington averages 79.4 points per game, while allowing 74.1 points per game defensively. While offensively, Oregon averages 73.9 points per game, while allowing 74.3 points per game defensively.

01-24-26 NC State v. Pittsburgh OVER 145.5 81-72 Win 100 2 h 43 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

In this NC State vs Pittsburgh Prediction, NC State is coming as -5.5 road favorites. NC State has been the better team this season as they have a better overall record and have been very good at home, while Pitt has been mediocre at home. NC State is 3-1 in its last 4 games but just 2-3 against the spread, while Pitt is 1-4 in its last 5 and 1-3 against the spread, so I would rather not pick a side. Both teams are 11-3 to the over in their last 14 games combined, as NC State has the 56th-best offense in the entire country, so I will go with the over the total in this one.

01-22-26 UL - Lafayette v. Appalachian State OVER 122.5 58-72 Win 100 1 h 13 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Offensively, Louisiana averages 60.2 points per game, while allowing 69.1 points per game defensively. While offensively, App State averages 72.9 points per game, while allowing 67.1 points per game defensively.

01-21-26 Georgetown v. Villanova OVER 142.5 51-66 Loss -115 8 h 33 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Thirteen of Georgetown’s last 14 games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 143+ points. While each of Villanova’s last five games have produced a total of 148+ points.

01-20-26 San Jose State v. Nevada OVER 141.5 54-87 Loss -110 12 h 18 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Offensively, San José State averages 71.6 points per game, while allowing 75.6 points per game defensively. While offensively, Nevada averages 76.4 points per game, while allowing 71.6 points per game defensively. 

01-20-26 Air Force v. Colorado State OVER 132.5 52-81 Win 100 11 h 27 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

This season, 13 of Colorado State's 17 games have gone over Tuesday's over/under of 132.5 points. This season, 11 of Air Force's games have ended with a combined score higher than 132.5 points. The Rams average 78.6 points per game against the Falcons' 62.2, totaling 8.3 points over the game's point total of 132.5. The 148.2 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 15.7 more than the 132.5 over/under in this contest. On average, Colorado State has seen a 150.9-point over/under in its games this season, 18.4 more points than the over/under in this contest.  A difference of 5.6 points separates the average over/under in Air Force's games (138.1 points) and this game's over/under (132.5).

01-17-26 Austin Peay v. Lipscomb UNDER 155 78-82 Loss -110 8 h 44 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

The 144.8 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 10.2 less than the 155-point total in this contest. The over/under for this matchup is 5.2 points less than the average over/under in Austin Peay's games this season (149.8 points).

01-17-26 UL - Lafayette v. South Alabama OVER 127 59-56 Loss -110 5 h 54 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

01-15-26 Hawaii v. Cal Poly UNDER 157.5 86-66 Win 100 11 h 40 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

In this Hawaii vs Cal Poly, Hawaii is coming as -6.5 road favorites. Hawaii has been the better team this season, with a superior overall record but they have been below average on the road. They have been red-hot lately, with a 8-1 record in their last 9 games but are 1-4 against the spread in their last 5. Cal Poly is struggling with a 2-6 record in its last 8 games but are 3-1 against the spread, so I see no value on either side. Both teams are 10-2 to the under in their last 12 games combined, as Hawaii has a top-30 defense in the entire country, so I expect a low-scoring affair. Take the under

01-15-26 North Carolina A&T v. William & Mary UNDER 163 89-97 Loss -110 8 h 43 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

North Carolina A&T has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.30 Units / 11% ROI). While William & Mary has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)

01-14-26 Florida International v. Kennesaw State UNDER 171.5 86-89 Loss -110 9 h 24 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Kennesaw State has totaled 1,423 points this season (88.9 per game) and they pull in 45.1 rebounds per contest. When it comes to offense, the Owls are shooting 45.4% from the floor, which is 185th in Division 1. The Owls on the defensive end are ranked 259th in college in PPG surrendered with 76.4.

01-14-26 USC Upstate v. Charleston Southern UNDER 155 86-81 Loss -115 9 h 6 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

USC Upstate will take the court with a record of 8-10 so far this season. They are averaging 76.4 points per contest (197th in Division 1) while going 45.2% from the field. On the defensive end, the Spartans are forcing 12.4 turnovers every game and they draw 17.9 personal fouls. They are 73rd in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 198 relinquished so far this season. The Spartans are giving up a shooting percentage of 41.3% (443 of 1,073) and they surrender 37.6 boards per game as a squad. They surrender 31.8% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 136th in college hoops in PPG allowed (71.7).

01-13-26 Texas A&M v. Tennessee UNDER 161 82-87 Loss -108 9 h 28 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Each of Tennessee’s last 17 Tuesday games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 156 or fewer points. While Nine of Texas A&M’s last 10 night games have produced a total of 160 or less points.

01-13-26 Massachusetts v. Western Michigan UNDER 161 85-82 Loss -110 10 h 32 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

The UMass Minutemen are averaging 80.7 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 74.2 points on 43.6 percent shooting. While the Western Michigan Broncos are averaging 76.1 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 78.3 points on 44.2 percent shooting.

01-10-26 CS Sacramento v. Portland State UNDER 162.5 69-96 Loss -110 6 h 44 m Show

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 155.1 points per game, 7.4 fewer than the point total in this game. Portland State’s average point total in outings this season is 155.5, 7.5 points fewer than the over/under in this game.

01-10-26 Troy State v. UL - Lafayette OVER 133.5 90-70 Win 100 2 h 26 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Troy is averaging 86.5 PPG on 45.4% shooting from the field, 34.6% from three and 72.5% from the foul line this season. While Louisiana is averaging 58.5 PPG on 38.8% shooting from the field, 31% from three and 67.5% from the foul line this season.

01-10-26 Wisconsin v. Michigan UNDER 169.5 91-88 Loss -110 2 h 30 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

The Michigan defense is giving up just 66.9 points per game and are ranked #1 in adjusted offensive efficiency at KenPom. Wisconsin’s offense is ranked just #64 in adjusted offensive efficiency and #228 in three-point percentage. The Badgers will need to shoot the ball well from the outside to compete with the Wolverines and they have not done that well so far this season. 

01-08-26 Cal Poly v. CS-Northridge UNDER 175.5 90-95 Loss -110 11 h 8 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Each of Cal State Northridge’s last 28 night games against Conference opponents at Premier America Credit Union Arena have produced a total of 172 or fewer points. Sixty-seven of Cal Poly’s last 71 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 173 or fewer points.

01-08-26 Louisiana-Monroe v. UL - Lafayette OVER 139 79-85 Win 100 10 h 42 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 12.4 more points per game (151.9) than this game’s total of 139.5 points. Warhawks games this season have averaged a total of 157.5 points, 18.0 more than the point total in this matchup.

01-07-26 Kansas State v. Arizona UNDER 172.5 76-101 Loss -110 9 h 2 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Each of Kansas State’s last 28 games against the Big 12 Conference Conference have produced a total of 158 or fewer points. While thirteen of Arizona’s last 15 night games against the Big 12 Conference have produced a total of 170 or fewer points.

01-07-26 St. Louis v. VCU UNDER 171.5 71-62 Win 100 7 h 6 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Both teams are having solid seasons coming into Wednesday, as each has already accumulated double-digit wins in the first few months of the year. Saint Louis is the better team in this matchup, as they are stronger on both sides of the ball. However, they are also more experienced, which could be a factor in this matchup. Look for the billions to keep their winning ways going on Wednesday night on the road as they take on VCU. Final Score Prediction, Saint Louis Billikens win and cover 85-79. Go Under

01-06-26 Georgia v. Florida UNDER 176 77-92 Win 100 10 h 40 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Florida is averaging 86.2 points per game on 44.1 percent shooting from the field and 25.7 percent shooting from three‑point range. Defensively, the Gators are allowing opponents 69.2 points per game on 35.3 percent shooting from the field which ranks seventh in the nation.  While the Georgia Bulldogs are averaging 98.3 points (1st in the nation) on 49.1 percent shooting from the field and 30 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. Defensively, the Bulldogs are allowing opponents 71.2 points per game.

01-05-26 Northwestern State v. Nicholls State OVER 142.5 72-74 Win 100 11 h 47 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

The two teams average a combined 3.6 more points per game, 148.1, than this game’s total of 144.5 points. Opponents of the two teams average a combined 9.2 more points per game, 153.7, than this game’s over/under of 144.5 points. The average over/under Nicholls State has had in its games this season is 6.4 more points than this particular game’s point total. Demons games this year have averaged an over/under of 150.8 points, 6.3 more than the point total in this matchup.

01-04-26 Iona v. Marist UNDER 148.5 38-83 Win 100 3 h 15 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Iona hasn’t been able to win more than two consecutive games since their first four-game win streak to open the season. They’ve been below 65 points in consecutive losses. While Marist shot just 32.7 percent from the field with 3-of-17 (17.6 percent) from outside during a bad shooting outing versus Saint Peter’s in their last game. The Foxes have finished below 60 points in consecutive losses during their last two outings.

01-04-26 New Haven v. Central Connecticut State OVER 128.5 61-72 Win 100 2 h 26 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

These two teams average a combined 145 points per game, 16.5 more points than the total of 128.5 set for this game. Opponents of the two teams average a combined 11.5 more points per game, 140, than this matchup’s over/under of 128.5 points. The average total for Cent. Conn. St.’s games this season is 23.2 more points than the over/under of 128.5 in this game. The average over/under for Chargers games this year is 4.9 more points than the point total of 128.5 in this outing.

01-03-26 Alabama State v. Mississippi Valley State OVER 144.5 89-69 Win 100 7 h 46 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Each of Mississippi Valley State’s last seven day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 139 or more points. Eight of Alabama State’s last 10 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 138 or more points.

01-03-26 Houston Christian v. Incarnate Word OVER 141 56-73 Loss -110 6 h 51 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

Each of Houston Christian’s last six games have produced a total of 143+ points. Nine of Incarnate Word’s last 10 day games have produced a total of 143+ points.

01-03-26 New Orleans v. Northwestern State OVER 149 68-74 Loss -105 5 h 25 m Show

Rating: 2 Units

The New Orleans Privateers are averaging 72.7 points on 43 percent shooting from the field and 34.5 percent shooting from behind the arc. On the defensive side of the basketball, the Privateers are allowing opponents 82.5 points per game which ranks an abysmal 316th in the nation.

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