Rating: 2 Units

The Magic have lost each of their last 11 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back after winning as underdogs and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games after winning as underdogs. While the home team has won four of the Hornets' last five games and has covered the spread in four of the last five games between the Magic and Hornets.

Rating: 2 Units

The Patriots did a great job of that, holding Duke to nine points on 3-for-13 shooting with four turnovers. However, they let the rest of the Braves' roster beat them. Senior forward Christian Davis scored a career-high 21 points and junior center Corey Thomas came out of nowhere to match him with 21 points. Thomas scored a total of 17 points in his previous ten games combined, so him scoring 21 against the Patriots (with 11 rebounds!) is something that no one saw coming. The obvious question is, can they do it again? We're not too concerned with Chattanooga's offense on the road. Since January 1, the Mocs have played 12 games away from home and have scored at least 75 points in 11 of those games. Haslametrics maintains a rating called "Away from Home" that measures how well a team maintains their home form when they play on the road. Chattanooga is top-10 in the country in that metric. Since mid-December, the Mocs have gone 12-2 against the spread away from home.

Rating: 2 Units

Our power ratings side with Milwaukee but with Lillard not playing again and Phoenix going 8-2 ATS across their last ten games, we’re going to side with the hotter team as home favorites. Yes, we’re aware Phoenix is one of the worst ATS teams in the league this season but they’re finally finding their groove, now sitting in the final play-in spot in the Western Conference. The Suns will have an extra day of rest over the Bucks and when Milwaukee plays with a rest disadvantage they’re just 6-14 ATS. It’s also worth noting that Grayson Allen and Nick Richards will return to the lineup tonight for Phoenix who both missed the team’s last game with the team sitting first in offensive rating across their last ten games and Milwaukee sitting just 15th. Take the Suns to roll by multiple baskets at home tonight.

Rating: 2 Units

The Magic defeated the Lakers 119-118 in LA way back in November and it’s worth noting that Anthony Davis scored 39 points for LA as the Magic played without Paolo Banchero and Wendell Clark Jr. who are both active now. LA won’t be able to take advantage as much inside without Davis any longer and it also helps that the Magic are in solid form as of late going 5-2 ATS across their last seven games. The Lakers are just 5-8-1 ATS as a road favorite with this being their first game away from home in ten days and will have the rest disadvantage heading in. Put the points in your pocket with the home Magic who sit just two games out of Atlanta in the Southeast Division.

Rating: 2 Units

The Raptors have won each of their last 10 Monday night games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record and have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record. While the Wizards have lost 15 of their last 16 games against Atlantic Division opponents following a loss and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites.

Rating: 2 Units

The Wildcats and Ducks have both won three of their last four games. Arizona has the edge here because they're shooting the ball well, making over 50 percent of their shots and 42 percent of their three-pointers  in their last three games, while the Ducks make 45 percent of their shots and 34 percent of their three-pointers. They've also done a better job at the charity stripe, making over 77 percent of their free throws. Their ball movement is very good and they rebound the ball well, grabbing more than 10 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job of protecting the ball and won't give up many easy-scoring chances. The Ducks have struggled defensively on the road, giving up more than 72 points per game and their perimeter defense has been the biggest issue. They are facing a team that is shooting the ball well from long distance and will have a hard time slowing them down. Go with Arizona to cover the spread.

Rating: 2 Units

The Golden Flashes are playing very good basketball at the moment and have a solid chance for another road upset. They are 9-5 on the road this season and have won seven of their last ten games. The Cardinal have been outstanding at home this season, 17-2, but are just 5-5 in their last ten. The Golden Flashes showed the ability to compete effectively on the boards against the Bonnies, outrebounding them by 17. They also showed that they could get out on the perimeter and defend, crucial against the Cardinal. Kent State is ranked 46th in the country in defensive efficiency. They'll keep the Cardinal offense at bay on the perimeter and compete on the glass to keep this game tight.

NIT Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

In this Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs UC-Irvine Anteaters Prediction, UC-Irvine is coming as -7.5-point favorites. UC-Irvine is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and are very good at home, while Jacksonville State is below average on the road. Both teams are coming in good form, as UC Irvine is 7-1 in their last 8 games and 4-1 against the spread in their last 5. UC-Irvine has trouble covering spreads at home, as they are 1-5 against the spread in their last 6 home games. Jacksonville State is 3-1 in their last 4 games, and have been great covering on the road, as they are 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 road games. Given both teams’ recent form, the value here lies with the road dog, as I expect them to keep this large spread close. Take the Jacksonville State Gamecocks and the +7.5 points on the road in this one.

Rating: 2 Units

The Nuggets have won each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents after losing as favorites and have covered the spread in each of their last four road games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record. While the Rockets have lost each of their last two games as home favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a win and have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at Toyota Center following a road win.

Rating: 2 Units

It's going to be the first meeting between these teams. It could be the end of the road for the Rams, who have been terrific lately, but they will surely not go away without a fight. I expect Colorado State to test Maryland here and cause the Terrapins a problem or two, and although I doubt they can make an upset, I believe the Rams can cover the spread. After all, they have been very good against the spread this season and covered each of their previous ten games! Colorado State has covered the Spread in 22 of its last 29 games, and I am backing the Rams to do it again today.

Rating: 2 Units

The Celtics have won each of their last eight games against Northwest Division opponents that held a losing record and have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Moda Center. While the Trail Blazers have lost each of their last six games against Celtics teams that held a winning record and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents after winning as underdogs.

Rating: 3 Units

I’m on Alabama here. I just think that while Saint Mary’s shut down a similar level of offense when they beat Gonzaga twice in the regular season, I think we’re going to see the pitfalls of Saint Mary’s being in the WCC. Alabama has a high-octane offense, an underrated defense in. my opinion, and all of that while playing in the SEC, which this season was heralded by many as potentially the greatest conference in college basketball history. I just don’t see the Gaels having the horses to hang with Alabama for a full 40 minutes and I don’t think the Gaels have the chops offensively to hang around in this game either. Give me Alabama in this one.

Rating: 2 Units

The underdogs have won each of the Cavaliers' last four games. While the Cavaliers have lost each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents after losing as favorites and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record. Additionally, the Jazz have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 day games.

Rating: 2 Units

The Pistons have lost each of their eight previous day games at Little Caesars Arena following a road loss and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games at Little Caesars Arena against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.  While the Pelicans have won six of their seven previous games against the Pistons at Little Caesars Arena and have covered the spread in nine of their last 12 road games against the Pistons.

NCAAB Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

This isn’t the same Baylor teams as years past, and that will show up in a big way here. Sure, the ACC hasn’t been as good this season as shown in the NCAA tournament, but I don’t think that takes away from how good this Duke team is. In the last game of the ACC tournament, Duke beat Louisville by 11 points, and they are similar to the Baylor team. It doesn’t matter who it was; Duke ran up the score against anyone, and they will run it up again here. Flagg and company will have a big game, and Duke will end up cruising here. Back Duke against the spread.

NCAAB Play of the Day

Rating; 4 Units

I’m staying with Florida. The Gators have been quite impressive during this win streak, and they’re coming off a dominant win over Norfolk State. In that one Florida shot a nice 48.3 percent from the field with a 41-28 rebounding edge, 20 team assists and 27-of-33 (81.8 percent) from the line. The lone blemish was the 12 turnovers, resulting in 14 Spartans points. Norfolk State has won seven straight games, hitting their stride with 86 or more points in each. As for UConn, they tamped down Oklahoma’s offense in their win this week, giving up just 32.1 percent shooting from the field and posting a 41-34 rebounding advantage. The Huskies are 6-1 in their last seven games, with 72 or more points in each victory. UConn will serve as a stout test for Florida here if the Huskies play well. That said, I like the Gators to power it out in the end and continue their excellent run.

Rating: 2 Units

The UCLA Bruins will play a very strong defense to keep Tennessee close throughout. The Bruins gave up just 47 points to Utah State in the first round and during the regular season allowed an average of only 65.1 points per game. UCLA has covered the spread in three of the last four games and seven of the last 10. Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in each of its last two games and the Volunteers have covered the spread in just two of the last eight games. Tennessee's offense is not the most potent, as they shot just 45.5% overall which was 140th, and 34.0% from 3-point territory, which was 183rd, but its defense kept the Vols ahead. However, Tennessee will face a tough UCLA defense which will keep the score low and help UCLA to steal a win late.

NCAAB Dog of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Wisconsin Badgers (27-9, 22-13-1 ATS) didn't play their best basketball late in the regular season as they lost three of the final five games. Wisconsin lost to Oregon, Michigan State, and Penn State, but managed to clinch the No. 5 seed for the Big Ten tournament. The Badgers beat Northwestern, UCLA, and the No. 1 Michigan State to reach the conference finals, but Michigan was better 59-53.  Wisconsin is averaging 79.9 PPG (43rd) and is allowing 70.3 PPG (124th). The Badgers are getting 36.6 RPG (129th) and dish out 14.6 APG (123rd). John Tonje is the team’s top performer with 19.1 PPG and 5.3 RPG. John Blackwell has 15.6 PPG, 5.1 RPG, and 2.2 APG, while Steven Crowl contributes 9.9 PPG, 5.3 RPG, and 2.5 APG.

Rating: 2 Units

The Wizards are still missing some players with Marcus Smart, Corey Kispert and Bilal Coulibaly all out, while the Knicks have ruled out Jalen Brunson again, and they have Miles McBride listed as questionable with a groin strain. It's not surprising to see the Knicks open as massive favorites at home, as they've already blown out the Wizards in two of their three meetings this season. However, the Knicks have gone cold lately, and I just don't feel comfortable laying this many points. With that being said, I will lean towards the Wizards and the hefty start in this spot.

Rating: 3 Units

I’m going to try Creighton in this one. The Bluejays looked pretty good in their Thursday victory over Louisville, shooting a stellar 57.1 percent from the field with 45.8 percent (11-of-24) from 3-point range and a 37-32 rebounding advantage. Creighton wasn’t spectacular from the line though (14-of-21 for 66.7 percent) and had 10 turnovers for 14 Louisville points. Still, it was a nice effort against a tricky team and Creighton has now posted 71 or more points in five of the last six games (all five were wins).  As for Auburn, they didn’t have too many issues with an overmatched Alabama State team on Thursday. The Tigers shot 45 percent from the field with a 46-36 rebounding advantage, but did cough up 12 turnovers for 14 Hornets points. Auburn held Alabama State to just 37.1 percent shooting from the field so there wasn’t much danger of an upset. In six of the previous seven games however, the Tigers had give up 70 or more points. If Creighton can get that trend going again, I can see the Bluejays powering one out here. Should be an interesting matchup.

Rating: 3 Units

I’m going to go with Drake. This should be a pretty interesting matchup regardless, though. The Bulldogs are coming off a nice win over a great Missouri team, shooting 54.3 percent from the field with a 31-26 rebounding edge. It wasn’t perfect though, as Drake struggled from the line (12-of-24 for 50 percent) and had 15 turnovers for 13 Tigers points. The Bulldogs are currently riding an eight-game win streak, and they’ve been doing it with defense. Drake has been below 69 points in six of those victories. As for Texas Tech, they shot a rough 39.1 percent from the field in the win over UNC Wilmington but saved themselves with 16 points off 13 Seahawks turnovers. The Raiders weren’t great from 3-point range (28.3 percent) or the line (65.2 percent) either, which was fairly uncharacteristic of them. I do like Texas Tech to rebound in this one during a competitive game, though. 

Rating; 3 Units

Don't let Pitino's words fool you, this game has special meaning. First, this will be the fifth time that he and Calipari lock horns in the NCAA Tournament and they currently are tied at two apiece. Pitino has bristled in the past about comparing the two coaches and going a game up in the rivalry will be on his mind. Second, this game will be played in Providence, a place in which Pitino led his first-ever team to a Final Four back in 1987. Pitino is still very much revered at Providence and the crowd will be backing the Red Storm. How about numbers? You can be sure that Pitino has drilled into his team about their modest +2 rebounding margin in their first game. Arkansas is ranked just 182nd in the country in rebounding while the Red Storm check in at 3rd. Freshman Bland will be under fire in just his second game back for the Razorbacks. The Red Storm are 7th in the country in forcing turnovers. Pitino will certainly pressure the Arkansas guards into mistakes. Ultimately, too much depth, too much size, and too much talent will spell victory for the Red Storm.

Rating: 2 Units

The Cowboys have a better-than-average chance of reaching the final 16 teams with a win on Saturday. They come into this game riding high after picking up their first-ever tourney win and should have a significant advantage on the defensive end against Purdue. They are 12th in the country in scoring defense and come off an opener that saw them hold a talented Clemson offense to just 13 points at the half. Some of the comeback came in the latter stages of the game and Clemson was going for broke. Until then, the Cowboys were able to dictate pace and dominate the painted area. The Cowboys will need to get out on the perimeter against the Boilermakers, a team coming off just a 5-of-15 performance from 3-point range. Momentum is a curious thing and the Cowboys certainly have it. This will come down to their ability to rebound, defend the three, and hit their free throws. Wade has his team playing loose and confident. That'll carry over today.

Rating: 2 Units

In this Dayton Flyers vs Chattanooga Mocs Prediction, Dayton is coming as -3-point favorites. Maybe the wrong team is favored in this matchup, as Chattanooga had more total wins this season and also more wins away from home than Dayton (11 to 6). The Mocs are coming in this matchup red-hot, as they are 9-1 in their last 10 games and 4-1 against the spread in their last 5. The Flyers are 5-1 in their last 6 games but only 5-5 against the spread. Given both teams’ recent form and overall records, the value lies with the underdog in this matchup. Give me the Chattanooga Mocs and the plus points in this one.

Rating: 2 Units

LA sits eighth in defensive rating across their last five games with Memphis sitting at 17th during that time and the Clippers going 12-5 ATS with a rest advantage as well this season. It’s a large number to cover for LA but we feel they’re capable of doing it with their last head-to-head matchup ending in a 128-114 home win for LA as Memphis played without Morant in that one as well. Take LA to keep cruising as they go for five straight wins tonight.

Rating; 2 Units

I don’t want to panic over three losses as the Cavs still have the second-best record in the NBA and their cover percentage of 61.7 percent is still second-best for NBA bettors. However, three straight losses is still three straight losses and they all came in the comfortable favorite role. The Suns are a team I’ve bashed all year and they’re easily the most disappointing team in the league, but they’d be in the play-in tournament if the season ended today. For the first time in a while, the Suns have a reason to get out of bed and actually put some effort out on the court. The Suns have won three of their last four games, showing flashes of promise. At home, this is a game the Suns can hang around in, especially if the Cavs continue to take nights off defensively. I’ll grab the points with the Suns. 

Rating: 2 Units

The Flames have won 11 of their last 12 games, while the Ducks have won eight of their last nine games. Liberty has the edge here because they're shooting the ball at a very high clip, making over 56 percent of their shots and 49 percent of their three-pointers in their last three games, while the Ducks made 48 percent of their shots and 30 percent of their three-pointers. They do a good job of finding the open man and they rebound the ball well, grabbing more than five offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They don't turn the ball over much and won't give up many easy-scoring chances. The Ducks struggled defensively in recent games, giving up more than 72 points in two of their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Flames. Go with Liberty to cover the spread.

Rating: 3 Units

While Illinois comes in as the higher seed with impressive offensive numbers, they have been inconsistent this season. Xavier loves to get up and down the court and can match buckets with the best of them. The Musketeers' comeback win against Texas showcased their resilience and ability to perform in high-pressure situations. With Xavier's 7-2 record against the spread in their last nine games and offensive firepower, led by Freemantle and Conwell, they should be able to keep pace with Illinois' high-scoring attack.

Tournament Crusher

Rating: 4 Units

These teams have never met before. UConn has been in better form recently and the Huskies have a stronger defense, which, I believe, will be crucial in this encounter. Oklahoma is good when it comes to covering the spread this season and it managed to cover in each of the previous seven games. The bettors who follow trends would likely back the Sooners to cover, but not me. I can't ignore the fact that the Huskies are back-to-back national champions and that they have experience of playing big games. I am going with UConn.

Rating: 2 Units

The Hornets don't currently have anyone on their injury report, but they have been known to rest players just before tip-off, especially on the second game of a back-to-back set. The Thunder have ruled out Ousmane Dieng and Lugentz Dort again, with Cason Wallace listed as questionable. The line was always going to be massive for this matchup, but it just seems a tad too high with the Hornets winning four of their last seven games. Sure, the Hornets are playing their second game of a back-to-back set, but even if the Thunder dominates the first half, I can see the Hornets hanging around and getting the backdoor cover in the end. Unless they decide to rest Ball and Bridges for this meeting.

Rating: 2 Units

The 76ers are still missing a long list of players including Kelly Oubre Jr, Joel Embiid, Paul George, and Andre Drummond, while the Spurs are still playing without Victor Wembenyama, De'Aaron Fox, and Charles Bassey. You really couldn't back either side with any confidence these days, but the Spurs have found a bit of a spark lately. They looked great in their upset win over the Knicks on Wednesday, and I think they can maintain that momentum with a win and cover at home against this severely depleted 76ers squad.

Rating: 3 Units

KenPom rates Marquette as the 26th-ranked NCAAB team, including 32nd in offensive efficiency and 24th in defensive efficiency. The Golden Eagles score 76.9 points per game (98th) on 44.5 percent shooting (188th), including 32.5 percent from deep (265th). Their opponents average 68.6 points per game (73rd) on 43.5 percent shooting (168th), including 31.8 percent from beyond the arc (76th). While KenPom rates New Mexico as the 42nd-ranked NCAAB team, including 84th in offensive efficiency and 19th in defensive efficiency. The Lobos score 81.2 points per game (28th) on 45.9 percent shooting (117th), including 34.7 percent from deep (137th). Their opponents average 70.8 points per game (145th) on 42.9 percent shooting (120th), including 33.9 percent from beyond the arc (203rd).

Rating: 2 Units

Kentucky has the ability to blow the doors off given the talent gap, but we’ve seen the youth get tight in early tournament games. It’s led to early exits in the past for Kentucky. Troy has been elite defensively over the last month and has an underappreciated coach in Scott Cross. Conerway is also one of the better players the public probably has never heard of and he’s more than capable of taking over games. The senior guard who does everything offensively and can force turnovers on defense, he’ll keep Troy in this game. If somebody comes with him, this game could get hairy for the Wildcats. I want the points with Troy in this first round matchup.

Rating: 2 Units

I’m on Florida here. It’s a big number and Norfolk State in my opinion is still one of the more underappreciated low-major teams out there, but the problem is that there’s a clear talent discrepancy here, and I don’t see the Spartans being able to navigate past that here. The Spartans have been crushed more often than not in these matchups against the high seeds and Florida’s offense is so electric that I think that the Gators steamroll the Spartans here. Give me Florida.

Rating: 2 Units

The Terrapins have won four of their last five games, while the Lopes have won three of their last four games. Grand Canyon has the edge here because they're shooting the ball well, making over 51 percent of their shots in their last three games, while the Terrapins made 42 percent of theirs. Their ball movement is very good and they rebound the ball well, grabbing more than nine offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also turned the ball over less than 10 times per game in their last three games and won't give up many easy-scoring chances. The Terrapins haven't played well defensively in recent games, and they will have a hard time slowing them down. Maryland will likely win a close game, but the Lopes will cover the spread.

Rating: 2 Units

Mount St. Mary’s had a big offensive showing in their win over American in the First Four but the fact remains that there is a big jump in competition from the Patriot League to a top-five team in the country. Duke has been rolling since late November, winning 26 of their last 27 games entering this game. While the situation revolving around Flagg and Brown is concerning as their status is murky at this point, We know what Duke brings to the table as they are sound on both ends of the floor. Playing within shouting distance of campus, the Blue Devils have been here, done that before and they should roll past an overmatched Mount St. Mary’s squad.

Rating: 2 Units

Alabama comes into this matchup as one of the highest scoring teams in the country, but they don’t play much defense and they will probably be without Grant Nelson here. The Crimson Tide have allowed 104, 70, 91, and 99 points in their last four games, which is definitely a concern. Robert Morris is a huge underdog in this game, but they have won 10 games in a row and they have scored at least 82 points in three of their last four. I do think the Colonials will be able to keep this game somewhat close, especially with Alabama’s defensive issues, so give me the points with Robert Morris here. 

Rating: 2 Units

I’m on Baylor here. I just think that this is a decent matchup for the Bears, who hit their threes at a high rate and that’s the weakness of Mississippi State’s defense, defending the perimeter. The Bears are also a great offensive rebounding team and they hit their free throws at a higher rate. If this becomes a free throw contest down the stretch, I trust Baylor in this spot a lot more than I trust Mississippi State right now. Give me Baylor in this one.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bucks head in as 3-4 point road favorites, but they’re just 2-5 ATS across their last seven games and 7-12 ATS as road favorites on the season. Our power ratings side with the Lakers and that’s the play we’re going to recommend here with LA going 6-2 ATS when listed as home underdogs this season and 7-3 ATS off no rest. In that 20-point loss to Milwaukee a week ago Gary Trent Jr. and Kevin Porter Jr. combined for 38 points when combined they average just 19 ppg on the season. We don’t expect that output from those two once again tonight and we expect more of the Lakers role players to get involved on offense like Gabe Vincent and Dorian Finney-Smith. Expect another huge showing from Luka Doncic as well with the Lakers possibly getting the outright win tonight against the Bucks.

Rating: 2 Units

Golden State has won eight of its last nine games, but laying a big number has not been the Warriors' specialty this season. Golden State has gone 4-6 against the spread as a double-digit favorite this season. Just in the last two weeks, the Warriors lost outright as a 12.5-point favorite and nearly lost as an 11.5-point favorite (won by two). The Raptors' management has clearly begun to focus on the upcoming NBA Draft (wink wink, nudge nudge), but the players that are taking the court are still competing hard. Since March 1, Toronto has gone 7-2 against the spread. The Raptors are 10-3 against the spread in their last 13 road games.

Rating: 2 Units

Sure, the Bulls are just 2-8 ATS off no rest themselves but they’ve been playing solid basketball as of late, winning and/or covering in six straight before last night’s loss but only failed to cover by a half-point. Sacramento is just 11-13-3 ATS as a home favorite this season and are 4-6 straight up without Sabonis this season while scoring 114 ppg in those contests. We’re not saying Chicago wins, but they keep it within a bucket in Sacramento.

NCAAB Upset Special

Rating: 4 Units

In this UC-San Diego Tritons vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Michigan is coming as -2.5-point favorites. The wrong team is favored in this matchup, as the Tritons have a better record this season, and are one of the best road teams in the nation this season, having 12 wins away from home, while Michigan has 7.  UC-San Diego is better than Michigan both offensively, scoring 1.5 points more, and defensively, allowing 9.6 points less. Michigan has won their last three games, having covered the spread in all, but they had lost their three previous games before that. UC-San Diego is coming off 15 consecutive wins, and are 13-2 against the spread. This is another spot, where the most popular team of the matchup gets to be the favorite, but the value in this matchup lies with the underdog. I like UC-San Diego Tritons to win this one outright, so I will gladly take the +2.5 points in my back pocket.

Rating: 2 Units

The Red Storm are on a roll these days and coming off a great effort in the Big East championship versus Creighton. St. John’s shot 52.3 percent from the field in that one with a 39-34 rebounding edge and just nine turnovers. The 50 percent (7-of-14) from 3-point range and the 21 points off 15 Bluejays turnovers certainly helped as well. That gives the Storm 71 or more points in all nine games during this current win streak.  As for Omaha, they played pretty well themselves in the Summit League Championship Game versus a tricky St. Thomas-MN team. The Mavs hit 49.1 percent from the field in that one, with a 41-31 rebounding advantage. The 12 turnovers were just about the only blemish during the win. Omaha is scoring great lately themselves—and pretty much all year, in fact. During this six-game win streak, the Mavericks have 78 or more points in each outing. That said, I’m not sure they’ll be able to keep pace with a surging St. John’s team if the Storm get going.

Rating: 2 Units

I’m on Utah State and the points here. I just feel like Utah State is the more battle-tested team here even though the Big Ten is a tougher conference than the Mountain West. Utah State had a solid non-conference schedule, and side-by-side, I just trust Utah State’s offense more in a matchup like this. I think Utah State is live in this matchup so I’ll gladly side with the Aggies and the points in this one.

Rating: 3 Units

In this Yale Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, Texas A&M is coming as -7-point favorites. This line makes absolutely no sense, as both teams have the same number of wins this season, and Yale has fewer defeats and more wins away from home. The Bulldogs are also better offensively, scoring 7.4 points per game more than the Aggies, while being a little worse defensively, allowing 1.8 points more. Yale boasts elite shooting percentages, ranking in the top 15 of the nation both in field goal and in 3-point percentage, while on the other hand, Texas A&M ranks in the bottom 40 in both shooting categories. The Aggies have not been in good form lately, as they are 2-5 in their last 7 games and 2-5 against the spread. Yale is 9-1 in their last 10 games, but 5-5 against the spread. Given both teams’ season stats and recent form, there is huge value with the underdog in this matchup. Yale is capable of winning this outright, so I will gladly take the +7.5 points in my back pocket with the Bulldogs.

Rating: 2 Units

The Knicks have lost 11 of their last 13 games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Hornets and have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 14 games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage. While the Hornets have won two of their last three games as underdogs following a loss and have covered the spread in four of their last five games on the first leg of a back-to-back.

NCAAB Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Arkansas finished below .500 in SEC play this year, but they won five of their last seven games to sneak into the field. The Razorbacks have some defensive issues for sure, but they can score points very quickly and they have scored at least 80 points in five of their last seven. Kansas had a disappointing season in Big 12 play and they have also had some defensive concerns, as they have allowed 88, 94, and 76 points in their last three games. Kansas has some great non-conference wins, but I can’t trust them with how they have played over the last month. Take Arkansas and the points here.

Rating: 2 Units

I’m with Tennessee here. The main thing that I’ve noticed with Wofford this year, is that when it comes to taking the step up in class and competition, this is where Wofford has had a tendency to fall flat on their faces. I think Wofford was lucky to get into the NCAA tournament, and I think Tennessee is going to make sure Wofford’s stay is short-lived and one-and-done. Give me Tennessee here.

Rating: 2 Units

The BYU Cougars recently played West Virginia, Iowa State, Utah, and Houston. BYU has won 13 of its last 16 games and hasn’t lost two straight games since February 4-8. The BYU Cougars are averaging 81.4 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 70.1 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Richie Saunders is averaging 16 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Egor Demin is averaging 10.3 points and 5.4 assists. Trevin Knell is grabbing 2.4 rebounds and Fousseyni Traore is dishing 1.4 assists. The BYU Cougars are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 69.4 percent from the free throw line. The BYU Cougars are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.6 rebounds per game.

Rating: 2 Units

The odds are very, very low Alabama State will win this game on Thursday against Auburn, but the Hornets will play well enough to cover a big spread, that at the time of publishing this article was Auburn -32. Auburn struggled down the stretch as the Tigers lost three of the last four and were 0-4 ATS. All stats, previous performances as well as strength of schedule point to Auburn winning this matchup but Alabama State is coming off a last-second victory in their First Four game and will use that momentum to remain close enough on Thursday to cover the spread. Alabama State has covered the spread in five of its last seven games and during the regular season was 3-1 ATS when a double-digit underdog.

Rating: 2 Units

SIU Edwardsville was good down the stretch to make the NCAA Tournament field but their reward for that success is a matchup with the #2 team in the land. Houston is a suffocating defensive team that will make SIU Edwardsville grind on every possession and they aren’t that good of an offensive team to begin with. Roberts may not take the floor here but Houston shouldn’t need him for this contest. Kelvin Sampson’s team has been a force in March over the last few seasons and that doesn’t change here. Houston wins the game outright but if you’re playing the line, SIU Edwardsville covers as their defense is strong enough to keep them in the game.

Rating: 3 Units

The Badgers have won three of their last four games while, while the Grizzlies have won four straight games. Wisconsin has the edge here because they're shooting the ball well, making over 45 percent of their shots. They've also done a better job at the charity stripe, making over 82 percent of their free throws. They rebound the ball well and grab more than seven offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job of protecting the ball and won't give up many easy-scoring chances. The Grizzlies aren't very good defensively and they're giving up more than 75 points per game on the road, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Badgers. Go with Wisconsin to cover the spread.

NCAAB Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

This should be a fantastic matchup to start the Tournament on Thursday afternoon, as both teams lost in their conference championship games. Creighton has won four of their last five games, but they have had consistency issues and barely beat DePaul just three games ago. Louisville has won 11 of their last 12 games, but they had a close call with a below-average Stanford team three games ago. Creighton is the better shooting team and I really like the duo of Kalkbrenner and Ashworth. This is going to be a tight game to the very end, but I think Creighton gets the job done behind a huge game from Kalkbrenner.

Rating: 2 Units

San Francisco rates as the stronger team, but the Dons have also had Marcus Williams in 31 of their 33 games this season, and missing him will be a substantial blow. One of San Francisco's biggest defensive strengths is defending the three-point line, but Utah Valley doesn't take many threes (345th in attempts), so it will not affect them as much as the Dons' typical opponents. Utah Valley is also a stronger rebounding team and I expect them to grind out a cover.San Francisco rates as the stronger team, but the Dons have also had Marcus Williams in 31 of their 33 games this season, and missing him will be a substantial blow. One of San Francisco's biggest defensive strengths is defending the three-point line, but Utah Valley doesn't take many threes (345th in attempts), so it will not affect them as much as the Dons' typical opponents. Utah Valley is also a stronger rebounding team and I expect them to grind out a cover.

Rating: 2 Units

We anticipate this line to shift some ahead of tipoff, but as it stands our power ratings side with the Lakers. We’ll recommend a play on LA going 23-11 ATS as a home team this season and 24-16-1 ATS off a win. Despite their recent four-game losing streak, they’re still 8-3 ATS in their last 11 with Doncic averaging 30 ppg and shooting nearly 40% from three-point range in March so far. Denver is just 2-7 ATS across their last nine games and 20-22 ATS when off a win this season. These two played just five days ago with Denver winning 131-126 and that was with the Lakers playing without all of James, Doncic, Jaxson Hayes and Gabe Vincent. The Nuggets had Jokic, Murray and Braun all healthy for that game combining for 76 points. Take the Lakers at home in a revenge spot tonight.

Rating: 2 Units

I’m going to lean toward Northern Iowa. You could make a case either way here, though. The Panthers had a rough first half in their tournament loss to a middling Valparaiso team and couldn’t rally for the win in the end. Northern Iowa ended up shooting 47.9 percent from the field in that one but went just 11-of-21 (52.4 percent) from the line and had 11 turnovers. That’s not going to cut it in tournament play. Northern Iowa has been below 64 points in three of their last four games (all three were losses), so they’re going to need a big push on offense here. As for SMU, it’s been a choppy run lately as they’ve finished below 70 points in all five losses during this 4-5 stretch. If Northern Iowa can keep that trend going (and find some life at the line), the Panthers will be in good shape for a potential cover. 

Rating: 2 Units

The Knicks have been earning frequent flyer miles recently, and this is a tough travel spot for New York. Seven of the Knicks' last nine games have been on the road. Wednesday's contest in San Antonio is the first leg of a back-to-back, and the Knicks have to travel to Charlotte on Thursday. Nine of the Spurs' last ten games have gone over the total. This is a tall number to lay on a Knicks team that is 3-6 against the spread in its last nine road games and 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games overall.

Rating: 2 Units

North Alabama will be the more motivated side as it doesn’t get these chances often. A quality opponent on national TV. However, the MVC is head and shoulders the better conference than the ASUN, and I’d need more points to look the other way. Bradley is more balanced with a top-100 scoring offense and top-100 scoring defense. Bradley has won 13 of its 16 home games and it's also the best three-point shooting team in the country in terms of percentage. Assuming Bradley cares about this tournament and doesn’t come out disinterested, this should be a win for the Braves. I just don’t believe North Alabama is battle-tested enough to win this game on the road. I’ll lay the points with Bradley.

Rating: 2 Units

The North Texas Mean Green will be too much on defense for Furman to remain close. North Texas was third in the nation in points allowed and in the top 50 in both field goal shooting and 3-point shooting percentage allowed. North Texas averaged 7.6 steals and 2.4 blocked shots per game. Furman played well on defense but allowed 69.7 points per game, which was over 10 points more than the Mean Green (59.3 ppg) gave up per game. Furman has lost six of the last seven straight up when facing a team from the American Athletic Conference. Both teams play a methodical style offense and the big difference will be who shoots better, which of course will be determined in a big way by the defense, and North Texas is much better in that aspect of the game.

Rating: 2 Units

The Rockets are still missing Reed Sheppard and Amen Thompson, while the Magic are still keeping an eye on Cole Anthony, who is questionable for this one. The Rockets come into this meeting as the team in better form, but the Magic looked like a different team in their thrilling upset win over the Cavaliers in their last outing. These teams last met just over a week ago, and it was the Rockets who romped to a 97-84 win behind the strength of their defense, so something tells me that the Magic have this game circled on their calendar. I am expecting another low-scoring contest, but this time I think the Magic get their revenge and take care of business at home in a close one.

Rating: 3 Units

KenPom rates Dayton as the 74th-ranked NCAAB team, including 51st in offensive efficiency and 129th in defensive efficiency. The Flyers score 75.5 points per game (133rd) on 46.0 percent shooting (111th), while their opponents average 70.0 points per game (120th) on 43.5 percent shooting (160th).  KenPom rates FAU as the 115th-ranked NCAAB team, including 82nd in offensive efficiency and 202nd in defensive efficiency. The Owls score 78.8 points per game (65th) on 46.2 percent shooting (101st), while their opponents average 75.2 points per game (276th) on 43.0 percent shooting (129th).

Rating: 2 Units

I’ll stay with George Mason. The Patriots didn’t play their best in their Sunday loss to a very good VCU team, ultimately shooting just 33.9 percent from the field with 11 turnovers for 15 Rams points. George Mason played well on defense though, with 40.4 percent shooting allowed and 16 points off 16 VCU miscues. The foul shooting (16-of-19 for 84.2 percent) was great as well; the team simply couldn’t overcome the rough shooting outing. It would be nice to see the offense get going in this NIT matchup, as George Mason has been below 70 points in four of the last six games (a 4-2 run). The Patriots have given up fewer than 69 points in five straight though (a 4-1 run), so we’ll take what we can get. Samford has posted 78 or more points in four straight (a 2-2 run), which makes this a very interesting matchup. All things considered however, I like George Mason to bounce back with a nice effort and control this one from front to back. 

Rating: 2 Units

We’re going to recommend a play on LA plus the points who are at full strength as Norman Powell returned in their 123-88 win two days ago. He shot just 23% from the field but we’re confident the rust has been shaken off as he, James Harden and Kawhi Leonard are all 100% healthy and ready to go for the home stretch of the regular season. Cleveland is the best ATS team overall on the season, but they’re just 3-5 ATS across their last eight and LA 5-3 ATS in their last eight. Take the points with LA at home.

Rating: 2 Units

The Warriors have won 12 of their last 13 night games against Eastern Conference opponents and have covered the spread in each of their last five games against Central Division opponents following a loss. While the Bucks have lost eight of their last 12 games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents and have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.

Rating: 2 Units

It's going to be the first meeting between these teams. Some experts claimed that North Carolina didn't deserve to get the First Four invitation as the Tar Heels lacked big wins throughout the season. They only recorded one victory against the top 25 ranked teams, while San Diego State has two such wins. Still, I am sure North Carolina, one of the most successful programs in the country, will prove the doubters wrong and will win this game and enter the main tournament. San Diego State has only covered the Spread in 12 of its last 32 games. Back North Carolina to win and cover.

Rating: 2 Units

These teams have met on six occasions before and the record is tied at 3-3. The previous H2H encounter was in December 2022 when Oklahoma State recorded a win. Even though Oklahoma State is good at home (12-3), I am far from being impressed with how the Cowboys have been playing lately, so I believe Wichita State has a chance here. Backing the Shockers to get a win is for the braver bettors, but I am going with the visitors to stay close, put up a fight, and cover on Tuesday. Wichita State has covered the Spread in 10 of its last 13 games.

Rating: 2 Units

The Red Wolves have been off the court for a while though (last Monday) and may be a little rusty initially. In their Sun Belt Championship loss to Troy, Arkansas State shot a tepid 41.3 percent from the field with a 39-35 rebounding deficit and 12 turnovers for 17 Trojans points. The good news is that the offense is still kicking; the Red Wolves have 74 or more points in six straight games (a 5-1 run). As for Saint Louis, they missed six of 18 free throws (66.7 percent), got outmuscled on the boards 37-30 and had 10 turnovers for 13 Loyola points in their Atlantic 10 Tournament loss. The 64 points in that one were a disappointment after a combined 173 in the previous pair as well. I like the Billikens to bounce back a bit in a fairly high-scoring game here, but Arkansas State should have the advantage overall. 

Rating: 2 Units

The Mocs didn’t play terribly versus Furman in their SoCon Semifinal loss, but they did give up 47.4 percent shooting with a 37-34 rebounding deficit and 10 turnovers. Chattanooga shot 43.8 percent from the field themselves and went a nice 10-of-12 (83.3 percent) from the line. That gives the Mocs 71 or more points in 13 straight games—a 12-1 run overall. As for Middle Tennessee, they played a tight game in the semifinal of the CUSA Tournament versus Jacksonville State. The only major disparity in that one was the Raiders’ 36-27 rebounding deficit—not to mention the 9-of-17 (52.9 percent) from the line. Middle Tennessee played a couple of very tight games in the conference tournament, and this one is shaping up to be another competitive outing. I like Chattanooga to eke one out in the end, but you could make a case either way. 

Rating: 2 Units

Betting Trends: Brooklyn is 20-14-1 ATS on the road, including 19-12-1 ATS as road underdogs. Boston is 15-20 ATS as home favorites. The Nets have some juice heading into Tuesday's game, as they're coming off a win over Atlanta and a close loss to Boston in their last two games. Brooklyn is comfortable playing at its own pace, which is the slowest in the NBA, which helps it cover as large betting underdogs. In the last two weeks, they have covered as double-digit dogs against the Celtics, Cavs, and Warriors, going 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. While the more rested team, Boston isn't a layup to cover in this spot, as it's just 5-9 ATS with a rest advantage this season. Plus, Brooklyn is 8-6 ATS with a rest disadvantage.

Rating: 2 Units

The Hawks have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss and have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites following a road loss. While the underdogs have won eight of the Hawks' last 10 games at Spectrum Center and have covered the spread in nine of the Hawks' last 10 games at Spectrum Center.

Rating: 2 Units

Kent State is a solid defensive unit, but I just feel like the Bonnies are a better version of Kent state. Both defend the floor well, but the Bonnies force turnovers just as well as Kent State but Kent State isn’t great at taking care of the basketball. The Bonnies are also elite at keeping teams off of the foul line and that’s one area where Kent State has an edge. I’ll side with the Bonnies to get the win and cover at home here.

Rating: 2 Units

It’s kind of strange to see Alabama State as this big of a favorite when you consider St. Francis (PA) is playing the better basketball right now. St. Francis (PA) is also comfortably the better offensive side, which includes being a top-100 offensive field goal percentage team. Alabama State doesn’t shoot the ball well at all and has scored 64 or fewer points in five of its last eight games. If St. Francis (PA) can hit shots and control the pace, I don’t believe Alabama State has the horses to counter. There should also be more red in the building than anything considering it’s only a five-hour car ride to Dayton from St. Francis. This is a winnable game for St. Francis (PA) and really comes down to if the offense plays true to its numbers. If so, we’ll see an upset in the first NCAA Tournament game. Give me St. Francis (PA) and the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Portland Trail Blazers are the better team on paper and are getting the benefit of the doubt at home but they’re still not a team I like to back in the favorite role. The Trail Blazers are also on the end of a back-to-back, which doesn’t help matters. The Wizards have won nine games in the last month and a half and are coming off two straight wins as a double-digit underdog. The underdog has covered eight of the last nine games between the Trail Blazers and Wizards. With the rest advantage and recently inspired play, I’ll take a shot with the Wizards and the free points.

Rating: 2 Units

It’s been announced that Pascal Siakam will miss tonight’s game due to personal reasons however, which is the first game he’ll miss all season. The Timberwolves head in at full strength and are 8-4 ATS across their last 12 games with the Pacers 0-6 ATS across their last six. Obi Toppin should slot into the starting lineup for Siakam and have no problems playing with the first unit. It’s contrarian, but we’re going to side with the Pacers plus the points with Minnesota 10-19 ATS as a home favorite and 8-14-1 ATS in non-conference games. The Pacers are 8-5 ATS with a rest advantage this season so let’s put the points in our pocket with them in Minnesota tonight.

Rating: 2 Units

The Clippers look like they’re starting to put things together and they’re a dangerous team when healthy. Kawhi is playing more consistently and it looks like Powell is close to returning. The Clippers will be a team worth watching down the stretch. The Hornets are awful and have nothing to play for at this stage. With that said, the Hornets did beat the Clippers earlier this season as a double-digit underdog. The Hornets have also covered four of their last five games. Despite wins recently, the Clippers have failed to cover six of their last 10 games. Thick line and the Hornets are taking advantage of the inflation. Give me the points.

Rating: 2 Units

This is the front end of a back-to-back for Toronto, who travels to Phoenix on Monday. Our suspicion is that we see another strong effort out of the Raptors on Sunday, then the "rest" floodgates open tomorrow. Portland just closed as a -6 home favorite against Charlotte a couple weeks ago. Even if the Raptors do sit players on Sunday, should the Blazers be laying a bigger number against Toronto (6-1 last seven games) than they were against the 17-49 Hornets?

Rating: 2 Units

The Suns will not only cover the spread but will spring the upset as well, as they lean on their trio of stars on the road. The Lakers are a much different team without LeBron and looking at the last few games as they’ve battled injuries, it’s clear that they will struggle to keep pace with Booker and Durant. Given the issues on offense, plus lack of consistent minutes and rotation on defense, it’ll be too much for Los Angeles to overcome.

Rating: 2 Units

The Wolverines were last in the Big Ten in turnover rate, giving the ball away on 19.6-percent of their possessions. Well, Wisconsin's defense is No. 330 in the country in forcing turnovers. When these teams met in Madison earlier this season, Michigan only committed 12 turnovers and Roddy Gayle was responsible for four of them. Gayle has since been sent to the bench and his playing time has been reduced, helping to cut down on those turnover concerns. Wisconsin's offense is capable of filling the net and keeping the score board operator busy, but the Badgers' defense is not equipped to take advantage of the Wolverines' biggest flaw. When these teams met in Madison, Wisconsin closed as a three-point home favorite. Should the Badgers now be laying a bigger number on a neutral floor?

Rating: 2 Units

Tennessee is likely locked into a 2-seed after their run in the SEC Tournament, but Florida can secure their 1-seed with a win, and their offense will help carry the way. These are two of the best teams in the nation, but Tennessee's offense is the worst unit in this game analytically. The Volunteers are 18th in offensive efficiency, while the Gators are 3rd. Tennessee cannot rely on Zeigler to lead the way in scoring, the 5'9 guard only scores 13.1 PPG, and cannot carry the offensive load. Florida is rolling offensively, they just scored 104 points in regulation against Alabama, they can fill it up at will. They have three guards in Clayton, Richard and Martin who have all scored at least 16 points in both SEC Tournament games. Florida is too deep, and the better offensive team will carry the way in the final.

Rating: 2 Units

Both teams are top-10 in the country in two-point shooting allowed. The glaring issue on the George Mason side is the Patriots' turnover rate. George Mason turns the ball over on 20.1-percent of its possessions, and that is a recipe for disaster against VCU. Patriots' starting point guard KD Johnson had four turnovers in each of his first two tournament games against George Washington and Saint Joe's. When these teams met in Richmond last month, VCU forced 14 turnovers and won the rebounding battle. The Patriots turned the ball over 16 times in Saturday's win over Saint Joe's. They got past the Hawks because Saint Joe's shot 33.3-percent from the floor and missed 28 three-pointers. Tony Skinn has done a fantastic job with the George Mason program, but with those turnover issues, VCU has a clear advantage in this matchup.

Rating: 2 Units

Our power ratings barely side with the Knicks plus the points but without Brunson and their poor form overall as of late, we’re siding with the home Warriors as favorites. It’s come out that Mikal Bridges is requesting the bench to play more minutes as the short rotation may be getting to the Knicks starters as of late as all five starters played between 38-43 minutes in their 114-113 OT win at Portland last time out. If it wasn’t for Portland coughing it up 23 times and shooting just 16-25 from the free throw line, New York likely would have lost outright in regulation. We don’t anticipate those miscues from a veteran Warriors team tonight as they should win this one by double-digits. Take Golden State to keep cruising tonight as they sit just 2.5 games back of the Pacific Division lead.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bulls have won four of their last five games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage and have covered the spread in each of their last four games. While the Rockets have lost three of their last four games as home favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bucks have lost each of their last six night games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record and have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record. While the Pacers have covered the spread in five of their last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record. Additionally, the underdogs have won four of the Pacers' last five games at Fiserv Forum.

Rating: 2 Units

The underdogs have won seven of the Heat's last eight games at FedExForum. While the Grizzlies have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine home games. Additionally, the road team has covered the spread in nine of the Grizzlies' last 10 games.

Rating: 2 Units

The Tigers have won six straight games, while the Green Wave have won four of their last six games. Memphis has the edge here because they’re shooting the ball better, making over 50 percent of their shots in their last three games, while the Green Wave make 45 percent of theirs. They do a good job of finding the open man and they rebound the ball well, grabbing more than 10 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also so a good job of protecting the ball and won’t give up many easy-scoring chances. The Green Wave aren’t playing well defensively and they gave up more than 72 point per game in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Tigers

Rating: 2 Units

The Tigers were tied with Ole Miss on Friday with six minutes remaining before pulling away in the final minutes. That tight contest comes on the heels of losing back-to-back games to close the regular season. Compare that to Tennessee's game against Texas where the Volunteers never trailed. Tennessee maintained a double-digit lead from the 14-minute mark of the second half through the end of the game. The Vols play at the slowest pace in the SEC, and in theory, should have a little more pep in their step at this time of the season. Tennessee has won six of its last seven games, with that lone loss coming by two points at Ole Miss. Four of Tennessee's six losses this season have come by five points or fewer. The Vols have won three of the last five meetings, and one of Auburn's wins came by two points. 

Rating: 2 Units

Coach Valentine is going to need fresh legs to handle the Rams' aggressive defense. Even with a short-handed lineup, Loyola gave VCU quite a scare in their first meeting and that 19-point margin was not reflective of how that game was played. Loyola held a lead for almost the entire first 30 minutes of that contest. That was a three-point game with six minutes remaining before the Rams ended the game on a 22-3 run. In A-10 play, The Ramblers were No. 4 in offensive efficiency, No. 2 in effective field goal shooting, No. 1 in three-point shooting and No. 1 in assist rate. When these teams met in January, VCU was only +3 in turnover margin. If Loyola can hit a similar mark in this one and limit its mistakes, the Ramblers can stay within double-digits in this matchup.

Rating: 2 Units

Here we go with a matchup with a pair of teams that play completely different styles. Cal Poly can score a ton of points but they also give them up by the truckload. Ranking fifith-worst in the nation in scoring defense isn’t something you want to hang your hat on when it comes to a conference tournament. The Mustangs now have to deal with a UC Irvine team that is solid enough offensively but very good on the defensive end of the floor. UC Irvine has dominated this series in recent years, winning six straight and 16 of the last 17 meetings. We saw the Anteaters hang 101 and 98 points in the two meetings this season against the Mustangs. UC Irvine is solid on the glass and effective offensively: they take advantage of Cal Poly’s defensive woes and the fatigue factor to earn the win here.

Rating: 2 Units

The Creighton Bluejays have shown the ability to dominate the UConn Huskies as they have won seven of the previous 10 games, dating back to Jan. 2021. The Bluejays have shown the ability to be the better defensive team throughout the 2024-25 college basketball season as UConn is 95th in the sport with a 102.8 defensive rating while Creighton is 43rd in college basketball with a 98.0 defensive rating up to this point. The offense as of late shows a bit of a difference as the Huskies are averaging 75.3 points in their previous three games while the Bluejays are scoring 83.7 points in their last three games. All in all, go with the Creighton Bluejays to win as an underdog. 

Rating: 2 Units

The Mavericks have won two of their last three games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a loss and have covered the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Rating: 2 Units

The Clippers have lost each of their last three games as road favorites and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games following a win. While the Hawks have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a home win.  Additionally, the underdogs have covered the spread in six of the Clippers' last seven games.

Rating: 2 Units

The Pacers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games against teams that held a losing record. While the underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Pacers and 76ers and have covered the spread in 12 of the 76ers' last 14 games at Wells Fargo Center.

Rating: 2 Units

They’re 14-4 ATS off a loss this season with the Heat failing to cover in three straight which includes games against the Bulls and Hornets where they were favorites in both games. The Celtics won by 18 in Miami just over a month ago and although Tyler Herro didn’t play, both Alec Burks and Nikola Jovic played 26-27 minutes as they’ll miss tonight’s contest with injuries. Before their loss to the Thunder, Boston had covered in four of their previous five so let’s take them to do it again in Miami tonight, winning by double digits.

Rating: 2 Units

Offensively, the Volunteers were 13th in the SEC, averaging 74.5 ppg. As for the Longhorns, they have a slight edge on offense; they average 78.2 ppg, putting them 9th in the SEC this season. For defense, they are seventh in the SEC, giving up 71.4 ppg this season. This is a big spread for the Volunteers to cover in a SEC tournament, and this could be a difficult task to complete against a Longhorns team that is fighting to keep their NCAA tournament hopes alive. Tre Johnson and the rest of this Longhorns team have the offensive power to keep this game close, and even though I don’t think they will pull off the victory, they should be able to cover this large spread against Tennessee

Rating: 2 Units

Kentucky is the more talented team and has the rest advantage, but the value is with Oklahoma and the points. Kentucky is still a young team that’s had issues stringing together success this season and has had issues playing in non-home games. Oklahoma has strung together three straight underdog wins and has covered six straight games overall. While the Sooners have had ups and downs themselves when they’re rolling, they’re rolling, thanks to one of the better offenses in the country. If Oklahoma has found a rhythm, it’s more than capable of winning this game outright. Give me the points with the Sooners.

Rating: 2 Units

The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Magic and Pelicans at Smoothie King Center and have covered the spread in each of the Magic's last four games at Smoothie King Center. While the Magic have lost four of their last five games as road favorites and have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.

Rating: 2 Units

This is the first of a back-to-back for LA with a game at Denver on-deck and we know Doncic will want to suit up against his buddy Nikola Jokic so if he does sit one of these games, it’s likely to be tonight. Sure, both LA and Milwaukee sit top three in defensive rating across their last ten games, but as tonight stands we just don’t trust LA’s rotation that will include Alex Len, Jordan Goodwin and Trey Jemison III for tonight on the road. Take the Bucks to come out hot after their devastating loss on Tuesday as they sit in a three way tie for the 4-6 seeds in the Eastern Conference playoff race.

Rating: 2 Units

The Wizards have won three of their last four games as road underdogs against the Pistons. While the Pistons have lost five of their last eight games as home favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a win and have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as home favorites following a home win. Additionally, the underdogs have covered the spread in six of the last seven games between the Wizards and Pistons at Little Caesars Arena.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bears went 0-7 straight-up, 0-5-2 against the spread. In road and neutral site games, Baylor went 3-11-2 against the spread. Baylor head coach Scott Drew does not have a great history in this event, either. He led the Bears to the conference championship game in 2014. Since then, Baylor has not won multiple games at this event and has been eliminated in the opening game five times. These Lone Star State foes are operating on different tiers this season, and we expect Texas Tech to handle business with relative ease.

Rating: 2 Units

Marquette won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters and five of the last six. The record is 1-1 this season as each team secured a two-point win on the road. Considering how close those games were, I expect another tight affair that could go either way, while overtime is not excluded as well. Xavier is playing its best basketball of the year and is in better form than Marquette, and I am leaning toward the Musketeers in this one. Xavier has covered the Spread in 19 of its last 34 games, while Marquette has only covered the Spread in 17 of its previous 37 games. Back Xavier to cover.