Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-08-23 | Marlins v. Mets -148 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This line is higher than it was when this same pitching matchup took place last Sunday, but I am still happy to take New York. I think we learned two valuable lessons from that contest, creating value here even after the line movement. One, Rogers’ struggles from last season continued, looking more like the 2022 version of himself rather than the 2021 version. Two, Senga is the real deal, bringing heat all game and not shying away from the moment. The Mets have gone 13-5 in their last 18 home games against the Marlins and have dominated the season series so far this year. |
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04-08-23 | Royals v. Giants -125 | 6-5 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm choosing to believe in San Francisco's streak of offensive dominance every other game. It's a weird thing very early in the season, but baseball is a weird sport. On a serious note, I can't see the Royals winning consecutive games frequently this season, especially not with the way their offense has performed on most nights. They haven't won two straight yet. Even if Singer has another terrific start, he's handing the ball over to a suspect bullpen. Roll with the Giants at home here. In addition, SF starter Brady Singer for his career he is 6-10 with a 4.07 ERA on the road. That includes a 2-3 record with a 3.99 ERA last season. |
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04-08-23 | Astros v. Twins -110 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite a tough start against the Astros in his only appearance against them lifetime, I like Ryan at home in this game. Ryan had a solid 3.03 at home last season and was the Twins' most consistent pitcher throughout the season. He picked right up where he left off in game one of this season after allowing just three hits in a win over the Royals. The Astros lineup has struggled without Altuve at the top of the order to be a catalyst for the likes of Bregman and Pena. Those two in particular are off to slow starts and Ryan should be able to exploit their struggles. Garcia finished poorly last season and started slowly this year as well while taking the loss to the White Sox. Garcia is likely in danger of losing his spot in the rotation when the Astros get some of their injured arms back. |
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04-07-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels -115 | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Left-hander Patrick Sandoval (1-0, 1.80 ERA) will start for the Angels, and if his season debut is any indication, he's not going to be the club's hard-luck pitcher again this season. Last year, Sandoval won just six games in 27 starts despite a 2.91 ERA, in large part the result of a lack of support from the offense. The Angels offense averaged 3.3 runs per game in his starts and scored more than four runs only five times in the 27 starts. During the month of July, the Angels scored a total of six runs over Sandoval's five starts. But last Saturday in Sandoval's season debut, the Angels scored 13 runs against Oakland, considerably more than enough for the Angels' No. 2 starter, who allowed one run and two hits in five innings for the victory. Right-hander Chris Bassitt (0-1, 24.30 ERA) will start for Toronto, his second start of 2023 following a forgettable performance his first time out. Last Sunday against St. Louis, Bassitt lasted just 3 1/3 innings and allowed nine runs and 10 hits, including four home runs. Bassitt said all six of his pitches were hit hard in the game, and it was his goal to figure out why during his time between starts. |
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04-07-23 | Astros v. Twins -120 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Today's game will be the home opener for the Twins in a game that originally was scheduled for Thursday but was pushed back a day because of inclement weather. Temperatures in the Twin Cities today are expected to reach 50 degrees after they were in the 30s on Thursday. Right-hander Sonny Gray (1-0, 0.00 ERA) still is expected to start for the Twins despite the schedule shift. Gray has a 4-4 record with a 3.08 ERA in 10 career starts against the Astros. Jose Urquidy (0-0, 6.75) is Houston's scheduled starter. He needed 82 pitches to get through four innings in his debut, a 6-4 victory over the Chicago White Sox. He allowed three runs on seven hits, struck out five and walked one. Houston's bullpen has not been dominant to start the season posting a 4.13 ERA in games against the White Sox and Tigers. The loss of Altuve has also been an adjustment for the Astros lineup. |
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04-07-23 | Marlins v. Mets -163 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The last time the New York Mets played at home, they had trouble generating consistent offense and their starting pitchers struggled at the most inopportune time. The Mets begin their home schedule anew this afternoon against the Miami Marlins to kick off a three-game series. Tylor Megill (1-0, 3.60 ERA) is slated to take the mound for the Mets against Edward Cabrera (0-0, 4.50 ERA) in a battle of right-handers opposing each other for the second time this season. Megill and Cabrera made their season debuts in the Mets' 6-2 win last Saturday. Megill allowed two runs over five innings while Cabrera gave up two runs in four innings. Cabrera is 1-1 with a 6.63 ERA in five starts against the Mets. |
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04-06-23 | Padres v. Braves -156 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
The Padres have not looked threatening yet this season, going 3-3 against subpar opponents in the Rockies and Diamondbacks. The Braves have been raking at the dish, ranking top 10 in most hitting categories, and scored 16 runs in the three-game sweep of the Cardinals this week. Padres’ starter Blake Snell had trouble in his first start, conceding three runs in only 4.1 innings. The Braves’ starter Spencer Strider was the best rookie pitcher in the Major Leagues last year and registered six shutout innings against the Nationals in his season debut. He limited the Padres to just two runs in his lone career meeting. Strider was especially difficult to solve at home last season where he posted a 6-1 record and a stifling 2.17 ERA. |
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04-06-23 | Nationals v. Rockies -140 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Colorado always has a major home-field advantage based on the altitude at Coors Field, and this will be its first home game of the season. The Rockies have plenty of powerful bats in their lineup with Bryant, Cron and Charlie Blackmon, which does not bode well for Gray after he looked bad in his first start. Freeland shut down one of the league’s best lineups last Friday in San Diego and closed the 2022 campaign with 5.2 innings of one-run baseball against the Dodgers. The Rockies have an advantage on the mound and at the plate on Thursday afternoon, so I am thrilled to back them at a cheap price, especially with Washington not having the day off on Wednesday. |
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04-05-23 | Angels -148 v. Mariners | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Betting against Ohtani right now seems like a terrible idea, especially when the line is this cheap against a fill-in pitcher. Seattle racked up a ton of runs on Tuesday night, but it is facing one of the league's best starters on Wednesday. Ohtani was outstanding during the World Baseball Classic and it carried over to his Opening Day start against Oakland. He put together the best pitching numbers of his career last season and is motivated to lead his team to a series win on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Flexen is being inserted into the rotation due to Ray’s injury, and he relies too heavily on his defense to get outs. |
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04-05-23 | Giants v. White Sox -133 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After holding the reigning World Series champion Houston Astros in check on Opening Day, Chicago White Sox right-hander Dylan Cease now braces for the slugging San Francisco Giants. Cease (0-0, 1.42 ERA) stands in San Francisco's way after limiting the Astros to one run and two hits in 6 1/3 innings Thursday. The runner-up in the 2022 American League Cy Young race, Cease walked zero while fanning 10, matching Jack McDowell's 1991 club record for most strikeouts in the season opener. San Francisco ace Logan Webb (0-1, 6.00) is eager to rebound from an uneven season debut Thursday. Webb fanned a personal-best 12 New York. Yankees in six innings to set a franchise Opening-Day record, but still saw enough of his pitches squared up. He yielded four runs and four hits, including two homers, in a 5-0 defeat. Cease has faced the Giants once in his career, defeating them in San Francisco on July 2 behind five innings of one-run ball with four hits, three walks and four strikeouts. Wade Jr. reached Cease for a leadoff home run. Webb opposed Cease in that game and took the loss in his only career appearance against Chicago, giving up five runs (three earned) and six hits in six innings with one walk and five strikeouts. |
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04-05-23 | Phillies v. Yankees -156 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams have gone in opposite directions to start the season. The Phillies have been outscored 37-12 in their first four games entering Tuesday night’s action. Meanwhile, New York has outscored the opposition 24-6 in their first four games of the year and posted a pair of shutouts. Nola started the year strong before getting roughed up in a nine-run fourth inning for the Rangers in his debut. Meanwhile, Cole stifled the Giants in his season debut and the Yankees played well in the first week of the season. New York has looked good at the plate and with the Phillies giving up runs by the truckload early on, you have to back the Yankees in this contest. |
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04-04-23 | Pirates v. Red Sox -132 | 4-1 | Loss | -132 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There are two huge advantages that the Red Sox have entering this game. The first is that they have a far superior offense. They are not likely going to be scoring nine runs per game against the Pirates as they did against Baltimore, but it would not be surprising to see them score five or six per game. In addition, Pivetta has dominated the Pirates in his career, allowing 14 hits and four earned runs in 18.0 innings pitched. He gives the Red Sox the biggest advantage of all and should hold the Pirates to a couple of runs before his evening is over. He will then turn the game over to a struggling Boston bullpen who will give up a couple of runs before finishing off the game. |
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04-04-23 | Phillies v. Yankees -140 | 4-1 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Through four games, the New York Yankees are off to a good start thanks to their power hitting. The Philadelphia Phillies, on the other hand, are winless in four games, unable to get clutch hits and prevent opponents from scoring often. New York heads into today hitting .260, and besides the hits, the Yankees have drawn 19 walks after getting nine on Monday. Torres is among the Yankees off to an impressive start. He is 4-for-12 after reaching base a career-high five times Monday while collecting his 100th career homer, an RBI infield single and three walks. Philadelphia's Matt Strahm will make his 26th career start and his first start where he is not an opener since July 2, 2019, for San Diego, when he allowed seven runs and 11 hits in five innings against San Francisco. As a starter in his career, Strahm is 4-10 with a 5.08 ERA. He made a relief appearance on Opening Day, throwing a scoreless inning during the Phillies' 11-7 loss to the Texas Rangers. The left-hander is 0-2 with a 2.45 ERA in 10 career appearances, one start, against the Yankees. In a May 27, 2019, start at New York, he struck out 10 and allowed three runs in six innings. |
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04-04-23 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -137 | 8-6 | Loss | -137 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Diego starting pitcher Yu Darvish finished last season with 16 victories and a solid 3.10 ERA. San Diego won four out of the five starts that Darvish had against Arizona last season including each of the last four and two during the final month of the regular season when Darvish gave up a combined three runs on three hits across 12 innings resulting in 6-3 and 6-1 victories for the Padres. Arizona has lost five of the last six head-to-head versus San Diego and the Padres have won 20 of the last 27 at home in Petco Park versus the Diamondbacks. San Diego has won five of the last seven versus a team from the National League West. |
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04-03-23 | Diamondbacks +128 v. Padres | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nelson, Arizona's second-round pick in the 2019 draft, tied two franchise records when he made his debut against the Padres last Sept. 5. He shut out the Padres on four hits and no walks with seven strikeouts over seven innings. It tied the team's records for longest shutout outing and strikeouts in a debut and earned Nelson his first major-league win. Overall, Nelson was 1-1 with a 1.47 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP in three starts last season. Weathers, who spent the entire 2022 season at Triple-A save for one emergency start for the Padres, had a 4.91 ERA this spring. While his spot in the rotation likely will disappear once Yu Darvish and Joe Musgrove are ready, Weathers could become the long man in the bullpen. After a fast start in 2021, Weathers has struggled. He is 4-7 in 31 major-league appearances (19 starts) with a 5.49 ERA. He has allowed 107 hits in 98 1/3 innings with 75 strikeouts. Weathers, 23, is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four career appearances (two starts) against Arizona. |
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04-03-23 | Giants v. White Sox -120 | 12-3 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The San Francisco Giants will experience Opening Day for a second consecutive American League projected playoff contender when they begin a three-game series this afternoon at the Chicago White Sox. Right-handers Anthony DeSclafani of San Francisco and Michael Kopech of Chicago are the scheduled starters in the first Giants-White Sox matchup in Chicago since September 2017. Chicago Starter, Michael Kopech, posted a 3.01 ERA (23 ER/68.2 IP) in 13 starts at home last season, holding the opposition to a .157. San Francisco starter, DeSclafani, will be pitching in a regular-season game for the first time since getting pulled in the third inning of a 10-3 home loss to the Cincinnati Reds last June. The White Sox swept a three-game series in San Francisco last July, outscoring the hosts 19-7. |
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04-03-23 | Mets +110 v. Brewers | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mets' starter Carlos Carrasco is getting up there in age but is still a solid pitcher. The veteran right-hander has contained the Brewers throughout his career, posting a 3.60 ERA in five starts. Brewers’ starter Freddy Peralta usually takes a while to find a groove as evidenced by his subpar 4.38 career ERA in April. The right-hander recorded a 5.00 ERA in 18 innings last April. Also, Peralta had trouble when pitching at home last year, going 3-4 with a 4.34 ERA. |
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04-02-23 | Guardians -102 v. Mariners | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Cal Quantrill (15-5, 3.38 ERA last season) is scheduled to take the mound Sunday for the Guardians as they attempt to win the series. Quantrill is 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA in two career appearances against Seattle, with one start. With two really good seasons under his belt as a full-time starter, Cal Quantrill has a chance to be really good in this league for Cleveland. He has a lot more upside entering this season than his opposition, Marco Gonzales, a veteran who consistently posts an ERA right of 4.00 every year (10-15, 4.13 ERA last season). |
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04-02-23 | Angels -143 v. A's | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Following Shohei Ohtani and Patrick Sandoval on the mound for the Angels will be left-hander Tyler Anderson, who hopes to help the team clinch a series win after Los Angeles rebounded from a 2-1 defeat on Opening Day with a 13-1 shellacking of Oakland on Saturday. Anderson went 15-5 with a career-best 2.57 ERA last season. Oakland is expected to counter with lefty Ken Waldichuk (2-2, 4.93 ERA in 2022). Anderson will make his first start for the Angels, continuing a tour of baseball's Western divisions. He starred for the Los Angeles Dodgers last season, following stints earlier in his career with the Colorado Rockies, San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners, as well as the Pittsburgh Pirates. The 33-year-old did not face the A's last season. He's dueled Oakland three times in his career, allowing a total of 10 hits and two earned runs in 16 2/3 innings, going 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA. The Scottsdale, Ariz., resident pitched well in the spring, going 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA. He said during spring training that pitching near home was a driving factor in signing with the Angels. The A's counter with Waldichuk who didn’t look good in spring training and gave up four home runs in 13.2 innings pitched. He gave up five hits and four runs in 3.1 innings in his last outing and will have a hard time slowing down the Angels in this game. |
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04-02-23 | Giants v. Yankees -145 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brito impressed the Yankees by going 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in four spring training appearances. On March 25, in his second spring start, he wowed them by pitching 5 1/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, who fielded a lineup of most of their regulars. He surrendered no runs, hits or walks, and struck out three. The Yankees signed Brito out of the Dominican Republic as a non-drafted free agent on Nov. 9, 2015. He entered this season as New York's 30th-best prospect according to Baseball America and was added to the 40-man roster after going a combined 11-4 with a 2.96 ERA in 26 outings (23 starts) in Double-A and Triple-A. Ross Stripling makes his San Francisco debut after spending the past two-plus seasons with the Toronto Blue Jays. Stripling went 10-4 with a 3.01 ERA in 32 appearances (24 starts) with Toronto last season and signed a two-year, $25 million deal that includes an opt-out with San Francisco. Stripling is 0-5 with a 4.55 ERA in seven career appearances (four starts) against the Yankees. Last year, he was 0-1 with a 4.70 ERA in two starts against New York. |
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04-01-23 | Orioles v. Red Sox -148 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Sox are excited to finally have a healthy Sale back on the mound from the outset, as he endured two separate stints on the injured list last season. He likes what he has seen from this iteration of the club. Both of Sale's starts last season came in July after he recovered from a rib injury, but a left fifth finger fracture on July 17 against the New York Yankees shortened his return and sidelined him for the remainder of the season. Sale 10-3 with a 2.71 ERA in 23 career appearances (17 starts) against Baltimore. World Baseball Classic champion Masataka Yoshida, from Japan, made his major league debut Thursday and was one of four Red Sox to post two-hit days. Sale's counterpart will be Orioles right-hander Dean Kremer, who will make his 2023 debut while pitching his sixth career start against Boston. He has yet to beat the Red Sox, going 0-4 with a 6.85 ERA. Kremer was 8-7 with a 3.23 ERA in 22 outings (21 starts) last season. |
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04-01-23 | Giants v. Yankees -132 | 7-5 | Loss | -132 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The pitching matchup would clearly seem to favor San Francisco in this contest, but San Francisco looked anemic in the opener, producing just four hits. While no one should expect the Yankees to completely shut down the San Francisco lineup for a second straight game, there is also no reason to expect this team to put up a lot of runs. Schmidt looked good last season and has a lot of bullpen help so if he struggles, there is plenty of help to keep this game low-scoring. New York hit two home runs and had eight hits in the opener. They know how to make the most out of their opportunities and have one of the deepest lineups in baseball. Cobb should have some success but do not expect him to fare much better than Webb did. |
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04-01-23 | White Sox v. Astros -120 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Astros, 6-0 in their last six Saturday games, will once again have their fun with Giolito, exposing Chicago's number-three starter. Giolito lost his both of his starts against Houston last season, allowing 15 runs on 15 hits in eight innings. In seven career starts vs. the Astros, Giolito is 2-5 with a 6.21 ERA, having served up seven home runs in 42 innings. After an Opening Day letdown, Houston will be plenty motivated to get rolling. The Astros will not lose their season-opening series to a middling White Sox club, breaking things open with a resounding game-three victory. |
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03-31-23 | Guardians v. Mariners -156 | 9-4 | Loss | -156 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Seattle's fans are known for being so loud they annually draw the most false-start penalties in the NFL. It seems they've taken that same approach across the street to T-Mobile Park. Mariners manager Scott Servais and his players credited the sold-out crowd for helping them to a 3-0 victory Thursday in the season opener against the Cleveland Guardians. The four-game series continues in Seattle on Friday night, when Mariners left-hander Robbie Ray (12-12, 3.71 ERA last season) will try to keep the momentum going. Ray is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in four career appearances against Cleveland, including three starts. With Triston McKenzie on the injured list with a strained teres major muscle in his right shoulder, the Guardians are set to start rookie right-hander Hunter Gaddis (0-2, 18.41 ERA last season). Gaddis will be facing the Mariners for the first time. |
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03-31-23 | Mets -109 v. Marlins | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Left-hander David Peterson, regarded just last month as the New York Mets' sixth- or seventh-best starting option, is already in the two-hole. Peterson, 27, will face the host Miami Marlins tonight after the Mets won 5-3 on Opening Day. The reason for Peterson's promotion is the Mets have two starters on the injured list. Projected fifth starter Jose Quintana (rib surgery) isn't expected back until at least July, and new co-ace Justin Verlander, who pitched for the Houston Astros last year and won his third Cy Young Award, was placed on the injured list Thursday due to a muscle strain. This is Peterson's fourth year in the majors. Last season, he won a career-high seven games, going 7-5 with a 3.83 ERA in 28 appearances (19 starts). Peterson has been good in five career appearances (four starts) against the Marlins, going 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA. |
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11-05-22 | Phillies v. Astros -140 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Astros will turn to Valdez in this spot and he will be up for the challenge. Valdez has been the Astros most consistent pitcher in the playoffs and a strong argument could be made for the lefty in the Cy Young race. He is 7-4 at home this season and has struck out 10.42 batters per nine innings at home. Valdez is facing a Phillies lineup that has gone silent at the worst possible time. They are hitting just .100 in the last two and a half games and are striking out far too often. Valdez dominated this lineup with his curveball in game 2 and expect to see a heavy dose of that again in this one. The Phillies have seemingly leveled off and Rob Thomson, who has masterfully manipulated his bullpen throughout these playoffs, may be running out of bullets back there. Wheeler has to give the Phillies more than six innings in this game or his team will not have a chance. |
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11-02-22 | Astros +100 v. Phillies | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Houston Astros have a multi-time Cy Young winner ready to go on four days rest for Wednesday but Dusty Baker is confident in Javier. The numbers back up Baker's confidence. Javier has an impeccable 0.32 ERA in his last five starts and keeps the ball in the yard. Meanwhile, the Astros get their second look at Nola in the series. They hit him fairly hard in game one and looked comfortable at the plate against him. The Phillies have been outstanding at home but will face arguably the Astros best pitcher in the last month. Baker has his dominant bullpen rested and at his disposal in this near-must-win game. |
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11-01-22 | Astros -118 v. Phillies | 0-7 | Loss | -118 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units he Astros have absolutely pounded left-handed starters this season with a 42-12 record against them. In their one look at Suarez this season, just under a month ago, they had three home runs and six overall in just three innings. Suarez has made effective appearances out of the pen in the playoffs but struggled in his start. He walked five batters in his appearance against Atlanta as a starter. If he can't find the zone in this one, he will be out of the game quickly. Expect Phillies manager Rob Thomson to have a quick hook in this game with his left-hander. If Suarez doesn't have it early, we will see Zach Eflon and Brad Hand very early in this one. Javier has been lights out down the stretch and solid on the road all season with sub 3.00 ERA. The Astros will take full advantage of a favorable pitching matchup and win this one comfortably |
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10-29-22 | Phillies v. Astros -134 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Astros now are staring at some adversity for the first time in the postseason. They haven't trailed in any series as of yet and now turn to their ace 1A in lefty Framber Valdez. Valdez has been dominant during the season and dominant in the postseason. He is 1-0 in two starts thus far and has struck out 10.7 batters per nine innings while giving up less than six hits per start. |
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10-28-22 | Phillies v. Astros -160 | 6-5 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While the Astros have a formidable lineup with experienced hitters, pitching has gotten them to this point. They have a team ERA of 1.88 in the playoffs thus far and have struck out 11.1 batters per nine innings. Houston’s top two pitchers matchup very well with the Phillies' top-two pitchers. Justin Verlander and Framber Valdez have gone a combined 2-0 in the playoffs with Valdez particularly effective with a 1.42 ERA in two starts. Verlander survived a rough first start to strike out 11 Yankees in six innings in the ALCS opener. Houston can easily go four deep in the World Series with Christian Javier now likely to get the game three start after his dominant performance in game three against New York. The Houston bullpen is as good as any in baseball. They had the best bullpen ERA in the regular season and that has carried over into the playoffs, with a playoff-leading 0.82 ERA. Their bullpen has struck out 42 batters and has a 0.73 WHIP. |
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10-23-22 | Padres v. Phillies -134 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Right-hander Zack Wheeler is expected to start for Philadelphia in Game 5. He was dominant in Game 1 of the NLCS, throwing seven scoreless innings in the 2-0 win. Wheeler needed just 83 pitches to mow down the Padres, getting five of his six first-pitch outs via the fastball. He has allowed three runs and nine hits through 24.1 innings of work this month. Wheeler has been fantastic at home all year, posting a 1.85 ERA. He is 3-1 with a 2.06 ERA and 53 strikeouts in seven appearances against San Diego in his career. |
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10-22-22 | Astros v. Yankees -138 | 5-0 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Back home with a righty on the mound, the Yankees will have Matt Carpenter available for a full game in front of that short right field porch for the first time in the playoffs. While Javier has pitched extremely well to close the season and against the Yankees as well, pitching at Yankee Stadium in the playoffs is a different animal. Cole has proven to be a true stopper in the playoffs and he will continue that role in this huge spot. Look for the Yankees to chip away for enough runs and Cole to get them into the 8th inning to close this one out. |
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10-21-22 | Padres -109 v. Phillies | 2-4 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Diego has a very clear pitching advantage on Friday night, so I do not know why this line is a pick’em. Musgrove has been one of the best starters in the majors this season, and he has turned it up another notch in the playoffs. He has a 1.38 ERA across his two starts this postseason and has a strong history against Philadelphia during his career. Suarez struggled to find the strike zone during his first career playoff start last week and does not have nearly as much big-game experience to draw upon as Musgrove does. The Phillies have the advantage of playing at home, but that is not nearly as meaningful as it is in other sports. |
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10-20-22 | Yankees v. Astros -133 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Astros as a team are hitting just .220 in four games but have nearly as many home runs as the Yankees with 9 in two less games. The Astros have yet to lose in the postseason despite the fact that Jose Altuve is now 0-for-16 in the postseason. Simply put, the Yankees have far too many outs in their lineup and have scored solely on the long ball. Until they get some production from the likes of Torres and Donaldson among others, it is impossible to lean the Yankees way. Valdez will give the Astros six to seven innings while Severino will likely leave after five innings. I like my chances much better with the back end of the Astros bullpen than I do with the Yankees. |
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10-19-22 | Yankees v. Astros -169 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In the four starts after his return, Verlander went 2-1 with a 1.17 ERA and 31 strikeouts over 23 innings -- stellar statistics but an overall performance that, according to Verlander, paled compared to the roll he was on prior to the setback. In the 11 starts before the DL stint, Verlander went 8-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 69 2/3 innings. Verlander is 9-7 with a 3.44 ERA in 23 career regular-season starts against the Yankees, 4-1 with a 2.75 ERA in eight career postseason starts. The Yankees will arrive in Houston late off their elimination of the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Division Series on Tuesday night, providing the Astros an edge. |
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10-18-22 | Phillies +110 v. Padres | 2-0 | Win | 110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Phillies rank third out of the 12 playoff teams offensively, batting at a .237 clip. Designated hitter Bryce Harper leads the team with 10 hits and six RBIs, including three home runs. He is facing a San Diego pitching staff that is No. 5 this postseason with an ERA of 2.80. Right-handed pitcher Zack Wheeler is expected to start for Philadelphia on Tuesday. He has pitched in 12.1 innings this postseason, going 0-1 with a sparkling 2.19 ERA. Wheeler has been excellent against San Diego during his career, posting a 2.06 ERA and striking out 53 batters across seven appearances. He threw seven scoreless innings against San Diego in May, allowing four hits and no walks while striking out nine. |
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10-16-22 | Yankees v. Guardians +165 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cole will be under immense pressure to get deep into this game as the Yankees have taxed some of their key bullpen pieces, namely Peralta and Jonathan Loaisiga each of whom has pitched in all three games of the series thus far. Yankees closer Clay Holmes was not available to close out game and has only made two appearances of 2/3 of an inning each. Cleveland does an excellent job of extending at bats and their game plan tonight will certainly be to push Cole near 100 pitches as early as possible. Cleveland starter, Quantrill is 9-0 at home this season. He has allowed 14 home runs in 19 home starts this year and that will be the key, keep the Yankees in the yard. He will and the Guardians will close this series out. |
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10-15-22 | Braves -119 v. Phillies | 3-8 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I was happy to back Philadelphia as a slight home favorite on Friday afternoon in the team’s first playoff game in more than a decade. However, I am equally as happy to back the Braves in an elimination game on Saturday. They have faced plenty of challenges over the past few seasons en route to winning the World Series last year and the NL East for the fifth straight year. Morton has a ton of playoff experience to rely on heading into this start, while Syndergaard is winless in his career against Atlanta. Morton is 4-0 with an 0.95 ERA in playoff elimination games. The Braves have too much talent and experience to lose this series in four games. |
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10-14-22 | Braves v. Phillies +100 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia did not compete with New York and Atlanta in the NL East this season, but the Phillies can be the lone team to advance to the NLCS this year. They were underdogs against St. Louis in the NL Wild Card round, spoiling the going away party for Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina in a two-game sweep. The Phillies got off to a strong start in this series, racing out to a 7-1 lead before giving up some late runs on Tuesday. Their offense went cold on Wednesday, but they are now going home to what will be a raucous environment today. It will be either veteran Charlie Morton (9-6, 4.34 ERA) or star rookie Spencer Strider (11-5, 2.67 ERA). Morton struggled over the final month of the regular season, posting a 5.40 ERA in 31.2 innings. Strider was questionable to even make the NLDS roster due to an oblique injury that he suffered in mid-September. He posted a 1.27 ERA in 21.1 innings against Philadelphia this year, but he would likely only be available for a few innings in this game due to load management. |
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10-13-22 | Mariners +150 v. Astros | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units The Seattle Mariners mounted a spectacular comeback against the Blue Jays and this time they were the team squandering a big 7-3 lead late in game one on Tuesday and could not hold on for the win. Fortunately, the Mariners have Luis Castillo on the mound in this one. The right-hander was spectacular in the Wildcard, breezing through 7.1 shutout innings against the Blue Jays. Castillo has allowed just one run in his 12.2 career postseason innings. Framber Valdez wasn’t at his best late in the season. He posted a 3.90 ERA in the month of September. I also like the fact Seattle is slightly more productive against lefties, recording a .713 OPS against left-handed starting pitchers compared to .702 against right-handers. Valdez was horrible in the playoffs last year, surrendering 17 runs in 19.2 innings, resulting in a 7.78 ERA. |
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10-12-22 | Phillies v. Braves -135 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Kyle Wright is set to start for Atlanta in Game 2. He picked up a win against New York 10 days ago, allowing two runs on seven hits while striking out three. Wright led the majors with 21 wins this season, finishing with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. He has a 2-3 record and a 3.86 ERA in six appearances against Philadelphia, allowing six earned runs in three outings this season. Wright was instrumental during Atlanta’s World Series run last year, allowing one run in 5.2 innings out of the bullpen. The Braves scored five consecutive runs late in Tuesday’s game, giving them some momentum coming into this game. They are 11-4 in their last 15 games against Philadelphia. |
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10-11-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -220 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In his last three starts, Urias has no record with a 1.10 ERA, a 1.04 WHIP, four walks and 14 strikeouts over 16.1 innings of work. Urias makes his 16th career appearance and 11th start against the Padres in this contest. He comes in 6-1 with a 2.19 ERA, a 0.989 WHIP, 22 walks and 59 strikeouts over 61.2 innings of work against them. Urias is 20-7 with three saves, a 2.95 ERA, a 1.082 WHIP, 80 walks and 283 strikeouts over 293 innings in 67 career appearances, 49 starts, at Dodger Stadium. |
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10-11-22 | Phillies v. Braves -195 | 7-6 | Loss | -195 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta is not only the reigning World Series champions, but they also erased a 10.5-game deficit in the NL East this season, coming back to take down New York last weekend. Atlanta has won 13 of its last 14 home games and has its rested ace on the mound, while Philadelphia is having to manage its rotation after playing two games this past weekend. The Braves won the season series against the Phillies and are primed to get off to a strong start on this afternoon. |
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10-08-22 | Phillies v. Cardinals +113 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miles Mikolas is as reliable as it gets. The right-hander posted a stifling 2.32 ERA in his five September starts. Mikolas contained the Phillies in the two meetings this season. He held them to four runs (only two earned) in 5.1 innings on the road in the first encounter and limited them to one run in 7.1 innings in a 6-1 win at Busch Stadium. I also like the fact that Mikolas has postseason experience. He has only allowed two runs in 12 career postseason innings. |
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10-08-22 | Rays v. Guardians -107 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The upstart Guardians will now turn to right-hander Tristan McKenzie to lead them out of the wildcard round. McKenzie won 11 games this season and had an ERA of 2.95. At home, he is 5-3 with a 2.77 ERA this season. In addition, McKenzie has a 1.50 ERA against the Rays this season in one start. He went six innings, allowed three hits and one run while striking out six batters. He will have a fresh bullpen behind him as only Clase was called upon in game one. Like Bieber, McKenzie was dominant down the stretch with an ERA of 1.91 and a 2-0 record while striking out 9.82 batters per nine innings. |
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10-07-22 | Padres v. Mets -144 | 7-1 | Loss | -144 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Yu Darvish hasn't had much postseason success through 7 games, and I'm a bit concerned for him here on the road. Yes, none of those games were with the Padres, but Darvish has a history of folding in pressure situations. Max Scherzer is about as solid as they come, he's won a world series, has a title under his belt and has a 3.22 ERA with 1.10 WHIP. At home this season, Scherzer has a 1.67 ERA and .200 allowed batting average. You can't name 5 pitchers you'd rather have on the mound in the postseason over Scherzer. You also don't get him at prices this cheap very often. |
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10-07-22 | Rays v. Guardians -109 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland, which won four of the six meetings against Tampa Bay in the regular season, will send right-hander Shane Bieber (13-8, 2.88 ERA) to the mound on Friday. He will be opposed by Tampa Bay left-hander Shane McClanahan (12-8, 2.54). Bieber, like his team, finished the season with a flourish. The 2020 AL Cy Young Award recipient improved to 5-0 in his past six outings on Sunday after allowing one earned run in five innings of a 7-5 victory over the Kansas City Royals. McClanahan, 25, struggled in his lone career outing versus Cleveland, surrendering five runs on seven hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 5-3 setback on July 31. |
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10-04-22 | Giants +139 v. Padres | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Francisco might not have anything tangible to play for, but that has not stopped the Giants from playing great baseball over the past few weeks. They have won six of their last seven games coming into this series, and 11 of their last 13 overall. San Francisco is also 8-1 in its last nine road games. Rodon has been an excellent starting pitcher for them this season, while Manaea has struggled since the All-Star break. The Padres have been resting players and getting ready for the postseason, so their full attention will not be on San Francisco. |
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10-04-22 | Diamondbacks -112 v. Brewers | 0-3 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Brewers have lost five of their last seven games and four of their last six home games. They have struggled offensively, scoring only seven runs in their last three games. Things won’t get easier for them in this game because Gallen has done a good job on the mound for the Diamondbacks, giving up eight runs in his last five starts. He gave up three runs in three career starts against the Brewers and will keep their offense in check. The Diamondbacks split their last four games, but they are playing very well offensively, scoring 20 runs in their last four games. Even though Lauer has pitched well for the Brewers, he struggled in recent starts, giving up 11 runs in his last four starts. He gave up six runs in his last three starts against the Diamondbacks. |
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10-04-22 | Cubs +104 v. Reds | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cubs starter Javier Assad logged five shutout innings against the Phillies last time out and features a stellar 2.81 ERA in his four road outings. The Reds are slumping, going 1-6 in their last seven games. Reds' starter Luis Cessa has squandered seven runs in nine innings against the Cubs this season. |
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10-03-22 | Braves -148 v. Marlins | 0-4 | Loss | -148 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Braves view this as a must-win game as they look to secure a division title. They have dominated the Marlins, winning 12 of the 16 meetings this season. The Braves earned the sweep in the previous series against the Marlins, outscoring the fish by a 17-3 margin. The Braves have won seven out of their last eight games after sweeping the Mets. Braves’ starter Bryce Elder has been dominant. The rookie has allowed just one run in his three starts this month spanning a total of 20 innings. He tossed six shutout innings against the fish in that span and has held them to only three runs in 17.2 innings. Marlins’ starter Jesus Luzardo has not fared well against the Braves, conceding nine runs in 13 career innings. |
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10-03-22 | Cubs +115 v. Reds | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago is currently on an impressive streak, as they are 9-1 in their last 10 games played. They are seeing the ball great right now and they have a great matchup in this game. Cincinnati will be starting Hunter Greene on the mound, as I see Chicago teeing off on him. He is currently 4-13 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. He is also 2-6 at home this season, as he has continued to struggle in front of his fans. Chicago has also won six games in a row. |
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10-02-22 | White Sox v. Padres -146 | 2-1 | Loss | -146 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units The White Sox have lost eight of their last nine games and two of their last three road games. They aren’t playing well offensively, scoring only eight runs in their last three games. Things won’t get easier for them in this game because Snell has done a great job on the mound in recent starts, giving up one run in his last three starts. He gave up six runs in his last four home starts and will keep Chicago’s offense in check. The Padres have won eight of their last 11 games and three of their last five home games. |
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10-02-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals -194 | 7-5 | Loss | -194 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The 41-year-old legend Adam Wainwright (11-11, 3.51 ERA) will make the start on Sunday. Against the Pirates this season, Wainwright is 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA. At home Wainwright is 7-3 with a 2.61 ERA in 17 games. There is no better team Wainwright could be facing on Sunday, as he is a perfect 7-0 with a 0.55 ERA in his last seven starts against Pittsburgh going back to 2020. |
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10-02-22 | Rays v. Astros -160 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rays have been stumbling down the stretch. They have only won two out of their last six games entering Saturday due to a slumping offense. The offense only managed one run in four out of the six games in that span. The Astros continue to excel and have yet to lose a series all month. Rays’ starter Corey Kluber hasn’t been reliable. The veteran has posted a poor 5.18 ERA this month and the Rays have lost in three out of his last four starts. Meanwhile, Astros' starter Luis Garcia has been dominant, recording a minuscule 1.96 ERA in his four outings this month. |
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10-01-22 | Rangers v. Angels -144 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Cole Ragans goes for the Rangers on Saturday evening. The right-hander is 0-3 on the season with an ERA of 5.40 in 8 starts. He has 25 strikeouts and 15 walks in 35 innings pitched. He gave up 3 runs on 6 hits in 5 innings in a loss to the Guardians in his last start. The Rangers have a team ERA of 4.22, which ranks 22nd in the major leagues. |
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10-01-22 | Royals v. Guardians -183 | 7-1 | Loss | -183 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units KC comes into Saturday's matchup with four straight losses and six in their last ten. Bubic is 0-4 in his last five starts and faces a Cleveland lineup that is averaging nearly six runs per game in their last ten games. Plesac has been outstanding against the Royals in his career with just one loss in seven decisions. This will be his last start for over a week so he will get the opportunity to throw a good number of pitches. He will finish 2022 strong against the struggling Royals. |
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10-01-22 | Reds v. Cubs -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units The Cubs have won eight of their last nine games and four of their last six home games. They usually aren’t very good offensively, but they are playing well at the moment, scoring 16 runs in their last four games. They will play well once again because Lodolo has been shaky on the mound in recent starts, giving up seven runs in his last three starts. He gave up four runs in his lone start against the Cubs and will have a hard time slowing them down. The Reds have lost six of their last seven games and seven of their last eight road games. |
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09-30-22 | Reds v. Cubs -138 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Reds are stumbling in a big way down the final stretch, losing six out of their last seven games including an ugly sweep by the Pirates in that span. The Cubs are playing well, recording victory in six out of their last eight bouts including a three-game sweep against the Phillies this week. Reds’ starter Graham Ashcraft hasn’t been able to shut down the Cubs, squandering 11 runs (10 earned) in 8.2 innings spread across two performances. Cubs’ starter Adrian Sampson continues to shine, registering a minuscule 1.55 ERA in his five starts this month. He has held the Reds to three runs in 10 innings this season. |
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09-29-22 | Marlins v. Brewers -160 | 4-2 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Brewers will start Eric Lauer on the mound. He is currently 10-7 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. The last time he was on the mound, he pitched for 2.2 innings and he gave up two earned runs, as he will be looking to bounce back in this one. He is also 5-2 at home this season with a 2.98 ERA. The Brewer's bullpen has also been solid this season. |
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09-27-22 | Rockies v. Giants -177 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-handed pitcher Logan Webb is set to take the mound for San Francisco in this game. He shut out the Rockies across 5.1 innings last Wednesday, allowing just one hit while striking out five. Webb has already thrown a career-high 187.1 innings, so the team is managing his workload down the stretch. He is 14-9 with a 2.93 ERA overall this season. The Giants have won five consecutive games against Colorado, and they are 12-4 in their last 16 home games against the Rockies. Marquez has been terrible during the month of September, posting a 6.26 ERA—he is 8-12 with a 5.15 ERA this season. |
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09-27-22 | Cardinals v. Brewers +102 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units While Houser has been mediocre against the Cardinals this season, he will be on a short leash as each game from now on is critical to the Brewers' playoff chances. Mikolas has been poor on the road this season, going just 5-10 with an ERA of 4.29. In addition, despite their first-place standing, the Cardinals are just 29-34 against teams over .500 this season. Go with the Brewers in a must-win spot here. |
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09-27-22 | Marlins v. Mets -200 | 6-4 | Loss | -200 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mets will be starting Carlos Carrasco on the mound. He is currently 15-6 with a 3.79 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 4.0 innings and he gave up three earned runs to the Brewers. He has been better at home this season, though. Inside Citi Field, he is 9-2 with a 3.21 ERA. The New York bullpen has also held its own. They have the 11th lowest bullpen ERA in the MLB. As a team, the Mets are surrendering 3.80 runs per game, which is the fourth least in the league. |
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09-26-22 | Orioles +112 v. Red Sox | 14-8 | Win | 112 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Baltimore lost two heartbreakers to close out their series with Houston but they still have life. Lyles is coming off his best performance of the season and will look to get over .500 and tie his career high in victories with a win over Boston. While Lyles has been hit hard by Boston this season, Seabold has been hit hard in every appearance. He was pummeled in his one start at Fenway this season going 2.2 innings and allowing nine hits and seven runs. He now faces an Orioles team hungry to pick up wins and keep their playoff hopes alive and a pitcher looking to tie his career high in wins. |
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09-26-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -115 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Yankees are only 5-5 in their last ten road games while the Blue Jays have been stellar at home. Toronto has been tough to beat down the stretch. They have yet to lose a series in all of September. Yankees’ starter Luis Severino has struggled against the Blue Jays, surrendering eight runs in his last two meetings against the foes this season, spanning only 9.2 innings. Jays' starter Kevin Gausman has silenced the Yankees this season, holding them to only two runs in 12.2 innings. The veteran knows the Yankees well from his time with the Orioles and features a 3.28 career ERA against the foes. |
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09-24-22 | Mariners -165 v. Royals | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Left-handed pitcher Kris Bubic is expected to start for Kansas City in this game. He allowed five runs on seven hits and three walks across just 2.2 innings against Boston on Sunday. Bubic allowed one run in each of the first two innings before giving up three runs in the third inning. He has gone 0-7 with a 7.83 ERA over his last seven starts, driving his season ERA up to 5.81. Right-handed pitcher Logan Gilbert is going to start for Seattle today. He allowed one run on four hits and a walk across six innings against the Angels on Monday. Gilbert set season-highs in strikeouts (11) and whiffs (21), throwing five scoreless innings before allowing a sacrifice fly. He is 3-1 with a 0.78 ERA over his last four starts, and he holds a 3.13 ERA overall this season. |
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09-24-22 | Tigers v. White Sox -170 | 7-2 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-handed pitcher Davis Martin will be on the mound for Chicago tonight. He allowed one run on three hits while striking out five batters across six innings against Detroit last week, notching a quality start. Martin has allowed just one earned run across his last 11 innings, lowering his season ERA to 3.78. Drew Hutchison is going to start for Detroit tonight. He allowed six runs on seven hits and two walks across 4.2 innings against the White Sox last Sunday. Hutchison has allowed at least two runs in five consecutive outings—he is 2-9 with a 4.59 ERA this season. |
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09-24-22 | Astros -170 v. Orioles | 11-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Astros have won 10 of their last 11 games and seven of their last eight road games. They have been on fire offensively, scoring at least five runs in six of their last seven games. They won’t have trouble scoring in this game because they’ve done a good job against right-handers and Baumann has struggled on the mound and will have a hard time slowing down the Astros in this game. The Orioles have lost four of their last six games and four of their last five home games. With the exception of their game against the Tigers, they have struggled offensively, scoring only two runs in their previous three home games. Expect their struggles to continue in this game because Houston’s pitchers have been dominant in recent games, giving up four runs in their last four games. They pitched a shutout in three of their last six games. |
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09-23-22 | Giants -150 v. Diamondbacks | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Giants will have Carlos Rodon on the hill to begin the series. Rodon was stellar in his previous start, limiting the Braves to only one run in five innings, and registered the win to lift his record to 13-8. The Giants’ ace features a minuscule 1.10 ERA this month and has posted a stifling 2.84 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in 167.2 innings of work on the season. he Diamondbacks are struggling to win games recently. They have lost five consecutive series and have dropped five out of their last seven home games. |
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09-23-22 | Padres v. Rockies +145 | 3-4 | Win | 145 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Padres do not like playing at Coors Field. They are an abysmal 1-6 in their seven games in Denver this season and the Rockies lead the season series 9-7. Colorado has a winning record at Coors Field and has won six out of their last eight home games. Padres’ starter Sean Manaea can’t be relied on. The veteran has an abysmal 6.10 ERA on the road. He has not been able to find a groove at all, logging a 7.88 ERA last month and a disastrous 8.71 ERA in his three outings in September. Rockies’ starter Ryan Feltner has fared well against the Padres, holding them to only four runs in 9.2 innings. |
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09-23-22 | Brewers -165 v. Reds | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Milwaukee has dominated Cincinnati of late, winning 14 of the last 20 meetings. The Brewers have won five of their last six games at Cincinnati. Left-handed pitcher Mike Minor is set to start for Cincinnati today. He allowed five runs on five hits and three walks against St. Louis last Saturday, striking out just one. Minor has allowed seven hits or more in four of his last seven starts, throwing six-plus innings just once. He is 0-8 with a 6.22 ERA in 10 home starts this season. |
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09-22-22 | Brewers -153 v. Reds | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cincinnati appears to have given up on the season as far as playing competitive games—getting swept in a four-game series against Pittsburgh pretty much tells the whole story. The Reds are at a large competitive disadvantage on Thursday night, as Milwaukee is in a must-win position. The Brewers are two games back of the final NL Wild Card spot, so they cannot afford to slip up during this series. Woodruff has been collecting wins for the Brewers all season, and he should have no problem shutting down Cincinnati’s lineup in this game. |
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09-22-22 | Cardinals v. Padres -144 | 5-4 | Loss | -144 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres on Thursday. Musgrove, a right-hander, is 10-7 on the season with a 3.16 ERA in 27 starts. Musgrove was lights out in his last start, throwing 6 innings and allowing 0 runs on 4 hits with 8 strikeouts and 0 walks. The Padres won 2-0. Musgrove is 2-7 with an ERA of 5.53 and 63 strikeouts in 10 appearances in his career against St. Louis. The Padres have a team ERA of 3.87 this season, which ranks 11th in the majors. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.85, which ranks 14th in baseball. |
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09-22-22 | Angels v. Rangers -165 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
Ratings: 2 Units The Angels are just 20-23 against lefties this season including a loss to Perez. Perez has flourished in the Rangers' new stadium which is far more forgiving to pitchers than the team's previous stadium. Perez ERA at home this season is a solid 2.90. Lorenzen has been hit hard in recent games and is just 2-4 with a 6.63 ERA on the road. |
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09-21-22 | Cardinals v. Padres -130 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miles Mikolas has been shaky recently. The veteran has allowed three or more runs in four out of his last five starts which is noteworthy considering four of those performances were against poor teams in the Reds or Cubs. Mikolas squandered seven homers in that span. Blake Snell has conceded one or zero runs in three out of his last four outings. |
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09-21-22 | Blue Jays +101 v. Phillies | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia will be starting Zach Wheeler on the mound in this one. He is currently 11-7 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 5.1 innings, but he gave up five hits and four earned runs to the Mets. This was his second shaky start in a row, as he also gave up six earned runs to the Mets two starts back. Blue Jays will start Kevin Gausman on the mound in this one. He is currently 12-10 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 7.0 innings, but he gave up six hits and five earned runs, as the Rays got to him early. He has been a completely different pitcher on the road this season, though. He has an 8-3 road record and his ERA drops to 2.45. |
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09-21-22 | Mets -125 v. Brewers | 0-6 | Loss | -125 | 2 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Taijuan Walker is going to start for New York today. He allowed three runs on five hits while striking out five across 7.1 innings against Pittsburgh last Friday. Walker has a 3.26 ERA in three starts this month after posting a disappointing 6.98 ERA in August. He is 12-4 with a 3.42 ERA and 111 strikeouts overall this season. Adrian Houser is going to start for Milwaukee today afternoon. He is coming off a rough start, allowing five runs on seven hits and four walks across three innings against the Yankees last Friday. Houser has issued 43 walks in 94.2 innings this season, striking out just 66 batters. He is 6-9 with a 4.85 ERA overall in 2022. |
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09-19-22 | Tigers v. Orioles -187 | 11-0 | Loss | -187 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Left-handed pitcher Tyler Alexander is going to start for Detroit on Monday night. He allowed four runs on six hits and a walk across five innings against Kansas City last Sunday. Alexander’s turn in the rotation was skipped last week when the team temporarily moved to a four-man rotation, but he will return to the mound on Monday. He has really struggled over his last four starts, posting a 10.06 ERA and 1.82 WHIP. |
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09-19-22 | Cubs v. Marlins -132 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cubs’ starter Wade Miley has pitched five or fewer innings in all but one start this season and the Cubs bullpen is below average with a 4.34 ERA. Marlins’ starter Edward Cabrera continues to shine, limiting his foe to two or fewer runs in six out of his last eight performances. He tossed five shutout innings against the Cubs last month. The Cubs have not been able to solve the Marlins this season, scoring only six runs in the three meetings. |
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09-19-22 | Mariners -114 v. Angels | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Seattle will be starting Logan Gilbert on the mound and he has been an absolute beast on the road this season. Overall, he is 12-6 with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP, but on the road, he is 7-1 with a 2.95 ERA. He has been extremely tough to make contact against and the Angels haven't impressed me at the plate. |
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09-18-22 | Padres -143 v. Diamondbacks | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Yu Darvish will be on the hill today for San Diego. Darvish was outstanding in his previous start, tossing eight shutout innings against a good Mariners offense, and earned another victory to lift his season record to 14-7. The veteran right-hander features a dazzling 1.29 ERA in his three performances this month and has posted a 3.16 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP in 176.2 innings pitched on the year. Darvish has logged a 2.42 ERA in four outings against Arizona this season and is 6-3 with a 3.84 ERA in 79.2 career innings. |
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09-18-22 | Yankees -172 v. Brewers | 12-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Brewers will start Jason Alexander on the mound in this game. He is currently 2-3 with a 5.29 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 5.1 innings and he gave up nine hits and five earned runs to the Reds. This was also his fourth consecutive loss. Yankees will be starting Gerrit Cole on the mound. He is currently 11-7 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. The last time he was on the mound, he pitched for 6.0 innings and he gave up four hits and four earned runs. The Red Sox got to him early, but he has been better on the road this season. He is currently 6-2 on the road with a 3.62 ERA. |
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09-18-22 | Rangers v. Rays -190 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rays will be starting Jeffrey Springs on the mound. He is currently 8-4 with a 2.41 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 6.0 innings and he only allowed three hits and zero earned runs. The Rangers will be starting Glenn Otto, who has stunk all season. He is currently 6-8 with a 4.71 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP, as he has given up at least two earned runs in his last four starts. The Rays will be able to make consistent contact against him and give themselves multiple chances to score. |
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09-17-22 | White Sox -145 v. Tigers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tigers will be starting Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound. He is 3-5 this season with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 5.0 innings and he gave up 10 hits and five earned runs to the Astros. He has also struggled at home this season, as he is 2-3 with a 4.72 ERA. |
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09-17-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -152 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Joe Berrios gets the start for the Blue Jays today. The right-hander is 10-5 on the season with an ERA of 5.07 in 28 starts. Berrios got a no-decision in his last start, a 3-2 win over the Rays. He allowed 2 runs on 6 hits in 6.1 innings of work. Berrios is 1-0 with an ERA of 3.46 and 10 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Orioles this season. In his career versus the Orioles, Berrios is 7-0 with an ERA of 3.05 and 59 strikeouts in 10 appearances. |
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09-16-22 | Mariners -151 v. Angels | 7-8 | Loss | -151 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Robbie Ray will get the starting call Friday, and the reigning AL Cy Young Award champ is 12-9 with a 3.56 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 189/53 K/BB ratio in 28 starts (166.2 innings pitched) this season. Ray met the Angels three times in 2022, posting a 2-0 record with a sparkling 1.80 ERA. The 30-year-old southpaw has yielded four earned runs on 14 hits and five walks across 20 frames of work while punching out 30. Their last duel came in August, and Ray fanned ten in an 8-2 victory at Angel Stadium. |
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09-16-22 | Twins v. Guardians -130 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Twins staff has been decimated by injuries and there are not a lot of options left, so it will likely be a bullpen day or they'll call someone up from deep on the depth chart. Triston McKenzie gets the start for the Guardians on Friday. The right-hander is 10-11 on the season with a 3.05 ERA in 26 starts and 27 appearances. McKenzie has 159 strikeouts and 43 walks in 165.1 innings pitched. In his last outing, he blanked these same Twins, allowing 0 runs on 6 hits in 7 innings with 5 strikeouts and 2 walks. |
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09-16-22 | Rockies v. Cubs -124 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Rockies have now dropped five out of their last six road games and are one of the worst road teams in the big leagues. Rockies’ starter German Marquez just surrendered nine runs against the Diamondbacks in his previous start and has abysmal numbers against the Cubs, logging a 7.65 ERA. Cubs’ starter Marcus Stroman has been reliable, limiting his foe to only five runs in his last three outings spanning 16 innings. He has excelled in his career against the Rockies, flaunting a 2.53 ERA. The Cubs have scored 22 runs in four games against the Rockies in the first series and are fresh off a big three-game road sweep of the Mets. |
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09-15-22 | Padres -158 v. Diamondbacks | 0-4 | Loss | -158 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Madison Bumgarner is 0-3 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in four starts and 17 frames of work against the Padres in 2022. On the other side, Sean Manaea is 2-0 with a 2.88 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in four starts and 25 innings pitched against the Diamondbacks this season. |
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09-15-22 | Royals v. Twins -160 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Daniel Lynch gets the start for the Royals on Thursday. The left-hander is 4-10 on the season with a 5.14 ERA in 8 starts and 23 starts. Lynch has 105 strikeouts and 46 walks in 112 innings pitched. In his last outing, he got pummeled in a loss to the Tigers, allowing 6 runs on 10 hits in 3.2 innings. He gave up 2 home runs. Lynch is 1-2 with an ERA of 4.05 and 12 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Twins this season The Royals have a team ERA of 4.72, which ranks 27th in baseball. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.71, which is second to last in the league. |
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09-14-22 | Yankees -124 v. Red Sox | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 units Right-hander Brayan Bello is expected to be on the mound for Boston on Wednesday. He allowed three runs on three hits and four walks across 5.1 innings against Baltimore last Friday. Bello tied his career high with seven strikeouts, lowering his rookie ERA slightly to 5.79. He picked up his first big-league win two weeks ago, so he is 1-5 entering this start. Boston has been unable to avoid lengthy losing streaks this season, which is ultimately going to be the reason the Red Sox are not in the playoff bracket. They have gone on five separate skids of at least three games since the All-Star break. |
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09-14-22 | Orioles -144 v. Nationals | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Washington’s pitching is one of the worst in the league, with the team giving up 5.33 runs per game. Opponents have a .265 batting average against the Nationals, which is 28th in the league. Their 5.06 ERA is 29th, while their 1.44 WHIP is 28th. In his last start, Corbin gave up five hits and five runs in 6.2 innings leading to a 5-3 loss to Philadelphia. He has struggled against the Orioles, going 1-4 in six starts against them while giving up 17 runs in his last four starts against them. |
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09-14-22 | Padres v. Mariners -148 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Luis Castillo gets the start for the Mariners on Wednesday. The right hander is 6-5 on the season with a 2.81 ERA in 21 starts. Castillo has 141 strikeouts and 38 walks in 128.1 innings pitched. In his last outing he got a no decision, allowing 3 earned runs on 5 hits in 5.2 innings with 8 strikeouts and 1 walk. He also gave up a long ball. Castillo is 2-1 in his last 7 starts with a 2.70 ERA. Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 inter-league games versus a team with a winning record and 9-3 in their last 12 inter-league games versus. a right-handed starter. |
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09-13-22 | Brewers v. Cardinals -170 | 8-4 | Loss | -170 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brewers are using the bullpen for this game. The Brewers’ pen isn’t as dominant as past seasons, logging a 3.96 ERA, tabbing them 16th. Cards’ starter Jordan Montgomery has been incredible, sporting a minuscule 1.45 ERA in his seven starts as a member of the Cardinals. He recorded six shutout innings in his lone meeting against the Brewers last month. |
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09-13-22 | Orioles -150 v. Nationals | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Washington’s pitching is one of the worst in the league, with the team giving up 5.33 runs per game. Opponents have a .265 batting average against the Nationals, which is 28th in the league. Their 5.06 ERA is 29th, while their 1.44 WHIP is 28th. In his last start, Espino gave up seven hits and three runs in five innings leading to a 4-1 loss to St. Louis. The Nationals have lost five of their last six games. |
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09-13-22 | Phillies +113 v. Marlins | 2-1 | Win | 113 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Left-handed pitcher Bailey Falter is going to start for Philadelphia in this game. He allowed two runs on seven hits and no walks across 5.1 innings against Miami on Wednesday. Falter had his four-game streak of quality starts snapped, but he extended his winning streak to four. He has posted a 2.66 ERA over 23.2 innings during that stretch and is going to remain in the rotation at least until Zack Wheeler is ready to return. This is about as perfect of a scheduling spot as you are going to get with an MLB bet. Philadelphia had the day off on Monday and is fighting for a playoff spot, while Miami is coming off a doubleheader. |
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09-12-22 | Astros -193 v. Tigers | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Framber Valdez gets the start on Monday. The left hander has had an excellent campaign as he is 14-5 on the season with an ERA of 2.64 in 26 starts. He has 161 strikeouts and 60 walks in 171.2 innings pitched. In his last start he pitched well in a loss to the Rangers, allowing 2 earned runs on 6 hits in 6.2 innings with 11 strikeouts. He faced the Tigers earlier this season and gave up 2 runs on 9 hits with 1 walk and 7 strikeouts in 6 innings. The Astros have a team ERA of 2.96, which is second in baseball. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.82, which is the best in baseball. |
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09-12-22 | Pirates v. Reds -130 | 6-3 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Left-handed pitcher Mike Minor is going to start for Cincinnati in this game. He allowed one run on 10 hits and one walk while striking out three batters across 5.2 innings against the Cubs last Wednesday. Minor started the season at 1-10, but he has picked up wins in each of his last three decisions. He has allowed two runs or fewer in each of his past three starts. Right-handed pitcher Bryse Wilson is going to start for Pittsburgh on Monday night. He allowed four runs on seven hits across six innings as a bulk reliever against the Mets last Wednesday. Wilson has allowed at least three earned runs in seven of eight appearances since the All-Star break, posting a 5.59 ERA and 1.29 WHIP through those 38.2 innings. |
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09-11-22 | White Sox -155 v. A's | 3-10 | Loss | -155 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Johnny Cueto gets the start for the White Sox on Sunday. The right-hander is 7-7 on the season with an ERA of 2.87 in 20 starts and 21 appearances. He has 85 strikeouts and 30 walks in 135 innings pitched. Cueto is 2-0 with an ERA of 2.06 and 20 strikeouts in 5 appearances against Oakland in his career. Cole Irvin gets the start for the A's on Sunday. The left-hander is 7-11 on the season with an ERA of 3.78 in 25 starts. He has 108 strikeouts and 31 walks in 152.1 innings pitched. Irvin got bombed for 9 runs in 4.2 innings in his last start, a loss to the Braves. |
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09-11-22 | Diamondbacks -160 v. Rockies | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona will send Zach Gallen to the mound on Sunday. In 26 starts this season, Gallen is 11-2 with a 2.42 ERA, including 5-2 with a 2.39 road ERA. Even at Coors Field, Gallen has performed well in his career, going 1-0 with a 2.03 ERA in five games there since 2019. Ryan Feltner will be going for the Rockies Saturday. He is 2-7 with a 5.85 ERA in 15 games this year and 2-3 with a 5.71 ERA at home. Feltner allowed six runs, five earned in 4.1 innings at home against Arizona in a 7-4 loss on August 14. |