11-28-13 |
Xavier v. Iowa -6 |
|
74-77 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
Iowa was a very good team last season that won 25 games and made it to the NIT finals. The Hawkeyes return just about everyone from that team, and they
|
11-27-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Charlotte Bobcats +8 |
|
99-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
Indiana is one of the best teams in the NBA. The Pacers come into tonight
|
11-26-13 |
Utah State v. Weber State +3 |
|
77-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a big rivalry game in the state of Utah and one between two coaches that are very close friends. Utah State is 4-0 SU and ATS on the season and that is a major reason they are laying points in this game. However, the Aggies have played an easy schedule and they
|
11-25-13 |
San Francisco 49ers -4 v. Washington Redskins |
|
27-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
San Francisco won five consecutive games in a month
|
11-25-13 |
Houston Rockets -1.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
|
93-86 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
Houston is playing some good basketball right now. The Rockets have won four of their last five games with their lone loss coming by just 3 points (123-120) at Dallas. The Rockets
|
11-24-13 |
Massachusetts +1.5 v. Clemson |
|
62-56 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
Massachusetts is a much better team than people realize this season. The Minutemen will get notice after their play in this tournament, especially if they win the Charleston Classic tonight on national TV. UMass is 5-0 this season with solid wins over good teams like Boston College, LSU, Nebraska, and New Mexico. The Minutemen have a veteran team that starts 3 seniors and a junior; the team won 46 games over the last two seasons. They play at a fast, pressuring pace and that style is difficult for opponents to handle, especially when playing their third game in four nights.
Clemson is also 5-0, but the Tigers have played an extremely soft schedule full of teams that are in rebuilding mode. Clemson is taking a major step-up in class against Massachusetts tonight. The Tigers were picked to finish 14th out of 15 teams in the ACC this season by many pundits. Clemson HC Brad Brownell wasn
|
11-24-13 |
Denver Broncos v. New England Patriots +2.5 |
|
31-34 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 50 m |
Show
|
Denver easily beat Kansas City last week on Sunday night. That was a big win for the Broncos as it was a division game and it was also against the lone undefeated team left in the NFL. But the Broncos are in a tough spot this week as they must travel to New England to face an irritated Patriots team returning home off a road loss in Carolina. The Patriots have been outstanding off a loss; they are 30-12-1 ATS their last 43 games when playing off a SU loss. Denver
|
11-24-13 |
Carolina Panthers -4 v. Miami Dolphins |
|
20-16 |
Push |
0 |
49 h 21 m |
Show
|
Carolina has won 7 of their last 8 games by a combined score of 202-77. They are playing at an elite level right now, and not many people have noticed. Over their last four games, Carolina has been a dominating team. They
|
11-24-13 |
San Diego Chargers +4.5 v. Kansas City Chiefs |
|
41-38 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 23 m |
Show
|
San Diego comes into this game on a 0-3 SU and ATS slide. However, the Chargers were competitive in all three of those losses as all three games were decided by 8 points or less, including an overtime loss at Washington. The Chargers were flat in Miami last week but that was expected after they lost a divisional showdown game at home to Denver the week before. With this game in Kansas City being a division game, we can expect a full effort by the Chargers. San Diego
|
11-23-13 |
Baylor -9.5 v. Oklahoma State |
|
17-49 |
Loss |
-106 |
32 h 18 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma State beat us last week as they went into Texas and won 38-13 as 3-point road favorites. That game turned on a single play right before the end of the first half. Texas dropped a sure interception in the end zone and Oklahoma State caught the tipped ball for a gift touchdown. Texas threw a pick 6 on their next possession with just 21 seconds left in the half. Oklahoma State went from a 14-10 lead to a 28-10 halftime lead in just one minute. Oklahoma State is throwing for just 7.0 yards per pass attempt which ranks them #71 in the country. They are only converting on 37.4% (#82) of their third down attempts. With poor numbers like that, Oklahoma State
|
11-23-13 |
Vanderbilt +3 v. Tennessee |
|
14-10 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 22 m |
Show
|
Vanderbilt continues to improve under HC James Franklin. The Commodores won just 4 total games in the two seasons prior to Franklin
|
11-23-13 |
BYU v. Notre Dame |
|
13-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 48 m |
Show
|
BYU comes into this game against Notre Dame playing outstanding football. The Cougars have won six of their last seven games with their lone loss coming by just 10 points at Wisconsin. BYU has one of the toughest offenses to defend. The Cougars rush for 248 yards per game which is #14 in the country and they are #11 in total offense, averaging 496 yards per game. BYU owns a +93.1 net rushing differential this season and they will have no problem running on a Notre Dame team that owns a -11.2 net rushing differential. The Cougars also have a fantastic defense that ranks #24 in the country in allowing just 22 points per game. They hold their opponents to only 4.8 yards per play (#22) and 6.1 yards per pass attempt (#13).
Notre Dame does come into this game off a bye, but that won
|
11-23-13 |
Nebraska +2 v. Penn State |
|
23-20 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 60 m |
Show
|
Nebraska
|
11-23-13 |
Michigan State v. Northwestern +7.5 |
|
30-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 19 m |
Show
|
Michigan State comes into this game with an impressive 9-1 record. The Spartans only loss was a 17-13 setback at Notre Dame. This team wins with defense as they allow just 13.2 points per game on 228 yards of total offense. But as good as Michigan State has been on defense this season, they have struggled mightily on offense. The Spartans are #95 in total offense at 359 yards per game and #101 in the country in averaging only 4.8 yards per play. The Spartans have struggled big time in the passing game as they are ranked #106 in the country only averaging 5.8 yards per pass attempt and they are #104 in passing yards per game, averaging just 180 yards thru the air. Those are some terrible numbers, especially for a team laying a full touchdown on the road.
Northwestern has lost 6 straight games coming into Saturday, but they are much better than their record indicates. Some of their losses are excusable after they lost their big home game against Ohio State. The hangover lingered for awhile, but the Wildcats are over it now. Northwestern has one of the best offenses in the country and they are #1 in red zone scoring with a success rate of 100%. The Wildcats run for 176 yards per game and they
|
11-23-13 |
Oklahoma +5.5 v. Kansas State |
|
41-31 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 19 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma lost SU at home to Kansas State last season as a double digit favorite. HC Bob Stoops and the Sooners will be looking for revenge, especially since they are an underdog in this game. Oklahoma will start Trevor Knight at quarterback after losing Blake Bell to a concussion in last week
|
11-22-13 |
Washington Wizards +4.5 v. Toronto Raptors |
|
88-96 |
Loss |
-102 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
Washington is playing good basketball right now. The Wizards have won two consecutive games after losing their previous game in overtime. Washington has played a brutal road schedule this season with losses at Miami, Oklahoma City, Dallas, and San Antonio. Those are elite teams and Washington just isn
|
11-21-13 |
UNLV v. Air Force -2 |
|
41-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 3 m |
Show
|
UNLV comes into tonight
|
11-21-13 |
Florida State v. VCU -8 |
|
85-67 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
|
This game will be played on a neutral floor in San Juan, Puerto Rico. Florida State comes in with a 3-0 record but the Seminoles have been untested with wins over inferior teams Jacksonville, Central Florida, and Tennessee-Martin. This year
|
11-20-13 |
Northern Illinois v. Toledo +3 |
|
35-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
Northern Illinois is undefeated at 10-0 and they are looking to make another appearance in a BCS bowl. Last season the Huskies played in the Orange Bowl and lost 31-10 to Florida State. This year, Northern Illinois has played an extremely easy schedule with their best win coming at Iowa in the season opener way back on August 31st. The Huskies have faced a slew of terrible defenses this season so they
|
11-20-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
|
102-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
|
These two teams played nine days ago in Los Angeles with the Clippers pulling out a 109-107 win. That game was as close as the final score indicates as the two teams were just about even across the board in the stats. However, there was one particular area in which the Clippers were dominated. Los Angeles was crushed on the offensive glass as Minnesota held a 16-6 edge in offensive rebounds. That Clippers
|
11-19-13 |
Memphis +8.5 v. Oklahoma State |
|
80-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
Memphis and Oklahoma State are two very good teams, but this game is priced as if the Cowboys are the significantly better team. That
|
11-19-13 |
New York Knicks +4 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
86-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
New York comes into tonight
|
11-18-13 |
New England Patriots v. Carolina Panthers -2.5 |
|
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 18 m |
Show
|
New England comes in off their bye week after crushing the Steelers 55-31 in their previous game. Bettors are flocking to the Patriots in this game for a few reasons, and we simply disagree with their thinking. Many believe the Patriots
|
11-17-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs +8.5 v. Denver Broncos |
|
17-27 |
Loss |
-120 |
46 h 36 m |
Show
|
Kansas City is the lone unbeaten team remaining in the NFL. The Chiefs are 9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS; they
|
11-17-13 |
Florida Atlantic v. Boston College -16 |
|
79-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
Florida Atlantic has little to work with this season. The Owls lost their top two scorers from last season, and those two players were basically the whole team. One of those players was Greg Grantt who is also the school
|
11-17-13 |
San Francisco 49ers +3.5 v. New Orleans Saints |
|
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
42 h 32 m |
Show
|
After five consecutive SU wins by San Francisco, they lost 10-9 as 6-point home favorites to the Panthers last Sunday. That loss was not a surprise as we actually had a Best Bet on Carolina in that game. The 49ers will bounce back strong off that defeat, especially in a spot very few give them a chance. San Francisco
|
11-17-13 |
Washington Redskins +4.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
|
16-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
38 h 7 m |
Show
|
This is a rematch from the season opener when the Eagles beat the Redskins 33-27 in Washington as 4-point underdogs. Washington has alternated wins and losses over their last six games, and since they come off a loss, their performance pattern suggests a big effort is coming. The Redskins 3-6 record may not reflect it, but Washington has one of the better offenses in the NFL this season. They rank in the Top 10 in points per game (25.6), yards per game (410), yards per play (5.8), third down conversions (46%), red zone touchdowns (65%), and touchdowns per game (3.2). Washington is averaging 31 points and 425 yards of total offense per game over their last four games. Last week
|
11-16-13 |
Oregon State v. Arizona State -14.5 |
|
17-30 |
Loss |
-109 |
21 h 53 m |
Show
|
Oregon State comes in with a 6-3 SU record, but a losing 4-5 mark ATS. The Beavers are off back-to-back home losses to Stanford and USC and we see this team continuing to head in a downward spiral. They do come off a bye, but that
|
11-16-13 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Orlando Magic +3 |
|
108-100 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
Dallas lost a tough game in Miami last night, and we expect some hangover for tonight
|
11-16-13 |
Weber State +2 v. Colorado St |
|
67-88 |
Loss |
-106 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
Weber State is one of the best teams in the Big Sky conference this season. The Wildcats won 30 games last season and they return their top four starters. Overall, Weber State brings back 63% of their offensive production and 71% of their defensive production from last year
|
11-16-13 |
Miami (Florida) v. Duke +3.5 |
|
30-48 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 55 m |
Show
|
Miami Fla opened their season with seven consecutive wins, but they
|
11-16-13 |
Oklahoma State v. Texas +3 |
|
38-13 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 55 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma State is in a bad scheduling spot for this game at Texas as it will be their final road game of the season with a pair of revenge games at home on deck against Baylor and Oklahoma. This will also be Oklahoma State
|
11-15-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Phoenix Suns +1.5 |
|
100-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
Brooklyn is struggling mightily this season; they come into tonight
|
11-14-13 |
Indianapolis Colts -1 v. Tennessee Titans |
|
30-27 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
Both teams come into tonight
|
11-14-13 |
Georgia Tech +11.5 v. Clemson |
|
31-55 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
|
Georgia Tech has been a team of runs this season. The Yellow Jackets opened the season with 3 straight wins before losing their next three games in a row. They come into tonight
|
11-14-13 |
Detroit v. Connecticut -20 |
|
55-101 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
Detroit had some good seasons over the last few years. The Titans won 20 games last season, but that was with an experienced senior-laden team. Detroit is very young and inexperienced this season as they only return 17% of their offensive production and 31% of their defensive production from last year. Not only are four starters gone, but Detroit
|
11-13-13 |
Phoenix Suns +7 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
|
89-90 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
Phoenix is quietly flying well under the radar early on this season. The Suns come into tonight
|
11-13-13 |
Ball State +7.5 v. Northern Illinois |
|
27-48 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
The two best teams in the MAC play tonight as Ball State travels to Northern Illinois for a crucial conference game. Ball State is 9-1 on the season, including a solid 4-1 record on the road. Their lone loss of the season came by just 7 points at North Texas way back in September. The Cardinals have a strong offense led by quarterback Keith Wenning who owns a solid 27/5 TD/INT ratio on the season. Ball State has a prolific passing offense that averages a whopping 8.4 yards per pass attempt. The Cardinals also convert on 41.1% of their third down attempts and that allows them to move the chains consistently. Ball State also has a solid defense that is holding opponents to 5.5 yards per play and just 6.1 yards per pass attempt.
Northern Illinois is undefeated at 9-0 on the season. The Huskies have played an extremely weak schedule and their best win came at Iowa (30-27) in their season opener. Since that game, the Huskies have feasted on a bunch of terrible teams; tonight
|
11-12-13 |
UC-Santa Barbara +9 v. UNLV |
|
86-65 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
UC Santa Barbara will be a very good team this season coming out of the Big West conference. The Gauchos return 92% of their offensive production and 86% of their defensive production from last season. Ten players return in total which means the team has tremendous depth. UC Santa Barbara easily won their season opener 76-50 over inferior Hawaii Pacific; ten guys played at least 9 minutes or more in that game. HC Bob Williams is in his 16th season and he
|
11-12-13 |
Pennsylvania -6 v. Monmouth |
|
79-73 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
Pennsylvania returns a stacked team this season. The Quakers have 100% of their offensive and defensive production back from last season. Penn has a terrific backcourt with Miles Cartwright and Tony Hicks. Monmouth HC King Rice is well aware of that duo:
|
11-11-13 |
Miami Dolphins v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 |
|
19-22 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 20 m |
Show
|
Miami comes in off a 22-20 home underdog win in overtime over Cincinnati in their last game. That win by the Dolphins snapped a 4-game losing streak after they opened the season at 3-0. There
|
11-10-13 |
Carolina Panthers +6 v. San Francisco 49ers |
|
10-9 |
Win
|
105 |
40 h 47 m |
Show
|
Carolina comes into this game in San Francisco as one of the hottest teams in the NFL. The Panthers are riding a 4-game winning streak, both SU and ATS. Carolina
|
11-10-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals -1 v. Baltimore Ravens |
|
17-20 |
Loss |
-115 |
37 h 43 m |
Show
|
Cincinnati and Baltimore are two teams going in different directions. The Bengals have won four of their last five games and they could very well be riding a 5-game winning streak if not for a loss on a safety last Thursday night in Miami. Meanwhile, the Ravens are on a 3-game losing streak, both SU and ATS. Cincinnati has the motivation coming off a loss and they also had extra time to prepare since their last game was on a Thursday night. The Bengals also have the better team on both sides of the ball. They rank #8 in the NFL while averaging 7.4 yards per pass attempt. The Bengals convert 43.3% of their third downs which ranks them #7 in the league. Defensively, Cincinnati only allows opponents to average 4.9 yards per play (#4) and 5.9 yards per pass attempt which is also 4th best in the NFL.
Baltimore has struggled as expected this season. The Ravens only average 21 points per game, and they
|
11-09-13 |
Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh +4.5 |
|
21-28 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 40 m |
Show
|
Notre Dame comes in with a 7-2 SU record, but a losing 3-5-1 mark ATS. The Fighting Irish have played five of their nine games at home and one neutral site game. They
|
11-09-13 |
Texas -4.5 v. West Virginia |
|
47-40 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 41 m |
Show
|
After a 21-point loss at home to Mississippi on September 14th, it was looking as if Texas would struggle to get to a bowl game this season. Fast forward five weeks and the Longhorns are one of the hottest teams in the country. Texas has won 5 straight games, including SU underdog wins versus Oklahoma and at TCU. The Longhorns travel to Morgantown with revenge on their minds after losing 48-45 to West Virginia as 7-point home favorites last season. The Texas offense has been potent as they are averaging 32 points per game. They convert on an impressive 44.2% of their third down attempts and they will be facing a West Virginia defense that is allowing opponents to convert 45% on third down; that ranks the Mountaineers #97 in the country. The Longhorns average over 200 yards rushing and passing while throwing for 7.4 yards per pass attempt.
West Virginia has struggled on both sides of the ball this season. They are only managing to score 23.6 points per game; last year they averaged 39 points per game. They only throw for 6.3 yards per pass attempt (#96 in the country) and covert only 31.5% on third down (#107). The Texas defense only allows 23.6 points per game. They have held their opponents to 5.2 yards per play and 6.5 yards per pass, #26 in the country in both categories. West Virginia
|
11-09-13 |
Arkansas v. Ole Miss -16.5 |
|
24-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 1 m |
Show
|
Arkansas HC Bret Biliema has had a rough first year in the SEC. Biliema is finding his system, which worked well in the power football of the Big 10 conference, is not suited for the personnel that he has in place currently at Arkansas. The current players are more suited for a faster, quick-paced offense. Things have continued to spiral for Arkansas. They have been out-scored by a combined 169-34 over their last four games. They have lost 6 straight games while going just 1-5 ATS during that span. The Razorbacks
|
11-08-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. New Orleans Pelicans -9 |
|
85-96 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
Los Angeles won 99-98 last night in Houston. The Lakers actually barely survived to win that game after they scored just 35 total points in the second half. Los Angeles jumped on the Rockets early and took a 36-19 lead at the end of the first quarter. But the Lakers were out-scored 79-63 over the last three quarters and were fortunate to hang on for the win. The Lakers hit 16 three
|
11-07-13 |
Oregon v. Stanford +11 |
|
20-26 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
Oregon has looked unstoppable so far this season. The Ducks come into tonight
|
11-07-13 |
Washington Redskins v. Minnesota Vikings +3 |
|
27-34 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
Washington has alternated wins and losses over their last six games. The Redskins come in off a win in their last game so if their pattern continues, we can expect a lesser performance tonight. Washington is also off three consecutive high-scoring games, including a dramatic overtime win last week against the Chargers. Now Washington must take to the road on a short week and lay points into a desperate Minnesota team; this is not an ideal setup and situation for the Redskins. Washington also has a terrible defense that is allowing 31.6 points per game to offenses that average 28.1 points per game. The Redskins have given up 141 points in four games since their bye week.
Minnesota returns home off a close 27-23 loss at Dallas. That close loss by the Vikings was a positive sign considering they lost their previous three games by 13 points or more. Minnesota has historically played on a strong home field inside the Metrodome, but they are 0-3 at home this season. However, two of those losses came to Carolina and Green Bay with the other coming to Cleveland in a close 31-27 loss. Minnesota is finally getting a team on their level at home, and this is a very winnable game for the Vikings. They were 7-point favorites over the Browns and 2.5-point favorites over the Panthers; those two teams are better than Washington. There
|
11-06-13 |
Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks |
|
104-109 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
Cleveland comes into tonight
|
11-05-13 |
Ohio v. Buffalo -3.5 |
|
3-30 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
These are the two best teams in the MAC East as Ohio and Buffalo both come into this game at 6-2 SU overall. Ohio is 3-1 in conference play while Buffalo is a perfect 4-0 in conference play. The Bobcats haven
|
11-05-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats +9 v. New York Knicks |
|
102-97 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 25 m |
Show
|
Charlotte will be a much improved team this season; the Bobcats won just 21 games last year. New head coach Steve Clifford was a terrific hire because of his defensive acumen. Charlotte
|
11-04-13 |
Chicago Bears +11 v. Green Bay Packers |
|
27-20 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
Chicago comes into tonight
|
11-03-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans +2.5 |
|
27-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 39 m |
Show
|
Both teams come into this game off their bye, but the two teams heading into their off week in different directions. The Colts scored a huge 39-33 home upset win over the previously unbeaten Broncos prior to their bye. The Texans lost a close game in Kansas City to head into their off week on a 5-game losing streak. There
|
11-03-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Buffalo Bills +4 |
|
23-13 |
Loss |
-115 |
46 h 10 m |
Show
|
Kansas City has looked impressive in the win/loss column, but a deeper investigation reveals some major flaws being masked by their wins. The Chiefs are the phoniest 8-0 team in recent NFL memory. Kansas City has played a woeful schedule as their opponents are a collective 20-41 SU on the season; none of their eight opponents have a record better than .500 this year. The Chiefs
|
11-02-13 |
Chicago Bulls -8.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
|
104-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
|
Chicago gets a major class relief for tonight
|
11-02-13 |
Tennessee +10.5 v. Missouri |
|
3-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 48 m |
Show
|
Tennessee comes into this game with a 4-4 overall record, both SU and ATS. The Volunteers are winless on the road at 0-3 but they
|
11-02-13 |
Iowa State v. Kansas State -16.5 |
|
7-41 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 19 m |
Show
|
Iowa State finds themselves in a tough spot this week. The Cyclones are playing their third road game over the last four weeks and they
|
11-02-13 |
Mississippi State v. South Carolina -11.5 |
|
16-34 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 9 m |
Show
|
Mississippi State has not been impressive at all this season despite their winning 4-3 record. Two of their four wins this season have come against Alcorn State and Troy. Their other two wins came by 1-point over Bowling Green and by 6 points at home against a poor Kentucky team. The Bulldogs are on a money burning 1-7 ATS run as an SEC road underdog and we don
|
11-01-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Sacramento Kings +4 |
|
110-101 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 20 m |
Show
|
The Clippers lost their season opener to the Lakers as 9.5-point favorites, but they bounced back last night and beat the Warriors 126-115. Los Angeles will be playing on a back-to-back set and teams off spotlight wins often come up short on the road when playing on consecutive nights. The Clippers shot 49.4% from the field and they got to the free throw line a whopping 50 times. Tonight they will be playing a solid defensive team in Sacramento so we do not expect a repeat performance.
Sacramento won their season opener 90-88 over Denver and they had last night off. The Kings
|
10-30-13 |
Cincinnati v. Memphis +3 |
|
34-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
The public is heavy on Cincinnati as a small favorite tonight due to the fact the Bearcats at 5-2 SU this season, while Memphis is just 1-5 SU. However, the records are misleading as Memphis has played a much tougher schedule and when adjusting this season's statistics based on opponents played, the Tigers actually rate the overall stat edge tonight. We also get the much better defensive team as a home underdog this evening.
This is the biggest game of the season for Memphis. The team will not qualify for any postseason action, so this is basically the Tigers' "Bowl" game on national TV tonight. The matchup is also favorable as Memphis is a run-based, defensive home team getting points as an underdog. The Tigers have quietly put together an excellent stop unit this season, allowing just 22.5 points per game and 4.7 yards per play (versus opponents that average 33.0 ppg and 6.0 yppl).
Cincinnati is an overrated offensive team that has taken advantage of weak opponents this season. The Bearcats are averaging 34.0 points per game and 6.3 yards per play, but it is very misleading as they have faced a schedule of terrible defensive teams that permit 36.6 ppg and 6.4 yppl. When factoring strength of schedule and opponent's statistical averages, Memphis actually rates the overall edge tonight and they present value as a home underdog in this national TV game.
9* Play MEMPHIS (+).
|
10-29-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers -9 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
103-116 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
These are two teams heading in opposite directions as the Clippers look stronger this season with new head coach Doc Rivers, while the Lakers have become weaker with the loss of Dwight Howard and Kobe Bryant. Howard is now playing with Houston, while Bryant remains out with an achilles injury. There are also health issues with Steve Nash who is now the oldest point guard in the league since Jason Kidd retired.
Motivation is a key to handicapping the NBA and the Clippers want to prove they are the superior team now in Los Angeles. This was definitely the case last season when the Clippers went a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS versus the Lakers with three of the four wins coming by double-digit margins. In fact, the Clippers held dominating 19, 16, 28, and 16 point leads in those four games, and this was with both Kobe Bryant and Dwight Howard playing. Bryant scored 40, 38, 20, 25 points, while Howard scored 13, 21, 18, 25 in the four head-to-head meetings. However, neither player is in the Lakers' lineup tonight and it is hard to see how they will make up for those 53, 59, 38, 50 combined points from each loss last season.
We get a discounted price tonight because this is considered a Lakers' "home" game, however both teams play in the Staples Center and there is no travel factor for either side, so there is really no home court edge. This was evident last season when the Clippers won their two "road" games versus the Lakers by an average of 17 points per game. The Clippers have finally become the superior team in Los Angeles and they will not miss the opportunity to pound a crippled Lakers team on national TV tonight.
10* Play CLIPPERS (-).
|
10-27-13 |
Green Bay Packers -8 v. Minnesota Vikings |
|
44-31 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 35 m |
Show
|
Green Bay waxed Cleveland last week 31-13 despite missing some of their better offensive players. That was the Packers third straight win and ATS cover and they should add to those totals after this game on Sunday night in Minnesota. The Packers
|
10-27-13 |
Washington Redskins +14 v. Denver Broncos |
|
21-45 |
Loss |
-125 |
48 h 57 m |
Show
|
Washington got off to a slow start this season because QB RG III missed all of the preseason. His first game action came in the season opener so the sluggish start for the Redskins was expected. However, RG III and the Redskins
|
10-27-13 |
Miami Dolphins +7 v. New England Patriots |
|
17-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
45 h 33 m |
Show
|
After beginning the season 3-0 SU and ATS, Miami has gone in the opposite direction by going 0-3 SU and ATS in their last 3 games. The Dolphins were overvalued early on this season, and with their recent downward trend, we see a team that is now undervalued in the pointspread. Aside from their 21-point loss in New Orleans, the Dolphins two losses have come by a combined 5 points; a 3-point loss to the Ravens and a 2-point loss to the Bills last Sunday. Despite losing those games, Miami played well enough to win, especially last week against the Bills since they outgained Buffalo and only allowed 178 passing yards.
New England simply does not have the same offense we
|
10-26-13 |
Texas +2.5 v. TCU |
|
30-7 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 8 m |
Show
|
Texas comes into this game at TCU with a nice scheduling edge as they are fresh off their bye. Their week off came at a good time as they upset Oklahoma 36-20 as 14-point underdogs in their last game.
|
10-26-13 |
South Carolina +3 v. Missouri |
|
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 38 m |
Show
|
South Carolina comes in off an upset loss at Tennessee last week. The Gamecocks were 7-point road favorites and they lost 23-21 on a last-second field goal. Despite the loss, South Carolina out-played Tennessee from the line of scrimmage as they held a 5.2-3.6 yards per rush attempt edge and a 7.5-5.0 yards per pass attempt edge. The difference was the -2 turnover margin for South Carolina. The Gamecocks also lost QB Connor Shaw to a sprained knee. Dylan Thompson will start this game at Missouri, and he replaced Shaw last year with success. Thompson started at Clemson and completed 23 of 41 passes for 310 yards and three touchdowns in South Carolina
|
10-24-13 |
Carolina Panthers -6 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|
31-13 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
Carolina is in tremendous form right now. The Panthers have won three of their last four games while also going 3-1 ATS in those games. Carolina has won those three games by a combined score of 103-25; the Panthers are finally starting to play to their talent level. Over their last four games, Carolina has been a dominating team. They
|
10-22-13 |
Louisiana-Lafayette -2.5 v. Arkansas State |
|
23-7 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
UL Lafayette was the preseason pick to win the Sun Belt conference. Tonight they will play at Arkansas State; the Red Wolves are the 2-time defending Sun Belt champions. This is a big game for both teams, and it
|
10-20-13 |
Denver Broncos v. Indianapolis Colts +7 |
|
33-39 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 34 m |
Show
|
Most of the focus in this game will be on the return of Peyton Manning to Indianapolis. But that only creates a distraction for Denver, and despite their perfect 6-0 record, the Broncos are not as invincible as they seem. The Broncos
|
10-20-13 |
Houston Texans +7 v. Kansas City Chiefs |
|
16-17 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 30 m |
Show
|
Houston suffered another loss last week when the Rams beat them 38-13. That was the fourth consecutive loss for the Texans after they opened the season at 2-0. Houston took a ton of sharp money in that game, but the Texans imploded. Despite losing that game by 25 points, Houston held a 27-15 first down edge and they out-yarded the Rams by 204 yards (420-216). Incredibly, the Texans have won the stats in every game this season. Turnovers have been the issue and they have a -8 turnover margin in their last two games. Houston will start Case Keenum at quarterback, and that change should spark this team. Keenum was fantastic in the preseason for the Texans as they led the NFL in offensive yards per game (444.2), passing yards (300.2), total yards per play (6.2) and first downs per game (25). Keenum hit 68.3% (43-63) of his passes for 482 yards while averaging 7.7 yards per pass attempt.
Kansas City may be the phoniest 6-0 team in recent NFL memory. The Chiefs have played a woeful schedule as their opponents are a collective 11-25 on the season; the 0-6 Jaguars and Giants are part of that group. Kansas City
|
10-20-13 |
San Diego Chargers v. Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5 |
|
24-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
42 h 6 m |
Show
|
The difference in talent level in the NFL is slim despite what a team
|
10-19-13 |
Oregon State v. California +11 |
|
49-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 47 m |
Show
|
Oregon State is simply in a terrible situational and scheduling spot for this game in California. The Beavers are playing back-to-back road games and their fourth road game in their last five games. They also have much bigger games on deck at home against Stanford and USC. This is a monumental flat spot on their schedule, especially since California is winless against FBS opponents this season. Oregon State is a pass heavy team with QB Sean Mannion who has an impressive 25/3 TD/INT ratio on the year. But Mannion
|
10-19-13 |
Florida State -3 v. Clemson |
|
51-14 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 47 m |
Show
|
Florida State comes in with a perfect 5-0 SU record and a 4-1 mark ATS. The Seminoles have dominated their opponents, and they are #2 in the country with an average scoring margin of +40 per game. Their offense is averaging an incredible 53.6 points per game on 549 yards of total offense per game. Florida State is well-balanced as they are running for 228.2 yards per game and passing for 320.8 yards per game. The Seminoles
|
10-19-13 |
Auburn +14 v. Texas A&M |
|
45-41 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 4 m |
Show
|
Last season was a debacle at Auburn, and one of their lowest moments came in a humiliating 63-21 home loss to Texas A&M. The Tigers have come a long way since that defeat and they will bring a much improved team to College Station on Saturday afternoon. HC Gus Malzahn has turned the Tigers completely around. Malzahn is known for his offensive acumen, but the biggest difference this season for Auburn has been the play of their defense. The Tigers are allowing only 18.8 points per game while giving up just 5.5 yards per play and 6.8 yards per pass. Auburn gave up 28 points per game in 2012 so the defensive improvement has been significant thus far. The Tigers
|
10-19-13 |
Indiana +10 v. Michigan |
|
47-63 |
Loss |
-115 |
22 h 49 m |
Show
|
Indiana has played much better football this season than their 3-3 record indicates. The Hoosiers have alternated wins and losses on the season; they lost their last game at Michigan State. If their pattern holds up, Indiana will bounce back strong in this game at Michigan. The Hoosiers have a potent offense that is averaging 41.7 points per game versus defenses that allow 24.6 points per game. They average 8.0 yards per pass attempt and covert on 44% of their third downs. Overall, Indiana is averaging 6.2 yards per play which ranks them #22 in the country.
Michigan is in a horrendous situational and scheduling spot for this game. The Wolverines were 5-0 going into their game at Penn State last week, but they lost a 4 overtime thriller in heartbreaking fashion. Teams often suffer a letdown after their first loss of the season, and Michigan
|
10-19-13 |
UCLA +4.5 v. Stanford |
|
10-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
22 h 48 m |
Show
|
UCLA has double revenge on Stanford after losing twice last season; 35-17 in the regular season and 27-24 in the PAC 12 title game. The Bruins have one of the most potent offenses in college football as they are averaging 46 points per game which is the 7th best number in the country. They are averaging 9.1 yards per pass attempt and converting on an impressive 56% of their third downs which ranks them #5 in the country. Overall, UCLA is putting up an average of 547 yards of offense per game on an impressive 6.5 yards per play. The Bruins also have a solid defense that allows only 18.2 points per game while holding opponents to just 4.3 yards per play (#9) and 5.7 yards per pass attempt (#8).
Stanford is not in a good spot here at all. This is a team that had legitimate National Title hopes and they saw those go away with their loss last week at Utah. Teams often suffer a letdown after their first loss of the season, and the Cardinal is just 1-2 ATS after a SU loss under HC David Shaw. Stanford
|
10-18-13 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 |
|
0-9 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 11 m |
Show
|
The Cardinals can close out the Dodgers with a win on Friday night in Game 6 of the NLCS. St. Louis will send Michael Wacha to the mound where he has been stellar lately. The righty is 5-1 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 11 starts and he has allowed just 1 run and seven hits in his last three starts. Wacha beat the Dodgers and Kershaw in Game 2 after giving up five hits and one walk while striking out eight. This is a Dodgers
|
10-17-13 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals +7 |
|
34-22 |
Loss |
-125 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
Seattle has not played well in their last three games. The Seahawks are 2-1 in those games, but they could easily be 0-3. Three weeks ago, they trailed Houston 20-3 at the half before rallying for a 23-20 win in overtime. Two weeks ago they blew a 28-23 fourth quarter lead in Indianapolis and lost 34-28. Last week, Seattle was in a battle with Tennessee in which they trailed 10-7 at the half and were tied 10-10 going into the fourth quarter. The Seahawks pulled that game out 20-13, but that is a concern, especially since they dominate teams at home. Seattle is well known for being better at home than on the road, but they are 2-1 away this season although the two wins have come by only 5 and 3 points. The Seahawks are missing two starters on the offensive line and RB Marshawn Lynch is also dealing with a hip injury. They need to run to have success, but the Cardinals only allow 91 rushing yards per game on 3.5 yards per rush.
Arizona comes in with a 3-3 record on the season. The Cardinals lost 32-20 in San Francisco last week, but they are a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS when playing off a loss this season. Arizona is also 2-0 SU at home this season, winning both games as home underdogs. Over their last 18 home games, the Cardinals are 12-6 SU and a solid 14-4 ATS based on tonight
|
10-17-13 |
Miami (Florida) v. North Carolina +10 |
|
27-23 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
Miami Fla comes into tonight
|
10-15-13 |
Louisiana-Lafayette +4.5 v. Western Kentucky |
|
37-20 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
These are two of the better teams in the Sun Belt conference so tonight
|
10-14-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. San Diego Chargers +2 |
|
9-19 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 24 m |
Show
|
Indianapolis has surprised many with their 4-1 start to this season. The Colts were also a surprise team last season when they went 11-5 and made the playoffs despite being the only team to play in the postseason with a negative point differential (-30). Indianapolis owns two impressive wins over the 49ers and Seahawks with their 34-28 win over Seattle coming last week as 3-point home underdogs. The Colts were down 5 points with less than 9 minutes to play before scoring the final 11 points of the game. Off that comeback win, Indianapolis is in a difficult situational and scheduling spot as road favorites off home underdog wins are a poor long-term ATS play in the NFL. The Colts are also playing their third road game in four weeks with their second trip to the West Coast. And to make matters worse, the Colts have their big showdown with Peyton Manning
|
10-14-13 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 59 m |
Show
|
The Dodgers return to Los Angeles searching for their first win in this series against the Cardinals. They will send Hyun-Jin Ryu to the hill where he is 14-8 with a 3.14 ERA on the season. He has a 2.61 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 16 home starts and he owns a win over the Cardinals this season. In that win back in August, Ryu allowed 1 unearned run and five hits to St. Louis in seven innings striking out seven while walking none. The Cardinals are hitting just .245 against left-handed starters and only .187 in their last seven games. The Dodgers
|
10-13-13 |
Washington Redskins +6 v. Dallas Cowboys |
|
16-31 |
Loss |
-115 |
46 h 10 m |
Show
|
Washington is in a pretty good situational spot for this game in Dallas on Sunday night. The Redskins come in off their bye after getting their first win of the season in Oakland the last time took the field. That win gave them some confidence heading into their off week with extra time to prepare for an important divisional road game this week. HC Mike Shanahan is 14-5 ATS in divisional games with the Redskins, including a perfect 6-0 ATS versus Dallas. Washington
|
10-13-13 |
Green Bay Packers -1 v. Baltimore Ravens |
|
19-17 |
Win
|
100 |
39 h 39 m |
Show
|
Green Bay came out of their bye last week with a strong performance over the Lions. The Packers only scored 22 points on the scoreboard, but they racked up 449 yards of total offense. That
|
10-13-13 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 |
|
31-20 |
Loss |
-115 |
39 h 39 m |
Show
|
Philadelphia is not in a good scheduling and situational spot for this game on Sunday in Tampa Bay. This is the 3rd consecutive road game for the Eagles and they are coming off a division road win as an underdog with two more divisional games on deck. The Eagles
|
10-13-13 |
St. Louis Rams v. Houston Texans -7 |
|
38-13 |
Loss |
-125 |
39 h 38 m |
Show
|
St. Louis snapped their 3-game losing streak last week when they beat the lowly Jaguars 34-20. Despite the 14-point win on the scoreboard, St. Louis was unimpressive in that game, and they actually made Jacksonville look like a competitive NFL team. The Rams allowed 267 passing yards on just 16 pass completions from the QB duo of Blaine Gabbert and Chad Henne. That
|
10-12-13 |
Texas A&M v. Ole Miss +6.5 |
|
41-38 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 5 m |
Show
|
Texas A&M and
|
10-12-13 |
Oregon v. Washington +14 |
|
45-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 34 m |
Show
|
There
|
10-12-13 |
Northwestern v. Wisconsin -10 |
|
6-35 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 4 m |
Show
|
Northwestern was in a tremendous scheduling and situational spot for their home game against Ohio State last week. The Wildcats were off their bye while the Buckeyes were off their tussle with Wisconsin. The game seemed to be in hand for Northwestern, and certainly the pointspread cover was, but the Wildcats blew both the SU and ATS win late. That high-scoring loss sets Northwestern up in a negative spot this week, especially since they have to travel and play at Wisconsin who is coming off their bye. Madison has not been too kind to the Wildcats under HC Pat Fitzgerald; his teams have lost their last two trips by a combined score of 111-32.
Wisconsin also comes into this game off a loss to Ohio State, but the big difference for the Badgers is the fact they
|
10-10-13 |
Arizona v. USC -5 |
|
31-38 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
Arizona comes in off their first loss of the season; they lost 31-13 at Washington. The Wildcats own three wins over terrible teams in which they won by a combined 131-26. However, they are taking a monumental step-up in class for this game at USC. The Wildcats have been a run-heavy team as they are averaging 291.5 rushing yards per game and only 111.2 passing yards per game. But unfortunately for Arizona, they will be facing a USC rush defense that is allowing just 99.6 rushing yards per game and only 3.5 yards per rush. Arizona has to throw the ball to have success in this game, but they are only averaging 4.5 yards per pass attempt which ranks them #122 in the country.
USC will be a different team going forward as they fired lame duck HC Lane Kiffin. The interim HC will be Ed Orgeron and all reports out of Southern California have been positive.
|
10-06-13 |
Houston Texans +6 v. San Francisco 49ers |
|
3-34 |
Loss |
-105 |
51 h 16 m |
Show
|
Houston has played much better than their 2-2 record indicates. The Texans are +156 net yards on the season which ranks them #1 in the NFL. But turnovers and mistakes have done them in. Quarterback Matt Schaub has thrown a pick-six in three consecutive games with his last costing the Texans a win over the Seahawks. That loss was their second consecutive defeat so they will be extremely focused for this Sunday night primetime game in San Francisco. The Texans
|
10-06-13 |
Denver Broncos v. Dallas Cowboys +9 |
|
51-48 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 33 m |
Show
|
Denver has looked unbeatable over the first four weeks of the season. The Broncos have won every game by 16 points or more with their average game being a 45-23 win. However, Denver has played four losing teams that have a combined record of just 4-12 on the season. The Broncos
|
10-06-13 |
New England Patriots v. Cincinnati Bengals |
|
6-13 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 48 m |
Show
|
New England was a big play against for most people last week. The Patriots were in Atlanta and facing the Falcons who almost never lose back-to-back games. New England played a smart game while the Falcons made numerous mistakes and bad plays which handed the Patriots a gift win. Now the Patriots must play on the road once again against a team coming off an ugly loss. But this time, the betting public is supporting the Patriots after seeing them win last Sunday night. The Patriots
|
10-06-13 |
Detroit Lions +7.5 v. Green Bay Packers |
|
9-22 |
Loss |
-115 |
44 h 47 m |
Show
|
Detroit is 3-1 on the season, and they seem to be a much different team this year. The Lions are playing really good football, and most importantly, they are not making the mental mistakes that have plagued them in recent years. The team is playing together, and we
|
10-05-13 |
Washington Huskies +7.5 v. Stanford |
|
28-31 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 50 m |
Show
|
Washington comes into this game looking to get to 5-0 for the first time since 1992. This is a big game for the Huskies as a win puts them in the driver
|
10-05-13 |
Ohio State v. Northwestern +7 |
|
40-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
35 h 32 m |
Show
|
Ohio State is a perfect 5-0 on the season, but they
|
10-05-13 |
Missouri v. Vanderbilt |
|
51-28 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 2 m |
Show
|
Missouri is one of only two undefeated SEC teams; Alabama is the other. The Tigers went just 2-6 in SEC play last season, but a major reason for that was the injury issues of QB James Franklin. He is back healthy this year and putting up big numbers like he did back in 2011. Franklin has completed 68% of his passes with 9 touchdowns and only 3 interceptions so far this season. Franklin is a dual threat for the Tigers, and he
|
10-05-13 |
LSU v. Mississippi State +10 |
|
59-26 |
Loss |
-115 |
34 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is not a good spot for LSU. The Tigers are playing their third straight conference game and they are on a back to back road set. And they are going into one of the most hostile environments in the SEC. The Tigers also come into this game off a heartbreaking loss at Georgia last week. LSU lost 44-41 after giving up the game-winning touchdown pass with just 1:47 left to play. Teams off high-scoring losses often suffer a letdown the following week, and that is exactly what we expect to happen to LSU in this game, especially since they have bigger games against Mississippi and Florida on deck.
Mississippi State comes into this game with a perfect setup. The Bulldogs had last week off so they
|
09-30-13 |
Miami Dolphins +7 v. New Orleans Saints |
|
17-38 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
Both teams come into tonight
|