-Iowa State went 7-1 over their final 8 games of the season; team in excellent current form

-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play 

-Cyclones defense gave up 24, 38, and 24 points in their last 3 games; another bad matchup here

-Washington State lost their final game of the season after scoring just 15 points; big effort here 

-offense averages 41 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 29.6 points per game

-Cougars allow 5.8 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

-Auburn went just 1-2 over their last 3 games; no shame in losing to Alabama and Georgia
-offense is averaging 28.2 points per game vs. defenses that allow just 26.5 points per game 
-Tigers defense allows just 5.2 yards per per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

-Purdue went 2-3 to close the season; those losses came by a combined 44 points; poor form late

-offense is averaging 139 rushing yards per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 159.5 rypg
-Boilermakers defense allows 5.9 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yppl

9* Play AUBURN (-).

-Vanderbilt went 3-1 to close the season to become bowl eligible; went just 6-6 SU overall

-offense is averaging 22 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 25.7 points per game
-Commodores defense allows 6.3 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.1 yppl

-Baylor also went 6-6 on the season, but just 2-4 SU down the stretch; expect big effort here
-offense completed 61.5% of their passes vs. defenses that only allowed 60.9% completions
-Bears defense allows 4.4 yards per rush on the road vs. offenses that average 4.6 yards per rush

10* Play BAYLOR (+).

-TCU went 6-6 on the season; played the 17th hardest schedule in the country; no injury luck
-offense was less effective against defensive units with speed to match; big drop in class here
-Horned Frogs defense allows 4.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-California went just 4-5 SU down the stretch; 2 of those wins came by just 2 and a single point

-offense is averaging 22.7 points per game vs. defenses that allow 29.9 points per game
-Golden Bears defense faced slow offenses in the Pac 12; facing a speed-based TCU unit here

10* Play TCU (+).

-Louisiana Tech comes in off back-to-back losses; last as a 10.5-point favorite; bounce back here
-offense faced a schedule loaded with very strong defenses; major class drop in this game tonight
-Bulldogs defense is giving up 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.3 yards per play

-Hawaii opened the season with a 6-1 record; team was way overrated; went 2-4 down the stretch 

-offense runs for 113.5 yards per game vs. defenses that allow 163.6 rushing yards per game
-Rainbow Warriors allow 35.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 26.7 points per game

10* Play LOUISIANA TECH.

-Houston went 8-5 against a tough schedule; line is overinflated for QB and DT absences
-offense is averaging 6.8 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.9 yards per play
-Cougars allow 4.2 yards per rush vs. offenses that average 4.4 yards per rush; key matchup 

-Army won their biggest game of the season over Navy in their last outing; spread is too big here
-offense is averaging 5.1 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Black Knights defense faced bad offenses that only averaged 5.7 yards per play; big class jump

9* Play HOUSTON (+).

-Marshall won 8 games this season, but they played an extremely easy schedule; away game here
-offense is only averaging 5.5 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Thundering Herd defense has been much worse on the road this season; 4.2 ppg more allowed

-South Florida started the season at 7-0; they’ve lost 5 straight games since; off a break at home
-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that also give up 6.0 yards per play
-Bulls defense allows 5.7 yards per play vs offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

10* Play SOUTH FLORIDA (+).

-Northern Illinois went 7-2 over their last nine games; both losses came by 7 points or less
-offense has played some very stout defenses out of conference this season; numbers are skewed
-Huskies defense allows just 21.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 28.5 points per game 

-UAB went just 1-2 SU over their final 3 games of the season; played a very easy schedule
-offense has faced a terrible collection of opposing defenses that give up 30.7 points per game
-Blazers defense allows 5.5 yards per play on the road vs offenses that average 5.2 yards per play

9* Play NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+).

-Middle Tennessee State comes in off back-to-back games against UAB; big effort off a loss
-offense is averaging 29.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 27.1 points per game
-Blue Raiders defense is giving up 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Appalachian State went 10-2 against a terrible schedule that ranks 45 spots below MTSU’s

-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 6.3 yards per play
-Mountaineers defense faced a poor collection of offenses that only averaged 5.6 yards per play

9* Play MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (+).

-Eastern Michigan went 7-5 this season, but they scored 27 points or more in 6 of those games   

-offense is averaging 8.3 yards per pass attempt on the road vs. defenses that allow 7.4 yppa    

-Eagles defense is giving up 6.0 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.3 yppl

-Georgia Southern went 9-3 this season; they scored 28 points or more in 8 of their games 

-offense is averaging 31.1 points per game vs. defenses that give up 30.6 points per game

-Eagles defense has given up 26.2 points per game on 5.8 yards per play on the road this season

9* Play OVER the total.

-Arizona State went 7-5; played a much tougher schedule; line is inflated for WR Harry absence
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.5 yards per play
-Sun Devils defense allows 25.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 26.1 points per game 

-Fresno State won their biggest game of the season in the MW Championship at Boise State; flat
-offense is averaging 5.5 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play
-Bulldogs defense faced terrible offenses that only averaged 5.5 yards per play; big class jump

10* Play ARIZONA STATE (+).

-North Texas went 9-3 this season while playing in many high-scoring games; expect same here  

-offense is averaging 36.4 points per game vs. defenses that give up 32.9 points per game    

-Mean Green allows 7.0 yards per pass attempt on the road vs. offenses that average 6.8 yppa

-Utah State went just 10-2 this season; they scored 30 points or more in 9 of those games 

-offense is averaging 47.2 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 33.8 points per game

-Aggies defense allows 5.8 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.2 yards per play

9* Play OVER the total.

-Fresno State is 10-2 against a very easy schedule; already lost at Boise State this year; repeat
-offense is only averaging 29.3 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.6 ppg
-Bulldogs defense has faced a terrible collection of offenses that only average 5.5 yards per play

-Boise State is also 10-2 on the season; playing their best football while winning 7 straight games 

-offense averages 37 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 27.7 points per game
-Broncos allowing 18.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 29.5 points per game

9* Play BOISE STATE (-).

-Georgia is 11-1 SU on the season; lone loss came to a good LSU team; undervalued here
-offense is averaging a whopping 7.4 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Bulldogs defense gives up 17.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 28.3 points per game 

-Alabama is a perfect 12-0 on the season; steamrolled every team; facing best opponent now

-offense has played a terrible collections of defenses that give up 6.3 yards per play; class jump
-Crimson Tide defense has also faced a bad group of opposing offenses that average 5.8 yppl

10* Play GEORGIA (+).

-Northern Illinois comes into this conference championship game off 2 losses; big effort here
-offense has played some very stout defenses out of conference this season; numbers are skewed
-Huskies defense allows just 20.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 28.3 points per game 

-Buffalo is 10-1 SU on the season, but they’ve played an extremely easy schedule; class jump
-offense has faced a terrible collection of opposing defenses that give up 30.7 points per game
-Bulls defense allows 5.6 yards per play on the road vs, offenses that average 5.2 yards per play

10* Play NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+).

-Utah State has won 10 straight games after losing their season opener; beat all terrible teams
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 6.1 yards per play
-Aggies defense allows 5.6 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.1 yards per play

-Boise State has won 6 straight games since losing at home to San Diego State; in good form
-offense is averaging a strong 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 5.8 yards per play
-Broncos allow just 17.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 28.4 points per game

9* Play BOISE STATE (-).

-Oklahoma State comes in off 4 straight close, high-scoring games; last 2 as underdogs; flat spot
-offense is averaging just 183.5 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 182.2 rypg
-Cowboys defense is giving up 6.7 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.9 yppl 

-TCU returns home off a confidence-building road win at Baylor; big effort in last home game

-offense has been better at home this season; averaging 1.7 ppg and 1.1 yppl more than overall
-Horned Frogs defense allows 23.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 31.4 ppg

9* Play TCU (+).

-LSU is just 2-1 SU and an ugly 0-3 ATS over their last 3 games; overvalued after a hot start
-offense is averaging 4.9 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.3 yards per play
-Tigers defense is good overall, but their numbers are inflated; taking a big jump in class here

-Texas A&M is playing with legitimate double revenge; expect big effort here; strong home field 

-offense averages 36.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 25 points per game
-Aggies defense allows 5.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 6.3 yards per play

10* Play TEXAS A&M (-).

-Michigan has won 10 straight games since their season opening loss to Notre Dame; class jump
-offense is averaging 25 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 27 points per game
-Wolverines defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 5.6 yards per play; class rise 

-Ohio State returns home off back-to-back road wins; 6-0 at home; rivalry game; big effort here
-offense is averaging 7.3 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Buckeyes defense is giving up 18.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 26.5 ppg 

9* Play OHIO STATE (+).

-Washington has 3 losses on the season by a combined total of just 10 points; expect big effort

-offense averages 6.1 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.7 yards per play
-Huskies defense allows 16.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 25.6 points per game

-Washington State comes in off their best game of the season; 69-28 win over Arizona; regress
-offense is averaging just 81.8 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 152.3 rypg
-Cougars defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 5.6 yards per play; jump in class

9* Play WASHINGTON (+).

-Oklahoma is 10-1 on the season with their lone loss being a misleading 3-point defeat to Texas
-offense is averaging a whopping 8.8 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 5.8 yards per play
-Sooners give up 120.7 rushing yards per game on the road vs. offenses that average 178.5 rypg

-West Virginia is just 3-2 over their last 5 games; opened the season at 5-0; beat 1 good team
-offense is averaging 162 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 169.3 rypg
-Mountaineers allow 62% pass completions vs. offenses that complete 60.9% of their passes

10* Play OKLAHOMA (-).

-Mississippi State playing with legitimate revenge against their in-state rival; expect big effort 

-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.7 yards per play
-Bulldogs defense allows 12.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 27.7 points per game

-Mississippi returns home off an overtime road loss at Vanderbilt; 4-game losing streak; bad spot
-offense has scored 29 points or less in three of their last four games; now facing a stout defense
-Rebels allow 36.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 31.8 points per game

9* Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (-).

-Arizona State is on a 3-game winning streak; 2 of those wins were at home; tough road spot
-offense is only averaging 25 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 26.3 ppg
-Sun Devils defense gives up 29.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 25 ppg

-Oregon returns home off a road loss; playing with legitimate revenge; expect big effort here

-offense averages 43 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 31.2 points per game
-Ducks defense allows 5.3 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

9* Play OREGON (-).

-Mississippi’s last 2 games have had 158 total points scored; expect another big scoring game
-offense is averaging 37.5 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 30.9 points per game 
-Rebels defense gives up 36.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 32.3 points per game

-Vanderbilt returns home where their offense has been much better this season; expect points
-offense averages 29.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 24.8 points per game

-Commodores defense has given up 31 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games; in poor form

10* Play OVER the total.

-Texas Tech hits the road without their starting QB; extreme cold and windy conditions; bad spot
-offense is averaging 5.4 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.9 yards per play
-Red Raiders defense gives up 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.1 yppl 

-Kansas State may be playing their last home game for legendary HC Bill Snyder; big effort here
-offense is averaging 184.3 rushing yards per game at home vs. defenses that give up 160.4 rypg
-Wildcats defense is giving up 20 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 30.5 ppg 

9* Play KANSAS STATE (+).

-Buffalo comes in on a 5-game winning streak; 3 of those games were at home; bad road spot
-offense only averages 5.6 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Bulls defense has faced a terrible group of offenses that only average 23.9 ppg; big step-up here

-Ohio returns home off back-to-back road games with their last being a loss; expect big effort
-offense is averaging 49.2 points per game at home vs. defenses give up 31.5 points per game
-Bobcats defense allows 95.5 yards per game on the ground on just 3.5 yards per rush at home

9* Play OHIO (-).

-California just played 2 big games as underdogs; now on the road; natural letdown spot here
-offense is only averaging 23.6 points per game vs. defenses that give up 30.8 points per game
-Golden Bears defense has faced a weak collection of offenses that average 28.9 ppg; class jump 

-USC returns home off a solid road win; they lost their previous home game; expect big effort

-offense is averaging 37 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 28.3 points per game
-Trojans defense is allowing just 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

10* Play USC (-).

-Kentucky enters off back-to-back big games as underdogs; now favorites on the road; bad spot
-offense is only averaging 18.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 25.1 ppg 
-Wildcats defense gave up 48 points in their last 2 games; 37 points in their previous 3 games

-Tennessee has played a brutal schedule; Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina; class drop here

-offense is averaging 27.8 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 25.8 points per game
-Vols defense gives up 5.0 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play 

9* Play TENNESSEE (+).

-Washington State has played 3 straight big games with 2 of them at home; bad road spot now
-offense is averaging just 71.8 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 147.3 rypg
-Cougars defenses gives up 33.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.6 ppg

-Colorado has lost 4 straight games, but 3 of those games were on the road; expect big effort here
-offense is averaging 6.6 yards per play at home vs. defenses that only give up 5.9 yards per play
-Buffaloes defense allows 4.8 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

9* Play COLORADO (+).

-Ohio State barely survived at home against Nebraska after getting walloped at Purdue; bad form
-offense averages 29 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 30.6 points per game
-Buckeyes defense allows 34.3 points per game on 6.9 yards per play on the road this season

-Michigan State returns home off an easy win at Maryland; positive momentum carries here
-offense averages 23.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 23.4 points per game
-Spartans defense is giving up 4.8 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

9* Play MICHIGAN STATE (+).

-Fresno State is 8-1 on the season, but they’ve played a very easy schedule; big class jump here
-offense is only averaging 31.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 38 ppg
-Bulldogs defense has faced a terrible collection of offenses that only average 5.5 yards per play

-Boise State has legitimate revenge after losing as 7-point road favorites at Fresno St last season 

-offense averages 38 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 28.9 points per game
-Broncos allowing 17.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 26.8 points per game

10* Play BOISE STATE (+).

-BYU hits the road off 3 straight home games with their last being a 7-6 loss to Northern Illinois
-offense is only averaging 19.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 24.4 ppg
-Cougars allowing 5.9 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Boise State returns home off a solid road win at Air Force; expect another strong blowout win 

-offense averages 43.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 30.1 points per game
-Broncos defense is allowing 18 points per game vs. offenses that average 27.7 points per game

9* Play BOISE STATE (-).

-Notre Dame is 8-0 on the season, but aside from Michigan, they’ve played a terrible schedule
-offense is only averaging 6.0 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play
-Irish defense is giving up a whopping 227.7 rushing yards per game on 4.8 yards per rush  

-Northwestern comes in off a SU home underdog win last week; positive momentum carries here

-offense averages 25.1 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 24.8 points per game
-Wildcats defense allows 5.4 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

10* Play NORTHWESTERN (+).

-Missouri has lost four of their last five games; blew a 14-3 lead late last week; terrible spot here
-offense completing 53.3% of their passes on the road vs. defenses that allow 60.1% completions
-Tigers defense is giving up 37.7 points per game on 6.8 yards per play on the road this season

-Florida returns home off their poor performance against Georgia; expect a strong bounce back

-offense is averaging 36 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 25.4 points per game
-Gators defense is giving up just 19 points per game on 5.0 yards per play this season 

9* Play FLORIDA (-).

-Oklahoma State hits the road after their big home win over Texas; major flat spot for this game
-offense is averaging 30 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 32 points per game
-Cowboys allowing 5.6 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.4 yards per play

-Baylor returns home off back-to-back road losses; 2 days of extra rest as well; expect big effort
-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 6.0 yards per play 
-Bears defense is giving up 27 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 30.5 ppg 

9* Play BAYLOR (+).

-Texas comes in off a bye, but time off isn’t what they wanted while on a 6-game winning streak
-offense is only averaging 5.4 yards per play versus defenses that also give up 5.4 yards per play
-Longhorns defense gives up 31 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 29.3 ppg 

-Oklahoma State also comes off a bye; perfect timing since they are on a 2-game losing streak

-offense averages 43.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 31.9 points per game
-Cowboys defense allows 5.2 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

9* Play OKLAHOMA STATE (+).

-Tennessee enters off a 4-game gauntlet of Florida, Georgia, Auburn, and Alabama; battered team
-offense is only averaging 18.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 25.1 ppg
-Vols defense is giving up 34 points per game on 6.7 yards per play on the road this season 

-South Carolina comes into this game fresh off a bye week; lost previous home game; big effort

-offense averages 31.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 22.8 points per game
-Gamecocks defense is allowing 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.3 yards per play

9* Play SOUTH CAROLINA (-).

-Washington State hits the road after their big home win over Oregon; major flat spot tonight
-offense is only averaging 72.6 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that allow 140.4 rypg
-Cougars defense gives up 31.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.4 ppg

-Stanford returns home off a win at Arizona State; lost their previous home game; big effort here
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.0 yards per play 
-Cardinal defense is giving up 15.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 29.1 ppg 

9* Play STANFORD (-).

-Texas A&M comes in off a bye, but it came after winning 3 straight games; bad time for rest
-offense averages 24.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 27.8 points per game 
-Aggies defense is giving up 34 points per game on 7.2 yards per play on the road this season

-Mississippi State returns home off an ugly 19-3 loss at LSU; expect a strong bounce back game 

-offense is averaging 37 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 26.4 points per game
-Bulldogs defense is giving up just 13.6 points per game on 4.4 yards per play this season 

10* Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (+).

-Georgia Tech is just 2-3 SU on the season with both wins coming against teams in disarray
-offense is predominantly a running team; they are facing a strong rush defense; bad matchup
-Yellow Jackets defense is giving up 34.7 points per game on 6.3 yards per play on the road

-Virginia Tech returns home off a solid road win; positive momentum; expect big effort
-offense is averaging 42.5 points per game at home vs. defenses give up 32.9 points per game
-Hokies defense allows 100.5 yards per game on the ground on just 3.3 yards per rush at home

9* Play VIRGINIA TECH (-).

-USC has won 3 straight games after opening the season with back-to-back losses; undervalued

-offense is averaging 5.7 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up just 5.5 yards per play
-Trojans defense is allowing just 4.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Utah is also 3-2 on the season; 2 of their wins have come as double digit favorites; step-up here
-offense needs to run the ball to have success; facing a terrible matchup here; USC allows 3.7 ypr
-Utes defense has faced bad offenses that only average 5.1 yards per play; big class jump tonight

9* Play USC (+).

-Vanderbilt has played a brutal schedule; 5th big game in 6 weeks; blowout loss coming here
-offense is averaging just 15 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 24.9 ppg
-Commodores defenses is giving up 31.5 points per game on 6.8 yards per play on the road

-Kentucky comes into this game off their bye week; lost their previous game; expect big effort
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.5 yards per play
-Wildcats defense allows just 11.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 25.8 ppg

10* Play KENTUCKY (-).

-Mississippi State comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye; big scheduling edge here

-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play versus defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play
-Bulldogs defense is giving up just 12.7 points per game on 4.6 yards per play this season 

-LSU enters off back-to-back big games; lost at Florida and then pulled a huge upset of Georgia
-offense played their 2nd best game of the season last week; expect major regression in this spot 
-Tigers defense gave up 37 points to this same Mississippi State offense last season; bad matchup

9* Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (+).

-Michigan is a perfect 5-0 on the season, but this will be just their 2nd true road game; tough spot
-offense averaged just 5.1 yards per play in their lone road game at Northwestern; lucky to win
-Wolverines defense has faced a terrible collection of offenses; taking a big step-up in class now

-Michigan State returns home off an underdog win at Penn State; positive momentum carries
-offense is averaging 29.3 points per game on 5.5 yards per play at home; shock to Michigan
-Spartans defense is giving up 5.1 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

9* Play MICHIGAN STATE (+).

-Colorado is a perfect 5-0 on the season; they haven't played a road game in a month; bad spot
-offense has faced bad defenses that give up 36 points per game on 5.7 yards per play; class rise
-Buffaloes defense is giving up 216 rushing yards per game on the road; terrible matchup here

-USC comes into this game fresh and ready off a bye week; just their 3rd home game; big effort

-offense is averaging 41 points per game on 6.6 yards per play at home this season; explode here
-Trojans defense is allowing just 5.4 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

9* Play USC (-).

-Mississippi’s 3 wins have come against Southern Illinois, Kent State and UL Monroe; big deal
-offense has faced terrible defenses that give up 6.6 yards per play; taking a big class jump here 
-Rebels defense is giving up 36 points per game on 6.2 yards per play on the road this season

-Arkansas is winless on the season; last 3 games came against Alabama, Texas A&M and Auburn

-offense is averaging 34.3 points per game at home vs defenses that give up 27.1 points per game
-Razorbacks defense gives up just 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

10* Play ARKANSAS (+).

-West Virginia is 5-0 SU on the season, but they’ve played a joke of a schedule; real test here
-offense has faced a terrible collection of defenses that give up 31.9 ppg; big jump-up in class
-Mountaineers defense has allowed 48 points in 2 road games; just 45 points in 3 home games

-Iowa State returns home off a SU underdog win at Oklahoma State; positive momentum carries
-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 4.9 yards per play 
-Cyclones defense is giving up 5.1 yards per play versus offenses that average 6.4 yards per play

9* Play IOWA STATE (+).

-Texas Tech comes in off a loss and off a bye week; revenge game as well; expect big effort
-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 6.0 yards per play
-Red Raiders defense is giving up 31 points per game vs. offenses that average 35.5 ppg

-TCU also comes in off a bye week, but they won their previous game so less important game 

-offense is averaging 5.7 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Horned Frogs defense has faced poor offenses that only average 5.5 yppl; big step-up in class 

10* Play TEXAS TECH (+).

-California couldn’t take advantage of a deflated Oregon team at home last week; bad road spot
-offense is only averaging 5.3 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Golden Bears defense is giving up 163.7 rushing yards per game; face a terrible matchup here

-Arizona comes into this game off a close home loss to USC last week; bounce back effort

-offense averages 217.4 rushing yards per game on 5.2 yards per rush; fantastic matchup here
-Wildcats defense is allowing just 5.4 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

9* Play ARIZONA (+).

-Auburn is 4-1 SU, but they will be playing their first true road game of the season; tough spot
-offense has faced defenses that give up 27.9 points per game; taking a big class jump here 
-Tigers defense gave up 6.1 yards per play to Washington in their lone neutral site game

-Mississippi State comes in off back-to-back losses with their last being at home; bounce back

-offense is averaging 41.7 points per game at home vs defenses that give up 30.9 points per game
-Bulldogs defense is giving up just 13.4 points per game on 4.5 yards per play this season 

9* Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (+).

-Kentucky comes into this with a 5-0 record; 2 of those wins as double digit dogs; flat spot here
-offense relies heavily on their running game; terrible matchup here; A&M allows just 80.6 rypg
-Wildcats defense has faced weak offenses that only average 24.5 ppg; big jump up in class now

-Texas A&M is just 3-2 SU on the season, but their 2 losses came against Alabama and Clemson

-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.8 yards per play
-Aggies defense allows just 15.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 28.8 ppg

10* Play TEXAS A&M (-).

-LSU is a perfect 5-0 SU on the season, but this will be just their 2nd true road game; tough spot
-offense averaged just 4.7 yards per play in their lone road game at Auburn; fortunate to win
-Tigers defense also gave up 5.0 yards per play to Auburn; stiffest test of the season comes now

-Florida returns home off an impressive underdog win at Mississippi State; positive momentum
-offense is averaging 39 points per game on 6.5 yards per play at home; shock to LSU’s defense 
-Gators defense is giving up 4.6 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

9* Play FLORIDA (+).

-Oregon is off an embarrassingly bad blown home loss to Stanford last week; terrible spot now
-offense is only averaging 6.5 yards per play versus defenses that give up 6.6 yards per play
-Ducks defense is giving up 24.5 points per game versus offenses that only average 22.8 ppg

-California comes into this game fresh off a bye; revenge game as well; expect big effort 

-offense averages 34.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 32.9 points per game
-Golden Bears defense is allowing just 19.3 points per game on 4.2 yards per play this season

9* Play CALIFORNIA (+).

-Ohio State is 4-0, but they will be playing their first true road game of the season tonight
-offense has faced defenses that give up 33.8 points per game on 6.1 yards per play; class jump 
-Buckeyes defense gave up 28 points on 6.7 yards per play in their lone neutral site game

-Penn State is playing with legitimate revenge after losing 39-38 at Ohio State last season

-offense is averaging 55.5 points per game versus defenses that give up 29.3 points per game
-Nittany Lions defense is giving up just 19.5 points per game on 4.6 yards per play this season 

10* Play PENN STATE (+).

-Stanford is off a miraculous win at Oregon last week; second straight road game; terrible spot
-offense is only averaging 104.2 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 114.6 rypg
-Cardinal defense gave up 31 points on 6.4 yards per play in their lone road game this season

-Notre Dame is playing their second straight home game; revenge game; expect big effort 

-offense is averaging 31.5 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 22.7 points per game
-Irish defense allows just 4.5 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.7 yards per play 

9* Play NOTRE DAME (-).

-Utah is 2-1 on the season, but their 2 wins have come against Weber State and Northern Illinois
-offense is averaging just 21.7 points per game versus defenses that give up 26.5 points per game
-Utes defense has faced terrible offenses that average 17.1 ppg on 3.9 yppl; big step-up in class

-Washington State played last Friday night, so they had an extra day of prep time; big effort here
-offense is averaging 45 points per game on 6.7 yards per play at home; shock to Utah’s defense 
-Cougars defense is giving up 4.4 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.0 yards per play

9* Play WASHINGTON STATE (+).

-North Carolina got their first win of the season last week as expected; big jump up in class here 

-offense has been terrible in their two road games; 18 points per game on 4.9 yards per play 
-Tar Heels defense allows 33.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 26.7 points per game

-Miami has won their 2 home games by a combined score of 108-17; expect another big win
-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Hurricanes defense is giving up just 18.5 points per game on 3.8 yards per play this season

9* Play MIAMI FL (-).

-Michigan State comes into this game fresh off a bye; lost their previous game; expect big effort 

-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play versus defenses that are giving up 4.4 yards per play
-Spartans defense has allowed just 23.5 points per game versus defenses that average 41.7 ppg 

-Indiana has faced three terrible teams so far this season; big jump up in class; expect first loss
-offense is only averaging 5.8 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Hoosiers defense is giving up 187.3 rushing yards per game on 4.8 yards per rush; bad matchup

10* Play MICHIGAN STATE (-).

-TCU went all out for their marquee game against Ohio State last week; letdown spot on the road
-offense has faced defenses that give up 39.8 points per game on 6.3 yards per play; class jump 
-Horned Frogs defense gave up 182 rushing yards last week; face another terrible matchup here

-Texas is playing with legitimate revenge after losing 24-7 at TCU last season; expect big effort

-offense is averaging 31.3 points per game versus defenses that give up 26.6 points per game
-Longhorns defense is giving up just 17.5 points per game on 5.2 yards per play at home 

9* Play TEXAS (+).

-Florida International has faced three terrible teams so far this season; big jump up in class here 

-offense has faced defenses that allow 31.9 points per game on 5.8 yards per play; stout unit now 
-Panthers defense is giving up 6.1 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Miami has won their last 2 games by a combined score of 126-24; expect more of the same here
-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play versus defenses that are giving up 5.3 yards per play
-Hurricanes defense is giving up just 19 points per game on 3.9 yards per play this season

9* Play MIAMI FL (-).

-Pittsburgh will be playing their 4th game of the season, but this will be their first road game
-offense is averaging just 21 points per game versus defenses that give up 25.1 points per game
-Panthers defense is giving up 197 rushing yards per game on a whopping 5.1 yards per rush

-North Carolina comes into this game fresh off a bye; big scheduling advantage; big effort here
-offense is averaging 162.5 rushing yards per game on 5.2 yards per rush; great matchup today 
-Tar Heels defense is giving up 4.8 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.0 yards per play

9* Play NORTH CAROLINA (+).

-Akron comes in off a SU road win as 21-point underdogs at Northwestern last week; regression
-offense has faced two poor defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play; now face a stout defense
-Zips defense gave up 34 points on the road last week; faced offenses that only average 15.5 ppg

-Iowa State is 0-2 after a pair of 10-point losses to Iowa and Oklahoma; big performance coming

-offense is averaging 5.2 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 4.5 yards per play 
-Cyclones defense allows just 25 points per game vs. offenses that average 38.8 points per game

9* Play IOWA STATE (-).

-Washington State is a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS; they’ve played 3 terrible teams; big jump in class
-offense has faced defenses that give up 40.4 points per game on 6.1 yards per play; real test now
-Cougars defense has been untested by offenses that only average 21.2 ppg on 4.8 yards per play

-USC returns home off back-to-back expected losses at Stanford and Texas; big effort tonight

-offense is averaging 5.5 yards per play vs. strong defenses that only give up 5.1 yards per play  
-Trojans defense allows just 25 points per game vs. offenses that average 32.3 points per game

10* Play USC (-).

-Washington had no excuse vs. Auburn in their season opening loss; road game in altitude now

-offense has had trouble running the ball in their 2 games so far; a mediocre 4.4 yards per rush   
-Huskies defense gave up 30 points at home to Utah last season; not a good sign for the rematch 

-Utah returns home off a quirky scheduled game at Northern Illinois last week; expect big effort
-offense is averaging 481 yards per game on 6.5 yards per play; even better numbers at home
-Utes defense has held their first two opponents to just 8 points per game on 2.2 yards per play

9* Play UTAH (+).

-USC was stymied at Stanford as expected last week; young QB will now face a tougher crowd
-offense is only averaging 4.4 yards per rush vs. defenses that give up 5.0 yards per rush 
-Trojans defense is giving up 233.5 rushing yards on 6.5 yards per rush; terrible matchup here

-Texas is playing with legitimate revenge after losing 27-24 at USC last season; expect big effort

-offense is averaging 191.5 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that only allow 120 rypg 
-Longhorns defense is giving up 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play 

9* Play TEXAS (-).

-Colorado State scored 17 unanswered 4th quarter points to beat Arkansas last week; letdown
-offense is only averaging 86.3 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that allow 165.3 rypg
-Rams defense is giving up 7.7 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.9 yards per play

-Florida lost to Kentucky at home last week as a 2 TD favorite; expect a strong performance here

-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.7 yards per play
-Gators defense has allowed just 50% completions on a measly 4.8 yards per pass attempt

10* Play FLORIDA (-).

-Florida State is severely undervalued in this game after last week’s close call against Samford

-offense is averaging 5.4 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.3 yards per play
-Seminoles defense is allowing 25 points per game vs offenses that average 34.5 points per game  

-Syracuse has faced two terrible opponents so far this season; taking a big jump up in class now
-offense has faced two defenses that allow a whopping 57 points per game on 6.3 yards per play   
-Orange defense has faced bad offenses that only average 16.3 ppg on 4.9 yards per play

9* Play FLORIDA STATE (-).

-USC will hit the road after a home win over UNLV last week; stepping way up in class here
-offense will have true freshman QB JT Daniels making his first college road start; tough venue
-Trojans rush defense gave up 308 yards on a whopping 7.2 yards per rush last week; bad sign

-Stanford returns 15 starters, including 9 on offense; playing with legitimate revenge vs. USC 

-offense ran for 202 ypg on 5.9 yards per rush last year; bad matchup for USC’s defense
-Cardinal defense gave up just 10 points on 263 total yards of offense vs. SDSU; stout unit again 

9* Play STANFORD (-).

-Tulsa went just 2-10 in 2017; more experience; they tend to get crushed by Power 5 teams

-offense struggled against Central Arkansas’ defense last week; big step-up in class here  
-Golden Hurricane has given up 59, 48, and 52 points in their last 3 road games vs. Big 12 teams

-Texas lost their season opener to Maryland for a 2nd straight year; won 56-0 in Game 2; repeat
-offense put up 405 yards of offense on the road; scored 40 pts or more in 4 home games in 2017
-Longhorns defense only allowed 21.2 points per game last year; expect bounce back effort here

10* Play TEXAS (-).

-Georgia surprised most by making the National Championship game last season; hard to repeat
-offense dominated a weak Austin Peay last week; taking a big jump in class now on the road
-Bulldogs defense only returns 5 starters from last year’s 16.4 ppg unit; unknown commodity

-South Carolina is one of the most improved teams in the country this season; undervalued here
-offense was absolutely dominant in their 49-15 win last week; 263 rushing & 294 passing yards  
-Gamecocks defense improved by 5.8 points per game last year; held Georgia to just 24 points

9* Play SOUTH CAROLINA (+).

-Western Michigan lost 55-42 to Syracuse last week; taking a monumental class jump now
-offense was inefficient; converted just 20% (2-for-10) on 3rd downs; now face a stout defense
-Broncos rush defense will get steamrolled here; gave up 334 rushing yards in last week’s loss

-Michigan returns home off an expected loss at Notre Dame last week; big bounce back game

-offense was stymied against a stout Irish defense; expect a breakout performance this afternoon 
-Wolverines defense allowed just 302 total yards last week; anticipate another strong effort here

9* Play MICHIGAN (-).

-Virginia Tech went 9-4 in 2017; all of their wins came against teams that won 7 games or less
-offense regressed by 6.8 points per game last season despite playing an extremely easy schedule

-Hokies defense only returns 5 starters; they were stout last season, but now they are very young

-Florida State went 7-6 in 2017 with an injury-plagued team; new HC Willie Taggart; big year
-offense was decimated by quarterback injuries; now healthy and 8 returning starters; breakout
-Seminoles defense is always a high-ranking unit; allowed just 21.2 points per game in 2017   

9* Play FLORIDA STATE (-).

-Miami went 10-3 in 2017, but 4 wins came by 8 points or less; lost last 3 games to end the year
-offense regressed by 5.2 points per game last season despite playing an extremely easy schedule

-Hurricanes defense also regressed by 2.5 points per game; not as good as their record indicated

-LSU went 9-4 in 2017 with an inexperienced team; two of their losses came by 3 and 4 points   
-offense has been plagued by awful quarterback play; Ohio State transfer Joe Burrow takes over
-Tigers defense will be one of the best in the country; allowed just 18.9 points per game in 2017   

10* Play LSU (+).

-Middle Tennessee State returns an experienced and talented team; 17 starters are back in 2018
-offense looking to atone for their pitiful play in last year’s 28-6 home loss to Vanderbilt
-Blue Raiders defense gave up just 24.7 points per game last season; expect more improvement

-Vanderbilt is a young team that only has 12 returning starters; had no less than 15 in last 3 years
-offense always fields a weak scoring unit; 20 points per game in 4 years under HC Derek Mason
-Commodores defense was terrible last year, and with just 5 returning starters, don’t expect much

9* Play MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (+).

-Michigan has played to a much lower level away from home under HC Jim Harbaugh
-offense will have Mississippi transfer Shea Patterson under center, and he’s changing systems
-Wolverines defense has shown vulnerability to strong rushing attacks, especially on the road

-Notre Dame returns 15 starters from last year’s 10-3 team; lost to Georgia by a single point 

-offense ran for 269 ypg on 6.3 yards per rush last year; bad matchup for Michigan’s defense
-Irish defense held 10 of their 13 opponents to 20 points or less in 2017; stout unit returns 9

9* Play NOTRE DAME.

-Washington is the most experienced team in the Pac 12 with 17 returning starters; 10-3 in 2017

-offense averaged 41.8 and 36.2 points per game last 2 years under senior QB Jake Browning  
-Huskies defense returns 9 starters from a unit that gave up just 16.1 ppg on 4.4 yards per play

-Auburn went 10-4 last year, but they haven’t had back-to-back double digit win seasons in eons
-offense has some question marks; just 1 returning starter along the line; top running back gone
-Tigers defense will be a stout unit once again in 2018, but face a strong, balanced offense here

9* Play WASHINGTON (+).

-Mississippi lost quarterback Shea Patterson when he transferred to Michigan; big drop off
-the Rebels offense is without their best passer and best rusher from last season; need time to gel
-defense has been terrible; 34.3 points per game over the last 2 years; facing potent offense here

-Texas Tech returns 16 starters; the most they’ve returned over the last three years; breakout year

-offense is a high-scoring unit that comes out ready; 59, 69 and 56 points in last 3 season openers
-Red Raiders defense shaved off 11.3 points per game last season; unit returns ten starters  

9* Play TEXAS TECH (-).

-Coastal Carolina begins their second year in the FBS; 3-9 SU last year; out-classed here
-offense averaged 345 yards of offense per game in 2017; can’t trade points with Gamecocks
-defense has no chance in physically stopping the run or the pass in this game; mismatch  

-South Carolina will be one of the most improved teams in the country this season
-head coach Will Muschamp is in his 3rd season here, and he has 14 returning starters back
-Gamecocks offense improved by 3.4 ppg and their defense improved by 5.8 ppg last season

10* Play SOUTH CAROLINA (-).

-Western Kentucky has just 10 returning starters; big class difference for their season opener
-the Hilltoppers offense was terrible last season while averaging just 25.5 points per game
-rush defense will get steamrolled here; gave up 170 rushing yards per game last season

-Wisconsin returns the 3rd most experienced team in the country from last year’s 13-1 team

-offense scored 59 points in their season opener last year at home; expect similar result tonight  
-Badgers defense allowed just 13 points per game on 227 yards per game at home last season

9* Play WISCONSIN (-).

-Alabama head coach Nick Saban will face former assistant Kirby Smart; assistants are 0-11 SU
-offense averaged 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.6 yards per play; 37.9 ppg
-Crimson Tide defense only gave up 11.1 points per game on 3.9 yards per play this season 

-Georgia won a high-scoring shootout vs. Oklahoma in overtime; freshman QB regresses here
-offense needs to run the ball to have success; Alabama defense allows just 91.8 rypg on 2.7 ypr   

-Bulldogs defense allows 143.1 rushing yards per game on the road; Alabama runs for 255.8 ypg

10* Play ALABAMA (-).

-Alabama is 11-1 on the season, and off their first loss, expect a supreme performance here
-offense averaged 6.9 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.7 yards per play; 39.1 ppg
-Crimson Tide defense only gave up 11.5 points per game on 4.0 yards per play this season 

-Clemson went 12-1 on the season; ugly loss came to Syracuse; will face top-rated defense
-offense averaged 5.7 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allowed 5.7 yards per play

-Tigers defense was worse away from home; gave up 5.4 ppg and 0.7 yppl more on the road 

9* Play ALABAMA (-).

-Georgia went 12-1 this season, and they scored 31 points or more in nine of their games   

-offense is averaging 34.9 points per game vs. defenses that give up 25.7 points per game    

-Bulldogs defense gave up 40 points against Auburn; will face a similar spread offense here

-Oklahoma also went 12-1 this season, and they scored 31 points or more in 13 of their games 

-offense is averaging 44.9 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 27.9 points per game

-Sooners defense gave up 35, 41, and 52 points in three of their five true road games this season 

10* Play OVER the total.

-South Carolina comes in off a loss; their worst defensive game of the season; big bounce back
-offense averaged just 21.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that gave up 26.9 ppg
-Gamecocks defense allows just 20.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 27.8 ppg

-Michigan comes in off back-to-back loss in which they gave up 55 points; expect strong effort
-offense averaged just 4.9 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allowed 5.3 yppl

-Wolverines defense allows 18.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 27.6 points per game

9* Play UNDER the total.

-Wisconsin is 12-1 on the season, and their first loss came in their last game; expect bounce back
-offense is averaging 33.8 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 25 points per game

-Badgers defense is allowing just 4.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Miami FL went 10-2 after losing their final two games; easy early schedule caught up to them
-offense only scored 17 total points in their two losses; scoring trouble will continue in this game  
-Hurricanes defense gave up 62 points in their losses against run-based teams; face similar here

10* Play WISCONSIN (-).

-Washington scored 30 points or more in 10 of their 12 games this season; expect similar here
-offense averaged 6.4 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.9 yards per play; 36.9 ppg
-Huskies defense played a bad group of offenses that only averaged 5.4 yards per play; step-up

-Penn State scored 31 points or less in 10 of their 12 games; expect scoring ways to continue
-offense averaged 6.6 yards per play vs. defenses that allowed 5.4 yards per play; 41.6 ppg

-Nittany Lions defense gave up 39, 27, and 44 points to the 3 good offenses they faced this year

9* Play OVER the total.

-USC scored 27 points or more in 12 of their 13 games this season; expect similar here
-offense averaged 34.5 ppg on 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up just 5.8 yppl
-Trojans' defense gave up 5.8 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that averaged 5.8 yppl

-Ohio State scored 27 points or more in 11 of their 13 games; expect scoring ways to continue
-offense averaged 42.5 ppg on 7.0 yards per play vs. defenses that allowed 24.9 ppg on 5.4 yppl
-Buckeyes' defense gave up 31 and 38 points to Oklahoma and Penn State; USC similar offense

9* Play OVER the total.

-Utah State lost their season finale; 4-1 off a loss, so expect a supreme effort in this game
-offense was better on the road where they averaged 32 points per game on 6.0 yards per play 

-Aggies defense allows 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-New Mexico State may be the worst team to make a bowl game this season; 6-6 SU on the year
-offense averaged 29.6 points per game vs. defenses that gave up 29.9 points per game
-Aggies defense gave up 37.3 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road this season   

10* Play UTAH STATE (-).

-NC State went just 2-3 to close the season; Clemson and Notre Dame were 2 of their losses
-offense is averaging 30.6 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 26 points per game

-Wolfpack defense is allowing just 5.5 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Arizona State went 7-5 this season; they gave up 30 points or more in all five of those losses
-offense only averaged 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that also gave up 5.6 yards per play  
-Sun Devils defense gave up 32.8 points per game on 6.8 yards per play on the road this season 

9* Play NC STATE (-).

-Stanford lost 4 games this season, and all of them came away from home; more of the same here
-offense was much worse on the road where they averaged 4.9 points per game less (27.1-32)    

-Cardinal defense allows 5.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yppl; average unit  

-TCU is playing in their home state, and off a loss to Oklahoma in Big 12 title, expect big effort
-offense averaged 33.2 points per game on 6.0 yards per play this season; scoring will continue
-Horned Frogs defense only gives up 17.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 31.2 ppg   

10* Play TCU (-).

-Virginia Tech went 9-3 during the regular season; Clemson and Miami were 2 of their losses
-offense is averaging 28.7 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 26.8 points per game

-Hokies defense is allowing just 13.5 points per game on 4.8 yards per play this season 

-Oklahoma State also went 9-3 this season; they gave up 151 total points in their 3 losses
-offense put up big numbers against terrible defenses that gave up 5.9 yppl; big step-up in class  
-Cowboys defense gives up 30.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 29.6 points per game  

9* Play VIRGINIA TECH (+).

-Missouri won their last 6 games of the season after a 1-5 start; long layoff bad for their rhythm
-offense put up big numbers vs. bad defenses that gave up 29.9 ppg on 6.1 yppl; step-up in class   

-Tigers defense was awful on the road; gave up 33.4 points per game on 6.1 yards per play   

-Texas is playing in their home state, and off a loss to Texas Tech in their finale, expect big effort
-offense scored 93 points in their last 3 games; scoring ways will continue with extra prep time
-Longhorns defense allows 21.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 31.1 points per game   

9* Play TEXAS (+).

-Purdue got back on track late in the season as they closed on a 3-1 SU and ATS run; good form
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that only allow 5.3 yards per play

-Boilermakers defense allows 17.8 points per game on 5.1 yards per play on the road this season 

-Arizona closed the season by going 1-3 SU and ATS; opposite direction of their opponent 
-offense put up big numbers against terrible defenses that gave up 32.7 ppg; big step-up in class  
-Wildcats defense was terrible on the road; gave up 40.2 points per game on 6.3 yards per play   

10* Play PURDUE (+).

-Boston College scored 23 points or less in 6 of their 12 games this season; expect similar here
-offense averaged just 5.1 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.3 yards per play
-Eagles defense allows just 22.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 30.1 points per game

-Iowa scored 19 points or less in 6 of their 12 games; expect low-scoring ways to continue
-offense averaged just 5.0 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allowed 5.2 yppl

-Hawkeyes defense allows 19.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 28.9 points per game

9* Play UNDER the total.

-Kansas State only went 7-5 this season, but they scored 30 points or more in 8 of their games   

-offense is averaging 32.1 points per game vs. defenses that give up 31.5 points per game    

-Wildcats defense is giving up 29.8 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road

-UCLA went just 6-6 this season, but they also scored 30 points or more in 8 of their games 

-offense is averaging 33.7 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 27.8 points per game

-Bruins defense has given up 45.5 points per game on 7.2 yards per play on the road this season

10* Play OVER the total.

-Houston went 7-4 SU against an average schedule this season; 9 of their 11 games went Under
-offense averaged just 20.2 points per game on the road vs. defenses that gave up 32.7 ppg
-Cougars defense gave up just 23 points per game vs. offenses that averaged 32 points per game

-Fresno State went 9-4 SU against an average schedule this season; last 9 games went Under
-offense averaged just 19.7 points per game on 5.0 yards per play away from home this season

-Bulldogs defense gave up 17.2 points per game vs. offenses that averaged 25.2 points per game

9* Play UNDER the total.

-Appalachian State lost 4 games; 3 of those losses came by 7 points or less; Georgia lone big loss
-offense averaged 40.3 points per game in their last three wins; expect scoring ways to continue

-Mountaineers defense is giving up just 21.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 25.1 ppg

-Toledo went 11-2 SU against my 102nd rated schedule this season; both losses were blowouts 
-offense put up big numbers against terrible defenses that gave up 30.7 ppg; big step-up in class  
-Rockets defense was poor on the road; gave up 29.4 points per game on 6.0 yards per play   

10* Play APPALACHIAN STATE (+).

-Texas Tech scored just 30 total points in their last 2 games of the season; expect big effort here   
-offense is averaging 36.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 30.2 ppg
-Red Raiders defense gave up 31.7 points per game on 5.7 yards per play this season 

-South Florida scored 31 points or more in 9 of their 11 games; expect more of the same here
-offense averaged a whopping 43.2 points per game on 7.1 yards per play on the road this season 

-Bulls defense gave up 30 points per game on the road vs. offenses that averaged 25.2 ppg

9* Play OVER the total.

-Central Michigan closed the season strong by going 5-0 over their last 5 games; cohesive team 
-offense was better on the road where they averaged 32.7 points per game on 6.0 yards per play 

-Chippewas defense gave up just 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.4 yards per play

-Wyoming lost their last 2 games of the season; QB Josh Allen is dealing with a shoulder injury  
-offense averaged just 4.7 yards per play versus defenses that gave up 5.8 yards per play  
-Cowboys defense played a terrible slate of opposing offenses that averaged 24.7 ppg this season   

9* Play CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+).

-Temple closed the season strong by going 3-1 over their last four games; lone loss to UCF 
-offense averaged 37.3 points per game in those three wins; expect scoring ways to continue

-Owls defense is giving up just 5.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-Florida International’s last two games of the season were their best; time off a negative here 
-offense much worse on the road; they averaged just 22.4 ppg vs. defenses that gave up 26.2 ppg 
-Golden Panthers defense awful on the road; gave up 37.4 points per game on 6.4 yards per play   

9* Play TEMPLE (-).

-Louisiana Tech went just 6-6 this season despite playing a terrible slate of opponents 

-offense was average while averaging 5.7 yards per play vs. defenses that also gave up 5.7 yppl
-Bulldogs defense gave up 6.1 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that averaged 5.6 yppl  

-SMU went 1-3 down the stretch; those losses came to UCF, Navy and Memphis; step-down here
-offense is averaging 40.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 31.9 points per game    
-Mustangs defense played very strong offenses this season; big step-down in class for this game

9* Play SMU (-).