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Steve Merril Football Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
02-02-20 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 53.5 20-31 Loss -103 18 h 58 m Show

-San Francisco has scored 26 points or more in 9 of their last 12 games; more of the same here
-offense averages 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play

-49ers defense has given up 20 points or more in 9 of their last 11 games; class jump vs. Chiefs

-Kansas City has scored 24 points or more in 15 of their 18 games; 23 points in 2 other games
-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Chiefs allowing 5.9 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

01-19-20 Packers v. 49ers OVER 46.5 20-37 Win 100 7 h 7 m Show

-Green Bay hits the road after a 28-23 home win over Seattle last week; need to score points
-offense is averaging 23.8 points per game vs. defenses that allow 22.7 points per game
-Packers allowing 6.0 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-San Francisco has scored 22 points or more in 10 of their last 11 games; more of the same here
-offense averages 31.8 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 24 points per game

-49ers defense has given up 20 points or more in 8 of their last 10 games; class jump vs. Rodgers

10* Play OVER the total.

01-19-20 Titans v. Chiefs -7 24-35 Win 100 4 h 32 m Show

-Tennessee will play their 3rd straight road playoff game, and their 4th straight road game overall
-offense hasn’t thrown the ball for more than 100 yards in their last 2 games; can’t do that here
-Titans defense has held their last 3 opponents to 14 points or less; now facing a potent offense

-Kansas City got down 21-0 in the first quarter last week; not happening again; revenge game
-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play

-Chiefs defense allows just 19.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.1 points per game

9* Play CHIEFS (-).

01-13-20 Clemson v. LSU OVER 66.5 25-42 Win 100 4 h 12 m Show

-Clemson has scored 21 points or more in all 14 games; 38 points or more in 11 of those games

-offense is averaging a whopping 7.5 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 6.0 yards per play

-Tigers defense faced a terrible schedule of opposing offenses this season; gashed by Ohio State

-LSU has scored 23 points or more in all 14 games; 36 points or more in 13 of those games

-offense is averaging 7.9 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up just 5.8 yards per play

-Tigers defense was worse away from home; gave up 7.7 points per game more than overall

9* Play OVER the total.

01-12-20 Seahawks v. Packers -4 23-28 Win 100 14 h 57 m Show

-Seattle is on the road once again after winning in Philadelphia last week; jump in class; bad spot
-offense has scored 21 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games; 17 or less in 3 games; poor form
-Seahawks defense is allowing 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Green Bay comes in rested and ready off their bye week; much healthier team as well; big effort
-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play at home vs. defenses that allow 5.7 yards per play
-Packers allowing 19.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 22.2 points per game

10* Play PACKERS (-).

01-12-20 Texans v. Chiefs -9.5 31-51 Win 100 10 h 22 m Show

-Houston hits the road after coming back from a 16-0 deficit at home last week; emptied the tank
-offense has been held to just 33 total points in regulation time in their last 2 games; in bad form
-Texans allowing 6.6 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Kansas City comes into this game with a week off; big scheduling advantage; revenge game too
-offense is averaging 6.6 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play

-Chiefs defense allows just 19.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 22 points per game

9* Play CHIEFS (-).

01-11-20 Titans v. Ravens OVER 47 28-12 Loss -110 8 h 32 m Show

-Tennessee has won 2 straight games while scoring 55 total points; scoring ways continue here
-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play vs. defenses that give up only 5.8 yards per play
-Titans' defense allows 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that also average 5.7 yards per play

-Baltimore is rested and ready off a bye week; they’ve scored 20 points or more in all 16 games
-offense is averaging 33.2 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 22.5 points per game
-Ravens' defense allows 5.8 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

Play OVER the total.

01-11-20 Vikings v. 49ers OVER 44 10-27 Loss -110 4 h 56 m Show

-Minnesota is on the road once again after a 26-20 win in New Orleans last week; need to score
-offense averages 26.4 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 22.6 points per game
-Vikings allowing 5.7 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-San Francisco comes into this game rested and ready off a bye; focused on offense; big effort
-offense averages 32.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 24.2 points per game
-49ers' defense has given up 20 points or more in 8 of their last 9 games; in poor current form

9* Play OVER the total.

01-06-20 Miami-OH +14 v. UL-Lafayette 17-27 Win 100 4 h 11 m Show

-Miami Ohio went 6-1 SU over their final 7 games of the season; team started 2-4; in good form
-offense has faced a difficult schedule of opposing defenses (5.6 yards per play); class relief here
-RedHawks defense allows 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-UL Lafayette lost their last game; a win could have possibly got them a bowl in their home state
-offense has faced a terrible collection of opposing defenses all season (33.1 ppg); tougher test
-Ragin’ Cajuns allow 210 rushing yards per game on the road vs. offenses that average 178 rypg

9* Play MIAMI OHIO (+).

01-05-20 Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 45 17-9 Win 100 6 h 19 m Show

-Seattle hits the road after losing 2 straight home games; 1-3 their last 4 games; in bad form
-offense scored just 46 total points in their last 3 losses; key injuries have limited this team
-Seahawks allowing just 21.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 24.7 ppg

-Philadelphia comes in on a 4-game winning streak; however, the competition was terrible
-offense is averaging just 5.3 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play

-Eagles allow just 16.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 21.8 points per game

10* Play UNDER the total.

01-04-20 Titans v. Patriots UNDER 44.5 20-13 Win 100 9 h 34 m Show

-Tennessee is on the road once again after a must-win game in Houston last week; bad road spot
-offense has faced a string of bad opposing defenses over the last half of the season; bad matchup
-Titans defense is allowing 17.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 22.4 ppg

-New England comes in off a costly and an ugly home loss to Miami; something seems missing
-offense is averaging just 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play

-Patriots defense allows just 14.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.4 points per game

9* Play UNDER the total.

01-04-20 Bills +2.5 v. Texans 19-22 Loss -100 5 h 44 m Show

-Buffalo went 1-3 in their last 4 games; ignore Week 17; lost to New England and Baltimore
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Bills defense allows just 15.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.7 ppg

-Houston went 2-2 in their last 4 games; both losses at home; bad sign since they needed to win
-offense has scored 24 points or less over their last 4 games; now taking a big step-up in class
-Texans defense is allowing 6.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

10* Play BILLS (+).

01-03-20 Ohio -7.5 v. Nevada 30-21 Win 100 13 h 27 m Show

-Ohio comes into this game off back-to-back wins by a combined score of 118-27; in good form
-offense is averaging 6.8 yards per play on the road vs defenses that allow 5.8 yards per play
-Bobcats allowing 20.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses averaging 25.6 points per game

-Nevada closed the season by going just 4-4 SU over their final 8 games; facing a bad matchup
-offense averages 18 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 26.7 points per game
-Wolfpack allow 34.3 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 25.3 points per game

9* Play OHIO (-).

01-02-20 Boston College +7.5 v. Cincinnati 6-38 Loss -105 14 h 49 m Show

-Boston College went just 6-6 SU on the season, but 5 of their losses came against bowl teams
-offense is averaging 30.9 points per game vs. defenses that give up 28.8 points per game
-Eagles allow 34.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 29.8 points per game 

-Cincinnati went just 2-2 SU over their last 4 games; 2 wins came by a total of 5 points; bad form
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that also give up 5.6 yards per play
-Bearcats allowing 6.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

9* Play BOSTON COLLEGE (+).

01-01-20 Wisconsin v. Oregon +3 27-28 Win 100 15 h 32 m Show

-Wisconsin went just 4-3 SU over their final 7 games of the season; schedule got much tougher
-offense was much worse away from home this season; 5.4 points per game less than overall
-Badgers defense is allowing 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Oregon comes in with an 11-2 record; lost to Auburn and Arizona State by a total of 9 points
-offense is averaging 35.9 points per game vs. defenses that allow 27.2 points per game
-Ducks defense allowing just 4.8 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 points per game

9* Play OREGON (+).

01-01-20 Michigan v. Alabama OVER 58.5 16-35 Loss -109 10 h 23 m Show

-Michigan has scored 27 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games this season; more of the same

-offense is averaging 33 points per game vs. defenses that allow just 22.9 points per game

-Wolverines defense gave up 70 points in their final 2 games; facing another potent offense here

-Alabama has scored 35 points or more in all 12 games of their games this season; continues

-offense is averaging 7.8 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play

-Crimson Tide defense gave up 101 points to the last 3 SEC teams they faced; closed in bad form

10* Play OVER the total.

01-01-20 Minnesota v. Auburn OVER 53 31-24 Win 100 10 h 23 m Show

-Minnesota comes in off a loss to Wisconsin; scored just 17 points; expect a big bounce back

-offense is averaging 34.3 points per game vs. defenses that allow just 26 points per game

-Golden Gophers defense has faced a bad group of opposing offenses (25.9 ppg); big class jump 

-Auburn has scored 48 points or more in 5 of their last 10 games; expect another big output here

-offense is averaging 34 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 25.8 points per game

-Tigers defense faced a terrible out of conference schedule; skewed their numbers; stiff test now

9* Play OVER the total.

12-31-19 Georgia State v. Wyoming -7 17-38 Win 100 5 h 21 m Show

-Georgia State closed the season on a 1-3 SU slide; injury to their QB really limits this team
-offense averages 25.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 29.7 points per game
-Panthers allow 38 points per game, and give up 241.2 rushing yards per game on the road

-Wyoming comes into this game off an ugly 20-6 loss at Air Force; extra prep; big effort here
-offense averages 208.5 rushing yards per play vs. defenses that allow 166 rushing yards per play
-Cowboys allowing just 17.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 24.7 points per game

9* Play WYOMING (-).

12-31-19 Kansas State v. Navy OVER 53 17-20 Loss -109 5 h 42 m Show

-Kansas State has scored 24 points or more in 9 of their 12 games this season; more of the same

-offense is averaging 30.7 points per game vs. defenses that allow 29.4 points per game

-Wildcats allowing 6.3 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-Navy has scored 31 points or more in 10 of their 12 games this season; trend continues here

-offense is averaging 6.8 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.9 yards per play

-Midshipmen defense was much worse away from home; gave up 4.3 points per game more

10* Play OVER the total.

12-30-19 Illinois v. California OVER 45.5 20-35 Win 100 4 h 57 m Show

-Illinois comes in off back-to-back losses where they scored just 20 total points; big effort here

-offense is averaging 27.2 points per game vs. defenses that allow 26.7 points per game

-Illini defense is allowing 25.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 24.3 points per game

-California scored 24 points or more in 3 of their last 4 regular season games; continues tonight

-offense faced a difficult schedule of opposing defenses this season; step-down in class here

-Golden Bears defense had success against spread offenses; now facing a Big 10 rushing team

10* Play OVER the total.

12-29-19 49ers -3 v. Seahawks 26-21 Win 100 10 h 50 m Show

-San Francisco hits the road with the division title on the line; expect a win by the better team
-offense is averaging 30.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 24.1 points per game
-49ers defense is allowing 4.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Seattle lost an ugly game at home last week to the Cardinals; they also have key injuries
-offense has scored 17 points or less in 3 of their last 5 games; struggling unit missing starters
-Seahawks allows 29 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 24.3 points per game

9* Play 49ERS (-).

12-29-19 Raiders v. Broncos -3.5 15-16 Loss -100 6 h 56 m Show

-Oakland had lost 4 straight games prior to their win last week over a Chargers team that has quit
-offense averages 19.1 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 21.7 points per game

-Raiders defense allows 29.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.8 ppg

-Denver is 3-1 SU over their last 4 games; the team has been playing terrific football; continues
-offense has scored 23 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games; now facing a softer defense
-Broncos allow 18.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 22.4 points per game

9* Play BRONCOS (-).

12-29-19 Chargers v. Chiefs -9.5 21-31 Win 100 3 h 32 m Show

-Los Angeles appears to have quit on the season; lost last 2 games by a combined score of 63-27
-offense is averaging 21.1 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22.5 points per game
-Chargers defense has giving up 23 points or more in 5 of their last 6 games; bad matchup here

-Kansas City comes into this game from the opposite direction; 49-6 score in their last 2 wins
-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play
-Chiefs defense allows just 19.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.2 points per game

10* Play CHIEFS (-).

12-29-19 Falcons v. Bucs 28-22 Win 100 3 h 31 m Show

-Atlanta has won 3 straight games; playing their best football of the season; divisional revenge
-offense averages 26.4 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 23.8 points per game

-Falcons defense is in terrific current form; they’ve held their last 4 opponents to 80 total points

-Tampa Bay lost 23-20 to Houston last week; the team is besieged with injuries; bad matchup
-offense looked terrible last week without their 2 best wide receivers; expect similar in this game
-Buccaneers allow 30.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 23.8 points per game

9* Play FALCONS.

12-28-19 Clemson v. Ohio State OVER 62 29-23 Loss -108 11 h 0 m Show

-Clemson scored 38 points in 11 of their 13 games this season; 41 points or more in 10 games

-offense is averaging a whopping 7.5 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 6.1 yards per play

-Tigers defense has faced a bad group of opposing offenses (27.1 ppg); big jump in class here 

-Ohio State has scored 34 points or more in 12 of their 13 games this season; difficult to stop 

-offense is averaging 7.4 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.2 yards per play

-Buckeyes defense also faced a bad group of opposing offenses (28 ppg); huge class rise tonight

10* Play OVER the total.

12-28-19 Memphis v. Penn State -7 39-53 Win 100 3 h 40 m Show

-Memphis went 12-1 SU in the regular season against an extremely easy schedule; big class test
-offense faced a terrible collection of opposing defenses that gave up 30.4 points per game
-Tigers allow 24.5 points per game, and also give up 175 rushing yards per game on the road

-Penn State went just 2-2 over their last 4 games after opening the season at 8-0; big effort here
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.3 yards per play
-Nittany Lions allowing just 14.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 26.9 points per game

9* Play PENN STATE (-).

12-27-19 Washington State v. Air Force OVER 68.5 21-31 Loss -107 11 h 30 m Show

-Washington State comes in off an ugly loss where they scored just 13 points; big bounce back

-offense is averaging 39.2 points per game vs. defenses that allow 28.7 points per game

-Cougars allowing 7.0 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-Air Force also comes in off a bad offensive game where they scored just 20 points; big effort

-offense is averaging 6.9 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play

-Falcons allow 63.2% pass completions on 7.7 yards per pass attempt on the road; bad matchup

9* Play OVER the total.

12-27-19 Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M OVER 53.5 21-24 Loss -105 8 h 0 m Show

-Oklahoma State scored 36 points in their last 2 games; 30 points or more in 8 of their other 10

-offense averages 35.2 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 30.1 points per game

-Cowboys allow 29.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 29.6 points per game

-Texas A&M scored 20 points in their last 2 games; 24 points or more in their previous 6 games 

-offense is averaging 30 points per game vs. defenses that give up 27.3 points per game

-Aggies defense is worse on the road; allow 4.7 ppg and 0.6 yards per play more than average

10* Play OVER the total.

12-26-19 Miami-FL -6.5 v. Louisiana Tech 0-14 Loss -110 4 h 2 m Show

-Miami comes in off back-to-back road losses to end the regular season; extra time; big effort
-offense is averaging 5.8 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.7 yards per play
-Hurricanes allowing just 20.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 25.7 points per game

-Louisiana Tech comes in off a season ending win; they had lost their previous 2 games; bad spot
-offense is averaging 5.3 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 6.2 yards per play
-Bulldogs allow 24 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 22.8 points per game 

10* Play MIAMI FL (-).

12-24-19 BYU -2 v. Hawaii 34-38 Loss -109 6 h 57 m Show

-BYU comes in off an ugly 13-3 loss to San Diego State; 3 full weeks to prepare; big effort
-offense is averaging 6.6 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Cougars allow 22 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.2 points per game 

-Hawaii will be playing this game in their home stadium; minimal advantage; bad matchup here
-offense scored 21 points or less in 3 of their final 4 regular season games; another tough defense
-Rainbow Warriors allow 6.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

10* Play BYU (-).

12-23-19 Packers v. Vikings OVER 47 23-10 Loss -110 6 h 46 m Show

-Green Bay comes in off back-to-back bad offensive performances; scored just 41 total points
-offense is averaging 23.6 points per game vs. defenses that allow 22.4 points per game
-Packers allowing 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Minnesota has scored 27 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games; expect more of the same here
-offense is averaging 27 points per game vs. defenses that allow 23.3 points per game

-Vikings have given up 17 total points over their last 2 games against bad offenses; class jump

9* Play OVER the total.

12-22-19 Chiefs v. Bears +6.5 26-3 Loss -110 19 h 3 m Show

-Kansas City hits the road on a 4-game winning streak; not winning by margin on the road
-offense has scored 24 points or less in 3 of their last 4 games; facing a strong defense now
-Chiefs defense allows 6.1 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Chicago returns home off a loss in Green Bay; expect a big bounce back effort at home tonight
-offense has scored 68 total points over their last 3 games; in good current form; nice matchup
-Bears defense allows just 5.0 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

9* Play BEARS (+).

12-22-19 Raiders v. Chargers -7.5 24-17 Loss -105 15 h 48 m Show

-Oakland has lost 4 straight games; blew their final home game last week; terrible spot now
-offense is averaging 18.4 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 22 points per game

-Raiders defense allows 31.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.9 ppg

-Los Angeles stays at home off an embarrassing 39-10 loss to Minnesota; big bounce back effort
-offense is averaging a solid 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 5.8 yards per play
-Chargers defense allows 20.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.2 points per game

10* Play CHARGERS (-).

12-22-19 Saints -2.5 v. Titans 38-28 Win 100 12 h 44 m Show

-New Orleans is 4-1 SU over their last 5 games after losing to Atlanta; good form continues
-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Saints allow just 20 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 24.4 points per game

-Tennessee comes in off a loss to Houston; their 4-game winning streak was phony; class rise
-offense has faced an easy slate of opposing defenses allowing 23.7 points per game; tough test
-Titans defense has giving up 20 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games; bad matchup here

9* Play SAINTS (-).

12-22-19 Steelers -3 v. Jets 10-16 Loss -115 12 h 44 m Show

-Pittsburgh hits the road off a Sunday night home loss to Buffalo; drop in class; bounce back here
-offense has faced a strong slate of opposing defenses allowing 22.4 points per game; class relief
-Steelers defense allows 18.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.6 points per game

-New York is just 1-2 SU over their last 3 games after winning their previous 3 games; poor form

-offense is averaging just 4.9 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Jets defense gives up 24.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.6 points per game

9* Play STEELERS (-).

12-21-19 Rams v. 49ers OVER 44 31-34 Win 100 17 h 34 m Show

-Los Angeles comes in off an ugly loss in Dallas; they’ve scored 83 points in their last 3 games
-offense averages 25.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 23.2 points per game
-Rams defense has given up 108 total points over their last 4 games; in terrible current form

-San Francisco is back at home after a terrible loss to Atlanta; expect a big bounce back effort
-offense is averaging 32.1 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 24.2 points per game

-49ers defense has given up 95 total points over their last 3 games; not in good current form

9* Play OVER the total.

12-21-19 Florida International v. Arkansas State OVER 60.5 26-34 Loss -105 14 h 9 m Show

-Florida International scored 30 points or more in 6 games this season; expect a big output here

-offense faced a difficult slate of opposing defenses that gave up 29 points per game; class relief

-Panthers allowing 37.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26 points per game

-Arkansas State lost their final game of the season; scored 28 points or more in their last 5 games 

-offense averages 34.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 30 points per game

-Red Wolves defense allows 40.3 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 30.6 ppg

10* Play OVER the total.

12-21-19 SMU v. Florida Atlantic +9 28-52 Win 100 12 h 14 m Show

-SMU has alternated wins and losses over their last 4 games; off a win; trend continues here
-offense is averaging 3.9 yards per rush on the road vs. defenses that give up 4.5 yards per rush
-Mustangs allow 34.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 29.8 points per game 

-Florida Atlantic will be playing this game in their home stadium; 10-1 SU their last 11 games
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.5 yards per play
-Owls allowing just 19.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 28 points per game

9* Play FLORIDA ATLANTIC (+).

 

12-16-19 Colts v. Saints -8.5 7-34 Win 100 7 h 40 m Show

-Indianapolis has lost 3 straight games and 5 of their last 6 games overall; too many injuries
-offense is averaging 5.1 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Colts allowing 24 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 22.4 points per game

-New Orleans is back at home for another game after losing to the 49ers last week; big effort
-offense is averaging 6.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play
-Saints defense allows 22.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 24.6 points per game

9* Play SAINTS (-).

12-15-19 Bills +1 v. Steelers 17-10 Win 100 19 h 38 m Show

-Buffalo comes in off a 24-17 home loss to Baltimore; expect a big bounce back effort tonight
-offense is averaging 23 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 23 points per game
-Bills defense allows just 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Pittsburgh has been fortunate to face a string of bad teams with poor defenses; step-up in class
-offense is averaging just 5.1 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Steelers defense has been good all season; they’ll face a mobile quarterback here; bad matchup

9* Play BILLS (+).

12-15-19 Browns -3 v. Cardinals 24-38 Loss -100 14 h 25 m Show

-Cleveland is 4-1 SU over their last 5 games after losing their previous 4 games; in good form
-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Browns defense allows 21.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 22.6 ppg

-Arizona has lost 6 straight games by an average of 11.8 points per game; in terrible current form
-offense averages 20 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 23.2 points per game
-Cardinals give up 30 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 24.8 points per game

9* Play BROWNS (-).

12-15-19 Vikings v. Chargers +1 39-10 Loss -100 14 h 24 m Show

-Minnesota is just 3-2 SU over their last 5 games; 1-2 in their last 3 road games; bad favorite
-offense completes 63.7% of their passes on the road vs. defenses that allow 64.3% completions

-Vikings defense allows 23.4 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.9 ppg

-Los Angeles returns home off a 45-10 win at Jacksonville; positive momentum will carry over
-offense is averaging a solid 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 5.8 yards per play
-Chargers defense allows 19.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.2 points per game

9* Play CHARGERS (+).

12-15-19 Texans v. Titans OVER 51.5 24-21 Loss -102 11 h 20 m Show

-Houston hits the road off an ugly home loss to Denver; expect a much better performance here
-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play

-Texans defense allows 6.6 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Tennessee has won 4 straight games while scoring 31 points or more in each game; terrific form
-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play
-Titans defense allows 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that also average 5.7 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

12-14-19 Army v. Navy UNDER 41 7-31 Win 100 3 h 3 m Show

-Army/Navy game has gone Under the total in 13 consecutive meetings; expect more of the same
-offense averages 20.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.3 points per game
-Black Knights allow just 22.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 25.3 points per game 

-Army/Navy both know the triple-option offense well; median score of 36 ppg last 13 meetings
-offense has faced a terrible collection of defenses that allowed 30.3 points per game; class jump

-Midshipmen defense allows 24.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 28.8 points per game 

9* Play UNDER the total.

12-12-19 Jets v. Ravens OVER 45 21-42 Win 100 7 h 52 m Show

-New York is 4-1 over their last 5 games; they’ve scored 22 points or more in 4 of those games
-offense has been more efficient since quarterback Sam Darnold has returned; more of the same
-Jets allowing 25.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 20.2 points per game

-Baltimore returns home off a road win in Buffalo; taking a huge step-down in defensive class
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play

-Ravens defense allows 6.2 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

12-09-19 Giants +9.5 v. Eagles 17-23 Win 100 7 h 57 m Show

-New York hits the road on an 8-game losing streak; last 3 road losses by 7 points or less
-offense is averaging 5.7 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play
-Giants allow 91.2 rushing yards per game on the road vs. offenses that average 107.7 rypg

-Philadelphia has lost 3 straight games and 5 of their last 7 games overall; laying too many points
-offense is averaging 5.2 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.6 yards per play
-Eagles defense allows 23.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.8 points per game

10* Play GIANTS (+).

12-08-19 Seahawks v. Rams OVER 47.5 12-28 Loss -107 23 h 26 m Show

-Seattle has scored 27 points or more in 4 of their 5 games this season; more of the same here
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play
-Seahawks defense has given up 30, 24, and 34 points in 3 of their last 4 games; in poor form

-Los Angeles had a terrible offensive performance in their last home game (6 points); big effort
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play

-Rams are allowing 27.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 23.6 points per game

9* Play OVER the total.

12-08-19 Chiefs v. Patriots -3 23-16 Loss -109 20 h 33 m Show

-Kansas City is just 4-4 SU over their last 8 games; won 40-9 off their bye last week; class jump
-offense is averaging just 94.5 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 110.3 rypg

-Chiefs defense allows 6.3 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

-New England comes into this game off a bad loss in Houston; expect a big bounce back at home
-offense is averaging 27.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 22.7 points per game
-Patriots defense allows just 4.7 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

9* Play PATRIOTS (-).

12-08-19 Titans v. Raiders OVER 47.5 42-21 Win 100 20 h 32 m Show

-Tennessee has won 3 straight games after going 3-5 over their previous 8 games; in good form
-offense is averaging 36 points per game over their last 3 games; continues here vs. a bad defense
-Titans defense allows 5.7 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Oakland returns home off back-to-back blowout road losses; scored just 12 points; bounce back
-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play

-Raiders defense allows 27 points per game vs. offenses that average just 22.1 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

12-08-19 49ers +2.5 v. Saints 48-46 Win 100 16 h 8 m Show

-San Francisco comes in off a loss in Baltimore; did not fly back home; huge conference game
-offense is averaging 29.1 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 24.1 points per game
-49ers defense allows just 4.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-New Orleans has played an extremely easy schedule as of late; big step-up in class; tough test
-offense averages 24.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 24.8 points per game
-Saints defense has given up 57 total points in their last 2 home games; expect more of the same

9* Play 49ERS (+).

12-07-19 Georgia +7 v. LSU 10-37 Loss -105 4 h 38 m Show

-Georgia is 11-1 SU on the season; lone loss was by 3 points in overtime; expect a close game
-offense is averaging 34 points per game away from home vs. defenses that give up 26.1 ppg
-Bulldogs defense allows just 10.4 points per game on 4.1 yards per play this season; stout unit

-LSU is a perfect 12-0 on the season; certainly been impressive all season; stiff test here though

-offense has been terrific all season, but against bad defenses that allow 29.1 ppg; class jump
-Tigers defense has allowed 33.4 points per game on a bad 6.6 yards per play away from home

9* Play GEORGIA (+).

12-07-19 Hawaii v. Boise State -14 10-31 Win 100 4 h 32 m Show

-Hawaii has 4 losses on the season; 3 of those losses came by 22 points or more; blowout here
-offense has faced a terrible group of defenses that allow 27.8 points per game; class jump here
-Rainbow Warriors defense allows 6.4 yards per play vs offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Boise State is a perfect 6-0 at home this season; scored 30 points or more in 9 of their 12 games

-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Broncos defense allows just 16.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 26.8 ppg

9* Play BOISE STATE (-).

12-06-19 Oregon v. Utah -6.5 37-15 Loss -108 6 h 15 m Show

-Oregon comes in with just 2 losses, but they’ve played an extremely easy schedule; class jump
-offense averages 5.9 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allow 6.0 yards per play
-Ducks defense has been much worse on the road where they allow 23.8 ppg vs. 15.7 ppg overall

-Utah has won their last 3 games by a combined score of 129-25; big momentum carries over

-offense is averaging 6.9 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 6.1 yards per play
-Utes defense allows just 11.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 26.1 points per game

9* Play UTAH (-).

12-05-19 Cowboys -3 v. Bears 24-31 Loss -103 8 h 32 m Show

-Dallas has lost 2 straight games with their last being an ugly home loss; extra rest; bounce back
-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that only allow 5.7 yards per play
-Cowboys allow 19.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.4 points per game

-Chicago is 3-1 over their last 4 games, but they’ve faced 2 backup quarterbacks in those wins
-offense is averaging just 17.7 points per game vs. defenses that allow 23.2 points per game
-Bears defense has faced a terrible collection of offenses this season (21.6 ppg); step-up in class

10* Play COWBOYS (-).

12-02-19 Vikings v. Seahawks OVER 48.5 30-37 Win 100 7 h 32 m Show

-Minnesota has scored 27 points or more in 5 of their 7 games this season; more of the same
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Vikings defense has given up 23, 24, and 26 points in their last 3 games; in poor current form

-Seattle returns home off a terrible offensive performance; scored just 17 points; big effort here
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play

-Seahawks allow 29.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 23.7 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

12-01-19 Patriots v. Texans OVER 46 22-28 Win 100 17 h 29 m Show

-New England comes into this game off 3 straight bad offensive games; must trade points to win
-offense is averaging 27.3 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22.7 points per game 
-Patriots defense historically has trouble with mobile quarterbacks; facing a dual threat tonight

-Houston comes in with extra rest after last playing on Thursday; expect an offensive game plan
-offense averages 24.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 22.8 points per game

-Texans defense is allowing 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

9* Play OVER the total.

12-01-19 Raiders +11 v. Chiefs 9-40 Loss -105 14 h 35 m Show

-Oakland was in a terrible spot last week, and they lost as expected; divisional rematch here
-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Raiders had held their previous 4 opponents to 27 points or less before last week; bounce back

-Kansas City comes into this game off a bye; alternated wins and losses over their last 6 games
-offense is built on an explosive passing game, but bad weather is expected with 20+ mph winds
-Chiefs allowing 26.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 23 points per game

9* Play RAIDERS (+).

12-01-19 Packers -6 v. Giants 31-13 Win 100 10 h 11 m Show

-Green Bay comes in off an embarrassing 37-8 loss in San Francisco; class relief; bounce back
-offense is averaging 23.5 points per game vs. defenses that give up 21.3 points per game
-Packers defense allows 22.0 points per game vs. offenses that average 23.1 points per game

-New York is in free fall; they’ve lost 7 straight games by an average of 11.6 points per game
-offense averages 17.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 21.4 points per game

-Giants defense is allowing 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

10* Play PACKERS (-).

12-01-19 49ers v. Ravens OVER 44.5 17-20 Loss -109 10 h 11 m Show

-San Francisco has scored 24 points or more in their last 5 games; in excellent current form
-offense averages 30.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 25.1 points per game

-49ers defense has given up 25 points or more in their last 3 of their last 4 games; in bad form

-Baltimore has scored 23 points or more in all 11 of their games this season; more of the same
-offense is averaging 35.1 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 23.5 points per game 
-Ravens defense allows 6.1 yards per play at home vs offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

9* Play OVER the total.

11-30-19 Colorado v. Utah -28 15-45 Win 100 15 h 12 m Show

-Colorado comes into this game off back-to-back upset home wins; letdown spot on the road
-offense averages just 22.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 27.4 ppg
-Buffaloes allow 35.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 30.7 points per game

-Utah has won their last 2 games by a combined score of 84-10; big momentum carries over

-offense averages 7.3 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 6.1 yards per play
-Utes defense allows just 10.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 27.1 points per game

10* Play UTAH (-).

11-30-19 Rutgers v. Penn State -40.5 6-27 Loss -105 11 h 13 m Show

-Rutgers is 2-9 on the season; one of the worst teams in all of college football; blowout loss here
-offense averages just 2.5 points per game away from home vs. defenses that allow 25.6 ppg
-Scarlett Knights allow 6.7 yards per play on the road vs offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Penn State comes into this game off a blowout loss at Ohio State; huge step-down in class now

-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.1 yards per play
-Nittany Lions defense allows 14.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 28.0 ppg

9* Play PENN STATE (-).

11-30-19 Wisconsin v. Minnesota +3 38-17 Loss -105 11 h 12 m Show

-Rutgers is 2-9 on the season; one of the worst teams in all of college football; blowout loss here
-offense averages just 2.5 points per game away from home vs. defenses that allow 25.6 ppg
-Scarlett Knights allow 6.7 yards per play on the road vs offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Penn State comes into this game off a blowout loss at Ohio State; huge step-down in class now

-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.1 yards per play
-Nittany Lions defense allows 14.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 28.0 ppg

9* Play PENN STATE (-).

11-30-19 Ohio State v. Michigan +9 56-27 Loss -109 8 h 49 m Show

-Ohio State is undefeated on the season; rivalry game, and they are overvalued in the line
-offense has terrific numbers across the board, but they haven’t faced a defense like Michigan’s
-Buckeyes defense also has great numbers, but their opponent is in their best form of the season

-Michigan has won 4 straight games and 7 of their last 8 games overall; positive momentum

-offense averages 35.8 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 23.1 points per game
-Wolverines defense allows just 11.5 points per game on 3.6 yards per play at home this season

9* Play MICHIGAN (+).

11-29-19 Washington State v. Washington -7.5 13-31 Win 100 2 h 28 m Show

-Washington State comes in off back-to-back home wins; 0-4 on the road; big step-up in class
-offense averages 26.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 29.1 points per game
-Cougars defense allows 34 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.4 ppg

-Washington returns home off a road loss in Colorado; lost their previous home game; big effort
-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play at home vs. defenses that only give up 5.9 yards per play
-Huskies defense allows just 21.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 28.1 points per game

9* Play WASHINGTON (-).

11-28-19 Saints v. Falcons OVER 48 26-18 Loss -108 9 h 7 m Show

-New Orleans has scored 68 points in their last 2 games since scoring 9 points against Atlanta

-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play

-Saints defense has given up 25 points or more in 3 of their last 5 games; in poor current form

-Atlanta is 2-1 over their last 3 games; their overall team health has gotten much better recently

-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play            

-Falcons allow 28.6 points per game at home vs. offenses that average just 24.1 points per game

9* Play OVER as a 3% play.

 

11-28-19 Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -1 20-21 Push 0 8 h 53 m Show

-Mississippi is just 1-4 over their last 5 games; 4-7 overall on the season; not a good team at all
-offense averages 20.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 26.7 points per game
-Rebels defense allows 33 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 30.7 ppg

-Mississippi State is 2-1 over their last 3 games with their lone loss coming against Alabama
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.6 yards per play
-Bulldogs defense allows just 23.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 31.9 ppg

9* Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (-).

11-28-19 Bills v. Cowboys OVER 47 26-15 Loss -102 5 h 18 m Show

-Buffalo has played at a much faster pace over their last 2 games; expect that to continue here
-offense averages 5.9 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that only allow 5.8 yards per play
-Bills defense allows 65.4% pass completions on the road vs. offenses that complete 61.4%

-Dallas returns home off a terrible performance in New England; weather issues; bounce back
-offense averages 30.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 23.3 points per game

-Cowboys allow 5.5 yards per play at home vs. defenses that only average 5.4 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

11-26-19 Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois +9 14-17 Win 100 3 h 59 m Show

-Western Michigan has won 3 straight games; last 2 wins by a combined 7 points; overvalued
-offense averages 27.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 32.1 points per game
-Broncos defense allows 40.4 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.9 ppg

-Northern Illinois comes in off an embarrassing 45-17 home loss; expect a big bounce back here
-offense is much better at home; averaging 4.1 points per game more (27.5-23.4) than overall
-Huskies defense allows just 20.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 25.7 ppg

10* Play NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+).

11-25-19 Ravens v. Rams +3.5 45-6 Loss -110 8 h 35 m Show

-Baltimore hits the road on a 6-game winning streak; bad road spot traveling West in primetime
-offense has scored 30 points or more in their last 4 games; major regression coming tonight
-Ravens defense allows 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-Los Angeles is 3-1 after going thru a 3-game losing streak; back-to-back home games; big edge
-offense is averaging 24.3 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 22.9 points per game
-Rams defense allows just 4.8 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

10* Play RAMS (+).

11-24-19 Packers v. 49ers OVER 47.5 8-37 Loss -110 28 h 34 m Show

-Green Bay comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye week; must trade points to win
-offense is averaging 25 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 21.9 points per game 
-Packers defense allows 6.5 yards per play on the road vs offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

-San Francisco has scored 24 points or more in their last 4 games; in excellent current form
-offense averages 33.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 25.6 points per game

-49ers defense has given up 25 points or more in their last 3 games; in terrible current form

9* Play OVER the total.

11-24-19 Broncos +4 v. Bills 3-20 Loss -107 20 h 15 m Show

-Denver is 1-2 over their last 3 games, but they’ve played much better; losses by 6 total points
-offense has scored 24 and 23 points in their last 2 games; much improved production continues
-Broncos defense allows just 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

-Buffalo has alternated wins and losses over their last 5 games; off a big road win; regression
-offense averages 19.8 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 24.5 points per game

-Bills defense allows 4.4 yards per rush at home vs. offenses that only average 3.9 yards per rush

9* Play BRONCOS (+).

11-24-19 Raiders v. Jets +3 3-34 Win 101 20 h 15 m Show

-Oakland has played their last 3 games at home; first road game in a month; terrible spot
-offense has scored just 43 total points in their last 2 games; look to be tailing off; bad form
-Raiders allow 29.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.9 points per game

-New York has won their last 2 games; coming into form now that they are healthy; momentum
-offense is in terrific current form with Sam Darnold back at QB; 68 points in their last 2 games
-Jets defense allows just 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

10* Play JETS (+).

11-24-19 Seahawks v. Eagles -1 17-9 Loss -100 13 h 51 m Show

-Seattle comes into this game off their bye; won 3 games prior to the time off; lost momentum
-offense has faced some of the worst defensive teams on the road this season; big jump in class
-Seahawks defense allows 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Philadelphia is off an expected home loss to New England; back-to-back home games; big effort
-offense averages 23.8 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 20.8 points per game

-Eagles allow 18.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 22.2 points per game

9* Play EAGLES (-).

11-23-19 Boise State v. Utah State +9 56-21 Loss -105 19 h 10 m Show

-Boise State has played their last 2 games at home; split out their last 2 road games; overvalued
-offense has regressed the last 2 times after a big win; off a 42-point game; trend continues
-Broncos allow 28.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.8 points per game

-Utah State has won their last 2 games after losing their previous 2 games; momentum; big effort

-offense averages 34.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 28.9 points per game
-Aggies defense allows just 20.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 27.8 ppg

9* Play UTAH STATE (+).

11-23-19 Houston +3 v. Tulsa 24-14 Win 103 16 h 11 m Show

-Houston hits the road off a home loss to Memphis; finally taking a huge step-down in class

-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that only allow 5.6 yards per play
-Cougars defense allows 33.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 35.4 points per game

-Tulsa comes into this game off a bye; big upset win over UCF as 15-point dogs prior; bad spot
-offense is averaging 4.8 yards per play at home vs. defenses that allow 5.3 yards per play
-Golden Hurricane defense allows 6.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 6.3 yppl

10* Play HOUSTON (+).

11-23-19 Syracuse +9 v. Louisville 34-56 Loss -110 13 h 42 m Show

-Syracuse snapped their 4-game losing streak with a win at Duke last week; positive momentum

-offense has scored 76 points in their last 2 games; healthier unit now; expect another big output
-Orange defense allows just 24 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 28.2 ppg

-Louisville has alternated wins and losses over their last 5 games; off a win; expect a poor game
-offense completes 54.2% of their passes at home vs. defenses that give up 58.9% completions
-Cardinals defense allows 6.0 yards per play vs offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

9* Play SYRACUSE (+).

11-21-19 Colts +3.5 v. Texans 17-20 Win 100 5 h 12 m Show

-Indianapolis hits the road off an easy home win; already beat Houston this season; easy prep
-offense is rushing for 172.2 yards per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 116.2 rypg
-Colts defense allows 20.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 20.8 points per game

-Houston returns home off a blowout loss in Baltimore; dealing with a lot of injuries; bad spot
-offense scored just 7 points last week; QB Deshaun Watson is dealing with an ankle sprain
-Texans defense is allowing 6.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

10* Play COLTS (+).

11-21-19 NC State v. Georgia Tech +1 26-28 Win 100 5 h 51 m Show

-NC State hits the road on a short week after getting waxed at home in a good spot; poor favorite
-offense averages 18.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 29.6 points per game
-Wolfpack defense allows 41 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 28.3 ppg

-Georgia Tech comes in off an embarrassing 45-0 home loss to Virginia Tech; big bounce back
-offense is averaging 4.0 yards per rush at home vs. defenses that give up 3.8 yards per rush
-Yellow Jackets defense allows 28 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 28.9 ppg

9* Play GEORGIA TECH (+).

11-18-19 Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 52.5 24-17 Loss -102 6 h 35 m Show

-Kansas City has scored 24 points or more in 9 of their 10 games this season; more of the same
-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play
-Chiefs allow 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-San Diego has scored 50 total points in their last 2 games; in good current form; continues here
-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play

-Chargers defense allows 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.5 yards per play

9* Play OVER the total.

11-17-19 Bears v. Rams -6 7-17 Win 100 16 h 24 m Show

-Chicago was fortunate to face Detroit without QB Matthew Stafford last week; bad road spot
-offense is averaging 18 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 22 points per game
-Bears defense gave up 24 and 36 points to the last 2 passing offenses they faced; bad matchup

-Los Angeles returns home off an ugly road loss in Pittsburgh; expect a big bounce back tonight
-offense is averaging 25.1 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 24.1 points per game
-Rams defense allows just 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

9* Play RAMS (-).

11-17-19 Patriots -4.5 v. Eagles 17-10 Win 101 12 h 29 m Show

-New England comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye; lost their previous game
-offense is averaging 30.0 points per game vs. defenses that allow 24.1 points per game
-Patriots defense allows just 4.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.2 yards per play

-Philadelphia also comes into this game off their bye; won 2 games prior; bad timing for time off
-offense is averaging just 5.4 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play

-Eagles defense allows 23.7 points per game vs. offenses that only average 20.9 points per game

9* Play PATRIOTS (-).

11-17-19 Falcons v. Panthers -4 29-3 Loss -110 9 h 5 m Show

-Atlanta comes in off their big upset win in New Orleans; back-to-back road games; terrible spot
-offense is only averaging 21.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22.1 points per game
-Falcons allow 30.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 24.1 points per game

-Carolina returns home off a road loss in Green Bay; all 5 wins have come by 6 points or more
-offense averages 26.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 23.1 points per game
-Panthers defense allows 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

9* Play PANTHERS (-).

11-17-19 Texans v. Ravens OVER 51 7-41 Loss -109 9 h 5 m Show

-Houston comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye week; must trade points to win here
-offense is averaging 27 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 23.1 points per game 
-Texans defense allows 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-Baltimore has scored 30 points or more in their last 3 games; team is in excellent current form
-offense is averaging 33.3 points per game vs. defenses that give up just 24.3 points per game

-Ravens defense allows 6.5 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

11-16-19 Louisville v. NC State +4 34-20 Loss -105 15 h 34 m Show

-Louisville is 5-4 on the season; 4 of their wins have come by 7 points or less; overvalued
-offense averages just 4.1 yards per rush away from home vs. defenses that allow 4.3 ypr
-Cardinals allow 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-NC State returns home off a blowout loss at Clemson; lost their previous home game; big effort

-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Wolfpack defense allows just 18.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 27.5 ppg

9* Play NC STATE (+).

11-16-19 Oklahoma v. Baylor OVER 68 34-31 Loss -115 14 h 28 m Show

-Oklahoma has scored 34 points or more in all 9 of their games; expect more of the same here
-offense averages 42.0 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.9 points per game 
-Sooners allow 27.2 points per game on the road; they’ve allowed 89 points in their last 2 games

-Baylor comes into this game undefeated; offense has been poor in their last 2 games; big effort
-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 6.0 yards per play

-Bears defense has faced a bad collection of offenses that average 26.9 ppg; big step-up in class 

9* Play OVER the total.

11-16-19 Georgia v. Auburn +3 21-14 Loss -110 11 h 30 m Show

-Georgia has won 3 straight games after losing to South Carolina; toughest opponent in 2 months
-offense is in poor current form; averaging just 22.3 points per game over their last 4 games
-Bulldogs defense has faced 5 straight offenses that have been terrible this season; big class jump

-Auburn comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye; big scheduling edge; big home effort

-offense is averaging 38.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 24.6 points per game
-Tigers allow just 14.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 32.4 points per game

10* Play AUBURN (+).

11-16-19 Wake Forest v. Clemson -34 3-52 Win 100 10 h 30 m Show

-Wake Forest is 7-2 on the season; they’ve played an extremely easy schedule; huge class jump
-offense averages just 28.3 points per game away from home vs. defenses that allow 31.5 ppg
-Demon Deacons allow 6.1 yards per play on the road vs offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Clemson is a perfect 10-0 on the season; they’ve won their last 5 games by an average of 42 ppg

-offense is averaging 7.7 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 6.3 yards per play
-Tigers defense allows just 11.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 26.8 ppg

9* Play CLEMSON (-).

11-14-19 Steelers v. Browns UNDER 41.5 7-21 Win 100 5 h 33 m Show

-Pittsburgh hits the road on a short week after an upset home win over the Rams; bad road spot
-offense is averaging 4.9 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Steelers defense is allowing just 20.1 points per game on a strong 5.3 yards per play this season

-Cleveland comes in off a home win over Buffalo for their 3rd win of the season; regression
-offense is averaging just 18.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 19.4 ppg

-Browns defense allows just 61% pass completions at home vs. offenses that complete 64.3%

10* Play UNDER the total.

11-11-19 Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 47 27-24 Win 100 6 h 6 m Show

-Seattle has scored 27 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games; expect more of the same here
-offense averages 28.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 24.9 points per game 
-Seahawks give up 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-San Francisco has scored 79 points in their last 2 games; 24, 31, and 51 points scored at home
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.9 yards per play

-49ers defense has faced a bad collection of offenses that average 21.1 ppg; big step-up in class 

10* Play OVER the total.

11-10-19 Vikings v. Cowboys OVER 48 28-24 Win 100 19 h 16 m Show

-Minnesota has scored 23 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games; in excellent current form
-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 6.0 yards per play
-Vikings allow 68.2% pass completions vs. offenses that only complete 66% of their passes

-Dallas comes into this game off back-to-back 37-point outbursts; at home; another good game
-offense is averaging 31.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 25.4 points per game
-Cowboys defense allows 5.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.3 yards per play

9* Play OVER the total.

11-10-19 Panthers v. Packers OVER 47.5 16-24 Loss -110 15 h 22 m Show

-Carolina has scored 30 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games; expect more of the same here
-offense is averaging 26.1 points per game vs. defenses that allow 23.2 points per game 
-Panthers allow 26.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 25.0 points per game

-Green Bay comes in off an ugly loss in Los Angeles; scored just 11 points; big bounce back
-offense is averaging 6.6 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play

-Packers defense allows 6.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

11-10-19 Rams -4 v. Steelers 12-17 Loss -109 15 h 22 m Show

-Los Angeles comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye; big scheduling advantage here
-offense averages 28.0 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 24.7 points per game
-Rams defense allows just 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

-Pittsburgh comes into this game off 3 wins over injury-filled team; major step-up in class now
-offense is averaging just 5.2 yards per play vs. defenses that allow a bad 5.9 yards per play

-Steelers defense allows 67.3% pass completions at home vs. offenses that only complete 64.5%

9* Play RAMS (-).

11-10-19 Cardinals +4.5 v. Bucs 27-30 Win 100 12 h 58 m Show

-Arizona comes in off back-to-back losses; they’ve had extra time to prepare; big bounce back
-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play
-Cardinals defense allows 24.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 24.4 ppg

-Tampa Bay returns home off a blown win in overtime in Seattle; terrible hangover spot now
-offense averages 3.8 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 4.4 rushing yards per play
-Buccaneers allow 31.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 24.8 points per game

9* Play CARDINALS (+).

11-09-19 Liberty v. BYU -17 24-31 Loss -105 16 h 3 m Show

-Liberty comes in off a 63-21 road win at Massachusetts; now on the road again; bad spot here
-offense averages 32.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 37.9 points per game
-Flames defense allow 6.1 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-BYU returns home off a road win at Utah State last week; momentum; stepping down in class

-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Cougars defense allows 27.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 30.1 points per game

10* Play BYU (-).

11-09-19 Missouri v. Georgia -16.5 0-27 Win 100 16 h 34 m Show

-Missouri is a team in disarray; they’ve lost 2 straight games; QB injuries; bad road spot here
-offense averages just 5.1 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allow 5.9 yppl
-Tigers allow 29.0 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.9 points per game

-Georgia has won their last 2 games by a combined 45-17 after losing their first game of the year

-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play
-Bulldogs defense allows just 10.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 24.7 ppg

9* Play GEORGIA (-).

11-09-19 Washington State v. California +7.5 20-33 Win 100 16 h 34 m Show

-Washington State is just 1-3 SU over their last 4 games; laying too many points on the road
-offense averages 28.2 points per game on the road vs defenses that give up 29.7 points per game
-Cougars allow 7.0 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-California has lost 4 straight games, but they played a difficult schedule; undervalued at home

-offense a difficult slate of opposing defenses that only give up 23.7 points per game; class relief
-Bears allow just 18.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 29.5 points per game

9* Play CALIFORNIA (+).

11-07-19 Chargers v. Raiders OVER 48 24-26 Win 100 5 h 59 m Show

-Los Angeles has faced a difficult schedule of defenses lately; big step-down in class tonight
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Chargers allow 5.9 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Oakland has scored 24 points or more in their last 5 games; 3 of those games were on the road
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play

-Raiders defense allows 27.0 points per game vs. offenses that average 23.5 points per game

9* Play OVER the total.

11-04-19 Cowboys v. Giants UNDER 49 37-18 Loss -110 4 h 30 m Show

-Dallas comes into this game fresh off a bye; scored 37 points in previous game; bad road spot
-offense is averaging just 21 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 24.9 ppg

-Cowboys defense allows 17.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 18.7 points per game

-New York is one of the worst teams in the NFL; 2-6 SU on the season; don’t expect much here
-offense is averaging just 5.0 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Giants allow 21.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 23.9 points per game

9* Play UNDER the total.

11-03-19 Patriots v. Ravens OVER 44.5 20-37 Win 100 20 h 15 m Show

-New England has scored a total of 128 points over their last 4 games; in excellent current form
-offense is averaging 31.2 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 25.3 points per game
-Patriots defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 15.6 points per game; big class rise 

-Baltimore comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye; home dogs; need to score points
-offense is averaging 30.6 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 25.3 points per game
-Ravens defense allows 6.9 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

9* Play OVER the total.

11-03-19 Lions v. Raiders OVER 51 24-31 Win 100 16 h 1 m Show

-Detroit has scored 30 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games; expect more of the same here
-offense is averaging 25.7 points per game vs. defenses that allow 22.7 points per game 
-Lions defense allows 26.6 points per game vs. offenses that only average 24.0 points per game

-Oakland has scored 24 points or more in their last 4 games; 3 of those games were on the road
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play

-Raiders defense allows 27.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 23.5 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

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