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Steve Merril NBA Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
07-31-20 Rockets v. Mavs OVER 230 153-149 Win 100 2 h 33 m Show

-Houston plans on coming into these games full throttle according to head coach Mike D’Antoni
-offense is one of the best in the league, especially with James Harden slated to play 35 minutes
-Rockets defense comes secondary in their game plans; they simply rely on their offense to win

-Dallas will look to push the pace against Houston in this game; healthy roster can trade points
-offense has an exceptional matchup; Rockets defense allows the most transition points per game
-Mavericks defense won’t be able to slow down the Rockets’ offense at all; up and down game

10* Play OVER the total.

07-31-20 Kings v. Spurs OVER 222.5 120-129 Win 100 1 h 33 m Show

-Sacramento plays a wide open style of fast-paced basketball; expect nothing but offense here
-offense is full of young guys that start and come off the bench; plenty of energy off the break
-Kings defense is atrocious, and they were an unmitigated disaster during the recent scrimmages

-San Antonio is without some of their older players like LaMarcus Aldridge; youth movement
-offense is similar to Sacramento’s in that they’ll be playing young guys; full of energy to run
-Spurs defense was also non-existent in their scrimmage games; ranked bottom 5 of all teams

9* Play OVER the total.

03-10-20 Suns v. Blazers -4.5 105-121 Win 100 10 h 4 m Show

-Phoenix hits the road after just completing a 6-game home stand; bad spot off 2 big wins
-offense is shooting 34.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.7% shooting from 3
-Suns defense allows 47.4% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46%

-Portland will play their 2nd game of their current 6-game home stand; off a loss; big effort here
-offense is shooting 39.2% from 3 at home vs. defenses that only give up 35.6% shooting from 3
-Trail Blazers allowing 44.2% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.1%

10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).

03-08-20 Magic v. Rockets -8 126-106 Loss -107 6 h 1 m Show

-Orlando will be playing their 3rd straight road game; 6th road game over their last 8; bad spot
-offense scored 136 points after shooting 60.7% (51-84) from the field; major regression coming
-Magic defense has given up 112 points or more in each of their last 10 games; bad matchup here

-Houston returns home on a 3-game losing streak; 2 on the road and the Clippers; bounce back
-offense averages 119.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 111.7 points per game
-Rockets defense allows 44.1% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46%

9* Play ROCKETS (-).

03-04-20 Wizards +7.5 v. Blazers 104-125 Loss -100 8 h 29 m Show

-Washington has alternated wins and losses over their last 5 games; off a loss; good effort here
-offense averages 116.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that are allowing 110.7 ppg
-Wizards defense allows 108.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 112 points per game

-Portland returns home off a 3-game East Coast road trip; off a 130-point game; bad spot here
-offense is shooting 45.8% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting from the field
-Trail Blazers defense allowing 115.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.8 ppg

9* Play WIZARDS (+).

03-03-20 Clippers v. Thunder +4.5 109-94 Loss -100 5 h 32 m Show

-Los Angeles hits the road after back-to-back home wins where they scored 268 points; bad spot
-offense is shooting 45.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting
-Clippers defense has been worse on the road this season; allowing 111.7 ppg vs. 110 ppg overall

-Oklahoma City returns home off an ugly 47-point road loss in Milwaukee; big bounce back here
-offense is shooting 48.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 45.9% shooting
-Thunder defense allows 108.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 112 points per game

10* Play THUNDER (+).

03-02-20 Pacers v. Spurs OVER 221 116-111 Win 100 7 h 3 m Show

-Indiana has won 5 of their last 6 games while averaging 112.4 points per game in those wins
-offense is shooting 47.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting
-Pacers defense allows 36.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3

-San Antonio has gone Over the total in 7 of their last 9 games; another high-scoring game here
-offense is shooting 46.9% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.7% shooting from the field
-Spurs defense allows 37.3% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.7% from three

10* Play OVER the total.

02-28-20 Pistons v. Suns OVER 218.5 113-111 Win 100 8 h 40 m Show

-Detroit has gone Over the total in 3 of their last 4 games; expect another high-scoring game
-offense is shooting 36.7% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.7% shooting from three
-Pistons defense has given up 115 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games; in poor current form

-Phoenix comes in off one of their worst offensive games of the season; 92 points; bounce back
-offense is shooting 46.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 45.8% shooting
-Suns defense allows 47.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% from the field

10* Play OVER the total.

02-26-20 Wolves v. Heat -11 129-126 Loss -106 5 h 34 m Show

-Minnesota is a complete mess right now; 16-40 SU on the season; last 3 losses by 10 plus
-offense is shooting 43.7% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.8% shooting from the field
-Timberwolves allow 47.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.1%

-Miami returns home off an ugly, but expected loss in Cleveland; big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 48.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Heat defense allow 106 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 110.8 points per game

10* Play HEAT (-).

02-25-20 Thunder v. Bulls OVER 219.5 124-122 Win 100 5 h 28 m Show

-Oklahoma City has gone Over the total in 4 of their last 5 games; another high-scoring game
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting from the field
-Thunder defense has given up 112 points or more in 3 of their last 5 games; in poor current form

-Chicago has gone Over the total in 9 of their last 11 games; expect more of the same tonight
-offense has scored 111 points or more in 4 of their last 6 games; good matchup; continues here
-Bulls defense allows 47.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% from the field

10* Play OVER the total.

02-24-20 Heat v. Cavs +6.5 119-125 Win 100 5 h 25 m Show

-Miami hits the road after just beating Cleveland at home by 19 points; 7 of last 8 on the road
-offense averages 108 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 111.6 points per game
-Heat defense has been worse on the road this season; allowing 111 ppg vs. 108.7 ppg overall

-Cleveland is a different team now after head coach John Beilein resigned; big home effort here
-offense is shooting 36.5% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.6% shooting from 3
-Cavaliers defense hasn’t been good, but with Miami off two 124-point games, expect regression

9* Play CAVALIERS (+).

02-23-20 Pistons v. Blazers -5.5 104-107 Loss -109 9 h 13 m Show

-Detroit is in full tank mode; traded away their best player, have injuries, and released others
-offense averages 106.1 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 111.3 ppg
-Pistons defense allows 47.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.7%

-Portland comes in off a bad home loss to New Orleans; fighting for the playoffs; big effort here
-offense is shooting 39.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Trail Blazers allow 44.2% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46%

10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).

02-21-20 Grizzlies +11 v. Lakers 105-117 Loss -109 9 h 52 m Show

-Memphis played last night in Sacramento; back in rhythm from the All-Star break; edge tonight
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting from the field
-Grizzlies defense allows 45.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that are shooting 45.9%

-Los Angeles went into the All-Star break playing some of their best basketball; bad timing; rusty
-offense had scored 370 total points in their last 3 games prior to the break; regression tonight
-Lakers defense has terrific seasonal numbers, but they are playing a young and fast team here

10* Play GRIZZLIES (+).

02-13-20 Thunder +3 v. Pelicans 123-118 Win 100 8 h 32 m Show

-Oklahoma City hits the road off back-to-back home losses; expect a big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 47.1% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting from the field
-Thunder defense allows 105.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.8 ppg

-New Orleans comes in on a 3-game winning streak; taking a big step-up in class now; bad spot
-offense has scored 124 points or more in their last 3 games; expect major regression tonight
-Pelicans defense allows 117.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.8 points per game

9* Play THUNDER (+).

02-11-20 Spurs v. Thunder -8.5 114-106 Loss -105 5 h 41 m Show

-San Antonio comes in off a blown double-digit lead last night in Denver; awful scheduling spot
-offense has scored 105 points or less in 3 of their last 5 road games; in poor current form
-Spurs defense allows 48.2% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46%

-Oklahoma City will conclude their 4-game home stand tonight; lost their last game; big effort
-offense is shooting 48.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 45.8% shooting
-Thunder defense allows 107.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.8 points per game

10* Play THUNDER (-).

02-11-20 Clippers v. 76ers +1.5 103-110 Win 100 4 h 41 m Show

-Los Angeles will play their 3rd straight road game; 3rd game in 4 nights; bad scheduling spot
-offense is shooting 35.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.8% shooting from 3
-Clippers held Cleveland to just 92 points in their last game; allowed 117.6 ppg in prior 5 games

-Philadelphia will be playing their 3rd consecutive home game; 24-2 SU at home; big effort here
-offense is shooting 48.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 45.7% shooting
-76ers allow just 101.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 110.8 points per game

9* Play 76ERS (+).

02-10-20 Hawks v. Magic -8.5 126-135 Win 100 6 h 25 m Show

-Atlanta hits the road off a 140-135 double overtime home win last night; bad scheduling spot
-offense is shooting 43.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 45.5% shooting
-Hawks allowing 48.3% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% 

-Orlando is on a 3-game losing streak, but 2 of those losses came vs. Milwaukee and at Boston
-offense has faced a slew of strong defensive teams in recent game; huge step down in class here
-Magic allow just 101.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.6 points per game

10* Play MAGIC (-).

02-09-20 Grizzlies v. Wizards OVER 239.5 106-99 Loss -105 6 h 2 m Show

-Memphis has gone Over the total in 4 of their last 5 games; expect another high-scoring game
-offense is shooting 47.4% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting from the field
-Grizzlies allow 115.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111 points per game 

-Washington has gone Over the total in 7 of their last 8 games; expect more of the same tonight
-offense is shooting 38% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up just 35.6% shooting from 3
-Wizards defense allows 120.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 109.9 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

02-09-20 Celtics +1 v. Thunder 112-111 Win 100 4 h 33 m Show

-Boston is on a 6-game winning streak; 9-1 SU over their last 10 games; in excellent form
-offense is averaging 112.7 points per game vs. defenses that allow 111.1 points per game
-Celtics defense allows 43.3% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.6%

-Oklahoma City is on a 4-game winning streak themselves; they’ve play bad teams; class jump
-offense is only averaging 110.5 points per game vs. defenses that allow 111.8 points per game
-Thunder defense allows 46.1% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.8%

9* Play CELTICS (+).

02-07-20 Rockets v. Suns +2.5 91-127 Win 100 6 h 43 m Show

-Houston comes in off a 121-111 spotlight win in Los Angeles last night; terrible spot here
-offense is shooting 45.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.8% shooting from the field
-Rockets allowing 47.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%

-Phoenix returns home off a 3-game road losing streak; lost their previous home game; big effort
-offense shoots 46.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that are allowing 45.8% shooting
-Suns have given up 112 points or less in 4 of their last 5 home games; defense better at home 

10* Play SUNS (+).

02-05-20 Nuggets v. Jazz -9 98-95 Loss -109 6 h 40 m Show

-Denver hits the road off a 127-99 home win last night; 3rd road game over their last 4 games
-offense is only averaging 110.1 points per game vs. defenses that allow 112.1 points per game
-Nuggets allowing 46.4% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.7% 

-Utah returns home off 3 straight road losses; also lost their previous home game; bounce back
-offense shoots 48.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 45.7% shooting
-Jazz defense allows just 104.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 111 points per game

10* Play JAZZ (-).

02-03-20 Pistons v. Grizzlies -10 82-96 Win 100 6 h 59 m Show

-Detroit hits the road off an overtime home win yesterday; came back from 14-point deficit
-offense is only averaging 107.1 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 111.3 ppg
-Pistons allowing 47.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.6% from the field

-Memphis comes in off an ugly 28-point loss in New Orleans; 2 days off since; big bounce back
-offense shoots 47.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Grizzlies defense has given up 110 points or less in 5 of their last 6 home games; in good form

10* Play GRIZZLIES (-).

01-30-20 Kings +13.5 v. Clippers 124-103 Win 100 7 h 24 m Show

-Sacramento comes in off an ugly 20-point home loss to Oklahoma City; big bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 35.9% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Kings defense allows 110.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.1 points per game

-Los Angeles hasn’t played a game in 3 days; emotional time for the city; take time to get back
-offense is shooting just 35.9% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from three
-Clippers defense has given up 107 points or more in 3 of their last 5 games; in poor current form

10* Play KINGS (+).

01-29-20 Pistons v. Nets -6.5 115-125 Win 100 5 h 21 m Show

-Detroit is on a 3-game losing streak; 1-4 over their last 5 games; last 4 games at home; bad spot
-offense is averaging 106.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 111.4 ppg
-Pistons defense allows 47.6% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.6%

-Brooklyn returns home off a loss in New York; also lost their previous home game; bounce back
-offense is shooting 35.6% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3
-Nets allow 43.6% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.6% from the field

9* Play NETS (-).

01-29-20 Bulls v. Pacers -9.5 106-115 Loss -102 5 h 41 m Show

-Chicago has won their last 2 games; an upset road win and a home win; bad spot on the road
-offense is shooting 43.8% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.7% shooting from the field
-Bulls defense allows 47.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.8%

-Indiana returns home off an expected road loss in Portland; 2 days off since; big bounce back
-offense is shooting 47.6% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting from the field
-Pacers defense allowing 32.1% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from 3

10* Play PACERS (-).

01-28-20 Celtics +1 v. Heat 109-101 Win 100 7 h 34 m Show

-Boston comes in off an ugly 15-point loss in New Orleans; last night off; bounce back effort
-offense is averaging 112.3 points per game vs. defenses that allow 110.7 points per game
-Celtics defense allows 43.3% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.6%

-Miami comes in off an expect home blowout win last night; big class jump; expect regression
-offense has scored 113 points or more in their last 4 games; facing a stout defense; bad matchup
-Heat defense gave up just 92 points last night; gave up 364 points in their previous 3 games

10* Play CELTICS (+).

01-27-20 Magic v. Heat -6 92-113 Win 100 6 h 51 m Show

-Orlando is on a 3-game losing streak; 1-5 SU over their last 6 games; on a back-to-back set
-offense is shooting 42.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 45.7% shooting
-Magic defense has given up 109 points or more in their last 5 losses; in terrible current form

-Miami comes in off a home loss to the Clippers; 2 days off since; expect a big bounce back here
-offense is shooting 48.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting
-Heat defense allowing 43.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.7%

10* Play HEAT (-).

01-26-20 Pacers v. Blazers -2.5 129-139 Win 100 8 h 26 m Show

-Indiana will play their 5th and final game of a West Coast trip; 2 days off coming up; bad spot
-offense is averaging 108.4 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 110.4 ppg
-Pacers defense allows 35.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.2% from 3

-Portland is in the middle of a 4-game home stand; lost their last game; big bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 37.6% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.3% shooting from 3
-Trail Blazers allowing 43.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.6%

10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).

01-24-20 Suns +4 v. Spurs 103-99 Win 100 9 h 3 m Show

-Phoenix hits the road off back-to-back home losses; last night off; big bounce back effort
-offense is averaging 113 points per game vs. defenses that allow 111.2 points per game
-Suns defense has given up just 98 points or less in 3 of their last 7 games; in good current form

-San Antonio returns home off back-to-back road upset wins as underdogs; bad spot as a favorite
-offense scored 120 and 121 points in their last 2 games; 8 points above their season average
-Spurs defense allows 36.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from three

9* Play SUNS (+).

01-24-20 Celtics +2 v. Magic 109-98 Win 100 8 h 32 m Show

-Boston has won 2 straight games after going 2-6 over their previous 8 games; in good form
-offense is shooting 46.1% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting from the field
-Celtics allow 104 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 109.9 points per game

-Orlando is just 1-3 SU over their last 4 games; offense and defense has been bad in those games
-offense is shooting 43.4% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.7% shooting from the field
-Magic defense has given up 112 points or more in 4 of their last 6 games; in poor current form

10* Play CELTICS (+).

01-22-20 Wolves -1 v. Bulls 110-117 Loss -101 6 h 38 m Show

-Minnesota is on a 6-game losing streak; played a brutal schedule over that time; big class relief
-offense is averaging 114.2 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 111.2 ppg
-Timberwolves defense allows 46.2% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.0%

-Chicago has alternated home and road games over their last 5 games; too much back and forth
-offense is shooting 43.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 45.6% shooting
-Bulls defense allows 46.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.7% from the field

9* Play TIMBERWOLVES (-).

01-22-20 Clippers v. Hawks +3.5 95-102 Win 100 5 h 9 m Show

-Los Angeles won in a spotlight game last night in Dallas; now on a back-to-back set; bad spot
-offense is shooting 45.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 45.7% shooting
-Clippers allow 111.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that also average 111.8 ppg

-Atlanta will play their 3rd straight home game; last night off; big scheduling advantage tonight
-offense has scored 115 points or more in 6 of their last 9 games; expect another solid output here
-Hawks defense allows 33.6% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

9* Play HAWKS (+).

01-20-20 Kings v. Heat -6.5 113-118 Loss -109 6 h 38 m Show

-Sacramento is on a 4-game losing streak; team is in terrible current form; tough road spot
-offense is averaging 106.2 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 110.8 ppg
-Kings defense allows 48.4% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.6%

-Miami returns home off a road loss in San Antonio yesterday; big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 48.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 45.8% shooting
-Heat defense allows 43.4% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.6%

10* Play HEAT (-).

01-20-20 Raptors v. Hawks +8.5 122-117 Win 100 3 h 8 m Show

-Toronto is on a 3-game winning streak; they scored 122 points or more in all 3 wins; regress
-offense is shooting 44.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 45.7% shooting
-Raptors defense has given up 110 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games; in poor current form

-Atlanta comes in off an ugly 33-point home loss to Detroit; last night off; big bounce back effort
-offense has scored 115 points or more in 5 of their last 8 games; expect another solid output here
-Hawks defense allows 33.8% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

9* Play HAWKS (+).

01-18-20 Raptors v. Wolves OVER 223 122-112 Win 100 10 h 2 m Show

-Toronto won 140-111 last night; starters did not log many minutes; still fresh for tonight
-offense is shooting 37.5% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from three
-Raptors defense has given up 447 total points over their last 4 games; in poor current form

-Minnesota got Karl-Anthony Towns back last night; he improves the offensive significantly
-offense scored 114 points last night with Towns back in the rotation; production continues here
-Timberwolves allowing 114.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.3 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

01-16-20 Celtics +10 v. Bucks 123-128 Win 100 5 h 32 m Show

-Boston hits the road off an ugly 13-point home loss last night; big bounce back effort here
-offense has scored 356 total points in their last 3 games; expect another solid output tonight
-Celtics defense allows 43% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.4%

-Milwaukee is on a 4-game winning streak; all 4 wins came against inferior teams; class jump
-offense is shooting 35.4% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from three
-Bucks defense allows 36.5% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.2% from three

10* Play CELTICS (+).

01-15-20 Pacers v. Wolves OVER 218.5 104-99 Loss -108 4 h 22 m Show

-Indiana is 3-1 SU over their last 4 games; scored 111 points ore more in 5 of their last 7 games
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 45.7% shooting
-Pacers allowing 36.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.2% from 3

-Minnesota has lost 2 straight games with their last at home; last night off; big effort coming here
-offense is averaging 111.8 points per game over their last 5 games; production continues tonight
-Timberwolves allowing 114.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.2 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

01-13-20 Thunder v. Wolves +3.5 117-104 Loss -110 5 h 6 m Show

-Oklahoma City hits the road off a home loss; 7th road game over their last 10 games; bad spot
-offense is averaging 104.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 110.8 ppg
-Thunder defense has given up 120 points or more in 2 of their last 4 games; bad matchup here

-Minnesota returns home off an ugly 30-point road loss; had a day off; big bounce back effort
-offense has scored 109 points or more in 4 straight games; 112 points or more in 3 games
-Timberwolves allow 44.5% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.8%

10* Play TIMBERWOLVES (+).

01-10-20 Magic v. Suns OVER 218 94-98 Loss -101 8 h 50 m Show

-Orlando is 4-1 SU over their last 5 games; last night off; in good current form; another big effort
-offense has scored 101 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games; 122 and 123 in 2 games
-Magic allowing 46.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.8%

-Phoenix has lost 2 straight games at home; 2 days off to fix their problems; better effort here
-offense shoots 47% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 45.6% shooting from the field
-Suns defense allows 115.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.6 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

01-07-20 Thunder v. Nets +1.5 111-103 Loss -109 5 h 57 m Show

-Oklahoma City will conclude their 4-game road trip tonight; back-to-back set; bad spot
-offense is averaging 108.7 points per game vs. defenses that allow 111 points per game
-Thunder allow 45.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.6% from the field

-Brooklyn returns home off a road loss; lost their previous home game; big bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 35.6% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.3% shooting from 3
-Nets allow 42.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.1% from the field

10* Play NETS (+).

01-06-20 Bucks v. Spurs OVER 228 104-126 Win 100 6 h 39 m Show

-Milwaukee has won 5 straight games since losing just their 5th game of the season; good form
-offense is shooting 48.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.6% shooting from the field
-Bucks allowing 37.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.2% from 3

-San Antonio returns home off a road loss; lost their previous home game too; better effort here
-offense is shooting 47% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.7% shooting from the field
-Spurs defense allows 115.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.5 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

01-05-20 Knicks v. Clippers -8 132-135 Loss -110 5 h 40 m Show

-New York’s 3-game winning streak got snapped in a 120-112 loss in Phoenix; another loss here
-offense averages 102.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 110 points per game
-Knicks allowing 39% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that only shoot 35.4% from 3

-Los Angeles comes in off a 26-point loss last night; 7-0 off their last 7 losses; big bounce back
-offense averages 116.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111.3 points per game
-Clippers allow just 43.2% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%

9* Play CLIPPERS (-).

01-03-20 Heat v. Magic +2 85-105 Win 100 3 h 31 m Show

Miami won as expected last night; now on a back-to-back set and laying points on the road
-offense is shooting 45.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 45.8% shooting
-Heat defense allows 110.4 points per game on the road vs offenses that also average 110.4 ppg

-Orlando returns home off a road win; lost their previous home game; expect a big effort tonight
-offense scored 122 points in their last game; expect another strong output with small-ball lineup
-Magic allowing 101.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 110.9 points per game

9* Play MAGIC (+).

01-03-20 Blazers v. Wizards OVER 235 122-103 Loss -103 2 h 13 m Show

-Portland is off one of their worst offensive games of the season; 93 points; big bounce back
-offense is shooting 36.4% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.3% shooting from three
-Trail Blazers allowing 114.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 109.8 ppg 

-Washington also comes in off a poor offensive game; they scored 101 points; better effort here
-offense is shooting 38.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.3% shooting from 3
-Wizards defense allows 120.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 109.4 ppg

10* Play OVER the total.

01-02-20 Raptors v. Heat -5.5 76-84 Win 100 17 h 4 m Show

-Toronto hits the road off a blowout home win over Cleveland; big step-up in class; bad spot
-offense averages 106.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 109.2 ppg
-Raptors defense has given up just 97, 97, and 98 points in their last 3 games; regression here 

-Miami returns home off a blowout loss in Washington; 5-0 off their last 5 losses; bounce back
-offense averages 117.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111.2 points per game
-Heat allowing 44% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.5% from the field

10* Play HEAT (-).

12-31-19 Clippers -7 v. Kings 105-87 Win 100 3 h 47 m Show

-Los Angeles comes in off a home loss to Utah; 6-0 off their last 6 losses; big bounce back
-offense averages 115.3 points per game vs. defenses that allow 111.4 points per game
-Clippers allowing 43.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% from the field

-Sacramento is on a 7-game losing streak; injuries and an unset rotation have them in bad form
-offense averages 104.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 110.5 points per game
-Kings allowing 46.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.4% from the field

9* Play CLIPPERS (-).

12-30-19 Suns v. Blazers -4.5 122-116 Loss -105 8 h 10 m Show

-Phoenix is in the middle of a 4-game road trip; won as underdogs in Sacramento; regression
-offense is shooting just 33% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.3% shooting from 3
-Suns defense allows 47.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.4% from the field

-Portland will play their 6th home game over their last 7 games; lost 3 straight at home; big effort
-offense averages 114.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 109.8 points per game
-Trail Blazers allowing 43.2% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.4%

9* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).

12-28-19 Lakers v. Blazers +4.5 128-120 Loss -104 9 h 12 m Show

-Los Angeles Lakers are on a 4-game losing streak; injuries and regression in play; in bad form
-offense has scored 106 points or less in 5 straight games and in 6 of their last 7 games overall
-Lakers defense has given up 350 total points in their last 3 games; another bad matchup here

-Portland returns home off a road loss in Utah; also lost their previous home game; bounce back
-offense averages 114.3 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 109.9 points per game
-Trail Blazers allowing 42.6% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%

9* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (+).

12-27-19 Thunder -3 v. Hornets 104-102 Loss -105 8 h 44 m Show

-Oklahoma City hits the road off an expected home loss last night; focused spot; big effort
-offense is shooting 46.9% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.3% shooting from the field
-Thunder defense allows 105.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 110.9 ppg

-Charlotte is just 1-4 SU over their last 5 games; in terrible current form; another loss coming
-offense is shooting 43.6% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.5% shooting from the field
-Hornets defense allows 47.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot just 45.3%

9* Play THUNDER (-).

12-26-19 Grizzlies +6 v. Thunder 110-97 Win 100 4 h 23 m Show

-Memphis hits the road off an ugly 30-point home loss to San Antonio; focused spot; big effort
-offense is averaging 110.9 points per game vs. defenses that allow 110 points per game
-Grizzlies defense gave up a whopping 145 points in their last game; embarrassing; bounce back

-Oklahoma City is on a 4-game home winning streak; last win over the Clippers; natural letdown
-offense is averaging 109.2 points per game vs. defenses that allow 110.9 points per game
-Thunder defense allows 46% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot just 45.5%

9* Play GRIZZLIES (+).

12-25-19 Clippers +2 v. Lakers 111-106 Win 100 18 h 23 m Show

-Los Angeles comes in off a road loss in Oklahoma City; 5-0 off their last 4 losses; bounce back
-offense averages 115.7 points per game vs. defenses that allow 112.1 points per game
-Clippers allowing 43.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.8% from the field

-Los Angeles Lakers are on a 3-game losing streak; injuries and regression in play; in bad form
-offense has scored 104 points or less in 4 straight games and in 5 of their last 6 games overall
-Lakers defense has given up 239 total points in their last 2 games; another bad matchup here

10* Play CLIPPERS (+).

12-23-19 Rockets v. Kings +6 113-104 Loss -103 8 h 53 m Show

-Houston is off back-to-back big wins where they scored 261 total points; expect regression here
-offense is shooting 45.5% from the field vs. defenses that also allow 45.5% shooting
-Rockets defense allows 47.8% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.6% 

-Sacramento returns home off a 4-game road trip; lost their previous home game; big home effort
-offense is shooting 35.5% from three vs. defenses that give up 35.2% shooting from three
-Kings allowing 105.6 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 110.2 points per game

9* Play KINGS (+).

12-23-19 Bulls +5 v. Magic 95-103 Loss -105 5 h 53 m Show

-Chicago is 3-1 over their last 4 games; 5 of their last 6 losses have come by 5 points or less
-offense is shooting 36.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.9% shooting from 3
-Bulls defense allows 33.2% shooting from three vs offenses that shoot 35.7% from three

-Orlando returns home off a 4-game road trip; 6 of their last 8 games were on the road; bad spot
-offense shoots 43.1% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.4% shooting from the field
-Magic defense allowing 37.3% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.8% from 3

10* Play BULLS (+).

12-21-19 Clippers -5.5 v. Spurs 134-109 Win 100 7 h 40 m Show

-Los Angeles hits the road after a home loss to Houston; 4-0 off their last 4 losses; bounce back
-offense averages 115.2 points per game vs. defenses that allow 112.1 points per game
-Clippers allowing 42.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.7% from the field

-San Antonio was in a great spot for their last game which resulted in a win; big step-up in class
-offense is shooting 35.1% from three vs. defenses that allow 36.2% shooting from three
-Spurs defense allows 115 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.3 points per game

9* Play CLIPPERS (-).

12-20-19 Suns +4.5 v. Thunder 108-126 Loss -109 4 h 17 m Show

-Phoenix has lost 4 straight games; 2 days off to prepare; stepping down in class; bounce back
-offense is averaging 114.7 points per game vs. defenses that allow 111.1 points per game
-Suns defense allows 35.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

-Oklahoma City comes in off back-to-back big comeback wins; took a lot out of them; bad spot
-offense is averaging 108.3 points per game vs. defenses that allow 111 points per game
-Thunder defense allows 46.2% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.4%

10* Play SUNS (+).

12-19-19 Nets v. Spurs -3 105-118 Win 100 6 h 52 m Show

-Brooklyn comes in off a home underdog win and then a road win; another road game; bad spot
-offense is shooting 32.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.2% shooting from 3
-Nets defense allows 113.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 108.9 ppg

-San Antonio returns home off a loss in Houston; lost their previous home game; bounce back
-offense averages 112.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111.8 points per game
-Spurs defense allows 45.3% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.4%

10* Play SPURS (-).

12-18-19 Celtics -2.5 v. Mavs 109-103 Win 100 10 h 34 m Show

-Boston hits the road on a 2-game losing streak; 5 days off since; expect a big bounce back
-offense averages 110.8 points per game vs. defenses that allow 109.6 points per game
-Celtics defense allows 42.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%

-Dallas comes in off a big road upset win at Milwaukee; natural letdown spot here at home
-offense scored 120 points and made 16 three’s in their first game without Luka Doncic; regress
-Mavericks defense has given up 238 total points in their last 2 games; in poor current form

9* Play CELTICS (-).

12-17-19 Suns v. Clippers -12.5 99-120 Win 100 9 h 52 m Show

-Phoenix comes in off a home loss last night; 3 straight close losses; now on the road; bad spot
-offense is shooting 44.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 45.7% shooting
-Suns defense allows 47.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.4% 

-Los Angeles returns home off a road loss in Chicago; 2 days off since; expect a big bounce back
-offense averages 116.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 112.1 points per game
-Clippers defense allows 41.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.7% 

10* Play CLIPPERS (-).

12-16-19 Mavs +11 v. Bucks 120-116 Win 100 7 h 3 m Show

-Dallas comes in off an overtime home loss to Miami; 4-1 SU after their last 5 losses; big effort
-offense will miss Luka Doncic; expect a collective team effort in their first game without him
-Mavericks allow 33.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3

-Milwaukee is an incredible 24-3 SU on the season; will overlook Dallas with Doncic being out
-offense has scored 127, 127, and 125 points in their last 3 games; expect major regression here
-Bucks defense allows 36.9% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from three

10* Play MAVERICKS (+).

12-14-19 Pistons +6 v. Rockets 115-107 Win 100 8 h 54 m Show

-Detroit comes in off a loss to Dallas in Mexico; 4-1 SU after their last 5 losses; big effort
-offense is shooting 39% from three vs. defenses that only allow 35.7% shooting from three
-Pistons defense allows 108.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 110 points per game

-Houston played last night in Orlando; 3rd game in 4 nights with last 2 on the road; bad spot
-offense is shooting just 33.6% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Rockets defense allows 114.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 111 points per game

10* Play PISTONS (+).

12-13-19 Lakers v. Heat OVER 212 113-110 Win 100 4 h 15 m Show

-Los Angeles is off one of their worst offensive games of the season; 96 points; bounce back
-offense is shooting 48.9% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 45.6% shooting
-Lakers allow 37% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that only shoot 35.6% from 3

-Miami is playing their 4th and final game of a current home stand; in excellent current form
-offense is shooting 50.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Heat defense has given up 110 points points or more in 3 of their last 5 games; bad matchup

10* Play OVER the total.

12-11-19 Jazz v. Wolves +1.5 127-116 Loss -106 7 h 36 m Show

-Utah hits the road for a one off road game in the middle of a 5-game home stand; bad spot here
-offense is shooting just 43.4% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 45% shooting
-Jazz defense has given up 114 points per game over their last 5 games; in bad current form

-Minnesota returns home off a 4-game road trip; lost their previous home game; big home effort
-offense is averaging 114.6 points per game vs. defenses that give up 111.6 points per game
-Timberwolves allowing 44.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.1%

10* Play TIMBERWOLVES (+).

12-11-19 Clippers v. Raptors +2.5 112-92 Loss -105 6 h 47 m Show

-Los Angeles is playing their 4th game of a current trip; 7 of last 9 games on the road; bad spot
-offense is shooting just 35.5% from three vs. defenses that allow 36.0% shooting from three
-Clippers defense allows 38.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs offenses that shoot 35.8% from 3

-Toronto returns home off a road win; lost their previous home game; expect a big effort tonight
-offense is shooting 47.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 45.2% shooting
-Raptors defense allowing 105.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 109.7 points per game

9* Play RAPTORS (+).

12-09-19 Clippers v. Pacers -1 110-99 Loss -114 6 h 32 m Show

-Los Angeles comes in off a big win in Washington last night; 3rd game in 4 nights; bad spot
-offense is shooting just 35.7% from three vs. defenses that allow 36.2% shooting from three
-Clippers defense allows 39% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.9% from 3

-Indiana is 8-2 over their last 10 games; 2 losses by a combined 10 points; in good current form
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting from the field
-Pacers allowing 103.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 108.9 points per game

9* Play PACERS (-).

12-06-19 Wizards v. Heat -9.5 103-112 Loss -102 7 h 9 m Show

-Washington comes in off a home upset won over the 76ers; 1-4 after a SU win this season
-offense is shooting 35.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.6% shooting from 3
-Wizards defense allows 122.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.4 points per game

-Miami returns home off a 19-point road loss in Boston; perfect 5-0 SU after a loss this season
-offense is shooting 51.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 45.7% shooting
-Heat allowing 100.6 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111 points per game

10* Play HEAT (-).

12-04-19 Bucks v. Pistons +8.5 127-103 Loss -100 5 h 34 m Show

-Milwaukee comes in off back-to-back games where they scored 137 and 132 points; regression
-offense is shooting 34.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.1% shooting from 3
-Bucks allow 38.4% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that are shooting 35.3% from 3

-Detroit is off an easy road win last night; 3-2 over their last 5 games; losses by 4 points total
-offense is shooting 42.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.8% shooting from 3
-Pistons allow 105.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 109.2 points per game

10* Play PISTONS (+).

12-03-19 Rockets v. Spurs +6.5 133-135 Win 100 6 h 10 m Show

-Houston comes in off a 158-point performance; scored 159 points earlier and lost next game
-offense is shooting 34.3% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.3% shooting from three
-Rockets allow 47.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that are shooting 45.7%

-San Antonio returns home off an ugly 34-point road loss; had last night off; big bounce back
-offense is shooting 46.6% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.4% shooting from the field
-Spurs defense has been better at home; allow 1.1% shooting from the field less than overall

10* Play SPURS (+).

11-27-19 Kings v. 76ers -9.5 91-97 Loss -105 4 h 19 m Show

-Sacramento finishes their 4-game East Coast road trip tonight; 8 of last 11 on the road; bad spot
-offense is averaging 104.3 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 109.5 ppg
-Kings allow 48.6% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that are shooting 45.4%

-Philadelphia returns home off a road loss in Toronto; had last night off; big bounce back effort
-offense shoots 48% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 45.4% shooting from the field
-76ers allow just 97.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 108.3 points per game

10* Play 76ERS (-).

11-25-19 Blazers v. Bulls OVER 226 117-94 Loss -109 5 h 39 m Show

-Portland plays in high-scoring games; 15 of their 17 games have had 208 points or more scored
-offense is averaging 112.5 points per game vs. defenses that allow 111.5 points per game
-Trail Blazers allow 116.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.5 points per game

-Chicago has scored 108 points or more in their last 3 games; expect more of the same tonight
-offense is in good current form; averaging 111.4 points per game over their last 7 games
-Bulls defense has given up 115 points points or more in 5 of their last 6 games; bad matchup

9* Play OVER the total.

11-24-19 Pelicans +13 v. Clippers 109-134 Loss -105 6 h 20 m Show

-New Orleans comes in off a road loss in Utah; won previous 3 games; bounce back effort
-offense is averaging 116.4 points per game vs. defenses that allow 110.3 points per game
-Pelicans defense has given up 109 points or less in 3 of their last 5 games; in good current form

-Los Angeles has played 9 of their last 11 games at home; 8-1 in those games; letdown spot
-offense is shooting 32.6% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.3% shooting from 3
-Clippers defense is allowing 35.2% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that are shooting 35.7% from 3

9* Play PELICANS (+).

11-22-19 Rockets +5 v. Clippers 119-122 Win 100 10 h 45 m Show

-Houston comes in off a road loss in Denver; won previous 8 games; bounce back effort
-offense is averaging 117.9 points per game vs. defenses that allow 112.6 points per game
-Rockets defense allows 34.7% shooting from 3 vs. defenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

-Los Angeles has played 8 of their last 10 games at home; 7-1 in those games, off an OT win
-offense is shooting 31.9% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 34.9% shooting from 3
-Clippers defense is allowing 35.2% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that are shooting 35.6% from 3

9* Play ROCKETS (+).

11-22-19 Celtics v. Nuggets OVER 206.5 92-96 Loss -104 8 h 16 m Show

-Boston concludes their West Coast road trip tonight; 1-2 last 3 games; big effort coming here
-offense is averaging 112 points per game vs. defenses that allow 111.2 points per game
-Celtics defense has given up 100 points or more in 11 of their 14 games so far this season

-Denver has scored 236 total points over their last 2 games; expect more of the same tonight
-offense is shooting 35.9% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from three
-Nuggets defense has given up an average of 106.8 points per game over their last 4 games

10* Play OVER the total.

11-22-19 Warriors +15.5 v. Jazz 109-113 Win 100 8 h 15 m Show

-Golden State comes in off an embarrassing 48-point road loss at Dallas; last night off; big effort
-offense struggled mightily in Dallas; scored 100 points or more in 8 of their previous 9 games
-Warriors defense has faced a strong group of opposing offenses; facing an inefficient offense

-Utah is just 1-2 over their last 3 games; won 1 game by more than tonight’s spread; bad favorite
-offense is averaging 104.4 points per game vs. defenses that allow 111 points per game
-Jazz defense has given up 100 points or more in 8 of their last 9 games; in poor overall form

9* Play WARRIORS (+).

11-20-19 Celtics +7 v. Clippers 104-107 Win 100 8 h 46 m Show

-Boston is 11-2 SU on the season yet they are getting a handful of points tonight; undervalued
-offense is averaging 112.6 points per game vs. defenses that give up 111.1 points per game
-Celtics allow 40.8% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.1%

-Los Angeles has played 7 of their last 9 games at home; 6-1 in those games, so overconfidence
-offense is shooting 31.0% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 34.7% shooting from 3
-Clippers defense is allowing 36% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that are shooting 35.4% from 3

9* Play CELTICS (+).

11-20-19 Spurs -2 v. Wizards 132-138 Loss -109 5 h 41 m Show

-San Antonio comes in on a 6-game losing streak against a tough schedule; class relief tonight
-offense is shooting 46.5% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.1% shooting from the field
-Spurs defense has played better on the road; they allow 1.6 points per game less than overall

-Washington is just 1-4 SU over their last 5 games; played many bad defensive teams; class jump
-offense has scored 391 total points over their last 3 games; expect major regression in this game
-Wizards allow 125.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 110.8 points per game

10* Play SPURS (-).

11-19-19 Thunder +11 v. Lakers 107-112 Win 100 8 h 60 m Show

-Oklahoma City comes in off a loss to the Clippers last night; no travel since playing in LA
-offense is shooting 45.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.1% shooting from the field
-Thunder defense allows 28.6% shooting from 3 on the road vs offenses that shoot 34.2% from 3

-Los Angeles has won 11 of their last 12 games; played a lot of bad defensive teams; class jump
-offense is shooting 33.3% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.9% shooting from three
-Lakers defense has faced limited offenses lately; Warriors, Heat, Spurs, and Grizzlies; tough test

10* Play THUNDER (+).

11-18-19 Celtics +3.5 v. Suns 99-85 Win 100 7 h 51 m Show

-Boston comes in off a road loss in Sacramento; just their 2nd loss of the season; bounce back
-offense is averaging 113.7 points per game vs. defenses that give up 111.2 points per game
-Celtics allow 40.8%% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 44.8%

-Phoenix has 3 full days of rest prior to this game; 5-2 previous 7 games; time off is a negative
-offense has faced a bad group of opposing defenses so far this season; big jump in class here
-Suns defense is allowing 46.6% from the field at home vs. offenses that are shooting 45.7%

 

10* Play CELTICS (+).

 

11-16-19 Bucks v. Pacers +7.5 102-83 Loss -100 3 h 30 m Show

-Milwaukee is back on the road off a pit stop home game; 7 of last 9 away; bad road spot here
-offense is shooting just 33.8% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.5% shooting from three
-Bucks defense is allowing 37.3% from 3 vs. offenses that are only shooting 34.5% from 3

-Indiana returns home off a road loss in Houston last night; expect a bounce back home effort
-offense is shooting 47.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.8% shooting from the field
-Pacers allow 41.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.0% from the field

9* Play PACERS (+).

11-13-19 Raptors v. Blazers -2.5 114-106 Loss -100 7 h 21 m Show

-Toronto is in the midst of a 5-game road trip thru multiple time zones; bad road spot here
-offense is shooting 44.4% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 44.9% shooting
-Raptors defense has been poor on the road; allowed 104 points or more in 4 of their 6 games 

-Portland returns home off a road loss in Sacramento last night; expect a bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 38.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that only give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-Trail Blazers allow 43.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.2% from the field

10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).

11-12-19 Pistons +8.5 v. Heat 108-117 Loss -101 4 h 5 m Show

-Detroit hits the road off back-to-back losses; won previous 3 games; bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 40.7% from 3 vs. defenses that only give up 36.6% shooting from 3
-Pistons defense has faced a bunch of potent and efficient offenses; get a class relief tonight 

-Miami returns home off a 3-game West Coast road trip; 3 days off since; bad home spot here
-offense is is poor current form; they’ve scored 89 points or less in 2 of their last 3 games
-Heat defense has faced a collection of bad overall offensive teams this season; step-up in class

10* Play PISTONS (+).

11-10-19 Hornets +14 v. 76ers 106-114 Win 100 4 h 6 m Show

-Charlotte hits the road off back-to-back home losses; won previous 3 games; bounce back effort
-offense is in good current form; they’ve scored 110 points or more in 3 of their last 5 games
-Hornets defense allows 107.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111.4 ppg

-Philadelphia returns home off a 4-game West Coast road trip; 6 of last 7 on the road; bad spot
-offense is shooting 29.6% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 34.7% shooting from 3
-76ers allow 46.5% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.3% from the field

9* Play HORNETS (+).

 

11-09-19 Warriors +12 v. Thunder 108-114 Win 100 6 h 35 m Show

-Golden State hung tough last night in Minnesota as we expected; come right back with them
-offense is in good current form; they’ve scored 110 points or more in 5 of their last 6 games
-Warriors defense is facing another inefficient offense tonight; expect a close game throughout

-Oklahoma City is just 3-5 SU on the season; overvalued since they beat the Warriors already
-offense is shooting 33.6% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.6% shooting from 3
-Thunder defense has given up 107.4 points per game over their last 5 games; in bad form now

9* Play WARRIORS (+).

11-08-19 Warriors +11.5 v. Wolves 119-125 Win 100 5 h 48 m Show

-Golden State comes in off a 17-point road loss at Houston; last night off; bounce back effort
-offense is in good current form; they’ve scored 110 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games
-Warriors defense has faced a strong group of opposing offenses; facing an inefficient offense

-Minnesota is a team in disarray right now; just 1-3 SU over their last 4 games; overvalued here
-offense is shooting 29.5% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from 3
-Timberwolves allow 51.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.1%

10* Play WARRIORS (+).

11-07-19 Heat v. Suns OVER 217.5 124-108 Win 100 7 h 26 m Show

-Miami comes in off an ugly 20-point loss; scored just 89 points in that game; big bounce back
-offense is shooting 39.0% from 3-point land vs. defenses that allow 34.7% shooting from 3
-Heat defense has given up 109 points or more in 3 of their 4 road games so far this season

-Phoenix has scored 349 total points over their last 3 games; expect more of the same tonight
-offense shoots 48.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 45.5% shooting
-Suns defense allows 36.4% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 34.2% from 3

10* Play OVER the total.

11-06-19 Wizards v. Pacers -4 106-121 Win 100 4 h 18 m Show

-Washington is just 2-4 SU on the season; road game after 3 straight home game; bad spot here
-offense is shooting 43.2% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 45.8% shooting
-Wizards defense allows 117.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 112.3 points per game

-Indiana returns home off a road loss in Charlotte last night; undervalued because of overtime
-offense is in good current form; scored 448 total points in their last 4 games; good matchup
-Pacers defense allows 43.4% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.0%

10* Play PACERS (-).

11-05-19 Celtics v. Cavs OVER 215.5 119-113 Win 100 3 h 60 m Show

-Boston scored 104 points or more in 4 straight games; 112 points or more in 3 of those games
-offense is averaging 108.6 points per game vs. defenses that allow 108.4 points per game
-Celtics defense has faced a collection of bad offenses this season; taking a step-up in class here

-Cleveland has scored 110 points or more in all 3 of their home games so far this season
-offense shoots 47.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 44.2% shooting
-Cavaliers defense allows 40.7% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 32.6% from 3

10* Play OVER the total.

11-04-19 Pelicans v. Nets -4 125-135 Win 100 5 h 56 m Show

-New Orleans is just 1-5 SU on the season; playing their first back-to-back road set; bad spot
-offense is shooting 43.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 44.9% shooting
-Pelicans defense allows 123.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111.3 ppg

-Brooklyn returns home off a road loss in Detroit; lost their previous home game; big effort here
-offense is shooting 44.8% from 3 at home vs. defenses that only give up 38% shooting from 3
-Nets defense allows 44.3% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.2%

10* Play NETS (-).

11-01-19 Lakers v. Mavs +1.5 119-110 Loss -102 10 h 46 m Show

-Los Angeles has won 3 straight games after losing their season opener; they beat 3 bad teams
-offense is shooting 33.6% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.0% shooting from three
-Lakers defenses allows 112 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 107.5 ppg

-Dallas returns home off a road win in Denver; lost their previous home game; big effort here
-offense is shooting 45.5% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.0% shooting from the field
-Mavericks defense allows 31.7% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 37.0% from 3

10* Play MAVERICKS (+).

10-31-19 Spurs v. Clippers -4.5 97-103 Win 100 8 h 6 m Show

-San Antonio is a perfect 3-0 on the season, but all 3 of those games were at home; 1st road game
-offense is shooting 33.8% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.7% shooting from three
-Spurs defenses allows 114.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.3 points per game

-Los Angeles returns home off a road loss in Utah last night; expect a big bounce back here  
-offense is shooting 51.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44.7% shooting from the field
-Clippers defense allows just 99 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 109.6 ppg

9* Play CLIPPERS (-).

10-30-19 Blazers -1.5 v. Thunder 102-99 Win 100 5 h 6 m Show

-Portland comes in off a loss at San Antonio; last night off to regroup; expect a bounce back here  
-offense is shooting 47.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 45.5% shooting
-Trail Blazers defense allows 42.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 43.7%

-Oklahoma City is just 1-3 on the season; their lone win came against the struggling Warriors
-offense is shooting 44.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.8% shooting from the field
-Thunder has faced bad offenses (109.7 ppg); Portland has scored 110 points or more in 3 games

10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).

10-29-19 Hawks v. Heat -8 97-112 Win 100 4 h 38 m Show

-Atlanta played at home last night and lost 105-103; now on the road; 3rd game in 4 nights  
-offense has scored just 206 total points in their last 2 games; 33% shooting from 3-point land
-Hawks defense looks better than they are; faced some bad offenses; terrible matchup here

-Miami returns home off a road loss in Minnesota; had last night off; big scheduling edge
-offense is highly efficient; shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that allow 44.6%
-Heat has excellent perimeter defense; allow just 26.7% shooting from 3-point land this season 

10* Play HEAT (-).

10-28-19 Pacers v. Pistons OVER 212.5 94-96 Loss -106 3 h 44 m Show

-Indiana comes in off a terrible offensive performance; scored just 99 points; bounce back spot
-offense is shooting 36.7% from 3-point land vs. defenses that allow 35% shooting from 3
-Pacers defense is allowing 110 points per game on the road on 50% shooting this season 

-Detroit is playing their 3rd straight home game; lost the first 2 games; good spot before the road
-offense is shooting 49% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44.3% shooting from the field
-Pistons defense allows 114.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 108.8 points per game

9* Play OVER the total.

10-26-19 Wizards v. Spurs -11.5 122-124 Loss -107 5 h 47 m Show

-Washington won last night in Oklahoma City; 3rd straight road game; 3rd game in 4 nights  
-offense has shot just 40% from the field and 26.8% from 3 in their 2 games; terrible numbers
-Wizards defense is not nearly as good as they looked last night; facing a terrible matchup here

-San Antonio won their season opener 120-111 over the Knicks; 2 days off; big scheduling edge
-offense was highly efficient in their first game while shooting 50.6% (42-83) from the field
-Spurs get excellent perimeter defense from their guards; great matchup vs. a limited offense 

9* Play SPURS (-).

10-25-19 Blazers -2 v. Kings 122-112 Win 100 6 h 29 m Show

-Portland lost their season opener at home to Denver; playoffs rematch game; bounce back here  
-offense was bad; shot just 41.4% from the field and 25% from 3; step down in defensive class
-Trail Blazers defense gets an easier matchup here since their opponent has injury issues already

-Sacramento got blown out in their season opener in Phoenix; bad game against a bad opponent
-team has limited offensive options with Marvin Bagley out; hard to trade points in this game
-Kings defense was terrible last season, and gave up 124 points on 50% shooting from the field

9* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).

10-23-19 Wizards v. Mavs -8.5 100-108 Loss -105 5 h 3 m Show

-Washington has a lot of questions marks coming into this season; will be a bad team all year
-team has limited offensive options other than Bradley Beal; hard to trade points in this game
-Wizards defense faces a monumental task against the Mavs in their season opener; bad matchup 

-Dallas will be one of the most improved teams in the NBA this season; big advantage here  
-offense will be highly efficient throughout this season, and the Wizards defense is terrible
-Mavericks defense gets an easy matchup here since their opponent has just one pure scorer

9* Play MAVERICKS (-).

10-22-19 Lakers v. Clippers OVER 223 102-112 Loss -110 7 h 46 m Show

-Los Angeles has a revamped roster with their big pickup being Anthony Davis over the summer
-offense has lots of firepower with LeBron James and Davis plus good 3-point shooting outside
-Lakers defense will not be their main focus this season; looking to out-score their opponents 

-LA Clippers have also revamped their roster; big name additions have changed their identity
-offense will be formidable all season with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George when he returns 
-Clippers defense will also play like the Lakers; rather focus their energy on out-scoring teams

10* Play OVER the total.

06-13-19 Raptors +3 v. Warriors 114-110 Win 100 7 h 43 m Show

-Toronto hits the road off a blown home loss in Game 5; expect a big bounce back effort tonight
-offense is shooting 46.7% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.7% shooting from the field
-Raptors defense allows 32.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

-Golden State took advantage of Toronto’s meltdown in Game 5; injuries are adding up again
-offense has yet to score more than 109 points on Toronto’s defense in this series; limited options
-Warriors defense allows 35.7% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

10* Play RAPTORS (+).

06-10-19 Warriors v. Raptors OVER 214.5 106-105 Loss -107 5 h 16 m Show

-Golden State played one of their worst offensive games of the season in Game 4; bounce back
-offense is shooting 38.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.2% shooting from 3
-Warriors defense has given up 118, 104, 123, and 105 points in this series; more of the same

-Toronto has been fantastic on the offensive end of the court in this series; exploiting matchups
-offense is shooting 47.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 45.7% shooting
-Raptors defense has been fortunate to face a shorthanded Warriors offense; that changes tonight

10* Play OVER the total.

06-07-19 Raptors v. Warriors -4.5 105-92 Loss -107 5 h 48 m Show

-Toronto bounced back strong in Game 3 as expected; off that easy win, expect regression here
-offense shot 52.4% (43-82) from the field; they made 17 three’s in Game 2; won’t repeat tonight
-Raptors defense held the Warriors to just 39.6% shooting from the field and 33.3% from 3

-Golden State comes in off an ugly home loss; 36-14 SU at home; expect a big bounce back
-offense is shooting 48.9% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 46% shooting
-Warriors allows 44.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% from the field

10* Play WARRIORS (-).

06-05-19 Raptors +4.5 v. Warriors 123-109 Win 100 7 h 47 m Show

-Toronto hits the road off a home loss in Game 2; expect a big bounce back effort tonight
-offense is shooting 46.7% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.8% shooting from the field
-Raptors defense allows 32.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from 3

-Golden State took advantage of Toronto’s poor shooting in Game 2; injuries are adding up now
-offense hasn’t been good against the Raptors defense in their last 3 meetings; tougher spot here
-Warriors defense allows 35.6% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

10* Play RAPTORS (+).

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