College Football Free Picks - Winning College Football Picks Against the Spread

John Ryan ALL Sports Sides Picks

Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
10-13-24	Falcons v. Panthers +6		38-20	Loss	-108	51 h 13 m	Show
Falcons vs Panthers 4:25 ET \| FOX \| Bank of America Stadium 8-Unit bet on the Panthers priced as 6-point home underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 21-32 SU (40%) and 35-16-2 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The dog scored 14 or fewer points in their previous game. The dog is outscored by an average of 5 or more points in the first half. If our dog is outscored by double-digits in the first half of action they have gone 8-12 SU and 15-5 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.
10-13-24	Commanders +6.5 v. Ravens	Top	23-30	Loss	-100	48 h 49 m	Show
Commanders vs Ravens 1 EWT \| CBS \| M&T Bank Stadium 10-Unit bet on the Commanders priced as 6.5-point underdogs. Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 7.5 units preflop and then look for the Ravens to score a TD first or two fields to take a 6-0 or greater lead or for the Ravens to retake the led during the first half and then add the 2.5 units using the spread. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 13-22 (38%) straight-up and 25-8-2 ATS for 76% over the past 7 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on. Underdogs in a non-divisional matchup. The favorite has gained 450 or mor yards in each of their previous three games. The favorite has averaged 6 or more yards per play for the season. If our team is on the road, they have gone an incredible 8-13 SU and 15-4-2 ATS for 79% winning bets. From my predictive model: The projections call for the Commanders to score 24 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers and gain at least 5.7 yards per play. In past home games in which the Ravens allowed these performance measures has seen them go just 7-9 SU and 3-12-1 ATS for 20% winning bets.
10-13-24	Colts +3 v. Titans	Top	20-17	Win	100	48 h 48 m	Show
Colts vs Titans 1 ET \| CBS \| Nissan Stadium 8-Unit Bet on the Colts priced as 3-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 22-25 SU (47%) and 29-16-2 ATS for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs priced between 1 and 5.5 points. The dog had no more than one turnover in their previous game. The host is coming off a non-divisional game. The game is a divisional showdown. The road team has defeated the home team in each of their last two meetings. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 30-33 SU (47%) and 41-20-2 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs priced between 2 and 7.5 points. The dog has passed for 7 or more yards per pass attempt in each of their last two games. The opponent’s defense held their previous opponent to 5.5 or fewer yards per pass attempt.
10-12-24	Texas -14.5 v. Oklahoma	Top	34-3	Win	100	26 h 24 m	Show
1 Texas vs 18 Oklahoma 3:30 ET \| ABC \| Cotton Bowl 8-Unit Bet on the Texas Longhorns The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 75-14 SU (84%) and 59-28-2 ATS good for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on a ranked favorite. The opponent is also ranked. The site is either at home or on a neutral field. The game occurs from week 4 on out to the end of the regular season. If the favorite is ranked better than the foe by 5 or more positions in the poll (Texas ranked 1 and Oklahoma ranked 18 is 17 positions better) they have gone 36-2 SU (95%) and 27-11 ATS (71%) over the past 10 seasons. The decisive factor is that if the favorite lost to their rival in the previous season they bounce back with a huge 11-0 record and 10-1 ATS good for 91% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.
10-12-24	South Carolina v. Alabama -21.5	Top	25-27	Loss	-109	23 h 51 m	Show
South Carolina vs Alabama Noon ET \| 8-Unit Bet on Alabama priced as a 21.5-point favorite. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 36-2 SU (95%) and 28-9-1 ATS for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and has gone 21-2 SU (91%) and 18-4-1 ATS good for 82% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home favorites facing a conference foe. The favorite gas seen their last three games play Over the total by 24 or more points. The favorite has won 80% or more of their games. The opponent has a winning record.
10-11-24	Northwestern +11.5 v. Maryland	Top	37-10	Win	100	13 h 32 m	Show
Northwestern vs Maryland 8 ET, Friday, October 7, 2024 \| 8-Unit bet on the Northwestern priced as a 10-point underdog. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 31-55 SU (95%) and 58-27-1 ATS good for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on dogs of 4.5 to 11.5 points in weeks 5 through 9. The dog is coming off two consecutive losses by double-digits to conference foes. They are facing a conference foe in the current matchup. If our dog has a losing record in the current season, they have gone 28-46 SU (38%) and 51-22-1 ATS (70%) winning bets over the past 10 seasons.
10-09-24	New Mexico State v. Jacksonville State -20.5	Top	13-54	Win	100	8 h 10 m	Show
Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State 7:30 ET, Wednesday \| ESPN2 8-Unit bet on Jax State priced as 20.5-point favorites. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 28-3 SU (90%) and 21-9 ATS good for 70% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on a team that has a yards per game differential between –50 and 50 yards per game. The opponent has won 25% or fewer of their games. The opponent has been outgained by an average of 100 or more YPG. Our team is coming off two consecutive games gaining 475 or more total yards in each one. This game is taking place at AmFirst Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida and weather conditions will be potentially very bad and because of Hurricane Milton closing in on the Tampa Bay and Sarasota area this game could be cancelled. Safety is first, with this historic and catastrophic hurricane cutting an 800-mile slice across the middle of the state. JAX State ranks 22nd nationally averaging 204 rushing yards per game and will dominate a NMST defense that ranks 133rd nationally allowing an average of 277 rushing yards per game. So, no matter how bad the weather conditions are tonight, there is just no feasible way that the JAX State ground attack will be contained.
10-09-24	Yankees v. Royals +1.5	Top	3-2	Win	100	7 h 26 m	Show
Royals vs Yankees 7:08 ET, Wednesday \| 8-Unit bet on the Royals priced as –105 home favorites. The following MLB betting algorithm has produced a 49-32 record (61%) that has averaged a –115 wager and earned a 15% ROI and a $14,170 profit for the $1,000 per game bettor. Bet on a team that has batted 0.215 or lower spaning their previous seven games. The total is between 7 and 8.5 runs. The starter for our team has allowed no more than a single run in each of his last two starts. Our team has a winning record.
10-07-24	Saints v. Chiefs -5	Top	13-26	Win	100	9 h 3 m	Show
Saints vs Chiefs 8:15 ET \| ESPN/ABC 8-Unit Bet on the Chiefs priced as 5-point favorites. Monday Night Football undefeated teams have produced an exceptional record over many years. In fact, undefeated teams facing a non-divisional foe that are playing under the bright lights of MNF have gone 29-8 SU and 26-10-1 ATS good for 72% winning bets since 1989. A slight variation of that theme creates one hihgly profitable betting algorithm supporting the Chiefs and has gone 53-14 SU (79%) and 47-16-4 ATS (75%) record over the past 25 seasons. Bet home teams playing on MNF. They have a winning percentage of 80 or better. Taking on a foe with a winning record or at 0.500 If the host has a perfect record, they have gone 36-10 SU and 33-11-2 ATS good for 75% winning bets. If our host pushed or covered the spread in their previousgame has produced an even better 31-6 SU and 29-7-1 ATS record good for 81% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.
10-06-24	Cardinals +7.5 v. 49ers	Top	24-23	Win	100	6 h 20 m	Show
Cardinals vs 49ers 4:05 ET \| Levis Stadium 8-Unit Bet on the Cardinals +7 points. 2-Units Under 28.5 points for the 49ers team total (Optional) If you do bet the 2-Unit Under total, then reduce the play on the Cardinals to 6-Units. The Cardinals are 1-3 on the season and are in dire need of a win to remain on the perimeter of the playoff contenders. This desperation is reflected in the data as 1-3 teams playing in week 5 that are coming off a loss and an ATS loss facing a divisional foe have gone 25-14 SU and 25-14 ATS since 1990. If our team is priced between pick and a 9.5-point underdog they have gone 11-9 SU and 14-6 ATS for 70% winning bets. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 28-22 SU (56%) and 31-17-2 ATS (65%) over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on any team coming off an upset loss at home. They lost to the spread by double-digits in that loss. Their QB pressures percentage was 10% less than the opponent in that loss. The Cardinals had a 3.3% quarterback pressure percentage, and no team can win at the NFL level with such an anemic pass rush. The 10-UNIT game of the Month was last week and won by 31.5 points as the Commanders destroyed the Cardinals and the game got away from them early. So, the lack of pass rush was more impacted by the blowout scoring than anything else, noting the Cardinals did not blitz on one single play. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 10-9-1 SU (53%) and 16-4 ATS (80%) over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on a team that lost every game against their divisional foes last season. They are facing a divisional foe. The game occurs in the first nine weeks (first half) of the NFL schedule.
10-06-24	Bills +1 v. Texans	Top	20-23	Loss	-107	3 h 16 m	Show
Bills vs Texans 1 ET \| NRG Stadium 8-Unit bet on the Bills priced as a 1-point dog. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 21-9 SU (70%) and 20-9-1 ATS (69%) over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams facing a non-divisional foe. The road team is coming off a road loss priced as a dog. The road team allowed 10 or more points than their season average in their last game. The road team is priced between a 2.5-point dog and favorite. If our road is the dog and priced below 10 points and they are coming off a double-digit ATS loss they have gone 32-36 SU and 37-20-1 ATS for 65% winning bets since 1989.
10-05-24	West Virginia +3 v. Oklahoma State		38-14	Win	100	27 h 48 m	Show
West Virginia vs Oklahoma State 4 ET \| ESPN2 \| Boone Pickens Stadium 8-Unit bet on WVU priced as 3-point road underdogs. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 28-11 SU and 24-15 ATS for 62% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs of 3 or more points facing a ranked conference opponent. The road team is not ranked. The road team is playing one of their first five games of the season. Our road team has two or more losses.
10-05-24	Ole Miss -8.5 v. South Carolina		27-3	Win	100	26 h 19 m	Show
12 Mississippi vs South Carolina 3:30 ET \| Saturday, October 5 \| Williams-Brice Stadium 8-Unit Bet on Mississippi priced as a 9-point favorite. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 28-11 SU and 24-15 ATS for 62% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are: Bet on a team coming off a loss. There were 6 or more lead changes i their previous game. The loss was their first one of the season. They are ranked in the top 25 AP poll. If the game has a total of 60 or fewer points, they have gone 19-5 SU (79%) and 16-8 ATS for 67% winners.
10-05-24	Missouri v. Texas A&M -2		10-41	Win	100	23 h 49 m	Show
9 Missouri vs 25 Texas A&M Noon ET ABC \| Kyle Field, College Station, TX 8-Unit Best bet on Texas A&M priced as 2.5-point home favorites. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 26-7 SU and 23-10 ATS for 70% winning bets. The requirements are: Both teams ranked in the top 25. The site is at home or neutral. Games occur in the regular season. The team we are betting on is ranked worse than the foe in the poll. Our team is priced between a 2.5 and 17.5-point favorite. The total is between 45 and 50 points.
10-05-24	Navy v. Air Force +10	Top	34-7	Loss	-109	23 h 47 m	Show
Navy vs Air Force Noon ET \| CBS/Paramount+ Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy 10-Unit bet on the Falcons priced as 9.5-point underdogs. Live Betting optional Strategy: The Under in the Armed Forces games has gone 86-20-2 for 81% winning bets since 2006 and every season has posted a profit. There will be a season where the Over will win the money, but until that happens there is no reason to consider the Over bet and there is just not a number low enough to get me off of playing the Under in these matchups. So, if this game somehow gets off to a faster than expected start and you see the total priced at 42 or more points bet no more than a 5-unit amount on the Under. The last time these matchups exceeded 40 points in total was back in the COVID pandemic when Navy and Air Force combined for 47 points on October 13, 2020. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 18-22 SU and 27-10-3 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: Bet on home dogs priced between 4.5 and 10 points. The dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. The opponent is coming off two straight games where they had fewer turnovers than their opponents. If our favorite is undefeated on the season, these home pups become quite fierce posting a 9-11 SU record and a 15-4-1 ATS mark for 79% winning bets. From the predictive model: We will be looking for the Air Force to have the same or fewer turnovers and to gain 275 or more rushing yards. In past games in which AF met or exceeded these projections has seen them go 70-12 SU and 57-24-1 ATS for 70% winning bets. If they commit 2 or fewer turnovers, they have gone 68-12 SU and 56-23-1 ATS good for 71% winning bets. If they hold their foes to 15 or more offensive yards-per-point ratio they have gone 56-3 SU and 43-16 ATS for 73% winning bets.
10-05-24	Army -12.5 v. Tulsa		49-7	Win	100	23 h 47 m	Show
Army vs Tulsa Noon ET \| ESPNU Chapman Stadium 8-Unit bet on Army priced as 12.5-point favorites. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 152-47 SU and 128-68-2 ATS for 65% wining bets since 2010. The requirements are: Bet on any team that has allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games. They are playing on the road. They are coming off a win. The opponent lost their last game by 17 or more points. Drilling down a bit deeper into the database we learn that if these teams are priced as double-digit favorites, and the total is 55 or fewer points has seen them soar to a highly profitable 42-3 SU (93%) and 34-11 ATS (76%) since 2010.
10-03-24	Bucs +2.5 v. Falcons	Top	30-36	Loss	-105	5 h 14 m	Show
Bucs vs Falcons 8:15 ET \| Prime Video \| Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA 8-Unit Best Bet on the Bucs priced as 2-point underdogs. The following betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 24-22 SU (52%) \| 30-15-1 ATS (67%). Bet on dogs of 4.5 or fewer points. The favorite had at least one turnover in their previous game. The game is a divisional showdown. The previous matchup our dog won and converted first downs on 20% or more of their plays The Falcons are 18-37 SU (33%) and 19-36 ATS (35%) when playing on 6 or fewer days of rest; 10-16 SU and 6-20 ATS (23%) when playing at home; 7-7 SU (50%) and 2-12 ATS (14%) when priced as a home favorite. From the Predictive Models: The Bucs offense is expected to gain 350 or more total yards and win the turnover battle. In past games since 2020, the Bucs are 18-1 SU (95%) and 15-4 ATS (79%) when meeting or exceeding these performance measures.
09-30-24	Titans +2.5 v. Dolphins	Top	31-12	Win	100	10 h 37 m	Show
Titans vs Dolphins MNF 7:30 ESPN \| Hard Rock Stadium 8-Unit bet on the Titans priced as 1-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 31-34 SU (48%) and 44-17-4 ATS record good for 72% winning bets over the past 35 seasons. The requirements are: Play on road teams that are winless on the season. The game occurs between weeks 3 and 6. The road team is priced between pick-em and a 7.5-point underdog. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 22-36 SU (38%) and 34-21-3 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs. Their QB is coming off a game with a 95 or lower QB rating. Their QB is coming off a game averaging between 4 and 7 yards per completion. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 25-48 SU (34%) and 53-18-2 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs including pick-em. They are a struggling offense gaining an average of 265 or fewer yards per game. The game occurs from week 4 on to the end of the regular season. The host has a defense that allows between 265 and 295 yards per game. If the game is a non-divisional matchup our dogs have gone 12-27 SU (31) but an impressive 28-10-1 ATS for 74% winning bets since 1989. Player Props for 1-Unit Tyjae Spears Over 28.5 rushing and receiving yards. De’Von Achane Under 96.5 rushing and receiving yards. Kenneth Walker Over 67.5 rushing and receiving yards.
09-29-24	Chiefs v. Chargers +7.5	Top	17-10	Win	100	29 h 40 m	Show
Chiefs vs Chargers. 4:25 ET \| CBS \| SoFi Stadium 8-Unit bet on the Chargers priced as 7.5-point underdogs The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 20-23 SU (47%) and a 31-12 ATS record good for 72% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs facing a divisional foe. The dog is coming off a non-division game. The dog lost their previous game by 7 or more points. The dog had 19 or fewer first downs in their previous games.
09-29-24	Commanders +3.5 v. Cardinals	Top	42-14	Win	100	28 h 21 m	Show
Commanders vs Cardinals 4:05 ET \| State Farm Stadium 10-Unit bet on the Commanders priced as 3.5-point dogs. Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 7.5-units preflop on the Commanders and then look to add 2.5-more units if Arizona takes a 6- or 7-point lead or retakes the lead in the first half of action. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 51-76 SU (40%) and 86-38-4 ATS record good for 69.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs priced between 3.5 and 10 points. That dog allows 28 or more points per game. If the game is a conference matchup our road dog has gone 36-55 SUI (40%) and 65-24-2 ATS for 73% winning bets. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 28-28 SU (50%) and 40-15-1 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs. The host posted a losing record in the previous season. The game occurs in the first four weeks of the season. The road team averaged fewer passing yards than the current opponent in the previous season. The host was not in the playoffs last season. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 20-13 SU (61%) and a 23-9-1 ATS record good for 72% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road dogs. The host won 40% or fewer of their games in the previous season. The game occurs in weeks 2 through 4. The home team is coming off a loss. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 27-33 SU (45%) and a 39-20-1 ATS record good for 66% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on conference dogs. The dog is priced between 3 and 7.5 points. The opponent is coming off a game against a conference foe. The opponent lost their previous game priced as a dog.
09-29-24	Patriots +11 v. 49ers	Top	13-30	Loss	-110	28 h 19 m	Show
Patriots vs 49ers 4:05 ET \| Levis Stadium 8-Unit bet on the Patriots priced as 10.5-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 31-47 SU (45%) and a 53-25 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs. The dog is coming off a game with three or more failed third down attempts than their opponent. The dog gained less than 400 total yards of offense. The dog was priced as the dog in their previous game. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 54-53 SU (51%) and a 67-37-3 ATS record good for 665% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs. The game occurs in the first 8 weeks of the season. The opponent is coming off a road loss.
09-29-24	Eagles -1 v. Bucs		16-33	Loss	-108	25 h 24 m	Show
Eagles vs Bucs 1:00 ET \| Raymond James Stadium \| FOX 5-Unit Best Bet on the Eagles favored by 1.5 points. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 25-9 SU (74%) and 22-10-2 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the past 35 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on teams that won as a road underdog in their previous game. That team outgained their previous foe by 225 or more yards. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 43-39 SU (52%) and 50-30-2 ATS record good for 63% winning bets over the past 35 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams priced between a 4.5-point favorite and a 4.5-point underdog. The road team defeated the current opponent in their previous game. The road team is coming off a road game. The home team is coming off a home game. The Eagles are without their two top WR but they also were without them last week for the second half of action when they mounted their come from behind win despite their head coach trying to lock in the loss with ridiculous calls on 4th down. Look for Dotson to get more targets in this matchup and for Barkley to continue gashing defensive lines with his power running. The Eagles defense led by Jalen Carter last week played very well and that will carry over to this game too. From the predictive model: My predictive models are calling for the Eagles to win the turnover battle and gain at least 125 rushing yards and have more rushing yards than the Bucs. In past games in which the Eagles met or exceeded these performance measures they went on to an 18-3 SU (86%) and 15-5-1 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past five seasons. 10-UNIT College Game of the Month goes Saturday night and Ryan's NFL 10-UNIT game of the month goes Sunday 3-0 with 10-Unit games of the month and 68% ATS over the past 5 seasons.
09-29-24	Jaguars +6 v. Texans	Top	20-24	Win	100	25 h 15 m	Show
Jaguars vs Texans 1 ET \| CBS \| NRG Stadium 8-Unit bet on the Jaguars priced as 6-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 31-34 SU (48%) and 44-17-4 ATS record good for 72% winning bets over the past 35 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on winless road teams between weeks 3 and 6. They are priced between pick-em and 7,5-point dog. The dog lost their last game by double digits.
09-28-24	Georgia +1 v. Alabama	Top	34-41	Loss	-115	29 h 57 m	Show
Georgia vs Alabama 7:30 ET, September 28 Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, ALA 8-Unit bet on Georgia using the money line if they are priced as a favorite to 2.5 points. Currently priced as one-point favorites. It is doubtful Georgia will be priced as an underdog but if they are then grab the points instead of the money line. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 38-10 SU (79%) and a 30-18 ATS (63%) since 1980. The requirements are: It is game number four. Our team is coming off a BYE. Our team is favored or priced at pick-em. The opponent is coming off a win. Our team lost their last meeting with the current opponent. If our team is priced between the 3’s (3-point favorite to a 3-point underdog they improve to a 27-11 SU (71%) and a 27-9-2 ATS record goods for 75% winning bets since 1980.
09-28-24	Illinois v. Penn State -17.5	Top	7-21	Loss	-110	29 h 51 m	Show
Illinois vs Penn State 7:30 ET \| NBC Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA 10-Unit Bet on Penn State minus 17.5 points. Two ranked conference rivals and the home team is favored by almost 20 points. So, the market is clearly telling us who the better team is and by nearly three TDs better. No. 19 Illinois travels to Happy Valley to take on No. 8 Penn State in a game set to start at 7:30 and white-out conditions. That’s not snow conditions, of course, but the 112,000 fans in attendance, who have been tailgating all day. It has been estimated that there are more people in the fields surrounding the Stadium than in the Stadium once the game starts. It is truly a remarkable venue to experience when it is a white-out or a stripe-out occasion. Penn State is coming off a BYE week and this is certainly great news for them as under head coach James Franklin they are 21-6 SU and ATS when the game is in the prime-time schedule. The clincher here is that when PSU has been favored in these situations, they have gone 18-0 SU and 15-3 ATS covering the spread by an average of 14 points per game. The following betting algorithm has gone 45-1 SU (98%) and 30-15-2 ATS for 67% winning bets. Bet conference favorites of 17.5 or more points. That favorite is ranked in the top-10 of the latest AP poll. The foe is ranked between 11 and 25 in the most recent AP poll. If the game occurs from week 5 to the end of the season, these favorites have gone 42-1 SU (98%) and 29-14 ATS for 69% winning bets. From the predictive model: My predictive models are expecting Penn State to score 31 or more points and hold Illinois to fewer than 300 offensive yards. In past home games under James Franklin, the Lions are 22-0 SU and 17-3-2 ATS for 85% winning bets when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. Illinois is 0-15 SU and 4-11 ATS when gaining less than 300 total yards in a road game and allowing 31 or more points.
09-28-24	Navy v. UAB +3.5		41-18	Loss	-105	21 h 17 m	Show
Navy at UAB Noon ET \| ESPN2 Pretective Stadium, Birmingham, AL 8-Unit Bet on UAB priced as a 3.5-point underdog. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 35-14-3 ATS good for 71.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The underdog committed no more than one turnover in their previous game. The opponent has won the turnover battle in each of their last two games. If the foe has a winning record in the current seasons these home pups have gone 15-26 SU (37%) and 28-10-3 ATS (74%) winning bets over the last 10 seasons. If our dog is playing a ranked foe, they are a highly profitable 15-5 SU and 15-4-1 ATS good for 79% winning bets.
09-28-24	Oklahoma State +6.5 v. Kansas State	Top	20-42	Loss	-110	1 h 34 m	Show
Oklahoma State vs Kansas State Noon \| ESPN Bill Snyder Family Stadium 8-Unit best bet on the Cowboys priced as 5.5-point underdogs and a sprinkle on the money line. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 38-31 SU (45%) and 45-24 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs priced between 2.5 and 6.5 points. The game is a conference matchup. The game occurs from week 5 to the end of the regular season. The road team is playing with revenge. The bettor consensus for this game is on K-State all week but when the line hit 5.5 last night and with the number of tickets bet at 72% and rising and the handle at 58% and dropping is one of many reasons I have added this game to the card.
09-27-24	Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL -19	Top	34-38	Loss	-110	51 h 57 m	Show
V-Tech vs Miami (Fla) 7:30 ET \| ESPN \| Friday 8-Unit bet on Miami priced as 19.5-point favorites. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 31-16 SU (66%) and 30-16-1 for 65% winning bets since 2010 or 15 seasons. Bet on undefeated teams from week 4 on out. They are averaging 4.8 or more rushing yards per attempt. They outgained their previous foe by 125 or more rushing yards. The opponent is averaging 4.3 to 4.8 rushing yards per attempt. The total is 55 or fewer points. If a conference matchup these teams have gone 24-10 SU and 23-11 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2010 and if our team is a double-digit favorite, they have gone 15-1 SU and 12-4 ATS for 75% winning bets. From the predictive model: My models are projecting that Miami will score 35 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers as V-Tech. When they have met or exceeded these performance measures, they have gone 37-0 DSU and 32-5 ATS good for 87% winning bets spanning the past 10 seasons.
09-26-24	Cowboys v. Giants +5.5	Top	20-15	Win	100	7 h 46 m	Show
Cowboys vs Giants 8:15 ET 8-Unit bet on the Giants priced as 6-point home dogs and a little sprinkle on the money line. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 25-28 SU (47%) and a 37-16 ATS (70%) record over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home underdogs priced between 3.5 and 7.5 points. The game occurs from week 4 on out. The dog has allowed a 64% opponent completion percentage. The dog is coming off a strong defensive game allowing 5.5 PYPA If our dog is coming off a road win, they soar to 12-5 ATS record for 71% winning bets. From the predictive model: The projections are calling for the Giants to have the same or fewer turnovers and average 4,7 yards per rush attempt. In past games which the Giants have met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them go 9-6 SU and 13-1-1 ATS for 93% winning bets over the past five seasons.
09-25-24	Giants +1.5 v. Diamondbacks	Top	2-8	Loss	-104	6 h 47 m	Show
Giants at Diamondbacks 9:40 EST 8-Unit bet on the Giants priced as 185 underdogs using the money line. Consider betting 3.5 units on the money line and 4.5 units on the +1.5-run line. The following MLB betting algorithm has produced a 43-20 record for 68% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. Bet on a road team that has lost more games than they won over their last 30 games. The road team has a winning record. The host has also lost more games than they won over their last 30 games. The host also has a winning record. The game occurs after the all-star break. The game is the last game of the series.
09-23-24	Commanders +7.5 v. Bengals	Top	38-33	Win	100	6 h 46 m	Show
Commanders vs Bengals 8:15 ET \| ABC/ESPN+ Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH 8-Unit bet on the Commanders priced as 7-point underdogs. Winless teams priced as a road underdog in week 3 action have gone 16-19 SU and 24-12 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 22-34 SU (39%) and 34-19-3 ATS (64%) winning bets. Bet on underdogs priced between 4.5 and 8 points. Non divisional matchup. Game occurs in Week 3 through Week 5. The favorite is coming off a season where they lost 2 or more games than the previous season. The dog is coming off a season where they lost 2 or more games than the previous season. Betting consensus is on the Bengals accounting for 77% of tickets bet and is the most popular pick in the Circa Eliminator contest for the second time in three weeks. Their loss to the Patriots in week 1 (we were on the Patriots) eliminated 36% of the 12,800 entries. So, for many reasons, I do see this game being a lot closer than most believe possible. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 46-44 SU (51%) and 57-30-3 ATS (66%) winning bets. Bet on road underdogs. That dog has posted a mediocre 15 or higher yards-per-point ratio. The game occurs in the first half of the season through week 9. The favorite is coming off a road loss and is on a one or more-game losing streak. From my predictive modelswe are looking for the Commanders to establish the run and gain 125 or more rushing yards and have the same or fewer turnovers. When they have met these performance measures in previousgames, they have gone 12-3-1 SU and 12-4 ATS for 75% winning bets.
09-23-24	Jaguars +5.5 v. Bills	Top	10-47	Loss	-108	5 h 2 m	Show
Jaguars vs Bills (Monday) Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY 7:30 ET \| ESPN \| Week 3 8-Unit bet on the Jaguars +5 points and a little extra sprinkle on the money line. Winless teams priced as a road underdog in week 3 action have gone 16-19 SU and 24-12 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Winless teams priced as 5.5 or greater underdogs are 11-22-1 SU but 22-12 ATS for 65% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 22-34 SU (39%) and 34-19-3 ATS (64%) winning bets. Bet on road underdogs. Their QB is coming off a game with a 95 or lower QB rating. Their QB is coming off a game averaging between 4 and 7 yards per completion. Here is a second betting algorithm that has produced a 22-35 SU and 34-20-3 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. Bet on road underdogs. Their QB is coming off a game averaging between 4 and 7 yards per completion and a QB rating of 95 or worse. The road team is coming off an upset loss as a home favorite. Here is the third sports betting algorithm targeting a bet on the Jaguars and has gone 20-17 SU and 23-12-2 ATS for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. Bet on underdogs priced between 2.5 and 5.5 points. The dog is coming off an upset loss to a conference foe. The dog went Under their team points total. If our dog is on the road, they have gone 14-11 SU and 16-8-1 ATS for 67% winning bets. From my predictive modelswe are looking for the Jaguars to gain 5.25 or more yards per play and commit the same or fewer turnovers. In past road games in which the Jaguars met these performance measures has seen them produce a highly profitable 31-25 SU and 38-14-3 ATS record good for 74% winning bets.
09-22-24	Dolphins +4 v. Seahawks	Top	3-24	Loss	-108	5 h 55 m	Show
Dolphins vs Seahawks 4:05 ET \| CBS Lumen Field 8-Unit Bet on the Dolphins priced as 4.5-point underdogs. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 21-34 SU (38%) and 37-17-1 ATS (69%) winning bets. Bet on road underdogs. The game occurs in the first four weeks of the season. This dog is coming off a double-digit home loss. Dog had a –2 or worse turnover margin in their previous game.
09-22-24	Eagles +3 v. Saints	Top	15-12	Win	100	2 h 51 m	Show
Philadelphia vs New Orleans 1:00 \| FOX 8-unit bet on the Eagles priced as 3-point underdogs. Consider betting 5-Units on the Eagles preflop and then add the remaining three units if the Saints score first with a TD or a pair of FGs or they retake the lead at any point during the first half of action. Should the Eagles Play Without the Coaching Staff? For Eagles fans #FlyEaglesFly was crash and burn Eagles as the coaching staff clearly led them down the path to lose that Monday Night game against the Falcons. The dropped pass by Saquon Barkley inside of two-minutes was not the reason they lost the game, but rather going for it on fourth down inside the five-yard line in 3-0 game in the second quarter. Further, the decision to pass the ball to Barkley was the wrong call and better to have run the ball in that situation to keep the clock moving knowing the Falcons were out of timeouts. Now, the Eagles are facing one of the hottest teams and offenses in the Saints priced as 3.5-point underdogs. Reyling on Analytics Alone is a Sure-Fire way to Get Fired On the telecast it was noted that the analytics said to go for it on 4th down and four yards to go with the Eagles in the red zone. There is not one meaningful stat that would state that when the game is being played in the mud – meaning that points were scarce and hard-to-get. The analytics are flawed because they do not reflect the game flow. If the defenses could not stop the other’s offense, then yes, the analytics are more likely to say GO because field goals do little to increase a lead or diminish a deficit on the scoreboard. The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 35-33 SU (52%) and 42-20-6 ATS (68%) winning bets. Bet on road dogs priced between 2.5 and 6 points. The dog went Under their team total in the previous game. The dog is coming off an upset loss to a conference foe. From the predictive model we are expecting the Eagles to score 27 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers as the Saints. In past road games over the past 5 seasons, the Eagles are 18-2 SU and 14-5-1 ATS for 74% winning bets when scoring 27 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers. Here is a second algorithm that has produced an 11-8 SU record and a 14-5 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Bet on underdogs from pick to 6.5 points in the first four weeks of the season. The opponent has won their last two games. The opponent was not in last season’s playoffs. So, I am certainly expecting a bounce-back effort today by the Eagles, especially on defense in defending the run and getting many QB pressures and hits today. The offense will take care of itself.
09-21-24	Kansas State v. BYU +7	Top	9-38	Win	100	15 h 23 m	Show
Kansas State vs BYU 10:30 EST 8-Unit Bet on BYU +6.5 points. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 16-26 SU record for 38% and a 26-14-2 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. Bet on home dogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The opponent had fewer turnovers than their opponent in each of their last two games. The hoe dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game.
09-21-24	Tennessee -6.5 v. Oklahoma	Top	25-15	Win	100	12 h 26 m	Show
Tennessee vs Oklahoma 7:30 ET, Saturday September 21 8-Unit Bet on Tennessee –6.5 points. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 15-23 SU record for 40% and a 24-14 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Bet on dogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The favorite is coming off a game in which they scored 60 or more points. The favorite held their previous opponent to 14 or fewer points.
09-21-24	Arizona State +3.5 v. Texas Tech	Top	22-30	Loss	-105	8 h 23 m	Show
Arizona State vs Texas Tech 3:30 ET 8-Unit bet on ASU priced as a 3.5-point underdog. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 16-26 SU record for 38% and a 26-14-2 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The team is playing their second straight home game. They won the previous game against the current opponent. The opponent is playing their second straight road game. Our team is priced between a 4.5-point favorite and a 4.5-point dog. Louisiana Lafayette vs Tulane Noon EST 8-Unit bet on the LLAF plus 1.5 points. The best mascot in all of football, the Ragin’ Canjuns take on the Green Wave today at noon. They are backed by a stellar and highly profitable betting system that has gone 45-24 SU and 43-22-5 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. Bet on any team scoring 34 or more PPG. They are priced between the 3’s. They allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games. The foe is allowing between 21 and 28 PPG.
09-21-24	Tulane v. UL-Lafayette +1.5	Top	41-33	Loss	-109	5 h 52 m	Show
Arizona State vs Texas Tech 3:30 ET 8-Unit bet on ASU priced as a 3.5-point underdog. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 16-26 SU record for 38% and a 26-14-2 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The team is playing their second straight home game. They won the previous game against the current opponent. The opponent is playing their second straight road game. Our team is priced between a 4.5-point favorite and a 4.5-point dog. Louisiana Lafayette vs Tulane Noon EST 8-Unit bet on the LLAF plus 1.5 points. The best mascot in all of football, the Ragin’ Canjuns take on the Green Wave today at noon. They are backed by a stellar and highly profitable betting system that has gone 45-24 SU and 43-22-5 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. Bet on any team scoring 34 or more PPG. They are priced between the 3’s. They allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games. The foe is allowing between 21 and 28 PPG.
09-19-24	Patriots +6.5 v. Jets	Top	3-24	Loss	-105	7 h 49 m	Show
Patriots vs Jets 8:20 ET \| Amazon MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ 8-Unit Bet on the Patriots +6 points. Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit amount preflop and then look to add 30% of that 8-Unit amount if the Jets score first or they retake the lead in the first half only. If the Patriots get out to a fast start there probably will not be an opportunity to get on the 30% remaining bet, but that also implies the Patriots are comfortably covering the spread. The Patriots offensive line is a mishmash of players given they have players OUT or listed as questionable across the line. So, by betting 70% preflop is a hedge against that offensive line just not getting it done. The market with the Patriots priced at 6 points and has dropped from 6.5 points despite the terrible injury reports regard their offensive line. Just like the price of Apple Computer reflects all expectations about their future earnings, the sports betting market reflects the expectations and news reports of both teams. The NFL Betting Algorithm The following NFL betting algorithm has produced an 74-86 record good for 54% SU winners and a 99-59-2 ATS mark good for 63% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and ALL 10 seasons have produced profits. The requirements are: The game occurs i the first four weeks of the season. Bet on road underdogs. The host had a losing record in the previous season. Simple to understand and straightforward results. Filtering this algorithm to reflect weeks 2 through 4 and the host having won less than 40% of their games in the previous season has produced a 19-13 SU mark (60%) and a 22-9-1 ATS record goof for 71% winning bets.
09-19-24	South Alabama +7.5 v. Appalachian State	Top	48-14	Win	100	6 h 6 m	Show
South Alabama vs Appalachian State 7:30 ET 8-Unit bet on South Alabama plus the 7 points. The predictive model sees South Alabama getting out to a fast start in this game so betting 4-Units on them +3.5 or 3-points for the first half and then 4-Unit on them +7 points for the full game is an alternative strategy to consider betting. Betting on underdogs between 2 and 6 points using the first half line that are outgaining their foes by 1.0 or more yards per play and are coming off a game in which they gained 475 or more yards have gone 42-14 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past five seasons. The College Football Betting Algorithm The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 59-29 record and a 56-31 ATS mark good for 64.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on teams that are gaining 4.75 or more rushing yards per attempt. That team outgained their previous opponent by 125 or more rushing yards. The opponent is averaging 4.3 to 4.8 rushing yards per attempt. The team is coming off a game in which they scored 50 or more points. If our team is an underdog of any size, they have gone 8-14 SU but 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets. The South Alabama Jaguars have a new coach in Major Applewhite, who had just four offensive and three defensive starters returning but he has the new starters playing quite well and why not he was their OC last year. Since joining the FBS in 2012 they stopped 10 consecutive losing seasons and had the second biggest bowl victory (59-10 over Eastern Michigan).
09-17-24	Mercury -2.5 v. Sparks	Top	85-81	Win	100	7 h 49 m	Show
Mercury vs Sparks 8-Unit bet on the Mercury –3 points. The following WNBA betting algorithm has produced a 72-43-2 ATS record for 63% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road favorites that plays slower than most and is averaging 62 or more shot attempts per game. The opponent averages 62 or more shots per game. The road team shot over 50% in their previous game. The game occurs after the 20th one. A modified variation of this profitable betting system reflects the increase in scoring and pace of play in the WNBA. The results have been a highly profitable 29-10 DSU and 26-12-1 ATS for 68.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons; 22-8 SU and 20-9-1 ATS for 69% winners. Bet on teams that play slow shooting between 65 and 69 shots per game. Previous game shot 50% from the field. The opponent plays the same pace based on shots per game
09-16-24	Falcons +5.5 v. Eagles	Top	22-21	Win	100	8 h 25 m	Show
Falcons vs Eagles 8:20 ET \| Lincoln Financial Field 8-Unit bet on the Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting In last week’s upset home loss to the the now 2-0 AFC Central division-leading Steelers (remember my recommendation to bet the Steelers to win the divisional title at 38:1?) they were able to put pressure on Cousins on 34% of the downs played. The Falcons defense managed to attain just 17.4% QB pressure on the Steeler signal caller. Check out the fourth betting algorithm below for more. Situational Trends and Angles: Dogs in Week 2 that are coming off a Week 1 loss priced as a favorite have gone 38-50 SU (43%) and 53-33-2 ATS good for 62% wining bets since 1989. In weeks 2 and 3, dogs in a non-divisional fray coming off a loss priced as a favorite and lost to the spread by double digits in their previous game have gone a solid 17-24 SU and 26-14-1 ATS for 65% winning bets since 1989. Every franchise knows that getting out of the gate with a 0-2 SU record means that they have an 11.5% chance of making it to the playoffs. Home favorites coming off a game at a neutral site are 8-6 SU and 5-9 ATS for 36% including a highly profitable 10-4 Over record for 71.4% winning bets. Home favorites coming off a game at a neutral site and were a playoff team in the previous season are just 6-5 SU and 3-8 ATS for 27% winners. Home favorite of 4.5 or more points coming off a neutral site game are 7-1 SU but just 1-7 ATS for 12% winning bets. The Monday Night NFL Betting Algorithm: This group of parameters has produced a 20-30 SU record and a 32-14-4 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Bet on road dogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. That dog is coming off a loss in which they committed three or more turnovers. That dog played Under their team total in that loss. The total is priced between 45 and 50 points. Here is a second NFL betting algorithm that has gone 21-34 SU (38%) and 33-19-3 ATS (64%) over the past 25 seasons. Bet on a road dog. That dog is coming off a poor game where their QB posted a 95 or lower quarterback rating. That dog is coming off an upset loss at home. In that loss their receivers achieved just four to seven yards after the catch. Here is a third NFL betting algorithm that has gone 16-22 SU and 25-13 ATS for 65.8% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. Bet on road dogs of 3.5 to 6.5 points. That road dog is coming off an upset home loss. That dog converted 20 to 30% of their third down opportunities. The game is a non-divisional matchup. Here is another NFL betting algorithm that has gone 15-14 SU and 18-10-1 for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Bet on road teams coming off an upset home loss. They had at least one turnover in that loss. The opponent in that loss had 15% or more QB pressures in that loss. If our road team had at least three turnovers in their previous upset home loss they have gone an amazing 6-5 SU and 10-1 ATS for 92% winning bets.
09-15-24	Giants +1.5 v. Commanders	Top	18-21	Loss	-105	3 h 36 m	Show
Giants vs Commanders 1:00 ET \| FOX \| Northwest Stadium 8-Unit bet on the Giants priced as 1.5-point dogs. In this situational betting angle specific to week 2 we learn that all dogs in week 2 that failed to cover the spread in week 1 and their current opponent failed to cover the spread in week 1 have gone 18-21 SU and 25-12-2 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Drilling deeper into the database we learn that if the dog’s margin to the spread in week 1 was the same as or worse than their opponent’s ats margin, our dogs have gone 13-9 SU and 19-2-1 ATS for a highly profitable 91% record. This situational betting algorithm has gone 49-55-1 SU, 64-34-7 ATS (65.3%) since 1989. Bet on road underdogs including pick-em and up to 5.5 points. The game is scheduled in the first three weeks of the regular season. This dog won six or fewer games in the previous season. The total is between 40 and 50 points. If these teams won between four and six games in the previous season. 37-37 SU (50%), 50-18-6 ATS (73.5%) winning bets since 1989; 14-4 SU (78%), 16-1-1 ATS (94%) winning bets since 2019. This NFL betting algorithm has produced a 37-33 SU and 45-21-4 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets since 1989. Bet on road dogs taking on a divisional foe. That host was outscored by four or more points-per-game in the previous season. The game occurs in the first four weeks of the season. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 25-18 SU and 27-13-3 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The game occurs in the first eight weeks of the season. Bet on road underdogs of three or fewer points including pick-em The favorite is on a 1 or more-game losing streak. From the Predictive Model: We learn that the Giants are 61-16 SU (79%) and 65-10-2 ATS when they have scored 21 or more points, recorded 10 passing first downs and had the same or fewer turnovers; 5-3 SU and 8-0 ATS over the past five seasons.
09-15-24	Raiders +9 v. Ravens	Top	26-23	Win	100	3 h 36 m	Show
Raiders vs Ravens 1 ET \| CBS \| M&T Bank Stadium 8-Unit Bet on the Raiders priced as 8-point underdogs and sprinkle the money line. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 17-22 SU record and 25-12-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. In Week 2 action bet on the underdogs. Both teams failed to cover the spread in their previous game. If the opponent was a playoff team in the previous season our dogs have ripped off a highly profitable 7-8 SU record and an 11-3-1 ATS mark good for 79% winning bets pver the past 10 seasons. There has always been the discussion and misconception that west coast teams struggle when having to travel to play a game on the east coast with an early start time at 1;00 ET. There are three west coast travelers in Week 2 (Raiders, Seahawks, and Chargers). Since 1999, these west coast teams taking on an east coast host have gone 52-39 SU (57%) and 51-36-4 ATS (59%). Over the past five seasons they have produced a 40-23 SU (64%) record and 28-23-2 ATS (62.3%) and 5-8 SU and 9-4 ATS (69%) when priced as a dog of 4 or more points. The Ravens are the most popular pick in the Circa Eliminator contest with 2,304 picks of the remaining 8,694 entries or 26.4%. Last week we bet the Patriost as +9 point dogs adn they took down the Bengals, who were the most popular pick in the Eliminator and with the loss eliminated 34% of the 12,000 entries. Can it happen again? We will see. From the Predictive Model: We learn that the Raiders are 12-5 SU (71%) and 14-3 ATS when they have scored 20 or more points and had the same or fewer turnovers in road games over the past five seasons.
09-15-24	Browns +3.5 v. Jaguars	Top	18-13	Win	100	2 h 26 m	Show
Browns vs Jaguars 1 ET \| CBS \| Everbank Stadium 8-Unit bet on the Browns priced as 3-point underdogs. This NFL betting algorithm has produced a 26-39 SU and 44-20-1 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This algorithm has posted one unprofitable season of the previous 10 in 2019 when it went 5-6 ATS. So, this is a great one to track and bet for many seasons to come. Bet on underdogs off a double-0digit home loss. The game occurs in the first four weeks of the season.
09-14-24	Georgia -22 v. Kentucky	Top	13-12	Loss	-110	29 h 12 m	Show
1 Georgia vs Kentucky 7:30 ET ABC/ESPN+ Korger Field, Lexington, KY 8-Unit Bet on the Georgia Bulldogs minus 24 points. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 158-52 straight-up (SU) and 136-72-2 against the spread (ATS) for 65.4% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams. The road team has allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games. The opponent is coming off a 17 or more-point loss. If the game is a conference showdown and the road team is favored by double-digits they have gone on post a 72-6 SU and 53-25 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 15 seasons and a highly profitable 44-4 SU and 36-12 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and not a single season that has not been profitable. I do not like laying this amount of chalk with any road team, but we are talking about the best team in the nation and the best program in college football for the past five seasons. Here is a second simple to understand betting algorithm that has gone 57-23 ATS for 71% winning bets and a highly profitable 40% ROI since 2020. The requirements are: The team has the same quarterback from the previous season. The opponent has a new quarterback this season. The team has allowed fewer than 200 yards in each of their last two games. The Predictive Model Projections: The predictive model is forecasting that Georgia will score 35 or more points, will have the same or fewer turnovers as Kentucky, and will rush the ball more times than they pass. In past games spanning the past five seasons, Georgia is 38-0 SU and 24-13-1 ATS for 65% winning bets when scoring 35 or more points; they are 18-0 SU and 16-2 ATS for 89% winning bets when scoring 35 or more points, posting more rushes than passes and having the same or fewer turnovers.
09-14-24	Boston College v. Missouri -14.5	Top	21-27	Loss	-105	4 h 7 m	Show
Boston College vs Missouri 12:45 ET \| 8-Unit Bet on Missouri currently priced as a 14.5-point favorite. Let’s start with the NCAAF betting algorithm that has produced a 180-40 SU and 126-88-6 ATS record for 59% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home or neutral site favorites of three or more points. Both teams are ranked in the Top 25. The game is part of the regular season. If the guest has covered the spread by 25 or more points over their last two games (Exceeded market expectations significantly) our home favorite has gone 28-3 SU and 21-9-1 for 70% winning bets. Missouri head coach Eliah Drinkwitz has nine returning starters including his quarterback. Last season they played 11 teams that played in a bowl game, and they defeated 10 of those foes. Their offense has sputtered in the first two weeks but having a BC squad that has shocked two opponents will get their full attention. Keep an eye on WR Luther Burden III, who is fast becoming a first round draft pick and future NFL superstar. If there are any prop bets for him in today’s game the OVER with some pizza money is in order. The Predictive Model Projections: The predictive model is expecting Missouri to score 31 or more points and/or gain at least 1.1 or more yards per play than BC gains. In past games where Missouri met or exceeded this performance measure in home games has seen them go 21-0 SU and 16-5 ATS for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.
09-14-24	Oklahoma State v. Tulsa +18.5	Top	45-10	Loss	-110	22 h 41 m	Show
Oklahoma State vs Tulsa Noon, Saturday, September 14 ESPN2 \| Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, OK 8-unit bet on Tulsa priced as an 18.5-point underdog. In each of the past 9 consecutive seasons I have had at least one underdog of 17.5 or more points win the game outright and in 2022 I had five of these massive dogs pull off the shocker. No one knows when these monumental upsets will occur. What i do know is that if you play these big barking pups each time and include a sprinkle on the money line you will add a significant amount of profits to your season-long bottom line. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 43-50 straight-up (SU) and 58-33-2 against the spread (ATS) for 64% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: Bet against any team coming off a win. That team allowed 600 or more total yards in that win. That team committed fewer turnovers than their previous opponent. If the game has a posted total of 50 or more points and that team above is favored by 11.5 or more points, fading then has produced a 18-7-1 ATS record for 72% winning bets. The Predictive Model Projections: The predictive model is forecasting that Tulsa will score 27 or more points and convert at least 40% of their third down attempts. In past games in which Tulsa met or exceeded these projections has led to a 5-5 SU record and a perfect 10-0 ATS record.
09-13-24	Arizona +7 v. Kansas State	Top	7-31	Loss	-109	7 h 43 m	Show
Arizona vs Kansas State 8:00 ET \| 8-Unit Bet on Arizona currently priced as a 7-point underdog. Let’s start with the NCAAF betting algorithm that has produced a 44-76 SU and 70-47-3 ATS record for 60% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. They had a winning record last season (bowl team). They are coming off a win priced as the favorite but failed to cover the spread. The game occurs in the first six weeks of the season. The second betting algorithm supporting Arizona has gone 40-23-2 ATS for 64% winning bets over the past 25 seasons and the requirements are: Bet on road dogs priced between pick-em and 9.5 points. They are coming off a win. In that win they failed to cover the spread by not even scoring enough points to exceed how much of a favorite they were in that game. They are facing an undefeated foe. So, Arizona was priced as a 43-point favorite and won the game 22-10. They failed toscore the betting line by 21 points, which is a quite rare result in college football. In fact, there have been just 6 games since 1996 that have seen a team win and failed by 21 points to equal their betting line. Moreover, teams that failed by 21 or more points to equal their betting line have gone 8-11 SU and 0-19 ATS in those games. Following these situations these teams have posted a 10-7 SU record and 10-7 ATS mark. The Predictive Model Projections: The predictive model is forecasting that Arizona will score 28 or more points and will gain 0.75 or more yards-per-play than K-State. In past games spanning the past five seasons, Arizona is 45-23 SU and 42-24-2 ATS fof64% winning bets when scoring 28 or more points; they are 22-7 SU and 19-10 ATS for 65.5% winning bets when they outgained their foes by 0.75 or more yards per play; 17-2 SU and 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets when they have scored 28 or more points and outgained their foes by at least 0.75 yards per play.
09-12-24	Bills +2.5 v. Dolphins	Top	31-10	Win	100	10 h 2 m	Show
Bills vs Dolphins 8:15 ET \| Amazon Prime \| Hard Rock Stadium 8-Unit bet on the Buffalo Bills plus the 2 points. Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 6 units on the Bills preflop and then look to get the remaining 2-Units on the Bills if the Dolphins score first and it is a TD or they get out to a 6-0 lead or they retake the lead by any amount during the first half of action. Situational Analytics: The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 27-19 straight-up (SU) and 31-14-1 against the spread (ATS) record good for 69% winning bets over the past 10 NFL seasons. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs from pick-em to 4.5 points. The game is a divisional showdown. The dog has defeated the opponent in each of their last two meetings. Our dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. The opponent is coming off a game against a non-divisional foe. Now, if our dog was in the playoffs last season, they have gone 19-6 SU (76%) and 20-5 ATS for 80% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. In this situational betting angle specific to week 2 we learn that all dogs in week 2 that failed to cover the spread in week 1 and their current opponent failed to cover the spread in week 1 have gone 18-21 SU and 25-12-2 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Drilling deeper into the database we learn that if the dog’s margin to the spread in week 1 was the same as or worse than their opponent’s ats margin, our dogs have gone 13-9 SU and 19-2-1 ATS for a highly profitable 91% record. Here is a third situational betting algorithm that has gone 40-15-1 SU and 39-16-1 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on any team facing a foe that trailed by double-digits at the half. The opponent did come back and win that home game. If our team has won 75% of more of their games, they have gone on to an impressive 19-0-1 SU record and a 17-2-1 ATS record good for 90% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. From the Predictive Models: My predictive models are projecting that the Bills will score 27 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers or commit no more than a single turnover and have the edge in time of possession. In past games since 2019, the Bills are 22-3 SU and 20-5 ATS for 80% winning bets when they have met or exceeded these performance metrics. The fish are just 2-15 SU and ATS for just 7% winning bets when they have allowed these performance measures in games played over the past five years.
09-11-24	A's v. Astros -1.5	Top	5-4	Loss	-114	9 h 42 m	Show
A’s vs Astros 8:10 ET 10-Unit Bet on the Astros using the –1.5 run line. The following MLB betting algorithm has produced a 47-9 record (84%) averaging a -102 bet resulting in a 45% ROI and making an $18,540 profit for the Dime Bettor and a $928 profit for the $50 per game bettor since 2019. The requirements are: Bet on home favorites using the –1.5 run line when the money line is priced between –175 and –250 on the money line. Divisional Matchup. The favorite is coming off a home loss by a single run priced as a favorite. Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 7 units on the Astros with the run line preflop and then look for the A’s to score first or retake the lead during the first three innings only. The downside is that if the Astros score first and the A’s never get a lead the 3-units will not have an opportunity to be bet. That also implies that the 7-Unit bet is winning comfortably too. Any variation of this combination wager is your decision meaning betting 8.5 units preflop and then 1.5-units more is fine. The A’s will have Joey Estes on the hill, who is 6-7 in 20 starts with a 4.46 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP including 86 K’s. He has not solid in road games going 2-5 with a 6.66 ERA and has allowed 10 home runs over 48 ⅓ innings of work. He has faced the Astros once previously and allowed a 0.350 batting average with four walks and four strikeouts. The Astros will have Unter Brown on the hill, who is 11-7 in 27 starts with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP including 161 strikeouts spanning 153 innings of work. At home, he is 5-3 with a 3.12 ERA and 74 strikeouts over 75 innings of work. The current A’s roster has struggled against Brown batting just 0.203 (12-for59). Brown has posted elite numbers across the board with an 85 MPH exit velocity, 30% hard-hit percentage, and a 25% strikeout percentage. Only 4.3% of batted balls in play have been barreled-up this season reflecting his excellent pitch movement and control. Last, Brown’s ERA over his last 10 starts has been one of the best in MLB at 1.78.
09-09-24	Jets v. 49ers -4	Top	19-32	Win	100	4 h 10 m	Show
NY Jets vs 49ers 8:15 ET \| ESPN/ABC 8-Unit bet on the 49ers –3.5 points –115 vig. If your book has four points that is acceptable with –110 vig. The 49ers are the Super Bowl losers and the trend to bet against them in Week 1 is outstanding, but all trends run their course and revert to the mean. However, my predictive models confirm that the market has clearly overreacted to this trend and now have the 49ers priced as modest favorites going up against a team that has been a perennial loser and has a 40-year QB that has not thrown a ball in over a year and was coming off the worst season of his career two seasons ago. There have been star names on defense that have left the 49ers, but they still have a great defense that can containalmost anything Aaron Rogers and the offense will throw at them tonight. The Jets have a great defense that is looking to be a Top 5 unit for the fifth consecutive season but one that the 49ers offense can overcome with Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel and Brandon Alyuk to name just a few of those offensive weapons. Former Kansas star center Dominick Puni will start for the 49ers as a rookie. He was the third-round draft pick (84th overall) and stands 6-5 and weighs in at 313 pounds and has a high football IQ. I think he has a significant edge in this matchup and will the OL play calls to keep his QB brock Purdy’s jersey as clean as possible tonight. From the Predictive Model: My predictive models are looking for a defensive battle but no graded play on the Under. It projects that the 49ers will score 24 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers than their foes and convert a higher percentage of third downs. The 49ers have racked up a 46-1 SU and 38-7-2 ATS record when meeting or exceeding these performance measures over the past five seasons.
09-09-24	Rays v. Phillies -1.5	Top	1-2	Loss	-103	2 h 28 m	Show
Rays vs Phillies 6:40 ET \| Citizens Bank park 8-unit bet on the Phillies using the –1.5-run line The following MLB betting algorithm has produced a 40-18 record good for 69% winning bets that have averaged a –160-wager using the money line and a 31-27 record averaging a 135-wager using the –1.5 run line resulting in a 26% ROI and a $14,310 profit for the $1,000 per game bettor and a $715 profit for the $50 per game bettor over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home favorites of –125 or greater using the –1.5 run line. The game occurs after the all-star break. The matchup is an inter-league game. The total is less than 10 runs. The home team is starting a pitcher with a 1.3 or lower WHIP. The opponent is starting a pitcher with an ERA of 2.90 or lower.
09-08-24	Rams +4.5 v. Lions	Top	20-26	Loss	-108	11 h 14 m	Show
Rams vs Lions 8:20 ET, September 8, 2024 Ford Field 10-Unit bet on the Rams +3.5 points. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 15-23 SU (40%) and 23-12-3 ATS (66%) winning bets since 1990. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs in Week 1. They are facing a host that won two or more games in the previous season than their current wins total. From my predictive models: The models project that the Rams will score 24 or more points, have no more than one turnover, and/or have the edge in time-of possession. IN past games since 1990, the Rams are 91-8 SU (92%) and 86-11-3 ATS (89%) when they have met or exceeded all three of these performance measures; 22-2- SU and 22-0-2 ATS since 2019.
09-08-24	Cowboys v. Browns -2.5	Top	33-17	Loss	-108	7 h 20 m	Show
Browns vs Cowboys 4:25 ET, September 8, 2024 \| FOX 8-Unit Bet on the Browns priced as 2.5-points favorites. Extremely sad news for the passing of Deshaun Watson’s father passing away and his status is uncertain. Family is always a top priority in our lives, and it brings to light what a luxury and privilege it is to have some entertainment and fun watching and betting on sporting events. Watson had spent much of his life estranged from his father, who left the family when he was young and left mother, Deann Watson, to raise him as well as three siblings. In 2017, Watson told the Houston Chronicle that he only remembered seeing his father "maybe five" times while growing up in Gainesville, Georgia. That is perhaps the saddest fact of all, but he still remembered him with a short message from Watson “Rest in Piece Pops”. There are quite a few situations angles and betting algorithms that are working against the Cowboys in this game. The Cowboys were the top scoring offense last season, scoring 30.2 PPG but that has not translated well into the following season. I fact, teams that averaged 30 or more PPG in the previous season are just 23-9 SU and 11-18-3 ATS for 38% in Week 1 action since 1992. If these teams are facing a playoff team from the previous season, they are a miserable 3-7 SUATS for 30% winning bets. The Cowboys were 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS in home games last season; they also led the NFl with a very efficient 12.07 yards per point ratio. Only the Eagles were better in-home games posting a 11.41 YPPT ratio with the Cowboys posting an exceptionally strong 11.49 YPPT ratio. Betting on home teams that are priced as favorites in Week 1 and facing a foe that won 9 or more games in the previous season have gone 43-114 SU and 59-89-9 ATS for 40% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. If the host was in the playoffs last season, they have gone 40-16 SU and 34-19-3 ATS for 64% winning bets in fading these types of road teams. From my predictive models: My predictive models are looking for the Browns’ defense to play as one of the best defensive units in the NFL. The Cowboys are projected to score fewer than 24 points and the Browns to have the ball (Time of Possession) more than the Cowboys. In road games, the Cowboys are just 3-12 SU (20% and 3-12 ATS (20%) when they have scored 24 or fewer points and had the ball for less than 30 minutes in games played over the past five seasons. The Browns are 24-2 SU (92%) and 17-8-1 ATS for (68%) when allowing 24 or fewer points and have the ball for more than 30 minutes in games played over the past five seasons.
09-08-24	Commanders +4 v. Bucs	Top	20-37	Loss	-105	7 h 20 m	Show
Commanders vs Bucs 4:25 ET, September 8, 2024 \| FOX Raymond James Stadium 5-Unit bet on the Commanders priced as 3.5-point underdogs. I am fully aware that we have a quarterback making his NFL debut and that the history of first timers has not been good. However, Daniels is ready for this moment and this season, and the Commanders defense is quite good and is able tp keep them in all games this season. Moreover, Daniels and the Commanders’ offense are facing a tea with slim hopes and expectations of becoming a playoff team and sets the stage for them to get the win. The Bucs posted the second worst defensive yards-per-point ratio in the league last year and that too will make it an easier task for Daniels to move the chains and sustain drives. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 37-37 SU (50%) and 50-18-6 ATS (74%) winning bets since 1990. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs of 5.5 or fewer points in the first three weeks of the season. The total is priced between 40 and 50 points. The dog won between 4 and 6 games in the previous season. From my predictive models: The models project that the Bucs will not score more than 24 points, and the Commanders will have more red zone opportunities. The Commanders are 80-23 SU (78%) and 77-23-3 ATS (77%) since 1990 when meeting or exceeding these performance measures and 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS over the past five seasons.
09-08-24	Patriots +8 v. Bengals	Top	16-10	Win	100	4 h 56 m	Show
Patriots vs Bengals 1 ET, Sunday September 8, 2024 \| CBS Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH 8-Unit Bet on the Patriots priced as a 7.5-point underdogs. This is the game that has had the most media attention focused on it especially in the Circa Survivor and Millions contests. The theme has been that the line is a gift from the books with the Bengals the far superior team and the Patriots expected to be one of the worst in the NFL. Why then, are the Patriots priced only as a 7.5-underdog? The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a remarkable 16-14 SU and 21-9 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2000. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs. The game occurs within the first four weeks of the season. The home team is facing the defending super bowl champion in their next game. If the game occurs in the first two weeks of the season, these road teams have gone 9-6 SU and 12-3 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2002. Look out Circa Survivor entries as an extremely large number of entries and the most popular choice in the contest is the Bengals. The last five years of the contest as seen stunning carnage in the first few weeks and especially week 1 of the season with large favorites failing to come through with a win. There are 4,895 entries in the survivor pool on the Bengals out of a total of 14,206 $1,000 entries. That represents 34% of the pool either advances with a Bengals win or exits with a shocking Bengals loss. Thia is not the reason why we are on the Patriots, but it is a keep piece of near-irrational exuberance by the public herd and that is always a contrarian opportunity. From my predictive models: My predictive models are looking for the Patriots defense to play well and contain the Bengals to 24 or fewer points and have no more than one turnover or have the same or fewer turnovers as the Bengals. To be fair this is a new edition fo the Patriots with a new coaching staff and several younger players on the roster starting with QB Drake May, who may become the starter. However, the Bengals are 28-81 SU (26%) and 25-80-4 ATS (24%) in home games in which they scored 24 or fewer points and the opponent committed no more than one turnover in games played since 1989 and 3-16 SU (16%) and 3-13-3 ATS (19%) over the past five seasons.
09-08-24	Panthers +4 v. Saints	Top	10-47	Loss	-115	4 h 55 m	Show
Panthers vs Saints 1:00 ET Week 1 \| FOX Caesars Superdome 8-Unit best Bet on the Panthers +3.5 points. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 50-18-6 ATS (74%) winning bets since 1990. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs of 6.5 or fewer points in the first four weeks of the season. The favorite won their last two games of the previous season The favorite failed to make the playoffs. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 22-36 SU (38%) and a 38-20 ATS (65%) winning bets since 1990. The requirements are: Bet on teams that won two or more games in the previous season than the season before that one. The opponent had won two or more games two seasons ago than last season. It is week 1 of the season. The opponent had a winning record last season. Our team had a losing record in the previous season.
09-08-24	Steelers +4 v. Falcons	Top	18-10	Win	100	4 h 54 m	Show
Steelers vs Falcons 1:00 ET \| FOX Mercedes-Benz Stadium 8-Unit bet on the Steelers plus the 4 points. The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 15-23 SU (40%) and 23-12-3 ATS (66%) winning bets since 1990. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs that have defeated the current opponent in each of the last two meetings. The opponent won two or fewer of their lasty five games in the previous season. The dog won three or more of their last five games of the previous season. The total is 46 or fewer points. The occurs in the first 8 weeks of the season.
09-07-24	Texas Tech +1 v. Washington State	Top	16-37	Loss	-108	15 h 1 m	Show
Texas Tech vs Washington State 10 ET, Saturday September 7, 2024 \| FOX Gesa Field, Pullman, WA 8-Unit Bet on the Texas Tech +2.5 points The Red Raiders are coming off a big-time scare as they needed overtime to defeat Abeline Christian 52-51 priced as a whopping 31.5-point favorite. That has been a very rare situation, but if you have been a log-time subscriber you already know I have had at least one underdog of 17.5 points that has won straight-up. Of course, I never know when those monster upsets will occur, but it is always rewarding when we nail one of them. I think there has been an overreaction to the the near historic loss that Texas Tech overcame last week. That type of game will get their attention, and you can bet the coaching staff has been in their players’ faces all week. This Situational CFB Betting Algorithm has gone 8-7 SU and 10-5 ATS and is as rare as the outcome of last week’s game. Bet on road underdogs. The dog is coming off a home win. They won the game by four or fewer points priced as a –24 or more-point favorite. They are taking on a non-conference foe. If the game occurs in week 2 these road teams have bounced back with a 4-5 SU and 7-2 ATDS mark good for 78% winning bets. My predictive model projects that TT will score at least 30 points and in past games since 2019 they are 24-10 SU and 26-8 ATS for 77% winning bets. WSU is just 3-18 SU and 5-16 ATS for 24% winning bets when they have allowed 31 or more points in games played over the past 5 seasons.
09-07-24	East Carolina v. Old Dominion -1	Top	20-14	Loss	-110	11 h 3 m	Show
East Carolina vs Old Dominion 6 ET ESPN+ S.B. Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, VA 8-Unit bet on ODU priced as a –1.5-point favorite. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 22-4 SU and 17-9 ATS (65.4%) record since 1999. The requirements are: The game is played in Week 2. The team played in a bowl game in the previous season. The team is coming off a loss in Week 1 and is favored now. The team lost the previous game tp the current opponent.
09-07-24	Marshall v. Virginia Tech -19.5	Top	14-31	Loss	-110	10 h 32 m	Show
Marshall vs Virginia Tech 4:30 ET, September 7 \| The CW Network Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA 8-Unit Bet on V-Tech minus 20.5 points. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 22-4 SU and 17-9 ATS (65.4%) record since 1999. The requirements are: The game is played in Week 2. The team played in a bowl game in the previous season. The team is coming off a loss in Week 1 and is favored now. The team lost the previous game tp the current opponent.
09-06-24	Packers v. Eagles -2	Top	29-34	Win	100	9 h 40 m	Show
Green Bay vs Philadelphia 8:15 ET, September 6, 2024 \| Peacock Corinthians Arena, Sao Paulo, Brazil 8-Unit Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles –2 points. The Eagles are looking to bounce back from an ugly second half of last season after starting out with the League’s best record at 10-1. Their next game is in Week 2 at home against the Atlanta Falcons and will be televised on MNF and are priced as a 3.5-point home favorite. This game is in Brazil and is a historic first time ever that an NFL game has been played in South America. Still. It is not like these teams traveling to London and bringing their families along because the crime rate is so high that both teams have been ordered to remain in their hotels for fear of being mugged and robbed. The Eagles are 19-6 SU and 15-9-1 ATS for 63% winning bets when favored in games against a non-divisional foe and their next game is on MNF. Live Betting Strategy: First, if you like the Eagles in Week 2 you may want to bet a few units on them now in case the Eagles win this game convincingly and the Falcons lose as 3.5-point home favorites to the Steelers. In this game with the total at 49.5 points implies that there will be more scoring volatility and lead changes than games priced at 40 or fewer points, for instance. So, I like making a 6-Unit bet preflop on the Eagles at –2 (maybe –1.5 later today) and then look to add the remaining 2-Units on the Eagles using the money line if the Packers score the first TD of the game or retake the lead during the first half of action. The NFL Situational Betting Algorithm The following NFL betting system has produced a 115-43 SU and 95-59-4 ATS record good for 62% winning bets since 1990. The requirements are: Bet on favorites in Week 1. The underdog won 8 or more games in the previous season. If favored by 1.5 or more points these teams have gone to an impressive 110-35 SU and 93-51-1 ATS record good for 65% winning bets. From the Predictive Models: My predictive models project that the Eagles will score 27 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games over the past 3 seasons in which the Eagles met these performance measures has seen them go 18-2 SU and 14-5-1 ATS (74%). When Green Bay allowed these performance measures has seen them go 3-8 SU and just 1-10 ATS for 10% winners.
09-05-24	Ravens v. Chiefs -3	Top	20-27	Win	104	9 h 11 m	Show
Ravens vs Chiefs 8:20 ET, September 4, 2024 \| Peacock/NBC 8-Unit best bet on the Chiefs minus three points. Optional Pizza Money Prop Bets: 1-Unit Mahomes Over 267 passing yards 1-Unit Mahomes Over 25 completions. Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then bet the Chiefs with the remaining 30% amount if the Ravens score first (3 or more points) or the Ravens retake the lead at any point during the first of action. During the 2023 regular season, the Chiefs scored a total of 64 points in the first quarter, but then scored 155 points in the second quarter. The Ravens defense allowed 40 points in the first quarter and 72 in the second quarter. So, do not be surprised at all if the Ravens have a lead at some point during the first half of action but exploit that situation as detailed above. The NFL Situational Betting Algorithm: The following situational system has gone 17-5 SU (77%) and 13-7-1 ATS (65%) since 2002. The requirements are: Bet on the defending Super Bowl champion in Week 1 ThatChampion is playing at home. If they are at home and facing a conference foe, they have gone 15-2 SU (88%) and 11-5-1 ATS (69%) since 2002. Moreover, Patrick Mahomes is 4-1 when facing Lamar Jackson. From the Predictive Models:My predictive models are expecting the Ravens to score fewer than 24 points and have a lower and more efficient yards-per-point ratio. In past home games where the Chiefs met these projections they have gone on to a 26-1 SU (96%) and 20-6-1 ATS (77%) record over the past five seasons. Patrick Mahomes is 17-1 SU and 12-5-1 ATS (71%) when he has completed 25 or more passes and passed for 300 or more yards his career when the Chiefs have been priced as a 6 or fewer-point favorite.
09-05-24	Phillies -1.5 v. Marlins	Top	5-2	Win	100	7 h 20 m	Show
Phillies vs Marlins 6:40 ET, September 4, 2024 10-Unit bet on the Phillies using the –1.5 run line priced at –140 favorites. The Phillies have all but won the NL East Division title having a current 7-game lead, but they will not let up on the gas pedal. They currently trail the Dodgers by ½ game for the best record in the NL and have a 3-game lead over the third-best record held by the Brewers. The Top 2 records get the BYE in the first round of the playoffs, which is monumentally important as they will then face a winner from the high-leverage 3-game Wild Card Round. The following MLB betting algorithm has produced a 33-4 SU and 29-7 –1.5-run line record that has averaged a –120 favorite resulting in a 55% ROI and a $22,920 profit for the $1,000 per game bettor and a $1,146 profit for the $50-per-game bettor. The requirements are: Bet on road favorites using the –1.5 run line with the money line priced at –170 or greater. It is the first game of a series. The opponent is coming off an extra-innings game and is playing with no rest. If the game occurs after the all-star break these road teams have gone a near-perfect 16-1 SU (94%) averaging a –120 wager using the run line and producing a 74% ROI making a $14,300 profit for the $1,000 per game bettor and a $715 profit for the $50 per-game bettor and reflects that even a smaller bettor can reap the benefits of my more than 5,000 betting algorithms across all sports by getting on board with a subscription that includes these 10-UNIT bets at a price of $250 for the next 90-days of all access plays. If you prefer a shorter time frame $150 will get you the next 30 days (about 4 and a half weeks) across all sports and every best bet, I release.
09-01-24	Winnipeg +2.5 v. Saskatchewan	Top	35-33	Win	100	103 h 42 m	Show
Blue Bombers vs Roughriders 8-Unit Bet on the Blue Bombers Sunday, September 1, 2024 The following CFL betting algorithm has gone 86-44 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams. The home team is averaging 4.6 or fewer yards-per-rush. The road team’s defense is allowing between 4.5 and5.75 yards-per-rush If our team is priced between pick-em and a 4.5-point underdog has seen them go 24-13 SU (65%) and 28-9 ATS for 76% winning bet over the past 15 seasons. Live Betting Strategy: Given that our underdog is in an excellent situation to win the game consider betting 5.5-units preflop and then look to add the remaining amount if the Roughriders if they strike first with a score of 3 or more points or have a lead of 6 or more points during the first half of action.
08-31-24	Wyoming +6.5 v. Arizona State	Top	7-48	Loss	-110	82 h 19 m	Show
Wyoming vs Arizona State 8-Unit bet on the Wyoming Cowboys getting 6.5 points. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 92-49-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: The game is played in the regular season. The difference between the money bet (handle) and the percentage of tickets is between 11 and 65%. The line movement from opening to closing price is between –0.5 and –9.5 points. The team is the visitor. The spread percentage is between 24 and 40%. So, we have a situation in the markets where the percentage of money bet less the percentage of tickets bet shows that the handle percentage is 11 to 65% more than the tickets percentage. The difference from opening to closing price has worked against the team we are betting on. Currently the line has moved only a half point from +7 to +6.5 points and only 33% of the tickets but 62% of the money is on the Cowboys.
08-31-24	Clemson v. Georgia -11.5	Top	3-34	Win	100	23 h 58 m	Show
No. 14 Clemson vs No. 1 Georgia Noon ET, August 31, 2024 \| ABC/ESPN+ 10-Unit Bet on Georgia priced at 12-point favorites. 3-Unit Pizza-Money bet Under Clemson’s team total Consider betting 70% of your 10-Unit bet on Georgia preflop and then look to add 15% on Georgia at –10.5 points and 15% more on Georgia at –7.5 points. I have learned and profited from this week 1 matchups involving two ranked teams over the years and now this one looks quite string. Remember to bet with your head and not over it. These 10-Unit 5% Max Bets have lost 33% ATS of the time over the past five football seasons. No one knows if the bet is going to win on any given day – confident bets are different than being Nostradamus – but I rely on the fact that they have hit at great winning percentages over 5+ seasons and that by the end of the season we have reason to believe that significant profits will be made again. In week 1 of the regular season and with both teams playing their first game, both are ranked in the AP preseason poll and the difference between these ranks is between 1 and 19, the higher ranked team has gone 28-19 ATS for 60% winners. So, Georgia is ranked #1 and Clemson #14 for a difference of 13. In week 1 and 2 matchups of ranked teams, the favorites priced between –3 and –17.5 points that are playing at home or on a neutral field have gone 37-22-1 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past 20 seasons; in Week 1 action they have gone 24-12 ATS for 67% winning bets. From the Predictive Model We are expecting Georgia to score 28 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers than Clemson. In past games played at home or on a neutral field Georgia is 25-0 SU and 19-5-1 ATS when they have scored 28 or more points and had the same or fewer turnovers spanning the past three seasons. Since the arrival of Kirby Smart, Georgia is 52-2 SU and 38-15-1 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2016 when scoring 28 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers. Clemson is an anemic 1-6 and 0-7 ATS in games played on the road or a neutral field where they allowed 28 or more points and had the same of more turnovers than the foe spanning the past three seasons. Under Dabo Swinney, the Tigers are just 14-24 SU and 9-29 ATS for 24% winners when allowing 28 or more points and having the same or more turnovers since 2008. The predictive model grades this a 10-Unit 5% Max bet with an 84% probability that the performance measures identified above will occur in the game. Coach Smart is in his ninth season and is 94-16 SU and 70-43 ATS and this has been accomplished in the SEC Conference. In a somewhat rare situation, he returns 7 starters on both offense and defense and had the top-ranked recruiting class. This is rare because over the last two seasons, he has sent 25 players to the NFL. However, this season he has his returning starting quarterback Carson Beck, who is coming off a 13-1 campaign and a Archie Maning award finalist. He led the Bulldogs to a 5-1 SUATS record when facing Top-25 opponents. Since Smart’s arrival, Georgia has gone 28-10 and 27-11 ATS for 71% winning bets when facing a ranked foe either at home or on a neutral field. Good Luck to Us and remember always bet with your head and never over it and may all the wins be yours.
08-30-24	Mets v. White Sox +1.5	Top	5-1	Loss	-100	7 h 32 m	Show
Mets vs CWS 8-Unit Bet on the CWS using the +1.5 run-line priced at . This looks like. crazy bet to make tonight but as the following research reveals there are many solid intelligent reasons to get on this bet. One option is to bet 6-Units on the +1.5 run-line and 2-Units on the money line priced at +185 for a bit more aggressive play. The following betting algorithm has produced a 48-48 (50%) record averaging a 148-underdog bet resulting in a terrific 22% ROI and making a $27,780 profit for the Dime Bettor and $1,389 profit for the $50-per-game bettor since 2019. Using the +1.5 run-line has produced a 62-34 (65%) record averaging a –111 wager resulting in a 25% ROI and making a $28,840 profit for the $1,000 per game bettor and a $1,442 profit for the $50 per game bettor. The requirements are: Bet on home dogs that are batting less than 0.240 over their last 10 games. The dog is starting a pitcher that has allowed 5 or more runs (earned and unearned combined) in each of his last two starts. Granted this is certainly a ‘Hold Your Nose” betting opportunity placing money on a historically poor team, but the situation warrants and identifiesexactly why. You never have to bet every game I recommend either and I have zero ego so do not worry about hurting my feelings if you read this and decided there was no chance you were going to wager on the CWS. The Blackjack MLB Betting Connection The reason I call these betting algorithms Blackjack Betting systems has nothing to do with the game strategy involved with the most popular casino game on the planet, but it does have to do with the payouts of the game and the algorithm. In the game of Blackjack you are paid $100 for a winning $100 hand/bet and 3:2 odds for getting Blackjack, which is 21 attained with the first two cards dealt to you. Let’s remove the 3:2 payout for simplicity reasons. The betting algorithm above has made 96 bets. In Blackjack if you play 96 $100 hands and win 48 and lose 48 of them, you would have made nothing. However, in this specific betting algorithm you would have been paid $148 for every winning hand/bet made, which turns into a $2,780 profit per $100 per game bet. That is far better results than sitting at a BJ table and you do not even have to leave the comfort of your home.
08-28-24	Lynx -4 v. Mercury	Top	89-76	Win	100	10 h 47 m	Show
Lynx vs Mercury 8-Unit Bet on the Lynx priced as 3.5-point favorites. The following WNBA betting algorithm has produced a 72-43-2 ATS record for 63% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road favorites that plays slower than most and is averaging 62 or more shot attempts per game. The opponent averages 62 or more shots per game. The road team shot over 50% in their previous game. The game occurs after the 20th one. A modified variation of this profitable betting system reflects the increase in scoring and pace of play in the WNBA. The results have been a highly profitable 29-10 DSU and 26-12-1 ATS for 68.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons; 22-8 SU and 20-9-1 ATS for 69% winners; Bet on teams that play slow shooting between 65 and 69 shots per game. Previous game shot 50% from the field. The opponent plays the same pace based on shots per game The team is a road favorite
08-28-24	Dream v. Storm -8	Top	81-85	Loss	-108	10 h 46 m	Show
Dream vs Storm 8-Unit bet on the Storm priced as an 8.5-point favorites. The following WNBA betting algorithm has produced a 72-43-2 ATS record for 63% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on hone favorites coming off a loss. That home team has failed to cover the spread in 7 or 8 of their past 9 games. If our team has a winning record they have gone 14-2 SU and 13-3 ATS good for 81% winning bets. So, for a LIVE in-game strategy, if the Storm struggles out of the gate and the money line gets to –130 or less consider adding 1 or 2 units using the money line since we know this situation has gone 14-2 SU.
08-24-24	Browns v. Seahawks +2		33-37	Win	100	124 h 12 m	Show
Browns vs Seahawks 8-Unit bet on the Seahawks priced as 1-point road favorites. This betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 16-6 SU (73%) and 15-7 STS (71%) winning record. The requirements are: The game occurs in Week 3. Bet against the team that has lost their first two games by 11 or more points in each one. Each season, there are teams that just do not take any chances for injuries to occur adn the Browns are that team this season that have been blown out in each of their first two preseason games. In 32% of these games those teams do show up somewhat and cover the number in Week 3, but we like the 69% winning tickets betting against them
08-24-24	BC +1 v. Ottawa	Top	27-34	Loss	-115	105 h 17 m	Show
Lions vs Redblacks 8-Unit bet on the Lions priced as 1-point underdogs or the money line, whichever is cheaper at your book. The following CFL betting algorithm has produced a 23-13 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Bet on teams coming off a loss. The opponent is coming off an upset road win. If our team is the road team, they have gone 16-9 ATS for 64% winning bets and the Under is 15-9 for 67% winning bets.
08-24-24	Vikings v. Eagles	Top	26-3	Win	100	115 h 13 m	Show
Vikings vs Eagles 8-Unit bet on the Vikings priced as pick-em The following NFLX sports betting algorithm has produced a 10-6 SU record and a 11-4-1 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the past 20 NLX seasons. The requirements are: The game occurs in Week 3 or Week 4 (There are now only three weeks of NFLX, but this is still valid) Bet on the underdog. All these games saw the dog priced between pick-em and 3.5-points.
08-22-24	Colts v. Bengals +6.5	Top	27-14	Loss	-104	4 h 16 m	Show
Thursday, August 22, 2023 8-Unit bet on the Bengals as they take on the Colts priced as 6.5-point underdogs. The following NFLX betting algorithm has gone 35-14 ATS (71%) over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on dogs priced between 2.5 and 6.5-points. That team is coming off a game in which they allowed 13 or fewer points. The total is less than 40 points. The betting public has been all over the Colts this week and the player status reports have a lot to do with that move, but the public continue to bet them. Only 33% of the tickets are going onthe Bengals and I think that number will increase toward 40% in the final hours of trade. We are getting great value at 6.5 points and I would not be surprised to see this game decided by three or fewer points and even a Bengals win in the mix.
08-20-24	Angels v. Royals -1.5	Top	9-5	Loss	-100	10 h 28 m	Show
Angels vs Royals 8-Unit bet on the Royals using the –1.5 run line priced at The following betting algorithm has gone 77-23 (77%) and 62-38 (62%) using the run line line that has resulted in a 27% ROI and a $30,390 profit for the $1,000-per-game bettor and an $608 profit for the $50-per-game bettor over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home favorites using the –1.5 run line that are priced at –150 and greater using the money line. The game is a non-divisional matchup. That home team has scored 25 or more riuns over their previous three games. That home team was the favorite in their previous game. The total is priced between 7 and 9 runs. The game is not the last game of the series.
08-20-24	Storm -6 v. Mystics		83-77	Push	0	9 h 18 m	Show
Storm vs Mystics 8-Unit bet on the Storm priced as 6.5-point rod favorites. The following WNBA betting algorithm has gone 40-21 ATS good for 65.6% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams that are scoring 76 or more PPG. The home team is scoring 76 or more PPG. The road team has had one day of rest. The home team is coming off a horrid loss of 15 or more points.
08-20-24	Wings v. Liberty -11.5	Top	74-94	Win	100	9 h 18 m	Show
Wings vs Libertyy 8-Unit bet on Liberty priced as a 14-point favorite. The following WNBA betting algorithm has produced a 57-23 (71%) SU rand 50-28-2 ASTS (64%) winning bets over the past 6 seasons. The requirements are: The game is a non-conference matchup. The opponent is coming off a double-digit home loss. The opponent has a losing record.
08-18-24	Saints v. 49ers +1	Top	10-16	Win	100	80 h 21 m	Show
Saints vs 49ers 8-Unit bet on the 49ers +2.5 points. The following NFLX sports betting algorithm has produced a 20-25-1 SU record and a 32-14-3 ATS record good for 70% winning bets over the past 10 NLX seasons. The requirements are: Bet on any team that allowed 13 or fewer points in their previous game. That team is priced as a 2.5 to 6.5-point underdog. The total is 39.5 or fewer points.
08-18-24	Winnipeg v. BC -1	Top	20-11	Loss	-110	97 h 16 m	Show
Lions vs Roughriders 8-Unit Bet on the Roughriders priced as a 2.5-point favorite. The following CFL betting algorithm has gone 70-59 SU and 85-44 ATS for 66% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are: Bet on road teams. That road team is allowing 4.5 to 5.75 rushing yards per attempt. The host is averaging 4.6 rushing yards per attempt. If the game occurs after the first four weeks of the regular season these road teams have gone 58-46 SU (56%) and 70-34 ATS for 68% winners. If the home team is priced between the 3’s the road team has gone an impressive 26-7 SU (79%) and 26-7 ATS (79%) since 2007. Remember always to bet with your head and never over it and may all the wins be yours.
08-17-24	Bills +4.5 v. Steelers	Top	9-3	Win	100	55 h 22 m	Show
Bills vs Steelers 8-Unit bet on the Bills +4.5 points The following NFLX sports betting algorithm has produced a 16-13 SU record and a 23-7 ATS record good for 77% winning bets over the past 10 NLX seasons. The requirements are: Bet on any team that allowed 13 or fewer points in their previous game. That team is priced as a 2.5 to 6.5-point underdog. The total is 37 or fewer points.
08-17-24	Jets v. Panthers +1	Top	15-12	Loss	-110	55 h 21 m	Show
Jets vs Panthers 8-Unit Best Bet on the Panthers +4 points. The following NFLX sports betting algorithm has produced a 16-13 SU record and a 23-7 ATS record good for 77% winning bets over the past 10 NLX seasons. The requirements are: Bet on any team that allowed 13 or fewer points in their previous game. That team is priced as a 2.5 to 6.5-point underdog. The total is 37 or fewer points.
08-15-24	Liberty v. Sparks +11.5	Top	103-68	Loss	-120	27 h 10 m	Show
Liberty vs Sparks 8-Unit Bet on the Sparks priced as 11-point home underdogs. The following WNBA betting algorithm has produced a 21-11 SU record and 21-11 ATS mark good for 66% winning bets. The requirements are: Bet on home teams. Both teams played Over in their previous game. The visitor is on a three or more-game win streak and ats win streak. The total is priced at 160 or more points.
08-15-24	Eagles +2.5 v. Patriots	Top	14-13	Win	100	79 h 32 m	Show
Eagles vs Patriots 7 ET Thursday, August 15th 8-Unit bet on the Eagles priced as 2.5-point underdogs The following NFLX betting algorithm has gone 27-11 for 71% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams. That road team allowed 13 or fewer points in their previous game. The game occurs in the preseason. Remember always to bet with your head and never over it and may all the wins be yours.
08-13-24	Yankees v. White Sox +1.5	Top	4-1	Loss	-100	5 h 47 m	Show
Premium Best Bets for August 13, 2024 Yankees vs CWS 8-Unit Best Bet on the CWS using the +1.5 run line. I strongly recommend splitting this bet into two parts with 3-units on the money line and 5-Units on the +1.5-run line. Just goes to show you that betting on dogs in specific situations can prove to be quite profitable every season and last night’s shocker on the CWS happens more often than people think. Over the past five season betting on dogs priced at +235 and higher using the money line has produced a 94-213 record for just 31% winning bets, but by averaging a 275 underdog wager gas resulted in a solid 10%ROI and a profit of $52,250 for the $1,000-per-game bettor and a $2,612.50 profit for the $50-per-game bettor. In 2024 simply blindly betting on dogs of +235 and higher has gone 11-21 for 33% but has averaged a 23% ROI and a $12,250 profit for the $1,000 per game bettor and a $612.50 profit for the $50-per-game bettor. Extremely simple to do and it makes money each season! The following MLB betting algorithm has produced a 14-33 SU record for just 30% winners but by averaging a 300-underdog bet has resulted in a 15% ROi and a $14,150 profit for the $1,000 per game bettor and a $707.50 profit for the $50 per game better. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs of 235 and higher using the money line. The favorite has won 40 or more games than the underdog in the current season.
08-12-24	Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5	Top	4-5	Loss	-130	9 h 14 m	Show
Premium Best Bets for August 12, 2024 Rockies vs Diamondbacks 8-Unit Best Bet on the Diamondbacks priced as -130-favoites using the –1.5 run line. The following MLB betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 54-13 record for 81% and has averaged a –171-favorite bet resulting in a 37% ROI and a $33,760 profit for the Dime Bettor or a $1,688 profit for the $50 per game bettor. The requirements are: Bet on favorites when the underdog is priced at 125 or higher. That underdog is coming off an upset home win. That underdog overcame a three or more run deficit to get that win. The dog’s previous opponent left fewer than 10 runners on base. If the dog is priced at 175 or higher, these favorites have gone an incredible 16-2 for 89% winning bets and 15-3 using the –1.5 run line averaging a –1340-wager resulting in a 45% ROI and earning a $11,750 profit for the $1,000 per game better or a $587.50 profit for the $50-per-game bettor. As most of you already know we are coming off a terrific Sunday winning both underdog and the parlay too. The Rockies defeated the Braves and the A’s destroyed the Blue Jays. The parlay was priced with the Rockies +152 and the A’s priced at +139 for a return of $502.28 on a $100 bet. Now, we are on a significant favorite but catching their opponent coming off a big upset win and a team that is one of the worst in the league.
08-11-24	BC +2 v. Edmonton Elks	Top	16-33	Loss	-110	8 h 15 m	Show
Lions vs Elks CFL \| 7 ET Sunday August 11, 2024 10-Unit bet on the Lions priced as The following CFL betting algorithm has been used to produce a 23-12 ATS record good for 66% winning bets and a 21-14 Under mark good for 60% winning bets over the past five seasons. So far this season it has gone 3-2 ATS and 4-1 Under. The requirements are: Bet on any team coming off a loss. That team is taking on a foe that is coming off an upset road win (Priced as the dog). If our team is the road team, which the Lions are, has produced an even better 16-8 ATS record good for 67% winning bets and the Under has gone 15-9 for 63% winning bets. This betting algorithm has had 10 consecutive profitable seasons and is one that can be expected to produce profits over the next decade. Remember always to bet with your head and never over it and may all the wins be yours.
08-11-24	Broncos +2 v. Colts	Top	34-30	Win	100	2 h 18 m	Show
Broncos vs Colts 8-Unit bet on the Broncos priced as The following NFLX betting algorithm has gone 27-16 for 63% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on any team that is receiving between 10 and 41% of the handle bet. The betting line has improved for our team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. The game is played in the preseason. The Broncos opened as 2-point road favorites but are currently priced as a 1.5-point dog. They have garnered just 34% of the handle in early Sunday morning action and it is very unlikely they are going to see enough interest to get above the 41% threshold. Two head coaches in Sean Peyon and Shane Steichen enter their second season with their teams and looking to be significantly ebtter than they were last season. Denver has a QB1 battle and identifying the starter will begin the rebuilding process and possibly run to the playoffs. The Colts simply want to return to the playoffs. Former QB Russell Wilson has moved on and is no longer the scape got for going 8-9 last season. Enter draft pick Bo Nix and the start of his pro career behind a much-improved offensive line that is expected to see at least one full series of action tonight. Their running back Javonte Williams has flashed signs of greatness in practices and return WR’s Courtland Sutton and Marvin Mims, Jr. So, even though they are on the road, the view is that they will play starters and evaluate second teams determining where the Broncos stand right now. The Colts went 9-8 last season without their star QB Anthony Richardson, who is healthy this season. The Colts have gotten even better on the defensive line making it very difficult for any team to establish a ground attack. That unit will see a series, maybe, so the Broncos will run offenses no matter which unit is in the game against a vastly weaker defensive line. Remember always to bet with your head and never over it and may all the wins be yours.
08-02-24	Montreal -4.5 v. Hamilton	Top	33-16	Win	100	29 h 57 m	Show
Alouettes vs Tiger Cats 8-Unit bet on the Alouettes priced as 4.5-point favorites The following CFL betting algorithm has produced an 81-41 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the past 18 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams. The road team’s defense allows 4.5 to 5.75 yards per rush. The home team is gaining 4.6 or fewer yards-per-rush. If the game occurs after the first four weeks of the regular season these road teams have gone 55-40 SU (58%) and 64-31 ATS for 68% winners. If the game occurs after week 4 and the home team is favored these road underdogs have gone an impressive 45-14 ATS for 76% winning bets over the past 18 seasons and has gone 41-11 ATS for 79% winning bets since 2011.
07-21-24	BC v. Calgary +4.5	Top	24-25	Win	100	32 h 27 m	Show
Lions vs Stampeders 8-Unit Bet on the Stampeders priced as 4.5-point underdogs. The following CFL betting algorithm has produced a 22-12-2 ATS record for 65% winning bets since 2008. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs priced between pick-em and 4.5 points. The opponent is coming off a game in which both they and their foe scored in every quarter. The opponent is coming off a win.
07-19-24	Winnipeg -3.5 v. Saskatchewan	Top	9-19	Loss	-110	7 h 56 m	Show
Blue Bombers vs Roughriders (Friday) 10-Unit bet on the Blue Bombers priced as 3.5-point favorites The following CFL betting algorithm has produced an 80-40 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the past 18 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams. The road team’s defense allows 4.5 to 5.75 yards per rush. The home team is gaining 4.6 or fewer yards-per-rush. If the game occurs after the first four weeks of the regular season these road teams have gone 55-40 SU (58%) and 64-31 ATS for 68% winners. If the game occurs after week 4 and the home team is favored these road underdogs have gone an impressive 44-14 ATS for 76% winning bets over the past 18 seasons and has gone 40-11 ATS for 78% winning bets since 2011 and a highly profitable 24-4 ATS good for 86% winning bets since 2017.
07-17-24	Dream +8.5 v. Lynx	Top	79-86	Win	100	2 h 7 m	Show
Dream vs Lynx 8-Unit Bet on the Dream priced as a The following WNBA betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 220-377 record using the money line that has averaged a 275-underdog bet and earning a 25% ROI over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs. The dog lost the previous meeting. The dog’s winning percentage equals or is no more than 60% less than the opponent. The opponent is coming off a loss of not more than 9 points. If the total is priced between 150 and 159.5 points these road teams have gone 6-8 SU and 10-4 ATS good for 71.4% winning bets.
07-16-24	Sky v. Aces -12	Top	93-85	Loss	-127	11 h 22 m	Show
Sky vs Aces 8-Unit bet on the Aces priced as 13-point home favorites. The following WNBA betting algorithm has produced a 48-26-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: The game is a non-conference matchup. The opponent i coming off a double-digit home loss. The opponent has a losing record. If our team has won 65% or more of their games, they have gone 16-6-1 ATS for 70% winning bets.
07-16-24	Mercury -4 v. Mystics	Top	96-87	Win	100	1 h 52 m	Show
Mercury vs Mystics 8-Unit Best Bet on the Mercury priced as 4.5-point road favorites. The following WNBA betting algorithm has produced a 48-26-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: The game is a non-conference matchup. The opponent is coming off a double-digit home loss. The opponent has a losing record. If our team is the road team, they have gone 26-12 ATS for 68.4% winning bets.
07-07-24	Mercury -2.5 v. Sparks	Top	84-78	Win	100	7 h 22 m	Show
Mercury vs Sparks 8-Unit Bet on the Mercury priced as 3.5-point road favorites. The following WNBA betting algorithm has produced an 83-31 SU (73%) and 70-42-2 ATS (63%) record over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road favorites. That road favorite is averaging 62 or more shots-per-game. The host is averaging 62 or more shots per game. The game number is the 20th or after. The favorite shot 50% or better in their previous game.
07-06-24	Mystics v. Lynx -8.5	Top	67-74	Loss	-115	10 h 50 m	Show
Mystics vs Lynx 8-Unit Bet on the Lynx priced as 8.5-point favorites. The following WNBA betting algorithm has produced a 50-26-1 ATS record for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Bet on teams coming off a loss by 6 or fewer points. That team is facing a foe that allowed 90 or more points in their previous game. If our favorite is priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points, they have gone 18-6-1 (75%) winning bets.
07-06-24	Liberty -8 v. Fever	Top	78-83	Loss	-110	25 h 54 m	Show
Liberty vs Fever (Saturday) 8-Unit bet on the Liberty -8 points The Liberty are very likely to be priced as road favorites and my best estimate is a 7.5-point road favorite. The following WNBA situational betting algorithm has produced a 54-49 SU (53%) and 58-41-4 ATS record good for 59% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams that are averaging 76 or more PPG in the current season. The host is also averaging 76 or more PPG in the current season. The host is coming off a humbly loss by 15 or more points. If our road team is favored, they have gone 37-15 SU (71%) and 32-17-3 ATS (65%) winning tickets.
07-05-24	Dream v. Wings -4	Top	82-85	Loss	-110	7 h 23 m	Show
Dream vs Wings 8-IUnit Best Bet on the Wings –4.5 points. The following WNBA betting algorithm has produced a 39-5 SU (89%) and 28-12-4 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home favorites The favorite is coming off a loss The favorite has lost to the spread in seven or more of their last 9 games.
07-04-24	Mystics +16.5 v. Aces	Top	77-98	Loss	-110	33 h 19 m	Show
Mystics vs Aces (July 4th) 8-Unit Bet on the Mystics +16.5 points The following WNBA situational betting algorithm has produced a 4-25 SU (14%) and 23-6 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on double-digit underdogs. That underdog has won between 38 and 49% of their games. The favorite has won 60% or more of their games. Our dog is on a one-game win streak.
07-03-24	Mercury -4.5 v. Wings	Top	104-96	Win	100	7 h 19 m	Show
Mercury vs. Wings 8-Unit Bet on the Mercury priced as 5-point favorites The following WNBA situational betting algorithm has produced a 54-49 SU (53%) and 58-41-4 ATS record good for 59% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams that are averaging 76 or more PPG in the current season. The host is also averaging 76 or more PPG in the current season. The host is coming off a humbly loss by 15 or more points. If our road team is favored, they have gone 37-15 SU (71%) and 32-17-3 ATS (65%) winning tickets.

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