Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-03-16 | Georgia State v. Idaho -6.5 | Top | 12-37 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Idaho (322) as they take on Georgia State (321) in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho will win this game by more than a touchdown. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-5 over the last 5 seasons good for 84.4% winners and made 21.5 units/unit wagered. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (IDAHO) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho is a solid 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 200 or more rushing yards/game over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf. Fundamental Discussion Points The 7-4 Vandals look to close this season strong headed to a bowl game, Georgia State had a big win last time out against in State rival Georgia Southern and most likely are not looking forward to a trip to Idaho to play in this one. Idaho came on strong after the beat downs earlier this year against Washington and Washington State. Georgia State has a pedestrian offense which the Vandals should have no problem shutting down today and the offense should be able to do its job and put up enough points to get the cover today. |
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12-03-16 | Morehead State v. Purdue -20 | Top | 56-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Purdue (824) as they take on Morehead State (823) in NCAAM action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game by more than 26 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 91-50 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1997. Play on home teams as a favorite or pick (PURDUE) and is a very good shooting team making >=48% of their shot attempts on the season and is now facing an opponent after a game attempting 20+ less free throws than the opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MS is a money burning 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games when they allow 87 or more points in a game; Purdue is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 87 or more points in a game over the last two seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Purdue Boilermakers get a visit from The Morehead State Eagles this Saturday at 2 pm. Purdue comes into this game at 5-2, and the Eagles come in at 2-4 (0-3 in road games). Morehead State will have their hands full with 6 foot 8 Caleb Swanigan and 7 foot 2 Isaac Haas. Morehead State will struggle to stop the two big post players for Purdue. Purdue enters the game averaging 37 rebounds per game. Meanwhile Morehead States biggest player stands at only 6 foot 6. Simply enough Purdue has the height advantage in this one and will use it to get easy buckets, get out in transition, and get to the free throw line. Look for Purdue to score more than 90 points and overwhelm Morehead State with their bench depth. |
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12-03-16 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -11 | Top | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
50* graded play on Oklahoma(318) as they take on Oklahoma State(317) in Bedlam Rivalry action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by more than 12 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-8 over the last 10 seasons good for 88.5% winners and made 24.2 units/unit wagered. Play against road underdogs (OKLAHOMA ST) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OU is a strong 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points with Stoops as their coach; 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games. OK State is a poor 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992 and they are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Fundamental Discussion Points In the game they call Bedlam we look for the Sooners and the Cowboys to put up lot of offense today. Oklahoma rushes for 230 yards a game and passes for over 320. Baker Mayfield completes over 70% of his passes with 35 TD Passes on the season. Joe Mixon and Samantha Perrine are a solid 1-2 running punch averaging over 7 yards per carry with 17 TD's on the year. Mason Rudolph and the Cowboys offense have been equally impressive this season averaging over 40 points per game. We do look for the Sooners to do what they are accustomed to do and control the Big 12 teams especially at home where the OU defense should be able to get more stops in this one. When I say Boomer, you say Sooner today! |
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12-03-16 | Troy -7 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Troy(313) as they take on Georgia Southern(314) in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Troy will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-10 over the last 5 seasons good for 80.8% winners and made a great 31 units/unit wagered. Play against a home team (GA SOUTHERN) - after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. Another proven system supports this play posting a 38-11 over the last 5 seasons good for 77.6% winners and made 25.9 units/unit wagered. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TROY) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GASO is an awful 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing their last game on the road this season; 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games; 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. Troy is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games; 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Troy goes down to Georgia Southern with a win today will be Conference Co-Champions. The Trojans are 9-2 on the season and only allow 21 points per game. They went toe to toe with Clemson earlier this year and we see the defense shutting down the one-dimensional Georgia Southern team. Troy has a balanced offense to go with a solid defense. Georgia Southern came up short in its game with Georgia State and the week of rest only prolongs a season which, came up short of expectations. Look for the more focused Trojans to control this one today. |
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12-03-16 | Temple +125 v. Navy | Top | 34-10 | Win | 125 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on Temple (325) as they take on Navy (326) in NCAA Football action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-7 over the last 5 seasons good for 81.1% winners and made 22.3 units/unit wagered. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NAVY) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. Another proven system supports this play posting a 70-28 over the last 5 seasons good for 71.4% winners and made a huge 39.2 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEMPLE) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Temple is a strong 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 425 or more yards/game over the last 2 seasons; 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons; 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread this season; 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992; 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on fieldturf. Navy is a poor 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game and they are 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games with Niumatalolo as their coach.
Fundamental Discussion Points We like the defensive minded Owls to slow down the Navy rushing attack in this one today. We feel the owls defense which has been solid all season but more impressively only allowing 23 total points the last 4 weeks. The Owls have been a money maker this year going 11-1against the spread and have the better defense. Temple has a solid 1-2 running punch with Jahad Thomas and Ryquall Armstead. This tandem has close to 1700 combined rushing yards along with 25 rushing TD's. Temple QB TJ Walker has experience and the Temple offense should move the football keeping the Defense rested in this one which is important to contain the option game as the game moves on. T for Temple U. |
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12-02-16 | Lakers v. Raptors UNDER 214 | Top | 80-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER” the posted total in the Toronto-LA Lakers NBA game set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 205 points will be scored this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 159-105 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.2% and made a great 43.5 units/unit wagered. Play Under - Any team (TORONTO) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Under is 20-6 (+13.4 Units) when Lakers are playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 overall. Under is 9-2 in Lakers last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic. The last 2 games played in Toronto in this series have gone under. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Under. Toronto limits it's opponents to 100 PPG at home. |
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12-02-16 | Iona -2.5 v. St. Peter's | Top | 79-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
25* graded play on Iona (533) as they take on St. Peters (534) in Metro Athletic Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Iona will win this game by more than 7 points. If you want to play the money line, I see no reasons not to engage in that wager type given the strong technical situations detailed next. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iona is a near-perfect 14-1 against the money line (+13.2 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. STP is a money losing 4-12 against the money line (-12.4 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see that Iona is a stout 10-1 against the money line (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams shooting percentage defense of >=45% over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Iona Gaels take on St. Peters at the Yantelli Center in Jersey City, New Jersey. Both teams come into the game with 3-2 records and this will be the first conference game for both teams. St. Peters comes into the game ranked 309th of 350 in assists per game. This stat is to help you see that their offense is slow and selfish. Iona went 2-0 against St. Peters last year, Iona also has an older team led by Seniors who have won the MAAC conference. Look for the Gaels defense to stop the bad offense of St. Peters and have their defense lead to their scoring. Take Iona as a 3 point favorite on the road. |
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12-01-16 | Oregon State v. Mississippi State -8.5 | Top | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on Mississippi State (718) as they take on Oregon State (717) in CBB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miss State will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oregon State is a poor 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons; 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games; 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. Miss State is a strong 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record; 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games; 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bulldogs. Both Oregon State and host Mississippi State have lost their leading scorers to wrist injuries in the games leading up to Thursday night's meeting. Mississippi State is 1-1 since Quinndary Weatherspoon was lost for the season while the Beavers won their first game without Tres Tinkle. This means Miss State has more experience without their leading scorer while they rallied from a double-digit deficit to win in two of their past three games. The Beavers have more turnovers than their opponents in six of seven games (minus-4.6). Take Mississippi State Bulldogs. |
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12-01-16 | Cowboys v. Vikings UNDER 44 | Top | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 34 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on the UNDER in the Dallas-Minnesota Thursday NFL game set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the total will be under 41 points in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 69-32 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.3% winners and made a nice 33.8 units/unit wagered. Play Under - Home teams against the total (MINNESOTA) - after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers. Another proven system supports this play posting a 98-50 since 1983 good for 66.2% winners and made a great 43 units/unit wagered. Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DALLAS) - after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Dallas is 17-4 Under (+12.6 Units) in road games vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att. since 1992; 6-0 Under (+6.0 Units) in road games off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 under in their last 4 games in December; 8-2 under in their last 10 road games. Minnesota is 13-4 Under (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 Under (+6.9 Units) versus good rushing defenses - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons; 14-4 Under (+9.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons; 6-1 under in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game; 9-2 Under in their last 11 games following a ATS loss; 20-7 Under in their last 27 vs. NFC. Fundamental Discussion Points The Cowboys are playing their third game in 12 days. Both teams have strong defenses allowing less than 20 PPG to opponents and both love to play the time of possession/run the ball offense type which limits each others ability to score a lot in this game. Stefon Diggs, Adam Thielen, 2 guards, and Sam Bradford are listed as probable and will be not be as effective while playing hurt. That's a mostly injured offense that has struggled to post 19.8 PPG this season. Take the UNDER. |
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12-01-16 | Clippers +5 v. Cavs | Top | 113-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Clippers (705) as they take on Cavaliers (706) in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game. Given that they are installed as 5 point dogs, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-16 over the last 5 seasons good for 73.8% winners and made 27.4 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (CLEVELAND) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Cavs are a poor 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite this season; 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest; 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points; 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Fundamental Discussion Points The Cavs are ranked 14th in the NBA in both shooting % and opponents shooting %, while the Clippers are ranked 3rd and 4th respectively in those categories. Los Angeles also has the advantage of being #1 in free throws made, attempted, and forcing opponents fouls for some extra points. The Clippers have the slight advantage in turnovers ranking 2 spots ahead of the Cavs in those categories. Take Los Angeles Clippers. |
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12-01-16 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -160 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
25* graded play on Boston (56) as they take on Carolina (55) in NHL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this match. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 59-21 over the last 5 seasons good for 73.8% winners and made a nice 34.9 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams against the money line (CAROLINA) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, in December games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Carolina is a terrible 0-7 (-7.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 7-23 (-16.0 Units) in road games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games. Boston is a solid 17-5 (+12.7 Units) after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 2 seasons; 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game; 5-2 in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bruins. Rask is 7-3-3 with a 1.89 goals-against average versus the Hurricanes. Cam Ward has lost three straight starts, receiving four goals of support in that span while Jordan Staal will sit out his second straight contest with a concussion for the Canes. Take the Boston Bruins. |
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11-30-16 | Pacers v. Blazers -7 | Top | 109-131 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
25* graded play on Portland as they take on Indiana in NBA action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Portland will win this game by more than 9 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 121-73 over the last 5 seasons good for 62.4% winners and made 40.7 units/unit wagered. Play on home favorites (PORTLAND) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in non-conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Portland is a solid 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons; 3-1 ATS against Indiana over the last 3 seasons; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game; 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 2 days rest. Indiana is a poor 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record; 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Northwest; 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games; 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings with Portland. Fundamental Discussion Points Both teams allow over 105 PPG, however the Pacers are only averaging 103 PPG comparing to the Trailblazers' 109.7 PPG. Portland SG C.J. McCollum has scored 24 or more points in five of the past seven contests. Blazers have the turnover advantage ranking 12th with 12.3% turnovers/play while the Pacers are 21st with 13.4% turnovers/play. Take the Portland Trailblazers to outscore them. |
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11-30-16 | Nebraska v. Clemson -11.5 | Top | 58-60 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on Clemson as they take on Nebraska in CBB action set to start at 9:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Clemson will win this game by more than 13 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Nebraska is a poor 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or better of their FTs since 1997; 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Clemson is a strong 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better with Brownell as their coach; 11-4 ATS in their last 15 Wednesday games; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Fundamental Discussion Points Mitchell's return is key for Clemson, as he is 1 of 6 Tigers that have combined for 386 of the team's 393 points and 930 of its 1000 minutes. Clemson scores 8.2 PPG more than Nebraska while playing 1 fewer game. As evidenced above, Nebraska is not a good underdog or road team play. Take Clemson Tigers. |
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11-30-16 | Northeastern -2 v. Cornell | Top | 77-80 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on Cornell in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Northeastern will win this game by more than 3 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 80-43 since 1997 good for 65% winners and made a nice 32.7 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NORTHEASTERN) - attempting 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, in November games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northeastern is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Cornell is a poor 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Fundamental Discussion Points Through 6 games for both teams they are scoring 73.5 PPG (NE) and 66.5 PPG (Cornell) and defensively allowing 70.5 PPG (NE) and 76.3 PPG (Cornell). They have the edge so take the Northeastern Huskies. |
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11-30-16 | James Madison +5 v. Charlotte | Top | 56-65 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on James Madison as they take on Charlotte in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that JMU will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a good chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 70-36 over the last 5 seasons good for 66% winners and made a nice 30.4 units/unit wagered. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 45% or more on the season, poor rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 4+ per game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. JMU is a solid 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts since 1997; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons; 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons; 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win; 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog. Fundamental Discussion Points Charlotte is very poor defensively giving up 83.6 PPG so JMU will certainly have chances, especially considering they rebound better. JMU also has the advantage in off the bench scoring and contributions. Take James Madison Dukes. |
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11-29-16 | Canadiens +105 v. Ducks | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on Montreal as they take on Anaheim in NHL action set to start at 10:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Montreal will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-17 over the last 5 seasons good for 65% winners and made a nice (125-91 since 1996) 42.3 units/unit wagered. Play against home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (ANAHEIM) - off a road win by 1 goal, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Montreal is a solid 19-6 (+12.8 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Pacific; 11-3 in their last 14 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game; 11-3 in their last 14 games following a win; 20-8 in their last 28 overall. Ducks are a poor 2-6 in their last 8 games following a win and they are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Carey Price, the 2015 Hart Trophy winner, is bidding for another MVP trophy with a league-most 13 victories against two losses (one in overtime), a 1.66 goals-against average and a .946 save percentage. He has allowed two or fewer goals in 12 of 15 games. Take Montreal Canadiens. |
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11-29-16 | Cavs -7 v. Bucks | Top | 101-118 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
50* graded play on Cleveland as they take on Milwaukee in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game by more than 9 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-16 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.9% winners and made 29.4 units/unit wagered. Play on any team (CLEVELAND) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a top-level team (>75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is a poor 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons; 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons; 7-19 ATS in their last 26 vs. Eastern Conference; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central. The Cavs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Cleveland is the better team in all the categories. In their last game multiple teammates were in a slump shooting while James stepped it up to dominate the game. Those teammates are due to go off in this game. Take Cleveland Cavaliers. |
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11-29-16 | Princeton v. VCU -5.5 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on VCU as they take on Princeton in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that VCU will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-3 over the last 5 seasons good for 88.5% winners. Play against a road team (PRINCETON) - after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. VCU is a solid 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons; 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games; 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Princeton is a poor 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog; 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Fundamental Discussion Points The VCU Rams are ranked 25 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 49.4% while Princeton is ranked 211 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 42.4% from the field. VCU only allows 63.3 PPG against. VCU is the better team and will show that in the final score. Take VCU Rams. |
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11-28-16 | Packers v. Eagles UNDER 47.5 | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on the UNDER in Philadelphia-Green Bay action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the total score will be less than 45 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-8 over the last 10 seasons good for 80.5% winners and made 24.2 units/unit wagered. Play Under - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (GREEN BAY) - after going over the total by more than 14 points in two consecutive games, after the first month of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. 7 of 8 games in this series have gone under the total since 1992. McCarthy is 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games as the coach of the Packers. Fundamental Discussion Points The Eagles play better at home as they are undefeated there. Their defense has only allowed an average of 9.5 points against at home. Wentz and the Eagles will struggle to score with their starting running back injured and virtually only one-two pass catchers on the team. Take the Under. |
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11-28-16 | 76ers v. Raptors -14.5 | Top | 95-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Philadelphia in NBA Atlantic action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game by more than 16 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is a poor 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win; 8-21 ATS in their last 29 vs. NBA Atlantic; 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Raptors are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win; 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win; 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall; 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Atlantic.Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Joel Embiid won't be playing in this game for the Sixers and with his presence on offense and defense missing in this game, Toronto will rack up on points. Toronto has captured seven in a row at home against Philadelphia. Philly is 0-5 (1-4 ATS) on the road and have a -20 point differential on the road. Take Toronto Raptors. |
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11-28-16 | Appalachian State v. Charlotte -9 | Top | 72-80 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
25* graded play on Charlotte as they take on Appalachian State in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Charlotte will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Charlotte is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons; 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Fundamental Discussion Points Charlotte is posting an 89.5 PPG at home while App State is only posting 74 PPG on the road. That'll be close to the score to expect since both team's defenses allow around 86 PPG to opponents. Take Charlotte 49ers and lay the points. |
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11-27-16 | Panthers v. Raiders OVER 49.5 | Top | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 54 h 57 m | Show |
50* graded play on the OVER in Carolina-Oakland action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that these teams will score over 51 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-4 since 1983 good for 85.7% winners. Play Over - Any team against the total (OAKLAND) - after playing on Monday night football against opponent after playing a Thursday game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Carolina is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons; 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons; 6-1 over last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record; 11-3 over last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. Oakland is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread this season; 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 iover last 4 games overall; 36-14-2 over last 52 games following a ATS win; 12-4-2 over last 18 games in Week 12; 18-5-3 over last 26 games in November. Fundamental Discussion Points Carolina's defense took a major hit in last week's victory as linebacker Luke Kuechly entered the league's concussion protocol while cornerback Leonard Johnson (chest) and defensive end Mario Addison (foot) also exited with injuries. Carr has been outstanding in his last three meetings with teams from the NFC South, throwing for 1,131 yards with eight touchdowns and zero interceptions for a 111.6 rating. Oakland gives up 28 points per game at home and Carolina gives up 30 points on the road. Take the OVER. |
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11-27-16 | Titans v. Bears +5 | Top | 27-21 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Chicago as they take on Tennessee in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 130-40 since 1983 (16-3 L5 seasons) good for 76.5% winners and made a HUGE 59.5 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams vs. the money line (TENNESSEE) - in non-conference games, off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tennessee is a poor 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season since 1992; 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons; 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Fox is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game in all games he has coached since 1992. Chicago is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Fundamental Discussion Points Chicago plays better at home where they've earned both of the wins this season and allow 17.5 PPG against. Tennessee is a losing team on the road. This play screams contrarian. Chicago LB Danny Trevathan has recorded 11 or more tackles in two straight games. |
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11-26-16 | Michigan State v. Penn State -11 | Top | 12-45 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Michigan State in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by at least 16 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is an amazing 112-37 ATS (+71.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points; 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play. MSU is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last two seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Lions. The red-hot Nittany Lions take on Sparty today, and if Michigan loses to Ohio State, a win here will put Penn State in the Big 10 Championship Game. The Nittany Lions have played well with a balanced offense and strong running game led by Saquon Barkley who has 12 TD's and averages over 6 yards per carry. Penn State also has the better Defense and special teams in this one. Michigan State QB O'Conner has struggled this year and had 13 interceptions, the Spartans also have been bad on the road this year losing at both Maryland and Illinois. The Spartans left a lot on the field against Ohio State last week after a big day by running back Scott and most likely are ready for this season to end, and the Nittany Lions will oblige today. Take Penn State as they roll today and keep their playoff hopes alive. |
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11-26-16 | Auburn +17.5 v. Alabama | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play on Auburn as they take on Alabama in the IRON BOWL in SEC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will lose this game by fewer than 13 points and actually has a shot to win this game. If you have access to a money line for this game, I would highly recommend adding a 3* play using that line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-7 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play against a home team (ALABAMA) after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Alabama is just 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games off 1 or more consecutive ‘unders.' Auburn is a solid 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after gaining 575 or more total yards in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points In the battle of the Iron Bowl we are taking the Auburn Tigers with the points at Alabama based first on the SIM Algorithm grading. There is also a volume of fundamental matchups we see as a neutralizing force against one of the ‘Bama teams in their school history. Auburn comes into the game with an 8-3 record and Alabama has yet to lose. The Tide has delivered in all the big games this year, and when the game was relatively close, they exerted their will and pulled away in the fourth quarter. Alabama QB position has been average through the air in these closer games but delivered running the football. The Auburn QB has been efficient all year with 11 TD's and only two picks completing close to 70% of his passes. The Tiger defense has also been stingy this year and has already faced an athletic QB in Deshaun Watson earlier this year. Auburn's defense, however, allowed only 15 touchdowns in 11 games, limited opponents to about 118 rushing yards per game, and allowed an average of 334.5 yards in total offense, which is 18th-best in the country and fifth in the SEC. The Tigers (8-3, 5-2) can also to put pressure on opposing passers (25 sacks, 82 quarterback hurries) and when they can't get to the quarterback, they have a knack for batting the ball down at the line of scrimmage. Defensive linemen Montravius Adams, Marlon Davidson, Dontavius Russell, Maurice Swain and Derrick Brown, have combined for ten pass breakups. Only two teams have scored in the mid 20 point range against the Tigers this year, and we are getting 17 plus points today. Also in this rivalry game, both teams and players know each other well, so there will be a few wrinkles in the offensive schemes. This is where Auburn, with an incredibly accurate QB, will be the offsetting difference. We believe strongly that his accuracy will eventually spread the Auburn defense and open up running lanes between the tackles. QB Sean White was not under center and got valuable rest after reinjuring his shoulder in the Georgia game. Johnson was under center last week against Alabama A&M and OC Rhett Lashlee said either could start and was intentionally very vague answering press questions yesterday. Gamesmanship? Of course, it is, but it does force ‘Bama staff to prepare for both QB in varying down and distance situations. No Auburn players will be in awe of Alabama, and they have nothing to lose playing in Tuscaloosa.. Take Auburn and the points today. Go War Eagle! |
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11-26-16 | Notre Dame v. USC -17 | Top | 27-45 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on USC as they take on Notre Dame in NCAA Gridiron action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game by at least 21 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 47-17 ATS mark good for 73.4% winners since 1992. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (USC) after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points. The SU record of this system is an incredible 61-4 and 48% of ALL plays made covered the spread by 7 or more points. So, 45 of the 67 ATS wins covered the spread by more than 7 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards over the last 3 seasons; 28-8 ATS (+19.2 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play. Fundamental Discussion Points The red hot Trojans take on the Irish in the annual clash. Norte Dame has had some long days in the Colesium throughout its history and we look for another one today. USC QB Sam Darnold has been real good lately completing over 68% of his passes with 24 Touchdowns, and the Norte Dame secondary will struggle again against an athletic bunch of receivers. The Irish start strong and once adjustments are made the coaching staff does not have an answer. Look for Ju Ju Smith and the Trojan receivers to be running freely all day and the Norte Dame offense will struggle to keep pace today. USC will not want to let up in this one and will keep the pedal on the gas. Look for the Trojans to win this easily today. Fight On! |
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11-26-16 | Florida International v. Old Dominion -13.5 | Top | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
50* graded play on Old Dominion as they take on Florida International in action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ODU will win this game by at least 17 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 98-53 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1992. Play against a road team (FLA INTERNATIONAL) off an upset win over a conference rival as a home underdog and is now facing an opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FIU is just 21-58 ATS (-42.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt; 9-29 ATS (-22.9 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play; ODU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards this season; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Old Dominion. The Monarchs have been perfect in the win column and against the spread at home this year, and we look for more of the same today. ODU has a good offensive line and a strong running game with both Running Backs Larry and Cox averaging 6 yards per carry and 20 rushing TD's on the season. We look for the more of the same today as FIU gives up to close to 200 yards per game. The Monarchs control the line of scrimmage and game in this one. |
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11-26-16 | Michigan v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Michigan in BIG TEN action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OSU is a nice and tidy 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play; 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) versus excellent rushing teams averaging >=230 rushing yards/game; 51-21 ATS (+27.9 Units) vesus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.75 rushing yards/carry; 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6.25 yards/play. Fundamental Discussion Points Big game this week as this is an elimination game for the college playoff contenders. Two real good teams with great coaching in this one today. Losing Wilton Speight a couple of weeks ago will really hurt the Wolverine offense this week and the Horeshoe is not the place to go with backup O' Korn as the Quarterback. There was a reason he was a backup before transferring to Michigan and then a backup coming to Ann Arbor.The Buckeyes have experience at the QB position with JT Barrett and also have a strong running game and match up with Michigan in the trenches. Barrett completes over 63% of his passes including 24 TD's and can also hurt the defense equally in the running game. Should be a classic battle today, but the inexperience at QB will eventually hurt Michigan and Brutus will finally control this one as the game moves on. Take the Buckeyes as they look to claim one of the top four spots in the College playoffs today. |
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11-25-16 | Warriors v. Lakers +13 | Top | 109-85 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Lakers as they take on Golden State in Western NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Lakers will lose this game by less than 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-17 since 1996 (6-4 L10 seasons) good for 73.8% winners and made 29.3 units/unit wagered. Play on underdogs of 10 or more points (LA LAKERS) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or less on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Lakers are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons; 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. GS is a poor 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and they are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific. Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The last time the Golden State Warriors lost a game was at the Los Angeles Lakers on Nov. 4. The Lakers are 5-3 overall and ATS at home. This spread is far too wide. Take the Los Angeles Lakers. |
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11-25-16 | North Dakota v. North Florida +2 | Top | 75-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
25* graded play on North Florida as they take on North Dakota in CBB action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that N Florida will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 102-56 over the last 5 seasons good for 64.6% winners and made a HUGE 58.2 units/unit wagered. Play on neutral court teams (N FLORIDA) - after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. North Florida 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. North Dakota is a poor 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Jones is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season as the coach of N Dakota. Fundamental Discussion Points Stats show UNF has advantages in PPG, FG %, FT %, rebounding, and bench scoring. Take North Florida. |
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11-25-16 | Arkansas -7.5 v. Missouri | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arkansas as they take on Missouri in SEC action set to start at 2:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arkansas will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-17 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 2010. Play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MISSOURI) and is a struggling team winning between 25% to 40% of their games and is now playing a team with a winning record, in conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arkansas is a stout 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Razorbacks. We look for the physical and balanced Arkansas offense to put up some points today as the Tiger Defense has not recovered from the Florida and LSU back to back games earlier this year and have allowed for teams to control the ball and run at will as of late. The Tiger offense has been strong but can't keep up plugging the leaks by the Defense. Arkansas is looking to finish strong heading to a bowl game and we feel the Tigers want to get their disappointing season completed. Arkansas QB Allen has played well this year and the boys in the trenches favor the Hogs today. We look for a little Pig Sooey today as we will take Arkansas and lay the 8 points. |
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11-24-16 | Hurricanes +150 v. Canadiens | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Carolina (rotation 3) as they take on Montreal in NHL action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Carolina can win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-19 mark and has made 30.9 units/unit wagered since 1996. Play against any team against the money line (MONTREAL) off a close loss by one goal to a division rival, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games in the first half of the season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Hurricanes. The line opened this morning at Montreal -165 and quickly moved to -175. However, our team agrees that you will see this line settle lower in the 140 to 145 area. So, be sure to get this play loaded in as soon as you can get the action. |
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11-24-16 | Redskins v. Cowboys -6.5 | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on Dallas as they take on Washington in NFC East Thanksgiving Day action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 335-236 since 1983 that made a HUGE 75.4 units/unit wagered and is 5-2 this season. Play against road teams (WASHINGTON) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Dallas is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game this season; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins this season; 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Garrett is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games as the coach of Dallas. Redskins are a poor 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Fundamental Discussion Points The Cowboys are the class of the NFC at this point. They are a balanced and well-performing, consistent team. I don't think the Redskins can say the same. "Road teams have a disadvantage on Thursday night" is a popular topic for articles for a reason. Even better Washington played Sunday night and are playing late afternoon on the road on Thanksgiving Day. Take them Boys and lay the points. |
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11-24-16 | Vikings +111 v. Lions | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota (107) as they take on Detroit In Thanksgiving Day action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 52-20 mark good for 72% winners over the past 10+ seasons. Play on road teams (MINNESOTA) after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they allow 75 to 100 rushing yards over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by |
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11-24-16 | Temple +10 v. Florida State | Top | 89-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show |
25* graded play on Temple as they take on Florida State in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a reasonable chance to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Temple is a solid 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game; 90-51 ATS (+33.9 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
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11-23-16 | Thunder +2.5 v. Kings | Top | 101-116 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma City Thunder as they take on the Sacramento Kings in NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will win this game by more than 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-3 ATS mark good for 90% Winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kings are just 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. OKC is a solid 74-40 ATS (+30.0 Units) when they score 105 to 109 points in a game. Further, we extract from our vast 30-year DB that the Kings are just 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points OKC dominates the stat boards against Sacramento in basically every single category. They want to turn things around and want to rack up points against the Kings here. Take Oklahoma City Thunder. |
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11-23-16 | Raptors +4 v. Rockets | Top | 115-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Houston tin NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game. Toronto is installed as a 3.5 dog. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 61-27 since 1996 good for 69.3% winners and made a nice 31.3 units/unit wagered. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - off a road win by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. Another proven system supports this play posting a 44-20 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.8% winners and made 22 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams (TORONTO) - after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record; 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game; 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 Wednesday games. Rockets are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Wednesday games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Raptors. Harden, like DeRozan, is one of the best in the league at getting to the free-throw line and converting his chances into points, but he missed five free throws down the stretch on Monday and finished 14-of-19 from the line. The key here will be turnovers where Toronto has the huge edge outranking Houston by 24 teams (2nd and 26th respectively in turnovers/play). Take Toronto Raptors. |
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11-23-16 | St. John's +7.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 62-73 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Johns as they take on Michigan State in Round 1 of the Battle for Atlantis Tournament taking place at the Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort, Nassau and set to start at 7:00 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the current line of ST. Johns installed at + 7, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 177-107 over the last 5 seasons good for 62.3% winners and made a HUGE 59.3 units/unit wagered. Play against neutral court teams (MICHIGAN ST) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 85 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. John's is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997. MSU is a poor 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Fundamental Discussion Points St. John's ranks among the nation's leaders with seven blocks per game, getting most of that production from a pair of sophomores in Tariq Owens and Kassoum Yakwe, each of whom is averaging 2.7 rejections. They block and steal more than double per game than the Spartans. St. John's play very clean ranking 66th in turnovers/play while MSU ranks 294th. Also as evidenced above MSU doesn't win against the spread very often. Take St. John's. |
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11-23-16 | Colgate v. Penn State -10 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 101 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Colgate in NCAAM action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by more than 14 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a solid 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus pathetic teams - shooting 42% or less with a defense of 45% or more since 1997; 45-23 ATS (+19.7 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds since 1997; 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Wednesday games; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more with Chambers as their coach. Colgate is a poor 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Nittany Lions. |
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11-23-16 | Michigan v. South Carolina +4.5 | Top | 46-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Carolina as they take on Michigan in NCAAM action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SC will win this game. Given the current line of SC + 3, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-3 over the last 5 seasons good for 88% winners. Play against a road team (MICHIGAN) - after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Gamecocks are a strong 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Ten. Wolverines are a poor 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win and 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. SEC. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Gamecocks. South Carolina can overcome the Michigan defense and get enough second chances with their superior rebounding. Take South Carolina Gamecocks. |
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11-22-16 | Wyoming v. Pacific -2.5 | Top | 65-73 | Win | 101 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Pacific a as they take on Wyoming in NCAAM action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pacific will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wyoming is a poor 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons; 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1997; 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Pacific is a solid 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997; 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Tigers. Their lone win was also at home when they scored 76 points and held their opponent to 58 points. Take Pacific Tigers. |
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11-22-16 | Indiana -14 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Indiana-Ft. Wayne in NCAAM action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will win this game by 15 or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-6 ATS for 84.2% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an favorite or pick (INDIANA) in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams attempting more than 20/game, after a game shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower to that opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Indiana is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games; Coach Crean is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in November games in all games he has coached since 1997. Fort Wayne is a poor 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten. Fundamental Discussion Points Fort Wayne lost 90-65 at Indiana last season in the first meeting between the programs. Fort Wayne is 0-9 all-time against ranked opponents, with each loss coming by double digits. The Hoosiers average 11.7 3-pointers per game – second-most in the nation – with Blackmon leading the way with 4.7 per contest. Take Indiana Hoosiers. |
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11-22-16 | Yale +10.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
25* graded play on Yale as they take on Pittsburgh in NCAAM action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Yale will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Yale is a solid 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game since 1997; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers with Jones as their coach; 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Pitt is a poor 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons; 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Fundamental Discussion Points Yale had just 17 turnovers total in their two wins. They slow the game down and can use their defense to do that against Pitt. Combining their defense and limiting turnovers they can easily stay within the spread. Take Yale. |
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11-21-16 | South Dakota State v. Idaho -5.5 | Top | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on Idaho as they take on South Dakota State in NCAAM action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho will win this game by at least 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 159-102 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.9% winners and made a nice 46.8 units/unit wagered. Play on a favorite (IDAHO) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho is a strong 22-3 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games when playing only their 3rd game in a week since 1997; 65-32 ATS (+29.8 Units) after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less since 1997; 2-0 against the spread versus S Dakota ST since 1997; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Jackrabbits are a poor 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Sky conference teams; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Take Idaho Vandals. |
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11-21-16 | Northwestern +2 v. Texas | Top | 77-58 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northwestern as they take on Texas in the Semifinals of the Legends Classic being held at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn and action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NWU will win this game. They are installed as 2.5 point dogs and we expect this line to rise to possibly 3.5 by game time. We also would not be surprised if this becomes a public ‘steam’ move and the line does have the potential to shoot up to 5. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northwestern is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall; 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Texas is a poor 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Wildcats. |
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11-21-16 | Celtics -2 v. Wolves | Top | 99-93 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
25* graded play on Boston as they take on Minnesota in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game by at least 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-20 mark good for 71% winners since 1996. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) terrible defensive team allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 85 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is a solid 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota has been a money burning 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in games where they commit 13 to 17 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Boston. |
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11-21-16 | George Washington v. Georgia -6 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on Georgia as they take on George Washington in the Semifinals of the CBE Hall of Fame Classic, in Kansas City, MO, and set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Georgia will win this game by 10 points or more. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-14 over the last 5 seasons good for 73.1% winners and made 22.6 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (GEORGE WASHINGTON) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 5 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgia is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons; 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game since 1997; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. George Washington is a poor 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games against SEC opponents since 1997; 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bulldogs. |
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11-21-16 | Columbia v. Quinnipiac +3.5 | Top | 86-78 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Quinnipiac as they take on Columbia in NCAA action action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Quinnipiac will win this game. They are installed as 4.5 point dogs. So, given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-16 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.4% winners and made 24.4 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (COLUMBIA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Quinnipiac is 3-0 straight up against Columbia since 1997 and the Bobcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Columbia is a poor 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bobcats. |
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11-21-16 | Kent State v. South Dakota +2.5 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Dakota as they take on Kent State In the First Round of the Florida Gulf Coast Tournament and set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that South Dakota will win this game. They are installed as 2.5 point dogs. So, given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kent ST is a poor 12-48 ATS (-40.8 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997; 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half since 1997; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. South Dakota is a solid 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite since 1997; 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Take South Dakota. |
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11-20-16 | Raptors v. Kings +3.5 | Top | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Sacramento as they take on Toronto in NBA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Sacramento will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 37-11 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 2010. Play on underdogs (SACRAMENTO) after allowing 105 points or more three straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Raptors are a money burning 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs. opponent as a favorite over the last three seasons; 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs. opponent as a home favorite over the last three seasons. |
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11-20-16 | Packers v. Redskins UNDER 49 | 24-42 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
50* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total (currently at 49) in the SNF Green Bay-Washington NFC showdown set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 44 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-8 ‘under’ record good for 80% Winners since 2010. Play ‘Under’ with any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (GREEN BAY) -after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, the team with a losing record in the second half of the season. Here is a second system that has gone 37-14 ‘under’ for 73% winners since 2010. Play Under - Any team against the total (GREEN BAY) in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.4 YPP) after 8+ games, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Green Bay is a perfect 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last two seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to play the ‘UNDER’ in this special situation matchup. Green Bay has recorded three straight ‘over’ results, and Washington has gone ‘over’ in three of the last four games they have played. Washington has covered 6 of the last seven games ATS and the principal reason has been the improving ground attack. Washington did not gain over 100 rushing yards until Week 4, but since they have gone over 100 rushing yards in all but two games and have gone over 100 rushing yards in four straight games. Green Bay in a similar fashion has made the adjustments to get the ground game going knowing they simply cannot have Rogers throw 50 times per game and expect favorable results. Both teams rank 8th and 9th in yards per rush, so we expect time to fly off the clock with both teams focused on establishing the run and field position. Take the ‘UNDER.' |
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11-20-16 | Flames +131 v. Red Wings | 3-2 | Win | 131 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
25* graded play on Calgary as they take on Detroit in NHL action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Calgary will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 103-99 for only 51% winners, BUT has made 47 units/unit wagered averaging a 142 dog line. Play on road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (CALGARY) after 1 or more consecutive 'unders,' poor scoring team scoring |
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11-20-16 | Wake Forest v. College of Charleston +3 | Top | 78-61 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Charleston as they take on Wake Forest in Final Round action of the Charleston Classic set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Charleston will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. COC is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=41% of their attempts. Wake Forest is just 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Charleston and expect them to win this Final Round game in the Charleston Classic. |
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11-20-16 | Eagles v. Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 52 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Seattle as they take on Philly in NFC action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seattle will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seattle is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992; 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Carroll is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games as the coach of Seattle. Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Russell Wilson connected with Doug Baldwin for three touchdown passes versus the Patriots while the former also accounted for three scores (two passing, one rushing) in the last meeting with the Eagles - a 24-14 Seahawks win on Dec. 7, 2014. Jordan Matthews, who is nursing back spasms, has been the lone consistent Eagles wideout with 23 catches for 216 yards in his last three games. The Eagle's wideouts will continue to be poor especially against this Seattle defense. Take Seattle Seahawks. |
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11-20-16 | Jaguars +6.5 v. Lions | Top | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Jacksonville as they take on Detroit in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Jacksonville will lose this game by less than 4 points and have a chance at the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 86-40 since 1983 (6-2 L3 seasons) good for 68.3% winners and made a HUGE 42 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (DETROIT) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season. Another proven system supports this play posting a 74-33 since 1983 (10-5 L3 seasons) good for 69.2% winners and made a nice 37.7 units/unit wagered. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (JACKSONVILLE) - with a poor first half defense - 14 or more points per game, after a loss by 6 or less points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is a poor 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) versus poor rushing teams - averaging under 90 rushing yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992; 13-35 ATS (-25.5 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992; 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 11. Jags are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week; 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November. Fundamental Discussion Points Look for defensive back Jalen Ramsey, who has become a clear favorite in the race for defensive rookie of the year while shutting down a litany of star receivers throughout his first season, to shadow Detroit's Marvin Jones. Neither team has shown any ability to run the ball on the season with the Jags ranking 26th in the league, one spot ahead of Lions. The teams also rank at the bottom of the NFL in forcing turnovers. The Jags are rested and looking to win. Take Jacksonville Jaguars. |
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11-20-16 | Ravens +7.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Baltimore as they take on Dallas in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Baltimore will lose this game by less than 5 and have a shot of the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-12 over the last 10 seasons good for 74.5% winners and made 21.8 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BALTIMORE) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Garrett is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a home favorite; 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse; 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season as the coach of Dallas. Harbaugh is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games and he is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season as the coach of Baltimore. Ravens are 4-0 straight up against the Cowboys since 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points Baltimore's top-ranked run defense will take aim at rookie Ezekiel Elliott and Dallas' offensive line after holding the Steelers (36 yards on 18 carries) and Browns (33 on 13) to 2.2 yards per carry. Quarterback Joe Flacco is taking more chances down the field under new offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg and averaged 7.56 yards per attempt in the last two games while throwing four touchdown passes. Baltimore has won its last five games against teams starting rookie quarterbacks. Take Baltimore Ravens. |
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11-20-16 | Titans +2.5 v. Colts | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Indianapolis in AFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will win this game by seven or more points. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-5 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2005. Play against any team (INDIANAPOLIS) off 1 or more straight ‘overs’ against opponent off 6 or more consecutive ‘overs.' The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tenn is a stout 32-8 ATS (+23.2 Units) when they rush for 150 to 175 yards; 65-20 ATS (+43.0 Units) when they rush for 125 or more yards; Indy is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 150 or more rushing yards over the last 3 seasons; 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by |
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11-19-16 | South Dakota State v. Wyoming -3 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Wyoming as they take on S Dakota ST in CBB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wyoming will win this game by more than 4 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 157-102 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.6% winners and made a HUGE 44.8 units/unit wagered. Play on a favorite (WYOMING) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wyoming is 81-36 ATS (+41.4 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Jackrabbits are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record; 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall; 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Fundamental Discussion Points S Dakota ST rank 100 spots below Wyoming in shooting percentage (250-349) with an awful 28.7%. S Dakota ST is 0-2 on the road while Wyoming is 1-0 at home. Everything stats wise is in favor of Wyoming, so take the Cowboys and lay the points. |
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11-19-16 | Idaho State +11.5 v. Utah State | Top | 51-85 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Idaho State as they take on Utah State in CBB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho ST will lose this game by less than 9 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons; 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons; 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games; 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss. Utah ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons; 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. Fundamental Discussion Points Idaho State has the advantage of an inflated spread and that they outrebound Utah State. The Bengals are solid in Saturday games as the Aggies are horrible in Saturday games (as evidenced above). Take Idaho State Bengals. |
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11-19-16 | Tulsa +1 v. Central Florida | Top | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tulsa as they take on Central Florida in American Athletic Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game by at least 4 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-10 ATS mark good for 79% winners since2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TULSA) excellent offensive team averaging >=440 YPG and is now facing an average offensive team gaining between 330 to 390 YPG. Here is a Money Line system that has produced a 118-26 mark good for 82% winners and has made 60 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play on road favorites vs. the money line (TULSA) and is a quick starting offensive team scoring 16+ PPG in the first half and after playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The key metric is the Tulsa ground attack noting they are 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games when they rush for 200 to 250 yards; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they are outgained by their opponents by 50-100 yards. Fundamental Discussion Points The Golden Hurricanes come into this game after a tough loss to Navy and controlling the option game which most likely cost them any chance of playing for a conference championship. Both squads look similar against their opponents on the year, however Tulsa brings the better offense today averaging over 42 points per game compared to 31 for Central Florida. Tulsa has a big play offense and lots of speed at the skill positions. Top three rushers average over 5 yards per carry to go with a good quarterback completing 58% of his passes with some big play wide outs. Central Florida has competed well, but does struggle to throw the ball which we think they will need to do to keep up with the high-powered Tulsa offense. Look for another big output from the Tulsa offense today and to cover the small number on the road. |
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11-19-16 | Western Kentucky v. Belmont -7 | Top | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Belmont as they take on Western Kentucky in College Basketball action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Belmont will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 157-102 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.6% winners and made a HUGE 44.8 units/unit wagered. Play on a favorite (BELMONT) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. W Kentucky is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Ohio Valley conference. Fundamental Discussion Points The last 2 years in November Belmont has won this matchup. Although the season is young, we can use stats to see an obvious deficiency in W Kentucky's turnovers giving up 15 per game. Belmont will be playing with more fire after opening their season with a loss. Take Belmont Bruins. |
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11-19-16 | Heat +4.5 v. Wizards | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-14 over the last 5 seasons good for 75.4% winners and made 27.6 unit/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%). Another proven system supports this play posting a 61-23 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.6% winners and made a nice 35.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home teams (WASHINGTON) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, on Saturday games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast; 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 20-8-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Washington. Spoelstra is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of Miami. Washington is 103-145 ATS (-56.5 Units) in November games since 1996. Fundamental Discussion Points Miami will use their defense to win this game with Hasaan Whiteside leading the NBA in rebounding (16 per game) and ranking second in blocks (2.73). He'll make it very difficult for John Wall or any Wizard to score in the paint or get offensive rebounds. The Heat outrebound, turnover less, and have the better bench. Take Miami Heat. |
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11-19-16 | Jets +145 v. Bruins | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
25* graded play on Winnipeg as they take on Boston in NHL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Winnipeg will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 80-49 since 1996 good for 62% winners and made a nice 36.7 units/unit wagered. Play against any team against the money line (BOSTON) - after a low scoring road game where both teams scored 1 goal or less, in November games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is 1-11 (-16.5 Units) in home games after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons; 3-9 (-11.1 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons; 1-8 (-13.1 Units) after getting shutout in their previous game over the last 3 seasons; 4-11 (-11.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Jets are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game and they are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Boston's offense sputtered on their recent road trip as the Bruins scored four goals on 100 shots. Forward David Pastrnak, second on the team in points (14) and among the league leaders in goals (10), did not play Thursday with an undisclosed injury and is day-to-day. Boston is ranked 23rd with only 2.35 goals/game and are an even 3-3 at home. Take Winnipeg Jets. |
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11-19-16 | Washington State v. Colorado -5.5 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on Colorado as they take on Washington State in PAC-12 action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington State is a money burning 48-94 ATS (-55.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt; Colorado is a stout 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they gain 9 to 9.5 net passing yards/attempt; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bears. Both of these teams can be considered surprise teams and could very possibly meet again in a couple of weeks to Determine the Pac 12 Champions. After losing their first two games Washington State has one eight in a row and sets up to play a game next week against Washington in the Apple Cup for a right to play in the Championship Game. If Colorado wins today the Buffaloes will also be going to the Pac 12 championship game. Colorado has two losses both on the road at Michigan and USC. The Buffaloes put up 35 points per game and have only allowed18. The Buffaloes have won both low and high scoring games this year. Colorado QB Liufau has been very efficient this year completing over 67% of his passes with 10 TD's with only 3 picks. The Buffaloes will need to contain one of this years best QB's no one mentions in Luke Falk who completes 74% of his passes and has thrown 33 passing TD's this year. Colorado's secondary has been good and the red zone defense has been strong this year. Colorado is at home and needs this game more today and we think that will be the big difference today. |
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11-19-16 | Northwestern -3 v. Minnesota | Top | 12-29 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northwestern as they take on Minnesota in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NWU will win this game at least 7 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 84-43 ATS mark good for 66% ATS winners since 2010. Play on road favorites (NORTHWESTERN) after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. Northwestern is a stout 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt. Fundamental Discussion Points Minnesota has been in all close games this year but has lost in the big tests against Penn State, Nebraska, and Iowa. Minnesota QB Leitner has struggled this year and the Gophers rely on a power running game with play action passing to go with a fundamentally sound defense. Northwestern QB has heated up since the Wildcats went to an up-tempo offense. Most Big 10 teams don't see this offense and are not prepared for this type of attack. Northwestern becomes bowl eligible with this one and showed they could hold their own on the road going toe to toe with the Buckeyes in Columbus. We also feel Minnesota has a big game on deck with Wisconsin in Battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe. The Gophers haven't had the Axe since 2003 and may have more focus on the next game than the Wildcats schemes today. Take the Wildcats and lay the small number today. |
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11-19-16 | Miami (Fla) v. NC State +2 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
25* graded play on NC State as they take on Miami in ACC action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NC State will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-26 ATS mark good for 72% ATS winners since 2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) off 1 or more consecutive ‘unders’, good offensive team scoring 31 or more points/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points; 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by |
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11-18-16 | Clippers v. Kings +7.5 | Top | 121-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Sacramento Kings as they take on the Los Angeles Clippers in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Kings will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and have a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-15 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.7% winners and made 23.5 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Clippers are 73-109 ATS (-46.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game since 1996; 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Rivers is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers as the coach of the Clippers. The Kings are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Kings. Cousins scored 26 points and posted season bests of 17 rebounds and six assists in the loss against the Spurs but it wasn't enough to deliver a victory. The big man has 10 20-point outings - including five in a row. Take the Sacramento Kings. |
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11-18-16 | Ball State +8 v. Alabama | Top | 59-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ball State as they take on Alabama in NCAAB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Ball State will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win SU. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ball ST is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997 and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Alabama is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite since 1997; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Fundamental Discussion Points Tayler Persons is off to a sizzling start for the Cardinals, scoring more than 20 points in each of the first two games - 26 on 9-of-16 shooting last time out. Franko House was the other star of the game for the Cardinals, scoring 21 to go along with 14 rebounds, and he has drained 5-of-7 attempts from long range overall. Cardinals F Tahjai Teague has had two steals and two blocks in both games this season, adding averages of 7.0 points and 7.5 rebounds. I think bettors are too high on Alabama coming off a close loss to Dayton. Take Ball State Cardinals. |
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11-18-16 | Red Wings +180 v. Capitals | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on Detroit as they take on Washington in NHL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit can win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-52 since 1996 (19-12, +12.5 units in L5 seasons) but made a HUGE 40.6 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (DETROIT) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is 10-5 (+8.9 Units) in road games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 3 seasons and they are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. Washington is 6-10 ATS overall this season and they are 3-4 ATS at home this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Red Wings. The Red Wings could get defenseman Niklas Kronwall (knee) back Friday. They are due for a win considering they started the season with 6 straight wins. Take Detroit Red Wings. |
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11-17-16 | Saints +3.5 v. Panthers | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Saints as they take on the Carolina Panthers in Thursday Night NFL action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Saints will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 71-33 since 1983 (9-3 L5 seasons) good for 68.3% winners and made 34.7 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (CAROLINA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. New Orleans is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC South; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Carolina. Payton is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a loss by 6 or less points as the coach of New Orleans and he is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game as the coach of the Saints. Carolina is a poor 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC South; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Road team is 21-9 ATS in their last 30 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Saints. The Saints' Brandin Cooks enjoyed a career day in his previous encounter with Carolina, highlighting his career-high 173-yard performance with an 87-yard touchdown. New Orleans RB Mark Ingram has recorded four touchdowns in his last three road contests. The Saints are a +2 in turnover ratio while the Panthers are -7 (fourth-worst in NFL). Take New Orleans Saints. |
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11-16-16 | Grizzlies +12 v. Clippers | Top | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
25* graded play on Memphis as they take on the LA Clippers in Western NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Memphis will lose this game by less than 8 points and have an outside shot to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.2% winners and made a nice 35.6 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rivers is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents as the coach of Los Angeles. Clippers are 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1996. Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Grizzlies are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The one weakness that can hinder the Clippers so far this season is their 25th ranked free throws of 73.5%. For some reason they seem to always play down to Memphis and let them beat the spread a ton in this match-up. Take Memphis Grizzlies. |
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11-16-16 | Coyotes +130 v. Flames | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona as they take on Calgary in action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arizona will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Calgary is 4-11 (-9.2 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game; 1-4 in their last 5 overall; 1-5 in their last 6 home games; 1-6 in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest; 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Coyotes are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Goaltender Mike Smith and Martin Hanzal, who have been sidelined with lower-body injuries since Oct. 18 and 29, respectively, both may return versus Calgary. Radim Vrbata, who leads the team with six goals, is riding a four-game point streak and has tallied in each of his last two contests. Calgary has scored fewer than two goals in six of its last eight contests. Take Arizona Coyotes. |
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11-16-16 | San Francisco v. UC-Santa Barbara -8.5 | Top | 75-63 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on UC-Santa Barbara as they take on San Francisco in NCAAB action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCSB will win this game by at least 12 poits. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 153-95 ATS mark good for 62% winners since 2010. Play on a favorite (UC-SANTA BARBARA) with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SF is a money burning 19-45 ATS (-30.5 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 31-84 ATS (-61.4 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game; UCSB is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game; 45-14 ATS (+29.6 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game. |
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11-16-16 | Warriors v. Raptors +6 | Top | 127-121 | Push | 0 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Golden State in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a good chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall; 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest; 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. GS is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons; 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games after 2 straight games making 85% of their free throws or better since 1996; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game; 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Raptor's shooting guard DeMar DeRozan leads the NBA in scoring (33.2) and has recorded 30 or more points in eight of Toronto's 10 games. GS can score but also give up over 108 PPG to opponents. Toronto at home is a very solid defensive team only allowing 96.2 PPG to opponents. Take Toronto Raptors. |
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11-16-16 | Wizards -4 v. 76ers | Top | 102-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Philadelphia in Eastern NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-13 over the last 5 seasons good for 76.4% winners and made a nice 27.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, in November games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Philly is 7-17 ATS in their last 24 vs. NBA Southeast. Fundamental Discussion Points Starting point guard Sergio Rodriguez and backup T.J. McConnell combined for six points in Monday's loss and neither did much on the defensive end while going up against Harden. Rodriguez scored in double figures in each of the first four games but went for 10 or more one in the last six contests. Washington took the last six in the series, including three in Philadelphia. Take Washington Wizards. |
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11-15-16 | Bulls +3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 113-88 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Chicago as they take on Portland in NBA action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will win this game outright. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.2% winners and made a nice 35.6 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (PORTLAND) - an excellent offensive team (over 102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Portland is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons; 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games with Stotts as the coach; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game; 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win; 10-4 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The visiting team took both meetings last season, with Chicago earning a 93-88 victory in Portland on Nov. 24. Chicago can win this game with their defense. They are ranked 9th only allowing opponents just over 100 PPG, while the Blazers are 28th letting 111 PPG. The Bulls are best in the NBA in two interesting categories that can play a factor: opponents FTM/game (12) and FTA/game (17). There will not be many free points for Portland. Take the Chicago Bulls. |
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11-15-16 | Oilers +125 v. Ducks | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on Edmonton as they take on Anaheim in Pacific Division action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Edmonton will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-25 since 1996 good for 62.1% winners and made 24 units/unit wagered. Play on a underdog against the money line (EDMONTON) - off a home loss by 2 goals or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The road team is 4-1 in the last 5 head-to-head meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Edmonton boasts five players with at least five goals that include lumbering forwards Milan Lucic (five) and Patrick Maroon (team-most six), who was traded to the Oilers last season after spending the first four-plus years of his career with Anaheim. Anaheim is 0-for-12 on the power play over the last three games. This is a contrarian pick because at some point Edmonton will beat Anaheim and that will be tonight. Take Edmonton Oilers. |
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11-15-16 | Hawks -6 v. Heat | Top | 93-90 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Miami in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-12 over the last 5 seasons good for 77.8% winners. Play against home underdogs (MIAMI) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, in November games. another proven system supports this play posting a 24-5 over the last 5 seasons good for 82.8% winners. Play on road teams (ATLANTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a bad team (25% to 40%). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is a poor 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons; 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Fundamental Discussion Points The Hawks are outscoring foes by 11.2 pts per 100 possessions and are giving up only .958 points per possession. The Heat really figure to struggle to score against Atlanta, not only because of the Hawks' defensive prowess, but also due to their own offensive ineptitude as they are 29th in offensive efficiency. All signs and research point to an easy ATS win for the Atlanta Hawks. |
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11-15-16 | Lightning -106 v. Red Wings | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on Detroit in Atlantic Division action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 202-115 since 1996 (33-17 in last 3 seasons) good for 63.7% winners and made a HUGE 66.8 units/unit wagered. Play against any team against the money line (DETROIT) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals, off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is a poor 18-29 (-26.8 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons; 5-12 (-14.3 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons; 1-4 in their last 5 home games; 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 1-7 in their last 8 vs. Atlantic. The Lightning are are 5-1 in their last 6 Tuesday games; 7-1 in the last 8 head-to-head meetings; 79-36 (+33.6 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days with Jon Cooper as their coach. Fundamental Discussion Points Defenseman Niklas Kronwall, who has been dealing with chronic knee issues this season, is expected to sit out Tuesday's contest. As these teams rank close to each other in Goals Against/game, it's a big advantage the Lightning rank 7th (15 places ahead of Detroit) scoring slightly over 3 goals a game. Take Tampa Bay Lightning. |
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11-15-16 | Raptors +5.5 v. Cavs | Top | 117-121 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Cleveland in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a solid chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-19 over the last 5 seasons good for 69.8% winners. Play on any team vs the money line (TORONTO) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, playing with 2 days rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons; 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games with Casey as the coach; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall; 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Cavaliers are a poor 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall; 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games; 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win; 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points The Raptors were within 3 points in their last meeting on October 28th. These two teams rank next to each other in many categories, but Toronto stands out only allowing opponents 99.2 PPG. Toronto C Lucas Nogueira is 15-of-17 from the floor in the last four games. J.R. Smith may not play or if he does will be hindered by his injury. Take Toronto Raptors. |
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11-15-16 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets +125 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 125 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
25* graded play on Columbus as they take on Washington in Metropolitan Division action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Columbus will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-8 over the last 5 seasons good for 75% winners. Play on home teams against the money line (COLUMBUS) - poor closing team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period, after a blowout win by 4 goals or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Columbus is 16-8 (+13.7 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons; 12-7 (+7.4 Units) in November games with John Tortorella as their coach; 5-0 in their last 5 home games; 5-2 in their last 7 overall. Capitals are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Metropolitan. Fundamental Discussion Points The Blue Jackets posted at least eight goals for the second time in five games Saturday in the victory over St. Louis and lead the league in power-play percentage while standing second in scoring. The Blue Jackets have outscored opponents 27-10 during their five-game home winning streak. The Caps have managed only four goals in the last three contests after winning five in a row. Take Columbus Blue Jackets. |
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11-14-16 | Bengals v. Giants | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cincinnati as they take on the NY Giants in MNF action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cincinnati will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-7 over the last 10 seasons good for 76.7% winners. Play against home teams (NY GIANTS) - terrible rushing team - averaging 70 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cincinnati is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored over the last 2 seasons; 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992; Bengals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Giants are 34-60 ATS (-32.0 Units) in November games since 1992; 31-55 ATS (-29.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games; 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record; 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 10. Fundamental Discussion Points The biggest problem for the Giants has been a stagnant running game led by Rashad Jennings that ranks last in the league with a meager average of 68.3 yards per game. Rookie Paul Perkins could see more time this week to help work the clock and protect a defense that yields 277.4 yards passing. Eli threw 3 interceptions last week in a game that the Giants didn't win but that the Eagles lost. Giants are a 1 dimensional team on both sides of the ball and their quarterback is known for throwing interceptions in the regular season. Take Cincinnati Bengals. |
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11-14-16 | Thunder v. Pistons -3 | Top | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on Detroit as they take on OKC in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit will win this game by more than 4 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons; 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Northwest. OKC is a poor 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games; 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Detroit. Fundamental Discussion Points Detroit has been balanced in the scoring department all season with point guard Reggie Jackson still recovering from a knee injury. Tobias Harris led the way with 19 points on Saturday and tops the Pistons at 16.5 overall while Morris is next at 15.2 and inside force Andre Drummond averages 14.9 points to go along with 14.3 rebounds, which rank him second in the league. The Pistons rank fourth in points allowed (97) while OKC allowed an average of 113.7 points in their last 3 games. Take Detroit Pistons. |
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11-13-16 | Packers v. Titans OVER 49.5 | Top | 25-47 | Win | 100 | 52 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on the OVER in Tennessee-Green Bay action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that this game will go OVER 51 points scored. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Green Bay is 41-18 OVER (+21.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992; 23-9 OVER (+13.1 Units) in road games versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game since 1992; 14-1 OVER (+12.9 Units) in road games after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992; 23-9 OVER (+13.1 Units) in road games off a home loss since 1992. Tennessee is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games this season; 6-0 over in Titans last 6 games overall; 9-1-1 over in Titans last 11 games on grass; 6-1-1 over in Titans last 8 home games. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The Green Bay Packers are springing holes in their defense as they dropped three of the past four while allowing at least 30 points in each of the losses. Clay Matthews (hamstring) missed practice Thursday and could sit out his third straight game. Marcus Mariota, accounted for four touchdowns and threw for a season-high 313 yards at San Diego, has connected on five scoring passes to Rishard Matthews in the last five games. Rodgers has 10 TD passes and one interception in his last three contests. Take the OVER. |
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11-13-16 | Texans v. Jaguars OVER 42 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
50* graded play ‘OVER’ Jacksonville-Houston in AFC action et to start 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 50 points will be scored in this game. I also have a 25* graded play on Jacksonville and this opens up the rare opportunity to combine the ‘over’ and JAX into a reverse parlay. A reverse bet is essentially just two ‘if’ bets, so it makes sense that we start with looking at what an ‘if’ bet is. An ‘if’ bet is a bet on two or more teams - like a parlay is. The difference between a parlay and an ‘if’ bet, though, is that you have to win all of your games in a parlay or you lose your entire bet, while in an ‘if’ bet you can get some money back if you win just once. So let’s define the outcomes for our game today. We have already placed a $500 reverse parlay bet with JAX and the ‘OVER’. So, if JAX wins ATS and the ‘OVER’ loses we lose $600 factoring in 20% vig. Many books are now going to a 10% vig to encourage more parlays of this type. Next scenario is that the ‘OVER’ wins and JAX does not cover ATS. That too loses $600. If both JAX and the ‘OVER” lose then our worst case scenario is realized with a $1200 loss. If both the ‘OVER’ and JAX win, then the payout is 4:1 and $2,000 is realized. Under a normal parlay, the payout is 13:5, so if both plays win, a gain of $1300 is realized and if either one of the parts of the parlay lose, then a loss of $550 or $600 is realized dependent on the vig percentage. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-18 mark good for 71.4% winners since 2010. Play ‘Over’ with any team against the total (JACKSONVILLE) slow starting offensive team scoring 7 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. Fundamental Discussion Points Houston is not a good team ranking 30th in scoring offense, 30th in yards-per-game, and 32nd in points-per-play. They score just 1.5 TD-per-game ranking dead last at 32nd by a large margin. JAX defense is a solid unit despite playing far too many downs due to the offense struggles and inconsistencies. The defense ranks 6th allowing 5.0 Yards-per-play and 5th in red zone scoring opponent percentage. Houston ranks 32nd in RZ scoring at just 38% of all possessions. Think about that for a minute. That stat means that Houston can’t even execute a FG success in most situations and TD % is pathetic. JAX offense ranks 16th in RZ scoring at 56% of all possessions. JX QB Bortles has done a solid job with the limited talent he is working with and the lack of consistency the skill players have demonstrated. JAX ranks 14th gaining 256 passing yards per game and third in passing attempts, which reflects playing from behind in the majority of their games. Houston run defense is horrid ranking 28th allowing 126 per game. T.J. Yeldon may have a break-out game today and this too would open up play action, which is where Bortles is at his best. So, I am looking for a 31-17 or 35-21 type game. |
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11-12-16 | Michigan v. Iowa +21.5 | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
25* graded play on Iowa as they take on Michigan in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa is a stout 23-5 ATS (+17.5 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=230 rushing yards/game; 25-5 ATS (+19.5 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=5.25 rushing yards/carry. Fundamental Discussion Points Iowa +21.5 vs Michigan The Iowa Hawkeyes take on the undefeated Michigan Wolverines. Michigan has only played 2 games on the road this year, one being against an awful Rutgers football team and the other against Michigan St. whom they only beat by 9. The Wolverines don’t have much experience playing on the road this year and we all know home field advantage is big in college football. Iowa will come out and try to slow the game down, run the football effectively and keep the game close and keep Kinnick Stadium rocking against the third best team in the nation. We don’t expect the Hawkeyes to win this one but we do expect them to keep it well within 21 to cover the spread. Take the Hawkeyes as a big home dog. |
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11-12-16 | USC +9.5 v. Washington | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
50* graded play on USC as they take on Washington in PAC-12 action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at upsetting No.4 Washington. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 40* play on the line and a 10* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-9 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2005. Play on a road team (USC) that is an average defensive team allowing between 330 and 390 YPG and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 280 to 330 YPG after 7+ games of the regular season, and after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. Over the L3 season this system has gone an incredible 10-1 ATS. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is in good form noting they are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games. Here is a bonus money line system that is one you truly should archive and keep track of for future qualifying plays. It has gone 23-14 SU for 62% winners and has made 41 units/unit wagered averaging a +240 DOG play since 2010. Play on road underdogs vs. the money line (USC) in a game involving two good rushing teams both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. Fundamental Discussion Points Arguably the two best QB’s in the Conference and possibly the nation square off in this huge PAC-12 matchup. Jake Browning leads Washington with very impressive numbers that are worthy for the Heissman. He has throw for 2,273 yards with 34 TD, and 3 INT, but has yielded 11 sacks. USC has Darnold under center and he has been excellent in his own right passing for 1,874 yards with 20 TD and 4 INT. The key to this game, though is I fully expect the Trojan OL and DL to outperform Washington’s editions. Moreover, I expect USC DL to squash the run and force Browning into third down pass situations where USC has elite speed in either man coverage or zone schemes. USC OL will be strong enough to establish the run and then Darnold will have play action pass where he will have man coverage on the perimeter with highly skilled WR. |
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11-12-16 | South Florida -3.5 v. Memphis | Top | 49-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Florida as they take on Memphis in American Athletic Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SFU will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-7 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S FLORIDA) excellent offensive team scoring 35 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SFU is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. Memphis is just 11-32 ATS (-24.2 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 since 1992; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards; 13-42 ATS (-33.2 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board South Florida. South Florida -3.5 at Memphis The South Florida Bulls hit the road to take on the Memphis Tigers at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium. South Florida enters the game at 7-2 and Memphis enters at 6-3. The big factor in this game is Quinton Flowers, South Florida’s duel threat QB. Flowers has thrown for 1,900 yards and 19 TD’s as well as ran for 921 yards and 10 TD’s. The Bulls average 272 rushing yards per game and the Tigers give up 194 yards on the ground per game. Flowers is the key to the Bulls success offensively and the Tigers will have their hands full trying to just slow him down. The Tigers QB Riley Ferguson is quite the player himself throwing for 21 touchdowns this year. The Bulls secondary must be good in this one and their front 4 will need to get a pass rush on Ferguson. South Florida’s offense will be too much to handle for the Tigers in this one. Take South Florida as a favorite on the road. |
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11-12-16 | Penn State -7 v. Indiana | Top | 45-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Indiana in BIG Ten Conference action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-11 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2010. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PENN ST) after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a stout 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt; 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt; 110-37 ATS (+69.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points In this week’s Big Ten action between 10th ranked Penn State and Indiana, our SIM predict Penn State will emerge victorious once again and cover the spread. Following last week’s defeat of Iowa, many are confident Penn State will be able to win out the rest of their schedule, in the hopes of getting a top bowl game, and potentially playing in the Big Ten Championship. PSU running back Saquon Barkley is surging right now, and the PSU offense in turn is doing well because of him, as he makes a late season push for Heisman contention. He ran for 100 yards in the past 3 out of 4 games, and ran for over 200 in 2 out of those 3 games. The Penn State defense has been progressing throughout the past few games as well, allowing 314 yards per game against Purdue and then 234 yards per game against Iowa. The key for the defense this weekend is to shut down QB Richard Lagow and RB Devine Redding. Once they close down the running lanes and take advantage of mistakes made by Lagow (who is tied for most interceptions in Big Ten), the PSU defense will dominate. PSU has the edge in all of the aspects of this game, including team chemistry, and look for them to beat Indiana handily this Saturday. |
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11-12-16 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -14 | Top | 36-49 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Tennessee in SEC action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will win this game by 17 or more points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kentucky is just 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards; Tennessee is a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons; 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Volunteers. Tennessee -13.5 vs Kentucky Kentucky (5-4) travels to Knoxville, Tennessee to play the Volunteers (6-3). In this one we look for Tennessee’s offense led by QB Joshua Dobbs to score some points against Kentucky’s defense who gives up 30.4 points per game. Dobbs has thrown for 1,800 yards and 18 touchdowns this season. The key to Tennessee’s success defensively is to stop Kentucky’s running game. Kentucky averages 215 yards per game on the ground. If Tennessee can slow down their running game and keep the ball in Joshua Dobbs hands they should have no problem in this one. Take Tennessee as the home favorite. |
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11-11-16 | Indiana +6.5 v. Kansas | Top | 103-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Kansas in Armed Forces Classic action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will lose this game by less than 4 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Crean is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in November games as the coach of Indiana. Indiana is 9-1 (+8.1 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent over the last 2 seasons. Hoosiers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Jayhawks are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 vs. Big Ten. Fundamental Discussion Points Indiana has a pretty darn good team coming back from an excellent 2015 campaign led by center Thomas Bryant and guard James Blackmon Jr. Sophomore forward OG Anunoby had 25 points in an exhibition and could be a breakout player for the Hoosiers. Take the Indiana Hoosiers. |
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11-11-16 | Stars +143 v. Oilers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 143 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Dallas as they take on Edmonton in NHL action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Edmonton is 69-76 (-49.6 Units) against horrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals/game since 1996; 6-23 in their last 29 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Dallas is 11-2 (+10.0 Units) in road games off a road win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons; 16-6 (+12.0 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons; 13-5 in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Stars are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Edmonton. Fundamental Discussion Points Tyler Seguin notched an assist on Thursday to push his team-leading total to 15 points and has had some success against Edmonton, recording six goals and 10 points in 10 games. Oilers goalie Cam Talbot has surrendered three or more goals in his last four outings. The Stars have at least a point in seven of their last eight meetings (5-1-2) with the Oilers. Take Dallas Stars. |
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11-11-16 | Pacers v. 76ers +5 | Top | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Philadelphia as they take on Indiana in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Philly will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a game where they made 50% of their free throws or worse since 1996. Brown is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after a game where they made 50% of their free throws or worse as the coach of the Sixers. 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Indiana is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Fundamental Discussion Points The 76ers left Joel Embiid at home to rest and instead got a standout performance from another belated rookie in Dario Saric, who was drafted along with Embiid in 2014, made his NBA debut this season and recorded his first double-double with 14 points and 12 rebounds on Wednesday against Indiana. Philadelphia SF Robert Covington is 8-of-13 from beyond the arc in his last two games. We are looking for improvement from the last game on the side of the Sixers which they beat the spread and will now have Embiid. Take Philadelphia 76ers. |
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11-10-16 | Utah v. Arizona State +6 | Top | 49-26 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on Utah in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ASU is a strong 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992; 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Utah is a poor 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992. Whittingham is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of Utah. Graham is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a home underdog of 7 points or less in all games he has coached since 1992. Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Sun Devils are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games. Sun Devils are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Utes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Utes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Fundamental Discussion Points ASU's sophomore quarterback Manny Wilkins will be back after he missed two of the last four contests, and missed most of one of the other games due to injuries. Junior tailback Demario Richard has a team-best 532 rushing yards and is expected back after missing the last game because of injury. Never underestimate the starting QB and HB in football coming back from injuries to boost the team to a victory. Sun Devils senior K Zane Gonzalez is 20-of-21 on field goals this season and his 93 career field goals are the most in FBS history. Take Arizona State University Sun Devils. |
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11-10-16 | Browns v. Ravens -7.5 | Top | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Baltimore as they take on the Cleveland Browns in NFL Thursday Night action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Baltimore will win this game by more than 13 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. Cleveland has not done well against struggling passing defenses like Baltimore’s edition this season. They are a terrible 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) vs. poor passing defenses allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons; Cleveland is also just 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.5 or less rushing yards/carry. Fundamental Discussion Points The Browns are yielding 421.7 yards and 30.3 points per game, each ranking 31st in the league. Baltimore's defense came up big in the win over bitter rival Pittsburgh, holding the Steelers to 277 total yards and 36 on the ground to build a 21-0 lead in the third quarter. The Ravens have won 15 of the past 17 meetings. Ravens TE Dennis Pitta had nine catches for 102 yards (both season highs) in Week 2's Cleveland contest. Take Baltimore Ravens. |
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11-09-16 | Blackhawks v. Blues -118 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Louis as they take on Chicago in NHL action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that St. Louis will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 58-19 over the last 5 seasons good for 75.3% winners and made a nice 32 units/unit wagered. Play against an underdog against the money line (CHICAGO) - off a win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the first half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. Louis is 11-7-0 (+4.3 Units) against the money line versus Chicago over the last 3 seasons. Blackhawks are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings. Quenneville is 25-41 (-21.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals as the coach of Chicago. Blackhawks are 0-4 in their last 4 Wednesday games. Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Central. Blues are 5-2 in their last 7 Wednesday games. Blues are 5-2 in their last 7 home games. Fundamental Discussion Points St. Louis RW Vladimir Tarasenko recorded two goals and an assist in the first meeting with the Blackhawks and has collected 16 points (10 goals, six assists) in as many career encounters. St. Louis is 5-1-0-1 at home mainly due to their goals against average at home being a really low 1.57. Take St. Louis Blues. |
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11-08-16 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies UNDER 201 | Top | 107-108 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ in the Denver Memphis NBA game set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 200 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-7 over the last 5 seasons good for 81.6% winners and made 23.3 units/unit wagered. Play Under - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) coming off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog. Another great proven system supports this play posting a 140-76 over the last 5 seasons good for 64.8% winners and made a huge 56.4 units/unit wagered. Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MEMPHIS) - good ball handling team from last season - committed 14 or less turnovers/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Denver is 74-44 UNDER (+25.6 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents since 1996. Memphis is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 overall. Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 14-6 in Nuggets last 20 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Memphis. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Memphis scored over 100 points in each of its first three games but is averaging 87.8 over the last four contests. Combining these teams current points per game the total would be 200 points. Denver is an extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. Take the UNDER. |
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11-08-16 | Kings +102 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 7-0 | Win | 102 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Los Angeles Kings as they take on the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LA will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-16 mark good for 66% winners and has made 28 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on an underdog against the money line (LOS ANGELES) and is a struggling team getting outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game, after a blowout win by 4 goals or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is an awful 18-44 (-24.8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons; 56-87 (-46.1 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996; 51-86 (-51.0 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1996. Darryl Sutter is 24-11 (+13.9 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996. Kings are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Atlantic. Kings are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. Kings are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Kings are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Maple Leafs are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points The Kings ranked 26th in the league on the penalty kill, but have shored that up as they were 6-for-6 in the last two games. Maple Leafs F Tyler Bozak scored twice Saturday but does not have a goal in eight games versus Los Angeles. Toronto's defense is awful allowing 3.33 goals against per game ranking 26th in the NHL. LA is best in the NHL with only 25 shots against per game as Toronto is 25th with 32.5. Take Los Angeles Kings. |
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11-08-16 | Hawks v. Cavs -8.5 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cleveland as they take on Atlanta in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-4 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 1996. Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) good shooting team making between 45.5 to 47.5% against an average defensive team allowing between 43.5-45.5% shooting, and is a dominant rebounding team posting a +5.5 or more reb/game differential and is now facing an average rebounding team posting a differential of +/-3 reb/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games. Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central. Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Howard hasn't exactly given James or his teams in the past problems before. Cleveland is scoring 3.4 more fastbreak points a game than Atlanta. They can also take advantage of turnovers as Atlanta has 14.6% (23rd) turnovers/play and the Cavs boast an 11.4% (4th) turnovers/play. Take King James and the Cleveland Cavaliers. |
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11-07-16 | Bills +7 v. Seahawks | Top | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on Buffalo as they take on Seattle in Monday Night Football action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Buffalo will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-23 mark good for 66% winners and has made 23 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play against home teams using the money line (SEATTLE) after 1 or more consecutive losses, when playing on Monday night. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Buffalo is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. For this matchup, it clearly shows solid reasons to get on board the Buffalo Bills. We use numerous statistical measures of efficiencies to identify opportunity. Buffalo ranks 8th in overall offensive efficiency. Seattle, as we saw in their 13 points scored against anemic Saints defense are not nearly as strong. Seattle ranks 18th in overall offensive efficiency and are trending downward in most offensive categories. Both teams have solid defenses with Buffalo given a slight edge with their front seven over Seattle. Buffalo can definitely stop the Seattle ground attack and force Wilson to try then to move the chains with his arm. Seattle’s receivers have not been able to generate space on their routes and have created forced desperate throws by Wilson. Buffalo is the play. |