College Football Free Picks - Winning College Football Picks Against the Spread

John Ryan NCAA-F Top Picks

Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
01-09-25	Notre Dame v. Penn State +2.5	Top	27-24	Loss	-109	77 h 19 m	Show
Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025 Game Time: 7:30 pm ET How To Watch: ESPN Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL Teams: Notre Dame (13-1), Penn State (13-2) 10-Unit bet on Penn State plus the 2.5 points. This line is going to trend in favor of Notre Dame based on the current market conditions. So, if you are getting this pick on Tuesday or Wednesday, I would recommend waiting to see if the line trends higher to as high as 2.5 or even 3.5 points. The line may not move either, so betting 50% preflop and then look to add the remaining 50% a few hours ahead of the kick-off is a solid strategy. Live Betting Strategies: Another option is to bet 75% of your 10-unit amount preflop and then look to add 25% more with PSU priced as a 5.5-point underdog during the first half of action OR if Notre Dame scored a TD first to make the score 7-0 or even 10-0 if ND made a field goal as the first score of the game. PSU has had a season, which they start out slow in the first quarter and then suddenly kick it into top gear. The following College Football Betting Algorithm has produced a 42-30 SU (58%) and 38-23-1 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the past 45 years or since 1980. The requirements are: The game occurs in the postseason. Our team is priced between pick-em and a 6.5-point underdog. The opponent has covered the spread in each of their last four games. If the opponent has covered the spread nine or more of their last 10 games, our dogs have gone a highly profitable 10-5 SU and 11-4 ATS good for 73% winning bets. he stage is set for an epic showdown as the No. 6 Penn State Nittany Lions take on the No. 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the Orange Bowl on January 9, 2025. This highly anticipated matchup will determine who advances to the national championship game. Team Statistics Penn State Nittany Lions: Record: 13-2 Points Per Game: 33.7 Points Against: 15.8 Leading Rusher: Kaytron Allen (1,026 yards) Leading Receiver: Tyler Warren (1,158 yards) Leading Tackler: Jaylen Reed (92 tackles) Sacks: Abdul Carter (11 sacks) Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Record: 13-1 Points Per Game: 38.8 Points Against: 13.8 Leading Rusher: Jeremiyah Love (1,057 yards) Leading Receiver: Beaux Collins (445 yards) Leading Tackler: Jack Kiser (69 tackles) Sacks: Xavier Watts (6 interceptions, 1 forced fumble) Key Matchups Rushing Attack: Both teams boast elite rushing attacks, with Penn State led by Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton, and Notre Dame by Jeremiyah Love and dual-threat quarterback Riley Leonard. Defensive Strength: Penn State's defense, anchored by Abdul Carter, will face a tough challenge against Notre Dame's strong rushing attack. Injuries: Notre Dame has been dealing with injuries, including the loss of star defensive lineman Rylie Mills and cornerback Benjamin Morrison. Penn State will hope for the return of Abdul Carter, who is questionable with an arm injury. From the Predictive Model: My predictive model expects Penn State to gain more rushing yards, have more time of possession and contain the ND passing attack to less than 58% completions. Under head coach James Franklin, Penn State is 37-3 SU (93%) and 33-5-2 ATS for 87% winning bets that have covered the spread by an average 10.26 PPG when they have met or exceeded these performance measures.
12-31-24	Penn State -11 v. Boise State	Top	31-14	Win	100	8 h 47 m	Show
Penn State vs Boise State 10-Unit bet on Penn State –11 points. Penn State gas started slowly in nearly all their games this season. They fall behind early and then dominate in the second half. IN games this season in which they were tied or trailed at the end of the first quarter, they rallied to an 8-1 SU record but just 3-6 ATS. They are 5-2 SU and 1-6 ATS based on the closing line when they have been tied or trailed at the half. Penn State outscored their foes by 124 points in the second half in all 14 games and by 86 points in the games in which they were tied or trailed after the first quarter. Live Betting Strategy: I am suggesting a preflop bet of between 60 and 80% of your 8-Unit bet amount and then look for Boise to get an early lead and then add the remaining amount on Penn State. The downside to this strategy is obviously if Penn State scores first and never trail. I suggest adding the remaining Penn State bet if Penn State’s defense holds Boise State’s offense to three or fewer first downs in their first two possessions and did not score any points. That price may be around 14.5 points in a tied game early in the first quarter, but well worth the look knowing Boise State is struggling to move the chains on offense given their terrific ground attack led by their running back Jeanty, who rushed for a historic 2,652 yards including 29 TDs. The following NCAAF sports betting algorithm that has gone 36-5 SU (88%) SU and 29-11-1 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are: Bet on favorites priced between a 7.5 and 12.5-point favorite. The matchup is in a bowl game. The total is fewer than 60 points. The favorite has won the same or fewer games than the opponent. Double-digit favorites in the postseason that are ranked lower (better team) than the opponent, have gone 40-6 SU (87%) and 29-17 ATS for 63% winning bets since 2007. In the postseason, teams that forced 8 or more turnovers than the opponent’s defense and favored by double-digits have gone 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS for 71.4% winning bets. Penn State's defense has been stellar this season, allowing just 253 yards per game and recording 33 sacks. They've also forced 18 turnovers, including three pick-sixes in their last game against SMU3. On the offensive side, Penn State averages 35 points per game, with quarterback Drew Allar completing 65% of his passes for 3,200 yards and 28 touchdowns3. Boise State, on the other hand, has a strong rushing attack led by Heisman Trophy finalist Ashton Jeanty. Jeanty has rushed for 1,882 yards after contact, averaging 4.8 yards per carry and forcing a missed tackle rate of 37.1%1. Quarterback Maddux Madsen has been efficient with a 62% completion rate and 22 touchdowns to just three interceptions. Key matchups to watch: Penn State's Defense vs. Ashton Jeanty: Jeanty is a beast, but Penn State's defense has been dominant, especially against the run. If they can contain Jeanty, it will be a long night for Boise State. Drew Allar vs. Boise State's Secondary: Allar has been accurate and has a strong arm, but Boise State's secondary has only allowed 200 passing yards per game. This will be a battle of Allar's arm against Boise State's coverage schemes. In conclusion, while Boise State has a strong team, Penn State's overall talent and depth, combined with their dominant defense, give them the edge to win this game by more than 17 points. Don't be surprised if we see a blowout in favor of the Nittany Lions. From the Predictive Model: My model is expecting PSU to score at least 28 points and have the same or fewer turnovers. IN past games dating back to the start of the 2015 season, Penn State is 63-1 SU and 49-11-4 ATS good for 82% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The mode also expects Penn State to score 28 or more points, have more rushing yards, and have a minimum of 5-minute advantage in time-of-possession. In past games since 2015, Penn State is 43-1 SU and 37-6-1 ATS good for 86% winning bets when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. Boise State is just 5-16 SU and 4-15-2 ATS for 21% winning tickets when they have allowed 28 or more points and had fewer rushing yards than their opponent in games played since 2015.
12-31-24	Baylor -3.5 v. LSU	Top	31-44	Loss	-108	3 h 29 m	Show
Baylor vs LSU 3:30 ET, Tuesday, December 31, 2024 8-Unit bet on Baylor priced as a 3.5-point favorite and would highly recommend the money line instead of laying the short line. The following NCAAF Betting Algorithm has produced exceptional results with a 48-25 SU and 46-23-5 ATS record for 67% winning bets since 1985. The requirements are: Bet on teams priced between the 3’s. That team is averaging 34 or more PPG. Their defense has allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their two previous games. The opponent allows an average of 21 to 28 PPG.
12-31-24	Louisville v. Washington +3	Top	35-34	Win	100	118 h 11 m	Show
Washington vs Louisville 8-Unit bet on Washington priced as a 2.5-point underdog. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 15-10 SU and 17-8 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on teams with a new coach from the previous season. The game is a bowl game. The team has won fewer games than the opponent. The team’s offensive yards per point ratio is 15 or more.
12-30-24	Iowa +2.5 v. Missouri	Top	24-27	Loss	-109	3 h 51 m	Show
Iowa vs Missouri (Monday, December 30) 8-Unit bet on Iowa priced as a 2.5-point underdog. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 24-28 SU and 33-16-3 ATS for 67.3% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs priced from pick-em to 6 points. They are coming off an upset win. They are facing a foe that has covered the spread in four consecutive games. They game is played on a neutral field. If the dog has won fewer games than the opponent, these dogs soar to an 18-13 SU (68%) and 22-9 ATS record good for 71% winning bets sine 1981. If the current game is a bowl game, the dog has gone 15-10 SU and 18-7 ATS for 72% winning bets since 1981. If our dog has won between 6 and 8 games, they have gone a highly impressive 15-8 SU and 18-5 ATS for 78.3% winning bets.
12-28-24	Iowa State v. Miami-FL -3.5	Top	42-41	Loss	-109	48 h 43 m	Show
Miami (FLA) vs Iowa State 3:30 PM ET, December 28 8-Unit bet on Miami (FLA) priced as 3.5-point favorites. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 22-9 SU and 22-9 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on favorites priced between 3.5 and 7.5 points. The game is a bowl game. Both teams average 30 or more PPG. The total is priced between 55 and 60 points.
12-28-24	Connecticut v. North Carolina -2	Top	27-14	Loss	-109	43 h 12 m	Show
UNC vs Connecticut 11:00 AM ET, December 28 8-Unit Bet on UNC priced as 3-point favorites. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 22-9 SU and 22-9 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on favorites priced between 3.5 and 7.5 points. The game is a bowl game. Both teams average 30 or more PPG. The total is priced between 55 and 60 points.
12-27-24	Texas A&M v. USC UNDER 55	Top	31-35	Loss	-110	8 h 51 m	Show
USC vs Texas A&M 10:30 ET, Friday, December 27 8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 55 points. The following NCAAF Betting Algorithm has produced exceptional results with a 42-77 SU and 69-48-2 ATS record for 59% winning bets and a stellar 48-23-1 UNDER record for 68% winning bets since 1980. The requirements are: Bet on a game occurring in the postseason. Our team is priced as the dog. The opponent won two or more games than our team. If the total is priced at fewer than 55 points, the UNDER has gone 27-12 for 70% winning bets.
12-26-24	Arkansas State v. Bowling Green -10	Top	38-31	Loss	-107	5 h 23 m	Show
Bowling Green vs Arkansas State 9 ET, December 26 68 Ventures Bowl, Mobile, Alabama 8-unit bet on Bowling Green priced as a 10-point favorite. The following NCAAF sports betting algorithm that has gone 36-5 SU (88%) SU and 29-11-1 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are: Bet on favorites priced between a 7.5 and 12.5-point favorite. The matchup is in a bowl game. The total is fewer than 60 points. The favorite has won the same or fewer games than the opponent. Both teams come into this game with identical 7-5 records, but the advanced stats tell a more detailed story. Bowling Green ranks 19th in points per game with 25.5, while Arkansas State sits at 108th with 24.0 points per game. Defensively, Bowling Green is even more impressive, allowing just 20.5 points per game, good for 21st in the nation, compared to Arkansas State's 32.4 points allowed per game. When it comes to advanced metrics, Bowling Green's defense shines even brighter. They rank 16th in the country in third-down defense, allowing conversions on just 33.11% of attempts. Arkansas State, on the other hand, struggles on third downs, converting just 38.41% of the time. Bowling Green's offense revolves around sixth-year senior quarterback Connor Bazelak, who ranks fourth among active quarterbacks in career passing yards. He led the MAC in completion percentage (67.1%) and adjusted yards per attempt (7.73) this season2. Bazelak has a 10:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio over his last seven games, and he'll be facing an Arkansas State defense that ranks 124th in yards per pass attempt allowed.
12-21-24	SMU v. Penn State -8.5	Top	10-38	Win	100	20 h 60 m	Show
SMU vs PSU 8-Unit bet on PSU priced as 7.5-point favorite. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 21-3 SU and 17-7 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on favorites. That favorite scored 24 or more points in the first half of their last game. They are facing a foe that has scored 31 or more points in five consecutive games. Regardless of the market pricing our team as a favorite or dog, thsi system has gone 51-22-1 ATS for 70% winners over the past 10 seasons. If our team is priced as a favorite and playing in a bowl game or the CFP, they have gone 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS over the past 10 seasons. One of the biggest battles will be between SMU's stout rushing defense and Penn State's dynamic duo of running backs, Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton. SMU allows just 93.4 rushing yards per game, which is the lowest in program history2. Meanwhile, Allen and Singleton have been instrumental for Penn State, with Singleton rushing for 839 yards and Allen adding 822 yards. SMU has not had to face two elite running backs this season. Add in QB Drew Allar and the use of play action to free up TE Tyler Warren and you have a monumentally difficult offense to defend on every down. From the predictive model: My proprietary model expects PSU to score 34 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers as SMU. In past games under Franklin, PSU is 38-1 SU and 38-4-2 ATS for 91% winning bets. SMU is 5-41 SU and 10-36-1 ATS when allowing 34 or more points and having the same or more committed turnovers since 2014 and 0-6 SUATS since 2021.
12-20-24	Indiana +7.5 v. Notre Dame	Top	17-27	Loss	-115	104 h 47 m	Show
Indiana vs Notre Dame 8-Unit bet on Indiana priced as a 7.5-point underdog. I like a sprinkle of no more than 2-Units on the money line preflop. Also, holding that money line sprinkle to see if Notre Dame scores first or retakes the lead during the first half of action is preferred. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 67-48 record and 68-46-1ATS record good 60% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams. The road team scored 60 or more points in their previous game. They allowed 14 or fewer points in their previous game. If our road team scored 45 or more points in their previous game and the game is a bowl game, conference championship, or the college playoffs, they have gone an amazing 6-3 SU and 7-0-1 ATS for 100% winning bets since 2010. From the Predictive Model: My predictive model is expecting Indiana to score 27 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers as Notre Dame. Indiana is 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS good for 77% wining bets in games i which they scored 27 or more points and had the same or fewer turnovers since 2021.
12-18-24	Western Kentucky +7.5 v. James Madison	Top	17-27	Loss	-115	6 h 58 m	Show
Western Kentucky vs James Madison 8-Unit Bet on WKU priced as a 7-point underdog. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 9-5 SU and 10-4 ATS for 71.4% winning bets over the past 8 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on a team that has lost to the spread by 55 or more points spanning their previous five games. That team is playing in a bowl game. Roca Baton Bowl Preview: Western Kentucky vs. James Madison The Roca Baton Bowl is set to feature an intriguing matchup between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the James Madison Dukes on Wednesday, December 18, 2024, at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida. This will be the first time these two teams have faced each other on the gridiron1. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Western Kentucky enters the bowl game with an 8-5 record after a tough loss in the Conference USA Championship game. The Hilltoppers have been consistent winners under head coach Tyson Helton, winning at least eight games in five of the last six seasons1. However, the team has been hit hard by the transfer portal, with 23 players entering since their last game. Notably, starting quarterback and C-USA Offensive Player of the Year, Caden Veltkamp, has entered the portal. Despite these challenges, Western Kentucky will rely on their strong passing attack led by Veltkamp, who threw for 2,806 yards and 23 touchdowns this season. James Madison Dukes James Madison comes into the bowl game with an 8-4 record under first-year head coach Bob Chesney. The Dukes have had a solid season, including key wins against North Carolina and Coastal Carolina1. However, they will be without their starting quarterback, Alonza Barnett III, who suffered an injury in the regular-season finale. This means James Madison will be starting third-string quarterback Billy Atkins, who has attempted only 46 passes in his career. The Dukes will likely lean heavily on their running game, with George Pettaway and Wayne Knight expected to play key roles. Key Matchups Western Kentucky's Passing Attack vs. James Madison's Pass Defense: Western Kentucky's strong passing attack will be tested against James Madison's top-ranked pass defense. James Madison's Running Game vs. Western Kentucky's Run Defense: With James Madison's quarterback situation uncertain, their running game will be crucial, especially against Western Kentucky's struggling run defense. Weather Conditions The game is expected to have thunderstorms before and during kickoff, with wind gusts over 20 mph, which could impact both teams' passing games. Transfer Portal News Western Kentucky: The Hilltoppers have seen a mass exodus of players to the transfer portal, including key starters like Caden Veltkamp and linebacker Darius Thomas, who has committed to Louisville. James Madison: The Dukes have also been impacted by the transfer portal, losing several players to other programs, but they have managed to maintain a solid roster. Again, the current price showing WKU as a 7-point underdog bas all of this news baked into the market. Just as all the news and rumors are baked into the price of a stock like Nvidia, or a commodity like Crude Oil or Bit Coin.
12-14-24	South Alabama v. Western Michigan UNDER 57.5	Top	30-23	Win	100	56 h 12 m	Show
Western Michigan vs South Alabama 8-unit bet on the Under currently priced at 57.5 points. The following CFB betting algorithm has produced a 29-16 Under record good for 64% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet the Under in games priced between 57.5 and 70 points. The game takes place on a neutral field in December. One of the teams is coming off a win and covered the spread. If the opponent is also coming off a win and covered the spread, the Under has gone 16-4 for 8-% winning bets.
12-07-24	Penn State +3.5 v. Oregon	Top	37-45	Loss	-105	28 h 27 m	Show
3 Penn State vs 1 Oregon 10-Unit Bet (5-10 grading) on PSU priced as a 3.5-point underdog. Betting on underdogs between pick-em and 4.5 points in a matchup o ranked teams in the top 10 and with the dog ranked lower (PSU is ranked 3rd and Oregon ranked 1st) and taking place on a neutral site has produced an exceptional 14-10 SU (58%) and 16-8 ATS record for 67% winning bets since 2006. Undefeated favorites playing in the conference championship game are 6-6 SU and 3-8-1 ATS (27%). When these undefeated teams failed to cover the spread, those losses were by an average of 8.9 points SU and 13.3 points ATS. In the losses by these undefeated juggernauts, they failed to run the ball averaging 113.3 yards per game and were outgained on the ground by a margin of 60.6 rushing yards. The winning teams playing against those undefeated teams averaged 174 rushing yards. Moreover, the losing undefeated teams threw an average of 39 passes completing 22.5 of them for 255.3 passing yards. Their foes outgained them through the air averaging 262.2 passing yards but on just 29.5 attempts and 18 of those completed. In these upset wins against undefeated teams, the team started fast and led at the half by an average of 11.7 points per game and shockingly outscored them in every quarter on average. The undefeated teams that led or were tied at the half went on to an impressive 36-6 SU (86%) and 27-14-1 ATS record (65.9%). So, it is imperative that PSU gets off to a solid start and controls the clock and the pace of play and I do believe they will get that accomplished.
12-07-24	Iowa State +1.5 v. Arizona State	Top	19-45	Loss	-109	20 h 13 m	Show
Arizona State vs Iowa State 8-Unit bet on Iowa State priced as 1.5-point underdogs. The following NCAAF Betting Algorithm has produced exceptional results with a 98-67 SU and 106-58-1 ATS record for 65% winning bets since 1980. The requirements are: Bet on teams priced between the 5’s in the postseason. Between a favorite of 5 points and a dog of 5 points. That team is on a 3 to 10-game consecutive ATS win streak. That team has won 11 or fewer games. The game occurs in the month of December. Team Statistics Arizona State Sun Devils: Total Offense:422.6 yards/game Points per Game: 32.1 Yards Allowed per Game: 336.6 Time of Possession: 32:22 Iowa State Cyclones: Total Offense:419.8 yards/game Points per Game: 31.2 Yards Allowed per Game: 330.6 Time of Possession: 32:32 Key Player Statistics Arizona State: QB Sam Leavitt:291 yards, 3 TDs in last game RB Cam Skattebo: Leading rusher, consistent ground game Iowa State: QB Rocco Becht: 40% completion rate in the Red Zone Secondary: Allowing the 2nd lowest completion rate in the country (52%) Betting Odds and Totals Spread: Arizona State is a 2.5-point favorite Moneyline: Arizona State (-128), Iowa State (+106) Total: 49.5 points (Over/Under -110) Key Matchups Arizona State's Offense vs. Iowa State's Defense: The Sun Devils have a strong passing attack but will be without their star wide receiver Jordyn Tyson due to injury. Iowa State's defense, known for its low completion rate allowed, will be a tough challenge2. Iowa State's Offense vs. Arizona State's Defense: The Cyclones have a potent passing offense, but their quarterback Rocco Becht has struggled in the Red Zone. Arizona State's defense will need to capitalize on this weakness. Time of Possession: Both teams are nearly identical in time of possession, which could make ball control a crucial factor in the game's outcome.
12-07-24	Ohio v. Miami-OH -2.5	Top	38-3	Loss	-109	20 h 13 m	Show
Ohio U vs Miami (Ohio) 8-Unit bet on the Miami (Ohio) priced as a 2.5-point favorite. The following NCAAF Betting Algorithm has produced exceptional results with a 98-67 SU and 106-58-1 ATS record for 65% winning bets since 1980. The requirements are: Bet on teams priced between the 5’s in the postseason. Between a favorite of 5 points and a dog of 5 points. That team is on a 3 to 10-game consecutive ATS win streak. That team has won 11 or fewer games. The game occurs in the month of December.
11-30-24	Texas -4.5 v. Texas A&M	Top	17-7	Win	100	9 h 57 m	Show
Texas vs Texas A&M 7:30 ET, November 30, 2024 10-Unit bet on the Texas Longhorns priced as 4.5-point favorites. Playing on the road and getting a win in the SEC conference has always been a very difficult task having to play in some of the largest stadiums in the world. Texas A&Ms’ Kyle Stadium is the largest in the SEC and any team must play well with few miscues to leave with a win. Texas is ranked #3 and their defense is the most dominating defense in college football this season. One of the keys to a win on the road in the SEC is to score first and get the frenzied crowd to be calmer. Afterall, Kyle Stadium is nicknamed the 12th man and playing against 11 is always better. Playing a road game at night (after 6:00 ET) is the most difficult venue. However, home SEC dogs in November and playing after 6 ET have gone just 15-35 SU (30%) and 19-29-2 ATS (40%) since 2015. If the home dog is priced below 10 points, they have gone 10-21 SU and 10-20-1 ATS for 33% winning bets since 2015. From the Predictive Model: My model projects an 86% probability that Texas will score 28 or more points, allowing 20 or fewer points and have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Texas met these performance measures has seen them go an impressive 33-0 SU and 29-4 ATS for 88% winning bets since 2015.
11-30-24	Maryland v. Penn State -25	Top	7-44	Win	100	5 h 56 m	Show
Maryland vs Penn State 3:30 ET, Saturday 8-Unit bet on Penn State priced as 24.5-point home favorites. Today is Senior Day in Happy Valley and with the CFP on the line, PSU will be in high gear and not take the 4-7 Terrapins lightly. Quarterback Drew Allar has been highly consistent and saved the season with a come from behind drive at USC earlier this year. The offense has opened the vertical routes this season and with his pro-caliber arm, Allar has been able to take a huge step forward this season. Allar has a 171 QBR, which is significantly higher than the 135 he posted last season. The Big Ten features four teams in the latest CFB poll and all four are led by great defensive units. PSU ranks second-best in the conference allowing 14.6 PPG while OSU is the best allowing 10.7 PPG. PSU ranks 4th averaging 32.4 PPG for a scoring differential of 17.8 PPG, which is nearly what Maryland scores on offense. Maryland ranks second to last allowing 29.2 PPG and is scoring only 17 PPG this season and has posted a terrible –4 PPG scoring differential. Key Matchups and Players to Watch Maryland's Offense vs. Penn State's Defense: Maryland's senior wide receiver Tai Felton has been a standout player this season, leading the Big Ten with 92 catches for 1,097 yards and nine touchdowns. He will be a focal point for Penn State's secondary4. Penn State's Running Game: Despite losing starting right tackle Anthony Donkoh to a long-term injury, Penn State's running game remains strong. Running backs Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen, along with tight end Tyler Warren, will be key players to watch4. From the Predictive Model: My model projects an 86% probability that PSU will score 32 or more points in this contest. PSU is 126-2 SU (98%) and 92-33-3 ATS for 74% winners when scoring 32 or more points since 1980. In addition, PSU is 42-0 SU, 29-11-2 ATS (73%) when priced as a double-digit favorite and scoring 32 or more points under James Franklin. PSU is expected to allow 17 or fewer points in this game and accounts for a late score by Maryland after Franklin removes the starters. So, PSU is 50-0 SU and 35-13-2 ATS when priced as a double-digit favorite and allowing 17 or fewer points under James Franklin.
11-30-24	Arizona State v. Arizona +8.5	Top	49-7	Loss	-110	5 h 55 m	Show
Arizona State vs Arizona 3:30 ET, November 30 8-Unit bet on Arizona priced as a 9.5-point underdog. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 24-29 SU and 33-17-3 ATS for 66% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: Bet on home dogs priced between 4.5 and 10 points. The dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. The opponent is coming off two straight games where they had fewer turnovers than their opponents. If the opponent is ranked, these home pups have gone 9-13 SU and 16-4-2 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2019
11-30-24	Notre Dame v. USC +7.5	Top	49-35	Loss	-115	5 h 54 m	Show
Notre Dame vs USC 3:30 ET 8-Unit bet on USC priced as a 7.5-point underdog. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 29-36 SU and 42-20-3 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet on home underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. That dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. The opponent won the turnover battle in each of their last two games. Since 1980, this has been one of the best rivalries in college football. Notre Dame is 24-18-1 SU and 20-22-1 ATS in these games. When Notre Dame has been ranked in the top 10 of the polls, USC has gone 3-3 SU and 5-1 ATS since 1997. From the predictive model: USC is projected to have an 80% probability of gaining 400 or more total yards and outgaining Notre Dame in this game. They also have a 77% probability that they will contain Notre Dame to 350 or fewer yards. USC is 17-0 SU and 15-2 ATS FOR 88% Winning bets when gaining 375 or more yards and allowing 350 or fewer yards since 2018. The records are the same if USC gained 400 or more total yards. USC is 7-3 SUATS against Notre Dame where they had the same or fewer turnovers since 2005. Historical Context This rivalry has seen some incredible moments over the years. One of the most memorable games was in 1974, when USC made a historic comeback against Notre Dame. Trailing 24-0 at halftime, the Trojans scored 55 points in the second half to win 55-24. This game is still talked about as one of the greatest comebacks in college football history. The rivalry also features the Jeweled Shillelagh trophy, awarded to the winner each year. The trophy is adorned with an emerald shamrock for Notre Dame and a ruby Trojan head for USC. Key Matchups Notre Dame's Defense vs. USC's Offense: Notre Dame boasts the No. 4 ranked defense in the country, allowing just 15 points per game. They will be tested by USC quarterback Jayden Maiava, who has been solid in his last two starts. USC's Red Zone Offense: The Trojans struggled in the red zone against UCLA, scoring only nine points on nine plays inside the five-yard line. They will need to improve this aspect to have a chance against Notre Dame's stout defense.
11-23-24	Colorado State v. Fresno State -3	Top	22-28	Win	100	32 h 41 m	Show
Colorado State vs Fresno State 10:30 ET \| CBSSN 8-Unit bet on Fresno State priced as a 3-point favorite. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 53-31 SU (63%) and 26-16-1 ATS for 53-29-2 ATS (64.6%) winning bets since 2019. Bet on teams priced between the 3’s. The foe has covered the spread in each of their last four games. If our team is playing at home and the game occurs from week 8 on out to the end of the season, they soar to a highly profitable 21-9 SU (70%) record and a 22-8 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2019. In the ATS wins these teams covered by 14.2 PPG.
11-23-24	BYU v. Arizona State -3	Top	23-28	Win	100	25 h 45 m	Show
BYU vs Arizona State 3:30 ET, Saturday 8-Unit bet on ASU priced as 3-point home favorites. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 26-7 SU and 23-10 ATS for 70% winning bets. The requirements are: Both teams ranked in the top 25. The site is at home or neutral. Games occur in the regular season. The team we are betting on is ranked worse than the foe in the poll. Our team is priced between a 2.5 and 17.5-point favorite. The total is between 45 and 50 points.
11-23-24	Colorado v. Kansas +3	Top	21-37	Win	100	25 h 41 m	Show
16 Colorado vs Kansas 3:30 ET \| FOX 10-UNIT Big-12 Game of the Year betting on Kansas priced as a 2.5-point underdog. From the Predictive Model: The model projects that Kansas will score 28 or more points and/or have the same or fewer turnovers and have more than 170 rushing yards. In past games since 2021, Kansas is 13-5 SU (72%) and 14-3-1 ATS (82.4% when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. Colorado is 1-29 SU and 3-26-1 ATS when allowing 28 or more points, allowing 175 or more rushing yards, and having the same or more turnovers than the foe in games played since 2015. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 39-28 SU and 44-22-1 ATS for 67% winning bets since 1980. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs priced from pick-em to 6 points. They are coming off an upset win. They are facing a foe that has covered the spread in four consecutive games. They game is played on a neutral field If our dog is coming off an upset win, they have produced an incredible 10-3 SU and 12-1 ATS record for 92% winning bets that have covered the spread by an average of 8.5 points per game. Team Overview Kansas Jayhawks: 4-6 (3-4 Big-12) Colorado Buffaloes: 8-2 (6-1 Big-12) Team Statistics Kansas Jayhawks: Points per game: 30.2 Total yards per game: 420.5 Rushing yards per game: 180.3 Passing yards per game: 240.2 Turnovers per game: 1.5 Sacks allowed per game: 2.1 Colorado Buffaloes: Points per game: 35.1 Total yards per game: 450.7 Rushing yards per game: 160.2 Passing yards per game: 290.5 Turnovers per game: 1.3 Sacks allowed per game: 1.8 Key Players Performance Kansas Jayhawks: Quarterback (QB): Jason Bean - 2,800 passing yards, 22 TDs, 8 INTs Running Back (RB): Devin Neal - 1,200 rushing yards, 12 TDs Wide Receiver (WR): Lawrence Arnold - 60 receptions, 800 yards, 6 TDs (questionable for the game) Colorado Buffaloes: Quarterback (QB): Shedeur Sanders - 3,222 passing yards, 27 TDs, 7 INTs Running Back (RB): Dylan Edwards - 1,000 rushing yards, 9 TDs Wide Receiver (WR): Travis Hunter - 74 receptions, 911 yards, 10 TDs Injury Reports Kansas Jayhawks: Lawrence Arnold (WR): Questionable (hamstring) Cobee Bryant (CB): Probable (knee) Devin Neal (RB): Probable (ankle) Colorado Buffaloes: Shedeur Sanders (QB): Probable (shoulder) Travis Hunter (WR): Probable (ankle) Dylan Edwards (RB): Probable (knee)
11-23-24	Ole Miss v. Florida +13	Top	17-24	Win	100	21 h 12 m	Show
9 Mississippi vs Florida Noon ET \|ABC/ESPN+ 8-Unit Bet on the Florida Gators priced as 12.5-point underdogs. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 24-28 SU and 33-16-3 SATS for 67.3% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home underdogs priced between 4.5 and 10 points. They committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. They are taking on a foe that won the turnover battle in each of their last three games. If the dog is facing a conference foe they improve to 21-23 SU and 29-12-3 ATS good for 71% winning bets. Mississippi Rebels (8-2, 4-2 SEC, No. 9 CFP) Head Coach: Lane Kiffin Key Players: Jaxson Dart (QB), Tre Harris (WR), Princely Umanmielen (DE) Team Statistics: Offensive Stats: 1st in passing offense, 2nd in total offense (371.3 yards per game), 1st in passing efficiency (188.6 ypg), 1st in yards per attempt (11.4) Defensive Stats: 1st in tackles for loss (103), 2nd in sacks (46), 1st in passing defense2 Florida Gators (5-5, 3-4 SEC) Head Coach: Billy Napier Key Players: DJ Lagway (QB), Elijhah Badger (WR), Shemar James (LB) Team Statistics: Offensive Stats: 93rd in passing offense, 5th in rushing offense, 5th in total offense Defensive Stats: 93rd in passing defense, 5th in rushing defense, 5th in total defense Key Player Performances Mississippi Rebels: Jaxson Dart (QB): Dart has been exceptional this season, leading the FBS in total offense (371.3 yards per game) and passing efficiency (188.6 ypg). He needs 372 yards to tie Eli Manning's school record for passing yards. Tre Harris (WR): Harris, who leads the team with 59 catches and 987 yards receiving, is expected to return after missing the last three games with a lower-body injury. PrincelyUmanmielen (DE):Umanmielen ranks second on the team and third in the SEC with 9.5 sacks. Florida Gators: DJ Lagway (QB):Lagway is recovering from a strained left hamstring but returned last week against LSU. He completed 13 of 26 passes for 226 yards and a touchdown3. Elijhah Badger (WR): Badger leads the team with 131 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 touchdown against LSU. Shemar James (LB): James led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles against LSU. Injury Reports Mississippi Rebels: Tre Harris (WR): Expected to return after missing the last three games with a lower-body injury. Florida Gators: DJ Lagway (QB): Recovering from a strained left hamstring but has been practicing. Top three cornerbacks (Jason Marshall, Devin Moore, Ja’Keem Jackson): Out for the game. Linebacker Grayson "Pup" Howard: Out for the game.
11-16-24	Kansas +2.5 v. BYU	Top	17-13	Win	100	31 h 31 m	Show
Kansas vs 9 BYU 10:15 ET \| ESPN \| LaVell Edwards Stadium 8-Unit bet Under the total currently priced at 56.5 points. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 14-37 straight-up (SU) and 29-22 ATS for 57% and 29-18-4 Under good for 62 winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet the under from week 8 on out to the end of the season. The road team is dog and averages between 28 and 34.5 PPG. The opponent allows between 16 and 21 PPG. The roadDogs are coming off a game in which they scored 24 or more points in the first half. BYU escaped with a one-point win at Utah in a game that it appeared Utah had won. A questionable holding call on fourth down and with the BYU QB nearly sacked in his endzone was whistled. BYU then went down the field and executed well scoring the winning TD to remain undefeated. However, undefeated teams that are coming off a three or fewer point win in game number 8 to the end of the season have gone 126-63 (67%) and 84-101-7 ATS for 45% winners; 4-9-1 ATS when coming off a single-point win.
11-16-24	Wake Forest v. North Carolina -10	Top	24-31	Loss	-109	28 h 21 m	Show
Wake Forest vs North Carolina 8 ET \| 8-Unit bet on UNC priced as –11-point favorites. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 62-21 straight-up (SU) and 53-28-2 ATS for 65.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home teams from week 8 on out to the end of the season. The home team is averaging between 190 and 230 rushing yards per game. They held their previous foe to less than 100 rushing yards. The opponent averages between 140 and 190 rushing yards per game.
11-16-24	Oregon v. Wisconsin +14	Top	16-13	Win	100	28 h 50 m	Show
1 Oregon vs Wisconsin 7:30 ET \| NBC \| Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI 10-Unit bet on the Wisconsin Badgers priced as 13.5-point home underdogs. I highly recommend a sprinkle of money placed on the money line for this matchup of Big Ten foes. I am seeing +425 money lines currently and make sure your sprinkle is priced at least at +400. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 11-34 SU (26%) but 31-15 ATS good for 67% winning bets since 1980. The requirements are: Bet against an undefeated team playing after their ninth game to the end of the season including the post season. The undefeated team is on the road and priced as a 6 or more-point favorite. They are facing a team with a solid defense allowing fewer than 24 PPG. If the undefeated team is priced as a double-digit favorite and facing a conference foe has seen our home dogs bark loud and mean to the tune of a 4-25 SU mark but a stellar 21-8 ATS mark for 72% winning bets. Last, if the total is 50 or more points, these dogs have roared to a 9-1 ATS record for 90% winning bets. Over the years, week 12 or game number 11 accounting for the BYE weeks have seen many a giant gets knocked down or at least have to fight tooth and nail to just get away with a win to remain undefeated. Oregon finds themselves on the road playing in what will be a hostile environment for the first time. Undefeated teams playing in their 11th game and facing a host that has a winning record have gone 60-29 SU (67%) and 37-51-3 ATS for just 42% winning bets since 1980. If these juggernauts are priced as double-digit road favorites, they have gone 10-3 SU but just 4-9 ATS. Undefeated teams that are playing their 11th game, priced as double-digit favorites, are ranked in the Top 10, and facing a foe with a winning record have gone 18-6 SU but just 6-17-1 ATS for 26% winning bets. From the Predictive Models: The models project that Wisconsin will gain 150 or more rushing yards, have the same or fewer turnovers, and have more rushing attempts than passing attempts. In games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures has produced an exceptional 120-13 SU and 93-37-3 ATS for 72% winning bets. If they were priced as the underdog in these games has produced an incredible 7-8 SU and 12-3 ATS record good for 80% winning bets.
11-16-24	James Madison -2 v. Old Dominion	Top	35-32	Win	100	24 h 16 m	Show
James Madison vs ODU 4 ET \| 8-unit bet on JMU priced as 2.5-point favorites. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 47-25 straight-up (SU) and 45-23-5 ATS for 66.2% winning bets over the past 40 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on any team priced between the 3’s. That team is averaging 34 or more PPG. The opponent allows 21 to 28 PPG. Our team has allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their two previous games.
11-16-24	Penn State -28.5 v. Purdue	Top	49-10	Win	100	24 h 47 m	Show
Penn State vs Purdue 3:30 ET \| CBS \| Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN 8-Unit bet on PSU priced as 28.5-point favorites. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 53-9 straight-up (SU) and 41-21 ATS for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road favorites. That team allowed 225 or fewer total offensive yards in their previous game. The opponent was outgained by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. If our road team is priced as a double-digit favorite, they have gone 40-3 SU and 29-14 ATS for 67.4% winning bets. If they are favored by 24 or more points it has produced a 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS mark for 82% winning bets.
11-15-24	North Texas +2 v. UTSA	Top	27-48	Loss	-109	6 h 44 m	Show
North Texas vs UTSA 8 ET \| ESPN2 \| Friday 8-Unit bet on North Texas priced as 2-point dogs The following NCAAF betting algorithm has earned a 318-77 SU (81%) and 234-156-5 ATS record for 60% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road favorites. The home team’s defense allows an average of 31 or more PPG. The home team is coming off two games in which a total of 60 or more points were scored in each game. If our road warrior is facing a conference foe and has a winning record has produced a 177-27 SU (87%) and 132-68-4 ATS record good for 66% winning bets.
11-15-24	Wyoming v. Colorado State -9	Top	10-24	Win	100	6 h 44 m	Show
Wyoming vs Colorado State 8 ET \| CBSSN 8-Unit bet on CSU priced as 9.5-point favorites. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has earned a 117-22 SU (84%) and 92-46-1 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the past 45 seasons going back to 1980. The requirements are: Bet on home teams coming off a double-digit road win. The opponent is coming off an upset win against a conference foe and were 6 or more-point underdogs. If our team is priced between a 3.5 and 9.5-point favorite, they have then gone 28-2 SU (93%) and 25-5 ATS good for 83% winning bets since 1980. So, it is a rare and highly profitable situation that CSU finds themselves in for tonight’s game.
11-13-24	Eastern Michigan v. Ohio -8	Top	10-35	Win	100	52 h 25 m	Show
Eastern Michigan vs Ohio 7 ET, Wednesday, Week 12 8-Unit Bet on Ohio University priced as a 9-point favorite. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 61-21 SU (74%) and 52-28-2 ATS (65%) since 2015. The requirements are: Bet on home teams from week 8 on out to the end of the season. The home team is averaging 190 to 230 rushing yards per game. The home team allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards in their previous game. The opponent averages 140 to 190 RYPG. Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-4) Offensive Stats: 29.2 points per game (65th in FBS) Defensive Stats: 26.3 points allowed per game (76th in FBS) Recent Trends: The Eagles are coming off a tough 38-14 loss to Miami (OH). They have shown resilience with a 5-4 record but need to tighten up their defense. Win/Loss Streak: Lost last game but won two of the previous three. Ohio Bobcats (6-3) Offensive Stats: 26.8 points per game (80th in FBS) Defensive Stats: 20.7 points allowed per game (27th in FBS) Recent Trends: The Bobcats are riding high after a dominant 41-0 win over Kent State. They have a solid defense and are looking to continue their winning ways. Win/Loss Streak: Won last game and have won three of the last four. Player Injuries and Status Eastern Michigan Eagles: Cole Snyder (QB): No injuries reported, expected to start. Delbert Mimms III (RB): No injuries reported, expected to start. Terry Lockett Jr. (WR): No injuries reported, expected to start. Oran Singleton (WR): No injuries reported, expected to start. Ohio Bobcats: Parker Navarro (QB): No injuries reported, expected to start. Anthony Tyus III (RB): No injuries reported, expected to start. Coleman Owen (WR): No injuries reported, expected to start. Key Players to Watch Eastern Michigan Eagles: Cole Snyder (QB):2,087 yards, 11 touchdowns, 3 interceptions. Delbert Mimms III (RB):558 yards, 7 touchdowns. Terry Lockett Jr. (WR):526 yards, 3 touchdowns. Ohio Bobcats: Parker Navarro (QB):1,359 yards, 7 touchdowns, 7 interceptions. Anthony Tyus III (RB):694 yards, 6 touchdowns. Coleman Owen (WR):733 yards, 5 touchdowns
11-13-24	Kent State v. Miami-OH OVER 45.5	Top	7-34	Loss	-110	52 h 25 m	Show
Kent State vs Miami (Ohio) 7 PM, Wednesday 8-Unit Bet on the Over priced as 46 points. Live Betting Strategy: With this total being lower than usual for a 30-piont favorite, consider betting 70% preflop on the Over and then look for a slower start to the game than expected and look to get the remaining 30% amount bet at a price of 41.5 points during the first half of action only. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 109-1 SU (99%) and 55-54-1 ATS (50%), and 74-35-1 Over good for 68% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: Bet the Over in a game with a total of 48 or fewer points. The favorite is priced at 30 or more points. Game Details Date: Wednesday, November 13, 2024 Time: 7:00 PM ET Location: Fred C. Yager Stadium, Oxford, Ohio TV: ESPNU Team Overview Kent State Golden Flashes Record: 0-9 (0-5 in MAC) Injuries: QB Devin Kargman: Out for the season (hip injury) QB JD Sherrod: Out for the season (Achilles injury) QB Tommy Ulatowski: Questionable (finger injury) QB Ruel Tomlinson: Expected to start Offensive Stats: Points per Game: 15.1 (133rd in FBS) Passing Yards per Game: 114.8 (129th) Rushing Yards per Game: 180.2 (81st) Defensive Stats: Points Allowed per Game: 46.0 (last in FBS) Total Yards Allowed per Game: 526.9 (last in FBS) Recent Trends: Kent State has lost nine straight games, including a 41-0 loss to Ohio in their last game. They have struggled on both sides of the ball, with a particularly weak defense2. Miami (OH) RedHawks Record: 5-4 (4-1 in MAC) Injuries: QB Brett Gabbert: Out for the season (leg injury) RB Javon Tracy: Out for the season (undisclosed injury) LB J. Kuwatch: Questionable (undisclosed injury) OL Lawhorn Moore: Questionable (undisclosed injury) Offensive Stats: Points per Game: 23.2 (105th in FBS) Passing Yards per Game: 1,946 (57.8% completion rate) Rushing Yards per Game: 650 Defensive Stats: Points Allowed per Game: 20.0 (23rd in FBS) Total Yards Allowed per Game: 3,742 Recent Trends: Miami (OH) has won four straight games in the MAC, including a 27-21 victory over Ball State in their last game. They are currently tied for first place in the MAC East division2. Key Players to Watch Kent State: Freshman QB Ruel Tomlinson will be making his first start. He will need to step up to improve the team's offensive performance1. Miami (OH): Senior QB Aveon Smith will be starting in place of the injured Brett Gabbert. He will need to continue his solid play to keep the RedHawks' winning streak alive.
11-09-24	Maryland +23.5 v. Oregon	Top	18-39	Win	100	11 h 45 m	Show
Maryland vs No.1 Oregon 7 ET \| BTN \| Autzen Stadium 8-Unit bet on Oregon priced as 23.5-point favorite. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 47-0 SU (76%) but 35-11-1 ATS good for 76% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are: Bet on home favorites priced at –21 or more points. The home team has won each of their last three games by 21 or more points. The visitors lost their last game by 17 or more points to a conference foe. If the game takes place from week 10 on out to the end of the season these big favorites have gotten it done to the tune of a 23-0 SU and 18-5 ATS record good for 78% winning bets since 2010.
11-09-24	Georgia v. Ole Miss OVER 54	Top	10-28	Loss	-105	8 h 36 m	Show
Georgia vs Mississippi 3:30 ET, Saturday 10-Unit best bet on the Over currently priced at 54.5 points. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 34-18 Over good for 65.4% winning bets. The requirements are: Bet the Over that priced between 45 and 57.5 points. The game occurs from week 10 to the end of the season. The team average points allowed added to the average points allowed by the opponent and then subtracted from the total is a negative 20 or more points. The Georgia defense allows 17.3 PPG and the Mississippi defense allows 13.2 PPG. Thes two defense together combine for a total of 34.2 PPG when subtracted from the total of 55 point is –20.8 points. So, this is a contrarian bet to the publics’ Under enthusiasm. This Saturday, the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs (7-1) will face off against the No. 16 Ole Miss Rebels (7-2) in a highly anticipated SEC showdown at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. This game is crucial for both teams as they jockey for position in the College Football Playoff race2. National Standings Georgia Bulldogs: Ranked No. 2 in the AP poll and No. 3 in the CFP rankings. Ole Miss Rebels: Ranked No. 16 in the AP poll and No. 16 in the CFP rankings2. Team Statistics Georgia Bulldogs: Offense: 33.1 points per game Defense: 17.3 points allowed per game Passing: Carson Beck with 2,302 yards, 65.5% completion rate, 17 TDs, 11 INTs Rushing: Trevor Etienne with 453 yards, 5.1 yards per carry, 7 TDs Receiving: Arian Smith with 503 yards, 3 TDs Ole Miss Rebels: Offense: 42.1 points per game Defense: 13.2 points allowed per game Passing: Jaxson Dart with 3,210 yards, 71.7% completion rate, 21 TDs, 3 INTs Rushing: Henry Parrish Jr. with 693 yards, 10 TDs Receiving: Tre Harris with 1,020 yards, 6 TDs Key Players Georgia Bulldogs: Carson Beck: Despite his 11 interceptions, Beck remains a key player for Georgia. Trevor Etienne: A reliable rusher who has been consistent this season. Arian Smith: A standout receiver with impressive yardage and touchdowns. Ole Miss Rebels: Jaxson Dart: A standout quarterback with impressive stats and a recent record-setting performance. Tre Harris: A top receiver who has been a major threat to opposing defenses. Henry Parrish Jr.: A strong running back who has been a key part of the Rebels' offense. Injuries and Player Status Georgia Bulldogs: Trevor Etienne: Suffered an injury in the last game against Florida and his status is uncertain. Arian Smith: Fully healthy and expected to play. Ole Miss Rebels: Tre Harris: Was sidelined with an injury but is expected to return for this game. Henry Parrish Jr.: Fully healthy and ready to contribute.
11-09-24	Minnesota v. Rutgers +6	Top	19-26	Win	100	4 h 47 m	Show
Minnesota vs Rutgers Noon, Saturday, November 9 8-Unit bet on Rutgers priced as 6-point underdogs. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 26-34 SU and 39-18-3 ATS for 68.4% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet on home underdogs priced between 3.5 to 9.5 points. The home team committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. The visitor has won the turnover battle in each of their last two games. If our dog has a winning record i the current season, they soar to a 23-9-2 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets.
11-08-24	Iowa v. UCLA +6	Top	17-20	Win	100	31 h 19 m	Show
Iowa vs UCLA 9 ET, Friday, November 8 8-Unit Best Bet on the UCLA Bruins priced as a 5-point underdog. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 18-22 SU and 27-10-3 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: Bet on home dogs priced between 4.5 and 10 points. The dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. The opponent is coming off two straight games where they had fewer turnovers than their opponents.
11-06-24	Ohio -20 v. Kent State	Top	41-0	Win	100	5 h 15 m	Show
Ohio U vs Kent State Wedneday, November 6 8-Unit bet on the Ohio U Bobcats priced as 19.5-point favorites. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 40-3 SU (93%) and 31-11-1 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on double-digit road favorites. The home team has lost the turnover battle in each of their last four games.
11-05-24	Miami-OH -11.5 v. Ball State	Top	27-21	Loss	-105	9 h 27 m	Show
Miami (Ohio) vs Ball State 8:00 ET \| 8-Unit bet on Miami (Ohio) priced as –12-point favorites. The following College Football betting algorithm has gone 63-9 SU (88%) and 42-29-1 ATS good for 59.2% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road conference teams That road team is priced between a 10 and 21.5-point favorite. The favorite has won four of their last five games. The game occurs in the month of November. Preview: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ball State Cardinals Tonight, the Miami (OH) RedHawks (4-4, 3-1 MAC) will face off against the Ball State Cardinals (3-5, 2-2 MAC) in a crucial Mid-American Conference (MAC) showdown. The game will take place at Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, Indiana, and is set to kick off at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. Miami (OH) RedHawks The RedHawks are coming off a dominant 46-7 victory over Central Michigan and are currently on a three-game conference winning streak. Miami (OH) is led by sixth-year senior quarterback Brett Gabbert, who has completed 132 of 224 passes for 1,727 yards, 13 touchdowns, and seven interceptions this season. Gabbert has been particularly impressive over the last three games, throwing eight touchdown passes without an interception. Senior running back Keyon Mozee has been a key contributor to the RedHawks' offense, rushing for 545 yards and two touchdowns on 86 carries. Wide receiver Cade McDonald leads the team with 507 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 38 receptions. Ball State Cardinals The Cardinals are looking to bounce back from a tough start to the season and are coming off a narrow 25-23 victory over Northern Illinois. Ball State is led by redshirt freshman quarterback Kadin Semonza, who has completed 179 of 269 passes for 1,749 yards, 15 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. Semonza also rushed for one touchdown this season. Senior running back Braedon Sloan leads the Cardinals' ground game with 502 yards and four touchdowns on 123 carries. Wide receiver Tanner Koziol has been a standout performer, racking up 580 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 64 receptions. Injuries and Player Statuses As of now, there are no major injuries reported for either team. Both teams are expected to have their key players available for tonight's game a have no significant losses to injuries.. Key Matchup This game is crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the MAC. Miami (OH) is currently in a strong position with a 3-1 conference record, while Ball State needs a win to stay in contention for a MAC title game appearance.
11-02-24	Pittsburgh v. SMU -7	Top	25-48	Win	100	29 h 11 m	Show
Pittsburgh vs SMU 8 ET \| ACC Network \| Gerald J. Ford Stadium 10-Unit bet on SMU priced as a 7.5-point favorite. The following sports betting algorithm that has gone 22-4-2 ATS for 85% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Bet on home teams that have won 80% or more of their games. The opponent has won 80% or more of their games. The opponent has covered the spread by 50 or more points over their previous five games. The total is 45 or more points. If the game occurs from week 7 to the end of the season, these teams have gone an impressive 20-3-2 ATS for an incredibly profitable 87% winners. Check this one out if you want to make even more money for many seasons to come. This algorithm has gone 69-6 SU (70%) and 52-19-4 ATS for 73% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. Bet against road dogs priced between pick and 21 points. The total is not greater than 63 points. The Road Dog has won each of their two previous games against conference foes priced as the favorite. In the road dog’s last game, they were priced between a 3.5 and 18.5-point favorite. The game pits members from the FBS, and the game takes place on Saturdays. If facing a conference foe, our home teams have gone 62-6 SU (82%) and 46-18-4 ATS good for 72% winning bets. If our home team is ranked in the top 25 they have gone 33-5 (87%) and 26-10-2 ATS good for 72% winning bets. Pittsburgh vs. SMU Football Game Preview Season Records Pittsburgh Panthers: 7-0 overall, 3-0 in ACC play SMU Mustangs: 7-1 overall, 4-0 in ACC play Against the Spread (ATS) Results Pittsburgh: 5-2 ATS SMU: 4-2 ATS Previous Game Results Pittsburgh: Won 45-10 against Syracuse SMU: Won 34-33 against Duke in overtime Playoff Chances Pittsburgh: 20.5% chance to make the College Football Playoff SMU: 20.5% chance to make the College Football Playoff Efficiency Rankings and Analytics Pittsburgh: Ranked 6th in scoring offense (40.9 PPG), 45th in scoring defense (22 PPG) SMU: Ranked 15th in scoring offense (39.1 PPG), 36th in scoring defense (21.4 PPG)
11-02-24	Kentucky +17.5 v. Tennessee	Top	18-28	Win	100	29 h 60 m	Show
Kentucky vs Tennessee 7:45 ET \| SEC Network \| Neyland Stadium 8-Unit bet on Kentucky priced as a 16.5-point underdog. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 13-15 SU (46%) and 19-7-2 ATS for 73% winning bets since 1983. Bet on underdogs from game number 7 on to the end of the regular season. The dog lost their last two games priced as the favorite. The second to last game was on the road and the last game was at home. They were a bowl team in the previous season. The favorite is coming off an ATS win. If the favorite has won 70% or more of their games our dogs have gone 9-7 SU and 13-1-2 ATS for 93% winning bets.
11-02-24	Texas Tech v. Iowa State -13	Top	23-22	Loss	-110	25 h 40 m	Show
Texas tech vs Iowa State 3:30 EST \| 8-Unit Bet on Iowa State priced as a 13.5-point favorite. The following sports betting algorithm that has gone 42-2 SU (96%) and 32-11-1 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Bet on home favorites taking on a conference foe. The home team has seen the total play Over by a combined 24 or more points over their last three games. The home team has won 80% or more of their games. The guest has a winning record. If the game occurs from week 8 to the end of the season has seen these teams produce a 23-1 SU (96%) and an 18-6 ATS (75%) record. If after week 8 and undefeated has seen them go 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS (78%) winning bets.
11-02-24	Duke v. Miami-FL -20.5	Top	31-53	Win	100	21 h 9 m	Show
Duke vs Miami (FLA) Noon ET \| 8-Unit bet on Miami priced as a 21-point favorite. The following sports betting algorithm that has gone 42-2 SU (96%) and 32-11-1 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Bet on home favorites taking on a conference foe. The home team has seen the total play Over by a combined 24 or more points over their last three games. The home team has won 80% or more of their games. The guest has a winning record. If the game occurs from week 8 to the end of the season has seen these teams produce a 23-1 SU (96%) and an 18-6 ATS (75%) record. If after week 8 and undefeated has seen them go 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS (78%) winning bets.
11-02-24	Memphis v. UTSA +7.5	Top	36-44	Win	100	21 h 9 m	Show
Memphis vs UTSA Noon ET \| 5-Unit bet on UTSA priced as a 7.5-point home underdog. The following sports betting algorithm that has gone 25-33 SU (43%) and 38-17-3 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Bet on home underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The home team committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. The foe won the turnover battle in each of their two previous games. If the foe is ranked but not ranked in the top 10 these home dogs come barking to the tune of a 9-2-2 ATS record for 82% winning points.
10-31-24	Tulane -15.5 v. Charlotte	Top	34-3	Win	100	31 h 38 m	Show
Tulane vs Charlette 7:30 ET, Thursday, 10-31 \| 8-unit bet on Tulane priced as a 16-point favorite. Here is an NCAAF betting algorithm that has gone 50-7 SU (88%) and 41-15-1 ATS good for 73.2% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road favorites that are scoring 35 or more PPG. The current opponent’s defense is allowing 35 or more PPG. The favorite allowed 35 or more points in their previous game. If the game occurs from week 8 on out to the end of the season, these favorites have gone 30-3 SU (91%) and 27-6 ATS good for 82% winning bets. Season Records Tulane Green Wave: 6-2 overall, 4-0 in AAC Charlotte 49ers: 3-5 overall, 2-2 in AAC Against the Spread (ATS) Tulane: 5-3 ATS Charlotte: 2-6 ATS Previous Game Results Tulane: Won 45-27 against North Texas Charlotte: Lost 33-28 to Memphis Key Analytics Tulane Offense: Ranked 8th in the FBS, averaging 40.5 points per game. Led by sophomore running back Makhi Hughes, who has rushed for 939 yards and nine touchdowns this season. Tulane Defense: Ranked 51st, allowing 22.3 points per game. Charlotte Offense: Ranked 99th, averaging 23.6 points per game. Quarterback Deshawn Purdie has thrown for 869 yards, five touchdowns, and two interceptions. Charlotte Defense: Ranked 16th-worst, allowing 34.3 points per game. From the Predictive Model: The model that I have developed and have tweaked with dozens of iterations over more than 30 years projects that Tulane will score 34 or more points, outgain Charlotte by at least 1.1 yards per play, and have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games matching this situation Tulane has gone 47-3 SU (94%) and 45-5 ATS for 90% since 2006 and as a road favorite have gone 7-0 SUATS!
10-30-24	Jacksonville State v. Liberty -125	Top	31-21	Loss	-125	6 h 9 m	Show
Jacksonville State vs Liberty 7 ET \| CBSSN \| Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA 8-Unit bet on Liberty priced as a –2-point favorite and if you can get the money line at –125 or lower is preferred. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 53-31 SU (63%) and 26-16-1 ATS for 53-29-2 ATS (64.6%) winning bets since 2019. Bet on teams priced between the 3’s. The foe has covered the spread in each of their last four games. If our team is playing at home, they soar to a highly profitable 25-14 SU (64%) record and a 26-11-2 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2019. In the ATS wins these teams covered by 13.2 PPG. If our team is playing at home and taking on a conference foe they soar to 23-14 (62%) and 24-11-2 ATS good for (69%) winning bets since 2019. Drilling deeper into the data and pulling all games from week 8 on out improves these home teams to a stellar 17-7 SU (71%) and 19-5 ATS record for 79% winning bets. Jacksonville State Gamecocks The Gamecocks are riding a four-game winning streak, including a dominant 42-20 victory over Middle Tennessee State last week. Led by sixth-year senior quarterback Tyler Huff, who has thrown for 1,406 yards and eight touchdowns while also rushing for 654 yards and eight scores, Jacksonville State's offense has been explosive. Senior running back Tre Stewart has been a key contributor, rushing for 682 yards and 11 touchdowns this season. Liberty Flames The Flames are coming off a surprising 27-24 loss to Kennesaw State, snapping an 11-game conference winning streak. Redshirt junior quarterback Kaidon Salter has been a dual threat, completing 97 of 159 passes for 1,280 yards and 10 touchdowns, while also rushing for 278 yards and two scores. Senior running back Quinton Cooley has been impressive, rushing for 582 yards and six touchdowns.
10-29-24	New Mexico State +7.5 v. Florida International	Top	13-34	Loss	-109	3 h 60 m	Show
New Mexico State vs Florida International 7 ET \| CBSN 8-Unit bet on NMST +7.5 points. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 28-15 SU and 26-16-1 ATS for 62% winning bets. Bet on road teams facing a conference foe. This road team has committed more turnovers than the foe in three or more of their last four games. The opponent’s winning percentage is 40% or lower. The total is fewer than 45 points.
10-26-24	Utah State -1.5 v. Wyoming	Top	27-25	Win	100	31 h 40 m	Show
Utah State vs Wyoming 7 ET \| CBSSN \| War Memorial Stadium 8-Unit bet on Utah State priced as a 1.5-point favorite. Two one-win teams square off in the Mountain West Conference and the winner will more than likely not finish in the last place in the standings. Given their records there is not much more to play for other than pride and the following analytics put Utah State in a highly profitable situation. The following College football betting algorithm has produced a 30-3 SU and 23-9 ATS record for 72% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on teams that are being outgained by 50 or fewer yards or outgaining their opponent by 50 or fewer yards. That team is coming off two consecutive games gaining 450 or more total yards. The opponent has won 25% or fewer of their games. If the team has won 33% or fewer of their games has led them to a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS record good for 75% winning bets.
10-26-24	Washington v. Indiana -5	Top	17-31	Win	100	24 h 37 m	Show
Washington vs Indiana Noon ET \| 10-UNIT Bet on Indiana priced as a 6-point home favorite. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 47-2 SU and 36-12-1 ATS (75%) record over the past five seasons. A $100 bettor has made a profit of $2,280 over the past 5 years. The requirements are: Bet on a home favorite facing a conference foe. The favorite’s last three games have played over the total by 24 or more points. The favorite has won 75% or more of their games. The opponent has a winning record. If the foe is undefeated, they have gone 22-0 SU, 16-5-1 ATS for 76% winning bets. Indiana Hoosiers The Hoosiers have been a surprise package this season, boasting a perfect 7-0 record under first-year head coach Curt Cignetti. Indiana's offense has been particularly impressive, ranking first in success rate (60%) and second in EPA/Play. However, they will be without starting quarterback Kurtis Rourke, who is recovering from thumb surgery. Backup Tayven Jackson, a transfer from Tennessee and a product of Center Grove High School in Greenwood, Indiana, will get the start. He is a consensus 4-star recruit and ranked 7th top pro-style quarterback, and with the skill position players on the offense there will not be any decline in the offensive performance. Advanced Metrics: Success Rate: 60% (1st in FBS) EPA/Play: 0.40 (2nd in FBS) Passing Efficiency: 74.5% completion rate (1st in FBS) Rushing Touchdowns: 28 (2nd in FBS) Washington Huskies The Huskies have had a mixed season, currently standing at 4-3 overall and 2-2 in Big Ten play. They have struggled on the road, with a winless record away from Husky Stadium. Washington's defense has been a bright spot, ranking 16th in scoring defense and26th in SP+. However, their offense has been inconsistent, averaging just 24.1 points per game. First year head coach Jedd Fisch has had the difficult task of rebuilding a team that took a huge toll form the transfer portal. Only two players on offense and four players on defense returned from last year’s team. He does have a returning quarterback but had to build a new offensive line, which is a team within itself having to learn to work together and build strong chemistry. That takes time and not just a few weeks. Advanced Metrics: Scoring Defense: 17.0 points per game (16th in FBS) Total Defense: 322.3 yards per game (8th in FBS) Pass Efficiency Defense: 98.2 rating (3rd in FBS) Passing Yards per Game: (260.0 yards per game) Key Matchups Indiana's Offense vs. Washington's Defense: Indiana's high-powered offense will be tested by Washington's stout defense. The Hoosiers have scored more than 40 points in six straight games, but Washington's pass efficiency defense ranks third in the nation. The team returned 10 of 11 offensive players and all 11 defensive players from last year’s team. Washington's Offense vs. Indiana's Defense: The Huskies will need to improve their offensive output to keep up with Indiana. Washington's quarterback Will Rogers has thrown for 1,820 yards and 13 touchdowns, but the Hoosiers' defense has been solid against the run and has generated a lot of sacks. More Analytics As noted, the Hoosier’s are having a historic season, but no regression is expected from this team. In fact, teams that have scored 40 or more points in each of their last 6 games and priced as a home favorite that is taking on a conference foe have gone 35-3 SU and 23-15 ATS for 61% winning bets since 1988. However, one team, Wyoming, was on that 6-game streak of 40 or more points per game in 1988 and then the next team occurred in the 2002 season. Betting on home favorites between 5.5 and 9.5-points from week 9 on and facing a foe fresh off a double-digit loss to a conference foe has produced an exceptional 31-11 SU and 28-14 ATS mark for 67% winning bets over the past 5 years. Washington is 1-9 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 over the past two seasons. The Predictive Model: My predictive model expects Indiana to score at least 35 points and gain at least 450 total yards and have the same of fewer turnovers. In past games since 1980, Indiana is 91-2 SU and 87-23-3 ATS when scoring 35 or more points; 13-3 SU and 15-1 ATS for 94% winning bets spanning the past 5 seasons. Since 1980, Indiana is 37-12 SU and ATS for 76% winning bets when scoring 35 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers.
10-25-24	Louisville v. Boston College +7.5	Top	31-27	Win	100	80 h 53 m	Show
Louisville vs Boston College 7:30, Friday, October 25, 2024 Alumni Stadium 8-Unit bet on the Boston College priced as 7.5-point dogs. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 22-38 SU and 44-16 ATS (73%) record over the past five seasons. A $100 bettor has made a profit of $2,955 over the past 10 years. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs priced between 4.5 and 11.5 points. The game occurs during weeks 5 through 9. The total is 50 or more points. The dog is coming off two consecutive double-digit losses to conference foes.
10-19-24	SMU -16.5 v. Stanford	Top	40-10	Win	100	26 h 13 m	Show
21 SMU vs Stanford 8 ET, October 19 \| ABC \| Stanford Stadium 8-Unit bet on SMU priced as a 16.5-point road favorite. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 34-3 SU (92%) and 26-11 ATS good for 70% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on double-digit road favorites. The game is a conference matchup. The favorite has reached the AP poll for the second consecutive week in the current season. If the game takes place in week 6 and on out to the end of the season, these favorites have gone 26-2 SU and 21-7 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.
10-19-24	North Texas v. Memphis UNDER 69.5	Top	44-52	Loss	-115	26 h 37 m	Show
North Texas vs Memphis 7:30 ET \| ESPNU \| Simmons Bank Liberty 8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 68.5 points. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 44-24 Under good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams that are averaging 6.3 or more yards per play. That team has gained 450 or more total yards in each of their three previous games. The game occurs from week 7 on out to the end of the season. The total is priced between 63.5 and 70 points.
10-19-24	Texas A&M -18 v. Mississippi State	Top	34-24	Loss	-110	22 h 25 m	Show
14 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State 4:15 ET \| SEC Network \| Davis Wade Stadium 8-Unit bet on Texas A&M priced as 18-point favorites. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 44-24 Under good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road favorites priced between 14 and 21 points. The game is a conference matchup. The opponent allowed 450 or more total yards in each of their last two games. If the game occurs from week 8 to the end of the season, these favorites have gone 38-2 SU and 28-12 ATS for 70% winning bets.
10-19-24	USC v. Maryland +7.5	Top	28-29	Win	100	26 h 24 m	Show
USC vs Maryland 4 ET \| FS1 \| SECU Stadium., College Park, MD 10-Unit bet on Maryland priced as 7.5-point underdogs. USC is coming off a near upset win over No. 3 Penn State losing in overtime by three points and after leading deep into the game by double-digits. Teams that lost at home by four or fewer points to a conference foe that was ranked in the top10 and are now on the road and priced as a 3 to 9.5-point favorite are 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 32-56 SU (36%) and 60-27-1 ATS good for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on dogs priced between 4.5 and 11.5 points. That dog is coming off two consecutive double-digit losses against conference opponents. The game occurs between weeks 5 and 9. If the game total is 40 or more points these dogs have barked quite loudly posting a 22-27 SU record (45%) and 33-14-2 ATS (70%) over the past 10 seasons. If the team is at home and with any total price, they have gone 15-34 SU and 34-15 ATS for 69% winning bets. From the Predictive Model: The predictive model is calling for Maryland to win the turnover battle and have a 5 or greater-minute advantage in time-of-possession. IN past games in which they met these performance measures has seen them go 18-3 (86%) and 16-5 ATS (76%) and if playing at home they have gone 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS for 90% winning bets. Mike Locksley is in his 10th year at Maryland and is 3-3 on the season. An upset win over a storied program like USC would enhance their chances of going to a popular bowl game as long as they can find a way to win two more games in a difficult second half of their season. They have two home games remaining against Minnesota and Iowa and both are games they can win. They face No. 2 Oregon on the road in week 11 and then at No. 3 Penn State in the season finale. So, the team knows this is a game they have to play as if it is their bowl game, and they are catching USC in a difficult situation as mentioned above. USC is 0-5 ATS priced as a favorite between 3.5 and 10 points. USC head coach Lincoln Riley is 2-8 ATS after covering the spread in two of his last three games.
10-19-24	Houston +5.5 v. Kansas	Top	14-42	Loss	-109	22 h 36 m	Show
Houston vs Kansas 3:30 ET \| ESPN+ \| GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium 8-Unit bet on Houston priced as a 5.5-point underdog. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 44-24 Under good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home dogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. They committed no more than one turnover in their previous game. They won the turnover battle in each of their last two games.
10-19-24	Virginia v. Clemson -20	Top	31-48	Loss	-110	18 h 8 m	Show
Virginia vs Clemson Noon ET \| ACC Network \| Memorial Stadium 8-Unit bet on Clemson priced as a –21 favorite. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 54-17 SU (76%) and 46-23-2 ATS good for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home teams from week 7 on out to the end of the season. That team is averaging between 190 and 230 rushing yards per game. They held their previous opponent to less than 100 rushing yards. The current opponent averages between 140 and 190 rushing yards per game.
10-18-24	Oklahoma State +9.5 v. BYU	Top	35-38	Win	100	58 h 30 m	Show
Oklahoma State vs BYU 10:15 ET, Friday, October 18, 2024 8-Unit bet on OKST priced as a 9.5-point underdog. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 22-37 SU (37%) and 43-16 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on dogs priced between 4.5 and 11.5 points. That dog is coming off two consecutive double-digit losses against conference opponents. The total in the game is 50 or more points.
10-16-24	Western Kentucky +2.5 v. Sam Houston State	Top	31-14	Win	100	6 h 16 m	Show
Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston State 7 ET \| 8-Unit bet on Sam Houston State priced as a 2.5-point favorite. SHST BearKats (Spelling is correct) are 5-1 and 5-1 ATS on the season and favored in this game for the third time this season. They started the season with a 34-14 blowout of Rice priced as a 9.5-point underdog, then in week 5 they took down Texas State priced as a 10—point underdog. So, they are playing with increased confidence each week and now taking on a Hilltoppers team that is 4-2 and 4-1 ATS for the season. They lost 63-0 to Alabama as a 33.5-point underdog but bounced back with their own 31-0 shutout win over Eastern Kentucky. Their other loss was by one point, 21-20 andpriced as an 8-point underdog to Boston College in Week 5. This is a showdown midway through the season as both teams are 2-0 and the winner will be tied with the Liberty Flames at 3-0 in Conference USA action. With a win SHST becomes bowl eligible, which is an impressive turnaround from a 3-9 record last season, which was their first ever as a member of the 134-team FBS division. K.C. Keeler has his team playing well and getting better each week. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 52-29 SU (64%) and 52-27-2 for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on any team that is priced between the 3’s (3-point favorite to a 3-point dog). The opponent they face has covered the spread in each of their previous four games. If our team is playing at home and taking on a conference foe, they have gone a highly profitable 23-12 SU and 24-9-2 ATS for 73% winning bets. From the predictive model: SHST is projected to score 28 or more points in this game and have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games in which the Hilltoppers allowed 28 or more points and had the same or more turnovers have seen them go just 2-18 SU and 4-15-1 ATS good for 79% winning bets.
10-12-24	Ole Miss v. LSU UNDER 62.5	Top	26-29	Win	100	30 h 24 m	Show
Mississippi vs 13 LSU 7:30 EST \| Tiger Stadium 8-Unit Bet on the Under currently priced at 62.5 points. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 67-35-3 Under for 66% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on teams that won their last two games by 13 or more points each. That team is playing their third consecutive home game. The total is priced at 57.5 or more points.
10-12-24	Texas -14.5 v. Oklahoma	Top	34-3	Win	100	26 h 24 m	Show
1 Texas vs 18 Oklahoma 3:30 ET \| ABC \| Cotton Bowl 8-Unit Bet on the Texas Longhorns The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 75-14 SU (84%) and 59-28-2 ATS good for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on a ranked favorite. The opponent is also ranked. The site is either at home or on a neutral field. The game occurs from week 4 on out to the end of the regular season. If the favorite is ranked better than the foe by 5 or more positions in the poll (Texas ranked 1 and Oklahoma ranked 18 is 17 positions better) they have gone 36-2 SU (95%) and 27-11 ATS (71%) over the past 10 seasons. The decisive factor is that if the favorite lost to their rival in the previous season they bounce back with a huge 11-0 record and 10-1 ATS good for 91% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.
10-12-24	South Carolina v. Alabama -21.5	Top	25-27	Loss	-109	23 h 51 m	Show
South Carolina vs Alabama Noon ET \| 8-Unit Bet on Alabama priced as a 21.5-point favorite. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 36-2 SU (95%) and 28-9-1 ATS for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and has gone 21-2 SU (91%) and 18-4-1 ATS good for 82% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home favorites facing a conference foe. The favorite gas seen their last three games play Over the total by 24 or more points. The favorite has won 80% or more of their games. The opponent has a winning record.
10-11-24	Northwestern +11.5 v. Maryland	Top	37-10	Win	100	13 h 32 m	Show
Northwestern vs Maryland 8 ET, Friday, October 7, 2024 \| 8-Unit bet on the Northwestern priced as a 10-point underdog. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 31-55 SU (95%) and 58-27-1 ATS good for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on dogs of 4.5 to 11.5 points in weeks 5 through 9. The dog is coming off two consecutive losses by double-digits to conference foes. They are facing a conference foe in the current matchup. If our dog has a losing record in the current season, they have gone 28-46 SU (38%) and 51-22-1 ATS (70%) winning bets over the past 10 seasons.
10-09-24	New Mexico State v. Jacksonville State -20.5	Top	13-54	Win	100	8 h 10 m	Show
Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State 7:30 ET, Wednesday \| ESPN2 8-Unit bet on Jax State priced as 20.5-point favorites. The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 28-3 SU (90%) and 21-9 ATS good for 70% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on a team that has a yards per game differential between –50 and 50 yards per game. The opponent has won 25% or fewer of their games. The opponent has been outgained by an average of 100 or more YPG. Our team is coming off two consecutive games gaining 475 or more total yards in each one. This game is taking place at AmFirst Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida and weather conditions will be potentially very bad and because of Hurricane Milton closing in on the Tampa Bay and Sarasota area this game could be cancelled. Safety is first, with this historic and catastrophic hurricane cutting an 800-mile slice across the middle of the state. JAX State ranks 22nd nationally averaging 204 rushing yards per game and will dominate a NMST defense that ranks 133rd nationally allowing an average of 277 rushing yards per game. So, no matter how bad the weather conditions are tonight, there is just no feasible way that the JAX State ground attack will be contained.
10-05-24	Navy v. Air Force +10	Top	34-7	Loss	-109	23 h 47 m	Show
Navy vs Air Force Noon ET \| CBS/Paramount+ Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy 10-Unit bet on the Falcons priced as 9.5-point underdogs. Live Betting optional Strategy: The Under in the Armed Forces games has gone 86-20-2 for 81% winning bets since 2006 and every season has posted a profit. There will be a season where the Over will win the money, but until that happens there is no reason to consider the Over bet and there is just not a number low enough to get me off of playing the Under in these matchups. So, if this game somehow gets off to a faster than expected start and you see the total priced at 42 or more points bet no more than a 5-unit amount on the Under. The last time these matchups exceeded 40 points in total was back in the COVID pandemic when Navy and Air Force combined for 47 points on October 13, 2020. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 18-22 SU and 27-10-3 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: Bet on home dogs priced between 4.5 and 10 points. The dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. The opponent is coming off two straight games where they had fewer turnovers than their opponents. If our favorite is undefeated on the season, these home pups become quite fierce posting a 9-11 SU record and a 15-4-1 ATS mark for 79% winning bets. From the predictive model: We will be looking for the Air Force to have the same or fewer turnovers and to gain 275 or more rushing yards. In past games in which AF met or exceeded these projections has seen them go 70-12 SU and 57-24-1 ATS for 70% winning bets. If they commit 2 or fewer turnovers, they have gone 68-12 SU and 56-23-1 ATS good for 71% winning bets. If they hold their foes to 15 or more offensive yards-per-point ratio they have gone 56-3 SU and 43-16 ATS for 73% winning bets.
09-28-24	Georgia +1 v. Alabama	Top	34-41	Loss	-115	29 h 57 m	Show
Georgia vs Alabama 7:30 ET, September 28 Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, ALA 8-Unit bet on Georgia using the money line if they are priced as a favorite to 2.5 points. Currently priced as one-point favorites. It is doubtful Georgia will be priced as an underdog but if they are then grab the points instead of the money line. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 38-10 SU (79%) and a 30-18 ATS (63%) since 1980. The requirements are: It is game number four. Our team is coming off a BYE. Our team is favored or priced at pick-em. The opponent is coming off a win. Our team lost their last meeting with the current opponent. If our team is priced between the 3’s (3-point favorite to a 3-point underdog they improve to a 27-11 SU (71%) and a 27-9-2 ATS record goods for 75% winning bets since 1980.
09-28-24	Illinois v. Penn State -17.5	Top	7-21	Loss	-110	29 h 51 m	Show
Illinois vs Penn State 7:30 ET \| NBC Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA 10-Unit Bet on Penn State minus 17.5 points. Two ranked conference rivals and the home team is favored by almost 20 points. So, the market is clearly telling us who the better team is and by nearly three TDs better. No. 19 Illinois travels to Happy Valley to take on No. 8 Penn State in a game set to start at 7:30 and white-out conditions. That’s not snow conditions, of course, but the 112,000 fans in attendance, who have been tailgating all day. It has been estimated that there are more people in the fields surrounding the Stadium than in the Stadium once the game starts. It is truly a remarkable venue to experience when it is a white-out or a stripe-out occasion. Penn State is coming off a BYE week and this is certainly great news for them as under head coach James Franklin they are 21-6 SU and ATS when the game is in the prime-time schedule. The clincher here is that when PSU has been favored in these situations, they have gone 18-0 SU and 15-3 ATS covering the spread by an average of 14 points per game. The following betting algorithm has gone 45-1 SU (98%) and 30-15-2 ATS for 67% winning bets. Bet conference favorites of 17.5 or more points. That favorite is ranked in the top-10 of the latest AP poll. The foe is ranked between 11 and 25 in the most recent AP poll. If the game occurs from week 5 to the end of the season, these favorites have gone 42-1 SU (98%) and 29-14 ATS for 69% winning bets. From the predictive model: My predictive models are expecting Penn State to score 31 or more points and hold Illinois to fewer than 300 offensive yards. In past home games under James Franklin, the Lions are 22-0 SU and 17-3-2 ATS for 85% winning bets when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. Illinois is 0-15 SU and 4-11 ATS when gaining less than 300 total yards in a road game and allowing 31 or more points.
09-28-24	Ohio State v. Michigan State UNDER 48.5	Top	38-7	Win	100	29 h 50 m	Show
Ohio State vs Michigan State 7 ET \| Peacock Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI 8-Unit bet on the Under currently priced at 48 points. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 53-29-5 Under record good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet the Under. The road team is coming off a big win by 31 or more points. The home team is the underdog. The road team is gaining an average of 50 or more rushing yards than their foes. The host is gaining an average of 50 or more rushing yards than their foes. If the game is a conference matchup the Under has gone 34-18-4 for 65% winning bets and if the game occurs after week 3 of the regular season the Under has gone 30-13-1 for 70% winning bets.
09-28-24	Oklahoma State +6.5 v. Kansas State	Top	20-42	Loss	-110	1 h 34 m	Show
Oklahoma State vs Kansas State Noon \| ESPN Bill Snyder Family Stadium 8-Unit best bet on the Cowboys priced as 5.5-point underdogs and a sprinkle on the money line. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 38-31 SU (45%) and 45-24 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs priced between 2.5 and 6.5 points. The game is a conference matchup. The game occurs from week 5 to the end of the regular season. The road team is playing with revenge. The bettor consensus for this game is on K-State all week but when the line hit 5.5 last night and with the number of tickets bet at 72% and rising and the handle at 58% and dropping is one of many reasons I have added this game to the card.
09-27-24	Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL -19	Top	34-38	Loss	-110	51 h 57 m	Show
V-Tech vs Miami (Fla) 7:30 ET \| ESPN \| Friday 8-Unit bet on Miami priced as 19.5-point favorites. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 31-16 SU (66%) and 30-16-1 for 65% winning bets since 2010 or 15 seasons. Bet on undefeated teams from week 4 on out. They are averaging 4.8 or more rushing yards per attempt. They outgained their previous foe by 125 or more rushing yards. The opponent is averaging 4.3 to 4.8 rushing yards per attempt. The total is 55 or fewer points. If a conference matchup these teams have gone 24-10 SU and 23-11 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2010 and if our team is a double-digit favorite, they have gone 15-1 SU and 12-4 ATS for 75% winning bets. From the predictive model: My models are projecting that Miami will score 35 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers as V-Tech. When they have met or exceeded these performance measures, they have gone 37-0 DSU and 32-5 ATS good for 87% winning bets spanning the past 10 seasons.
09-21-24	Kansas State v. BYU +7	Top	9-38	Win	100	15 h 23 m	Show
Kansas State vs BYU 10:30 EST 8-Unit Bet on BYU +6.5 points. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 16-26 SU record for 38% and a 26-14-2 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. Bet on home dogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The opponent had fewer turnovers than their opponent in each of their last two games. The hoe dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game.
09-21-24	Tennessee -6.5 v. Oklahoma	Top	25-15	Win	100	12 h 26 m	Show
Tennessee vs Oklahoma 7:30 ET, Saturday September 21 8-Unit Bet on Tennessee –6.5 points. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 15-23 SU record for 40% and a 24-14 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Bet on dogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The favorite is coming off a game in which they scored 60 or more points. The favorite held their previous opponent to 14 or fewer points.
09-21-24	Arizona State +3.5 v. Texas Tech	Top	22-30	Loss	-105	8 h 23 m	Show
Arizona State vs Texas Tech 3:30 ET 8-Unit bet on ASU priced as a 3.5-point underdog. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 16-26 SU record for 38% and a 26-14-2 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The team is playing their second straight home game. They won the previous game against the current opponent. The opponent is playing their second straight road game. Our team is priced between a 4.5-point favorite and a 4.5-point dog. Louisiana Lafayette vs Tulane Noon EST 8-Unit bet on the LLAF plus 1.5 points. The best mascot in all of football, the Ragin’ Canjuns take on the Green Wave today at noon. They are backed by a stellar and highly profitable betting system that has gone 45-24 SU and 43-22-5 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. Bet on any team scoring 34 or more PPG. They are priced between the 3’s. They allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games. The foe is allowing between 21 and 28 PPG.
09-21-24	Tulane v. UL-Lafayette +1.5	Top	41-33	Loss	-109	5 h 52 m	Show
Arizona State vs Texas Tech 3:30 ET 8-Unit bet on ASU priced as a 3.5-point underdog. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 16-26 SU record for 38% and a 26-14-2 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The team is playing their second straight home game. They won the previous game against the current opponent. The opponent is playing their second straight road game. Our team is priced between a 4.5-point favorite and a 4.5-point dog. Louisiana Lafayette vs Tulane Noon EST 8-Unit bet on the LLAF plus 1.5 points. The best mascot in all of football, the Ragin’ Canjuns take on the Green Wave today at noon. They are backed by a stellar and highly profitable betting system that has gone 45-24 SU and 43-22-5 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. Bet on any team scoring 34 or more PPG. They are priced between the 3’s. They allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games. The foe is allowing between 21 and 28 PPG.
09-19-24	South Alabama +7.5 v. Appalachian State	Top	48-14	Win	100	6 h 6 m	Show
South Alabama vs Appalachian State 7:30 ET 8-Unit bet on South Alabama plus the 7 points. The predictive model sees South Alabama getting out to a fast start in this game so betting 4-Units on them +3.5 or 3-points for the first half and then 4-Unit on them +7 points for the full game is an alternative strategy to consider betting. Betting on underdogs between 2 and 6 points using the first half line that are outgaining their foes by 1.0 or more yards per play and are coming off a game in which they gained 475 or more yards have gone 42-14 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past five seasons. The College Football Betting Algorithm The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 59-29 record and a 56-31 ATS mark good for 64.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on teams that are gaining 4.75 or more rushing yards per attempt. That team outgained their previous opponent by 125 or more rushing yards. The opponent is averaging 4.3 to 4.8 rushing yards per attempt. The team is coming off a game in which they scored 50 or more points. If our team is an underdog of any size, they have gone 8-14 SU but 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets. The South Alabama Jaguars have a new coach in Major Applewhite, who had just four offensive and three defensive starters returning but he has the new starters playing quite well and why not he was their OC last year. Since joining the FBS in 2012 they stopped 10 consecutive losing seasons and had the second biggest bowl victory (59-10 over Eastern Michigan).
09-14-24	Georgia -22 v. Kentucky	Top	13-12	Loss	-110	29 h 12 m	Show
1 Georgia vs Kentucky 7:30 ET ABC/ESPN+ Korger Field, Lexington, KY 8-Unit Bet on the Georgia Bulldogs minus 24 points. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 158-52 straight-up (SU) and 136-72-2 against the spread (ATS) for 65.4% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road teams. The road team has allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games. The opponent is coming off a 17 or more-point loss. If the game is a conference showdown and the road team is favored by double-digits they have gone on post a 72-6 SU and 53-25 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 15 seasons and a highly profitable 44-4 SU and 36-12 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and not a single season that has not been profitable. I do not like laying this amount of chalk with any road team, but we are talking about the best team in the nation and the best program in college football for the past five seasons. Here is a second simple to understand betting algorithm that has gone 57-23 ATS for 71% winning bets and a highly profitable 40% ROI since 2020. The requirements are: The team has the same quarterback from the previous season. The opponent has a new quarterback this season. The team has allowed fewer than 200 yards in each of their last two games. The Predictive Model Projections: The predictive model is forecasting that Georgia will score 35 or more points, will have the same or fewer turnovers as Kentucky, and will rush the ball more times than they pass. In past games spanning the past five seasons, Georgia is 38-0 SU and 24-13-1 ATS for 65% winning bets when scoring 35 or more points; they are 18-0 SU and 16-2 ATS for 89% winning bets when scoring 35 or more points, posting more rushes than passes and having the same or fewer turnovers.
09-14-24	Boston College v. Missouri -14.5	Top	21-27	Loss	-105	4 h 7 m	Show
Boston College vs Missouri 12:45 ET \| 8-Unit Bet on Missouri currently priced as a 14.5-point favorite. Let’s start with the NCAAF betting algorithm that has produced a 180-40 SU and 126-88-6 ATS record for 59% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on home or neutral site favorites of three or more points. Both teams are ranked in the Top 25. The game is part of the regular season. If the guest has covered the spread by 25 or more points over their last two games (Exceeded market expectations significantly) our home favorite has gone 28-3 SU and 21-9-1 for 70% winning bets. Missouri head coach Eliah Drinkwitz has nine returning starters including his quarterback. Last season they played 11 teams that played in a bowl game, and they defeated 10 of those foes. Their offense has sputtered in the first two weeks but having a BC squad that has shocked two opponents will get their full attention. Keep an eye on WR Luther Burden III, who is fast becoming a first round draft pick and future NFL superstar. If there are any prop bets for him in today’s game the OVER with some pizza money is in order. The Predictive Model Projections: The predictive model is expecting Missouri to score 31 or more points and/or gain at least 1.1 or more yards per play than BC gains. In past games where Missouri met or exceeded this performance measure in home games has seen them go 21-0 SU and 16-5 ATS for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.
09-14-24	Oklahoma State v. Tulsa +18.5	Top	45-10	Loss	-110	22 h 41 m	Show
Oklahoma State vs Tulsa Noon, Saturday, September 14 ESPN2 \| Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, OK 8-unit bet on Tulsa priced as an 18.5-point underdog. In each of the past 9 consecutive seasons I have had at least one underdog of 17.5 or more points win the game outright and in 2022 I had five of these massive dogs pull off the shocker. No one knows when these monumental upsets will occur. What i do know is that if you play these big barking pups each time and include a sprinkle on the money line you will add a significant amount of profits to your season-long bottom line. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 43-50 straight-up (SU) and 58-33-2 against the spread (ATS) for 64% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: Bet against any team coming off a win. That team allowed 600 or more total yards in that win. That team committed fewer turnovers than their previous opponent. If the game has a posted total of 50 or more points and that team above is favored by 11.5 or more points, fading then has produced a 18-7-1 ATS record for 72% winning bets. The Predictive Model Projections: The predictive model is forecasting that Tulsa will score 27 or more points and convert at least 40% of their third down attempts. In past games in which Tulsa met or exceeded these projections has led to a 5-5 SU record and a perfect 10-0 ATS record.
09-13-24	Arizona +7 v. Kansas State	Top	7-31	Loss	-109	7 h 43 m	Show
Arizona vs Kansas State 8:00 ET \| 8-Unit Bet on Arizona currently priced as a 7-point underdog. Let’s start with the NCAAF betting algorithm that has produced a 44-76 SU and 70-47-3 ATS record for 60% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on road underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. They had a winning record last season (bowl team). They are coming off a win priced as the favorite but failed to cover the spread. The game occurs in the first six weeks of the season. The second betting algorithm supporting Arizona has gone 40-23-2 ATS for 64% winning bets over the past 25 seasons and the requirements are: Bet on road dogs priced between pick-em and 9.5 points. They are coming off a win. In that win they failed to cover the spread by not even scoring enough points to exceed how much of a favorite they were in that game. They are facing an undefeated foe. So, Arizona was priced as a 43-point favorite and won the game 22-10. They failed toscore the betting line by 21 points, which is a quite rare result in college football. In fact, there have been just 6 games since 1996 that have seen a team win and failed by 21 points to equal their betting line. Moreover, teams that failed by 21 or more points to equal their betting line have gone 8-11 SU and 0-19 ATS in those games. Following these situations these teams have posted a 10-7 SU record and 10-7 ATS mark. The Predictive Model Projections: The predictive model is forecasting that Arizona will score 28 or more points and will gain 0.75 or more yards-per-play than K-State. In past games spanning the past five seasons, Arizona is 45-23 SU and 42-24-2 ATS fof64% winning bets when scoring 28 or more points; they are 22-7 SU and 19-10 ATS for 65.5% winning bets when they outgained their foes by 0.75 or more yards per play; 17-2 SU and 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets when they have scored 28 or more points and outgained their foes by at least 0.75 yards per play.
09-07-24	Mississippi State v. Arizona State UNDER 59	Top	23-30	Win	100	16 h 31 m	Show
Mississippi State vs Arizona State 10:30 ET, Saturday, September 7, 2024 \| ESPN 8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 58.5 points. The following betting algorithm has gone 60-34-2 Under good for 63% winning bets since 1999 and 12-2 Under good for 86% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Bet the under in a game with a total priced between 51 and 60 points. The underdog is coming off an ATS win priced as a double-digit favorite. The opponent is coming off a blowout win by 28 or more points. The underdog is priced at 3 or more points.
09-07-24	Texas Tech +1 v. Washington State	Top	16-37	Loss	-108	15 h 1 m	Show
Texas Tech vs Washington State 10 ET, Saturday September 7, 2024 \| FOX Gesa Field, Pullman, WA 8-Unit Bet on the Texas Tech +2.5 points The Red Raiders are coming off a big-time scare as they needed overtime to defeat Abeline Christian 52-51 priced as a whopping 31.5-point favorite. That has been a very rare situation, but if you have been a log-time subscriber you already know I have had at least one underdog of 17.5 points that has won straight-up. Of course, I never know when those monster upsets will occur, but it is always rewarding when we nail one of them. I think there has been an overreaction to the the near historic loss that Texas Tech overcame last week. That type of game will get their attention, and you can bet the coaching staff has been in their players’ faces all week. This Situational CFB Betting Algorithm has gone 8-7 SU and 10-5 ATS and is as rare as the outcome of last week’s game. Bet on road underdogs. The dog is coming off a home win. They won the game by four or fewer points priced as a –24 or more-point favorite. They are taking on a non-conference foe. If the game occurs in week 2 these road teams have bounced back with a 4-5 SU and 7-2 ATDS mark good for 78% winning bets. My predictive model projects that TT will score at least 30 points and in past games since 2019 they are 24-10 SU and 26-8 ATS for 77% winning bets. WSU is just 3-18 SU and 5-16 ATS for 24% winning bets when they have allowed 31 or more points in games played over the past 5 seasons.
09-07-24	East Carolina v. Old Dominion -1	Top	20-14	Loss	-110	11 h 3 m	Show
East Carolina vs Old Dominion 6 ET ESPN+ S.B. Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, VA 8-Unit bet on ODU priced as a –1.5-point favorite. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 22-4 SU and 17-9 ATS (65.4%) record since 1999. The requirements are: The game is played in Week 2. The team played in a bowl game in the previous season. The team is coming off a loss in Week 1 and is favored now. The team lost the previous game tp the current opponent.
09-07-24	Marshall v. Virginia Tech -19.5	Top	14-31	Loss	-110	10 h 32 m	Show
Marshall vs Virginia Tech 4:30 ET, September 7 \| The CW Network Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA 8-Unit Bet on V-Tech minus 20.5 points. The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 22-4 SU and 17-9 ATS (65.4%) record since 1999. The requirements are: The game is played in Week 2. The team played in a bowl game in the previous season. The team is coming off a loss in Week 1 and is favored now. The team lost the previous game tp the current opponent.
09-06-24	BYU v. SMU UNDER 55.5	Top	18-15	Win	100	5 h 36 m	Show
BYU at SMU (FRIDAY) 7 ET \| ESPN2 \| Gerald J. Fgord Stadium, Dallas, TX 8-Unit Best bet Under the posted total currently priced at 55.5 points. The following betting algorithm has gone 60-34-2 Under good for 63% winning bets since 1999 and 12-2 Under good for 86% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Bet the under in a game with a total priced between 51 and 60 points. The underdog is coming off an ATS win priced as a double-digit favorite. The opponent is coming off a blowout win by 28 or more points. The underdog is priced at 3 or more points.
08-31-24	Wyoming +6.5 v. Arizona State	Top	7-48	Loss	-110	82 h 19 m	Show
Wyoming vs Arizona State 8-Unit bet on the Wyoming Cowboys getting 6.5 points. The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 92-49-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: The game is played in the regular season. The difference between the money bet (handle) and the percentage of tickets is between 11 and 65%. The line movement from opening to closing price is between –0.5 and –9.5 points. The team is the visitor. The spread percentage is between 24 and 40%. So, we have a situation in the markets where the percentage of money bet less the percentage of tickets bet shows that the handle percentage is 11 to 65% more than the tickets percentage. The difference from opening to closing price has worked against the team we are betting on. Currently the line has moved only a half point from +7 to +6.5 points and only 33% of the tickets but 62% of the money is on the Cowboys.
08-31-24	Clemson v. Georgia -11.5	Top	3-34	Win	100	23 h 58 m	Show
No. 14 Clemson vs No. 1 Georgia Noon ET, August 31, 2024 \| ABC/ESPN+ 10-Unit Bet on Georgia priced at 12-point favorites. 3-Unit Pizza-Money bet Under Clemson’s team total Consider betting 70% of your 10-Unit bet on Georgia preflop and then look to add 15% on Georgia at –10.5 points and 15% more on Georgia at –7.5 points. I have learned and profited from this week 1 matchups involving two ranked teams over the years and now this one looks quite string. Remember to bet with your head and not over it. These 10-Unit 5% Max Bets have lost 33% ATS of the time over the past five football seasons. No one knows if the bet is going to win on any given day – confident bets are different than being Nostradamus – but I rely on the fact that they have hit at great winning percentages over 5+ seasons and that by the end of the season we have reason to believe that significant profits will be made again. In week 1 of the regular season and with both teams playing their first game, both are ranked in the AP preseason poll and the difference between these ranks is between 1 and 19, the higher ranked team has gone 28-19 ATS for 60% winners. So, Georgia is ranked #1 and Clemson #14 for a difference of 13. In week 1 and 2 matchups of ranked teams, the favorites priced between –3 and –17.5 points that are playing at home or on a neutral field have gone 37-22-1 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past 20 seasons; in Week 1 action they have gone 24-12 ATS for 67% winning bets. From the Predictive Model We are expecting Georgia to score 28 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers than Clemson. In past games played at home or on a neutral field Georgia is 25-0 SU and 19-5-1 ATS when they have scored 28 or more points and had the same or fewer turnovers spanning the past three seasons. Since the arrival of Kirby Smart, Georgia is 52-2 SU and 38-15-1 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2016 when scoring 28 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers. Clemson is an anemic 1-6 and 0-7 ATS in games played on the road or a neutral field where they allowed 28 or more points and had the same of more turnovers than the foe spanning the past three seasons. Under Dabo Swinney, the Tigers are just 14-24 SU and 9-29 ATS for 24% winners when allowing 28 or more points and having the same or more turnovers since 2008. The predictive model grades this a 10-Unit 5% Max bet with an 84% probability that the performance measures identified above will occur in the game. Coach Smart is in his ninth season and is 94-16 SU and 70-43 ATS and this has been accomplished in the SEC Conference. In a somewhat rare situation, he returns 7 starters on both offense and defense and had the top-ranked recruiting class. This is rare because over the last two seasons, he has sent 25 players to the NFL. However, this season he has his returning starting quarterback Carson Beck, who is coming off a 13-1 campaign and a Archie Maning award finalist. He led the Bulldogs to a 5-1 SUATS record when facing Top-25 opponents. Since Smart’s arrival, Georgia has gone 28-10 and 27-11 ATS for 71% winning bets when facing a ranked foe either at home or on a neutral field. Good Luck to Us and remember always bet with your head and never over it and may all the wins be yours.
01-08-24	Washington +5 v. Michigan	Top	13-34	Loss	-105	8 h 56 m	Show
Washington Huskies vs Michigan Wolverines NRG Stadium, Houston, TX 7:30 PM EST \| ESPN 8-Unit bet on Washington plus the 4.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog, but I do not see this line moving if at all ahead of kickoff. With a total that is already in the mid-50’s, there is reason to believe scoring volatility will be present and that there may be several lead changes along the way. So, consider betting 70% of your amount preflop and then look to add 15% at Washington +6.5 and 15% more at Washington +7.5points during the first half of action. Another consideration is to bet 70% preflop and then look to add 30% more if Michigan scores the first TD of the game or retakes the lead during the first half of action. I also like a pizza money size bet on Washington’s team total over 24.5 points. This is just the second team from the PAC-12 to make it to the CFP championship game. On January 12, 2015, Oregon faced off against Ohio State in the first CFP Championship game and lost 42-20 as 6-point favorites. Current Philadelphia Eagles backup QB Marcus Mariota was the Heisman Trophy winner along with the Walter Camp Player of the Year, Maxwell Award, Johnny Unitas Golden Arm, and AP Player of the Year awards. Ohio State’s DL Joey Bosa was the only Buckeye to earn Consensus All-American that season. Oregon was 13-1 with one conference loss while Ohio State was 13-1 under Urban Meyer having just one loss losing in Week 2 on the road at Virginia Tech 35-21 as 10.5-point favorites. A little history of the only PAC-12 vs Big Ten Championship game as the rest have been dominated by the SEC Conference. Underdogs of 6.5 or fewer points are 3-4 SU and 5-2 ATS for 71% in the Championship game. The first five Championship games saw a dog of 6.5 or fewer points cover the spread. When the dog has covered the Over has gone 4-1. Betting on underdogs using the money line that are priced between +150 and +300 invovling a matchup of team that both average 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after the 8th game of the season and with our team coming off a game in which they committed no more than a single turnover has earned a 31-24 record averaging a +225 wager and earning a 67% ROI over the past five seasons. Washington head coach DeBoer is 19-2 SU in all games; 5-0 SU as an underdog; 11-1 SU after scoring 35 or more points; 17-1 SU following a win; 14-1 SU after a game in which they committed no more than one turnover; 9-1 SU after two consecutive games gaining 6.25 or more YPPL. Harbaugh is just 3-8 SU in road and neutral site games against non-conference foes. From the predictive model, we are expecting Washington to score 27 or more points and to have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Washington met or exceeded these measures they went on to an outstanding 24-3 SU and 20-7 ATS for 74% winning bets over the previous five season and 4-1 ATS in those games if priced as the underdog. Michigan is 1-11 SU and 2-10 ATS when allowing 27 or more points and having the same or more turnovers in games played over the past 5 seasons.
01-01-24	Texas -3.5 v. Washington	Top	31-37	Loss	-110	33 h 47 m	Show
10-Unit MAX Bet on the Texas Longhorns minus the 3.5 points and is valid to -6 points. The market is telling you that Texas is the better team since they are favored but ranked No.3 to Washington’s No. 2. That does not tell us the complete story, though, so let’s dig deep here and learn why Texas is my pick and why I do believe Texas will win the National Championship. So, if you have watched the shows I appear on, the one consistent theme since Week 1 was that I saw Texas and Penn State colliding in the National Championship and had bet each one individually. So, now we have Texas left on the betting slips and even at current pricing. Texas is 14-3 ATS on a neutral field with a total between 56.5 and 63 points. Undefeated teams playing in a bowl game or the CFP and dressed as a dog have gone 1-5 ATS and 0-6 SU. Washington has played tough games winning their last three games by three or fewer points. Texas has won their last three games by 10, 50, and 28 points respectively. Texas QB Ewers threw for 464 yards in the Big-12 Championship game that they won 49-21 over Oklahoma State. They have covered the spread in five of their last six and three straight and the market is simply not catching up to the true market value of Texas. Three models that I have developed over decades of research prices Texas as a 9.5-point favorite over Washington. However, this does not imply that simply betting Texas is an easy winner. Instead it informs us that there is plenty of value betting Texas which increases are odds to win this 10-Unit bet, but certainly never a guarantee. From the predictive model, Texas is expected to score 30 or more points and execute more rushing plays than passing plays. In this situation they are 87-9 SU and 71-24-1 ATS for 75% winning bets since 2015. Washington is 5-50 SU and 8-46-1 ATS for 15% when they allowed these measures since 2015. Betting on elite rushing teams gaining 4.8 or more YPRA from Week 7 on out, is coming off a game limited that opponent to less than 100 rushing yards and now facing a foe that is averaging 4.35 to 4.75 YPRA has earned a 78-41 ATS record for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.
12-30-23	Auburn v. Maryland UNDER 49	Top	13-31	Win	100	27 h 38 m	Show
Auburn vs Maryland Music City Bowl, Nissan Stadium, Memphis, TN Saturday, December 30, 2:00 ET (ABC) 8-Unit best bet Under 49 points and is valid to 47.5 points. 5-Unit Optional Wager on Auburn minus the points. Consider betting 75% of your preflop amount and then look to get 25% more at 54.5 points during the first half of action. Here are some notes supporting a 5-Unit bet on Auburn and may be opportunities for those who like betting teasers or parlays. I do not bet teasers or parlays often and in the rare time that I do, I will only add to my bets with a pizza money sized amount. Maryland is 1-9 ATS after having won two of their last three games under HC Locksley. Auburn is motivated to win this bowl game to avoid being labeled the first team to have three consecutive losing seasons since the 1977. Moreover, Hugh Freeze’s 6-1 SUATS mark in bowl games and as mentioned Auburn has plenty to prove in this game to show the War Eagle fan base head coach Freeze was the right hire for the long-term. Maryland is 32-16 after a game gaining 6.75 or more yards per play in their previous game; 27-11 UNDER after scoring 42 points or more last game. HC Freeze is 38-13 UNDER when facing a solid offensive team that is averaging 5.9 or more yards per play in all games he has coached. The Under is 13-5-1 for 72% winning bets in bowl games in which the favorite of less than 10 points has won 6 games and the opponent has won more than 6 games, with the favorite possessing a ground attack averaging 75 or more yards per game then the opponent and with the game total set at fewer than 50 points.
12-30-23	Ole Miss v. Penn State -4.5	Top	38-25	Loss	-110	25 h 19 m	Show
Mississippi vs Penn State Peach Bowl - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA Noon, Saturday December 30 10-Unit Bet on Penn State minus 5.5 points and is valid to 7 points. Consider betting 75% of your betting amount preflop and the look to add 25% more with PSU priced at pick-em or better during the first half of action. Another option is to add 25% if Mississippi scores the first TD of the game or retakes the lead with a TD score during the first half of action. Some notes of interest about the Peach Bowl. The 2023 Peach Bowl game is a college football bowl game that will feature No. 10 Penn State and No. 11 Ole Miss on Saturday, Dec. 30 at noon ET. The game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia, and will be televised by ESPN. This will be the first-ever meeting between the two programs, and only the sixth Big Ten vs. SEC matchup in the Bowl's history. Both teams finished the regular season with 10-2 records and are looking to end the year ranked in the Top-10 Final poll. Penn State boasts the nation's top-ranked defense based on my comprehensive power rankings. They are expected to slow down the high-octane Mississippi Rebel offense for the entire game. That does noy imply that Mississippi will be held scoreless, but rather that the Mississippi offense will not keep pace with the PSU offense led by sophomore 5-star The Peach Bowl game will be a clash of styles, as Penn State's stingy defense will try to slow down Ole Miss's high-powered offense. Both teams have a chance to make history, as Penn State can become the first program to win every bowl game that comprises the New Year's Six, and Ole Miss can win its first New Year's Six bowl game under head coach Lane Kiffin. PSU is 9-1 ATS as a favorite this season; 11-1 ATS after playing two consecutive games against conference foes over the past two seasons; 9-1 ATS in December games; James Franklin is 12-2 ATS when having won 8 or more of their previous 10 games; 16-1 Ats following back-to-back double-digit wins over conference foes; 9-1 ATS when facing a team that is averaging 275 or more passing yards per game.
12-29-23	Missouri v. Ohio State OVER 48.5	Top	14-3	Loss	-110	198 h 19 m	Show
Ohio State vs Missouri The Cotton Bowl Classic 8 PM EST 8-Unit best bet on the OVER, currently priced at 49 points. Given the player news that has surfaced over the past week, I do see this total moving lower. I recommend betting 25% no, though at the best price you are offered and then monitor the total movement over the next week. The Buckeyes starting QB McCord lost just one game this season but nevertheless entered the transfer portal and is going to attend Syracuse next season. Replacing him for the Cotton Bowl Classic is red shirt freshman Devin Brown, who hails from Draper, Utah. He attended Corner Canyon High School and led them to the state championship game and was named MaxPreps’ Utah state player of the year and threw for nearly 8,000 yards and 85 touchdown passes in his 31-game high school career. He played his first three seasons at Queen Creek High School in Arizona and was coached by former Buckeye QB and Rose Bowl MVP Joe Germaine. He then transferred to Corner Canyon, in Draper Utah, for his senior season to play in a different offense, and he threw for a whopping 4,881 yards with 57 TDs while adding 430 yards on the ground and eight more touchdowns. He competed with Kyle McCord for the No. 1 quarterback role through 11 practices during the 2023 spring drills before injuring a finger and missing the final four practices, including the spring game. He then switched jersey numbers from 15 to 33, a number he wore throughout age group football and for a time in high school, and as a tribute to Sammy Baugh, a charter member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Brown says No. 33 is “the original quarterback number” and no one can disagree with that fact. So, I do not see much decline in the performance of the high-powered offense with him under center and a stable of weapons and underclassmen making their first appearances, who will be motivated to give the best possible performance for the coaching staff heading into Spring Football. Brown suffered an ankle sprain and is listed as pout till the end of December, but I strongly believe he will start. Betting the OVER in a bowl game featuring two teams with nine or more wins and with one of them having beaten the spread by 42 or more points over their last five games has goner a highly profitable 15-3 for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total is priced between 42.5 and 60 points the Over is 9-1 for 90% winning bets.
12-29-23	Notre Dame v. Oregon State +6	Top	40-8	Loss	-110	22 h 51 m	Show
Notre Dame vs Oregon State Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas 2 ET 8-Unit Bet on the Oregon State Beavers plus the 6.5 points Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add 25% more with OSU priced at 10.5 points during the first half of action. Betting on neutral field underdogs that are facing a foe that has won 60 to 85% of their games and has won three of their last four games has earned a 32-10 record good for 77% winning bets since 2014. The predictive models I have developed reveal that OSU is 23-6 SU and 25-4 ATS for 86%) when scoring 28 or more -points and gaining at least 150 rushing yards since 2019.
12-29-23	Clemson v. Kentucky +3.5	Top	38-35	Win	100	2 h 1 m	Show
Clemson vs Kentucky TaxSlayer Gator Bowl \| Noon ET, Friday 8-Unit Bet on Kentucky plus the 4.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog. This bowl game features a team from the SEC going up against a team from the ACC ro another conference if no ACC teams are available. Here are some more interesting facts about the Gator Bowl. Some facts about the Gator Bowl Football Game are: The first Gator Bowl was played on January 1, 1946, between Wake Forest and South Carolina, with Wake Forest winning 26-14. The most recent Gator Bowl was played on December 30, 2022, between Notre Dame and South Carolina, with Notre Dame winning 30-33. The Gator Bowl has hosted four national championship teams: Georgia Tech in 1952, Florida in 1996, Tennessee in 1998, and Florida State in 2013. The Gator Bowl has featured some of the most memorable moments in college football history, such as the “Fog Bowl” in 1959, the “Lindsey Scott Miracle Run” in 1980, the “Gator Flop” in 1971, and the “Woody Hayes Punch” in 1978. The Gator Bowl has also showcased some of the most prominent players and coaches in college football history, such as Bobby Bowden, Steve Spurrier, Peyton Manning, Tim Tebow, Joe Namath, and Johnny Unitas. Clemson (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS) had a disappointing season by its own standards, losing four games for the first time since 2014. The Tigers struggled offensively, ranking 56th in the nation in scoring with 29.2 points per game. Quarterback Cade Klubnik had a solid debut season, throwing for 2,580 yards and 19 touchdowns, but also had eight interceptions. The Tigers relied on their running game, led by Phil Mafah and Will Shipley, who combined for 1,692 yards and 14 touchdowns. Clemson’s defense was solid, allowing only 19.9 points per game and ranking fifth in the nation in passing defense. However, the Tigers will be without some key players on defense, such as linebacker Jeremiah Trotter and defensive end Ruke Orhorhoro, who opted out of the bowl game. Most importantly, they are very thin at the cornerback position and any injury, even if minor that removes the starting corners out fo the game for a few plays, will present some high percentage chunk plays for Kentucky. Kentucky (7-5, 6-6 ATS) had a roller-coaster season, winning its first four games before losing five of its next seven. The Wildcats had a balanced offense, averaging 28.6 points per game and ranking 95th in passing and 96th in rushing. Quarterback Devin Leary, a transfer from NC State, had a breakout season, throwing for 2,440 yards and 23 touchdowns, with 10 interceptions. He had a trio of reliable receivers in Dane Key, Barion Brown and Tayvion Robinson, who each had over 400 yards and four touchdowns. The Wildcats also had a star running back in Ray Davis, who rushed for 1,066 yards and 13 touchdowns. Davis declared for the NFL Draft, but will play in the bowl game. Kentucky’s defense was average, allowing 26.8 points per game and ranking 65th in total defense. The Wildcats thrived on forcing turnovers, as they had 21 takeaways, including 14 interceptions. Head coach Stoops is 23-13 ATS when facing a non-conference game. Clemson is 3-12 ATS after allowing 14 or fewer points in games played over the past three seasons; 1-8 ATS after allowing seven or fewer points in the first of each of their ;ast two games in games played over the past three seasons.
12-28-23	Arizona v. Oklahoma UNDER 60	Top	38-24	Loss	-110	5 h 7 m	Show
Arizona vs Oklahoma Valero Alamo Bowl 9:15 ET, December 28 8-Unit best bet Under the posted total Betting the Under with a team (Oklahoma) that has covered the spread by 42 or more points over their last five games in a bowl game or playoff game and with both teams having won 9 or more games on the season has seen the Under go 15-3 for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Here is another system that has earned a record good for 85% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are to be the Under in a neutral field matchup with a total between 56.5 and 69.5 points with a team (Arizona) coming off two consecutive wins over conference rivals. If the game takes place in December, these games have seen the Under go 13-4 for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.
12-27-23	Louisville -6 v. USC	Top	28-42	Loss	-110	3 h 15 m	Show
USC vs Louisville 8 ET \| Fox \| Holiday Bowl Petco Park, San Diego, CA 8-Unit bet on the Trojans plus the 7 0oints and is valid down to 6.5 points. Betting on teams priced as 4.5 or greater underdogs in a bowl game and covered the spread in three or fewer games on the season have produced a 14-9-2 ATS mark good for 61% winning bets dating back to the 1989 season. The market has overreacted to how poorly USC played down the stretch ranking 11th best in total offense but a horrid 120th in total defense nationally and the fact that their 2022 Heisman Trophy winner Caleb Williams has opted out of this bowl game. It is also a fact that PAC-12 Bowl teams have gone a shocking 0-16 ATS when coming off a SU and ATS loss in their season finale. However, that trend is mature and statistically poised to move in the other direct over the coming bowl seasons. Problem is there I no PAC-12 conference starting next season. Trends like this one reflect a market that has continuously relied on it and others and the result is an undervalued underdog, especially in this matchup. USC has a new defensive coordinator who will prepare this Trojan team better than in any of the previous 8 games this season and further they have the motivation to play hard and put the those terrible defensive games in the rearview mirror heading into Spring Football. Lincoln Kennedy is an elite coach and is 6-1 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points in bowl games. If this game was priced before the season started the trojans would have been 9.5-point favorites. The predictive models inform us that USC is 69-4 SU and 55-16-1 ATS for 78% winning bets when they have been priced as a dog, scored 27 or more points, and had the same or fewer turnovers.
12-23-23	Utah v. Northwestern +6	Top	7-14	Win	100	54 h 52 m	Show
Northwestern vs. Utah 68 Ventures Bowl, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas 7:30 PM EST, Saturday December 23, 2023 8-Unit bet on Northwestern plus the 6 points and is valid down to 4 points. Teams that became bowl eligible coming off a season in which they won three of fewer games and playing a foe that won four or more games in their previous season has earned an outstanding 34-19 SU record and 38-12-3 ATS for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our team is a member of the Power 5 conferences (PAC-12, ACC, SEC, Big Ten, Big-12) they have gone a highly profitable 18-3 ATS for 86% winning bets. Northwestern is a member of the Big Ten and certainly outperformed everyone’s expectations this season given they were priced with a 2.5 wins total before the season started.
12-22-23	Central Florida v. Georgia Tech UNDER 67.5	Top	17-30	Win	100	4 h 51 m	Show
UCF vs. Georgia Tech Gasparilla Bowl - Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL 8-Unit Under the posted total of 67 points and is valid to 65.5 points. This total is more likely to climb higher in the last hours of trade ahead of kickoff. Betting the Under in a game involving two struggling defenses that are allowing 390 to 440 YPG in a non-conference matchup has earned a solid 40-13-1 Under record good for 75.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This system has gone 11-2 Under for 85% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. Consider betting 75% of your betting amount preflop and then look to add 25% at 74.5 points during the first half of action only.
12-21-23	Syracuse v. South Florida UNDER 56.5	Top	0-45	Win	100	31 h 10 m	Show
The Roofclaim.com Boca Raton Bowl Thursday, December 21, 2023 8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 56.5 points and is valid down to 55.5 points. The South Florida Bulls will square off against the Syracuse Orange in Boca Raton, Florida and is scheduled to start at 8:00 EST and will be televised by ESPN. The game will be played on the Florida Atlantic home stadium and will give provide a modest home field advantage for the Bulls. What does matter is that both teams are 6-6 SU and with win can claim a winning season record for their recruiting efforts. The Bulls yielded the most passing yards per game (301) in the nation this year, but Syracuse will be starting redshirt freshman Braden Davis, who threw one pass this season. He attended South Carolina as a freshman and made the transfer last season. He is 6-5 and 200 pounds and does have a strong arm, but will be throw accurate passes for 60 minutes is an unknown. He was the Gatorade Delaware Player of the Year and led the Middletown, DE Cavaliers to an 11-1 record and the state championship as a senior. He was selected for the Under Armour All-America game. He completed 114-of-156 passes for 1,872 yards and 20 touchdowns through nine games and rushed for 638 yards and three scores on 46 carries. One of six members of the prestigious Franklin D. Watkins Memorial Award Class of 2022 and ranked as the top player in the state of Delaware, the 23rd-best quarterback prospect in the nation. His running ability is a threat in this matchup and look for Syracuse to execute RPO and the wild cat far more than they did during the regular season. It may be his only start knowing that Ohio State starting QB McCord transferred to the Orange in recent weeks. The following betting algorithm has produced a 49-24 Under record good for 67% winning bets. Bet the Under in games with a total between 57.5 and 70 points. One of the teams is coming off a SU + ATS win. The game occurs in December and includes all Bowls. If that team is priced between the 3’s 12-11 SU (52%) \| 12-11 ATS (52%) \| 18-5 Under (78%) Bet the Under!
12-19-23	UTSA v. Marshall +8.5	Top	35-17	Loss	-110	4 h 5 m	Show
UTSA vs Marshall Frisco Bowl 9 ET December 19 8-Unit bet on Marshall plus 7.5 points and is valid bet if they remain the dog UTSA is coming off a 29-16 loss as a 3.5-point underdog to Tulane in their previous game. Marshall is coming off a 35-21 win as 1-point underdog over Arkansas State in their season finale and that momentum will carry over to this bowl game. Marshall has seen 11 players enter the transfer portal with their sophomore quarterback Cam Fancher entering the portal December 11. However, Marshall is quite deep in the quarterback position. Marshall faces a quarterback conundrum with a major transfer triggering a rise in the betting lines to a double-digit spread. However, there is not going to be a significant drop-off if this opens the door for Cole Pennington, son of former NFL QB Chad Pennington, to step in under center. In fact, I see no change to a potential better offense with Pennington calling the signals. He completed 49-of-79 passes for 437 yards including 6 TD and 3 interceptions in three games, including starts against Georgia Southern and South Alabama. So, his potential is quite high, and he already has proven he can run an efficient offense. From the predictive model we are looking for Marshall to score 24 or more points and gain at least 5 yards per play has seen them produce a 56-12 record and a 42-25-1 ATS record over the last 10 seasons. If they were an underdog in these games, they have gone 6-4 SU and 8-2 ATS.
12-16-23	California v. Texas Tech UNDER 57.5	Top	14-34	Win	100	10 h 27 m	Show
California vs Texas Tech 8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently at 57.5 points and is valid down to 56.5 points. Betting the Under in a game with a total between 56.5 and 63 points and in a game involving a pair of defenses that allow between 5.6 and 6.5 yards per pass play have earned a 62-21-2 record for 71% winners over the past 30 seasons.
12-02-23	Louisville v. Florida State -115	Top	6-16	Win	100	9 h 24 m	Show
Louisville vs FSU ACC Championship 8 ET \| 8-Unit Best Bet on FSU minus the point. FSU is not a team based on a star quarterback. They are a complete team and no one talks about their defense that ranks 8th nationally allowing 17.1 PPG and 7th posting a 0.252 points per play allowed ratio. They are the BEST passing defense in the nation allowing 47% completions and 8th with a 9.08% sack percentage. It will be the defense that will get the job done and limit Louisville’s offensive production. FSU is 8-1 when facing an above average passing team completing 64% or more of their passes. [QB] Tate Rodemaker (Head) - Doubtful () [12/01/2023] => Rodemaker is tending to a head injury, and it is unlikely that he will take on Louisville in the ACC Championship game. So, Brock Glenn is likely to start under center for the Seminoles and he is an outstanding talent and athlete with size at 6-3 and 220 pounds and a huge arm. Four-star prospect ranked as No. 13 quarterback nationally and No. 7 overall prospect in Tennessee by 247Sports…rated as country’s 15th-highest quarterback prospect by Rivals, 17th by ESPN and 25th by On3…made Elite 11 Finals in summer of 2022…accounted for more than 4,500 yards of total offense and 68 touchdowns during prep career…passed for 3,928 yards and 57 touchdowns with only 13 interceptions and added 654 rushing yards with 11 touchdowns…led Lausanne to eight wins and advanced to quarterfinal round of Tennessee High School Division II Class AA playoffs his senior season…was 74-of-126 passing for 1,413 yards and 18 touchdowns and added 443 rushing yards and seven touchdowns while averaging 9.8 yards per carry…led Lynx to semifinal round of state playoffs and nine wins in 2021…completed 97 of 155 passes for 1,576 yards and 23 touchdowns…also rushed for 161 yards and three touchdowns on 31 carries…played six games his sophomore year, passing for 912 yards and 15 touchdowns and rushing for 28 yards on 12 carries…was 1-of-1 passing for 27 yards and rushed for 22 yards in one appearance as a freshman.

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