Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-01-20 | Baylor v. Georgia -4 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
Baylor vs Georgia The bet is Georgia as a 7-Star Titan bet and the ‘UNDER’ for a 7-Star Bet. The optional plays for consideration are to bet a no more than a 3-Star amount using the reverse parlay strategy that pays 4:1. If you want the detailed info on how a reverse parlay works please contact me on Twitter at @johnRyanSports1. The other alternative is to bet a 7-Star amount on the 7-point teaser lines that would make Georgia a 3-point underdog and raise the total to 48 points – but both sides must win for the teaser bet to win. The Georgia Bulldogs are a solid 33-17 against-the-spread (ATS) in road games when facing good rushing teams that are averaging at least 4.75 rushing yards-per-attempt; 11-2 ATS in road games after a game where they forced one or zero turnovers in games played spanning the last three seasons. Georgia head coach Rhule is 10-1 ‘UNDER’ when facing stromg ball control teams that are averaging at least 32 minutes-per-game in all games he has coached. |
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01-01-20 | Minnesota v. Auburn -6.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
No. 12 Auburn vs No. 19 Minneosta
Outback Bowl 1:00 PM EST, Wednesday, January 1, 2020 7-Star Wager on the Auburn Tigers Auburn freshman quarterback Bo Nix made incredible progress and learned the playbook quickly in his first season. His season stats are not that impressive, but he steadily improved each week. He did not throw an interception over his last four games and only one in the last six games since throwing three interceptions against Florida. The Tigers are a young team and will only be better next season. Sophomore wide receiver Seth Williams is the top target for Nix with 55 catches for 801 yards and eight touchdowns while sophomore JaTarvious Whitlow (739 yards, nine touchdowns) and freshman D.J. Williams (387, two) , who also leads the ground attack. From the predictive side of things, the Tigers have a high probability of scoring 28 or more points in this matchup. The Tigers are 48-22-3 Against the spread (ATS) when they have scored 28 or more points since 2010; 10-2 ATS last two season; 8-3 ATS in Bowl Games. The Gophers are just 21-35-2 ATS when allowing an opponent to score 28 or more points since 2010; 3-6-1 ATS the last two seasons; 2-5 ATS in Bowl Games. Plus, teams playing in bowl games that are favored by seven or more points and are ranked 10 or worse and facing an opponent that is ranked lower (greater than 10) are 6-2 ATS for 75% winning bets. |
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12-31-19 | Kansas State +3 v. Navy | Top | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Kansas State Wildcats vs No. 23 Navy Midshipmen
Liberty Bowl 3:45 PM EST, Tuesday, December 31, 2019 Memorial Stadium, Memphis TN 10-Star Wager on the Kansas State Wildcats The line for this game opened with the Kansas State Wildcats as a 2-point favorite on December 8. The ‘Pros and Joes’ immediately jumped on Navy and their bets pushed the line to ‘pick’ within the first 24 hours. Within the next day the line was moved another 2-points to its’ current price tag of Navy favored by 2.5 points on the NCAA Football odds board. Every Bowl season there are few lines that are just not good ones that are put out by the lines makers and this was on eof them this year. The failure was incorrectly anticipating the public consensus for both teams. The betting public does not place bets on the armed forces teams when facing a Major The books will lose money on this game. The smart money that got Navy as a 2-point dog are now buying back their bets getting the Wildcats as 2.5-point underdogs and giving them a juicy 4.5-point window to win both of their bets. The second problem for the books is that the betting consensus has now shifted in favor of the Wildcats with 53% of the bets on them and 47% on the Midshipmen. So, the books are holding most betting tickets being Navy between a 2-point dog and ‘pick’ and the Wildcats between ‘pick and 2.5 points underdogs. Are There Any Game Breakers?The Wildcats have the edge over Navy with true freshman Joshua Youngblood, who earned Big-12 Special Teams Player of the Year and has had three returns for touchdowns in his last four games. There is a great chance he will do it again in this game so if you can fid a prop bet that he returns a kick for a touchdown bet on it. The Wildcats defense is another game breaker as the rank best in the country in third down situations allowing opponent to convert just 25% of the third downs. The unit will look to keep Navy in third and long situations to put even more pressure on Perry to keep the chains moving. A Few Extra Points· The Wildcats head coach Klieman is 6-0 against-the-spread (ATS) after playing a home game. · The Midshipmen’s head coach Niumatalolo is 4-13 ATS after outgaining the previous opponent by 225 or more yards. This money line system has earned a remarkable 77% winning record of 37-11 and has made the $1,000 bettor a huge $31,250 profit over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet against all teams after Week 7 with a money line of +135 to -155 (NAVY in this matchup) that are excellent rushing teams averaging 230 or more rushing-yards-per-game and is now facing an average rushing defense allowing between 140 and 190 rushing yards-per-game, and after outrushing opponent by at least 125 or more yards I their previous game. |
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12-30-19 | Illinois +7 v. California | Top | 20-35 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
Illinois vs California This situational betting system has earned a solid 35-30 using the Money Line good for 50% winning bets and has made the $100 bettor a robust profit of $4,120 over the last 10 seasons. The system requires us to bet on neutral field underdogs that are facing an opponent that has won two out of their last three games in a non-conference matchup. The betting system improves to 18-12 and making $3,380 for the $100 bettor when both teams are from the Power-5 Conferences. From the predictive side of things, California is a momey-losing 9-24 straight-up (SU) and losing $3,000 per $100 bet when they have been held to between 300 and 350 total yards; 1-6 SU when they gained between 150 and 200 net passing yards in game splayed over the last two seasons. |
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12-28-19 | Iowa State +4 v. Notre Dame | Top | 9-33 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
Iowa State vs Notre Dame The Cyclones are 9-1 against-the-spread (ATS) when the have played an elite level team sporting a win percentage at 75% or higher on the season in games played over the last three seasons; 12-3 ATS when facing a teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more points-per-game on the season over the last three seasons. Notre Dame has been a money-burning 8-20 ATS in road games after having won eight or more of their last 10 games in games played since 1992. Cyclones head coach Campbell is a solid 15-3 ATS facing teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more points-per-game. |
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12-28-19 | Memphis v. Penn State -7 | Top | 39-53 | Win | 100 | 1 h 9 m | Show |
No. 10 Penn State vs No. 17 Memphis Memphis had its’ best season in program history winning 12 games, but their success attracted the eyes of the Florida State program and lured head coach Mike Lovell away from Memphis. PSU had another solid season losing only two games and both on the road against then-undefeated teams. PSU has felt spited as the Rose Bowl selected Wisconsin over PSU despite having three losses and two of them to Ohio State. So, the Nittany Lions will be playing with a purpose to finish the season in the Top-10 rankings and send a message to the Rose Bowl committee. Here is a great betting system that has earned a solid 40-12 ‘Over’ record for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons. The instructions are to play ‘OVER’ after Week 7 of the regular season including bowl games and playoffs in a game between two teams that are not in the same conference and that are outgaining their opponents by 0.6 to 1.2 yards-per-play on the season. Memphis quarterback White struggled in the AAC title game completing a season-low 45 percent of his passes. He has thrown five of his nine interceptions over the past four games and will be facing the toughest defense by far in the PSU Nittany Lions unit. Senior wide receiver Antonio Gibson, who caught the decisive TD pass in the last win, has been utilized more as a runner as the season progressed and rushed 11 times for 130 yards. Junior Damonte Coxie is White's favorite target with 68 catches for 1,144 yards, but will face the toughest corners by far and will have trouble getting separation from them. The Lions defense is anchored by Parsons had a team-high 95 tackles and junior defensive end Yetur Gross-Matos, who declared for the NFL draft, but will suit up for the Cotton Bowl and had 8.5 sacks this season. Lions are a perfect 7-0 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite over the last two seasons. From the predictive toolbox the Lions are expected to score at least 28 points and gain more than six yards-per-play. The Lions are 46-10-3 ATS in games in which they scored 28 or mor epoints and gained at least six yards-per-play over the last 10 seasons. |
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12-27-19 | Washington State +3 v. Air Force | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
Washington State vs Air Force The Falcons ended the regular season with their third-highest win total in program history and a program that was largely ignored by the media this season. The Cougar’s Gorden may have extra motivation after being selected to the ALL-PAC-12 second-team despite being the 16th NCAA quarterback to throw for over 5,000 passing yards, the sith-highest in NCAA history with 5,228 passing yards, and the first since some guy named Patrick Mahomes did it in 2016 at Texas Tech. Both teams cannot replicate the other’s offensive scheme, but I think the Cougars Air-Raid attack scheme is far more difficult for any team to face than a team that runs the triple-option. So, I think the Cougars have a huge edge in that department and they have the superior athleticism with their playmakers over the Falcons defensive unit. The ‘UNDER’ opened at 67 and the “Pros and Joes” have been steadily pushing the total up to higher levels with 70 points now appearing at several sportsbooks. However, I lean as a contrarian and would make a bet on the ‘UNDER’ at a price tag of 71-points. And if it hits that level I would recommend a bet of no higher than 3-star using the money line on Washington State and the ‘UNDER’ 71-points or higher. The Falcons are 9-25 against-the-spread facing terrible defensive teams allowing 450 or more yards-per-game in the current season. Cougars are 9-1 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70 in games played over the last three seasons; 11-2 ATS after gaining 100 or fewer rushing yards in two consecutive games over the last three seasons; 32-12 ATS 32-12 ATS in road games after allowing 14 points or less last game. From the predictive side, the machine learning summaries calls for the Cougars to score 31 or more points. IN past games when they did score 31 or mor epoints they went 123-44-1 ATS for 74% winning bets and 38-19 ATS under head coach Mike Leach. |
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12-26-19 | Pittsburgh -11 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 25 m | Show |
Pittsburgh vs Eastern Michigan The Panther’s scoring defense ranked 31stallowing an average of 21.8 points per game and is led by All-ACC first team performers defensive tackle Jaylen Twyman (10.5 sacks, most by a Pitt DT since Aaron Donald had 11 in 2013) and safety Paris Ford (team-high 86 tackles, three interceptions, 14 passes defensed and three forced fumbles). Simply, Pittsburgh is the better team on both sides of the ball and the machine learning projections are looking for Pitt to win this game by at least 17 points. Pittsburgh will score at least 28 points in this game and are 123-62-4 ATS when they have done so; 9-3-1 ATS since the start of the 2017 season. EMU is 63-135-4 ATS when they have allowed 28 or more points; 3-10-1 ATS since the start of the 2017 season. |
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12-24-19 | BYU -1.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 34-38 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
BYU Cougars vs Hawaii Warriors It has been more than 20 years since these two teams were bitter rivals in the Western Athletic Conference (WAC) and this game marks the first time they have ever met in the postseason. The Rainbows had a great season where they reached the Mountain West Championship Game, but lost 31-10 to Boise State. BYU gave Boise State their only loss of this season. The Cougars, who used three different starting quarterbacks this season due to injury, averaged 40 points-per-game during a five-game winning streak. However, that streak was snapped when they were limited to a season-low total in a 13-3 loss at San Diego State on Nov. 30. Zach Wilson, who committed three turnovers to offset a season-high 316 yards passing in the season finale, has three receivers with at least 40 receptions, with tight end Matt Bushman averaging 14.6 yards and scoring four times on 41 catches. Linebacker Kavika Fonua has recorded a team-high 78 tackles for an opportunistic defense that tied for ninth in the nation with 15 interceptions and forced 22 turnovers to rank 18th overfall. Looking at the numbers from our trusted database we notice that despite winning seven of their 12 games they covered the spread in just four of them. Teams playing in the post season that covered four or fewer games on the season and come into the game having not covered the spread in at least four of their previous games and coming off a straight-up (SU) loss have earned a solid 16-8 ATS for 67% winning bets. Rainbows are a terrible 2-10 ATS when facing good passing teams that have completed 58% or more of their pass attempts in games played over the last three seasons; 0-6 ATS when facing teams that are averaging 250 or more passing-yards-per-game in games played over the last three seasons; 1-8 ATS facing offenses that have averaged at least 6.0 yards-per-play in game splayed over the last two seasons. Take the BYU Cougars. |
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12-21-19 | Washington -3 v. Boise State | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
Boise State vs Washington So, with Peterson leaving Washington and playing against the Broncos, which is the team he had previously coached qnd facing their head coach Bryan Harsin, whow worked for him for 10 seasons has its own storylines. Junior quarterback Jacob Eason could opt for the NFL draft after the game and has passed for 2,922 yards, 22 touchdowns and eight interceptions during his first season as a college starter since 2016 at Georgia. Senior offensive tackle Trey Adams and junior tight end Hunter Bryant are skipping the game to protect against injury Junior running back Salvon Ahmed has 1,000 yards on the ground and has produced four 100-yard outings. Junior free safety Elijah Molden has a team-best 70 tackles and his three interceptions are tied with freshman cornerback Cameron Williams for the team lead while sophomore outside linebacker Joe Tryon has racked up a team-high eight sacks. Peterson is 14-5 ATS in road games when facing good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards-per-game. as the coach of Washington; 20-8 ATS in road games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better in all games he has coached in his career. My Machine learning tools see a very high probability that Washington will score more than 28 points in this matchup. When they do they have gone 39--3 straight-up and 28-13-1 ATS for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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12-20-19 | Buffalo v. Charlotte +6.5 | Top | 31-9 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
The Bahamas Bowl This is the first Bowl Game of the season and one that I expect to be entertaining and played well by these teams. This Bowl game started in 2014 and was called the Popeyes Bahamas Bowl, in which Western Kentucky defeated Central Michigan 49-48. The 49 points scored by Western Kentucky remains the Bowl record The Charlotte 49ers play in the East Division of C-USA and earned a 7-5 record by winning their last five games of the regular season. The 49ers went an even 5-5 against the spread (ATS) and the ‘OVER’ won the money in eight of their 12 games. Their first-year head coach Will Healy absorbed the growing pains at the start of the season has them playing at their best right now and is a reason I like them as a Best Bet. The 49ers had two huge wins during their five-game win streak. In Week 10 they shocked Middle Tennessee State 34-20 and were lined as 2.5-point home underdogs. In Week 13 they played their best game of the season in a 24-13 win over Marshall and were lined as 6.5-point home underdogs. As a home underdog they went a perfect 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS so they relish the role they find themselves in for this Bowl game. In a twist of fate, I suppose we have two teams that at the Pro levels have the same team name with only the Buffalo Bulls missing the ‘I’ in Bills. The Bulls play as a member of the East Division in the MAC Conference and earned a 7-5 record this season. They rewarded their bettors with a 7-5 ATS record and the ‘OVER’ bet also went 8-4 on the season. The Bulls had two huge wins this season in which they covered the spread by 28 points. In Week 4 they pounded Temple 38-22 and were 12-point home underdogs. In Week 10 they dominated Eastern Michigan 43-14 and were lined as a 1-point road favorite. Here is a Terrific Betting System to Track for Seasons to ComeThis NCAA football betting system has earned a 38-10 ATS record good for 79.2% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The system instructs us to bet on underdogs of 3 to 10 points after having won four or more of their last six games SU and have a win percentage between 51% and 60% on the season. This system will track teams that are on winning runs later in the season. A team cannot lose four of their first six games and have a win percentage between 51 and 60% on the season. The system aligns with the positive momentum I like to see a team have that I bet on in the early bowl games. A Few Extra Points· Bulls head coach Leipold is 0-6 ATS in road games after outrushing the previous opponent by 125 or more yards. · 49ers are a solid 10-2 ATS after playing three consecutive conference games spanning the last three seasons of play. |
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12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson -28.5 | Top | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
ACC Championship 7:30 PM EST, December 8, 2019 7-Star Titan on the Clemson Tigers THIS SITUATIONAL QUERY HAS EARNED A SOLID 35-12-3 ATS MARK GOOD FOR 75% WINNING PICKS SINCE 2000. THE REQUIREMENTS ARE TO PLAY ON FAVORITES OF 21.5 TO 31 POINTS THAT ARE AVERAGING 200 OR MORE RUSHING YARDS-PER-GAME ON THE SEASON AND HAVE ALLOWED 125 OR FEWER RUSHING YARDS IN THREE CONSECUTIVE GAMES. THE FOLLOWING PRECEDENTS MATCH THE PROJECTIONS FROM THE MACHINE LEARNING RESULTS. •The Tigers are a solid 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. •The Tigers are a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) vs. poor punt coverage teams, allowing >= 12 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. •The Tigers are a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-07-19 | Georgia +7.5 v. LSU | Top | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
10-Star On Georgia
NCAAM: Georgia vs LSU 4:00 PM EST, December 7, 2019 Some quick Hitters: From the predictive side we learn that Georgia is 20-6 ATS over the last three seasons and 126-56 ATS over the last 25 seasons when scoring 28 or more points. LSU is just 18-60 ATS when allowing 28 or more points over the last 25 seasons. Georgia is 47-25 ATS when gaining at least 135 RY and scoring 35 or more points and 145-7 ATS over the last three seasons. The betting system has earned 77% winning bets on a 36-11 ATS record and instructs us to play on Neutral field underdogs outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards-per-game on the season. |
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12-07-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma -8.5 | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 3 m | Show |
12:00 PM EST, December 7, 2019
7-Star Titan on the Oklahoma Sooners This situational query has earned a solid 45-15 ATS mark good for 75% winning picks since 2000. The requirements are to play on any team that is playing a game in December after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points in total over their last five games. This system has gone a perfect 6-0 ATS over the last three seasons. The following precedents match the projections from the machine learning results. · The Sooners are 80-41 ATS when gaining at least nine yards-per-pass attempt. o 58-24 ATS when they have gained a minimum of 10 yards-per-pas attempt. o Bears are a 12-39 ATS when allo1ing 10 or more passing yards-per-attempt. · The Sooners are 149-87 ATS when scoring 28 or more points. o Bears are just 61-123 ATS when allowing 28 or more points. |
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12-06-19 | Oregon v. Utah -6.5 | Top | 37-15 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
Oregon vs Utah
PAC-12 Championship LEVI'S STADIUM - SANTA CLARA, CA8:00 PM EST, December 6, 2019 10-Star Titan on the Utah UItes Let us get right to the meat and potatoes portion of this game. · Utes are 7-0 ATS when facing below average passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse this season. · Utes are 30-15 ATS in road games facing excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 62% or better on the season. · Utes are a perfect 8-0 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in four straight games this season. · Whittingham is 22-3 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games as the coach of UTAH. |
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11-30-19 | Alabama v. Auburn +4 | Top | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
Alabama vs Auburn This situational query has earned an outstanding 35-8-5 ATS record for 80 % winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play on home teams from week 7 on that are averaging 190 to 230rushing yards per game and coming off a game where they allowed fewer than 100 RY and are facing an average rushing opponent that gains an average of 140 to 190 per game on the season. A few more Extra Points: These precedents all match the Machine learning projections. |
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11-30-19 | Wisconsin -1 v. Minnesota | Top | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
Wisconsin vs Minnesota 7-Star bet on the Wisconsin Badgers This is the Battle for Paul Bunyan’s Axe, but there is heck of a lot more on the line than just the award. The winner will move on to play Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship. Jack Coan completed 15-of-19 passes for 203 yards and a pair of touchdowns to help the Badgers finish with 606 yards of offense, which is the most since amassing 627 against Nebraska in 2014. Jonathan Taylor racked up 222 yards on the ground to go along with a touchdown in the win over the Boilermakers to gain 200 or more rushing yards for the 12th time in his illustrious career. Further, he has gained 200 or more yards in three consecutive games. Safety Collin Wilder will miss the first half against Minnesota after he was ejected for targeting against the Boilermakers. So, I am not concerned one bit about this fact and the Wisconsin defense will play well despite his absence. These precedents match the projections form the summary Machine learning tools. Badgers are 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games. Badgers under head coach Chryst is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 as the coach of Wisconsin. The machine learning tools show overwhelming results that the Badgers will score at least 28 points. They are 6-1 ATS this season, 18-7 ATS the last three seasons, and 127-51 ATS since 1992 when they have scored 28 or more points. |
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11-30-19 | Ohio State -8 v. Michigan | Top | 56-27 | Win | 100 | 2 h 0 m | Show |
Ohio State vs Michigan This situational query has earned an outstanding 35-8-5 ATS record for 80 % winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play on home teams from week 7 on that are averaging 190 to 230rushing yards per game and coming off a game where they allowed fewer than 100 RY and are facing an average rushing opponent that gains an average of 140 to 190 per game on the season. The talent gap between Ohio State and Michigan is reflected in the Buckeyes winning 16 of the last 18 against the Wolverines. Ohio State enters this year's game with a 17-game overall winning streak and a seven-game win streak against Michigan. By all indications, Jim Harbaugh will have a tough time beating Ohio State for the first time in his five seasons as Wolverines coach. Ohio State has crushed its opponents this year and handled its biggest challenge to date last week in a 28-17 victory over No. 12 Penn State. From the machine learning projections: |
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11-30-19 | Holy Cross v. Monmouth -6 | Top | 27-44 | Win | 100 | 1 h 29 m | Show |
Holy Cross vs Monmouth This situational betting system has earned a solid 44-22 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. Play against road underdogs of 5 to 11.5 points that are coming off a double digit conference win and facing an opponent that has won their last three consecutive conference games. The machine learning summary projections match the following precedents. The Bonus plays are to bet ON WOFFORD and to Bet on Albany |
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11-29-19 | Washington State v. Washington -6.5 | Top | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
Washington State vs Washington This is the battle for the Apple Cup. Both teams had higher aspirations than this winning this state-rivalry game as both teams have underachieved preseason expectations of a PAC-12 crown. Yet, this will make the recruiting and state bragging rights even more powerful for the winner of this game. This situational betting system has earned a solid 49-16 record betting the UNDER since 2015. The requirements are to bet UNDER with a home team and a total of at least 5.5 goals that are revenging a loss to the opponent and has a winning record on the season and with the game taking place in the first half of the season. WSU is just 2-11 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points. |
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11-23-19 | Oregon v. Arizona State +13.5 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Arizona State vs Oregon This situational betting system has earned a 26-10 record using the money line for 72% SU winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to play against a road team using the money line in a matchup of two excellent passing teams averaging 8.3 or more yards-per-pass and are coming off a game where they allowed 4.5 or fewer passing yards-per-attempt. If the team is coming off a game where they allowed the opponent 5.3 or fewer yards-per-pass play provides more betting opportunities and a solid 77-43 record for 66% winning bets and has made $5,3560 per $100 bet over the last five seasons. |
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11-23-19 | Texas A&M v. Georgia -12.5 | Top | 13-19 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
10-Star Georgia
NCAA: Georgia vs Texas A&M 3:30 PM EST, November 23, 2019 This situational query has earned a solid 54-18 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last 10 seasons and is an outstanding 13-1 ATS this season. The requirements are to play on a home team after Week 7 that is a very good rushing team averaging 190 to 240 RYPG and is coming off a game where their defense allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards and is now facing an opponent that averages 140 to 190 RYPG on the season. Georgia has already won the SEC East, but the Bulldogs must nevertheless avoid a stumble here before they play for the conference title against LSU. The Aggies, who still must take on LSU next week to close out their regular season schedule. The Bulldogs dominated last week for three quarters but needed a final stop late in the game before winning at Auburn. QB Jake Fromm was able to make enough plays against the Tigers’ stingy defense. He figures to have an easier time this week, though top WR Lawrence Cager aggravated a shoulder injury and might be limited in today’s game. Texas A&M QB Kellen Mond and RB Isaiah Spiller might have their hands full against the Georgia defense, which finally allowed its first rushing TD of the season late last week but still knows how to control gaps. Georgia will dominate on both sides of this game and the machine learning projections call for a bug win here. Georgia is projected to score at least 28 points and are 125-56 ATS when doing so and 19-6 ATS over the last three seasons. They are 30-9 ATS when they have scored 35 to 42 points. A&M is 5-28 ATS when allowing 35 to 42 points in a game. |
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11-23-19 | Penn State +19.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
7-Star Penn State over Ohio State The largest margin of victory ahs been 49 points with each team doing it once. The Lions won by 49 points on October 26, 2013 and the Buckeyes won by 49 points on October 29, 1994. In these games each team scored the most points in this matchup with 63 points. The longest win streak by the Buckeyes has been four games and three games for the Lions. What Is at Stake?The winner of this game will advance to the College Football Playoffs. I know I am one of the few and to be honest I feel lonely out here making such a bold statement that the Lions will win this game. To me, it is not that bold a statement. I had thought that a line of 11 to 12 points is what the opening line would be. I was shocked to see it at 18 points and immediately realized that this was only reflecting public sentiment. The Buckeyes are 10-0 and have earned an 8-2 record against the spread (ATS). They failed to cover against the two weakest opponents they faced in Florida Atlantic in Week 1 and Big Ten foe Rutgers in Week 13. So, it is the normal betting behavior to jump on the team that is winning games and covering spreads. How Can Penn State Win?The Lions offense is quite good and is led by sophomore quarterback Sean Clifford, who leads the Big Ten gaining 2.824 total yards. He is second in passing yards with 2,450 yards and trails Minnesota’s Tanner Morgan by only 18 passing yards for the top spot. The Lions Defense Will Win This GameThe Lions run defense is the best in the Big Ten and on eof the best – if not the best – in the nation allowing only 2.2 yards-per-attempt. By stopping the Buckeyes on first down and forcing them into second-and-long situations will allow the Lions pass rush to get put immense pressure on the offensive line. Shaka Toney has 6.5 sacks and 7.5 tackles-for-loss and Yeter Gross-Matos has 6.0 sacks and is the team-leader with 10 tackles-for-loss. What Does the Database Have to Share?The Lions are 6-0 ATS when facing the absolute best rushing teams in the nation that Have averaged 230 or more yards-per-game in games played over the last three seasons. The Lions are 7-0 ATS off a push or ATS loss when the team won the game as a favorite in game splayed over the last three seasons. Head Coach Franklin is 13-2 ATS off a push or ATS loss when the team won as a favorite including all games he has coached (Vanderbilt and Penn State). Play an additional 2-Star amount on the money line! Just in case. |
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11-23-19 | Illinois v. Iowa -14.5 | Top | 10-19 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 48 m | Show |
Illinois vs Iowa (Big Ten Football) This situational betting system has earned a solid 32-12 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points in a game between to average teams posting yards-per-play differentials between -0.6 and 0.6 YPP and are coming a game in which they were outgained by 125 or more yards. The machine learning summary projections call for Iowa to score at least 30 points and gain a minimum of 450 total yards. In past games in which they met or exceeded these projections they have earned a remarkable 23-5 ATS for 82% winning bets and hav e covered the spread by an average of 12 points. When Illinois has been the team that allowed these measures they have ended up a money-burning 10-29-1 ATS for just 25% winning bets. |
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11-19-19 | Ohio -20 v. Bowling Green | Top | 66-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
Ohio University vs Bowling Green This situational betting system has earned a 30-5 ATS record good for 86% winning NFL bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after two or more consecutive straight-up losses and has a win percentage between 40 and 49% on the season. Here is a second betting system that has earned a 41-19 ATS record good for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play against home underdogs of 14.5 or more points after failing to cover the spread in four or five of their last six games in a game occurring in Weeks 10 to 13. Ohio University is expected to easily score 28 or more points. They are 93-36 ATS when they have scored 28 or more points and 43-19-2 ATS as a home favorite. |
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11-16-19 | UCLA v. Utah -21 | Top | 3-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
UCLA vs Utah From the machine learning projections, Utah will score at least 42 points. UCLA is 0-8 ATS the last 3 seasons and 2-24 ATS over the last 25 seasons when they have allowed 42 or more points. Utes are 64-8 ATS over the last 25 seasons and 4-0 ATS the last three seasons when scoring 42 or more points. This situational query has earned an outstanding 52-17-2 for 75% winning picks. The requirements are to play on a team that is a solid rushing team gaining between 190 and 230 RYPG and are coming off a game where they allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards, and are now facing an opponent that is averaging between 140 to 190 RYPG on the season. |
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11-16-19 | Navy +7.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 20-52 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
7-Star on Navy as they take on host Notre Dame The Midshipmen have won five consecutive games and covered the spread in four out of the five. Their last loss was at Memphis losing 35-22 and failed to cover the spread as 11-point road underdogs. Notre Dame is 7-2 with the two losses against ranked teams in Georgia and Michigan, but their wins have been against mostly weak football programs. So, I do not believe the Irish are as good as their 7-2 record indicates. They have a higher strength-of-schedule than Navy, but that is mostly because they played and lost to Georgia and Michigan. Navy runs the ball and then they run it more. The Irish allowed Michigan to gash them for 303 rushing yards on 57 attempts in 45-14 loss back on October 26. The Midshipmen are the best running team in the nation averaging 358.3 rushing yards-per-game on the season. So, I believe that Navy will run wild on a suspect Notre Dame run defense. What Does the Database Have to Share?This situational query or betting system as some call them has earned a 40-13 against the spread (ATS) record good for 75% winning NCAAF picks over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in Weeks 10 through 13 that have covered three out of their last four games. 2-11 ATS in home games when facing offenses designed for the run (triple option) and average 125 or fewer passing yards-per-game. |
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11-16-19 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +19.5 | Top | 38-7 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
7-Star Mississippi State
NCAAF: Alabama vs Miss State 12:00 PM EST, November 16, 2019 This is an upset alert special situation in this matchup. Alabama knows they are going to need a lot of help to get to their sixth CFP. That help could come later today when Auburn takes on Georgia in a huge SEC game with major CFP implications. I believe this is a game where Alabama will be pushed to the limits just to get out of Starkville with a win. This situational query has earned a solid 81-37 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and 23-10-3 ATS for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to play on a home team (MISSISSIPPI ST) after Week 7 that is a good rushing team averaging between 190 and 230 rushing yards-per-game and after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game and are facing an average rushing team gaining between 140 and 190 rushing yards-per-game. This betting system is 6-0 ATS this season and 16-4 ATS the past three seasons. |
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11-09-19 | LSU +6.5 v. Alabama | Top | 46-41 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
7-Star on No. 1 LSU as they take on No. 2 Alabama
November 9, 2019 Whether you look at the CFP rankings that have LSU No. 2 and ‘Bama No. 3 or the AP poll that has LSU first and ‘Bama second, this is a Game of the Century and ranks right up there with the excitement of a Game-7. My research shows that LSU has the potential to shred the Bama defense and score 35 or more points. LSU is43-18 ATS in games in which they passed for 10 or more yards-per-attempt; 31-11 ATS when they have gained 500 or more total yards; and 64-28 ATS when they have gained a minimum of 6.0 yards-per-play. Whether Tua plays or not it will not matter as LSU head Coach Orgeron is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS when facing an elite passing team that is averaging 8 or more yards-per-pass attempt. Bama is just 14-45 ATS and 1-5 ATS the last three seasons when allowing 28 or more points; 9-26 ATS when both teams score 28 or more points, and 2-8 ATS when they have allowed 500 or more offensive yards. |
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11-09-19 | Florida State +3 v. Boston College | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
Florida State vs Boston College
12:00 PM EST, November 9, 2019 10-Star on FSU This is the first of many plays that will be released very early Saturday morning so be sure to come back and get on board a 15-4 ATS winning run. Boston College was on eof my three upset alerts that went 2-0-1 SATS last week. They throttled Syracuse, who I, like many others, thought the ‘Cuse was going to be a solid team and one that would contend for a New Years Day Bowl Game. BC gained a school record 691 total yards of offense and gashed the ‘Cuse for 496 rushing yards. I have always looked for teams that are performing at unsustainable levels that are playing against a teamj desperate for a win. The ‘Noles are certainly desperate. So desperate that they departed ways with their head coach Willie Taggert, who also took $18 million with him in his departure. Man would I like that gig! Even Steve Jobs didn’t get that kind of dismissal from Apple Computer and he was the founder. This situational query has earned an outstanding 73-30-2 for 70% winning picks. The requirements are to play against home teams where the line is between a 3-point dog and a 3-point favorite, that has a struggling defense allowing 17 or more points in the first-half and after playing a game where 70 or more total points were scored. |
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11-09-19 | Penn State -6.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
No.5 Penn State over No. 13 Minnesota 10-Star bet on the Penn State Nittany Lions A High-Noon showdown between two of the three undefeated Big Ten Conference schools. Minnesota’s Tanner Morgan has been improving each week as the quarterback of the Gophers, but has not seen a pass rush like what PSU will bring to the table. The key though is not sacks or QB pressures by themselves, but containing RB Rodney Smith who has 5 consecutive 100+ rushing games. The Gophers are 15-1 SU when he rushes for 100+ yards in his career, which started in 2014. PSU is second in scoring defense and first in the nation allowing just 2.2 rushing yards-per-game. No matter how you cut it, the Gophers offense will surprise the heck out of me, if they are able to sustain a long time-consuming scoring drive against the Lions defensive unit. The absence of a running game will turn the pass rush loose for the Lions making it immensely difficult to move the chains. PSU head coach Franklin is 16-4 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals; 12-2 ATS off a road win; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. This situational query has earned a 72-34 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play against any team after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and is now playing a team with a winning record. |
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11-08-19 | Central Florida v. Tulsa +17.5 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
7-Star on Tulsa as they take on UCF in AAC action
November 8, 2019 Last night we went 2-0 with Temple defeating USF 17-7 as a ‘pick-em’ or perhaps you got +1. The second win was the Oakland Raiders, who are now 5-4 on the season and steadily becoming a team to be reckoned with as the season moves in to the second-half. This is an upset alert type of play. On appear it is a long shot to be sure that Tulsa could pull off the upset, but there is value in assuming that risk for this bet. Tulsa is +630 on the money line and many of the 35 sportsbooks I monitor. So, consider betting a 5.5-star amount getting the 17 points and then bet 1.5-Stars on the money line – just in case they do pull off the shocking upset. I never know when these upsets will occur, but I do know I have at least one of them in each years over the past 10 seasons. Tulsa may be just 2-7, but they have played a extremely difficult schedule. Tulsa has posted a 36 SOS for the season while UCF has a much weaker 25 SOS. Penn State, Alabama, LSU, and Ohio State all have had SOS ratings between 35 and 38 by way of comparison. So, Tulsa is battle-tested and I expect them to bring their best to this game tonight This situational betting query has earned a 34-20-1 record for 63% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet against road favorites of 15 to 23 points that have out gained their opponents by at least 125 yards-per-game on the season and have averaged at least 525 total yards over their last two games. |
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11-02-19 | New Mexico +4 v. Nevada | Top | 10-21 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
New Mexico over Nevada 10-Star bet on the New Mexico Lobos. Lobos is a resilient 10-2 ATS in road games following a gem in which they trailed by 24 or more points at the half. Head Coach Davie is 13-2 ATS in road games when facing a struggling defensive unit that has allowed 31 or more PPG. Here is a betting system that has earned a solid 42-12 record good for 78% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that have a struggling defensive unit that is allowing an average of 6.1 yards-per-play and are coming off a solid offensive game in which they gained 475 or more total offensive yards. Nevada may be 3-5 but is a highly questionable one when you see that they lost 77-6 to Oregon, 54-3 to Hawaii, 36-10 at Utah State, and 31-3 at Wyoming. Their four wins have been earned against Weber State 19-13, at UTEP 37-21, San Jose State 41-38. Based on the research I strongly believe that the Lobos offense will have no difficulty scoring 28 or more points in this contest and walk off the field a winner. Lobos is a solid 19-6 ATS and 15-10 SU when on the road as an underdog of not more than 9.5 points and has scored 28 or more points. |
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11-02-19 | Oregon -3.5 v. USC | Top | 56-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
Oregon over USC Helton is 3-12 ATS after two consecutive game where they committed one or less turnovers as the coach of USC. I do not see how USC will be able to contain Oregon’s offense to 27 or fewer points in this agme and the machine learning underscores that fact. In games in which Oregon has scored 28 or more points they have earned a 120-55 ATS 69% record since 2000. USC is just 14-59-1 ATS for 19% in games in which they allowed 28 or more points. |
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11-02-19 | Utah -3 v. Washington | Top | 33-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
7-Star No.9 Utah Utes over the Washington Huskies
4:00 PM EST, November 2, 2019 Utah is on a four-game winning streak and have covered all of them against the spread. Utah has played better in each game on both sides of the ball and have yet to reach their peak performance levels. It is akin to watching Apple stock rise as it has in recent months to post all-time highs, but there are no signs of having peaked. This means that the stock will continue to move higher in price just as I expect Utah to continue playing better over the remainder of the season. Utah has held six of their seven opponents to less than 100 rushing yards with the lone exception being Arizona State, who gained 111 rushing yards. The Utah pass defense was struggling in the first three games of the season and allowed a season-worst 368 yards to USC. Since that game, they have significantly improved in each game and most recently held their last two opponents to a combined total of just 85 passing yards (Arizona State 28 and California 60 passing yards). Utah has held five of their seven opponents to season lows in points including three teams that failed to score 10 or more points. They have held four teams to season lows in rushing yards and four teams to season lows in passing yards. They held non-conference foe Northern Illinois and conference foe California to seasons lows in both rushing and passing yards. Utah head coach Kyle Wittingham is a solid 9-1 SU winning these games by an average of 18 points and 7-3 ATS covering the spread by an average of 7 points when his defense allowed 275 or fewer yards in back-to-back games. He is also 18-3 ATS after allowing 125 or fewer rushing yards in three consecutive games. |
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11-02-19 | Kansas State v. Kansas +5.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
Kansas host Kansas State7-Star Bet is on Kansas plus the 4.5-pointsWhat Does the Machine Have for Us?
Kansas is 6-0 ATS after having lost five or more of their last 7 games in games played over the last three seasons; 12-3 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. Kansas is projected to gain a minimum of six yards-per-rush and when they have achieved this measure in past games they have gone on to an outstanding 15-2 ATS record. They are also 16-3 ATS in games in which they gained an average of 6.5 to 7 yards-per-play. |
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11-01-19 | Navy -26.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 56-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
Navy over UCONN This system is also on Cincinnati when they square of against East Carolina Saturday. Navy is a solid 21-7 ATS in road games when facing poor teams getting outscored by 10 or more points per game on the season. UCONN is 0-7 ATS after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game. |
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10-26-19 | Washington State +14 v. Oregon | Top | 35-37 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
Washington State vs Oregon The two-best quarterbacks in PAC-12 and two tat rank in the top-10 in many of the main statistical measures will be going head-to-head in this exciting matchup in Eugene, Oregon. The Duck’s quarterback Justin Herbert is having a fabulous season ranking ninth in the nation with 158 pass completions, 17th with a 68% passing completion percentage, 19th with 1,992 passing yards, 14th in adjust yards per pass attempt at 9.7, and sixth throwing 21 touchdown passes. Despite the great season-to-date stats Herbert trails the Cougar’s quarterback Anthony Gordon by miles in the major flash stats. Gordon has completed a nation’s-best 246 passes, which is 58 more pass completions then second-best Hawaii’s Cole McDonald, who has 188. Despite throwing so many passes, he has completed 71% of them, which ranks seventh in the nation. Gordon leads the nation with 2,981 passing yards, which is a ridiculous 497 more yards than second-best and Heisman Trophy candidate LSU’s Joe Burrow, who has passed for 2,484. He is tied for the top spot in the nation with Burrow throwing 21 touchdowns on the season. Gordon has a huge edge in the passing game in this matchup. What Does the Machine Have for Us?The Ducks head coach Christobal is just 3-13 ATS in home games after his defense forced no more than one turnover in their previous game. The Cougars head coach Mike Leach is 8-1 ATS in road games when facing elite passing teams that are averaging 275 or more passing yards per game. Leach has his Air Raid offensive attack, but he also knows how to coach in these matchups too. The Cougars are 7-1 ATS in games that have had a posted total between 63.5 and 70 over the last three seasons. The summary from the machine learning tools indicates that the Cougars will score a minimum of 28 points. In past road games in which the Cougars scored 28 or more points has earned an outstanding 62-17-3 ATS record good for 79% wining bets including 12-3 ATS in games where the total ranged between 58 and 70 points since 2000. |
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10-26-19 | Notre Dame v. Michigan +2 | Top | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
7-STAR ON MICHIGAN AS THEY TAKE ON NOTRE DAME 7:30 PM EST, October 26, 2019 Projections and Precedents The Irish are just 7-24 ATS when they have been outgained by 50 to 100 yards and are 25-47 ATS when the rush for 100 to 150 yards. The Irish are just 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992; 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half since 1992. HC Kelly is a money-losing 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games as the coach of the Irish. |
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10-26-19 | Virginia -3 v. Louisville | Top | 21-28 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Virginia vs Louisville 3:30 PM EST, October 26, 2019 10-Star play on the UVA Cavaliers The summary projections from the machine learning tool shed indicate that UVA defense will gain between 400 and 450 yards and will hold Louisville to under 400 yards and will win the turnover battle (turnover margin). In past road games in which UVA gained more than 400 and the host gained less than 400 has produced an 11-3 ATS mark good for 79% winning bets including 5-0 ATS covering the spread by 28 points when they won the turnover battle. This situational query has earned a 37-12 record good for 76% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play against teasm that possess excellent offenses that average a minimum of 440 yards-per-game on the season, after two consecutive games in which the team allowed the opponent a minimum of 6.25 yards-per-play abd are now facing a team that is a mediocre offense averaging 330 to 390 total offensive yards-per-game on the season. 54% of these bets covered the spread by more than 7 points. |
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10-26-19 | Penn State -4.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
Penn State vs Michigan State 3:30 PM EST, October 26, 2019 7-Star Bet is on the Penn State Nittany Lions This situational query has earned an 87-44 record good for 67% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play against home underdogs after allowing 37 or more points in their previous game and is facing a team that allowed seven or fewer points in the first half in two straight games. The Lions defense is projected to allow a maximum of 2.5 yards-per-rush, score 28 or more points, and/or will gain a minimum of 8 passing yards-per-attempt. PSU is a solid 25-0 SU and 18-7 ATS for 72% winning bets. Michigan State is 13-34 SU and 14-33 ATS for 30% when they have allowed a team to pass for a minimum of 8 yards-per-attempt. |
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10-19-19 | Tulane +3.5 v. Memphis | Top | 17-47 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
Tulane vs Memphis 7:00 PM EST, October 19, 2019 7-Star play on Tulane plus the points (+3.5) This situational betting system has earned a solid 31-9 ATS record good for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a matchup of teams that have outgained their opponent s by at least 100 yards-per-game on the season and after gaining a minimum of 475 yards in each of their last two games. In past road tilts in which Tulane gained over 200 rushing yards and scored 28 or more points they have earned a 10-1 SUATS record winning the games by an average of 14 points and covering the spread by a average of 18 points. |
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10-19-19 | Arizona State v. Utah -13.5 | Top | 3-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
No. 13 Utah vs No. 17 Arizona State 6:00 PM EST, October 19, 2019 7-Star Bet is on the Utah Utes minus the points (-14) This situational betting system has earned a 44-10 record for 82% winning bets since 2010. Play on favorites of 10 to 12 points after gaining a minimum of 7.3 yards-per-play in their last game and have an experienced quarterback and now facing a team with a starting freshman quarterback. Utah has one of the best defenses in the nation and the best in the PAC-12 having held four opponents to season lows in offensive production. ASU is coming off a last second upset win over Washington State last week, as freshman QB Jayden Daniels put together a 10-play drive in the final two minutes and scored on a 17-yard scramble for the winning TD. However, they are just 5-12 ATS off an upset win. From the machine learning summary Utah will score at least 28 points, hold ASU to less than 100 rushing yards, and/or will outgain ASU by at least 140 yards. The Utes are an outstanding 24-0 SU and 18-5 ATS covering by an average of 12.7 points. |
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10-19-19 | Oregon State v. California -11 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
OREGON STATE VS CALIFORNIA 2:30 PM EST, OCTOBER 19, 2019 7-STAR BET ON CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS This situational query has earned an outstanding 32-9 ATS record over the last 10 seasons for 78% winning bets. The query instructs us to bet against road underdogs fo 10.5 to 21 points in a game involving two teams that have posted yards-per-play differentials between -0.6 and 0.6 and after the road team was outgained by 125 or more total yards. The machine learning summary projects that the Cal will core a minimum of 28 points and force a minimum of three turnovers. In past home games in which they have achieved these measures they have gone on to post 20-7 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets and has covered the spread by an average eof 11.1 points. |
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10-19-19 | Auburn -19 v. Arkansas | Top | 51-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
Auburn vs Arkansas 12:00 PM EST, October 19, 2019 7-Star Bet is on Auburn minus the points (-19) This situational query has earned an incredible 61-24 ATS record good for 72% ATS winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play on road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after covering the spread in three of their last four games and has a winning record on the season and is playing a losing record team. Auburn is projected to score at least 28 points and gain between 470 and 520 total yards in this game. They are an outstanding 5-0 ATS covering the spread by 12.5 points in past road games where they met or exceeded these projections. |
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10-12-19 | Penn State -3 v. Iowa | Top | 17-12 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
NO. 10 PENN STATE VS NO. 17 IOWA 7:30 PM EST, Friday October 12, 2019 Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA The 10-Star Bet us on Penn State -4 Network: ABC WHO IS THE BETTER TEAM? I will not drag this on. Penn State is the vastly superior team on both sides of the line of scrimmage. By analogy searching for stocks in the capital markets that are flying under the radar of the public eye can offer attractive valuations and investment opportunities. The same can be said of making an investment on Penn State this week. The biggest concern prior to the start of the season was how were the Lions going to manage without hard-nosed Trace McSorely, who was the heart and soul of this team. The answer has been the remarkable play of Sean Clifford, who has passed for 1,443 yards on 67% passing (90-for-135), 12 touchdowns, and just two interceptions. Clifford Ranks fifth in the nation with an 11.8 adjusted passing yards per attempt (aPYPA) and is behind national leader Jalen Hurts of the Oklahoma Sooners (15.7 aPYPA), Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa (14.7 aPYPA), LSU’s Joe Burrow (13.4), Minnesota’s Tanner Morgan (12.4). The aPYPA is a formula that rewards touchdowns and penalizes interceptions by starting with total passing yards and adding total touchdowns multiplied by 20 and then subtracting total interceptions multiplied by 40. That sum is then divided by the total number of pass attempts. The metric reflects how efficient the quarterback is executing the offense instead of looking at only the ‘flash’ numbers. WHAT DOES THE MACHINE TELL US? Road favorites of -3 to -11 points that are allowing 12 or fewer points per game and have played three or more consecutive games where the UNDER won the money are an outstanding 15-4 ATS for 79% winning NCAA Football picks and have covered the spread by an average of 10.1 points. The Lions are projected to score at least 30 points and will gain a minimum of 8.5 passing yards per attempt. IN past Lions games where they met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone 40-3 SU winning the games by an average of 27 points and 34-8 ATS for 81% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 12.2 points. |
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10-12-19 | Cincinnati -7 v. Houston | Top | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show |
Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars 3:30 PM EST, Saturday, October 12, 2019 7-Star Bet is on Cincinnati minus the points. The machine learning summary projects that Cincinnati will score 28 or more points, pass for a minimum of 8.0 yards-per-attempts, and will gain at least 6 yards-per-play. In past road games where Cincinnati has scored 28 or more points and passed for an average of at least 8.0 YPPA they have earned an outstanding 15-5 SU record and 18-1-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 15 points. This situational query has earned a solid 155-91-2 ATS record for 63% winning bets since 2012 and Has not had a single losing season. Play on road favorites that are facing a host with a terrible defense allowing at least 31 points per game and with the host having played the last two previous games that had 60 or more total points scored in each. |
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10-12-19 | Washington State +1.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 34-38 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
Washington State vs No. 18 Arizona State 3:30 PM EST, Friday, October 12, 2019 7-Star Bet is on WSU Cougars This situational betting system has earned an 83-30-1 ATS record for 74% winning NCAAF bets since 1990 and has not had a single losing season. Play on road team that is coming off a blowout loss of at least 21 points to a conference foe and has a winning record with a win percentage between 51 and 60% on the season. And when the line is between -4 and +4 the results improve to an eye-opening 25-7-1 ATS for 78% winning bets and covering by an average of 7.1 points. From the machine learning predictive summary WSU is projected to score at least 28 points and average a minimum of 6.5 yards per play. When WSU has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 32-5 SU record winning the games by an average of 22.6 points and 29-8 ATS for 78% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 11.1 points. |
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10-12-19 | New Mexico State v. Central Michigan -10 | Top | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
Central Michigan vs New Mexico State 3:00 PM EST, Saturday, October 12, 2019 10-Star Bet is on CMU minus the points The machine learning summary projects that CMU will score 28 or more points and will outgain NMEXST by 1.0 to 1.5 yards-per-play (YPP). In past games in which CMU has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 8-1 SUATS record covering the spread by an average of 11.5 points. When NMEXST has allowed their opponent to meet or exceed these projections, they have been a college-fund draining 1-13 SU and 4-10 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average 8.7 points. This situational query has earned an incredible 33-11 ATS record good for 75% ATS winning bets over the last 25 seasons. Play on home favorites that are off an upset home win of 14 or more points in weeks 5 through 9 of the regular season. |
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10-05-19 | Georgia -24.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 43-14 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Georgia Vs Tennessee 7:00 PM EST, October 5, 2019 10-Star bet on Georgia minus the points The machine learning summary projects that Georgia will score 28 or more points, will gain a minimum of nine passing yards per attempt, and will hold Tennessee to fewer than 250 total yards and/or Georgia will have fewer turnovers than Tennessee. In past games where Georgia scored 28 or more points, gained 9 or more [assing yards per attempt, and had fewer turnovers than their opponent they have earned a 24-5 ATS for 83% winning bets and has covered the spread by an average of 12.5 points. This situational query has earned an outstanding 99-51 ATS record good for 66% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The query instructs us to play on a road team after allowing 17 or fewer points in two straight games and is facing an opponent after a loss of 17 or more points. |
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10-05-19 | Arkansas State v. Georgia State +7 | Top | 38-52 | Win | 100 | 2 h 0 m | Show |
Arkansas State vs Georgia State 3:30 PM EST, Saturday, October 5, 2019 7-Star Bet is on Georgia plus the points This situational query has earned an incredible 30-5 ATS record good for 86% ATS winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 31 or more points in three consecutive games and facing an opponent that is coming off a game where they allowed 42 or more points. |
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10-05-19 | Purdue v. Penn State -28 | Top | 7-35 | Push | 0 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Purdue vs Penn State The machine learning summary projects that Penn State will score 28 or more points, pass for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-attempts, and will gain at least 6.1 yards-per-play. In past home games where PSU has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 21-1 SU record and 18-4 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11.1 points. This situational query has earned a 64-27 ATS record good for 70% ATS winning bets over the last 25 seasons. Play on home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points that is a dominant team out scoring their opponents by an average of 17 or more PPG and after scoring 50 or more points in the previous games. |
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10-04-19 | Central Florida v. Cincinnati +4 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports No. 15 UCF vs Cincinnati Play on Cincinnati 8:00 PM EST, Friday, October 4, 2019 7-Star Bet is on the OVER This situational query has earned an incredible 32-6 ATS record good for 84.2% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play OVER the posted total between 56.5 and 63 points in a conference matchup involving two strong defensive teasm allowing between 15 and 21 points-per-game on the season. Cincinnati is projected to score at least 28 points and in past games when they have, they have earned a 94-36 ATS record. |
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09-28-19 | Arkansas State +7.5 v. Troy | Top | 50-43 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Arkansas State vs Troy The machine learning summary projects that Ark-State will score 28 or more points, pass for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-attempts, and will gain at least 6.1 yards-per-play. In past road games where Ark-State has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 13-2 SU record and 11-4 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9.1 points. When Troy has been in a home game and allowed the opponent to meet or exceed these projections, they have been a college-fund draining 2-20 SU and 8-14 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average 9.5 points. This situational query has earned an incredible 32-5 ATS record good for 87% ATS winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are solid offensive teams gaining between 5.6 to 6.2 yards-per-play (YPP), after gaining 6.75 or more YPP in their previous game and is now facing a team with an average defense allowing between 4.8 to 5.6 YPP. |
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09-28-19 | Wake Forest -4.5 v. Boston College | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Wake Forest vs Boston College 3:30 PM EST, Saturday, September 28, 2019 7-Star Bet is on Wake Forest minus the points The machine learning summary projects that Wake Forest will score 28 or more points and will outgain BC by at least 1.7 yards-per-play (YPP) and/or have over 500 yards in total offense. In past road games where Wake Forest has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 5-0 SU record and 5-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 28 points. When Boston College has been in a road game and allowed the opponent to meet or exceed these projections, they have been a college-fund draining 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average 12.5 points. |
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09-28-19 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin -24 | Top | 15-24 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Northwestern vs Wisconsin 12:00 PM EST, Saturday, September 28, 2019 7-Star Bet is on Wisconsin minus the points The machine learning summary projects that Wisconsin will score 28 or more points and will outgain Northwestern by at least 2.0 yards-per-play (YPP). In past home games where Wisconsin has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 40-0 SU record and 27-13 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11.8 points. When Northwestern has been in a road game and allowed the opponent to meet or exceed these projections, they have been a college-fund draining 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average 18.7 points. This situational query has earned an incredible 22-3 ATS record good for 88% ATS winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play on any team that has won three consecutive games by 21 or more points in each one and is facing an opponent coming off a loss of 17 or more points in their previous game. |
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09-27-19 | Penn State -6.5 v. Maryland | Top | 59-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports No. 12 Penn State vs Maryland 8:00 PM EST, Friday, September 27, 2019 Maryland Stadium, College Park, MD The Bet is on Penn State minus the points The machine learning summary projects that PSU will score 28 or more points, pass for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-attempts, and will gain at least 6.1 yards-per-play. In past road games where PSU has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 8-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 16.4 points. When Maryland has been in a home game and allowed the opponent to meet or exceed these projections, they have been a college-fund draining 1-7 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average 14.3 points. |
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09-21-19 | Notre Dame v. Georgia -14.5 | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
10-STAR WAGER ON GEORGIA AS THEY HOIST NOTRE DAME SET TO START AT 8:00 PM EST The machine learning summary projects that Georgia will score at least 31 points and will gain a minimum of 6.0 yards-per-rush. In past home Georgia games where they met or exceeded these projections they have earned an outstanding 16-6 ATS mark and covered the spread by an average of 8.8 points. This situational betting system has earned a 59-20 record for 75% winning bets since 1990. The query instructs us to play on home favorites that are excellent offensive teams averaging 440 or more total yards of offense and after two consecutive games where they gained 7.25 or more yards-per-play and are now facing an opponent that has an average defense allowing between 330 to 390 yards-per-game on the season. This situational query has earned a 32-9 ATS record for 78% winning bets since 1990. The query instructs us to play on home favorites between 10.5 and 21 points that are outrushing their opponents by more than 100 yards-per-game and after gaining six or more rushing yards per attempt in two consecutive games. |
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09-21-19 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -6.5 | Top | 30-36 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
7-STAR ON THE TEXAS LONGHORNS (376) AS THEY TAKE ON THE OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS IN BIG-12 CONFERENCE ACTION SET TO START AT 7:30 PM EST. The machine learning summary projects that the Longhorns will gain at least 150 rushing yards, score at least 28 points, and gain at least 500 total offensive yards. In past games where the Longhorns have scored a minimum of 28 points and rushed for a minimum of 150 rushing yards, and gained a minimum fo 500 total yards, they have gone on to earn a 23-2 SU record for 92% wins and 19-5-1 ATS for 79% winning bets and have covered the spread by an average of 7.4 points. The Cowboys are 9-16 ATS for 36% wins in road games where they allowed 150 or more rushing yards and allowed at least 28 points. Texas head coach Herman is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS when facing an outstanding rushing team averaging a minimum of 5.25 yards-per-rushing attempt. This situational query has earned a solid 25-4 ATS for 86% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. The query instructs us to play on home favorites after two consecutive games where they gained 450 or more total offensive yards and is game where both teams have five or fewer returning defensive starters. This query has covered the spread by an average of 8.5 points. |
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09-21-19 | LSU -23.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 66-38 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
7-STAR WAGER ON THE LSU TIGERS (363) AS THEY TAKE TO THE ROAD TO PLAY VANDERBILT SET TO START AT 12:00 PM EST. This situational query has earned an outstanding 31-8 ATS record over the last five seasons for 80% winning bets. The query instructs us to play against home underdogs of 14.5 or more points after allowing 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. This query has earned a 12-1 ATS record this season thorugh three weeks. This query has earned a 19-2 ATS record over the last three seasons. The machine learning summary projects that LSU will score at least 35 points and will average 10 or more yards per pass attempt. IN past games where the Tigers have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a perfect 6-0 ATS record covering the spread by an average of 10.3 points. When Vandy has allowed these performance measures to a visitor they are 0-2 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 19 points. When Vandy has allowed a minimum of 9 yards-per-pass attempt and allowed 28 points to a visitor they are 1-9 ATS failing to cover the already by 10.8 points. |
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09-14-19 | Alabama v. South Carolina +26 | Top | 47-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
7-STAR WAGER ON SOUTH CAROLINA AS THEY TAKE ON ALABAMA IN SEC ACTION SET TO START AT 3:30 PM EST. The machine learning summary projects that the Gamecocks will score 28 or more points, will gain at least 7.5 yards per pass attempt, and will gain an average of at least 6 yards per play overall. This is not good news for the Crimson as they are 13-43 ATS when they have allowed 28 or more points, and 2-9-1 ATS when they have allowed 28 or more points and 6.0 or more yards-per-play. They are just 8-25 ATS when they and their opponent both score 28 or more points. The Gamecocks are a solid 83-39-4 ATS when they have scored 28 or more points since 1992. |
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09-14-19 | Ohio State v. Indiana +18.5 | Top | 51-10 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
10-STAR ON THE INDIANA HOOSIERS AS THEY TAKE ON THE (7) OHIO STATE BUCKEYES IN BIG TEN ACTION SET TO START AT 12:00 PM EST. The machine learning summary projects that the Hoosiers will have 25 or more rushing yards and will not be outgaied by more than 100 yards. Conference home dogs of 11 or more points that have met or exceeded these projectins have earned a 30-85 SU record for 26% outright wins and are 81-32-2 ATS for 72% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 9.5 points. This situational query has earned a solid 26-6 record for 81% winning bets over the last 27 seasons. The query requirements to identify an active opportunity is to against road favorites that are excellent rushing teams gaining at least 230 rushing yards per game and are facing an excellent rushing defense allowing 100 or fewer rushing yards per game and after the false favorite is coming off two consecutive games outrushing their opponents by at least 125 rushing yards. If the road traveler is favored by 7.5 or more points they have covered in five of 12 games for 29%. |
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09-07-19 | Vanderbilt +7.5 v. Purdue | Top | 24-42 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
7-STAR ON VANDERBILT (313) AS THEY TAKE ON THE PURDUE BOILMAKERS IN WEEK-2 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 12:00 PM EST. From the Machine Learning summary, the Vanderbilt Commodores are projected to score between 28 and 35 points, will gain at least 200 rushing yards and average at least 5.7 yards-rush OR gain a minimum of 500 total offensive yards. Vanderbilt is 26-6 ATS for 81% winning bets an covering the spread by an average of 11 points when they score 28 or more points and gain 200 or more rushing yards since 2006; 12-1 SU for 92% and winning these games by an average of 24 points when they gain 500 or more total offensive yards and scores 28 or more points; 13-5 ATS when gaining an average of 5.7 or more rushing yards and scoring 28 or more points. This situational query has earned a 63-28 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The query instructs us to play on a road team that had a weak defense allowing an average of 400 or more yards per game, with just five returning starters on defense, and in the first two weeks of the season. |
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09-07-19 | West Virginia v. Missouri -13.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
7-STAR WAGER ON THE MISSOURI TIGERS (320) AS THEY TAKE ON THE WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS IN NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 12:00 PM EST. The Machine learning summary projects that the Tigers will gain at least 9 yards-per-pass attempt, and will score at least 28 points. In past games where the Tigers have achieved or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 31-4 SU record for 89% winning the games by an average of 27 points and a 25-9 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 12 points. In games where the Tgers scored 35 or more points (85% probability for this game) and passed for 9 or more yards per pass attempt they have earned an outstanding 26-1 SU record and a 21-5 ATS record for 81% winning bets that covered by an average of 17 points. |
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09-07-19 | Army v. Michigan -22 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
7-STAR WAGER ON THE MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (312) AS THEY OST ARMY IN NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 12:00 PM EST. The machine learning summary projects that the Wolverines will outgain Army by at least 2 yards-per-Play and will score 31 or more points. Wolverines are 131-4 SU for 97% and 96-37-1 ATS when they score 31 or more points in a home game; when installed as a home favorite of 20 to 28 points and scoring 31 or more points they are 30-0 SU and 23-6-1 ATS for 79% winning bets that covered by an average of 7 points; 36-0 SU and 27-9 ATS covering by an average of 9.4 points when scoring 31 or more points and outgaining their opponent by at least 2 yards-per-play. |
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09-06-19 | Wake Forest -19 v. Rice | Top | 41-21 | Win | 100 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
7-STAR WAGER ON THE WAKE FOREST DEAMON DEACONS AS THEY TAKE ON THE RICE OWLS IN NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 8:00 PM EST, FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 6, 2019. This situational run line query has earned a a solid 56-24 ATS record for 70% wins over the past 5 seasons and instructs us to play on road teasm after allowing 7.25 or more yards-per-play in their previous game and has a returning starting quarterback and is now facing an opponent that has a new and inexperienced quarterback. The Machine learning summary projects that Wake Forest will gain at least 7.5 yards-per-pass attempt, and will score at least 27 points. In past games where Wake Forest has achieved or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 10-1 SUATS winning the games by an average of 17.5 points and covering the spread by an average of 20.0 points. |
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09-01-19 | Houston v. Oklahoma -23 | Top | 31-49 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
10-STAR ON THE OKLAHOMA SOONERS (216) AS THEY TAKE ON HOUSTON IN WEEK-1 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 7:30 PM EST. From the Machine Learning summary the Sooners are projected to gain, will score 41 or more points, will outgain Houston by 150 to 225 offensive yards or will gain 500 or more total offensive yards, and will average 10 or more yards per pass attempt. The Sooners are 8-3 ATS for 73% winning bets when they outgain their opponent by 150 to 200 yards in total offense and score 41 or more points; 7-2 ATS for 78% winning bets when scoring between 35 and 49 points and outgaining their opponent by 150 to 200 total yards; 31-11 ATS for 74% winning bets when they have gained a minimum of 10 passing yards-per-attempt and scored 41 or more points; 40-5 ATS for 89% winning bets when they have outgained their opponent by a minimum of 3.5 yards-per-Play. Houston is 0-9 ATS when allowing an opponent to outgain them by a minimum of 3.5 yards-per-play and allowing 41 or more points. |
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08-31-19 | Oregon +4 v. Auburn | Top | 21-27 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
7-STAR ON NO.-16 AUBURN (208) AS THEY TAKE ON NO.-11 OREGON IN WEEK-1 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 7:30 PM EST. From the Machine Learning summary the Tigers are projected to gain, will score 28 or more points, will gain a minimum of 450 total offense yards or will outgain Oregon by 100 to 150 offensive yards, in this game. The Tigers are 215-11 SU for 95% wins and winning the game by an average of 23 points and 149-56-4 ATS for 73% winning bets covering the spread by an average of 7.30 points when scoring 28 or more points since 1980 and 20-0 SU winning by 33.3 points and 15-4-1 ATS for 78% winning bets covering by an average of 12.8 points since 2016. The Ducks are 6-18 SU losing the games by an average of 10.3 point and 3-20-1 ATS for 13% failing to cover the spread by an average of 11.2 points when allowing 28 or more points in games played since 2016. When the Ducks defense has allowed 28 points and 450+ total yards they have gone 2-11 SUATS losing the games by an average of 16.7 points and failing to cover the spread by an average of 14.1 points since 2016. The Tigers are 16-0 winning by an average of 35 points and 13-3 ATS for 81.3% winning bets when they have scored 28 or more points and gained 450 or more total yards in games played since 2016. This situational query has earned a 25-15 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 2007. The query instructs us to play on favorites of at least 3.5 points and a total of at least 55 points in a game between two teams ranked between 10th and 20th in the AP-top-25 poll. |
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08-31-19 | Duke +33.5 v. Alabama | Top | 3-42 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
7-STAR WAGER ON DUKE (183) AS THEY TAKE ON NO.2 RANKED ALABAMA IN WEEK-1 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 3:30 PM EST. The machine learning summary projects that Duke will pass for a minimum of 250 passing yards and will be outgained by 200 or fewer yards in this matchup against the Tide. So, large dogs of 28 or more points that are able to gain 250 or more passing yards and not be outgained by the superior opponent by more than 200 yards are 8-125 SU, but 109-24 ATS covering the spread by an average of 13 points in these games and are 4-30 SU, but 28-6 ATS for 82.4% wins covering by an average of 14 points since the 2016 season. |
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08-30-19 | Wisconsin -10 v. South Florida | Top | 49-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
7-STAR ON WISCONSIN (149) AS THEY TAKE ON THE SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS IN WEEK-1 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 7:00 PM EST. From the Machine Learning summary the Wisconsin Badgers are projected to gain at least 300 rushing yards and/or will gain at least 6.0 rushing yards-per-attempt, and will score 28 or more points in this game. Wisconsin is 28-7 ATS for 80% winning bets and covering the number by an average of 13.5 points when they have rushed for 300 or more yards in a game since 2006. The Badgers are 34-13 ATS for 72.3% winning bets when they have gained an average of at least 6.0 yards-per-carry in games played since 2006. When they have scored a minimum of 28 points the Badgers are 68-33 ATS for 67.3% covering by an average of 8 points in games played since 2006. When the Badgers have scored 28 or more points and have gained a minimum of 6.0 YPR they have earned a remarkable 41-1 SU record winning the games by an average of 30.4 points and 33-9 ATS for 79% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 10.6 points in games played since 2006. This situational query has earned a 26-6 ATS record for 81% winning bets and has made the Dime Player a profit of $19,400 over the last 10 seasons. The query instructs us to play on a road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that were an excellent rushing team averaging at least 5.25 yards-per rush last season. |
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08-29-19 | Georgia Tech +37 v. Clemson | Top | 14-52 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
10-STAR ON GEORGIA TECH (135) AS THEY TAKE ON THE REIGNING NATIONAL CHAMPIONS CLEMSON TIGERS IN WEEK-1 ACTION SET TO START AT 8:00 PM EST. From the Machine Learning summary G-Tech is projected to gain an average of at least 6.5 passing yards per attempt and will win the turnover battle or commit just one turnover in this game. So, in past games where any team has achieved or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 79-13 ATS record for 86% wins since 2006 and 25-5 ATS mark for 83.3% ATS wins since the start of the of the 2016 season when installed as 24 or more point underdos. This situational query has earned a 25-3 ATS record for 89% winning bets and has made the Dime Player a profit of $21,700 over the last 10 seasons. The query instructs us to play on a road team in the first four weeks of the season that played in a bowl game and lost their last two games of the previous season and is returning five or fewer starters on offense including an inexperienced quarterback. |
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08-24-19 | Arizona -10.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 33 m | Show |
7-STAR ON THE ARIZONA WILDCATS (293) AS THEY TAKE ON THE HAWAII WARRIORS IN NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 10:30 PM EST, SATURDAY AUGUST 24. The machine learning summary calls for the Wildcats to gain a minimum of 220 rushing yards, minimum of 280 passing yards, and will gain at least 7.0 yards-per-play and outgain the Warriors by at least 1.25 yards-per-play. IN oast games where Arizona gained 7.0 or more yards per play they have earned a 34-5 straight-up (SU) record and 25-12-2 against the spread (ATS) mark good for 68% winners. Slicing the data a bit deeper shows that Arizona is 10-3-1 ATS for 77% wins when gaining 6.5 or more yards per play and installed as a favorite between 10 and 27 points. Hawaii is 5-20 ATS for 20% when getting outgained by 1.0 to 1.5 yards-per-play. Arizona is 9-1 ATS when they have gained 6.5 or more yards per play over the last three seasons. This situational query has earned a 23-4 ATS record for 85% wins over the last 25 seasons. The query instructs us to play on road favorites installed as 10.5 to 21-point favorites that had a solid offensive gaining at least 5.8 yards-per-play and with seven or more defensive starters returning from last season. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup Clemson (151) CLEMSON (14 - 0) vs. ALABAMA (14 - 0) Week 17 Monday, 1/7/2019 8:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Clemson Tigers, who are currently installed as 5.5-point dogs for this NCAA Championship game. SIM Projections and Results By many measures, these two teams are significantly better than any other teams in the nation. My ‘power ratings’ are calculated using machine learning techniques and are far more dynamic and predictive than traditional forms you may see on other wen sites. These rating have Alabama installed as a 2.5 point favorite against Clemson. To show how these two teams have separated themselves from everyone else, Alabama would be favored by 9 over Georgia, by 13 over Ohio State, by 17 over Mississippi State, 18 over Notre Dame, and 20 over Penn State. Clemson would be favored by 6 over Georgia, 11 over Michigan, 12 over Ohio State, and 17 over Penn State. Weather could be an issue, but presently it looks like an precip will be minimal if at all and winds will be gentle and temps a bit on the cool side at 55 degrees for the fans, but football players will not notice the weather. Clemson is the top rushing and rush defending team in the country. They gain 6.7 YPR and allow just 2.9 YPR. Further, they rank 4th in points-per-play with a 0.596 ratio and allow just 0.186 points-per-play, which ranks best in the nation. Alabama is fantastic in their own right allowing 3.3 YPR good for 10th best and gain 5.2 YPR good for 21st. Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This DB Query has returned a 35-10 ATS mark good for 78% over the last five seasons. Play on neutral field underdogs outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards-per-game on the season. If the game is occurring after Week 11, which gathers up all bowl games and playoff games, the record is 25-12 ATS and has covered the spread by an average of 7 points. Yards per point margin is a great metric that reveals the efficiencies of any teams’ offense and defense together. The higher the ratio the stronger the team is on BOTH sides of the ball. Clemson comes in best with a 9.1 ratio and Alabama second at 8.2, then it drops to App State at 6.6 and Auburn at 5.1 and Notre Dame at 5.0. So, a fairly significant advantage for Clemson in this matchup against Alabama. Clemson's Trevor Lawrence would be the first starting freshman quarterback since Oklahoma's Jamelle Holieway in 1985 to lead his team to a national championship. Lawrence took over as the starter four games into the season and has thrown for 2,933 yards, 27 touchdowns and four interceptions. Fundamentally, it stands to reason that Clemson will have their freshman QB executing medium length pass plays ( 3 step drop and ball is out in less than 2 seconds) initially to stave off the Alabama pass rush. Even more important, is for him to resist to the temptation to leave the pocket. With Alabama LB Christian Miller not anywhere close to 100% due to a hamstring, the middle of the field (between the hashes) will be the open for Lawrence to pick apart. There is so much more I could write about this exciting matchup on both sides of the ball, but due to time, its’ not possible. Be sure to get on Twitter and follow my analytics, especially at half time where I will release betting opportunities based on the box scores of the first half. @JohnRyanSports1 Thank you for a great season - my 23rd – on the net and looking forward to a very profitable NFL post season and then March Madness. |
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01-01-19 | Kentucky v. Penn State -6.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup
Penn State (272) KENTUCKY (9 - 3) vs. PENN ST (9 - 3)Week 16 Tuesday, 1/1/2019 1:00 PMCITRUS BOWL - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL SIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the PSU Nittany Lions, who are currently priced as 6.5-point favorites. Also, a 5-Star play on the OVER. Consider making an “Action Reverse” Parlay using the Lions and the OVER, which will pay 4:1 and is a much better risk/reward opportunity than the tradityion 13:5 two-team parlay. SIM Projections and ResultsPSU is projected to score a minimum of 28 points, gain between 475 and 525 yards and or gain a minimum of 7.8 yards per play. PSU is 12-0 SU winning the game by an average of 25.5 points and 11-1 ATS for 92% and covering the spread by an average of 14.8 points when they score 28 or more points and gain between 475 and 525 yards. When Kentucky as allowed these measures, the OVER is 16-3 for 84% and covering the total by an average of 12.7 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. Kentucky is a money burning 45-103-4 ATS for 30% and failing to cover the spread by 6.3 points when they allow 28 or more points since 1992; 4-15 ATS for 21% since 2015. |
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01-01-19 | LSU -7 v. Central Florida | Top | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup LSU (273) LSU (9 - 3) vs. UCF (12 - 0) Week 16 Tuesday, 1/1/2019 1:00 PM FIESTA BOWL - State Farm Stadium - Phoenix, AZ 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. SIM Projections and Results |
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01-01-19 | Iowa +7.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 21 h 23 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Iowa (269) IOWA (8 - 4) vs. MISSISSIPPI ST (8 - 4) Week 16 Tuesday, 1/1/2019 12:00 PM Outback Bowl - Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Hawkeyes, who are priced as 7-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results The Hawkeyes are projected to gain 350 to 400 total offensive yards. The Hawkeyes are 4-3 SU and 5-1 ATS for 83% when they have scored between 23 and 28 points and gained between 350 and 400 total yards. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has earned a 24-14 record for 63% averaging a +210 Dog wager since 2008. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. |
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12-31-18 | Missouri -8.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 33-38 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup
Missouri (263) MISSOURI (8 - 4) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (6 - 6)Week 16 Monday, 12/31/2018 3:45 PMLIBERTY BOWL - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TNSIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Tigers, who are currently priced as 9-point favorites. SIM Projections and ResultsMissouri is projected to score a minimum of 28 points, gain between 475 and 525 yards, and gain a minimum of 6.8 yards per play. The Tigers are 19-3 SU winning the game by an average of 16.7 points and 15-6-21 ATS covering the spread by an average of 7 points when they score 28 or more points and gain between 474 and 525 yards. When meeting or exceeding these performance measures and installed as a favorite of 3 to 13 points, they are a perfect 6-0 SUATS winning the game by an average of 23 points and covering the spread by an average of 15.9 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has earned a 36-14 record for 72% since 2014. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with an incredible offense averaging 450 or more total yards-per-game and after being outgained by previous opponent by 125 or more total yards. Here is a second supporting query that has earned a solid 49-24 SATS mark good for 67% since 2014. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games and now facing an opponent after having won 4 out of their last 5 games. |
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12-31-18 | Virginia Tech +7 v. Cincinnati | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Virginia Tech (253) VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 6) vs. CINCINNATI (10 - 2) Week 16 Monday, 12/31/2018 12:00 PM MILITARY BOWL - Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Hokies, who are priced as 6.5-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results The Hokies are projected to gain 150 rushing yards and 400 total offensive yards. Cincinnati is just 13-28-2 ATS when allowing these performance measures since 2008 and 5-12-1 ATS for 29% failing to cover the spread by an average of 6 points since 2015. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has earned a 24-14 record for 63% averaging a +210 Dog wager since 2008. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. |
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12-29-18 | Oklahoma +14 v. Alabama | Top | 34-45 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup
Oklahoma (253) OKLAHOMA (12 - 1) vs. ALABAMA (13 - 0)Week 16 Saturday, 12/29/2018 4:00 PMORANGE BOWL - Hard Rock Stadium - Miami, FLSIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Oklahoma, who are priced as 14-point dogs. Also, consider playing an extra 2-Star amount on the money line, which is priced at a very juicy +600. SIM Projections and ResultsA bit of history here for you. It was January 2, 2014 and Oklahoma installed as a 16.5 point dog to Alabama and the Sooners won the game outright 45-31. It is a LOCK that the Sooner coaching staff brought up this epic Sooner win quite a bit over the last several weeks. The following precedents match the projections for this game. Oklahoma is 11-1 against the money line (+9.6 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 2 seasons; 25-7 against the money line (+13.5 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards; 11-2 against the money line (+8.6 Units) when they rush for 5.5 to 6 yards per attempt; 34-6 against the money line (+23.9 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt; 22-3 against the money line (+21.3 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points; 23-2 against the money line (+22.1 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards; 11-1 against the money line (+10.0 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 total yards per play. |
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12-29-18 | Notre Dame v. Clemson -11.5 | Top | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Clemson (256) NOTRE DAME (12 - 0) vs. CLEMSON (13 - 0) Week 16 Saturday, 12/29/2018 4:00 PM GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Clemson Tigers, who are installed as 13-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Clemson is projected to contain the Irish passing attack to 6.3 or fewer yards per pass attempt and will gain over 200 rushing yards. When Clemson has been on the road or at a neutral field and has been able to meet or exceed these performance measures they are 12-1 SU winning the game by an average of 25 points and 10-3 ATS covering the spread by an average of 14.8 points. 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. When Clemson has scored a minimum of 24 points and has outrushed their opponent by more than 100 yards, they have earned a perfect 24-0 mark winning the game by an average of 24.8 points and 20-4 SATS for 83% and covering the spread by an average of 14.3 points. |
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12-29-18 | Florida +5.5 v. Michigan | Top | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Florida (249) Florida (9 - 3) vs. Michigan (10 - 2) Week 16 Saturday, 12/29/2018 12:00 PM PEACH BOWL - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Gators, who are installed as 6-point dogs. Also, consider the alternative wager consisting of a 5.5-Star play using the line and a 1.5-Star play using the Money Line, which is currently priced at +195. If you are wagering $100 per Star, the 1.5-Star Money line wager returns $292.50 ($150*1.95) should Florida win the game outright. SIM Projections and Results Florida is projected to contain the Michigan passing attack to 8 or fewer yards per pass attempt and will gain over 200 rushing yards. When Florida has been on the road or at a neutral field and has been able to meet or exceed these performance measures they are 18-2 SUATS winning the game by an average of 18.3 points and covering the spread by an average of 9.2 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 24-5 ATS mark for 83% since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a road loss against a conference rival and is a top-level team winning at least 80% of their games and playing a team having won 60% to 80% of their games. Here is the second DB system query that has produced a 22-12 record using the money line averaging a +213 DOG over the last 10 seasons. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. |
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12-28-18 | Syracuse -3 v. West Virginia | Top | 34-18 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the MatchupSyracuse (243) SYRACUSE (9 - 3) vs. W VIRGINIA (8 - 3)Week 16 Friday, 12/28/2018 5:15 PMCAMPING WORLD BOWL - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FLSIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Syracuse, who are priced as 2.5-point favorites. SIM Projections and ResultsSyracuse has had a fantastic season and they almost knocked off Clemson in Death Valley earlier this season. They put up one bad game, which was at Notre Dame scoring 3 points, but overall they averaged more than 40 points per game and were getting better as the season evolved. WVU is a team in disarray led by the unbelievable decision of their QB Will Grier to sit out this bowl game and not risk injury. That’s one way to become a disconnected team member and it certainly bring sto light the lack of coaching leadership. They lost their last two games tro Oklahoma State and then in an epoch game against Oklahoma at home 59-56. So, the SIM summary projections call for Syracuse to score at least 30 points and that their stout defense will force a minimum of 2 turnovers with the potential to force 4 or more. In past games when the Orange have scored 30 or more points and forced 2 turnovers exact they have earned a 16-2 SU mark winning by an average of 14.3 points and a 14-4 ATS mark covering the spread by an average of 12.6 points; when the opponent has turned it over by 3 turnovers, the Orange are then 8-2 ATS covering by an average of 9.1 points; when the TO have been 4, they are a perfect 6-0 ATS covering by an average eof 16.7. Overall, when they score 30 or more points and force an opponent into 2 or more turnovers, the Orange are 31-3 SU winning by an average of 17.7 points and 28-6 ATS covering by an average of 12.3 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 40-14 ATS mark since 1992. Play against any team with an excellent offensive team scoring at least 34 PPG after a loss by 3 or less points and is now facing an average defensive team allowing an average of 21 to 28 PPG and with the current game taking place after Week 6. Here is a second DB query that has recorded a 26-9 ATS mark for 74% winners since 2014. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a double digit road win and is a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. |
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12-28-18 | Auburn -3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 63-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Auburn (241) AUBURN (7 - 5) vs. PURDUE (6 - 6) Week 16 Friday, 12/28/2018 1:30 PM MUSIC CITY BOWL - Nissan Stadium - Nashville, TN SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Tigers, who are installed as 3.5-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Tigers to score 28 or more points, gain over 200 rushing yards and average at least 6.3 yards per play. When the Tigers have gained 200 or more RY and scored 28 or more points, they have had a near-perfect 61-1 SU mark winning the game by an average of 26 points and a 43-19 ATS mark good for 70% and covering the spread by an average of 7.7 points. When they have rushed for 250 yards and scored 28 or more points, they have gone 49-1 SU winning by 26 points and 35-12-1 ATS for 75% covering the spread by an average of 8 points. Purdue is just 3-28 SU losing by 22 points on average and 7-24 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 12 points when they have allowed 28 or more points and 250 or more rushing yards. When Auburn has been installed as a slight favorite between -1 and -4.5, scoring 28 and gaining at least 250 RY, they are a perfect 6-0 SUATS winning the game by an average of 13 points and covering the spread by an average of 10 points |
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12-27-18 | Vanderbilt -4 v. Baylor | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup
Vanderbilt (110) VANDERBILT (6 - 6) vs. BAYLOR (6 - 6)Thursday, 12/27/2018 9:00 PMTEXAS BOWL - NRG Stadium - Houston, TXSIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Vanderbilt, who are priced as 3.5-point favorites. SIM Projections and ResultsVanderbilt is projected to score a minimum of 28 points. When Vanderbilt has scored 28 or more points, they have earned an 13-4 ATS mark covering by an average of 8.7 points over the past three seasons and 81-28 ATS for 74% dating back to the start of the 1980 season. By contrast, Baylor is just 55-146-5 ATS for 27.4% failing to cover by an average of 8.7 points when allowing an opponent to score 28 or more points since 1980; 2-13 SU losing by an average of 16.5 points since last season. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 73-36 ATS mark since 2013. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games and now facing an opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. |
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12-27-18 | Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +2.5 | Top | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Wisconsin (238) MIAMI (7 - 5) vs. WISCONSIN (7 - 5) Week 16 Thursday, 12/27/2018 5:15 PM PINSTRIPE BOWL - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Badgers, who are installed as 2.5-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Badgers to gain over 250 rushing yards and average ay least 8 yards per pass play. When the Badgers have gained 250 or more RY and averaged more than 8 YPPA, they have had a perfect 31-0 SU mark winning the game by an average of 31.5 points and a 23-7 ATS mark good for 77% and covering the spread by an average of 11.2 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 34-10 ATS mark since 2014. Play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards-per-game on the season. |
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12-26-18 | TCU v. California -1 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup California Golden Bears (234) TCU (6 - 6) vs. CALIFORNIA (7 - 5) Week 16 Wednesday, 12/26/2018 9:00 PM CHEEZ-IT BOWL - Chase Field - Phoenix, AZ
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy SIM Projections and Results CAL Has earned a 28-1 SU and 25-3 ATS mark covering the spread by an average of 12 points when they have gained 50 or more RY than the opponent and averaged 8 or more yards-per-pass attempt. |
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12-26-18 | Minnesota +6 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Minnesota Gophers (231) MINNESOTA (6 - 6) vs. GEORGIA TECH (7 - 5) Week 16 Wednesday, 12/26/2018 5:15 PM QUICK LANE BOWL - Ford Field - Detroit, MI SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Gophers. who are installed as 6-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Gophers to gain over 200 rushing yards and average ay least 8 yards per pass play. When the Gophers have been installed as a dogs and then gained 200 or more RY and averaged more than 8 YPPA, they have had a perfect 5-0 SUATS mark winning the game by an Average of 12.6 points and covering the spread by 18.7 points. Our vast NCAAB and NBA databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 19-11 mark using the money line since 2009. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. This is essentially a Bowl Game with the exception of the Week 1 marquee matchups. |
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12-22-18 | Houston v. Army -6.5 | Top | 14-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup
Army (213) Houston (8 - 4) vs. Army (10 - 2) Week 16 Saturday, 12/22/2018 3:30 PM Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX. SIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Army, who are priced as 6-point favorites for this bowl game. SIM Projections and ResultsArmy has had a historic season winning 10 games and most of all defeating Navy in their last game. Army ranks first in time of possession (TOP) keeping the ball for an average of 39.15 minutes per game and Houston dead last of the 130 programs averaging just 24.80 minutes per game. Moreover, Houston ranks 128th with opponents averaging 48 rushing plays per game and 100th allowing 210 RYPG. Army ranks first averaging 65 rushes per game and second averaging 298.1 RYPG. Army is projected to gain 350 rushing yards on a minimum of 70 rushing plays. In past games where they have met this pair of standards they are 8-2 ATS covering by an average of 12.8 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 35-14 ATS mark since 2014. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with an elite offense averaging 450 or more total yards-per-game (YPG), after being outgained by their previous opponent by 125 or more total yards. |
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12-15-18 | North Texas v. Utah State -7 | Top | 13-52 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the MatchupUtah State (202) NORTH TEXAS (9 - 3) vs. UTAH ST (10 - 2) Week 16 Saturday, 12/15/2018 2:00 PM New Mexico Bowl - Dreamstyle Stadium - Albuquerque, NM SIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Utah State, who are priced as 7.5-point home favorites for this Bowl game matchup. SIM Projections and ResultsUtah State is projected to score at least 28 points and gain an average of 6 yards-per-play. In past games, when they have met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a solid 39-10-2 ATS mark for 80% and covering by an average of 10.9 points; 10-3 ATS for 77% covering by an average of 11.5 points since 2016; 5-0-1 ATS covering by 15.6 points this season. |
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12-08-18 | Navy v. Army -7.5 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup ARMY (104) NAVY (3 - 9) vs. ARMY (9 - 2) Week 15 Saturday, 12/8/2018 3:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Army, who are priced as 7-point favorites for this matchup. SIM Projections and Results Army is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when they gain 150 or less net passing yards over the last 2 seasons; 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) when they gain 10 or more net passing yards-per-attempt; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 100-150 yards Further, Army is a stout 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Here is a query result that has gone 57-8 for 88% using the money line and supports Army. Play against neutral field underdogs using the money line (NAVY) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread and when playing on a Saturday. We could do this query by identifying games in December and January since the large majority of neutral field venues are related to bowl and playoff games. |
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12-01-18 | Northwestern +15 v. Ohio State | Top | 24-45 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Northwestern (321) Northwestern (8 - 4) Vs. Ohio St (11 - 1) Week 14 Saturday, 12/1/2018 8:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Wildcats who are priced as 15-point neutral field dogs in this BIG-10 Championship game. SIM Projections and Results Playing on larger dogs in specific matchups has paid-off quite well over the years and the following DB query exhibits those results with a 37-88 record for JUST 30%, BUT has made 117.5 units or $11,750 per $100 wager averaging an incredible +555 dog wager. Play on underdogs of +315 or higher using the money line off 2 straight wins against conference rivals and is a solid team winning 60% to 80% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. In 2016, Ohio State went to Happy Valley installed as 18-point favorites in this situation and lost the game 24-21. In 2013, Texas was a 12.5-point dog facing the Sooners in the BIG-12 Championship and the Sooners lost 36-20. These are just 2 of many of these major upsets that have occurred 30% of the time under the DB query parameters and in 88% of these games, the betting consensus was largely betting the favorite and giving the DOG no chance to even cover the spread. This DB query has attained a 61-26 ATS record good for 70% playing on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games and has won 80% or more of their games and now facing a solid team winning 60% to 80% of their games. |
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12-01-18 | Texas +9 v. Oklahoma | Top | 27-39 | Loss | -114 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Texas (311) TEXAS (9 - 3) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 1) Week 14 Saturday, 12/1/2018 12:30 PM BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Texas, who are priced as an 8-point neutral field dog. Consider an optional alternative wager comprised of a 8-star play on the line and a 2-Star play using the money line to exploit the potential for SU upset win. The money line is currently at 300, which implies a 3:1 return for the 2-Star portion for a grand total of 6-Stars or $600 for a $200 wager. Plus, the 8-Star line wager would win too and combining for a grand profit of $1,600. If they cover, but fail to win, then the total profit is $800, which is quite attractive given the ceiling at $1600 is 60% better than just the single $1000 10-Star line play. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: The SIM projections show that Texas will gain an average of 7.3 to 8.7 yards per pass play and hold Oklahoma to less than 9.5 yards per pass play. Texas is 6-1 ATS for 85% covering by an average of 9.4 points when gaining 7.3 to 8.2 YPP since start of 2016 season. Sooners are 4-7 ATS when not gaining more than 9.5 YPP since start of 2016 season. Texas is expected to gain 170 to 235 rushing yards and in past games when they did accomplish this range of RY they are a perfect 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS covering by an average of 10.1 points. Both teams are projected to score 31 or more points. Sooners are just 5-10 ATS in this situation. Texas will have fewer turnovers and in games where noth teams score 31 or more and the Sooners lose the turnover margin, they are just 1-5 ATS failing to cover by an average of 12.6 points. Then, if the Sooners are favored by 4 or more points in this situation, their results have been an imperfect 0-10 ATS losing to the number by an average of 16.7 points since the start of the 2011 season. |
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11-30-18 | Utah v. Washington -5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Washington Huskies (306) UTAH (9 - 3) vs. WASHINGTON (9 - 3) Week 14 Friday, 11/30/2018 8:00 PM PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Levis Stadium - Santa Clara, CA SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Huskies who are priced as 5-point favorites in this PAC-12 Championship game. SIM Projections and Results In the 8-year PAC-12 Championship history, the participants have been prolific offenses and the results have been track meet types of games. This one features the tow best defenses in the PAC-12 and two of the best defenses in the nation. Washington leads the PAC-12 in scoring defense at 16.6 PPG and ranks 10th nationally. Utah ranks second-best in the PAC-12 allowing 19.3 PPG and ranks 18th nationally in scoring defense. So, this will be a game of field position that Washington will gain the upper hand by dominating both sides of the line of scrimmage. For the season, the Utes have averaged a conference-leading 205 RYPG, but over their last 4 games they have averaged 192 RY. Washington has improved their ground attack over the last 4-weeks averaging 200 RY as compared to a season average of 189 RY. More important is how the Washington defense has significantly improved down the stretch of the L4 games limiting opponents to just 97 RYPG while Utah has allowed 139 RY compared with a season average of 100 RYPG. In games where Washington has had 50 or more rushing yards than the opponent and had a lower (better) rank than the opponent and both teams were ranked, they are a perfect 3-0 ATS covering by an average of 18 points and winning the game outright by an average of 29 points. |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois +4 v. Buffalo | Top | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Northern Illinois (303) Northern Illinois (7 - 5) vs. Buffalo (10 - 2) Week 14 Friday, 11/30/2018 7:00 PM MAC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Ford Field - Detroit, MI SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Northern Illinois, who are priced as 3.5-point neutral field dog. Consider an optional alternative wager comprised of a 8-star play on the line and a 2-Star play using the money line to exploit the potential for SU upset win. The money line is currently at 150, which implies a 3:2return for the 2-Star portion for a grand total of 3-Stars or $300 for a $200 wager. Plus, the 8-Star line wager would win too and combining for a grand profit of $1,200. If they cover, but fails to win, then the total profit is $800, which is quite attractive given the ceiling at $1200 is 20% better than just the single $1000 10-Star line play. Not steering your thoughts in this combination direction as a straight 10-Star wager using the line is a smart play as well. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: The SIM projections show that Northern Illinois will have less than 150 net passing yards. This reflects their success running the ball and the lack of need to throw the ball to the move the chains or to mount a comeback from a 2 or more scoring deficit. Buffalo is just 6-15 SU for 29% winners when allowing an opponent 150 or less net passing yards. NI is a solid 8-3 SU when gaining 150 or fewer net passing yards over the L2 seasons. Interesting too is the fact that Buffalo is 0-10 SU and just 3-7 ATS losing to the number by an average of 8.2 points when facing NI. NI is 40-19 against the money line (+21.2 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. |
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11-24-18 | Auburn +25.5 v. Alabama | Top | 21-52 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report Auburn (7 - 4) at Alabama (11 - 0) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 3:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy SIM Projections and Results Here is a strong database situational query that has produced a 24-5 ATS result for 83% winners since 2008. Play on road underdogs (AUBURN) after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins. A second query under scores the strength of this play even more producing a 25-3 ATS mark good for 89% winners since 2008. Play on a road team after game 7 that is an average defensive team allowing between 330 to 390 YPG and after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game And is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 280 to 330 YPG. |
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11-24-18 | Michigan v. Ohio State +5 | Top | 39-62 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Ohio State (105) Michigan (10 - 1) at Ohio St (10 - 1) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Buckeyes, who are priced as 5-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 5-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +190. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Buckeyes pull off the upset returns ($380). If they fail to win, but cover, the return is still a healthy 5-Star amount. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Michigan is 22-61 ATS (-45.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they allow 7.5 to 8 net passing yards-per-attempt; 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 50 or fewer yards. OSU is a solid 142-54 ATS (+82.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points. OSU is 34-0 SU and 23-9-2 ATS, and 21-12 ‘OVER’ in home games scoring 28 ro more points and passing for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-attempt. Not since October 29, 2011 has OSU been installed as a home dog. On they date, they played Wisconsin installed as 7.5-point home dogs and won the game 33-29. Dating back to 1980, our DB shows that OSU has been a home dog on 16 occasions and have gone 7-8-1 SU and 10-5-1 ATS. The last time Michigan came to Columbus as a favorite was November 20, 2004 and they were throttled 37-21. Interesting that the line for this game showed Michigan priced as a 5-point favorite just as they are for today’s game. The following database query has produced a 37-12 ATS mark good for 76% over the past 5 seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO ST) in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 100 or more YPG and after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. This DB query is based on the money line and is remarkable in its’ own right sporting a 28-19 SU record and making 42.6 stars per Star unit wager since 1992. Play on home underdogs using the money line (OHIO ST) in a game involving two explosive offensive teams scoring 34 or more PPG and after scoring 42 points or more last game. |
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11-24-18 | Florida v. Florida State +7.5 | Top | 41-14 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Florida State (200) Florida (8 - 3) at Florida St (5 - 6) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Seminoles, who are priced as 7-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 5-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +240. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Seminoles pull off the upset returns ($480). If they fail to win, but cover, the return is still a healthy 5-Star amount. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Seminoles to score a minimum 24 points and gain at least 8.5 passing yards per attempt. In FSU home games where they have attained these performance measures, they have produced a 30-3 SU record and 22-11-1 ATS mark; since the start of the 2013 season, they are 17-2 SU and 13-5-1 ATS for 72% covering by 6.3 PPG. This database situation query that has produced a 25-6 ATS record good for 81% winners since the start of the 1992 season. Play against road favorites (FLORIDA) that are solid offensive teams gaining between 5.6 to 6.2 YPP after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games and are now facing an average defense allowing between 4.8 to 5.6 YPP and after 7 or more games. |
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11-24-18 | Syracuse v. Boston College -6.5 | Top | 42-21 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report Boston College (160) Syracuse (8 - 3) At Boston College (7 - 4) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy SIM Projections and Results Syracuse is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons; 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games when they allow 29 to 35 points since 1992; 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards since 1992; 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points; 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) when they gain 4.5 to 5 total yards per play. BC is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 40-14 ATS (+24.6 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points. The following database system query has produced a solid 35-13 ATS mark good for 73% winners over the past five seasons. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SYRACUSE) with an elite offense averaging 450 or more total yards-per-game and after being outgained by the previous opponent by 125 or more total yards. |
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11-23-18 | Central Florida v. South Florida +15 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup The South Florida Bulls (105) UCF (10 - 0) at South Florida (7 - 4) Week 13 Friday, 11/23/2018 4:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Bulls, who are priced as 14.5-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 8-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +500. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Bulls pull off the upset returns 10-Stars ($1,000). SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Both teams are projected to score 28 or more points. Home dogs of 10 to 17.5 points scoring 28 or more points and their guests matching that output have produced a 240-83-10 ATS mark good for 74% covering by an average of 6.3 points. Drilling the data set a bit further to include conference games returns a 198-61-8 ATS record good for 76.4% covering by an average of 6.7 points. Finally, if the visitor ranks in the Top-10, the home dog takes real meaning with a 25-4-1 SATS record and 86% covering by an average of 8.7 points. The following database query has produced a 31-10 ATS mark good for 76% since 1992. Play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UCF) off 3 straight wins against conference rivals and is a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and now playing a good team with a 60 to 80 win percentage. |
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11-17-18 | Ohio State v. Maryland +14.5 | Top | 52-51 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report Ohio St (9 - 1) at Maryland (5 - 5) Week 12 Saturday, 11/17/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy SIM Projections and Results |