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John Ryan PGA Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
06-19-25 Xander Schauffele v. Collin Morikawa -122 Top 0-1 Win 100 6 h 48 m Show

No way Morikawamwill put as bad as he did at the US Open on the these small greens which average nearly 40% smaller than Oakmont

06-19-25 Ryan Fox v. Harris English -130 Top 69-67 Win 100 3 h 57 m Show

English straight, strategic, and can putt

06-19-25 Scottie Scheffler v. Rory McIlroy +235 Top 0-0 Push 0 3 h 49 m Show

anytime you can get a world #2 ranked player taking on anyone else, even Scheffler, it is a tremendous value play.

01-30-25 Sam Burns -120 v. Shane Lowry 68-66 Loss -120 5 h 6 m Show

Pebble Beach Pro-Am 

Maverick McNealy –120 over Sepp Straka 

Maverick McNealy –120 over Tom Kim 

Sam Burns -120 vs Shane Lowry 

Corey Conners –105 over Taylor Pendrith 

Robert Macintyre –140 over Akshay Bathia 

The keys to scoring well at Pebble Beach and Spy Glass is not predicated on long driving or accuracy. Overall, shots-gained total is important and the courses measure and test a player’s skills in uncountable situations. Putting on Poa Annua greens is critical and they will be on the slower side. Par 3 scoring is critical too as three of the four par-3s at Pebble Beach historically play at par or over par.The 7th plays at an average of 111 yards and averages 0.02 strokes under par, so par is a good score.  

Based on my model projections, Sheffler has the best course fit. Obviously, he is the World #1 and most courses are a great fit, but the market has significantly overvalued him for this event.  

Rasmus Hojgaard at +7000 is my long shot to win.  

Maverick McNealy is another value bet priced at +5000 to win. 

Playing both golfers instead to finish Top-20 is a much safer wager, but placing even a 0.25 unit bet on to win the event is not going to cause a sleepless night. 

01-30-25 Akshay Bhatia v. Robert Macintyre -133 1-0 Loss -133 4 h 27 m Show

Pebble Beach Pro-Am 

Maverick McNealy –120 over Sepp Straka 

Maverick McNealy –120 over Tom Kim 

Sam Burns -120 vs Shane Lowry 

Corey Conners –105 over Taylor Pendrith 

Robert Macintyre –140 over Akshay Bathia 

The keys to scoring well at Pebble Beach and Spy Glass is not predicated on long driving or accuracy. Overall, shots-gained total is important and the courses measure and test a player’s skills in uncountable situations. Putting on Poa Annua greens is critical and they will be on the slower side. Par 3 scoring is critical too as three of the four par-3s at Pebble Beach historically play at par or over par.The 7th plays at an average of 111 yards and averages 0.02 strokes under par, so par is a good score.  

Based on my model projections, Sheffler has the best course fit. Obviously, he is the World #1 and most courses are a great fit, but the market has significantly overvalued him for this event.  

Rasmus Hojgaard at +7000 is my long shot to win.  

Maverick McNealy is another value bet priced at +5000 to win. 

Playing both golfers instead to finish Top-20 is a much safer wager, but placing even a 0.25 unit bet on to win the event is not going to cause a sleepless night. 

01-30-25 Corey Conners +100 v. Taylor Pendrith 70-67 Loss -100 4 h 14 m Show

Pebble Beach Pro-Am 

Maverick McNealy –120 over Sepp Straka 

Maverick McNealy –120 over Tom Kim 

Sam Burns -120 vs Shane Lowry 

Corey Conners –105 over Taylor Pendrith 

Robert Macintyre –140 over Akshay Bathia 

The keys to scoring well at Pebble Beach and Spy Glass is not predicated on long driving or accuracy. Overall, shots-gained total is important and the courses measure and test a player’s skills in uncountable situations. Putting on Poa Annua greens is critical and they will be on the slower side. Par 3 scoring is critical too as three of the four par-3s at Pebble Beach historically play at par or over par.The 7th plays at an average of 111 yards and averages 0.02 strokes under par, so par is a good score.  

Based on my model projections, Sheffler has the best course fit. Obviously, he is the World #1 and most courses are a great fit, but the market has significantly overvalued him for this event.  

Rasmus Hojgaard at +7000 is my long shot to win.  

Maverick McNealy is another value bet priced at +5000 to win. 

Playing both golfers instead to finish Top-20 is a much safer wager, but placing even a 0.25 unit bet on to win the event is not going to cause a sleepless night. 

01-30-25 Sepp Straka v. Maverick McNealy -113 1-0 Loss -113 4 h 50 m Show

Pebble Beach Pro-Am 

Maverick McNealy –120 over Sepp Straka 

Maverick McNealy –120 over Tom Kim 

Sam Burns -120 vs Shane Lowry 

Corey Conners –105 over Taylor Pendrith 

Robert Macintyre –140 over Akshay Bathia 

The keys to scoring well at Pebble Beach and Spy Glass is not predicated on long driving or accuracy. Overall, shots-gained total is important and the courses measure and test a player’s skills in uncountable situations. Putting on Poa Annua greens is critical and they will be on the slower side. Par 3 scoring is critical too as three of the four par-3s at Pebble Beach historically play at par or over par.The 7th plays at an average of 111 yards and averages 0.02 strokes under par, so par is a good score.  

Based on my model projections, Sheffler has the best course fit. Obviously, he is the World #1 and most courses are a great fit, but the market has significantly overvalued him for this event.  

Rasmus Hojgaard at +7000 is my long shot to win.  

Maverick McNealy is another value bet priced at +5000 to win. 

Playing both golfers instead to finish Top-20 is a much safer wager, but placing even a 0.25 unit bet on to win the event is not going to cause a sleepless night. 

01-30-25 Tom Kim v. Maverick McNealy -110 69-68 Win 100 4 h 50 m Show

Pebble Beach Pro-Am 

Maverick McNealy –120 over Sepp Straka 

Maverick McNealy –120 over Tom Kim 

Sam Burns -120 vs Shane Lowry 

Corey Conners –105 over Taylor Pendrith 

Robert Macintyre –140 over Akshay Bathia 

The keys to scoring well at Pebble Beach and Spy Glass is not predicated on long driving or accuracy. Overall, shots-gained total is important and the courses measure and test a player’s skills in uncountable situations. Putting on Poa Annua greens is critical and they will be on the slower side. Par 3 scoring is critical too as three of the four par-3s at Pebble Beach historically play at par or over par.The 7th plays at an average of 111 yards and averages 0.02 strokes under par, so par is a good score.  

Based on my model projections, Sheffler has the best course fit. Obviously, he is the World #1 and most courses are a great fit, but the market has significantly overvalued him for this event.  

Rasmus Hojgaard at +7000 is my long shot to win.  

Maverick McNealy is another value bet priced at +5000 to win. 

Playing both golfers instead to finish Top-20 is a much safer wager, but placing even a 0.25 unit bet on to win the event is not going to cause a sleepless night. 

06-27-24 Matt Wallace v. Nicolaj Hojgaard -105 Top 0-1 Win 100 6 h 4 m Show

I like Nicolaj here against a heavily bet Matt Wallce, who I do have in one of my DraftKings lineups. here to the course sets up to his eye and strengths. This is a course that is going to yield birdies. So, shots gained total is obviously important, but so is shots form the rough ranging between 150 and 175 and then shots from the rough going at par 5's in 2 shots from 225 to 275 are the opportunities to gain one of more shots to the field.

I also like betting Nicolaj to finish T-10 and T-20

06-27-24 Maverick McNealy v. Akshay Bhatia -110 Top 73-64 Win 100 5 h 19 m Show

Akshay is growing with confidence each week and is a golfer that is on the precipice of earning a PGA Tour win. 

I have bet him at 20:1 to win, and +250 to finish T-10

06-27-24 Erik Van Rooyen +100 v. Lee Hodges Top 69-73 Win 100 1 h 43 m Show

Needless to say I wish I could bet this here at Sportscapping for the tournament meaning that who ever goes lowest over the four rounds wins the bet. However, 18 holes and my belief that this course sets up very well for Erik's eye and that he does have the potential to 65 or even lower today. Bet Erik over Lee in this matchup. 

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