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08-23-14 |
Houston Texans +7 v. Denver Broncos |
|
18-17 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
[b]Brewers -132 4* MLB POD[/b]
I'll take the Brewers especially following a loss to the Pirates on their home turf. Not much statistically differs between these two teams as far as offense, and bullpen, but Milwaukee is home in this one and it's been a huge advantage for them over the Pirates going 51--13 in their last 64 meetings here. Not to mention I believe they have the advantage on the mound tonight in Wily Peralta who has posted a 1.59 ERA over the last 6 weeks. Peralta has a quality start in all 3 of his major league starts vs. the Pirates as well giving up just 5 ER in 20 innings of work. Volquez has always been the type to struggle late in the season (8.24 ERA the last 3 years in August) and on the road. Previous to this year he really struggled against the Brewers 4.62 ERA in his previous 6 starts but this year he has 3 quality starts against them, but I think that ends here tonight as the Brewers get to him early and build a lead.
[b]Texans +7 3.3* play[/b]
I took the Texans a few weeks ago and they were shut out now they play the Broncos. The Broncos just shut out a very good defense/offense in the 49ers 34-0 last week and almost everyone played well. I think they lay a bit of an egg here and John Fox is known for not having a good week 3. I don't see Peyton Manning playing as long as your traditional first string plays in week 3 of the pre season since he's been so good there really is no reason to risk any type of injury. |
|
08-09-14 |
Houston Texans +107 v. Arizona Cardinals |
Top |
0-32 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 18 m |
Show
|
Texans +105 3* NFLX POD I like the Texans here and with good reason despite having to fly across the country I think they really were not happy with how last year went. They were Super Bowl favorites by some and the season never turned out like it should.. I think this team needs some confidence for the youngsters and there is just more at stake than their is for Arizona. |
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08-25-13 |
Minnesota Vikings v. San Francisco 49ers -3 |
|
14-34 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
49ers -3 3.3* play
|
|
08-25-13 |
New Orleans Saints +2.5 v. Houston Texans |
|
31-23 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
Saints +3 3.3* play
|
|
08-24-13 |
Cleveland Browns +2.5 v. Indianapolis Colts |
|
6-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
Browns +2.5 3.3* play
|
|
08-24-13 |
Buffalo Bills v. Washington Redskins |
|
7-30 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
Redskins +1.5 3.3* NFLX
|
|
08-23-13 |
Seattle Seahawks -3.5 v. Green Bay Packers |
|
17-10 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
Seahawks -2.5 3.3* play In pre season games one of the most important things is defense intensity and the offensive line and the Seahawks have two major advantages there. The Packers offensive line is horrible yet again and I think it will play a huge factor in this game as the Seahawks love to get aggressive up front.
|
|
08-22-13 |
New England Patriots v. Detroit Lions -2.5 |
|
9-40 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
Lions -2 3.3* NFL Play
The Lions would like to make a statement here and have a lot of speed that really goes to their advantage on the turf against the Patriots who really lack a lot of depth. The Patriots have looked really good this preseason and the public has hit this line hard because of that, but I doubt we see Brady go a full 3 quarters with the knee and given his age and importance to this team. It's clear he does not need a ton of reps and the Lions do. I expect a close game into half time with the Lions pulling away late.
|
|
08-19-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Washington Redskins -3 |
Top |
13-24 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
Redskins -2.5 3.3* play
Going with the skins here as the Steelers are pretty banged up already. I also feel like the fact that their defense is not where it should be will give the Redskins a big edge. Also you have to figure the Steelers who pretty much know who is going to start on both sides will be looking at their depth and trying to make decisions on players for who will start so I'm not expecting a clean game from them. The Redskins however do not and I think as a result we will see a cleaner game from them. Shanahan has a good history of winning pre season games and I'm backing him tonight.
|
|
08-17-13 |
Tennessee Titans +2 v. Cincinnati Bengals |
|
19-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
Titans +2.5 3.3* play I really like the Titans today with 60% of the public jumping on the Bengals after their dominating performance over the Falcons in week 1. The line has moved the other way as it seems like the oddsmakers are begging for people to jump on the Bengals. Meanwhile the Titans hung tight against the Redskins in a close loss. I think this is just one of those games where the Titans have more motivation to win coming off a SU loss while the Bengals are content with their week 1 effort and will dial it back a bit and work on some things in their play book. The Titans fall under some interesting trends that I like to play in pre season games. Playing an under dog off a SU loss, Playing against a favorite (Bengals) coming off a SU win, and playing a team off SU loss vs. a team off a SU win. Those are all 60% ATS trends in week 2 of the pre season dating back to 2000 and the Bengals fall under all three scenarios.
|
|
08-16-13 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 v. New England Patriots |
Top |
21-25 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
TB Bucs +3 4.4* NFL POD
I love the Bucs here as they were destroyed in week 1 of the pre season 44-16 while the Patriots looked awesome able to run the ball all over the Eagles on the road no less. Why just 3 points? Vegas is begging you to take the Patriots who don't have a strong history in pre season games to begin with. Don't have a short memory here! Josh Freeman has a lot to prove and Mike Glennon looked good backing him up. I expect the Bucs to go all out to get a win and the Bucs fall under two week 2 pre season trends. Play on a dog off a week 1 SU loss are 67-27-2 ATS since 2000, play on a team with a SU loss vs. a team off a content team off a SU win and they are 68-37 ATS that combines for 135-64 ATS!
|
|
08-16-13 |
Minnesota Vikings +4 v. Buffalo Bills |
|
16-20 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
Vikings +4 2.2* bonus
Lets not over react on the Bills week one 44 point performance 3 scores came from unusual plays, kickoff return, fumble return and an INT return all for TD's. I think the line is higher here for that reason and I'll take the extra point the public moved the game by. Also dating back to 2000 teams week 2 of the preseason off a SU loss playing a team that's content off a SU win are 68-37 ATS which falls under the Vikings favor.
|
|
08-15-13 |
Carolina Panthers v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 |
|
9-14 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
Eagles -3 3.3* play Eagles looked awful in week 1 and could not stop the run worth a lick, but I think they'll be a bit more ready in week 2. Since 2000 teams playing in week two off a SU loss (Eagles) against a team coming off a SU win (Panthers) are 67-37-1 ATS and I'm going with the trend it makes sense because teams are more content when they get their first win under their built and are more likely to work on things. Eagles right now have a QB battle going on and all of their RB in the game tonight. I expect the Kolb vs. Vick battle to continue and this is a key game for it because whoever starts week 3 is likely to be the guy for week 1 of the regular season so this game will have both QB's playing at a high level. On the flip side the Panthers continue to try to make Cam Newton a pocket passer and I think that will result in more sloppy play as they had 4 fumbles a week ago.
|
|
08-10-13 |
NY Giants v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 36 |
|
18-13 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
[b]Giants/Steelers U36 +100 2.5* play[/b]
I really like for the under in this game as both coaches really don't want to push their starters and there is a lot of talk about how there is a ton of competition up front for the Giants. Tomlin will lean on the running game and the Giants should stop it in week 1. I also lean towards the Giants, but like the under just a bit more.
|
|
08-09-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. New Orleans Saints -3 |
|
13-17 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
Saints -3 2.75* play I really like the Saints here tonight playing at home with their true head coach back at the helm. I really am not a fan of the Chiefs off season moves and I don't think Andy Reid is a great fit for the Chiefs because Reid has always been a pass happy coach which does not fit the strengths of the Chiefs. Reid has never cared about the pre season either and the Saints depth is more impressive and should be to their advantage in the 2nd half of this game.
|
|
08-09-13 |
NY Jets v. Detroit Lions OVER 36.5 |
|
17-26 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
NYJ/DET Over 36.5 2.75* play The new CBA rules have obviously impacted defenses with reduced hitting workouts and you get the Jets QB's who are fighting for their jobs which I predict should do them well against a Lions defense that has always been suspect. Then you have the Lions who have been able to put up points in bunches in the past in the pre season. Lions QB depth is very solid and so is the rest of their offense while the Jets defense continues to decline in recent years.
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