Philadelphia Eagles.

Game 102.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

Let's start with the NFC Title game. Early money is coming in on the Washington Commanders, and with good reason. These two teams know each other all too well, sharing the division, the NFC East. The Commanders are riding a seven-game straight up winning streak, in which they have gone 5-2 against the number, while the Eagles have won 14 of their last 15, covering 10 of their last 14 games. These teams have met twice this season, with each home team winning and covering those contests. Yes, Washington is 7-3 away from home this season. But Philly is an astounding, 10-1 at Lincoln Financial Field (talk about a home field advantage. Lol). Obviously, Philadelphia has more players with postseason experience. Let’s put a pin in that, folks. I think we can all agree quarterback, Jayden Daniels has had a storybook season. But the playoffs are a whole different monster. Yes, they beat the top NFC seed, in the Detroit Lions last week. Guys, I feel the Lions came in underprepared, and overconfident. I do feel Washington comes in here in a letdown situation. In their two playoff games thus far, Philadelphia’s, Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts have combined for over 430 yards rushing. Overall, on the season, this team possesses the second-ranked rushing attack in the NFL. This is where the game is going to get out of hand. The Commanders defense, overall although very good, still ranks 30th in the league against the rush. The Philadelphia coaching staff is smart and will have their squad prepared even further for this weeks matchup. On the flipside, the Eagle’s stop-unit has allowed a mere, 17.8 points per game this season. Sports fans, in today's day and age, that is just amazing. They top the league against the pass, and rank 10th against the run. For all the reasons I just laid out, I like Philadelphia here to win and cover, and go on to the Super Bowl. Thank you.

Ohio State.

Game 287.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

There is no question the Notre Dame Fighting Irish is a very good team. I personally, have had them quite a few times this season, and have done very well with them. I'm going to take a different approach to this breakdown, my friends. Yes, overall, their regular-season schedule wasn't the toughest. For a team that averaged over 37.7 points per game in he regular-season, during the postseason, the Fighting Irish offense fell way short. Do you think it's a coincidence it's because they faced stronger opponents? I don't think so! They posted 27 against Indiana, 23 against Georgia, and 27 against Penn State. For a team, since there loss back on September 7, that posted 66, 28, 31, 49, 31, 51, 52, 35, 49, and 49, what was so different about their post season opponents? Because they we're all superior to their regular season adversaries. Next, let's talk about their passing attack, which ranks 92nd in college football. They have to go against the nation’s top-ranked pass defense here, which will make their offense very one-dimensional. Having said that, the Buckeyes stop-unit ranks third in college football against the rush. Speaking of Ohio State defense, outside of Oregon, who they played twice, no other opponent posted better than 17 points on them this season. And let's face it, they’ve played some good opponents. One more item I want to make you aware of; these two teams had two common opponents this season; they both played Indiana, in which Notre Dame was a favorite of 6.5-points. But Ohio State was a favorite of 10.5-points. They also both faced Purdue, which the Fighting Irish went off a 7.0-point favorite. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes closed a 37.0-point favorite in that matchup. Why is the line so short here? It's to make it attractive to both sides, folks. That's what the oddsmakers are looking to do, so they get wagers on both teams here, and make their juice. Don't fall for it. Take Ohio State. Thank you.

Eagles.

Game 392.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

Sunday's NFC divisional matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and Philadelphia Eagles.

A mistake most sportsbettor’s make is judging a team from their previous performance. Yes, Los Angeles took down one of the regular-season’s best teams in the Minnesota Vikings, with authority just a few days ago, 27-9. But let's face it, the Vikings might be one of the biggest posers this season. Case in point, how they played the previous week against the Detroit Lions when they needed the victory badly. Let's go back to the Rams. They have won six of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread. But (and yes there's always a but), but their three previous games were played in basically covered stadiums, not having to worry about weather. Not the case here as they have to travel cross country to Lincoln Financial Field where the weather is going to be cold, cold, cold. Not only that, but the Eagles are one of the best home teams in the NFL, going 9-1 when playing host this season. Let's go back to the Rams, folks. Yes, they have won and covered their four previous games played as a visitor. But those games were on the road at the lowly Jets, the hurting 49ers, the overrated Saints, and the dismal Patriots. Jalen Hurts his back, and the way he looked last week in his return, shows us this offense has returned to full strength. The Eagles are a monster team, folks. And yes, they have something to prove. They post over 27.2-points per game, and allow just 17.8-points per game. While the Rams are pretty darn good. They just don't compare statistically here. There's no way their 22nd ranked run defense can even slow down, let alone contain the machine that is Saquon Barkley. That would be tough enough. But when you throw in the mix the legs of Hurts, they are in downright dire straits here. Offensively, Los Angeles really does rely upon their passing attack. Well, well, well…they must line up across from the NFL's No. 1 ranked pass defense. Let's flip it and talk offense for Philly, my friends. We already talked about how dominating the rushing attack is. But I want touch on AJ Brown. He cannot be happy having just one reception last week in the teams victory over the Packers. I look for him to be a major factor in the air here to make the Eagles offense equally dominant up top as well as on the ground. This will be a double-digit win for Philadelphia at home. Take the Eagles and soar. Thank you.

Ohio State Buckeyes.

COTTON BOWL WNNER.

Game 285.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Sometimes it is better to be lucky than good. And let's face it, the Texas Longhorns have gotten pretty lucky a few times this season. Case in point, in their last game against the Arizona State Sun Devils. That's not the first-time luck was on their side. However, when you get to this platform, luck runs out. The way the Ohio State Buckeyes are looking with their well coach, disciplined squad, particularly their stellar defense, they are seriously going to outclass their opponent in this matchup. Please understand I when it comes to big games, defense and mistakes play a big part. I think we can all agree that the Buckeyes defense, which tops the nation, yielding just 12.1-points per game is a true force to be reckoned with. With all respect to the Longhorns stop-unit, which does rank fourth in college football, they just aren't on the same level. I also mentioned mistakes. The Texas offense has committed 24 turnovers, and cannot rely upon a steady effort from their field goal unit. Under a touchdown as a gift. Take Ohio State. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

NFC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 431.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

The road to the top-seed in the NFC has two possibilities for Detroit. If Minnesota defeats Green Bay on Sunday, the Lions will have to beat the Vikings in their regular-season finale to take the NFC North, and earn the No. 1 spot in the NFC playoffs. If the Packers win, Detroit can lock up the division, and the best record in the conference with a victory here this week. It's true, the Lions defense has surrendered quite a few points over their last several outings. But this team is in a must-win situation, and is a perfect, 7-0 SU as a visitor on the season, covering six of those seven road games. It's hard to believe San Francisco is eliminated from any postseason opportunities, as the 49ers are 6-9 this season. Losing several key players has been fatal to the team. Dropping five of their last six SU, and only covering two of their last nine, the writing is certainly on the wall for San Fran. Despite some solid statistics, the 49ers offense has only accounted for 22.1-points per game this season, and have coughed up the ball a whopping 22 times. I do expect quarterback, Brock Purdy to have some success in the air here. But his ground game will be absolutely shut down against the NFL's third-ranked rush defense. No matter how you cut it, the Lions offense ranks at or near the top in just about every category. I know their defense has given up some points in recent games. But their offense will keep the 49ers defense on the field, and more importantly San Francisco's offense off it. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Los Angeles Chargers.

AFC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 407.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Chargers are playing for a higher seed here, while the Patriots are done for the season. Los Angeles enters this matchup having a few extra days to rest, coming off their December 19 road victory at Denver. That ATS cover was there seventh over their last nine outings. Meanwhile, New England is currently just 3-12 on the campaign, dropping five straight coming into this contest, losing by an average of 28.2-points per game during that span. The L.A. defense tops the league, yielding just 18.3-points per game, and snagging 14 takeaways. Things don't look too good for Drake Maye and the New England offense, which ranks 30th in the NFL, posting a dismal, 17.3-points for game, and committing 21 turnovers. Coach Harbaugh will have his team motivated, and certainly has an edge over his counterpart. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

Minnesota Vikings.

MNF GOY.

Game 482.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Chicago started the season off 4-2. But are currently riding the third-worst losing streak in the NFL, thanks to our own Las Vegas Raiders, and the New York Giants. Now they have to take it on the road and go into US Bank Stadium to face the 11-2 Minnesota Vikings. A Vikings team that is red hot, riding a six-game win streak. By the way folks, Chicago is winless as a visitor this year at 0-6 on the road, while Minnesota is 6-1 on their own field. Having said that, there's a couple of teams in the NFC that are already set. But a couple more wins can certainly help, and the Vikings are one of those teams. To close out their season, they're at home this week against the Bears, then take it on the road to Seattle, come back to Minneapolis to play Green Bay, and then finish their regular season off, and this might be a big game that decides division, on the road against the Lions. So, a “gimme” win here is big for this team right now, especially against a division rival.  The once-feared Chicago “D” is no more. Their offense is so bad, their defense is overworked and tired. During their current losing streak, they have allowed an average of 25.2 points per game. Minnesota and their well-balanced offense are posting over 26.1 points per game. They have a phenomenal passing attack, and a pretty solid running game. But it is their defense that has been a big reason why they're so successful this season. They rank second against the rush, first in takeaways, and sixth in points allowed. Take the Vikings. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

Game 137.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

The Buffalo Bills wrapped up the AFC East already, and at 10-2, are just one-game behind the conference’s top team, the Kansas City Chiefs. This is not unfamiliar territory for Buffalo. However, as we all know over recent seasons, they have fallen short when it comes down to crunch time. They definitely want a different outcome this season. Many people out there might think that they're going to take their foot off the gas a little bit. But I am here to tell you they would be wrong. Buffalo is one of the hottest teams in football, winning seven in a row, and covering six of those seven. In consecutive games their offense scored 23, 34, 31, 30, 30, 30, and 35 points. Now they go into a domed stadium with perfect conditions. That to me spells doom for the host Los Angeles Rams. Speaking of the Rams, they have dropped their last two games played at home at the hands of the Miami Dolphins and the Philadelphia Eagles. Their defense has looked very vulnerable. They also have the San Francisco 49ers on deck, and can definitely be in a lookahead situation. I mentioned earlier the Los Angeles defense is beatable. They rank 21st in the league in points allowed, 15th against the pass, 28th against the rush, and 25th in total yards allowed. This does not bode well as they're going up against one of the most explosive, and well-balanced offenses in football. Not only that, but the Bills offense makes very few mistakes. On the flipside of the ball, the Buffalo stop unit is only allowing 18.7 points per game, and have snagged 13 takeaways already. Let's face it, we all know the Rams offense solely relies upon their passing game. Well, they're going up against the eighth ranked pass defense in the league. I mentioned earlier, many out there might think Buffalo might take their foot of the gas. But they cannot afford to do so. They want the top seed in the AFC, and they want what comes with it, home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Under a touchdown as a gift. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Notre Dame.

GAME OF THE MONTH TOP PLAY.

Game 437.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Since losing in their second outing of the campaign to Northern Illinois, Notre Dame has very quietly run off nine consecutive wins, going 8-1 against the spread. There is an argument that their schedule was a little less than difficult. So, they must continue to annihilate their last opponent of the regular season here. Let's make no mistake of it, they know USC, and they don't like USC at all. As a matter of fact, going back 10 years, they have taken seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering six of those meetings. This does include last October’s, 48-20 demolishing. Granted, the Trojans are pretty good at home. But they have lost to some less than stellar opponents. I feel they are very vulnerable, and will get a beat down right here today. The Trojans offense relies solely upon their passing game. Well, this does not bode well as the Irish defense ranks number one in the nation against the pass. Oh, by the way they also rank second in points allowed. Take Notre Dame. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

OM GOM.

Game 308.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

Getting off a five-game loss and no cover slide last week, taking down a division rival on the road, will take a lot of pressure off the Dallas Cowboys. Now they face another division rival, and this time they are at home, where they must desperately get a big win to excite their loyal fan base. The Giants are riding their own six-game losing streak, both SU and ATS. They are having quarterback issues to boot. This is an offense that is non-existent. Because of this, their defense is overworked and tired. I look for the Cowboys to make a statement here at home, and turn it up the stretch. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Tennessee.

SEC RS GOY.

Game 379.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Let's go to Saturday in a big SEC matchup between the seventh-ranked Tennessee Volunteers and the 12th-ranked Georgia Bulldogs. My friends, for the life of me, I don't understand why Georgia is laying 10 1/2 points in this matchup. At best, at home at Sanford Stadium I make them possibly a 6 1/2 to a seven-point favorite. The Volunteers sit atop the SEC at 5-1 in Conference play, and 8-1 overall. Yes, Georgia has taken the last seven meetings in this series, straight up covering six of those seven matchups. But this season, they are not the same team that they were over recent years. They have failed to cover all three games played at home in 2024 and, their once mighty defense has sprung a leak. They allowed Alabama to put up 41 on them, Mississippi State to post 31, Florida to put up 20, and Mississippi to put up 28. You guys know the Tennessee “D” has not allowed a single opponent to score better than 19-points this season.  The Bulldogs cannot run the ball, relying solely upon the pass. Well, they have to face the 15th-ranked “D” in the nation against the pass, and overall, they only allow 12.6-points per game. Meanwhile, their gonna’ be in trouble trying to contain the well-balanced offense of the Volunteers, which are averaging over 37.6-points per game. This is the last big test for UT. After this they have UTEP up next, and then they finish the regular season on the road at Vanderbilt. I just don't see them letting their foot off the gas, and getting double-digits is an early Christmas present. Take the Volunteers, my friends. Thank you.

Indiana.

Game 349.

12:30 pm pst/3:30 pm est.

Indiana has something to prove in this matchup. The Hoosiers are 8-0, are only one of two teams in the nation that haven't trailed in any game, and are ranked only 13th in the polls. The Hoosiers have the Wolverines up next at home before a showdown on the road at the Buckeyes. They must win big here and next week before the November 23 meeting with Ohio State. They've covered three of the last five meetings in this series, which does include all three matchups at Michigan State. No matter which quarterback is under center here, their offense has proven that they can move the chains, and score points on just about any opponent. Believe it or not, this team is averaging over 46.5 points per game, equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Furthermore, they've only turned the ball over six times, while their defense, which is seventh in the nation, allowing just 14.1 points per game, has snagged nine takeaways. Michigan State, usually falls flat following a meeting with Michigan. The team has dropped four of their last five, straight up, only accounting for 21.0 points per game, while committing 16 turnovers. Yes, their defense is pretty good, but have allowed six of their last seven opponents to put up a minimum of 20-points. The Hoosiers must keep their foot on the gas. Take Indiana. Thank you.

Oregon.

Game 383.

12:30 pm pst/3:30 pm est.

For Saturday, I'm looking at a high-profile game, between the No. 1 ranked Oregon Ducks and the Michigan Wolverines. Just like me folks, I'm going to’ keep this breakdown very short, and extremely sweet (lol). Yes, my friends, currently the line here is a little bit better than two touchdowns. But the top-ranked, Ducks need to keep their foot on the gas. As you know, they're undefeated at 8-0, and sports fans, they need to stay that way. Moreover, even though the Wolverines aren't what they were, they are still the defending National Champions, and this contest will be on national TV. Obviously, style points count these days. And with their remaining outings against the Terrapins, Badgers, and Huskies, I don’t see them falling short in a look-ahead, let-down situation. Behind Oregon are seven other undefeated squads, all ranked in the top-25. It is the 3rd ranked Penn State Nittany Lions that could certainly jump up in the polls with a victory over the Ohio State Buckeyes Saturday morning, further motivating the Ducks. I don't see Oregon easing up at all here. Please remember, Michigan was the team to beat for so long, and this would be big, big, win for the Oregon. Throw into the mix, with a huge performance here, quarterback, Dillon Gabriel could certainly up his stock in the Heisman voting. The Ducks will make a statement against the Wolverines, and let the rest of the top-10 know, they are the team to beat. Lay the wood with Oregon and take your bookmakers money…QUACK QUACK. Thank you.

Texans.

Game 311.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

The oddsmakers are looking to trap you here. But my friends, we are not going to fall for it. Just because the Texans are a little banged up, they are daring you to play the Jets. Well, New York is a two-point favorite as of posting this game, and are riding a five-game losing streak, both SU/ATS. As a matter fact, they haven't covered a game as a favorite since September 19. Meanwhile, Houston has won six of their eight outings this season, and have covered their last two games played as a visitor. They are also 3-1 ATS their last four overall outings. Looking at this matchup, it is expected that CJ Stroud will have a tough time against the second-ranked passing attack of New York. However, they do have a stronger rushing attack, much stronger. They average over 118.9 yards per game on the ground, as opposed to the paltry, 86.1 yards per game rushing the Jets account for. They will control the clock, and move the chains on the ground to keep the New York defense honest, allowing them to open up their passing game. Please understand, New York cannot score. They are averaging just 18.8 points per game, and have turned the ball over nine times. Now through this point in the season, many offenses have turned the ball over. But the Jets defense has accounted for just two takeaways. Compare that to the Texans stop-unit, which have snagged eight turnovers already. The difference in this game is evident. Take Houston. Thank you.

Washington Commanders.

Game 276.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

My Sunday play is a very interesting one because I feel it is a mistake made by the oddsmakers. Let's talk about the matchup between the Bears and Commanders. Yes, both teams are surprising everyone this season. Washington which is 5-2, which does include a perfect 3-0 straight up and against the spread record at home. is perched atop the competitive, NFC East. NO SMALL FEAT, my friends. Chicago, believe it or not, at 4-2 is in last place in the NFC North. They do own one of the top defenses in football, and are riding a three-game straight up and against the spread hot streak. But let's not get all crazy folks, those three victories were against the Rams, Panthers, and Jaguars, which are a combined 5-15 this season. The line is off here because there's a big question mark on Commanders quarterback, Jayden Daniels. As of Thursday morning, odds are against the standout quarterback to see any action this week. Whether he is or isn't under center on Sunday, only affects the line, and nothing else. His backup, Marcus Mariota… although going up against Carolina last week in Daniels’ absence, looked great, passing for 205 yards, two touchdowns, zero interceptions, and adding another 34 yards on the ground. He is a seasoned quarterback and fits in quite nicely with this offense, and will be a handful if he does play this week. By the way, the Bears are winless on the road this season, at 0-2. And while their own rookie quarterback, Caleb Williams has a lot of people in Chicago excited, he also makes a lot of mistakes. And the way the Commanders defense has been playing, I think he's in real trouble this weekend. The wrong team is favored here. Take the Commanders. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

Game 267.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Green Bay enters this week’s matchup with Jacksonville, one of the hottest teams in the NFC, winning three in a row, and sitting in second place, tied with Minnesota in the NFC North, at an overall 5-2. With the Vikings loss on Thursday night, the Packers have an opportunity to slip into sole possession of second place in the very competitive Division. I feel the Jaguars are in a huge letdown situation here, following their win at home last week against the lowly, Patriots. This is a team that is just 3-7 overall their last 10 outings straight up, and have only covered four of their last 10 outings. They are being outscored by 7.0-points per game this season. While their offense has decent numbers, they have still committed seven turnovers. Meanwhile, their defense is absolutely horrible, ranking 30th in the League, yielding over 27.7-points per game, ranking 31st against the pass, and have only snagged one takeaway. I feel the top-10 passing unit, led by Jordan Love, will absolutely shred the Jaguars secondary here. No matter how you cut it, the Green Bay offense ranks in the top-10 is just about every single category. This does not bode well for Jacksonville. The Packers have the Lions on deck, and I do not see them in a look ahead spot. They must fine-tune their team here so they are ready to take on their rival next week. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

LSU.

Game 165.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

The only two undefeated SEC teams square off here, with serious implications down the road. Both Texas A&M and LSU are 6-1 overall, with the Aggies 4-0 in Conference play, and the Tigers 3-0 in SEC action this season. Both teams started the season off with a loss, as both have since run the gauntlet, winning six consecutive outings. LSU has certainly had their way with Texas A&M, taking seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, and nine of the last 10 against the spread. There was a time when the Tigers were a little shaky when they travel. But this season, they are 2-0 as a visitor. Granted, Texas A&M has played a very good football. But I believe they're a bit overvalued coming into this matchup, dropping eight of their last 10 outings against the spread, going back to last November. Meanwhile, LSU enters this matchup covering three straight, and matches up well here. They own the eighth-ranked passing attack in the nation, which will exploit the lax, Texas A&M pass defense. On the flipside, the Aggies are extremely successful on the ground offensively. But they must line up against the stout, 33rd ranked run defense in this matchup. I believe the wrong team is favored here folks. Normally, I would step away from the Tigers when they have the Crimson Tide on deck. But they have an off week next week, and let's face it, ‘Bama isn't a team they once were. Take LSU. Thank you.

Bills.

Bookie Buster.

Game 468.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

I feel this line is way off here, my friends. You've got an Arizona Cardinals team predicted to be one of the poorest in the NFC, opening their season up on the road against one of the best teams in the AFC. Once again last season Buffalo fell short of expectations. I expect them to come out here and prove a point. Let's not forget that last year's regular season opener, they fell on the road in New York, in overtime to a team without their best QB at the helm quarterback (Aaron Rodgers got injured in the first series of the game). They have to come out here and prove a point. Under a touchdown is a gift. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Oklahoma.

Crusher Play.

Game 384.

4:45 PM PST/7:45 PM EST.

With last week’s lackluster, 27-7 defeat at the hands of UNLV at home as a 3.5-point favorite, Houston has now dropped and failed to cover four straight going back to last season. With some of the top ranked teams in college football already going down or looking vulnerable, Oklahoma, which loves to open a season beating up on lesser opponents, will come out here with something to prove, and make a statement that they deserve to be in the top-10. To insult to injury, the Sooners, which left the Big 12 for the SEC this season, get to take down a representative from their old Conference. Take Oklahoma. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

Game 102.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

Hello friends, in all sincerity, I feel both of these teams deserve to be playing in the Super Bowl. As a matter fact, I predicted in the preseason, that these two teams would be playing for this season’s Lombardi Trophy (notice they named it after an Italian lol). Having said that, with all respect to the San Francisco 49ers and Brock Purdy, they just have proven that they could win at this level. I know Purdy was not there a few years back when the 49ers made it to the Super Bowl. But I still feel that they are a little bit short of what they need to do to win the Super Bowl. Whether you like it or not, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are the new Tom Brady and the Patriots. Not only have they gotten here quite a few times over the last several seasons, but they have prevailed on this platform. I have said it before and I will say it again, whatever you did prior to the Super Bowl does not matter. It is a moot point. Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He comes up big in big game situations. If you are worried about the hype about this team not being what they were, or that their defense can't stop the rush, just look at the Conference title game against a Ravens opponent, which happened to be the NFL’s top-rushing offense. They possess a defensive unit that has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 27 points this season. My friends, after the Conference Title win, Patrick Mahomes was interviewed, and made it a point to say that the team was cognizant of being an underdog there. HMMM. How would you feel if you were the heavyweight champion of the world, and yet you faced the new kid on the block and were an underdog? Trust me when I tell you, Mahomes and the Chief will take care of business here and probably win this game outright. But I will take the points to err on the side of caution. Kansas City is the play plus the points. Thank you.

Props

As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value.

PROPS

These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes.

 Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 *

Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 *

 Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 *

Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money

Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110

Total receiving yards by Kittle 49.5. OVER -110 *

Will Kittle score a TD? Yes +170

Total TD passes by Mahomes 2. OVER +170

Will Pacheco score a TD? Yes +120

10)Total receiving yards by Kelce 72.5. OVER -110 *

11)Longest reception by Kelce 21.5 yards. OVER Even Money

12)Total receptions by Kelce 6.5. OVER -110 **

13) Will Kelce score a TD? YES +105 **

Kansas City Chiefs.

AFC Championship Game Winner.

Game 319.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

There is no question these are the two best teams in the AFC. However, you cannot ignore the success of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the postseason. As far as Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are concerned, they are certainly a great squad. But let's be honest, when it comes down to the playoffs, Jackson and the team overall, falls a bit short. Trust me when I tell you, Kansas City did what they needed to do on the road in Buffalo last Sunday. Although Baltimore did the same at home against Houston, there is a big difference in the level of opponent from last week to this week for them. The Chiefs are clicking at the right time. They overcame injury issues mid-season. But finished strong, and won and covered both postseason contests. The Ravens have been solid all season long. But at times their defense has shown cracks. I know this somewhat contradicts their top-ranked scoring defense. But hear me out. At times, they showed vulnerability. You cannot say the same for the Kansas City stop-unit. Yes, I am aware that Baltimore's "D" allows just 16.5 points per game, while the KC "D" allows 17.3 points per game. But Kansas City has not allowed a single opponent this season to reach 30 points in scoring (27). Offensively, the Ravens put up more points statistically. They top the league on the ground. But leave a lot to be desired in the air. This is going to be an issue because they are facing one of the toughest pass defenses in football. Kansas City will completely shut down the passing game of Baltimore and allow their defense to key on the running game. The Chiefs have proven they could win a tough game on the road against a solid opponent in the playoffs. They showed us this last week. I also think they are better coached, more disciplined, and a lot more experienced in the postseason. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

AFC JANUARY GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 317.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

Two of the most acclaimed quarterbacks in the NFL are going to be meeting one another for the seventh time. Kansas City and Buffalo have each won three of the previous matchups. However, Patrick Mahomes has bested Josh Allen when it counts, taking both playoff meetings. I don't want to upset any Bill fans. But I've been doing this for a long time, and I want you to know there are fun players, and there are money players. Josh Allen is the first. He puts up amazing numbers every year. But when it comes down to games he must win, let's be honest, the mistakes pile up and the Bills lose. On the other hand, Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He wins when games are on the line. He wins when crunch time is upon him. And he wins in the postseason. No matter what you do during the regular season, when it comes to the playoffs, it is a whole different monster.  I hear people talking about the weather up in Buffalo. But Kansas City is no stranger to cold weather. I know the Bills closed out the regular season one of the hottest teams in the league. And that did include a three-point outright win on the road at Arrowhead in early-December. But giving Mahomes and the experienced, Kansas City Chiefs points in January is a big mistake. Not only will Mahomes be a major difference in this contest. But the consistently solid defense of the Chiefs will be a major factor as well. This is a squad that has yielded a mere, 17.3 points per game, and ranks fourth against the pass. They are going to get a lot of pressure on Allen and force him to make mistakes. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines.

National Championship Game Winner.

Game 288.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Just like me, I'm going to keep this game analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol). There is no question that both Washington and Michigan deserve to be here. Both completed the entire campaign perfect, at 14-0. Both played and beat the best in their conference title games. I mean the Huskies took down the Longhorns, 37-31 as a 3.5-point underdog. The Wolverines came on strong at the end of the fourth quarter, and then won in overtime against, what many people thought was the best team in the College Football Playoff, the Crimson Tide. There are a few major disparities here. With all respect to Washington, and their top-ranked, passing offense, they have not faced a defense as complete as the one they are lining up against here. Not only is Michigan the most ferocious and well-balanced defense they will have faced this season, but they are equally strong in the air and on the ground. The Wolverines stop-unit leads the nation, allowing just 9.5 points per game, ranks second against the pass, six against the rush, second in total yards allowed, and sixth in takeaways. On the opposite side of the ball, let's face it, the Huskies give up a lot of points. That rank 50th nationally, allowing 23.6 points per game. That's bad enough. But the Wolverines offense is so well-balanced and so dangerous it is impossible to shut them down. They have a smart quarterback at the helm. And I believe that's where the big contrast will be. The Huskies rank 122nd, defensively against the pass. Quarterback, JJ McCarthy is smart, capable, and must be salivating, knowing he's going to pass the ball at will here. Remember, if the Huskies key on the pass attack of the Wolverines, Michigan could then fall back on the rushing attack of Blake Corum. A lot of talk is that head coach, Jim Harbaugh is going to be departing for the NFL after this game. Now these are just rumors. But there's a lot of talk surrounding his future just might just be in Las Vegas. And if that does happen, he also just might be taking his starting quarterback with him. He will want to leave Ann Arbor with a National Title. Take Michigan. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

NFC North Game of the Month.

Game 478.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Detroit currently has the No. 3 seed in the NFC playoff picture. But does have an opportunity to step up to the No. 2 seed with a win here and some help. The Vikings playoffs chances are basically hanging on by a thread. Now normally I would be a little apprehensive about a game like this. But Detroit head coach, Dan Campbell announced he will be playing quarterback, Jared Goff, and his starters in this contest. For how long, who knows. But they want this win. They lost a heartbreaker last week on the road to Dallas by one-point. That ended a two game straight up win streak. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three consecutive games. They don't want to go into the postseason on a two-game slide. They need a big ego boost here. And what better team to face than their hated division rival, which happens to be on a three-game slide straight up themselves. As a matter fact, they've lost five of their last six straight up. failing to cover five straight. One thing for sure, with the announcement that Nick Mullins will start at quarterback for the Vikings, you can expect the Lions to throw a lot of different schemes at him with their very talented defense. On the flipside of the ball, Goff is going to have his best performance of the regular season because most of Minnesota secondary is either banged-up or out here. FYI, Detroit has taken three of the last four meetings in this series straight up and six in a row against the number. Take the Lions. Thank you.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

NFC South Game of the Month.

Game 479.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Tampa Bay controls their destiny here folks. In other words, they win and they are in the playoffs. Let's throw away the fact the Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS as a visitor this season. Let's throw away the fact Carolina has been eliminated from any postseason chances quite a while back. Throw away the fact that this home team is just 2-14, which is the worst record in the NFL this season. And throw away the fact that Carolina is also just 1-4 SU against division opponents this season. The Buccaneers are a smart, well-coached, disciplined squad, certainly outclassing their opponent in this matchup. They were riding a four-game straight up win streak prior to last weeks, 23-13 loss on the road at the Saints. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three in a row. They have dominated this division rivalry, taking eight of the last 10 meetings, straight up, and covering seven of those 10 matchups. The Panthers aren't going to jeopardize any of their significant starters here. And let's face it, even if they were going to play all out, they just don't have the personnel to contend here. If they did, they wouldn't have finished this season with the worst record in football. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Game 279.

2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST.

With all respect to Michigan and their 13-0 season, I think we can all agree, they didn't play the toughest schedule out there. And as the season, progressed, and they did play some better teams, they had struggled a bit. Penn State, Maryland, and Ohio State all gave them a tough time. But make no mistake of it, they are going up against the toughest defense they will have had to face this season. Alabama not only owns a stop-unit that allows just 18.4 points per game, but they have gone up against and completely shut down quite a few solid offenses. I think we can all agree that neither in the air or on the ground, the wolverines Are explosive. It is their defense that allows their offense success. I believe their passing a game will be in real trouble here as the Crimson Tides pass defense has improved with each game this season, and is now in my opinion, one of the best in the nation. Offensively, Alabama's quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured better than any other player in the country. Let's be honest, my friends, when this team dropped their second game of the season in early-September, at the hands of Texas, Nick Saban read them the riot act, and they got on course and were on a mission. They have not dropped the game since, annihilating all opponents. Not only that, but they've covered eight of 10 since that loss. Sabin and his coaching staff have had more than enough time to prepare for the Michigan team. There is no way they're going to drop this game as they want nothing less than another national title. The only thing standing is this week’s opponent. There is one more thing that I think is very significant here, my friends. And that is all the off the field distractions the Wolverines are going through. The entire football team, their athletic department, their head coach, coaching staff, etc. There is a lot of distractions. The rumor has it, Jim Harbaugh, no matter what happens, this season, is going to go onto the NFL. There is also some whispers that he will be in a position to also take his quarterback with him. Trust me when I tell you this is a distraction. The Crimson Tide have no distractions. They have one thing on their minds and that is a national title. They scratched and clawed to get here. I believe Michigan will come in a bit overconfident and get taken by surprise. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Play LA.

Los Angeles needs victories right now. And let's be honest, this is a team that has turned it up when they needed to, winning five of their last six straight up, and five straight against the spread. Word has come down that New York is basically throwing in the towel here, as many of their starters are going to be sidelined in place of backups. The Rams need the game, while the Giants have already made January vacation reservations. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Play Dallas.

Having suffered back-to-back losses for the first time this season, the Dallas Cowboys return home and get back on track. They are a perfect 7–0 at AT&T Stadium this season, covering six of those games. As far as Detroit goes, I think they're a very good team. However, every time they need to step up in class, they truly let us down. I'm not saying they are posers. I'm just saying they can't win in crunch time. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

Game 324.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

Following their three-game straight up win streak, Los Angeles lost a heartbreaker last week on the road at Baltimore, however, extending their ATS cover run to three consecutive outings. The Rams sit at 6-7 and need wins right now. After this week’s matchup with the Commanders, they have a home game against the Saints, before finishing up the regular season on the road at the Giants, and then the 49ers. This is a team that certainly controls its own destiny. As far as Washington goes, they have now dropped four in a row straight up, and three straight against the spread. Possessing the NFL's worst defense in total yards, passing yards, and points allowed, it is evident that this game will be a nightmare. During their four-game slide, the commanders have allowed 29, 31, 45, and 45 points. Look for Matthew Stafford, who has accounted for 10 TD’s and just one INT over the last three games, to light up the leagues poorest secondary, while Kyren Williams keeps the Washington defense honest on the ground. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Atlanta Falcons.

Game 307.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The NFC South has three teams tied at 6-7 and one team bringing up the rear, at 1-12. With last week’s loss at home against Tampa Bay, Atlanta dropped from the number four seed in the NFC, all the way down to the number 10 seed. The Falcons need every victory they can get right now. And what better team to face than the Panthers. Carolina is only one of two teams in the NFL eliminated from any chance at postseason play.  possess the worst record in all the football at 1-12. And as far as sportsbetting is concerned, they've only covered two games in 2023. Atlanta comes into this matchup a little angry and looking for a vengeance after letting their two-game win and cover streak come to an end a week ago. Surely, they are very confident here, knowing they took down Carolina back in early September, 24-10. I just don't see the Panthers, which rank 30th in the league in scoring, and during their current six-game slide has averaged a dismal, 11.6 points per game, keeping pace on the scoreboard here. It's just might be Atlanta’s biggest offensive output this season. Take the Falcons. Thank you.

Philadelphia Eagles.

Game 127.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

My friends, there is no question that these are two of the best teams in football. They just happen to both be NFC representatives. And also, both share the NFC East division. This game has serious implications down the road, for sure. The Philadelphia Eagles own an NFL-best, 10-2 record. The Dallas Cowboys are at 9-3. There are only two other teams in the NFC at 9-3, the Detroit Lions and the San Francisco 49ers. As far as us sports bettors go, Philadelphia is 6-3-3 ATS this season, while Dallas is 8-4 overall against the number on the campaign. The Eagles are money on the road, going 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS as a visitor in 2023. But it's hard to ignore the fact the Cowboys are a perfect 6-0 straight up at AT&T Stadium this season, covering five of their six games played as host. But even more than that, Dallas is riding a 14-game straight up home winning streak, which happens to be the second-longest in franchise history. Philly took a November 5 meeting at home over Dallas, 28-23 to give the team two wins and covers over the last three meetings with their division rival. The Eagles, who got caught, looking in a mid-October contest on the road at the New York Jets, just suffered their most embarrassing defeat in quite a while, losing 42-19 to the 49ers on national TV. This isn't a team that takes losing lightly, sports fans. I expect them to bounce back here and make a statement against a team they know very well. Not only that, this victory would certainly give them control over the Division. Remember, this is a team chock full of talent on both sides of the ball. Put a pin in that we're gonna’ come back around to it in a moment. They have manhandled just about every opponent they have faced this season, including some of the NFL elite (Miami, Dallas, Kansas City, and Buffalo). As far as Dallas goes, they have been one of the most exciting teams in the 2023 regular season. They're currently riding a four-game SU hot streak, covering three of the four. However, I've got to tell you, a lot of their wins have been against subpar opponents. Looking at their schedule thus far, they beat all the teams they should've beaten. But a late-September road loss at the hands of Arizona, throws up a red flag to me. And they did get embarrassed a few weeks later on the road at San Francisco. Other than the 49ers and the Eagles (games they both lost), they haven't faced too many of the Leagues powerhouse opponents. During their current hot run, they took down the New York Giants, the Carolina Panthers, and the Washington Commanders (a combined record of 9-28) before last week’s, 41-35 squeaker over the Seattle Seahawks. As far as injuries, both teams are relatively healthy at major positions as of this post. Both quarterbacks are seasoned, both possessing the luxury of an arsenal of receivers, and both running backs are outstanding. Statistically, the Cowboys own better numbers, both offensively and defensively. And on paper, they look like the better team. However, I think we can all agree that football is not played on paper. It is played on the gridiron. The Cowboys have an explosive passing attack and can exploit the sometimes, leaky Eagles secondary. However, Dallas’ offensive success relies upon their ability to run the ball to open up the passing game. And they're going to have a lot of problems here, moving the chains on the ground against the NFL’s stout, fourth-ranked rush defense. And at times on defense, the Cowboys stop-unit struggles come the second half against solid ground attacks. And the Eagles certainly have a solid ground attack. They rank eighth in the League, averaging over 126.0 yards per game on the ground. A combination of the Cowboys not facing a high-level of opponents this season along with the Eagles needing to bounce back and make a statement after last week’s loss, and throw in the fact, I just don't like Dak Prescott in big game situations, compels me to take the points here. Jalen Hurts has proven he can succeed in must-win games, while Prescott has not. Speaking of the points, the +3.5 is huge here. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Game 213.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The only way Alabama will stay in the College Football Playoff hunt is with an annihilation of Auburn this Saturday. You may not realize this, but since their September 9 surprise loss at home against Texas, this team has rattled off nine consecutive straight up victories, going 7-2 ATS. They have gone out of their way to crush every Conference opponent they have gone up against. Let's face it, they have had Auburns number. This is a team that has taken seven of the last nine meetings in this Conference rivalry straight up, covering six of those nine against the spread. This does include three consecutive wins, by an average of 17.6 PPG. The Tigers, at 6-5 are Bowl-eligible and really don't need to keep their foot on the gas here at all. They just want to get away with their lives. The Crimson tide quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured very nicely this season. He has an arsenal of receivers at his disposal and a solid ground attack as well. He has not made many mistakes at all this season. Thus, why the “O” ranks 16th in scoring, averaging over 36.5 points per game. But it has been their defense that has been solid and stellar all season long, ranking 14th in the nation, allowing a mere 17.4 points per game. If Auburn has a weakness, and trust me, they have more than one weakness, it is going up against aggressive defenses. They don't have a passing game. They solely rely on their ground game. So, Alabama can and will key on this. And I promise you, their linebackers will spend more time in the Auburn backfield, and the Auburn players themselves. The Crimson Tide as I mentioned earlier doesn't just need a win, they need a big win. They will get it. Take Alabama. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

Game 109.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

My friends, currently following the Monday Night contest, the Eagles possess the best record in the NFC, at 9-1, followed by the Detroit Lions at 8-2, then at 7-3, sits the Dallas Cowboys and the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers started off the season winning their first five outings, covering four of the five. Then they suffered a three-game slide in which they were crushed by injuries. I don't think it's a coincidence that as they’ve gotten healthy, they've won their last two games. This is a team that I feel is one of the best in the National Football League. After this week, they take a little hiatus until a December 3 meeting on the road at the Philadelphia Eagle's. I don't see them overlooking the Seattle Seahawks or being in a lookahead spot at all. They must take this game very seriously. They have to. They have a few extra days off to rest, heal, and prepare for their biggest matchup of the season in their next game. I know the Seattle Seahawks are getting some money put on them here in Vegas (as of post). For the life of me, I don't see why. They were beaten in their last outing by the Los Angeles Rams, 17-16. They allowed Los Angeles to put up 10 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to lose the game very late. This isn't just a reflection of their roster and personnel, it is a reflection of the coaching staff as well. Please understand that the 49ers have won both of their divisional games this season. They took both NFC West games in 2023 thus far: on the road at the Rams in mid-September, then a few weeks later at the beginning of October at home against the Cardinals. As far as the Seahawks go, their quarterback, Geno Smith, banged up his elbow in Sunday's loss. As of Tuesday morning, posting this play, he is questionable. I feel he's going to play. Whether he does or it's back up, Drew Lock, I don't think it matters. They will be going to go up against the NFL's top-ranked scoring defense. San Francisco allows just 15.7 points per game and have already snagged 19 takeaways. That does not bode well for a Seattle offense that's already coughed up the ball 11 times. Let's face it, their offensive unit is mediocre at best. They are horrible at running the ball and middle of the pack at throwing the ball. But either way, they are overmatched with a fast, ferocious, and furious San Francisco stop-unit. On the defensive side, they are facing a top-10 offense, both on the ground and in the air. Let's face it, the 49ers offensive unit has gotten healthy and are truly dangerous. I feel this team should be a favorite of nearly double-digits. So, laying right now less than a touchdown is an early Christmas present. Oh, by the way, San Fran took all three meetings last season, both SU and ATS. Take San Francisco. Thank you.

Minnesota Vikings.

Game 473.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

Guys, I've worked in every facet of this business. I spent several years working in line services. And even worked alongside the original Vegas odds makers. I'm pretty good at creating lines for games. And yet, for the life of me, I just don't see the line the odds makers put on this game. It looks like a trap to me. I have the Minnesota Vikings 1.0 to 1.5 points favorites here. This is currently the hottest team in the NFL, winning and covering five in a row and six of their last seven. As a matter fact, they have covered 5 straight road games. Is this all because Kirk cousins is out? My friends, he's been out for quite a while. Joshua Dobbs has done a very good job filling in at the helm. And their defense has certainly been much-improved. Maybe the odds makers made the line what it is because the Broncos are riding their own three-game win and cover streak. But let's face it, they beat a subpar Packers opponent, happen to catch the Chiefs at the right time, and come off a road win against the struggling Bills. Granted, two of those three teams are known as NFL elite. But I think they have just been very lucky. I feel Dobbs is going to have an enormous amount of success in the air here. I also feel they're going to establish the run against the NFL's worst rush defense. You know overall, the once-feared Denver “D” ranks dead last in points allowed this season, getting plowed for over 27.6 points per game. Meanwhile, offensively, I don't see them moving the chains as easily as they have against their last few opponents. Please remember that prior to the current win streak, the Broncos failed to cover their first five games of this season. The wrong team is favored. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

Game 472.

1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST.

Where to begin...hmm. For starters, this is definitely a disappointing season for the Buffalo Bills. They sit in second place in the AFC East at 5-5. This was a team touted to definitely be in the AFC Title game. Having said that, they began the 2023/2024 campaign off with a big nationally television broadcast loss back on September 11 on the road at the New York Jets. This was a very well publicized game. If you recall, Aaron Rodgers went down in the first series for New York. Everybody gasped, everybody said that's it for the Jets, and everybody said the Buffalo Bills will crush them here tonight. Well, that didn't happen. Following that loss, the Bills then rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. But have since gone just 2-4 straight up and 0-6 ATS.  They come off an embarrassing home defeat to the Denver Broncos. This is a team that does not take a losing lightly. This is a team that especially does not losing in front of their loyal fans. They must kickstart the season with the win here, or they are in dire straits. So, this brings me to my next point...revenge. They don't like losing period. They furthermore don't like losing to Conference opponents. And to go one further, they especially do not like losing to Division opponents. They've had this rematch circled since the opening season lost. The New York Jets are horrible. They lost their last two and failed to cover their last three. Their offense is nonexistent. To be quite honest, they haven't scored a touchdown in 36 straight drives as quarterback Zach Wilson has only thrown one touchdown in his last five games. Over the last two contests, they have zero touchdowns, while Wilson has been sacked 10 times. This does not bode well as they face a very angry Bills defense looking for a little redemption. You know overall the Buffalo's stop-unit still ranks fifth in points allowed, yielding just 18.4 PPG. Offensively, they still score quite a bit, ranking eighth and averaging over 26.2 points per game. If Buffalo is going to get their season back on track, they must start with a big revenge win here. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

Game 329.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

 The top-RANKED Georgia Bulldogs cannot take their foot off the gas HERE. With only a few games remaining in the regular season, they have Tennessee up here, then a road game at Georgia Tech, and then finish the season on neutral ground against Alabama in the SEC Title game. There are a few other undefeated teams that round out the top-five in Ohio State, Michigan, Florida State, and Washington. This week a few of those teams have tough conference competition. And next week the No. 2 and No. 3 teams, the Buckeyes, and the Wolverines square off against one another. So, if the Bulldogs keep their foot on the gas, run the gauntlet and stay perfect, they guarantee themselves a spot in the CFP. Even if they drop the game against Alabama and win everything else big time, they should still be in that CFP. The Volunteers just got spanked a week ago at the hands of the Tigers, 36-7. There is no way they could face this weeks opponent on either side of the ball as they are outclassed. Take Georgia. Thank you.

Oklahoma Sooners.

Game 371.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

You know, folks, Oklahoma is not happy about missing the CFP. This is the team that was running perfect through the end of October. Then losses on the road at Kansas and that Oklahoma State snuffed out any chance they had at the CFP. They did follow that up with an annihilation, 59-20 over West Virginia. This is a team that does not take losing lightly. This is a team that had high expectations this season. One thing for sure, they still have a chance at the Conference title. But they must win their last two games.  Please remember they have covered point spreads of 37.0, 16.5, 28.0, 13.5, 20.5, and 13.0. Not only do they have to win, they have to absolutely annihilate the remaining opponents. That starts with BYU this week and finishes with TCU next week. Trust me when I tell you, they will crush both. The Cougars have had a hard time this season. As a matter fact, since the end of September things have gotten very hard for the team. It just so happens that coincided with Conference play. BYU was just 2-5 straight up in Big 12 action. And have only covered three of their 10 outings this season overall. That does include just two games in Big 12 play. Just over the last three outings, they lost by 31 at the hands of the Longhorns, 31 at the hands of the Mountaineers, and 32 at the hands of the Cyclones. Don't think that they have any dreams about even making a bowl. They just want to get this season over and done with. Their offense is atrocious. Their defense is atrocious. They have no team leadership. And let's be honest, their coaching is horrible. On both sides of the ball, they are significantly outclassed. This game will get ugly. Take the sooners. Thank you.

Michigan.

Game 149.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Yeah, yeah, yeah…we have all read the news about Michigan not having been tested thus far this season. But can you blame them? Just because the opposition has been less than stellar, it doesn’t take away from the fact the Wolverines are the strongest team in the nation. Despite the off-the-field news, they will go out of their way to crush a Nittany Lions foe that gave the Buckeyes all they can handle. Just like Michigan hasn’t faced solid teams, Penn State fell short when they went up against a strong adversary. This is the Wolverines opportunity to make a statement. Take Michigan. Thank you.

New York Jets.

Game 476.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 EST.

Very simply, I feel the wrong team is favored here. On my two sets of power ratings, I have New York a 2.0-point favorite at a 4.3-point favorite. For starters, the Chargers are not the best road team. They have won just one game straight up on the road since January 1. They've also covered just one game on the road since January 1. They have to face a Jets team that have won three in a row straight up, and are just a half-point away from covering their last four outings. During their current win streak, their defense has allowed just 15.0 points per game, while their offense has stepped up to account for 21.3 points for game during the hot streak. Zach Wilson is showing significant signs of improvement and leadership, which does not bode well for a Los Angeles defense that ranks dead last in the NFL against the pass. Meanwhile, the erratic Chargers offensive unit, which solely relies upon the pass, lines up against the League’s fifth-ranked, pass defense and it's eighth overall stop-unit in points allowed. As I mentioned at the beginning of this analysis, I think the wrong team is favored in. Take the Jets. Thank you.

Minnesota Vikings on the moneyline.

NFC NORTH GOM.

Game 267.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM ET.

It may be just the end of October, but my friends, this game has serious implications down the road. The Detroit Lions are in first place in the NFC North at 5-2. They have a Monday Night matchup at home against the Las Vegas Raiders this week. Sitting in second place is the Minnesota Vikings at 3-4. Third place sees the the Green Bay Packers at 2-4. And bringing up the rear at 2-5, is the Chicago Bears. If Minnesota wins, they pick up a few games on Green Bay. If Green Bay wins, they leapfrog Minnesota. Having said all that the Vikings are starting to stride. They have won and covered their last two outings: on the road at the Bears, the game wasn't as close as their 19-13 victory. Then at home last week as an underdog, they manhandled the 49ers. That game gave them their third ATS cover over their last four contests. Meanwhile, Green Bay is now riding a three-game losing streak, both SU and ATS. The Vikings are also looking for a little payback here. They're looking for revenge from last January’s, 41-17 beat down at the hands of the Packers.  Granted, Green Bay has a pretty good best defense. However, not too many have been able to slow down, let alone, stop the third-ranked passing unit of Minnesota. On the flipside, the mistake-prone Jordan Love (seven INT's) is in trouble here as he goes up against the very stingy, very nasty, defense of Minnesota that has already snagged 10 takeaways. This line is going up and down a little bit. Just the err on the side of caution, take the Vikings on the money line. Thank you.

Miami-Ohio.

MAC GOM.

Game 362.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

Oddly enough, these two MAC teams haven't met in over a decade. Both teams hold 3-0 records in Conference play as well as 6-1 overall marks. But when it comes to covering the spread, that's where they differ. Toledo is on a 0-5 ATS no cover streak. But checking our stats going a little further, they are also 0-8 ATS when coming off of a win as a favorite as well as 2-11 ATS their last 13 overall as a favorite. Meanwhile, Miami Ohio has not just won their last six games straight up, they've also covered their last six games as well. The Redhawks are a little more well-balanced on both sides of the ball. The wrong team is favored here. Take Miami-Ohio. Thank you.

Oklahoma.

Consensus GOM.

Game 390.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

UCF Head Coach, Gus Malzahn stated starting quarterback, John Rhys Plumlee is close to 100% and is expected to see action here (check status). In my opinion, although the play-caller is talented, it will not matter. His numbers weren’t all that great when he was on the field. The Knights are on a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. They have failed to cover all three of their road games this season. And going back to last season, failed to cover six in a row away from home. Normally, I would look to fade Oklahoma following the Red River Rivalry. But this team is playing on another level. Following their road win and cover as an underdog to Texas, they had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare. They are not just 6-0 straight up this season, they are 6-0 against the spread as well. The Sooners have a real chance to run the gauntlet and go undefeated during the regular season and make a case for the CFP. Oklahoma quarterback, Dillon Gabriel is salivating here. He has a chance to go up against his former team, and show them why he left. The Knights defense has allowed 44, 36, and 51 points in consecutive contests. The Central Florida offense solely relies upon their ability to run the ball. This doesn't bode well as Oklahoma's stop-unit ranks 32nd in the nation against the rush. The Sooners have already covered pointspreads of 13.5 and 20.5 over Conference foes. This game gets ugly. Take Oklahoma. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 272.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Covering their first three games of the season, Arizona was shaping up to be an under the radar ATS moneymaker. But when October arrived, the Cardinals fell back down to Earth, going 0-2, both straight up and against the spread as underdogs of 14.5 and 3.0 points. On the other hand, the Rams just might be the best sub .500 team in the League right now. And if they're going to take it up a notch, this is the matchup to kick it off. They have dominated their division foe, taking eight of their last 10 meetings, both SU and ATS. Arizona's only true offensive weapon, running back, James Conner is out, dealing a critical blow to the team. Reports are L.A. star wide receiver, Cooper Kupp will be a major factor here in his second game back from injury. Kupp, in his first game back from injury, a week ago, had eight receptions for 118 yards. The cobwebs have been shaken off now. Expect the Stafford/Kupp connection to pick apart the 26th ranked pass defense of ‘Zona in one of my highest-rated plays on the board this week. Take the Rams. Thank you.  

Philadelphia Eagles.

Consensus play.

Game 273.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Only one of two undefeated teams left this season, Philadelphia is truly scary. Why? Because we still haven't seen their "A" game. With a meeting with Miami, up next, you can expect them to stay focused here. Granted, New York has a stellar rushing attack, behind running back, Breece Hall. But the Eagles counter with the No. 1 "D" in the NFL vs. the run. With a potentially limited ground game to crutch on, quarterback, Zach Wilson and the 32nd ranked passing "O" of the Jets is in real trouble here. They will not be able to exploit the Eagles, shaky secondary. Philly is money on the road, with a 3-0 ATS mark as a guest this season. In a huge mismatch, the 2nd ranked rushing attack of the Eagles, will shred the NFL’s 29th ranked rush defense of the Jets. Yes, overall, the NY stop-unit owns some solid statistics. But when facing well-balanced offenses (Dallas 30, Kansas City 23) they are very beatable. FYI, I give a “mulligan” to Buffalo on that first game of the season against NYJ (lol). Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Oregon State.

PAC 12 PAYDAY.

Game 190.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

All I keep reading is how good the Bruins defense is. However, they stepped up in class once this season and got spanked a few weeks back against Utah. On the other hand, Oregon State has looked strong against solid opposition. They are 5-1 straight up, going 4-2 against the spread. They opened the season against a couple of pushover foes, earning wins and covers. Then they took their foot off the gas winning, big but not covering a huge pointspread against San Diego State. I'll give them a mulligan in their heartbreaking three-point road loss against rival, Washington State a few weeks back. However, they bounced back and took control of their destiny beating Utah at home and Cal on the road, with authority. By the way, they covered both of those outings too. This is a team that gets us sportsbettors paid at home, covering 14 of their last 15 contests at Reser Stadium. Quarterback, DJ Uiagalelei has matured quite nicely, and found a home as the head of this team. They possess a solid ground attack. Defensively they're holding teams to under 20 points per game and I've already snagged four takeaways. I believe they're going to make it a very long day for Dante Moore, UCLA’s freshman quarterback that only has five games under his belt as a starter. With a more experienced quarterback, a significantly stronger rushing attack, a smart head coach, and playing at home, we must take the Beavers. Thank you.

Auburn Tigers.

TD play.

Game 159.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Whispers around the Las Vegas sportsbooks are that there's going to be some serious money coming in on LSU this Saturday. And why not? They rank 22nd in the nation. And following their road loss to Mississippi, they bounced back last week and took down Missouri as a visitor too. They return home to face an Auburn opponent riding a two-game straight up losing streak. But my friends, sportsbetting is about situations and matchups. And the situation here tells me the Tigers of Auburn are going to catch the Tigers of LSU at the right time. First of all, Auburn has covered the last four meetings in this series, winning two of those matchups straight up. The other two matchups, they lost by three and four points. They play LSU tough, my friends. Guys, Louisiana State was supposed to have an awesome defense this season. But to be quite honest, every halfway decent opponent they went up against, has put up points on them; Florida State 45, Arkansas 31, Mississippi 55, and Missouri 39. They certainly have a very talented quarterback at the helm, and a solid running back in the backfield. But Auburn owns some pretty good statistics as well, ranking 25th in the nation in points allowed, yielding just 18.2 points per game. They're equally strong against the pass as they are against the rush. And offensively they possess one of the most complete rushing units in college football, ranking 19th, and averaging over 200 yards per game on the ground. It is this area that I feel benefits Auburn the most. They will run the ball a lot, wear down the LSU defense, control the clock, and keeping the LSU defense on the field, while keeping their offense off it.  Giving Auburn double-digits as they look to rebound from two straight up losses, and had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare is a mistake. Take Auburn. Thank you.

Maryland Terrapins.

No Limit.

Game 128.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Facing Maryland, following their first loss of the campaign, will prove to be fatal for Illinois. The Terrapins have too much fire power for the "not so" Fighting Illini. Maryland has played some solid football this season. And as far as covering the spread, following a couple of pushover opponents to start off the season, in which they pulled starters, and took the foot off the gas late in the games, they then covered three straight against the likes of Virginia, Michigan State, and Indiana. To be quite honest, last week’s loss at Ohio State was a lot closer than the score. Speaking of covering the spread, this team is 6-1 ATS their last seven as a home favorite of eight or more points. Meanwhile, Illinois has failed to cover any of their six contests in 2023. As a matter fact, going back a bit, they have failed to cover any outings in the calendar year of 2023, failing to cover seven straight games, going back to last season. Turnovers have been an issue for the Fighting Illini, and facing a Terrapins opponent here that has not turned the ball over offensively, and yet has snagged eight takeaways defensively, will be the nails in the coffin here. I'm both sides of the ball, Maryland outclasses Illinois. Take the Terrapins. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

High Roller.

Game 471.

1:25 pm pst/4:25 pm est.

Following their season-opening loss in which they were shorthanded for sure, Kansas City has now rattled off three consecutive wins, going 2-1 against the spread. Meanwhile, on the other end of the spectrum, Minnesota opened the season up going 0-3, both straight up against the spread, but came up with a big win last week on the road at Carolina to also earn their first cover of the campaign. But I've got to be honest, my friends, their defense has been absolutely atrocious and beating the Panthers is no big achievement. A big mistake made by sports bettor's out there is judging a team by their previous performance. I can tell you the Chiefs did not play their best game last week when they did eke by the Jets on the road. This is a game they have to get back on track, get all their ducks in a row, and get their foot on the gas. Facing an inexperienced quarterback that just can't seem to get a grasp of the NFL in Bryce Young is a far cry from going up against the most accomplished quarterback in the league today in Patrick Mahomes. Don't expect the Vikings defense to have the same success here this week at all. As a matter of fact, they are in for a huge let down for sure. On the opposite side of the ball, the Kansas City defense has really been superb, allowing just 15.0 points per game. My friends, please remember that the Vikings offense ranks dead least in the league in turnovers. I expect that number to skyrocket and for them to keep their 32nd ranking in tact after this contest. I look for this game to get out of hand. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

No Limit

Game 452.

6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST.

Guys, I am well aware that Jacksonville has become a fan favorite in London. And they did not have to travel last week following their win against Atlanta across the pond. But Buffalo has revenge in their eyes. These two teams met at Wembley stadium in 2015 when the Jaguars came out victorious, 34-31. Losing doesn't sit well with the Bills. Speaking of the team, following their season-opening embarrassing loss on national TV to a jets team minus Aaron Rodgers, the team has now won and covered three consecutive outings against some solid competition. In all sincerity, the Jaguars haven't had to face an opponent as complete as the Bills yet this season. Trevor Lawrence is struggling. And now has to line up against one of the most ferocious stop-units in the NFL. As a matter fact, Buffalo ranks fourth against the pass sixth in total yards allowed, second in points scored, and first in takeaways, snagging 11 already. And now that Josh Allen is back on track and doing what he does, I see him absolutely dissecting the 21st ranked pass defense of Jacksonville. This game is going to get out of hand while Buffalo gets their revenge. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines.

Oddsmakers mistake.

Game 401.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

My friends, Michigan is sitting pretty right now. They are a perfect 5-0, ranked second in the nation in the polls, and don't have a very tough opponent for quite a while until November 11, when they face Penn State. Normally you would think that you don't want to lay this type of wood when they have several weeks of pushover opposition upcoming. But they can't let themselves get stale, that's for sure. They also can’t put in a lackluster performance in which a result might be drop in the polls. These days style points mean a lot my friends. They have dominated Minnesota, taking nine of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering eight of those 10, which includes wins and covers in the last two meetings. Speaking of the Golden Gophers, they got their first cover since last December last week, against the Ragin' Cajuns. This is a team that has really not impressed at all. They couldn't cover against Nebraska, Eastern, Michigan, North Carolina, or Northwestern. It was the last two games that I really focused on. Granted, they were on the road in both of those outings, but they got crushed at the hands of the Tar Heels offense, and then against the very mediocre Wildcats, they were just simply outplayed. The Wolverines possess one of the most well-balanced offensive units in college football. They average over 34.4 points per game and they've only committed one turnover. Defensively, they are the top stop-unit in the nation, allowing a mere 6.0 points per game, ranking 11th against the pass and 14th against the rush. By the way, they've already snagged five takeaways, too. This game will get seriously out of hand. But remember it's only the second game back for Coach Harbaugh, and last week against Nebraska on the road, they devoured the Cornhuskers, 45-7. This team will go above and beyond with their coach back on the sidelines to crush the Golden Gophers. As I mentioned earlier, style points mean a lot right now, especially being they’re playing some less than great opposition in the upcoming schedule. Take Michigan. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

Consensus Play.

Game 274.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 EST.

My friends, I think the line is a little off here. I think it should be closer to a -9 or even -10. Yes, I know Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots got a win    ND cover last week on the road against the Jets. But haven’t they beat them like 15 straight times? Let’s look at their performance prior to last week when they beat a Jets team with a shaky quarterback. They opened up the season losing, 25-20 at home against Philadelphia, and then followed it up also at home, losing to Miami, 24-17. Last week’s win and cover was a rarity. That was their first win since January 1. And that was the first cover since December 12 of last year. I know “the Hoodie” is an amazing coach. But he just doesn’t have the personnel any more, my friends. Let’s look at Dallas. They opened up the campaign annihilating the New York Giants on the road, 40-0, then followed that up with a Week 2 win at home against the New York Jets, 30-10. Last week as an 11-point favorite, they lost outright on the road to Arizona, 28-16. This is a perfect “bounce back” situation for the Cowboys. I know they took a serious blow when they lost CB, Trevon Diggs. But this team is loaded and they have a lot of play makers on defense. I mean they rank third in points allowed, yielding just 12.7 points per game. They’ve already snagged seven takeaways as well. They are a little bit better against the pass than they are against the rush. But let’s face it, the New England 26th ranked scoring offense…to put it very simply, is lackluster. I doubt Mac Jones will have any success in the air here, even without Diggs in the secondary. And in all sincerity, their rushing attack isn’t very threatening. Defensively, they put up some decent numbers overall. But they did give up 25 points to the Eagles and 24 points to the Dolphins. Last week when they only allowed the Jets to put up 10 points…well guys, that’s the Jets. I see Dallas bouncing back with authority here getting the win and cover at home. By the way, the Patriots are just 1-3 ATS their last four on the road, while the Cowboys are 7-2 ATS their last nine games played in their house. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

Ten Dimes.

Game 463.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Buffalo Bills have extremely high expectations again this season. They are tired of being a bridesmaid. Following their season-opening loss to the Jets, sans Aaron Rodgers, they bounced back last week to absolutely crush the Raiders. Not only did their defense step up, play strong, and create turnovers, but Josh Allen played mistake free football. Great effort from running back, James Cook as well. Going back to Allen, he really wants to shake the reputation of being mistake-prone. I understand the Washington Commanders are off to a 2-0 start. But before we begin handing out Lombardi Trophies to Ron Rivera and his team, let’s please remember that this team has a lackluster offense, and a defense that sprung a lot of leaks a season ago. Their supposed “stop-unit” allowed the lackluster, Denver Broncos “O” to post 33 points on them last week.  Quarterback, Sam Howell has a whopping, three starts at this level under his belt. And trust me when I tell you, none of the defenses he had to lineup against were as tough, as talented, or as angry as a defense he’s going to face this week. That Week 1 loss the Buffalo Bills experienced will not only make them a better team, it will make them a team looking for vengeance. They outclass the Washington Commanders in every aspect of the game. Lay the points with Buffalo. Thank you.

Washington State.

No Limit.

Game 376.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Both teams are 3-0 straight up. Both teams are 2-1 against the spread. But that’s where their similarities end. Oregon State has faced the likes of San Jose State, UC Davis, and San Diego State. Meanwhile, Washington State has gone up against Colorado State, Wisconsin, and Northern Colorado. Granted their last opponent leaves a lot to be desired. But they have gone up against some very stiff competition and have played very well. They can counter the Beavers strong rushing attack with an extremely stout run defense. And I just don’t see Oregon State slowing down their explosive passing attack. Prior to last season’s meeting, the Cougars had won eight consecutive matchups in this rivalry straight up, going 6-3 against the spread. They will get revenge from last year’s loss. Take Washington State. Thank you.

Penn State Nittany Lions.

Oddsmakers Mistake.

Game 127.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM PST.

My friends, Penn State should be at least an 18 to 21-point favorite in this matchup. If there is a true mismatch on the board this Saturday in college football, this game is it. My friends, it was just last season that the Illinois defense was making headlines. This season, not so much. They have failed to cover both outings so far, as they eked by Toledo, 30-28 as a 7.5-point favorite and then lost, 34-23 on the road at Kansas, as a 3.5-point underdog. Their defense has sprung a big leak. Granted, Penn State really didn’t have any opposition thus far, winning and covering at home against both West Virginia and Delaware. But don’t forget that this team has been money against the spread, covering nine straight games going back to last season. Might I remind you they’ve been big favorites on more than one occasion during that span. This is their first conference matchup, and the Nittany Lions must make a statement to the rest of the Big Ten. Penn State has gotten the better of Illinois, winning and covering three of the last four overall meetings. Going back a bit, they have covered three of the last four contests played at Illinois as well. Without the defensive mind of Ryan Walters, who departed for Purdue, I just don’t see the Fighting Illini putting up much of a fight against the well-balanced offense of the Nittany Lions. They have a smart coach, a seasoned quarterback, and a seven-game straight up winning streak going back to last year. PSU needs to make a splash in this conference. And what better way than to shred Illinois here. Take Penn State. Thank you.

Florida State Seminoles.

ACC Game of the Month.

Game 117.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

With Clemson already at 1-1 overall, which does include an 0-1 conference record, Florida State has a legitimate shot at taking the ACC crown this season. This team came out of the chute and blasted LSU as a one-point underdog in Week 1, 45-24. If there was going to be a letdown situation, it would’ve been last week when they did cover as a 31-point favorite over Southern Miss at home, 66-13. This is their last game against a pushover before they take on some serious conference opponents. They have Clemson up next. This is their last opportunity to fine tune their offense and defense. And trust me, they are not going let their foot off the gas against an ACC foe. They face a Boston College opponent here that fell way short in their season opener, dropping a 27-24 home game against Northern Illinois as an eight-point favorite. If they were going to show some moxie, they would’ve done it last week when they eked by Holy Cross by only three points as a double-digit favorite. Over the last four seasons, the Seminoles have taken four meetings against the Eagles, both straight up and against the spread. Last year’s matchup saw an absolute beat down as Florida State thumped Boston College, 44-14. Offensively, the Eagles are very little threat as they’re having trouble both on the ground and in the air. Defensively, it’s going to be a long day for their defense, going up against one of the most explosive offenses in the country, that is accounting for over 55.5 points per game. The Seminoles are equally strong on the ground and in the air. They have a very solid, rushing attack to control the tempo and the clock, while their explosive air assault can go down field at well. Take Florida State. Thank you.

Las Vegas Raiders.

NFL ANGLE PLAY.

Game 471.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

With a new quarterback at the helm and signing their running back to a long-term deal, the Las Vegas Raiders are entering the 2023 regular season with excitement. Many out there will say the same for the Denver Broncos. However, an aging quarterback with a lackluster offense, which in turn had their defense spending too much time on the field last season and springing leaks, I feel this team is in trouble. For the Raiders, what better team to face than the Broncos. For us sports bettors, they have covered nine of the last 10 meetings, going back to September, 2018. They have also won eight of the last 10 straight up, which includes six consecutive matchups with their division rival. Jimmy Garoppolo had a 40-17 regular season record as a starter in six seasons with the San Francisco 49ers. He’s got some big receivers, including superstar wideout, Davante Adams. In the backfield, Josh Jacobs, who had 1,653 yards rushing a season ago is a workhorse. With a solid passing game and an incredible ground attack, this offense is going to be very hard to defend. Speaking of defense, Las Vegas certainly beefed up their stop-unit in the off-season. Let’s face it, Wilson is not the quarterback he once was. He doesn’t have the legs as he did in his youth. And without a solid ground attack, I feel the Broncos “O” is going to struggle once again this season. On paper, it looks like Denver has edges both overall on the roster and in coaching. But the last time this team beat the Raiders by more than one-point on their home field, was back in 2017. Playing in Mile High doesn’t offer the big advantage it once did. If you recall a season ago, the Broncos failed to cover four of their first five at home. This is way too many points to give a very hungry visitor, which has had their way in this series for years. By the way, Denver has failed to cover six straight as a divisional home favorite. Take Las Vegas. Thank you.

Washington Huskies.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 198.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

My friends, this might be one of the biggest mismatches on the college football board this Saturday. To say that the Pac 12 is in a state of flux, would be an understatement. The USC Trojans were supposed to run away with this conference this season. However, after watching their defense allow San Jose State to put up 28 points on them as they failed to cover last week, we must admit that they might have the same problems they had in recent years. Their defense, their defense, their defense!. Both the Oregon Ducks and the Washington Huskies are touted to vie for the PAC 12 title. And right now, I have to be honest, the Huskies are sitting in the catbird seat. There is no question Boise State is a solid team in the Mountain West. They are supposed to be the top team in the conference this season. If you recall, they went up against Oregon State in Week 1 of last season and got blown up, 34-17. Let’s be honest, they just don’t face the same level of competition as does their opponent here this weekend. Their “all-universe” quarterback, Hank Bachmeier has departed the team and is now wearing a Louisiana Tech uniform. The Broncos are also missing some of their coaching staff, who have also departed for bigger and better. Maybe the writing is on the wall. Guys, there is no way they can keep pace offensively with the high-flying squad headed by Michael Penix Jr. A season ago, the Huskies offense ranked number one in passing yards, number two in total yards, and number four in points scored. Oh, by the way, they also didn’t turn the ball over too much, ranking second in college football in that category. Statistics can be quite deceiving my friends. Last season, Boise State possessed one of the best pass defenses in the land. However, when you go up against run-heavy offenses, like they did (Wyoming, Air Force, San Diego State, UTEP, New Mexico, Oregon State) the statistics are going be padded for sure. This is not just a step up in class for their pass defense. This is a step up, step up, step up, like they’ve never experienced before. This is a true mismatch. Lay the two TDs with the Huskies. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

NFL POSTSEASON ANGLE PLAY.

Game 321.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

 There is no question in my mind both the 49ers and Eagles deserve to be in the NFC Championship game. I mean finally we can throw away the bones and just eat the meat on an NFC matchup folks. Guys, an enormous amount of Philadelphia’s success comes from their ability to run the football. Hence it comes from their offensive lines ability to manhandle opposing defensive lines. That’s not going to be the case here this week, folks. San Francisco’s defense ranks No. 1 in the NFL in points allowed, No. 1 in total yards allowed, and No. 2 at stopping to rush. Oh, by the way they also rank 2nd in the League in takeaways, snagging 28 turnovers. And there is no way this defensive front is going to get manhandled. I’m not looking to take away anything from the Eagles offensive line. They are very good. But they’re not going to be able to manhandle their opponent here. That is going to seriously stunt their ground game. Jalen Hurts is a good quarterback. But I don’t think he would be the same quarterback put in other systems in the NFL. He’s also not 100%. And I think that will be an issue as well. Let’s face it guys, he isn’t the greatest passer in the world. And I really feel the San Fran secondary is going to add to their NFL-high 20 INT’s this season. You can also look for DE, Nick Bosa to have one of his best performances of the campaign as he goes up against LT, Jordan Mailata (Big mismatch, folks). Now defensively, Philly is pretty damn good as well. They are tops in the League against the pass and rank eighth in points allowed. They’re also pretty good at snagging takeaways, themselves. However, the 49ers “O” does not make many mistakes and does not turn the ball over very often. That is huge inn the playoffs, sports fans. Now, I keep hearing about how Brock Purdy is a rookie quarterback. Well folks, he spent four years as a starter in the Big 12. And he was on quite a few big game platforms in those four years. Now he’s in the NFL as a rookie. Yes, we all know he is a rookie. Well, he’s got seven games as a starter under his belt, which in case you’ve forgotten, are all victories. Guys, one more item on the subject of Purdy: when you are a “less-experienced” QB, you tend not to take any chances and force making plays. Therefore, make less mistakes. Keep that in mind. Listen folks, if you’re cooking in the kitchen and you’ve got Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle in the recipe, that’s going to be a pretty damn fine meal. Throw in the mix, Deebo Samuel, and you got the best food on the planet. I don’t feel the Eagles defense will be able to contain every one of those weapons. Particularly, McCaffrey coming out of the backfield. He will be a big reason why San Francisco moves the chains at will here. By the way folks, Philly has only covered one of the last six games played in the month of January, one of the last five games played versus NFC opponents, and one of the last five games played overall. On the flipside, San Francisco has covered 20 of the last 26 in the month of January, 20 of the last 26 versus NFC foes, and 23 other last 31 overall. Take the points with the 49ers and get paid. Thank you.  

Cincinnati Bengals.

98% ANGLE PLAY.

Game 315.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

My friends, I will tell you that both Cincinnati and Buffalo might have gotten a little lucky last week. I will also tell you that this is where Buffalo Bills fans are going to be very angry at me, that Josh Allen is one of the dumbest quarterbacks in this league. He makes a lot of stupid mistakes…a lot of stupid mistakes. Let’s face it, when he was at Wyoming, they had literally one of the worst ranked offenses in the nation. They had such a good defense, they kept him winning for a bit. He came to Buffalo and he is surrounded by good personnel. But he still makes stupid mistakes and he puts the defense in predicaments where they get tired. You know who isn’t a dumb quarterback… Joe Burrow. He won at LSU, he went to the Super Bowl last year, and instead of being in a hangover this year, this is a quarterback that has led his team to nine consecutive straight up victories, covering eight of the nine. Well let me rephrase that. Depending on when you bet the Bengals last week, you either won, pushed, or lost by a hook. I do believe both offenses will have success in the air. Both will struggle a bit on the ground, but eventually will get their ground games going. But this is going to come down to mistakes. And the Bills rank 30th in the NFL, committing over 27 turnovers. And you know what? Most of them fall on the shoulders of Allen. Yes, he has talent athletically. I’m not going to debate that. But his mind is mush. He makes a lot of stupid mistakes. I am going with the smarter, more stable, proven winner in Burrow. This game is going to be a tight one, coming down to whichever team makes fewer mistakes. And that will be Cincinnati. The Bills have only covered two of the last seven at home, one of the last six against teams with a winning record, and only two of the last seven playoff games. Meanwhile, the Bengals are 6-1 ATS the last seven played the month of January, 36-17 ATS the last 53 on the road, and 5-1 ATS the last six in the playoffs. Take the points with the Bengals. Thank you.

Cincinnati Bengals.

No Limit.

Game 150.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST

I am sure you recall these two teams met a week ago. Cincinnati took the game, 27-16. Lamar Jackson is out again here. As you all know, he hasn’t taken the field since December 4. And hasn’t played any significant amount of time since November 27. Let’s face it, the offense’s entire success revolves around Jackson working his magic, allowing the ground game to keep defenses honest. Even when he was healthy, in all sincerity, this team really wasn’t scoring a ton of points guys. In my opinion, Cincy is just about the most well-balanced team right now in the NFL. Offensively, they’re averaging over 26.1-points per game. And you can expect the first-ranked passing offense, led by Joe Burrow to light up the sky here against the 26th-ranked pass defense of Baltimore. Overall, they’re rushing stats aren’t very impressive. However, Joe Mixon is more than adequate folks…he really is. On the flipside, the Bengals defense is allowing just 20.1-points per game and has seemed to have gotten stronger over the last month, yielding just 16.7-points per game over the last four outings. My friends, coming into the postseason, Cincy has rattled off eight consecutive wins and depending on your line last week, eight consecutive covers as well. At the very worst, you got a push last week guys. I don’t normally look at momentum coming into the postseason in the NFL because the playoffs are a whole different monster. But understand that Joe Burrow and company made it to the big game a season ago. He has won in the playoffs and a few years back on a huge platform playing for LSU. This is a team full of talent and are playing with an enthusiasm and excitement that we very rarely see these days. I know it’s a big number, but understand the Bengals have covered the last six games played at home, are 19-6-1 ATS the last 26 versus AFC opponents, and 4-0-1 ATS the last five playoff games. Lay the points here with Cincinnati. Thank you.

TCU Horned Frogs.

National Championship Game Winner.

Game 287.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

What many sports bettors fall victim to this time of year is overthinking the National Championship Game. Obviously, with nine days between the College Football Playoff and the Title Game, you’re going to read countless articles, columns, trends, streaks, etc. My friends, don’t overthink this matchup. There is no questioning the Georgia Bulldogs have earned the No. 1 spot in the nation and deserve of all their praise and accolades. However, making this team nearly a two-touchdown favorite is a mistake. The odds makers are hoping that you buy into all the media and the hype the last few weeks. Yes, the Bulldogs are 14-0 this season. Yes, the Horned Frogs lost one game, sporting a 13-1 straight up record. I will not argue I feel Georgia is a little stronger in the trenches in this matchup. However, they are also overvalued quite a bit by the oddsmakers only covering one of their last four outings. Their defense, which overall has been very impressive the season, has gotten plowed for 71 combined points over the last two games. And I feel they have significantly more pressure on them to win here on Monday. Not only that guys, but I think we can all agree that perhaps Buckeyes head coach, Ryan Day made a couple of bad in-game decisions last week. Granted, TCU did lose the Conference Championship in overtime to Kansas State a month ago. But it also showed this team and their coaching staff what they need to work on. I also don’t want you to solely judge the Horned Frogs by their decisive win over the Wolverines last week. Yes, Michigan is certainly one of the most complete teams in College Football this year. And TCU handled them pretty well. But looking at this team overall, this season they have knocked off five ranked teams, including three as an underdog. Many were worried that their biggest ball-carrier, Kendre Miller was sidelined. But I think we can all agree, Emari Demercado can fill in on the rushing game without missing a beat. On this platform, mistakes and turnovers usually play a key part in the outcome of the game. And once again, TCU is significantly better on both sides of the ball as they do not commit nearly as many turnovers as Georgia, and while they do snag more takeaways than the Bulldogs. One more item folks…they are money. They are 4-0 ATS the last four nonconference games played and 10-3-1 ATS the last 14 overall games played. Oh, by the way Georgia has failed to cover each of their last four nonconference games folks. I just feel this is way too many points to give a very talented and scrappy bunch like the Horned Frogs led by a quarterback, who perhaps possesses more heart and grit than any other QB in the nation. Take TCU. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

Late Bailout Play.

Game 460.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

The Packers control their own destiny. They win and they’re in. Their division rival, the Lions need a bit of help as well as a victory here today. As a matter fact the Lions might be eliminated even before this game starts. They need the Seahawks to lose to the Rams this morning. If Seattle wins, Detroit has no chance of making the postseason. Not only does Green Bay have momentum, winning and covering four straight games coming into this contest. But they are led by one of the most seasoned veterans in the game today in Aaron Rodgers. He gets to go up against the 30th ranked pass defense in the NFL. By the way speaking of defenses, the Green Bay stop-unit has held their last four opponents to an average of just 17-points per game. To make matters worse, the home team has covered the last six meetings between these two rivals. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines.

Cash Money Play.

Saturday, December 31, 2022.

Game 276.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

My friends, for once there is no questioning the Final Four teams that made this year’s College Football Playoffs. Normally, we’re engulfed in controversy about teams that made it and certain teams that should’ve made it. That’s not the case this season. And I expect the Peach Bowl between Ohio State and Georgia is a highly anticipated matchup as well as this game that I’m going to talk about, the Fiesta Bowl between Texas Christian and Michigan. Both teams certainly deserve to be here. The Horned Frogs possess a 12-1 mark, with their only defeat coming in the Big 12 Championship game at the hands of the Wildcats. The Wolverines, at 13-0 have already set a school record for most victories in a season. They’re also looking to finish undefeated for the first time since 1997, when they won a share of the National Championship, back then when it was decided by the polls. Guys, I’m not going to get in to some big debate over my next item, but I don’t think anyone would really question the fact that the Big Ten is a bit stronger than the Big 12. The Big 12 is chock-full of offenses that can light up the scoreboard. However, the Big Ten is made up of good, well-balanced offenses, along with defenses that could shut down opponents’ offenses. Looking at TCU‘s schedule this season, they had quite a bit of problems with opponents like Oklahoma State, Texas, and even Baylor. And as we all saw in the December 3, Big 12 Title game, Kansas State really took it to them as quarterback, Max Duggan and the offense looked very vulnerable. As far as Michigan goes, they didn’t have too many close games this season. As a matter of fact, the only opponent that gave them a tough time the entire campaign was Illinois. But as we came to find out, the Fighting Illini’s defense was the real-deal. Speaking of that loss to the Wildcats, the very smart head coach, Jim Harbaugh and his staff watched the game tapes of that contest and will take a page out of it as to how to slow down the quarterback and the rushing attack. Granted, the Horned Frogs offense is equally good on the ground and in the air, resulting in scoring 40.3 points per game. However, they haven’t faced a defense like they’re going to face here this week. The Wolverine stop-unit ranks fifth nationally, allowing just 13.4-points per game and was equally tough against the rush as well as a pass. They will shut down the ground game of TCU as did Kansas State. Thus, putting more pressure on Duggan, throwing a lot of different schemes at him and a lot of blitzes. Trust me when I tell you they will force him to make mistakes here in this game. Defensively, the Horned Frogs leave a lot to be desired. Overall, they give up 25.0-points per game. They rank 83rd against the pass and 64th against the rush. Well, I’ve got to tell you, the Michigan offense is so deep and so talented, they will keep their opponents “D” off-balanced this entire game and backpedaling. Come the second half, the TCU defense will be gasping for air.  I know Blake Corum is out. But backup running back, Donovan Edwards is outstanding. He tallied 872 yards rushing, averaging 7.5-yards per rush and seven touchdowns. Just against the mighty, Ohio State defense a month ago, the ball-carrier rushed for 216 yards and two touchdowns. He then put up 185 yards on the ground and another touchdown in the Big 12 Championship against Purdue. The Wolverines will exploit the Horned Frogs weaknesses on defense. Furthermore, they will keep that defense on the field and the TCU offense off it, resulting in their “O” not getting into any rhythm at all. And as I mentioned earlier the Horned Frogs have yet to face a defense as complete, as talented, and as ferocious as they will face here against the Wolverines. TCU is 3-7 ATS the last 10 Bowl games and 4-11 ATS the last 15 neutral site games. Michigan is 5-2 ATS the last seven nonconference games and 19-7-1 ATS the last 27 overall games. Take the Wolverines. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Bowl Game of the Season.

Game 272.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Guys, I’m not going to break this game down like I normally do in detail. I am going to break it down for you in common sense. ‘Bama quarterback, Bryce Young and linebacker, Will Anderson will be playing this game. Many expected both to opt out at this point. But being that they have not, tells me a few things about the Sugar Bowl. Especially because of the 13 Crimson Tide players who entered the transfer portal, only one was a starter. Granted, I know Nick Saban‘s Alabama squad has not been a covering machine when it comes to Bowl games. However, this years squad is a lot different than past squads. First of all, they did not make the College Football Playoff. And anything short of that, Saban feels is a losing season. While they have a 10-win campaign this year, this is a team that following their second loss of the season back in November to LSU, a one-point overtime defeat, has since rattled off three consecutive straight up victories. As a matter fact, both of the Crimson Tides defeats the season came on the final plays of the game against the Volunteers and the Tigers. And both of those opponents were highly-ranked at the time. Saban will go out of his way to have his boys prepared, revved up, motivated, and ready to prove to the pollsters that this year was a fluke. No matter who is under center for the Wildcats, I think we can all agree that Kansas State is not a passing team. Their offense relies upon the rush. They have an excellent RB in Deuce Vaughn. But the ‘Bama defense ranks 30th nationally against the rush. And guys, they have faced some pretty darn good rushing attacks this season. If they can slow down Vaughan, and I believe they will, this leaves whichever quarterback is at the helm, Howard or Martinez, a sitting duck. Alabama‘s pass rush is one of the best in the nation and they rank 16th overall in passing yards allowed. While K State plays in the Big 12 and faces a lot of very high-powered offenses, I just don’t see them slowing down, let alone stopping the well-balanced ‘Bama offensive juggernaut. This is a team that averages over 40.8-points per game, while playing some of the toughest defenses in the nation. That is unfamiliar territory for the Wildcats, guys. Once again, I feel that Nick Saban is going out to prove a point in this matchup, especially because this game goes off before the two CFP contests. He can really make a statement here. The Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS the last six Bowl games, 10-4 ATS the last 14 nonconference games, and 4-1 ATS the last five games in December. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

AFC EAST GOM.

Game 310.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Following four consecutive straight up victories, Buffalo needs a win this week to earn an AFC playoff spot and bring them one step closer to an AFC East title. The Bills dominated the Dolphins, taking seven consecutive meetings in this division rivalry prior to the very strange September 25 “Butt punt“ game resulting in a 21-19 loss on the road. Revenge plays a big factor in this contest this week. But so does Buffalo trying to further widen their lead in the AFC East. They face a Miami team that has lost back-to-back games the last several weeks. The Dolphins offense has sputtered, tallying a combined 34-points in losses and no covers to the 49ers and the Chargers both on the road. This is their third straight outing away from home. Miami is not known to play well in cold-weather places and their record In Orchard Park, New York is not very good, as they are just 2-7-1 ATS the last 10 meetings there. The Dolphins have one of the worst rushing attacks in the NFL. As a matter fact, they rank 29th in the league, averaging just 89.8 yards per game on the ground. Being that they are no threat on the ground, the Buffalo defense, which ranks second overall in the league, allowing at 17.0-points per game, can key on their passing attack. They have had success in the air. However, the last few weeks, their aerial assault has crash-landed, producing almost as many interceptions as touchdowns. The Bills have a very well-balanced offensive attack, averaging sixth in the air and eighth on the ground. Overall, they are fourth in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.2-points per game. Their ground assault will keep the Dolphins defense honest while Josh Allen opens up the sixth ranked passing game against the 23rd ranked pass defense in the league, and work his magic. Temperatures are expected to be in the 20’s and wind gusts of over 35 miles per hour for this game. And possible chance of snow. All things that work in Buffalo’s favor. One more item folks. The Bills in their only other attempt this season facing a team that has beaten them previously, crushed the Jets last week 20-12. They are very good when seeking revenge. Miami is 0-4 ATS their last four games played following a straight up loss, 1-5 ATS their last six games played on the road, and 3-7 ATS their last 10 games played overall. Buffalo is 5-1 ATS their last six games played in Week 15, 9-3-2 ATS their last 14 games played following an ATS loss, and 7-3 ATS their last 10 games played in the month of December. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Guys I am all over the NFL LEADERBOARDS. My pro football has been HOT, HOT, HOT. And going into Conference Championships and Bowl Season the upcoming weeks in college football, I will crush every sports book on the planet. I have been documented at as much as 90% during this time of year in NCAA FOOTBALL. I have had Bowl campaigns in which I brought you nearly perfect Bowl seasons. This I the time of year you MUST follow a winning capper and I am one of the mot successful cappers in December and January in the history of this business. Grab a discount and ensure yourself a winning season.

I also posted my two strongest college hoops releases thus far this short campaign today: 52-15 NCAAB LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE which are 1-0 this season already and my PAC-12 GAME OF THE WEEK. I have them posted individually and in a DISCOUNTED 2-PACK.

Thursday’s FREE WINNER: New England Patriots.

Game 302.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Do you know what I hear out of the Buffalo camp? I hear that travel has been an issue for this team, short weeks has recently been an issue for this team, and weather has been an issue for this team. You know what I don’t hear? Anybody taking responsibility for any of their issues. Guys, I’m not looking to put down the Buffalo Bills or their fans. But I will tell you looking closely at their record so far this season, this team is only a couple of unlucky plays away from being a sub .500 team. Yes, guys they will make the playoffs. But this isn’t the powerhouse many out there believe they are. First of all, Josh Allen is a good quarterback. But he’s not a genius guys. He is far from it. He still doesn’t know when to tuck the ball and take a sack or throw it out of bounds. Their offense has over 19 turnovers already. And they all fall on the shoulders of Josh Allen. This doesn’t bode well when you’re facing a defense like the Patriots possess. Not only did they allow just 18.4 points per game, but they’ve also snagged 16 turnovers already. They are equally good against the pass as they are the rush. Granted their offense leaves a lot to be desired. But to be very honest with you, the Buffalo defense is overworked and tired. Their last three outings, they’ve allowed 81 points to Minnesota, Cleveland, and Detroit. Every week their defense is leaking a little more and more. My friends, I feel this is the week that running back Rhamondre Stevenson will really break out against an overworked and tired Buffalo defense. This will allow Mac Jones to open up their passing game a bit. I also think you might catch the Bills maybe looking ahead a bit. Between this game and the next two contests, they are facing three division rivals in the Patriots, the Jets, and the Dolphins. The next three weeks will decide who takes the AFC East my friends. And right now, it isn’t looking like Buffalo. By the way, I think of all the players that are injured this week, linebacker Von Miller’s absence will be the most significant. Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on the road and 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, New England is 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played at home and 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus AFC opponents. I really like the line on this game. So, I am siding with the Patriots. Thank you.

Kansas State Wildcats.

VEGAS INSIDER MOVE GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 140.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

You know guys, when Kansas began the campaign at 5-0, both straight up and against the spread, people were out there talking that this was a Cinderella team and they were making headlines. But I’m here to tell you that the carriage has turned into a pumpkin and their 15 minutes of fame is over. Following their fast start, the Jayhawks have since gone just 1-5 straight up and just 2-4 against the spread. Now, I get it, this is a big rivalry. But, Kansas, let’s face it, they’ve done the bare minimum to become a bowl eligible. Now that’s a pat on the back for a head coach, Lance Leipold. But guys, they don’t need to even try here. Kansas State head coach, Chris Klieman has gone out of his way, taking a lot of pride beating up… nay in crushing their rival since he’s taken charge of the team, winning and covering the last three meetings by 28, 41, and 25-points. A win here gives the Wildcats what they want most, a rematch with the Horned Frogs in next weeks Big 12 Title game. Having a backup like Will Howard has done well for this team. The quarterback has thrown 11 touchdowns and just two interceptions filling in for injured starter, Adrian Martinez. Not only will the Wildcats dissect the Jayhawks 109th pass defense in the air. They will also decimate them on the ground with the 17th ranked rushing attack in the nation on the legs of Deuce Vaughn. The running back averages over 5.2 yards per carry. And has already accumulated over 1,148 rushing yards. He’s also pretty dangerous coming out of the backfield as a receiver, folks. On the flipside of the ball, KU will have a hell of a time trying to move the chains, let alone get in the end zone against the 15th ranked scoring defense of KSU. The Wildcats only allow a mere 18.7-points per game. And they have held some very good defenses in check once again this season. They have momentum, winning and covering their last two, and are riding an 8-3-1 ATS streak the last 12 overall. FYI guys, the Jayhawks are just 3-10 ATS the last 13 meetings in this rivalry. Take the Wildcats to crush here and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers.

SUN BELT GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 175.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Due to their transition to the FBS level, James Madison is ineligible to participate in the Conference Championship game. In my opinion it wouldn’t matter. No matter what, making the Dukes a 14-point favorite over the 9-1 Chanticleers is a huge mistake made by the odds makers. This astounds me. Coastal Carolina won this conference in 2020, was one-game off the lead last season, and enters this match up with a one-game lead in the Sun Belt East, and is getting two touchdowns. As I said, this astounds me. They enter this matchup coming off a bye week because their game with Virginia was canceled. They are well-rested, healed, and very prepared for this match up with James Madison. Now maybe the line is way off because their starting quarterback, Grayson McCall is out. But the talented Jared Guest is expected to get the start. And if he falls into trouble, five year QB, Bryce Carpenter is ready to take his place. This team is strong enough and well-balanced enough to handle they’re starting quarterback sidelined here. Listen guys, the Dukes aren’t playing for anything. Just maybe some pride. But is pride enough to make this team a two touchdown favorite? I mean they’ve lost three of the last five straight up, failing to cover four of their last five. And to be honest with you, the games they lost weren’t even close. Their defense has been throttled in four of those last five, all ATS losses, allowing 45, 26, 34, and 40-points. This team is tired, overworked, and frustrated that they can’t play in the Championship game. The Chanticleers are 20-9 ATS the last 29 on the road. The Dukes are 1-10 ATS the last 11 versus teams with a winning record. Take Coastal Carolina. Thank you.

New York Giants.

High Roller Play

Sunday, November 20, 2022.

Game 462.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

-3.

Consensus.

The New York Giants are sitting in second place in the competitive NFC East, just one-game behind the Philadelphia Eagles. Many people out there feel that the Eagles schedule wasn’t the toughest so far this season. And judging from their performance on Monday night against the Washington Commanders, I think we all can visibly see they have some weaknesses that can be exploited. Just FYI my friends, they have trouble against teams that can run the ball and control the time of possession. And over the following few weeks, they are facing opponents that have strong rushing attacks. My point being, New York has a very good opportunity to win this division. But they can only do so if they keep their foot on the gas. They face a Detroit Lions team here that ranks 32nd in the league defensively. That’s right, they are dead-last in points allowed, getting steamrolled for over 29.3-points per game. To be quite honest, every major defensive category they rank amongst the worst in the NFL. But the one that truly stands out to me in this game, is their 31st ranking against the rush. Let’s put a pin in that and come back around to it. Detroit had only one straight up victory up until the last few weeks. They did beat Green Bay at home and Chicago on the road this month. But let’s talk turkey (so close to Thanksgiving LOL). Neither the Packers nor the Bears have any sort of offense. We all know that Aaron Rodgers is struggling as the team possesses the poorest record and some of their worst statistics in as far back as we can remember. As far as Chicago goes, no one expected them to do too much this season, and yet they’re still underachieving. By the way folks, these are two teams that Detroit knows very well and see several times each season, sharing the same division. Going back to New York, following their first loss of the 2022/2023 campaign in late-September, they then rattled off four consecutive wins and covers. They did lose a few weeks ago in Seattle. But last week they absolutely decimated Houston at home. This tells me they will start rolling again. Now offensively the Giants possess the third-ranked rushing attack in football. Saquon Barkley has accumulated over one 931 yards rushing and six touchdowns on the ground. You’re going to see a heavy dose of him this week. Not only that but he also has 29 receptions. He will star in his own highlight reel here in this matchup. He will keep the Lions defense honest, move the chains, and cross the goal line at will. His presence will also allow Daniel Jones to open up the passing game. The quarterback has very quietly passed for just under 1,600 yards on a 65.8% completion rate, with eight touchdowns and only two interceptions. He doesn’t make many mistakes. He’s not flashy. But he doesn’t have to be in this offense. This is also a unit that makes very little mistakes altogether, only committing three turnovers thus far this season. With the running attack New York possesses, they will control the time of possession, keep the Detroit defense on the field, and most importantly, Jared Goff and the Lions offense off it. When Goff and the “O” is on the field, they will have a tough time against a Giants “D” that is holding opponents to under 20-points per game (19.6 PPG). The Giants are 20-8-1 ATS the last 29 games played versus teams with a losing record, 4-1 ATS the last five games played at home, 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played in the month of November, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take New York. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

NFC GAME OF THE WEEK.

Game 261.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Without question, Aaron Rodgers is a first ballot Hall of Famer. Also, without question he is one of the most successful quarterbacks of this generation. What is questionable is the fact that some think the Green Bay Packers can turn things around the season. Well sports fans, we are more than halfway through the regular season and they are just 3-6 both straight up and against the spread. They have dropped five in a row straight up and five of the last six against the number. The offense ranks 27th, accounting for a dismal 17.1-points per game. Yes, the defense has been more than adequate. They rank second against the pass and only allow 20.9-points per game. But they are tired and overworked. There was a high-hopes for this team as a true NFC competitor. They took a season-opening loss at Minnesota. Then they followed that up with three straight up victories. But since October 2, the Packers have failed to win a single contest. There once explosive offense has mustered just 15.8-points per game during their current slide. Because of this, their fatigued stop-unit is starting to spring leaks. I am well aware of the fact that they have taken three in a row against the Cowboys, both straight up and against the spread. But these aren’t the same two squads that have met in recent years. Dallas comes into this matchup winning six of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread. And had an extra week to rest, heal, and prepare. The Cowboys offense is adequate. But what makes them so good is they make so few mistakes. It has been their defense that has very quietly been one of the league’s best, holding opponents to just 16.6-points per game, ranking third in that category, fourth in passing yards allowed, 10th in total yards allowed, and fifth in takeaways, snagging 14 turnovers. This is particularly a place where the Packers have struggled, committing 13 turnovers thus far. The road team has covered the last four meetings in this NFC rivalry. Meanwhile the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played on the road, 19-7 ATS the last 26 games played versus NFC opponents, and 22-8 ATS the last 30 games played overall. The Packers are 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home, 2-6 ATS the last eight games played versus the NFC, and 1-5 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

NO LIMIT GOM.

Game 254.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

My friends, let’s face it the line in the Vikings/Bills matchup should be closer to eight or nine-points. It is this low due to the fact that we are uncertain as to the status of Josh Allen as of this point. If he goes, this line will skyrocket. If he doesn’t, then it looks like backup quarterback Case Keenum will be at the helm. And people are all nervous about this. With all respect, I could step up and take the helm and guide this team to victory. They rank third in the league in scoring, lighting up scoreboards for over 27.5-points per game. Now they do own the third-ranked passing attack in the NFL. Even if Allen does not go and Keenum is under center, please remember he is a 10-year veteran of the NFL. And he has put up some solid numbers on a couple of different teams. He has a receiving corps so good and so deep that trust me when I tell you, he can put up good numbers in the air here. But overall let’s not forget the fact that this team is one of the better rushing teams in the league. So, they can crutch on their ground game to open up the passing game. And that is all moot because they own the top-ranked defense in the NFL. They have been shutting down offenses all season long, allowing just 14.8-points per game. I mean they rank in the top-10 in every single defensive category. Now let’s talk about the Minnesota Vikings. In my opinion they are the luckiest team in the NFL. They are certainly not nearly as good as their 7-1 record. I think they’ve gotten darn lucky folks. I mean they needed the final two-minutes to beat the Commanders by just three-points, they beat Kyler Murray after he admittedly spent the night before without sleep playing Call of Duty (true story), they beat the Dolphins with a  third-string quarterback, they beat the Bears by seven when they were really struggling, they needed a missed field goal to beat Andy Dalton and the Saints, they did beat the Lions, which are own one of the worst defenses in the league, they lost to the Eagles badly and beat the what now we have come to realize, a very overrated Packers. Like I said, they’re a very lucky team. No matter what they do offensively, they have to line up against a ferocious defense that knows they may have to compensate for a backup quarterback on offense. Plus, guys this team is horrible at defending the pass. As I said if Josh Allen plays this line is going to soar. And he’s gonna’ light them up in the air. And if he doesn’t, Case Keenum is good enough to light them up too. No, he’s not is flashy as Allen or as successful, but in this system against this pass defense, he could put up some good numbers. To add insult to injury, the Bills come off their first loss since September. And they are 6-1-2 ATS the last nine following a straight up loss, 5-1-1 ATS the last seven at home, and 11-4-1 the last 16 in the month of November. Take Buffalo no matter who is at the helm here. But get it in early just in case Allen does start on this line skyrockets. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Illinois Fighting Illini.

BIG TEN GOM.

Game 174.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Brett Bielema has reared the Illinois defense into a true force. They rank first nationally in yards allowed, takeaways, and points allowed, second in passing yards allowed, and fourth in rushing yards allowed. This is a unit that yields just 10.4-points per game, yielding a mere 235.2 yards per game. They’ve already snagged 16 takeaways. They have held every single opponent this season to 23-points or less, holding five offenses to single-digits. In this conference that is just astounding. This doesn’t bode too well for Purdue. They score enough points, for sure. However, they rank 98th in rushing. This tells you they solely rely on the pass. And once again the Fighting Illini pass defense ranks second nationally, yielding just 152.6 yards per game. The Boilermakers have won five of the last six meetings in this series straight up. But have failed to cover the last three. I’m here to tell you folks that these are two very different squads this season than in previous seasons. Believe me the worm has turned. Illinois running back Chase Brown leads the nation with 1,344 yards rushing. He eats up a ton of clock, keeping defenses honest and eventually wearing them down. More importantly, because the Fighting Illini dominate the time of possession, they keep their own defense fresh and rested. This team sits in first place in the Big Ten West at 4-2 in conference play. They need victories folks. Iowa, Wisconsin, Purdue, and Minnesota are all sitting just behind them at 3-3. Let’s not forget the Boilermakers have dropped their last two straight up and their last three against the number. Illinois comes in here a bit angry losing their last outing to the Michigan State 23-15 as a 16.5-point favorite. Look for them to bounce back here as they are 6-0-1 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up loss, 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 games played versus teams a winning record, and 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played overall. Take the Fighting Illini. Thank you.

Tennessee Titans.

AFC GOW.

Game 471.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

My friends, I’m not looking to ruffle any feathers here. I know the Kansas City Chiefs are one of the best teams in the NFL. But who the heck are they to be laying this type of wood against the Tennessee Titans? I get it, the Titans are having some quarterback issues. But no matter who is under center, the Tennessee offense is not a passing offense. This is a team that has accumulated a 5-2 straight up record, and for our purposes also a 5-2 ATS record, with the 31st ranked passing attack. So, I’m not going to let the odds makers trap me into thinking that if Tannehill can’t go and it’s Willis, that the Titans aren’t still the play here. This is a team that relies upon the rush. I know the Chiefs are good against defending the run. But they have yet to face a ground attack like the caliber of this one. Not only will Tennessee give them a heavy dose of Derrick Henry, who by the way is going to play sports fans, not only will they get a heavy dose of Henry, but Tennessee will also have the luxury of eating up a lot of clock, keeping the Chiefs defense on the field. Let’s not forget, no matter who is at the helm, KC ranks 30th in the league defending the pass. Defensively, I know the Titans are going to give up some yardage in the air to Patrick Mahomes. But I doubt that the Chiefs are going to have any success on the ground here at all against one of the stingiest run defenses in the league. The Titans have won five of the last six meetings in this series, both straight up and against the spread. This includes last years, 27-3 drubbing. They have also covered five straight coming into this matchup, are 4-0 ATS the last four versus the AFC, 5-2 ATS the last seven on grass, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Just in case you’re keeping count, the Chiefs are 0-4 ATS the last four following a straight up win, 0-5 ATS the last five versus AFC opponents, and 0-4 ATS the last four in Arrowhead. Take Tennessee folks. Thank you.

Baylor.

BIG 12 GOM.

Game 359.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

There is no doubt in my mind that the odds makers are looking to trap you in this game. Oklahoma is point spread poison, covering only twice since the beginning of September. On both sides of the ball, they are overmatched, outgunned, and outclassed in this contest. Baylor enters this game possessing one of the most well-balanced scoring offenses in the nation. They are equally good on the ground as they are in the air, accounting for over 38.4 points per game. As you may or may not know, the Sooners possess one of the worst defenses, not just in the conference, but in the nation. They are allowing just short of 30 points per game and rank 114th in total yards allowed and 113th in rushing yards allowed. Oh, by the way they also rank 90th in passing yards allowed. This doesn’t bode well against the explosive Bears offense. Defensively, Baylor can counter the Oklahoma rushing attack with one of the stingiest and nastiest run defenses in the land. They have also covered the last four meetings in the series. And took the last years matchup 27-14. Once again, the Sooners are overvalued. If you go back to the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma, the Bears have covered nine of the those 11. And this is the best Baylor team we’ve seen in years. Take Baylor. Thank you.

New York Giants.

NFC GOW.

Game 269.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

My friends, I do several sets of my own power ratings. And on both of my sets, I have the New York Giants a small favorite in this matchup. They are now 6-1 on the season, both straight up and against the spread. Not only are they winning games but they’re winning games that they are coming back from deficits. That shows you how good certain teams really are. With a healthy Saquon Barkley running the ball and the ever-maturing David Jones at the helm, this team is playing some great football. You may not realize this, but they possess the number two rushing attack in the NFL, while also possessing the number five scoring defense in the league. When you combine those two benefits you will win ball games. Plain and simple. I understand Geno Smith has the highest quarterback rating of his career. But let’s face it, he was never a standout quarterback folks. I do like Kenny Walker running the ball. He has a bright future. But when push comes to shove and the game is in crunch-time, is Geno Smith the guy you want making decisions on the fly? I doubt it. I wouldn’t put too much stock in the Seattle’s last two games, which were both victories over Arizona and Los Angeles. Neither of those teams have shown any consistency. I do feel it’s going to be a slow-moving game, with a heavy dose of running the ball by both offensive units. So, this comes down to defense. And there is no way the 28th ranked scoring defense of Seattle isn’t going to get steamrolled here. As I mentioned earlier, I have the Giants a slight favorite on both sets of my power ratings. They will win this game out right and get another big “W”. So, getting points here is an early Christmas gift. Take New York. Thank you.

Oklahoma State.

NO LIMIT.

Game 179.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Guys, whether Martinez plays or not for Kansas State, I still don’t see the lackluster Wildcats offense going score-for-score with the explosive Cowboys “O“. Let’s face it, no matter who is at quarterback for the Kansas State, it won’t matter. The Oklahoma State offense ranks fourth nationally in scoring, accounting for over 44.7 points per game. Spencer Sanders will light up the scoreboard here. The quarterback has already amassed over 2,030 yards passing with 15 touchdowns in the air. Let’s not forget he is a dual-threat, adding another 352 yards rushing and eight scores on the ground. This is a very well-balanced unit that can and will keep the K State defense on the field. This is a team that has also taken the last three meetings in this series straight up with the average margin of victory coming by nearly 9-points per game. They are 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 conference games, 18-7-1 ATS the last 26 road games, and 33-16-2 ATS the last 51 overall games. Take Oklahoma State. Thank you.

Take UCLA.

PAC 12 GOM.

Game 375.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The last two unbeaten teams in conference play in the Pac 12 square off here. After a season opening embarrassing 49-3 loss at the hands of Georgia, Oregon has since run off five consecutive wins. The one thing that does concern me is that they haven’t played the same level of competition as UCLA. The Bruins, over their last two outings, have taken down both the Huskies and the Utes. Mind you they were underdogs in both of those contests. Overall UCLA has a bit stronger of a defense, yielding six points per game less. Both are good at stopping the pass and both are good at stuffing the run. Both offenses are good at passing. And both offenses are very, very, strong at rushing. So, what does that tell you about this game? It tells me it’s going to be a very tight matchup. Throw into the mix that after this week, the Bruins schedule softens a bit. And the fact the last two meetings were both settled by three-points. This adds up to be a very close game. Way closer than the point spread. UCLA is 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. Pac-12 foes, and 7-1 ATS the last eight games played on the road. Take the Bruins. Thank you.    

Take Syracuse.

OM GOM.

Game 353.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

For quite a while now, the only coach worthwhile up in Syracuse was Jim Boeheim. Well, that isn’t the case anymore. Dino Babers has his team a perfect 6-0. This does include being the only other undefeated team in the ACC Atlantic, other than Clemson. Not only that, but this team has been money to us bettors, going 5-1 against the spread this season. Clemson is a very good team. You may not realize this, but they’ve won 11 straight going back to last season. But I think we would all agree, this is not the same Tigers team we are used to seeing over the last several years. You know what’s funny is the Orange have covered six of the last eight meetings in this rivalry. And the bulk of that was during the Deshaun Watson and Trevor Lawrence eras. Last year with DJ Uiagalelei at the helm, Syracuse came very close to beating them outright, losing a heartbreaker, 17-14. Believe it or not, the Orange enter this matchup with the number six ranked defense in the country, yielding a mere 13.2 points per game. They’re equally strong against the pass and the rush. Clemson‘s defense ranks 26th, allowing 19.7 points per game. But they have gotten shredded in the air. Garrett Shrader has the luxury of having Sean Tucker in his backfield to keep the Tigers defense honest and allow him to open up the passing game. The Orange are 7-0 ATS the last seven games played in the month of October, 5-2 ATS the last seven games played on the road, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played against conference opponents, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. The Tigers tend to get overvalued, particularly at home where they have only covered three of their last 11 games. Take Syracuse. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

10 Dimes Play.

Game 265.

Sunday, October 16, 2022.

10:00 AM PT/1:00 PM ET.

-5.5 Consensus line.

(As an early release I know the line can move. I have this number closer to -8.5. If it moves to -7, we are still good. If it goes to a 7.5, I would advise you just to err on the side of caution and buy it down to a TD).

My friends, I have the line in this game closer to -8.5. Now obviously releasing this on a Tuesday we see -5.5. This is due to several reasons that I want to inform you about. For starters, it is the second of back-to-back road games for San Francisco. And their third road game in four weeks. Let’s put a pin in that. We are going to return to it in a moment. The number is also a little low due to the fact that the 49ers, as of posting this release have a few players that were injured in Carolina on Sunday. Cornerback, Emmanuel Moseley will be out, safety Jimmy Ward broke his hand, defensive lineman, Nick Bosa is dealing with a groin injury, and kicker, Robbie Gould tweaked his knee. The status of Bosa and Gould will be determined sometime this week. But early reports are optimistic that they will play on Sunday. Let’s go back to me addressing the 49ers playing on the road. Something you must know and something I feel is a significant advantage for the visiting team here, is that head coach Kyle Shanahan, over the last few seasons has implemented staying over on the east coast when he has back-to-back road games. They happen to stay at the very posh Greenbrier Resort in West Virginia. And just FYI, the last two seasons they stayed on the east coast which preceded with wins over the Eagles and Jets. They have had a lot of success utilizing extended stays on the road going 7-1 straight up their last eight implementing this option. Going back to the injuries, I don’t know if there is another team in the NFL this season that has adapted to banged-up players as well as San Francisco. They are deep at key positions. And following quite a few major injuries to starters this team is 3-1 both straight up and against the spread their last four games. I am well aware of the fact that the Atlanta Falcons are a perfect 5-0 against the number this season. But the clock strikes midnight this Sunday for this team at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This is a very difficult matchup for Atlanta. To begin with, their passing unit is absolutely deplorable, ranking 30th in the league accounting for just 166.8 yards per game in the air. Their strength has come from their rushing attack. Well without Cordarrelle Patterson, their leading ball-carrier (out with a knee injury), they ran for only 151 yards combined against Tampa Bay in Sunday’s 21-15 road loss. When your quarterback leads the team in rushing with 61 yards, it’s an issue. By the way two of their rushes combined for more than a third of the rushing yards. Without Patterson pounding the ball on the ground, Mariota is going to be running for his life the entire game. He must face the NFL’s top-ranked defense here. The ferocious, 49ers stop-unit leads the league in points allowed (12.2), total yards allowed (249.2), and rushing yards allowed (71.4), and also ranks third in passing yards allowed. (177.8). Jimmy Garoppolo is looking very comfortable at the helm. As a matter fact, with each passing week, his performances are getting better and better. He gets to lineup against Atlanta’s 29th-ranked pass defense. You we’ll see the quarterback have enormous success in the air here. He has the luxury of a backfield that ranks eight in rushing, averaging over 138.8 yards per game on the ground. There is no way the inferior Falcons “D” can slow down, let alone stop this well-balanced offense. Throw in to the mix, playmaker extraordinaire, Deebo Samuel and San Francisco will be able to move the chains and score at will here. It won’t just be Garoppolo‘s numbers that will go up, so will running back, Jeff Wilson Jr. tight end, George Kittle, wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk, and as I mentioned, you can expect a lot from Samuel as well. Despite the Falcons against the spread success this season, they are just 2-5 ATS the last seven games played at home and 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. San Francisco is 5-2 ATS the last seven games played on the road, and 8-1 ATS the last nine games played versus NFC opponents. Take the 49ers here. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

MNF GOM.

Game 480.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

I live in Las Vegas. And I also have the opportunity to watch the Raiders practice on a regular basis. I know this team inside and out. Don’t think for a second that getting a win last week is going to inspire this squad. It was no fluke that they begin the 2022 campaign 0-4 both straight up and against the spread. And now that they got a win under their belt, trust me when I tell you they’re going to fall back down to Earth here. Serious “let down” mode folks. The Chiefs are looking to remain atop the AFC West by continuing their stellar play thus far this season. After starting the campaign 2-0, Kansas City did fall in a tough match up at Indianapolis several weeks ago. However, their bounce back in an outstanding performance in Tampa Bay last week showed just how good this team really is. That loss to the Colts a few weeks ago show them what they need to work on and improve. And now they are better than ever. Just in this series they have dominated Las Vegas, winning 13 of the last 15 meetings straight up as well as sporting an 8-1 straight up and 7-2 against the spread marks at Arrowhead Stadium. Derek Carr has talent. I will not debate that. But he makes very poor decisions. Especially when he is under pressure. That is exactly what Kansas City is going to do in this matchup. They’re going to blitz, blitz, blitz, throwing, throw a lot of different packages and schemes at him and pressure him badly. They are going to force him to turn the ball over for sure. There is no way the Raiders 24th ranked defense can’t even slow down, let alone stop the Chiefs offensively. The juggernaut which is the Patrick Mahomes-lead “O“, ranks in the top-10 in just about every major offensive category. This includes the most important category, scoring. They are accounting for over 32.3 points per game. This does not bode well for the lowly Raiders “D” which is getting plowed for over 25-points per game. On the flipside, please understand that the only success Las Vegas has had offensively thus far, is establishing the run and then passing off of it. Well, the Chiefs stop-unit tops the NFL against the rush. They are only allowing 65.8 yards per game on the ground. Las Vegas is 1-5 against the spread the last six games played on the road and 3-7 against the spread the last 10 games played on grass. Kansas City is 6-2 against the spread the last eight games played at home and 7-1-1 against the spread the last nine games played on Monday Night. Take the Chiefs. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

NO LIMIT GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 386.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Let’s talk about Texas A&M going to Bryant-Denny Stadium to face Alabama. Obviously, the big news this entire week is if the Crimson Tide quarterback, Bryce Young will play. Well reports over the last day or so are that he has practiced and he has looked pretty strong. Officially we’re not going to know as of posting this release. If he plays great. If he doesn’t, remember one thing. The Crimson Tide is stacked at key positions higher than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast café. Jalen Milroe is a very good quarterback. He’s the back up for the number one team in the nation. He was a great high school football star. The only difference is, he has a little less experience at this level. That’s all. Don’t overthink it. Just between us guys, I’m 53 years old, and although I was an all-state quarterback in high school only 5’6’, I could step in and lead Alabama to a victory here. Over the last several weeks we have seen Georgia leapfrog Alabama in the rankings when they had a better performance on a gameday. Then last week the Crimson Tide had a stronger performance than the Bulldogs and reclaimed the number one spot. Having said that, Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban does not want to relinquish the top-spot in the polls. He knows that he’s coming up against some good conference opponents, and he needs to keep his foot on the gas. Offensively, Alabama although has a very strong passing game, strongly depends on their rushing attack. They currently rank seventh in the nation averaging over 250 yards per game on the ground. Not only that, but they don’t make mistakes offensively. They don’t turn the ball over. They’ve had one turnover so far this season. And believe me, if Young does not play, the game plan will be run the ball, and pass off the run. And most importantly tuck the ball or throw it out if you don’t have a play. As we all know Texas A&M was a preseason darkhorse to make the College Football Playoff. After five games they sit at a disappointing 3-2 with a lackluster offense that is accounting for just 21.8 points per game. They rank about 100th or worse in just about every major offensive category. And they have to line up against one of the nastiest and stingiest defenses in the nation. The Tide only allow 11-points per game and rank in the top-10 and every major defensive category. Trust me when I tell you it will be a long, long day for the Aggie‘s. Texas A&M comes off a 42-24 spanking at the hands of Mississippi State a week ago. A game in which they were supposed to be a lot more competitive folks. Now they step up in class again even higher. We all know how much Nick Saban likes beating ex-assistant coaches. And Jimbo Fisher is no different. Don’t overthink this contest guys. Texas A&M doesn’t belong on the same field as Alabama. The Crimson Tide need to keep their foot on the gas to retain their number one ranking. And one more factor that prompts me to side with ‘Bama here. The Aggies bested the Tide last year at home. Saban and his boys did not forget that. They will open up a big can of whoop ass here. Texas A&M is just 1-5 ATS the last six on the road. Alabama is 17-5 against the number the last 22 at home. Don’t be afraid to lay the wood here. Roll Tide. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Minnesota Vikings.

No Limit Play.

Game 251.

6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST.

With the NFC North currently in a three-team tie for first place, the Minnesota Vikings must put their foot on the gas immediately. And what better team to face than the struggling New Orleans Saints. New Orleans is 0-3 against the spread this season. They opened up the campaign with a one-point late win against Atlanta. Then they were humiliated at home by Tampa Bay. And then on the road in Carolina, they were so bad, they allowed the Panthers to stop their nine-game straight up and against the spread losing streak. Granted, Jameis Winston was certainly playing hurt. As of posting this play, his status is still undecided. If he plays, he is not going to be 100%. If he doesn’t, that means Andy Dalton will take the reins. Talk about picking the lesser of two evils (LOL). This is a team struggling to have any success on either side of the ball. On the other hand, Dalvin Cook is scheduled to play here. Look for the running back to run amok against the 26th ranked rushing defense of the Saints. Defensively, look for the Minnesota to completely shut down the struggling New Orleans offense. The Saints are 4-10 ATS the last 14 versus teams with a winning record. The Vikings are 10-1-1 ATS the last 12 on turf. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Wake Forest.

Consensus Game of the Month.

Game 123.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Don’t put too much stock to the fact that the Seminoles are undefeated and ranked. They played two deplorable opponents. And they also beat two teams that they should’ve beat in LSU in Louisville. Let’s face it, neither the Tigers nor the Cardinals are the teams that people thought they would be this season. On the other hand, Wake Forest is coming off their first defeat of the season. Not only was it a loss, but it was an overtime heartbreaking loss to Clemson. Can you say “bounce back?” Granted, their previous opponents were less than stellar. I’m not going to argue that fact. I look for Sam Hartman to light up the scoreboard here. The quarterback has already amassed 962 yards passing, on a 64% completion rate, with 13 TD’s and just two INT‘s. He has a backfield of two solid ball-carriers in Justice Ellison and Christian Turner. They have rushed for a combined 361 yards on the ground with three TD’s. This well-balanced offense will keep the Florida State defense on the field. The Demon Deacons have won and covered each of the last two meetings in this series. The Seminoles are 11-23-3 ATS the last 37 versus teams with a winning record. Take Wake Forest. Thank you.

Kentucky.

SEC Game of the Month.

Game 175.

9 AM PST/12 PM EST.

My friends, if the line in this game was totally accurate, Mississippi should only be a one or a two-point favorite at most. Throw into the mix that Kentucky will see the return of running back, Chris Rodriguez and they become a small favorite here. That’s right, their best ball-carrier in years will come back after serving a four-game suspension. If you recall a year ago, between the regular and postseasons, the RB accumulated over 1300 yards and 10 TD’s on the ground. And now that the Wildcats have a running game to go with their stellar passing-attack, they are one of the most dangerous teams in the conference. I understand the Rebels have a good defense. But they haven’t faced anybody yet. So far, their opponents have been Troy, Central Arkansas, Georgia Tech, and Tulsa. Not one of those were they not a double-digit favorite. They are in for a rude awakening here stepping up in class big time. On the flipside, Kentucky does have a solid defense. Let’s face it, they kept quite a few offenses in check this season and going back a bit, since last season. I doubt Mississippi will have any luck in the air against the 15th ranked pass defense in the country. The Rebel strength offensively comes through running the ball. And that doesn’t bode well here as the Wildcats only allow 108.3 yards per game on the ground. The wrong team is favored here my friends, trust me. Kentucky is 23-7-2 ATS the last 32 versus teams with a winning record, 7-3-1 ATS The last 11 versus conference opponents, and 5-1-1 ATS the last seven overall.  Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

NFL Game of the Month.

Game 485.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Guys, the Rams are one of the best teams in football. They opened up the season against the Bills and got shellacked. They followed up last week with a win over Atlanta. Now odds makers overvalued them last week, making them a double-digit favorite while they only won by four-points. That was the team just getting back on track after their season opening loss. On the other hand, the Cardinals were thumped in their season-opener by Kansas City at home. Now I was in the stands for their trip to Las Vegas last week as they beat the Raiders in overtime. Guys in all honesty, Arizona didn’t beat Las Vegas. Las Vegas beat themselves. Following that game, the Cardinals are due for a big let down here. And trust me, the Rams are just the team to put them in that let down spot. Los Angeles has taken 10 of the last 11 meetings straight up, going 9–1-1 against the spread since 2017. FYI, just in case you’re keeping score, they are 7-0 against the spread the last seven meetings at the State Farm Stadium. The Cardinals defense ranks 32nd in scoring, getting plowed for over 33.5 points per game. Rams quarterback, Matthew Stafford is going to absolutely dissect and decimate the 31st ranked passing defense in football. Look for Los Angeles to get back on track here, lighting up the scoreboard offensively, while their defense gets a well-needed dominating performance. The road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 overall meetings in this series. The Cardinals are 0-6ATS the last six at home, 1-4 ATS the last five following a straight up win, and 1-4 ATS the last five versus the NFC. My friends the Rams are going to make a statement in this match up. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

SEC Game of the Month.

Game 121.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

My friends, the Georgia Bulldogs leapfrogged the Alabama Crimson Tide in the polls this week to take over the No. 1 spot in the nation. Stetson Bennett has matured quite well, growing into an amazing quarterback. So far this season, he has thrown for 688 yards, with a 75.4% completion rate, three TDs and zero INTs. He will dissect the South Carolina Gamecocks defense that allowed Arkansas to light them up for 44-points a week ago. The Gamecocks are dealing with a banged up secondary here. This does not bode well going against the highflying offense of the Bulldogs. Offensively, South Carolina quarterback Spencer Rattler has been utterly unimpressive, throwing three interceptions against just two touchdowns. More importantly guys, if Georgia doesn’t annihilate South Carolina here knowing that Alabama faces Louisiana Monroe later today, they may lose their top-ranking. Kirby Smart is not going to let that happen. They must keep their foot on the gas here, run the score up, and leave no doubt for pollsters. They took last year’s September meeting by score of 40-13. And this year’s matchup should be even more of a mismatch. The Gamecocks are 3-12 ATS the last 15 versus the SEC and 1-5 ATS the last six versus teams with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 20-6 ATS the last 26 following an ATS loss and 35-16 ATS the last 51 on the road. Take Georgia. Thank you.

New Orleans Saints.

High Roller play.

Game 455.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

It is imperative that as the season begins the New Orleans Saints get a big division win here. The Atlanta Falcons are a team in transition to say the least. This is a true rebuilding year for them. And is an ideal opportunity for New Orleans to make a statement in the NFC South. The Falcons are in real trouble in this series opener. They are without Matt Ryan for the first time since 2008. This team was one of the worst in all of the NFL a season to go offensively. And it doesn’t look like they made too many improvements to better themselves. New Orleans is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in Atlanta. By the way the road team is 5-1 ATS the last six overall meetings in the series. Take the Saints. Thank you.

Philadelphia Eagles.
Las Vegas Strip Move.
Game 465.
10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Philadelphia Eagles are one of the best teams in the NFC. They’re loaded with talent both on offense and on defense. My friends, this line of this game should be definitely closer to a touchdown. Once again, this season of the Detroit Lions have very little to be excited about. They are slated to win just six-games. Jalen Hurts is another year older and more experienced. He will exploit the vulnerable Lions secondary. Meanwhile, the Eagles “D” will take advantage of serious mismatches here. This game will get ugly. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

San Diego State.

Bookie Buster.

Game 206.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Let’s go to Snapdragon Stadium where the Arizona Wildcats visit the San Diego Aztecs. My friends, I doubt I will hurt anyone’s feelings if I come out and state that Arizona football absolutely sucks. Let’s face it, this team is on a 1-23 straight up run. On the flipside, San Diego State is a very complete and solid football team. They come off a 12-2 season. Once again, this year they are known to have a phenomenal ground attack, while also possessing a ferocious stop-unit. They now have Braxton Burmeister at the helm to bring a new dynamic to the offense, a passing attack. Not only does this team come in here excited to have a new 35,000-seat stadium, but they will come out here confident, knowing that they went 2-0 against Pac-12 opponents a season ago. One of those wins was a 38-14 victory over Arizona. Overall, this team is 6-2 against ATS the last eight versus this conference, including straight up wins over Utah, UCLA, and Stanford. I just don’t see how the Wildcats can possibly either move the chains on this stingy defense, or slow down this powerful, now double-threat offense. Arizona is 5-12 against the spread the last 17 nonconference games, 8-24 against the spread the last 32 road games, and 0-4 against the spread the last four versus the Mountain West Conference. Under a touchdown here as a gift. Take the Aztecs. Thank you.

49ERS.

NFC GAME OF THE YEAR.

GAME 323.

3:40 PM PST.

San Francisco has beaten Los Angeles six straight meetings, covering five of the six, including four straight. We all know this. And so do both the 49ers and the Rams. It can’t but help boost the confidence in San Fran coming into this matchup. And moreover, it can’t but put further pressure on the minds of L.A. Both have outstanding passing attacks. But the Rams pass defense is a bit shaky. So, I give an advantage to the 49ers. Offensively, Los Angeles doesn’t really run the ball with all that much success. I mean folks, they average under a hundred yards per game on the ground. This makes them very vulnerable to the ferocious San Francisco pass rush which has wreaked havoc on their offense in both earlier meetings. So, I give another advantage to the 49ers. San Fran does own a top-10 rushing attack and will stress the run here thus allowing them to control the clock and the tempo, keeping the L.A. defense on the field, and most importantly, Stafford and their offense off the field. I think both teams without question deserve to be here. But I give a real edge to Jimmy G and the 49ers for sure. So, giving them 3.5 points, to me offers an incredible amount of value to us bettors. The ‘dog is 6-0 ATS the last six meetings. The 49ers are 5-1 ATS last six as a road ‘dog and 16-5 ATS the last 21 in the month of January. Take the 3.5 and bank on it. Take San Francisco. Thank you.  

CHIEFS.

AFC GAME OF THE YEAR.

GAME 322.

12:05 pm pst.

When these two teams met on January 2, the Bengals prevailed, 34-31. Following the game, Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes gave each other a handshake. Mahomes uttered five words…”See you in the playoffs.” Burrow is 2-0 in NFL postseason play. Mahomes owns an 8-2 career playoff record, including a 7-1 mark at Arrowhead Stadium. The Bengals OL allowed nine sacks in last week’s outing. To make matters worse, they claimed just one sack on Ryan Tannehill. The lack of playoff experience for their QB is significant. The breakdown of their offensive line is significant. Going on the road to KC (playing here is much different than playing at Tennessee) is significant. Throw in the mix that Cincy doesn’t run the ball with too much success makes the aforementioned issues even more significant. Then there is the play of Mahomes. The QB has taken his game to another level. With the momentum following last week’s OT win, the Chiefs roll here. Kansas City is 6-0 ATS the last six games played at home, 6-1 ATS the last seven playoff games played at home, 7-2 ATS the last nine games played vs. the AFC, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you.  

Tampa Bay.

NFC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 146.

10:00 am pst.

We all know Philadelphia might have eked their way and backed into the playoffs. Tampa bay did not. As a matter of fact, they not only came in through the front door, they kicked the damn door down. Things change significantly when the postseason arrives. Jalen Hurts does not have the playoff experience needed to succeed. He will feel the pressure and buckle to it. Tom Brady is the most successful QB in the history of the sport and feels right at home come January and February. The Buccaneers OL is healthy. RB, Fournette is expected to make his return. Let’s not forget Brady’s number one go-to guy, “Gronk.” The October 14 matchup, Tampa Bay held Philly to just 215 yards of offense, while the Bucs nearly doubled that number. If you’re concerned about the Eagles rushing attack, don’t be. The Bucs counter with the NFL’s 3rd ranked run defense. Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played as a road ‘dog and 1-4 ATS the last five WC games. Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

New England.

AFC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 143.

5:15 pm pst.

As we all know, these two division rivals met twice in December. The earlier meeting in Foxborough, the Patriots staff changed their entire offensive scheme to minimize Buffalos defensive strengths, thus leading to a 14-10 victory. The latter meeting in Orchard Park, in which the Bills prevailed, 33-21. They deserved their victory, but Buffalo showed all their cards. They have nothing left hidden up their sleeve. Guys, Belichick and his staff are pretty sharp. There’s no question they will come in here doing two things: Number one, offensively leaning on their potent ground attack which controlled the clock and slashed the Bills defense for over 371 yards on the ground on over 5 yards per carry in the December matchups. The second thing they’re going to do is to come in with a totally different defensive gameplan, throwing tons of different looks at Josh Allen who may have the physical tools but not mental ones just yet, and they will force mistakes. On both sides of the ball, these two teams are very similar talent-wise. So, this game comes down to preparation and coaching. There is no way Sean McDermott can outthink the “hoodie” in January. NO WAY! The road team is 19-6-2 ATS the L27 meetings in this series, the underdog is 5-1-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series, and the Patriots are 15-3 ATS the L18 meetings played at the Bills. Take New England. Thank you.  

Tampa Bay.

HR play. Game 462.

1:25 pm pst.

Tampa Bay is banged-up. But it won’t matter. After almost losing last week’s game, they will take no prisoners this week as they have an opportunity to grab the NFC’s #2 seed. They do need some outside help. But they must win here to have any chance at it. This is a team that owns one of the NFL’s best home records at 6-1 at Raymond James Stadium. They face a Carolina team on the verge of setting their own record, the team to finish with the worst record in the history of the NFL after starting the season 3-0. The Panthers are on an 0-6 run both SU and ATS, with the average margin of defeat during the slide coming by 14.6 PPG. Tampa Bay’s 2nd ranked scoring offense can and will light up the scoreboard here. And if that wasn’t enough, the Bucs have won and covered the last three meetings in this series, including a December 26th, 32-6 shellacking. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you.

Colts.

TEN DIMES play.

Game 101.

10:00 am pst.

Let’s pump the breaks there, Raiders fans. The last two weeks in your 16-14 win over the Browns and your 17-13 win over the Bronco were both against teams that were ravished by missing starters and both came against backup quarterbacks. As of posting, Carson Wentz “may” be cleared to play here. But either way, Vegas is truly outclassed. Jonathan Taylor is chomping at the bit to face the Swiss-cheese like Las Vegas run defense. Let’s face it, when you match up the NFL’s 5th ranked scoring offense with its 26th ranked scoring defense, things are gonna’ get ugly folks. On the flipside, the Raiders are having issues crossing the goal line and now have to line up across from a Colts defense that has yielded 17 points or less in five of their last six contests. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played on the road while Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. Take the Colts under a TD. Thank you.  

Michigan

Consensus GOM.

Game 270.

4:30 pm pst.

The first 12 games of the season Georgia looked unbeatable. They then ran into Alabama in the SEC Title game and got shellacked. Many naysayers out there said it was because they knew they would be in the CFP no matter what. Folks I say that is a bunch of hogwash. The winner has a psychological edge in case of a title game rematch. My friends, Jim Harbaugh is a sharp guy and he will take a page from the SEC Title game scheme. Giving a striding team like Michigan which is riding a five-game win streak (both SU & ATS), more than a touchdown is a gift. The pressure here is all on the Bulldogs. Michigan has the offensive personnel to keep the UGA defense busy and the defense to frustrate the Bulldogs offensively. And Georgia is 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a SU loss. Take Michigan plus the 7.5 here. Thank you.

Green Bay.

LVSM GOM.

Game 315.

1:25 pm pst.

Sports fans, whether it is Lamar Jackson or Tyler Huntley at the helm, trust me, it won’t matter. Guys, this Ravens offense is mediocre at best. Just over the last month or so, they were outscored by Miami, Pittsburgh, and Cleveland once. None of those teams are powerhouses. In their two victories over the last five games, they eked out a 16-13 win over Chicago and a 16-10 win in an earlier meeting with Cleveland. Guys, this team is not a contender. But Green Bay is a contender. Aaron Rodgers will pick apart the leagues 31st ranked pass defense. This just might be his best performance of the season. On the flipside, whether it be on the ground or in the air, the Packers “D” will completely shut down the already stunted Ravens offense. With NFC reps, the Buccaneers and the Cardinals both also sporting 10 wins, the Packers want this win. My friends, since the Week 1 loss, Green Bay is on an 11-1 ATS run. They are money going 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played as a favorite, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played overall. The Packers win by double-digits. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

Utah State.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 216.

4:30 pm pst.

Sports fans, don’t get trapped into thinking that a mid-level Pac-12 team is 7.5 points better than a Mountain West champ. BECAUSE THEY ARE NOT! I’m not looking to take away anything the 13th ranked rushing attack of the Beavers. They will move the chains on the ground. But being that they don’t pass the ball with any real success, it makes it very easy for the Aggies and their very smart coaching staff to figure them out offensively. Butthe real mismatch here is between the nations 15th ranked passing unit of Utah State and the 87th ranked pass defense of Oregon State. QB, Logan Bonner is a stud, with 36 TD’s 3500+ yards passing, he and his talented quartet of receivers will absolutely shred the Beavers secondary. The Aggies are red-hot. They have dropped just one game since mid-October, riding runs of 7-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. They’ve covered their last three in the underdog role, winning all three outright. I like Utah State straight up here but I will take 7.5 points folks. Take the Aggies. Thank you.

Arizona.

MNF GAME OF THE YEAR.

Game 130.

5:15 pm pst.

This is an ideal opportunity for the division-leading Cardinals to further distance themselves from the rest of the NFC West. Kyler Murray is back and shook off the cobwebs in last week’s win and cover in Soldier Field. What impressed me most in the quarterbacks first game back is that he committed zero mistakes. It’s now evident that head coach Sean McVay is in way over his head. To make matters worse, there is no possible way for the team to compete in this matchup. L.A. is on a 1-3 run SU and a 1-5 run ATS. Sure, they can pass the ball. But, ‘Zona counters with one of the NFL’s best pass defenses and ranks 4th overall in the league, allowing just 18.7 PPG. Mistakes, turnovers, penalties, and a weak pass rush will prove to be fatal for the Rams here. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played on the road. Arizona is 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. NFC West opponents. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

Eagles.

HR play.

Game 461.

10:00 am pst.

Philly, my friends, believe it or not is just a half-game out of the final Wildcard spot in the NFC. The Jets, guys, the only thing the team is showing up for is to give QB, Zach Wilson some playing time following is month long hiatus. LOL. Sports fans, you don’t have to love the Eagles here as much as you have to hate the Jets. New York hasn’t won back-to-back games since a few opponents pulled their starters late last December. Wilson is in for a very long day trying to shake off the rust against the ever-improving Philadelphia pass rush. But the biggest mismatch is between the Eagles No.1 ranked rushing offense and the Jets 27th ranked run defense. Jalen Hurts, who it looks like should play here (check status), will put up his best numbers of the campaign both in the air and on the ground as he lines up against the NFL’s worst scoring defense. Going back a ways, Philly is 5-0 both SU and ATS in this series. Take the Eagles here. Thank you.