49ERS.

NFC GAME OF THE YEAR.

GAME 323.

3:40 PM PST.

San Francisco has beaten Los Angeles six straight meetings, covering five of the six, including four straight. We all know this. And so do both the 49ers and the Rams. It can’t but help boost the confidence in San Fran coming into this matchup. And moreover, it can’t but put further pressure on the minds of L.A. Both have outstanding passing attacks. But the Rams pass defense is a bit shaky. So, I give an advantage to the 49ers. Offensively, Los Angeles doesn’t really run the ball with all that much success. I mean folks, they average under a hundred yards per game on the ground. This makes them very vulnerable to the ferocious San Francisco pass rush which has wreaked havoc on their offense in both earlier meetings. So, I give another advantage to the 49ers. San Fran does own a top-10 rushing attack and will stress the run here thus allowing them to control the clock and the tempo, keeping the L.A. defense on the field, and most importantly, Stafford and their offense off the field. I think both teams without question deserve to be here. But I give a real edge to Jimmy G and the 49ers for sure. So, giving them 3.5 points, to me offers an incredible amount of value to us bettors. The ‘dog is 6-0 ATS the last six meetings. The 49ers are 5-1 ATS last six as a road ‘dog and 16-5 ATS the last 21 in the month of January. Take the 3.5 and bank on it. Take San Francisco. Thank you.  

CHIEFS.

AFC GAME OF THE YEAR.

GAME 322.

12:05 pm pst.

When these two teams met on January 2, the Bengals prevailed, 34-31. Following the game, Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes gave each other a handshake. Mahomes uttered five words…”See you in the playoffs.” Burrow is 2-0 in NFL postseason play. Mahomes owns an 8-2 career playoff record, including a 7-1 mark at Arrowhead Stadium. The Bengals OL allowed nine sacks in last week’s outing. To make matters worse, they claimed just one sack on Ryan Tannehill. The lack of playoff experience for their QB is significant. The breakdown of their offensive line is significant. Going on the road to KC (playing here is much different than playing at Tennessee) is significant. Throw in the mix that Cincy doesn’t run the ball with too much success makes the aforementioned issues even more significant. Then there is the play of Mahomes. The QB has taken his game to another level. With the momentum following last week’s OT win, the Chiefs roll here. Kansas City is 6-0 ATS the last six games played at home, 6-1 ATS the last seven playoff games played at home, 7-2 ATS the last nine games played vs. the AFC, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you.  

Tampa Bay.

NFC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 146.

10:00 am pst.

We all know Philadelphia might have eked their way and backed into the playoffs. Tampa bay did not. As a matter of fact, they not only came in through the front door, they kicked the damn door down. Things change significantly when the postseason arrives. Jalen Hurts does not have the playoff experience needed to succeed. He will feel the pressure and buckle to it. Tom Brady is the most successful QB in the history of the sport and feels right at home come January and February. The Buccaneers OL is healthy. RB, Fournette is expected to make his return. Let’s not forget Brady’s number one go-to guy, “Gronk.” The October 14 matchup, Tampa Bay held Philly to just 215 yards of offense, while the Bucs nearly doubled that number. If you’re concerned about the Eagles rushing attack, don’t be. The Bucs counter with the NFL’s 3rd ranked run defense. Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played as a road ‘dog and 1-4 ATS the last five WC games. Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

New England.

AFC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 143.

5:15 pm pst.

As we all know, these two division rivals met twice in December. The earlier meeting in Foxborough, the Patriots staff changed their entire offensive scheme to minimize Buffalos defensive strengths, thus leading to a 14-10 victory. The latter meeting in Orchard Park, in which the Bills prevailed, 33-21. They deserved their victory, but Buffalo showed all their cards. They have nothing left hidden up their sleeve. Guys, Belichick and his staff are pretty sharp. There’s no question they will come in here doing two things: Number one, offensively leaning on their potent ground attack which controlled the clock and slashed the Bills defense for over 371 yards on the ground on over 5 yards per carry in the December matchups. The second thing they’re going to do is to come in with a totally different defensive gameplan, throwing tons of different looks at Josh Allen who may have the physical tools but not mental ones just yet, and they will force mistakes. On both sides of the ball, these two teams are very similar talent-wise. So, this game comes down to preparation and coaching. There is no way Sean McDermott can outthink the “hoodie” in January. NO WAY! The road team is 19-6-2 ATS the L27 meetings in this series, the underdog is 5-1-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series, and the Patriots are 15-3 ATS the L18 meetings played at the Bills. Take New England. Thank you.  

Tampa Bay.

HR play. Game 462.

1:25 pm pst.

Tampa Bay is banged-up. But it won’t matter. After almost losing last week’s game, they will take no prisoners this week as they have an opportunity to grab the NFC’s #2 seed. They do need some outside help. But they must win here to have any chance at it. This is a team that owns one of the NFL’s best home records at 6-1 at Raymond James Stadium. They face a Carolina team on the verge of setting their own record, the team to finish with the worst record in the history of the NFL after starting the season 3-0. The Panthers are on an 0-6 run both SU and ATS, with the average margin of defeat during the slide coming by 14.6 PPG. Tampa Bay’s 2nd ranked scoring offense can and will light up the scoreboard here. And if that wasn’t enough, the Bucs have won and covered the last three meetings in this series, including a December 26th, 32-6 shellacking. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you.

Colts.

TEN DIMES play.

Game 101.

10:00 am pst.

Let’s pump the breaks there, Raiders fans. The last two weeks in your 16-14 win over the Browns and your 17-13 win over the Bronco were both against teams that were ravished by missing starters and both came against backup quarterbacks. As of posting, Carson Wentz “may” be cleared to play here. But either way, Vegas is truly outclassed. Jonathan Taylor is chomping at the bit to face the Swiss-cheese like Las Vegas run defense. Let’s face it, when you match up the NFL’s 5th ranked scoring offense with its 26th ranked scoring defense, things are gonna’ get ugly folks. On the flipside, the Raiders are having issues crossing the goal line and now have to line up across from a Colts defense that has yielded 17 points or less in five of their last six contests. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played on the road while Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. Take the Colts under a TD. Thank you.  

Michigan

Consensus GOM.

Game 270.

4:30 pm pst.

The first 12 games of the season Georgia looked unbeatable. They then ran into Alabama in the SEC Title game and got shellacked. Many naysayers out there said it was because they knew they would be in the CFP no matter what. Folks I say that is a bunch of hogwash. The winner has a psychological edge in case of a title game rematch. My friends, Jim Harbaugh is a sharp guy and he will take a page from the SEC Title game scheme. Giving a striding team like Michigan which is riding a five-game win streak (both SU & ATS), more than a touchdown is a gift. The pressure here is all on the Bulldogs. Michigan has the offensive personnel to keep the UGA defense busy and the defense to frustrate the Bulldogs offensively. And Georgia is 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a SU loss. Take Michigan plus the 7.5 here. Thank you.

Green Bay.

LVSM GOM.

Game 315.

1:25 pm pst.

Sports fans, whether it is Lamar Jackson or Tyler Huntley at the helm, trust me, it won’t matter. Guys, this Ravens offense is mediocre at best. Just over the last month or so, they were outscored by Miami, Pittsburgh, and Cleveland once. None of those teams are powerhouses. In their two victories over the last five games, they eked out a 16-13 win over Chicago and a 16-10 win in an earlier meeting with Cleveland. Guys, this team is not a contender. But Green Bay is a contender. Aaron Rodgers will pick apart the leagues 31st ranked pass defense. This just might be his best performance of the season. On the flipside, whether it be on the ground or in the air, the Packers “D” will completely shut down the already stunted Ravens offense. With NFC reps, the Buccaneers and the Cardinals both also sporting 10 wins, the Packers want this win. My friends, since the Week 1 loss, Green Bay is on an 11-1 ATS run. They are money going 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played as a favorite, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played overall. The Packers win by double-digits. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

Utah State.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 216.

4:30 pm pst.

Sports fans, don’t get trapped into thinking that a mid-level Pac-12 team is 7.5 points better than a Mountain West champ. BECAUSE THEY ARE NOT! I’m not looking to take away anything the 13th ranked rushing attack of the Beavers. They will move the chains on the ground. But being that they don’t pass the ball with any real success, it makes it very easy for the Aggies and their very smart coaching staff to figure them out offensively. Butthe real mismatch here is between the nations 15th ranked passing unit of Utah State and the 87th ranked pass defense of Oregon State. QB, Logan Bonner is a stud, with 36 TD’s 3500+ yards passing, he and his talented quartet of receivers will absolutely shred the Beavers secondary. The Aggies are red-hot. They have dropped just one game since mid-October, riding runs of 7-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. They’ve covered their last three in the underdog role, winning all three outright. I like Utah State straight up here but I will take 7.5 points folks. Take the Aggies. Thank you.

Arizona.

MNF GAME OF THE YEAR.

Game 130.

5:15 pm pst.

This is an ideal opportunity for the division-leading Cardinals to further distance themselves from the rest of the NFC West. Kyler Murray is back and shook off the cobwebs in last week’s win and cover in Soldier Field. What impressed me most in the quarterbacks first game back is that he committed zero mistakes. It’s now evident that head coach Sean McVay is in way over his head. To make matters worse, there is no possible way for the team to compete in this matchup. L.A. is on a 1-3 run SU and a 1-5 run ATS. Sure, they can pass the ball. But, ‘Zona counters with one of the NFL’s best pass defenses and ranks 4th overall in the league, allowing just 18.7 PPG. Mistakes, turnovers, penalties, and a weak pass rush will prove to be fatal for the Rams here. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played on the road. Arizona is 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. NFC West opponents. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

Eagles.

HR play.

Game 461.

10:00 am pst.

Philly, my friends, believe it or not is just a half-game out of the final Wildcard spot in the NFC. The Jets, guys, the only thing the team is showing up for is to give QB, Zach Wilson some playing time following is month long hiatus. LOL. Sports fans, you don’t have to love the Eagles here as much as you have to hate the Jets. New York hasn’t won back-to-back games since a few opponents pulled their starters late last December. Wilson is in for a very long day trying to shake off the rust against the ever-improving Philadelphia pass rush. But the biggest mismatch is between the Eagles No.1 ranked rushing offense and the Jets 27th ranked run defense. Jalen Hurts, who it looks like should play here (check status), will put up his best numbers of the campaign both in the air and on the ground as he lines up against the NFL’s worst scoring defense. Going back a ways, Philly is 5-0 both SU and ATS in this series. Take the Eagles here. Thank you.

Oklahoma State.

Game 308.

9:00 am pst.

Oklahoma State is 5th in the polls. The top-four teams all have tough games this weekend. Two of them (Georgia and Alabama) face one another. Someone has to lose. With a good showing here, the Cowboys can very well move up in the rankings and have a shot at the CFP. Okie State has won and covered the last two meetings in this series including October’s matchup, 24-14. The Cowboys are just a half-point away from covering 10 straight contests. The Bears have trouble with aggressive defenses and are primarily a one-dimensional offense, relying on the run. The Cowboys counter with the nation’s 5th ranked run defense. Overall, Oklahoma State’s “D” leads the country in sacks (49) and tackles for loss (99). They will spend more time in the Baylor backfield than the Baylor players. The Bears are 2-10 ATS the last 12 games played at the Cowboys and 2-5-1 ATS the last eight games played on fieldturf. The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played in the month of December and 20-6-1 ATS the last 37 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take Oklahoma State. Thank you.

Green Bay.

NFC GOM.

Game 270.

1:25 pm pst.

Making Green Bay an underdog in Lambeau Field is a huge mistake. The Packers are an NFC elite team for sure. And following a two-game skid, if the team is going to turn things around, it is this week. Their defense allowed the most points since Week 1 last week. Playing a sliding Rams offense that has accounted for 26 total points the last two games will remedy this. LA hasn’t covered since mid-October and making them a fav here truly is a huge mistake. They are 0-7 ATS the last seven games played vs. Green Bay and 3-8-1 ATS the last 12 games played in the month of November. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. the NFC and 5-1 ATS the last six games played as an underdog. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Notre Dame.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 207.

5:00 pm pst.

Notre Dame moved up to #5 in the polls. With Alabama slated to play Georgia in the SEC championship and Michigan facing Ohio State this week and then one of those two teams heading for a meeting with most likely a streaking Wisconsin team, something I preach all season long… style points are huge right now for Notre Dame. Both sides of the line of scrimmage they outclass a Stanford team that has already thrown in the towel, dropping six in a row both SU and ATS. Take the Fighting Irish. Thank you.

Penn State.

CONSENSUS GOM.

Game 223.

12:30 pm pst.

The wheels have completely come off the MSU wagon folks. Now facing a very tough PSU defense (15.5 PPG allowed) their struggling offense is in real trouble. Doesn’t matter who is at the helm for the Nittany Lions, they will devour the Spartans 130th ranked pass defense in the air. Penn State is 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 9-2 ATS the last 11 games played as a favorite, and 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played overall. Take the Nittany lions. Thank you.

Green Bay.

NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 467.

10:00 am pst.

Aaron Rodgers had a week to work off the rust. And he knows all too well how to handle the Vikings defense. Moreover, the Packers defense has become one of the toughest and stingiest in the league. They have shut down better offensive units than this one. Green Bay is 3-1 ATS the last four meetings in this series, 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road, 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. teams with a losing record, 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC North, and 20-8 ATS the last 28 games played overall. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Michigan.

Consensus.

Game 343.

12:30 pm pst.

Following their sole defeat, Michigan has won and covered their last two games. Coach Harbaugh knows his team must keep their foot on the gas and get a big win here if they are to have a shot at the CFP. The 9th ranked; one-loss Wolverines have six teams in front of them in the polls that also have one loss. The Michigan defense has been outstanding. DE, Hutchinson and LB Ojabo each have 10 sacks and will get to the mistake-prone Maryland quarterback, Tagovailoa who has been sacked 15 times just over the last five games. But the biggest mismatch is between the 25th ranked scoring machine of the Wolverines offense (34.7 PPG) going up against the 102nd ranked doormat of a Terrapins defense (31.4 PPG allowed). Michigan is 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. Maryland and 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. conference foes. Maryland is 0-5 ATS the last five games played as an underdog and 0-6 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the Wolverines. Thank you.

Minnesota.

Big Ten Game of the Month.

Game 357.

12:30 pm pst.

Minnesota has been through quite a bit this season. Their three top running backs all went down, one after the other. And yet, they still rank 22nd in the nation in rushing. After rattling off four consecutive wins and covers, the Golden Gophers have lost and failed to cover their last two outings. Well folks, no need for any concern because pulling in to Memorial Stadium to face the Big Ten’s cellar-dweller, the Indiana Hoosiers, is just what the doctor prescribed to get back on track. Indiana, which is 0-7 in conference play this season, own some of the nation’s poorest offensive numbers. And lining up against college football’s 18th scoring defense here, things will go from bad to worse for the Hoosiers. Defensively, they won’t be able to stop the ball-carrying tandem of Thomas and Irving, who have teamed up for 981 yards rushing and five TD’s in the backup roles. The Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the Hoosiers, 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 games played on the road, and 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 games played in Big Ten play. Minny wins by double-digits folks. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you.

Tampa Bay.

High Roller.

Game 251.

10:00 am pst.

Tom Brady is on track to have one of the best seasons of his storied career. Suffering just their second loss of the campaign, the Buccaneers had a bye week to rest, heal, and prepare. The No.1 passing attack in the NFL faces the 32nd ranked pass defense. Not only will The WFT get picked apart in the air, they also won’t be able to move the chains at all. The WFT’s only strength is on the ground. Well, the Bucs are 2nd in the league defending the rush. One more item, guys. The WFT has committed 13 turnovers while Tampa Bay has 15 takeaways. The Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS then last eight games played following an ATS loss. The WFT is 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you.

Utah State.

MWC GOM.

Game 221.

7:30 pm pst.

The Aggies have owned the Spartans, winning the last eight meetings SU, going 7-1 ATS. Utah State owns the top-spot in the MW Mountain and with the lowly cellar-dwelling Wyoming and New Mexico remaining on their schedule, they must win here to ensure the division crown. They enter this contest on a four-game SU win streak covering their last three outings. SJ State has only covered twice this season in the favorite role and those were against the atrocious, UNLV and Wyoming squads. They just don’t have the personnel to compete offensively here (21.4 PPG). The 1-2 punch of quarterback, Bonner (2,486 yards passing, 61.3% completion rate, 21/9 ratio) and receiver, Thompkins (1,314 yards receiving, eight TD’s) will dissect the SJSU secondary. Take Utah State. Thank you.

Boston College.

Consensus.
Game 131.

12:30 pm pst.

Guys, Boston College’s stats are a bit skewed. Their team leader, Phil Jurkovic missed most of September and all of October. The quarterback returned last week to spark the Eagles to a 17-3 win and cover over the Hokies. He’s back and will start in his own highlight reel here against the Yellow Jackets very weak defense. My friends, Georgia Tech possesses some of college football’s ugliest stats defensively. When they have the ball, they must line up against one of the nation’s toughest stop-units. BC allows a mere, 18.8 PPG. Tech is riding a three-game SU slide, are 1-4 the last five overall, both SU and against the spread. Between Jurkovic and the ferocious and frustrating Boston College defense, I like the Eagles outright but I will take the two points here with a BC team that is 20-9 ATS the last 29 games played as a road ‘dog and 25-12-1 ATS the last 38 games played in conference play. The Eagles soar folks. Take Boston College. Thank you.

Baylor.

BIG 12 GOM.

Game 357.

12:30 pm pst.

If this isn’t one of the biggest mismatches on the board this Saturday, nothing is. The 7-1, 14th ranked Baylor Bears face the unranked, 3-5 TCU Horned frogs. Baylor is 6-2 ATS while TCU is 1-6-1 against the spread in 2021. On both sides of the ball, the Bears totally outclass the Horned frogs. You’ve got a top-10 rushing unit led by Smith and Ebner, which have combined for nearly 1600 yards rushing and 11 TD’s. Then you’ve got the 116th ranked run defense on the other side of the line of scrimmage. Throw in the mix dual-threat QB, Bohannon, wow, what a stud. He’s accounted for nearly 2000 all-purpose yards and 23 TD’s. That would be enough. But the Bears also possess one of the nations toughest and stingiest defenses too. TCU, riding a three-game loss and no cover streak with the average margin of defeat coming by 17.3 PPG. The road team is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in this series. Take Baylor. Thank you.

Indianapolis.

SNLB GOM.

Game 471.

5:20 pm pst.

San Francisco is on a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. Garoppolo is most-likely out (check status). And both Mostert and Kittle are injured. Even if the trio was in uniform, the team just does not match up well with an Indianapolis team that has covered their last three contests. Wentz (1,545 yards passing, 64.2% completion rate, 9/1) and Taylor (682 total yards and five TD’s) will decimate the overworked 49ers “D”. They are 1-5 ATS the last six games played at home and 10-27-1 ATS the last 38 games played as a favorite. The Colts are 7-2 ATS the last nine games played on the road and 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played in the month of October. Take Indianapolis. Thank you.

Tennessee.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 458.

10:00 am pst.

The cat is out of the bag folks. Kansas City is beatable and their weaknesses have been exposed. The Chiefs have crushed bettors, only covering two outings in 2021 and going back a bit, they are on a 4-13 ATS slide. The Titans, behind the rushing of Derrick Henry will shred the 27th ranked run defense of the Chiefs, controlling the clock and keeping Patrick Mahomes off the field. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings with KC, and 4-1 ATS the last five overall games played. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS the last four games played vs. AFC opponents and 0-4 ATS the last four games played following an ATS win. Take the Titans. Thank you.

Virginia.

ACC GOM.

Game 338.

4:30 pm pst.

Virginia is on a three-game win streak both SU and ATS. The first two games, were as underdogs against Miami Florida and Louisville, both on the road. this says a lot about this team. Then last week’s 48-0 shellacking of Duke at home says even more. The Cavaliers bring into this matchup, one of the nation’s top-offensive units in total yards and passing yards. Guys, the Yellow Jackets are allowing over 382 YPG which includes 228 passing yards per game. WOW! Quarterback Brennan Armstrong is a stud, with 2,824 yards passing, a 64% completion rate, and a 19/6 ratio. With a few more solid performances, I wouldn’t be surprised if he was mentioned in the Heisman watch. Counterpart, Jeff Sims, four picks in his last two starts. There is no way he and his pedestrian Georgia Tech offense will be able to keep pace with Armstrong and the high-flying aerial assault of Virginia. Here’s some against the spread numbers for you…the home team is 7-2-1 the last 10 meetings in this series. The Yellow Jackets are 1-4 the last five on the road and 4-12 the last 16 vs. teams with a winning record. The Cavaliers…7-3 the last 10 in conference play and 10-3 the last 13 overall. Take Virginia here folks and you will take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Syracuse.

CONSENSUS WINNER.

Game 341.

9:30 am pst.

Syracuse is money, covering five straight and going back a bit, eight of their last nine outings. The team is just a handful of points away from being undefeated instead of 3-4. The Orange defense is solid and will completely shut down the Hokies lackluster, 111th ranked offense. The Syracuse “O” is led by the nation’s No.2 leading rusher, Sean Tucker. The running back has tallied 948 yards rushing and nine TD’s on the ground. Add another 224 yards receiving and another two TD’s coming out of the backfield. The 12 ranked rushing unit in college football will control the clock, move the chains, wear down the 79th ranked run defense of Virginia Tech, and win this game outright. The Orange are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 5-0 ATS the last five games vs. conference opponents, and 5-1 ATS the last six game splayed overall. Take Syracuse. Thank you.

Green Bay.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 255.

10:00 am pst.

Make no mistake of it guys, Green Bay is an NFC elite team. The Packers have now rattled off four straight wins and covers. This is a team, no matter the circumstance or the opponent, that does what it takes to win and also to cover. In one of footballs oldest rivalries, don’t kid yourself, Green Bay enjoys beating Chicago. They have taken nine of the last 10 meetings SU, going 7-3 ATS, including four consecutive wins and covers. The Bears defense, on paper, is good. However, they have faced two solid offenses in 2021, losing 34-14 to the Rams and 26-6 to the Browns. In comes Aaron Rodgers and the high-flying Packers offense which has posted 29.2 PPG during their current win streak. Chicago just doesn’t have the personnel to contend on the scoreboard here. The Packers are 17-5 ATS the last 22 at the Bears and 20-7 the last 27 overall vs. the Bears. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

Alabama.

SEC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 183.

4;00 pm pst.

Taking their first loss in just short of two years is bad enough. But dropping from 1st to 5th in the polls, behind four undefeated teams does not sit well with Nick Saban. Don’t put too much stock in last week’s loss. This is a team that was playing at such a high level for such a long time, they were bound to drop a game sooner or later, guys. When you have a team loaded with talent and a coaching staff as good as Alabama, a loss does two things for the team: No. 1, it takes the pressure off. No. 2, it shows you what you need to work on. For the polls, they can’t afford NOT to blow out Mississippi State here. The Crimson Tide will bounce back and make an example of a Bulldogs team that just won’t be able to score on them or stop Bryce Young and the explosive ‘Bama passing attack. The Tide are 5-1 ATS the last six meetings with the Bulldogs, outscoring them by 25, 48, 24, 31, and 41 points in those five ATS victories. Any point spread under four TD’s is a joke. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Michigan State.

BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 131.

9:00 am pst.

When your quarterback has thrown for 1,575 yards passing with 14/2, your running back has ran for 913 yards rushing with nine TD’s, and you have two receivers about to each hit 500 yards receiving, it’s no wonder why your offense is posting over 36.7 PPG. Through six games, the Spartans are 6-0 SU and 4-0-2 ATS. They have outright victories over Northwestern and Miami Florida and have thumped Nebraska and Rutgers. That would be enough to back the team here. However, the Michigan State defense has been stellar, yielding only 19.3 PPG. Indiana is a train wreck. The Hoosiers own some of the poorest numbers in the conference, on both sides of the ball. Offensively, they just can’t score against any solid stop-units. And defensively, they are yielding 28.2 PPG and have just two takeaways. At 1-4 ATS this season, they are point spread poison. MSU has taken 10 of the last 12 meetings in this series SU. And this matchup has been circled on the Spartans calendar since last year’s 24-0 embarrassing loss to the Hoosiers as a 16.5-point favorite. These are two entirely different teams this year. With Michigan on deck, and the schedule getting tougher, Michigan State needs wins and needs to tighten the ship here. They are 12-5 ATS the last 17 games played vs. Indiana and 6-0 ATS the last six games played as a road favorite. Indiana is 1-5 ATS the last six games played overall and 3-10-1 ATS the last 14 games played as a home ‘dog. Take the Spartans. Thank you.     

Packers.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 465.

10;00 am pst.

Since their season-opening loss, Green Bay has now rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. Cincinnati may be 3-1 as well. But, let’s take a look why. They beat a Minnesota team in overtime that is currently 1-3. They lost to a Chicago squad that can’t seem to cross the goal line. They trounced the fading Pittsburgh team that is struggling. And last week, they eked out a win and no cover against a winless Jacksonville club. Their last three outings, the Packers are posting 30.6 PPG. Aaron Rodgers is in top-form. So is his stellar wideouts, Davante Adams and Randall Cobb. The Bengals secondary is outclassed and outmatched here. Throw in the mix that Rodgers is supposed to get back several offensive linemen this week and when this game is over, it just might be the biggest aerial assault we’ve seen this season. Green Bay has a couple of linebackers playing in their second full game back and reports are that their linebacking corps is just about whole now. The Bengals are 1-6 ATS their last seven games played following a SU win. The Packers are 6-2 ATS their last eight games played overall. Take the Packers. Thank you.