Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 47.5 | Top | 22-25 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 51 m | Show |
Over. Just like me, I'm going to keep this analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol. While, both defenses have consistently been two of the best in the NFL, I feel that both offenses can and will exploit their opponents’ defensive units here. Both offensive units have amazing receivers and great ground games as well. Mind you, a lot of people out there think the under is going to be a big play. But I think you're going to see two smart coaches with two smart quarterbacks commanding two very successful offensive units. Defense will probably win the game in the end. But only after a lot of scoring. Just FYI, the 49ers have played to 10 overs, eight unders, and one push. While the Chiefs have played to mostly unders this season, playing in the Super Bowl is a whole different monster. I see both teams scoring quite a bit consistently throughout the game. Take the over. Thank you. Props As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value. PROPS These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes. Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 * Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 * Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 * Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110 |
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11-05-23 | Cowboys v. Eagles OVER 46 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 142 h 34 m | Show |
Cowboys/Eagles OVER. NFL BOOKIE BUSTER OF THE WEEK. Games 471/472. Sunday, November 5, 2023. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. The Cowboys and Eagles are two of the best teams in the NFC. They just happen to also be in the same division, the NFC East. Normally, this is one of the most competitive divisions in football. However, so far this season, these two teams are separating themselves from the rest of the pack. Philadelphia sits at 7-1, the best overall record in the NFC. Just behind them is Dallas at 5-2. FYI, two other NFC teams also own a 5-2 record, Detroit and Seattle. As of posting this play, these two teams are two of the highest-scoring teams in all of football as the Cowboys average over 28.1 points per game, while the Eagles account for 28.0 points per game. Both offenses are well-balanced: equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Granted, these are two of the stronger defenses in the league. But my friends their last five meetings have all gone over the total. Four of the Cowboys last six contests coming into this matchup have gone over the total, while Philly just comes off a 69-point contest against Washington. Both teams need this victory. And both teams match up well with the others. You will see quarterback, Dak Prescott exploit the 26th ranked pass defense of the Philly, while the leagues seventh ranked rushing attack of Eagles will exploit the Cowboys lax run defense. Expect a lot of scoring here. Take the over. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Giants v. Raiders UNDER 37.5 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
Under in the NYG/LV matchup. Games 469/470. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. On one side to side of the field, you've got starting quarterback, Daniel Jones, returning to an offense that averages just 11.9 points per game. However, the Giants defense have certainly stepped up lately, allowing the bills the score just 14, the Commanders to put up just 7, and the Jets to account for just 13 points. On the other side of the field, it's reported that Aiden O'Connell will start. He heads up the 30th ranked scoring offense in the NFL here, which averages a mere 15.8 points per game. And let's face it, I've seen more action on a field than he has. Lol. These two teams have combined to play three overs and 13 unders this season. They only met once in recent years. And that was in November of 2021, when the game went under the total. Take the Under. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas OVER 47.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 32 m | Show |
Over in the Mississippi State/Arkansas matchup. Total of the MONTH. Game 395/396. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Trust me, when I tell you, my friends, the total in this matchup is way too low. Both of these teams are looking for their first Conference victory. And both will fight to get it. Mississippi State comes off a bye last week and Arkansas returns home after several weeks. Starting with the basics: these two teams have combined to play eight overs, four unders, and one push this season. The Bulldogs enter this matchup on a four-game over run, while the Razorbacks have played to four overs in their last five outings. Going back the last eight matchups, six of them have gone over the total, this includes four of the last five, and the last two meetings, the last two seasons. Neither offense is particularly exciting. But they do combine for over 60 points per game. Makes you think, doesn’t it? I just don't see this being a low-scoring contest. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints UNDER 40 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Under in the Jax/NO matchup. Games 311/312. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Just like me, I'm going to keep this analysis, short and sweet, (lol). As of posting this play, the status of Trevor Lawrence is still uncertain. My friends, whether he plays or not, I feel this is the contest Jacksonville will feel a little jet leg and suffer the consequences of a time difference. As we all know the Jaguars spent several weeks in London, beating both the Falcons and the Bills. They came back to the United States last week, and took care of business at home against the Colts. I believe that was on shear strength and momentum. This week they're going to feel a little jetlagged and certainly feel the difference between time zones. They face a Saints team that are a mediocre, 3-3 this season. Defense has been the reason why they still have a chance at making 2023 successful. Going back to last season, this team has played to 12 consecutive unders, which includes all six outings this season. And when, facing the AFC South, five consecutive contests have gone under the total. On the flipside, let's face it, their offense just can't score behind the shakiness of quarterback, Derek Carr. With a game at Pittsburgh 10 days from this outing and then going home two weeks after that, well rested to face San Francisco, I can expect the Jacksonville to take their foot off the gas a little bit here. Take the under. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Seahawks v. Bengals OVER 45 | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
Over SEAHAWKS/BENGALS. No Limit. Games 257/258. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. This is one of the most exciting games on the board this Sunday in pro football. As a capper, I thought it was very difficult to predict which team would triumph. But one thing I had no problem predicting is on the total. The Seahawks offense has come to life over recent weeks, accounting for a combined 108 points during the current three-game win streak. The problem is, their defense has been atrocious all season long. They have only held one opponent to under 27 points scored this season. And that was their last game against the lowly, Giants. The Bengals finally looked like the team we expected them to be this season in last week’s road win at the Cardinals, 34-20. Quarterback, Joe Burrow had his best performance this season. No surprise this coincides with him looking healthier than in previous weeks. Their struggling offense matches up very well here. I expect Burrow to have another stellar showing here as he lines up against the 30th ranked pass defense in the league. The Burrow/Chase connection is rolling. Look for a high scoring game. So much so they may have to replace the bulbs on the scoreboard afterwards. Taking over. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Panthers v. Dolphins OVER 47.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
Over in the Panthers/Dolphins. HIGH ROLLER. Game 265/266. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. There is no question the number one scoring offense in NFL of the Miami Dolphins will pick apart the 28th ranked scoring defense of the Carolina Panthers. If you're concerned about the absence of starting running back, Devon Achane, don't be. Raheem Mostert has accounted for over 314 yards on the ground, averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Oh, and by the way, he leads the team in touchdowns with seven. I know the Carolina team is 0-5, the only winless teams left in the League. And they possess an “O” ranking towards the bottom of the barrel. But as good as the Dolphins are, there hasn't been too many teams that haven't been able to score easily on them. They rank 26th in the League, allowing over 27.0 points per game. To be quite honest, going back to even last season, their defense has gotten steamrolled. It’s only due to their explosive offense they keep winning. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Ravens v. Titans UNDER 43 | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
Under Ravens/Titans. AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Game 2517252. 6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST. Both, Baltimore, and Tennessee aren't exactly where they hoped to be at this point in the season. Both offenses are struggling to put points on the board. However, both defenses have been outstanding. These two squads match up pretty well. Coming into this match up, the Ravens and Titans have played to eight unders in their 10 combined games this season. Over there four most recent meetings, three have gone under the total. Take the under. Thank you. |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 51 | 38-35 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 54 m | Show | |
Under 51. Super Bowl LVII Total Winner. Games 101/102. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, you all know me as someone who writes detailed, lengthy analysis, with angles appealing to every type of sports bettor. I’m going to forgo that for this Super Bowl total release. I’m going to keep it very simple. Guys, I know the general public is betting the over. And on paper, it makes sense. You’ve got two of the best scoring offenses in the NFL facing one another here. The Chiefs average 29.2-points per game, while the Eagles account for over 28.1-points per game. However, these are two very good defenses as well. Kansas City allows just 21.7-points per game, while Philadelphia yields a mere 20.2-points per game. You’ve got two smart head coaches. Two very savvy quarterbacks. One has more Super Bowl experience. Mahomes obviously still not 100% with that ankle issue. That changes the way their unit attacks offensively. In any case, they line up against the top ranked pass defense in the NFL. The other quarterback heavily relies upon the ground game to open up the passing game. Well, they face one of the best run defenses in football. Both teams have to establish the run to keep the opponents defense honest. Both quarterbacks are smart and make very few mistakes. Both coaches know that this is a game that has to be strategically played. And whoever makes the fewer mistakes or takes the fewer chances I should say, has a high percentage leading when the gun sounds. Coming into this match up Kansas City has played four unders in the last five outings, while Philadelphia’s last six contests, have seen five unders. There’s a ton more trends that further confirm why we are taking the under. But I think we’re all good to go folks. Take under. Thank you. Props Offering Value: Courtesy of my good friends at the SuperBook 11 PROPS In Order of Strength STRONGEST TO WEAKEST *** Will The Game Be Tied After 0-0 YES EVEN *** Largest Lead Of Game By Either Team 14.5 UNDER -135 *** Total Receptions By Travis Kelce 6.5 OVER -135 *** Will Travis Score a TD YES EVEN Total Rushing Yards By Mahomes 10.5 OVER EVEN Longest Rush By Mahomes 6.5 Over -110 Will There Be A Lead Change In The 4Th Quarter YES +270 Will Both Teams Have The Lead In the 1st Half YES +140 WILL THE GAME BE DECIDED BY EXACTLY 1 PT +1500 2 PTS +1300 3 PTS +475 Total Gross Passing Yards By Mahomes 288.5 UNDER EVEN Will There Be A ST Or Defensive TD Yes +270 |
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01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills OVER 49 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 27 m | Show |
OVER in the BENGALS/BILLS matchup. AFC STRONGEST TOTAL OF THE SEASON. Games 315/316. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. My friends, make no mistake of it, this is the most anticipated matchup in this conference this season. Yes, Saturdays Jacksonville/Kansas City contest certainly has some excitement. But I think we can all agree that no matchup in the AFC has been as anticipated as the Cincinnati/Buffalo meeting. As we all know these two teams met on January 2, and after the unfortunate incident to Damar Hamlin, the game was suspended and eventually canceled. Cincinnati enters this matchup winning the last nine games straight up, while Buffalo has won eight in a row coming into Sunday’s contest. The Bengals have played to three overs in their last four outings, while the Bills are on a four-game over streak. You’re looking at two of the highest-scoring teams in the League as Cincy averages 26.1-points per game and Buffalo accounts for 28.4-points per game. Granted, both defenses ranked in the top-six, but as the season progressed, both stop-units have looked a little bit fatigued. Both quarterbacks are certainly two of the best in the game today. Joe Burrow leads the fifth-ranked passing attack and they will have a lot of success in the air against the 15th-ranked pass defense in the NFL. Josh Allen leads the seventh-ranked aerial assault and they too will have a lot of success throwing the ball against the 23rd-ranked pass defense in the League. Both offenses have stellar ground attacks. Joe Mixon is a workhorse. And Devin Singletary is the same. Both offenses will establish the run to keep the opponents defenses honest, and then pass off of the run. I sincerely feel that neither defense is going to be able to stop either offense from throwing the ball, moving the chains, and crossing the goal line. In my opinion this will be one of the highest-scoring games for either one of these teams this season. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two conference rivals. Expect another high-scoring affair. Take the over. Thank you. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs OVER 52 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
Jaguars/Chiefs OVER. TOUCHDOWN PLAY. Games 301/302. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. My friends, look for a very high-scoring affair in the Jaguars/Chiefs matchup. Both offenses are clicking on all cylinders. Obviously, Kansas City owns the No. 1 scoring “O“ in the NFL, averaging 29.2-points per game. You will see Patrick Mahomes and the top-ranked passing unit of Kansas City have enormous success in the air against the 28th ranked pass defense in the League. On the flipside, Trevor Lawrence and company are putting up a lot of points. Just during their six-game win streak, they have averaged 29.5-points per game. Just since the beginning of December, we have seen the Chiefs defense look a little fatigued and overworked as they allowed the Bengals to put up 27, the Broncos to put up 28 and 24 and the Texans to put up 24. I feel Lawrence will have a lot of success as well in the air against the 18th ranked pass defense in the NFL. The over is 8-3 in the Jaguars last 11 games played on the road and 4-0 the their last four games played versus teams with a winning record. It is also 10-3 in the Chiefs last 13 games played in the month of January and 8-3 in their last 11 games played following an ATS win. Take the over. Thank you. |
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12-22-22 | Air Force v. Baylor UNDER 43.5 | Top | 30-15 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
Under in the Air Force/Baylor Armed Forces Bowl. NCAAF Total of the Month. Games 227/228. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Just for the record, the Baylor Bears enter this Bowl matchup having played two unders in their last three outings following having played six consecutive overs. As the season progressed the odds makers looked to trap you. We all know the type of game plan Air Force plays, thus resulting in five unders in their last six outings. Having said all that, both defenses are amazing. The Bears, which play in the explosive Big 12, allow just 26.6-points per game. The Falcons, ranked number one in the nation, in both yards allowed and passing yards allowed. They rank eighth in rushing yards allowed and third in college football in points scored, yielding a mere 13.3-points per game. The matchups here are very interesting. The Bears, which are a good team offensively, will have a lot of problems. This is a team that primarily relies upon the run to open up their passing game. Well, the Falcons are amazing at stuffing the rush. On the flipside, Air Force we all know, tops the nation in rushing. That is one area that Baylor was very good at defensively in the conference. They allowed only 137.6 yards per game on the ground. Two items that really stood out to me here; Baylor coach Dave Aranda, who really got the head coaching position he currently holds due to the fact that he was the defensive coordinator for Ed Orgeron during the 15-0 National Championship season of 2019 for LSU. He just recently fired his defensive coordinator, Ron Roberts and is taking over the reins here. You can bet your kid‘s college fund that he has prepared his defense for the explosive rushing attack they will face here this evening. Switching it around, we all know the Falcons are the best in the nation at running the ball. Well, they use up a lot of clock on the ground. They don’t score a lot of points, but they use up a lot of clock. The under is 4-1 in the Bears last five games played versus the MWC, 4-0 in their last four games played at a neutral site, and 4-0 in their last four games played in the month of December. The under is 16-5 in the Falcons last 21 nonconference games, 5-1 in their last six games played on grass, and 4-1 in their last five Bowl games. Take the under. Thank you. |
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12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions OVER 51.5 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
OVER in the VIKINGS/LIONS matchup. NFC NORTH TOM. Games 105/106. 10:00 AM PST/1:00PM EST. The over went money in four of the last five meetings in this division rivalry, including the September 25 matchup which tallied 52 points. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-06-22 | Colts v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 34 h 5 m | Show | |
Under in the Colts/Broncos matchup. AFC Total of the Month. Games 301/302. 5:15 pm PT/8:15 pm ET. My friends, it’s no secret that both Indianapolis and Denver are struggling. Both teams had high expectations coming into the regular season. And yet they are combined 3-4-1 straight up thus far. Both offensive units rank amongst the worst in the league as the Colts average just 14.3 points per game and the Broncos average only 16.5 points per game. Neither unit has had any success on the ground. And let’s face it overall, they are both experiencing a nightmare the first quarter of this campaign. To add insult to injury, both offenses have coughed the ball up a combined 13 times already. It’s no secret that Indianapolis running back Jonathan Taylor is banged-up. As of posting this play, he is listed as questionable. It’s also no secret that Denver’s leading ball-carrier, Javonte Williams is out. But both defenses have played pretty well. Indy ranks 14th in the NFL allowing just 21.3 points per game while the Broncos rank sixth, yielding a mere 17.0 points per game. One more thing they both have in common folks, is the fact that they have combined to play seven unders in their eight total contests in 2022. As a matter of fact, going back a bit, Indianapolis has played to nine consecutive unders. And the Broncos have played to 11 unders over their last 15 outings. Here’s a few more under trends that confirm why we are going under the total here; Indianapolis has played under in five straight on the road and eighth straight against the AFC, while Denver has played to six unders over the last eight in Mile High and nine of the last 12 overall played on grass. This game goes under the total. Take the under. Thank you. |