Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 47.5 | Top | 22-25 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 51 m | Show |
Over. Just like me, I'm going to keep this analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol. While, both defenses have consistently been two of the best in the NFL, I feel that both offenses can and will exploit their opponents’ defensive units here. Both offensive units have amazing receivers and great ground games as well. Mind you, a lot of people out there think the under is going to be a big play. But I think you're going to see two smart coaches with two smart quarterbacks commanding two very successful offensive units. Defense will probably win the game in the end. But only after a lot of scoring. Just FYI, the 49ers have played to 10 overs, eight unders, and one push. While the Chiefs have played to mostly unders this season, playing in the Super Bowl is a whole different monster. I see both teams scoring quite a bit consistently throughout the game. Take the over. Thank you. Props As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value. PROPS These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes. Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 * Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 * Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 * Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110 |
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11-05-23 | Cowboys v. Eagles OVER 46 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 142 h 34 m | Show |
Cowboys/Eagles OVER. NFL BOOKIE BUSTER OF THE WEEK. Games 471/472. Sunday, November 5, 2023. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. The Cowboys and Eagles are two of the best teams in the NFC. They just happen to also be in the same division, the NFC East. Normally, this is one of the most competitive divisions in football. However, so far this season, these two teams are separating themselves from the rest of the pack. Philadelphia sits at 7-1, the best overall record in the NFC. Just behind them is Dallas at 5-2. FYI, two other NFC teams also own a 5-2 record, Detroit and Seattle. As of posting this play, these two teams are two of the highest-scoring teams in all of football as the Cowboys average over 28.1 points per game, while the Eagles account for 28.0 points per game. Both offenses are well-balanced: equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Granted, these are two of the stronger defenses in the league. But my friends their last five meetings have all gone over the total. Four of the Cowboys last six contests coming into this matchup have gone over the total, while Philly just comes off a 69-point contest against Washington. Both teams need this victory. And both teams match up well with the others. You will see quarterback, Dak Prescott exploit the 26th ranked pass defense of the Philly, while the leagues seventh ranked rushing attack of Eagles will exploit the Cowboys lax run defense. Expect a lot of scoring here. Take the over. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Giants v. Raiders UNDER 37.5 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
Under in the NYG/LV matchup. Games 469/470. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. On one side to side of the field, you've got starting quarterback, Daniel Jones, returning to an offense that averages just 11.9 points per game. However, the Giants defense have certainly stepped up lately, allowing the bills the score just 14, the Commanders to put up just 7, and the Jets to account for just 13 points. On the other side of the field, it's reported that Aiden O'Connell will start. He heads up the 30th ranked scoring offense in the NFL here, which averages a mere 15.8 points per game. And let's face it, I've seen more action on a field than he has. Lol. These two teams have combined to play three overs and 13 unders this season. They only met once in recent years. And that was in November of 2021, when the game went under the total. Take the Under. Thank you. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints UNDER 40 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Under in the Jax/NO matchup. Games 311/312. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Just like me, I'm going to keep this analysis, short and sweet, (lol). As of posting this play, the status of Trevor Lawrence is still uncertain. My friends, whether he plays or not, I feel this is the contest Jacksonville will feel a little jet leg and suffer the consequences of a time difference. As we all know the Jaguars spent several weeks in London, beating both the Falcons and the Bills. They came back to the United States last week, and took care of business at home against the Colts. I believe that was on shear strength and momentum. This week they're going to feel a little jetlagged and certainly feel the difference between time zones. They face a Saints team that are a mediocre, 3-3 this season. Defense has been the reason why they still have a chance at making 2023 successful. Going back to last season, this team has played to 12 consecutive unders, which includes all six outings this season. And when, facing the AFC South, five consecutive contests have gone under the total. On the flipside, let's face it, their offense just can't score behind the shakiness of quarterback, Derek Carr. With a game at Pittsburgh 10 days from this outing and then going home two weeks after that, well rested to face San Francisco, I can expect the Jacksonville to take their foot off the gas a little bit here. Take the under. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Seahawks v. Bengals OVER 45 | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
Over SEAHAWKS/BENGALS. No Limit. Games 257/258. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. This is one of the most exciting games on the board this Sunday in pro football. As a capper, I thought it was very difficult to predict which team would triumph. But one thing I had no problem predicting is on the total. The Seahawks offense has come to life over recent weeks, accounting for a combined 108 points during the current three-game win streak. The problem is, their defense has been atrocious all season long. They have only held one opponent to under 27 points scored this season. And that was their last game against the lowly, Giants. The Bengals finally looked like the team we expected them to be this season in last week’s road win at the Cardinals, 34-20. Quarterback, Joe Burrow had his best performance this season. No surprise this coincides with him looking healthier than in previous weeks. Their struggling offense matches up very well here. I expect Burrow to have another stellar showing here as he lines up against the 30th ranked pass defense in the league. The Burrow/Chase connection is rolling. Look for a high scoring game. So much so they may have to replace the bulbs on the scoreboard afterwards. Taking over. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Panthers v. Dolphins OVER 47.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
Over in the Panthers/Dolphins. HIGH ROLLER. Game 265/266. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. There is no question the number one scoring offense in NFL of the Miami Dolphins will pick apart the 28th ranked scoring defense of the Carolina Panthers. If you're concerned about the absence of starting running back, Devon Achane, don't be. Raheem Mostert has accounted for over 314 yards on the ground, averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Oh, and by the way, he leads the team in touchdowns with seven. I know the Carolina team is 0-5, the only winless teams left in the League. And they possess an “O” ranking towards the bottom of the barrel. But as good as the Dolphins are, there hasn't been too many teams that haven't been able to score easily on them. They rank 26th in the League, allowing over 27.0 points per game. To be quite honest, going back to even last season, their defense has gotten steamrolled. It’s only due to their explosive offense they keep winning. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Ravens v. Titans UNDER 43 | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
Under Ravens/Titans. AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Game 2517252. 6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST. Both, Baltimore, and Tennessee aren't exactly where they hoped to be at this point in the season. Both offenses are struggling to put points on the board. However, both defenses have been outstanding. These two squads match up pretty well. Coming into this match up, the Ravens and Titans have played to eight unders in their 10 combined games this season. Over there four most recent meetings, three have gone under the total. Take the under. Thank you. |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 51 | 38-35 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 54 m | Show | |
Under 51. Super Bowl LVII Total Winner. Games 101/102. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, you all know me as someone who writes detailed, lengthy analysis, with angles appealing to every type of sports bettor. I’m going to forgo that for this Super Bowl total release. I’m going to keep it very simple. Guys, I know the general public is betting the over. And on paper, it makes sense. You’ve got two of the best scoring offenses in the NFL facing one another here. The Chiefs average 29.2-points per game, while the Eagles account for over 28.1-points per game. However, these are two very good defenses as well. Kansas City allows just 21.7-points per game, while Philadelphia yields a mere 20.2-points per game. You’ve got two smart head coaches. Two very savvy quarterbacks. One has more Super Bowl experience. Mahomes obviously still not 100% with that ankle issue. That changes the way their unit attacks offensively. In any case, they line up against the top ranked pass defense in the NFL. The other quarterback heavily relies upon the ground game to open up the passing game. Well, they face one of the best run defenses in football. Both teams have to establish the run to keep the opponents defense honest. Both quarterbacks are smart and make very few mistakes. Both coaches know that this is a game that has to be strategically played. And whoever makes the fewer mistakes or takes the fewer chances I should say, has a high percentage leading when the gun sounds. Coming into this match up Kansas City has played four unders in the last five outings, while Philadelphia’s last six contests, have seen five unders. There’s a ton more trends that further confirm why we are taking the under. But I think we’re all good to go folks. Take under. Thank you. Props Offering Value: Courtesy of my good friends at the SuperBook 11 PROPS In Order of Strength STRONGEST TO WEAKEST *** Will The Game Be Tied After 0-0 YES EVEN *** Largest Lead Of Game By Either Team 14.5 UNDER -135 *** Total Receptions By Travis Kelce 6.5 OVER -135 *** Will Travis Score a TD YES EVEN Total Rushing Yards By Mahomes 10.5 OVER EVEN Longest Rush By Mahomes 6.5 Over -110 Will There Be A Lead Change In The 4Th Quarter YES +270 Will Both Teams Have The Lead In the 1st Half YES +140 WILL THE GAME BE DECIDED BY EXACTLY 1 PT +1500 2 PTS +1300 3 PTS +475 Total Gross Passing Yards By Mahomes 288.5 UNDER EVEN Will There Be A ST Or Defensive TD Yes +270 |
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01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills OVER 49 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 27 m | Show |
OVER in the BENGALS/BILLS matchup. AFC STRONGEST TOTAL OF THE SEASON. Games 315/316. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. My friends, make no mistake of it, this is the most anticipated matchup in this conference this season. Yes, Saturdays Jacksonville/Kansas City contest certainly has some excitement. But I think we can all agree that no matchup in the AFC has been as anticipated as the Cincinnati/Buffalo meeting. As we all know these two teams met on January 2, and after the unfortunate incident to Damar Hamlin, the game was suspended and eventually canceled. Cincinnati enters this matchup winning the last nine games straight up, while Buffalo has won eight in a row coming into Sunday’s contest. The Bengals have played to three overs in their last four outings, while the Bills are on a four-game over streak. You’re looking at two of the highest-scoring teams in the League as Cincy averages 26.1-points per game and Buffalo accounts for 28.4-points per game. Granted, both defenses ranked in the top-six, but as the season progressed, both stop-units have looked a little bit fatigued. Both quarterbacks are certainly two of the best in the game today. Joe Burrow leads the fifth-ranked passing attack and they will have a lot of success in the air against the 15th-ranked pass defense in the NFL. Josh Allen leads the seventh-ranked aerial assault and they too will have a lot of success throwing the ball against the 23rd-ranked pass defense in the League. Both offenses have stellar ground attacks. Joe Mixon is a workhorse. And Devin Singletary is the same. Both offenses will establish the run to keep the opponents defenses honest, and then pass off of the run. I sincerely feel that neither defense is going to be able to stop either offense from throwing the ball, moving the chains, and crossing the goal line. In my opinion this will be one of the highest-scoring games for either one of these teams this season. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two conference rivals. Expect another high-scoring affair. Take the over. Thank you. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs OVER 52 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
Jaguars/Chiefs OVER. TOUCHDOWN PLAY. Games 301/302. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. My friends, look for a very high-scoring affair in the Jaguars/Chiefs matchup. Both offenses are clicking on all cylinders. Obviously, Kansas City owns the No. 1 scoring “O“ in the NFL, averaging 29.2-points per game. You will see Patrick Mahomes and the top-ranked passing unit of Kansas City have enormous success in the air against the 28th ranked pass defense in the League. On the flipside, Trevor Lawrence and company are putting up a lot of points. Just during their six-game win streak, they have averaged 29.5-points per game. Just since the beginning of December, we have seen the Chiefs defense look a little fatigued and overworked as they allowed the Bengals to put up 27, the Broncos to put up 28 and 24 and the Texans to put up 24. I feel Lawrence will have a lot of success as well in the air against the 18th ranked pass defense in the NFL. The over is 8-3 in the Jaguars last 11 games played on the road and 4-0 the their last four games played versus teams with a winning record. It is also 10-3 in the Chiefs last 13 games played in the month of January and 8-3 in their last 11 games played following an ATS win. Take the over. Thank you. |
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12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions OVER 51.5 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
OVER in the VIKINGS/LIONS matchup. NFC NORTH TOM. Games 105/106. 10:00 AM PST/1:00PM EST. The over went money in four of the last five meetings in this division rivalry, including the September 25 matchup which tallied 52 points. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-06-22 | Colts v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 34 h 5 m | Show | |
Under in the Colts/Broncos matchup. AFC Total of the Month. Games 301/302. 5:15 pm PT/8:15 pm ET. My friends, it’s no secret that both Indianapolis and Denver are struggling. Both teams had high expectations coming into the regular season. And yet they are combined 3-4-1 straight up thus far. Both offensive units rank amongst the worst in the league as the Colts average just 14.3 points per game and the Broncos average only 16.5 points per game. Neither unit has had any success on the ground. And let’s face it overall, they are both experiencing a nightmare the first quarter of this campaign. To add insult to injury, both offenses have coughed the ball up a combined 13 times already. It’s no secret that Indianapolis running back Jonathan Taylor is banged-up. As of posting this play, he is listed as questionable. It’s also no secret that Denver’s leading ball-carrier, Javonte Williams is out. But both defenses have played pretty well. Indy ranks 14th in the NFL allowing just 21.3 points per game while the Broncos rank sixth, yielding a mere 17.0 points per game. One more thing they both have in common folks, is the fact that they have combined to play seven unders in their eight total contests in 2022. As a matter of fact, going back a bit, Indianapolis has played to nine consecutive unders. And the Broncos have played to 11 unders over their last 15 outings. Here’s a few more under trends that confirm why we are going under the total here; Indianapolis has played under in five straight on the road and eighth straight against the AFC, while Denver has played to six unders over the last eight in Mile High and nine of the last 12 overall played on grass. This game goes under the total. Take the under. Thank you. |
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09-18-22 | Dolphins v. Ravens UNDER 44.5 | Top | 42-38 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 1 m | Show |
Dolphins/Ravens Under. NFL Total Blockbuster. Games 263/264. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. My friends, I’m going to keep this analysis just like me, very short and extremely sweet. (Lol) Last year’s meeting between these two teams resulted in a total of 32-points scored. As a matter fact, coming into this match up eight of the last 11 Dolphins contests have gone under the total. And seven of the Ravens last 10 have gone where? That’s right, under the total as well. Both offenses seem to be a little bit out of sync at the moment, looking like it’s going to take a little while for the squads to mesh and get in a groove. However, both defenses are looking pretty strong right now. Both head coaches are looking to continue their winning ways. And therefore, will not tolerate any mistakes or turnovers by their teams here. I think this is going to be a very slow-moving game as both teams will try to establish the run. Something they’ve yet to do this season. The under is 5-0 in the Dolphins list five on the road as well as seven of their last nine versus the AFC. It is also 6-0 in the Ravens last six as a favorite and 5-2 in their last seven versus the AFC as well. Take the under here in a very low scoring contest. Thank you. |
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01-22-22 | 49ers v. Packers OVER 47 | 13-10 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Let’s start with the health of Jimmy Garoppolo. I don’t care what you hear about his shoulder or his thumb. It’s all propaganda and no merit. The QB is healthy and playing some of his best football ever. The offense is now utilizing Deebo Samuel very creatively and will move the chains here. On the other side, you have on of the best QB’s in the history of the sport having a career year. There hasn’t too many opponents, if any this season that has contained Aaron Rodgers when he is 100%. Both teams will be able to have success in the air which will allow both offenses to open up their ground games. When these two teams met in September, it resulted in 58 points scored making it the third consecutive matchup going over the total just since January of 2020. Green Bay comes in here with six of their last seven going over the total. Granted San Francisco, just three of their last eight have gone over the total. But in all sincerity, they really haven’t faced too many spectacular offenses. This game flies over the total folks. The over is 4-1 the last five meetings between these two teams, 5-0 in the Packers last five vs. the NFC and 7-0 their last seven playoff games, 5-2 in the 49ers last seven Saturday games and 9-4 in their last 13 games played following an ATS win. Take the over. Thank you. |
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12-12-21 | Lions v. Broncos UNDER 42.5 | 10-38 | Loss | -117 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
Under in the Lions/Broncos matchup. LVSM play. Game 121/122. 1:05 pm pst. These two teams have combined to play six overs and 18 unders in the 2021 season. When you match up two offenses that combine for a dismal 36.7 PPG, expect a low-scoring affair. The Broncos defense is top-10 in every major category while the Lions “D” has vastly improved over the last month (18.0 PPG allowed last four games). The under is 5-0 in Detroit’s last five games played on the road and 5-1 in Denver’s last six games played at home. Take the under. Thank you. |
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12-12-21 | Jaguars v. Titans UNDER 43.5 | 0-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
Under in the Jaguars/Titans. AFC SOUTH TOTAL of the Month. Games 111/112. 10:00 am pst. Ever since running back, Derrick Henry went down, so did the Tennessee offense. They went from scoring 34, to 28, to 23, to just 13 points each of the last two outings. Granted, Jacksonville accounts for a mere 15.0 PPG. With both the Titans and the Jaguars struggling to cross the goal line. I doubt this will be a high-scoring contest. As a matter of fact, the scorekeeper can probably take a nap here. The under is 5-2 in the Titans last seven games played at home and 10-1 in the Jaguars last 11 games played overall. Take the under. Thank you. |
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12-05-21 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 47 | 27-29 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 54 m | Show | |
Under in the Vikings/Lions matchup. NFC NORTH TOM. Games 451/452. 10:00 am pst. The Lions are trying everything they can to earn their first victory, playing extremely competitive in four of their last five outings. Their lack of offense along with their scrappy defense has resulted in playing to eight unders over their last nine games. The Vikings lost their only true offensive weapon in running back, Dalvin Cook. The under is 11-5 the last 16 meetings in this series. Take the under. Thank you. |
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11-28-21 | Bucs v. Colts OVER 53 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
Over in the Buccaneers/Colts matchup. NFL TOM. Games 257/258. 10:00 am pst. You can expect both teams to come in here fired up. Bucs head coach, Bruce Arians publicly criticized his team including his leader, Tom Brady following last week’s sloppy win over the Giants. The Colts are crushing opponents and come off a big 45-15 victory over AFC top-contender, the Bills. Both offenses are scoring machines. Brady will light up the Colts defense in the air while Wentz will also have quite a bit of success. Especially because he has 1,155-yard rusher, the rejuvenated Jonathan Taylor running the ball. The over is 4-1 the last five meetings in this series, 28-13 in the Bucs last 41 games played on the road and 11-1 in the Colts last 12 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the over folks. Thank you. |
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11-22-21 | Giants v. Bucs UNDER 50 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Under in the NY/TB matchup. MNF Winner. Games 477/478. 5:15 pm pst. Over the years, Tom Brady has had issues with the Giants. Now, the Bucs are coming off two consecutive losses in which their defense has struggled. Well, the New York “O” is one of the poorest in the NFL, averaging just 19.9 PPG. But, their stop-unit has stepped-up, allowing a total of 39 points the last three contests. The Giants have played to three straight unders while the Buccaneers have gone under the total in three of the last four games. The under is 7-3-1 the last 11 games played by New York vs. NFC opponents and 7-3 the last 10 games played by New York overall. It is also 9-3 the last 12 games played following an ATS loss for Tampa Bay and 4-0 the last four games played following a SU loss for Tampa Bay. Take the under. Thank you. |
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11-21-21 | Packers v. Vikings UNDER 47.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 19 m | Show |
Under in the Packers/Vikings matchup. NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 467/468. 10:00 am pst. The Packers 3rd ranked defense has emerged to be one of the toughest in football, shutting down offenses completely. Thus, resulting in the team playing to seven straight unders. The Vikings offense is going to have problems moving the ball here. Aaron Rodgers has shown some rust in his return. The Minny “D” knows how to handle Green Bay as well. Besides, they have played to five unders over their lasts seven outings themselves. So, you can expect a heavy dose of rushing form both teams, slowing the pace down. This will be a low-scoring affair as under is 6-1 the last seven meetings in Minnesota and 9-4 the last 13 meetings overall. Take the under. Thank you. |
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10-10-21 | Patriots v. Texans UNDER 39.5 | 25-22 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
Under in the Patriots/Texans matchup. TOTAL OF THE WEEK. Games 467/468. 10:00 am pst. Bill Belichick and his coaching staff are excellent at confounding rookie quarterbacks. First-year play-caller, Davis Mills and the Houston offense is in for a long day here as they line up against the top-10 ranked stop-unit of New England. The last two weeks against the Carolina and Buffalo defenses, they have accounted for a total of 9.0 points. Mac Jones and the Patriots offense will keep the gameplan very simple and very conservative not to make any mistakes. The under is 5-1 in the Patriots last six games played on the road and 7-3 in the Texans last 10 games played as an underdog. Take the under. Thank you. |
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01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 42 | 30-20 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
UNDER in the RAMS/SEAHAWKS. LVSM. Games 143/144. 1:40 pm pst. Both defenses have vastly improved over the last month or so. As of post, Jared Goff’s status is still unknown. If he plays, his passing efficiency will be hampered by an injury to his thumb on his throwing hand. If he doesn’t, his backup only has one pro game under his belt. The Seattle offense was limited to a total of 36 points in two matchups with LA this season. The last three meetings have all gone under the total. The under is also 8-2 in the Rams L10 vs the NFC and 4-0 in the Rams L4, 4-0 in the Seahaw3ks L4 at home and 7-1 in the Seahawks L8 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Patriots v. Texans UNDER 49 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 21 m | Show | |
Under. NFL TOW. Games 457/458. 10:00 am pst. These two head coaches know each other well enough to create smart game plans. I look for this matchup to be a slow-paced game. The Patriots will run, run, run the ball, eating away clock. The Under is 13-6 in the Patriots last 19 vs. losers and 4-1 in the Texans last five at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Chargers v. Dolphins OVER 48 | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 29 h 24 m | Show | |
OVER LAC/MIA. TD. Games 277/278. 1:05 pm pst. The Chargers have been competitive in every outing this season. Seven points or less have decided every defeat in 2020. They can put up points on any defense in the NFL., averaging over 25.6 PPG. Tua Time has the Dolphins on the rise, as they are posting over 27.8 PPG. LA is on a five-game OVER streak and they can and will score on the Miami “D” here. The Chargers match up well in this one. The Dolphins will also light up the scoreboard on a “D” that’s getting burned for over 27.0 PPG. The OVER is 7-1 in LA’s L8 on the road and 5-2 in Miami’s L7 vs. teams with a losing record. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 50.5 | Top | 38-3 | Loss | -109 | 52 h 5 m | Show |
Take the OVER in the NO/TB matchup. This is my NFC SOUTH TOM. Games 473/474. 5:20 pm pst. Last week’s win and cover on a windy Cleveland field showed me that Derek Carr and the Las Vegas team has some spunk, my friends. L.A., let’s be honest, they have been competitive in every game this season, every game. Both offenses will pass the ball with great efficiency against each other’s “less than stellar” secondaries. I also see both squads moving the chains on the ground here. Prior to last week, every other outing this season for the Raiders has gone OVER the total, while the Chargers enter this contest riding a four-game OVER streak. Watch this game fly over the total and watch your bankroll get bigger. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Titans v. Bengals OVER 52 | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 43 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the Titans/Bengals matchup. This is my CONSENSUS PLAY. Games 257/258. 10:00 am pst. Tennessee enters this matchup having played five consecutive OVERS while Cincy's last two outings have gone OVER the total. The Titans come off their first loss of the season and the NFL's 4th ranked scoring offense (31.3 PPG) will certainly look to exploit a Bengals "D" that has been smoked for 23 or more points in six straight outings. Derrick Henry will run amok here. Joe Burrow set a rookie record last week with 406 YP and three TD's. he's got the talent and the confidence to beat the 26th ranked pass defense of Tennessee. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Jets v. Chiefs UNDER 49 | 9-35 | Win | 100 | 50 h 32 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the Jets/Chiefs matchup. This is my SMART MONEY PLAY. Games 261/262. 10:00 am pst. At 0-7, the Jets are done for the season and are looking at draft day already. Their offense averages just 12.1 PPG and have mustered a dismal, 20 combined points over the last three weeks. Don't expect too much here as they face a Chiefs "D" that is getting better since their loss to the Raiders. KC also knows that they have this game in the bag and will play conservative as to not make any mistakes or suffer any injuries. The UNDER is 8-3 in the Jets L11 vs. the AFC and two of the L3 meetings in this series have gone UNDER the total. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Raiders v. Browns OVER 50.5 | Top | 16-6 | Loss | -102 | 50 h 38 m | Show |
Take OVER in the Raiders/Browns matchup. This is my TOTAL OF THE WEEK. Games 259/260. 10:00 am pst. 20 MPH winds or not, these two teams have combined to play 10 OVERS, two UNDERS, and one PUSH this season. Both offenses are putting up points (57.3 PPG combined). And both defense are among the worst in the NFL, getting burned for a combined, 64.4 PPG. Each defense also possesses two of the poorest and most-beatable secondary's we have seen in 2020. Derek Carr is gaining confidence to continue his success in the air, while Baker Mayfield impressed once again last week, tossing five TD's after OBJ went down. The OVER is 5-0-1 in the Raiders L6 overall and 7-0 in the Browns L7 as a favorite. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Bears v. Panthers UNDER 45 | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the BEARS/PANTHERS matchup. This is my LVSM. Games 251/252. 10:00 am pst. Both teams match up well here. Neither Foles nor Bridgewater has the luxury of a true running threat. Both defenses are excellent against the pass while both offenses rank in the bottom third in scoring. The Bears come in here playing two straight UNDERS and the Panthers three straight UNDERS. The UNDER is 18-8 in Chicago's L26 overall and 17-4 in their L21 on grass. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 51 | 7-38 | Loss | -101 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Cleveland/Pittsburgh matchup. This is my AFC NORTH TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 261/262. 10:00 am pst. Both teams are winning at a combined, 9-1 and both offenses are rolling, averaging a combined, 60.7 PPG. Look for the Browns to move the ball on the ground while the Steelers in the air. These two teams are a combined 7-2 in OVERS this season. The OVER is 5-1 in the Browns L6 on grass and 16-5 in the Steelers L21 as a home favorite. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-12-20 | Chargers v. Saints OVER 49.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Chargers have not been out of any of their three consecutive losses (all by seven points or less). Look for these two teams to light up the scoreboard in a shootout between 22-year old rookie, Justin Herbert and 41-year old, Drew Brees.The over is 5-0 the L5 meetings in this series, 4-1 in the Chargers L5 overall, and4-0 in the Saints L 4 overall. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 56 | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Take the OVER in the FALCONS/PACKERS game. This is my MNF TOM. Game 279/280. 5:50 pm pst. Two of the highest scoring offenses in the NFL face each other here on MNF. Green Bay (40.7 PPG) and Atlanta (30.0 PPG) have combined to play to six overs this season. The Packers enter tonight on a five-game over streak while the Falcons are riding a four-game over streak. Both Aaron Rodgers and Matt Ryan own top passing units and both defenses are having issues stopping the pass. The over is 5-0 the L5 meetings in this series, 6-0 in Atlanta's L6 vs. the NFC and 5-0 in Green Bay's L5 vs. the NFC. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-05-20 | Patriots v. Chiefs UNDER 49 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the PATRIOTS/CHIEFS game. This is my TD play. Games 281/282. 4:05 pm pst. Both defenses are playing very well and both coaching staffs are excellent at preparing for opponents. With the absence of Cam Newton, the dynamics change for the Patriots as Brian Hoyer gets the start. The KC stop-unit is one of the best in the NFL defending the pass. Take the under. Thank you. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 54 | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 27 m | Show | |
SUPER BOWL LIV Take OVER. Game 101/102. 3:30 pm pst. Both teams are very well coached and have had two full weeks to rest, heal, and prepare. Kansas City enters this game playing three straight OVERS and rank fifth in scoring at 28.2 PPG behind the NFLs fifth ranked passing unit. Patrick Mahomes has been outstanding this postseason, passing for 615 yards with eight TD's and no INT's, adding 106 yards rushing and one score on the ground. bit. the quarterback is capable and dangerous when pressured. The OVER is 4-1-1 in San Francisco's last six outings. The 49ers possess a monstrous ground attack, ranking second in the league. Overall, the "O" accounts for over 29.9 PPG (No. 2). Quarterback, Jimmy Garoppolo, who isn't as polished as his counterpart, has led this team to a 15-3 mark in his first healthy campaign. They will exploit the Chiefs 23rd ranked run defense. The OVER is 4-1 in the 49ers last five playoff games and 7-2 in the Chiefs last nine games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the OVER. Thank you. Below are some of my favorite prop bets for Super Bowl LIV: Shortest Field Goal Of Game 27.5 Yards. UNDER -110. Both coaches are smart and will want any points they can muster, therefore take the under here. Will There Be Overtime? YES +800. In what I feel is going to be a close game, this prop offers huge value. Will The Game Be Tied After 0-0? YES -110. To me, this is one of the smartest of the prop wagers. Total Rushing Yards By Raheem Mostert 73.5. OVER -110. A huge part of the 49ers offense that gained over 278 yards rushing this postseason. Longest Rush By Patrick Mahomes 11.5 Yards. OVER -110. Mahomes has great feet and is facing a fierce pass rush so he will need to run the ball a bit to make plays and at times stay alive. He will gain some yards. Total Touchdown Passes By Patrick Mahomes 3. OVER +200. The Chiefs offense is all about the pass. The QB has 8 TD's this postseason. Total Rushing Yards By Patrick Mahomes 29.5. OVER -110. Mahomes' feet is a big reason why the Chiefs offense is successful. Total Rushing Yards By San Francisco 135.5. OVER -110. The 49ers are a running offense and will need to control the clock to keep the Chiefs "O" off the field. Longest Lead UNDER 14.5 points +110. I feel this is going to be a very tight game therefore no huge leads. San Francisco To Lead After First Quarter. YES -110. As I stated earlier, I feel this is going to be a tough game and the score will seesaw. |
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01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans UNDER 43.5 | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 55 h 14 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the BILLS/TEXANS matchup. This is my AFC WC TOM. Games 141/142. 1:35 pm pst.
This season, these two teams have combined to play 11 overs and 21 unders. I don't see the Houston offense putting up too many points on the stingy, Buffalo "D" (16.2 PPG allowed). We all know that the Bills "O" is a slow moving unit that doesn't light up the scoreboard. And with defensive end, J.J. Watt back on the field, scoring is going to be a rarity. Both teams have solid running games to eat away the clock. The under is 5-1 in the Bills L6 vs. winners, 19-7 in the Bills L26 on the road, 8-2 in the Texans L10 as a home favorite, and 21-10 in the Texans L31 vs. the AFC. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-13-19 | Titans v. Broncos UNDER 41 | Top | 0-16 | Win | 100 | 71 h 9 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the Titans/Broncos matchup. Games 271/272. 1:25 pm pst.
These are two of the NFL's poorer offenses, but two of the better defenses. Denver accounts for only 18.0 PPG while Tennessee averages 19.6 PPG. The Broncos defense allows just 21.2 PPG while the Titans "D" yields a mere, 15.2 PPG. They have combined to play to three overs and seven unders this season. The under is 8-1 in Denver's last nine home games, 20-7-1 in Denver's last 28 overall games, 7-3 in Tennessee's last 10 road games and 4-0 in Tennessee's last four overall games. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-06-19 | Bears v. Raiders UNDER 40.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -108 | 40 h 13 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the BEARS/RAIDERS matchup. This is my TOW. Games 453/454. 10:00 am pst. The Bears are a team that averages just 16.5 PPG. The Raiders account for 19.8 PPG. Neither team has faced too many great defenses. There is no doubt that the #2 ranked defense of the Chicago is going to shut down the lackluster, offense Oakland. This is going to be a slow moving, low scoring contest. The under is 8-1 in the Bears last nine games played overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers UNDER 44 | Top | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 38 h 4 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the Denver/Green Bay matchup. This is my TOW. Game 461/462. 10:00 am pst. Neither offense is lighting up scoreboards as Denver averages 15.0 PPG and Green bay accounts for 15.5 PPG. Both defenses are playing well and both teams have played all their games to UNDERS. Counting this preseason the Broncos have played to 15 straight UNDERS and in just regular season play, the UNDER is 19-61 the last 26 overall. The UNDER is 9-3 in the Packers last 12 regular season games and 4-1 their last five at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-15-19 | Saints v. Rams OVER 52 | 9-27 | Loss | -102 | 51 h 11 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Saints/Rams matchup. This is my BB. Games 283. 284. 1:25 pm pst.
It has been nine months since these two teams last met. There were several controversial, no-calls when the Rams defeated the Saints, 26-23 in the NFC Championship. Both teams have a lot to prove here. New Orleans wants to exact some revenge. Los Angeles wants to prove they deserved to advance to the Super Bowl. Both offenses are explosive. Veteran quarterback, Drew Brees is a future Hall Of Famer. In his fourth season, Jared Goff certainly looks to be on his way. Both possess solid ground attacks with running back's, Alvin Kamara and Todd Gurley II. However, both defenses can be exploited. The Saints yielded 28 points to the Texans a week ago, while the Rams allowed the Panthers to put up 27 points in Week 1. These two NFC powerhouses have met four times over the last four seasons, with an average score of 61.25 PPG. The over is 8-3 the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles, 7-2 in New Orleans' last nine played in September, and 5-1 in Los Angeles' last six played at home. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos UNDER 40.5 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 51 h 6 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the BEARS/BRONCOS matchup. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 285-286. 1:25 pm pst. These two teams haven't faced one another since a 2015 matchup which resulted in 32 combined points. Going back further, they have played to six unders in the last seven meetings. Both offenses sputtered in Week 1 as Denver accounted for just 16 points in a loss at Oakland and Chicago mustered a mere, three points in a tough loss to rival, Green Bay at Soldier Field. Bears QB, Mitchell Trubisky is going to continue to struggle as he goes up against Vic Fangio, who was Chicago's defensive coordinator before taking the head coaching position for the Broncos. Both teams own very strong defenses. The under is 6-0 in the Bears last six overall and 7-0 in the Broncos last seven at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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12-13-18 | Chargers v. Chiefs OVER 53 | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
This is my TNW. Games 301/302. 5:20 pm pst. Two of the most-explosive offenses square off tonight, as Los Angeles ranks 5th, accounting for 28.2 PPG and Kansas City ranks 1st, averaging over 36.2 PPG. These teams enter this meeting having played to 5 OVERS in their L6 combined outings. The Chiefs defense has been a doormat, yielding 27.0 PPG while the Chargers give up 20.8 PPG. This matchup will be a high-scoring affair. take the OVER. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Rams v. Bears OVER 50.5 | 6-15 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 26 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the RAMS/BEARS matchup. This is my LATE BAILOUT. Games 119/120. 5:20 pm pst. The NFC West champ, Los Angeles, are looking to stay ahead of New Orleans for home field in the conference playoffs. The Rams offense that accounts for over 34.9 PPG. The 1-2 punch of QB, Jared Goff (66.4% CR, 3754 YP, 27/7) and RB, Todd Gurley (1175 YR, 15 TD's) can light up any defense in football. The Bears have a good "D", but haven't faced a tandem of the caliber of Goff and Gurley all season. Moreover, the only two able QB's they have went up against (Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady combined for 573 YP, 6/1), tore them up. Mitch Trubisky (check status) is most-likely playing, and will add the spark to the 5th ranked scoring offense (28.7) and put up points on the porous LA defense that has gotten burned quite a bit this season. The OVER is 5-1 in the Rams L6 vs. teams with a winning record and 4-1 in the Bears L5 overall. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers UNDER 45.5 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the BRONCOS/49ers matchup. This is my HIGH ROLLER. Games 123/124. 1:05 pm pst. In just four starts, Nick Mullens has gone from a hero to a punch line. The QB, who looked great, tossing three TD's vs. Oakland in his debut, has now just 2 TD's and 5 INT's over the last three games since, all losses, both SU and ATS. The 23-year old must now step up to the line against a vastly improving, Denver "D", consisting of the fierce, Von Miller-Bradley Chubb pass rush. The Broncos are riding a three-game win and cover streak to bring the team to 6-6, and right back into the AFC Wild Card race. Case Keenum must rely upon RB, Phillip Lindsay (937 YR, 8 TD's) here to move the chains and eat up a ton of clock, as the offense is without WR, Emmanuel Sanders (out, achilles). The Under is 4-0-1 in the Denver's L5 overall and 4-1 in the 49ers L5 on grass. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 54 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 31 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the SAINTS/BUCCANEERS matchup. This is my NFC TOTAL OF THE WEEK. Games 113/114. 10:00 am pst. Tampa Bay has played their division rival very tough, winning and covering the last two meetings, including an early-September, 48-40 victory. New Orleans suffered their first defeat since Week 1, and they've had a few extra days to rest and prepare. The Bucs own the #1 passing unit in the NFL and the Saints have a big weakness, in their 30th ranked defense vs. the pass. The OVER is 4-1 in the Saints L5 vs. the NFC South, 7-1 in the Saints L8 following a SU loss, 4-1 in the Bucs L5 vs. the NFC South, and 9-4 in the Bucs L13 overall. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Jets v. Bills UNDER 38.5 | 27-23 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 22 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the Jets/Bills matchup. This is my AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 115/116. 10:00 am pst. Well, the last time the Bills were a favorite was December 31st of last year. WOW! Two rookie QB's look to square off here as USC product, Sam Darnold goes up against Wyoming standout, Josh Allen. Both play-callers displayed brief moments of greatness (very brief), but both have struggled. Darnold has a 55.0% CR, 11/14, while Allen possesses a 52.9% CR, 5/7. These two passing units rank among the worst in the League and neither offensive squad has had success running the ball either. New York accounts for just 20.2 PPG, and Buffalo averages only 14.8 PPG. However, despite poor records, both defensive units have played well this season. There just might be higher-scoring games in the NHL this Sunday. LOL. The Under is 5-2 the last seven meetings in Buffalo, 4-1 in the Jets last five vs. the AFC East, and 7-3 ATS in the Bills last 10 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Colts v. Texans OVER 50 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the COLTS/TEXANS matchup. This is my INSIDE INFO MOVE. Games 107/108. 10:00 am pst. Houston bested Indianapolis, 37-34 in OT, to start their nine game win streak, back on September 30th. Another win and the Texans can lock up the AFC South, but the Colts, at 6-6, are desperate after being blanked, 6-0 LW by the Jaguars, following a five game win streak. Andrew Luck hasn't had too many unproductive performances. So expect the veteran QB to bounce back and have a strong outing against the 18th ranked pass defense of Houston. The Colts averaged 34.6 PPG on their five game win streak prior to LW's loss. The Texans average over 27.7 PPG at home. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-28-18 | Eagles v. Jaguars UNDER 43 | 24-18 | Win | 100 | 64 h 38 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the PHILLY/JAX matchup. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 251/252. 6:30 am pst. This game is being played in London, England, where a long airplane ride and a time change will weigh on both teams. Let's be honest, neither offense is lighting up scoreboards. With penalty problems and dropped passes, the Eagles are a far cry from last year's Super Bowl Champs. The Jaguars, (who were also highly-touted), are on a 1-4 SU and ATS run, in which in those 4 losses, they accounted for a total of 34 points. Defensively, both stop-units rank in the NFL's Top-10 in Points Allowed, as Philadelphia owns the #1 ranked pass defense and Jacksonville possesses the #2 ranked rush defense. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-22-18 | Giants v. Falcons OVER 52.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the Giants/Falcons matchup. Games 475/476. 5:15 pm pst. Both, the Giants and Falcons are considered 2 of the most disappointing NFL teams so far this season. New York's defense ranks 26th and Atlanta's "D" ranks 31st. Neither can stop anyone. But, both Eli Manning and Matt Ryan can pass the ball. So expect a high-scoring contest. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-14-18 | Steelers v. Bengals OVER 52.5 | 28-21 | Loss | -101 | 68 h 1 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Steelers/Bengals matchup. Both teams enter this matchup having played 8 OVERS and 2 Unders this season. Both meetings last season went OVER the Total. Cincinnati possesses the #4 scoring offense (30.4 PPG), while Pittsburgh's offense ranks 5th (28.6 PPG). Both, Andy Dalton and Ben Roethlisberger will light up the scoreboard against 2 of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. The OVER is 6-1 in the Steelers L7 overall games and 5-1 in the Bengals L6 overall games. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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09-24-18 | Steelers v. Bucs OVER 54 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Take the OVER. Games 489/490. 5:15 pm pst. All 4 games these teams have played this season have gone OVER the Total. Tampa Bay's offense ranks #1 in Total Yards #1 in Passing Yards, and 2nd in Points Scored, averaging 37.5 PPG. Pittsburgh's "O" is 2nd in Total Yards, 2nd In Passing Yards, and 7th in scoring, putting up 29.0 PPG. The Bucs can not stop the pass, ranking dead last. Be Roethlisbergr is going to light up their secondary, which is the main reason why the TB defense has yielded 30.5 PPG. The once feared Steelers "D" has gotten smoked, yielding 31.5 PPG (31st). The OVER is 4-0 in Pittsburgh's L4 overall games and 4-1 in Tampa Bay's L5 in September. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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09-23-18 | Cowboys v. Seahawks UNDER 41.5 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 13 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the Cowboys/Seahawks matchup. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK. Games 485-486. 1:25 pm pst. The Dallas offense is in trouble, as they have mustered a mere, 14.0 PPG (29th). the passing game is non-existent, ranking a dismal, 30th. Let's face it, they haven't really went up against any tough defenses either (Carolina, NYG). The one good thing they do possess, is a solid defense. Seattle's offense is just as bad. Russell Wilson has struggled. The squad has no true ball-carrier as they did in recent years. The Dallas "D" will contain what "limited" passing game Wilson will try. The UNDER is 4-1 the L5 meetings in this series, 10-1 in the Cowboys L11 overall games, and 10-3 in the Seahawks L13 vs. the NFC. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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01-07-18 | Bills v. Jaguars OVER 39 | 3-10 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo/Jacksonville OVER. This is my AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR. Games 105-106. 10:00 am pst. These two teams have played to 5 consecutive OVERS. (as of print) Le Sean McCoy is listed as questionable. But Tyrod Taylor and Mike Tolbert will move the chains (if Murray doesn't go) on the ground against a weak, Jacksonville run defense. I understand the Jaguars have the top pass defense in the NFL, however, their secondary has sprung some leaks and will have problems with the dual-threat QB. Jacksonville has the #1 ground attack in the NFL and Blake Bortles has tallied 3687 YP as both combined for 26.1 PPG. The Buffalo "D" ranks in the bottom third both vs. the run and the pass. The OVER is 6-2 in the Bills L8 games played in January, 9-4 in the Bills L13 vs. teams with a winning record, 4-1-1 in the Jaguars L6 Playoff games, and 10-4 in the Jaguars L14 games played at home. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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12-14-17 | Broncos v. Colts UNDER 40.5 | 25-13 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER. This is my TV Game winner. Games 301/302. 5:25 pm pst. Neither team can light up the scoreboard offensively. Denver, putting up 23 points LW, matched their highest scoring output since mid-September. Overall, the Broncos account for an average of 17.6 PPG. During their current, 4-game skid. Indianapolis hasn't mustered more than 17 points in a contest. On the season, the Colts average a mere, 16.3 PPG. Denver, at times, can still play a tough "D". The UNDER is 6-1 in the Broncos L7 vs. teams with a losing record, 5-2 in the Broncos L7 games played in the month of December, 9-2 in the Colts L11 games at home, and 5-0 in the Colts L5 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-29-17 | Cowboys v. Redskins OVER 47.5 | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 44 h 0 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Cowboys/Redskins game. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK. Game 269/270. 1:25 pm pst.
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10-23-17 | Redskins v. Eagles OVER 49 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Take the OVER. This is my MNF TOTAL GOM. Games 477/478. 5:30 pm pst. The first meeting back on September 10th resulted in a 30-17 Eagles victory. The Redskins turned the ball over 4 times. That was the first Under in the L4 meetings in this series as now, 7 of the L10 have gone OVER the Total. Both teams are well-rested and will come in here fresh. Washington is looking for revenge. QB, Kirk Cousins will shred the Philly secondary, ranking 29th in the League while Carson Wentz will do the same with the 7th ranked scoring offense in football. OVER is 8-0 in the Redskins L8 following an ATS loss and 9-2 in the Eagles L11 vs. the NFC East. take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-22-17 | Jets v. Dolphins UNDER 38.5 | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 45 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the NYJ/Miami game. This is my TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 459/460. 10:00 am pst. Both Miami and NY have surprised a lot of people by playing some very solid football. They both have 3 wins, which is more than 9 teams in the League at this point. Of their combined, 11 games this season, 9 have gone UNDER the Total. The Jets' offense is posting a mere, 18.2 PPG behind QB, Josh McCown and RB, Bilal Powell. The Dolphins offense is even worse, averaging a League-worst, 12.2 PPG. Jay Cutler is his old self while the offense relies upon Jay Ajayi a bit too much. The one positive thing these 2 teams have in common...Good defenses, as Miami allows just 16.8 PPG and NY yields only, 21.7 PPG. With the AFC East still up for grabs, look for both teams to play as safe as possible. The UNDER is 5-0 in the Jets L5 vs. AFC opponents and 6-2 their L8 overall, 4-0 in the Dolphins L4 vs. AFC foes, and 6-0 their L6 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-12-17 | Eagles v. Panthers OVER 45 | 28-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Eagles/Panthers matchup. This is my Thursday Night Winner. Games 103/104. 5:25 pm pst. Cam Newton got off his early season skid by tossing 6 TDP's over the L2 games, both on the road in wins over New England and Detroit, while the Carolina defense has allowed 34, 30, and 24 points. Their defense ranks 9th, allowing 18.8 PPG, BUT that's because they only gave up 6 total points on their first 2 contests. They now face Carson Wentz, LeGarrette Blount, and Zach Ertrz and a Philadelphia offense posting over 27.4 PPG as their "D" gave up 27, 24, and 24 points to KC, NYG, and LAC. The OVER is 4-1 the L5 meetings in this series. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-08-17 | Seahawks v. Rams OVER 47.5 | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 29 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the Seahawks/Rams game. This is my AFC WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 467/468. 1:05 pm pst.
I expect one of the highest-scoring games on the card here this Sunday. All 4 of the Rams games TY went OVER the Total as L.A. owns the #1 scoring offense in the NFL, averaging over 35.5 PPG and the 5th in yardage, piling up 386.8 YPG. Seattle's offense has gotten healthier of late, resulting in 73 total points scored the L2 games. The problem both teams face are on the defensive side of the ball, where the Seahawks don't match up well here, ranking 27th vs. the run and the Rams, well guys, the Rams "D" ranks 30th vs. the rush and 28th overall (26.2 PPG allowed). The OVER is 4-1 in Seattle's L5 on the road and 5-0 in LA's L5 at home. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-08-17 | Bills v. Bengals UNDER 39.5 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 37 h 21 m | Show |
Take the UNDER in the Bills/Bengals game. This is my SKY'S THE LIMIT PLAY. Game 453/454. 10:00 am pst. I know the Cincinnati offense has improved since Bill Lazor took over as OC, but, they're still mustering just 16.0 PPG and they face the #1 stop-unit in the NFL, of Buffalo here. The Bills, under new HC, McDermott has gotten a lot more out of the defense that predecessor, Rex Ryan, as the unit yields a mere, 13.5 PPG, and folks, they've faced such teams as the Lions, Broncos, and Falcons. Let's talk the Bengals defense now, as they rank 3rd in football, yielding only 16.8 PPG. Offensively it's ugly, as Andy Dalton and company are posting 16.0 PPG. The Bills manage 18.2 PPG and have the 31st ranked passing unit. Together, these 2 teams have combined for 6 UNDERS in their 8 outings in 2017. The UNDER is 4-1 in Buffalo's L5 overall and 7-1 in Cincinnati's L8 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-24-17 | Browns v. Colts UNDER 42.5 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 37 m | Show |
Take the UNDER in the Cleveland/Indianapolis matchup. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 463/464. 10:00 am pst. Both Cleveland and Indianapolis are winless through their first 2 games, as the Browns offense is averaging just 14.0 PPG and the Colts, a mere, 11.0 PPG. Deshone Kizer is making his 2nd NFL road start and will be without one of his top weapons in WR, Corey Coleman. Kizer is completing only 57.4% of his passes with 1 TD and 4 INT's. Cleveland has no running game to speak of so the offense is in the hands of a 21-year old rookie QB. Jacoby Brissett is scheduled to make his 2nd straight start and didn't look all that bad in LW's, 16-13 OT loss to Arizona. But Indy also has no running attack, averaging only 75.5 YPG on the ground and let's face it, Cleveland's defense is far from the worst in the League. The UNDER is 5-1 the L6 meetings in this series, 8-2 in the Brown's L10 overall, and 6-0 in the Colts L6 at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-18-17 | Lions v. Giants UNDER 42.5 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the DET/NYG game. Game 289/290. 5:30 pm pst. With our without Odell Beckham jr., the Giants offense is still lacks a ground game. But the G-Men do have a rugged defense. The Lions have a similar issue offensively, with a sputtering running game. Expect a low-scoring contest like last December's, 17-6 outcome. The UNDER is 9-3 in the Lions L12 overall, 20-7 their L27 on the road, and 7-3 their L10 vs. NFC, 8-2 in the Giants L10 overall, 4-0 their L4 at home, and 8-3 their L11 vs. NFC. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-17-17 | Browns v. Ravens UNDER 39 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 31 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the BROWNS/RAVENS game. This is my TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 263/264. 10:00 am pst. 10 of 12 games last Sunday went UNDER the Total. This game is going to continue in that fashion. Neither Cleveland nor Baltimore possess explosive offensive units. Browns fans got excited about the team going 4-0 in pre-season play, but when you are a Browns fans, you can get excited over a root canal. The Ravens too, their offense is stagnant. But the Browns defense showed some signs of life in LW's 21-18 loss to the Steelers, as they held a solid Leveon Bell to just 32 yards rushing. AND, let's face it, the Ravens "D" made Andy Dalton and the Bengals offense look like a Pop Warner team. Rookie QB, Deshone Kizer is playing his first road game in Baltimore, UH-OH!!! The UNDER is 5-1 the L6 meetings in this series in Baltimore, 9-2 in the BROWNS L11 vs. teams with a winning record, and 5-1 in the Ravens L6 vs. AFC North foes. TAKE THE UNDER . Thank you. |
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09-14-17 | Texans v. Bengals UNDER 38 | 13-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Take UNDER. Games 101/102. 5:25 pm pst. 10 of the 12 Sunday NFL games went UNDER the Total, including both the Houston and the Cincinnati contests, as both offenses managed a total of 7 combined points. At best, both QB's are going to need more time to move their offenses. The L4 games in this series went UNDER the Total. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons UNDER 59 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -130 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
Take the UNDER. Games101/102 3:30 pm pst Yes, Atlanta certainly deserves their status of the #1 offense in the NFL, averaging over 33.8 PPG, 3rd in passing, 5th in rushing, and it is all due to a very well-balanced, well-coach unit. All the media hype surrounding the powerful Atlanta offense, along with the fact that New England's "O", ranks 3rd and scoring, averaging 27.6 PPG, 4th in passing, and 7th in rushing. And it is because of these two explosive offenses that the oddsmakers have put out the highest TOTAL in post-season history. Yes, technically, the Patriots did have the 32nd ranked, or the softest schedule in the NFL, however you just can't take away from the fact that their stop-unit only allowed 15.6 PPG at this level. They're extremely solid on the DL, a very quick LB corps, and a savvy veteran secondary. No matter what Ryan, Freeman, and Jones will move the chains and put a few points on the board. On the flipside, the Falcons defense certainly progressed over the season and specifically during the second half of the campaign, seemed to get better with each passing game. On paper, at first glance, this does look like a game that could will go over the Total, however there's more than a few reasons why it won't. Both coaching staff's come in well-prepared with a regimented game plan, and what these 2 HC's do very well, is make quick adjustments like no other coaches in the game. Another stat which really solidifies to me why this game will go UNDER to the Total... both Atlanta and New England were tied for fewest turnovers in the NFL, they each had just 11 TO's. These 2 well-disciplined teams don't make mistakes. Not mental mistakes while either take unnecessary, chancy risks . They both have several outstanding ball-carriers to keep the clock running and the opposing "D" honest. To be quite clear, I see a more conservative game than just about everybody is expecting. Now, on one side, we have the most-explosive offense we've seen over the last few seasons, and on the other side, we have the most-experienced post-season squad chock-full of veterans in the current era. Dan Quinn is been in the Title game several times of the last few years and yes, Bill Belichick and Tom Brady have won 24 playoff games, easily more than any other HC/QB in history. I don't see these coaches or these QB's taking too many unslated chances. Remember that both teams have amazing PK's (ranked 1st & 3rd in the NFL). Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons OVER 60 | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the PACKERS/FALCONS matchup. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR. Game 311/312. 12:05 pm pst. In the October 30th meeting, Atlanta edged out Green Bay, 33-32. It's nearly 3 months later and another shoot-out is in the cards. Green Bay has won eight in a row straight up (7-1 against the spread), posting 30 or more points over their last six, with each going OVER the Total. Overall, the Packers played to 12 OVERS of their 18 contests, including seven of nine road games. Aaron Rogers is playing some of his best football in years, leading the seventh ranked passing unit. Atlanta owns the 28th ranked defense against the pass and is ranked 27th in the league in points allowed. Offensively, the Falcons topped the NFL in scoring, averaging over 33.8 points per game. Their well-balanced offense is ranked third in passing and fifth in rushing. On the season, Atlanta has played to14 OVERS, against just 2 unders, and 1 push. Oh by the way, all nine of their home games went OVER the Total. They are going to face a Packers defense that ranks 31st against the pass. The OVER is 6-0 in the Packers last six games played versus NFC opponents, the OVER is also 4-1 in the Packers last five playoff games, while looking at the Falcons statistics, the OVER is 11-1-1 in the Falcons last 13 games played against NFC opponents, and the OVER is also 11-0 in the Falcons last 11 games played on field turf. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys OVER 52 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the GB/Dal matchup. This is my PS Total of the Year. Games 307/308. 1:40 pm pst. Green Bay enters this game having played to 5 straight OVERS. Aaron Rodgers has 15 post-season starts under his belt as he and his offense have been lighting up scoreboards for 30 or more their L5 outings. Dallas' one defensive weakness is their secondary. They own the 26th ranked pass "D" in the League. On the flip side, the Cowboys offense has a healthy OL, the #2 running attack in the NFL, and face a Packers defense that prior to last week, allowed the Bears, Vikings, and Lions (all offensively stunted) to post 27, 25, and 24 points because they have the 31st ranked defense vs. the pass. The OVER is 5-1 the L6 meetings in Dallas. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-20-16 | Titans v. Colts OVER 52.5 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Tennessee/Indianapolis game. This is my NFL Total of the Month. Games 451/452. 10:00 am pst. Indianapolis, under Andrew Luck is 9-0 SU against Tennessee, which is a huge confidence-builder here. Marcus Mariota is maturing each week, passing for over 17 TD's the L6 contests. These two team have combined for 15 OVERS and just 4 Unders in 2016 and over their L3 meetings (L14 months) all 3 have flown OVER the Total, averaging 60.6 PPG. Luck will pass the ball with ease against the 24th ranked pass "D" of the Titans while Tennessee's 3rd ranked rushing attack will exploit the 22nd ranked run defense of Indianapolis. The OVER is 12-3-1 in the Titans L16 overall and 5-1 in the Colts L6 overall. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-17-16 | Saints v. Panthers OVER 51.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the New Orleans/Carolina matchup. This is my LVSM. Games 309/310. 5:25 pm pst. These two teams played back in mid-October to combine for 79 points. New Orleans will spread the field behind Drew Brees and the #1 passing unit in the NFL. The saints are averaging over 29.4 PPG. But defensively, New Orleans is yielding over 400.6 YPG (29th) and facing the improving and healthy Carolina offense, they will get lit up. The OVER is 4-0 the L4 meetings in this series. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-06-16 | Lions v. Vikings UNDER 42 | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the Detroit/Minnesota game. This is my Total of the week. Under in Games 453/454. 10:00 am pst. Minnesota's offense has sputtered (10 PPG their L2, & 19.9 PPG overall) but they still own the #1 stop-unit in the NFL, allowing just 14.9 PPG. Detroit has been hit or miss all season long and have some injuries here at key positions. The Vikings come in here having played to 5 UNDERS on their L6 outings while the Lions are rising a 2-game UNDER run. The UNDER is 4-1 the L5 meetings in this series. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-27-16 | Jaguars v. Titans OVER 43 | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Tale OVER in the Jacksonville/Tennessee game. This is my LVSM play. Games 101/102. 5:25 pm pst. The last time Jacksonville had their backs to the wall, they came out and beat Indianapolis followed by a victory over Chicago. They now face a Tennessee team they played to a 42-39 loss last December, where Blake Bortles tossed a career-high 5 TD's. The Jags enter this contest having played to 4 OVERS in their 6 outings this season. Marcus Mariota saw the Titans 2-game win streak come to an end to Indy LW, but the QB has 8 TD's and just 1 INT over the L3 games as the team comes in here having played 4 straight OVERS. The OVER is 6-2 in the Jaguars L8 vs. the AFC and 5-0 in the Titans L5 vs. the AFC South. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-23-16 | Chargers v. Falcons OVER 54 | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Game 469/470. The Chargers come in well-rested, having a few extra days off and despite some injuries, they own the League's #3 scoring offense, averaging over 28.8 PPG. Their issue... their defense is getting shredded for 25.8 PPG and ranks a dismal, 24th against the pass. Well, in comes the NFL's #1 scoring offense with the #2 ranked passing unit, led by Matt Ryan and his talented receiving corp. The problem here is that the Falcons "D" has got more holes than Sonny Corleone's car in Godfather I, allowing 27.7 PPG and ranking 26th vs. the pass. These 2 teams have combined for 9 OVERS and 3 Unders on the season. Guys, this game is going to be a shootout so much so that they are going to need to replace all the burned out light bulbs on their scoreboard. Take the OVER. Thank you. |