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Jim Feist Basketball Top Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
01-25-21 Lakers v. Cavs UNDER 213 Top 115-108 Loss -110 9 h 52 m Show

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 8-8 S/U and ATS to start their season. They played last night at Boston and were never in the game, losing 103-141 to the Celtics. Now they have to play their second game in a row against the LA Lakers. The Lakers are 13-4 S/U and 11-10-1 ATS on their season. The Lakers have been a very good under team this year, evidenced by their 7-15 O/U mark. They are even more of an under team on the road where they are 1-8 O/U on the season. Cleveland will likely be tired after Boston ran up 141 points on them last night. That coupled with the excellent under record of the Lakers and I'll look for a lower scoring game here tonight. Play UNDER.

01-22-21 Rockets v. Pistons UNDER 215.5 Top 103-102 Win 100 7 h 9 m Show

The Houston Rockets are just 4-9 S/U and ATS here on the season. The Rockets have lost three straight games and five of their last six overall. They have also covered just once in their last five games. They have also gone under in four of the last five. The Detroit Pistons are 3-11 S/U and 7-6-1 ATS on the season. The Pistons are also 2-5 S/U and 4-3 ATS at home along with going under in five of their seven home games. I'm looking at the under here tonight. The Rockets are 5-15-1 O/U/P in their last 21 overall. This series has gone under in five of the last seven meetings. I look for this game to go UNDER.

01-05-21 Kansas v. TCU UNDER 139 Top 93-64 Loss -110 8 h 22 m Show

Kansas Jayhawks are 8-2 S/U and 4-5 ATS on the season. The Jayhawks are also 4-5 O/U on the season. They have played very good defense, allowing over 39% shooting from the field just four of their nine games. They did go over their last game at Texas, but scored just 58 points. It was the 84 points by Texas that put that one over. Still, they have held five of their seven opponents to 65 or fewer points. TCU is 9-2 S/U 4-61 ATS on the season. The Horned Frogs are 6-5 O/U on the season. They have gone under in their last two games, a 67-60 win at Kansas State and a 66-61 win at home over Prairie View. I'm going to go with the UNDER here today. I like Kansas to keep this more a defensive battle and slow the pace. Play UNDER.

09-23-20 Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 Top 109-112 Loss -105 22 h 33 m Show

The Celtics were desperate for a win in game three and they got it, beating the Heat 117-106. The Heat had taken games one and two of this series and now the Celtics look to even it at two apiece here tonight. The Miami Heat have used a baffling zone defense that had confused the Celtics through two games. However, the Celtics finally figured it out in game three as they got the win. The Celtics would have been a good under team if they could have stayed out of all the OT's they have played. I'm going to stick with what I have liked in the playoffs and that's the UNDER here tonight.

09-22-20 Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 214 Top 106-114 Loss -110 24 h 8 m Show

The Denver Nuggets sure don't like making things easy on themselves. They had to come from 1-3 down to the Jazz and the Clippers to win both series in seven games. Now they are down 0-2 to the Lakers and in real danger of going down 0-3 after this game. The Nuggets lost the opener 114-126 and then made a much better showing in game two, but still game up short, 103-105. For the Lakers, you would have to go back to 1969 to find the last time they lost a best of seven series in which they led 2-0. The improvement the Nuggets can build on is their defense, which did a much better job in game two holding the Lakers to just 105 points. The Nuggets defense also forced 24 turnovers after getting just 12 in game one. The Nuggets know this is the game they have to win and that means defense has to lead the way. I look for a similar game to the last one and for me, that's the under. Play UNDER.

09-20-20 Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 214.5 Top 103-105 Loss -107 8 h 26 m Show

Game two here in the NBA Western finals as the Lakers hold a 1-0 lead over the Nuggets. The Lakers dominated game one after the first quarter, cruising to a 126-114 win. Most of the 2nd half the Lakers held near 20 point leads. I wasn't surprised, the Nuggets came out flat in game one of their series with the Clippers after their come from behind win in the previous series vs the Jazz. Now the Nuggets have had their game to get back on track and tonight I look for a high scoring game. I'm taking the OVER.

09-02-20 Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 217.5 Top 102-104 Win 100 9 h 18 m Show

Game 7 here between the OKC Thunder and the Houston Rockets. The Thunder staved off elimination in game six by taking the Rockets out of their run-and-gun normal game plan. The Thunder slowed the game way down and it resulted in a win, 104-100. Now, can they do it again here in game seven? That's the question. Turnovers also were a big part of the Rockets losses. They turned the ball over on average 17.3 times per game in their three losses. I think these teams will once again be playing a low scoring game. I'm taking the UNDER.

08-25-20 Jazz v. Nuggets OVER 219 Top 107-117 Win 100 1 h 15 m Show

The Utah Jazz look to close out their series with the Denver Nuggets tonight. The Jazz lost game one to Denver and have since won three straight. Utah has had little trouble scoring against Denver with 125, 124, 124 and 129 points in their four games. Denver finally broke a two-game scoring drought with 127 points in game four, but still came up short. I don't see any reason to change in tonight's contest. I'm going to take the OVER here in game four.

08-22-20 Lakers v. Blazers UNDER 225 Top 116-108 Win 100 9 h 44 m Show

The Lakers flexed their muscles in game two of their series with the Blazers. After losing game one in bad fashion they rebounded with a resounding shutdown of the high scoring Portland offense, winning game two easily. The Lakers look to continue that here in game three. The Blazers realize that they need to play more of an uptempo game against the Lakers. The Blazers are led by Damian Lillard, who has been unstopable up until game two of this series. Problem for Blazers is that he hurt his index finger in game two, dislocating the finger. He will be playing today in game three, but how will this effect his play? Lilliard had only 18-points before leaving in the 3rd quarter with his injury. For me, even with a healthy Lilliard the Lakers have found out how to shut down this offense of the Blazers. Number a bit high for me here today, so I will go with the UNDER.

08-20-20 Blazers v. Lakers OVER 229 Top 88-111 Loss -104 18 h 4 m Show

The Portland Trailblazers and LA Lakers play game two of their best of seven series. The Blazers have been basically in the playoffs since they returned, as every game was crucial to them making the postseason. They did so by beating the Grizzlies in a play-in game last Saturday, 126-122. The Blazers shocked the Lakers in game one, taking the opening stanza of this series. Damian Lillard has been unstoppable, as he collected 34 points in the game one victory. The Lakers could see the return of Rajon Rondo, who has been cleared to play and is day-to-day. Still, the Blazers will continue to pile on the points as they have done since returning to play. The Lakers will have to match the here on Thursday. Take the OVER.

03-09-20 Green Bay v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 151 Top 69-80 Win 100 10 h 47 m Show

Horizon league conference tourney action here today has Wisconsin Green Bay taking on Northern Kentucky in Indianapolis, IN. Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix are 16-15 S/U and 15-14 ATS on the season. They have won three straight game and have gone under in their last two. That's what I am looking at today, the total in this matchup. While Green bay has been an over team most of the year, the long season and now the grind of daily tourney play seems to be making them more a defensive team. They held Cleveland State to 67 points and Oakland to 63 points in their last two games. The oddsmaker has a 150 total on today's contest, which is high for a college contest. The Northern Kentucky Norse are 21-9 S/U and 16-12 ATS. They have been more of an under team this year, posting an overall 12-16 O/U record. The Norse have gone under in their last two games and held their last three opponents to 59, 59 and 64 points respectively. The two times these teams have met this year have both gone under. Back on Dec 30th they totaled 132 points and then on Jan 31st they only got to 133 points. Well below the 154 and 155 totals posted. Today we see a small reduction in the total to 150, but I still like it under. Play UNDER.

02-26-20 Denver v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 145.5 Top 51-58 Loss -110 6 h 18 m Show

I have really loved playing the Summit League games OVER this year. This has been overall a great league to look for over plays. Tonight we have Denver playing at Indiana-Fort Worth. IPFW Mastadons have kind of bucked the trend in the conference, with six of their last seven going UNDER. They have also seen 4 of their last 9 road games go OVER the spread. The real reason I like this game over is the visitor, the Denver Pioneers. Denver has seen 11 of their last 13 games go OVER the total. They allow a lot of points, 85 or more in their last three games. They have allowed 90 points or more in three of their last six games. Denver is not a good team with just 6-wins on the year, but they can score and they do allow a lot of points. At home I look for Purdue Fort Worth to get their share of good points tonight against this poor Denver team. I'll take the OVER.

02-21-20 Pelicans v. Blazers OVER 238.5 Top 128-115 Win 100 10 h 17 m Show

The New Orleans Pelicans need to pick up the pace if they hope to make the playoffs. The Pelicans are 11th in the West, five-games back of 8th place Memphis. Same goes for the Blazers who are in 9th place, 3 1/2 games back of the Grizzlies. Tonight though, I'm looking at the OVER in this contest. The Pelicans are the third highest scoring team in the West at 115.8 ppg. Bad news is that they are the worst defensive scoring team with 117.3 ppg. The Pelicans have gone over in four straight games and six of their last eight. They are 16-11 O/U on the road this year. The Portland Trailblazers have gone over in six of their last eight games and 11 of their last 14. They average 117 points per game at home and allow 115 ppg at home. This one should be very high scoring tonight. I'm taking the OVER.

02-13-20 Memphis v. Cincinnati UNDER 138.5 Top 86-92 Loss -110 6 h 58 m Show

American Athletic conference action tonight has Memphis playing at Cincinnati. Memphis is 17-6 S/U and 12-9 ATS on the season. They are also 6-4 S/U and 4-5-1 ATS in conference play. They are also 1-3 O/U on the road in conference play. Cincinnati is 15-8 S/U and 10-13 ATS on the season. The Bearcats are 8-3 S/U and 7-4 ATS in conference play. They are 1-4 O/U in their four home conference games. That's what I'm looking at here tonight, the UNDER. Memphis also has some injuries with Forward Precious Achiuwa questionable with a back injury and Center James Wiseman out for the season. Cincinnati might be without guard Jarron Cumberland tonight who is questionable. Cumberland averages 15.1 ppg this season. With the injuries and the O/U records of these clubs, I'll take UNDER.

01-31-20 Raptors v. Pistons OVER 223 Top 105-92 Loss -106 6 h 12 m Show

The Toronto Raptors have ridden a nine-game winning streak to 2nd place in the Eastern conference. The Raptors are still 7 1/2 games back of conference leading Milwaukee. The Raptors are 17-7 on the road and scoring an average of 109.6 ppg away from home. The Detroit Pistons are 10th right now in the East, 5-games back of the Nets for that 8th place spot. The Pistons have lost four straight and seven of their last 10 games. The Pistons have also seen five straight games go over and eight of their last nine go over. At home the Pistons are averaging 111.4 ppg and allowing 112.2 ppg. I expect a lot of points in this game tonight. I'm playing the OVER.

01-27-20 North Carolina v. NC State OVER 147.5 Top 75-65 Loss -109 6 h 21 m Show

 ACC action here this evening has two old rivals meeting as North Carolina takes on neighboring NC State. The North Carolina Tar Heels are not having a good season with just 9-10 S/U and 5-14 ATS season. The Heels started the season in fine fashion, winning their first five games. Since then, NCU is 4-10. They are coming off a nice win at home over Miami-Florida, 94-71. The Tar Heels have been a decent over team, with a 5-1-1 O/U/P record in their last seven games. NC State having a good year with a 14-6 S/U and 9-10 ATS record. The Wolfpack are off a loss at Georgia Tech, 58-64. The Pack are 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS in conference play. This will be a contrast of styles, the fast play of the Tar Heels vs the slower style of NC State. I made this total in the 150's and the oddsmaker made it around 146 to 147. I like the over here as I expect North Carolina to dictate the pace. Play the OVER.

10-28-19 Hornets v. Clippers OVER 227.5 Top 96-111 Loss -110 9 h 1 m Show

Both these teams have been scoring machines this early NBA season. The Clippers won the Kawhi Leonard sweepstakes in the offseason and it's paid dividends thus far as the Clippers beat their instate rivals in the Lakers in the opener, 112-102 and then beat Golden State on the road, 141-122. They did lose their third game at Phoenix, 122-130. They have gone over in the last two games. Charlotte opened the season with a win over Chicago, 126-125. Then lost at home to Minnesota 99-121 and then lost at the Lakers, 101-121. All three of their opponents scoring 120 points or more. I like this one over tonight. I expect the Clippers to score over 120 and that means we don't need much over 100 out of Charlotte. Take the OVER.

05-19-19 Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 220 Top 112-118 Loss -105 7 h 40 m Show

I'll be looking at the under here in game three between the Bucks and Raptors. This is really the tale of two different teams. The Bucks have been scoring a lot of points and the Raptors have been keeping games lower scoring with UNDERS. With the Bucks up 2-0, I look for Toronto to try and control the tempo of this game. The Raptors pretty much know they don't want to get into a scoring exchange with the Bucks. They have been a good under team, with 4-11 O/U their last 15 games. They have also gone under in five of their last seven home games. I expect the best effort of this series from Toronto and that means a more deliberate contest and that means lower scoring. Play the UNDER here in game three.

04-30-19 Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 220.5 Top 109-115 Loss -109 22 h 36 m Show

Golden State took game one of this series in what was a very low scoring game, 104-100. Despite the low score, the Warriors still hit 51% of their shots from the field. Houston hit 42% of their shots from the field. The Rockets are now 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games and 5-0 ATS in their last five vs the NBA Pacific division. The Rockets have also been a great under team. Houston is 0-4 O/U in their last four road games, 6-20-2 O/U in their last 28 games with 1 day rest and 6-19-1 O/U in their last 26 overall games. The Warriors have had their issues covering games, evidenced by their 10-23-1 ATS mark in their last 34 home games. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five conference semifinal games. Surprisingly, the Warriors have also been a good under team. They are 0-4 O/U in their last four conference semifinals and 5-16 O/U in their last 21 games playing on one day rest. They are also have gone under in 11 of their last 15 home games. I expect another close, low scoring contest here tonight. Play the UNDER.

05-16-18 Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 224.5 Top 105-127 Loss -105 36 h 53 m Show

 Game one results will surely bring on some adjustments. This is especially true for the Rockets. What were they thinking in game one? Did they really think they could run with the Warriors and prevail? Most hoop experts believed they would be wise enough to try and slow the Warriors by running time off the clock on both offense and defense. Game two will be different, od they will be going on the road down 0-2. Look for the Rockets to slow the pace to limit the fatigue on Harden and Paul. This will hopefully allow them to stay close at the end and possibly salvage game 2 in this series. That being said, i am not looking at a side here but the total. A slower pace and a little more defense will bring the total home for us. Play Under in game #2

05-15-18 Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 203 Top 94-107 Win 100 31 h 22 m Show

After scoring 83 points in game 1, the Cavs will bring higher than usual focus to this game. This is a tough series as the Celtics have won and covered all eight home games in the playoffs. The oddsmakers are giving them no respect because the public refuses to see that. Not all fo their home wins and covers have been easybut they have found a way. LeBron is a story all by himself. In his 15 year career, especially the last 8 years, he has been the story for any team he has been with. He is the man and i dont feel Morris will be able to do what he did in game 1. The reason is, i feel the rest of the Cavs who may not be great, are good enough to do more than they did in Gm 1. 4 for 26 from 3 point land will not happen again. But lets not take anything away from the Celtics defense. They do a great job of guarding the perimeter. teh Cavs will counter by playing some old school, by going to the rim more. The total was adjusted off the game 1 score but should not have been IMO. Play OVER in Game 2

05-14-18 Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 225 Top 119-106 Push 0 8 h 53 m Show

Of course we all know what powerful offenses these teams have but remember that knowledge is in the line already. What most people don't see is that during the regular season, NBA teams coast quite often. We do not get a true read on who they are until the reach the playoffs. Both of these clubs went under 60% of their games in the second round matchups. In the first round the combined record was 50% over and under. I'm going with the more recent trend and adding in a lot of urgency to play some tough defense. These teams both rank in the top ten in defensive rankings. PLay Under Game #1

04-25-18 Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 205 Top 95-98 Win 100 17 h 52 m Show

Cleveland returns home with a 2-2 tie in this best of seven series. So far all four games have gone under the total. That's what I'm looking at again here on Wednesday is the UNDER. We've seen the oddsmaker drop the total from 212.5 in game one to 206 in game four and tonight 205. The closest these teams came was in game four where they got 204 points and just went under the 206. This Cavs team has been so difficult to put your thumb on, one day they play great then they lose by 20. They did this all season, which makes it hard to pick a side here. That's why I'm sticking with the UNDER. We haven't seen the Pacers exploit the Cavs bad defense yet in this series and I don't think we'll see it here in game five. Forget the side in this game, take the UNDER.

04-08-18 Mavs v. 76ers OVER 215 Top 97-109 Loss -115 4 h 46 m Show

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Dallas Mavericks today on NBA TV. The 76ers still have something to play for as they lead the fourth place Cleveland Cavaliers by just a half-game. As for the Dallas Mavericks, well they're out of it for this year. In this game though, I'm looking at the over. Philadelphia has won 13 straight games. But what's probably more impressive is that they have scored at least 115 points in 11 of those 13 games. the 76ers jumped out to a 30-point lead against Cleveland last Friday night, but despite the large lead, they still had to hold on for a two-point win over the Cavaliers. In that contest, the 76ers still scored 132 points. The Dallas Mavericks will try and snap the 76ers 13 game winning streak. Unfortunately for the Mavericks they have won just two games and lost 10 in their last 12 overall. In addition the Mavericks have allowed 113 points their last game at Detroit. I don't really see how the Mavericks will hold down the 76ers scoring machine here today. I'm going to stick with the over in the 76ers and Mavericks contest.

03-30-18 Illinois-Chicago v. Northern Colorado OVER 157.5 Top 71-76 Loss -110 6 h 19 m Show

I'll be looking at the over in today's CIT tournament between Illinois Chicago and Northern Colorado. Illinois Chicago has gone over in eight of their last 10 games. Northern Colorado has gone over in two straight and three of the last four. In addition, Northern Colorado has scored at least 80 points in each of their last six games and 77 or more in 11 straight. Illinois Chicago can also score, with 80 or more points in five of their last eight games. This game has all the markings of a track game tonight and I full expect this game to fly over the total.

03-23-18 Syracuse v. Duke UNDER 132.5 Top 65-69 Loss -104 101 h 15 m Show

Tourney Total of the Year : NCAA Midwest Regional from Omaha, NE pits ACC foes Syracuse and Duke against each other. These teams know each other well though they didn't meet in the ACC tournament. Their one meeting this year, in Duke, resulted in a Blue Devil's win, 44-60. They totaled just 104 points in that game. Syracuse has played five tournament games between the ACC and NCAA and four have gone Under. In fact, in those four they totaled 108, 109, 116 and 137. Duke has also been a good UNDER team this year, going under in eight of their last 10 games. In addition, the Blue Devils have gone UNDER in seven of the last eight vs the ACC and nine of their last 13 in NCAA tournament games. Syracuse has gone under in seven of their last nine NCAA tournament games and 0-6 O/U the last six vs a team with a winning percentage above 60 percentage. I like this game to go UNDER on Friday. Take the UNDER!

03-07-18 Massachusetts v. La Salle OVER 144.5 Top 69-67 Loss -105 6 h 41 m Show

Atlantic 10 opening action tonight has U Mass takingon La Salle. U Mass has been on a phenomenal over run, posting overs in 11 straight games. The reason is a good offense and bad defense. U Mass has allowed at least 80 points in nine of those 11 overs. La Salle should be looking forward to this opponent, their last meeting resulted in a La Salle win, 87-72 and of course, a OVER. Their first meeting of the season, at U Mass, resulted in another La Salle win, 86-79 and a OVER. Don't see any reason La Salle can't put up those big numbers again here tonight. I'm taking the over and sitting back and enjoying the show. Play OVER.

02-01-18 San Francisco v. St. Mary's UNDER 138 Top 43-79 Win 100 9 h 19 m Show

I'm looking at the UNDER here tonight as a big play. San Francisco has been a better under team on the road this year, evidenced by their 4-5 O/U mark. They are also 17-35 O/U the last 52 games following an ATS win. St Mary's has also been a good under team. The Gaels are 0-6 O/U in their last six home games, 0-4 O/U in their last four overall, 29-62-1 O/U their last 92 after a straight up win. The last seven meetings between these clubs have seen five unders and just two overs. I like the UNDER tonight.

04-17-17 Pacers v. Cavs OVER 209.5 Top 111-117 Win 100 7 h 20 m Show



04/17 04:00 PM  NBA   (517) INDIANA PACERS VS (518) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Take: NBA High Roller Wise Guy Total: Indiana/Cleveland Game 2 Over the total.
Reason: Plenty of offensive talent on the floor for both teams, inside and out. Indiana (11-4 run over) has gone 8 straight games over the total on the road. Cleveland is home but a soft defensive teams, 6-1 over the total at home. The Over is 20-6-1 in the Cavaliers last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Play Indiana/Cleveland Game 2 Over the total.      

04-07-17 Spurs v. Mavs UNDER 189.5 Top 102-89 Loss -105 10 h 52 m Show




04/07 08:35 PM EST   NBA   (509) SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS (510) DALLAS MAVERICKS.
Take: NBA Trend Tracker Total of the Year: San Antonio/Dallas Under the total.  
Reason: San Antonio has nothing to play for down the stretch, and looked it the last game, scoring 95 points in a home loss to the Lakers as -13 chalk. They are on a 6-2-1 run under the total, 4-1 under on the road. The Under is also 16-4-1 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Dallas is all about slowing the pace down, #4 in the NBA in points allowed, but last in scoring. Dallas is on a 17-7-1 run under the total, 23-9-1 under playing on one day of rest. And the Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Play San Antonio/Dallas Under the total.      

03-28-17 Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 226.5 Top 113-122 Win 100 26 h 9 m Show


03/28 10:05 PM EST  NBA   (773) DENVER NUGGETS VS (774) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS.
Take:  NBA Western Conference Total of the Month: Denver/Portland Over the total.
Reason: These teams are in the Top 6 in the NBA in points scored, and in the bottom 6 in points allowed. Denver is 13-6 over the total after a defeat, 10-3-1 over following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Portland likes to run, especially at home, and the Over is 16-7 in the Blazers last 23 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. And when these teams meet the over is 7-1. Play Denver/Portland Over the total.      

05-21-16 Cavs v. Raptors OVER 198.5 Top 84-99 Loss -100 27 h 10 m Show


05/21 08:35 PM EST   NBA   (709) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS (710) TORONTO RAPTORS (05/20 12:34 PM)
Take: NBA Playoff Total of the Year: Cavaliers/Raptors Over the total.
The Cavs have not shot the ball well from behind the arc against the Toronto Raptors, shooting 35 and 33 percent respectively in games one and two. Yet, they have scored 108 and 115 points in the two games, dominating inside against a Toronto team lacking frontcourt depth. Cleveland is 11-4 over the total in Conference Finals games, as well as 7-3 over the total on the road against a team with a winning home record. Toronto is better offensively than they've shown and coming home for Game 3 will help. Toronto is on a 4-1 run over the total, as well as 24-6 over following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. And the Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings. Play the Cavaliers/Raptors Over the total.      

04-27-16 Blazers v. Clippers UNDER 197.5 Top 108-98 Loss -105 28 h 53 m Show


04/27 10:05 PM  NBA   (577) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS VS (578) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Take: NBA Western Conference 1st Round Total of the Year: Blazers/Clippers Under in Game 5.
A pivotal Game 5, which means both coaches will demand great defense. Portland is on a 6-0 run under the total and faces an outstanding Clippers' defense, one ranked No. 7 during the regular season in points allowed, NO. 2 in field goal shooting defense (.434%). LA is without star guard and playmaker Chris Paul, a huge blow to the offense. The L.A. Clippers are on a 4-0 run under the total, 20-6 under at home. The Under is also 36-17 in the Clippers last 53 games following a straight up loss. And the under is 5-0 when these teams clash. Play the Blazers/Clippers Under the total in Game 5.

04-26-16 Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 198 Top 83-110 Win 100 8 h 38 m Show


4/26 08:35 PM EST   NBA   (567) BOSTON CELTICS VS (568) ATLANTA HAWKS.
Take: NBA Eastern Conf. Playoff Total of the Year: Celtics/Hawks Under the total.
So far each team has held home court as this series is now tied, 2-2. The Celtics have to play without one of their best players in Avery Bradley, who is out indefinitely. These are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA, with Atlanta ranked No. 6 in points allowed, No. 1 in field goal shooting defense (.432%), No. 5 at defending the three-pointer. Atlanta is 13-6 under the total playing on one day of rest, 7-3 under after a defeat and 12-4 under in Conference Quarterfinals games. Boston is No. 7 in field goal shooting defense, No. 4 at defending the three-pointer. The Celtics are 19-6 under the total in Conference Quarterfinals games and 13-3 under after a victory. The Hawks have now gone Under in seven of their last nine. The Celtics have gone Under in 11 of their last 16. Play the UNDER tonight.      

04-24-16 Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 204 Top 95-104 Win 100 26 h 8 m Show


04/24 6:05 PM EST  NBA   (557) ATLANTA HAWKS VS (558) BOSTON CELTICS
Take: NBA High Roller Platinum Total: Hawks/Celtics Under the total.
Atlanta is up 2 games to 1 so this is a pivotal contest, which means both sides will play aggressive defense. These are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA, with Atlanta ranked No. 6 in points allowed, No. 1 in field goal shooting defense (.432%), No. 5 at defending the three-pointer. Atlanta is 13-6 under the total playing on one day of rest, 7-2 under after a defeat and 11-4 under in Conference Quarterfinals games. Boston is No. 7 in field goal shooting defense, No. 4 at defending the three-pointer. The Celtics are 18-6 under the total in Conference Quarterfinals games and 12-3 under after a victory. Play the Hawks/Celtics Under the total.      

04-02-16 Villanova v. Oklahoma UNDER 145.5 Top 95-51 Loss -110 97 h 8 m Show


04/02 6:05 PM EST  CB   (811) VILLANOVA VS (812) OKLAHOMA. 
Take:  NCAAB Tourney Total of the Year: Villanova/Oklahoma Under the total.
These teams head to Houston for the Final Four with great defense, much better defense than people talk about. And this Houston arena has bad site lines for outside shooters. Villanova has the flashy offense, but don't forget this team was No. 1 in the Big East in points allowed (63.8 ppg). Villanova is also 8-1 under the total when facing the Big 12. Oklahoma plays great defense, too, for Lon Krueger, No. 2 in scoring defense in the Big 12 and No. 3 in three-point defense. Oklahoma is on a 12-2 run under the total, including 20-8 under at neutral sites. Play Villanova/Oklahoma Under the total.      

03-09-16 NC State v. Duke UNDER 148.5 Top 89-92 Loss -105 2 h 57 m Show

3/09 11:30 AM CB (521) NORTH CAROLINA STATE VS (522) DUKE.
Take: UNDER
Reason: ACC Total of the Year: NC State/Duke Under the total.
A tournament game where both coaches will demand intense defense with so much at stake. NC State is 8-3 under the total following a straight up win. Duke can play tough defense, too, on a 13-3 run under the total and 21-8 under in the Blue Devils last 29 neutral site games. Play NC State/Duke Under the total.

02-01-16 Pistons v. Nets OVER 203 Top 105-100 Win 100 16 h 23 m Show

10-Star NBA Total Dominator :
Reason: Two clubs here that have been really good OVER plays of late. The Pistons have gone OVER in three straight and are 8-1-1 O/U/P in their last 10 games. Detroit has scored 106 or more points in each of their last three games. Meanwhile. the defense hasn't been so good, allowing 104 or more in six of their last eight games. You don't expect Overs to be associated with the Nets, but they have also gone over in four of their last five games. The defense has been bad, allowing 100 or more points in 10 of the last 12 games. The OVER is 13-3 the last 16 times these clubs have met in Brooklyn and 23-9 the last 32 times overall. Take the OVER here on Monday.

01-20-16 Celtics v. Raptors OVER 202.5 Top 109-115 Win 100 29 h 52 m Show


01/20 07:35 PM EST   NBA   (505) BOSTON CELTICS VS (506) TORONTO RAPTORS.
Take:  NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year: Celtics/Raptors Over the total.
Boston brings the No. 7 offense in the NBA into this one, a young deep team that likes to run. Boston is rested off an OT loss at Dallas, winding up a three-game trip here. They've allowed 101 or more points in 6 of the last 7, on a 5-1 run over the total. Toronto is on an offensive tear, winning 5 in a row while scoring 108, 106 and 112 the last three. Toronto is on a 9-3 run over the total and the over is 10-3 in the Raptors last 13 vs. the Eastern Conference. And the over is 11-4 when the Raptors face a team with a winning straight up record. Play Boston/Toronto Over the total.      

06-16-15 Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 195 Top 105-97 Loss -105 30 h 53 m Show


06/16 09:00 PM  NBA  (711) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS (712) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Take:  NBA Playoff Total of the Year: Warriors/Cavaliers Game 6 Under the total.
This has been an all-out defensive series, with the Cavs slowing the tempo down because of injuries. Golden State can play defense, too, No. 1 during the regular season in field goal shooting allowed, just 42% shooting. Golden State is 6-2 under the total on the road, as well as a 13-3-1 run under the total overall. Cleveland will slow it down again and give a monster defensive effort all game long in front of their home fans. Cleveland is on a 3-0-1 run under the total, plus a sizzling 38-17-1 under the total playing on one days rest. Play the Warriors/Cavaliers Game 6 under the total.      

05-22-15 Cleveland Cavaliers v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 197 Top 94-82 Win 100 30 h 47 m Show



05/22 08:30 PM EST  NBA   (507) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS (508) ATLANTA HAWKS
Take: NBA Eastern Conference Playoff Total of the Year: Cavs/Hawks Game 2 Under the total.
Game 1 was a defensive battle and more is at stake for the home team so expect an even better defensive performance. During the regular season Atlanta was No. 5 in the NBA in points allowed and No. 6 in field goal shooting defense. Atlanta is 5-2 under the total at home and 4-1 under at home against an opponent with a winning road record. Cleveland is during up its defense at the right time of the season, on a 7-3 run under the total. The under is also 35-15-1 in the Cavaliers last 51 games playing on 1 days rest. Play the Cavs/Hawks Game 2 Under the total.

04-24-15 Los Angeles Clippers v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 204.5 Top 73-100 Win 100 31 h 10 m Show

04/24 09:35 PM EST   NBA   (743) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS (744) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Take:  NBA 1st Round Total of the Year: Clippers/Spurs Under the total in Game 3.
The under is 2-0 in regulation in this series, with Game 2 sailing over only because of OT. Both teams can bring the defense and they are, which is no surprise with so much at stake. The under is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 games following a loss and they lost because they can't hit free throws (28th in the NBA), clanking 17 in Game 2. LA is also 33-16-2 under the total playing on one days rest. San Antonio is a top 5 team in the NBA in points allowed and the under is 7-2 in the Spurs last 9 games playing on one days rest. Play the Clippers/Spurs Under the total in Game 3.

04-03-15 Portland Trail Blazers v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 200 Top 107-77 Win 100 32 h 14 m Show

4/03 10:35 PM NBA (519) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS VS (520) LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Take: NBA High Roller Platinum Total: Portland/LA Lakers Under the total.
The Lakers are home but have a lousy offense, 17th in points scored, 20th in assists. LA is 5-2 under the total at home and 12-5-2 under against the Western Conference. They just scored 92 points at home in a loss to the Pelicans, shooting 62% from the free throw line. A great Portland defense is in town, 10th in the NBA in points allowed and ninth in field goal shooting defense. Portland is 4-1 under the total against a team with a losing record, plus 9-4 versus the NBA Pacific division. And when these rivals clash the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play the Blazers/Lakers under the total.

03-28-15 Arizona v. Wisconsin UNDER 133.5 Top 78-85 Loss -108 27 h 14 m Show

3/28 06:05 PM EST  CB (513) ARIZONA VS (514) WISCONSIN
Take: NCAAB Tourney Total of the Year: Arizona/Wisconsin Under the total.
A pair of dynamite defensive teams clash in the Elite 8. Wisconsin prefers a slower pace and Arizona is happy to play that, too, off a 68-60 win over Xavier allowing 3-of-17 shooting from long range. Arizona is 6-1 under the total at neutral site games. They face a Wisconsin team that was No. 1 in the Big 10 in points allowed, just 56.8 ppg. These teams met in the Elite 8 one year ago and Wisconsin won 64-63 -- in overtime. It was 54-54 in regulation and both teams shot 39% for the game. This will also be a defensive war. Play Arizona/Wisconsin Under the total.

03-20-15 Indiana Pacers v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 202.5 Top 92-95 Win 100 27 h 17 m Show


03/20 07:35 PM EST  NBA   (809) INDIANA PACERS VS (810) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Take:  High Roller Platinum Total: Indiana/Cleveland Under the total.
Indiana is fighting for a playoff spot with defense, as usual, 3rd in the NBA in points allowed and field goal shooting defense, but 24th in points scored. Indiana is on a 9-3 run under the total and 7-3 under against the Eastern Conference. Cleveland has been playing much better defense in the second half of the season, 8-3 under the total at home and 34-16-1 under the total in the Cavaliers last 51 games playing on one days rest. When these teams play the under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings and this shapes up as a slow, defensive battle. Play Indiana/Cleveland Under the total.

02-24-15 Toronto Raptors v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 205 Top 92-99 Loss -105 29 h 52 m Show

2/24 08:35 PM EST   NBA   (507) TORONTO RAPTORS VS (508) DALLAS MAVERICKS
Take: Non-Conference Total of the Year: Toronto/Dallas Over the total.
Toronto has been a very good over club all season, especially on the road where they are 15-9 O/U for the season. Yes, they have been a under team in recent games, going under in six of the last seven. However, those games are against good defensive clubs like San Antonio, Washington, Atlanta and Houston. The latter they scored just 76 points against. Don't let those recent games fool you, this Raptors team can score points. They have one of the best offensive efficiency ratings in the NBA at 112.6 overall and 113.1 on the road. Their defensive rating is as bad as their offensive rating is good, evidenced by 107.6 overall and 110.1 on the road - all well above the league average. Toronto is playing the second of a back-to-back spot here. They do well in this spot, going 9-4-1 ATS the last 13 times and 9-4-1 Ov/Un the last 13. In fact, in those 13 games, their games have averaged a lofty 209.2 points per game. And, with the exception of the recent Houston outing and two other games, they have scored well over 100 points in 11 of 14 times. Dallas has been an under club for most of the first half of the season. This was due to an under-performing bench that had the lowest scoring average for the Mavericks since the 2007-08 season. The Mavs made moves to change that picking up standout Amare Stoudemire from New York. The Mavs hope Stoudemire will add some scoring punch to what has been a underachieving bench. I like tonight's contest over. These clubs met in Toronto back in November and oddsmakers put up a 211.5 total. We get a 205 here on Tuesday and I like this game to fly over that number. Take the OVER.

12-18-14 Oklahoma City Thunder v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 210.5 Top 109-114 Loss -110 30 h 9 m Show

12/18 10:35 PM EST  NBA   (507) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS (508) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Take:  NBA TV Total of the Month: Oklahoma City/Golden State Under the total.
The offensive stars on the team force the oddsmakers to move this total up, but the fact is these are two dominant defensive teams. Oklahoma City is tops in the NBA in points allowed (93.9 ppg) and on a 23-7 run under the total. They are 4-0 under their last four road games. OKC is second in the NBA in field goal shooting defense -- and who is first? This Golden State team, allowing .413% shooting by opponents. Golden State is 9th in the NBA in scoring allowed and on a 4-1 run under the total, plus 6-0 under at home. Golden Statae just gave up 105 to Memphis and the under is 43-15 in Warriors last 58 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Play Oklahoma City/Golden State Under the total.      

12-10-14 New Orleans Pelicans v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 210.5 Top 107-112 Win 100 28 h 26 m Show

12/10 08:05 PM EST  NBA   (515) NEW ORLEANS PELICANS VS (516) DALLAS MAVERICKS
Take: NBA Total of the Year: New Orleans/Dallas Over the total.
New Orleans is a young team that prefers to run, 18th in the NBA in points allowed. Neither of these teams is good in field goal shooting defense, both ranked in the bottom 12th of the league. Both teams are also in the second of a back to back spot, so the defensive legs will be tired. Dallas doesn't play defense anyway, 24th in points allowed and on 5-0 run over the total coming into the week, as well as 6-0 over at home. Dallas runs at anyone with their offensive depth and talent, tops in the NBA in scoring and the over is 12-5 when the Mavericks face the NBA Southwest division. This will be a run-and-gun game from start to finish; Play New Orleans/Dallas Over the total.      

05-19-14 Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 209 Top 105-122 Loss -105 76 h 51 m Show

05/19 09:00 PM EST  NBA   (503) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS (504) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Take:  Inner Circle: Oklahoma City/San Antonio Game 1 Under the total.
Oklahoma City has plenty of offensive weapons, but they are turning up the defense as the playoffs go along, on a 4-1 run under the total. That shouldn't be a surprise as OKC is 11th in the league in points allowed and third in field goal shooting defense (tops in the West) allowing .435% shooting. The under is 5-1 in the Thunder's last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest. After ranking 17th in points allowed and 21st in FG shooting percentage defense two years ago, the Spurs have improved to 9th and 8th in field goal D the last two seasons. The under is 14-5 in in Spurs last 19 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. When these Western powers meet the under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings and this total is too high with so much at stake. Play the Thunder/Spurs Game 1 under the total.

05-14-14 PORTLAND GM5 v. SAN ANTONIO GM5 OVER 208.5 Top 82-104 Loss -110 7 h 39 m Show

5/14 09:35 PM EST   NBA   (739) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS VS (740) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Take:  High End NBA Metrics Late Release: Blazers/Spurs over the total.
It's hard to see the Blazers showing up defensive for this game, down 3 games to 2. They were a bad defensive team all season and got smoked by this San Antonio team in the first three games. Portland is on 10-3 run over, as well as 15-5 over the total on one days rest. San Antonio is in bounce back mode after a 103-92 loss and they will tear up this Portland defense at home. The Spurs ranked 6th in NBA in points scored, tops in assists. The last time the Spurs scored 92 or less was against Dallas, a playoff loss, and the next game they scored 108 in a game that sailed over. San Antonio dominated the first three games as Portland can't contain Tony Parker. Parker scored 29 points in San Antonio's 118-103 Game 3 victory on Saturday night. The Spurs had routed the Blazers 116-92 in the series opener after their grueling seven-game first-round series against the Dallas Mavericks, then built a 20-point lead and handily won Game 2 114-97. San Antonio is 5-0 over at home and 35-17-1 over after ATS loss. Play Blazers/Spurs Game 5 over the total.

03-09-13 La Salle v. St. Louis OVER 131 Top 54-78 Win 100 19 h 17 m Show
3/09 1:30 PM EST CB (527) LA SALLE VS (528) SAINT LOUIS
Take: College Total of the Year: La Salle/St. Louis over the total.
St. Louis has been on a tear coinciding with the death of former coaching legend Rick Majerus. However, they haven't been playing the slow-down defensive style that Majerus loved. St. Louis is on a 7-2-1 run over the total, a strong and balanced offensive team. Into town comes La Salle, a dynamite offensive team, 47th in the nation in scoring with 73.6 ppg. LaSalle is on a 5-0 run over the total and the over is 6-2-1 in the Explorers last 9 road games. They've scored 72, 94 and 84 points the last three games -- all wins. When these teams meet the over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings and look for another uptempo, offensive show. Play La Salle/St. Louis over the total.
02-22-13 Houston Rockets v. Brooklyn Nets OVER 208 Top 106-96 Loss -110 28 h 12 m Show
02/22 10:35 PM EST NBA (809) HOUSTON ROCKETS VS (810) BROOKLYN NETS
Take: Non-Conference NBA Total of the Year: Rockets/Nets over the total.
Houston is all about an attacking offense under coach Kevin McHale and newcomer guard James Harden. Houston is tops in the NBA in scoring and hung 122 on the Thunder the last game, a strong defensive team. Harden scored a career-high 46 points and Jeremy Lin added 29 as the Houston Rocketshad a 122-119 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Houston was down by 14 points with about seven minutes left, but went on a 21-4 run with that explosive attack. Houston is on a 6-1 run over the total and 20-8 over following an ATS win. Brooklyn's defense had a great first half, but is cooling off allowing 111 to the Bucks in OT Tuesday and then 94 on Wednesday to the same team, a pair of wins. They are on a 4-1 run over the total at home. Deron Williams and Joe Johnson lead this strong offense that will have no trouble putting up points on the defenseless Rockets. This will be a shootout from the opening tip and the over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play the Rockets/Nets over the total.
01-26-13 New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 193 Top 80-97 Win 100 28 h 28 m Show
01/26 7:05 PM EST NBA (503) NEW YORK KNICKS VS (504) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
Take: NBA Total of the Month: Knicks/76ers under the total.
New York is a terrific defensive team, 4th in the NBA in field goal shooting defense and 10th in points allowed. They leaned on that defense the last game to win at Boston, 89-86, as a dog. That was their 4th straight game under the total. The under is also 5-2 in the Knicks last 7 road games and they face a slow down Philadelphia team that has struggled on offense all season. The 76ers are 28th in points scored and the under is 21-9 in the 76ers last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. And when these teams meet the under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings, including 5-1 under the total in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia. Play the Knicks/76ers under the total.
11-26-12 Cleveland Cavaliers v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 196.5 Top 78-84 Loss -110 19 h 58 m Show
NBA TV Total Game of the Month : The Cavaliers had a good shot of handing Miami its first home loss of the season on Saturday, but lost down the stretch, 110-108. The Cavs defense is horrible though, which is how they let Miami come back on Saturday. The D is 28th in the league in points allowed (102.2 ppg) and the club is only 20th in rebounds (40.9 rpg). The Cavs have allowed over 100 points in 10 of their 13 games this season. However, the Cavaliers can score too, evidenced by their 108 and 104 points in their last two games. Meanwhile, Memphis is one of the better home teams in the league in recent years and they are playing great so far this year with a 9-2 SU & ATS record. Their lone home loss came at the hands of Denver on Nov 19, 97-92. The Grizzlies can score too, averaging 100.7 ppg (6th in the league). They are led by forward Rudy Gay, 20.1 ppg. Almost no way that Cavs can win this game, but what I look for here are lots of points out of the Grizzlies against a terrible Cavs defense. If the Cavs can get into the 90's, this game will fly OVER. Your TV Total Game of the month is the OVER.
11-07-12 San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 200 Top 84-106 Loss -110 29 h 20 m Show
11/07 10:35 PM NBA (525) SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS (526) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Take: High Roller Total: Spurs/Clippers over the total.
A pair of uptempo teams meet out West in LA. San Antonio (4-0) is running and gunning again, 12th in the NBA in scoring and 6th in field goal shooting. The last game they put up 101 points on a strong Indiana defensive team to start 4-0. The Spurs outscored the Pacers' bench 57-35. The over is 34-16-1 in Spurs last 51 road games. They take on the young Clippers who don't play much defense but can run and gun behind Chris Paul, 8th in the NBA in assists and 5th in scoring as a team. Of course, they allow 102.3 ppg -- 25th in the NBA. That bad D was on display the last game, giving up 108 to the Cavaliers in a loss. LA is on a 6-0 run over the total and the over is 9-3 in the Clippers last 12 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings and this one will sail over, as well. Play the Spurs/Clippers over the total.
06-12-12 Miami Heat v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 195 Top 94-105 Win 100 29 h 42 m Show
6/12 09:00 PM EST NBA (501) MIAMI HEAT (502) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
Take: Over the total.
Reason: Oklahoma City hosts Game 1 of the Finals Tuesday night and lets take a look at the total. What kind of tempo will be played? Oklahoma City prefers the uptempo game all the time with their young legs and exceptioinal depth, No. 3 in the NBA in scoring with 103 ppg. We saw an uptempo series against the Spurs, 4-2 over the total including the last 3 games, all part of an 11-4 run over the total. But what kind of style will Miami play? The Heat have preferred a slow paced defensive style in the playoffs the last two seasons, but they got away from that in the Boston series. 5 of the 7 games went over the total, including a 5-1 run over to end it. What happened was after Game 1 went under the total, Boston Coach Doc Rivers told his team to attack the rim more, as Miami was 21st in the NBA in rebounding and was without Chris Bosh. Well they have Bosh back now, but he
06-06-12 San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 201.5 Top 99-107 Win 100 30 h 31 m Show
06/06 09:00 PM EST NBA (721) SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS (722) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
Take: over the total.
Reason: This series has been right out of the 1980s, with run and run action and plenty of points. Both defenses are good, but these offenses are so balanced and potent that whatever moves the coaches make to stifle the offense, the opposing offense is able to make adjustments or go to other hot shooters. The over is 25-9 in Spurs last 34 games following a loss and 27-10 over the total in their last 37 games as an underdog. The over is also 17-7-1 in the Spurs last 25 road games. Oklahoma City is confident and on an offensive roll after shooting just 42% in each of the first two games (both losses). The over is 41-15-1 in the Thunder's last 57 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. And when these teams meet the over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings, including 6-1-1 over the total in the last 8 meetings in Oklahoma City. Play the Spurs/Thunder Game 6 over the total.
05-31-12 San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 206 Top 82-102 Loss -110 29 h 43 m Show
5/31 09:00 PM EST NBA (709) SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS (710) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
Take: NBA Playoff Game of the Year: Spurs/Thunder Game 3 Over the total.
Tremendous value with a high scoring game here. Both teams are uptempo offenses, Oklahoma City with all those young legs who can run all night, while San Antonio has exceptional depth which they use to their advantage by running down opponents. Game 1 probably should have gone over the total, outside of a first half where both offenses looked rusty from the long layoff. But now we have the teams playing every other day and the offenses were outstanding in Game 2, a 120-111 win. The Thunder's 3-point defense was suspect coming into this series as even Dallas shot 37.1 percent from downtown and the Spurs got them for 101 points in Game 1, blitzing them in the 4th quarter with 37 points! At least the Thunder has plenty of offense averaging 103 ppg (3rd in the NBA), 6th in rebounds and 17th in points allowed (96.6 ppg) behind 6-10 Kevin Durant (27.9 ppg, 8 rpg), 23-year old Russell Westbrook (23.7 ppg) and 6-5 22-year old James Hardne (16.8 ppg) off the bench. But their defense is a problem as the Spurs shoot 46% in Game 1 and 55% in Game 2 making these teams 4-1 over the total for the season. The over is 26-9 in the Spurs last 35 games as a road underdog and 35-17-1 over the total in their last 53 road games. The over is 8-1 in the Thunders last 9 games as a favorite. And when these teams meet the over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Oklahoma City. Look for both offenses to be in great form; Play the Thunder/Spurs Game 3 Over the total.
05-09-12 Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 183.5 Top 80-92 Loss -105 30 h 2 m Show
05/09 09:35 PM EST NBA (727) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS (728) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
Take: NBA 1st Round Total of the Year: Clippers/Grizzlies Game 5 over the total.
The LA Clippers didn't get to the playoffs because of defense. They are 13th in the NBA in points allowed and 14th in field goal shooting defense. They are also one of the worst teams in the league at defending the three points, allowing .365% shooting -- ranked 27th. These teams are 3-1 over the total in this series. In Game 1, a 99-98 LA win that went over the total, LA shot 50% and Memphis won Game 2 105-98. The over is 23-9 in the Clippers last 32 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. But the offense is outstanding behind Chris Paul and Blake Griffin, in the Top 10 in shooting. They take on a Memphis team that has outstanding offensive options with OJ Mayo, Zach Randolph, Marc Gasol and Rudy Gay. The over is 14-6 in Grizzlies last 20 Conference Quarterfinals games. With LA up 3-1, they are not likely to bring their 'A' game defensively after traveling 3,000 miles knowing this is not a "must win" game. Look for Memphis to score at will and for both teams to play more of an uptempo contest than the last two games, and this total is far too low. Play the Clippers/Grizzlies Game 5 over the total.
03-27-12 Minnesota v. Washington OVER 143 Top 68-67 Loss -108 29 h 57 m Show
03/27 09:25 PM EST CB (777) MINNESOTA VS (778) WASHINGTON
Take: High Roller Tourney Total Powerhouse: Minnesota/Washington over the total.
Washington (24-10) and Minnesota (22-14) battle it out in the NIT and this one features two outstanding offensive teams. Washington averages 75 ppg (34th in the nation), and just hung 90 on Oregon. The over is 4-0 in the Huskies last 4 neutral site games and 7-3 over the total in their last 10 non-conference games. Minnesota has plenty of offensive punch and is on a 5-1 run over total. Throw in the fact that the over is 7-0 in the Golden Gophers last 7 neutral site games, and this one will sail over. Play Minnesota/Washington over the total.
03-12-12 Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 184 Top 94-85 Loss -110 13 h 53 m Show
3/12 07:35 PM PT / 10:35 PM ET

NBA (513) BOSTON CELTICS VS (514) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS

Take: UNDER (NBA Total of the Year)

Reason: NBA Total of the Year : If there is a "perfect storm" of an NBA total, then today is the day. Any time you can catch the Boston Celtics in the second of a back-to-back spot you really have to take a close look at the UNDER. So far this season the Celtics have seen today's scenario six previous times. The result? How about SIX UNDERS. And we are talking about posted totals all 180 or below too. The Celtics have averaged just 76.5 ppg in those six previous situations. And, since the Celtics have the league's third best defense, they can still keep these games low scoring - despite the low totals. What surprises me a bit, we get a 185 total here on Monday, the highest of any of these situations the Celtics have been in this season. The LA Clippers have been spotty at best of late, not winning more than one game in a row since mid-February. These are 5-13 Over/Under the last 18 times they have met. Expect a old, tired Boston team to run out of steam today. I love this spot for the UNDER.
01-25-12 Milwaukee Bucks v. Houston Rockets OVER 190 Top 105-99 Win 100 26 h 32 m Show
01/25 08:05 PM EST NBA (713) MILWAUKEE BUCKS (714) HOUSTON ROCKETS
Take: 20-Star NBA Powerhouse Total: Bucks/Rockets Over the total.
Milwaukee has plenty of offensive talent to be scoring more points with Brandon Jennings pushing the basketball and big men Andrew Bogut and Drew Gooden, who are better offensive players than defensive ones. At least the offense is going after a rough start, winning 2 of the last 3 games, including a 100-86 win over the Knicks and a 91-82 win at Miami. The over is 7-3 in the Bucks last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. They run into a Houston team that likes the uptempo game, scoring 105 and 107 points the last tow games, both wins. In fact, they've won 7 in a row and 8 of 9 while on a 4-2 run over the total. The offense is 7th in the NBA in points (97.9 ppg) and the over is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Look for a shootout; Play the Bucks/Rockets Over the total.
05-15-11 Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 181.5 Top 82-103 Loss -110 49 h 7 m Show
05/15 08:00 PM EST NBA (501) MIAMI HEAT (502) CHICAGO BULLS
Take: NBA Playoff Total of the Year: Game 1 Heat/Bulls Under the total.
Coach Tom Thibodeau earned that Coach of the Year trophy by bringing exceptional defense to the young Bulls. Chicago finished No. 2 in the NBA in points allowed, with 91.3 ppg, and Miami was No. 6 allowing 94.6 ppg. An even better indicator of defensive prowess is field goal shooting percentage allowed and these teams were No. 1 and 2 in the NBA during the regular season allowing 43% and .434% shooting by opponents. And we've seen that great defense all during the playoffs. Chicago allowed 73, 82, 83 and 73 points in the four wins over the Atlanta Hawks during their just completed playoff series. The Miami defense was outstanding all season, too, and was tremendous in shutting down Boston in their 5-game playoff series victory. The Under is 4-1 in the Heat's last 5 playoff games as an underdog, while the Under is 9-3 in the Bulls last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. And between these teams, the Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings when the Heat and Bulls show up. With so much at stake in this anticipated showdown, look for a fierce defense for Game 1. Play Game 1 Heat/Bulls Under the total!
05-07-11 Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 200 Top 93-101 Loss -100 25 h 31 m Show
05/07 05:05 PM EST NBA (721) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS (722) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
Take: Oddsmaker Error Playoff Game of the Year: Grizzlies/Thunder Game 3 Over the total.
A lot of talented young legs in this one, and both can run the floor with uptempo styles. Both Games 1 and 2 went over the total and oddsmakers haven't really adjusted. Memphis has young point guard Mike Conley and Oklahoma City has the dynamic one-two offensive punch of Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. The Over is 5-0 in the Grizzlies last 5 overall. In fact, the Over is 8-2 in Grizzlies last 10 overall and they are 11-3 over the total in the Grizzlies last 14 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. I can see Oklahoma City pushing it uptempo against Memphis, as well, with Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. The Over is 5-0 in the Thunder's last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Oklahoma City played a breakneck pace against the Denver Nuggets, which is their style, and they have continued it in this series against the young Grizzlies. The last 6 times that these teams have played each other, the over is a perfect 6-0, and 13-3 over the total in the last 16 meetings! I see an offensive show from the first quarter on; Play the Grizzlies/Thunder Game 3 Over the total.
05-01-11 Memphis Grizzlies v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 195.5 Top 114-101 Win 100 19 h 13 m Show
05/01 1:00 PM EST NBA (707) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES VS (708) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
Take: Second Round Total Shocker of the Year: Grizzlies/Thunder Over the total. A lot of talented young legs in this one, and both can run the floor with uptempo styles. Memphis has young point guard Mike Conley and Oklahoma City has the dynamic one-two offensive punch of Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. The Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 games playing on 1 days rest and they come into this one off that big upset of the top seeded Spurs. In fact, the Over is 7-2 in Grizzlies last 9 overall and they are 10-3 over the total in the Grizzlies last 13 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. I can see Oklahoma City, a little more rested, pushing it uptempo against Memphis, who had that thrilling Game 6 win at home over San Antonio just two days ago. The Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Oklahoma City played a breakneck pace against the Denver Nuggets, which is their style, and they will continue it against the young Grizzlies. The Over is 35-15-1 in Thunder last 51 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5, and the last 5 times that these teams have played each other, the over is a perfect 5-0! I see an offensive show from the first quarter on; Play the Grizzlies/Thunder Game 1 Over the total.
04-25-11 Oklahoma City Thunder v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 206.5 Top 101-104 Win 100 28 h 6 m Show
04/25 10:35 PM EST NBA (513) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS (514) DENVER NUGGETS
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Oklahoma City is a talented young team with exceptional balance. Their offense gets all the attention with flashy Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, but this defense has become very good quickly. They traded for Kendrick Perkins in midseason and he's added defense and rebounding, along with 21-year old 6-10 Serge Ibaka, who has emerged as an athletic shot blocker. After giving up 60 first half points in Game 1, the Thunder held the Nuggets to 42 second half points in their 107-103 comeback win. Then in Game 2 the defense was great in a 106-89 win, allowing .391% shooting with a whopping 54-31 rebounding edge. The Thunder is 7-3 in Thunder last 10 road games and 9-4 in their last 13 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5. They face a small Denver frontcourt, so they should continue to control the boards. The Under is 5-1-1 in Nuggets' last 7 games playing on 1 days rest, and the Under is 18-7-2 in Nuggets last 27 overall. Plus the Under is 23-10 in Nuggets last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games and the Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. An offensive show? That's what oddsmakers expect, but they have overvalued this one, which should feature plenty of intense defense with so much at stake. Play the Thunder/Nuggets Under the total in Game 4!
04-21-11 Chicago Bulls v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 189 Top 88-84 Win 100 27 h 38 m Show

04/21 07:05 PM EST NBA (733) CHICAGO BULLS VS (734) INDIANA PACERS
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Eastern Conference Total of the Month: Bulls/Pacers Game 3 Under.
The No. 1 seeded Bulls won the first two games at home, 104-99 and 96-90, as the Bulls won the rebounding battle in those games 49-34 and 57-33! The Bulls have a young, physical frontcourt, No. 2 in the NBA in rebounding led by 6-9 Carlos Boozer (17.5 ppg, 9.6 rpg), and 26-year old 6-11 Joakim Noah (11.7 ppg, 10.4 rpg) and 26-year old 6-9 Luol Deng (17.4 ppg, 5.8 rpg). Chicago has the second stingiest defense in the league at 91.3 points per game and the best field goal percentage against in the league allowing 43% shooting. The Bulls 48-34 under the total, the Pacers 44-37-1 under the total -- and playoff action means even more fierce defense. The Pacers were the aggressors in Game 2 despite losing Roy Hibbert for long stretches to foul trouble, but having home court should help his foul trouble. But can they score? The Bulls have held Indiana to 41% shooting the last 10 times they've met! Look for a grind-it-out defensive game, Play the Bulls/Pacers Game 3 Under the total.
04-20-11 Denver Nuggets v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 207 Top 89-106 Win 100 25 h 3 m Show
04/20 08:05 PM NBA (727) DENVER NUGGETS VS (728) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Denver likes to run, but Oklahoma City has improved defense with the addition of Kendrick Perkins in the low post, blocking shots and grabbing rebounds. Of course, Perkins is an offensively liability, and note the Thunder is on a 12-8 run under the total. That included three wins over this Denver team over the last two weeks, 2-1 under the total. Oklahoma City won 101-94 at Denver on April 5 holding the Nuggets to .439% shooting and a rebounding edge of 50-41. Then they met again April 8 and Denver was held to 89 points and 40% shooting in a 104-89 Oklahoma City rout. Game 1 was an uptempo affair, but I can't see that continuing. Playoff games mean so much that both teams usually bring far more defensive intensity than the regular season. And this betting number on the total has shot up from Game 1, so there is tremendous value. Denver plays its best basketball at home, but he Nuggets are 5-1-1 under the total their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and the Under is 44-20-1 in the Nuggets last 65 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Play the Nuggets/Thunder Game 2 Under the total.
04-13-11 Washington Wizards v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 211 Top 93-100 Loss -110 25 h 2 m Show
04/13 08:05 PM NBA (513) WASHINGTON WIZARDS VS (514) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS .
Take: High Roller: Wizards/Cavaliers Over the total.
Final game of the season for a pair of teams long out of the playoff race. Neither play defense, with the Cavs ranked 23rd in points allowed and Washington 25th. And as far as field goal shooting defense, they are worse, ranked 25th and 27th. This being the finale, no one is going to care about defense and, like an All Star game, look for players to bad their stats by focusing on offense. The Over is 7-2 in the Wizards last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Cleveland has been more of an uptempo team since mid-season, as they have no inside defensive players or height. The over is 5-0 in the Cavaliers last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. And what has happened when these two teams meet? The Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Don't look for any defense, play the Wizards/Cavaliers Over the total.
04-02-11 Atlanta Hawks v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 205.5 Top 92-98 Win 100 28 h 20 m Show
Take: Under

Reason: High Roller Total: Thunder/Clippers Under the total.
Since big man Kendrick Perkins arrived, Oklahoma City has been a different team defensively: The Under is 8-3 for the Thunder's last 11 overall. Oklahoma City can play any style, but this is the second of a back to back spot after battling the Blazers last night. The Clippers had to run the floor with the uptempo Suns last night and wouldn't mind slowing the pace down, as well. The Under is 9-3 in the Clippers last 12 vs. Western Conference. I see a defensive battle, Play the Thunder/Clippers Under the total.
03-19-11 Boston Celtics v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 179 Top 89-85 Win 100 26 h 36 m Show
03/19 05:05 PM NBA (505) BOSTON CELTICS VS (506) NEW ORLEANS HORNETS
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: March Total of the Month: Celtics/Hornets Under the total.
Two of the best defensive teams in the NBA meet: Boston is No. 2 in points allowed (91 ppg), New Orleans is No. 4 (93 ppg). They are also in the Top 8 in field goal shooting defense. The Celtics prefer not to run, especially in the second of a back to back spot like they find themselves in here. The Under is 5-1 in the Celtics last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Boston has had its defensive game face on, riding a 5-1 run under the total. New Orleans has little depth, which is why they play a slow pace, scoring the fourth fewest points allowed per game (94.8 ppg). The Under is 5-2 in the Celtics last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 9-4 under the total in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. For New Orleans, the Under is 18-8 in Hornets last 26 home games and 40-19 under the total in the Hornets last 59 overall. And when these teams meet: A perfect 5-0 under the total the last 5, including an 83-81 Hornets win at Boston earlier this season. Play the Celtics/Hornets Under the total.
03-17-11 Wofford v. Brigham Young OVER 147 Top 66-74 Loss -110 8 h 31 m Show
Take: over

Reason: High Roller Total: Wofford/BYU Over the total.
A pair of uptempo teams meet here. Wofford averages 73.8 ppg and is 8th in the nation in field goal percentage, shooting .479% as a team, led by sharp-shooting 6-6 senior Noah Dahlman (20 ppg), who shoots 61% from the field. The Over is 4-1 in the Terriers last 5 neutral site games and 10-4 over the total in the Terriers last 14 games following an ATS win. BYU knows how to score, too, 8th in the nation with 81.6 ppg led by dynamic gaurd Jimmer Fredette, the Mountain West Player of the Year. He was named the MWC Tournament MVP where he averaged a tournament-record 35.3 points. He set BYU and MWC records with a 52-point performance against New Mexico in the semifinals. Fredette currently leads the nation in scoring at 28.5 points per game. The Over is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 8-3 over the total in the Cougars last 11 neutral site games as a favorite. Play Wofford/BYU Over the total!
03-02-11 Pittsburgh v. South Florida UNDER 124.5 Top 66-50 Win 100 9 h 15 m Show
Take: Under

Reason: Big East Total of the Year: Pittsburgh/South Florida Under.
Pittsburgh is in first place in the rugged Big East, and they didn't get there by being soft on defense. Winners of 15 of its last 18 overall games and 16 of its last 19 Big East regular season contests, No. 4 Pitt enters the game following a 62-59 overtime loss at No. 16 Louisville. The Panthers overcame 32 percent shooting and 22 first half points and a nine-point halftime deficit to battle back in the second half. The Under is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 vs. the Big East and 6-1 under in the Panthers last 7 road games. The Panthers claimed a 67-55 victory over the Bulls on Feb. 16 at the Petersen Events Center, which went under the total. The Under is 7-2 in the last 9 overall by the South Florida Bulls, as well. Can't see much scoring, especially by the home team. Play Pitt/South Florida Under the total.
02-09-11 San Antonio Spurs v. Toronto Raptors OVER 201 Top 111-100 Win 100 6 h 7 m Show
02/09 04:05 PM NBA (709) SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS (710) TORONTO RAPTORS
Take: over the total.
Reason: NBA Bookie Buster Total of the Year: Spurs/Raptors Over.
San Antonio is No. 6 in the NBA in scoring and second in three-point shooting, bombing away from beyond the arc at a sizzling .392%. They recently put 113 up on Sacramento, sailing over the total by 17 points. Who wouldn't want a BENCH of George Hill, Antonio McDyess, rookie Tiago Splitter and Gary Neal? The Spurs are off to their fastest start in history. They face a Toronto team that loves to run the court, but plays no defense, giving up 104.9 ppg, sixth worse in the NBA. Neither team is very good defensively at the three-pointer, and Toronto is 2-1 over the total its last three home games. Jose Calderon tied a career and franchise record for assists, and with Amir Johnson playing a game that coach Jay Triano lauded as "almost perfect," the Raptors beat the Minnesota Timberwolves 111-100, breaking off a 13-game losing streak. Andrea Bargnani had 30 points. Look for both teams to run the court all night long with little defense. Play the Spurs/Raptors Over the total.
01-25-11 Los Angeles Clippers v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 194 Top 105-112 Loss -110 8 h 12 m Show
Take: UNDER

Reason: NBA High Roller Total: Clippers/Mavericks Under the total.
The powerhouse offensive team against the powerhouse defensive team! The Clippers have a fine young offense, but note that the Under is 14-5 in Clippers last 19 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. They face a team that has transformed this season under Coach Rick Carlisle into a unit that has been impressive on defense, 10th in the NBA in field goal shooting allowed and sixth in points allowed (94 ppg). They come off an 87-86 win over New Jersey, part of a 5-2 run under the total. Dallas has the big men in the frontcourt to throw at young Blake Griffin and the under is 11-5 in Mavericks last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. And look at the recent history of these teams: The Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings overall, plus the Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Dallas. Look for a defensive game, Play the Clippers/Mavericks Under the total.
01-14-11 Chicago Bulls v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 190 Top 99-86 Win 100 25 h 0 m Show
Take: UNDER

Reason: High Roller Total: Bulls/Pistons Under.
The Chicago Bulls have a first-year coach in Tom Thibodeau, who ran Boston
01-04-11 San Antonio Spurs v. New York Knicks OVER 208.5 Top 115-128 Win 100 8 h 43 m Show
Take: over

Reason: 25-Star High Roller Total: Knicks/Spurs Over the total.
Don't see any defense in this one. The big bad Spurs are on a 4-0 SU/ATS run and 2-1 over the total their last three road games, with scores of 113-112 and 123-101. This is the start of a 3-game road trip, but this deep team has had 2 full days off. They match up well with an uptempo New York team that doesn't defend the three-pointer well (21st in the NBA) and San Antonio is lights out with a sizzling 40% from beyond the arc, easily tops in the NBA. The Knicks allow .467 shooting overall, which is 24th in the NBA, a small team that prefers to push it up the court with newcomer Ray Felton, who has been a great addition. New York is No. 1 in points scored in the NBA (107.2 ppg) but 29th in points allowed. San Antonio is 10-2 on the road and the New York crowd will want to see an offensive show with a Western powerhouse in town. Play the Spurs/Knicks Over the total.
12-21-10 Philadelphia 76ers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 191.5 Top 76-121 Loss -110 26 h 26 m Show
Take: UNDER

Reason: NBA High Roller Total of the Month: 76ers/Bulls Under the total.
The Bulls are an excellent defensive team under new coach Tom Thibodeau. He was the assistant running the defense on the Celtics the last three years, which included two trips to the NBA Finals and consistently one of the best defensive teams in the league. They are on a 15-5 run under the total. For this game, the offense is without Joakim Noah and Taj Gibson played the last game but suffered a concussion the previous game. The Bulls played uncharacteristically small and flat with the Noah-less lineup that featured the 6-foot-9 Gibson at center and two other 6-9 players
12-15-10 Milwaukee Bucks v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 190 Top 90-92 Loss -110 25 h 25 m Show
Take: over

Reason: High Roller Total Powerhouse: Bucks/Spurs Over the total.
The Bucks have gotten their offense going after a rough start to the season, riding a 6-3 run over the total. There is plenty of offensive talent, and they showcased that in an impressive 103-99 win at Dallas, one of the top defensive teams in the NBA. That game sailed over by 19 points. Now they face a deadly uptempo offense in San Antonio, the top three-point shooting team and one averaging 106.4 ppg, 4th highest in the league. Both teams are rested and the Spurs have topped 100 points in 13 of the last 17 games. Look for an offensive show, Play the Bucks/Spurs Over the total.
11-29-10 Houston Rockets v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 197 Top 91-101 Loss -110 18 h 29 m Show
The Houston Rockets grabbed just their fifth win of the season on Sunday with a one-point home win over Oklahoma City, 99-98. It was the club's second win in the last three games after a drought of five losses in a row. The win was also just the Rockets second cover in the last seven games. But what is of particular value to me is their defense, or lack thereof. The Rockets have allowed over 100 points in four of their last six games. The Rockets started the season by allowing 107 or more in their first five games. Meanwhile, Dallas has been an under team this season, going 6-9 Over/Under on the season. This is mainly because they play such good defense, in fact, the Mavs are the third best defensive team in the NBA. Houston is 26th in the NBA in defense. And, while Dallas has not needed to score much to win, they have upped the tempo of late, scoring over 100 points in each of their last three games with all three going OVER. This series has been high scoring of late, with three of the last four meetings going OVER the number. In those three overs, the lowest combines score was 224. I am sticking with the OVER here on Monday, mainly because of the Houston defense. I see Utah easily getting over 100 points, and with a total of 197 (opening number) we only need about 93 out of Houston.
11-23-10 Chicago Bulls v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 203 Top 91-98 Loss -110 28 h 8 m Show
Take: over

Reason: 20-Star NBA High Roller Total: Bulls/Lakers Over the total.
A pair of powerful offensive teams meet in LA: The Bulls and sparkplug guard Derrek Rose are 9th in the NBA in scoring (101.5 ppg) while the Lakers are No. 1 (112.5 ppg). Chicago is 6th in the NBA in field goal shooting, the Lakers are 4th. The young Bulls are not afraid to run the court with uptempo teams, scoring 112 on the Knicks and 120 on Golden State. The tall, deep, talented Lakers are just torching opponents, topping 100 points in 13 of 14 games. They just put 117 on the Golden State Warriors. The Lakers featured four players in double figures: They shot 55.7%. And they built enough of a lead for all the starters to rest in the fourth quarter and all but Pau Gasol to play less than 30 minutes. The Lakers scored 29 points in transition, and they imposed their front-line dominance with 56 points in the paint, 17 second-chance points. Look for the young Bulls to run right with the defending champs in an uptempo game. Play the Bulls/Lakers Over the total.
11-19-10 Oklahoma City Thunder v. Boston Celtics UNDER 201 Top 89-84 Win 100 26 h 13 m Show
Take: UNDER

Reason: High Roller Total: Thunder/Celtics Under the total.
After playing a string of uptempo offensive teams, Oklahoma City comes to Boston to play the defensive-oriented Celtics. These teams have already met and it was a 92-83 Boston win at Oklahoma City, 21 points under the total. Boston allows 45% shooting and a stellar 32% from beyond the arc. The 94.6 ppg they allow is 6th best in the NBA. They come off a win over Washington allowing 83 points and 38% shooting. The Celtics have won three in a row and eight of their past nine. When they met a few weeks ago, Kevin Durant scored 34 points and Westbrook had 16 points and 10 assists to lead Oklahoma City, but Boston was content to let the stars get theirs and shut down everyone else: The Thunder shot .427% in the game. This total is far too high as the Celtics turn up their defense on their home court, as usual: Play the Thunder/Celtics Under the total.
11-09-10 New York Knicks v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 195.5 Top 80-107 Loss -110 26 h 53 m Show
Take: over.

Reason: 25-Star Situational Slam Dunk: NY Knicks/Bucks Over the total.
The NY Knicks are much improved from last season with Amare Stoudemire and Ray Felton leading an offense that is 10th in the NBA. The Knicks are in second place in the Atlantic, trailing Boston. But it's offense carrying the load as there are no defensive stoppers on this young, athletic but small frontcourt, allowing .465% shooting by opponents, 9th worst in the NBA. Their three-point defense has been particularly bad, allowing 37% shooting from long range. The Bucks had a hard time making shots the last game, sinking just 38.6% of their attempts in an 87-81 loss at home to New Orleans. But there's nothing wrong with the offensive talent on this team, led by Drew Gooden and Andrew Bogut up front and Bucks point guard Brandon Jennings. Gooden and Bogut have always been strong offensive players, but weak in the low post defensively. New Orleans shot 45% from the field and over 41% from long range. Milwaukee has played a string of strong defensive teams in the Hornets (twice), Celtics, Blazers and Bobcats, but they get a chance to bust out offensively against the small, uptempo Knicks. Play the NY Knicks/Bucks Over the total.
11-04-10 New York Knicks v. Chicago Bulls OVER 195.5 Top 120-112 Win 100 27 h 0 m Show
Take: over the total.

Reason: 20-Star NBA High Roller Total: Knicks/Bulls Over.
The NY Knicks have an uptempo offense and they are improved this season with Amare Stoudemire teamed with guard Raymond Felton. They are averaging 98 ppg and allowing 99 ppg. That uptempo offense is well rested for this game after that odd postponed game on Monday. They take on a Chicago team that is 12th in the NBA in offense averaging 102 ppg and fourth in field goal shooting (48%) behind Luol Deng and sparkplug guard Derrick Rose, who is off to a great start. Rose was averaging 33.5 points in Chicago's first two contests. Deng scored a career-high 40 points to lead the Chicago Bulls to a 110-98 victory over Portland on Monday night. Chicago has scored 101 and 110 points in two games and is 2-1 over the total. This has all the makings as an uptempo game from start to finish with these two young point guards putting on a show. Play the NY Knicks/Bulls Over the Total.
10-26-10 Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics UNDER 190 Top 80-88 Win 100 26 h 18 m Show
Take: UNDER

Reason: High Roller Total: Heat/Celtics Under the total.
Both coaches in this one are very good at teaching defense and demanding it. It's Game 1 of the season, so you have to believe defense will be ahead of the offense for both teams. The Celtics have won 2 of the last 3 Eastern crowns and got better for this season, essentially swapping out Rasheed Wallace for Shaq and Jermaine O'Neal. Both are asked to be role players off the bench, a perfect situation given their age. As impressive as Miami looks on paper, they are still a relatively short team and Boston has a big edge in the frontcourt with their defense and rebounding. Plus, the loss of 6th man Mike Miller is significan for the Heat offense, as he won't be around until January. Boston plays monster defense, especially at home, and both teams should bring their A-gam defensively as this will have a playoff-type atmosphere on national TV. Play the Heat/Celtics Under the total.
06-17-10 Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 187 Top 79-83 Win 100 29 h 44 m Show
Take: UNDER

Reason: NBA Finals Game of the Year: Celtics/Lakers Under the total in Game 7.
It has been a defensive series all the way, at 5-1 under the total. And many of these games haven't even been close to the total, with the losing team scoring 67, 86, 89, 84, 94 and 89 points. The Celtics are a veteran team that won a title with defense in 2008 and that has led the way in the 2010 playoffs. Since the start of Round 2, Boston is on a 12-6-1 run under the total. The Lakers had scored over 100 points in 11 straight playoff games until the Celtics beat them in Game 2, 103-94. The Lakers haven't come close to topping 100 since. The Lakers turned it up defensively the last game, dominating the paint and holding the Celtics to 67 points and 33% shooting. And now, with a Game 7, EVERYTHING is on the line, so expect both teams to bring their best defensive effort. I expect a slow, even cautious defensive game with so much at stake and the whole world watching. Play the Celtics/Lakers Game 7 Under the total.
05-27-10 Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 217.5 Top 101-103 Loss -110 28 h 18 m Show
Take: over

Reason: Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year: Suns/LA Lakers Over the total in Game 5.
The Lakers are on a 12-3-1 run over the total, and 7-0-1 over the total the last eight games against uptempo Utah and Phoenix. The last game the Phoenix reserves outscored the Laker reserves, 54-20, in the Suns' 115-106 victory on Tuesday night. The main problem is defense: Said Lakers Coach Phil Jackson: "We shot 49%, didn't we? That's pretty good. Nothing wrong with that. I wouldn't say we're struggling against the zone. I think we're struggling at the defensive end. That's where I see it." Kobe Bryant was even more to the point: "We lost the game because our defense sucked." Phoenix has found a flaw, attacking the LA bench, which is no surprise as it has been a weakness all season. On offense, the Lakers have a big size advantage, with 7-foot Andruw Bynum, 7-foot Paul Gasol and 6-10 Lamar Odom. Phoenix has the top offense in the NBA (110.4 ppg) with an attacking style behind 36-year old PG Steve Nash (16.6 ppg, 11 apg) and 27-year old Amar'e Stoudemire (23.2 ppg, 9 rpg). 6-6 Jason Richardson (15.7 ppg) adds more offensive punch and shoots 39% from beyond the arc. But their defense has been suspect, as the Lakers shot 58% and 56% in Games 1 and 2, scoring 124 and 128 points on this floor, 48.3% and 49.5% the last two. The last 18 meetings between these uptempo teams have gone 13-5 over the total. Play the Suns/Lakers Game 5 Over the total.
05-26-10 Boston Celtics v. Orlando Magic UNDER 186.5 Top 92-113 Loss -110 25 h 38 m Show
Take: UNDER

Reason: 20-Star NBA High Roller Total: Magic/Celtics Game 5 Under the total.
Game 5s of any series have so much at stake, as does this one. That means intense defense from both sides. For this game, the Magic -- the top ranked defense in the NBA during the regular season in field goal shooting percentage allowed -- must win or they go home. They really picked up the defense in Game 4 to stay alive, disrupting Boston all night. This has been a defensive series, at 4-0 or 3-0-1 under the total. Boston matches up great with Orlando. Their attention to defense in the playoffs has been incredible, wiping out top seeded Cleveland in six games (winning 4 of the final 5) and frustrating the Orlando Magic into 41.6% and 39% shooting in Games 1 and 2 on this floor, and only 71 points in Game 3. Boston matches up so well, with Kendrick Perkins, Rasheed Wallace and Glen Davis three big, physical bodies to harrass Dwight Howard, who has looked frustrated at times. The rest of the Boston strategy is to throw everybody along the perimeter defensively to get a hand in the face of every Orlando player taking a three-pointer, which is their game. Orlando was 5 of 22 from long range in Game 1 and has scored 88, 92, 71 and 96 points in the four games (the last one in OT). The Magic have seldom been able to set the tempo or smoothly execute pick-and-rolls, which has contributed to Rashard Lewis's poor overall play, with Kevin Garnett on him. Doc Rivers said, "Our focus is transition Defense. We don
05-22-10 Orlando Magic v. Boston Celtics UNDER 190 Top 71-94 Win 100 3 h 33 m Show
Take: Under

Reason: NBA High Roller Total: Magic/Celtics Under the total.
Boston is up 2-0 and matches up great with Orlando. Their attention to defense in the playoffs has been incredible, wiping out top seeded Cleveland in six games (winning 4 of the final 5) and now frustrating the Orlando Magic into 41.6% and 39% shooting in Games 1 and 2 -- both on the road. Boston matches up so well, with Kendrick Perkins, Rasheed Wallace and Glen Davis three big, physical bodies to harrass Dwight Howard, who has looked frustrated at times. The rest of the Boston strategy is to throw everybody along the perimeter defensively to get a hand in the face of every Orlando player taking a three-pointer, which is their game. Orlando was 5 of 22 from long range in Game 1 and holding them to 88 and 92 points in the two games. The Magic have seldom been able to set the tempo or smoothly execute pick-and-rolls, which has contributed to Rashard Lewis's 4-for-16 shooting slump. Doc Rivers said this week, "Our focus is transition Defense. We don
05-17-10 Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 210.5 Top 107-128 Win 100 75 h 9 m Show
Take: over

Reason: 20-Star High Roller Total: Game 1 Suns/Lakers Over the total.
The last 14 meetings between these uptempo teams have gone 9-5 over the total. Phoenix has the top offense in the NBA (110.4 ppg) with an attacking style behind 36-year old PG Steve Nash (16.6 ppg, 11 apg) and 27-year old Amar'e Stoudemire (23.2 ppg, 9 rpg). 6-6 Jason Richardson (15.7 ppg) adds more offensive punch and shoots 39% from beyond the arc. Richardson is averaging 21.9 points and shooting 51% in the playoffs. The Lakers have no problem going uptempo with anyone, and there's no doubt Phoenix will try and push the pace. The Lakers are on an 8-3-1 run over the total, and 3-0-1 over the total the last four games against uptempo Utah. The Suns will get plenty of production from the ageless Steve Nash (36 years old, averaging 17.8 points and nine assists in the playoffs) and the effervescent Amare Stoudemire, but the Suns are a 31-4 when guard Jason Richardson scores 20 or more points, including their victories in a Western Conference semifinals sweep of San Antonio. Look for a wide open Game 1, Play the Suns/Lakers Over the total.
05-16-10 Boston Celtics v. Orlando Magic UNDER 189.5 Top 92-88 Win 100 46 h 46 m Show
Take: UNDER

Reason: 30-Star NBA Playoff Total of the Year: Celtics/Magic Game 1 Under the total.
Orlando has turned up the defense in the postseason, on a 5-2 run under the total. Actually, they've been a terrific defensive team all season, ranked No. 1 in the NBA in field goal shooting defense, allowing .438% shooting. They take on a Boston team that won a championship in 2008 with great defense and is back playing it again because Kevin Garnett is healthy. Boston just threw a blanket on the Cavaliers in their 6-game upset, on a 3-2 run under the total. Outside of the Game 3 debacle, the Celtics held the Cavs to 86, 87, 88 and 85 points the last four games. I wonder how in sync the Boston offense will be after that physical, grueling series with Cleveland. And I wonder how in sync the Orlando offense will be, not only facing a fired up Boston defense, but the fact that they haven't played a game in 6 days. When you examine the regular season meetings between these teams, you see nothing but MONSTER defensive efforts: 83-78, 86-77 and 96-94...and those were just regular season games, so much more is at stake here. Orlando is the second worst free throw shooting team in the NBA, so look for a lower scoring game than oddsmakers anticipate. Play the Celtics/Magic Game 1 Under the total.
05-04-10 Utah Jazz v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 199.5 Top 103-111 Loss -110 29 h 43 m Show
Take: UNDER

Reason: High Roller Total: Jazz/Lakers Under.
Lost in the shuffle of the LA comeback in Game 1 was the Lakers' defense, holding uptempo Utah to 44% shooting. The Lakers were in command of Game 1 as their frontcourt had a +5 rebounding edge, as Pau Gasol had 25 points and 12 rebounds while blocking five shots. This is a tough situational spot for the Jazz, who had to finish up a series against the Denver Nuggets, then play Game 1 less than two days later on the road and now Game 2 -- so that's 3 games in 6 nights of intense aaction. It's going to be difficult on their offense with tired legs, especially playing 2 straight on the road. LA has put its game face on the last three games, all wins, ripping the Thunder on this court in Game 5 and winning at Oklahoma City as a dog. These teams have played 5 times this season and the under is 4-1. With so much at stake, look for both teams to play better defense. Play the Jazz/LA Lakers Under the total in Game 2.
04-26-10 Blazers(Portland) v. Suns(Phoenix) OVER 202 Top 88-107 Loss -110 17 h 8 m Show
The Portland Trailblazers tied up this series with Phoenix at two games apiece. After looking terrible in the previous two games, the Blazers got an injection of Brandon Roy for game four. Roy, who was expected to miss this series with an injury, came back in game four and gave the Blazers the shot in the arm they desperately needed. "I didn't come back to have one good game," Roy said. "I came back to try to help this team win the series. It's important we get over the emotional high of last game and get ready to play a tough basketball game at Phoenix." This is the pivotal game for Phoenix, as they Suns can ill afford to go down 3-2 and return to Portland for a game six. For some reason, the Suns abandoned their aggressive, fast paced style that have garnered them two blowout wins in games two and three. The Suns only hope here is to return to that style of play. Suns coach Alvin Gentry probably put it best after the loss. "I don't understand it. I really don't," he said. "That's the one thing we have to get away from. I keep telling everyone and I'll say it again: If you walk it up and they (Portland) get in a half-court situation I think their defense is as good as anybody's in the NBA." Expect to see Steve Nash push the tempo in this game and get the Blazers out of that half court defense. If that happens, then fully expect this game to go OVER the total on Monday.
04-23-10 Dallas Mavericks v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 193.5 Top 90-94 Loss -110 29 h 35 m Show
Take: over

Reason: High Roller Total: Mavericks/Spurs Over the total.
Dallas has plenty of strong offensive options, but this team is no defensive dynamo. That was a problem in Game 2 as San Antonio shot 48% while grabbing 51 rebounds (16 offensive). Even in losing Game 1, San Antonio shot 50%. The Spurs also have a ton of offensive options, with Tim Duncan up front, Tony Parker in the backcourt and Manu Ginobili from everywhere. San Antonio is not the dominant defensive team they used to be when winning championships, as age has crept up on them. And Dirk Nowitzki has tallied 24 and 36 points in two games. If you need free throws late in the game, Dallas is a lock, tops in the NBA from the free throw line, with Dirk making 88 in a row before missing one the last game. The Spurs are averaging 97.5 ppg in the playoffs and the over is 7-1 their last 8 home games. I see an offensive show, play the Mavericks/Spurs Over the total.
04-19-10 Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets OVER 212.5 Top 114-111 Win 100 19 h 49 m Show
The oddsmaker definitely has adjusted the total here in game two. I thought the total for game one was way off and I gave out the OVER as one of my 20* Hi Roller plays, an easy winner. They have adjusted a bit here, pushing the total up about 3-4 points, but I'm still sticking with the OVER. In fact, I'm coming right back with another of my 20* Hi Roller totals on this contest. Many teams like to slow the pace down in the postseason, but not these teams. They have loads of offensive weapons and love the uptempo game. They mirror each other in so many ways. The Nuggets have Kenyon Martin back, but the defense has really slipped the last month without coach George Karl around. That defense gets a tough test as Utah shoots 49% from the field as a team, tops in the NBA. Utah has a sparkplug guard in Derron Williams (18.6 ppg, 10.6 apg), and a string of hard working young legs in Carlos Boozer, Mehmet Okur and Paul Millsap (24 rebounds in a game last week). These teams are 8-0 over the total their last 8 meetings in Denver, and 10-1 over the total their last 11 meetings on this court. And the point total they struck for in the last 7 meetings: 231, 218, 214, 216, 233, 229 and 218 and 239 in Saturday's contest. Play the Jazz/Nuggets Over the total again and don't worry about the line adjustment.
04-17-10 Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets OVER 209 Top 113-126 Win 100 53 h 36 m Show
Take: over the total.
Reason: High Roller Total: Jazz/Nuggets Over the total.
Many teams like to slow the pace down in the postseason, but not these teams. They have loads of offensive weapons and love the uptempo game. They mirror each other in so many ways. The Nuggets have Kenyon Martin back, but the defense has really slipped the last month without coach George Karl around. That defense gets a tough test as Utah shoots 49% from the field as a team, tops in the NBA. Utah has a sparkplug guard in Derron Williams (18.6 ppg, 10.6 apg), and a string of hard working young legs in Carlos Boozer, Mehmet Okur and Paul Millsap (24 rebounds in a game last week). These teams are 7-0 over the total their last 7 meetings in Denver, and 9-1 over the total their last 10 meetings on this court. And the point total they struck for in the last 7 meetings: 231, 218, 214, 216, 233, 229 and 218. Play the Jazz/Nuggets Over the total.
04-10-10 Boston Celtics v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 190.5 Top 105-90 Loss -110 25 h 15 m Show
Take: UNDER

Reason: High Roller Total: Celtics/Bucks Under the total.
Both teams will bring their 'A' game intensity on defense, as they are in a race for playoff seeding in the East. And these defenses have talent. The Bucks have been a defensive revelation the second half of the season, on a 22-11-1 run under the total. They just hels the Bulls to 74 points in a game with playoff-type intensity, and lost 87-86 to Charlotte in another game that sailed under. Milwaukee is deadlocked with Miami for the No 5 playoff slot. They like to slow the pace down, and that's fine with the aging Celtics, as they prefer playing a slow, defensive-oriented tempo. They've struggled all season against athletic, uptempo teams, too. The Celtics are tied with Atlanta for playoff seeding, so they will bring their best defensive effort here and be thankful to slow the pace down. The Celtics have played a whole string of uptempo teams of late, but the last time they played a defensive-oriented squad, it was a 94-73 loss to San Antonio, going under the total by 25 points! This has all the makings of a slow-paced, defensive battle between two playoff teams. Play the Celtics/Bucks Under the total.
04-08-10 Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 203.5 Top 96-98 Win 100 29 h 15 m Show
Reason: High Roller Total: Lakers/Nuggets Under the total.
The Lakers are a very good defensive team, despite all the flashy offensive stars, 9th in the NBA in points allowed and 5th in field goal shooting defense. They have been an under the total team the second half of the season, and currently are on a 7-3 run under. The Lakers have lost three of their last four games with the bench play just awful: In those three loses, their bench has been outscored 110-38. Center Andruw Bynum has sat out eight games because of a strained Achilles' tendon and might not play again in regular season. So if Phil Jackson wants to rest the starters any, they aren't getting any offense from the pine. The reserves scored only four points in an ugly loss to San Antonio; The reserves were outscored 42-12 by the New Orleans Hornets' reserves and 48-22 by the Atlanta Hawks' reserves. They run into a Denver team that is playing tough defense, right in the thick of the West's playoff seedings race. Denver has held three of the last five opponents to 96 points or less, though the offense hasn't been sharp because Denver forward Kenyon Martin (knee) is still out. Denver is on an 8-2 run under the total. With the defending champs in town, look for plenty of defense by the home team (when they met 5 weeks ago it was a 95-89 game, 25 points under the total. Play the Lakers/Nuggets Under the total.
04-03-10 Charlotte Bobcats v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 188 Top 88-96 Win 100 26 h 31 m Show
Take: UNDER

Reason: 20-Star NBA High Roller Total: Bobcats/Bulls Under the total.
This game should have a playoff-type atmosphere, as both teams are fighting down the stretch. Charlotte is in great shape to make the playoffs as a No. 6, 7 or 8 seed because they are so strong defensively under Coach Larry Brown. They are 7th in the NBA in field goal shooting defense and tops in points allowed (93.6 ppg). This is a slow-down defensive team, and there's no reason for them to go uptempo playing their third game in four nights plus the second of a back to back spot. Chicago is out of the playoffs at present but not too far behind Toronto for that last spot. Chicago is getting healthy, with Derrick Rose and Joakim Noah back. They are playing like a motivated team, especially on defense, on a recent 7-4 run under the total. Coach Vinny Del Negro confirmed the coaching staff has discussed starting Joakim Noah for the final seven games of the season, a strong inside force. Charlotte plays its best offensively at home, but they are 5-0 under the total their last 5 road games. Chicago is 4-1 under the total its last 5 home games. With quite a bit at stake, look for an intense defensive game. Play the Bobcats/Bulls Under the total!
04-03-10 Michigan State v. Butler UNDER 126 Top 50-52 Win 100 47 h 52 m Show
Take: Under

Reason: Can't see much scoring here, as Butler slows the tempo down (9-3 under run), as does Michigan State (6-4-1 under run). Butler (32-4) is about tempo and defense, allowing 59.6 ppg. The Bulldogs slow the pace down, on a 3-0 run under the total allowing 45, 59, 52, 59 and 56 points the last five games. They beat Syracuse (63-59 as +6 dog) and K-State (63-56 as +4), while on a 9-3 run under the total. They are patient on offense and have excellent low post defenders with 6-9 soph Gordon Hayward (15.5 ppg, 8.2 rpg), 6-8 junior Matt Howard (11.8 ppg, 5.3 rpg) and 6-3 senior F Willie Veasley (10 ppg, 4.3 rpg) up front. Michigan State (28-8 SU; 15-19 ATS) held uptempo Tennessee to 69 points and beat slow-down Northern Iowa, 59-52. It's tough to see the Spartans running as their depth is hurting: Michigan State is without its top scorer, Kalin Lucas (14.8 ppg), out 4-6 months (lost 2 weeks ago). Also, Michigan State guard Chris Allen (8.5 ppg) is playing but with a torn ligament, plus forward Delvin Roe (the sixth leading scorer) has a torn meniscus in his right knee and is expected to have surgery once the Spartans' season is over. Rose shot 1-for-4 with 0 rebounds (though a team leading 3 blocks) the last game. I see a lot of defense from start to finish with so much at stake in this slow-paced battle. Play Michigan State/Butler Under the total!
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