It all comes down to this, Game 7, on Sunday, June 22, 2025, in Oklahoma City as the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Indiana Pacers for the NBA Championship. Both teams have shown why they belong here, but the Thunder enter as heavy favorites. OKC was the NBA’s top regular-season team (68-14), and MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been nearly un-guardable, averaging over 30 points per game in the Finals and leading a home-court charge that includes eight playoff wins at Chesapeake Energy Arena this postseason. Yet Indiana has refused to fold, overcoming early deficits and clinching a lopsided Game-6 win (108-91) behind clutch play from Tyrese Haliburton and spark from T.J. McConnell.

Turning to the betting angle, Jim Feist, known for his sharp player-prop instincts, has pegged this as a high-scoring affair and is backing the “over” for the total points. With both teams playing up-tempo, trading baskets, and leaning on their star guards (SGA and Haliburton) along with efficient role players like Jalen Williams, Bennedict Mathurin, and Pascal Siakam, the projection makes sense. The over/under is set around 214 to 215 points, the highest for a Finals Game-7 ever.

Why Jim playing the over? First, history favors this outcome. Every team to force a Game-7 after winning Game-6 has gone on to win, and Game-7s tend to produce fireworks. Home teams typically prevail, but road dogs bring no fear-and Indiana plays its brand of fast-paced, passing-heavy basketball that pushes tempo. Both offenses thrive under pressure: OKC pours in points with SGA and Williams combining for 70-plus in Game 5, while Indiana’s bench and Haliburton’s playmaking have unlocked efficient scoring bursts.

Second, Game-7 intensity often flips defense to offense-teams push harder, pace quickens, shots come faster. Jim figures SGA’s knack for fouls, quick baskets, and Haliburton’s clutch shot-making (ask Game-1 or Game-3) will grease the scoring wheels.

Players like McConnell, Mathurin, and Siakam. who can explode offensively if left unchecked. add to the confidence in crossing 215. The big question: can the defenses clamp down, slow things down? That would be needed to hold things under the total. 

So, Jim Feist playing the over isn't a flier. it's a bet on two high-octane teams locked in at do-or-die levels, underpinned by star talent and explosive bench depth. Expect Game 7 to be a back-and-forth, full-throttle slugfest, with the over flashing green.

Enjoy the game, it’s gonna be one for the ages.

Jim's Play: 513. Pacers/Thunder OVER

6/05 05:30 PM PT / 8:30 PM ET  

NBA   (501) INDIANA PACERS  VS  (502) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

Take: 501. Pacers/Thunder OVER 230.5

Game 1 of the 2025 NBA Finals tips off Thursday night in Oklahoma City, where the top-seeded Thunder host the Indiana Pacers. The Thunder are heavy favorites, but the Pacers have been defying expectations all postseason. For bettors, this game presents an intriguing opportunity: Backing a big dog or favorite play or playing the over/under on the total points. 

The Thunder boast the league's best record at 68–14 and have dominated the playoffs with a 12–4 run. Led by MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who averaged 32.7 points per game during the regular season, Oklahoma City has been nearly unbeatable at home, going 8–1 in the playoffs with an average margin of victory of 21.3 points.  

However, the Pacers have been on a remarkable journey. After a 10–15 start to the season, they turned things around, finishing with a 50–32 record. Indiana's offense, orchestrated by Tyrese Haliburton and bolstered by Pascal Siakam, has been potent, leading the league in assist percentage and true shooting percentage. Their depth and resilience have been evident throughout the playoffs, culminating in a 125–108 victory over the Knicks to clinch their first Finals appearance since 2000.  

The over/under is set at around 230.5 points. Given both teams' offensive capabilities and recent trends, playing the over seems like a solid bet. The Pacers have consistently hit the over in their playoff games, and the Thunder's home games have been high-scoring affairs. 

In summary, I belieive the likelihood of a high-scoring game will be what we see here in games one. I'm taking the OVER the total in this one. 

Jim's Play: 501. Pacers/Thunder OVER 230.5

The Eastern Conference Finals will continue with Game 4 between the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis on Tuesday, May 27, 2025. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. 

Indiana Pacers hold a 2-1 advantage in the current seven-game series. The Pacers triumphed in Games 1 and 2 with a 138-135 victory followed by a 114-109 win. The Knicks managed to close the series gap by winning Game 3 with a score of 106-100.

The Knicks showed exceptional determination in Game 3 by turning around a 20-point disadvantage to achieve their inaugural postseason victory at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Since 1997 no team in the play-by-play era has managed three playoff victories from deficits of 20 points or more like the Knicks did in this game.

Karl-Anthony Towns scored 20 fourth-quarter points to make a key contribution to the comeback. However, a challenge persists: Whenever Jalen Brunson and Towns share time on the court together their defensive performance often results in negative outcomes.

The Pacers under Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam leadership look to recover from their Game 3 second-half breakdown. Indiana relies on Haliburton to lead their offensive efforts after he took personal responsibility for their defeat.

Indiana forward Aaron Nesmith remains undecided for Game 4 participation because of a right ankle injury he suffered during Game 3. Nesmith delivered his best game with a career peak of 30 points in Game 1 but has struggled to maintain that level of scoring in later matches.

The Knicks perform better defensively during road games which have a defensive rating of 110.1 compared to their home games with a rating of 114.6. Mikal Bridges and Josh Hart credit their achievements to the increased focus and team unity they build in challenging environments.

I once again look for the Knicks to flex their defensive muscles here on Tuesday. In a slower paced game I like the UNDER in this one. 

Jim's Play: 547. Knicks/Pacers UNDER 

Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals will see the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers compete tonight at Gainbridge Fieldhouse with the Pacers leading the series 2-0 based on their narrow wins in New York. 

The Pacers maintained their high offensive output from the regular season where they averaged 117.4 points per game into the postseason. The quick offensive approach led by Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam has proved dominant against their opponents. Indiana scored 138 points in Game 1 while their Game 2 performance resulted in 114 points with Siakam achieving a playoff career-best 39 points. The Pacers' top-tier ability to operate quickly on offense combined with their scoring proficiency makes betting on the over appealing.

The Knicks depend on Jalen Brunson who scored 43 points in the first game and 36 points in the second game. The Knicks maintained close scores in their games and showed effective offensive performance despite their defeat. The Knicks demonstrate strong performance in playoff road games with a 5-1 record showing they can succeed without playing at Madison Square Garden. The potential for high scoring from both teams together with past game totals of 138-135 and 114-109 makes betting on the over a sound decision.

Indiana's explosive offense combined with New York's scoring potential led by Brunson indicates that Game 3 will likely produce high total points. The over on 223.5 points emerges as a strong wager based on current trends and team performances.

Jim's Play: 543. Knicks/Pacers OVER

The New York Knicks welcome the Indiana Pacers to Madison Square Garden for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals tonight at 8:00 PM ET. The Pacers took a 1–0 series lead after defeating the Knicks 138–135 in overtime by surmounting a 14-point deficit with less than three minutes to go. The Pacers mounted their comeback thanks to Aaron Nesmith's six fourth-quarter three-point shots and Tyrese Haliburton's 31 points with 11 assists.

The Knicks look to bounce back from their Game 1 defeat behind Jalen Brunson's 45 points and Karl-Anthony Towns' 35 points with 12 rebounds. Head coach Tom Thibodeau stressed the importance of learning from late-game errors while maintaining constant focus during each game.

This postseason opponents have struggled to defend Indiana's quick offensive plays directed by Haliburton. The Pacers have shown exceptional execution when facing high-pressure situations throughout their playoff campaign.

I still believe these teams will look to slow the pace here tonight, especially by the Knicks who don’t want to get into another run and gun showdown like they did in game one.

Jim’s Play: Under the Total 

The Indiana Pacers and New York Knicks renew their storied rivalry tonight in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals at Madison Square Garden, tipping off at 8:00 p.m. ET on TNT. This marks the ninth playoff meeting between the two franchises, with the Pacers holding a 5–3 edge in prior series. The Knicks won two of the three regular-season matchups this year, including a commanding 123–98 victory in the opener. 

New York enters the series riding high after a decisive six-game triumph over the defending champion Boston Celtics. Jalen Brunson has been the engine of the Knicks' offense, averaging nearly 29 points and over seven assists per game in the postseason. Karl-Anthony Towns has provided a strong interior presence, averaging 19.8 points and 11.3 rebounds per game. The Knicks' supporting cast, including OG Anunoby, Mikal Bridges, and Josh Hart, has contributed significantly, with Hart notably recording a triple-double in the series-clinching win over Boston.  

The Pacers arrive in New York after a convincing five-game series win over the top-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers. Tyrese Haliburton has been instrumental, averaging 19 points and nine assists per game, and delivering in clutch moments. Pascal Siakam brings championship experience and versatility, averaging 20.2 points and 6.9 rebounds per game. Myles Turner adds a defensive anchor, contributing 16 points, seven rebounds, and two blocks per game.  

Tthe Pacers' depth and offensive versatility could pose significant challenges for the Knicks. The game is expected to be a physical battle, reminiscent of the intense matchups between these teams in the 1990s.  

With both teams aiming for their first NBA Finals appearance in over two decades, tonight's game sets the stage for what promises to be a thrilling series. 

Jim is taking the UNDER here in game one.  Maybe nerves, physicality of the game should contribute to a lower scoring game one. 

Jim’s Play: Under the Total. 

The upcoming Game 6 matchup between the Knicks and Celtics at Madison Square Garden promises to be a high-point total contest. The Knicks who are leading the series 3–2 have the opportunity to secure their first Eastern Conference Finals appearance in 25 years. The Celtics show their fight spirit even when Jayson Tatum is absent from the game.

Boston's offense has been impressive lately. Boston achieved a 127-point game total during Game 5 with Derrick White taking an important role without Jayson Tatum. During the conference semifinals Derrick White has been putting up an average of 23 points while collecting 6 rebounds and dishing out 3 assists per game. The Celtics have maintained efficient shooting alongside Jaylen Brown's substantial performance.

Jalen Brunson remains an essential player for the Knicks. He has maintained postseason averages of 29.4 points and 7.8 assists despite his difficult performance in Game 5. The Knicks rely on Brunson and supporting play from Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby to match Boston's scoring output.

Tonight's over/under point total stands at approximately 211 The recent history of high-scoring matches combined with the strong offensive strengths of both teams shows me this game should go over, even without Tatum. Both teams will push the tempo in this fast-paced game which will result in higher total points. 

Jim’s Play: 509. Celitcs/Knicks OVER 

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland will host the opening game of the Eastern Conference Semifinals series between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers on Sunday, May 4, 2025. Tip-off is scheduled for 6: The game will begin at 6:00 PM ET (3:00 PM PT) and will be broadcast across the nation on TNT.

The Cavaliers head into this match with renewed confidence after achieving their largest point differential against the Miami Heat in a first-round series sweep. Donovan Mitchell distinguished himself as a key player by scoring 23.8 points per game during the first round. Mitchell will break Michael Jordan's record for consecutive 30-point playoff opening performances if he scores 30 points during Game 1.

The Cleveland Cavaliers face potential uncertainty as All-Star guard Darius Garland remains day-to-day with a toe injury. Garland did not attend practice on Saturday but took part in a full-contact session on Friday. His status will be a game-time decision .

After securing a five-game series victory against Milwaukee Bucks, the Pacers now head to their matchup in Cleveland. Tyrese Haliburton has played a critical role in Indiana Pacers' winning streak by delivering 17.6 points and leading the playoffs with an average of 11.6 assists per game. The Cavaliers' defense must focus on stopping his playmaking abilities which enable him to generate scoring chances for his teammates.

The Pacers' defensive approach concentrates on reducing three-point shot attempts while they usually refrain from switching screens and maintain less emphasis on protecting the paint. 

Cleveland ranks first in the league with 121.9 points per game while Indiana holds seventh place with 117.4 points per game in offensive scoring throughout the regular season. The series is expected to produce many points while the Cavaliers maintain their lead by controlling Haliburton's playmaking skills and using their offensive depth to their advantage.

As the series begins fans will closely monitor Darius Garland's condition and how teams adjust their strategies to neutralize each other's strengths. I do expect a lot of points in this series and tonight I'm taking game one OVER the Total. 

Jim's Play: OVER the Total 

The Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California will host the decisive Game 6 between the Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday, May 1, 2025. Jamal Murray scored 43 points with Nikola Jokic recording a triple-double as the Denver Nuggets achieved a commanding 131-115 victory in Game 5 to take a 3-2 series lead.

While Game 5 ended with high scoring totals the next matchup is expected to result in fewer points overall. The Clippers maintain a reputation for defensive discipline which propels them to top rankings in league points allowed per game and they anticipate intensifying their defense to prevent elimination from the series. The Clippers plan to break Murray's game flow and limit Jokic's playmaking abilities which should push Denver into making difficult and less effective shot attempts.

As the Clippers fight to avoid elimination with desperation tactics and the Nuggets work to finish the series with control and poise both teams will focus more intensively on half-court execution and defensive plays. The high stakes and playoff environment of Game 6 will turn this Western Conference showdown into a battle of endurance rather than a game of speed which makes betting 'under' my choice.

TAKE: Nuggets/Clippers UNDER the Total 

The Minnesota Timberwolves are set to face the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday, February 27, 2025 at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. The Lakers currently hold a 35-21 record, placing them fourth in the Western Conference, and are on a three-game winning streak. The Timberwolves, with a 32-27 record, sit seventh in the conference. In their most recent matchup, Minnesota secured a 97-87 victory over Los Angeles on December 13, 2024, leading the season series 2-1. The Timberwolves are dealing with significant injuries: Julius Randle: Out with a right adductor strain, expected to miss at least two weeks. Donte DiVincenzo: Sidelined indefinitely due to a Grade 3 left toe sprain. Anthony Edwards: Listed as questionable with a right calf injury. The Lakers' LeBron James: Managing left ankle soreness, which is expected to persist throughout the season. LeBron James continues to be a pivotal player, recently contributing 26 points, seven rebounds, and 11 assists against the Charlotte Hornets. The Wolves with Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo out, and Anthony Edwards questionable, players like Naz Reid and Jaden McDaniels may need to step up. Despite their injuries, the Wolves are coming off a split with Oklahoma City in which the two teams combined for 259 and 253 points. In fact, the Wolves have scored 110 or more in 11 of their last 13 games. The Lakers have also been high scoring with 16 of their last 18 games having 110 or more points. I expect both teams to put up a lot of points here tonight. Take the OVER.

The UCLA Bruins and USC Trojans are set to face off in a Big Ten matchup on Monday at the Galen Center in Los Angeles. The game is scheduled to tip off at 10:00 PM ET (7:00 PM PT) and will be broadcast on FS1. UCLA enters the game with a 14-6 overall record and a 5-4 mark in Big Ten play, riding a three-game winning streak. The Bruins have been strong defensively, ranking 16th in adjusted defensive efficiency and allowing an average of 64.5 points per game. Notably, they limit opponents to 28.2 two-point attempts per game, the fifth-lowest in the nation. USC stands at 12-7 overall and 4-4 in the conference, having won three of their last four games, including a notable victory over Illinois. UCLA's strong defense is a significant factor. Their ability to limit high-percentage shots and control the pace of the game often results in lower-scoring contests. UCLA also has injury concerns with forward Tyler Bilodeau, averaging 13.9 points and 4.6 rebounds per game, questionable due to an ankle injury sustained in the previous game against Washington. His potential absence could impact the Bruins' offensive output. Eight of the last ten meetings between these teams have stayed under the total, including both matchups last season. Additionally, only one of their last five games had a closing total above 135 points, making the current over/under of 139.5 appear relatively high. Considering their history, I'm sticking with the UNDER here on Monday.

The New York Knicks (15-9) are set to host the Atlanta Hawks (13-12) in the NBA Cup quarterfinals on Wednesday at Madison Square Garden. Currently fourth in the Eastern Conference, the Knicks have won 12 of their last 17 games. They average 117.8 points per game, ranking seventh in the league, and allow 111.0 points per game defensively. Seventh in the Eastern Conference, the Hawks have shown resilience, including a recent six-game winning streak. They average 117.1 points per game (eighth in the NBA) but have defensive challenges, allowing 119.8 points per game. Jalen Brunson (PG) leads the Knicks with a average of 25.4 points and 7.7 assists per game, Brunson is pivotal in orchestrating the Knicks' offense. Karl-Anthony Towns (C) is contributing 25.1 points and 13.2 rebounds per game, Towns is a dominant force in the paint. Atlanta Hawks guard Trae Young leading the league with 12.2 assists per game and averaging 20.9 points, Young is the engine of the Hawks' offense. This quarterfinal matchup is expected to be a high-scoring affair, featuring a compelling point guard duel between Jalen Brunson and Trae Young. Both teams should rack-up the points here on Wednesday. Take the OVER.

Reason: The Chicago Bulls (7-11) are set to face the Washington Wizards (2-13) on Tuesday at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. Both teams have encountered challenges this season, with the Bulls losing four of their last six games and the Wizards enduring an 11-game losing streak. The Bulls have struggled defensively, allowing an NBA-worst 123.9 points per game. Offensively, they rank second in the Eastern Conference with 28.7 assists per game, led by Josh Giddey averaging 6.6 assists. The Wizards are allowing 122.9 points per game, ranking 29th in team defense. They average 12.0 made three-pointers per game, slightly below the 13.4 that the Bulls allow. Historically, the Bulls have a favorable record against the Wizards, leading the all-time series 133-110. In their most recent encounter on April 12, 2024, the Bulls edged out the Wizards 129-127. The Bulls are led Coby White who is averaging 19.1 points and 4.8 assists per game, playing a pivotal role in the Bulls' offense. Washington is led Jordan Poole who leads the Wizards with averages of 21.2 points, 4.9 assists, and 1.9 steals per game. Both of these teams have horrible defenses and we should see a lot of points here on Tuesday. The total is one of the highest we'll see this year at 244. I might be crazy, but I'm going to take this game OVER the total as both teams get into the 120's in this one. Play over.

Game six of this NBA Western Conference 2nd Round series between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks. The Thunder are down 2-3 and in a must win spot here on Saturday. They are coming off a loss at Oklahoma City in game five, 92-104, as a 4.5 point favorite. Four of the five games in this series have gone UNDER as we've seen the total start at 218.5 and slowly drop to today's lowest total of 209.5. The Thunder averaged 118.5 ppg during the regular season and have dropped to 104.6 ppg in the playoffs. They have also seen their defense go from allowing 111.2 ppg to just 97.4 ppg. Dallas averaged 116.4 ppg during the regular season and 105.5 ppg in the playoffs. They have allowed 114 ppg in the regular season to 102 ppg in the playoffs. This has been a low scoring series and I don't see much to change that outcome here on Saturday. Expect to see defense continue to shine here in game six on Saturday. Play the UNDER.

Game two of the NCAA Final Four has Alabama taking on powerhouse Connecticut. The Alabama Crimson Tide lost in their conference tourney to Florida, 88-102, but have gained momentum in the NCAA tourney with wins over Charleston (109-96), Grand Canyon (72-61), North Carolina (89-87) and last game over Clemson, 89-82. They have gone over in three of their four NCAA tourney games. In addition they have gone over in six of their last seven games and 13 of their last 15 overall games. This team can score in bunches, evidenced by their 90.6 ppg average this year. They are also 7-1 O/U in their eight tourney games this year. The U Conn Huskies are the odds on favorite to win it all and their play has proved they deserve their title. They have run rough shot over the competition. They not only won their conference tourney over Marquette, 73-57, but have won all four tourney games over Stetson (91-52), Northwestern (75-58), San Diego State (82-52) and last game over Illinois, 77-52. In their game vs Illinois they opened the game up in the first half with a 30-0 run! Now they face the best offensive team they have faced in this tourney. No doubt the Huskies will score and score a lot vs a porous Alabama defense. The question is can they keep the Crimson Tide from scoring like they have. I look for this to be an offensive explosion here tonight. I'm taking the OVER.

The Jacksonville Dolphins travel to Purdue in this extra board game for Thursday The Dolphins are 8-4 S/U and 5-5 ATS on the season. They are also 8-2 O/U and average 76.8 ppg while giving up 73.4 ppg. The team is 2-4 S/U and ATS on the road with a 5-1 O/U mark. They average 67.3 ppg but give up 85 ppg away from home. The Dolphins coming off a home win over LA-Monroe, 75-65, covering the 6-point line and going over the 137.5 total. The Purdue Boilermakers off to a great start at 10-1 S/U and 8-2-1 ATS. They are also a very good over team with a 8-3 O/U mark. They average 86.2 ppg and allow 70.5 ppg. They do better at home, averaging 90.8 ppg while allowing 61.6 ppg. Both teams have been great over plays all season. I don't see that changing tonight as Purdue piles up the points at home. Play the OVER.

Oklahoma City Thunder having a good season thus far at 15-7 S/U and 15-6-1 ATS on the season. They are also 12-9-1 Over/Under. The Thunder have won two straight games, scoring 138 and 134 points in those games. They have gone over in four of their last five games. The Thunder average 120.4 ppg and allow 112.8 ppg on the season. Sacramento is 13-9 S/U and 12-10 ATS on the season. The Kings are coming off a loss at the Clippers, 99-119, as 3.5-point dogs. They have gone over in six of their last eight games. The Kings average 116.3 ppg and allow 116.9 ppg. That goes up at home to 121.6 ppg and allow 120.1 ppg. I like the over here tonight.

The Denver Nuggets on the verge of winning their first ever NBA Championship here tonight on their home court. After the teams split the first two games in Denver, the Nuggets took the next two in Miami, 109-94 and 108-95. Some good news for the Heat is that guard Tyler Herro will play tonight as he's nursing a hand injury. Denver is the best team offensively in the playoffs and that has showed. But I do believe the coach and management of the Heat are too good to let this team just give up. That's why I'm looking at the over here tonight. Only one game of the four has gone over and that was the Heat win in game two in Denver, 111-108. The Heat shot great from the 3-point line, 48.6% and that's what I believe they have to do again here tonight. They can't go toe-to-toe with this Denver team. They have to outscore them as they did in game two hitting nearly 50% from the 3-point line. They need to do that here again. If they can get near that 50% from 3-point, this game goes over. It's all up to the Heat in this one since I believe Denver will get their points as they have done all series long. Take the OVER tonight in game 5.

I had the over in game 2, but today I'm taking a look at the UNDER. I fully expected the Heat to come out big in game 2 after that lackluster performance in game 1. They did just that, using a huge fourth quarter to not only cover the 8.5-point dog line, but win straight up. They also just made it over the total. Both teams shot very well in game 2, Miami hitting 48.7% from the field and a blistering 48.6% from 3-point. The Nuggets were 52% from the field and 39.3% from 3-points. Despite all that great shooting, they just got the over. Game one went under, not even getting close to the 219 total. Game 2 going over by just three points. Tonight, I expect these teams to slow back down and even if they don't I don't believe they can make the over. Miami has gone under in five of their last six playoff games. Denver is 3-5 O/U in their last eight playoff games. Take the UNDER in game three tonight.

It's game six of the NBA Western Semifinals as the Warriors take on the Lakers from LA. The Warriors face elimination again here today. They faced elimination in game five and beat the Lakers at home, 121-106. Now they have to win game six in LA to return home for a game seven. Problem is that they have lost both games in LA by 97-127 and 101-104 scores. Two of the last three games have also gone UNDER. These teams have also gone under in their last four meetings in LA. Lakers forward Anthony Davis has been upgraded to probable for this game with a head injury. I like this game to go under tonight. They seem to play tighter in LA and I look for that again here tonight. Play the UNDER.

The Atlanta Hawks look to get above the .500 mark as they continue their Western road trip at Portland tonight. The Hawks have dropped to 25-25 with their recent 1-3 slide. They are coming off a loss at home to the Clippers, 113-120, as a 1-point favorite. The Hawks are just 10-24 ATS their last 34 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Portland is 23-26 on the season and is coming off a loss at home to Toronto, 105-123, after wins over Utah and San Antonio. This team can score too, getting 134 vs the Jazz and 147 vs the Spurs. They eclipse 130 quite frequently. The Blazers are 14-9-1 ATS at home and average 119.4 ppg. Five of the last six meetings in this series have gone OVER. The Hawks have also gone over in six of their last seven games. With the points the Blazers can score, this one could be a high scoring affair. Take the OVER.

The Boston Celtics went into Game 5 saying that they weren't going to let Steph Curry beat them like he had in previous games. They did just that, keeping Curry under check and keeping Curry from hitting a 3-point shot for the first time in is playoff career. However, Wiggins went off on the Celtics and so did Thompson as other stepped in to lead Golden State to the win and cover in game 5. Tonight, the venue moves back to Boston as the Warriors can win the NBA Championship on the road here tonight. I have hit my last four NBA playoff selections including my last two NBA Totals. Tonight, I see another physical, low scoring game. I won't get involved with the line here tonight. Rather I'll be on the UNDER.

The Boston Celtics jumped out to a big lead in game three of the NBA Finals, only to have Golden State rally in the third and take a lead entering the fourth quarter. However, like game one, the Warriors collapsed in the fourth quarter and Boston won going away to also cover the spread, 116-100. Thus far none of the three games have been close, with Boston winning game one by 12, Golden State game two by 19 and the Celtics game three by 16. Today, I'm looking at the under. Just one of the first three games have gone under and that was game two in Golden State, 88-107. First, Stephen Curry hurt his foot in game two and while he's probable today, have to wonder if that will effect his performance here today. 2nd, I'm looking for a much more physical game here in game four. That will mean fewer scoring opportunities. So far it's been over, under and then over. If the bounce comes right, we are looking at another under here in game four. Play the UNDER.

Game three of the NBA Finals moves to Boston for tonight's contest. The Warriors returned their game one blowout loss with their own blowout in game two to even the series at 1-1. The Celtics were close in game two but came out the break and shot very badly in the third quarter which led to their demise. The Celtics also missed a lot of wide open shots in game two, something they need to fix tonight if they want to win. Tonight, I'm looking at the UNDER. The Warriors have gone under in 11 of their last 13 vs a team with a winning straight up record. They are also 1-4 O/U in their last five games when the dog. The UNDER has also been quite dominant in this series, with seven of the last 10 meetings in Boston going under and 20 of the last 28 overall meetings going under. I'll take the under here today in game three.

Game one of the NBA Western Conference Championships here tonight as the Dallas Mavericks take on the Warrior in Golden State. The Mavs pulled the big upset thus far, beating the regular season best team in the NBA the Phoenix Suns. And they did so by taking games seven in Phoenix in a blowout win, 123-90. Three of the seven games went over the total and three of the four on the road went over for the Mavs. The Mavs have now gone over in eight of their last 11 road games. Golden State beat the Memphis Grizzlies 4-2 in their series. They split the over/unders with three over and three under. The Warriors have been a very good over team when they have rest, evidenced by their 15-5-1 O/U/P record their last 21 with 3 days or more of rest. This has also been a over series with 12 of the last 16 games going over. I'm taking game on OVER here tonight.

It's Game 7 of this Eastern Conference Clash between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics. The Bucks extended the series with a game 6 win, 108-95 to force this game seven back in Boston. Four of the six games in the series have gone UNDER the total. Milwaukee has had some very poor shooting games in this series, hitting just 41.5% or worse in four of the six games. Their three-point shots have also been bad with half their games having a 26.5% or worse mark. Two of the three games in Boston have gone under and for me, I'm sticking with a lower scoring game here today. Play UNDER.

Game five of this best of seven series between the Chicago Bulls and the Milwaukee Bucks is an elimination game should the Bulls lose. The Bulls are down 1-3 in this series and facing the end of their season tonight. So far all four games have gone under in this series as the Bulls have had trouble scoring points. The Bulls have 95 or fewer points in three of the four games. I'm not getting involved in this big line today, rather I'll stick with the UNDER as the Bulls exit the playoffs.

The Toronto Raptors staved off elimination in game four with a win over the Sixers, 110-102. That was the clubs first win and cover in the four games thus far. In addition, three of the games have gone UNDER the total. The Raptors will be without a key offensive player tonight in Fred VanVleet, who is out with a hip injury. The 76ers were also dealt a blow when Joel Embiid tore a ligament in his right thumb. That injury will require surgery after the season is over. He has vowed to play through the injury. However, with both teams having key offensive players hurt, I have to wonder how this game makes it over tonight. I'll take this game UNDER.

 Game three of this series looked like a dead under until about 1 minute left when the teams went wild hitting threes and making foul shots to send it over. That makes two straight in the series that have gone over. However, The Suns have been a decent under team, having gone under in six straight and eight of the last nine before these last two games. The Suns have taken a 2-1 lead in this series and regained home court after taking game three at New Orleans, 114-111 as a 2-point favorite. This should be another close game and I will take the UNDER one more time.

 Neither of these teams will be going to the playoffs this year. Does this mean that the Lakers will shut down their stars? Russell Westbrook, Lebron James and Anthony Davis are all questionable tonight. I'll be looking at the total here tonight. The Thunder are 16-6-1 O/U in their last 23 games as a dogl. They are also 16-7-1 O/U their last 24 overall games. The Lakers are 8-3 O/U their last 11 games. While we may or may not see the stars play tonight, I like these two teams to put up plenty of points and take this game OVER. They have gone over in seven of their last 10 meetings and that is what I expect tonight.

It took Kansas an entire half, but they finally woke up in the 2nd half against Miami in their Elite 8 matchup. Kansas trailed the Canes at half, 29-35, but came out like gangbusters in the second half. They outscored Miami 47-15 in the 2nd half to win the game, 76-50, as a 5-point closing favorite. There was a lot of money on Miami, as they opened a 9-point dog and close at around 5-points. Now Kansas will get to face Villanova. Villanova didn't have a lot of issues with Houston as they led at the half, 27-20 and held on for the 50-44 win over the Cougars as a 3-point dog. Again the money on Houston as the opened 1.5-points and close at 3-points. Villanova did suffer one loss in the game, that of guard Justin Moore who tore a Achilles tendon in the final minutes of the game. Moore will not play again this year with surgery looming. Moore, a third year starter, was second team All Big East this year. Moore averaged 14.8 ppg and his leadership will be greatly missed. For me, losing Moore is the difference maker in the tone of this game. Both these teams are very good defensively with Kansas ranked 17th and Villanova 18th in the Kenpom adjusted defensive rankings. Now without Moore that will hurt this Nova offense. I'm am taking the UNDER here in this Final four matchup.

The Best of the East meets the Best of the West today as Philly travels to Phoenix. It's a four way dog fight for the best record in the NBA East, with Philadelphia 76ers percentage points in first. The Sixers have won three straight to improve to 46-27 overall and 35-37-1 vs the spread. They have also gone over in three straight games, scoring 122, 126 and 113 points in those games. The Phoenix Suns have the NBA West best record all theirs with a 8 1/2 game lead over 2nd place Memphis. They also have the NBA's best record by far over the East. The Suns have been a scoring machine of late, posting 125 or more points in each of their last seven games. They have also gone over in seven of their last eight games. The Suns are 13-3 O/U in their last 16 home games vs a winning team. This has been a great over series, with the last six meetings in Phoenix going OVER and 18-7-1 the last 26 overall meetings going OVER. I'm taking OVER here today with these two powerhouse teams.

Game one of the NBA Finals has the Milwaukee Bucks facing off against the Phoenix Suns. The main news for Bucks fans is the health of start player, Giannis Antetokounmpo, who hasn't played since game 4 of the Atlanta Hawks series. Currently, Antetokounmpo, is listed as "doubtful" in the injury report with his knee issues. Even without Antetokounmpo, the Bucks won the final two games of their series with the Hawks. The Suns look to be healthy as guard Chris Paul is probable with a hand injury. Milwaukee makes its first NBA finals appearance since 1974 and the Suns since 1993. I'll be looking at the over here tonight. Even though the Suns are considered a very good defensive team, they are 14-6 O/U in their last 20 games as a favorite. The Bucks are 16-5-1 O/U/P their last 22 games against a team with a winning straight-up record. The last four meetings between these clubs have seen all four go over. And, the last five in Phoenix has seen four of the five go over. Tonight, take the OVER.

Game four of the Eastern Conference Championship tonight has the Atlanta Hawks with their backs against the wall after dropping the last two games. The Hawks took game one and then lost games two and three. They can even things tonight but may have to do so without their star player in Trae Young. Young has an ankle injury and is questionable for tonight's contest. The loss of Young could mean 25.3 points per game they have to make up for. The Bucks finally seem to be playing up to their potential the last few games. The Hawks have just 102 and 91 points in their last two games. Milwaukee is 1-5-1 O/U/P in their last seven games as a favorite. The Hawks are 1-6 O/U in their last seven overall. Can't see the Hawks getting many points here tonight if Young doesn't play. I'll take the UNDER.

Game five here tonight from Phoenix as the Suns can wrap things up with a win as they lead 3-1. Kwahi Leonard will miss again tonight for the Clippers wit his knee injury. The last game was a very poor offensive showing by both teams as the final came in at 84-80 Phoenix. I already see oddsmaker and bettors pushing this total down to now around 212. Considering they have already had 220 totals, this is a big drop. For me, I'm looking for a return to normalcy tonight as both teams get back to some scoring. I'm going against the bettors and the oddsmaker here and taking the OVER.

The Atlanta Hawks put a shock into Vegas Sports books with their win over No 1 Philly in their last series. Both teams won in seven games to advance to these Eastern Conference finals. The Bucks needed a thrilling OT win over the Nets to advance here tonight. The Atlanta Hawks have now defeated the top two defenses in the NBA. The Hawks are 35-15 S/U and 31-18-1 ATS since Nate McMillian took over as coach of Atlanta. The Bucks used a very good defense to shutdown one of the best offensive teams in the NBA in the Nets. Atlanta allowed just 101.5 ppg over their last four games and going well under the posted total. They should have little trouble holding this Milwaukee team down too. Take the UNDER.

The Memphis Grizzlies need a pair of Play-in wins in the playoffs to get to this series with the Utah Jazz. And, the Grizzlies shocked the Jazz in game one in Utah, 112-109. Dillon Brooks let the Grizzlies with 31-points. The Grizzlies have gone over in their last five playoff games when the dog. They are also 7-3 O/U in their last 10 overall games when the dog. The Jazz have gone over their last four games at home as a favorite and five of their last seven. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these teams and 6-0 O/U in the last six meetings in Utah. Expect a much better effort tonight from the Jazz. Take the OVER.

Play-in game here today as one of these teams will see their season end tonight. The Charlotte Hornets will be without forward Gordon Hayward, who is out with a foot injury. Hayward averaged 19.6 points over 44 games. The Pacers are also having injury issues. Forward Domantas Sabonis (quad) and guard Malcom Brogdon (hamstring) are both questionable for tonight. The Hornets have been a good under team of late. They are 3-9 O/U in their last 12 road games a an underdog. They are also 5-12 in their last 17 overall away games and 11-26 O/U in their last 27 games. These teams have also had a long history of under plays, evidenced by their 5-21 O/U mark in the last 26 meetings in Indiana. More short term, they are 0-3-1 O/U in their last four overall. I like the under here in this game. Play UNDER.

A few games left in the NBA regular season and the Washington Wizards are the only team in the Eastern Conference sitting in a playoff spot that hasn't clinched. The Wizards sit 10th and in that final play-in position. They lead 11th place Chicago by 3 games and can close it out tonight. The Atlanta Haws are 4th in the East and are tied with Miami and New York for the 4 thru 6 positions. The Hawks have gone over in three straight and that includes their Monday game at home against the Wizards in which they combined for 249 points. The Wizards have now gone over in six straight games and have scored at least 122 in their last seven games. The problem is they allow a lot of points too, at least 125 in each of their last six games. This looks to be another shootout here tonight. Play OVER.

Battle for LA here tonight as the Clippers and Lakers play at the Staples center. No home court for either team as Staples Center is home to both. However, the Lakers are just holding onto that 6th and final playoff spot. They are 1/2 game ahead of Portland who is in that 7-10 place Play-in positions. The Lakers did win their last game, but have lost seven of their last 10 overall. The Clippers are in 4th place and have that secure. They can't fall any further but they can improve as they are tied with Denver and just three games back of Phoenix for 2nd place. Lakers have had injury issues all season and here again tonight they are dealing with key injuries. Lebron James is out tonight with an ankle injury and Anthony Davis is now probable with a calf injury. Lakers know they can't get into a run and gun shootout with the Clippers. I look for this game to slow down the pace tonight. Play UNDER.

Games difficult to get a handle on these last games of the regular season as many players sitting for rest as the playoffs near. But Jim has this under tonight that he likes a lot between the Spurs and the Jazz. The Jazz are tied for first in the Western Conference with the Phoenix Suns. The Spurs hold the last spot in the play-in list of 7 thru 10 spots. They have a 2 1/2 game lead over New Orleans but are just one game back of 8th place Memphis. The Spurs could be without Dejounte Murray tonight who is questionable with a ankle injury and Derrick White is out with an ankle. The Jazz are still playing without Donovan Mitchell who has an ankle injury. I'm looking for this game to go under tonight as both sides nursing injuries. Play UNDER.

The New York Knicks hold onto that 4th playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. The Knicks have been hot too, winning nine of their last 10 games. Houston, well their season is almost over. The Rockets are dead last in the West and already eliminated from the postseason. The Knicks have been a very good over team too. They are 3-1 O/U in their last four and 7-2 O/U in their last nine games. Houston gives up a lot points, 115.3 overall on the season and 114.2 points at home. I'm going to play this game over this evening.

Houston has just 14 wins on the season and 42 losses so no postseason for the Rockets. They have also lost five straight and 10 of their last 11 games. The Orlando Magic will also miss the playoffs this season with a 18-38 record. The Magic have won just one of their last eight games. The Magic have gone under in seven of their last nine games when the favorite. They are also 2-5 O/U in their last seven as a home favorite. Two bad teams here tonight I'll stick with the UNDER as teams like this begin to play more bench players and shut down for the season. Play UNDER.

The Orlando Magic snapped a six-game losing streak last time out on Wednesday at Chicago, 115-106. It was also just their 2nd cover in their last five games. The Toronto Raptors also snapped a 2-game losing streak on Wednesday at home over the Spurs. 117-112. They are just 2-4 S/U and ATS in their last six games. Toronto has now gone under in their last four games as a favorite. They are also 8-18 their last 26 as a home favorite. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight.

The Boston Celtics have won three and five of their last six as they head to Portland tonight to play the Blazers. The Celtics are coming off a win at Denver on Sunday, 105-87 as a 3-point dog. The Celtics are 8-3 O/U in their last 11 games as a road dog and 5-2 O/U in their last seven road games overall. The Blazers are coming off a home loss to the Miami Heat, 98-017. They have now lost three of their last four games. The Blazers home games have averaged 233.7 ppg this season. The Celtics road games have averaged 223.6 ppg this season. I'm looking for these teams to score a lot of points here tonight. Play OVER.

Chicago Bulls look to snap a two-game losing streak here tonight at Memphis. The Bulls have gone over in their last three games, allowing at least 113 point in each of those contests. Memphis also bring a two-game losing streak into the game. They have gone over in their last four games, scoring 124 points or more in each contest. The Bulls are 10-4 O/U in their last 14 games as a road dog and they are 11-5 O/U in their last 16 overall. The Grizzlies have gone over in six of their last seven games as a favorite. These teams are 4-1-2 O/U/P in their last seven meetings in Memphis. I'm taking the OVER here tonight.

The Pacers look to extend their win streak to three games here tonight in Memphis. The Pacers are coming off a win at Orlando, 111-106. The Pacers are 10-2 O/U in their last 12 games as a road dog. They are also 12-4 O/U in their last 16 road games overall. The Grizzlies saw their four game win streak snapped last game with a 129-133 road loss to the Knicks. They have gone over in three straight games and eight of their last 12 games. The Grizzlies are now 20-7 O/U in their last 27 games as a home favorite. The last four meetings in this series have gone over and that's what I'm looking for here tonight. Play OVER.

 Both these teams advanced to the NCAA Championship game on different paths. The Baylor Bears had little trouble with their intra-state rivals, Houston, winning in a never close game, 78-59. Gonzaga took a much more exciting route, beating UCLA in OT 93-90. This game was close the entire way and it looked like we were headed to Double OT as UCLA made a basket with just over three seconds left. However, a nearly half court 3-points banked in and the Zags advanced to the title game here today. Baylor has more offensive weapons then UCLA and likes an up-tempo pace, as does Gonzaga. I expect this pace tonight to be fast and with that I'm taking the OVER.

Lakers finally got a needed win last time out over Sacramento, 115-94. Since James and Davis have been out they have not been scoring well at all, in fact that game went under too, their fourth in a row. The Clippers look to snap a two-game losing streak here today. They have not been scoring either, with just 94 and 96 points in their last two games. This looks to be another low scoring affair. Play UNDER.    

 Denver Nuggets fell to 26-18 after losing to Toronto on Wednesday, 111-135. The Nuggets are 3-3 S/U and ATS in their last six games. They are also 4-2 O/U in those six games. The Nuggets have now gone over in 21 of their last 29 road games as a favorite. The New Orleans Pelicans are 19-24 after winning two straight games, including a game at Denver last Sunday, 113-108. The Pelicans have gone over in eight of their last nine home games as a dog. They are also 30-8 O/U overall their last 38 games. These teams have gone over in five of their last seven meetings in New Orleans. That's what I'm on here tonight. Play OVER.

ACC Conference First Round action finds Boston College taking on Duke from Greensboro, NC. Both teams have struggled this year, BC more though. The Eagles are just 4-15 S/U and 8-10 ATS on the year. However, I'm looking at the total here tonight where BC has gone over in 13 of their 19 games. The Eagles have gone over in three straight games and six of their last eight games. In their one game vs Duke this year they lost 82-83, going over the 150 point total. Duke is 11-11 S/U and 7-15 ATS on the season. The Blue Devils are 14-8 O/U. They have gone over in six straight games and nine of their last 10 games. Both teams give up a lot of points and that's what I'm sticking with here tonight. The OVER.

Jacksonville State is 14-7 S/U and 10-6-3 ATS on the season. The Gamecocks have won four straight games both S/U and ATS. They have also been a very good over team with two straight overs and eight of the last nine games going over. Belmont having a great season with a 22-1 S/U and 15-6-1 ATS records. The Bruins have also gone over in three of their last four games and eight of their last 11 games. This should be a good game with lots of points. I won't make a play on the side, but I'll be on the OVER.

The Milwuakee Bucks are 11-6 S/U and 8-9 ATS on the season.  They have won two straight games including their last at Toronto, 115-108 as a 6-point favorite. The Bucks have really trended toward if their star players are in the game or not. With the shortened schedules this year we will see more resting. That's not the case tonight as all the players will be available. The New Orleans Pelicans are 6-10 S/U and ATS ont he season. They are 10-6 Over/Under on the year. This has been a very good over team, evidenced by their 5-0 O/U record their last five at home; 10-1 over/under in their last 11 overall. The over has also been good in this series with seven of the last eight meetings going over and four of the last five in New Orleans going over. That's my play today, Play OVER.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 8-8 S/U and ATS to start their season. They played last night at Boston and were never in the game, losing 103-141 to the Celtics. Now they have to play their second game in a row against the LA Lakers. The Lakers are 13-4 S/U and 11-10-1 ATS on their season. The Lakers have been a very good under team this year, evidenced by their 7-15 O/U mark. They are even more of an under team on the road where they are 1-8 O/U on the season. Cleveland will likely be tired after Boston ran up 141 points on them last night. That coupled with the excellent under record of the Lakers and I'll look for a lower scoring game here tonight. Play UNDER.

The Houston Rockets are just 4-9 S/U and ATS here on the season. The Rockets have lost three straight games and five of their last six overall. They have also covered just once in their last five games. They have also gone under in four of the last five. The Detroit Pistons are 3-11 S/U and 7-6-1 ATS on the season. The Pistons are also 2-5 S/U and 4-3 ATS at home along with going under in five of their seven home games. I'm looking at the under here tonight. The Rockets are 5-15-1 O/U/P in their last 21 overall. This series has gone under in five of the last seven meetings. I look for this game to go UNDER.

Kansas Jayhawks are 8-2 S/U and 4-5 ATS on the season. The Jayhawks are also 4-5 O/U on the season. They have played very good defense, allowing over 39% shooting from the field just four of their nine games. They did go over their last game at Texas, but scored just 58 points. It was the 84 points by Texas that put that one over. Still, they have held five of their seven opponents to 65 or fewer points. TCU is 9-2 S/U 4-61 ATS on the season. The Horned Frogs are 6-5 O/U on the season. They have gone under in their last two games, a 67-60 win at Kansas State and a 66-61 win at home over Prairie View. I'm going to go with the UNDER here today. I like Kansas to keep this more a defensive battle and slow the pace. Play UNDER.

The Celtics were desperate for a win in game three and they got it, beating the Heat 117-106. The Heat had taken games one and two of this series and now the Celtics look to even it at two apiece here tonight. The Miami Heat have used a baffling zone defense that had confused the Celtics through two games. However, the Celtics finally figured it out in game three as they got the win. The Celtics would have been a good under team if they could have stayed out of all the OT's they have played. I'm going to stick with what I have liked in the playoffs and that's the UNDER here tonight.

The Denver Nuggets sure don't like making things easy on themselves. They had to come from 1-3 down to the Jazz and the Clippers to win both series in seven games. Now they are down 0-2 to the Lakers and in real danger of going down 0-3 after this game. The Nuggets lost the opener 114-126 and then made a much better showing in game two, but still game up short, 103-105. For the Lakers, you would have to go back to 1969 to find the last time they lost a best of seven series in which they led 2-0. The improvement the Nuggets can build on is their defense, which did a much better job in game two holding the Lakers to just 105 points. The Nuggets defense also forced 24 turnovers after getting just 12 in game one. The Nuggets know this is the game they have to win and that means defense has to lead the way. I look for a similar game to the last one and for me, that's the under. Play UNDER.

Game two here in the NBA Western finals as the Lakers hold a 1-0 lead over the Nuggets. The Lakers dominated game one after the first quarter, cruising to a 126-114 win. Most of the 2nd half the Lakers held near 20 point leads. I wasn't surprised, the Nuggets came out flat in game one of their series with the Clippers after their come from behind win in the previous series vs the Jazz. Now the Nuggets have had their game to get back on track and tonight I look for a high scoring game. I'm taking the OVER.

Game 7 here between the OKC Thunder and the Houston Rockets. The Thunder staved off elimination in game six by taking the Rockets out of their run-and-gun normal game plan. The Thunder slowed the game way down and it resulted in a win, 104-100. Now, can they do it again here in game seven? That's the question. Turnovers also were a big part of the Rockets losses. They turned the ball over on average 17.3 times per game in their three losses. I think these teams will once again be playing a low scoring game. I'm taking the UNDER.

The Utah Jazz look to close out their series with the Denver Nuggets tonight. The Jazz lost game one to Denver and have since won three straight. Utah has had little trouble scoring against Denver with 125, 124, 124 and 129 points in their four games. Denver finally broke a two-game scoring drought with 127 points in game four, but still came up short. I don't see any reason to change in tonight's contest. I'm going to take the OVER here in game four.

The Lakers flexed their muscles in game two of their series with the Blazers. After losing game one in bad fashion they rebounded with a resounding shutdown of the high scoring Portland offense, winning game two easily. The Lakers look to continue that here in game three. The Blazers realize that they need to play more of an uptempo game against the Lakers. The Blazers are led by Damian Lillard, who has been unstopable up until game two of this series. Problem for Blazers is that he hurt his index finger in game two, dislocating the finger. He will be playing today in game three, but how will this effect his play? Lilliard had only 18-points before leaving in the 3rd quarter with his injury. For me, even with a healthy Lilliard the Lakers have found out how to shut down this offense of the Blazers. Number a bit high for me here today, so I will go with the UNDER.

The Portland Trailblazers and LA Lakers play game two of their best of seven series. The Blazers have been basically in the playoffs since they returned, as every game was crucial to them making the postseason. They did so by beating the Grizzlies in a play-in game last Saturday, 126-122. The Blazers shocked the Lakers in game one, taking the opening stanza of this series. Damian Lillard has been unstoppable, as he collected 34 points in the game one victory. The Lakers could see the return of Rajon Rondo, who has been cleared to play and is day-to-day. Still, the Blazers will continue to pile on the points as they have done since returning to play. The Lakers will have to match the here on Thursday. Take the OVER.

Horizon league conference tourney action here today has Wisconsin Green Bay taking on Northern Kentucky in Indianapolis, IN. Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix are 16-15 S/U and 15-14 ATS on the season. They have won three straight game and have gone under in their last two. That's what I am looking at today, the total in this matchup. While Green bay has been an over team most of the year, the long season and now the grind of daily tourney play seems to be making them more a defensive team. They held Cleveland State to 67 points and Oakland to 63 points in their last two games. The oddsmaker has a 150 total on today's contest, which is high for a college contest. The Northern Kentucky Norse are 21-9 S/U and 16-12 ATS. They have been more of an under team this year, posting an overall 12-16 O/U record. The Norse have gone under in their last two games and held their last three opponents to 59, 59 and 64 points respectively. The two times these teams have met this year have both gone under. Back on Dec 30th they totaled 132 points and then on Jan 31st they only got to 133 points. Well below the 154 and 155 totals posted. Today we see a small reduction in the total to 150, but I still like it under. Play UNDER.

I have really loved playing the Summit League games OVER this year. This has been overall a great league to look for over plays. Tonight we have Denver playing at Indiana-Fort Worth. IPFW Mastadons have kind of bucked the trend in the conference, with six of their last seven going UNDER. They have also seen 4 of their last 9 road games go OVER the spread. The real reason I like this game over is the visitor, the Denver Pioneers. Denver has seen 11 of their last 13 games go OVER the total. They allow a lot of points, 85 or more in their last three games. They have allowed 90 points or more in three of their last six games. Denver is not a good team with just 6-wins on the year, but they can score and they do allow a lot of points. At home I look for Purdue Fort Worth to get their share of good points tonight against this poor Denver team. I'll take the OVER.

The New Orleans Pelicans need to pick up the pace if they hope to make the playoffs. The Pelicans are 11th in the West, five-games back of 8th place Memphis. Same goes for the Blazers who are in 9th place, 3 1/2 games back of the Grizzlies. Tonight though, I'm looking at the OVER in this contest. The Pelicans are the third highest scoring team in the West at 115.8 ppg. Bad news is that they are the worst defensive scoring team with 117.3 ppg. The Pelicans have gone over in four straight games and six of their last eight. They are 16-11 O/U on the road this year. The Portland Trailblazers have gone over in six of their last eight games and 11 of their last 14. They average 117 points per game at home and allow 115 ppg at home. This one should be very high scoring tonight. I'm taking the OVER.

American Athletic conference action tonight has Memphis playing at Cincinnati. Memphis is 17-6 S/U and 12-9 ATS on the season. They are also 6-4 S/U and 4-5-1 ATS in conference play. They are also 1-3 O/U on the road in conference play. Cincinnati is 15-8 S/U and 10-13 ATS on the season. The Bearcats are 8-3 S/U and 7-4 ATS in conference play. They are 1-4 O/U in their four home conference games. That's what I'm looking at here tonight, the UNDER. Memphis also has some injuries with Forward Precious Achiuwa questionable with a back injury and Center James Wiseman out for the season. Cincinnati might be without guard Jarron Cumberland tonight who is questionable. Cumberland averages 15.1 ppg this season. With the injuries and the O/U records of these clubs, I'll take UNDER.

The Toronto Raptors have ridden a nine-game winning streak to 2nd place in the Eastern conference. The Raptors are still 7 1/2 games back of conference leading Milwaukee. The Raptors are 17-7 on the road and scoring an average of 109.6 ppg away from home. The Detroit Pistons are 10th right now in the East, 5-games back of the Nets for that 8th place spot. The Pistons have lost four straight and seven of their last 10 games. The Pistons have also seen five straight games go over and eight of their last nine go over. At home the Pistons are averaging 111.4 ppg and allowing 112.2 ppg. I expect a lot of points in this game tonight. I'm playing the OVER.

 ACC action here this evening has two old rivals meeting as North Carolina takes on neighboring NC State. The North Carolina Tar Heels are not having a good season with just 9-10 S/U and 5-14 ATS season. The Heels started the season in fine fashion, winning their first five games. Since then, NCU is 4-10. They are coming off a nice win at home over Miami-Florida, 94-71. The Tar Heels have been a decent over team, with a 5-1-1 O/U/P record in their last seven games. NC State having a good year with a 14-6 S/U and 9-10 ATS record. The Wolfpack are off a loss at Georgia Tech, 58-64. The Pack are 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS in conference play. This will be a contrast of styles, the fast play of the Tar Heels vs the slower style of NC State. I made this total in the 150's and the oddsmaker made it around 146 to 147. I like the over here as I expect North Carolina to dictate the pace. Play the OVER.

Both these teams have been scoring machines this early NBA season. The Clippers won the Kawhi Leonard sweepstakes in the offseason and it's paid dividends thus far as the Clippers beat their instate rivals in the Lakers in the opener, 112-102 and then beat Golden State on the road, 141-122. They did lose their third game at Phoenix, 122-130. They have gone over in the last two games. Charlotte opened the season with a win over Chicago, 126-125. Then lost at home to Minnesota 99-121 and then lost at the Lakers, 101-121. All three of their opponents scoring 120 points or more. I like this one over tonight. I expect the Clippers to score over 120 and that means we don't need much over 100 out of Charlotte. Take the OVER.

I'll be looking at the under here in game three between the Bucks and Raptors. This is really the tale of two different teams. The Bucks have been scoring a lot of points and the Raptors have been keeping games lower scoring with UNDERS. With the Bucks up 2-0, I look for Toronto to try and control the tempo of this game. The Raptors pretty much know they don't want to get into a scoring exchange with the Bucks. They have been a good under team, with 4-11 O/U their last 15 games. They have also gone under in five of their last seven home games. I expect the best effort of this series from Toronto and that means a more deliberate contest and that means lower scoring. Play the UNDER here in game three.

Golden State took game one of this series in what was a very low scoring game, 104-100. Despite the low score, the Warriors still hit 51% of their shots from the field. Houston hit 42% of their shots from the field. The Rockets are now 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games and 5-0 ATS in their last five vs the NBA Pacific division. The Rockets have also been a great under team. Houston is 0-4 O/U in their last four road games, 6-20-2 O/U in their last 28 games with 1 day rest and 6-19-1 O/U in their last 26 overall games. The Warriors have had their issues covering games, evidenced by their 10-23-1 ATS mark in their last 34 home games. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five conference semifinal games. Surprisingly, the Warriors have also been a good under team. They are 0-4 O/U in their last four conference semifinals and 5-16 O/U in their last 21 games playing on one day rest. They are also have gone under in 11 of their last 15 home games. I expect another close, low scoring contest here tonight. Play the UNDER.

 Game one results will surely bring on some adjustments. This is especially true for the Rockets. What were they thinking in game one? Did they really think they could run with the Warriors and prevail? Most hoop experts believed they would be wise enough to try and slow the Warriors by running time off the clock on both offense and defense. Game two will be different, od they will be going on the road down 0-2. Look for the Rockets to slow the pace to limit the fatigue on Harden and Paul. This will hopefully allow them to stay close at the end and possibly salvage game 2 in this series. That being said, i am not looking at a side here but the total. A slower pace and a little more defense will bring the total home for us. Play Under in game #2

After scoring 83 points in game 1, the Cavs will bring higher than usual focus to this game. This is a tough series as the Celtics have won and covered all eight home games in the playoffs. The oddsmakers are giving them no respect because the public refuses to see that. Not all fo their home wins and covers have been easybut they have found a way. LeBron is a story all by himself. In his 15 year career, especially the last 8 years, he has been the story for any team he has been with. He is the man and i dont feel Morris will be able to do what he did in game 1. The reason is, i feel the rest of the Cavs who may not be great, are good enough to do more than they did in Gm 1. 4 for 26 from 3 point land will not happen again. But lets not take anything away from the Celtics defense. They do a great job of guarding the perimeter. teh Cavs will counter by playing some old school, by going to the rim more. The total was adjusted off the game 1 score but should not have been IMO. Play OVER in Game 2

Of course we all know what powerful offenses these teams have but remember that knowledge is in the line already. What most people don't see is that during the regular season, NBA teams coast quite often. We do not get a true read on who they are until the reach the playoffs. Both of these clubs went under 60% of their games in the second round matchups. In the first round the combined record was 50% over and under. I'm going with the more recent trend and adding in a lot of urgency to play some tough defense. These teams both rank in the top ten in defensive rankings. PLay Under Game #1

Cleveland returns home with a 2-2 tie in this best of seven series. So far all four games have gone under the total. That's what I'm looking at again here on Wednesday is the UNDER. We've seen the oddsmaker drop the total from 212.5 in game one to 206 in game four and tonight 205. The closest these teams came was in game four where they got 204 points and just went under the 206. This Cavs team has been so difficult to put your thumb on, one day they play great then they lose by 20. They did this all season, which makes it hard to pick a side here. That's why I'm sticking with the UNDER. We haven't seen the Pacers exploit the Cavs bad defense yet in this series and I don't think we'll see it here in game five. Forget the side in this game, take the UNDER.

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Dallas Mavericks today on NBA TV. The 76ers still have something to play for as they lead the fourth place Cleveland Cavaliers by just a half-game. As for the Dallas Mavericks, well they're out of it for this year. In this game though, I'm looking at the over. Philadelphia has won 13 straight games. But what's probably more impressive is that they have scored at least 115 points in 11 of those 13 games. the 76ers jumped out to a 30-point lead against Cleveland last Friday night, but despite the large lead, they still had to hold on for a two-point win over the Cavaliers. In that contest, the 76ers still scored 132 points. The Dallas Mavericks will try and snap the 76ers 13 game winning streak. Unfortunately for the Mavericks they have won just two games and lost 10 in their last 12 overall. In addition the Mavericks have allowed 113 points their last game at Detroit. I don't really see how the Mavericks will hold down the 76ers scoring machine here today. I'm going to stick with the over in the 76ers and Mavericks contest.

I'll be looking at the over in today's CIT tournament between Illinois Chicago and Northern Colorado. Illinois Chicago has gone over in eight of their last 10 games. Northern Colorado has gone over in two straight and three of the last four. In addition, Northern Colorado has scored at least 80 points in each of their last six games and 77 or more in 11 straight. Illinois Chicago can also score, with 80 or more points in five of their last eight games. This game has all the markings of a track game tonight and I full expect this game to fly over the total.

Tourney Total of the Year : NCAA Midwest Regional from Omaha, NE pits ACC foes Syracuse and Duke against each other. These teams know each other well though they didn't meet in the ACC tournament. Their one meeting this year, in Duke, resulted in a Blue Devil's win, 44-60. They totaled just 104 points in that game. Syracuse has played five tournament games between the ACC and NCAA and four have gone Under. In fact, in those four they totaled 108, 109, 116 and 137. Duke has also been a good UNDER team this year, going under in eight of their last 10 games. In addition, the Blue Devils have gone UNDER in seven of the last eight vs the ACC and nine of their last 13 in NCAA tournament games. Syracuse has gone under in seven of their last nine NCAA tournament games and 0-6 O/U the last six vs a team with a winning percentage above 60 percentage. I like this game to go UNDER on Friday. Take the UNDER!

Atlantic 10 opening action tonight has U Mass takingon La Salle. U Mass has been on a phenomenal over run, posting overs in 11 straight games. The reason is a good offense and bad defense. U Mass has allowed at least 80 points in nine of those 11 overs. La Salle should be looking forward to this opponent, their last meeting resulted in a La Salle win, 87-72 and of course, a OVER. Their first meeting of the season, at U Mass, resulted in another La Salle win, 86-79 and a OVER. Don't see any reason La Salle can't put up those big numbers again here tonight. I'm taking the over and sitting back and enjoying the show. Play OVER.

I'm looking at the UNDER here tonight as a big play. San Francisco has been a better under team on the road this year, evidenced by their 4-5 O/U mark. They are also 17-35 O/U the last 52 games following an ATS win. St Mary's has also been a good under team. The Gaels are 0-6 O/U in their last six home games, 0-4 O/U in their last four overall, 29-62-1 O/U their last 92 after a straight up win. The last seven meetings between these clubs have seen five unders and just two overs. I like the UNDER tonight.

04/17 04:00 PM  NBA   (517) INDIANA PACERS VS (518) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Take: NBA High Roller Wise Guy Total: Indiana/Cleveland Game 2 Over the total.
Reason: Plenty of offensive talent on the floor for both teams, inside and out. Indiana (11-4 run over) has gone 8 straight games over the total on the road. Cleveland is home but a soft defensive teams, 6-1 over the total at home. The Over is 20-6-1 in the Cavaliers last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Play Indiana/Cleveland Game 2 Over the total.      

04/07 08:35 PM EST   NBA   (509) SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS (510) DALLAS MAVERICKS.
Take: NBA Trend Tracker Total of the Year: San Antonio/Dallas Under the total.  
Reason: San Antonio has nothing to play for down the stretch, and looked it the last game, scoring 95 points in a home loss to the Lakers as -13 chalk. They are on a 6-2-1 run under the total, 4-1 under on the road. The Under is also 16-4-1 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Dallas is all about slowing the pace down, #4 in the NBA in points allowed, but last in scoring. Dallas is on a 17-7-1 run under the total, 23-9-1 under playing on one day of rest. And the Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Play San Antonio/Dallas Under the total.      

03/28 10:05 PM EST  NBA   (773) DENVER NUGGETS VS (774) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS.
Take:  NBA Western Conference Total of the Month: Denver/Portland Over the total.
Reason: These teams are in the Top 6 in the NBA in points scored, and in the bottom 6 in points allowed. Denver is 13-6 over the total after a defeat, 10-3-1 over following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Portland likes to run, especially at home, and the Over is 16-7 in the Blazers last 23 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. And when these teams meet the over is 7-1. Play Denver/Portland Over the total.      

05/21 08:35 PM EST   NBA   (709) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS (710) TORONTO RAPTORS (05/20 12:34 PM)
Take: NBA Playoff Total of the Year: Cavaliers/Raptors Over the total.
The Cavs have not shot the ball well from behind the arc against the Toronto Raptors, shooting 35 and 33 percent respectively in games one and two. Yet, they have scored 108 and 115 points in the two games, dominating inside against a Toronto team lacking frontcourt depth. Cleveland is 11-4 over the total in Conference Finals games, as well as 7-3 over the total on the road against a team with a winning home record. Toronto is better offensively than they've shown and coming home for Game 3 will help. Toronto is on a 4-1 run over the total, as well as 24-6 over following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. And the Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings. Play the Cavaliers/Raptors Over the total.      

04/27 10:05 PM  NBA   (577) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS VS (578) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Take: NBA Western Conference 1st Round Total of the Year: Blazers/Clippers Under in Game 5.
A pivotal Game 5, which means both coaches will demand great defense. Portland is on a 6-0 run under the total and faces an outstanding Clippers' defense, one ranked No. 7 during the regular season in points allowed, NO. 2 in field goal shooting defense (.434%). LA is without star guard and playmaker Chris Paul, a huge blow to the offense. The L.A. Clippers are on a 4-0 run under the total, 20-6 under at home. The Under is also 36-17 in the Clippers last 53 games following a straight up loss. And the under is 5-0 when these teams clash. Play the Blazers/Clippers Under the total in Game 5.

4/26 08:35 PM EST   NBA   (567) BOSTON CELTICS VS (568) ATLANTA HAWKS.
Take: NBA Eastern Conf. Playoff Total of the Year: Celtics/Hawks Under the total.
So far each team has held home court as this series is now tied, 2-2. The Celtics have to play without one of their best players in Avery Bradley, who is out indefinitely. These are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA, with Atlanta ranked No. 6 in points allowed, No. 1 in field goal shooting defense (.432%), No. 5 at defending the three-pointer. Atlanta is 13-6 under the total playing on one day of rest, 7-3 under after a defeat and 12-4 under in Conference Quarterfinals games. Boston is No. 7 in field goal shooting defense, No. 4 at defending the three-pointer. The Celtics are 19-6 under the total in Conference Quarterfinals games and 13-3 under after a victory. The Hawks have now gone Under in seven of their last nine. The Celtics have gone Under in 11 of their last 16. Play the UNDER tonight.      

04/24 6:05 PM EST  NBA   (557) ATLANTA HAWKS VS (558) BOSTON CELTICS
Take: NBA High Roller Platinum Total: Hawks/Celtics Under the total.
Atlanta is up 2 games to 1 so this is a pivotal contest, which means both sides will play aggressive defense. These are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA, with Atlanta ranked No. 6 in points allowed, No. 1 in field goal shooting defense (.432%), No. 5 at defending the three-pointer. Atlanta is 13-6 under the total playing on one day of rest, 7-2 under after a defeat and 11-4 under in Conference Quarterfinals games. Boston is No. 7 in field goal shooting defense, No. 4 at defending the three-pointer. The Celtics are 18-6 under the total in Conference Quarterfinals games and 12-3 under after a victory. Play the Hawks/Celtics Under the total.      

04/02 6:05 PM EST  CB   (811) VILLANOVA VS (812) OKLAHOMA. 
Take:  NCAAB Tourney Total of the Year: Villanova/Oklahoma Under the total.
These teams head to Houston for the Final Four with great defense, much better defense than people talk about. And this Houston arena has bad site lines for outside shooters. Villanova has the flashy offense, but don't forget this team was No. 1 in the Big East in points allowed (63.8 ppg). Villanova is also 8-1 under the total when facing the Big 12. Oklahoma plays great defense, too, for Lon Krueger, No. 2 in scoring defense in the Big 12 and No. 3 in three-point defense. Oklahoma is on a 12-2 run under the total, including 20-8 under at neutral sites. Play Villanova/Oklahoma Under the total.      

3/09 11:30 AM CB (521) NORTH CAROLINA STATE VS (522) DUKE.
Take: UNDER
Reason: ACC Total of the Year: NC State/Duke Under the total.
A tournament game where both coaches will demand intense defense with so much at stake. NC State is 8-3 under the total following a straight up win. Duke can play tough defense, too, on a 13-3 run under the total and 21-8 under in the Blue Devils last 29 neutral site games. Play NC State/Duke Under the total.

10-Star NBA Total Dominator :
Reason: Two clubs here that have been really good OVER plays of late. The Pistons have gone OVER in three straight and are 8-1-1 O/U/P in their last 10 games. Detroit has scored 106 or more points in each of their last three games. Meanwhile. the defense hasn't been so good, allowing 104 or more in six of their last eight games. You don't expect Overs to be associated with the Nets, but they have also gone over in four of their last five games. The defense has been bad, allowing 100 or more points in 10 of the last 12 games. The OVER is 13-3 the last 16 times these clubs have met in Brooklyn and 23-9 the last 32 times overall. Take the OVER here on Monday.

01/20 07:35 PM EST   NBA   (505) BOSTON CELTICS VS (506) TORONTO RAPTORS.
Take:  NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year: Celtics/Raptors Over the total.
Boston brings the No. 7 offense in the NBA into this one, a young deep team that likes to run. Boston is rested off an OT loss at Dallas, winding up a three-game trip here. They've allowed 101 or more points in 6 of the last 7, on a 5-1 run over the total. Toronto is on an offensive tear, winning 5 in a row while scoring 108, 106 and 112 the last three. Toronto is on a 9-3 run over the total and the over is 10-3 in the Raptors last 13 vs. the Eastern Conference. And the over is 11-4 when the Raptors face a team with a winning straight up record. Play Boston/Toronto Over the total.      

06/16 09:00 PM  NBA  (711) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS (712) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Take:  NBA Playoff Total of the Year: Warriors/Cavaliers Game 6 Under the total.
This has been an all-out defensive series, with the Cavs slowing the tempo down because of injuries. Golden State can play defense, too, No. 1 during the regular season in field goal shooting allowed, just 42% shooting. Golden State is 6-2 under the total on the road, as well as a 13-3-1 run under the total overall. Cleveland will slow it down again and give a monster defensive effort all game long in front of their home fans. Cleveland is on a 3-0-1 run under the total, plus a sizzling 38-17-1 under the total playing on one days rest. Play the Warriors/Cavaliers Game 6 under the total.      

05/22 08:30 PM EST  NBA   (507) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS (508) ATLANTA HAWKS
Take: NBA Eastern Conference Playoff Total of the Year: Cavs/Hawks Game 2 Under the total.
Game 1 was a defensive battle and more is at stake for the home team so expect an even better defensive performance. During the regular season Atlanta was No. 5 in the NBA in points allowed and No. 6 in field goal shooting defense. Atlanta is 5-2 under the total at home and 4-1 under at home against an opponent with a winning road record. Cleveland is during up its defense at the right time of the season, on a 7-3 run under the total. The under is also 35-15-1 in the Cavaliers last 51 games playing on 1 days rest. Play the Cavs/Hawks Game 2 Under the total.

04/24 09:35 PM EST   NBA   (743) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS (744) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Take:  NBA 1st Round Total of the Year: Clippers/Spurs Under the total in Game 3.
The under is 2-0 in regulation in this series, with Game 2 sailing over only because of OT. Both teams can bring the defense and they are, which is no surprise with so much at stake. The under is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 games following a loss and they lost because they can't hit free throws (28th in the NBA), clanking 17 in Game 2. LA is also 33-16-2 under the total playing on one days rest. San Antonio is a top 5 team in the NBA in points allowed and the under is 7-2 in the Spurs last 9 games playing on one days rest. Play the Clippers/Spurs Under the total in Game 3.

4/03 10:35 PM NBA (519) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS VS (520) LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Take: NBA High Roller Platinum Total: Portland/LA Lakers Under the total.
The Lakers are home but have a lousy offense, 17th in points scored, 20th in assists. LA is 5-2 under the total at home and 12-5-2 under against the Western Conference. They just scored 92 points at home in a loss to the Pelicans, shooting 62% from the free throw line. A great Portland defense is in town, 10th in the NBA in points allowed and ninth in field goal shooting defense. Portland is 4-1 under the total against a team with a losing record, plus 9-4 versus the NBA Pacific division. And when these rivals clash the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play the Blazers/Lakers under the total.

3/28 06:05 PM EST  CB (513) ARIZONA VS (514) WISCONSIN
Take: NCAAB Tourney Total of the Year: Arizona/Wisconsin Under the total.
A pair of dynamite defensive teams clash in the Elite 8. Wisconsin prefers a slower pace and Arizona is happy to play that, too, off a 68-60 win over Xavier allowing 3-of-17 shooting from long range. Arizona is 6-1 under the total at neutral site games. They face a Wisconsin team that was No. 1 in the Big 10 in points allowed, just 56.8 ppg. These teams met in the Elite 8 one year ago and Wisconsin won 64-63 -- in overtime. It was 54-54 in regulation and both teams shot 39% for the game. This will also be a defensive war. Play Arizona/Wisconsin Under the total.

03/20 07:35 PM EST  NBA   (809) INDIANA PACERS VS (810) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Take:  High Roller Platinum Total: Indiana/Cleveland Under the total.
Indiana is fighting for a playoff spot with defense, as usual, 3rd in the NBA in points allowed and field goal shooting defense, but 24th in points scored. Indiana is on a 9-3 run under the total and 7-3 under against the Eastern Conference. Cleveland has been playing much better defense in the second half of the season, 8-3 under the total at home and 34-16-1 under the total in the Cavaliers last 51 games playing on one days rest. When these teams play the under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings and this shapes up as a slow, defensive battle. Play Indiana/Cleveland Under the total.

2/24 08:35 PM EST   NBA   (507) TORONTO RAPTORS VS (508) DALLAS MAVERICKS
Take: Non-Conference Total of the Year: Toronto/Dallas Over the total.
Toronto has been a very good over club all season, especially on the road where they are 15-9 O/U for the season. Yes, they have been a under team in recent games, going under in six of the last seven. However, those games are against good defensive clubs like San Antonio, Washington, Atlanta and Houston. The latter they scored just 76 points against. Don't let those recent games fool you, this Raptors team can score points. They have one of the best offensive efficiency ratings in the NBA at 112.6 overall and 113.1 on the road. Their defensive rating is as bad as their offensive rating is good, evidenced by 107.6 overall and 110.1 on the road - all well above the league average. Toronto is playing the second of a back-to-back spot here. They do well in this spot, going 9-4-1 ATS the last 13 times and 9-4-1 Ov/Un the last 13. In fact, in those 13 games, their games have averaged a lofty 209.2 points per game. And, with the exception of the recent Houston outing and two other games, they have scored well over 100 points in 11 of 14 times. Dallas has been an under club for most of the first half of the season. This was due to an under-performing bench that had the lowest scoring average for the Mavericks since the 2007-08 season. The Mavs made moves to change that picking up standout Amare Stoudemire from New York. The Mavs hope Stoudemire will add some scoring punch to what has been a underachieving bench. I like tonight's contest over. These clubs met in Toronto back in November and oddsmakers put up a 211.5 total. We get a 205 here on Tuesday and I like this game to fly over that number. Take the OVER.

12/18 10:35 PM EST  NBA   (507) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS (508) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Take:  NBA TV Total of the Month: Oklahoma City/Golden State Under the total.
The offensive stars on the team force the oddsmakers to move this total up, but the fact is these are two dominant defensive teams. Oklahoma City is tops in the NBA in points allowed (93.9 ppg) and on a 23-7 run under the total. They are 4-0 under their last four road games. OKC is second in the NBA in field goal shooting defense -- and who is first? This Golden State team, allowing .413% shooting by opponents. Golden State is 9th in the NBA in scoring allowed and on a 4-1 run under the total, plus 6-0 under at home. Golden Statae just gave up 105 to Memphis and the under is 43-15 in Warriors last 58 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Play Oklahoma City/Golden State Under the total.