Horizon league conference tourney action here today has Wisconsin Green Bay taking on Northern Kentucky in Indianapolis, IN. Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix are 16-15 S/U and 15-14 ATS on the season. They have won three straight game and have gone under in their last two. That's what I am looking at today, the total in this matchup. While Green bay has been an over team most of the year, the long season and now the grind of daily tourney play seems to be making them more a defensive team. They held Cleveland State to 67 points and Oakland to 63 points in their last two games. The oddsmaker has a 150 total on today's contest, which is high for a college contest. The Northern Kentucky Norse are 21-9 S/U and 16-12 ATS. They have been more of an under team this year, posting an overall 12-16 O/U record. The Norse have gone under in their last two games and held their last three opponents to 59, 59 and 64 points respectively. The two times these teams have met this year have both gone under. Back on Dec 30th they totaled 132 points and then on Jan 31st they only got to 133 points. Well below the 154 and 155 totals posted. Today we see a small reduction in the total to 150, but I still like it under. Play UNDER.

I have really loved playing the Summit League games OVER this year. This has been overall a great league to look for over plays. Tonight we have Denver playing at Indiana-Fort Worth. IPFW Mastadons have kind of bucked the trend in the conference, with six of their last seven going UNDER. They have also seen 4 of their last 9 road games go OVER the spread. The real reason I like this game over is the visitor, the Denver Pioneers. Denver has seen 11 of their last 13 games go OVER the total. They allow a lot of points, 85 or more in their last three games. They have allowed 90 points or more in three of their last six games. Denver is not a good team with just 6-wins on the year, but they can score and they do allow a lot of points. At home I look for Purdue Fort Worth to get their share of good points tonight against this poor Denver team. I'll take the OVER.

The New Orleans Pelicans need to pick up the pace if they hope to make the playoffs. The Pelicans are 11th in the West, five-games back of 8th place Memphis. Same goes for the Blazers who are in 9th place, 3 1/2 games back of the Grizzlies. Tonight though, I'm looking at the OVER in this contest. The Pelicans are the third highest scoring team in the West at 115.8 ppg. Bad news is that they are the worst defensive scoring team with 117.3 ppg. The Pelicans have gone over in four straight games and six of their last eight. They are 16-11 O/U on the road this year. The Portland Trailblazers have gone over in six of their last eight games and 11 of their last 14. They average 117 points per game at home and allow 115 ppg at home. This one should be very high scoring tonight. I'm taking the OVER.

American Athletic conference action tonight has Memphis playing at Cincinnati. Memphis is 17-6 S/U and 12-9 ATS on the season. They are also 6-4 S/U and 4-5-1 ATS in conference play. They are also 1-3 O/U on the road in conference play. Cincinnati is 15-8 S/U and 10-13 ATS on the season. The Bearcats are 8-3 S/U and 7-4 ATS in conference play. They are 1-4 O/U in their four home conference games. That's what I'm looking at here tonight, the UNDER. Memphis also has some injuries with Forward Precious Achiuwa questionable with a back injury and Center James Wiseman out for the season. Cincinnati might be without guard Jarron Cumberland tonight who is questionable. Cumberland averages 15.1 ppg this season. With the injuries and the O/U records of these clubs, I'll take UNDER.

The Toronto Raptors have ridden a nine-game winning streak to 2nd place in the Eastern conference. The Raptors are still 7 1/2 games back of conference leading Milwaukee. The Raptors are 17-7 on the road and scoring an average of 109.6 ppg away from home. The Detroit Pistons are 10th right now in the East, 5-games back of the Nets for that 8th place spot. The Pistons have lost four straight and seven of their last 10 games. The Pistons have also seen five straight games go over and eight of their last nine go over. At home the Pistons are averaging 111.4 ppg and allowing 112.2 ppg. I expect a lot of points in this game tonight. I'm playing the OVER.

 ACC action here this evening has two old rivals meeting as North Carolina takes on neighboring NC State. The North Carolina Tar Heels are not having a good season with just 9-10 S/U and 5-14 ATS season. The Heels started the season in fine fashion, winning their first five games. Since then, NCU is 4-10. They are coming off a nice win at home over Miami-Florida, 94-71. The Tar Heels have been a decent over team, with a 5-1-1 O/U/P record in their last seven games. NC State having a good year with a 14-6 S/U and 9-10 ATS record. The Wolfpack are off a loss at Georgia Tech, 58-64. The Pack are 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS in conference play. This will be a contrast of styles, the fast play of the Tar Heels vs the slower style of NC State. I made this total in the 150's and the oddsmaker made it around 146 to 147. I like the over here as I expect North Carolina to dictate the pace. Play the OVER.

Both these teams have been scoring machines this early NBA season. The Clippers won the Kawhi Leonard sweepstakes in the offseason and it's paid dividends thus far as the Clippers beat their instate rivals in the Lakers in the opener, 112-102 and then beat Golden State on the road, 141-122. They did lose their third game at Phoenix, 122-130. They have gone over in the last two games. Charlotte opened the season with a win over Chicago, 126-125. Then lost at home to Minnesota 99-121 and then lost at the Lakers, 101-121. All three of their opponents scoring 120 points or more. I like this one over tonight. I expect the Clippers to score over 120 and that means we don't need much over 100 out of Charlotte. Take the OVER.

I'll be looking at the under here in game three between the Bucks and Raptors. This is really the tale of two different teams. The Bucks have been scoring a lot of points and the Raptors have been keeping games lower scoring with UNDERS. With the Bucks up 2-0, I look for Toronto to try and control the tempo of this game. The Raptors pretty much know they don't want to get into a scoring exchange with the Bucks. They have been a good under team, with 4-11 O/U their last 15 games. They have also gone under in five of their last seven home games. I expect the best effort of this series from Toronto and that means a more deliberate contest and that means lower scoring. Play the UNDER here in game three.

Golden State took game one of this series in what was a very low scoring game, 104-100. Despite the low score, the Warriors still hit 51% of their shots from the field. Houston hit 42% of their shots from the field. The Rockets are now 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games and 5-0 ATS in their last five vs the NBA Pacific division. The Rockets have also been a great under team. Houston is 0-4 O/U in their last four road games, 6-20-2 O/U in their last 28 games with 1 day rest and 6-19-1 O/U in their last 26 overall games. The Warriors have had their issues covering games, evidenced by their 10-23-1 ATS mark in their last 34 home games. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five conference semifinal games. Surprisingly, the Warriors have also been a good under team. They are 0-4 O/U in their last four conference semifinals and 5-16 O/U in their last 21 games playing on one day rest. They are also have gone under in 11 of their last 15 home games. I expect another close, low scoring contest here tonight. Play the UNDER.

 Game one results will surely bring on some adjustments. This is especially true for the Rockets. What were they thinking in game one? Did they really think they could run with the Warriors and prevail? Most hoop experts believed they would be wise enough to try and slow the Warriors by running time off the clock on both offense and defense. Game two will be different, od they will be going on the road down 0-2. Look for the Rockets to slow the pace to limit the fatigue on Harden and Paul. This will hopefully allow them to stay close at the end and possibly salvage game 2 in this series. That being said, i am not looking at a side here but the total. A slower pace and a little more defense will bring the total home for us. Play Under in game #2

After scoring 83 points in game 1, the Cavs will bring higher than usual focus to this game. This is a tough series as the Celtics have won and covered all eight home games in the playoffs. The oddsmakers are giving them no respect because the public refuses to see that. Not all fo their home wins and covers have been easybut they have found a way. LeBron is a story all by himself. In his 15 year career, especially the last 8 years, he has been the story for any team he has been with. He is the man and i dont feel Morris will be able to do what he did in game 1. The reason is, i feel the rest of the Cavs who may not be great, are good enough to do more than they did in Gm 1. 4 for 26 from 3 point land will not happen again. But lets not take anything away from the Celtics defense. They do a great job of guarding the perimeter. teh Cavs will counter by playing some old school, by going to the rim more. The total was adjusted off the game 1 score but should not have been IMO. Play OVER in Game 2

Of course we all know what powerful offenses these teams have but remember that knowledge is in the line already. What most people don't see is that during the regular season, NBA teams coast quite often. We do not get a true read on who they are until the reach the playoffs. Both of these clubs went under 60% of their games in the second round matchups. In the first round the combined record was 50% over and under. I'm going with the more recent trend and adding in a lot of urgency to play some tough defense. These teams both rank in the top ten in defensive rankings. PLay Under Game #1

Cleveland returns home with a 2-2 tie in this best of seven series. So far all four games have gone under the total. That's what I'm looking at again here on Wednesday is the UNDER. We've seen the oddsmaker drop the total from 212.5 in game one to 206 in game four and tonight 205. The closest these teams came was in game four where they got 204 points and just went under the 206. This Cavs team has been so difficult to put your thumb on, one day they play great then they lose by 20. They did this all season, which makes it hard to pick a side here. That's why I'm sticking with the UNDER. We haven't seen the Pacers exploit the Cavs bad defense yet in this series and I don't think we'll see it here in game five. Forget the side in this game, take the UNDER.

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Dallas Mavericks today on NBA TV. The 76ers still have something to play for as they lead the fourth place Cleveland Cavaliers by just a half-game. As for the Dallas Mavericks, well they're out of it for this year. In this game though, I'm looking at the over. Philadelphia has won 13 straight games. But what's probably more impressive is that they have scored at least 115 points in 11 of those 13 games. the 76ers jumped out to a 30-point lead against Cleveland last Friday night, but despite the large lead, they still had to hold on for a two-point win over the Cavaliers. In that contest, the 76ers still scored 132 points. The Dallas Mavericks will try and snap the 76ers 13 game winning streak. Unfortunately for the Mavericks they have won just two games and lost 10 in their last 12 overall. In addition the Mavericks have allowed 113 points their last game at Detroit. I don't really see how the Mavericks will hold down the 76ers scoring machine here today. I'm going to stick with the over in the 76ers and Mavericks contest.

I'll be looking at the over in today's CIT tournament between Illinois Chicago and Northern Colorado. Illinois Chicago has gone over in eight of their last 10 games. Northern Colorado has gone over in two straight and three of the last four. In addition, Northern Colorado has scored at least 80 points in each of their last six games and 77 or more in 11 straight. Illinois Chicago can also score, with 80 or more points in five of their last eight games. This game has all the markings of a track game tonight and I full expect this game to fly over the total.

Tourney Total of the Year : NCAA Midwest Regional from Omaha, NE pits ACC foes Syracuse and Duke against each other. These teams know each other well though they didn't meet in the ACC tournament. Their one meeting this year, in Duke, resulted in a Blue Devil's win, 44-60. They totaled just 104 points in that game. Syracuse has played five tournament games between the ACC and NCAA and four have gone Under. In fact, in those four they totaled 108, 109, 116 and 137. Duke has also been a good UNDER team this year, going under in eight of their last 10 games. In addition, the Blue Devils have gone UNDER in seven of the last eight vs the ACC and nine of their last 13 in NCAA tournament games. Syracuse has gone under in seven of their last nine NCAA tournament games and 0-6 O/U the last six vs a team with a winning percentage above 60 percentage. I like this game to go UNDER on Friday. Take the UNDER!

Atlantic 10 opening action tonight has U Mass takingon La Salle. U Mass has been on a phenomenal over run, posting overs in 11 straight games. The reason is a good offense and bad defense. U Mass has allowed at least 80 points in nine of those 11 overs. La Salle should be looking forward to this opponent, their last meeting resulted in a La Salle win, 87-72 and of course, a OVER. Their first meeting of the season, at U Mass, resulted in another La Salle win, 86-79 and a OVER. Don't see any reason La Salle can't put up those big numbers again here tonight. I'm taking the over and sitting back and enjoying the show. Play OVER.

I'm looking at the UNDER here tonight as a big play. San Francisco has been a better under team on the road this year, evidenced by their 4-5 O/U mark. They are also 17-35 O/U the last 52 games following an ATS win. St Mary's has also been a good under team. The Gaels are 0-6 O/U in their last six home games, 0-4 O/U in their last four overall, 29-62-1 O/U their last 92 after a straight up win. The last seven meetings between these clubs have seen five unders and just two overs. I like the UNDER tonight.

04/17 04:00 PM  NBA   (517) INDIANA PACERS VS (518) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Take: NBA High Roller Wise Guy Total: Indiana/Cleveland Game 2 Over the total.
Reason: Plenty of offensive talent on the floor for both teams, inside and out. Indiana (11-4 run over) has gone 8 straight games over the total on the road. Cleveland is home but a soft defensive teams, 6-1 over the total at home. The Over is 20-6-1 in the Cavaliers last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Play Indiana/Cleveland Game 2 Over the total.      

04/07 08:35 PM EST   NBA   (509) SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS (510) DALLAS MAVERICKS.
Take: NBA Trend Tracker Total of the Year: San Antonio/Dallas Under the total.  
Reason: San Antonio has nothing to play for down the stretch, and looked it the last game, scoring 95 points in a home loss to the Lakers as -13 chalk. They are on a 6-2-1 run under the total, 4-1 under on the road. The Under is also 16-4-1 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Dallas is all about slowing the pace down, #4 in the NBA in points allowed, but last in scoring. Dallas is on a 17-7-1 run under the total, 23-9-1 under playing on one day of rest. And the Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Play San Antonio/Dallas Under the total.      

03/28 10:05 PM EST  NBA   (773) DENVER NUGGETS VS (774) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS.
Take:  NBA Western Conference Total of the Month: Denver/Portland Over the total.
Reason: These teams are in the Top 6 in the NBA in points scored, and in the bottom 6 in points allowed. Denver is 13-6 over the total after a defeat, 10-3-1 over following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Portland likes to run, especially at home, and the Over is 16-7 in the Blazers last 23 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. And when these teams meet the over is 7-1. Play Denver/Portland Over the total.      

05/21 08:35 PM EST   NBA   (709) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS (710) TORONTO RAPTORS (05/20 12:34 PM)
Take: NBA Playoff Total of the Year: Cavaliers/Raptors Over the total.
The Cavs have not shot the ball well from behind the arc against the Toronto Raptors, shooting 35 and 33 percent respectively in games one and two. Yet, they have scored 108 and 115 points in the two games, dominating inside against a Toronto team lacking frontcourt depth. Cleveland is 11-4 over the total in Conference Finals games, as well as 7-3 over the total on the road against a team with a winning home record. Toronto is better offensively than they've shown and coming home for Game 3 will help. Toronto is on a 4-1 run over the total, as well as 24-6 over following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. And the Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings. Play the Cavaliers/Raptors Over the total.      

04/27 10:05 PM  NBA   (577) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS VS (578) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Take: NBA Western Conference 1st Round Total of the Year: Blazers/Clippers Under in Game 5.
A pivotal Game 5, which means both coaches will demand great defense. Portland is on a 6-0 run under the total and faces an outstanding Clippers' defense, one ranked No. 7 during the regular season in points allowed, NO. 2 in field goal shooting defense (.434%). LA is without star guard and playmaker Chris Paul, a huge blow to the offense. The L.A. Clippers are on a 4-0 run under the total, 20-6 under at home. The Under is also 36-17 in the Clippers last 53 games following a straight up loss. And the under is 5-0 when these teams clash. Play the Blazers/Clippers Under the total in Game 5.

4/26 08:35 PM EST   NBA   (567) BOSTON CELTICS VS (568) ATLANTA HAWKS.
Take: NBA Eastern Conf. Playoff Total of the Year: Celtics/Hawks Under the total.
So far each team has held home court as this series is now tied, 2-2. The Celtics have to play without one of their best players in Avery Bradley, who is out indefinitely. These are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA, with Atlanta ranked No. 6 in points allowed, No. 1 in field goal shooting defense (.432%), No. 5 at defending the three-pointer. Atlanta is 13-6 under the total playing on one day of rest, 7-3 under after a defeat and 12-4 under in Conference Quarterfinals games. Boston is No. 7 in field goal shooting defense, No. 4 at defending the three-pointer. The Celtics are 19-6 under the total in Conference Quarterfinals games and 13-3 under after a victory. The Hawks have now gone Under in seven of their last nine. The Celtics have gone Under in 11 of their last 16. Play the UNDER tonight.      

04/24 6:05 PM EST  NBA   (557) ATLANTA HAWKS VS (558) BOSTON CELTICS
Take: NBA High Roller Platinum Total: Hawks/Celtics Under the total.
Atlanta is up 2 games to 1 so this is a pivotal contest, which means both sides will play aggressive defense. These are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA, with Atlanta ranked No. 6 in points allowed, No. 1 in field goal shooting defense (.432%), No. 5 at defending the three-pointer. Atlanta is 13-6 under the total playing on one day of rest, 7-2 under after a defeat and 11-4 under in Conference Quarterfinals games. Boston is No. 7 in field goal shooting defense, No. 4 at defending the three-pointer. The Celtics are 18-6 under the total in Conference Quarterfinals games and 12-3 under after a victory. Play the Hawks/Celtics Under the total.      

04/02 6:05 PM EST  CB   (811) VILLANOVA VS (812) OKLAHOMA. 
Take:  NCAAB Tourney Total of the Year: Villanova/Oklahoma Under the total.
These teams head to Houston for the Final Four with great defense, much better defense than people talk about. And this Houston arena has bad site lines for outside shooters. Villanova has the flashy offense, but don't forget this team was No. 1 in the Big East in points allowed (63.8 ppg). Villanova is also 8-1 under the total when facing the Big 12. Oklahoma plays great defense, too, for Lon Krueger, No. 2 in scoring defense in the Big 12 and No. 3 in three-point defense. Oklahoma is on a 12-2 run under the total, including 20-8 under at neutral sites. Play Villanova/Oklahoma Under the total.      

3/09 11:30 AM CB (521) NORTH CAROLINA STATE VS (522) DUKE.
Take: UNDER
Reason: ACC Total of the Year: NC State/Duke Under the total.
A tournament game where both coaches will demand intense defense with so much at stake. NC State is 8-3 under the total following a straight up win. Duke can play tough defense, too, on a 13-3 run under the total and 21-8 under in the Blue Devils last 29 neutral site games. Play NC State/Duke Under the total.

10-Star NBA Total Dominator :
Reason: Two clubs here that have been really good OVER plays of late. The Pistons have gone OVER in three straight and are 8-1-1 O/U/P in their last 10 games. Detroit has scored 106 or more points in each of their last three games. Meanwhile. the defense hasn't been so good, allowing 104 or more in six of their last eight games. You don't expect Overs to be associated with the Nets, but they have also gone over in four of their last five games. The defense has been bad, allowing 100 or more points in 10 of the last 12 games. The OVER is 13-3 the last 16 times these clubs have met in Brooklyn and 23-9 the last 32 times overall. Take the OVER here on Monday.

01/20 07:35 PM EST   NBA   (505) BOSTON CELTICS VS (506) TORONTO RAPTORS.
Take:  NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year: Celtics/Raptors Over the total.
Boston brings the No. 7 offense in the NBA into this one, a young deep team that likes to run. Boston is rested off an OT loss at Dallas, winding up a three-game trip here. They've allowed 101 or more points in 6 of the last 7, on a 5-1 run over the total. Toronto is on an offensive tear, winning 5 in a row while scoring 108, 106 and 112 the last three. Toronto is on a 9-3 run over the total and the over is 10-3 in the Raptors last 13 vs. the Eastern Conference. And the over is 11-4 when the Raptors face a team with a winning straight up record. Play Boston/Toronto Over the total.      

06/16 09:00 PM  NBA  (711) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS (712) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Take:  NBA Playoff Total of the Year: Warriors/Cavaliers Game 6 Under the total.
This has been an all-out defensive series, with the Cavs slowing the tempo down because of injuries. Golden State can play defense, too, No. 1 during the regular season in field goal shooting allowed, just 42% shooting. Golden State is 6-2 under the total on the road, as well as a 13-3-1 run under the total overall. Cleveland will slow it down again and give a monster defensive effort all game long in front of their home fans. Cleveland is on a 3-0-1 run under the total, plus a sizzling 38-17-1 under the total playing on one days rest. Play the Warriors/Cavaliers Game 6 under the total.      

05/22 08:30 PM EST  NBA   (507) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS (508) ATLANTA HAWKS
Take: NBA Eastern Conference Playoff Total of the Year: Cavs/Hawks Game 2 Under the total.
Game 1 was a defensive battle and more is at stake for the home team so expect an even better defensive performance. During the regular season Atlanta was No. 5 in the NBA in points allowed and No. 6 in field goal shooting defense. Atlanta is 5-2 under the total at home and 4-1 under at home against an opponent with a winning road record. Cleveland is during up its defense at the right time of the season, on a 7-3 run under the total. The under is also 35-15-1 in the Cavaliers last 51 games playing on 1 days rest. Play the Cavs/Hawks Game 2 Under the total.

04/24 09:35 PM EST   NBA   (743) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS (744) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Take:  NBA 1st Round Total of the Year: Clippers/Spurs Under the total in Game 3.
The under is 2-0 in regulation in this series, with Game 2 sailing over only because of OT. Both teams can bring the defense and they are, which is no surprise with so much at stake. The under is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 games following a loss and they lost because they can't hit free throws (28th in the NBA), clanking 17 in Game 2. LA is also 33-16-2 under the total playing on one days rest. San Antonio is a top 5 team in the NBA in points allowed and the under is 7-2 in the Spurs last 9 games playing on one days rest. Play the Clippers/Spurs Under the total in Game 3.

4/03 10:35 PM NBA (519) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS VS (520) LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Take: NBA High Roller Platinum Total: Portland/LA Lakers Under the total.
The Lakers are home but have a lousy offense, 17th in points scored, 20th in assists. LA is 5-2 under the total at home and 12-5-2 under against the Western Conference. They just scored 92 points at home in a loss to the Pelicans, shooting 62% from the free throw line. A great Portland defense is in town, 10th in the NBA in points allowed and ninth in field goal shooting defense. Portland is 4-1 under the total against a team with a losing record, plus 9-4 versus the NBA Pacific division. And when these rivals clash the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play the Blazers/Lakers under the total.

3/28 06:05 PM EST  CB (513) ARIZONA VS (514) WISCONSIN
Take: NCAAB Tourney Total of the Year: Arizona/Wisconsin Under the total.
A pair of dynamite defensive teams clash in the Elite 8. Wisconsin prefers a slower pace and Arizona is happy to play that, too, off a 68-60 win over Xavier allowing 3-of-17 shooting from long range. Arizona is 6-1 under the total at neutral site games. They face a Wisconsin team that was No. 1 in the Big 10 in points allowed, just 56.8 ppg. These teams met in the Elite 8 one year ago and Wisconsin won 64-63 -- in overtime. It was 54-54 in regulation and both teams shot 39% for the game. This will also be a defensive war. Play Arizona/Wisconsin Under the total.

03/20 07:35 PM EST  NBA   (809) INDIANA PACERS VS (810) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Take:  High Roller Platinum Total: Indiana/Cleveland Under the total.
Indiana is fighting for a playoff spot with defense, as usual, 3rd in the NBA in points allowed and field goal shooting defense, but 24th in points scored. Indiana is on a 9-3 run under the total and 7-3 under against the Eastern Conference. Cleveland has been playing much better defense in the second half of the season, 8-3 under the total at home and 34-16-1 under the total in the Cavaliers last 51 games playing on one days rest. When these teams play the under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings and this shapes up as a slow, defensive battle. Play Indiana/Cleveland Under the total.

2/24 08:35 PM EST   NBA   (507) TORONTO RAPTORS VS (508) DALLAS MAVERICKS
Take: Non-Conference Total of the Year: Toronto/Dallas Over the total.
Toronto has been a very good over club all season, especially on the road where they are 15-9 O/U for the season. Yes, they have been a under team in recent games, going under in six of the last seven. However, those games are against good defensive clubs like San Antonio, Washington, Atlanta and Houston. The latter they scored just 76 points against. Don't let those recent games fool you, this Raptors team can score points. They have one of the best offensive efficiency ratings in the NBA at 112.6 overall and 113.1 on the road. Their defensive rating is as bad as their offensive rating is good, evidenced by 107.6 overall and 110.1 on the road - all well above the league average. Toronto is playing the second of a back-to-back spot here. They do well in this spot, going 9-4-1 ATS the last 13 times and 9-4-1 Ov/Un the last 13. In fact, in those 13 games, their games have averaged a lofty 209.2 points per game. And, with the exception of the recent Houston outing and two other games, they have scored well over 100 points in 11 of 14 times. Dallas has been an under club for most of the first half of the season. This was due to an under-performing bench that had the lowest scoring average for the Mavericks since the 2007-08 season. The Mavs made moves to change that picking up standout Amare Stoudemire from New York. The Mavs hope Stoudemire will add some scoring punch to what has been a underachieving bench. I like tonight's contest over. These clubs met in Toronto back in November and oddsmakers put up a 211.5 total. We get a 205 here on Tuesday and I like this game to fly over that number. Take the OVER.

12/18 10:35 PM EST  NBA   (507) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS (508) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Take:  NBA TV Total of the Month: Oklahoma City/Golden State Under the total.
The offensive stars on the team force the oddsmakers to move this total up, but the fact is these are two dominant defensive teams. Oklahoma City is tops in the NBA in points allowed (93.9 ppg) and on a 23-7 run under the total. They are 4-0 under their last four road games. OKC is second in the NBA in field goal shooting defense -- and who is first? This Golden State team, allowing .413% shooting by opponents. Golden State is 9th in the NBA in scoring allowed and on a 4-1 run under the total, plus 6-0 under at home. Golden Statae just gave up 105 to Memphis and the under is 43-15 in Warriors last 58 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Play Oklahoma City/Golden State Under the total.      

12/10 08:05 PM EST  NBA   (515) NEW ORLEANS PELICANS VS (516) DALLAS MAVERICKS
Take: NBA Total of the Year: New Orleans/Dallas Over the total.
New Orleans is a young team that prefers to run, 18th in the NBA in points allowed. Neither of these teams is good in field goal shooting defense, both ranked in the bottom 12th of the league. Both teams are also in the second of a back to back spot, so the defensive legs will be tired. Dallas doesn't play defense anyway, 24th in points allowed and on 5-0 run over the total coming into the week, as well as 6-0 over at home. Dallas runs at anyone with their offensive depth and talent, tops in the NBA in scoring and the over is 12-5 when the Mavericks face the NBA Southwest division. This will be a run-and-gun game from start to finish; Play New Orleans/Dallas Over the total.      

05/19 09:00 PM EST  NBA   (503) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS (504) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Take:  Inner Circle: Oklahoma City/San Antonio Game 1 Under the total.
Oklahoma City has plenty of offensive weapons, but they are turning up the defense as the playoffs go along, on a 4-1 run under the total. That shouldn't be a surprise as OKC is 11th in the league in points allowed and third in field goal shooting defense (tops in the West) allowing .435% shooting. The under is 5-1 in the Thunder's last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest. After ranking 17th in points allowed and 21st in FG shooting percentage defense two years ago, the Spurs have improved to 9th and 8th in field goal D the last two seasons. The under is 14-5 in in Spurs last 19 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. When these Western powers meet the under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings and this total is too high with so much at stake. Play the Thunder/Spurs Game 1 under the total.

5/14 09:35 PM EST   NBA   (739) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS VS (740) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Take:  High End NBA Metrics Late Release: Blazers/Spurs over the total.
It's hard to see the Blazers showing up defensive for this game, down 3 games to 2. They were a bad defensive team all season and got smoked by this San Antonio team in the first three games. Portland is on 10-3 run over, as well as 15-5 over the total on one days rest. San Antonio is in bounce back mode after a 103-92 loss and they will tear up this Portland defense at home. The Spurs ranked 6th in NBA in points scored, tops in assists. The last time the Spurs scored 92 or less was against Dallas, a playoff loss, and the next game they scored 108 in a game that sailed over. San Antonio dominated the first three games as Portland can't contain Tony Parker. Parker scored 29 points in San Antonio's 118-103 Game 3 victory on Saturday night. The Spurs had routed the Blazers 116-92 in the series opener after their grueling seven-game first-round series against the Dallas Mavericks, then built a 20-point lead and handily won Game 2 114-97. San Antonio is 5-0 over at home and 35-17-1 over after ATS loss. Play Blazers/Spurs Game 5 over the total.