Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-19-17 | Akron v. Florida Atlantic -22 | 3-50 | Win | 100 | 32 h 50 m | Show | |
Boca Raton Bowl action here on Tuesday. Akron (7-6 S/U, 9-4 ATS) takes on Florida Atlantic (10-3 S/U, 9-4 ATS). Akron will have its hands full with the high Scoring FAU offense that averages 39.8 ppg this season. FAU has even averaged more on the road, posting 42 PPG average compared to just 16.7 by Akron. Akron also allows a lot more points on the road, 30.3 ppg compared to just 22.7 by FAU. Akron has had only two games in their last 10 where they had more yardage then their opponent did. And, if you look at rushing, they have been outrushed in all 10 games. FAU by comparison, has outrushed every opponent they have played this year. FAU laying 22 points, but that shouldn't be a problem for this offense. Plus this is basically a home game here for FAU, as they play their home games in Boca Raton. Too many points lining up on the FAU side. I'm laying the points here with FAU. |
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12-17-17 | Titans v. 49ers -1 | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans are playing their fourth game on the road in their last five games. This late in the season that is a big burden on any team. Add to that, the Titans are just 2-4 S/U, 1-5 ATS in their last six away games and the may have the deck stacked against them today. QB Marcus Mariota has played hurt most of the year and on the road he has just three TD's compared to 11 INT's. San Fran QB Jimmy Garoppolo makes his first home start after winning his first start last week for the Niners, 26-16 over Houston. San Francisco has won three of its last four games both S/U and ATS. I look at the Niners here today as the team to beat with Garoppolo at the helm and a terrible road Titans club. Play San Francsico. |
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12-17-17 | Cardinals +4 v. Redskins | 15-20 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
The Washington Redskins have been injury plagued all season. The Skins are just 1-4 in their last five game. In addition, they have lost the last two games by a combined 41 points. With their playoff hopes gone, I look for this Washington team to not even show up here today. The Washington offensive line is in shambles and that means QB Kirk Cousins will be pressured the entire game. Washington can't rush either, ranking 25th in ground game. I can't imagine laying points with a team so riddled with injuries as this Washington club. Yet, here they are today laying four to the Cardinals. Arizona has had it's own share of issues on injuries, but in this matchup I'll take the points. Play Arizona. |
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12-17-17 | Eagles -7 v. Giants | 34-29 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
The Eagles have really owned the Giants, going 15-4 S/U, 14-5 ATS the last 19 meetings. Manning is back under center for the Giants, but that really doesn't matter since he has no targets to pass to. The Giants do benefit from Philly QB Carson Wentz being out today. However, even with QB Nick Foles at the helm, the Eagles have way more offensive weapons than the Giants. The Eagles defense is much better too. We saw the Eagles overcome special teams errors and Wentz's departure against the Rams and still pull out the win. I don't see the Giants being able to stay with this Eagles team today. Play Philadelphia. |
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12-17-17 | Bengals v. Vikings -10.5 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show | |
The Vikings finally return home after three straight road games. Minnesota was 2-1 on that road stint, losing their last game at Carolina, 24-31. This club has used its dominating defense at home, holding one of the highest scoring offenses in the Rams to just seven points. They also held the Packers to just 10 and the Ravens to 16. Not sure how a Cincinnati offense that mustered just seven points at home last week against the Bears will crack this Vikings wall. The Bengals offense has been off all season long. Playing on the road against a similar defense in Jacksonville, the Bengals scored just seven points. Look for the Vikings to be energized at home today and shut down this Cincinnati offense. Play Minnesota. |
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12-16-17 | Chargers v. Chiefs | 13-30 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 1 m | Show | |
THis is a huge game for these two teams and their respective playoff chances. It wasn't too long ago that the Chiefs were 4-0 and the Chargers 0-4. Now, these teams are both tied for the AFC lead. This game will have all the atmosphere of a playoff game. The Chiefs have a terrible rush defense, 30th in the league. The Chiefs offensive line will also have to contend with a very good Charges defensive rush, tied for fifth with 37 sacks. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five games of this series. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five visits to Arrowhead Stadium. Big game with big implications, I'm taking the Chargers as the team with all the momentum heading into this contest. |
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12-16-17 | Bears +5 v. Lions | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 6 m | Show | |
Important game here for the Detroit Lions as they look to stay in the playoff picture in a convoluted NFC. A loss and the Lions can pretty much kiss their playoff chances goodbye. Detroit (7-6 S/U, 6-6-1 ATS) coming off a big win last week at Tampa Bay, 24-21. The Lions return home after a two game road swing. The Bears offense had their best output last week, scoring 33 points at Cincinnati. The offense cracked the 20-point ceiling just twice in their prior nine games. Surprisingly, the Lions are just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. The road club has covered in this series four of the last six with one push. The Bears are also 4-1-1 ATS the last six in this series. I'm taking the point here with a Bears team that will be loose and playing to spoil the Lions season. Play Chicago. |
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12-16-17 | Marshall +4.5 v. Colorado State | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
Both of these clubs had much higher hopes than the New Mexico bowl. Both looked poised to get 10 wins this year, but both clubs went though late season slumps. Marshall Thundering Herd lost three games in four weeks by a combined eight points. Colorado State lost three straight games in October-November. The question now is which team wants to play this game? Marshall getting five points looks very good to me, considering the Herd lost three games by five points or less. Marshall is also 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games. Colorado State is 0-5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games and 0-6 ATs overall in their last six games. I'm taking the points here with Marshall that should keep this one close. |
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12-14-17 | Broncos -2.5 v. Colts | 25-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Not the best of matchups tonight as both teams not having the season they expected when this year started. The Broncos by virtue of being in the AFC West at least kept their playoff hopes alive for longer than really anyone expected. The Broncos did snap their eight game losing streak last week with a win over the Jets 23-0. Even with all their struggles, they still allow the fewest yards per game with three to go. The Colts played in a snow globe last week in Buffalo. The white-out conditions resulted in a 7-13 OT loss to the Bills.I'm taking the Broncos here tonight for a couple of reasons. First, the Denver defense is still great and they proved it last week. This Colts team has very little on the offensive side of the ball. Second, playing in that deep snow last week had to be exhausting, kind of like running in sand. That will be tough on the legs, especially with a short week here. For those reasons, I'm on the Broncos tonight. |
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12-10-17 | Ravens +4.5 v. Steelers | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a very physical come-from-behind win at Cincinnati last week. Very chippy played game with injuries to both side. The most scary being Pitt LB Ryan Shazier who suffered a spinal injury and was carted off the field. The injury shook the Steelers as they fell behind. The Steelers are in a comfortable position at 10-2 and three games ahead of the Ravens. Baltimore can use a win this week to help solidify their Wild Card slot. The Ravens put together a third straight excellent effort as they manhandled the Lions in a 44-20 win. The rest of the schedule is fairly easy once they get past the Steelers today with the Browns, Colts and Bengals left. That means they can fully concentrate on this week's game and with all the momentum they have coming into today's contest combined with the letdown I expect from Pittsburgh, I'm taken Baltimore here today. |
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12-10-17 | Eagles v. Rams -1 | 43-35 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
I don't think the Rams will be looking past this Eagles team today toward the Seahawks showdown next week. The Eagles showed they are human last week in their loss at Seattle, 10-24. The Eagles have no challengers for the division, so they don't have to risk injuries. They already lost TE Zach Ertz last week to a concussion. Now they face a very good Rams team that needs to win to keep pace over the Seahawks. The 9-3 Rams are tied for the best scoring team in the NFL with the Eagles. This game could come down to special teams and I give a big nod to the Rams with their excellent kickers in punter Johnny Hekker and PK Greg Zuerline. This will be a tough game, but I'm taking the Rams. |
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12-10-17 | Vikings v. Panthers +3 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
Minnesota (10-2 S/U, 9-3 ATS) plays at Carolina (8-4 S/U, 7-5 ATS) today. The Vikings coming off that win over Atlanta last week, holding the Falcons to just nine points on their home turf. The Vikings offense bogged-down too, scoring just 14 in the win. I'm going to be siding with the Panthers here on Sunday. The main reason is that the Vikings play their third straight road game and fifth in their last six games. This is a tough scheduling spot for the Vikes, having to play this many road games. The Panthers return home after a pair of road games, splitting with a loss at New Orleans and win at the Jets. I know the Vikings have the better team, but the better team doesn't always win. And this is just the case today as Minnesota will be road weary and that gives the Panthers the edge. Play Carolina. |
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12-10-17 | Packers -3 v. Browns | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
The Packers can improve to 7-6 with a win over winless Cleveland this week. And, possibly even see QB Aaron Rodgers return next week. Despite being winless, the Browns defense isn't too bad, ranked 7th against the run and 10th in fewest yards allowed. The problem the Browns have is way too many turnovers, that can hurt any defense and put them on their heals. The Browns want to get that win for HC Hue Jackson, they just have to stop making so many mistakes. This game will be close, but I'm laying the field goal with the Packers. |
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12-07-17 | Saints +2.5 v. Falcons | 17-20 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints (9-3 S/U, 8-4 ATS) can increase their lead over the Falcons to three games with a win tonight. The Falcons 7-5 S/U) will hurt their post season chances if they lose tonight. Atlanta coming off a home loss to the Vikings, 9-14. Sure, the Vikings are one of the best defensive teams in the NFL. However, the offensive woes go much deeper than that for Atlanta and fall squarely on the shoulders of OC Steve Sarkisian. Sarkisian was brought in from San Francisco this year and pretty much derailed the best offense from last year. The offense is scoring 12 fewer points per game and ranks 11th in both passing and rushing yards. The Saints can win their 10th in their last 11 tonight. They are off a win over the Pathers, 31-21. The Saints are 13-3 ATS their last 16 road games and 12-2 ATS their last 14 vs the NFC South. The dog has covered 13 of the last 16 in this series and the road team is 4-1 last 5 meetings. Take the points tonight with the Saints. Line is moving in my direction as I look for a +3 here on the Saints. Play New Orleans. |
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12-04-17 | Steelers -4 v. Bengals | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
The Steelers have a 1.5 game lead going into tonight's contest over the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North. A loss tonight would put the Ravens just one game back. The Bengals are done at 5-6, though they could still have an outside shot at a Wildcard but it will take some help from other teams. Pittsburgh has won six straight games, but could be without star receiver Antonio Brown (Toe) who was downgraded to "?" tonight. The Bengals have won two straight, but that was against winless Cleveland and a terrible Denver team. The last two decent teams they played they lost, against Jacksonville and Tennessee. The offense has been terrible, ranked 26th in passing and 32nd in rushing. Though, rookie RB Joe Mixon is coming off his best game as a pro and may be ready to lead this ground game for the Bengals. The Steelers have the 4th best scoring defense, allowing just 17.5 yards per game. The Steelers have pretty much owned the Bengals, going 16-3-2 ATS their last 21 visits to Cincinnati and 20-7-2 ATS their last 29 meetings overall. I'm taking Pittsburgh tonight with or without Brown. |
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12-03-17 | Eagles v. Seahawks +6 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
Ok everyone, we all know who has the better record and who has been the hottest team in the NFL. But folks we all know nothing is as simple as that. Right? Did you know the Eagles have faced the 29th rated defense in the league? Seattle is a tough place to play. We all know that and we all know they are hurting this year. But a wounded Seahawk is dangerous and that will be the story today. Take the Hawks in an upset |
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12-03-17 | Giants v. Raiders -7.5 | 17-24 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
Probably the squarest play on the board, but even the squares win occasionally. Actually, there are fundamental reasons for this play. Oakland is in dire straights to win the AFC West. Serious question marks exist if they may not be able to make it as a Wild Card. The Chargers and the Chiefs are their main competition. They must keep winning to stay alive. Well publicized the Eli Manning debacle has split the locker room for the Giants. Blow out city here with the Oakland Raiders. |
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12-03-17 | Chiefs v. Jets +3.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 132 h 47 m | Show | |
How the Mighty have fallen. The Kansas City Chiefs are very fortunate to be playing in arguably the weakest division in football. Because otherwise, their playoff hopes would be fading quickly. Instead, they still remain in fist place in the AFC West with a 6-5 record after losing three straight and five of six games. The Chiefs lost to the Bills last week, a team that has been riddled with problems, 10-16. The Chiefs have company thought. The last three years there have been three teams that have started the season 5-0 and then lost their next five of six (Falcons 2015, Vikings 2016 and now Chiefs 2017). The Jets have played well, just keep coming up short week after week. Last week the team lost to the Panthers 27-35 and the week before to the Bucs, 10-15. The Jets playoff hopes are done, so why shouldn't they just pack it in for the year? Well, it's simple, they like their head coach and they will keep playing strong for Bowles. Remember, even though the Jets have lost five of their last six, each loss was by eight points or less. Right now we have two teams that have lost five of six. But I look at the Jets as a team that wants to compete right now and the Chiefs as a team that is looking for answers. Play the Jets. |
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12-03-17 | Bucs v. Packers -2.5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
It appears that Tampa Bay QB Jameis Winston will return today after suffering shoulder problems off and on for a majority of the season. There were high hopes at the start of the season for this Bucs team, loaded with talent on both sides of the ball. Now, they are just 4-7 and looking toward next season. The Bucs haven't been good to bettors either, going just 2-7-1 ATS their last 10 games. Tampa lost last week at Atlanta, 20-34, snapping their modest two-game win streak. Meanwhile, have to give credit to QB Hundley and the Packers for a great effort last week at Pittsburgh. The Pack lost 28-31, but hung around the entire game as a 14-point dog. The Packers are a small home favorite here. At this juncture of the season the Packers look to still be fighting hard. Play Green Bay. |
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12-02-17 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +6 | 27-21 | Push | 0 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
Big 10 Championship on line here today as Ohio State Buckeyes take on the Wisconsin Badgers. Ohio State has not really played well against top competition this year, losing to Oklahoma by 13 and having to make a miracle comeback at home to beat Penn State. Wisconsin has great offensive and defensive lines and that will make a big difference here today. The defense will give OHio State signal-caller JT Barrett all kinds of problems today. Barrett did hurt his knee against Michigan so be sure to check his status. I'm not thrilled that OSU has trailed every good opponent they have played this year. That will catch up to them and I believe that's today. Take Wisconsin. |
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12-02-17 | Georgia +3 v. Auburn | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
SEC Championship and National Championship implications on line here Saturday as the Georgia Bulldogs play the Auburn Tigers. Georgia has some revenge here today with the beating they took at the hands of the Tigers earlier this season, 41-17. Georgia HC Kirby Smart attributed that lopsided loss to his team's high penalties and key special team mistakes. I look for a well coached Georgia team to clean up their act this week and make this more of the contest we expect from these two teams. I'm taking the few points here with Georgia. |
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12-02-17 | Georgia Southern -2.5 v. Costal Carolina | 17-28 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 29 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern has to be road weary by now as they play their second in a row away here at Coastal Carolina. Still they play at a Carolina club that has been juggling QB's in the number of three at the position. That hasn't led to much success at 2-9 and averaging just 23.3 ppg and even lower in Sun Belt at just 21.0 ppg. Carolina will be without QB Tyler Keane (Thumb) and will start Kilton Anderson. Doesn't really matter which QB they start, I'm taking Georgia Southern here on Saturday. |
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12-02-17 | North Texas v. Florida Atlantic -12 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Battle for the Conference USA Championship here on Saturday. This is a game North Texas would like to forget from early this season. The FAU offense scored on their first 11 drives en route to a 69-31 pummeling of NT. The FAU defense was second in the nation in interceptions (18)with two being brought back for TD's. The Owls have a very good QB in Jason Driskel, but he's helped immensely by the rushing game that ranks No 6 in the country. This game will be another monster high scoring affair with North Texas coming out on the short end. Take Florida Atlantic |
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12-01-17 | Stanford +4 v. USC | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 45 m | Show | |
The PAC-12 Championship is being played in Stanford's backyard, so expect a pro-Cardinal group of fans for this one. The Cardinal are 9-3 S/U and 5-6-1 ATS and coming off that big win over Notre Dame, 38-20. USC (10-2 S/U, 3-8-1 ATS) is just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight vs the PAC-12. Stanford is 7-1 ATS in December and looks to avenge their September 9th loss to the Trojans, 24-42. USC has just two covers in its last 10 games, both coming against Arizona schools. Stanford a four point dog here and I have to look at this game as basically a Stanford home game. I'm taking the points here with Stanford as they can win this one outright. |
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11-30-17 | Redskins +1.5 v. Cowboys | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 7 m | Show | |
If either of these two teams hope to keep their slim Wild Card chances alive, they must win this game. Both the Redskins and the Cowboys are 5-6 heading into this contest. Dallas has lost three straight games since they lost Ezekiel Elliot to his suspension. But most glaringly, is the fact that the offense just doesn't work without him. The Cowboys have scored 7, 9 and 6 points in the three games since his departure. The Redskins will have revenge on their minds here after being beaten by the Cowboys at home 33-19. Washington snapped its two game losing streak last week with a win over the Giants, 20-10. Both these teams had the extra rest after playing on Thanksgiving day. Hard for me to believe the oddsmakers made this game a 1 point favorite on Dallas. With Dallas not scoring more than a TD the last three games I don't know where they will get any scoring from here. I'm taking the Redskins to get their revenge. Play Washington. |
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11-27-17 | Texans +7.5 v. Ravens | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
The 4-6 Houston Texans take on the 5-5 Baltimore Ravens tonight on Monday Night Football. The Texans are 6-4 ATS on the season while the Ravens are 5-4-1. Houston also plays well on the fieldturf, going 6-2 ATS in their last eight. Baltimore doesn't seem to do well against bad teams, evidenced by their 6-13-1 ATS mark the last 20 times against a team with a losing record. The loss of QB Watson was death blow to this Houston team. Savage has stepped in and thrown four TD's against three IND's, but his 71 QB rating is well below that of Watson's 103. Joe Flacco is also having a poor year, with nine TD's and 11 INT's and a QB rating of just 74.4. The twilight might be in the sky for the Raven's veteran signal caller. Houston did snap it's three game losing streak last week with a 31-21 win over Arizona. The Ravens shutout the Packers, 23-0 last week. I think this 7.5 point line is just too much for the Ravens to lay here on Monday. I'm taking the Texans and the points. |
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11-26-17 | Broncos v. Raiders -4 | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Such high expectations from both of these teams at the start of the season. Now, both are looking toward next year. Denver (3-7) has lost six straight games and has the look of a team that has thrown in the towel. Oakland (4-6) has gone 2-2 their last four weeks and did show some promise when they beat KC 31-30 back in October. But we know how the Chiefs have played lately, so that win looks a bit tarnished. Still, this is the Raiders and the Broncos and both teams do get excited for this storied rivalry. The problem with the Broncos is that they have no QB, with rotations going on and neither signal called looking good. At least the Raiders have Derek Carr, who has under performed this year, but is still a very good QB. I'm backing the Raiders here, mainly because they are home and they have Carr. Take Oakland. |
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11-26-17 | Seahawks -6.5 v. 49ers | 24-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
This game has a lot of importance to Seattle both for the division and for the Wild Card playoff spots. The Seahawks lucked out getting San Francisco here today, because this is just the softball the team needed. The 49ers are just 4-12-1 ATS their last 17 against a team with a winning record. Home field hasn't meant much to the Niners either, going 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games. Seattle's defense needs a bit of a rest game against a team like the 49ers that have score 10 points in three of their last four games. Of course the Seahawks have to move forward without CB Richard Sherman (Achilles) and S Kam Chancellor (neck) who are both out for the season. The 49ers will start QB C.J Beathard today. He was upgraded after injuring his thumb. Still, this is a game Seattle can't look past. I like the Seahawks defense to buckle down and get business done. Play Seattle. |
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11-26-17 | Titans v. Colts +3.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The 6-4 Titans play the 3-7 Colts here today. Both these clubs have been good over plays. The Titans are 7-3 O/U on the season while the Colts are 6-4. In addition, the Titans are 10-2 O/U last 12 vs the AFC South. Neither team has much defense, with Tennessee allowing 25.3 points per game and the Colts 28 ppg. The Titans have not played well against losing teams, going just 15-34-3 ATS their last 57 tries. They are also just a plain poor covering team, with a 17-42-4 ATS mark their last 63 overall games. On the road, how about 7-21 ATS and it goes on and on. The Colts had last week off, so they at least get to rest some players and prepare for this game. Coming off their bye, the Colts are 8-2 ATS the last 10 years. They are also 16-5 their last 21 games in November. The home team has covered four of the last five in this series and the Colts are 10-2 ATS the last 12 meetings. I'm taking the Colts on Sunday. |
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11-25-17 | Notre Dame v. Stanford +3 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Notre Dame can ill afford a loss here tonight if they want to get back into the top 4. They visit No 20 Stanford and that would go a big way toward getting them there. Notre Dame bounced back from their loss to Miami, 41-8 with a win over Navy last week, 24-10. Meanwhile, Stanford has a chance at the PAC 12 Title and the conference Championship. Notre Dame has lost three straight vs the number. Lots of pressure here on the Irish as they are in a must win spot. I am going to play against that position and go with the home dog in Stanford. |
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11-25-17 | Washington State +10 v. Washington | 14-41 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
These two intrastate rivals both enter this contest with 9-2 S/U records. The WSU Cougars are a tad better against the number at 7-4 with Washington at 6-5. These teams are very compatible on offense, with the Cougars averaging 33 points and the Huskies 36.5. The Huskies have the better scoring defense at 14.5 ppg, while WSU allows 22.9 ppg. Washington State can make the PAC-12 Championship game with a win here tonight. The Cougars are one of the best in the nation at takeaways, with 27 (3rd in country). Turnovers could play a big part in this contest. I think the line here on the home team is way too high. I'm taking Washington State plus the 10 points in what I think will be a close game. |
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11-25-17 | Clemson v. South Carolina +13.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
Big rivalry game here as 10-1 Clemson faces their intrastate rivals South Carolina (8-3). The Tigers have won four straight after that big loss to Syracuse on October 13th, 24-27. South Carolina has strung together a pair of wins with a 28-20 win over Florida and then a tuneup for this week with a 31-10 win over Wofford. The Tigers haven't done too well in November, going 5-11 ATS their last 16. Meanwhile, the gamecocks are 8-2 ATS their last 10 vs the ACC. The home team has covered the last four in this series and South Carolina is 5-0 ATS the last five at home. I like the gamecocks to cover here today. Play South Carolina |
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11-25-17 | Penn State -22 v. Maryland | 66-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
Penn State is now 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games. Ever since this Penn State team got back their full allotment of scholarships, they have taken off. Maryland has lost three straight games, getting outscored 83-41. Their lone win in the last seven games was at home over Indiana, 42-39. Maryland is also 3-9 ATS their last 12 against winning teams. Big difference in talent here and Penn State can't afford any more lapses. They will play the full game here and put this Maryland team away. Play Penn State. |
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11-25-17 | Alabama v. Auburn +5.5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
This is the marquee game on the schedule this week as the top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide takes on No 6 Auburn Tigers. We'll see just how great the heralded Auburn Defense. Jordan-Hare Stadium will be rocking today I look for a upset here for Auburn. Alabama is a 4.5 point favorite heading in here. A win here and the Tigers are in the SEC Championship game and then into the Playoff four. It's all in their hands. Look for Kerryon Johnson to hit hard against a banged-up Alabama defense. Of course we are talking about Alabama, the top team in the nation. But I like Auburn here. They control their own destiny and it start today. |
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11-25-17 | Florida Atlantic -23 v. Charlotte | 31-12 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Florida Atlantic looks to secure a decent bowl game by running their record to 9-3 here on Saturday. Big discrepancy in scoring here as FAU averages 40.5 ppg and Charlotte just 14.4 ppg. Defensively, Charlotte is allowing 32.9 compared to FAU's 26. FAU has covered six of their last seven games and has scored more than 42 points in five of those six. Don't like laying 21 points on the road, but it should be a problem with a high scoring team like Florida Atlantic. |
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11-25-17 | Boston College -3.5 v. Syracuse | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Boston College (6-5 S/U, 7-3-1 ATS) takes on Syracuse (4-7 S/U, 6-4-1 ATS). The BC Eagles have been hot for bettors, going 7-0-1 ATS their last eight games. They have won four of their last five game straight up. The Eagles have scored 39, 14, 35, 41 and 45 their last five games. Syracuse has lost four straight games, allowing 147 points over their last three games. BC laying just 3.5 here on Saturday. Take Boston College. |
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11-25-17 | East Carolina +29 v. Memphis | 13-70 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
East Carolina is only 3-8 on the season and now they take on a very good Memphis team that is 9-1. So you might wonder why I'm backing such a bad team in East Carolina? Well, that's because this game has zero meaning to the Memphis Tigers. The game they have their eye on is next week against No 13 East Carolina. The Tigers are laying 28.5 points here and that is a mountain considering they will try to just get out of here without any major injuries. Throw the numbers away in this game and just look ahead for Memphis, that's all you need to know. Play East Carolina. |
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11-24-17 | South Florida v. Central Florida -9.5 | 42-49 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
Great game on tap today as the 9-1 South Florida Bulls take on the 10-0 Central Florida Knights. The Bulls are 4-6 ATS while the Knights are 6-3-1 ATS on the season. South Florida has won two straight games, with their only loss coming at home to Houston, 24-28. They have lost four straight against the number. This game is for a berth in the AAC Championship game and quite possibly a big New Year's day bowl. Usually when we think of big nationally ranked intrastate Florida rivals playing, the Florida Gators and Florida State Seminoles come to mind. Now it's South Florida vs Central Florida, both in the top 22. I'm taking the home team here though with Central Florida. |
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11-23-17 | Giants v. Redskins -7 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 49 h 27 m | Show | |
The NY Giants (2-8 S/U 4-6 ATS) play at the Washington Redskins (4-6 S/U, 4-6 ATS). The Giants maybe a terrible team, but they do come up with some big upsets. First it was the Broncos back in week 6 and last week they beat the Chiefs. Maybe the Giants need to join the AFC West? The offense still struggles, scoring 12 points last week and not over 24 in any game this season. The Giants average just 16.2 ppg this season and 308 yards of offense. Somehow the Redskins have a knack for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. They led the Saints by double digits late last week only to allow the Saints to score twice late in the game and then win in OT. Washington can score, averaging 23.8 ppg behind QB Kirk Cousins. The passing offense is 7th in the NFL and the club is 9th in total yards. The defense isn't all that good, ranking 31st in points allowed (26.6 ppg). I'm going to take the Redskins here, mainly because they are at home and will want a win for the home crowd on Thanksgiving. Take Washington. |
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11-23-17 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -16 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 33 m | Show | |
It's a big rivalry game here on Thanksgiving as the 5-6 Ole Miss Rebels play at their rivals, 8-3 Mississippi State. The home team has really dominated this series, going 11-5-1 ATS the last 17 meetings. Both teams offenses are pretty equal as they both score right at 33 ppg. Ole Miss tallies more yards at 472 to 412 with Miss State the better rushing team. It's defensively where the line is drawn. Ole Miss allows 35.2 ppg while MSU allows just 19.5 ppg. MSU also allows just 297 yards per game compared to Ole Miss allowing 455 yards. This reflects in the spread as MSU is 7-4 ATS and Ole Miss is 3-7-1 ATS on the season. This may be a rivalry, but it won't be close on Thursday as Mississippi State should win it easily. |
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11-23-17 | Vikings v. Lions +3 | 30-23 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 33 m | Show | |
Short week for both clubs coming off Sunday wins. The Vikings had their showdown with another first place team, the LA Rams. It was tied at half, but Minnesota pulled away in the second half for the win, 24-7. It was the club's six win in a row S/U and fifth ATS. The Lions also won at Chicago, 27-24, their third win in a row. However, their rush defense continues to give up way too many yards, about 114 per game compared to just 77 by the Vikings. QB Mathew Stafford is the highest paid player in the NFL, but Case Keenum continues to shine for Minnesota with 12 TD's and just five INT's. The public has moved this line from Detroit -1 to Minnesota minus three as of this writing. That has put me on Detroit here on Thursday. I like getting a field goal at home with Detroit that is always tough on their home court. Minnesota may also have a bit of a hangover from their LA win. Detroit is the play here on Thursday. |
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11-21-17 | Bowling Green v. Eastern Michigan -13.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
2-9 Bowling Green takes on 4-7 Eastern Michigan here on Tuesday night. Neither club will be playing in any bowls this year. BG has been a poor bet, going just 6-18 ATS their last 24. EM has been a wiser play for bettors, covering 19 of their last 26 games and 11 of their last 16 in the MAC. While both teams are comparable offensively, EM has a big edge on defense. BG allows an average of 519 yards per game and 38.4 ppg. Meanwhile, EM allows just 22.6 ppg and 355 yards. BG has allowed 66, 38, 16, 48 and 48 their last five games. EM has to cover 13.5 here, but that shouldn't be a problem against this horrible defense. Play Eastern Michigan. |
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11-20-17 | Falcons +1.5 v. Seahawks | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
The Seahawks got some extra rest with four days off after playing early last week. The bad news is they lost corner Richard Sherman for the season with a ruptured Achilles. In addition, the Seahawks may be without safety Earl Thomas too. That is not good against a high powered Falcons throwing attack. Yes, the Falcons are not scoring near their 32 point average of last year. Part of that problem lies in the OC of Steve Sarkisian, who just hasn't gelled with the offense yet. The 6-3 Seahawks have scored more than 24 points just one time in their last five games. With Sherman out and possibly Thomas too, they may have to ramp that up a bit. The Seahawks are just 3-8 ATS their last 11 following a straight up win. I have to wait and see how these Seahawks play without key components of their defense. I'll take the points here tonight with Atlanta. |
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11-19-17 | Lions v. Bears +3 | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 51 h 37 m | Show | |
Detroit struggled for much of the first half last week against winless Cleveland before Mathew Stafford took over in the second half. Tough to back a road Lions team that plays some strange football at times. They allowed 413 yards to the Browns of all teams, with 201 on the ground. Now they have to face the Bears predominant ground and pound. The Bears are no pushover at Soldiers field, beating the Steelers and the Panthers, with narrow misses to the Vikings and Falcons. I'm backing the Bears here on Sunday. |
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11-18-17 | Air Force +17.5 v. Boise State | 19-44 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
Surprisingly the Air Force Falcons have won the last three games in this series, all as the dog. In fact, the Falcons are 5-0 ATS the last five vs the Broncos. In addition, in those five covers the Falcons have scored at least 26 points each time. So, here we go again. The Broncos are again a big favorite, 17 1/2 points. Yes, they are perfect at 6-0 in the Mountain West and sit atop the conference. However, this team has always been their Achilles's heal and the 17.5 points is just too much to pass on. Take Air Force. |
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11-18-17 | Missouri -7.5 v. Vanderbilt | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
Vandy still looking for its first win in the SEC as they sit at 0-6. Meanwhile, Missouri has a four game win streak and they have won those four by an average margin of 37 ppg. Missouri is also 9-4 ATS in their last 13 away games. I have to give Missouri a lot of credit after a dismal start that saw the club go 1-5. With four straight wins they can become bowl eligible now. Vandy will just be playing out the schedule at this point. Not much fight left in these Commodores. Take Missouri. |
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11-18-17 | Virginia +19.5 v. Miami-FL | 28-44 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
Miami cracked the top 4 in the country with their convincing win over ranked Notre Dame last week, 41-8. The Hurricanes have covered two straight but only two of the last five. Miami will be laying big wood here today with the line currently at 19.5. I'm going to take those points here today with Virginia. One big reason, letdown! I look for Miami to have a major letdown after last week's clobbering of Notre Dame. Also, this is a Miami team that needs a break, having played nine weeks now without a bye. So I look for HC Mark Richt to pull back on the reigns with his Hurricanes. Virginia, unlike Notre Dame, has a good passing game and can play from behind. Look for Virginia to keep this one closer than the oddsmakers think. Play Virginia as your ACC Game of the Month. |
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11-18-17 | SMU v. Memphis -12 | Top | 45-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
American Athletic Conference Game of the Year : SMU has lost its last two games, a wild 43-40 loss last week to Navy and hten a 31-24 setback two weeks ago vs Central Florida. Now they face a Memphis team that has won it's last five games, scoring over 41 in four of those wins and 30 in the other. In fact, the Tigers have outscored their last five opponents by a 239-136 margin. The Tigers are 8-1 on the season with their only loss coming at the hands of Central Florida. Memphis averages over 500 yards a games with 329 coming via the air and 173 on the ground. This Tigers club is just rolling right now and I don't see that changing here on Saturday before the home crowd. Take Memphis. |
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11-16-17 | Titans +7 v. Steelers | 17-40 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 14 m | Show | |
We fully expected a flat Steelers team last week laying double digits at the Colts and played on the Colts as our hi-roller Platinum Play. Now both clubs have just the four days off between games to prepare for this contest. The Titans are now 6-3 S/U and 3-5-1 ATS on the season while the Steelers are 7-2 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the year. The Titans have covered the last three in this series, winning two straight up. In addition, the Titans are on a four game win streak and have held all four opponents to 22 or less points. The Steelers are also on a four game win streak and have held their four opponents to 17 points or less. I expect a lower scoring contest here and with the Steelers lay at or on 7 points, I don't see them being able to cover this large a number. Play Tennessee |
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11-12-17 | Cowboys +3 v. Falcons | 7-27 | Loss | -100 | 40 h 10 m | Show | |
Is he or isn't he? That's seems to be the question every single week in the Ezekiel Elliot suspension drama. However, it looks like the best Cowboys weapon may have finally run out of options as his appeal was denied by an appeals court. So for now, he's OUT! The Cowboys will now turn to a trio of RB's in Alfred Morris, Rod Smith and Darren McFadden. Zak Prescott has 16 TD's and just four INT's this season. As for the Falcons, ever since they lost Kyle Shanahan to the 49ers this offense has been in shambles. They are 17th in the NFL in scoring with just 21.1 ppg. Finding the end zone has been a problem all season for the defending NFC Champs. Matt Ryan, last year's MVP, has just 11 TD's on the season much to the dismay of his Fantasy football owners. Julio Jones has just one TD and is struggling through an ankle injury. RB Devonta Freeman is also nursing a shoulder injury that has limited his production. The Falcons just can't seem to find any groove this year. The Cowboys, with or without Elliot, should have little problem winning this game. Play Dallas. |
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11-12-17 | Jets -2.5 v. Bucs | 10-15 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 35 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay will be hard pressed to score points here on Sunday as their two best offensive weapons will miss this game. WR Mike Evans (Suspension) is out and QB Jameis Winston (Shoulder) is also expected to miss this contest. There were high expectations when the season began for the Bucs who are now 2-6 S/U and 1-6-1 ATS. Tampa has lost their last five games and is 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven. Meanwhile, the Jets are 4-5 S/U and 6-2-1 ATS. The Jets have also covered the last five games in this series. The Jets are a 2.5 point road chalk here, but not sure where the Bucs will score points here. I'll lay the points with the Jets. |
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11-12-17 | Steelers v. Colts +10 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 37 h 34 m | Show | |
The bad news for Colts fans is that QB Andrew Luck is done for the year and possibly even his career. Time will tell. The Colts are 3-6 SU and 5-4 ATS on the season. This has been a very good November team, covering nine of the last 10 games in November. Pitt is 6-2 S/U and 5-3 ATS for the season. The Steelers have won three straight both S/U and ATS. The defense has been solid, holding their last three opponents to 15 points or less and four of the last five. The Colts also coming off a win, 20-14 at Houston. The win snapped a three game losing streak for the Colts. Pittsburgh is coming off its bye week, but surprisingly they are just 1-5 ATS the last six years after the week off. Colts are a double digit home dog, not something you see a lot of in the NFL. Pittsburgh has a habit of looking past bad teams like this one. Don't be surprised if the Colts give the Steelers all they can handle. Take Indianapolis. |
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11-12-17 | Chargers +4.5 v. Jaguars | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 37 h 34 m | Show | |
The 3-5 LA Chargers travel East to play the 5-3 Jaguars. The Chargers had their bye week last week after a close, hard fought loss the week before at New England, 21-13. The loss snapped a three-game win streak for the Chargers. The Jags have won two straight games, outscoring the Bengals and Colts by a 50-7 margin. The Chargers have been very good to bettors on the road, posting a 12-5-1 ATS mark their last 18 away contests. In addition, the Chargers have covered the last six in this series. Getting 3.5 here with the Chargers who are playing very well of late is too much to pass on. Take LA. |
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11-12-17 | Vikings v. Redskins | 38-30 | Win | 100 | 37 h 33 m | Show | |
The Vikings have covered three straight games, which means they are now 36-15 ATS in their last 51 games. Minnesota coming off a 33-16 win over Cleveland in London two weeks ago and had the week off last week. The Vikings lead the NFC North with a 6-2 record and trail just New Orleans for the No 2 seed in the conference. Washington saw their two game losing streak snapped last week with a big upset of the Seattle Seahawks, 17-14. The spread win was the club's first in their last five games. Minnesota the better of these two teams and laying just over a point here is fine with me. Play Minnesota. |