Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-13-18 | Phillies v. Marlins +130 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
The Marlins took two of three games from the Brewers as they head into their final series before the break. The Marlins will turn to Wei-Yin Chen tonight. Chen is just 2-6 on the season with a lofty 6.14 ERA and 1.546 WHIP. He's been inconsistent, pitching well one game and getting shelled the next. The Phillies will turn to Jake Arrieta who is 6-6 on the season with a 3.47 ERA. The Phils are a pretty good road favorite here and the key to this game is finding out which Chen will show up. I think we'll get the good one tonight. Chen has been so much better at home where he has a 1.89 ERA in his six starts and and the Marlins are 4-2. Chen at home as a dog has some great value here. Play Miami. |
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07-12-18 | Rays -115 v. Twins | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
Tampa Bay continues their surge. It was just a week or so ago that they climbed back to .500 mark. Now, the club is 48-44 with their recent five game win streak. The Rays took two of three from the Mets and then swept the Tigers. Today they start a four-game set with the Twins. The Rays begin the series with their Ace on the hill, Blake Snell. Snell is 12-4 on the season with a nice 2.10 ERA. Snell has now allowed over one run in any of his last four starts and just one time in his last nine starts. The Twins are still eight games under .500 at 41-49. They will turn to Kyle Gibson today. Gibson is just 3-6 this season with a 3.59 ERA. Gibson has allowed 11 runs over his last three starts. Snell has been amazing and today we'll stick with the Rays Ace here. Play Tampa Bay. |
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07-12-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies +103 | 1-5 | Win | 103 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
The Rockies have split their first two games with Arizona, taking last night's contest 19-2. The Rockies will send Kyle Freeland to the hill today with a 8-6 record and 3.18 ERA. Freeland has been even better at Coors field, posting a 5-2 record and 2.89 ERA. Freeland has not allowed more than two runs in any of his last four starts. The D'backs will start Robbie Ray today. Ray is 3-1 in his nine starts with a 5.23 ERA and lofty 1.488 WHIP. Ray has allowed 10 runs over his last 9 1/3 innings of work with five walks. Strange that Colorado is a +1.00 dog here against a poor pitcher like Ray. I'll take the good price on the home team. Play Colorado. |
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07-10-18 | Cardinals -158 v. White Sox | Top | 14-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
White Sox have now lost five straight games as they begin their IL series tonight with the Cardinals. The Astros blasted the Sox, outscoring them 29-14. Dylan Covey will start for the Sox tonight. Covey is 3-4 with a 5.01 ERA. Covey has got hit hard late, allowing 22 runs over his last four starts (15 innings). The Cardinals lost two of their three game set with the Giants. They work their way back East after their West Coast swing. Miles Mikolas has been excellent for the red birds, posting a 9-3 record this season with a nifty 2.63 ERA and 1.033 WHIP. Mikolas has allowed just five total runs over his last three starts (19 innings). Huge edge today to the Cardinals in starters, plus St Louis just is the better team. Play the Cardinals. |
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07-09-18 | Cubs v. Giants -114 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
The Cubs are in second place in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers. Chicago has won two straight and eight of the last nine games. They will start Kyle Hendricks today who is 5-8 on the season with a 4.27 ERA. Hendricks has had a rough time of late, allowing 13 runs over his last three starts (13 2/3 innings). Kenricks has walked seven and struck out just eight during that span. The Cubs make the trip West today to take on the Giants. The Giants split their four-game series with the Cardinals, taking the finale on Sunday, 13-8. Today, they will start Andrew Suarez. Suarez is 3-5 with a 3.92 ERA. Suarez has pitched very well of late, allowing just three runs over his last three starts (19 2/3 innings) with just three BB's and 15 KO's. Suarez pitching very well compared to Kendricks. I'm taking the Giants here tonight. |
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07-08-18 | Reds v. Cubs -143 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
The Cubs and Reds have split the first two games of this series with the Reds winning last night, 8-7. The Reds have now won seven of their last eight games. They send one of the leagues best to the hill today in Jon Lester. Lester is among the MLB leaders in ERA with a 2.25 ERA and 11-2 record. Lester has allowed more than two runs just one time in his last 11 starts. The Reds dropped to 39-50 with the loss last night. They will counter with Luis Castillo. Castillo is 5-8 in his 18 starts with a 5.53 ERA and 1.378 WHIP. Castillo has allowed less than three runs just one time in his last seven starts. Cubs should have little trouble here today. Play Chicago. |
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07-08-18 | Braves v. Brewers -120 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
The Brewers sit atop the NL Central division with their 53-36 record. They have taken two of the first three from the Braves, losing last night 1-5. Junior Guerra will start today with a 5-5 record and 2.87 ERA. Guerra has pitched well, allowing no runs in his last start over five innings. The Braves are in first place in the NL East with a 50-38 record. They will send Sean Newcomb to the hill today with a 8-3 record and 3.10 ERA. Newcomb has allowed eight runs over his last two starts (8 2/3 innings) with seven walks and just eight KO's. I like the Brewers today with Guerra on the hill. Play Milwaukee. |
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07-08-18 | Rays -141 v. Mets | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay has just got back to .500 at 44-44 with their win on Saturday over the Mets, 3-0. The Rays will try and stay there today with Nathan Eovaldi on the hill. Eovaldi has a 3.92 ERA this season in his seven starts and has pitched very well of late. Eovaldi has allowed just two runs over his last 12 innings. The Mets dropped to just 35-50 on the season with their loss last night to the Rays. The Mets are calling up Chris Flexen to start today. The Mets have a doubleheader on Monday and needed the fifth starter. Flexen has just a 4.48 ERA in his 67 innings at Triple-A Las Vegas. Flexen hasn't show much in the minors or in relief for the Mets this year. Take the Rays. |
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07-07-18 | Cardinals -124 v. Giants | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
These clubs have split the first two of their series with the Cardinals winning on Thursday and the Giants last night, 3-2. The Cardinals send Carlos Martinez to the hill today. Martinez is 5-4 with a 3.20 ERA. Martinez has allowed just four runs over his last two starts (12 innings) with three walks and 15 KO's. The Giants are in fourth place in the NL West at 46-44. They snapped a four-game losing streak with last night's win. Jeff Samardzija returns from the DL today. Samardzija hasn't pitched since May 29th when he went just one inning. Samardzija is 1-4 on the season with a 6.56 ERA. Not sure what form Samardzija will be in after a long layoff. I'm taking the Cardinals here today until I know how Samardzija works out. |
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07-07-18 | Phillies +117 v. Pirates | 3-2 | Win | 117 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
The Phillies bring a five game win streak into today's contest with their Western PA rivals. The Phils trounced the Bucs yesterday, 17-5. Jake Arrieta starts tonight for Philly. Arrieta is only 5-6 on the season, but has a nice 3.54 ERA and 1.270 WHIP. Arrieta has been solid, allowing three runs or less in each of his last three starts. The Pirates have a four game losing streak. They turn to Jameson Taillon today. Taillon is 5-6 with a 4.05 ERA. Philly just playing better ball at this stage of the season. Take Philadelphia |
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07-07-18 | Reds +136 v. Cubs | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Reds have won two straight including last night's opener with the Cubs, 3-2. Today Matt Harvey will toe the rubber. Harvey is just 4-5 on the season with a 4.46 ERA. However, he's pitched well of late, allowing no runs in his last start and just three runs over his last three starts (18 2/3 innings). The Cubs will counter with Tyler Chatwood. Chatwood is 3-5 with a 4.42 ERA. Unlike Harvey, Chatwood is coming off his worst start of the season, allowing seven runs over five innings to the Twins. Both these pitchers have similar stats with Harvey the better of late. No reason the Cubs should be such a big favorite here. Take the Reds. |
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07-06-18 | A's +175 v. Indians | 4-10 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
The surging Oakland A's are now 48-39 on the season thanks to a run where they are 14-3 in their last 17 games. Which begs the question, how are the A's who are one of the hottest teams in baseball such a big dog tonight? They have Paul Blackburn on the hill who is only 2-2 this year with a 6.47 ERA. However, Blackburn is coming off one of his best starts last time out against who? Yep, these Indians. He allowed the tribe just three hits and no runs over 6 2/3 innings. The Indians will counter with Carlos Carrasco who is 8-5 in his 15 starts with a 4.24 ERA. However, Carrasco hasn't started since mid-June due to injury. He wasn't all that consistent either in his previous starts. So again, my question is why are the A's such a big dog. Really, there is no reason. I'm taking the A's here who can easily win this contest. |
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07-06-18 | Rays +147 v. Mets | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
The Rays have been a giant killer this year. AT 43-43 they sure get some huge dog prices and tonight is no different. The last eight times the Rays have been installed as the underdog, they are an amazing 7-1 and the profits just have been rolling in. Tonight, I'm taking the Rays again with Ryan Stanek on the hill. Stanek may only have a 0-1 record in his nine starts, but the Rays have won two of his last three starts as big dogs. The Mets are just 34-49 on the season and while they have their ace on the hill tonight, that's never a given with this club. Jacob Degrom is having a nice year, at 5-4 you would think his stats are mediocre too, but not. He has an outstanding 1.84 ERA and hasn't allowed over three runs in any of his last 13 starts. So how does he have just five wins? Poor support. In his last 10 starts the Mets have garnered more than three runs of support just one time. Take the Rays tonight and enjoy your dog winner. |
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07-05-18 | Cardinals v. Giants -129 | 11-2 | Loss | -129 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
The Giants had been riding a nice 9-2 run before they hit the Mile High City. The Rockies swept the Giants, outscoring them 14-3. The Giants return home tonight from their six game road trip to face the Cardinals. Johnny Cueto returns to the hill tonight after making his last start on April 28. Cueto is a huge return to this team after he was 3-0 to start the season with a 0.84 ERA and 0.688 WHIP. The Cardinals took two of three in their series with the Diamondbacks but are still just 2-5 in their last seven games. Their West Coast trip continues tonight at San Francisco. The Red Birds will start Luke Weaver who is 4-7 in his 17 starts with a 5.36 ERA and 1.461 WHIP. Weaver has walked eight batters in his last 15 2/3 innings. If Cueto is even close to his previous form, the Giants are a great play tonight. Take San Francisco. |
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07-04-18 | Angels v. Mariners -105 | 7-4 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
The Seattle Mariners win streak continues, now up to eight games after their 4-1 win over the Angels on Tuesday. The M's jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the 1st inning and never looked back. Mike Leake will try and extend the streak to nine tonight. Leake is 8-4 in his 17 starts with a 4.01 ERA and 1.208 WHIP. Leak has had seven excellent starts in his last eight games. His only blemish was a five run performance to the Red Sox on Jun 17th. The Angels have lost two straight and eight of the last 10 games. The Halos will turn to Jamie Barria tonight. Barria is 5-4 in 11 starts with a 3.40 ERA and 1.204 WHIP. The Mariners have been red- hot and they have an excellent closer in Diaz. Take the Mariners! |
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07-03-18 | Angels v. Mariners -109 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
The LA Angels try to get back into the race today after dropping to 43-42 on the season. The Angels send Andrew Heaney to the hill. Heaney is 4-5 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.207 WHIP. Heany is coming onff one of his worst starts, alloing six runs over just 3 1/3 innings to the Red Sox. Seattle continues to cruise along, winning seven in a row by sweeping the Royals and the Orioles. Tonight they send Wade Leblanc to the hill. Leblanc is 3-0 in his 11 starts with a 3.09 ERA and 1.166 WHIP. Leblanc has just one bad start in his last 11, that coming at Boston on June 22 where he allowed six runs over 4 2/3 innings. I like the Mariners as they continue to play great baseball. Play Seattle. |
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07-03-18 | Orioles v. Phillies -144 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
The Orioles snapped their seven game losing streak last night with a win over the Angels, 8-2. The O's are still buried in last place in what is the toughest division in baseball, the AL East. Alex Cobb gets the start this eveing with a 2-9 record and 6.75 ERA. Cobb has not pitched well, allowing 20 runs over his last four starts (22 2/3 innings). Meanwhile, the Phillies have won two straight and four of five. The Phils send Zach Eflin to the hill today with a 6-2 record in his 10 starts. Eflin has a nifty 3.02 ERA and has not allowed over two runs in any of his last four starts. Eflin pitching great and the O's just not a good team this year. Play Philadelphia. |
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07-03-18 | Red Sox +101 v. Nationals | 11-4 | Win | 101 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Two of the best teams in baseball reside in the AL East this year and that's Boston and the NY Yankees. Sad thing is, one will have to settle for a Wild Card. The Red Sox hope it won't be them and today they will send Brian Johnson to hill. Johnson has just two starts, but both have been good. Johnson allowed one run over four innings to the Angels and then one run over six innings to the Marlins. The Nationals have lost three straight and eight of their last 10 games. They will try to get out of their slump with Tanner Roark on the hill. Roark has a 3-8 record in his 16 starts with a 3.94 ERA. Walks have been an issue for Roark, with seven free passes in his last 10 1/3 innings. I like the Sox tonight with Johnson on the hill. Play Boston. |
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07-03-18 | Twins v. Brewers -129 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Twins look to snap a four-game losing streak when they play the second of their series tonight with the Brewers. The Twins lost the opener last night 5-6. Jake Odorizzi starts tonight for the Twins. Odorizzi is 3-5 in his 17 starts with a 4.62 ERA and 1.436 WHIP. Walks have been a issue for Odorizzi with 12 free passes in his last four starts. The Brewers will counter with Junior Guerra tonight. Guerra is 4-5 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.198 WHIP. I like this IL matchup in favor of the home club here. Play Milwaukee. |
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07-01-18 | Braves -109 v. Cardinals | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Atlanta goes for the sweep today in their series with the Cardinals. The Braves have scored 16 runs to the Cardinals 5 runs thus far. Mike Foltynewicz starts today for the Braves. Foltynewicz is 5-4, but has pitched much better than his record. Foltynewicz has a 2.14 ERA and has not allowed more than two runs in any of his last eight starts. In fact, in those eight starts he allowed two runs just one time. The Cardinals have lost three straight games and scored just six runs during that stretch. Today they start John Gant. Gant is 1-2 in his four starts with a 4.09 ERA and 1.091 WHIP. The way Foltynewicz is pitching, I don't see the Cardinals getting much off him. I'll take Atlanta. |
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06-30-18 | Giants +111 v. Diamondbacks | 7-0 | Win | 111 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
The Giants and D'backs opened a three game series last night with the Giants winning 2-1. That makes the Giants 5-1 in their last six and 8-2 in their last 10 games. Derek Rodriguez starts today for the Giants with a 2-1 record in his five starts. Rodriquez has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.280 WHIP and is coming off a seven inning, four hit, one run performance. Arizona lost for just the second time in their last nine games. The D'backs have allowed just three runs over their last three games. Shelby Miller toes the rubber today for the D'backs, making just his second start of the season. His first wasn't all that good, allowing five runs over just 3 2/3 innings to the Marlins. Both teams have been playing well, but I give the nod here today to the visitor. Take San Francisco. |
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06-30-18 | Red Sox -135 v. Yankees | 11-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
The Red Sox and Yankees continue their storied rivalry here today on Saturday. The Sox lost the opener last night, 1-8. Today they turn to Chris Sale who is 7-4 with a 2.56 ERA and 0.927 WHIP. Sale has been excellent of late, allowing just four runs over his four starts (28 innings). He's also walked just seven and struck out 43. The Yankees will start Sonny Gray who is 5-5 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.444 WHIP. Gray has allowed 10 runs over the last 16 2/3 innings. Red Sox have a very good Sale on the hill today and that's all I need to play Boston. |
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06-29-18 | Braves v. Cardinals -146 | 5-1 | Loss | -146 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Two clubs having very good seasons matchup here tonight as the 45-34 Braves take on the 42-37 Cardinals. Atlanta has slumped a bit of late, losing two straight games and five of the last seven. They will send Julio Teheran to the hill tonight with a 5-5 record in his 15 starts. Teheran has a 4.52 ERA, but is coming off his worst start of the year, allowing seven runs over just 4 2/3 innings. The Cardinals had their four-game win streak snapped on Wednesday by the Indians, 1-5. Miles Mikola has been outstanding for the Red Birds this year, posting a 8-2 record with a 2.69 ERA. He's been even better at home with a 1.68 ERA and 0.869 WHIP. I like Mikolas a lot here tonight, take St Louis. |
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06-29-18 | White Sox +135 v. Rangers | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
White Sox and Rangers begin a three-game set here today in Arlington. The White Sox just took two of three from the Twins. However, Chicago is still 24 games under the break even mark at 28-52. Dylan Covey has been a pleasant surprise for the Sox, posting a 3-2 record in eight starts with a 2.84 ERA and 1.399 WHIP. The Rangers took two of their from visiting San Diego in IL action. The Rangers will send Yovani Gallardo to the hill. Gallardo is 1-0 with a 7.84 ERA in his two starts. In fact, he's allowed nine runs over 10 1/3 innings with five walks and just seven KO's. Gallardo not pitching near form yet and with that I'll stick with the Sox here tonight. Play Chicago. |
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06-29-18 | Astros v. Rays +190 | 2-3 | Win | 190 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Rays have improved to 39-41 thanks to a recent 5-1 run. However, they did lose the opener with the Astros on Thursday, 0-1 in a tough loss. Still, this club wins as big dogs, evidenced by their wins over the Nationals (+1.80), Yankees (+1.75), Astros (+2.15)and Yankees (+2.25) all within the last two weeks. So you can get great value with this team as a big dog as they are here today. Wilmer Font is 1-1 in his four starts with a nice 1.69 ERA and 1.063 WHIP. Font has allowed just one run over his last three starts (13 2/3 innings). The Astros start Gerrit Cole who is 9-1 on the season with a 2.56 ERA and 0.899 WHIP. Cole has been hit the last few starts, evidenced by those eight runs he gave up in two starts. This looks like a live dog spot again for these Rays. Take Tampa Bay. |
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06-29-18 | Twins v. Cubs -125 | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
White Sox and Rangers begin a three-game set here today in Arlington. The White Sox just took two of three from the Twins. However, Chicago is still 24 games under the break even mark at 28-52. Dylan Covey has been a pleasant surprise for the Sox, posting a 3-2 record in eight starts with a 2.84 ERA and 1.399 WHIP. The Rangers took two of their from visiting San Diego in IL action. The Rangers will send Yovani Gallardo to the hill. Gallardo is 1-0 with a 7.84 ERA in his two starts. In fact, he's allowed nine runs over 10 1/3 innings with five walks and just seven KO's. Gallardo not pitching near form yet and with that I'll stick with the Sox here tonight. Play Chicago. |