Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-04-20 | Colts v. Bears +3 | Top | 19-11 | Loss | -113 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
The Colts used three INT's last week to defeat the Jets, 36-7 and improve to 2-1 on the season. RB Jonathon Taylor has been great for the Colts, with 261 scrimmage yards this season. After losing their opening game at Jacksonville, the Colts have won their next two games by a combined 64-18. The Bears had a miraculous comeback at Atlanta last week with Nick Foles coming off the bench to toss three, fourth quarter touchdowns. That made the Bears 3-0 on the season. Foles was 16-for-29 for 188 and three TD's in their win last week. Colts QB Phillip Rivers showing he still has what it takes. Rivers leads the NFL in completion rate, 78.3%. This should be an excellent matchup with two hot teams. I'm going to take the points here at home with the undefeated Bears. |
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10-04-20 | Seahawks v. Dolphins +6 | 31-23 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks are 3-0 to start the season and have had some wild finishes already. They came down to the last seconds to hold onto their win over the Patriots and last week had to keep Dallas at bay in a wild shootout. Meanwhile the Dolphins got their first win of the season last week on Thursday with a victory over the Jaguars, 31-13. Miami has had good success at home against the Seahawks with a 6-1 record their last seven tries. It's a very long trip for the Seahawks from the Northwest to the far South of Miami. Teams going from West to East don't usually do well in that scenario. The Dolphins have looked decent this year and I look for them to stay with the Seahawks on Sunday. Take the Points with Miami. |
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10-04-20 | Cardinals v. Panthers +3.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
The 2-1 Arizona Cardinals make the trip East to play the 1-2 Carolina Panthers. The Cardinals lost their first game of the season last week at home to Detroit, 23-26. The Lions making the winning field goal as time expired. The Cardinals are now 1-9 S/U when they score fewer than 25 points. QB Kyler Murray had three INT's in that loss. The Panthers picked up their first win of the season last week against the Chargers, 21-16. QB Teddy Bridgewater has completed 78.6% of his passes in each of his last two games. Not only does Arizona make the dreaded West to East Coast trip here today, but they are laying points on the road. The Panthers might still be without star RB Christian McCaffrey, but Bridgewater seems to be getting things done this season. I'll take the points here at home with the Panthers. |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
This looks to be the marquee matchup of the week as the defending NFL Champion Kansas City Chiefs take on the 2-0 Baltimore Ravens. The Chiefs had to come-from-behind last week against the Chargers with a 14-3 fourth quarter to win in OT, 23-20, and start their season 2-0. Meanwhile, the Ravens rushed for 230 yards in their win over the Houston Texans last week, 33-16. It was the Ravens 15th game with at least 200 yards rushing since 2018. The Chiefs are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games and 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 road games as dog. Moreover, they are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 road games. The Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games but just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 as a home favorite. The Chiefs are 6-3 S/U in their last nine vs the Ravens and 4-1 in Baltimore. This promises to be an exciting game, but for me I can't pass on a field goalwith this Chiefs club. Take Kansas City. |
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09-27-20 | Panthers +6.5 v. Chargers | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers are 0-2 to start the season and now they play without their superstar running back in Christian McCaffrey. McCaffrey was initially thought lost for 4-6 weeks with a high ankle sprain, but he's saying he will be back much sooner than that. The Panther lost last week to the Buccaneers, 17-31. Meanwhile, the Chargers led the entire way against the Chiefs last week and looked for the big upset. However, the Chiefs forced OT and eventually beat the Chargers, 20-23. It was the Chargers first game at SoFi Stadium. Justin Hebert made his debut for the Chargers at QB. Tyrod Taylor was ruled out at game time and Herbert made his first NFL start. He put up good numbers with 311 passing yards, one TD passing and one rushing. The Panthers getting seven points here on Sunday. Consider that the Chargers have lost 10 games by seven points or fewer since 2019. That means they play a lot of close games. McCaffrey is a huge loss as he accounts for over 30% of the teams offense. But, I will take the touchdown here on Sunday with the Panthers. |
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09-27-20 | Raiders v. Patriots -6.5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
Las Vegas Raiders flying high after starting the season 2-0, including that emotional Monday Night win over the Saints in their new Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The Raiders then got a huge send off to New England from the fans and a police escort. Now reality hits though as they had to fly the long West to East distance to Foxboro. Never easy for the West teams to go East, but this one is going to be tough. They have lost their high draft rookie in WR Ruggs with a few nagging injuries. Now, their two best players, TE Waller and RB Jacobs are both hurting and questionable for this game. The Patriots came literally within inches of beating the Seahawks last week on the game's last play. QB Cam Newtown got stopped short and that's why the club is 1-1 now and not 2-0 as they could easily be. This is going to be an emotional letdown game for the Raiders and if they are missing those three players or they are hurting, this could be a long day for the Raiders. My top play today is on the Patriots as they bring the Raiders back down to earth. |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +6 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show |
The Raiders begin their era in Las Vegas inside their brand new Allegiant stadium. The Raiders won a high scoring affair last week at Carolina, while the New Orleans Saints upended the Tom Brady led Tampa Bay Bucs. QB Drew Brees will be without his favorite target though as WR Michael Thomas is out indefinitely with a ankle injury. Even though there won't be a stadium full of Vegas fans here on Monday, it will still be an exciting beginning for the city and the Raiders. For me this is too many points to lay the Raiders. I won't be surprised by a straight-up Raiders win here on Monday, but I'll gladly take the points. Play LV Raiders. |
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09-20-20 | Patriots v. Seahawks -4 | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
The Patriots began their post Tom Brady era with a win last week over the Miami Dolphins, 21-11 behind new QB Cam Newton. Seattle was carried by the arm of QB Russell Wilson last week to a win over the Atlanta Falcons, 35-28. Wilson had a QB rating of 143.1 after completing 31 of 35 passes for 322 yards and four touchdowns. The Patriots obviously have to find someone to carry the ball as six different plays rushed for 20 or more yards last week vs Miami. I feel that the Pats were lucky they played a weak Miami team last week and were able to see what they have. Personally, I don't think they have much and today it's going to show. Russell Wilson looks like an MVP once again and I look for him to give the Patriots all kinds of fits here on Sunday. My favorite play on Sunday is in this game and it's on the Seahawks. |
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09-20-20 | Rams v. Eagles | 37-19 | Loss | -123 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The Eagles blew a 17-0 lead last week vs Washington. However, the Eagles get back some players this week and should play much better. The Eagles were outscored 0-27 after jumping out to that lead over Washington. The Eagles have won the last six meetings with the Rams. They have also averaged 32.2 points in their last six with the Rams. For me, the Rams making the long trip East is always tough on the West coast teams. I like the Eagles here on Sunday. Play Philadelphia. |
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09-20-20 | Giants +5.5 v. Bears | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears needed a 21-0 fourth quarter rally last week against the Lions to pull out a win, 27-23. QB Mitch Trubisky tossed three touchdowns in the win for the Bears. The Giants looking to avoid another 0-2 start to the season. Giants RB Saquon Barkley rushed for just six yards last week in their loss. The problem I see with both these teams lie in their respective defenses. The Bears allowed 426 yards to the Lions last week to go with 23 points. Giants QB Jones had another solid week last week but they played against a very good Steelers defnse. Won't be same here today though as Barkley and Jones should do much better vs the Bears defense. I'm taking the Giants not to go 0-2 once again. Play the Giants. |
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09-14-20 | Titans v. Broncos +3 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
The Denver Broncos host the Tennessee Titans in the late Monday Night matchup. The Broncos haven't even played a game yet and are already having to deal with big injuries. Gone is Von Miller who will be lost for three months or more. Now Courtland Sutton is dealing with a sprained AC joint. Good news is that the Broncos have historically been a great team to bet on in their home opener. Denver is 22-3 S/U in their last 25 home openers and tonight they are a slight dog which makes that number come into play. Even without fans, the Broncos are one team that still carries a home field advantage into this game and that's the mile high altitude. The Titans came oh so close to a Super Bowl trip last year, losing in the AFC Championship game to the Chiefs. The Titans use their dominating rushing attack against their opponents. For me, the Broncos will do all they can to avoid that 0-4 start they had last year. That coupled with their great opening home record and the altitude will put me on the Broncos in this one. |
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09-13-20 | Cardinals +7 v. 49ers | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
The defending NFC champion San Francisco 49ers begin defense of their NFC crown here today with division rival Arizona. The 49ers won both game against the Cardinals last year, though they were both close games, 28-25 in Arizona and 36-26 at home (that game much closer than the final score). Will the 49ers come out and have a hangover from their Super Bowl appearance? Kliff Kingsbury returns as the Cardinals coach. Arizona got off to a bad start last year, going 0-4-1 in their first five games. However, they played pretty good the rest of the way, finishing at 5-10-1. Kyler Murray had flashes of brilliance last year and looks to build on that with his 2nd season as the starter at QB for the Cardinals. It was evident down the stretch last year that the 49ers wanted to run the ball and not put it in the hands of Garoppolo. Expect a lot of run here on Sunday. Still, the Cardinals gave them all they could handle last year and I look for that again here today. Take the points with Arizona. |
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09-13-20 | Bucs +3.5 v. Saints | 23-34 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
Great matchup here between two future hall of fame QB's in Tom Brady and Drew Brees. Brady brought his show South to Florida to head the Tampa Bay Bucs offense. Then recently the Bucs padded their backfield by signing Leonard Fournette to go with Ronald Jones. Brees looks to be playing his last season before retiring so you know the Saints will want him to go out with a Super Bowl. The Bucs will have to stop Alvin Kamara who has really killed them in recent meetings. Kamara just got a brand new contract so that weight will be lifted from his shoulders. So with Brady at QB, Rob Gronkowski coming out of retirement to join Brady, Ndamukong Suh coming over from teh Rams and Fournette also coming in - will this be too many star players? Will this Bucs team be able to come together and play together? Time will tell. Bucs get about a field goal here on Sunday. This might be my favorite game to watch and for me I'm taking the points with all the veterans who have come over to Tampa Bay. Take the Bucs. |
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09-13-20 | Browns +8.5 v. Ravens | 6-38 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
High expectations in Cleveland as they look to make the playoffs for the first time since 2002. The Baltimore Ravens had a great regular season last year and shocked many people with their high flying offense, but got derailed in the playoffs. They surely have expectations of making the Super Bowl in 2020. It might be nice if the Cleveland Browns could keep a head coach, something they have had trouble doing. Since Baker Mayfield was drafted, the team has had four head coaches. Kevin Stefanski takes over this year as he comes over from the Vikings organization. The Ravens had the top offense in the NFL last year, averaging 33.2 points per game. Baltimore will run the ball a lot this year with four legitimate rushers in the backfield lead by 2nd round pick J.K Dobbins. If Mayfield can step it up a bit here today I expect them to cover this game. It's only week one, but I'll take the points with the Browns. |
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09-13-20 | Dolphins +7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 11-21 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
NFL week 1 starts with a divisional game between the Dolphins and Patriots. Brian Flores spend 15 years in the Patriots organization and now returns as the head coach of the Dolphins. The Dolphins have won five of their last season openers. This will be a different look Patriots team as Tom Brady is gone at QB. Cam Newton takes over the helm at New England. The Dolphins know they can beat the Pats as they did at the end of the 2019 season. I'm taking the points here with the Dolphins in week one. |
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09-10-20 | Texans +10 v. Chiefs | 20-34 | Loss | -125 | 35 h 51 m | Show | |
The NFL is back and we start off with the defending NFL champion Chiefs in a replay of their AFC Championship Game win over the Texans, 51-31. That game was a different world, one with the Pandemic and daily NFL testing. Many players have opted out of the season. For the Chiefs that includes Laurent Duvernay-Tardif, right guard. The biggest loss is RB Damien Williams, the Chief's leading rusher in 2019. That puts first round draft pick Clyde Edwards-Helaire on the hot spot this season. The Chiefs defining crowd will be reduced to 22% of capacity and masks will be required. Gone for the Texans is WR Hopkins, who has taken his show elsewhere. It's going to be a different season, that's for sure. I like to go against the defending Super Bowl champion in their first game of the next season. A lot of points here for the Texans and I'll take them. Play Houston. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 139 h 60 m | Show | |
Realistically, you can make a case for either team in this Super Bowl. For me, it comes down to the ground control game of the 49ers vs the passing game of the Chiefs. Kyle Shanahan was on the losing end of Super Bowl 52 with the Falcons leading the Patriots 28-3. He has said he learned a lot from that loss and you know it weighs heavily on him here in this Super Bowl. He won't ask Jimmy Garrapolo to do much in this game, not that he has in the last two games. Jimmy G threw just eight times vs the Packers and they still scored over 30 points. It all comes down to the 49ers running game vs the Chiefs defense. For me, if the Niners get out to a lead they will take the air out of the ball and the ball out of Garappolo's hands. Expect to see a lot of Mostert running in this game. I don't think the 49ers can be a come from behind team and ride the arm of Jimmy G, they need to get out front here and keep the Chiefs offense off the field. I believe that Shanahan learned from his prior mistakes and will get out in front and be more conservative. I'm going to take the 49ers here in Super Bowl 54 |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers -7.5 | 20-37 | Win | 103 | 101 h 3 m | Show | |
NFC Championship game here as the winner earns the right to head to the Super Bowl. The Packers jumped out to a big halftime lead over the Seahawks last week and then held on tight for the win, 23-28, just covering the 4 1/2 point spread. The Hawks went for two on a crucial play that ended up being the difference in the cover for the Packers. The 49ers had a much easier time with the Minnesota Vikings. The two teams tied at 7-7 to end the first quarter, but after that it was all 49ers as they easily pulled away for the win. This is a rematch of the week 12 matchup as the 49ers easily beat the Packers in San Francisco, 37-8. The 49ers defense was on display in that game just as it was in last week's divisional series win over the Vikings. They have held four other opponents under 20 points on their home turf and I expect that the defense will once again be key to a 49ers win here on Sunday. I'm laying the points with the home team as the 49ers move on to the Super Bowl. Play San Francisco. |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. 49ers | 10-27 | Loss | -130 | 53 h 14 m | Show | |
Division action from the NFC here will determine if the Vikings or the 49ers advance to the Conference Championship game. The Vikings pulled of the huge upset last week at New Orleans, 26-20 in OT. The Saints never got the ball in the OT period. That was the 2nd year in a row that the Saints lost in the playoffs in OT. The Vikings defense played very good, keeping the high flying Saints offense to just 20 points. The offense was back at full strength with Dalvin Cook returning from his shoulder injury and Adam Thielen catching that big OT ball to set up the win. The 49ers had a great season, though they did lose that tough home game to the Cardinals and then almost gave away the NFC West to the Seahawks on the last play of the game. HC Pete Carrol making another bonehead move as his team was hit with a delay of game on the 1 yard line. I'm still amazed at some bonehead moves Carrol makes in big games. The Vikings have rushed for 310 yards in their last two games and now have a healthy Dalvin Cook back. QB Kirk Cousins got that monkey off his back about not winning the big games and getting his first playoff victory. The 49ers defense struggled a bit down the stretch, which concerns me. The Vikings ground game will take pressure off Cousins here today. I expect this to be a close game, just like last week's for the Vikings. That means this 7 or 7 1/2 points is a mountain for the Niners to climb. San Francisco may win this game, but I don't think it will be by more than three-points or an outright loss here today. Take the Vikings plus the points. |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks -1.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 149 h 37 m | Show |
To say that football can be a game of inches has never been more true than the Seattle Seahawks game with San Francisco in week 17. The Seahawks win that game and they get a bye this week and home games the rest of the playoffs. Lose and they hit the road this week for a Wildcard game. Well, with just seconds left, the Seahawks missed scoring a touchdown literally by inches. The Seahawks had first and goal at the 1-yard line with just a few seconds left and in comes Marshawn Lynch. But that would not be as the Hawks committed a cardinal sin and let the clock run out for a 5-yard penalty. Now it's 1st and goal at the 6-yard line with time for just one play. Wilson completed the pass to Hollister, but he was stopped just inches from the goal line and the 49ers win and clinch home field in the playoffs. Whew! You would think that would deflate the Seahawks. But I don't believe that. The Eagles won the NFC East with their win in week 17 over the Giants. Seattle will be No 5 seed with an 11-5 record but must travel to Philly this week. The Seahawks are a 1 1/2 point favorite here next Sunday. This is a rematch of their week 12 matchup in Philly where the Eagles were a 3-point favorite. The Seahawks won that previous meeting, 17-9. The Eagles have never beaten Russell Wilson, so they have their work cut out for them here today. The Eagles have won four straight to close the season and the Seahawks have lost two straight. For me, the Seahawks have had to play in the tough NFC West, while the Eagles played in the weakest division in football, the NFC East. The Seahawks, in my opinion, are the far better team and with this small line I look for them to sweep the Eagles this year. I love this matchup and will make it my WildCard Game of the Year. Take Seattle. |
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01-04-20 | Titans +5 v. Patriots | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 45 h 5 m | Show | |
It came down to the final week of the regular season for Tennessee to make the playoffs. They beat Houston 35-14, though Houston sat many regulars who were ailing with injuries or illness. The NE Patriots could have had a bye this week, but instead their loss in the final week of the regular season vs Miami Dolphins, 24-27 as a 17-point favorite. That led to them playing this game in the Wild Card round instead of having the week off. Tennessee was 2-4 to start the season, but rebounded the second half. Tennessee RB Henry is key here as don't think the Patriots have an answer for him. Tannehill took over at QB this year and the offense changed around after that horrible start. Expect Henry, Henry and more Henry from the Titans today. Take Tennessee. |
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01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans -2.5 | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 43 h 34 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans both finished the season at 10-6. The Bills winning a AFC Wildcard and the Texans winning the AFC South division. Buffalo did lose their last two games of the season to the Patriots (17-24) and then last week at home to the Jets, 6-13. Though the latter they had no incentive to win that game. The defense has been great for this team, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL behind the Patriots and 49ers. The Houston Texans defense isn't very good, at least statistically as they rank 28th overall in the league. Houston does hold the edge in offense, ranking 13th to the Bills 24th. Houston had to rest some of their injured stars in the final game, including QB Deshaun Watson (back) and WR DeAndre Hopkins (illness). They should be fine here today. The big news though is the return of DE JJ Watt who tore his pectoral muscle and has missed about half the season. WR Will Fuller could also return here today as he's been battling a groin issue. With the rest the players got last week coupled with Fuller and Watt returning, I like the Texans at home here. Play Houston Texans. |
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12-29-19 | Eagles v. Giants +4 | 34-17 | Loss | -105 | 41 h 43 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Eagles win and they are the division champions and make the playoffs. They lose and they will need Dallas to lose to Washington at home to make the playoffs. If I was Philly I wouldn't count on that to happen. That puts them really in a must win spot here Sunday. The Giants would like nothing better than to spoil those hopes. Philly is 2-4 ATS in their last six games while the Giants have covered four of their last five at home. Philly also hasn't done well vs the Giants, going 1-4 ATS their last five vs New York. Saquon Barkley had a great week last week and looks to be healthy again after an injury. The Eagles will also be without some big weapons on offense in the person of TE Zack Ert who is out today along with WR Nelson Algholor who is out. They join Alson Jeffrey, the WR who is also out. Key offensive losses will make this a close game. I don't expect the Giants to go quietly here. Take the points with the Giants. Play New York. |
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12-29-19 | Colts -4 v. Jaguars | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 43 m | Show | |
The Indianapolis Colts can still finish at 8-8 on the season with a win here today at Jacksonville. The Colts beat the Panthers last week, 38-6 while the Jags lost at Atlanta, 12-24. The Colts will look to duplicate their effort vs the Jags from week 11 in which they ran for 264 yards. They tallied 218 yards last week, so they are still hitting on all cylinders in the run game. The only incentive for the Colts here is to make it to .500 and I believe that's enough vs this poor Jacksonville team. Take the Colts. |
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12-29-19 | Raiders v. Broncos -3 | 15-16 | Loss | -124 | 41 h 42 m | Show | |
The Oakland Raiders still have a shot to make the playoffs, but it's a longshot. First, they have to win at Denver today and then they need about eight other things to happen to have a shot. All of which don't look probable. The Raiders snapped a four game losing streak last week with a win over the Chargers, 24-17. That 1-4 their last five games really hurt their playoff chances. They opened the season against the Broncos with a home win, 24-16. The Broncos hope to payback the effort here in the last game. The Broncos are off a home win over Detroit, 27-17. Von Miller returned, though he wasn't 100% healthy. The Broncos have looked like a new team with QB Lock starting the last four games. They have wins over the Chargers, Houston and Detroit. I look for Denver to end the Raiders playoff hopes today with a win. Play Denver. |
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12-29-19 | Titans -6 v. Texans | Top | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 41 h 44 m | Show |
These two AFC South foes close out the regular season here today. Tennessee has their playoff hopes on the line today. Good news for the Titans is that Houston QB Deshaun Watson is questionable with a back injury. Considering that Watson likely will miss this game, that will help the Titans immensely here. The Titans need this game and the Texans don't. Get on this one early, play the Titans. |
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12-23-19 | Packers +5.5 v. Vikings | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
The NFC North Title is on the line tonight in Minnesota as the 11-3 Green Bay Packers take on the 10-4 Vikings. The Packers have improved greatly under first year coach Matt LaFleur after a 6-9-1 season last year. The Vikings have won eight of their last 10 games. The Rams loss on Saturday clinched the Vikings a playoff spot. The Vikings will have to play on Monday without star running back Dalvin Cook, who will miss Monday's game with a bad shoulder. Alexander Mattison is his backup, but he's not near healthy either with an ankle sprain. That leaves Matt Boone as possibly the starter here on Monday. Whoever is rushing the ball will face the league's fourth best rushing red zone defense in the Packers. I like the points here on Monday, with the Pack getting about 5 or 5 1/2 points. If Cook were playing this would be a much more even contest. Take Green Bay. |
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12-22-19 | Cardinals +10 v. Seahawks | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 38 h 28 m | Show | |
Arizona just playing for fun right now as they won't be going anywhere this postseason. The Cardinals showed just that last week, knocking off Cleveland, 38-24. Now they travel to the Northwest to take on the Seahawks. Seattle and San Francisco are tied in the NFC West with 11-3 records. The Seahawks had to hold on last week to beat the Panthers, 30-24, pushing the 6-point favorite line. This after jumping out to a big lead. This is not a game the Seahawks really care about because they have the 49ers up next week in the season finale. That game will likely determine the division winner and possibly the best record in the NFC. The Seahawks also have two key defensive injuries, Jadeveon Clowney and Bobby Wagner, neither of which have practiced. The Flu has also circulated through the locker room the last couple of weeks, hitting the defense particularly hard. They should be back today, but those effects could linger into this week's game. Just too many factors that make me believe that Seattle will be disinterested in this game. I expect them to win, but not cover this big spread. Take Arizona. |
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12-22-19 | Saints v. Titans +3 | 38-28 | Loss | -130 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
New Orleans Saints still hoping to get that best record in the NFC with a 11-3 record. The Saints have two games left and are tied with three other teams at 11-3. New Orleans had an easy win last Monday night over the Colts, 34-7, covering the 9-point favorite line. The Saints get the shorter week here today as they play at the Titans. Tennessee is fighting for that last AFC Wildcard spot with Pittsburgh. Both teams tied at 8-6 with two games left. The Titans lost last week to division foe Houston, 21-24 at home. They finish up next week against Houston. The Titans could still win the AFC South as Houston is one game ahead at 9-5. Lots on the line here for the Titans, they can win the division, become a Wildcard or miss the playoffs all together. For me, the Saints coming off that short week and laying a few points here both go against them. I like the way Ryan Tannehill has led this Titans team and they had some bad luck last week that put them in an early hole. I look for the Titans to rebound here today. Play Tennessee. |
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12-21-19 | Rams v. 49ers -6.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
The 49ers final two games of the season are not easy ones. They play a LA Rams team today that likely is out of the playoffs. The Rams lost big last week to the Cowboys, 21-44. That was the first win against a winning team by Dallas. The loss dropped the Rams to 8-6 in the West and now two-games back of the Vikings with two games to play for the Wild Card. The 49ers lost a heart breaking game last week to Arizona, 22-29. The 49ers were leading with seconds left when Arizona scored a touchdown that had to be reviewed and overturned as the player just broke the plane of the goal line. That came with just a few seconds left in the game. The subsequent kickoff turned into another Atlanta touchdown during the throw backs by the Niners. San Francisco is tied with Seattle for the NFC West at 11-3 and they face each other next week. Normally I might expect a look ahead here by the Niners, but coming off that loss I expect them to be fully ready for the Rams here today. Plus, I feel the Rams will not be in the game here today as they have nothing left to play for as their playoff hopes are realistically gone after last week. Play San Francisco. |
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12-21-19 | Bills +7 v. Patriots | Top | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
The Buffalo Bills moved to within one game of the New England Patriots with a win last week over the Pittsburgh Steelers, 17-10. It was the Bills fourth spread win in their last five games. The Patriots improved to 11-3 with their win last week over Cincinnati, 34-13. It was the first spread win for the Pats in their last four games and five of the last six. The Pats offense has been stagnant, scoring 24 or fewer points in five of their last six games. Both of these teams have excellent defenses. Buffalo ranks 3rd overall and New England ranks 1st in the NFL. I think nearly a TD is too many points for a good defense like the Bills. Plus the Pats just not scoring like they were. I'm taking the Bills. |
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12-15-19 | Broncos +11.5 v. Chiefs | 3-23 | Loss | -135 | 45 h 13 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos have the 27th ranked offense this season, but since they made the move to QB Drew Lock two weeks ago they have looked very good offensively. Lock had missed the season to that point with an injury or this could have been a much different season with all the close games the Broncos have lost. Denver's defense is still good, not great, ranked 12th in the league. They will contend with the 6th ranked offense here in Kansas City. QB Patrick Mahomes should play today, though he has been nursing a bad hand which could impact his performance today. KC has gone under in two of its last three games as the defense has played much better, not allowing more than 17 in any of those three contests. The Chiefs have the division locked up with a 9-4 record and Oakland sitting second at 6-7. That could come into play since Baltimore will have home field with the conference best record at 12-2. That being said and the fact that Lock has looked great and injected some enthusiasm into this Broncos team, I'm taking the points here today. Take Denver. |
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12-15-19 | Seahawks -6 v. Panthers | Top | 30-24 | Push | 0 | 50 h 27 m | Show |
The Seahawks NFC West division hopes were dealt a blow last week as they lost to the Rams in a key contest. The Hawks dropped to 10-3, now a game back of the 49ers. The Rams are just two games back of the Hawks at 8-5 and hold that head-to-head advantage. The Hawks have Carolina this week, at home vs Arizona next week and then finish with a big game at home vs the 49ers in the final week. Seattle looks to bounce back here at Carolina this week. The Panthers got beat bad last week at Atlanta, 20-40. It was the team's fifth straight loss. Carolina allowed 461 yards and turned the ball over four times in their loss at Atlanta. The Panthers just not a good team at this point and Seattle has a lot on the line. Take Seattle. |
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12-08-19 | Steelers v. Cardinals | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
With just four regular season games left, the Pittsburgh Steelers increased their odds of grabbing one of the Wild Card slots with a big win over Cleveland last week, 20-13. The Steelers are 7-5 now and tied with the Tennessee Titans for that last playoff spot. That makes all these game of great importance as they have a huge impact on their postseason chances. The Steelers defense has held three of the last four opponents to 13 points or fewer. Arizona got manhandled last week at home by the LA Rams, 7-34. They never were in that game, failing to come close to the +2.5-point line. Arizona has now allowed 28 or more points in each of their last five games. Arizona is now dead last in overall defense in the NFL. Pittsburgh's defense has climbed to 6th in the league now, though the offense is ranked 28th. This game has a lot more importance to the Steelers. I'm taking them here with the much better defense. Play Pittsburgh. |
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12-08-19 | 49ers +2.5 v. Saints | 48-46 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Ever since Drew Brees has returned to the NO Saints, this club has look out of sorts. They just haven't been as fluid as they looked with Teddy Bridgewater running the show. Now, they may have to play without two starting offensive linemen who are hurt. That not only will hurt the running game, but pass protection. The 49ers lost a tough game last week in a driving rain at Baltimore 17-20 on a last second field goal by Justin Tucker. The loss drops the 49ers into a tie with the Seahawks at 10-2. No doubt that the 49ers will make the playoffs, but there is a big difference between a Wild Card and the best record in the NFC. So these last four games of the regular season are of utmost importance to the 49ers. The 49ers have the best point differential in the NFC with a +166 mark. Compare that to the Seahawks who they are tied with at just +36. The Saints are also 10-2 and have a +50 differential. Right now I believe the 49ers are a better team than the Saints. I look for the 49ers to be more hungry to win this game on Sunday. I'm taking San Francisco. |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys v. Bears +3 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 31 m | Show | |
A bit confused to how Dallas is a road favorite here tonight at Chicago. The Cowboys have lost two straight games, losing last Thanksgiving at home to Buffalo, 15-26 and the week before at New England, 9-13. They play their third good defensive team here tonight, scoring 24 points total their last two weeks. Meanwhile, Chicago has won its last two games and three of the last four. The Bears defeated Detroit on Thanksgiving, 24-20 and the Giants the week before 19-14.The NFC East is just a mess, with the Cowboys leading at 6-6 and the Eagles right behind at 5-7. A loss today by the Cowboys and the division leader won't even be at .500 after this week. The Bears are 6-6 and look like they are out of any playoff implications. That doesn't mean they won't want to deal the Cowboys a blow here today. The Cowboys have the league's top ranked overall offense, but it sure hasn't looked that way the last few weeks. This team looks all out of sorts and now they look to have a lame duck head coach to top it all off. I'm going to take the points here with the Bears on Thursday and expect them to win outright. Play Chicago. |
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12-02-19 | Vikings v. Seahawks -2.5 | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks will likely make the postseason as they sit at 9-2. However, they can catch the 49ers at 10-2 with a win tonight over Minnesota as the 49ers lost on Sunday to the Ravens. What is more surprising is that Seattle is 3-2 at home this year and 6-0 on the road. Minnesota can also climb into a tie in the NFC North division with the Green Bay Packers with a win here today that would make both teams 9-3 on the season. The Vikings needed a big come from behind victory two weeks ago to defeat the Broncos, 27-23. The club had last week off to prepare for this game. Seattle has won four straight games after beating the Eagles on the road last week, 17-9. Seattle is now 11-5-1 ATS their last 17 vs the NFC and 10-4-1 ATS their last 15 on Monday Night football. I like the home team here tonight. Take Seattle. |
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12-01-19 | Raiders +13 v. Chiefs | 9-40 | Loss | -117 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
On paper this looks to be shootout with the poor defense of the Raiders and the high flying Chiefs offense. However, mother nature will be raring her ugly head a bit here in the form of some winds. Wind affects totals and sides more than rain or even snow. Winds, especially cross winds can hurt field goals and passing games. That being said, we can throw out all kinds of stats to play this game over or the favorite in this one. For me, I expect the winds to cause these teams to be a bit more conservative than usual. That being said, the +10.5 points for the Raiders might be a bit much if the scoring isn't going to be as high as normal. I'm taking a chance on the dog here. Play the Oakland Raiders. |
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12-01-19 | Redskins v. Panthers -10 | 29-21 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
The Washington Redskins are 2-9 on the season, but looking for win number two in a row here today at Carolina. They beat the Lions last week, 19-16 at home. Rookie QB Dwayne Haskins has looked terrible in that role, but the Redskins are sticking with the young QB. Haskins has 654 total yards with two TD's and six INT's. The Skins defense ranks 20th and don't put too much into that 16 points they allowed to the Lions. Detroit was playing with backup QB Driskell. The Panthers gave New Orleans all it could handle last week, losing on the road 31-34. That coming after a horrible outing at home the previous week against Atlanta which they scored just three points. Washington has been outscored in every quarter this year. I don't have much faith in the Washington QB here on the road today. Carolina still has a solid defense that can give Haskins all kinds of problems. I'm laying the points with the home team here on Sunday. Play Carolina. |
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11-28-19 | Bills +7 v. Cowboys | 26-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
Lots of discourse in Big D this week after they laid an egg last week at New England. The Cowboys lost to the Patriots, 9-13 despite out-gaining the Pats, 321-282 yards. The Cowboys rushed for 109 yards, but just couldn't pull out the win. Jerry Jones may have had it with his head coach and could be shopping. Problem is, the Cowboys played the 2nd ranked defense in the NFL last week and now face the 3rd ranked defense in the Bills. Dallas is no slouch though, ranking 6th themselves on defense. The good news for Dallas is that they still are tied for the best offense in the league with 433 yards per game. That will be tested here today against this stubborn Bills defense. Buffalo has allowed over 21 points just one time all season and that was 31 points to Philadelphia. The Bills look to have a solid hold on one of the Wild Card slots at 8-3. Dallas needs a win here to stay ahead of Philly who is just one game back of the Cowboys for the NFC East division. I like the points here, the Bills just don't allow enough points and this touchdown looks like a mountain to climb for Dallas. Play the Bills. |
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11-25-19 | Ravens -3 v. Rams | Top | 45-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
Baltimore has scored 90 points the last two games, 49-13 over Cincinnati and then last week over Houston, 41-7. The Ravens have covered four straight games and their offense has at least 30 points in each of those games. The Ravens now have the league's second best offense at 445 yards per game. The Ravens are 1st in rushing yards per game in the league with 204 per game. The Rams offense has dropped to 13th with Todd Gurley and Jared Goff both under-performing this year. The Ravens are about a 3-point road favorite here today. The Ravens offense has been hitting on all cylinders. Can't say the same about the Rams. Ever since Goff signed that big contract he's performed well below his last two seasons. The Rams have 29 total points the last two weeks, though they did win at home over Chicago last week, 17-7. The Rams offense continues to drop in the rankings and I believe they will have issues keeping up with the Ravens potent attack here tonight. I'm taking the Ravens and laying the field goal. |
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11-24-19 | Packers +3.5 v. 49ers | 8-37 | Loss | -120 | 32 h 52 m | Show | |
Great matchup here between the league's second rated defense in San Francisco and the Aaron Rodgers led Packers offense. The Packers had last week off to prepare for this game after winning the prior week over Carolina, 24-16 as a 4.5 point favorite. San Francisco looked like they were going to go to another OT last week vs the Cardinals with seconds remaining and down by three points. However, a breakout run led to a TD and a four point lead with seconds to play. Then the improbable happened with Arizona, trying backward passes with no time left on the clock, let the 49ers take the ball and score another touchdown. The 49ers scored 13 points in the last 40 seconds of the game for a very improbable push of the 10-point line. The 49ers have now covered just one time in their last five games. The defense has also allowed at least 25 points in each of their last three games. Anytime a team has an extra week to prepare, especially a good team like the Packers, I'll take that team. Play Green Bay. |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks +1.5 v. Eagles | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
Seattle Seahawks having a fine season as they look to either catch San Francisco for the NFC West or grab a wild card spot. At 8-2, the Hawks are one game back of San Francisco and tied with the Vikings for a Wild Card. The only other team possible close are the Rams and they are two-games back of the Seahawks. Philadelphia in all probability will need to catch the Dallas Cowboys for the NFC East division title if they want to make the playoffs. The Eagles trail Dallas by just one game and Dallas must play at New England this week. The Eagles, at 5-5 really have no shot at a Wild Card slot. The Eagles are laying one-point here on Sunday. I'm afraid I have to side with the much better Seahawks team here. They are just too good with Russell Wilson at the helm. Play Seattle. |
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11-24-19 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | Top | 35-22 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
All of a sudden the Atlanta Falcons look like a real NFL team. After a horrible season that saw the club go 1-7 S/U and ATS their first eight games, the team has won back to back games against New Orleans and Carolina. What's even more impressive is that they got both those wins on the road and held the Saints to just nine points and the Panthers to three points. Now they return home where they get another very winable contest against Tampa Bay. The Bucs lost last week to the Saints, 17-34. It was the sixth straight game they have failed to cover the season and the eight straight game they have gone over the total. Tampa Bay's offense is ranked 8th in the league but their defense is ranked 23rd. Atlanta has improved to 10th in the league in offense and 21st in defense. Atlanta is laying 3 1/2 or 4 here today at home. The way the Falcons are playing, I have no problem laying those points. Play Atlanta. |
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11-21-19 | Colts +4 v. Texans | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
The Colts welcomed back QB Jacoby Brissett and thusly posted an impressive win over Jacksonville, 33-13. The only negative was losing RB Marlon Mack to a broken hand. He will be out indefinitely with that injury. The win snapped a 2-game losing streak while Brissett was nursing his own injury. Now they play a big game here on Thursday at Houston. Houston looked thoroughly confused in their loss at Baltimore last week, 7-41. It was billed as a battle of two of the best, young QB's in the league, but it turned out to be a lopsided Ravens win. The Texans have the Patriots up next, so they might not have full attention here on this game tonight. The Colts have covered the last two and four of five in this series with the Texans. The Colts have already beaten the Texans this year in Indy, 30-23. Houston holds the edge in this game offensively, but the Colts have the edge on defense. This should be a great Thursday matchup, but I'm going to take the points with the visitor here. They have a huge edge in coaching in my opinion and we saw that come to light last week in Houston's bad loss at Baltimore. Play Indianapolis. |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The NFL moves to Mexico City tonight for Monday Night football. The problem here is the elevation, which is over 7,000 feet. The Chargers practiced all week in Denver, which at just over 5,000 foot is still well short of the elevation here tonight. Kansas City finally got back QB Patrick Mahomes after his kneecap injury. Still, the Chiefs lost last week with Mahomes, 32-25 at Tennessee. It was the team's second loss in the last three weeks. The Chiefs are also just 2-5 ATS their last seven games. The Chargers are also off a loss last week, at Oakland, 24-26. Despite having more plays and yards then the Raiders, the Chargers three turnovers and no take aways were the difference in that game. It's a wide open AFC West with both KC and Oakland tied right now at 6-4 and the Chargers at 4-6. Chargers can't afford another loss if they hope to make the postseason. I expect a high scoring game with this one going back and forth all evening. I'm taking the points here today and playing the OVER. Play LA Chargers & the OVER. |
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11-17-19 | Cardinals +10.5 v. 49ers | 26-36 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
Arizona Cardinals may be dead last in the NFC West at 3-6-1, but this is a team that is improving. All you have to do is look at their last two games. Last week at Tampa they went toe to toe with the Bucs and lost 27-30, but covered the 5.5 point spread. The prior week they gave then unbeaten San Francisco all it could handle in a 25-28 loss, but again covered the 10-point line. In fact, the Cardinals have now covered fie of their last six games. Now they face San Francisco for the second time in three weeks, but this time in Arizona. San Francisco saw it's perfect season come to an end last week in an OT loss at home to Seattle, 24-27. Their backup, rookie kicker had a chance to win the game in OT, but shanked the field goal attempt. San Francisco is just 1-3 ATS in their last four games. The 49ers have the league's 2nd best rated defense. They will have to contain dynamic Arizona QB Kyle Murray, who is proving he is the real deal in the NFL rookie class this year. Murray has the best percentage of NFL Qb's at avoiding pressure this year, 34.1%. Murray has improved wit each game this season and his sack avoiding skills will have to be on high today against the 49er's defense. Murray also has just one pass intercepted in his last four games. I'm going to take the 10 1/2 points here today with the Cardinals. |
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11-17-19 | Bills v. Dolphins +7 | 37-20 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills look to solidify their hold on a AFC Wild Card spot with a game at Miami today. The Bills are 6-3 and trail first place New England by 2-games. The Dolphins, who stared the season 0-7, have won two straight games. Buffalo lost last week at Cleveland, 16-19 as a 3-point dog. Miami won at Indianapolis last week, 16-12, as a 10.5-point dog. Buffalo has covered just one of its last four games while the Dolphins have now covered five straight games. Buffalo is laying anywhere from 6 to 7 points on the road today. The way Miami is covering spreads those points look very generous. I'm taking the Dolphins here on Sunday. |
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11-14-19 | Steelers +3 v. Browns | 7-21 | Loss | -120 | 56 h 24 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers pulled another upset win last week, beating the Rams at home 17-12. The Steelers won the way they have most of this year, with defense. The win improved the Steelers to 5-4 on the season and 2-games back of division leading Baltimore. However, they are in the thick of things right now for a Wild Card slot in the AFC as just Buffalo has a better record at 6-3. So much hope was put into the Cleveland Browns this year with the addition of Odell Beckham Jr to the receiving corps. However, that really has not materialized as the Browns are just 3-6 on the season. The Browns did win last week, snapping a four-game losing streak with a 19-16 victory over the Bills. The Browns pushed the 3-point chalk line, making them just 2-6-1 ATS on the season. The Steelers are 5-1 ATS their last six vs the AFC North and 9-2-1 ATS their last 12 following a ATS Win. The Browns are 5-21-2 ATS against winning teams their last 28 tries. They are also 0-6-1 ATS their last seven on grass. The dog is 3-1-1 ATS the last five in this series. I expect a good defensive battle here this week and with that I'll be taking the points on Thursday night. Play Pittsburgh. |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks +7 v. 49ers | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
Maybe our best MNF matchup of the season has the undefeated 8-0 San Francisco 49ers host their division rivals, 7-2 Seattle Seahawks. The 49ers saw the Patriots perfect season go down last week and they had a scare put into them by the Cardinals. Seattle no longer the great defense of year's past. Now, this is QB Russell Wilson's team. He makes this team go. This is going to be a true test of just how good the San Francisco team and their top ranked defense really is. For me, this game comes down to QB's. Yes, Jimmy Garoppolo is coming into his own this season. However, he's up against the top QB in passer rating in Wilson with a 118. Garoppolo isn't far behind though. My feeling is that getting nearly a TD with a Wilson led team is more than I can pass on. Should be a great game though. Take Seattle. |
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11-10-19 | Rams v. Steelers +4.5 | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are coming off a win over the Cincinnati Bengals, 24-10. But that was against the worst defense in the league and they could only score 24. It was their 2nd win in a row though and their second cover. LA is 5-3 S/U and 6-2 ATS on the season. QB Jared Goff has struggled this year, 19th in QB Ratings. The Pittsburgh Steelers look for their third win in a row after last week's win over the Colts, 26-24. QB Mason Rudolph looks recovered from his concussion. As Rudolph and this offense develops from game to game, it's the defense that's been keeping the team in games. The Steelers are going to be tough at home, especially as a dog here. I'm taking the points with the host. Play Pittsburgh. |
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11-10-19 | Panthers +5.5 v. Packers | 16-24 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers coming off a win last week over the Titans, 30-20. It was the team's third win in their last four games. In fact, this Panthers team has score 30 or more points in three of those last four games. In addition, Carolina has covered five of their last six. The Green Bay Packers looked bad last week at the Chargers, losing 11-26. It was the team's worst performance of the season. Still, the Packers are 7-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS on the season. The problem with the Packers is which team do you get this week? The Panthers have been great against the pass this year and will be tested here today against Aaron Rodgers. Expect the Panthers to pound the ball on the ground with all purpose back Christian McCaffrey. I like the points here with the Panthers. This could be a shootout today, but the Panthers have enough weapons to stay close. Take Carolina. |
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11-10-19 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Bucs | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals are 3-5-1 S/U and 6-3 ATS on the season. Rookie QB Kyler Murray continues to shine in the role of starting quarterback. The Cardinals gave a big scare into the undefeated 49ers last week, losing a tough game, 25-28 as a 10-point dog. Tampa Bay is 2-6 both S/U and ATS on the season. The Bucs played very good in Seattle last week and should have covered, losing in OT, 34-40. This team is a bit confusing, they looks great at times and very sloppy at others. They have lost and failed to cover their last four games now. No way the Bucs should be laying these points in this game. The Cardinals are improving game by game and really I believe are the better team right now. Take Arizona. |
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11-07-19 | Chargers -1.5 v. Raiders | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers shocked the Green Bay Packers last time out, 26-11 as a 4-point dog. The Chargers actually are playing good defense, allowing 16 and 11 their last two games (both wins). After a terrible spread start that saw the club go 1-5-1 ATS, they have covered their last two games. The Oakland Raiders also coming off a win at home over the Detroit Lions, 31-24. The win snapped a two-game losing streak. The Chargers have the 8th ranked overall defense, compared to Oakland's 27th ranked defense. The Raiders are better offensively, ranked 11th overall with the Chargers coming in a 16th. The Chargers have covered the last four in this series and six of the last seven meetings. I like the Chargers here tonight. Play LA Chargers. |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +7.5 | 37-18 | Loss | -130 | 59 h 48 m | Show | |
Monday Night football is a key NFC East matchup between the Cowboys and the Giants. The NFC East is up for grabs, even the 2-6 Giants are not out of it. The Eagles and Cowboys lead the division with 4-3 records. That makes these division games big. Dallas had a big win two weeks ago at home over the Eagles, 37-10 and then had last week off. Three of the Cowboys next four games are on the road. This will also be the 2nd meeting of the season between these teams with Dallas winning on opening weekend at home, 35-17. The Giants have only two wins but they have been playing better of late, losing by five at Detroit last week and six at home two weeks ago to the Cardinals. Saquon Barkley is back from his injured ankle and QB Jones has been having some big weeks of late. The Cowboys haven't been a good Monday Night football team, covering just 4 of their last 14 on the big stage. Giants getting a TD here at home is too much for me to pass up on. I'll take New York. |
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11-03-19 | Bucs +6 v. Seahawks | 34-40 | Push | 0 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks got some much needed help at wide receiver when they picked up Josh Gordon from the waiver wire. Question is, will Gordon be worth the trouble that no other team has been willing to put up with so far. Seattle beat Atlanta last week, 27-20, but failed to cover the 7.5 point favorite line. It was the second week in a row that Seattle has failed to cover and is now 3-5 ATS on the season. Tampa Bay lost its third in a row last week at Tennessee, 23-27. They are just 2-5 ATS on the season. Since their big win at the Rams back on Sept 29th, they have lost three straight both S/U and ATS. Tampa dominated the game in yards, gaining 389 yards to 246. The problem was that the Bucs had four turnovers to just one for Tennessee. Not sure how Seattle won either, they were outgained by Atlanta, 322-512 yards. Again, it was turnovers as the Falcons had three turnovers to none for the Seahawks. Tampa should get its share of yards and points here today. Problem is how Jameis Winston can control turnovers. If the Bucs can keep those down, they can win this game. They have already proved at the Rams they can beat good Western teams on the road. I'm taking the points with Tampa Bay. |
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11-03-19 | Texans v. Jaguars +2 | 26-3 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
Early game here from across the pond as the Texans and Jaguars matchup in London. The Houston Texans won a narrow game last week at home over the Oakland Raiders, 27-24. They failed to cover the 6.5-point favorite line. It was the second failed cover in a row for the Texans. Jacksonville won its second game in a row both S/U and ATS with a win over the Jets last week, 29-15. It was the teams fifth cover in eight games. The Jags defense held the Jets to just 213 total yards and had three takeaways. Houston ranks 20th in the league in defense, but will be without their star DE in JJ Watt, who will miss the remainder of the season with a tear in his Tricep. Jacksonville ranks 13th defensively. Houston has the better offense though, ranking 4th in the league compared to the Jags 11th ranked offense. The Jags are a 1-point dog, so just need to pick the winner in this one. For me, that's Jacksonville. |
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10-27-19 | Panthers +6 v. 49ers | 13-51 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 45 m | Show | |
Carolina playing very well under new QB Kyle Allen. Since Cam Newton went down in game two, the Panthers have won four straight games. Allen has benefited from one of the best all purpose players in the game in Christian McCaffrey. The Panthers last played on October 13th in London where they beat Tampa Bay, 37-26. The Panthers have had plenty of rest for the 49ers today. San Francisco improved to a perfect 6-0 with their win at Washington last week, 9-0. The 49ers defense is one of the best in the league, but the offense could muster just three 2nd half field goals in the win. Now they face a tough stretch of games with Carolina, Seattle, Green Bay, Baltimore and New Orleans on tap in five of the next seven weeks. For this game, I'm going to take the points here with the Panthers. They have had plenty of rest and time to prepare for this game. I expect a tough defensive battle that should be a field goal either way. Take Carolina. |
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10-27-19 | Giants +7 v. Lions | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 59 h 45 m | Show | |
The Giants fully expected to win last week. They were at home against a weak Arizona club and they were getting back star running back Saquon Barkley. But, things didn't quite work out as they fell behind early and never could catch up, losing 21-27. Barkley performed well in his return from an ankle injury rushing 18 tim3es for 72 yards and a TD. Barkely has been limited in practice this week, but is expected to play on Sunday.The Giants have now lost three straight games both S/U and ATS. Meanwhile, Detroit is coming off a loss at home to the Vikings, 30-42. The loss snapped a four game spread win streak for Detroit. The Giants offense is now ranked 24th in the league and their defense is ranked 28th. The Lions offense is ranked 8th overall and the defense is 31st. This game looks to be fairly high scoring as both teams rank low in defense. The Giants have done well on the road, covering eight of their last 10 away games. The road team has also done well in this series, covering seven of the last nine meetings. I'm going to take the points here on Sunday. Play the Giants. |
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10-20-19 | Eagles +3 v. Cowboys | 10-37 | Loss | -125 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
Dallas has lost three straight games after starting the season 3-0. Now there are accusations being thrown around about play calling and such. Bottom line is that this Dallas team is having some issues. They lost at the Jets last week, 22-24 as a touchdown favorite. Still, despite losing three straight games this game with the 3-3 Eagles is for the division lead. The Eagles lost last week at Minnesota, 20-38. That snapped a two-game win streak for Philly. Dallas has the 2nd ranked offense in the league while Philly comes in at 20th. The Cowboys are ranked 9th defensively with the Eagles being 14th. There must be some internal issues in Dallas with a team ranked as high as they are in both offense and defense, yet with just a 3-3 record and on a 3-game losing streak. I'm not going to play Dallas until I see some unity on this club. Tonight, I'll take the visitor in this one. Play Philadelphia. |
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10-20-19 | Texans v. Colts | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 60 h 11 m | Show | |
Houston Texans bring their 4-2 record to Indianapolis to the play Colts on Sunday. The Texans are fresh off that win at Kansas City, 31-24. They not only dominated on the scoreboard, but dominated the ball in time of possession. The Texans had 472 total yards compared to the Chiefs 309 yards. Meanwhile, the Colts had last week off after also beating the Chiefs the prior week, 19-13. Houston has the 6th rated offense and the 18th ranked defense. The Colts rank 23rd offensively and 16th defensively. The Colts have covered the last two times they have played the Texans, winning last year at Houston 24-21. That makes four covers for the Colts against the Texans in the last five meetings. The Colts QB Jacoby Brissett has thrown 10 TD's this year with just three INT's. Marlon Mack leads all rushers on the Colts with 470 yards and two TD's. Deshaun Watson has 12 TD's for the Texans with three INT's and adds 5 more rushing TD's. This is a pretty even matchup, but I'm taking the home team here on Sunday. Play the Colts. |
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10-17-19 | Chiefs v. Broncos +4 | 30-6 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 17 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos playing very good all of a sudden with another win on Sunday over Tennessee, 16-0. The Broncos defense held Tennessee to just 39 yards rushing and 165 yards passing. That's two games in a row with outstanding defense. They got their first win two weeks ago at the Chargers, holding them to 35 yards rushing and 211 yards passing. Meanwhile the Kansas City defense has been horrible. They can't stop anyone and proved it again Sunday losing at home to Houston, 24-31. The allowed the Texans 192 yards rushing and 280 yards passing. Their loss two weeks ago at home to the Colts they allowed 180 yards rushing and 151 yards passing. They have now allowed 180 or more yards rushing in four of their five games. That is absolutely horrendous. Add to that fact that QB Patrick Mahomes is banged-up with a ankle injury and the Chiefs look very ordinary at the moment. The Broncos could easily have four wins this season. Vic Fangio finally has this team playing the way he wants, great defense and a conservative offense. Take advantage of the Broncos at +4 or better because I feel this line will go down by gametime. Play Denver. |
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10-13-19 | Titans v. Broncos -2 | 0-16 | Win | 100 | 117 h 18 m | Show | |
Denver finally got in the win column last week and they did it on the road at the Chargers. Denver jumped out to a big lead and pretty much cruised the rest of the way for a 20-13 win over the Chargers. Denver held LA to just 246 total yards while controlling the ball on the ground with 191 rushing yards. Tennessee ran into the defensive buzzsaw called Buffalo, losing to the Bills 7-14. The Titans scored just seven points against the league's second ranked defense and totaled just 252 yards. Denver's defense isn't what it used to be, but they have improved to 7th in the league now while Tennessee is 9th in the league. Both teams struggling on offense though, as Denver ranks 19th and Tennessee 27th. Titans have not done well on the road against losing teams, going 5-15-1 their last 21 vs the spread. These clubs have met just once in the last five years and that was at Tennessee where the Titans won a low scoring game, 13-10. If we look back to the last six meetings between these teams, the Broncos have covered five of those. I expect a defensive game here with two better than average defenses. But now that Denver got that first win, I like them to get another here on Sunday. Play Denver. |
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10-13-19 | Seahawks -1.5 v. Browns | 32-28 | Win | 100 | 114 h 52 m | Show | |
Trouble brewing in Cleveland after that horrible performance last Monday night at San Francisco. QB Baker Mayfield had a terrible night, getting harassed and sacked by the 49ers tough defense. Mayfield took a seat late in the game he was so ineffective. The Browns managed just 180 total yards and 78 passing yards (20 of those by Beckham). The Browns also had four turnovers to the 49ers zero. Now they have to regroup because it doesn't get any easier tonight against a very good Seattle team. Seattle has the extra rest for this one after playing last Thursday night and beating the Rams, 30-29. Seattle rushed for 167 yards and had 429 total yards.Seattle improved to 7th in the league in total offense while Cleveland dropped to 23rd. Seattle's defense is ranked 14th and Cleveland 18th. This Cleveland franchise has issues from owner James Haslem who is not a good owner, to HC Freddie Kitchens who doesn't know how to coach to Mayfield who acts like a child out of control to Odell Beckham Jr who is just a ego maniac. This is no way to run a football team and that's why I will be betting against them this week. This is a perfect situation for Seattle. They are playing great and now face a team and franchise in disarray. Play Seattle. |
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10-13-19 | Panthers -1 v. Bucs | 37-26 | Win | 100 | 40 h 18 m | Show | |
The 3-2 Carolina Panthers travel to Florida to take on the 2-3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Carolina has been playing without QB Cam Newton, who is out with a foot injury. However, since Newton went out the Panthers have won three straight games with QB Kyle Allen. Allen has won all three of his starts for Carolina. But the star of this team is RB Christian McCaffrey who is involved in more offensive plays than anyone in the league. McCaffrey has 587 yards rushing this year and 279 yards receiving with seven total TD's. He ranks first in total yards from scrimmage. McCaffrey is the center of this offense and Allen is just the supporting cast at this point. Tampa Bay pulled the huge upset two weeks ago at the Rams, 55-40, then last week lost at New Orleans, 24-31. This team has been very inconsistent. The Bucs managed just 252 yards in the loss last week. That performance dropped the Bucs to 17th in total offense with Carolina coming in at 14th. The difference here is defense, where the Panthers continue to improve and now rank 8th in the league compared to the Bucs 25th ranking. I expect McCaffrey to give the Bucs all kinds of problems here on Sunday. I'll lay the small price with Carolina on Sunday. take the Panthers. |
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10-06-19 | Broncos +7 v. Chargers | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 35 h 55 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos might be the best 0-4 team in the NFL. They could easily be 2-2 and should have won the Bears game if not for a bad call at the end. Then last week another late rally by the Jagaurs resulted in a last second loss. The Broncos brought in Joe Flacco to play QB and he hasn't played badly. They also brought in HC Vic Fangio from the Bears and he hasn't performed up to their standards yet. Could a loss here today make Fangio the first fatality of the head coaching ranks this year? We'll see. The Denver defense isn't what it used to be. That's an understatement. It's even been rumored that Von Miller is on the trading block. Star LB Bradley Chubb was injured in the Jags game and is out the rest of the year. As for the Bolts, RB Melvin Gordon returns from his holdout and should start this week. Ekeler has been very good in his place. I think one thing is for sure in Denver this year, we are going to see QB Drew Lock around week 8 when he returns from his injury. The Chargers had the week off last week, also known as playing the Miami Dolphins. The Chargers rolled to a 30-10 win over the Dolphins and evened their season record at 2-2. While I don't see the snake bitten Broncos winning, I think this line is too high for a rivalry game. I'm taking the visiting Broncos plus the points. |
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10-06-19 | Bears -5 v. Raiders | 21-24 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 51 m | Show | |
If there was a game Khalil Mack had circled on his calendar, it was this one. Mack gets to face down the team that traded him, the Oakland Raiders. This will be the first of four games being played in London England this year. Chase Daniel looks to get the start at QB for the Bears here today as Mitchell Trubisky is out with his shoulder injury. But that's not a bad thing, I actually like Daniel better than Trubisky. He's a much smarter QB and I think brings a whole other dimension to an offense that Trubisky still has trouble running. The Bears defense dominated Minnesota last week in a 16-6 win. They held the Vikings to 222 yards and took two turnovers from them. The Bears have the fifth rated overall defense with Oakland coming in at 22nd. Where the Bears lack is on offense, as they are just 30th in total yards. However, I see that improving with Daniel at the helm today. Oakland is 21st in total yards and led by QB Derrick Carr. They will be without LB Vontaze Burfict who has been suspended for the rest of the year - a huge blow to this defense. Overall, I love the Chicago defense to shut down Carr and the Raiders today. Lay the 5-points with Chicago. |
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10-06-19 | Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 120 h 50 m | Show |
I really learned something last week, that this Baltimore Ravens team is a fraud. Everyone watched in week one as they demolished an overmatched and winless Miami Dolphins team. Then in week 2 we saw that effort get tougher as the winless Arizona Cardinals covered the 13 point dog line and almost won the game outright, 17-23. Then in week 4 when the real competition started, they lost at Kansas City, 28-33 failing to cover the 4-point dog line and then got killed at home last week by the Cleveland Browns, 25-40. This team is not nearly as good as they are now getting credit for. Meanwhile, the Steelers defense and offense both looked very good last Monday night for the win over the Bengals, 27-3. They have now covered two-straight games and now that Mason Rudolph is getting more action from the coach, he's looking like a real NFL quarterback. Let's throw out stats in this one because the Ravens are still inflated by that Miami game. Instead, lets look at who's real and who's a fraud. The Ravens are a fraud and should not be favored at Pittsburgh here in week 5. I personally will have my biggest bet of the NFL season so far on this game. Good luck and GO Steelers! |
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10-03-19 | Rams v. Seahawks -1.5 | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 14 m | Show | |
The LA Rams looked like an easy winner last week after the Bucs came to town on the heels of a 18-point come from ahead loss the week before to the Giants. But it was the Bucs that shocked the Rams, 55-40 as 9-point dogs. The Rams trailed at the half 28-17 and cut the lead to 28-20 before the Bucs built another big lead to 45-27 in the 4th. A late rally by the Rams fell short though when Goff was stripped of the ball by Shaq Barrett and returned for a TD by Ndamukong Suh for a 55-40 win. Now the Rams travel to Washington to face the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle won at Arizona last week, 27-10, holding the Cardinals to 321 total yards. Seattle has the 7th ranked defense and the 13the ranked offense. The Rams are 7th ranked on offense and 11th on defense. The last two years these clubs have met four times, with Seattle covering three of those and winning one outright. Last year Seattle lost at home to the Rams, 31-33 as a 7.5 point dog. The key here is for Seattle to control the clock and keep the ball out of the Rams hands. LA will have to do a much better job defensively, especially against arguably the best QB in the league in Russell Wilson. Seattle has performed well on Thursday's, going 7-0-2 ATS their last nine times in the early game. LA is only 1-5 ATS in their last six Thursday games. The difference for me here is that 12th man of Seattle and the home advantage. The Rams defense is struggling and I look for that to continue here on Thursday. I'm taking the Seattle Seahawks. |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 105 h 3 m | Show | |
The undefeated Dallas Cowboys travel to the Big Easy to take on the New Orleans Saints on Sunday night. The Cowboys looks rather lethargic in their first half against a very overmatched Miami team. However, they exploded in the 2nd half to cover the 22.5-point line, 31-6. Dallas now has wins against the Giants, Redskins and Miami. Really, this matchup here today is their first real test as those previous three games were all against very poor teams. The Saints are 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS after a very nice win on the road last week at Seattle, 33-27. The offense hasn't been all that good since Drew Brees went out with a hurt thumb. The Saints had 265 total yards last week and only 244 totals yards the previous week at the Rams. Teddy Bridgewater is now the starting QB and in his two games he has 342 total yards and two TD's with no INT's. This team still has plenty of weapons with Alvin Kamara at RB and Michael Thomas at Wide Receiver. The Saints should give Dallas their best game of the young season here on Sunday night and I won't be surprised by a Saints straight-up win here. I'll take the 2.5-points with the home team. Play New Orleans. |
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09-29-19 | Seahawks -5 v. Cardinals | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 47 h 16 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks are 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS to start the season. Seattle opened with wins over Cincinnati (21-20) and at Pittsburgh (28-26), then loss last week at home to the Saints, 27-33. The Arizona Cardinals are 0-2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS this season. They opened with that OT tie against Detroit and then back-to-back losses to Baltimore and Carolina. Seattle lost to the Saints despite out gaining them in yards 515 to 265. Both clubs had one turnover and the Hawks had 406 yards passing by Russell Wilson. The Hawks were even down 14-33 in the 4th quarter. The Saints returned a Chris Carson fumble for a touchdown in this game and the defensive line got no sacks of Teddy Bridgewater. The Saints also got a punt return for a touchdown. It was just an ugly game all around for the Seahawks special teams and turnovers. Arizona lost at home to a Newton-less Panthers team last week, 20-38. They were outgained 413 yards to 248 yards. Arizona has the 30th ranked defense in the league allowing 443 yards per game and the 25th ranked offense with just 328 yards per game. Russell Wilson and the Hawks offense should have little trouble against this struggling Cardinals defense here on Sunday. Have to lay 5 1/2 points here with the Hawks, but I won't mind with Wilson on my side against rookie Tyler Murray. Play Seattle. |
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09-22-19 | Texans +3 v. Chargers | 27-20 | Win | 105 | 64 h 55 m | Show | |
Both the Houston Texans and the LA Chargers come into this game 1-1 S/U and ATS. Houston lost a exciting game in the opener against the Saints, 28-30. They did cover the spread in that game. Then last week just got by the Jaguars at home, 13-12, but failing to cover the 7-point chalk line. After amassing over 400 yards vs the Saints, the Texans barely got over 250 yards in their second game vs the Jags. The Chargers opened with a win over the Colts, 30-24 and then lost last week at Detroit, 10-13. The Chargers led 10-3, but couldn't score in the 2nd half and lost. The Chargers defense lost S-Adrian Phillips to the IR last week. The injury list is growing as S-Teamer Jr, CB-Davis and CB-Williams all are hurt. This Chargers secondary is really banged-up and I expect to see the Texans take advantage of those injuries here today. I'm taking the field goal with the visitor. Play Houston. |
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09-22-19 | Falcons v. Colts | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 60 h 29 m | Show | |
Both these clubs come into today's contest with 1-1 S/U records and 1-1 ATS marks. The Falcons opened with that bad loss at Minnesota, 12-28. They rebounded last week at home against the Eagles with a win, 24-20, covering the one-point line. QB Ryan has thrown for 310 and 272 yards. However, the ground game has not been good with 57 and 73 yards. The Colt opened the season with a loss at the Chargers, 24-30 and then last week at Tennessee they won 19-17. They return for their first home game in the post-Luck era. The offensive stats have not been very impressive, with 376 yards against the Chargers and 288 vs the Titans. Colts laying just one-point at home here. They have been in each game while the Falcons haven't looked all that good - especially on the road. I'm going to lay the points with the Colts today. Play Indianapolis. |
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09-22-19 | Dolphins v. Cowboys -21 | Top | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 88 h 4 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins look like a team that has no desire to compete. The Dolphins have been blown out in both games, losing in the opener to the Ravens, 10-59 and then last week to the Patriots, 0-43. The offense has been horrendous, totaling 63 rushing yards combined for both games. The Passing game has 179 and 142 yards. As for defense, it's been shredded by the Ravens and Patriots. Won't get any easier today as the Cowboys and Ezekiel Elliot should just run all over this Miami team. Dallas has won and covered both games thus far, scoring 35 against the Giants and last week beating the Redskins, 31-21. This is one of the biggest lines we've seen in the NFL in ages and realistically, it should be higher. That being said, if the Cowboys want to cover this game they will. The Dolphins likely won't score again this week. I'm going to take a chance and lay the big number with Dallas |
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09-15-19 | Eagles v. Falcons +1.5 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Sunday night action as the Falcons host the Eagles. The Eagles started last week's home game against the Redskins looking pretty bad and getting many boos from the home crowd, as they trailed at the half. But a 2nd half rally by the Eagles got them the win, but not the cover as a 10-point favorite, 32-27. Now they take to the road to play the Falcons who also struggled last week. Atlanta lost at Minnesota, 12-28 and was never in the game as they scored a TD with just seconds left to make the score more respectable. The defense was good though, holding Minnesota to just 97 yards passing, though they did give up a lot on the ground with 172 yards. I don't expect the Eagles to be able to run the ball like the Vikings did last week. Basically we just need Atlanta to win here tonight as they are a 1 or 2 point home dog. I like the Falcons to bounce back and take the win. Play Atlanta. |
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09-15-19 | 49ers v. Bengals | 41-17 | Loss | -125 | 83 h 9 m | Show | |
Both these teams looked very good in their openers, the 49ers winning at Tampa Bay and the Bengals losing at Seattle. The 49ers benifited from two, pick-six returns that ended up being the difference in a 31-17 win over Tampa Bay. The 49ers offense wasn't sharp though, rushing for 98 yards and passing for just 158 yards. They didn't need to do much though as the defense stiffened when needed. The Bucs outgained the 49ers with 121 yards rushing and 174 yards passing, but turnovers where the difference in this one. As for Cincinnati, they could have and really should have won at Seattle. The Bengals lost 20-21, but dominated the stats with 429 yards to just 233 yards for the Seahawks. The Bengals had three big fumbles though and lost the turnover battle 1-3. That was the difference in this one. Still, the Bengals looked the more complete offense and defense compared to the 49ers who really just benefited from those pick-six returns. I like the Bengals here at home today. The 49ers again make the long trip East, two weeks in a row now and that's tough on any team. Play Cincinnati. |
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09-15-19 | Bills v. Giants +2 | 28-14 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
Buffalo has knocked off one New York team as they look to be the best so far in the state as they take on the other New Yorker here today in the Giants. Buffalo looked lost in their game vs the Jets, trailing 0-6 at the half and by 16-points in the 2nd half. But, QB Josh Allen led the Bills on a comeback and their defense stiffened up for a 17-16 win, scoring 17 unanswered points. Meanwhile, the Giants ran into the Dallas buzzsaw, losing 17-35 in Texas. The Giants had 151 yards rushing and 319 yards passing and really were also even with Dallas in total yards. But, fumbles were the difference as the Giants committed two turnovers to none for Dallas. I'm a bit surprised that Buffalo is a road favorite here, laying from 1 to 2 points. I know they had a nice comeback last week, but the Giants ran up the yards against a very good Dallas defense. I'm taking the Giants and needing nothing more than a straight up win here. Play New York Giants. |
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09-09-19 | Broncos +1 v. Raiders | 16-24 | Loss | -110 | 173 h 37 m | Show | |
Monday Night football and we get an AFC divisional clash between two hated foes, the Denver Broncos and the Oakland Raiders. Both teams have high expectations for the year. First, the Broncos have lots of new faces beginning with Head Coach Vic Fangio who created that excellent Bears defense of recent years. Fangio should also stress defense and hopefully bring back the Broncos defense that was the backbone of this team. Also new is QB Joe Flacco, who comes over from the Baltimore Ravens. Right now the Broncos don't have a backup QB with Drew Lock nursing a hurt thumb and the team having releases the other two backups. They wanted to get Hoyer, but Hoyer was snatched up earlier this week. So the Broncos had to sign Brandon Allen to backup Flacco. Allen has been with the Rams and Jagaurs in recent years. Allen did play against the Broncos in the preseason and apparently impressed them enough to be signed by Denver. The Raiders have high hopes also with Jon Gruden entering his second year. They went out and got Antonio Brown to play Wide Receiver, though he didn't play a snap in the preseason. Brown was nursing injured feed and then he had the much publicized helmet issue with the league. Both of these teams should be much better this year, but I'm siding with the Broncos here. I like Flacco at the helm and the Broncos defense will be much better than Oakland's. Take Denver. |
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09-09-19 | Texans +7.5 v. Saints | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 57 h 41 m | Show | |
The Saints are arguably one of the favorites in the NFC to go to the Super Bowl as they take the field for the first time since the infamous "no-call" in the playoffs vs the Rams. Expectations are high in the Big Easy as the season begins and any thing less than a Super Bowl appearance could be a disappointment. Gone is RB Mark Ingram who departed for the starting position in Baltimore. The Houston Texans are the defending AFC South champions and hope to improve on what they did last year. Bill O'Brien has done wonders in Houston, getting the team past .500 in four of the last five years and finishing first in the division three times. DeShaun Watson is a great starter with a 14-8 record under his belt. He hopes to take advantage of a Saints secondary that was not good last year. In fact, the Saints finished 6th from the bottom of the league in passer rating allowed. The Texans play well on the road, going 5-1 in their last six away games. With JJ Watt and Jackson and I like the points here and really wouldn't be shocked by an outright Texans win. This is too many points to lay to a very good Houston team. Play the Texans. |
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09-08-19 | Colts +7 v. Chargers | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
The post Andrew Luck season begins today after the high profile QB retired suddenly a few weeks ago. Jacoby Brissett takes over the helm as the new, regular QB for the Colts. Keeping Chargers DE Joey Bosa off Brissett will be of the utmost importance here today. Bosa looks to be healthy after missing time last year and is arguably the best defensive player on the Chargers side of the ball. The Chargers will be without RB Melvin Gordon who has been a holdout with a contract dispute. The Chargers have been trying to trade the disgruntled running back and are looking for a first round draft pick in return. The Chargers will have QB Phillip Rivers back though and that is the mainstay of this offense. His best days might be behind him, but he's still one of the best. I think the Colts will be fine without Luck. They've done it in the past and now can move forward knowing he won't be back. I think Gordon's absence is what really will hurt the Chargers here on Sunday. The Colts are getting 6.5 or 7 points and for me that's just too many. I'm taking the dog and looking for a close game that could come down to a last second field goal. Play Indianapolis. |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +3 | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 139 h 21 m | Show | |
The LA Rams would like to put that terrible Super Bowl performance out of their minds as they enter the 2019 season. We aren't sure though about the starters in this one since none of the starters played in the preseason. You have to wonder if it will take a few games to get those "game legs" under them. WR Cooper Kupp is back after suffering that ACL tear last year and that will be big for the Rams. Back also are QB Jared Goff, RB Todd Gurley, WR Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods. The defense should be even better this year with the addition of Clay Mathews at linebacker. There had been questions of Cam Newton playing today for the Panthers as he's had a foot injury. However, Newton took all the reps in practice this week and will likely be ready for today's game. The Panthers have five of the last six meetings with the Rams and Newton is 2-0 against them. Christian McCaffrey is a huge part of the Panthers offense both rushing and catching balls out of the backfield. I think the Panthers can match the Rams here point for point. Since we are getting points here at home with the Panthers, that is who I will take. Play Carolina. |
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09-08-19 | Ravens -6.5 v. Dolphins | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens are the Kings of the NFL preseason. They haven't lost a preseason game since 2015 and again this year were not only undefeated but covered every game. Their only setback was a game called due to weather and they were covering that when it was called. The Ravens went out and got RB Mark Ingram from New Orleans in the offseason. They also settled on a QB, with Joe Flacco leaving for Denver in the offseason. The Dolphins are in a rebuilding mode as they enter the season. One of the biggest concerns for Miami is the offensive line, which lost tackle Lareny Tunsil and Ja'Wuan James. This to me is one of the keys here today. The Ravens lost some of their key defensive players, namely Terrell Suggs and C.J. Mosely, but they will still dominate this Miami offensive line today. The Ravens have a deep secondary and a good one, so expect them to shut down Miami's air attack today. Lamar Jackson won't be looking over his shoulder and seeing Flacco there this year. This is his team and while you can expect this team to still be a run oriented offense, Jackson will give them that double threat of pass/run. It's no surprise the Dolphins have one of the youngest and least experienced teams in the NFL. The Ravens have won seven of their last eight vs the Dolphins and that is fully what I expect again here today. Play Baltimore. |
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09-08-19 | Falcons v. Vikings -4 | Top | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 395 h 25 m | Show |
Arizona's offense not producing much in the preseason with just 200 yards average per game thus far. That's bodes bad for them here today against a Minnesota team that is 19-4 in preseason under HC Mike Zimmer. Zimmer is 5-0 with the Vikings in week 3 of the NFL preseason. That tells me that the Vikes take this dress rehearsal game serious. I'm looking at a big mismatch here on Saturday with the Vikes holding this Arizona team to low yards and score. I'm making a big play here on Minnesota. This will be my Preseason Game of the Year. Take Minnesota. |
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09-05-19 | Packers +3.5 v. Bears | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 75 h 40 m | Show | |
A key divisional matchup right out of the gate for these two powerhouse NFC teams. The Packers hoping that a now healthy Aaron Rodgers will make a big difference to their playoff hopes this season. Rodgers played most of last year with that leg injury suffered against this Bears defense. This Bear's defense won't be as good with some key departures. This will also debut new Packers' head coach Matt LeFleur, who takes over for Mike McCarthy. Matt Nagy's bears should be good again this year with Khalil Mack on defense and a more season Mitch Trubisky behind center. But I'm taking the points here tonight with a healthy Rodgers at the helm for the Pack. Play Green Bay. |
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01-20-19 | Patriots +3 v. Chiefs | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 141 h 32 m | Show | |
When we first look at these two AFC teams we see two offensively explosive clubs. You have the highest scoring team in the NFL in the Chiefs and the Bill Belichick offense of the Patriots. However, what I am looking at here today is very cold weather. Right now the weather for this game on the 20th is going to be in the low teens, around 14 degrees. The winds should be too bad though, anywhere from 4 to 7 mph. Still, cold weather makes it much more challenging to score points. We have Brady and Bellichick once again in the title game. They rolled by one of the best road teams in the playoffs last week in the Chargers. Now they face rookie and likely NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes. If there is one thing the Patriots have done and done well is win these types of games. Now, you are giving Brady points? That's too much for me to pass on. I'm taking the Patriots and these points as I fully expect them to what they have been doing for years now, win big games. Play New England. |
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01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots -4 | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 71 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a bad spot for the Chargers. First, another cross country trip. Last week it was to Baltimore then back home then back to New England for this week's game. That's not the only reason for the selection the weather will not be what the Chargers are used to. The high will be in the 20's and the low in the teens with a 10% chance of some snow. Meanwhile, HC Bill Belichick and team have had a week off to prepare. They have outscored opponents at home this year by 16 points a game. The reign of Bellichick and Brady will soon be coming to an end as father time creeps up on them. But in this matchup, I have to go with Belichick against head coach Anthony Lynn of the Chargers. I just think the line is too short and I might get shorter so I'm going with the New England Patriots to win this game by a touchdown or more. Take New England. |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys +7.5 v. Rams | 22-30 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
This game will feature the two best running backs in the league with the Cowboys Ezekiel Elliot and the Rams Todd Gurley. The Cowboys held off the Seahawks last week at home, 24-22 while the Rams had a week off to rest. Dallas QB Dak Prescot insists his health is good despite coming up limping in a TD run vs the Seahawks lasta week. Pro Bowler Jared Goff could be in the running for MVP this year with Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs. Though Goff finished the season with a three-game slump by his standards. The Rams led the NFC in points per game and total yards this season. The Rams defense has been suspect despite some huge names on the unit. I have to give a big edge to the Rams offense here, but the Cowboys defense is better and this time of year I like defenses. I'm going to take the points with the Cowboys and see if their defense can keep them close and possibly pull the upset win. |
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01-12-19 | Colts +6 v. Chiefs | 13-31 | Loss | -115 | 125 h 24 m | Show | |
The Colts were my biggest play in the NFL Wild Card round of the playoffs and they didn't dissapoint with a dominating performance over the Texans. I believe that this Colts team right now might be the best team in the playoffs. They have a great QB in Andrew Luck, they have a excellent rushing attack with Mack and the defense is playing excellent. As for the Chiefs, yes they were arguably the best team this year in the NFL and have maybe the MVP at QB in Patrick Mahomes. But this team has a horrible defense, one that the Colts should be able to score on easily with their balanced attack. Plus, without Hunt in the backfield, this isn't the same dynamic team we saw earlier int the season. I'm sorry, but 6 points is just many points to give what I see as the best team in the playoffs right now in the Colts. Play Indianapolis in what I believe is an outright Shocker straight-up win! |
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01-06-19 | Chargers +3 v. Ravens | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 88 h 26 m | Show | |
Baltimore survived a scare last week, barely getting by Cleveland and earning a spot in the playoffs this week. Cleveland was driving for what could have been a winning field goal, but they came up short on downs and the Ravens are in and the Steelers were out. The Ravens won their last three games, but covered just two of those. Statistically, the defense is the best in the league, but the Chargers aren't far behind at number 9. These teams have met only twice before this season in the last 10 years, with the Ravens winning in 2015, 29-26 and the Chargers winning ijn 2014, 34-33. The Chargers covering both those games. The meeting this season was just two weeks ago and resulted in a Ravens win and cover, 22-10. The Chargers had their best season since a 13-3 finish in 2009 despite opening the season 1-2. Lamar Jackson replaced Joe Flacco seven weeks ago and closed the season with a 6-1 record behind Jackson. With two good defenses and equal offenses, I expect this to be a close game. However, with Rivers experience in the playoffs that's a big edge over Jackson. I'll take the small points here with the Chargers. |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks +2 v. Cowboys | 22-24 | Push | 0 | 72 h 37 m | Show | |
The Seahawks enter today's contest at Dallas winners of six of their last seven games. They are also one of the better covering teams, going 5-2-1 ATS their last eight games and 8-3-1 ATS their last 12 games. The Hawks are also 4-1 ATS in their last five away games. The Cowboys won at the Giants on Sunday in a meaningless game, 36-35. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs a winning road team. Getting a few points here with the Hawks, but I look for an outright win vs the Cowboys. Play Seattle. |
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01-05-19 | Colts +2 v. Texans | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 68 h 57 m | Show |
Indianapolis won their big game with the Titans on Sunday night to earn their spot into today's playoff game. The Colts are playing very well, winners of four straight and nine of their last 10 games. The Colts offense has also been very good behind QB Andrew Luck, now ranked 7th in the NFL. The Colts defense is also solid at No 11 in the NFL. As for Houston, they have the no 12 defense and the No 15 offense. Houston closed out their season with an easy win on Sunday against the punchless Jaguars, 20-3. Still, the team has lost two of their last four games including at home to these Colts, 21-24 four weeks ago. The Colts are now 5-0-1 in their last six meetings in Houston and 8-2-3 overall vs the Texans the last 13 meetings. The road team is also 7-1-2 the last 10 meetings. I like the Colts here plus the points. |
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12-30-18 | Bears v. Vikings -6 | 24-10 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
This game comes down to one fact, if the vikings win they are in the playoffs. If they lose, they likely won't make the playoffs unless they get some help from the Redskins. The 11-4 Bears are in the playoffs and will host a game. They can get the second seed in the NFC if they beat the Vikings and the Rams lose to the 49ers. That scenario really isn't all that likely since I don't expect the Rams to lose to San Francisco. That could mean depending on the Rams score that the second half of this game is really going to see 2nd and 3rd stringers for the Bears. I'm taking the Vikings here as I fully expect to see the Bears resting players come the 2nd half. Play Minnesota. |
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12-30-18 | Dolphins v. Bills -5 | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Anytime the warm weather Dolphins have to go to Upstate New York in late December to play - look at the weather. The Dolphins are notorious for not playing well in bad or cold weather. So what are we looking at here on Sunday in Buffalo? It's going to be in the mid to low 30's with a slight wind. No precipitation is expected, but it will be on the cool side. Josh Allen has looked very good for the Bills this season, especially running the ball. The Bills have one of the best defenses in the league to go with their young QB. The Dolphins have lost two straight and it's another year without making the playoffs for Miami. Bills looking for some playback here today as I expect them to beat the Dolphins. |
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12-30-18 | Lions v. Packers -7.5 | Top | 31-0 | Loss | -108 | 46 h 4 m | Show |
This last week of the NFL regular season you have to look past numbers and figures and look for what motivates a team in this week. Some teams have the playoffs to look forward, while others (like these two) teams are just playing out the season. So why do I like my side so much here today? Simple. Aaron Rodgers has had a tough season. He's been injured, he's been hit hard all year and he's been without at times any decent receivers. This definitely not the type of season that Rodgers is used to having. I believe that he will want to finish this season strong and put his detractors doubts to rest. The Lions have one of the worst offenses in the NFL, they haven't been covering at all and Mathew Stafford has rumors surrounding him that he will be traded. Everything points to a Packers complete blowout here today. One of my favorite games of the season right here today is on the Packers. |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
The Seahawks continue their playoff push today at home against the Chiefs. Seattle is 8-6 and right now has the top NFC Wild card spot. That means their playoff chances are in their hands. And really, they should make it with the Chiefs here at home today and the Cardinals visiting next week. Still, they would love to beat the Chiefs today. Every since Kansas City lost RB Hunt to his off-field issues, they have not looked like the team we saw earlier in the season. The Chiefs scored 27 in a win two weeks ago at home vs the Ravens and 28 in their loss last week at home to the Chargers. A far cry from the 40's and 50's we have become accustomed to seeing them score. The Chiefs have the second worst defense in the league and now face the fourth highest rated QB in Russel Wilson. The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are 4-1-1 ATS their last six overall. The Hawks are also 23-10-1 ATS their last 34 games in December. I see these teams heading in opposite directions right now. I'm taking the Seahawks here today. |
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12-23-18 | Texans v. Eagles -1.5 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Eagles kept their playoff hopes alive with a huge win last week at the LA Rams, 30-23. QB Nick Foles started in place of injured Carson Wentz and just like he did last year at LA, pulled out the win. Can he do what he did last year and lead this team back into the playoffs? The Eagles have won three of their last four games and could easily be 4-0 if not for that OT loss at Dallas a few weeks ago. They play at home against Houston today and close out at Washington. Both games very winable. Baring a total collapse, the Texans should win the AFC South as they lead the Colts and Titans by two games with two to play. Houston plays at Philly today and then closes at home against Jacksonville next week. The Texans have not done very well on real grass, going 2-8 ATS their last 10. In addition, they are just 1-8-1 ATS their last 10 games in December. The Eagles are 7-2 ATS their last nine at home vs a winning road team. This game has much more meaning for the Eagles and with Foles looking much more confident behind center, I'm taking the home club here today. Play Philadelphia. |
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12-23-18 | Vikings -6 v. Lions | 27-9 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
The Vikings are still in the hunt for a NFC Wild Card spot. The Bears will take the division, but at 7-6-1 the Vikings right now hold the second Wild Card by virtue of that tie with Green Bay earlier this season. The Vikings snapped their two-game losing streak with a blowout win at home last week against the Dolphins, 41-17. The Vikings are 13-5-1 ATS their last 19 games against teams with a losing record. They are also 20-9 ATS their last 29 games in December. The Lions are in last place in the NFC North at 5-9-1. The Detroit offense has been horrible, despite one of the better QB's in Mathew Stafford. The Lions have scored 17 points or less in each of the last four weeks. In addition, they have not scored more than 22 points in any of their last eight weeks. It won't get any easier today against the fourth ranked defense in the league in Minnesota. The Lions have the 24th ranked offense. The Lions just can't seem to find the right combinations on offense and today the Vikings will keep them down as they look to put a hold on that Wild Card spot. Take Minnesota. |
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12-22-18 | Ravens +4.5 v. Chargers | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Late Saturday game here on Saturday as the Baltimore Ravens make the long trip West to take on the LA Chargers. The Ravens in a fight for the AFC North with Pittsburgh. The Steelers lead the division by just a half game over the Ravens. Steelers have to play at New Orleans so there's a real chance the Ravens take over first place with a win here today. The Ravens have the top ranked NFL defense with just 290 yards allowed per game. The Chargers are known for their offense, but also have a good defense, ranked 8th allowing 329 yards per game. Baltimore held a very good Tampa Bay offense to just 12 points last week in their 20-12 win. The only team the last four weeks to score more than 17 points vs the Ravens was the Chiefs. The Ravens are 18-7-4 ATS in their last 29 road games when facing a home team with a winning record. They are also 7-3-1 ATS overall their last 11 road games. The Chargers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and 2-8 ATS their last 10 games played on Saturday. The road team has covered four of the last five in this series and the dog is also 4-1 the last five. I'm taking the road dog here today. Play Baltimore. |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +7 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
The Saints path through the playoffs got a bit easier with the Rams losing on Sunday night. The Saints are now 11-2 while the Rams are 11-3. Plus, the Saints have already beaten the Rams. The Panthers are not out of a Wild Card yet, but can't afford a loss tonight. The Panthers are 6-7 and you have three other teams at 7-7 for that final Wild Card spot. The Saints rebounded from their loss at Dallas two weeks ago with a win last week at Tampa Bay, 28-14. New Orleans plays its third straight road game here tonight. Carolina has lost five straight games, with four of those losses on the road. They return home here tonight where they are 5-1 S/U this season. The Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. The dog has done well in this series, covering seven of the last eight between these teams. Panthers are tough at home and they will fight for that final playoff spot. I like the points here on their home field. Take Carolina. |
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12-16-18 | Eagles +14 v. Rams | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
Big Sunday night game here today as the reeling Rams take on the Eagles. The Rams are 11-2 and still fighting with the Saints (11-2) for that all important home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. With their loss to the Saints, the Rams will need some help from someone. The Rams struggled last week against that mighty Bears defense, held to a season-low six-points. In fact, that was the first time all season the Rams have scored less than 23 points. The Rams have also covered just one of their last six games and are 2-6-1 ATS their last nine. For the Eagles, it looks like QB Carson Wentz is done for the season with a back injury. That means in comes Super Bowl hero Nick Foles who led the Eagles down the stretch last year. The Rams are now 2-8-1 ATS their last 11 home games vs a losing team. The Eagles have done very well vs the Rams, going 10-1 ATS the last 11 meetings. Too many points here for a Rams team that needs to show me they are caving in late in the season. I'm taking Foles and the Eagles here tonight. |