The 49ers look to rebound from that loss last week to the Cleveland Browns. The Niners led most of the way and then missed the game winning field goal late in the loss 17-19 as a 9.5-point favorite. For me I believe the Niners will rebound tonight. However, I have to side with the UNDER in this one as SF will be missing key offensive players. Their star running back Christian McCaffrey is questionable with a oblique injury. They could also miss some key offensive linemen. As for the Vikings, they will be without star WR Justin Jefferson who has a hamstring injury. And when we add that SF has one of the best defenses in the league. They allow just 14.5 ppg and 278 yards per game. For me, I'm just taking the UNDER in this one.

The LV Raiders knew when they got QB Jimmy Garappolo that his health was always a question. He's already been hurt twice this year and missed time. The first time with a concussion and last week he had to be taken to the hospital with a bank injury. Jimmy G is going to miss this game as we await which QB the Raiders will start. The Raiders are 3-3 on the season with a -31 point differential as they sit in 2nd in the AFC West. The Bears can sympathize with Vegas though as they also will be without their starting QB in Justin Fields. Fields has a hand injury and will miss today's contest. Tyson Bagent will start this one for the Bears. Vegas has been a good under team this year with five of their six going under. Opposite for the Bears as five of their six have gone over. Vegas can win its third straight with a win here on Sunday. They average just 16.7 ppg while allowing 21.8 ppg. The Bears coming off a loss last week to the Vikings, 13-19, as a 3-point dog. That was also their first under of the season. The Bears average 21.3 ppg and allow 29.3 ppg. Neither team will look to throw a lot in this game. Expect a lot of rushing and ball control. I'll take the under in what should be a snoozer.

Could the Bill Belichick era be coming to an end in New England? This is the worst start he's had and it won't get any easier here on Sunday as the Bills come into Foxboro. The Patriots are 1-5 on the season and have yet to win a home game in three chances. They have a -80 point differential, worst in the AFC. The Pats offense has scored 20 points or more just one time this season and that caem in their opening week loss to the Eagles, 20-25. Since then they have hit 17 points twice and held to three points vs the Cowboys and no points by the Saints. Last week they lost at Las Vegas, 17-21, as a 3-point dog. Their last five games have gone under the total. The Bills offense was jet lagged last week after returning from London, England the week before. The offense managed just 14 points in their win over the Giants, 14-9. That made two straight under plays and three of their last four going under. The weather will be fair with a chance of showers and winds around 13 mph. I don't expect the Pats to get much here and their defense will be on the field a lot in this game. I'll take the UNDER.

The NY Giants come into this one dead last in the NFC East with a 1-5 record. The Giants have the worst point differential in the NFC by far with a -96. The Giants have lost four straight games including last week at Buffalo, 9-14, though they covered the 15.5-point dog line. That was the first cover of the season for the Giants. They are also 1-5 O/U with their last four games going Under the total. Washington is 3-3 S/U and has a -43 point differential. The Commanders snapped a three-game losing streak with a win last week at Atlanta, 24-16, as a 1.5-point dog. They are 3-3 O/under on the season. The Commanders average 22.2 ppg while allowing 29.3 ppg. Neither team's offense will set anyone on fire, that's for sure. I'll take the UNDER here today.

Interconference battle as the NFC Philadelphia Eagles take on the AFC NY Jets. The Eagles bring a top 10 total defense into today's contest. The Jets were great last year on defense but have slipped to 22nd this year. The Jets do have the 14th ranked pass defense while the Eagles are 25th. The Eagles shine on the rush defense, ranked tops in the NFL allowing just 61.2 ypg on the season. The Eagles put their 5-0 record on the line here today at the Jets. They are coming off a win at the LA Rams, 23-14, with the game going under. The Jets lost Aaron Rodgers in the first quarter of the first game of the season. Zach Wilson has been ok, but nothing great. He has four TD's and five INT's. He has also thrown for over 200 yards just one time. With the Eagles top ranked rush defense, that will put a lot of pressure on Wilson on Sunday. The weather won't be as bad here at the Meadowlands as it will be in other parts of the East, but still may play some factor. The winds will be from 12 mph and gusting above that on Sunday. I don't see Wilson doing much and they surely won't run much against this Eagles defense. I'll be on the UNDER today.

NFC West clash here on Sunday has the Arizona Cardinals playing at the LA Rams. Both teams finding the going rough thus far with the Cardinals at 1-4 S/U and 3-2 ATS. The Rams are 2-3 S/U and 2-1-2 ATS. The Cardinals are 3-1-1 over/under while the Rams are 2-3 O/Un. Arizona coming off a loss last week at home to Cincinnati, 20-34 with the game going over. The previous week they gave up 35 points to the 49ers in another over. The defense has allowed 27.2 ppg and given up 375.6 ypg. They have average 21.6 ppg with 329 ypg. The Rams had a tough game vs the Eagles last week at home in a loss, 14-23. The Rams have averaged 22.4 ppg while giving up 21.6 ppg on the season. The Rams finally get a team they should be able to score against after some tough outings. The Cardinals seem to be able to put up points even without QB Kyler Murray who has missed all the games this year with an ACL injury. I'm taking the over here on Sunday.

This is a matchup of the haves and have nots. The Miami Dolphins have it all right now with a 4-1 record both S/U and ATS. The Carolina Panthers have nothing as in wins with a 0-5 S/U and 0-4-1 ATS record. The Panthers are 2-3 O/U while the Dolphins are 3-2 O/U. The Panthers offense is in trouble. The coach hates the QB while the owner wanted this QB. The QB in question is Bryce Young. Young has five TD's on the season and four INT's. He has yet to throw for more than 247 yards. With the team averaging just 18.2 ppg this year, even the Panthers will find scoring tough here on Sunday against a Miami team that has given up some points. One thing that catches my eye is that Miami has to play at Philadelphia next week. Difficult to get up for this Panthers team with a huge matchup on tap next weekend. I'll take the UNDER here as I look for Miami to be a bit distracted. Play UNDER.

Interconference game here on Sunday has the undefeated San Francisco 49ers taking on the Cleveland Browns. The Browns will be without starting QB Deshaun Watson who is nursing an injured shoulder. PJ Walker looks to get the start here on Sunday. The Browns offense managed just three points at home last week in their loss to the Ravens, 3-28. That makes three of four games going under this year. The defense is very good too, holding two of their four opponents to just a field goal. The 49ers look to be the team to beat this year with a perfect 5-0 record and 4-0-1 spread record. The defense has held opponents to just 13.6 ppg and 266.8 ypg. Once again, weather looks to play a part in this outcome. While the showers look to be light, the winds will be blowing 16 mph or gusting more than that for this one. The 49ers defense is tough enough without the wind helping them out. Can also say the same for the Browns with their excellent defense. Add to that Watson being out and the browns are going to find moving the ball through the air next to impossible. I'll take the UNDER here on Sunday.

The Vikings head to Soldier field for a NFC North battle with the Chicago Bears. Both these teams are 1-4 S/U and 1-3-1 ATS. The Vikings are 1-3-1 Over/under while the Bears have gone over in all five games. The Vikings coming off a loss at home to the Chiefs, 20-27 with the game going under the 52.5 point total. The Bears hadn't scored more than 20 points in any of their first three games. However, they have since scored 28 vs the Broncos and 40 vs the Commanders. The defense has been pretty bad with their best effort last week in their win at Washington, 40-20. Weather looks to play a part in this game with scattered rain showers. But more important to the total are the winds, which will be 20 MPH or more. Wind effects totals more than any other element in my experience and today's weather combined with these two teams has me playing the UNDER.

AFC West clash here on Thursday night football has the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs are 4-1 and comfortably in 1st place in the division while Denver is in last place at 1-4. The Chiefs have a +48 point differential while Denver is at -60 points. The Chiefs could be without one of their stars on Thursday, as TE Travis Kelce is questionable with an ankle injury. I'm going to be on the under in this game and mainly because the weather looks to be bad. There's chance of showers, but more important are the 21 mph winds. Winds, in my opinion, influence totals more than anything. And if Kelce doesn't play, then that will even make this a stronger play. Either way, I'll be on the UNDER on Thursday night.

 The Green Bay Packers visit Las Vegas to finish up Week 5 NFL action against the Raiders. The Packers are 2-2 on the season and have +4 point differential with 100 points scored and 96 points allowed. The Raiders are 1-3 and have a -39 point differential with just 62 points scored and 101 points allowed. The Packers look to rebound from their home loss to the Detroit Lions last week, 20-34. The loss was also their first spread loss as they are now 3-1 vs the number and 3-1 Over/Under on the season. The Packers average 25 ppg while allowing 24 ppg. They also average 280.8 ypg while allowing 352.5 ypg. The Raiders are 1-3 S/U, 1-2-1 vs the number and 1-3 Over/Under. Vegas is coming off a loss at the LA Chargers, 17-24, pushing the 7-point dog line. Good news is that they get back QB Jimmy Garoppolo who missed last week's game with a concussion. Garoppolo has six INT's and five TD's on the season. Neither teams defense all that good. I'll take the over in this one.

Great news today for the Colts as RB Jonathan Taylor will be returning to the team. The team and Taylor agreed to a three-year contract. The Colts activated Taylor off the PUP list Saturday leaving only Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara as RB that will make more money. Taylor can see action here today vs the Titans. The Colts are in a four way tie in the AFC South as all the teams are 2-2 on the season. The Colts have scored 97 points and allowed 99 points this year. The Titans, also in the division have scored 72 points and allowed 70 points this year. The Titans are coming off a win vs the Bengals last week, 27-3. The Colts lost the Rams last week, 23-29 and have gone over in three of their four games. The return of Taylor should give this entire team a shot in the arm and with that I'm looking for a higher scoring game. Play the OVER.

Interconference matchup here has the AFC East 1-3 New England Patriots taking on the NFC South 2-2 New Orleans Saints. The Saints come into this game with a -14 point differential, scoring 62 points and allowing 76. QB Derek Carr has been upgraded to probable for this game with a shoulder injury. The Patriots also have a negative point differential of -42, scoring 55 points and allowing 97 on the season. Despite their new QB, the Saints have averaged just 15.5 points per game while allowing 19 ppg. They average 285.3 ypg an allow 304.3 ypg. Carr has averaged 190.8 ypg with just two TD's and two INT's in his four games. Last week in their loss to Tampa Bay, 9-26, Carr had just 127 yard with no TD's. In fact, Carr hasn't thrown a TD since week two at Carolina. The Patriots aren't much better on offense, coming off a loss last week at Dallas, 3-38. They have score 20 points or more just one time in four games and that came in a week one loss to Philly, 20-25. Two offenses that are not good with defenses that are above average. I'll take the UNDER.

 AFC North clash here on Sunday has the division leading 3-1 Baltimore Ravens visiting the 2nd place 2-2 Pittsburgh Steelers. The Ravens have a +41 point differential with 99 points scored and 58 points allowed. The Steelers are not so lucky as they are in the red with a minus-38 point differential with just 62 points scored and 100 points allowed. The Ravens are 1-3 over/under this season. They have allowed just 14.5 points per game while scoring 24.7 ppg. They are coming off a easy win at Cleveland last week, 28-3, going under the 38.5 point total. The teams only over came in week two at Cincinnati in a win over the Bengals, 27-24. The Steelers have had issue scoring this season with just a 15.5 points per game average. They lost last week at Houston, 6-30, going under the 41.5 point total. Their only over came in week two vs the Browns in a win, 26-22. Steelers QB Kenny Pickett was upgraded to probable for this game with a knee injury. Have to wonder how mobile he will be in this one if he does play. With the anemic Steelers offense I'll take the UNDER here today.

The Seattle Seahawks look to improve to 3-1 as they travel to the Meadowlands to take on the NY Giants. After opening with a loss to the Rams in week one, the Hawks have won at Detroit, 37-31 and then last week beat Carolina, 37-27 as a 4.5-point favorite. The Hawks have also gone over the last two games as they have 37 points in each of those contests. The NY Giants are 1-2 S/U and 0-3 ATS on the season. They have averaged just 14.3 ppg while allowing 32.7 ppg. They lost last week at San Francisco, 12-30 as 10.5-point dogs. They have allowed 138 yards rushing and 223.7 yards passing on the year compared to just 88 rushing and 165 passing of their own. The Giants haven't stopped anyone thus far and the way the Seahawks have been playing I don't see them doing much here either. I'll take the OVER.

 Key NFC South matchup here today has the 2-1 Tampa Bay Bucs traveling to New Orleans to take on the 2-1 Saints. Tampa Bay lost its first game of the season last week with a 11-25 loss at home to Philadelphia as a 5-point dog. The Bucs managed just 41 yards rushing and 133 yards passing while giving up 472 total yards. QB Baker Mayfield had a season low 146 yards with his first INT of the season. The Saints lost QB Derek Carr last week and what looked to be a bad shoulder injury actually wasn't as bad as he is upgraded to questionable for today's game. If he can't go then Jameis Winston will once again start. Winston was 10-for-16 last week and 101 yards in their 17-18 loss. The Saints led 17-0 but once Carr went down they heart went out of the team as they lost to the Packers. The Saints have just 53 points in three games while allowing 50. The Bucs have 58 points while allowing 59. Both teams more defense then offense. I don't expect the Saints to risk Carr here on Sunday and they will be cautious with Winston. I'll take the UNDER in this one.

The Tennessee Titans are just 1-2 to start the season. Good news is that they are tied with Houston and Jacksonville while the Colts are just 2-1. They just need to find some offense as they have just 45 points in three games. The Titans were held to just three points last week at Cleveland in a 3-27 loss. The offense had just 94 total yards in the loss. Derick Henry has averaged just 54.3 rushing yards per game thus far while Ryan Tannehill has just 182.7 yards passing with one TD and three INT's. The Bengals QB Joe Burrow's injured calf evident in their opening loss at Cleveland, 3-24. But considering the excellent Browns defense, maybe that wasn't such a bad performance. They lost in week two at home to the Ravens, 24-27 before getting their first win last week vs the Rams, 19-16. Burrows had his season high in passing yards with 242. They still need a better running game as they have 75, 66 and 67 yards in their three games. I don't expect a lot of points here today with two teams looking to establish a running game. I'll take the UNDER in this one.

Denver had high hopes starting the season that QB Russell Wilson could turn things around. But so far that hasn't happened as the Broncos are 0-2. They have put up 49 points while allowing 52 points. The Broncos look good on opening drives when the plays are scripted, but after that things kind of fall apart. Miami is 2-0 and their offense has put up 30 ppg average after two games. The defense has allowed 51 points. Tua Tagovailoa has been good with Four TD's and just two INT's. He threw for 466 yards in the opener vs the Chargers and 249 yards last week vs a much better Patriots defense. Both these teams should be able to score on the other. I'll take OVER.

The New England Patriots looking for their first win of the season after starting 0-2. They also hit the road for the first time here on Sunday as they have to play at a very good defensive NY Jets. The Pats offense hasn't been very good either with just 37 points in two games, though the defense is decent and has allowed 49 points. The Jets are 1-1 and have fewer points then the Pats with just 32. Their defense has allowed 46. QB Mac Jones for the Pats has FOUR TD's and a pair of INT's this season. He threw for 316 yards in the opener vs Philly and 231 last week vs Miami. The Jets lost Aaron Rodgers 75 seconds into the season and now Zach Wilson is back at the helm. He threw three INT's last week in a 10-30 loss at Dallas. Wilson also has just 140 and 170 yards in two games. Both these teams are not very good offensively and much better defensively. I'll take UNDER today.

The Ny Giants made a big comeback last week to pull out the win at Arizona, 31-28. The Giants did fail to cover the 5-point line and easily went over the 40-point total. The Giants had 438 total yards after that poor week one performance against Dallas where they got just 171 total yards. Daniel Jones rebounded from his 104 yards and two INT's vs the Cowboys with 321 yards and 2 TD's against Arizona. Now the Giants have to face another good defensive team in the 49ers. The 49ers are 2-0 S/U and 1-0-1 ATS. They have had a very balanced offense with 173.5 rushing yards per game and 204.5 passing. They won both their road games thus far with a win at Pitt in week one, 30-7, and then last week at the Rams, 30-23, pushing last week's line. The defense has allowed just 41 yards on the ground and 198 through the air thus far. Could be another rough outing for the Giants defense here tonight. The Giants are last in the league in scoring defense as they have allowed 34 ppg. San Francisco is 3rd in the NFL in rushing and should have another field day on Thursday. The Giants can ill afford to fall behind 0-20 at half like they did last week. I expect Daniel Jones to have to throw a lot in this game and the 49ers to get plenty of points. I'll take OVER.

 Cleveland opened last week with a big AFC win over in-state rivals Cincinnati, 24-3. The Browns covered the pick'em line and went under the 46.5 point total. Cleveland had 206 yards on the ground and 144 passing yards for 350 total yards. Best news was they held the Bengals to just 142 total yards. Deshaun Watson was 16-of29 for 154 yards with one TD and one INT. Nick Chubb rushed for 106 yards and a 5.9 rypa average. Pittsburgh was manhandled last week at home by San Francisco, 7-30. They failed to cover the 1-point dog line and went under the 41.5-point total. They had just 239 total yards with 41 rushing yards. They allowed 391 yards to the 49ers. Kenny Pickett was 31-of46 for 232 yards with one TD and NO INT's. Since the Steelers played from behind they didn't get to establish much on the ground with Najee Harris having just 31 yards. The Steelers defense looked horrible last week and they are much better then showed. The Browns will be a daunting task on the ground, but I look for the Steelers defense to show much better here on Monday. Add to that a very good Browns defense and I'll take the UNDER.

The New Orleans Saints look to improve to 2-0 with this second Monday Night football game at Carolina. The Saints did just enough to beat the Tennessee Titans last week, 16-15. They failed to cover the 3-point home line and went under the 41.5 total line. The Saints had 69 rushing yards and 282 yards passing. They held the Titans to 47 yards rushing and 181 yard passing. New QB Derek Carr was efficient with a 23-of-33 performance with one TD and one INT. Jamaal Williams led a trio of rushers with 45 yards though he did fumble one time. Carolina went to Atlanta last week and came up short to the Falcons, 10-24. They failed to cover the 3.5-point dog line and went under the 40.5 total. They did rush for 154 yards but had only 127 yards passing. The defense was very good, holding Atlanta to 130 yards rushing and 91 passing yards. New QB Bryce Young was 20-of-38 for 146 yards though he did have two INT's. Miles Sanders led the rushing attack with 72 yards though he also turned the ball over once. Both teams flashed some very good defense and not a lot of offense. I'll take the UNDER tonight.

AFC matchup here on Sunday has the New England Patriots hosting the Miami Dolphins. The Patriots came from behind last week, but came up just short in their loss at home to Philadelphia Eagles, 20-25, as a 3.5-point dog. The Pats had 76 yards rushing and 306 yards passing. The defense was very good, allowing 97 rushing and 154 passing to a very good Eagles offense. QB Mac Jones was 35-for-54 for 316 yards, three TD's and one INT. The rushing game was not much, but they were playing from way behind for a good portion of the game. Ezikiel Elliot led with 29 yards while Stevenson chipped-in another 25 yards. The Miami Dolphins won a shootout last week at the LA Chargers, 36-34, covering the three-point dog line. They had 70 yards rushing and 466 yards passing. Tua Tagovailoa was 28-for-45 for 466 yards, three TD's and one INT. Raheem Mostert rushed for 37 yards and one TD. The home team has won five of the last meetings between these AFC rivals. Miami had the second fewest rushing attempts last year and again this year had just 20 attempts in their opener at the Chargers. IF Tua can remain healthy that might not be terrible, but you hate to see so much put on the QB. The Pats defense will once again be very good as it was last week. It's the offense that has to find some improvement. THey were forced to throw more last week as they trailed throughout. I look for the Patriots to turn to the rushing game more here in week two as they try and take pressure off Jones. The Miami rush defense isn't great and that should provide better opportunities for the Patriots rushers. If the Pats can establish the rush, keep the Miami offense off the field then this one should be a good under play.

NFC West clash here on Sunday has both teams looking to start the season 2-0. The San Francisco 49ers were dominant in their win last week at Pittsburgh, 30-7. They held the Steelers to just 41 total rushing yards and 198 passing yards. The defense also had a pair of interceptions. Brock Purdy played in his first game since that playoff injury against the Eagles. He was 19-for-29 for 220 yards and two TD's and no INT's. Chrisitan McCaffrey was great, rushing for 152 yards and a touchdown while Brandon Aiyuk led the receivers with 129 yards and a pair of TD's. The Rams trailed at halftime last week at Seattle, 7-13. However, a big second half rally and a shutout of the Seattle offense led to an easy win, 30-13. The Rams had 426 yards of offense to just 180 by the Seahawks. Matthew Stafford was 24-of-38 for 334 yards. Kyren Williams led the rushing attack with 52 yards and a pair of TD's. I see this 49ers team as one of the teams to beat this year with their balanced offense and dominating defense. Not sure the Rams can find the same offensive success they had last week. But if both defenses play like they did last week this one will be an UNDER. Take UNDER.

NFC matchup here on Sunday has the Bucs hosting the Bears. The Chicago Bears looked bad last week in their loss to Green Bay. The Bears had a -2 turnover ratio and were outgained 329-311 yards by the Packers. Justin Fields was 24-for-37 for 216 yards, one TD and one INT. The rushing game was horrible with Khalil Herbert leading the team with just 27 yards on the ground. Tampa Bay came away with the win as a dog last week at Minnesota, 20-17. The win came despite having just 242 total yards of offense. They did hold the Vikings to just 41 yards rushing though they allowed 328 yards through the air. Baker Mayfield was 21-of34 for 173 yards and a pair of TD's. Rachaad White led the rushing with 39 yards. Both these teams had issues with their offense and both had trouble moving the ball on the ground. I look for both to continue that trend this week as the Bears rushing attack will have little success against this Bucs defense. Play UNDER.

 The Green Bay Packers post Aaron Rodgers era began on a positive note last week with a win at the Chicago Bears, 38-20. The Packers had just 92 rushing yards and 237 passing yards for a total of 329 total yards. They held the Bears to 122 yards rushing and 189 yards passing for 311 total yards. Jordan Love was efficient at QB, going 15-for-27 for 245 yards and three TD's. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing with 41 yards and a TD. The Atlanta Falcons won at home last week against Carolina, 24-10, despite just 221 total yards of offense. They held the Panthers to 10 points on 281 yards of offense. Desmond Ridder was 15-for-18 for 115 yards and one TD. Tyler Allgeier led the team in rushing with 75 yards and a pair of TD's. Both teams looking to start the season 2-0 and I look for a lot of ball control in this one. Neither team piled up the yards last week and we can see the Falcons will be carful with their young QB. I'll take the UNDER in this one.

Great way to finish week one of the NFL with this AFC East clash between Buffalo and the Jets. The Jets were good last year and then they go out and get Aaron Rodgers this year to bolster an offense to go with that outstanding defense. The AFC East should be interesting with Buffalo, the Jets, Dolphins and Pats. The Bills and Jets both won two preseason games with the Jets having the extra Hall of Fame game. The Bills won their third straight division title last year and made the postseason for the fourth consecutive season. The Bills will once again be one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl. The Jets hope bringing in Rodgers will get them into the postseason for the first time since 2010. Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb also reunite with Rodgers on the Jets. The Jets were fourth in scoring defense last year and total defense. This matchup should feature two of the premier defenses in the AFC. The line is too close for me, but the total I do like and will go with the UNDER.

The Baltimore Ravens long string of preseason wins came to an end this year as they actually went just 1-2. They scored 68 points while allowing 74 in the preseason. Meanwhile, Houston was 2-1 in the preseason scoring just 40 points while allowing 50 points. Houston made a big change, bring in DeMeco Ryan to coach the team after winning just eight games over their last three seasons. Also taking over at QB is C.J. Stroud, the Ohio State star QB. On the defensive side of the ball they bring in Alabama pass rusher Will Anderson Jr, who should also make a big impact. The Ravens won 10 games last year and double digits in four of the last five seasons. QB Lamar Jackson has a new contract in hand and they bring in Odel Beckham Jr as one of his targets along with Nelson Agholor. The defense was third in scoring defense last year and returns most of that unit this year. The Ravens were leaders in a number of defensive categories last year. I'm going to take the under here as the Texans likely will take some time to get the offense in sync and this is not the defense to start out again. Play UNDER.

NFC South action here on Sunday has Atlanta hosting Carolina. The Panthers didn't win a preseason game and only scored 36 points in their three games. The Falcons were 1-1-1 in preseason and scored just 32 points and allowed just 40 points. Atlanta has seen five of their last six regular season games. Not a lot to go on the first game of the season so I will take into consideration in these early games. But if the preseason is any indication, both these teams will struggle to put points on the board. QB Bryce Young takes over for Carolina and while he may prove to be the future, there could be a rough learning curve for the rookie. I'll stick with the UNDER here in game one.

The start of the NFL Season and a great game on tap as the Kansas City Chiefs host the Detroit Lions. Detroit had one of their best seasons in memory, finishing at 9-8. However, they missed the playoffs for the sixth straight year. Detroit improved though last year under Dan Campbell, winning eight of their final 10 games. Gone are RB's Jamaal Williams, D'Andre Swift and Justin Jackson. Coming in is 1st round pick Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. The Lions were 8th in passing last year and 11th in rushing, averaging 26.6 ppg. Kansas City begins defense of their Super Bowl Championship. They were 14-3 in the regular season last year and beat the Eagles in the Super Bowl. They were first in the NFL in passing offense with 297.8 ypg. They were also first in scoring offense with 29.2 ppg. They will have some early issue on the defensive line with Chris Jones holding out. Expect the Lions to throw a lot in this game and with the high scoring Chiefs on the other side I'm taking the OVER here in game one of the season.

I look at the defenses to be the superior units in this game, especially the Philly defense which has been great. However, it's offenses which win Super Bowls. I also like Andy Reid who has been here many times and knows how to coach in the Super Bowl. Philly has a young coach and young team making their first appearance in some time. You can make a argument for just about any side or total in this contest. For me, I'm looking at a very good Philly defense to keep the score low. Plus, You have Jalen Hurts with that aching throwing shoulder. He hasn't been called on to make many throws the last two games, both of which dominated by the Philly defense. So we'll have to see if that changes much here on Sunday. I'm taking the UNDER in the Super Bowl and going against the historic trends of overs. I look for defense to be the units that take more over in this contest. So lets take the UNDER in the Super Bowl.

AT this point of the season you can pretty much make a case for either side in a matchup. The Bengals jumped out to a 14-0 lead last week at Buffalo and really shut down one of the best offenses in the NFL and QB's in Josh Allen. It was a complete game for the Bengals who controlled the game from the opening kickoff to the final whistle. If QB Jeff Burrow were to retire today, he would have the highest completion rate EVER in the NFL among QB's. Pretty impressive. The Chiefs hosted the Jaguars last week and while I had KC, the Jags got the back door cover on the last drive. Happens, they could allow a field goals so the Chiefs played a prevent defense and allowed the Jags to march down the field in last minute to get a field goal to cover the spread. But the biggest news was the high ankle sprain to QB Patrick Mahomes. He came out a a brief time, but came back in and finished with 195 yards and two passing td's. QB Chad Henne came into the game and led the Chiefs on a 98-yard touchdown drive while Mahomes was being tended to. Mahomes vows to play this week and I believe he will play. However, we will see a different Mahomes here in this game. One that can't scramble as well and definitely won't be doing a lot of running. He will be more of a drop back passer and will likely have more "dump off" options. This game comes down to QB's. I feel Burrows is arguably the best QB in the NFL and he proved it last week. Yes, Mahomes is great, but how limited will his game be with an injury that some players take weeks off to heal from? With Mahomes hobbled and the excellent rushing of the Bengals, I look for this game to be lower scoring. Take the UNDER.

The two best defensive teams in the NFL will meet here in the NFL Championship round. The Eagles topped the NFL, allowing just 297 yards per game. They were 17th vs the rush but first vs the pass. That should be good here today against rookie QB for San Francisco Purdy. Purdy has been great this year, but we'll see how he holds up in hostile Philly against the top ranked passing defense. Where the Eagles might get exploited is rushing. The Giants have Christian McCaffrey who could do well here today. San Francisco has the 2nd ranked overall defense, allowing 301 yards per game. They are 2nd vs the rush and 20th vs the pass. They will be tasked with containing Philly QB Jalen Hurts. The 49ers have gone under in their last seven playoff road games. They are also 1-5 O/U in their last six overall playoff games. Philly has gone under in their last four games on grass and are 1-4 O/U their last five overall. The Eagles are 3-12-1 O/U their last 16 playoff games at home. These teams have also gone under the last four times they have met. I like defenses come playoff time and I for both these units to do well here today. I'm taking the UNDER.

The Dallas Cowboys sent Tom Brady and the Bucs home with their dominating performance in the Wild Card game last week, 31-14. Dak Prescot was red-hot, throwing four TD's and running in another. Now the Cowboys will hit the road for this Divisional game at San Francisco. The 49ers are the hottest team with 11 straight wins and QB Brock Purdy, last man in the draft taken last year, now proving his worth. The 49ers are the best defense in the league and lead in point differential with a +10.6 mark. Don't put a lot of stock into that Cowboys win last week, the Bucs have looked bad all season as they limped into the playoff spot with a losing record. Dallas actually has the short week to prepare having played on Monday night. I expect the 49ers to be run heavy in this game with Chrisitan McCaffrey carrying the load. This team is filled with weapons on offense. I look for a higher scoring game here if the weather permits and it looks good right now. Both teams have been offensive juggernauts thus far and I don't see that changing. Play the OVER.

Monday Night Football has the Cowboys playing at the Tampa Bay Bucs. For the first time in his career Tom Brady had a losing season with a team. That and the fact that on paper the Cowboys are the better team is why the Bucs are a home dog of a Field goal here on Monday. Yes, you can make many arguments why to back the Cowboys here on Monday. How poorly this Bucs team played this year, how much trouble they had putting points on the board, their last place rushing offense.... and on and on. However, I'm backing the Bucs for one reason and only one reason here on Monday and that reason is TOM BRADY. It's playoff time and that's where Tom shines. And I do expect to see a lot more upempo pace from Brady here on Monday. Brady and this offense has looked stagnant, expect under pressure of late game time clock. I see them doing a lot more no huddle and hurry up here on Monday. And with that I'm taking a shot on the OVER here on Monday Night.

The Seattle Seahawks are all Lions fans today after they backed their way into the Playoffs when the Lions went into Lambeau field and beat the Green Bay Packers. If I had a vote, Dan Campbell of the lions would get NFL Coach of the Year. The 9-8 Seahawks don't have to travel far as they play the 13-4 49ers. The Seahawks (9-8) are the No 7 seed in the playoffs. These teams have met two times this year with the 49ers taking both games. The 49ers have been on a roll, winning 10 straight games. The Niners lost both their 1 and 2 QB's when Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo both when down with injuries. However, Rookie Brock Purdy has been excellent in the role of QB with 13 TD's and just three INT's. The 49ers backbone is their defense, with the top ranked defense. They also allow just 16.3 ppg (tops in the NFL) and have held the Seahawks to just 20 points total in both games this year. While the under seems the logical choice here, I'm actually going against that. The Seaahawks have gone over in their last five playoff road games. The 49ers have gone over their last four hme games and 5-1 Ov/Un in five of their last six overall games. I'll take the OVER here today.

For one of these teams they will snap a five game losing streak, the other will finish with six straight losses to end the season. The Jets looked like a team heading for the playoffs until this run of five loss and now they can only play for pride. The Dolphins still have a shot at the playoffs, but need a win coupled with a Patriots loss or tie to the Bills. The Dolphins lost at New England last week, 21-23. Teddy Bridgewater has taken over at QB for injured Tua Tagovailoa. With Tua. Bridgewater was solid, but dislocated his pinky finger and had to be replaced by Skylar Thompson. Still unsure if Bridgewater will go today or back to Thompson. Joe Flacco will start for the Jets with Zach Wilson a huge disappointment in New York. The Jest will also be without three starting offensive linemen today. I don't see the Jets rolling over here today, but do they have the offensive weapons or line for that matter? What I expect is a defense to come out fired-up and ready to play. With Thompson at QB for the Dolphins I don't see a lot of points on that side of the ball either. I'll take this game UNDER.

A big AFC North game here on Sunday has the Browns playing at the Steelers. The Browns have been eliminated from the playoffs but look to play spoiler and keep the Steelers home too. The Browns did it last week, beating Washington and eliminating them from the playoffs. The Browns have lots of injuries though, especially on the offensive side of the ball so points might be difficult today for Cleveland. The Steelers have won three straight games and five of their last six. The Steelers have the best rushing defense in the league and will look to stop the Browns potent rushing attack. The Steelers offense has struggled though as QB Kenny Pickett has more INT's then TD's. Either way this game goes, I expect a low scoring contest here today. Play the UNDER.

AFC North Clash here on Sunday has the Pittsburgh Steelers not officially elminated from the playoffs but in need in help and a win here on Sunday. The Steelers are 7-8 on the season and have won two straight games. They scored a late touchdown last week to beat the Raiders, 13-10, as a 2.5-point favorite. They held the Raiders to just 201 totals yards and 58 rushing yards. The Baltimore Ravens have secured a playoffs spot with their 10-5 record. The Ravens beat the Falcons last week 17-9, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Ravens will one again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who is out with a knee injury. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five, 16-7-3 ATS their last 26 games in January and 9-4-1 ATS their last 14 in Week 17. The Steelers are also 2-5 Ov/Un in their last seven vs the NFC North and 22-47-1 Ov/Un in their last 70 road games. The Ravens are 1-5-1 their last seven vs the AFC and AFC North. They are also 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Ravens have gone under in their last four games, under in their last eight on field turf and under in six straight at home. The Dog is 20-6-3 ATS the last 29 meetings between these teams. These teams have also gone under in six of the last eight in Baltimore and under in four straight overall. I'm taking the Steelers and the UNDER here today in a must win spot against a Baltimore team that I don't expect to get many points.   

 Just two weeks left in the regular season and the Minnesota Vikings have wrapped-up the NFC North Division with a 12-3 record. They are 5-games ahead of both Detroit and the Packers. Packers need a win here today to keep their postseason hopes alive. The Vikings beat the Giants last week, 27-24, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Packers went to Miami and beat the Dolphins, 26-20, as a 3.5- point favorite. The Packers were +3 in turnover ratio in that game. The Vikings are just 3-10 ATS their last 13 vs a team with a losing record. The Packers do well on the grass, going 17-7 ATS their last 24. The Vikings are 5-1 Ov/Un in their last six vs the NFC North and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine on hte road vs a team with a losing home record. They have also gone over in five straight games. The Packers are 11-5 Ov/Un in their last 16 vs the NFC North and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 games in week 17 of the season. The Packers have covered nine of the last 13 vs the Vikings in Green Bay and the home team is 9-4 ATS the last 13. In addition, these games have gone over in four of their last five Meetings. Take the Over in this matchup today.

With just two weeks to play, the Detroit Lions still have an outside shot of the making they playoffs as they are tied with the Packers at 7-8 in the NFC North. The Lions lost last week at Carolina, 23-37, as a 1.5-point favorite. They gave up 570 total yards to the Panthers, 320 rushing and 250 passing. Meanwhile, the Chicago Bears are in last place in the NFC North and eliminated from the playoffs. They lost at home last week to the Bills, 13-35 as a 8-point dog. The Lions have the fourth ranked offense in the NFL while Chicago is 27th. Problem is the Lions have the last ranked defense while Chicago is just slightly better at 23rd. The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 on the field turf. They are also 7-21 ATS their last 28 vs the NFC and 2-6 ATS their last eight road games. The Bears have gone over in their last five road games and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine overall games. The Lions are 8-0 ATS their last eight vs the NFC and 7-1 ATS their last eight overall. Detroit is 7-2 Ov/Un in seven of their last nine home games. They are also 5-1 Ov/Un in five of their last six vs the NFC. Detroit will have to go all out here at home on Sunday to keep those playoff hopes alive. Chicago has no motivation in this one. Take the OVER.

The Tampa Bay Bucs are only 7-8 on the season but can win the NFC South here on Sunday with a win over the 2nd place Carolina Panthers. This really is a playoff game for both teams because the loser could be out of the playoffs. Tampa Bay has pretty much been a dead under team this year. They are 4-11 Over/Under on the season and their offense has been very vanilla this year. They actually rank ok, 15th overall in the NFL in offense. However, the rushing game is dead last while QB Tom Brady has had to throw for his life this year and has them 4th in passing offense. Carolina has the 29th ranked offense, 10th in rushing and 28th in passing. The Panthers kept their playoff hopes alive with a win over Detroit last week, 37-23. They have already beaten the Bucs once this year so another win here and they hold the tie-breaker. The Panthers are 3-8 Ov/Un in their last 11 vs the NFC South. The Bucs are 4-17 Ov/Un in their last 21 vs the NFC. I look for a low scoring game here on Sunday. Play the UNDER.

The Indianapolis Colts are officially eliminated with their 4-9-1 overall record. They will host the 8-6 Chargers tonight. Chargers trying for one of those Wild Card games and right now it's theirs to lose. The Chargers are coming off a win last week over the Tennessee Titans, 17-14 as a 3-point favorite. That is two wins in a row and three of their last four games. The Chargers offense is 12th overall, but just 31st rushing and 3rd passing. The defense is 21st, 11th vs pass and 28th vs the rush. The Colts are coming off that devastating loss to the Vikings where they blew the biggest lead in NFL History, 33-0, before losing 36-39 in OT. Have to wonder if they have anything left in the tank here tonight. The Colts will start their third different QB here tonight as Matt Ryan takes a seat. In comes Nick Foles, who has started just once in the last two seasons. Foles will lineup behind the worst pass protection line in the NFL. Foles will also be without Jonathon Taylor who is back on the IR. The Colts offense, despite the 36 points last week, has not eclipsed 20 points in nine of their first 13 games. Tonight a new QB and no Taylor? I think I'll stick with the UNDER here tonight as the Colts have problems putting points on the board. Play UNDER.

 That cyclone bomb hitting most of the US will provide one of the coldest games in team's history here in the Raiders vs Steelers game. It's a Special Christmas eved night here at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh as the Steelers celebrate the 50th anniversary of the Immaculate Reception. They expect one of the coldest games in team history with temps in the single digits and with the wind chill that will drop well below the zero degree mark. The previous coldest game came in 1977 when the temp hit -2 degrees. Wind plays the biggest factor for me going to the UNDER and it's going to be windy here today. The Raiders will have lots of troubles in this one in the cold weather. Take the UNDER and stay warm.

Another of these games affected by the weather cyclone bomb hitting most of the country. It's going to be very windy and cold in Chicago on Saturday. There likely won't be any rain/snow, but for me wind plays the biggest factor in NFL totals. Passing becomes difficult and teams will have to rely on their rushing games. In these kinds of games you pretty much toss all the numbers and analytics out the window. The weather is the factor here and the cold and the wind especially. I'm taking under in what should be a blistery, cold day in Chicago.

The New Orleans Saints will miss their cozy indoor stadium here on Saturday as the face the Cyclone bomb hitting the USA. The weather will be the biggest news maker here on Satudray. It's going to be a frightful night in Cleveland as the teamps will be around 10 degrees and the wind chills could be anywhere from -20 to -30 degrees. Cleveland is no stranger to bad weather in the NFL, but this game likely will go down the history books as one of if not the coldest games. Expect the Browns to showcase plenty of Kareen Hund and Nick Chubb here today. Don't execpt to see a lot of balls being thrown in these conditions. The Browns have used these kinds of weather conditions to their advantage for years. For me though, I'm sticking with the UNDER.

It's going to be an ugly day in the Meadowlands as the weather won't be good. The Jags, who are used to that Florida weather, will have to put up with cold, rain and wind here tonight. For me it's about the wind and we could see gusts over 20 mph. Anything over 15 and you start to effect totals. Plus it will be soaking rain and cold. The Jets already have the league's third top defense as they keep moving up the standings. The offense is 19th while Jax is ranked 6th. The Jags are 2nd in the AFC South, a game back of Tennessee. Right now the best path for the Jags to the postseason is win the AFC South. Getting Wild Card looks harder than winning the division. They have a week 18 meeting with the Titans and that could determine who wins the division. The Jets are 7-7 and right now trail both the Chargers and Dolphins for the Wild Card who are 8-6. The Jets playoff chances have really been hurt by their 1-4 record their last five games. The Jets need to win their last three games to have a real shot at the Wild Card. Their week 18 matchup at Miami looks to be their most critical game right now. So tonight, both teams need this game. For me, I'm taking the UNDER in what looks to be horrible conditions.

The Cincinnati Bengals will have extra incentive here today after AFC North co-leader Baltimore lost on Saturday at Cleveland, 3-13. A win by the Bengals today and they take over sole place atop the division. Tampa Bay leads the worst division in football, the NFC South. The Bucs might not make the playoffs if they were in any other division, but here they lead the South by one game over both the Panthers and Falcons with their 6-7 record. The Bucs got beat bad last week at San Francisco, 7-35, as a 3.5-point dog. The running game continues to be bad, gaining just 69 total yards. Tampa Bay ranks 18th overall in offense, but last in rushing with just 73 yards per game average. If not for their 5th rank pass attack this unit would be even worse. Cincinnati has the 5th ranked offense, 4th in passing. The Bengals won last week at home over the Browns, 23-10, as a 4.5-point favorite. Just how bad has this Tampa Bay offense been? They have scored over 22 points just one time the entire season and that was a losing effort at home vs the Chiefs, 31-41. The rushing game has gone over 100 yards just two times all season. The Bengals are 4-13-1 Ov/Un in their last 18 games. They are also 6-19-2 Ov/Un in their last 27 road games vs a team with a losing home record and 9-24-3 Ov/Un their last 36 overall on the road. The Bucs have gone under in four of their last five home games and six of their last eight on grass. I'm sticking with the UNDER here today.

The Tennessee Titans are just 7-6 overall on the season, but by virtue of playing in one of the weakest divisions in the NFL, they lead the AFC South by 2-games over the Jaguars. That includes three straight losses by the Titans too. The Titans coming off a loss to the Jags last week, 22-36 as a 3-point favorite. The Titans defense ranked just 25th overall while the Chargers are 23rd. The Chargers are 12th on offense while the Titans are 29th. The Chargers are coming off a win last week at home over Miami, 23-17, as a 3-point dog. Tennessee has been a good over team on the road where 15 of their last 22 away games have gone over. The Chargers are 7-3 Ov/Un in their last 10 home games and 10-3 O/Un in their last 13 on field turf. Five of the last seven between these teams have gone over and that's what I'm looking for today. Play the OVER.

 Two teams with a lot of expectations this year just didn't come through on what was expected as the Arizona Cardinals visit the Denver Broncos. The Russell Wilson experiment has been a bust in Denver this year. The Broncos are in last place in the AFC West with a 3-10 record and have lost five straight games. The defense has been good, ranked 7th overall in the league. It's the 27th ranked offense that has been brutal. The Broncos finally had an over play when they played the Chiefs last week in a 28-34 loss. That broke a string of eight under plays. Still, the Broncos are 2-11 Ov/Un on the season. The 28 points last week was a season high and the first time over 21 points since October 2nd. The Cardinals offense hasn't been the same without Kyler Murray at QB. Murray has been hurt with a ACL injury and missed the last few weeks. He will be out again here today. Without Murray the Cards have scored 13, 24 and 10 points the last three weeks. The offense has dropped to 20th in the NFL. Can't really see many points in this one. The Denver defense should keep the score low today. Play UNDER.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are last in the AFC North with a 5-8 record as they head to Carolina to take on the 5-8 Panthers. The Panthers still in the hunt for the division title as they trail first place Tampa Bay by just one game. The Panthers coming off a win last week at Seattle, 30-24, as a 3.5-point dog. That makes two wins in a row for the Panthers. The Steelers just lost last week at home to the Ravens, 14-16, as a 2-point favorite. That snapped a two-game win streak for Pittsburgh. The Steelers are 18-42-1 Ov/Un their last 61 games vs a team with a losing record. The Panthers have gone under in five of their last six home games. Neither offense is very good, with Pittsburgh ranked 26th and the Panthers coming in at 30th. I'll take UNDER between these two here today.

 Buffalo one of those sites where you have to keep an eye on the weather as we approach game time. Lake effect snow moved Buffalo to Detroit the week before Thanksgiving. Now with Lake effect snow, maybe not as bad as before, they look to stay in Buffalo. Not only does there look to be snow, but those pesky winds. For me the winds are what really effect a total and today we see 8 to 16 MPH with gusts as high as 28 MHP. That wind is bad enough, but throw in the snow and conditions won't be very good here on Saturday. Miami is a warm weather team and definitely won't like the conditions here today. The Dolphins coming off a loss last week at the Chargers, 17-23 with just 219 total yards. They could manage just 92 yards rushing and 127 yards passing in the loss. Buffalo beat the Jets last week, 20-12, as a 10-point favorite. Buffalo allowed 309 yards and had just 232 totals. The Bills also had five fewer first downs and 18 fewer offensive plays then the Jets. This AFC East showdown is crucial to the Dolphins, as they trail the Bills by two games in the East and a loss today and they will have to fight for a wild card. For me, with the weather conditions and both teams struggling offensively, I'll take the UNDER.

A key AFC North clash on Saturday as the 9-4 Baltimore Ravens take on the 5-8 Cleveland Browns. The Ravens are tied for first place in the division and need a win here on Saturday to assure they stay at least tied for the division lead. The Ravens will once again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who missed last week's game also with a knee injury. QB Tyler Huntley is out of concussion protocol and likely will start here today. Baltimore just got by the Steelers last week, 16-14, passing for just 59 totals yards. They did get 215 rushing yards last week. The Cleveland Browns lost at Cincinnati last week, 10-23, as a 4.5-point dog. They had 71 rushing yards, well below their season average and 273 yards passing. QB Deshaun Watson looking much more comfortable with some time under his belt. Baltimore is just 14th overall on offense and Cleveland is 6th, though 5th rushing. The Ravens defense is 12th while the Browns are 17th. The Ravens are 2-8 Ov/Un their last 10 games and 7-15 Ov/Un their last 22 road games. Weather could be a factor here today with a 30% chance of snow. The winds could be steady 10 to 14 MPHP with gusts to 26. For me, it's that 15 MPH level where I start to see the winds effecting a game. With temperatures around freezing and winds that could be a factor, I look for this game to go UNDER today.

Every game important at this juncture of the season. Teams also have to deal with lots of injuries. That's the case in the NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks on Thursday. The 49ers lead the NFC West with a 9-4 record, two games ahead of 2nd place Seattle (7-6). These teams met back in week 2 in San Francisco where the 49ers walked away with that game, 27-7, as a 8-point favorite. they held the Seahawks to 30 yards rushing and 216 total yards. Not surprising that all these weeks later the Niners would have the league's top ranked defense and top ranked rushing defense. The Niners will be without QB JImmy Garappolo whi is out with a foot injury. That means Brock Purdy will get the start, though he has been hurting with a oblique and is officially listed as questionable. RB Christian McCaffrey is probable with a knee injury. Seattle has its share of injuries, especially at RB where Rashaad Penni is out with a fibula injury, RB Kenneth Walker III is probably with an ankle injury and RB DeeJay Dallas is questionable with a ankle injury. That doesn't bode well against this top ranked rush defense of the 49ers. This looks to be a very "vanilla" game tonight. The 49ers won't expose Purdy to much pressure and the Seahawks won't get much on the ground. I'm taking this game UNDER.

The New England Patriots in dire need of a win here tonight if they hope to make the postseason. At 6-6 they are in last place in the AFC East, one game back of the Jets, 2 back of Miami and four back of Buffalo. The Patriots are coming off a loss at home to Buffalo two weeks agao, 10-24, as a 4-point dog. They had just 60 yards rushing and 242 total yards in the loss. That makes two losses in a row for the Pats. Arizona is 4-8 and 4 1/2 games back of San Francisco in the NFC West. The Cards are dead in the playoff race with so many teams ahead of them. They have lost two straight games including last week to the Chargers, 24-25 on a last second LA 2-point conversion. The Pats have been a good under team, with their last four going under after a bye week. They have also gone under in 24 of their last 33 on grass and are 5-16 Ov/Un in their last 21 road games vs a team with a losing home record. The Cards have trended more toward the over side, especially lately with six straight overs. However, they are just 2-9 Ov/Un in their last 12 times on Monday Night Football and 2-5 O/U in their last seven coming off a bye week. These teams have also gone under in four of their last five meetings. I'm taking UNDER here tonight.

AFC West game here on Sunday has the first place Kansas City Chiefs taking on the last place Denver Broncos. The Chiefs have the West wrapped-up with their 9-3 record and 3-game lead with four weeks to go in the regular season. The Chiefs are coming off a loss last week to the Bengals, 24-27, as a 2.5-point favorite. That snapped a five game win streak for the Chiefs. The Chiefs have the top ranked offense in the NFL with their passing attack first and their rushing 19th. The defense is 16th, 6th in rushing and 23rd in passing. The Chiefs have gone under in four of their last five games. What can you say about the Denver Broncos. What looked to be a Super Bowl team when Russell Wilson joined the club in the offseason, turned bad quickly as Wilson and the offense just didn't click all year. The offense is 27th overall and the most points this team has scored all year has been 23 points. In fact, they have not scored more than 16 in any of theirt last four games and seven of the last eight games. It isn't a far stretch that they have gone under in eight straight and 11 of their 12 games this year. With Denver playing the defense will keep them close, but the offense just isn't good enough to get these game over. Take the UNDER today.

Important game here today for the Bengals as they are tied with the Ravens for the AFC North lead at 8-4 overall. They take on their intrastate rivals here today, Cleveland. The Bengals are coming off a big win last week over the Kansas City Chiefs, 27-24, as a 2.5-point dog. That makes four wins and covers in a row for the Bengals. The did go under though last week, scoring 51 total points but coming up short of the 53-point over/under. That makes two under games in a row. The Bengals defense is decent, ranked 12th overall. The offense ranks fifth overall and fourth in passing. The Bengals do look to get back RB Joe Mixon who has missed a few games with a concussion. The Bengals are 1-10-1 O/U in their last 12 games vs the AFC and 4-12-1 O/U their last 17 overall games. The Browns are coming off a win last week over the Houston Texans, 27-14, as a 7.5-point favorite. They have gone under their last two games. The Browns defense is ranked 15th overall. The offense is 6th with the rushing game at 4th. I look for this game to go under here on Sunday.

AFC South clash here on Sunday has the third place Jacksonville Jaguars taking on the first place Tennessee Titans. The Jags are 4-8 on the season and coming off a loss to the Detroit Lions last week, 14-40, as a 1.5-point dog. They gave the Lions 337 yards through the air while gaining just 266 total yards themselves. The Jacksonville defense is ranked 25th overall while the offense comes in at 12th overall. While the Titans are in first place, they have lost two straight games to Cincinnati and then last week to Philadelphia, 10-35, as a 4.5-point dog. They had just 209 total yards in that game. Not surprising that the offense ranks just 29th overall. The defense isn't much better at 23rd overall. Makes you wonder how this team has stayed in first place until you see how bad the other teams in the division have performed. The Jags are 7-19 Ov/Un their last 26 games vs a team with a winning record. The Titans have gone under in their last six vs the AFC. They are also 3-13 O/U in their last 16 home games. Take the UNDER here on Sunday.

 The Las Vegas Raiders have won three straight games to improve to 5-7 and third place in the AFC West. The LA Rams are in last in the NFC West at 3-9 and have lost six straight games. The Raiders are coming off a win over the Chargers last week at home, 27-20. That marks three straight games they have held their opponent to under 100 yards rushing. The Rams have been decimated by injuries this year and are without QB Matthew Stafford (neck) and WR Cooper Kupp (Ankle), their two best offensive players. The Rams did acquire QB Baker Mayfield who they picked up when the Panther released him earlier in the Week. His status is available for tonight's contest. The Rams are 4-9-1 ATS their last 14 overall games and 2-6 ATS their last eight game at home. The Rams have gone under in seven of their last eight home games against a team with a losing road record. They are also 8-17 O/U in their last 25 home games. Vegas has gone under in seven of their last 10 road games. These teams have gone under in four of their last five meetings. I'll take the UNDER here tonight as the Rams should have issues moving the ball even if Mayfield plays. Take the UNDER.

AFC West clash here as the Raiders host the Chargers. The KC Chiefs look to be cruising in the West with a 9-2 record and 3-game lead over the Chargers. The Chargers looking at a Wild Card at this point at 6-5. Vegas has won two straight and has improved to 4-7 and still in the hunt for a Wild Card if they can run the table. The Chargers are coming off a late 2-point conversion to beat Arizona last week, 25-24. The Chargers have the league's 14th ranked offense while Vegas comes in 7th. The Chargers have been a good over team, going over in 12 of their last 17 games. The Raiders won at Seattle last week, 40-34, behind over 200 yards rushing from RB Jacobs. The Raiders ended up with 576 total yards in that win last week. That makes two wins in a row after beating Denver in OT the week before, 22-16. The Raiders have now covered five of their last six vs the AFC and 5 of the last six against a winning team. The are also 9-4 ov/un in their last 13 vs the AFC West. These teams met back in week 1 of the season at LA and the Chargers walked away with the win, 24-19, just covering the 3.5-point line. I see both of these offenses putting up plenty of points here today. I'm taking the OVER.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-7 on the season and three-games back of the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South. The Jags are coming off a win over the Ravens last week at home, 28-27, as a 3-point dog. The Jags had just 38 rushing yards last week but got 294 through the air. The Jags offense ranks 10th in the NFL and 9th rushing so it was a off week for the rushing attack last week. Detroit is also 4-7 on the season and well behind division leading Minnesota who is 9-2. Detroit has really been playing well and gave Buffalo all it could handle on Thanksgiving day as they lost on a last second field goal by the Bills, 25-28, as a 9.5-point dog. That makes four straight covers by the Lions. The Jags are 6-13 ATS their last 19 when they rushed for fewer than 90 yards the previous game. They are also 5-13-1 ATS their last 19 games overall. Meanwhile, Detroit has covered eight of their last 10 games and are 15-7 ATS their last 22 games on the field turf. Jacksonville has gone over in six of their last seven road games. Detroit has gone over in five of their last seven home games and nine of their last 13 overall. I like the way this Lions team has played, especially at home. Play Detroit and the OVER for your Side & Total Parlay

The Defending Super Champion Rams look pretty much dead in the water this season. Injuries has decimated the team and today they will be without two key starts. QB Matthew Stafford is out with a neck injury as is WR Cooper Kupp who is out with a ankle injury. The Rams have now lost four straight games and not score more than 20 points in seven of their last eight games. What was once a high octane offense now ranks 30th overall and 31st in rushing. The defense is still good though, ranking in at 10th overall. The Kansas City Chiefs have opened up a three-game lead in the AFC West at 8-2 overall. The Chiefs have won four straight games since their loss at home to Buffalo back on Oct 16th. The Chiefs have the top ranked offense in the league and 18th ranked defense. The Rams have gone under in four of their last five road games and 10 of their last 14 road games vs a winning home team. The Chiefs have gone under in five of their last six home games. Unless the Chiefs go crazy scoring here today, I don't see the Rams scoring enough to get this game over. I'll take the UNDER.

The New Orleans Saints are 4-7 and in third place in the NFC South. The good news is that both the Bucs and Falcons, who lead the division, are just one game ahead of them. The Saints beat the Rams last week 27-20 as a 2.5-point home favorite. That win snapped a two-game losing streak. The Saints defense is ranked 12th overall and 8th vs the pass. The offense is 10th overall. The 49ers are coming off a win over 38-10 as a 9.5-point favorite. They held the Cardinals, who where without their starting QB, to just 314 yards. That makes three wins in a row for the Niners. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The 49ers have the 8th ranked offense in the league and the top ranked defense in the NFL. These teams have gone over in their last six meeting in San Francisco and 7-2-1 O/U in their last 10 overall meetings. I'll be on the OVER here today.

Weather looks to be playing a factor here in Cleveland on Sunday as the Browns host the Bucs. It looks to be a windy day with winds from 10-20 mph and temps in the upper 40's and a chance of rain. The Browns have had a disappointing season at 3-7 and tied for last in the AFC North Pittsburgh Steelers. The Cleveland offense is 4th in the league and their rushing attack, which was 1st, has dropped to fifth. The Tampa offense is ranked 17th with the passing game at 5th. Cleveland has the 20th ranked defense with Tampa coming in at 7th. The Browns will have QB Deshaun Watson available for today's contest. The management has said Watson would start as soon as he was eligible and now he is so don't be surprised for Watson to take over today. For me, I'm taking this game UNDER.

NFC West clash here on Monday night has the 5-4 San Francisco 49ers taking on the 4-6 Arizona Cardinals. The 49ers are coming off a win last week over the Chargers, 22-16, failing to cover the 8-point favorite line. That makes two wins in row in their division. The Rams held the Chargers to just 238 total yards. The Cardinals coming off a win last week over the Rams, 27-17, as a 3-point dog. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Cardinals. While Arizona had just 298 total yards they held the Rams to 256 total yards. The 49ers have the NFL's 9th ranked total offense while Arizona comes in at 19th. The big difference is on defense where the 49ers are now the top defense in the NFL and tops against the rush. Arizona falls all the way down to 24th overall and 12th vs the rush. The 49ers are 2-10 Ov/Un their last 12 games on grass and 4-13 O/U their last 17 overall games. The Cardinals are 1-9 O/U their last 10 Monday Night games. These teams have gone under in five of the last six meetings in Arizona and are 1-6-1 O/U in their last eight overall meetings. I'm taking UNDER here tonight.

The Buffalo Bills lose their home stadium here due to the snow issues in the area. The game was moved to Detroit's covered stadium on artificial turf. Buffalo coming off two straight losses, last week they had the lead and couldn't hold on against Minnesota, 30-33, losing in OT as a 6.5-point favorite. The week before they lost to the Jets in New Jersey, 17-20. That makes three straight spread losses for the Bills. Granted, QB Josh Allen has been battling some injuries here of late. Buffalo still has the league's top rated offense overall and the 8th ranked defense. The Browns expect QB Deshaun Watson to start here today after his suspension was finally over. Jacoby Brissett has been good in the QB role though, so should be interesting to see which way they go today. Cleveland looks to bounce back after losing last week at Miami, 17-39, as a 3.5-point dog. That coming after their big win over the Bengals the week before, 32-13. No snow and a fast turf makes be believe we'll see some point being put up here today. The Browns are 6-2-1 Ov/Un their last nine games and 5-1-1 O/U their last seven vs the AFC. I will take a chance on the over here today with the move to an indoor stadium and the faster turf. Play the OVER.

Have to wonder if Raiders HC Josh McDaniels is on a short leash with his job these days. The Raiders led the Jacksonville Jaguars by 17-points, the second time this year they have blown a 17-point lead. And of course, lost to the Jags last Sunday, 20-27. Have to wonder how many big leads the Raiders can blow before the top of Mark Davis' head blows off. Well, this might be the week for the Raiders to get well. If there was one coach and team that has done worse it has been the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts had a very lackluster performance last week in their loss at New England, 3-26. In fact, it was the last straw for Colts HC Frank Reich who was fired after the game. The Colts named Jeff Saturday interim coach for the rest of the season. I believe the Colts have given up on the season and while the Raiders have blown leads, at least they have the offensive weapons to get leads. The Colts should have Jonathan Taylor back today after missing the last game with an ankle injury. Colts have been very good to under players of late, going 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight road games and 1-11 O/U in their last 12 vs the AFC. I expect a lower scoring game here today with the Colts not having much in the passing game. Take UNDER

 NFC South matchup here on Thursday in what is one of the worst divisions in the NFL. No one is out of this division, even the 2-7 Panthers. Both Tampa Bay and Atlanta are currently in 1st place with 4-5 records. The Falcons are coming off a loss last week at home to the Chargers, 17-20. While the Falcons have the 26th ranked offense, they do have the 4th ranked rushing game. The Falcons have been a good under play here on Thursday, going 0-6 O/U in their last six on that day. Meanwhile, Carolina was blown out last week at Cincinnati, 21-42. Though QB Baker Mayfield came into the game and led the team to 21 points. However, despite PJ Walker being benched at halftime, he's expected to make the start here on Thursday. The offense had just 228 total yards. Carolina traded away Christian McCaffrey to the 49ers a few weeks ago. The Panthers have the 30th ranked offense in the league. The Panthers have gone under in seven of their last 10 games vs the NFC South. This has also been a very good under series with the teams going 5-13-1 Ov/Un their last 19 meetings and 5-15-2 Ov/Un the last 22 meetings at Carolina. I'm going UNDER here on Thursday.

NFC West Clash here on Sunday has the 5-3 and 1st place Seahawks taking on the 3-5 and last place Cardinals. No one ever expect much out of the Seahawks after Russell Wilson departed in the offseason for Denver. But here they are with Geno Smith at QB and the 7th top rated QB the season. Smith ranks high than both Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow at this point. The Hawks are coming off a win over the Giants last week, 27-13 and have covered three straight games. The Hawks have the 12th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Seahawks have also gone over in four of their last five road games. There were high hopes in Arizona starting the season, however they find themselves in last place right now, though a big win today would close that gap greatly. The Cards are coming off a loss at Minnesota last week, 26-34, as a 4-point dog. They have now lost three of their last four games. Arizona is also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. In addition they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five vs the NFC West. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games in Arizona and the road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 in this series. I expect both teams to get plenty of points in this contest. Both team's have poor defenses and that will help push this one over.

Philly vs Houston also happens to be the World Series matchup tonight. Though that game should be a lot closer than this one will be. The Eagles look to remain the only undefeated this year and improve to 8-0. With a win tonight they will hold a two-game lead over both the Cowboys the Giants. It was just last year that the NFC East was the worst division in the NFL and now it's the best. The Eagles are coming off a win last week over the Steelers, 35-13 and get the short turnaround this week. Houston is in last in the AFC South with a 1-5-1 record. The Texans won their only game of the season back on October 9th over the Jaguars, 13-6. Since then, they have lost at Vegas, 20-38 and last week at home to the Titans, 10-17. Philly has the league's third ranked offense while Houston comes in at 31st. Philly also has the fourth ranked defense while Houston has the 30th ranked overall defense and 32nd ranked rush defense. I expect to see a lot of the Philly running game, in particular that of Miles Sanders. I will actually be surprised if Houston scores anything over a few field goals here tonight. I'll take a shot with the UNDER and hope that the Eagles look content to run the ball tonight.

Bragging rights in Ohio are on the line tonight as the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Cleveland Browns. The Bengals can move into a 1st place tie with Baltimore in the AFC North win a win tonight. Meanwhile, the Browns are 2-5 in the North. The Bengals arecoming off a win at home over Atlanta, 35-17. They have also covered their last five games and have gone under in five of their seven games this season. The defense has been very good, ranked 11th in the NFL, while the Browns are 16th. The Browns rank 6th on offense thanks to their third ranked rushing offense that averages 164 yards per game. The Bengals rank 11th on offense, 4th in passing. Cincinnati has gone under in 10 of their last 12 games and are 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight vs the AFC. This series has favored the under with a 2-6-1 Ov/Un mark the last nine meetings in Cleveland. I'm sticking with the UNDER here on Monday Night.

Las Vegas Raiders used their bye week well to rebound from their loss to the Chiefs to beat Houston last week, 38-20. The Raider offense rushed for 164 yards and passed for another 236 yards in the win. The Raiders did get banged-up though as both QB Derek Carr (Back) and WR Davante Adams (Illness) come into this game as probable but ailing. The Raiders offense has been good, ranked 9th overall in the league while New Orleans comes ranked 3rd overall. The Saints defense is ranked 14th and the Raiders 24th. The Raiders are 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS their last seven on the road. The Raiders have also gone over in their last four games and last five games in October. The Saints have gone over their last 4 and 10-1 O/U their last 11 games in October. These teams have met only once the last five years and that was back in Oakland when the Raiders won 34-24. Both these teams have better offenses then defenses and I expect a lot of points on the board when these teams get together on Sunday. Take the OVER.

The honeymoon looks over in Denver as QB Russell Wilson has yet to deliver as the savior to this Broncos team. Wilson came over from Seattle signing the big free contract and the Broncos have scored more than 20 points just one time this season. They are coming off another loss last week at the Chargers, 16-19. The offense has had lots of trouble getting int the end zone. The defense has been very good, ranked 3rd in the NFL. It's the 22nd ranked offense that has fans cringing. The Broncos are 2-4 and in third place in the AFC West. They have also gone under in five of their six games this year. The Jets look to win their fourth straight game here this week. They are coming off that improbable win at Green Bay last week, 27-10. They held Aaron Rodgers and that excellent Packers offense to just 278 total yards. The Jets are in 2nd place in the AFC East, just one game back of the Bills. The Jets offense ranks 17th overall and the defense is 9th overall. Two very good defensive teams here today with the Broncos struggling on offense. I'll take the UNDER in this game.

Rematch of that amazing playoff matchup last year between the Bills and the Chiefs. Maybe one of the most exciting games in NFL history as the Chiefs pulled off the comeback in Overtime to shock the Bills. Now we get to see these teams again here in Kansas City. The Chiefs had to hold off the Raiders last week and a late two-point conversion that would have given the Raiders the lead late. KC held on for the win though, 30-29 as TE Kelso had FOUR touchdown receptions in that game. The Chiefs are 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. KC also took over the top spot in the AFC West, one game ahead of the Chargers and two games ahead of the Broncos. Buffalo had little issues at home last week against the Steelers, winning handly 38-3. The Bills had their best offensive output of the season with 120 yards on the ground and 432 yards through the air. The Bills are also 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming at the hands of the Dolphins, 19-21, back on Sept 25th. The Chiefs have covered three of the last four meetings in this series. They will face a Bills team that ranks first in the NFL in offense (15 rushing and 1st in passing) and 2nd in defense (2 vs rush, 4th vs pass). Kansas City has the 6th ranked offense and the 14th ranked defense. Buffalo is now 10-3-1 Ov/Un in their last 14 games on grass and 4-1 Ov/Un in their last five games overall. KC is 8-2 Ov/Un in their last 10 games on grass, 10-3 Ov/Un in their last 13 games overall and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 vs the AFC. These two teams have gone over in five of the last six meetings in Kansas City. I'll be on the OVER today. 

Reason: Arizona looking to rebound from their close loss at home over Philadelphia last week, 17-20. The Cardinals are 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Arizona's offense ranks 14th overall with the defense coming in at 18th. Seattle lost a shootout last week at New Orleans, 32-39. The Seahawks are 2-3 S/U and ATS this season and have gone over in three straight games. The Seattle offense ranks 8th overall and the defense is dead last at 32nd. The Hawks allow the most rushing yards in the NFL this year at 170 per game. The Hawks will have issues containing the Cardinals scrambling QB and that should open up the passing game. Geno Smith has this Seattle offense 11th in passing and he should keep them in the game here today. I'll take the OVER. 

 The surprising Dallas Cowboys bring their 3-1 record to LA this week to take on the 2-2 Super Bowl defending Rams. The Cowboys had QB Dak Prescott go down in week 1, but since they they are 3-0 with backup QB Rush leading the team. Dallas beat the Washington Commanders last week, 25-10 as a 3-point favorite. All four teams in the NL West are at 2-2 with the Rams having come off that Monday Night loss last week to the 49ers, 9-24. Now they are on the short week as they return home to face Dallas. Dallas has a very good defense, ranked 7th overall in the NFL and 5th vs the pass. They should give Rams QB Mathew Stafford all he can handle this week. The Rams defense ranks just 16th. Surprisingly, the Rams offense ranks 28th in the league with the rushing attack 29th. The Cowboys are 1-5-1 O/U in their last seven road games. They are also 3-12-1 O/U in their last 16 overall games. The Rams have gone under in five of their last six games and are 5-15-1 O/U their last 21 games in October and 7-19 O/U their last 26 home games. I'll be on the UNDER here on Sunday.

San Francisco is 2-2 but tied with all the rest of the NFC West for 1st place. The 49ers won't turn any heads with their offense, but their defense is top notch. They have allowed just 46 points this year, tops in the division and best in the NFC. They are also the the only team in the division with a plus points differential at +25. The Giants held the highly vaulted Rams offense to just three field goals last week in their win on Monday night, 24-9. The Rams could muster just 257 total yards and 57 on the ground. They also had a +2 turnover ration. The defense is tied for the top spot in the NFL with Buffalo as both teams allow just 235 yards per game. The 49ers have the 2nd ranked rush defense and the 2nd ranked pass defense. Meanwhile Carolina is coming off a home loss last week to Arizona, 16-26. The Panthers have gone under in three straight weeks, thanks to an offense that has 275, 293 and 220 yards in each of those weeks. Not surprising the offense ranks last in the NFL with 262 yards per game. That doesn't bode well this week against this stingy 49ers defense. The 49ers have gone under in 13 of their last 16 overall games, 10 of their last 11 games on grass and their last six vs the NFC. Carolina has gone under in five of their last seven overall games and five of their last six vs the NFC. Looks to be a low scoring game here today with the Panthers struggling to find points in this one. Play the UNDER.

 Not many gave the Seahawks much of a chance after Russell Wilson left the team for Denver. However, they are 2-2 and in a four way tie for first place in the NFC West. The Seahawks offense erupted last week for a season high points in their win over the Detroit Lions, 48-45. The offense had 555 yards, 235 on the ground and 320 through the air. That makes two straight over plays for the Hawks after a 50-point combined effort the week before vs the Falcons. Today, they travel to New Orleans to take on the Saints. The Saints QB Jameis Winston is currently doubtful with a back injury. However, they do have RB Alvin Kamara back in the lineup with a rib injury. Ageless Andy Dalton looks to be at QB for the Saints on Sunday. The Saints lost a close game at home last week to the Vikings, 25-28. The Saints defense has been good, ranked 12th overall, but 20th vs the rush. Seattle's defense ranks second to last in the NFL at 31st, 29th both vs the rush and pass. The Seahawks have gone over in five of their last seven games. The Saints are 7-1 O/U in their last eight games in October. With the poor Hawks defense and the Saints with Kamara back, I look for plenty of points on the board today. Play the OVER.

The Indianapolis Colts dropped to 1-2-1 after losing last week to the Titans, 17-24 as a 4-point home favorite. That coming after that big win over the Chiefs the week before. All four games for the Colts have gone under this year. The Colts offense ranks 19th overall in the NFL, 27th rushing. The defense has been better, ranked 6th in the NFL. Despite losing last week, the Colts won the stat sheet, holding Tennessee to just 243 yards. The issue were the three turnovers the Colts had in the contest. The Denver Broncos dropped to 2-2 after losing at the LV Raiders last week, 23-32. The Broncos defense, which was ranked 3rd over, was torched for 32 points. Actually six of those coming on a turnover returned for a TD. The defense gave up 212 yards on the ground after not allowing 100 yards in the first three games. The teams have meet twice in the last five years with both games going UNDER. The Colts have been a very good under team of late, going under in nine straight games. They are also 0-8 U/U in their last eight vs the AFC. The Broncos are 4-11 O/U in their last 15 games and 2-6 O/U in their last eight home games. Two very good defenses here and I'm looking for an UNDER.

NFC West battle here on Monday Night as the Rams make the trip North to face San Francisco. The Rams can move back into first place with a win tonight. The Cardinals and Seahawks are both 2-2 after four weeks and the Rams can go to 3-1 with a win. San Francisco is in last place at 1-2. However, a win by the 49ers and all four division teams will be a 2-2. The Rams opened their season with a loss at home to Buffalo, 10-31. They have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and then last week at Arizona, 20-12. Two of their three games have gone under. Now they face the 2nd best defense in the NFL in San Francisco. The Niners have the leagues best passing defense. The Rams offense hasn't been like last year, as they rank just 25th overall and 30th in rushing. San Francisco isn't much better, coming in at 24th overall and 29th passing. San Francisco lost their QB , Trey Lance, to a season ending injury in week 2. Back at starter is Jimmy Garoppolo. After leading the 49ers to a win in the game Lance went down, they lost last week at Denver, 10-11. All three of their games have gone under thanks to their 2nd ranked defense. The Niners have now gone under in 10 of their last 11 games and four of their last five home games. These teams have gone under in seven of the last nine meetings in San Francisco and four of the last five overall. With the Rams offense not firing on all cylinders, I will be the UNDER.

The New England Patriots just 1-2 and tied for last in the AFC East with the Jets. The Patriots were beat at home last week by the Baltimore Ravens, 26-37. They had more yards than the Ravens (447-394), more plays (60-55) and more first downs (22-19), but it was turnovers that hurt as the offense had four last week. The Patriots offense isn't bad though, ranked 10th in the NFL. The Defense comes in at 12th. The Green Bay Packers opened the season with a loss, but have since won two straight games to tie the Vikings for the lead in the NFC North. Green Bay held off Tampa Bay last week to win on the road, 14-12 as a 1-point dog. It was a defensive battle as the Packers got 315 yards to the Bucs 285. You have to go back to 2018 for the last time these teams have met, and that went to the Pats, 31-17. The Patriots have now gone under in 24 of their last 31 games on grass. They are also 2-6 O/U in their last eight road games. Green Bay has gone under in four straight and are 0-8 O/U in their last eight October games. With four of the last five going under in this series, I think I will be on the UNDER here on Sunday.

The Denver Broncos are tied for first in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs at 2-1. That despite a rocky start under new QB Russel Wilson. The Broncos defense has been excellent, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL, 3rd against the pass and 6th against the run. The offense ranks 16th, 11th rushing and 18th passing. As for the Raiders, after a 4-0 preseason they are now 0-3 to start the regular season. They have lost those games by a combined 13-points. Still, have to think Josh Daniels on the hot seat after some questionable calls. Another home loss here and he might be in trouble in Vegas. The Raiders offense one behind Denver at 17th. This with Carr at QB, Adams and WR, Jacobs at RB and Waller at TE. They have the talent, but they have yet to put up the numbers. Vegas has dominated this series going back to when they were in Oakland, covering eight of the last nine times. They have also gone UNDER in eight of the last 10 games. The Raiders are now 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs the AFC. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games. This game looks to be close like all the Raiders games have been thus far. I look for another low scoring game with these two anemic offenses going today. Take the UNDER.

Miami Dolphins bring a 3-0 record into this Thursday matchup with the Cincinnati Bengals. The Dolphins had little issues with the Patriots (20-7) and then had the huge fourth quarter comeback against the Ravens, 42-38. Last week they just got by the Buffalo Bills, 21-19, covering all three games and going under in two of the three games. The Bengals didn't look like the team of last year to start this season, with back-to-back losses to the Steelers and Cowboys. Then last week they finally broke through with a win over the Jets, 27-12. The defense had four turnovers compared to just one offensive turnover. The Dolphins have been a good under play on Thursday night, going 2-10-1 O/U their lasts 13 Thursday games. They are also 1-5 O/U their last six road games. The Bengals have now gone under in eight straight games. They are also 0-6 O/U in their last six vs the AFC. These two teams have gone under in their last five meetings in Cincinnati and 1-5-1 O/U their last seven overall. I'm taking the UNDER here on Thursday.

Two future Hall of Fame Qb's will matchup here today as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers take on the TB Bucs and QB Tom Brady. Brady hasn't looked all that sharp thus far and his frustration was on full display in the Saints contest. Lucky for the Bucs, the Saints had no offensive stars left and thus it was a defensive win for the Bucs, 20-10. The Bucs managed just 260 total yards and Brady threw for just 188 yards. The Bucs defense was the star of the game with multiple sacks and five take aways in the game. Green Bay had little issue with the Chicago Bears. The Packers had 414 yards and 211 passing yards by Rodgers. They had 26 first downs to just 11 by the Bears and held the Bears to just 228 total yards. The Tampa Bay offense ranks just 24th overall in the NFL with Green Bay coming in at 11th. The Bucs defense is 5th ranked with Green Bay at 10th. The Packers have gone UNDER in nine of their last 12 games on grass. Tampa has also gone under on grass with a 3-8 O/U record their last 11. I'm still not sold on Brady fully being back with limited targets. With the Bucs defense playing very well and Brady still not looking like his old self, I'll take this game to go UNDER.

The Detroit Lions have showed a lot of offense the last two week with Jared Goff at QB. The Lions beat the Washington Commanders last week at home, 36-27, going over the posted 48-point line. The Lions scored 35 points in week one loss at home to Philly, 35-38. The Lions offense is ranked 4th overall in the NFL with the rushing game averaging a league's 3rd best 186 yards per game. As for the Minnesota Vikings, they opened the season with a nice home win over the Green Bay Packers, 23-7. However, they came up very short last week at Philly, 7-24. The offense had just 264 total yards and Kirk Cousins tossed three interceptions. The Lions defense has not performed well, ranking 30th in the NFL with 426 yards allowed per game. Three of the last four games in this series have gone over, including last year's 29-27 Detroit win. The Lions have now gone over in four straight games. They are also 8-2 O/U in their last 10 September games. The Vikings are 4-1 O/U in their last five home games and 6-2 O/U in their last eight games vs the NFC. I look for this Detroit offense to get their share of points and the Vikings to exploit the Detroit defense. Take the OVER.

The Saints piled-up the injuries and it showed in their loss to the Bucs last week. QB Jameis Winston was sacked and hit many times by the Tampa Bay defense and is probable this week though he has a back injury. RB Alvin Kamara is questionable with a rib injury this week after missing last week. QB Tyson Hill is also questionable with a rib injury. The Saints lost at home to Tampa Bay last week, 10-20. They had five turnovers in the game and were sacked six times though they did have more total yards than the Bucs, 308-260. That loss makes them 1-1 S/U and 0-2 vs the spread. The Panthers lost a close game at the NY Giants last week, 16-19 as a 1-point favorite. The stats were almost dead even, though the Panthers had two turnovers to none by the Giants. Carolina's defense is ranked 9th overall and third against the pass. The Saints have now gone under in seven of their last nine games. They are also 4-9 O/U in their last 13 vs the NFC South. Carolina has gone under in five of their last seven vs the NFC South. With the Saints hurting on offense, I'm going to stick with this game to be low scoring. Play the UNDER.

The Pittsburgh Steelers came up just a bit short last week in their game at home against the Patriots losing 14-17 as a 3-point dog. The Steelers had just 243 total yards, 91 passing and 152 passing with two turnovers. The Pitt offense is now ranked 30th in the NFL with the rushing at 26th and passing at 28th. Cleveland has to be kicking itself after losing last week at home to the Jets, 30-31. Not only did they allow 14 points over the few minutes of the game, but they even gave up the on-side kick to the Jets. Both teams finished with just over 400 yards of offense, though the Jets had nine more plays. These teams are very familiar with each other. They have gone under in the last two meetings and five of the last seven meetings. The Steelers have been very good under team on the road, with 18-44-1 O/U record their last 63 games. The Browns have gone under in seven of their last 10 games on real grass. Both teams decent under plays in this situation. I'll take the UNDER on Thursday.

The Chicago Bears played in what was a swamp last week with the rain pounding down for the entire game. They pulled out the win over the SF 49ers, 19-10. The Bears managed just 204 yards in the downpour with the 49ers bringing in 331 yards. Meanwhile Green Bay were manhandled last week in Minnesota, 7-23. The Packers had just 338 total yards and a pair of turnovers in the loss. QB Aaron Rodgers definitely missed his one time top target in WR Davante Adams. Adams had a stellar debut for the Raiders with 140 yard receiving and a touchdown. It will be a tall order for Rodgers to replace those lost yards. Green Bay has covered six straight in this series, but have to wonder without Adams if that will change now. For me, I'm looking at the UNDER here today. The advance weather is showing some issues with the weather and thunderstorms. Add to the wet field two teams that had offensive issue last week and this looks like an an under to me.

 The Houston Texans started their season with a tie at home last week against the Colts. Considering the Colts had 13 more first downs and 218 more yards than the Texans, maybe they were fortunate to get the draw. The Texans had just 299 yards to 517 by the Colts. Denver's debut of new QB Russell Wilson didn't go quite as planned as they fell to the Seahawks 16-17. The Broncos tried a 64-yard field goal late but came up short. Many criticized Nathaniel Hackett for not going for it on 4th down with their expensive QB who has been able to do much more with both his legs and arm. Instead he opted for a field goal that had a 8% chance historically of being made. Houston's defense is last in the NFL after that performance last week. Something that Wilson and the Broncos should be able to take advantage of this week with the 4th ranked offense. These teams last met in 2019 with the Broncos winning at Houston, 38-24. The Texans have gone under in six of their last seven road games. The Broncos have gone under in nine of their last 12 games. I like this one to stay under here on Sunday.

The New England Patriots didn't have much life last week as they were beaten on the road by the Miami Dolphins, 7-20. The Pats could manage just 271 yards though the defense did keep them fairly close by allowing the Dolphins 307 yards. Turnovers did hurt the Pats as they turned the ball over three times to none for Miami. Now they hit the road again, this time to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh pulled off the big upset, beating the Cincinnati Bengals last week, 23-20 as a 7-point dog. The Steelers had a +5 turnover ratio in that game though they were outgained by the Bengals 267-432 yards. The Bengals also had 32 first downs to the Steelers 13. But it was the Steelers defense that bent but didn't break in the win. Both Pittsburgh and New England near the bottom of the league in offense. The Pats are 2-5 O/U in their last seven games as a road favorite. They are also 4-10 O/U in their last 14 overall road games. The Steelers are 0-4 O/U in their last four home games and 3-9 O/U in their last 12 games as a home dog. I'll be on the UNDER.

It didn't take long, in fact week 1 for the Seahawks old QB in Russel Wilson to return home in his first game for his new team, the Denver Broncos. This could be one of the most anticipated games of the start of the season as Wilson returns to Seattle after 10 seasons as the Seahawks QB. Wilson has already elevated Denver to a Super Bowl contender while Seattle appears headed in the opposite direction. With Geno Smith now at QB, this team is in a serious rebuilding mode. Drew Lock is the other QB in Seattle and he spent a lot of time in Denver, most unproductive. The Broncos are already 13-5 in their last 18 vs the Seahawks and that looks to only improve this year. Don't expect many points out of this Seattle team as they look for an identity after the loss of Wilson. I'll take under and hope Denver doesn't run the score up too much. Play UNDER.

As we begin this new season there will be lots of eyes on QB Tom Brady. Not only is he 45 years old, but he had supposedly retired at the end of last season. He's also missed significant practice time during the preseason due to personal reasons. Will he be ready for the season? Tom is the oldest QB and has offensive line issues at left guard. He's not very mobile and maybe pressured a lot this year. Also gone is his old friend Gronk at TE. The Cowboys were 2-1 in the preseason, playing mainly without their starters. Gone from the Cowboys are WR Amari Cooker and Cedrick Wilson Jr. Michael Gallup will likely miss game one this week. Those three were 40% of the Dallas receiving yards last season. I look for rust to show here on Sunday night with Brady and the Cowboys will have to find a way to replace all that offense. I'll take the UNDER.

The Las Vegas Raiders were a perfect 4-0 in the preseason under first year coach Josh McDaniels. The Raiders had the highest points differential in preseason at +41. Right away this Raiders team will be tried by the LA Chargers and Justin Herbert. We can think back to the last game of the regular season when the winner of the Raiders vs Chargers game went on to the playoffs. The game could have easily ended in an OT tie had the Chargers not called that controversial timeout, but instead it allowed the Raiders to setup the winning field goal. Besides McDaniels taking over in Vegas, is the highly anticipated debut of Davante Adams, arguably the best receiver in the NFL. Even though the Chargers are much improved on defense, I expect to see a lot of points in this game with these two offenses. I'm going to take the OVER.

The Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts begin the NFL season in a AFC South Clash here on Sunday. The Texans were a perfect 3-0 in the preseason while the Colts where 1-2. Colts HC Frank Reich begins his fifth season as Colts head coach and while his resume is pretty good, he's yet to win an opening day game. Not only are they 0-4 Straight up, but also 0-4 vs the number. We can take that even beyond Reich as they are 1-11 ATS their last 12 season openers. The Texans might have been 3-0 in preseason, but they have the lowest projected wins of any team this year. The Colts have a new QB in 14-year veteran Matt Ryan. I like the upgrade in QB for the Colts this year and expect that to produce more points here today. I'll take the OVER in this opening game.

 The SF 49ers will start the QB they have wanted to since last season, Trey Lance. Lance takes over for Jimmy Garopplo who resigned with the Niners, but for a much smaller amount then he likely wanted. One has to wonder though how much faith the 49ers have in Lance as they wanted to sign Garoppolo again. Will Lance be able to take this team past the NFC Championship game they made last year? The Bears also go with a 2nd year QB in Justin Fields. Fields had a very good preseason but the question remains if the offensive line will be able to afford him the protection and time need to be efficient. Fields was the highest graded QB in the preseason with no turnovers and a 8.1 yards per attempt. Both these teams were good under plays last year and I don't see that changing. Neither has an explosive offense and in these early games I'll be looking at the under. Take UNDER here in game one.

 The LA Rams begin defense of their 2021 NFL Championship here on Thursday against one of the best teams in the AFC, Buffalo Bills. The Bills still have that finish from last year in the playoffs against the Chiefs where both teams went back and forth in one of the best finishes in NFL history. Josh Allen drove the team down the field in 49 seconds for the go ahead score, only to have the Chiefs go for the tying score in just 13 seconds to force OT. The Chiefs won the toss in OT and scored the TD for the win without the Bills and Allen even getting to take the field. The Good news for the Rams is that Matthew Stafford will play after nagging injuries all preseason. Gone are WR's Robert Woods and Odell Beckham Jr. The Rams have the 2nd toughest schedule in the NFL and this is their first big test. The Bills are hungry to get that bad taste from their mouth in their playoff loss to the Chiefs. Should be plenty of points in this game with Stafford back at the helm. Play the OVER.

Let's face it, you can write paragraphs backing one side or another in this game. And really for me I'm taking the money line since these games have been so close in the playoffs and seem to come down to field goal one way or the other. The Rams laying 4 or 4 1/2 might be a tad more than I want to lay though I do like the Rams. Their defense has been rising to the occasion with Donald and Von Miller pressing QB's. Stafford has been very good and Kupp, well he's just amazing. The Bengals offense is loaded too with Burrows and his College connection Chase. Then you have Higgins and Joe Mixon providing the rushing. But for me it's the defense that will likely make the difference here today. The Rams have really stepped it up in the playoffs and the Bengals have a very good rush defense. I'm going to take the UNDER today.

Cincinnati pulled off one of the two big upsets over the last weekend as they upended the top seed in the AFC, Tennessee by a 19-16 margin. Tennessee looked to be moving toward the game winning score late in the 4th when QB Tannehill threw an interception around mid-field. The Bengals moved the ball into field goal position and scored the game winning field goal. The Bengals held the Titans to just 353 total yards in the game despite the return of Derrek Henry. Now the Bengals have only the Chiefs in their way if they want to get to the Super Bowl. What can you say about the Chiefs win over the Bills, 42-36 other then Wow! Both teams combined for over 20 points and four lead changes in the final two minutes of the game. The Chiefs had to go over 40 yards in 10 seconds of regulation just to get the tying field goal and force the OT. Personally, the Bills might have had the worst coaching I've seen at the end of a game I've seen by allowing that to happen. That aside, both teams were amazing on offense. That was the Chiefs 7th straight over as they have scored at more than 30 points in six of those games. The Bengals have lots of offense and in this game I look for another high scoring match. I'll take the OVER here today in the AFC Championship game.

Both of these teams advanced to the divisional game here on Sunday with blowout wins in the Wild Card round. The Bills had no trouble at all with the New England Patriots, jumping out a big lead and never looking back, 47-17. QB Josh Allen had over 300 yards passing and the team rushed for another 174 yards, all while the defense held the Pats to just 305 total yards. The Kansas City Chiefs fell behind 0-7 but then blew the game open in the 2nd quarter en route to a 42-21 win over the Steelers. The Chiefs had 106 yards rushing and 372 yards passing and held the Steelers to just 257 total yards. Now these locomotives clash here on Sunday. Two of the best throwing QB's in the NFL and both can run the ball. I don't see any reason this shouldn't be a very high scoring game and that's what I'm sticking with on Sunday. Play the OVER.

 The Tennessee Titans got the lone AFC bye last week in the Wild Card round. Now they look to return with something they haven't had in months, RB Derrick Henry. Henry was the league's leading running back when he went down with a foot injury. That changed the dynamic of this Titans team, though they did manage to finish with the best record in the AFC. Now, Henry is back and should be well healed. The Titans won their last three games of the season and went 2-1 vs the spread. Though they did suffer a 1-3 run in late November and early December when Henry was gone. The Cincinnati Bengals survived a last second tying TD by the LV Raiders to advance this week, 26-19. The offense was fair, with 308 total yards and 83 rushing yards. The last four games in this series have all gone over the total. With Henry back and the Bengals having lots of weapons, I look for a higher scoring game here today. Play OVER.