|
02-04-16 |
Green Bay v. Northern Kentucky OVER 162.5 |
|
85-78 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* Wisconsin Green Bay is shooting the ball quicker than any other team in the country right now. Green Bay is using up only 13 seconds of the shot clock on average. Northern Kentucky doesn't have a particularly strong defense, and Green Bay should put up a lot of points here. Northern Kentucky's offense has been good of late, especially when it comes to shooting from long range. Take the over.
|
|
02-03-16 |
UC-Irvine v. Cal Poly UNDER 136.5 |
|
78-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 58 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The UC Irvine Anteaters have the best defense in the Big West, and it isn't even close. UC Irvine was stunned on their home floor this past weekend against UCSB. UC Irvine looks to bounce back here against a Cal Poly team that is a bit short handed right now. Cal Poly had been a stall ball team for many years before pushing the tempo earlier this year. It should be noted though that gradually as the season has gone along, their tempo has been slowing down once again. UC Irvine's zone defense is so good that it forces the opposition to use a bunch of the shot clock on a regular basis. I projected this one at 132. The under is 33-13-1 in UC Irvine's last 47 Big West games. Take the under.
|
|
02-03-16 |
Fresno State v. San Jose State UNDER 143 |
|
53-65 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The San Jose State Spartans have slowed down their pace of late. Fresno State has slowed down drastically in the past couple weeks. The first game between these two went over because of a massive fouling fest in the last few minutes of the game. If we can avoid that silliness (Fresno State shot 46 free throws in that game), then I like the chances for the under in this one. Both teams are better on defense than offense. I had this one at 139. Take the under.
|
|
02-03-16 |
Southern Illinois v. Wichita State OVER 140.5 |
|
55-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The loss on Wichita State/Evansville under 140 this past Sunday is what I consider my worst loss of the season so far. In a blowout in the second half we saw constant whistles. The teams shot 65 free throws and made 53 of them. There were 67 points scored in the final 12 minutes of a game that wasn't close. If the officials are calling the game anything like they did that one, this game will go over. Obviously since the refs aren't announced yet I don't know if we'll see any of the same guys, but I do know that both of these teams are among the leaders in the country in fouls committed. Both teams are also great at getting to the line. There should be a lot of trips to the stripe here. Wichita State is blasting opponents right now, and I expect a big number from them. Take the over.
|
|
02-03-16 |
Illinois State v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 128 |
|
78-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Loyola Chicago Ramblers are notorious for wanting to slow down the tempo. Loyola is much worse offensively this year than they have been in the past also. Loyola settles for a lot of jump shots and very rarely gets to the free throw line. Illinois State is their opponent and the Redbirds are a very good defensive team. Illinois State struggles with efficiency on the offensive end. The first game between these two went way under, and while this should be higher than that 54-52 game, I think there is value. Take the under.
|
|
02-03-16 |
Davidson v. George Washington UNDER 158.5 |
|
69-79 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 8 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The George Washington Colonials play at a very slow tempo. Davidson certainly likes to run, but the Wildcats have been slowed down on a few occasions this year. Last year, these two met at George Washington and the score was 65-63. George Washington is using up 19 seconds of the shot clock on average, and I don't expect them to change their strategy here. To get a game to go over a posted total this high when one team is stalling, you have to get some very high shooting numbers. The under is 5-0 in GW's last 5 Wednesday games. The under is 7-1 in Davidson's last 8 road games vs. a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. Take the under.
|
|
02-03-16 |
Illinois v. Rutgers OVER 143 |
|
110-101 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights defense is atrocious. While Illinois has struggled to shoot a decent percentage against most teams this year, they should be ok against Rutgers. Rutgers is playing at the fastest overall tempo in the Big Ten. Illinois is using the least amount of clock before putting up a shot in league play. The tempo here should be quick. With pace not a problem and two bad defenses, I'll take the over. The over is 5-0 in Rutgers' last 5 following a loss by 20 points or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a 40% or worse road record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. A 20-0 angle. Take the over.
|
|
02-02-16 |
UNLV v. New Mexico OVER 147.5 |
Top |
83-87 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 0 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Over* The UNLV Runnin' Rebels are pushing the tempo much more now with Coach Simon at the helm. They were slowed down by San Diego State a bit, but UNLV isn't going to be slowed down by New Mexico. In fact, New Mexico is playing at the single fastest pace of any team in the Mountain West Conference. The first meeting between these two finished at 86-74 despite the shooting numbers being relatively average. I see this as a game that should get into the mid 150's. I'm playing this one early because I expect this number to rise. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take the over big. TOP RATED Play.
|
|
02-02-16 |
Bradley v. Missouri State UNDER 125 |
|
71-77 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Bradley Braves shot a better percentage last game, but that was against a Drake defense that has been miserable of late. Bradley's offense still ranks dead last in the nation in offensive efficiency. I don't see any reason to think they'll shoot it well in this game. The first game against Missouri State was a 61-42 Missouri State win at Bradley. With the total being bet up to 125 points, I had to grab the under in this one. Take the under.
|
|
02-02-16 |
Drake v. Indiana State OVER 142.5 |
|
56-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 9 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Indiana State Sycamores play at the single fastest tempo of any team in the Missouri Valley Conference. Drake was stalling early in the season, but they have sped up of late. The Bulldogs also have the single worst defense in the MVC. Everyone is putting up nice shooting numbers against them. Indiana State will have the tempo, but usually the question is whether they will shoot the ball well enough. Drake's recent history shows everyone shooting it well against them. The first meeting between these two hit 148 points. Take the over.
|
|
02-02-16 |
Western Michigan v. Toledo OVER 153 |
|
62-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* Toledo is one of the most efficient offenses in the MAC and Western Michigan is one of the worst defenses. Both of these teams make a living at the line, and both teams foul quite a bit. We should see good shooting percentages and a lot of trips to the charity stripe in this game. I made this game 157 points with my numbers. Take the over.
|
|
02-02-16 |
Georgetown v. Butler UNDER 143 |
|
76-87 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Butler Bulldogs have significantly slowed down their pace of play in Big East action. Butler has also become far less efficient on the offensive end. The Bulldogs have played a lot of low scoring games in the past few weeks. Georgetown and Butler have a long history of low scoring games against each other. In their six meetings since 2009, not one of those games has gone past 137 points. The under is 7-0 in Butler's last 7 games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games. A 16-0 angle. Take the under.
|
|
02-01-16 |
Iona v. St. Peter's UNDER 143.5 |
Top |
75-67 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 48 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Total CRUSHER* The Iona Gaels and St. Peter's Peacocks have a long history of games that stay under the posted total. The under is 17-4 in the last 21 games between these two teams. What has made their matchups so good for the under in the past? St. Peter's has a good coaching staff who understands that they simply cannot compete with Iona if they are running and gunning. They work very hard to stall the game out. It has made them very competitive recently against Iona. Iona has generally been a team that doesn't play any defense, but this year they are much better defensively. Iona is first in the conference in two point field goal defense. The Gaels also are pushing the tempo a little less this year because they aren't very deep. St. Peter's is a bad offensive team and a strong defense. The first meeting between these two was 64-58. I made this line 137 points. I really like this one. Take the under big. TOP RATED Play
|
|
02-01-16 |
The Citadel v. Chattanooga UNDER 175 |
|
85-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 48 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Citadel plays at the fastest tempo in the country. Why would I want to play an under with them? Well, the single biggest reason is this total is extremely high. A lot of things have to go perfect for the score to get past this number. The Citadel is actually playing just a bit slower in their last few games, and here they face an opponent who slows the tempo down a lot. The first meeting between these two went under at only 162 points scored. Chattanooga has the second best defense in the Southern Conference, and the Mocs should win this game. I look for them to get a lead and then work to slow the game down in the second half. It won't be low scoring, but I think it stays under this high total. Take the under.
|
|
01-31-16 |
Wichita State v. Evansville UNDER 140 |
|
78-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 50 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play MVC Total* The Evansville Purple Aces prefer to play at a quick tempo, but they have been having a hard time forcing teams in the MVC to play quickly of late. The first meeting between these two teams was played to a slow tempo of 62 possessions and it was 67-64. Wichita State's defense is easily the best in the MVC, and Evansville's defense is second best in the league. In a game where I don't expect a fast tempo, it would take good shooting numbers to get past this total. I'm taking the under here.
|
|
01-31-16 |
Connecticut v. UCF UNDER 137.5 |
|
67-41 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 37 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB National TV Total* The UCF Knights are much better on defense this year than they have been in the past. They have all sorts of length both in the frontcourt and in the backcourt. UConn has been a great under team inside the AAC for the past few years, and they are doing the same again this year. The under is 31-12 in their last 43 AAC games. UConn controls the tempo and slows the game down. UConn also has the best defense in the conference. The Huskies are playing very well of late. I see their defense coming up big here. Take the under.
|
|
01-31-16 |
Temple v. South Florida UNDER 128 |
|
70-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 56 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* Temple may be without Jaylen Bond in this one, and he is one of their best offensive players. Temple's defense is good, but their offense is inconsistent at best. South Florida isn't a good team, primarily because their offense is very weak. South Florida is actually much better this year on defense than they were a year ago. The final totals in last year's meetings between these two were 121 and 109 points. I had this one at 124. The under is 4-0 in Temple's last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a win percentage of 40% or lower. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. A 16-1 angle. Take the under.
|
|
01-31-16 |
North Dakota State v. IUPU-Indianapolis UNDER 136 |
|
72-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The consistency of low scores from North Dakota State is what I like about this under. North Dakota State and IUPUI have the first and third ranked defenses in the league. North Dakota State is great at dictating the pace of the game. The two games between these two last year finished well below this posted total. North Dakota State has played 5 of their last 7 games to a final total of 131 or less. Take the under.
|
|
01-30-16 |
Portland State v. Idaho UNDER 139 |
|
55-56 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Idaho Vandals are without their two leading scorers for this game. Without those guys, their offense has been a mess the last few games. Portland State's offense isn't good either, and Idaho is one of the better defensive teams in the Big Sky Conference. This looks like a sloppy game where neither offense converts at a high rate. I had this one at 135 points. Take the under here.
|
|
01-30-16 |
Montana v. Montana State UNDER 140.5 |
|
80-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 51 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night Totals CASH* These are two bitter rivals, and they have a long history of playing low scoring games against each other. Typically, rivalry games bring out the best in the defenses, and the tempo slows down a bit as well. Both of these teams have been playing at a slower tempo lately anyways, and I see this being a spot where the defenses have the edge over the offenses in a tight game. I had this one at 136 points. Take the under.
|
|
01-30-16 |
San Diego State v. UNLV OVER 125.5 |
|
67-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 49 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* The UNLV Runnin' Rebels are doing a lot more running under their new coach. With Dave Rice gone, the UNLV offense has been far quicker as well as more efficient. They are getting more movement in the halfcourt, which was lacking severely in the past. San Diego State plays great defense, but they don't handle the ball very well, and the Aztecs aren't likely to be able to keep this as a halfcourt game the whole way. This number is just too low for me to pass up the over. I had this one at 131. Take the over.
|
|
01-30-16 |
College of Charleston v. NC-Wilmington UNDER 138.5 |
Top |
55-65 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 54 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Totals CRUSHER* The College of Charleston Cougars have decided to stall in a major way since their leading scorer (Barry) went down for the season with an injury. They have had some extremely low scoring games of late, and this number is posted several points too high. Though UNC Wilmington certainly plays fast, the Seahawks have been slowed down by a few teams in the CAA, and Charleston should be able to slow this one down. Charleston's defense is one of the best in the CAA. UNC Wilmington plays quickly, but their offense isn't very efficient. Charleston likely doesn't have enough weapons to win this game with their leading scorer out, but they should stall enough to keep it under this inflated total. I had this one at 132 points. Take the under big.
|
|
01-30-16 |
St. Peter's v. Monmouth UNDER 141.5 |
|
57-73 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The St. Peter's Peacocks are going to stall here and try to keep this one close with their defense. Monmouth loves to play fast, but Monmouth is also a very good defensive team. I look to see Monmouth grab the lead here and then slow the game down when they have the game under control. I had this one at 138. Take the under.
|
|
01-30-16 |
East Tennessee State v. Furman UNDER 140 |
|
70-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 20 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Furman Paladins have consistently played games that finished far below this posted total. East Tennessee State plays a quicker tempo, but several teams have been able to slow them down. On their home floor, Furman should be the team that controls the tempo in this one. I had this one projected at 136 points. Take the under.
|
|
01-30-16 |
Bradley v. Drake UNDER 126 |
|
70-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 2 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Drake Bulldogs and the Bradley Braves both play extremely slowly. These two teams are averaging using 20 seconds of the shot clock, which means the possession count here will be very low. Bradley has the single worst offense in the nation. Bradley is scoring a ridiculously low 0.75 points per possession. Drake should get their first win here and I expect them to take the air out of the ball once they get the lead. Take the under.
|
|
01-30-16 |
West Virginia v. Florida UNDER 140.5 |
|
71-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Florida Gators and West Virginia Mountaineers are interesting teams because they both prefer to play fast, but they also both are very poor on offense. These two teams both struggle badly to score in the halfcourt. Florida has good guards that should do a decent job against the press here. West Virginia and Florida have both had some very low scoring games for the pace they play. I expect a highly competitive game here. I had this one at 136 points. Take the under.
|
|
01-28-16 |
Washington State v. USC OVER 159.5 |
|
71-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Washington State Cougars have the worst defense in the Pac 12 by a large margin. USC plays at the fastest pace of any team in the league. We have a good setup here with USC coming off two straight losses for the first time this year. USC should be anxious to put up a big number and take out their frustration. The Trojans put up 90 points at Washington State, and it won't surprise me if they score more than that in this game. I had this one at 164. Take the over.
|
|
01-28-16 |
San Francisco v. Portland OVER 164.5 |
|
87-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 17 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night Totals CASH* The Portland Pilots and San Francisco Dons played a crazy 107-95 game in their first meeting this year. Portland had a 15 point lead in the second half at San Francisco before losing by 12. The two put up an NBA type total in that one as both shot lights out, but the tempo was also played at 78 possessions, which is extremely fast. Portland has played fast all year. San Francisco started slowly, but they have been running in a big way of late. The Dons should be happy to run the floor and play a high scoring game again here. Take the over.
|
|
01-28-16 |
Southern Utah v. Idaho State OVER 154 |
|
68-87 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* The Southern Utah Thunderbirds have a horrific defense. Idaho State's defense is really bad as well. The thing I like most about this game is that both teams have been speeding up their pace of play lately. I think when they meet tonight we'll get a game played at a very quick tempo. Both teams foul a lot and a lot of free points at the charity stripe should help push this one over. I had 158 here. Take the over.
|
|
01-28-16 |
Georgia Southern v. Arkansas-Little Rock UNDER 136.5 |
|
67-80 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Arkansas Little Rock Trojans are a great defensive team this year. They have a new coach who has instilled a new defensive-minded scheme and it has worked brilliantly. Georgia Southern isn't a good team, and they have been slowed down by the better defenses they have played. This is the best defense in the Sun Belt. Look for Little Rock to get the lead and then take the air out of the ball. I had this one at 132. Take the under.
|
|
01-28-16 |
UTEP v. Southern Miss UNDER 133 |
|
58-71 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* Southern Miss has the worst offense in the conference, and UTEP has the best defense in the conference. Southern Miss plays at an extremely slow pace. UTEP generally pushes it, but they also shoot the ball poorly and are great on defense. This looks like a sloppy close game to me where the winner is around 65 points. Take the under.
|
|
01-28-16 |
Notre Dame v. Syracuse UNDER 142 |
|
66-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 56 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Syracuse Orange defense forces the opposition to slow it down more than any other defense in the country. Syracuse is excellent on the defensive end, and that matchup zone can be very difficult to navigate. While Notre Dame has a very good offense, they have struggled to get it going against Syracuse in their last couple years. Notre Dame is expected to be without their leading scorer, Jackson, in this one as well. Syracuse's offense has been inconsistent this year, and the Orange are playing much slower this year than they did last season. The under is 6-0 in Notre Dame's last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Syracuse's last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. An 18-0 angle. Take the under.
|
|
01-28-16 |
VMI v. Mercer UNDER 132 |
|
58-73 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* Mercer is the slowest paced team in the conference. VMI has been playing slower of late. VMI's offense is the worst in the conference by a huge margin. The Keydets should get drilled in this game, and I see Mercer slowing the game down and winning with a strong defensive effort here. I had this one at 128 points. Take the under.
|
|
01-28-16 |
Western Carolina v. Furman UNDER 137.5 |
|
60-62 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* Furman is the better team here and they should be able to dictate tempo in this game. Western Carolina has played relatively fast throughout the year, but they have also played some very slow low scoring games against teams that stall this year. W. Carolina seems to me to be a team that plays to the pace of their opponent, which would help this selection. I had this number at 133. Take the under.
|
|
01-27-16 |
California v. Utah UNDER 137.5 |
Top |
64-73 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 18 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Late Night TOP Play BAILOUT* The Utah Utes tried to push the tempo early in the season. The coaching staff decided after a while they weren't too happy with the results of the faster paced games from Utah, and now Utah has gone back to stalling. Here are some numbers to point out the massive difference in Utah's tempo of late. In the non-conference slate, Utah was taking about 17.6 seconds to take a shot on average. In conference play, they are taking 20 seconds on average to put up a shot. That's a very big difference when you consider the amount of possessions that reduces for the game as a whole. Cal is without star guard Tyrone Wallace right now, and the Golden Bears have played much slower without him in the lineup as well. The Golden Bears are number one in the nation in two point defensive field goal percentage. Utah is the number one ranked team in terms of defensive efficiency in Pac 12 play. The first meeting between these two finished at 129 points. I think this one goes similarly. Take the under. TOP RATED selection.
|
|
01-27-16 |
St. John's v. Seton Hall OVER 146 |
|
60-79 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The St. John's Red Storm are playing at the single fastest tempo of anyone in the Big East. Seton Hall is playing at the third fastest tempo. Seton Hall has recently shown they want to run with anyone who will run with them, and St. John's is going to run here. St. John's has picked up their pace a lot since center and defensive star Yankuba Sima went down with an injury. Their games have been playing at a pace of 75 possessions lately. If we see that many possessions here, and I think we will, it will take some very bad shooting numbers to keep this one under the total. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. Take the over.
|
|
01-26-16 |
Bowling Green v. Western Michigan OVER 143.5 |
|
79-78 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 27 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Bowling Green Falcons offense has improved drastically in recent weeks. They have started shooting the ball much better from three-point range, and they are also getting a lot of trips to the free throw line. Western Michigan is working to push the tempo more this season. Coach Hawkins has Thomas Wilder in the lineup as often as possible in effort to get the Broncos to get up and down the court and score in transition more often. Bowling Green has typically been allowing their opponent to dictate the tempo this year. Both of these teams get to the line a lot and both do foul more than the average team in the MAC. In a game that should be close, free throws should be a key to leading to this one going over the posted total. Take the over.
|
|
01-24-16 |
Evansville v. Indiana State OVER 141.5 |
|
65-82 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Indiana State Sycamores and the Evansville Purple Aces don't get many chances to play at the tempo they want to in the Missouri Valley Conference. These are the two fastest paced teams in the league, but most teams look to slow the game down in this league. When they meet, they get the chance to play in transition. The first meeting this year finished under the total because of some ridiculously bad shooting numbers. The pace there was very quick. With normalized shooting numbers, this one would be much higher. Take the over.
|
|
01-24-16 |
Marquette v. St. John's OVER 142 |
|
78-73 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The St. John's Red Storm have picked up the pace in a big way of late. Also, their best defensive player, center Yankuba Sima, is out with an injury. Marquette likes to play at a quick tempo. The first game between these two this year was at a pace of 78 possessions, which is extremely quick. The final there was 81-75. I see some value on the over here with two teams who are pushing the issue consistently. Take the over.
|
|
01-24-16 |
Purdue v. Iowa UNDER 143.5 |
Top |
71-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 9 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Totals CRUSHER* The Iowa Hawkeyes and the Purdue Boilermakers are two excellent teams this year. Iowa went to West Lafayette and had a big come from behind victory earlier this year. Purdue will want to get revenge here. Purdue is raked 5th in the nation in defensive efficiency. Iowa is ranked 15th in the nation in defensive efficiency. This game means a lot to both teams and I think we'll see an average or slightly slower than average tempo. Purdue has drastically slowed their pace in their last few games, and the first meeting between these two played to just 66 possessions. With average shooting numbers and a similar tempo, that projects the score to about 137 or 138 points. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the under. TOP RATED Selection.
|
|
01-24-16 |
Mercer v. Western Carolina UNDER 132 |
|
80-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Mercer Bulldogs are tremendous at controlling the pace of the game. Mercer is playing at the sixth slowest pace in the country. Western Carolina has been a team that has played to the tempo of their opponent for the last few years. Last year, when these two teams got together, both games finished with a total of 112 points. With the new rules in place, this one should be a bit higher, but I see it staying in the 120's. A close game here with the pace keeping this low scoring. Take the under.
|
|
01-23-16 |
Florida International v. UTEP UNDER 141 |
|
79-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The UTEP Miners do play fast, but they aren't good on offense and they have the best defense in the conference. FIU is looking to slow the pace down a lot. FIU struggles on offense on the road. UTEP should get the win here, and I think their defense will slow down FIU enough for this to stay under the posted total. Take the under.
|
|
01-23-16 |
Colorado v. Washington State OVER 151.5 |
|
75-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Washington State Cougars have been pushing the tempo a bunch more in their recent games. Washington State is awful on defense. They are dead last in the Pac 12 in defensive efficiency by a wide margin. Colorado has shown in recent games that they are glad to run and gun when given the opportunity. Colorado should put up a lot of points here, and Washington State scores a lot at home. Based on the recent tempo increases from these two teams, I made this total 156. Take the over.
|
|
01-23-16 |
Eastern Washington v. Montana UNDER 147 |
|
69-74 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* Montana is a really unique team in the Big Sky because they actually play some very good defense. The rest of the conference just runs and guns (outside of Weber State who is also good defensively). The Grizzlies do a great job making the opposition play their style of basketball. Eastern Washington plays much slower than they did a year ago. This total is four points higher than I projected it. Take the under.
|
|
01-23-16 |
Nebraska-Omaha v. Oral Roberts OVER 169.5 |
|
85-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
|
|
01-23-16 |
James Madison v. Elon OVER 152 |
|
82-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Elon Phoenix do a great job dictating the tempo of the game. Elon is at home here and I think we'll see a fast paced game. The first meeting between these two finished at 152 at James Madison. The shooting numbers from 3 were ugly there. I think this one gets into the mig 150's. Take the over.
|
|
01-23-16 |
North Dakota v. Southern Utah OVER 148.5 |
|
88-72 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 29 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* The Southern Utah Thunderbirds have an atrocious defense. In a Big Sky Conference where defense is terrible across the board, their defense is the second worst in the conference. North Dakota found their shooting stroke last game, and they should shoot it well here too. North Dakota plays very quickly and the tempo should be very fast throughout this game. I think this line is at least 4 points too low. Take the over.
|
|
01-23-16 |
South Alabama v. Louisiana-Monroe UNDER 132.5 |
|
68-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks have been a very good under team in the past few years. Their offense isn't very good, and their defense is great. They slow the game down and make their opponent play at a pace they aren't comfortable. South Alabama's offense is really inefficient, and I see the Warhawks getting ahead and then using up the clock in the second half. I had this one at 128. Take the under.
|
|
01-23-16 |
Pittsburgh v. Florida State OVER 149.5 |
|
74-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 16 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* The Florida State Seminoles are really pushing the tempo this year. Florida State has a great guard in Rathan-Mayes. Pittsburgh's defense is struggling badly in the conference, but the Panthers shoot the ball very well. Look for the shooting percentages here to be high enough to get this one past this posted total. Take the over.
|
|
01-23-16 |
Delaware v. College of Charleston UNDER 132 |
|
58-59 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The College of Charleston has had to change their gameplan now that Canyon Berry their leading scorer is out for the rest of the year. They have decided to stall in a big way and try to win low scoring games. Last game against Towson the final score was 40-37. Yes, you read that correctly. Delaware has been playing to the pace of their opponents of late, and that should mean C of C will dictate a very slow pace here. None of C of C's recent games have gotten close to this total. Take the under here.
|
|
01-23-16 |
Northern Colorado v. Northern Arizona OVER 157 |
|
84-79 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 10 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* These are two of the very worst defenses in the country. In fact, Northern Colorado rates 351st out of 351 teams in defensive efficiency. Just awful. Northern Arizona is 307th. The tempo should be quick with Northern Arizona pushing the issue. Northern Colorado shoots it well and that should keep them in the game. I had this one at 161. Take the over here.
|
|
01-23-16 |
The Citadel v. East Tennessee State OVER 180.5 |
|
92-101 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Citadel plays faster than any other team in the country. They have had a bunch of games higher than this total. East Tennessee State has shown they will play quick with very fast paced teams (103-90 against Green Bay earlier in the year). East Tennessee State shoots it very well, and the Citadel's defense is awful. I've never played this high of an over in college basketball, but this number is extremely high for a reason. Take the over.
|
|
01-22-16 |
Albany v. Stony Brook UNDER 135 |
|
63-69 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Small School PROFITS* The Stony Brook Seawolves lost by a single point to Albany in the American East title game last year. Albany stormed back to win that game, and Stony Brook has to be anxious to get that taste of their mouth. Stony Brook is dominating with their great defense this year. The Seawolves are allowing opponents to score only 0.84 points per possession inside the conference, which is an amazing feat. Albany likes to stall as much as possible, and they know their best chance to win this game is to reduce the amount of possessions. These teams played three games last year. The final totals in those games were 111, 115, and 101 points. Take the under here.
|
|
01-22-16 |
Rhode Island v. George Washington UNDER 137.5 |
|
58-62 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 19 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The George Washington Colonials and Rhode Island Rams both prefer a slow tempo. George Washington ranks 307th out of 351 teams in the country in length of time taken before attempting a shot. Rhode Island ranks 346th out of 351 teams in that same statistic. There will need to be some high shooting percentages for this one to go over the total. Rhode Island has slowed down their tempo by 3 possessions per game in conference play. This game is likely to be played at a 62 or 63 possessions pace, which makes this total a few points too high. This game is being played earlier than normal because of the impending snowstorm. In the long run, this kind of change generally helps the under. The under is 5-2 in the last 7 games between these teams. Take the under.
|
|
01-21-16 |
Troy State v. Louisiana-Monroe UNDER 137.5 |
Top |
74-85 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 26 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Totals CRUSHER* The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks are a really good under team. They slow the tempo down. They shoot it poorly on offense. They defend extremely well, and they do so without fouling. In this one, they'll be playing against a Troy team that has played relatively fast throughout the year, but they have shown signs of being able to be slowed down. Troy played low scoring games against both Arkansas Little Rock (128 points) and Texas State (123 points). Last year's two meetings between these teams finished at 117 points and 103 points (in overtime on this one). Louisiana Monroe has played five Sun Belt games and none of them have topped 133 points (that game went into overtime). The under is 18-7-1 in LA Monroe's last 26 home games. Take the under. TOP RATED play.
|
|
01-21-16 |
North Dakota v. Northern Arizona OVER 143 |
|
101-59 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks have been playing very quick this year. North Dakota has a history of playing quickly for the past few years, and they are doing the same this year. North Dakota is the second fastest paced team in the very quick Big Sky Conference. Northern Arizona is the third fastest team in the conference. The Big Sky Conference is known as a very high scoring conference, and this total is set a few points too low. Take the over.
|
|
01-21-16 |
South Alabama v. UL-Lafayette OVER 152.5 |
|
82-92 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns like to play very quickly. This is a team that is extremely aggressive on offense. Lafayette should get a lot of second chance opportunities against a South Alabama team that has struggled on the defensive glass of late. South Alabama and Lafayette met twice last year. The final totals in those games were 171 points and 174 points. That was before the rule changes to make games higher scoring. The over is 4-0 in Lafayette's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games following a three or more game road trip. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games against South Alabama. The over is 7-0 in the last 7 games between these two teams. A 20-0 angle. Take the over.
|
|
01-21-16 |
North Dakota State v. IUPU Ft Wayne UNDER 143.5 |
|
74-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The IPFW Mastadons are without their leading scorer for the rest of the year. Mo Evans was declared academically ineligible. IPFW is still a quality team, but this should hurt their ability to put up big numbers on offense. North Dakota State is great defensively, and they slow the game down a bunch. Both of the games last year between these teams had a very slow tempo. I had this one at 139. Take the under.
|
|
01-20-16 |
Illinois State v. Bradley UNDER 121 |
|
55-52 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Bradley Braves and Illinois State Redbirds meet tonight. Bradley has proven they cannot shoot the ball. Bradley is by far the worst team in the country when it comes to points per possession. In the conference, Bradley is scoring about 0.71 points per possession. That's awful. Average in the country is about 1.04 points per possession. Illinois State should grab the lead here and then win this game with their defense. Take the under.
|
|
01-20-16 |
Virginia Tech v. Notre Dame OVER 151.5 |
|
81-83 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 47 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* Notre Dame is so efficient on offense. They are the number one ranked offense in the country in terms of efficiency. Virginia Tech plays extremely quickly and they are much better on offense than they have been in the past. I think both teams will shoot a good percentage and I had this at 155. Take the over.
|
|
01-20-16 |
Duquesne v. VCU OVER 152.5 |
|
71-93 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 7 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* Both teams like to press and force the issue. This should be a game that moves at a very quick tempo and I see this one getting past this posted total.
|
|
01-20-16 |
George Mason v. Fordham UNDER 137.5 |
|
62-73 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 45 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Fordham and George Mason have played a lot of teams that prefer to push the pace this year, and that has made them have higher scoring games than you would expect. Now that they get to play against another team that plays slowly, I like the chances of this one being a low scoring game. A slow tempo with both offenses using up the shot clock. Take the under.
|
|
01-19-16 |
Georgetown v. Xavier UNDER 147 |
|
81-72 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
*4 Star National TV Total* The Xavier Musketeers have been underrated by many people this year. Xavier has a lot of balance, and they are much improved on the defensive end. While most focus on their offensive prowess, this is a team that has been very good on defense all year. Georgetown doesn't have many scoring options, and the Hoyas are unlikely to be able to consistently get good shots against this Xavier defense. Both teams have shown signs of slowing down in conference play. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0 in Georgetown's last 4 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Xavier's last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. A 16-0 angle. Take the under.
|
|
01-19-16 |
South Carolina v. Ole Miss OVER 148.5 |
|
77-74 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Ole Miss Rebels didn't play as quick early this season, but they have sped up their tempo a lot in the past month. Andy Kennedy's team seems to be more comfortable playing quickly and trying to score in transition. South Carolina is playing far faster this year than they have in the past, and I see this as a close game where both teams score a lot at the line and push it past this total. Take the over.
|
|
01-19-16 |
Western Michigan v. Ohio OVER 153.5 |
|
64-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Western Michigan Broncos have played to the pace of their opponent this year. Their coach recently said he would like his team to play more of an uptempo game. Here is there chance to do just that. Ohio plays at the fastest pace of anyone in the MAC. The Bobcats have several good long range shooters, and they are great at getting to the free throw line and scoring a lot of points from there. Both these teams foul more than the average team, so I see trips to the stripe contributing a lot here. The over is 7-0 in Ohio's last 7 conference games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 following an ATS loss. A 17-0 angle. Take the over.
|
|
01-19-16 |
Tulsa v. East Carolina UNDER 135 |
|
84-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* These two teams played a game earlier this year that finished at 98 points. This one won't be that low, but I also don't see it reaching the posted total. East Carolina slows the game down a lot, and Tulsa is playing at a pace of 5 possessions slower per game in the conference than they did in the non-conference slate. Look for this one to be a close low scoring battle. Take the under.
|
|
01-18-16 |
Siena v. Monmouth OVER 153.5 |
|
69-85 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 47 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* The Monmouth Hawks are coming off a huge win at Iona. These two are rivals in the MAAC, and Monmouth went to Iona and put up 110 points in a massive win. Monmouth has been putting up huge point totals all year, and here they play against a Siena team that likes to run. Monmouth always wants to push the pace when they can, and in this one we get a lower number than I expected. Monmouth has scored at least 81 points in each of their last five games. Importantly, both of these teams are great at getting to the free throw line, and both of these teams also foul a lot on defense. There should be plenty of trips to the charity stripe in this one. Take the over.
|
|
01-17-16 |
Oregon State v. Utah UNDER 141.5 |
|
53-59 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 59 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* The Utah Utes experimented with playing quicker early in the season. It didn't work very well, so the team is back to slowing the game down. Utah was playing at almost 70 possessions per game in the non-conference slate, but they are down to 64 possessions per game in the conference. That's a big difference, and I don't think that's priced in accurately in this number. Oregon State is playing quicker than they did last year, and they are a better offense, but this is still a team that likes to play in halfcourt sets more often than not. Last year's meeting between these two was a ridiculous 47-37 game. This one won't be like that, but I think this number is several points too high. Both teams were thumped in their last game, and I think that means they'll come out ready to play some strong defense in this matchup. Take the under.
|
|
01-17-16 |
Oregon v. Colorado UNDER 141.5 |
|
87-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Colorado Buffaloes and Oregon Ducks are much different teams than they were just one year ago. Both of these teams are far better on defense this season, and both of them have slowed down their tempo in a big way in Pac 12 Conference action thus far. Oregon is actually playing at a pace slightly lower than the national average in league play. Colorado is right around the league average. Both of these teams are in the top 35 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Open looks will be tough to come by in this one. The under is 4-0 in Oregon's last 4 games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 Sunday games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 Pac 12 games. A 16-0 angle. Take the under.
|
|
01-17-16 |
Niagara v. Manhattan UNDER 130 |
|
64-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Manhattan Jaspers aren't a deep team, and I think that's the reason they have decided to slow the tempo down in the past few games. Manhattan pressures the ball a lot on defense, and they are whistled for a lot of fouls. Because of that, their bench was getting very thin. On two different occasions this year, they almost had to finish the game with less than five players. Manhattan has slowed things down in the last couple weeks. Niagara is playing much better defense this year, and they are also one of the worst offensive teams in the country. The first meeting a couple weeks ago was sloppy and the final was 55-53. This will likely be higher than that, but I think it stays under. The under is 26-9 in Niagara's last 35 Sunday games. The under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. Take the under here.
|
|
01-16-16 |
Idaho State v. Portland State OVER 152 |
|
73-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Portland State Vikings prefer to play very quickly, and they'll get a chance to play at a quick pace when they take on Idaho State in this one. Idaho State has played faster than anyone else in the Big Sky Conference in league play so far. The Bengals were previously a slow paced team, so I think there is still value here as the oddsmakers are a little slow to adjust on things like this. Both defenses are terrible here. I had 156 in this one. Take the over.
|
|
01-16-16 |
Weber State v. CS Sacramento UNDER 143.5 |
|
85-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night Totals MONEY* The Weber State Wildcats are one of two teams in the Big Sky Conference that play very good defense (Montana the other). Weber State should have value as an under team against most opponents in the conference because of this. Sacramento State is a team that plays to the tempo of their opponent. Weber State usually slows the game down. I think this line is a few points too high. Take the under.
|
|
01-16-16 |
Murray State v. Tennessee State UNDER 130.5 |
|
71-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Tennessee State Tigers have been a good under team this year. This team has committed itself to playing hard on the defensive end this year, and the results have been great. Murray State is much worse on offense than last year, as they lost their top three offensive players from last year's team. Expect a close game here between two solid defenses. Take the under.
|
|
01-16-16 |
Missouri State v. Bradley UNDER 122.5 |
|
61-42 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Bradley Braves have the worst field goal percentage of any team in the country. Missouri State isn't any good on offense either. This should be one of the ugliest games of the day, and I think that means it will stay under the posted total. There's nothing entertaining about this game, but I still see value on the under. Take the under here.
|
|
01-16-16 |
Ohio v. Kent State OVER 150.5 |
|
82-89 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* Both teams here shoot a bunch of free throws, and with the new rules this year, that has often meant games that finish over the total. I see a close game here which helps as well. Both teams prefer to run when they can, and they'll have that opportunity here. Take the over in this one.
|
|
01-16-16 |
Youngstown State v. Wright State UNDER 146 |
|
45-81 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 2 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Wright State Raiders are great at controlling the pace of the game. Youngstown State has played a bunch of games that have gone well over this total lately, but that has been against teams like Oakland and Detroit. There's a big difference here. I see Wright State winning and slowing the game down. Take the under.
|
|
01-16-16 |
Southern Miss v. Florida International UNDER 130.5 |
|
66-60 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 58 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* FIU and Southern Miss are two teams that really play at a slow pace. Southern Miss has one of the worst offenses in the nation and FIU isn't much better on offense. This projects as a really ugly game to watch, but one where the total is posted a few points too high. I had this one at 126 points. Take the under here.
|
|
01-16-16 |
Oklahoma State v. Texas UNDER 133.5 |
|
69-74 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Oklahoma State Cowboys have been great at playing a halfcourt game this year. They slow it down and look to win with their defense. Oklahoma State has to do that because they are without their best shooter, Phil Forte, who is injured. Texas is playing slowly most of the time, and I see a slow tempo for this game. Take the under.
|
|
01-16-16 |
Texas State v. Troy State UNDER 136 |
|
57-66 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Texas State Bobcats are a strong defensive team who stalls throughout the game and looks to win a low scoring contest. Troy isn't very good, and I don't see them hitting a high percentage of their shots against this defense. The two games last year were both low scoring. I see the same happening here. Take the under.
|
|
01-16-16 |
Louisiana-Monroe v. Georgia Southern UNDER 136 |
|
51-66 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* Louisiana Monroe has done a great job controlling the tempo against everyone they have played this year. The Warhawks are unlikely to allow Georgia Southern to get into transition. Georgia Southern has actually slowed things down significantly inside the conference, so I don't think this will end up being a pace war. I had this one at 132. Take the under.
|
|
01-16-16 |
East Carolina v. UCF UNDER 139 |
Top |
69-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 18 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Totals CRUSHER* I had a 5 star top play on the under the first time these two teams played, and I'm taking the under for a top play again here. The under cashed in last time by a couple points. It was a very low scoring game that blew up late (43 points in last 7 minutes) due to a major foul fest at the end of the game. East Carolina's offense has been unable to get anything going on the road in Conference USA action, and I think that will happen again here. Both teams are better defensively than they were a year ago. Both teams have slowed their tempo down quite a bit as well. I see a slow tempo and a game that stays under the total. I had this one projected at 133 points. Take the under. TOP RATED Play
|
|
01-16-16 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Northern Iowa UNDER 121 |
|
51-41 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* Northern Iowa is a big favorite here, and the thing I like best about taking unders with Northern Iowa is they are great at taking the air out of the ball once they have the lead. I have many times watched this team simply hold the ball near halfcourt until almost the end of the shot clock and then take a long three when they have the lead. Loyola plays very slowly too, and this should be a game with a very slow tempo. Take the under here.
|
|
01-16-16 |
Middle Tennessee v. Old Dominion UNDER 125 |
|
64-61 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The MTSU Blue Raiders played quicker in the non-conference slate, but they have started to slow back down to the tempo they used to play inside the conference. Old Dominion is a good under team with a very slow tempo and a great defense. I lost with Old Dominion's under last time out, but that was solely because of overtime. You can't predict things like overtime, and I see this one being low scoring all the way. Take the under.
|
|
01-16-16 |
Drexel v. Towson UNDER 130.5 |
|
50-69 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The two meetings between these two teams last year finished at 96 points and 102 points. Am I suggesting this year's game will be that low? Of course not. I do believe it will fall under this posted total though. Drexel and Towson are the two slowest paced teams in the CAA. When these two get together I expect a sloppy game (both offenses are inefficient) and a very slow tempo. I had this one at 126 points. Take the under.
|
|
01-16-16 |
UL-Lafayette v. Georgia State OVER 139 |
|
87-54 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* The Georgia State Panthers have played a lot of teams that slow the tempo down this year. Louisiana Lafayette isn't one of those teams. The Ragin' Cajuns push the pace in a big way and they are terrible on defense. Georgia State's weakness is defensive rebounding, and LA Lafayette should be able to take advantage of that. In last year's meetings, one tied this total and one went way over. With the new rules this year, I see this sailing over. Take the over.
|
|
01-14-16 |
California v. Stanford UNDER 134.5 |
|
71-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Late Night BAILOUT Total* The Stanford Cardinal have totally changed the way they play this year. Stanford was a team that like to push the ball and score in transition in the past, but now they like to slow the game down and win low scoring games. Cal flirted with playing quickly in the non-conference slate, but the Golden Bears tempo has been much slower in recent weeks. This is a big rivalry game where both teams usually bring a good defensive effort. I had this one at 130. Take the under.
|
|
01-14-16 |
Pepperdine v. Santa Clara UNDER 133 |
|
60-62 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star WCC Total* The Santa Clara Broncos have been pretty bad on offense all year. They take too many poor shots, and the Broncos rely far too much on Jared Brownridge. Pepperdine has been one of the best defensive teams in the WCC the last few years, and they should be again this year. They slowed down St. Mary's last game. I think this stays in the upper 120's. Take the under.
|
|
01-14-16 |
Northern Arizona v. Idaho UNDER 138 |
|
76-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 58 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks offense has been awful all year, and Idaho's defense is much improved this year. Northern Arizona plays relatively fast, but they are very inefficient. Idaho is slowing the game down and looking to win with defense. Idaho is the home team here and they have consistently been playing games under this total. Take the under.
|
|
01-14-16 |
Montana v. Northern Colorado UNDER 149.5 |
|
73-66 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Northern Colorado Bears play some really bad defense, but they don't like to push the tempo. Montana is the best defensive team in the Big Sky Conference, and they slow it down more than any other team in the conference. With the pace I expect here, this is a really high number. Montana has shown that they will slow the game down after grabbing a lead, and with them being favored here, I like the chances of this staying under the total. Take the under.
|
|
01-14-16 |
Austin Peay v. Tennessee State UNDER 139 |
|
52-66 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Tennessee State Tigers are a much better team this year, and it's all because they have been a lot better on the defensive end. Not many teams in the Ohio Valley Conference play strong defense, but Tennessee State is doing it this year. Austin Peay doesn't run as much as they have in the past, and they will likely struggle to get their offense going in this one. I think 134 is where this number should be. Take the under.
|
|
01-14-16 |
Marshall v. North Texas OVER 166 |
|
97-78 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* The Marshall Thundering Herd can force the issue as well as anyone in the country. Marshall hasn't played a single game that finished with a total lower than 140 this year. That's really impressive when you consider they have played several teams that really try to stall and slow the game down. North Texas isn't one of those teams though, and I see the Mean Green running and gunning right along with Marshall. These are two bad defenses and with a ton of tempo, I see a very high scoring game. Take the over.
|
|
01-14-16 |
Marist v. Rider UNDER 133.5 |
|
100-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Rider Broncs slow the game down more than any other team in the MAAC. Marist is a poor team that generally plays to the pace of their opponent. Marist and Rider both have miserable offenses that have been shooting some ugly percentages from the floor of late. Both of their games last year went under this total, and both offenses are even worse than they were last season. Take the under.
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01-14-16 |
Montana State v. North Dakota OVER 150.5 |
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68-85 |
Win
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100 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
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*3 Star Play Over* The North Dakota Fighting Hawks host this one, and North Dakota will push the tempo as they always do. Montana State is one of the worst defensive teams in the country. North Dakota has had offensive woes on the year overall, but against Montana State they should do just fine on offense. Montana State shoots it well from three and that should keep them in the game. Take the over.
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01-14-16 |
UAB v. Old Dominion UNDER 134.5 |
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72-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The UAB Blazers shot better than 70 percent from the floor in their win over Old Dominion last year. The Monarchs have heard all about that as well as their poor defensive performance last game against Southern Miss, and that should mean we get a strong defensive effort from ODU in this one. They have been one of the slowest paced teams and one of the best defenses in the country this year. UAB has slowed down significantly compared to last year. Take the under.
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01-14-16 |
James Madison v. Northeastern UNDER 140 |
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75-63 |
Win
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100 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
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*4 Star Play Under* The James Madison Dukes control the tempo very well. Northeastern is a team that has slowed down the tempo for many years as well. Northeastern is good at defending without fouling, which should limits the Dukes trips to the charity stripe here. With a slow tempo and fewer than average fouls, it would take some very high shooting numbers to beat this total. Take the under.
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01-13-16 |
Boise State v. Nevada OVER 150 |
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74-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* The Nevada Wolfpack have played 7 straight games that have gone over the posted total. There are two primary reasons for this trend. The first is Nevada has really picked up the pace this year under Coach Musselman. The second reason is Nevada is fouling like crazy. Opponents are racking up points at the line at a ridiculous rate. Wichita State actually shot 62 free throws against Nevada. That number is really mind boggling. Boise State is good at getting to the line, and they shoot 71.3% from the stripe. Take the over.
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01-13-16 |
Houston v. Cincinnati UNDER 137 |
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59-70 |
Win
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105 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
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*4 Star NCAA BB AAC Total* The Cincinnati Bearcats have been a massive under team in the last few years. The under is a whopping 66-27 in their last 93 games overall. Houston is playing improved defense and Kelvin Sampson's team should make it tough on Cincinnati to score much. Houston has been good on the offensive end this year, but they haven't played many teams that will challenge them physically on the defensive end. That changes tonight when they take on Cincinnati. Take the under here.
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01-13-16 |
Bradley v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 116 |
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54-53 |
Win
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100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
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*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* This number is extremely low, but it's that low for a reason. Bradley is the single worst offense in the country. Bradley is shooting a miserable 24.5 percent from three point range this year. The Braves have scored 44, 58, 44, and 35 points in their Missouri Valley Conference games this year. It won't surprise me a bit if they score 45 or less again here. Loyola Chicago plays at a very slow pace and the Ramblers typically aren't the type of team that piles up the points even in blowouts. The two meetings between these two last year were 111 and 113 points, and Bradley had a much better offense last season. I had this number at 111. The under is 38-14 in Bradley's last 52 road games. The under is 10-1 in Loyola's last 11 home games vs. a team with a win percentage of 40% or lower. Take the under.
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01-12-16 |
Texas Tech v. Kansas State UNDER 135 |
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70-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Texas Tech Red Raiders have been much better so far this year, and they'll get a test in Manhattan, Kansas tonight against Kansas State. Tubby Smith's team has been pushing the tempo a lot more early in the season, but I expect them to slow things down a bit in conference play, since that is what they have done in recent years. Kansas State is always looking to slow the game down with Bruce Weber as their coach. Kansas State is much better on the defensive end than they are on offense. This one is a few points too high. Take the under.
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01-12-16 |
Akron v. Central Michigan UNDER 148.5 |
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81-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
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*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* Central Michigan and Akron both prefer a slow tempo. Central Michigan is a good offensive team, while Akron is a very good defensive team. Akron is first in the nation in defensive percentage guarding three point shots. The Zips aren't likely to let Central Michigan's shooters get open looks here. Central Michigan relies heavily on three point shooting. This number has been bet up to a number that is several points too high. Take the under.
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