02-10-15 |
Toledo v. Buffalo OVER 146 |
|
92-88 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB MAC Total* The Buffalo Bulls are the fastest paced team in the MAC, and the Toledo Rockets are the second fastest. I expect a really quick tempo when these two meet, and it should lead to a lot of points. Both teams do a good job of attacking the basket and getting to the free throw line. I had this game lined at 151 points, so I definitely see plenty of value on this number. Take the over.
|
02-10-15 |
Western Michigan v. Bowling Green UNDER 134 |
|
49-65 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* Bowling Green has the best defense in the Mid American Conference. I'm really impressed with the way the Falcons have been locking teams down on the defensive end. Chris Jans has this team working really hard and playing great team defense. Western Michigan is usually a good offense, but I suspect their shooting numbers will be much lower than normal tonight. Bowling Green is great at controlling the tempo as well, and I see this game staying below 130 points. Take the under.
|
02-10-15 |
Notre Dame v. Clemson UNDER 126.5 |
|
60-58 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish offense was on fire earlier this year. They are still very good, but they are coming back to earth a bit in conference play. Clemson's defense is very good, and I think Notre Dame will find open shots tough to come by tonight. Both of these teams play at a very slow pace, so there won't be many possessions in this game. Last year's game went into double OT, and the score was just 52-52 at the end of regulation. Look for a very slow tempo to keep this one low scoring. Take the under.
|
02-10-15 |
Michigan State v. Northwestern OVER 127.5 |
|
68-44 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Northwestern Wildcats like to slow the game down, but they don't play as slow as they did a couple years ago. Additionally, Northwestern's offense is far better than it was in the past few seasons. The first time these two teams met, it was 72-72 entering overtime. Michigan State will be determined to speed up the game, because Tom Izzo knows his team's best chance is to use their speed and athleticism advantage here. At a number this low, the value is with the over. Look for this one to get into the 130's. Take the over.
|
02-07-15 |
Pacific v. St. Mary's UNDER 130 |
|
58-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night Totals CASH* The St. Mary's Gaels and Pacific Tigers met earlier this year in a game that finished 54-47. The tempo was just 56 possessions in that one. Pacific has been stalling all year long, and St. Mary's has slowed things down a bunch in recent weeks. The Gaels should win this one with their strong defense, and after they grab a nice lead I look for them to take the air out of the ball and run a lot of clock. I had this one at 125 points. Take the under.
|
02-07-15 |
Portland v. Santa Clara OVER 124 |
|
74-54 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 29 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* Neither of these teams are any good on defense, so a total set this low doesn't make much sense to me. Portland likes to push the tempo when they can, and the Pilots offense has been good in the past against Santa Clara. This one should be a close game too, and free throws late could easily push this one past the total. Take the over.
|
02-07-15 |
Murray State v. Austin Peay OVER 143 |
|
82-72 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* The Murray State Racers offense is extremely efficient. Cameron Payne is a tremendous point guard (one of the most underrated in the country). Murray State likes to push the tempo and Austin Peay is a team that plays really fast as well. Austin Peay plays some really bad defense, so I think this is a spot where Murray State can score a bunch of points. The tempo should allow Austin Peay to put up plenty too. Take the over.
|
02-07-15 |
William & Mary v. North Carolina-Wilmington OVER 147 |
|
56-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* William & Mary is one of the most efficient offenses in the nation. Marcus Thornton is a terrific guard who can score and distribute for them. Terry Tarpey is an underrated forward as well. North Carolina Wilmington uses full court pressure and pushes the tempo at every opportunity. William & Mary's offensive efficiency and Wilmington's tempo should make for a high scoring game. Take the over.
|
02-07-15 |
Belmont v. Morehead State OVER 142.5 |
|
71-73 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Belmont Bruins have multiple very good shooters, and this is a team that can really light it up from long range. Craig Bradshaw is the best shooter of them all, and he has consistently been great. Morehead State likes to use a full court press and speed the game up, and Belmont will be glad to do just that. Morehead State also fouls more than anyone else in the league, and Belmont will take advantage since they are great at the line. Take the over.
|
02-07-15 |
Miami (OH) v. Kent State UNDER 131 |
|
60-61 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* Kent State is without best player Jimmy Hall as he is out with mono. It's a huge hit for the Golden Flashes on the offensive end. Hall is one of the few on this team that can normally get his own shot and create off the dribble. Kent State still has a team that can play great defense though, and Miami isn't a good offensive team. Low scoring here. Take the under.
|
02-07-15 |
Charlotte v. Old Dominion UNDER 132.5 |
|
57-61 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The first meeting between these two teams fell well below this posted total at 115 points. Old Dominion is one of the best teams in this conference, and they win with controlling the tempo and playing strong defense. Charlotte prefers to play fast, but they don't have the guards to dictate the tempo here. The 49ers are a disappointment, and I don't think their offense can be efficient against ODU. Take the under.
|
02-07-15 |
Nebraska-Omaha v. Denver UNDER 149.5 |
|
74-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-15 |
Georgia State v. South Alabama OVER 140.5 |
|
65-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-15 |
Drexel v. Charleston UNDER 118.5 |
|
59-45 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-15 |
Arizona v. Arizona State OVER 132.5 |
|
78-81 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-15 |
Texas v. Kansas State UNDER 123.5 |
Top |
61-57 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-15 |
BYU v. Loyola Marymount OVER 149.5 |
|
87-68 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-15 |
Texas-Arlington v. Louisiana-Lafayette OVER 152 |
Top |
84-69 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-15 |
Notre Dame v. Duke UNDER 151.5 |
|
60-90 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-15 |
Marquette v. Seton Hall OVER 134.5 |
|
57-54 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
02-05-15 |
Portland v. San Francisco OVER 137 |
|
69-57 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The San Francisco Dons and Portland Pilots played a game that went over 160 points a few weeks ago. Now, the line is posted in the upper 130's. Both of these teams prefer to get out in transition when they can, so I expect this game to be played quickly. Neither team is good defensively, so I would expect quite a few easy buckets for both teams. This number is just too low to pass up. The over is 4-0 in Portland's last 4 games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 5-0 in San Francisco's last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in San Francisco. A 24-0 angle. Take the over.
|
02-05-15 |
Idaho v. Montana State OVER 145.5 |
|
80-71 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Montana State Bobcats are a terrible team. They can't defend and they aren't very good at shooting it either. Montana State doesn't have a preferred tempo, rather they just play to what their opponent does. Idaho plays faster than any team in the Big Sky Conference, so this game should be uptempo all the way. Idaho has only had two lined games all year stay under this posted total. Idaho should get their points, and as bad as Montana State is, they have scored quite a few at home this year. Idaho's terrible defense will help. Take the over.
|
02-05-15 |
Louisiana-Monroe v. Arkansas-Little Rock UNDER 122.5 |
|
77-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* Louisiana Monroe has been great to me over the past couple years. This Monroe team is a really good under team. Monroe slows the game down and they play tremendous defense in a conference where most teams don't play defense. The Warhawks also play defense without fouling. On the offensive end, Monroe shoots a really bad percentage from the floor. Arkansas Little Rock and Monroe met earlier this year in a game that finished at 116 points and I expect a very similar game here. Take the under.
|
02-05-15 |
Rice v. Marshall UNDER 130 |
|
55-69 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Rice Owls have been very good at slowing the game down and keeping things low scoring. Rice has improved defensively over the course of the year, and they are averaging playing games to a tempo of 59 possessions per game. Marshall loves to run and they'll get the game played faster than that, but Marshall's offense is really inefficient. The Thundering Herd put up a lot of quick bad shots. Look for this one to stay under the total. Take the under.
|
02-04-15 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Missouri State UNDER 117 |
Top |
53-50 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Under* This is a matchup of two teams that are headed in the wrong direction quickly. Neither of these teams are any good, but someone has to win here. The winner of this game is unlikely to reach 60 points. Loyola Chicago is without Milton Doyle, who has been their best scoring option most of the year. Missouri State's offense is a mess without Marcus Marshall on the roster anymore. I had this number at 111.5. Take the under big!
|
02-04-15 |
Missouri v. Alabama UNDER 121.5 |
Top |
49-62 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Total of the Week* The Missouri Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide are very similar teams right now. Alabama flirted with playing fast earlier this year, but they have totally abandoned that plan of late. Alabama is playing at an extremely slow tempo of 58 possessions per game inside the SEC. Missouri has been slowing things down even more in the SEC as well. The tempo here should be extremely slow. Both offenses are inefficient and both of these defenses are quickly improving. I had this number at 115 points. I like this one a lot. Take the under big!
|
02-04-15 |
Kansas State v. Texas Tech UNDER 120 |
|
47-64 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* These two teams both work hard to slow the game down, so when they meet I expect a very slow paced game. The first time they met it was a slow paced game that stayed way under the posted total. Texas Tech's young roster isn't good at all offensively, and Kansas State is always one of the better defenses in the Big 12. I had this one at 115 points. Take the under here.
|
02-04-15 |
TCU v. Baylor UNDER 124 |
|
57-77 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Baylor Bears and TCU Horned Frogs played earlier this year and it was 53-53 before overtime. Overtime is something that you really can't predict, so I always just calculate the game as if it will finish in regulation. With only regulation, this one is likely to stay at 120 or below. Two teams who like to slow it down and two of the best defensive teams in the Big 12. Take the under here.
|
02-04-15 |
Northern Illinois v. Miami (OH) UNDER 129.5 |
|
69-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Miami Ohio Redhawks and Northern Illinois Huskies met a few weeks ago and I took the under and cashed in. I'm taking the under once again tonight. These two teams are both awful on the offensive end, and the tempo is always slow when they play against each other. Expect a really sloppy game here, which is almost always a good thing for under bettors. Take the under.
|
02-04-15 |
Buffalo v. Ball State OVER 136 |
|
82-78 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Buffalo Bulls are great at controlling the tempo of the game, and they love to run. Buffalo will turn this into a much faster paced game than the oddsmakers are expecting. Ball State has been playing some very low scoring games, but they have all been against teams that like to walk it up the court. That won't happen in this one. I think this game tops the 140 mark. Take the over.
|
02-03-15 |
Evansville v. Illinois State OVER 132 |
Top |
51-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM TOP Play Total* The Illinois State Redbirds like to run when given the opportunity. Evansville likes to run when given the opportunity. Why haven't these two played very many high scoring games this year? Because the Missouri Valley is littered with teams who play stall ball. I had this game circled as of a couple days ago, because I expect this rare chance for these teams to run to produce a much higher scoring game than expected. The last three meetings for these two have sailed over this posted total. Evansville gets to the line more than anyone else in the MVC, and Illinois State fouls the most of any team in the league. Trips to the charity stripe will help here as well. Take the over big!
|
02-03-15 |
Northern Iowa v. Indiana State UNDER 125.5 |
|
61-51 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The first time Northern Iowa and Indiana State got together the score was 66-60. That was after a massive fouling fest at the end of the game caused the game to edge over the posted total. The game was on pace for about 110 points for the majority of the game. The oddsmakers have upped the total a bit for tonight's game, and I'll bite here. Northern Iowa has had one total all year in conference play go over this posted total and it was the misleading 26 point final against Indiana State. The Panthers know how to slow the game down, and they should do it here. Expect a low scoring game. Take the under.
|
02-02-15 |
Iowa State v. Kansas OVER 152 |
|
76-89 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* The Iowa State Cyclones play at the fastest tempo of anyone in the Big 12. Kansas likes to run when they are given the opportunity. There will be plenty of chances for them to run today. The first meeting between these two teams finished at 86-81. It was because of the ridiculously fast pace (80 possessions). No reason to expect either of these teams to want to slow things down tonight either. I expect a relatively close game, so a lot of free throws at the end could push this one even higher than most expect. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. Take the over.
|
02-01-15 |
Manhattan v. Monmouth OVER 129.5 |
|
87-76 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 9 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* I made this one 133 points. Manhattan is able to push the tempo against most teams, and they create a lot of easy transition opportunities with their full court press. Look for a lot of fouling and free throw opportunities for both teams in this one. Take the over.
|
01-31-15 |
Southern Illinois v. Missouri State UNDER 118.5 |
|
46-52 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* Missouri State's offense wasn't any good with Marcus Marshall, and without him they are much worse. Marshall averaged 20 points per game and recently left the team. Southern Illinois is one of the worst offenses in the country as well. Both of these teams like to slow the game down. The first meeting between these two was 53-50. While this will probably be higher, I don't think it reaches the total. Take the under.
|
01-31-15 |
CS-Northridge v. UC Riverside OVER 133.5 |
Top |
62-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 24 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Hidden GEM Total* The UC Riverside Highlanders and Cal State Northridge Matadors both prefer playing at a quick tempo. UC Riverside isn't very efficient on offense, but they should be better against a Northridge defense that fouls a lot and gives their opponent a bunch of chances at the line. Northridge has sped up of late, and they shoot 76 percent from the line. Both meetings between these two last year were very high scoring. I had this number at 139. Take the over big!
|
01-31-15 |
Utah State v. San Diego State UNDER 113 |
|
42-62 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* Two teams who struggle on the offensive end and two teams who excel on the defensive end. Three meetings between them last year were all very low scoring, and this year both teams are worse on the offensive end. A total set this low is tough to take, so it's only a 3 star rated play, but I think this one stays below the posted total. Take the under.
|
01-31-15 |
Hawaii v. Long Beach State OVER 140.5 |
Top |
50-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Over* The Long Beach State 49ers typically play at the pace of their opponent. Their opponent here is Hawaii, and they play at the fastest pace of any team in the Big West Conference. I really like the way Hawaii is playing this year. They are using a full court press to harass their opponent. The Warriors get a lot of easy buckets off the press, but they also put the opponent on the line often. We should see that cause this to be a high scoring game. I had this one at 146 points. Take the over big!
|
01-31-15 |
Alabama v. Kentucky UNDER 120.5 |
|
55-70 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Kentucky Wildcats and Alabama Crimson Tide played two weeks ago today. The final in that one was 70-48 for a total of 118 points. The shooting numbers in that one were actually above average. Alabama has decided to drastically slow the game down in recent weeks, and I suspect they'll do the same here against a terrific Kentucky team. Kentucky's defense is just amazing. Take the under.
|
01-31-15 |
South Alabama v. Louisiana-Monroe UNDER 130 |
|
61-67 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* Louisiana Monroe has been very good to me with the 'under' in the past two years. This team plays slowly and they are excellent on the defensive end. Combine that with the fact that they really struggle to score on offense and you have a really good under team. South Alabama likes to push the tempo, but Monroe has shown the ability to slow down even the fastest teams. Take the under.
|
01-31-15 |
Eastern Kentucky v. Morehead State OVER 135 |
Top |
66-57 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Over* Both of these teams do a lot of fouling and this should be a close game. Look for a lot of free throws late. In addition, Morehead State is great on the offensive glass and Eastern Kentucky is terrible on the defensive boards. Plenty of easy putback opportunities. I had this one at 140. Take the over big!
|
01-31-15 |
Wichita State v. Northern Iowa UNDER 116 |
|
54-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
01-31-15 |
William & Mary v. James Madison OVER 142 |
|
84-65 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
01-31-15 |
George Washington v. Rhode Island UNDER 119.5 |
|
55-59 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
01-31-15 |
North Carolina v. Louisville UNDER 148 |
|
68-78 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
01-31-15 |
Valparaiso v. Illinois-Chicago OVER 129 |
|
70-65 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
01-31-15 |
Boston College v. Clemson UNDER 119 |
|
49-64 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
01-31-15 |
Xavier v. Seton Hall UNDER 139 |
|
82-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
01-29-15 |
Hawaii v. CS-Northridge OVER 141 |
|
84-73 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Hawaii Warriors have really impressed me this year. Benjy Taylor is doing an awesome job with this team. They use a full court press and force a bunch of turnovers to get easy buckets in transition. That worked wonderfully against Cal State Northridge last time around. Northridge had a ridiculous 28 turnovers in the first meeting between these two. Northridge shoots free throws as well as anyone in the country, and Hawaii does a lot of fouling because of their pressure defense. The first meeting between these two finished at 151. I think this gets at least to the mid 140's. The over is 4-0 in Hawaii's last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games. A 12-0 angle. Take the over.
|
01-29-15 |
Montana v. Portland State UNDER 142 |
|
73-54 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Montana Grizzlies play way more defense than anyone else in the Big Sky Conference, which often means there is value on the under in their games. Portland State's offense has been putting up some impressive numbers against the awful defenses in the Big Sky, but I don't think they'll shoot a high percentage against Montana. The Grizzlies also slow the game down and play at a pace of 64 possessions very consistently. I had this number at 138.5. Take the under here.
|
01-29-15 |
Cal Poly v. UC-Irvine UNDER 120.5 |
|
57-67 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The UC Irvine Anteaters were beaten by Cal Poly in the conference tournament last year. That was a huge upset, and UC Irvine should be hungry for some revenge here. Irvine is a team that can really pick it up on the defensive end when they are motivated, so I expect strong defense from them tonight. Cal Poly plays very slowly and they don't have many good scoring options. The Mustangs have been a terrific under team for me over the years. All three meetings last year stayed below this posted total. Take the under.
|
01-29-15 |
Eastern Kentucky v. Murray State OVER 144 |
|
78-85 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 0 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Murray State Racers push the tempo and score more efficiently than any other team in the Ohio Valley Conference. Murray State is a really good team, and they have multiple scoring options on the floor at all times. Eastern Kentucky is really efficient on the offensive end, but the Colonels are a bad defensive team. I expect Murray State to get a lead here and Eastern Kentucky will be forced to keep playing fast in order to try to catch up. I had this one at 148 points. The over is 4-0 in E Kentucky's last 4 conference games. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. The over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two. The over is 9-1 in Murray State's last 10 Thursday games. A 23-1 angle. Take the over.
|
01-29-15 |
Kentucky v. Missouri UNDER 121 |
|
69-53 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Missouri Tigers were beaten 86-37 by the Kentucky Wildcats earlier this year. Missouri is sure to put forth a better effort tonight on their home floor. Where I believe it will show up is on the defensive end. Kentucky's offense isn't extremely efficient, but the Wildcats are freakishly good on the defensive end. I don't think Missouri can get past 50 against this Wildcats defense. Missouri will slow this tempo down to a crawl and try to shorten the game. The under is 4-0 in Kentucky's last 4 SEC games. The under is 4-0 in Kentucky's last 4 following a win. The under is 4-0 in Missouri's last 4. The under is 4-0 in Missouri's last 4 vs. a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 5-0 in Missouri's last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the SEC. A 25-0 angle. Take the under.
|
01-29-15 |
Louisiana-Monroe v. Troy State UNDER 122.5 |
|
58-55 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 30 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* These two teams met earlier this year and the game stayed under the total. I played the under in that one, and I'm taking the under again here. Louisiana Monroe is one of the best under teams in the nation. They play very slowly, they shoot it horribly, and they play great defense without fouling. Those are the characteristics of a great under team. Troy is the type of team that generally plays to the style of their opponent. I had this one at 118. Take the under here.
|
01-29-15 |
Eastern Illinois v. Tennessee-Martin UNDER 124 |
|
51-81 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 0 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Tennessee Martin Skyhawks have changed their style of play in a big way under first year Head Coach Heath Schroyer. He has turned this team into a much better defensive team, and a team that uses up the shot clock on offense and slows the game down. Eastern Illinois is the best defense in the Ohio Valley Conference, and they like to use up the clock as well. Most of the teams in the OVC like to play fast, so when these two teams play against an opponent that likes to slow the game down, I think we should see a really low scoring game. Take the under.
|
01-29-15 |
Charleston v. Towson UNDER 115.5 |
|
70-74 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play on Under* These two are the slowest paced teams in the Colonial Athletic Association, and neither of them are any good on offense. This should be a really ugly game where the winner might not have any more than 55 points or so. Relatively good defense combined with terrible offense and a slow tempo is a good recipe for an under. Take the under here.
|
01-28-15 |
Clemson v. NC State UNDER 129 |
|
68-57 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The NC State Wolfpack aren't playing as fast as they did last year, and they defense has been improving in the last few weeks. Clemson has a really bad offense and a good defense. The Tigers are one of the best at slowing the game down and forcing their opponent to play at a style that they choose. Last year's game between these two finished at 129, and both teams were better offensively than they are this year. Take the under.
|
01-28-15 |
Northern Iowa v. Southern Illinois UNDER 115.5 |
|
59-52 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 1 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* Southern Illinois and Northern Iowa have already met this year. The final score in that game was 55-39. This one probably won't be that low scoring, but the tempo of both teams is extremely slow and this total is still several points too high. Southern Illinois is a really bad offensive team, and Northern Iowa is the third slowest paced team in the nation. The Panthers force everyone into a sloppy game and they are great at pulling out those types of games. My numbers had this at 111 points. Take the under.
|
01-28-15 |
Rice v. Houston UNDER 128.5 |
|
48-59 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Rice Owls are playing at a pace of 59 possessions per game inside the conference. That is extremely slow, and it has led to a bunch of low scoring games for the Owls. Houston is a team that is falling apart of late. The Cougars offense has been dreadful, and their inefficiency has been off the charts of late. These two teams are rivals and they typically bring a better defensive game plan to a game like this one. With the slow tempo and better defense, this should stay under. Take the under.
|
01-28-15 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Wichita State UNDER 121 |
|
47-58 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Wichita State Shockers and Loyola Chicago Ramblers played earlier this year and the total finished at 120. Wichita State made 67% of their two-point shots in that game, and Loyola made 10/18 from 3 point range. The tempo was a very slow 53 possessions in that matchup. I expect another slow paced game here, and with normalized shooting percentages, this should stay under 120 points. Take the under.
|
01-28-15 |
Duquesne v. Richmond UNDER 136 |
|
55-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Richmond Spiders play at the slowest tempo of any team in the Atlantic 10 Conference. Richmond isn't one to allow the opponent to dictate the pace of the game. Duquesne has also played much slower inside the conference this year than they have in recent years, so I think recency suggests this number is posted too high. I had this one at 132 points. Take the under.
|
01-28-15 |
Elon v. NC-Wilmington OVER 138.5 |
|
65-82 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* Elon and NC Wilmington are two of the fastest paced teams in the Colonial Athletic Association. This is a league though that has a bunch of teams that slow the game down and force the game into a halfcourt battle. This has made both of these teams have some low scoring contests. In this one, I see no pace battle as both teams get into transition at every opportunity. Even if they aren't hitting their shots particularly well, this one should be high scoring. Both teams do a lot of fouling which helps as well. Take the over.
|
01-27-15 |
Xavier v. Georgetown UNDER 140.5 |
|
66-53 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Georgetown Hoyas and Xavier Musketeers met on New Year's Eve and the final score was 70-53. This one likely won't be quite that low, but I do think it will stay below this posted total. Xavier scored a bunch of points during the non-conference portion of their schedule, but against a strong defense like Georgetown their shooting percentages will go down. The Hoyas are looking for revenge from their loss last month, and they play much stronger defense on their home court. Xavier is having a ton of trouble away from home this year. The Musketeers have slowed down their tempo and they are also shooting a much worse percentage away from home. Look for a halfcourt game with both offenses struggling to get open looks. Take the under.
|
01-24-15 |
Eastern Kentucky v. Tennessee Tech OVER 135 |
|
81-83 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Eastern Kentucky Colonels are an interesting team because they don't play particularly fast, but because they are so efficient on offense they can really put up a lot of points. Tennessee Tech does like to push the tempo and they don't play good defense. Both teams shoot it well from the free throw line, which could be important in which should be a close game. I had this one at 140 points. Take the over here.
|
01-24-15 |
Murray State v. SIU-Edwardsville OVER 145 |
|
60-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Murray State Racers are a very good basketball team. They are on a massive winning streak, and Murray State is the huge favorite to come out of the Ohio Valley Conference this year. They had an impressive statement win at Eastern Illinois on Thursday night. I won't be surprised if the same thing happens here. Instead of playing the side though, I'm going to take the over because I see both teams playing fast and both teams making a lot of long range jumpers. I think this gets to 150. Take the over.
|
01-24-15 |
Wisconsin v. Michigan UNDER 121.5 |
|
69-64 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* Michigan is without their leading scorer, Caris Levert, who is out for the season with an injury. The Wolverines already played at a really slow pace before Levert went out, and now they have to play even slower because they can't outscore anyone. Wisconsin loves to play in the halfcourt only, and with their point guard Traevon Jackson out the Badgers will likely play even slower than normal. The tempo here keeps this one under. Take the under.
|
01-24-15 |
Western Carolina v. Samford OVER 142 |
|
72-78 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* Here are two teams that both foul like crazy, so there should be a lot of free throw attempts for both teams. Look for a close game here as well, which can really help pile the points up late with the foul fest. I had this one at 146 points. Take the over.
|
01-24-15 |
East Tennessee State v. Wofford UNDER 133.5 |
Top |
64-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Under* The Wofford Terriers are a team I've done well backing the under with. Wofford is terrific at slowing the game down no matter who they are playing against. I like teams who are very consistent and Wofford is one of those teams. East Tennessee State appears to be a team that plays largely at the tempo of their opponent. Wofford is the home team and the better team, so I do expect them to set the tempo of this game. The Terriers consistency on defense and their tempo makes me really like this one. I had this at 128. Take the under big!
|
01-24-15 |
Cornell v. Columbia UNDER 121.5 |
|
57-47 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* These teams just played a week ago and the final was 48-45. While I'm not going to suggest it will be that low this time, I do think it stays under the posted total. Both teams are far better on defense than they are on offense. Columbia does a great job controlling the tempo so this one should stay in the upper 110's. Take the under.
|
01-24-15 |
North Dakota State v. IUPU Ft Wayne UNDER 130 |
|
71-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The IPFW Mastadons are a team I've had my eye on for a while. They have a new coach who appears to be slowing the tempo down for the team. They liked to run last year and they started the season this year doing the same, but their last few games have been played at a really slow tempo. North Dakota State is one of the slowest paced teams in the league, and they will fight to keep this one in the halfcourt. This total is a few points too high. Take the under.
|
01-24-15 |
USC v. Oregon State UNDER 122.5 |
|
55-59 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 41 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* Oregon State has been great to under bettors this year. The Beavers play tremendous defense and struggle on the offensive end. One of their leading scorers is suspended for this one. They'll slow the game down here. Take the under.
|
01-24-15 |
Appalachian State v. Texas State UNDER 121 |
|
64-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* Texas State is great at slowing the game down and I think they'll play this game on their terms. Expect a sloppy low scoring game here. Take the under.
|
01-24-15 |
Northern Arizona v. Montana State OVER 130.5 |
|
71-64 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-15 |
Miami (FL) v. Syracuse UNDER 128 |
|
66-62 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-15 |
Miami Ohio v. Northern Illinois UNDER 132.5 |
|
60-55 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-15 |
Georgetown v. Marquette UNDER 126 |
|
95-85 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-15 |
Florida State v. North Carolina OVER 144 |
Top |
74-78 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 18 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Over* North Carolina matches up against a Florida State team that will run the floor with them, and Roy Williams' team has really been improving on the offensive end in recent weeks. The Tar Heels should crush the Seminoles on the boards and get a bunch of second chance opportunities. The tempo of the game will help both teams get a bunch of shots up. I had this game at 150 points. Take the over big!
|
01-24-15 |
Northeastern v. William & Mary OVER 138 |
Top |
62-78 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Over* William & Mary has been a really good over team for me this year because their offense is so efficient and their defense is so bad. Northeastern has a size advantage inside and they should be able to score a lot of easy ones. William & Mary has a strong backcourt and I expect them to knock down a lot of threes. The shooting percentages here should be pretty good based on previous history and the amount of shooters both teams have. I had 144 here. Take the over big!
|
01-24-15 |
Boise State v. Air Force UNDER 132 |
|
77-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-15 |
DePaul v. Xavier UNDER 148.5 |
|
76-89 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
01-22-15 |
USC v. Oregon OVER 146 |
|
67-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oregon Ducks always like to play fast, and USC is the fastest paced team in the Pac 12. USC's defense is also the worst of any team in the Pac 12. I look for a lot of open shots for both teams throughout this game. The tempo should be enough to push this one over. The over is 8-2 in USC's last 10 games. The over is 4-1 in Oregon's last 5 games. Take the over here.
|
01-22-15 |
Cal State Fullerton v. Cal Poly UNDER 121.5 |
|
55-66 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* Cal Poly has been a major 'under' moneymaker for me in the last few seasons. The Mustangs play at the slowest pace in the Big West, and it isn't even close. Cal Poly will dictate the tempo here and force Fullerton into a game they don't want to play. The offenses aren't good in this one, so I don't see enough shots made to force this one over. I had this at 117. Take the under.
|
01-22-15 |
UCLA v. Oregon State UNDER 123.5 |
|
55-66 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB National TV Total* The Oregon State Beavers have been a huge surprise in the Pac 12 this year. Wayne Tinkle is doing a tremendous job with this team. Tinkle has them playing great defense, and slowing the game down to a crawl. Everyone that Oregon State has played has had to play the game on their terms. I don't think this one will be any different. The under is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 games. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under.
|
01-22-15 |
Maryland v. Indiana OVER 144 |
|
70-89 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Maryland Terrapins are really efficient on offense with Melo Trimble and Dez Wells teaming up to form a strong tandem of scorers. Indiana is the fastest paced team in the Big Ten, and Tom Crean's team generally finds ways to score a lot of points on their home floor. I see a close game here and a foulfest at the end of the game wouldn't surprise me at all. Take the over.
|
01-22-15 |
Northern Colorado v. Eastern Washington OVER 151.5 |
|
85-95 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 57 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* Two horrible defensive teams and two teams that shoot free throws very well. I like the over in this one.
|
01-22-15 |
NC-Greensboro v. Samford OVER 139 |
|
78-89 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* Two teams that foul a bunch here and two teams that like to push the tempo. Look for an up and down game with a bunch of trips to the charity stripe. NC Greensboro is without one of their main scorers, but they have shown they can score without him. Samford's defense is among the worst in the nation. Take the over.
|
01-22-15 |
Georgia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 116.5 |
|
28-57 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* I love taking unders with Virginia, and I'm taking the under in this one. Georgia Tech has been slowing down their tempo dramatically in ACC play, and Virginia's defense is going to make them slow it down here. The Yellow Jackets can't score other than getting offensive putbacks, and Virginia's defensive rebounding is very good. Take the under.
|
01-22-15 |
Austin Peay v. SIU-Edwardsville OVER 135 |
|
65-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* Two teams that like to play fast. Neither is any good on the defensive end of the floor. Take the over.
|
01-22-15 |
La Salle v. Rhode Island UNDER 125 |
|
47-59 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* Rhode Island is one of the most underrated defensive teams in the nation. They have a coach who is teaching defense before everything else. The Rams will slow the tempo of this game down, and LaSalle isn't the type of team to speed the game up either. I had this one at 121 points myself. Take the under.
|
01-22-15 |
DePaul v. Seton Hall UNDER 142 |
|
64-60 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The DePaul Blue Demons have been playing much better in the past few weeks, and it has been because their defense has improved immensely. Seton Hall is still without their top scorer (Whitehead) and the Pirates are winning with defense right now. This number is inflated based on the past history of both of these teams. Take the under here.
|
01-22-15 |
Iona v. Rider UNDER 150.5 |
|
78-68 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* If Rider knows what is good for them, they'll slow this game down. With the way they have been playing defense and slowing down of late, I'm pretty confident they'll do exactly that. Iona is a great offensive team, but they have actually been slowed down by a few opponents in the past couple weeks. Rider's defense slows them down here. Take the under.
|
01-22-15 |
Mercer v. Western Carolina UNDER 134 |
|
52-60 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* Mercer is great at controlling the tempo and Western Carolina has shown signs of slowing down of late. Take the under.
|
01-21-15 |
Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State UNDER 127 |
|
43-63 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Oklahoma State Cowboys are terrific defensively, and Texas Tech is the worst offense in the Big 12. The Red Raiders will look to slow this game down, because that is their only chance of sticking around. Oklahoma State's tempo has slowed down a lot compared to last year because they don't have an elite point guard like Marcus Smart pushing the tempo of the game. Look for a low scoring contest. Take the under here.
|
01-21-15 |
Akron v. Northern Illinois UNDER 125.5 |
Top |
61-64 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Hidden GEM TOP Play* The Northern Illinois Huskies have been a team that plays sloppy basketball for the last few years. What do I mean by that? They play some relatively good defense and keep the opponent in the 60's or even below, but they can't seem to get their act together on the offensive end. Akron is a very good defensive team, but they lack scoring this year. Both of these teams have played a bunch of games that went well under this posted total. While this total is set relatively low, I don't think it's set low enough. I had this one at 120 points. Take the under big!
|
01-21-15 |
Wichita State v. Missouri State UNDER 122.5 |
Top |
76-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 0 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play 100% CRUSHER* The Missouri State Bears are very short-handed right now. This is an offense that wasn't exactly lighting it up before, but now they are without their star. Marcus Marshall left the team last week. Marshall was leading the team averaging 20 points per game so far this year. He was the one the entire offense ran around. It's hard to imagine this Missouri State team putting up more than 50 points in this game. In Wichita State's last 4 games they have allowed: 43, 53, 55, and 41 points. None of those four games have gone over this posted total. Missouri State will play stall ball here knowing that's their only chance. Wichita State prefers to play very slowly. The under is 6-0 in Missouri State's last 6 home games. The under is 7-0 in the Bears last 7 Wednesday games. The under is 5-0 in Missouri State's last 5 vs. a team with a 60% or higher win percentage. An 18-0 angle. Take the under.
|
01-21-15 |
Oral Roberts v. Denver UNDER 127.5 |
|
66-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Denver Pioneers are consistently one of the slowest paced teams in the country. Denver plays the ultimate stall ball game. Oral Roberts has shown that they tend to play at the tempo of their opponent, which means this one should be a halfcourt game all the way. Denver plays better defensively at home, and Oral Roberts isn't used to playing in elevation like they will have to here. Look for a game that stays in the low 120's. Take the under.
|
01-21-15 |
Indiana State v. Northern Iowa UNDER 124 |
|
60-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Northern Iowa Panthers are terrific at controlling the tempo of the game. It seems like no matter who they play against, Northern Iowa is the team that gets the tempo to their liking. That's difficult to do, but when you are really good at it, it shows how disciplined you are as a team. The Panthers should get a lead here and then use up the shot clock on a consistent basis through the entire game. Take the under.
|
01-21-15 |
Buffalo v. Central Michigan OVER 150.5 |
|
73-84 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* The Central Michigan Chippewas shoot it well and score efficiently a large percentage of the time. Buffalo is the fastest paced team in the Mid American Conference, and they have had some very high scoring games this year. The tempo here should be quick all the way, and both teams are good at getting to the free throw line. Look for this one to get into the mid 150's. Take the over.
|
01-21-15 |
Marquette v. St. John's UNDER 128.5 |
|
57-60 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Marquette Golden Eagles and St. John's Red Storm are both teams that win with defense. Marquette has decided to slow the game down in a big way in conference play. Marquette doesn't have enough firepower to keep up with the rest of the league, but they can play relatively good defense. St. John's is fourth in the nation in blocked shots, and they are inefficient on the offensive end. I had this one lined at 124.5. Take the under.
|
01-21-15 |
Eastern Michigan v. Bowling Green UNDER 118 |
|
58-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Bowling Green Falcons and Eastern Michigan Eagles both like to play at a very slow tempo, and they are the two best defensive teams in the Mid American Conference. I think we'll see some poor shooting numbers in this matchup. Eastern Michigan's zone copies the matchup zone that Syracuse runs, and Bowling Green doesn't have good outside shooters. The Eagles struggle to score as well. Take the under.
|