01-08-15 |
Virginia Military v. Wofford OVER 140 |
|
70-75 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The VMI Keydets have played one game all year that went below 140 points. VMI plays at the single fastest tempo of any team in the nation. While Wofford doesn't exactly play fast, it should be noted that they are playing much faster than they did last year. Wofford's offense is also very efficient, and I think they'll shred up this weak VMI defense. Take the over here.
|
01-07-15 |
DePaul v. Creighton UNDER 143.5 |
|
70-60 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The DePaul Blue Demons haven't been pushing the tempo as much in recent games, and they have actually won two straight contests. They probably won't win this game, but I do think they stay away from running and gunning. Creighton's offense was so efficient last year with Doug McDermott and company, but this Blue Jays team doesn't have the same offensive ability. Creighton is slowing the game down more, and I think this total is lined too much like last year. Take the under.
|
01-07-15 |
San Jose State v. Air Force UNDER 118.5 |
|
56-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Air Force Falcons just lost their leading rebounder and top assists man in Kam Williams. Without him, Air Force will have even more trouble scoring than they have already had this season. Air Force plays at an extremely slow tempo, and San Jose State plays pretty slow as well. The Spartans have some of their players back from a suspension, but not all of them. This is a game where there probably won't even be 60 possessions for each team, and with two inefficient offenses I have to take the under here. Take the under.
|
01-07-15 |
Duke v. Wake Forest OVER 144.5 |
|
73-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are playing very quickly under new head coach Danny Manning. Manning loves to use full court pressure to speed up the game. Louisville put up 85 points on them in their last game, and this Duke Blue Devils offense is much better than Louisville's. Duke is the number one offense in the nation, and I think they put up a big number here. Duke is more than happy to run with the kind of athleticism and depth they have this year. This one has a good chance of getting to 150, which makes it a nice value here. Take the over.
|
01-07-15 |
Ball State v. Eastern Michigan OVER 124.5 |
Top |
60-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Eastern Michigan Eagles have picked up the pace considerably the last two years. Two years ago this team was averaging 60 possessions per game, and now they are at 66 possessions per game. Ball State got a new coach last year and he sped the Cardinals up a lot as well. Both games between these two teams went comfortably over this posted total last year. Both teams are great at getting to the line. With plenty of pace and a lot of free throws, a total set this low is a strong play for me. Take the over big!
|
01-07-15 |
Massachusetts v. La Salle OVER 133.5 |
|
71-65 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The LaSalle Explorers are a team that typically plays to the pace of their opponent. The pace of their opponent in this game is very quick. UMass has had a couple of rare games where they allow the opponent to slow the game down, but I don't think they make that mistake here. UMass and LaSalle played to a 146 point final score last year, and I think this one gets up around 140 as well. This one is a few points too low. Take the over.
|
01-07-15 |
Seton Hall v. Xavier UNDER 137.5 |
|
58-69 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Xavier Musketeers started the season out playing quickly, but their tempo has slowed down drastically in the last few games. Xavier put up some big point totals early in the year against teams who were really bad on the defensive end of the court. That certainly isn't the case for Seton Hall. The Pirates are playing excellent defense this year. Seton Hall is without their top scorer Whitehead, and that has made them slow the game down more of late. I had this number at 133. Take the under.
|
01-06-15 |
New Mexico v. San Diego State UNDER 114 |
|
42-56 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The San Diego State Aztecs and New Mexico Lobos are actually very similar teams this year as far as their styles. Both teams prefer to slow the game down and win with their defense. This game should be played at a pace of 60 possessions or so, which is 6 possessions slower than the average game in college basketball. Obviously with fewer possessions there are less chances to score. Both of these teams lost their top scorers from last year too, and these offenses have been struggling in a big way. New Mexico has held 5 of their last 8 opponents to 55 points or less. San Diego State has held 5 of their last 8 opponents to 50 points or less. The under is 7-0 in New Mexico's last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 7-0 in San Diego State's last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two at San Diego State. A 26-0 angle. Take the under.
|
01-06-15 |
Villanova v. St. John's UNDER 132 |
|
90-72 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 46 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB NCAA BB Totals TKO* The St. John's Red Storm have lost their last two games. The Villanova Wildcats lost their last game. These are two good teams who are very hungry to get back on track here. Both teams play at an average tempo, but these are two tremendous teams on the defensive end of the floor. Villanova held VCU to 53 points and Illinois to 59 points, and those are two high scoring offenses. Interestingly, both of those games were played at Madison Square Garden, where this game will be played. Shooting percentages are almost always lower than normal at MSG because of the really difficult shooting backdrops. I made this number 128 points. I like both teams to bring their best defensive effort tonight. Take the under.
|
01-05-15 |
William & Mary v. Drexel OVER 125 |
|
73-47 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* The William & Mary Tribe are so efficient on offense, and Drexel isn't the defensive-minded team that they used to be. This one should have a lot of points. Drexel has two elite scorers and William & Mary has three. This number is set too low. I had this one at 130. Take the over.
|
01-04-15 |
Arizona State v. Arizona OVER 133.5 |
|
49-73 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Wildcats have changed the way they play this year. Sean Miller realizes that with the type of team they have, they need to speed things up and get their opponent on the defensive in transition. Arizona is so athletic that it will be hard for Arizona State to keep them out of the paint. Arizona State's offense has been very good this year, and the Sun Devils are playing quickly so far this year as well. I had this game set at 138 points. The over is 5-0 in Arizona State's last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. The over is 10-1 in Arizona State's last 11 road games. The over is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 home games vs. a team with a win percentage of 40% or lower on the road. The over is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 32-1 angle. Take the over.
|
01-04-15 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Northern Iowa UNDER 116 |
|
58-67 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 57 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Northern Iowa Panthers and the Loyola Chicago Ramblers are actually quite similar teams. They are both extremely good at slowing the game down and winning with ball control. Both of them have played multiple games this year that stayed below 100 points. There won't be many turnovers here, but there will be a lot of the shot clock running below 10 seconds before a shot goes up. I had this one at 111. Take the under.
|
01-04-15 |
UAB v. Middle Tennessee UNDER 124 |
|
54-49 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders have played 12 games against Division I opponents this year. The highest total score in those games was 126 points. They have been under this total 11 of 12 times. UAB likes to play fast if they can, but they won't dictate the tempo against MTSU, and the UAB offense is very inefficient. This should be a sloppy game with MTSU's defense playing well. Take the under.
|
01-04-15 |
Iona v. Siena OVER 161.5 |
|
86-72 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 27 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* The Iona Gaels are great at dictating the tempo, and getting Siena to play fast is no difficult task with their new coach Jimmy Patsos at the helm. I made this number 167. Take the over.
|
01-03-15 |
Wyoming v. San Jose State UNDER 110 |
|
64-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Wyoming Cowboys play at the second slowest tempo out of 351 teams in the nation. San Jose State is now playing with zero of their original starting five for the season because of tons of injuries and several suspensions. San Jose State is so thin that they have asked players from the football team to play on the basketball team at this point. That lack of depth has made the team slow the game down in a big way of late. San Jose State scored only 33 points in their last game. This game should be extremely ugly. I had this total at 104 points. Take the under.
|
01-03-15 |
North Carolina v. Clemson OVER 130 |
|
74-50 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* North Carolina does a really nice job of speeding the game up regardless of the type of team they are playing against. Brad Brownell's Clemson team plays at a slow pace normally, but past history between these two teams shows that UNC is one of the rare teams that can speed the game up vs. Clemson. Clemson is actually playing faster than they have in any of the last four seasons, so I think this number is a few points too low. Take the over.
|
01-03-15 |
Savannah State v. LSU OVER 136 |
|
59-75 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The LSU Tigers will absolutely destroy Savannah State in this game. The thing that makes me like this total is the pace at which this game will be played. Savannah State isn't the type of team that slows a game down. Savannah State is extremely sloppy with the basketball, and they are allowing their opponent to score at an alarmingly high rate. LSU should get to 90 points or so here if they stay committed to their normal game plan. Take the over.
|
01-03-15 |
Virginia v. Miami (FL) UNDER 118 |
|
89-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 1 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Miami Hurricanes and Virginia Cavaliers have both made me a lot of money on the under in the last few years. Both of these teams really play good halfcourt defense. They are both really well coached teams. The tempo here should be extremely slow as both teams always work hard to slow the game down. I had this number at 113 points. Take the under here.
|
01-03-15 |
Richmond v. Davidson OVER 132 |
|
67-81 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Davidson Wildcats do a really good job of getting the tempo to what they want it. Richmond will attempt to slow the game down, but Davidson's quick tempo and efficiency on offense should push this one over the posted total. I had 137 points on this one. Take the over.
|
01-03-15 |
Saint Bonaventure v. Massachusetts OVER 133 |
Top |
69-55 |
Loss |
-120 |
3 h 56 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Over* My line here was 150. My biggest play of the college hoops season thus far.
|
01-03-15 |
Boston College v. Duke OVER 137.5 |
|
62-85 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Duke Blue Devils do a nice job of pushing the tempo and I don't think they'll let Boston College slow this one down enough to keep it below the posted total. Duke's inside game is really good now, and they should put up a big number here. Take the over.
|
01-03-15 |
Illinois v. Ohio State OVER 138.5 |
|
61-77 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
01-03-15 |
Hofstra v. North Carolina-Wilmington OVER 141.5 |
Top |
68-56 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
01-03-15 |
Xavier v. DePaul OVER 147.5 |
|
68-71 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 29 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* The Depaul Blue Demons defense is just awful, and Xavier has been one of the most efficient offenses in the country. DePaul speeds up the tempo by using a full court press, and Xavier will be happy to be running in this one. The Musketeers should put up a big number here. The tempo gets this one above the total. Take the over.
|
01-03-15 |
Texas v. Texas Tech UNDER 126 |
|
70-61 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-15 |
Nebraska-Omaha v. South Dakota OVER 153.5 |
Top |
86-77 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TGIF TOP Play* The Nebraska Omaha Mavericks play faster than any other team in the country. There are 351 teams in Division I college basketball, but Nebraska Omaha ranks number one in terms of pace. They are going to turn every game into a fast paced affair. South Dakota plays pretty quick as well, and I don't see them attempting to change the way they play for this game. Both of these teams are playing faster than they did last year, and the two meetings last year finished with 150 points (and bad shooting numbers) and 173 points. I expected the posted total here to be at least 160 points. Plenty of value here on the over. Take the over big!
|
01-02-15 |
Siena v. Fairfield OVER 128 |
Top |
68-67 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Siena Saints are a team I like to play the over with. They use full court pressure to speed the game up, and because of that they commit a bunch of fouls. Siena sends opponents to the line more than all about three other teams in the nation. The Saints are also really aggressive on offense, getting to the line at a very high rate. Fairfield has played a lot of teams that play at a slow tempo lately, so their recent games are a bit misleading. Siena should be able to speed this team up. A total set this low isn't hard to reach when both teams are taking a lot of trips to the free throw line. Take the over big!
|
01-01-15 |
Southern Utah v. Portland State OVER 138.5 |
Top |
68-71 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are great at turning a game into a really high scoring affair. Southern Utah pushes the tempo really well. They average about 70 possessions per game, which is four possessions more than the overall NCAA average. They also foul like crazy, sending their opponents to the free throw line at a ridiculously high rate. Their terrible defense can really make the opposing offense look far better than they truly are. Portland State likes to play quickly as well. The Vikings have had some problems scoring this year, but I think Southern Utah's defense will fix those problems. Portland State is great at getting to the line a lot, which is key against a team like Southern Utah that fouls a bunch to start with. The over is 6-0 in Southern Utah's last 6 Thursday games. The over is 7-0 in Southern Utah's last 7 following a loss. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in Portland State's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. A 27-0 angle. Take the over big!
|
01-01-15 |
Idaho State v. Idaho OVER 138.5 |
|
54-77 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Idaho Vandals and Idaho State Bengals meet in a rivalry game in Idaho tonight. Idaho State has played a lot of low scoring games this year, but they haven't played many teams with a defense as bad as Idaho's. The Vandals have increased the tempo in a big way from last season to this season. Idaho shoots it at 40% from long range as well, which means they can really pile up the points quickly. Idaho State's defense has historically been very bad, and I think Idaho will score a lot tonight. Idaho has played in nine games against Division I opponents so far this year and all nine of those games have gone over this posted total. Take the over in this one.
|
01-01-15 |
Northern Iowa v. Evansville UNDER 129.5 |
|
49-52 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Northern Iowa Panthers do a really nice job dictating the way the game is played. Northern Iowa slows the game down. Northern Iowa is actually playing at the fourth slowest pace of any team in the nation (351 teams). The Panthers also have a very good defense, so they play in a lot of low scoring games. They have played in three overtime games, which has made their final scores look higher than they should have been otherwise. Evansville hasn't played a defense as good as Northern Iowa yet this year. I think both teams will have to work hard for buckets here. Take the under.
|
12-31-14 |
Georgetown v. Xavier OVER 140 |
|
53-70 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Xavier Musketeers and Georgetown Hoyas have both changed up the way they play this year. Georgetown has typically been a slow it down type of team. The Hoyas have more offensive weapons this year, and that has led them to pick up the tempo and play higher scoring games. Xavier has played relatively quick in the past, but they are playing faster this year and being even more efficient. Neither of these teams have been particularly good on defense this year. The over is 12-3-1 in Georgetown's last 16 road games. I had this number at 144 points. Take the over.
|
12-31-14 |
Minnesota v. Purdue OVER 147.5 |
|
68-72 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Big 10 Total* The Purdue Boilermakers and Minnesota Golden Gophers are two of the fastest paced teams in the Big Ten. Richard Pitino's team has upped the tempo in a big way this year, and they have had a lot of success from it. I don't expect them to go away from that tempo change. Their full court pressure should bother Purdue's young guards. At the same time, Minnesota gives up plenty of easy buckets because of their press as well. The Boilermakers aren't good defensively, and Minnesota's offensive efficiency has been tremendous in recent games. I had this number at 153 points. Take the over.
|
12-29-14 |
Toledo v. Duke OVER 148 |
|
69-86 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The over is 13-6 in the Toledo Rockets last 19 games. Toledo plays fast no matter who they play against. Duke will be more than happy to play quickly here. The Blue Devils offense is also ranked number one in the nation in offensive efficiency. Duke can pile up the points in a hurry. Toledo's defense hasn't been good in the past few years, and they'll give up a bunch of points here. I think Duke gets to at least 90 points here, and the pace of the game should lead to Toledo scoring plenty too. The Rockets have several good scoring options. I had this number at 152. Take the over.
|
12-27-14 |
Kennesaw State v. Illinois OVER 140 |
|
45-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Illinois Fighting Illini have beat up on lower opponents this year. Illinois has scored at least 88 points in four games against really bad opponents. I think they get up around that number again against a Kennesaw State team that likes to run and gun. Kennesaw State has allowed 89 points or more against all three top 50 teams they have played this year. Illinois is a top 50 team. The pace should be plenty quick in this one, so unless the shooting numbers are particularly low I see this one going over. I had this total at 144 points. Take the over.
|
12-21-14 |
Seton Hall v. Georgia OVER 138 |
|
47-65 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Seton Hall Pirates have a young very talented team that has opened some eyes early this year. The Pirates are playing faster with their improved athleticism this season. Georgia has picked up the pace in a big way from last season. Mark Fox has the Bulldogs trying to get out and run. I feel like this line is set at a level where it should have been if these teams were playing last year rather than this year. Both offenses have gotten better and both teams are playing faster. I had this number at 142.5. The increased pace should make the difference here. Take the over.
|
12-20-14 |
Northern Iowa v. Iowa UNDER 132.5 |
|
56-44 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Northern Iowa Panthers are great at controlling the tempo. Iowa likes to play fast, but the Hawkeyes have had lots of trouble scoring against top teams this year. It's important to note that this game is being played at a neutral location, which generally lowers scoring totals a bit. Neither team is accustomed to the shooting backdrops, and that can lead to lower shooting percentages. Iowa has gotten much worse on offense this season compared to last year, but they are also playing much better defense this year. Northern Iowa relies on outside shooting, and I think the Hawkeyes will do a nice job of contesting their long range jumpers. I had this total at 127 points. Take the under.
|
12-17-14 |
Loyola Marymount v. Stanford OVER 137 |
|
58-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Stanford Cardinal have been playing against a lot of teams that like to slow the game down this year. That has made Stanford's pace numbers look a lot slower than they really should be. In general, Stanford is a team that prefers to run if given the opportunity. Loyola Marymount is pushing the pace under their new coach this year, and the Lions defense isn't good at all. This is a good chance for guys like Randle and Nastic to put up some big numbers. I had this number at 141 points. Recency bias from the oddsmakers has given us a nice value here. Take the over.
|
12-17-14 |
San Diego State v. Cincinnati UNDER 109 |
Top |
62-71 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Total BLOWOUT* The Cincinnati Bearcats have been an under team for a couple years now. Last year, Cincinnati was a team that didn't necessarily stall, but they did have a very bad offense and a great defense. Now, Mick Cronin's team has decided to slow things down a lot so far this year. They are using up the shot clock a lot more this year. San Diego State is the same type of team. The Aztecs aren't good at all offensively, but they are tremendous on the defensive end. San Diego State also uses up the entire shot clock most of the time. Aqeel Quinn went down with an injury recently, and that made the Aztecs offense much worse. Other than Winston Shepard the Aztecs don't have any good scoring options. If you like offense, I don't think you're going to like this game. Two of the best defensive coaches in college basketball here. The under is a whopping 44-11 in Cincinnati's last 55 games overall. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 Wednesday games. The under is 7-1 in San Diego State's last 8 Wednesday games. A 61-13 trend backing this play. Take the under big!
|
12-17-14 |
Hampton v. Illinois OVER 139.5 |
|
55-73 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 23 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Illinois Fighting Illini have made it known so far this year that they aren't afraid of running up the score when they are given the opportunity. Illinois should get that chance tonight against Hampton. Hampton isn't a good team, but they like to run and push the tempo. That plays right into what Illinois wants to do. Against the worst teams they have played so far this year Illinois has put up massive point totals. They scored 114 against Coppin State and 107 against Austin Peay. They scored 89 against Brown and 88 against Indiana State. I think the Illini put up a big number again here and the pace should help Hampton put up plenty to get us to the over. I had this number set at 145 points. Take the over.
|
12-16-14 |
Arizona State v. Marquette UNDER 132 |
|
71-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Marquette Golden Eagles are slowing the tempo down under their new coach. Arizona State is slowing things back down this year as well. In the past few years, the Sun Devils played fast because they had a star in Jahii Carson running the show. Without him at the helm, Coach Sendak has decided to turn the tempo back down again. Both of these defenses will work hard in this one, and I think this should be a close back and forth game where the offenses struggle to get going. Look for this game to stay in the 120's. Take the under here.
|
12-16-14 |
Alabama v. Wichita State UNDER 142 |
|
52-53 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* The Wichita State Shockers play some very good defense. Gregg Marshall's team makes the opposition work extremely hard to get shots, and then the Shockers also do a tremendous job of grabbing the defensive rebound. Alabama has tried to speed up the tempo of the game this year, but the Shockers are generally very good at playing to their pace. Wichita State plays relatively slowly and I think them being the home team here helps them control the tempo. Alabama's offense is unlikely to be efficient against the best defense they have faced all year long. Alabama has typically been a good defensive team as well under Coach Anthony Grant. I made this total 137 points. Take the under.
|
12-16-14 |
North Carolina v. NC-Greensboro OVER 148 |
|
79-56 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The North Carolina Tar Heels are very good at imposing their will as far as the pace of the game. UNC Greensboro is going to get demolished on the glass in this one. The Tar Heels have been one of the best rebounding teams in the nation, and offensive putbacks will be huge for them in this game. The Spartans get a rare chance at home to play a big name school from their own state, and they should be hyped up for this one too. I think that leads to them playing pretty quick and likely getting ahead of themselves and turning it over for some easy buckets for the Tar Heels. North Carolina hangs a big number on the Spartans in this one. Take the over.
|
12-10-14 |
High Point v. Ohio State UNDER 133 |
|
43-97 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Ohio State Buckeyes are playing zone on almost every possession this year. Zone defenses slow the game down in a big way. Ohio State shot the lights out early on which caused several of their games to be very high scoring. While I do think Ohio State has a good shooting team, I don't see the Buckeyes continuing to shoot 52% from the floor for the whole season. High Point is a relatively good team despite the fact that most people know nothing about them. High Point prefers to slow the game down, and they'll make this a halfcourt game as much as they can. High Point doesn't have good outside shooters, and I think they'll struggle to score against the Buckeyes zone. I made this total 128 points. I would play this one down to as low as 131 points. Take the under here.
|
12-09-14 |
UMKC v. Iowa State OVER 150.5 |
|
56-73 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Iowa State Cyclones love to push the tempo at every opportunity. UMKC is a team that likes to run as well. Neither one of these teams work very hard on the defensive end. Iowa State is very capable of putting up a big number in this one. UMKC already allowed 81 to South Dakota State and 83 against Kansas State. Neither of those teams are even close to as good offensively as Iowa State. I think there's a good chance the Cyclones get 90 points or more in this one. In fact, they have already scored 90 points or more on three occasions this year. The over is 45-20-1 in the Cyclones last 66 games overall, so the oddsmakers have had trouble catching up with how fast this team plays. Take the over.
|
12-09-14 |
Villanova v. Illinois UNDER 137 |
|
73-59 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* This game will be played at Madison Square Garden, which is one of the biggest reasons I'm playing the under. The shooting backdrop at MSG is tougher than any other gym that these teams will play at all year. Illinois was scoring loads of points earlier this year, but as they start playing tougher teams their point totals are going down pretty quickly. Villanova has impressed me a lot on the defensive end this year. They'll make Illinois work hard for every shot. The Fighting Illini are much improved on the defensive end compared to last year as well. I had this total set at 133.5 points. There's just enough value here to advocate a play. I've done very well taking unders at MSG in the past, and I'll take the under again here.
|
12-08-14 |
UC-Santa Barbara v. SMU UNDER 127 |
|
73-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The SMU Mustangs have always been a relatively slow paced team. They are struggling a little more now on the offensive end because they are without Marcus Kennedy on the inside. Kennedy was the team's best low post scorer. SMU now relies primarily on scoring from the outside. UCSB is a disciplined team under Coach Bob Williams. The Gauchos definitely like to slow the game down and work it inside to Alan Williams in the post. SMU does have some good post defenders, and I expect them to be able to neutralize Williams to some degree. I had this number at 123. The under is 4-0 in UCSB's last 4 games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 Monday games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 non-conference games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. An 18-0 angle. Take the under.
|
12-07-14 |
East Carolina v. North Carolina UNDER 141 |
|
64-108 |
Loss |
-103 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The North Carolina Tar Heels love to run, and the oddsmakers like to put high totals on their games. Remember though, this North Carolina team is much better defensively than they are on the offensive end. They have a lot of length and athleticism that cause opponents to shoot a poor percentage, but generally the Tar Heels offensive efficiency isn't that great. East Carolina is a team that likes to stall to try to stay in the game. If the Pirates are wise at all, they will be playing some serious stall ball in this game. With one team playing stall ball and the other team playing good defense, a total of 141 points is too high. Take the under in this one.
|
12-06-14 |
Savannah State v. Indiana OVER 142.5 |
|
49-95 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 10 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals MONEY* The Savannah State Tigers don't know any way to play other than running and gunning. This Savannah State team isn't good, but they are going to want to run and push the tempo. That plays right into the Indiana Hoosiers hands. Indiana is always more comfortable running in Tom Crean's system. The Hoosiers have scored at least 81 points in each of their last four games. Against a bad team like Savannah State who plays very little defense, Indiana should get well into the 80's easily, and I think 90 points is fairly likely. The tempo here is the key. Take the over.
|
12-04-14 |
Cal State Fullerton v. UCLA OVER 148 |
|
45-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The UCLA Bruins have shown us that they are going to play as fast as possible this year. All but one of their games so far this year has played out to a tempo of 71 possessions per team or more. That's extremely fast compared to the average in college basketball which is about 67 possessions. UCLA played games at a pace of 78 and 82 earlier this year against poor opponents who like to run. They have another poor opponent in Cal State Fullerton who likes to run. The Titans defense is really bad, and I think UCLA will be able to get good looks all game long. UCLA's interior defense has been poor, and Fullerton has some guys who can get to the rim. Look for a fast paced high scoring game. Take the over.
|
12-03-14 |
Idaho v. Washington State OVER 148.5 |
|
77-71 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Washington State Cougars are a totally different team this year. Ernie Kent took over the team in the offseason, and he wants this team to run all the time. Washington State has generally been a defensive oriented team that slows it down, so the oddsmakers are slow to adjust lines with this Cougars team. Idaho has sped up the tempo a lot in the past couple years as well. The Vandals defense is atrocious (they allowed 83 points last game against Northern Kentucky). Washington State isn't a whole lot better on defense. A fast pace and two bad defenses. Take the over.
|
12-03-14 |
Virginia v. Maryland UNDER 120 |
|
76-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Virginia Cavaliers and Maryland Terrapins were used to meeting each other in conference games, but now they'll be meeting each other in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge. Maryland is without leading scorer Dez Wells in this one, and that's important because they are playing against a Virginia team that locks it up on the defensive end. The Cavs defense is always one of the best in the country. Virginia is playing even slower tempo wise than they did last year, and they have had some extremely low scoring games so far this year. They haven't allowed more than 56 points in a game all year long. Maryland is slowing things down this year compared to last season as well. I had this one at 116 points. Take the under.
|
12-02-14 |
NC State v. Purdue OVER 139.5 |
|
61-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Purdue Boilermakers have a new identity. Matt Painter's teams were previously known for slowing the game down and playing great defense. Now, the Boilermakers are all about running and getting off a bunch of shots. Purdue has had some very high scoring games this year, including some high scoring games against teams who usually play in low scoring contests. The NC State Wolfpack also like to play fast, so I see no reason that this game won't be played at a quick tempo. The over is 4-1 in Purdue's last 5 home games. The over is 5-1 in NC State's last 6 road games. I had this number at 145 points. Take the over.
|
11-30-14 |
Iona v. Arkansas OVER 168 |
|
77-94 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* This is a really high posted total, but it's really high for a reason. Iona and Arkansas both rank in the top 11 out of 351 college basketball teams in terms of pace. This game should be an all out track meet. Both teams are shooting above 45% on the year thus far from beyond the arc. Both teams use a full court press to push the tempo. Neither one of these teams are very good defensively in the halfcourt either. I made this total 174, so I see enough value to play this one. Take the over.
|
11-26-14 |
Pittsburgh v. Kansas State UNDER 130 |
|
70-47 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 45 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Kansas State Wildcats have been shooting a very high percentage so far this year. While it's possible Kansas State will be a bit improved from an offensive perspective, they aren't going to keep shooting the lights out every game like they have been recently. Jamie Dixon's Pitt Panthers are always one of the better defensive teams in the country. The Panthers also play at a very slow tempo all the time. Pitt is having significant problems scoring this year, but they stay in the game with their ball control and strong defense. I think this line is inflated due to Kansas State's recent hot shooting. I had this number at 125 points. Take the under.
|
11-25-14 |
Michigan v. Villanova UNDER 134 |
|
55-60 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT Total* The Villanova Wildcats impressed me with their defensive intensity on Monday night against VCU. Villanova made the Rams work extremely hard in the halfcourt sets to get looks at the basket. Michigan was amazingly efficient last year on offense, but without Nik Stauskas I expect them to be much worse this season. The Wolverines always want to slow the game down and they should be able to do that here. Villanova looked to be content playing a halfcourt game last night. Also keep in mind that this game is being played at Barclays Center in New York, so this is a neutral venue which generally lowers the shooting percentages. I had this one set at 129. Take the under.
|
11-25-14 |
Eastern Illinois v. Creighton UNDER 134 |
|
53-75 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Eastern Illinois Panthers are going to try their best to slow this game down. They know they don't have the athleticism to run with Creighton. So far this year, Eastern Illinois has been successful in slowing everyone down that they have played against. Creighton also runs a little less than they did last year. More importantly though, Creighton isn't going to be nearly as good on offense without Doug McDermott, Grant Gibbs, Ethan Wragge, and Johans Manigat. This is an offense that has struggled so far this year, and I think the oddsmakers are being slow to adjust their numbers down. I had this one at 130 points. Take the under.
|
11-24-14 |
BYU v. San Diego State OVER 136 |
|
87-92 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The San Diego State Aztecs have played some extremely low scoring games so far this year, but most of their opponents have played at a very slow tempo. That will change tonight when they take on BYU. The Cougars are playing at a pace of 75 possessions per game, which is fifth fastest in the nation. San Diego State plays very good defense, but the pure amount of shots that BYU gets in this one should mean the Cougars score quite a few points. The Aztecs offense should also look a lot better when they are going up against a poor defense like BYU. Look for Winston Shephard to have a big game here. I made this total 140 points. Take the over.
|
11-24-14 |
VCU v. Villanova OVER 152 |
|
53-77 |
Loss |
-103 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
*4 Star VCU/Villanova Total DOMINATION* The VCU Rams can push the tempo as well as anyone in the nation with their "Havoc" full court pressure. While some teams will fight hard to slow the game down, I don't see Villanova being one that does that. The Wildcats like to play fast with their athleticism at all positions. Ryan Arcidiacano is a guard who plays fast and is prone to turnovers at times, which could play into the hands of VCU. Briante Weber's quickness really makes the Rams tough on both ends of the floor. Whoever wins this game is going to have to score a lot of points. Both of these teams have big guys who can run the floor well, which means there is no reason to expect either team will be wanting to slow things down. The tempo should push this one over. Take the over here.
|
11-23-14 |
Long Beach State v. UCLA OVER 154 |
|
63-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* Only five teams in the entire country are playing at a faster tempo than the UCLA Bruins right now. There are 351 teams in college basketball. That tells you how quick the Bruins are playing. The Bruins are loaded with good long range shooters, and they are in a matchup here vs. a Long Beach State team that doesn't play much defense at all. Xavier put up 97 points on Long Beach State earlier this year, and Xavier doesn't have the offensive weapons that UCLA has. Long Beach State has a couple nice scorers in Michael Caffey and Tyler Lamb. The 49ers like to play quickly, and I expect them to put up a good amount of points in this game as well. I made this total 159 points. Take the over.
|
11-23-14 |
Florida Atlantic v. Georgia OVER 136.5 |
Top |
61-74 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 52 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Total of Week* The Florida Atlantic Owls and the Georgia Bulldogs both have a new style of play this year. Michael Curry brings an uptempo system to Florida Atlantic. The Owls haven't been very good on offense so far this year, but they are going to get up a lot of shots in this game. Georgia is playing far faster than they have in recent years. In fact, the Bulldogs are averaging seven possessions more per game compared to last season. That's an amazing change in just one season. Georgia has scored 73, 80, and 82 points in their three games this year. Against inferior competition they put up 80 and 82 points, and Florida Atlantic definitely doesn't have the same kind of talent that Georgia has. The Bulldogs backcourt is really quick and they'll get to the basket with ease in this game. A total this low is a big play for me with both teams turning up the tempo this year. I made this total 143 points. Take the over big!
|
11-21-14 |
Idaho State v. Washington State OVER 132 |
|
68-80 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 25 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Washington State Cougars aren't any good this year, but they are definitely going to play a lot faster under new coach Ernie Kent. In their first two games, the Cougars have averaged more than 70 possessions, which is a very quick tempo. Idaho State isn't a good team at all, and the Bengals have been particularly bad on defense in the past few seasons. Idaho State is going to make this Washington State offense look a lot better than they are. Lacy is a good scorer for Washington State, and I expect a big game from him. The tempo here should be much quicker than most expect, which is why I see so much value on the over. I had this one at 137 points. Take the over.
|
11-21-14 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan State UNDER 133.5 |
|
52-87 |
Loss |
-112 |
5 h 33 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Michigan State Spartans are playing at a slower tempo this year thanks to their inexperience. Tom Izzo no longer has a veteran leader at the point guard spot. Michigan State is still going to compete hard on the defensive end because Izzo's teams always do that, but I expect them to not only play slower, but also be less efficient on offense. It's hard not to be down after you lose Appling, Harris, and Payne. Loyola has been a team that slows the game down for many years, and I don't see them changing that this season. I had this number pegged at 128. Take the under here.
|
11-20-14 |
Nicholls State v. UCLA OVER 151 |
|
74-107 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The UCLA Bruins are playing at an extremely quick tempo this year. While UCLA does lack experience, they aren't lacking in athleticism. That allows them to push the tempo and score in transition at a high rate. Nicholls State clearly has no shot in this game. Nicholls State fouled more than any other team in the nation last year, so UCLA should make a living on the free throw line here. This is a game where UCLA could be pushing the 100 point barrier. Nicholls State likely starts slow, but gets more points in garbage time. I had this one at 156 points. Take the over.
|
11-20-14 |
Loyola Marymount v. Arizona State UNDER 131 |
|
44-68 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 0 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Arizona State Sun Devils appear to be slowing the pace down again. With Jahii Carson at the helm the last couple years, Herb Sendek went away from his typical slow tempo. Now that he is gone, Arizona State is back to slowing things down. Loyola Marymount has a new coach and a new slower tempo as well. Arizona State's last game was an ugly 49-39 win. While I certainly don't expect anything like that here, I do think this one is likely to stay in the 120's. Look for a lot of long possessions as the shot clock ticks away. Take the under here.
|
11-19-14 |
Wake Forest v. Arkansas OVER 156.5 |
|
53-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Arkansas Razorbacks are always one of the fastest paced teams in the nation. They thrive off using defensive pressure to create transition opportunities. Arkansas has athleticism and quickness at all positions this year, and I expect some very high scoring games for the Razorbacks. Wake Forest hasn't been fast in the past, but they have a new coach in Danny Manning. Manning has them playing at a much quicker tempo. The Demon Deacons aren't likely to slow this game down. It probably won't even take good shooting numbers to see this one go over the total. Uptempo all the way here with shots in the first 10 or 15 seconds of the shot clock being the norm. Take the over.
|
11-18-14 |
Long Beach State v. Xavier OVER 146 |
|
74-97 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Xavier Musketeers have decided to pick up the tempo this year. Xavier has a good freshman class, and the Musketeers will likely be better than most experts are predicting. They put up 93 points in their season opener. Long Beach State is always willing to run, and the 49ers get their best player back tonight. Tyler Lamb was suspended the first two games, but he'll play tonight. He and Michael Caffey are a nice one-two scoring punch for Long Beach State. This is a game where I think we'll see a quick tempo and quite a few fouls because of the aggressiveness of both defenses. I handicapped this game at a total of 151 points. Take the over in this one.
|
11-18-14 |
Iona v. Wofford UNDER 144 |
|
73-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 29 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Early Morning MONEY* The Iona Gaels and Wofford Terriers tip it off at 7 AM Eastern on Tuesday morning as part of ESPN's 24 hour Tip Off Marathon. Iona is a run and gun type of team, but Wofford is very good at controlling the tempo. These two teams met last year at Iona in the second game of the year, and Iona won 76-55. The Terriers are small favorites here, and the strength of this Wofford team is their backcourt. That should help them slow the game down and keep this one lower scoring than expected. In addition, this game starting at 7 AM should definitely make it harder for the shooters. Needless to say, this isn't a normal time to start a game and that usually hurts scorers. I had this one pegged at 139, so plenty of room for value on the under. A rare early morning play here. Take the under.
|
04-05-14 |
Kentucky v. Wisconsin UNDER 139.5 |
|
74-73 |
Win
|
100 |
42 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Final 4 Total DOMINATION* The Kentucky Wildcats and Wisconsin Badgers square off in a highly anticipated Final Four showdown this weekend in Dallas. This game is being played at the Dallas Cowboys stadium so this is definitely a tough shooting backdrop. We normally see lower scoring games in this kind of arena, because shooters just aren't used to this type of sight at a normal basketball arena. Wisconsin knows they can't run with Kentucky because the Wildcats have a major athleticism advantage. Look for the Badgers to slow this game down much more than most people expect. The Badgers are a sound team who should make it tough on Kentucky to get a bunch of easy buckets in the paint as they have gotten in recent weeks. Wisconsin's offense is good, but Kentucky's length should bother them. This total is set a little bit too high. Take the under.
|
03-30-14 |
Connecticut v. Michigan State UNDER 139.5 |
|
60-54 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Elite 8 Total DOMINATION* The UConn Huskies aren't going to want to get into a fast paced game with the Michigan State Spartans. Kevin Ollie's UConn Huskies have been winning with their strong defense down the stretch. Michigan State beat Virginia on Friday, but they struggled offensively against a strong defense. UConn is in the top 15 in the nation in total defense. Michigan State's defense has been very good of late as well. This total is set pretty high, especially considering this game is being played at Madison Square Garden, which is a tough arena for shooters. I like the value here. Take the under.
|
03-28-14 |
Connecticut v. Iowa State UNDER 147 |
|
81-76 |
Loss |
-108 |
115 h 30 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB TGIF Total DOMINATION* The Iowa State Cyclones really like to get out and run, and they'll try to do that here. UConn would much prefer to slow the game down though, and UConn's defense has been exceptional over the past few weeks. The Huskies have been shutting down great offenses on a consistent basis. Also keep in mind that this game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York City, which is one of the toughest arenas in the country for shooters. This game obviously means a bunch to both teams, and that typically slows the pace of play a bit too. Take the under here.
|
03-27-14 |
Dayton v. Stanford OVER 133 |
|
82-72 |
Win
|
100 |
91 h 18 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Dayton Flyers upset Ohio State and Syracuse to get to the Sweet 16. Dayton is fully capable of playing fast or playing slow, but I think this game is played at a much faster pace than their first two games because of their opponent. Stanford prefers to play at a quick pace when they can, and the Cardinal have shot the ball horribly in the first two games. Stanford likely shoots it a little better here. In Powell and Randle, the Cardinal have two elite scorers who can put the ball in the hoop consistently. Dayton hasn't seen many teams this year with that kind of offensive talent. This total is set too low. Take the over.
|
03-26-14 |
Yale v. Columbia UNDER 127.5 |
|
72-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
49 h 60 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* Yale and Columbia will meet for the third time this year, and the first two meetings were both very slow paced games with the defenses playing well. Why would the third be any different. The first meeting finished at 128 points, but that was with 80 free throw attempts(which is just ridiculous). It's hard to imagine the teams getting to that kind of number again. The second game stayed well under the total. I made the total here 122 points. Look for a defensive game here. Take the under.
|
03-23-14 |
Baylor v. Creighton UNDER 144.5 |
Top |
85-55 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 39 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Creighton Blue Jays can shoot the ball very well, but they actually don't play nearly as fast as most people believe. Creighton slowed the game down quite a bit against Lafayette in their first game. Baylor is a team that works hard to slow the game down and win with their inside presence. This total is set extremely high as if this were a matchup between two teams that both run. In reality, both of these teams have been slowing the games down a lot of late. I lined this game at 139 points. The under is 20-7-1 in Creighton's last 28 non-conference games. Playing on a neutral floor hurts the shooting percentages for both teams a bit. If Creighton isn't hitting a very high percentage of three's, I think this stays well under. Take the under big here!
|
03-23-14 |
Stephen Austin v. UCLA UNDER 144.5 |
|
60-77 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 59 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Stephen F Austin Lumberjacks know how to control the pace of the game. They slowed down an ultra fast VCU team. I lost on the under in that game solely because of the VCU foul on a 3 pointer with 3 seconds left that put it in overtime, but I'm taking the under again with SF Austin here. They have to know they can't get into a running match with UCLA. Tulsa and UCLA played at a surprisingly slow pace Friday night, and SF Austin will slow it down far more than Tulsa did. I lined this game at 140 points. The under is 5-0 in UCLA's last 5 non-conference games. The under is 5-1 in SF Austin's last 6 following a win. Take the under.
|
03-23-14 |
North Carolina v. Iowa State OVER 159 |
|
83-85 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 47 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The North Carolina Tar Heels love to play fast all the time. Iowa State is a team that played faster than anyone else in the Big 12, and the Cyclones aren't about to slow down now. Niang being injured certainly hurts the Cyclones, but they still have Kane and Ejim to fill it up here. This game has track meet written all over it. It should be a lot of fun to watch. Marcus Paige is really coming into his own for North Carolina and that makes them a dangerous team. The over is 4-0 in UNC's last 4 games against a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The over is 5-1 in Iowa State's last 6 NCAA Tournament games. The over is 4-1 in their last 5 following a win. A 13-2 angle. Take the over.
|
03-23-14 |
Kentucky v. Wichita State UNDER 135 |
|
78-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Kentucky/Wichita State Total DOMINATION* The Kentucky Wildcats have slowed things down in a big way over the past month. Coach Calipari decided to mix in the zone defense, and the offense has become much more deliberate in an attempt to take better shots. Wichita State's offense is good, but it's their defense that is elite. The Shockers should be highly motivated here and Kentucky will have a tough time getting up quality shots. Kentucky's defense has gotten much better in recent weeks. Expect a defensive battle. The under is 9-1 in Kentucky's last 10 Sunday games. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 following an ATS win. A 15-2 angle. Take the under.
|
03-22-14 |
Harvard v. Michigan State UNDER 137 |
|
73-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 31 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* The Harvard Crimson didn't just get to this point by being a Cinderella or a lucky team. Harvard is a good team who is very well-coached. Expect the Crimson to know their best chance of winning this game is slowing the game down. Michigan State has a very good defense, and Harvard will struggle to get up open shots. Harvard's defense is underrated. The Spartans shot the ball remarkably well in their first game of the tournament, and you have to assume they will come back to earth a bit here. I had this one lined at 133 points. Expect a slower pace and some solid defense.
The under is 5-0 in Harvard's last 5 non-conference games. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 neutral site games. The under is 4-1 in the Spartans last 5 NCAA Tournament games. A 13-2 angle. Take the under.
|
03-22-14 |
Dayton v. Syracuse UNDER 127.5 |
|
55-53 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Dayton Flyers defense looked impressive against Ohio State on Thursday afternoon. Syracuse is a terrific defense, but the Orange have trouble on the offensive end. I don't think there will be much of a flow to this game. Syracuse's tempo is much much slower this year than they have been in recent years, and games generally slow down a little more as the tournament moves along because of the importance of the game. The zone defense should bother Dayton. Look for both defenses to rise to the occasion here. Take the under.
|
03-21-14 |
Tulsa v. UCLA OVER 146 |
|
59-76 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Tulsa Hurricane have really taken a significant step forward this year with Danny Manning leading the way as their head coach. Tulsa has picked up the tempo this year, and Manning has made it quite clear that he doesn't want to change the way they play here. Tulsa will look to run. The problem for them is UCLA is great in a fast paced game, and the Bruins offense could really pile up the points quickly in this one. Look for both teams to get up tons of shots in this one. The over is 4-0 in UCLA's last 4 NCAA Tournament games. Take the over.
|
03-21-14 |
Stephen Austin v. VCU UNDER 139 |
|
77-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
118 h 1 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Stephen F Austin is a well-coached veteran team that should know that they can't get into an up and down type of game with VCU. Shaka Smart's team isn't very good on offense in the halfcourt, so they really rely heavily on forcing turnovers with their full court pressure. Stephen F Austin is relatively good at taking care of the ball. VCU is missing their best three-point shooter for this one, and that could hurt this team quite a bit since they don't shoot it well to start with.
The under is 5-0 in SF Austin's last 5 games following an ATS win. The under is 4-0 in VCU's last 4 games against a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 4-0 in VCU's last 4 NCAA Tournament games. A 13-0 angle. Take the under.
|
03-21-14 |
Cal Poly SLO v. Wichita State UNDER 126 |
|
37-64 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Bookie CRUSHER* The Cal Poly Mustangs looked great offensively Wednesday against Texas Southern. They won't look very good offensively Friday against Wichita State. The Shockers are a terrific team that excels on the defensive end. Wichita State doesn't mind playing slowly, and Cal Poly wants to stall as much as possible here. The Mustangs play as slow as anyone in the nation. It won't surprise me if Cal Poly struggles to reach 50 points here. Wichita State jumps ahead and coasts late in the game. Take the under here.
|
03-21-14 |
Eastern Kentucky v. Kansas OVER 146 |
Top |
69-80 |
Win
|
100 |
114 h 25 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Kansas Wildcats have been capable of scoring a bunch of points all year, but they are playing even faster without Joel Embiid in the lineup. They are also a much worse defense without Embiid. Eastern Kentucky is shooting 56% on two-point shots this year, and they should get their points in this one. Expect an up and down affair with both teams preferring to run. The over is 5-1 in Eastern Kentucky's last 6 neutral site games. The over is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. I had this one lined at 156 points. *Note- The line has moved up quickly here. I would play this one as high as 153 but no higher. Thank you.
|
03-21-14 |
UL-Lafayette v. Creighton OVER 156 |
|
66-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
113 h 20 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns love to run and gun and try to outscore their opponent. That plays right into the hands of a team like Creighton. Creighton is built to put up points in a hurry, and they can shoot it from long range better than any other team in the nation. No one on this Lafayette team will be able to stop Doug McDermott. Creighton could put up 90 points or more here and it wouldn't be a surprise. Creighton's defense isn't particularly good and Lafayette will get up plenty of shots. I like this one to get over the total. Take the over.
|
03-20-14 |
Manhattan v. Louisville OVER 142.5 |
Top |
64-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
67 h 48 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Manhattan Jaspers are a team I like quite a bit. Unfortunately for them they drew a red hot Louisville team that is massively underseeded. Manhattan likes to use full court pressure and speed up the game, and they won't change their style here. Louisville will certainly be happy to run and press as well. This should be a fun game to watch thanks to the pace and all the up and down action. Even without good shooting numbers, I think this game gets over the total. I had this one lined at 148 points. The over is 6-0 in Louisville's last 6 NCAA Tournament games. The over is 14-3 in their last 17 neutral site games. Take the over big!
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03-20-14 |
NC State v. St. Louis OVER 131.5 |
|
80-83 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The NC State Wolfpack surprised a lot of people (including me), by winning against Xavier on Tuesday night. NC State has a star in TJ Warren on their roster, and he is going to get his points no matter who this team goes up against. St. Louis is playing a much faster paced game than they did last year. The Billikens are still a very good defense, but their tempo has changed in a big way. I think this line is too low since St. Louis will look to run when given the opportunity. I had this one lined at 135 points. Take the over.
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03-19-14 |
Pacific v. Grand Canyon OVER 150.5 |
|
69-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
55 h 13 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* The Pacific Tigers have one of the worst defenses in the country. Pacific is able to score though, and they like to push the tempo. Pacific fouls a bunch and Grand Canyon is near the top of the charts in getting to the line. Expect tons of free points in this one. Grand Canyon wants to play fast and they'll get their chance to run like crazy in this one. Neither team will slow this game down. I had this total lined at 155 points. Take the over.
|
03-19-14 |
Cal-Irvine v. SMU UNDER 126 |
|
54-68 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 40 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UC Irvine Anteaters made me more money this year than any other team in college basketball. Most of that money was made playing the 'under' in nearly every game of theirs. Irvine's defense is great with N'Diaye protecting the rim. Irvine also likes to slow the game down. SMU's defense is very underrated, and they prefer a slow tempo as well. Two good defenses here and it should be a slow paced game. I had this lined at 122 points.
The under is 10-1 in Irvine's last 11 non-conference games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 4-0 in SMU's last 4 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 non-conference games. A 23-1 angle. Take the under.
|
03-19-14 |
Toledo v. Southern Mississippi OVER 144 |
Top |
59-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
56 h 11 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Total* The Toledo Rockets have a very efficient offense, but their defense is terrible. Southern Miss has typically slowed the game down, but late this season they started playing a little faster. Southern Miss is great at getting to the free throw line, and Toledo fouls quite a bit. The Golden Eagles offense is good to start with, and they should look great against a very bad Toledo defense. Two extremely good offenses here, and this should be a shootout.
The over is 5-0 in Toledo's last 5 Wednesday games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 6-1 in Southern Miss' last 7 games vs. a team with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. A 15-1 angle. Take the over big!
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03-19-14 |
Morehead St. v. Illinois State OVER 142.5 |
|
67-77 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 13 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Track Meet Total* The Morehead State Eagles and Illinois State Redbirds both like to run and push the tempo. They both had to play some teams inside their conferences that worked hard to slow them down, but that won't be a problem here. When these two fast paced teams get together, it should be a real track meet. Both of these teams foul a lot, so I expect trips to the charity stripe to help us out a lot in this game. I had this game lined at 147 points. Take the over.
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03-18-14 |
High Point v. Minnesota OVER 133.5 |
|
81-88 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 52 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Minnesota Golden Gophers were a decent Big Ten team, which means they should be able to blow away High Point if they are ready for this game. High Point likes to slow the game down, but I expect them to get down big early and be forced to speed up if they want to have any chance of winning. These smaller postseason tourneys generally have higher scoring games than expected. I had this one lined at 138. Take the over here.
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03-18-14 |
Columbia v. Valparaiso UNDER 129.5 |
Top |
58-56 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 24 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Total* The Columbia Lions are one of the slowest paced teams in the nation. Columbia is going to play their style of basketball no matter who they are playing against. Valparaiso tends to play to the pace of their opponent, and their offense isn't good enough to pile up the points against a quality Columbia defense. This has the makings of a tight low scoring game that goes down to the wire. I had this one at 123 points.
The under is 7-0 in Columbia's last 7 following a double digit home loss. The under is 10-1 in their last 11 following an ATS loss. The under is 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. A 25-2 angle. Take the under big!
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03-18-14 |
Norfolk State v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 127.5 |
|
54-58 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 42 m |
Show
|
*4 Star 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Norfolk State Spartans and the Eastern Michigan Eagles are similar teams. Both of them aren't very good offensively, but they are both excellent on the defensive end. This could easily be a game where we see both teams shoot a very low percentage from the floor. Eastern Michigan has slowed their pace down late in the season, and that should help out here. The under is 7-0 in Norfolk State's last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. An 11-0 angle. Take the under.
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03-18-14 |
Wright State v. East Carolina UNDER 134.5 |
Top |
73-59 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 0 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Under Radar Total* The Wright State Raiders had the best defense in the Horizon League and they love to slow the game down. East Carolina started out playing fast, but they slowed things down in a big way as the season was winding down. There has been good value on the under with them of late. This should be a slower paced game than most expect. Expect a close hard fought battle between two teams who win with their defense first. I had this one lined at 128 points. Take the under big!
|
03-15-14 |
New Mexico v. San Diego State UNDER 126.5 |
|
64-58 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The New Mexico Lobos and San Diego State Aztecs have one heck of a history of playing low scoring games against each other. The two meetings during the regular season this year finished at 102 points and 99 points. San Diego State will likely go zone at least part of this game again, and the Lobos looked lost against that last time around. This game means a lot to both teams, and I expect open shots to be tough to come by.
The under is 6-0 in the Lobos last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 11-1 in their last 12 following a win. The under is 6-0 in SD State's last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 meetings. A 35-1 angle. Take the under.
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03-15-14 |
Michigan State v. Wisconsin UNDER 137.5 |
|
83-75 |
Loss |
-114 |
4 h 35 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Michigan State Spartans are great in March, and I expect them to be ready for this game. Wisconsin beat them 60-58 in the first meeting between these two. Both of these teams are defense-first. In a game that means a lot, I expect a slow tempo and lots of pressure defense that makes open shots hard to come by. Only one game between these two in the past 10 meetings has even gone above 125 points, and two of those games were overtime games. Defensive battle here.
The under is 4-0 in Michigan State's last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Wisconsin's last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings. A 12-0 angle. Take the under.
|
03-15-14 |
George Washington v. VCU OVER 138.5 |
|
55-74 |
Loss |
-118 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The George Washington Colonials and VCU Rams met twice during the regular season and both games went over the posted total. George Washington's weakness is taking care of the ball, and VCU gets lots of easy buckets off their full court pressure against them. At the same time, VCU's halfcourt defense isn't very good so if George Washington is able to break the press they score quite efficiently. Both teams do quite a bit of fouling. I had this lined at 143 points.
The over is 5-0 in George Washington's last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in VCU's last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings. A 14-0 angle. Take the over.
|
03-15-14 |
NC State v. Duke OVER 144 |
|
67-75 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 40 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB ACC Total* The NC State Wolfpack have gotten hot at the end of the year, and it is largely because T.J. Warren is absolutely on fire offensively. No one has had an answer for Warren of late. Duke's defense isn't very good, but the Blue Devils should score at will against NC State in this one. The first game between these two finished in a Duke 95-60 win. I had this game lined at 149 points. Look for this to coast past the total. Take the over.
|
03-14-14 |
CS-Northridge v. Long Beach State OVER 148 |
|
82-77 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* the Cal State Northridge Matadors have picked up the tempo in a big way at the end of the season. Their last 7 games have all played to a total of at least 158 points, which is pretty incredible. Long Beach State tends to play to the pace of their opponent. The 49ers are fully capable of lighting it up against this terrible Northridge defense. The most recent game between these two finished at 91-83. I had this one lined at 153 points.
The over cashed in their last meeting. The over is 6-0 in Northridge's last 6. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 league games. A 17-0 angle. Take the over.
|
03-14-14 |
Baylor v. Texas UNDER 139 |
|
86-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Baylor Bears are definitely playing better basketball of late. Baylor dug a big hole at Texas a couple weeks ago and almost came back and won. Texas shot a ridiculously high percentage from long range in that game. Expect this game to be played much slower with more normal shooting numbers. I had this game lined at 134 points. The under is 5-0-1 in Texas' last 6 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 neutral site games. The under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 Big 12 games. A 14-0 angle here. Take the under.
|
03-14-14 |
Colorado v. Arizona UNDER 130.5 |
|
43-63 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Colorado Buffaloes have squeaked out two close games in the Pac-12 Tournament. They haven't been able to get to 60 points yet, and I sincerely doubt they'll get to 60 points in this game. Arizona's defense held them to 61 on their home floor recently. Arizona's defense held Utah to 39 points yesterday, and this game is being played on a neutral floor where shooting numbers are typically lower. The under is 5-0 in Colorado's last 5 Friday games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 Friday games. A 14-0 angle. Take the under.
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